Latest / Conversations: Special Guests with Preston Scott / The History of And The Debacle That Is ... The Fed
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- 0:11All right, it's time for the third and final hour at least for today
- 0:14of the Morning Show with Preston, Scott and Preston. He's Grant Allen Jared
- 0:19over there running the radio program this morning, and it's great to be with
- 0:22you. It is Wednesday, May twenty ninth, show fifty one sixty eight.
- 0:26It's the number on the program. So if you're not happy, go
- 0:28to customer service. They'll give you a refund for everything you paid to listen
- 0:32to the show today. We are pleased to have with us in the third
- 0:35hour, Joel Griffith. He is with the Heritage Foundation. He's a research
- 0:38fellow in the Thomas Rowe Institute for Economic Policy Studies. And Joel, welcome
- 0:44to the program. How are you, sir? You and all thanks having
- 0:47me this morning. I am here on important business with you, and I
- 0:52needed someone that could surely explain to me and our listeners a little bit as
- 0:58it relates to the FED. There have been discussions, there's a proposal being
- 1:03advanced. I don't think much will come of it, but I think it's
- 1:06worth talking about, and that would be the ending of the Federal Reserve system.
- 1:11But let's first talk about its starting point, Why did we even establish
- 1:15the FED? Well, the FED was established now more than one indred years
- 1:21ago, ostensibly to actually iron out these big booms and busts that we had
- 1:27in the years prior to the Fed's creation. But of course we know that
- 1:32in one hundred and ten years since the Federal Reserve was founded, we have
- 1:34continued to have booms and busts. Of course, we had the Great Depression.
- 1:38I doubt many of us listening today we're alive for that. But we've
- 1:42had booms and bustments, including the housing bubble of two thousand and six,
- 1:46the second housing bubbles that we're in right now, and of course the Great
- 1:51Recession of thirteen years ago. So the FED has largely been unsuccessful in its
- 1:57mission to give us this steady economic growth. And over the past few years
- 2:01we have seen the FED actually cave into political demands, printing trillions of dollars
- 2:07to finance the reckless growth of government under President Trump and of course continued under
- 2:12President Biden. And we're dealing with the inflation fallout of that. Now.
- 2:16Why is it difficult or is it by design, Joel, for the average
- 2:21person in America to really get their arms around the purpose of the FED and
- 2:24the role it plays. It's very difficult, and we all look at our
- 2:29Federal Reserve notes and I think, wonder, all, what does this mean?
- 2:32Is this? What is this piece of paper? What does it represent?
- 2:36I think most of us know that our dollar is no longer backed by
- 2:38gold. It hasn't been backed by gold or anything of I need to have
- 2:43a hard asset. For many years now, Congress has delegated its power over
- 2:49the money supply to the FED, which has the power to issue currency at
- 2:53will via the digital printing presence or the paper printing presence. It's called fiat
- 2:57currency for that reason. It does it issue choose that currency by fiat.
- 3:01You know, if you think of that word legislative fiat, well, that
- 3:05was when a legislature or a king would just act because it chooses to.
- 3:09That's what the FED does. Now. The FED acts independently of Congress to
- 3:14determine what the total money supply will be. And I'll tell you what,
- 3:20I'd rather have the FED doing that than perhaps Congress. But the Fed's decisions
- 3:25have been dangerous as well, as it continues to inflate the money supply.
- 3:30And I think that it's convoluted though for a reason. Politicians, and we
- 3:35have these bouts of inflation, or we have a boom, or we have
- 3:38a bust following one, they can point fingers elsewhere. They can point fingers
- 3:42at the Fed itself. They can point fingers at businesses like Biden is doing
- 3:45now, calling talking about greedy corporations driving up prices. But at the end
- 3:51of the day, much of the blame lies at the hands of the Fed
- 3:54itself, which funds the reckless government spending, and which has driven up housing
- 4:00prices by buying up so many mortgages. Joel, I've commented over the years
- 4:05that one of the things that helps people better understand the recklessness of our government
- 4:11is that you know, when you and I get to the point of limit
- 4:14on our ability to use credit, we're simply told no, and that we
- 4:18have to make changes in how we spend what we have, We have to
- 4:23pay down our debt in order to obtain more credit. The Federal Reserve basically
- 4:27blows all of that up by doing what you're talking about, right, No,
- 4:31exactly right. If you look at what happened a few years ago when
- 4:33we had all the COVID spending well, the government to go ahead and finances
- 4:38spending could have done well, they had one of two choices. They could
- 4:42go ahead and raise taxes, which to raise taxes by that about imagine a
- 4:47fifty percent tax like we're talking about payroll taxes and income taxes. There's no
- 4:51way Congress would have had the political fortitude to do that, and of course
- 4:55it would have devastated the economy immediately. While the other, the other alternative,
- 5:00would be to borrow to raise those resources. Well, if the federal
- 5:05government expanding by trillions of dollars, think about the we're talking about tens of
- 5:10thousand dollars of dollars per family of four, the government would had to borrow.
- 5:14If they would have had to borrow that just from the exist scheme,
- 5:16resources in the private sector, interest rates would have soared immediately because the federal
- 5:21government would have been gobbling up so much to the available private capital. Right
- 5:27well, and that's why that's why Congress turned to the Fed to print the
- 5:30money to buy the debt. It allowed us to escape the damage temporarily because
- 5:35we didn't initially have a big boost of inflation and we didn't immediately have the
- 5:41economy crash we're dealing now with the repercussion, but the fingers are being pointed
- 5:46at alwhere, when, in fact, the problems that we're facing today'stem directly
- 5:51from that decision by Republicans and Democrats to grow the size of government during COVID
- 5:57and to rely on the FED to print the dollars. But three have gone
- 6:00by now, and the blame is being spread elsewhere, allowing Congress really to
- 6:06ignore responsibility for what they did wherever you may be, from Florida Sunshine State
- 6:12to New York's forget New York, scratch that. New York's now hopeless.
- 6:16At least the city is for the rest. We're your Morning Show, The
- 6:21Morning Show with Preston Scott. Yeah, listeners all over the country because of
- 6:30iHeartRadio. So we say thank you very much for listening. Always appreciate you
- 6:33listening wherever, however, and we try to make that payoff with great guests
- 6:40like our current guest Joel Griffith, who's with the Heritage Foundation. He focuses
- 6:45on economic policy, and Joel, we were talking about the Fed. I
- 6:48want to keep the discussion rolling. Here we hear the expression we heard it
- 6:54a decade and a half ago. Or so too big to fail? Is
- 6:58the FED at that point is I mean, you hear the proposal of Thomas
- 7:01Massey of Kentucky to end it, to give it a year to shut down,
- 7:05and before we get to the specifics on how to make that transition,
- 7:10if we were to is it too big to fail? Well, I would
- 7:15say at this point it's too vital in a way to fail. We have
- 7:17a Fiat monetary system. There's not much chance that is going to be switching
- 7:24back to a gold based or any other asset based system in the future.
- 7:29This is how the world's great economies operate by Fiat. And really, when
- 7:34you have a FIAT system, having a central bank as the lesser of two
- 7:39evils. An independent central bank means the central bank is making the decision independently
- 7:44of the political structure about how much money to create. Presumably that keeps inflation
- 7:50from being worse than it otherwise would be. And I think that's true.
- 7:54If you look at other economies such as Zimbabwe or Venezuela, where there is
- 8:03really a politically intertwined central bank with the politicians, you see inflation even worse
- 8:07because politicians have proven to be even more reckless when they have the power of
- 8:13the printing press. Remember this is what is one of the reasons why the
- 8:16Roman Empire dissolved when it did, because they were the sovereign whits constantly diluting
- 8:22the value of the gold coins. Well, the same holds too in the
- 8:26BIOT system. The less the currency you have, the lower the inflation rate
- 8:30will be. And when politicians have complete control those levers, they have shown
- 8:33that they're even more reckless. And until that's why, until we get the
- 8:39federal spending under control, we're going to continue to see the threat of higher
- 8:45inflation because there's always going to be the possibility that we're going to print to
- 8:48get our ways out of it. It's just that that risk is less when
- 8:52you have an independent central bank versus when you have the politicians controlling those printing
- 8:58presses. Joel, we have about shay next two seconds left in this segment.
- 9:01Ran a little long in the first one, so let me just ask
- 9:03this. You've mentioned gold a couple of times. The goal, that is
- 9:07the actual goal that's in possession of the United States, is it ours?
- 9:15Well, the gold is in possession, it is largely owned by the private
- 9:18sector. Thumb is owned by the federal government's thumb is owned by that's a
- 9:20trabank. But when you say isn't ours, it is actually a great question
- 9:26because you know, if you go back one hundred years, President FDR actually
- 9:30banned the private ownership of gold. I believe that was unconstitutional, but yet
- 9:35he still did it. So yes, I would say, the goal that
- 9:39you have in your possession, it is yours. But you better hope that
- 9:43our federal officials abide by a constitution that actually says you can't seize private property
- 9:48abou judt compensation. Clearly you have a fundamental right to that gold is the
- 9:52constitutional, police protected right. But our own government has shown that it will
- 9:58abdicate those constitutional precepts when they can get away with it, which they did
- 10:05under FDR. WSLA on your phone with the iHeart radio app and on hundreds
- 10:09of devices like Alexa, Google Home, Xbox, and Sonos. So here
- 10:13we go in Ihearts radio station. Joe Griffith is a research fellow with the
- 10:24Thomas Rowe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at the Heritage Foundation. Our guest,
- 10:30I'm going to put him in a very very nice position here in a second.
- 10:33But first we've talked about Thomas Massey's proposal to end the FED best of
- 10:39intentions, but not necessarily the right way to go. Well, I want
- 10:46to be clear that in an optimal world, it would be a world in
- 10:48which we did not have our monetary system controlled by the Thuttered Reserve. So
- 10:54I want to acknowledge the fact that Senator Paul and Congress and Mapte have been
- 10:58I would say, you thought leaders on this, and even though this legislation
- 11:05I mean and I think they would acknowledge this as well. This is not
- 11:07going to be something that is going to be implemented this year, but I
- 11:09think it serves a very useful purpose of shining the spotlight on the FED,
- 11:15because for far too long there has not been an acknowledgment that they have reached
- 11:20so much economic havoc multiple times in our own lifetimes. But in the political
- 11:24world that we live in, the reality is this is our monetary system right
- 11:31now. There's stiat monetary system, and we have to look for ways that
- 11:35we can actually I would say, diminish the amount of damage that the central
- 11:41bankers can actually do. In Congress does have a role to play in that,
- 11:46of course, because the FED is a creation of Congress. So what
- 11:50can Congress, What are we likely to be able to get Congress to agree
- 11:54on in the near future to stop the FED from repeating the mistakes, particularly
- 11:58of the past few years. And I think there is a possibility, particularly
- 12:03after this next election, and getting Congress to come to some sort of an
- 12:05agreement on that. And there are a few basic things that Congress could do
- 12:11to get the FED back and check. And you know, one of those
- 12:13could be to get the Futteral Reserve out of the mortgage business. Why is
- 12:18our Federal Reserve buying up trillions of dollars worth of mortgages. This has created
- 12:22the worst, partially responsible for the least affordable housing market in our nation's history,
- 12:30not just in the absolute terms of the price of a house, but
- 12:33in terms of what does a typical house cause relative to a typical income.
- 12:37It's never been this bad, not even close. And the Futteral Reserve bears
- 12:41a lot of responsibility for that. And Congress also could tweak the rules by
- 12:46which the Federal Reserve operates. Futter Reserve has a mandate from Congress, very
- 12:50supposedly very simple mandate of stable prices and full employment what's time to actually revise
- 12:58that mandate and tweak it in a way that diminishes the amount of discretion that
- 13:03the FED has to try to micro manage this economy and diminishes the power that
- 13:07the FED has to print dollars at will the finance ongoing federal government operations,
- 13:13Joel. That leads to this question, then, is it should, could,
- 13:20and should Congress limit the ability of the FED to print money? Well?
- 13:26Absolutely. In fact, we've a heritage Foundation over the years drafted numerous
- 13:31proposals of how that could look like. You know. One of those would
- 13:35be to instead of having this stable price regimen, it would be to actually
- 13:39have the Federal Reserve insure that the just ample money suppile. What that means
- 13:45is that we would have the FED look more at what is the overall level
- 13:48of spending India economy each year, and you want that to be increasing at
- 13:52a steady trajectory. And if you would tweak the federal reserve mandate in that
- 13:58way, what you would end up with would be less federal reserve intervention in
- 14:03specific sectors, less federal government or federal reserve financing a government operations, and
- 14:09you would actually allow us to benefit from falling prices in some sectors and productivity
- 14:15increases. You know right now it's the FED is aiming for supposedly two percent
- 14:18overall price growth. You're in a year out. Well, if we're actually
- 14:22becoming more productive as a people, and we are almost each and every year,
- 14:26if you're becoming more productive in a certain sector, that means that the
- 14:31prices in that sector should actually fall. We have been robbed of those productivity
- 14:35games by our central Bank now for decades, and Congress can actually step in
- 14:41with some rules changes of how the FED operates to stop them from robbing us
- 14:46in the future. Joel. A few years ago, Mark or Rubio famously
- 14:50said, we don't need more taxes, we need more tax payers. I
- 14:54feel like former President Trump hit on something when he lows or the tax rate
- 15:01on businesses and corporations. It's not as low as it should be, but
- 15:05he lowered it and he brought money back. There were more people paying into
- 15:09the US tax coffers because they brought businesses and their their their money back into
- 15:15the country in a short, quick, concise way. Is part of the
- 15:20path forward. Doing just that, creating a system where I feel like we
- 15:26have more than enough access to revenues for our country to operate. It's just
- 15:30what we spend money on and reducing that No, exactly right. If you
- 15:33look at revenue tax revenue as the percentage of the economy that has been relatively
- 15:39stable now for many years, around seventeen percent. The reason why we're running
- 15:43such high deficits is that federal spending as a percentage of the economy has skyrocketed
- 15:48from around seventeen percent and now and some year's close to it's thirty percent,
- 15:52and we borrowed the difference. So number one, yes, the problem is
- 15:54not that we don't have enough taxes. The problem is that we actually have
- 15:58too much spending. But second of all, yeah, tax side on businesses.
- 16:00The worst form of taxation is taxation on income and on investments. And
- 16:07that's because capital actually produces more capital. Yep. When you talk about a
- 16:12capital gain, those gains are never are very rarely stored in the volved.
- 16:17Those gains are actually invested into other businesses and that money multiplies. It's why
- 16:22investors actually risk their capital elsewhere instead of locking it aside. And when you
- 16:27tax that capital, that means there's less capital that is going to multiply,
- 16:32and that affects not just a wealthy effects all of us because all of us
- 16:36see our income's increase when are more productive. But if you take away to
- 16:38capital, that's less capital for research development technology, which means even if you're
- 16:44not paying a dime of personal income tax, you're actually going to be worse
- 16:48off because your wages are likely going to be depressed going forward. Joel,
- 16:52I got to have you back because we've got to talk about taxes one day
- 16:56and a better way to tax people in this country or or not. I
- 16:59don't know, but thanks so much for the time this morning. Thanks for
- 17:03having me. Really appreciate it. Thank you. Joel Griffith with the Heritage
- 17:07Foundation, my guest here on the Morning Show with Preston Scott