Latest / Toadstool Sports / THURSDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness & NHL & NBA | 3/19/26

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THURSDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball March Madness & NHL & NBA | 3/19/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues, I've reached into pink.
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins.
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I can possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with few as I always am until I die,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially ended. All
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: these losses stay with me, but they fester. Jerry, what's up, everybody?
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you, toadstool sports. It is Thursday,
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: March nineteenth, the official start of the actual tournament, the
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: first round of the tournament, the NCAA Tournament, one of
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: the biggest days in sports. Horrible day yesterday. One in
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: three probably should have been better than that. Saint Louis
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: was in a close game in hockey. They're tied game
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: towards the end of the game and they lost in
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: overtime shoot out.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: Actually, I think it's what it was.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia got us the one win last night in hockey
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: as an underdog. They went into overtime. They were never
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: losing the game, they were winning two to nothing. Blew it,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: and then they were able to get the win in overtime.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: So obviously we'll take that. That was the right side.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: And then the NBA games, we just got completely caught by.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: Teams that just couldn't miss. I mean, Chicago.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: I guess you could kind of make the argument that
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: they're not putting in enough effort. Houston, dude, the Lakers
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: could not miss at all. The Lakers shot like over
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: sixty percent from the field. They hit almost half of
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: their three pointers.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: Like, what can you.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: Even do about that?
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: It's ridiculous, Houston.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Just looking at the normal statistics in the game, Houston
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: should have won the game, and they had the lead.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: It looked like they were gonna finally take over at
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: the end of the game. Still know they lose the game.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed about that. We're gonna move on it. Today
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do college basketball. I'm gonna have two plays
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: in college basketball, hopefully we can hit those right, and
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: then one hockey play. And I'm skipping NBA, which has
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: been an absolute disaster coming down the stretch here, it's
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: been absolutely horrible. We're gonna hopefully get it all back
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: in the NBA playoffs because my playoffs. NBA playoffs usually
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: go really well for me. I should just completely skip March.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: To be honest, this is two years in a row
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: where March has been an absolute disaster, although last year's
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: was definitely worse, but still, this is ridiculous. We got
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: to turn it around starting tonight or starting today, I
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: guess I should say, because one of the plays is
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: kind of an afternoon play. I don't have anything in
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: the really early games here. Well the games don't starting
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: until afternoon, but East Coast. But you know what else
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: was I gonna say?
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: Oh?
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah, dude, yeah, Miami, Ohio, I mean, yeah, whatever, everybody
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: lifting them up, you know, I mean, they couldn't miss
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: any three pointer they were taking last night.
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: They hit like sixty percent of their threes.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: It's absolutely ridiculous. They hit the most threes that they've
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: hit in a game this year. They got to play
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: in Ohio, their huge crowd was there. SMU lied to
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: the committee about BJ Edwards supposedly being back. He's like
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: their third or second best player. He wasn't back.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: Obviously, he didn't play.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: So they actually lied to the committee so that they
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: could still get into the tournament. Dude, they shod. They
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: should have been out. Auburn should have been in. Then
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: it would have been that matchup in that in that
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: game last night.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: Like okay, let's.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: See who wins. Although I guess they couldn't have done
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: that because Auburn couldn't play Tennessee in the first round.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: But I don't know whatever it is. You know, like
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Auburn should have been in SBU should have been out.
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: Uh, that's pretty clear.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: SMU is just awful. There's such a joke, dude, and
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: again lying to the committee that one of your best
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: players is there when he when he actually isn't. That's awesome.
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: Let's get in to today college basketball.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: Go check out my bracket special that I did last
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: night if you want to see that. I don't know
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: if I'm gonna change anything, to be honest, I think
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: I might just leave it so you can go check
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: that out. Did it last night? Yeah, let's do this
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: college basketball. We'll go in order of all the games.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: I guess the first game up is a really hard
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: game to predict. I think TCU and Ohio State in
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: the eight to nine matchup in Greenville, South Carolina. The
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: winner of this is gonna play Duke, assuming the Duke wins.
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: You know, so no location edge here for this game.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: Both these teams end of the season on a good
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: I would say they ended on a pretty good note,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: although Ohio State, you know, they played tough in their
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: last game against Michigan, so you could make the argument
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit flat coming out of that. TCU
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: kind of similar though, because they almost beat Kansas in
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: the Big Twelve tournament, So similar situations here. Both these
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: teams played really well towards the end of the season.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: They're both teams that I thought were like play on
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: in the tournament, and they're both playing each other right away,
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: so that's awesome. One thing that I will point out
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: in these tournament games is these are new sites that
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: these teams have to go to, so a lot of
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: times you do want to look towards unders maybe in
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: the first half specifically, because the teams have to get
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: used to the new site lines in these venues they're
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: not familiar with, so the shooting might not be there
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: right away. So that's just one general tip. And then
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: the other general tip I think I will say is
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: I do tend to like to fade teams that looked
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: really good at the end of the season, like teams
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: that may have like won their conference tournament that didn't
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: actually need to, that may have overextended themselves a little
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: bit maybe they look a little bit too good, Whereas
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: then I kind of like to play on certain teams
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: that we know are good that had a bad exit
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: from their tournaments in like the first round I'm talking about,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like these teams that have
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: bad exits and conference tournaments actually don't have a good
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: history as far as winning chanchampionships, but they do tend
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: to do well. If they're a good team, they tend
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: to do well in the first game of the tournament.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: That doesn't really apply here, but I'm just you know,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: going over all the general rules here, this is not
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: gonna be one of my plays. This is a really
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: hard game to predict. I have Ohio State in my bracket.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: They're up to two and a half, teetering on three here.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: Money looks like it's slightly on TCU. Fifty eight percent
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: of tickets, sixty two percent of the cash on them.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. You know, they've been one of the They've
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: been like a top twenty twenty something team down the
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: stretch really in the last month or so, although TCU
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: not really that far behind either, Like they've both been
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: big movers up in the Kenbomb rankings. I don't know
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: what else I have to say about this. Really, Ohio
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: State definitely has the better offense here. TCU is the
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: better defense to getting points if you really think that
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: that is the way that you want to look there.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna slightly lean towards Ohio State here, But this
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: one is one of the most hard, one of the
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: most difficult games to predict. For me, I don't really
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: have a good angle on it at all. I think
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: whoever wins this game could actually give Duke a pretty
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: strong effort. And I don't think they're gonna beat Duke,
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: but you know, I think they could give them a
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: decent effort in the next game.
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, all right.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Second game that's gonna start is Troy and Nebraska, which
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: is being played in Oklahoma City. So the location is
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: a little bit better for Nebraska there they won't be
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: playing that far away from home. Nebraska coming back in
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: from playing in Kansas City, so they're staying in the
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: area pretty much where tc on Ohio State.
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: No, you know, no advantage in that, and they.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: Just have to both travel to South Carolina TCU going
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: there from Kansas City. I like, I assume these schools
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: didn't go back home, but who knows, and then Ohio
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: State was in Chicago for their tournament. Anyway, Troy is
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: coming in from I believe Alabama. I mean that's where
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Troy is, but I think their conference tournament, I know
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: the conference tournament was in Pedsicola, I think at whatever
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: it was somewhere close to Alabama. Troy is an interesting
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: team because they don't do anything that badly like, they're
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: a pretty balanced team.
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: They didn't really get tested in.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: The Sun Belt Tournament at all because the best teams
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: got knocked out and Troy wound up having to face
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: two teams that had a lot They played a lot
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: of games in the tournament already, but Troy did step
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: up well in when they faced like better teams. This year.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: They beat San Diego State, I think on the road.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: This year, they almost beat USC which I think might
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: have been in Hawaii or something. And then they killed
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: Akron and the max Sun Belt event that they had there,
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: although that was at Troy, but still those were good
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: results for Troy there. Nebraska, it's an interesting scenario because
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: I think the pressure is going to be on Nebraska
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: because everybody knows they're the only only Power Conference team
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: that hasn't won a tournament game in program history. So
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: I think the pressure will be on Nebraska maybe a
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: little bit too much here. Yeah, I think they're gonna win.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: They should win the game. They're down to thirteen and
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: a half here. Some of the money coming in on Troy,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of tickets, sixty eight percent of the
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: cash on Troy. I would lean to taking the points
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: with Troy. Nebraska. Their defense might win the day here,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: and if that's the case, I am not sure they're
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: really gonna cover this number. I mean, these teams like
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: Nebraska's gonna slow the game down. Troy is not a
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: fast paced team either, and Nebraska focuses more on defense
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: and they don't score that well. They're a bit high
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: variance because they do take a lot of threes, but
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: they have a lot of slow possessions, so even though
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: a high percentage of their shots are three pointers, they
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: don't actually take a ton of shots in general, if
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: that makes sense. So that makes it a little bit
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: more difficult with the style they play to cover a
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: number like that. So I think I would take the
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: points with Troy in that game. South Florida and Louisville
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: in Buffalo, New York, so no real location had there
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: South Florida, having to come up from wherever the hell
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: there tournament was the American I forget where the American
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: tournament even was, somewhere down south I think. And then
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: Louisville coming in from North Caroline, I think is where
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: their tournament was. Louisville. You know, they did exactly what
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: you expected them to do in their conference tournament. They
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: had they beat I think did they beat us in
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: you I forget. They beat a team they were supposed
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: to beat, and then they lost to a team they
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: were supposed to lose to. They lost to I don't
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: even remember, I could look. I guess, let me see. Yeah,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: they beat us MU and then they lost to Miami.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: They played pretty well against Miami, though. I mean this
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Louisville team. You look at a lot of their losses,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: you know, close loss on the road to Clemson, close
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: loss on the road to North Caroline.
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: They got killed by hook on the road.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: But whatever they lost at SMU, I mean unfamiliar venue.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: You know, they had some wins in here. They're pretty good,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: killing NC State, beating Miami on the road. You know,
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: they had a loss at home to Virginia.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: At home to Duke. Those are good teams too.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: So Louisville they beat They basically beat who they're supposed
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: to beat, and they lose to who they're supposed to
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: lose to, you know what I mean. So I actually
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: think Louisville should win this game, although we know the
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: best players out mckel brown Junior is not gonna play
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: the game for Louisville here. But again, Louisville, they've played
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: well against the lesser teams that they played this year.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I know South Florida is probably they're like I think
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: they're the best mid major in the tournament, but like
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: everybody is picking them man, and yeah they ran through
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: the American Yeah, they're an interesting team.
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: They got some.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: Size, They definitely have talent. They play kind of a
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: like Havoc type of style where they play fast and
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: they try to turn you over and get baskets in
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: transition and stuff like that. I don't know if they
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: match up that well against the team is just gonna
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: jack up a ton of threes like Louisville. But then
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: of course Louisville's gonna have to be hitting their shots
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: to win the game, you know, that's always the case
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: with Louisville.
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: They're really hard to predict South Florida.
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: I think they're the most public underdog in the tournament though,
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: at least here in the first round, eighty four percent
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and only eighty two percent of the
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: cash on them, everyone is picking them. So I'm gonna
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: zag that and I'm gonna lean towards Louisville here. If
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play the game, I'd probably lay the
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: points in that one. But that one's not a strong
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: enough opinion for me either, Dirty sock, what's up? Thanks
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: for hanging out all right? Then next game up? After
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: that high point in Wisconsin having to play in Portland, Oregon,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: which is you know, that's it's not an advantageous venue
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: to either team. Although Wisconsin did play in this area
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: of the country this year because the Big Ten spreads
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: across the country. Now, yeah, Wisconsin lost at Oregon. It
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: was kind of a weird spot, But I think the
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: travel will have less of an impact on Wisconsin because
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: they've done it this year. High point coming out of
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: wherever they are, North Carolina or whatever, maybe gonna be
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: a little bit weirder of.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: A travel spot.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Here. High Point. People remember them. They were a trendy
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: underdog pick last year in the tournament. That was their
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: first tournament appearance in program history. They lost and failed
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: to coll Vergance Perdue last year. Now, Wisconsin is not
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: the same type of thing as Purdue. Perdue slows the
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: game down, but they play really good offense. The thing
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: about High Point is they're not very good on defense.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: They play fast. Wisconsin also plays fast, but I still
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: think that's not a good matchup for High Point when
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: they're running into basically a team that does what they
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: do but is better at it, which is pretty much Wisconsin.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin is pretty high variance though that They take a
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: ton of threes, so that's one thing they're gonna need
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: to be hitting their threes to win games. You know,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: I think they should win this game covering. You know,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: maybe it is a different story here. Wisconsin looks like
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: they should get Noah Winter back for this game. He's
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: their big man who missed a couple of games towards
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: the end of the season. One thing I don't like
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: about Wisconsin is their last game they played. They almost
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: beat Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament in the semi finals,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: So when the last time we saw a team that
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: were stepping up in class and playing that well. And
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: you know, Wisconsin did beat Michigan on the road this
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: year too, which is a really really good win. But
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: you know, there is the potential that it could be
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a flat spot for Wisconsin having
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: that being their last game that they played, almost beating
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Michigan again. Michigan again high point has more rest because
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: they won the Big South earlier than that a while back.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: It's an interesting game. I think we're gonna see a
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: lot of points probably in this one, even though you
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: know the money's coming in on the under. And again,
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: a lot of times, the unders are the way to
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: look in these first tournament games because the thing about
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: the first tournament games not only that the venue is
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: new to these team, so they don't have the sight lines.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: You know, they're not used to the sight lines yet.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: But the other thing about it is these teams are
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: coming in off of not having played for a while, right,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: so that can make the offense a little bit rustier.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: So that's another reason why the unders in the first
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: halves are good in these first games. And then the
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: overs can come in a little bit more two days
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: from now, when teams are on a short turn around
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: time and they're a little bit more tired. You know. Uh,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: this game, it's really really difficult to predict. Wisconsin's a
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: ten point favorite. They opened eleven and a half, so
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: it went down a little bit. Fifty two percent of
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty three percent of the cash on Wisconsin. I
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: would slightly lean towards taking the points with high Point,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: but I think it's gonna be a high scoring game,
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: and usually if it's a high scoring game, that means
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: the favorite as more of an ability to cover and
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: at least, you know, come through it potentially win the game.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: I think Wisconsin should win the game at the very least,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: but covering you know, I would actually kind of lean
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: the other way there, high Point. So I don't think
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: they have that many players back from last year's team,
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: So that's the other thing that people are gonna remember.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: Oh they're back, you know, So there's that like experience factor.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: But the coach from last year isn't there anymore. Although
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: he handed the reins over to the next guy in line,
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: some of the personnel is different though the players are
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: a bit different, so it's not really the same high
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: point team. But again, both these teams are very offense oriented,
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: so that's just another thing we got to keep in
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: mind here in this game. Wisconsin is obviously the better team,
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: though they're both similar style teams. So you know, the
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: only reason I would really lean against Wisconsin slightly as
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: far as covering is the fact that they're coming off
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: that Michigan game all right, back in Greenville, South Carolina,
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: Duke gets sort of a home ish advantage.
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: They're not going to lose to Sianna.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: Now. We don't know if Nagungba is going to be
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: back for Duke here. They're big man. We do know
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: that Foster, their guard, is not coming back. Don't know
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: when or if he's gonna come back at all during
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: the tournament, but they may have Nagungba back, and I
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: think it'll be smart for Duke to just get him
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: in this game and play him a little bit in
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: this game, because obviously they could beat Siana without him.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Sianna the winners of the mac Sianna. I mean, they're
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: an alright team, but they they're not going to match
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: up against Duke. Now. Covering might be a different story,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: though you're asking Duke to cover a twenty seven point favorite.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: Here the totals really low in the one thirties, which
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: means it's going to be more difficult to cover a
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: number like this. Sixty percent of ticket, sixty four percent
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Duke.
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Duke.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: You know, really good team, you know, I mean, they're
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the country. We know this.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: They play slow, though, and the question is do they
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: really have that much of an incentive to really blow
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: Sianna out. I don't really see it, you know. I mean,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: it might be a situation where it's like, we got
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: to get healthy, get in, get out, you know what
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, Let's beat this Sianna team, move on, focus
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: on the next game. So I would probably lean towards
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Sianna in that one.
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: But that's probably the game.
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: It's one of the games I'd be the least interested
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: in actually putting money on, though.
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: I just wouldn't want to do it.
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: You know, Duke might build up a big lead and
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: then they might just take their foot off the gas
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: towards the end. But the problem with that, with wanting
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: Sianna to backdoor cover that thing is they don't take
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: a lot of threes whatever, So Sianna doesn't really have
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: like comeback potential. So that's one concern with asking Sianna
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: to cover that. If they do happen to fall behind
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: by that margin, they may not be able to come back,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: although maybe Duke could take their foot off the gas
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: at the end. So that's a sixteen to one matchup
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: high point in Wisconsin was a twelve five South Florida
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Louisville eleven six Troy, Nebraska thirteen to four.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: The next up another twelve to five in the East
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: Region in Oklahoma City, MacNeice and Vandy, the winner of
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: which will play the winner of the Nebraska Troy game.
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: MacNeice people are familiar with them because of Emir Cohn Aura.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: He's back with them after I think he went along
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: with Will Wade to NC State and then probably was
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: like this team sucks going back to MacNeice. I don't know,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: but he's back there now. Everybody remembers MacNeice. Last year
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: they beat Clemson. The problem is Clemson is not Vanderbilt. Clemson.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: They play their slow paced team. MacNeice also kind of
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: wants to go slow and create havoc and turn you
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: over and stuff. MacNeice got the lead in that game
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: and they were able to hold on to it for
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: the win. If they fall behind against a team that
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: plays way better offense like Vandy, Vandy they could shoot, dude,
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: and MacNeice cannot shoot. Clemson not that good at that either,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: So Vandy they're gonna try to run it up tempo,
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: They're gonna score a lot new Vandy does have the lead,
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: MacNeice doesn't really have the ability to come back. And
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: that's kind of the problem I would have with MacNeice Hereandy.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: They did tire themselves out a little bit. I think
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: in the SEC tournament they ran all the way to
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: the final. I wound up losing the finals, So you
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: could argue this a little bit of a hangover effect there.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you could argue the location here's
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit better for MacNeice because they're a Louisiana school,
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: so maybe not that much of an edge there. If
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: MacNeice is able to keep this game close pretty much
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: the whole way, then they could definitely cover I mean,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: by definition, they would cover. The problem is yet, like,
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: will Vandy be able to get a decent lead in
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: the game is really the question here. Vandy's up to
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: a twelve point favorite, sixty two percent of tickets on them,
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the cash on MacNeice though, so
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: the money's indicating on MacNeice. The total is fairly low
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: in the one forties, which kind of indicates that maybe
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: it will be a little bit of a lower screen game.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: I guess I'll agree with taking the points with MacNeice,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: but I don't really have that strong of an opinion
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: on it. Vandy is an undervalued.
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: Five seed.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: They're an under seeded five seed, you know what I mean.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: Like that's the thing, Like they should probably be like
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: a four seed probably. I think they're the best five
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: seed in the field. But MacNeice is also a pretty
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: solid team, so you know, yeah, it's difficult to figure
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: the game out MacNeice. Again, their weakness is shooting, though,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: So it's all gonna depend on whether or not Vandy
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: is able to build a decent enough lead that MacNeice
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: won't be able to come back, you know what I mean.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: All right, then we have a fourteen to three match
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: up North Dakota State and Michigan State. I actually think
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State is the best of the fourteen seeds probably,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: and I think they actually match up okay against Michigan
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: State because North Dakota State they're a balanced team, they're decent,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: they take some threes, they hit threes. You know, they
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: can rebound, okay, and those are Michigan State allows threes,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: so that's you know, the matchup is not the best
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: for Michigan State here, although I do think Michigan State
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: going to come out with intensity here because they did
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: lose in the Big Ten tournament. I gave out a
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: winner on it on UCLA in that tournament game.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Michigan State was coming into that game cold.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: They didn't have a good game, So teams like that
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: usually do play well in the first game of the tournament.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State winning the summit a while ago, we'll
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: have some rest as well, But Michigan State is not
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be tired here either.
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: Michigan State's a sixteen point favorite.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: But the other problem with asking Michigan State to cover
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: a large number like this is they play slow and
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: they're more of a defensive team, so they don't cover
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: big numbers like this as often as they fail to
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: do so sixty four said it tickets sixty three percent
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Michigan State total low in the
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: one forties. I would probably lean towards North Dakota State
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: in that game plus the points. They're kind of a
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: close call, but that's probably the way I would lean.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: That game is in Buffalo, New York. As we get
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: into the afternoon slate of game here, next up will
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: be one best bet that I have here. All Right,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: this one, Uh, dude, nobody likes this one. Like, I
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: haven't heard any professionals say they like this one.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: I've heard absolutely nobody's saying it.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: So I'm on a complete island here playing the team
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: from the islands, Hawaii. You plus fifteen and a half
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: against Arkansas. Now, people have talked about how Hawaii's not
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: going to match up well here because they play ISO defense,
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: which basically means that they they don't double team players like,
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: they don't shift, so it's a lot of like man
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: to man type of stuff. And people are basically saying, well,
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: that means a cuff who's really really good, the best
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: player on Arkansas, he should just kind of shred Hawaii
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: if that's the case. But I don't know, man, I mean,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: Hawaii might change something up for that reason. You never know.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: And Hawaii is a good defense. That's the one thing
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: Hawaii is going for them is they're the better deep.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: They're believe it or not, they're the better deep in
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: this game getting points. So I actually kind of like
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: that this game is in Portland, Oregon, and I actually
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: think the location is gonna benefit Hawaii because Hawaii just
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: played their conference tournament in the Big West in Vegas,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: and you would have to imagine they did not go
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: back to Hawaii, right, because once you win your conference tournament,
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: you know you're gonna play in the NCAA tournament. You
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: know you're going somewhere in the US. So why would
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: you go back to Hawaii, right, You're gonna You're gonna
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: be somewhere on the mainland. So my guess would be
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: the Hawaii stayed in that area and now they're just
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: staying in the same time zone, whereas Arkansas is gonna
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: have to travel in here from Nashville.
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: So the spot's a little bit weird.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Arkansas looked really good in the SEC tournament, ran through
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: the SEC tournament. Really, who do they have to face
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: in the SEC Like I'm not gonna tell you that
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is not good. They are, but I think people
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: are kind of overrating them a little bit right now.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: Even though I know a Cuff is gonna be an
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: NBA player. I know they have cal Powring, super you know,
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: talented team. Yeah, I'm not gonna deny any of that,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: but they beat Vandy. Vandy's good. They looked really good
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: in that game. But Arkansas got to avoid Florida in
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: that tournament and the other games they won, they beat Oklahoma.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: I know Oklahoma almost made the tournament and were hot,
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: but that.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: Was, you know, a close game for Arkansas and that
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: was it. I think that's what they did. And that
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: did they win one more game in the tournam.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: I forget, but yeah, they The best team they beat
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: in the SEC tournament was Vandy, but.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: They won the SEC so they look good.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: I think that's gonna overvalue them a little bit for
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: that reason. That plus the travel spot, plus the fact
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: that Hawaii has the better defense. Now, Hawaii, they have
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: a really good three point defense, although that doesn't come
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: into play that much here because Arkansas doesn't take a
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: ton of threes, but you know, it might still help yeah,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: I mean it seems very, very, very weird, but yeah,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with a Hawaii in this one. Man.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Plus the points, it seems like the markets agreeing with me.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Arkansas down to fifteen and a half year, fifty seven
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them, fifty one percent of the
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: cash on Hawaii, so the money is coming back in
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: on the Hawaii side.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: That's what we're gonna do here.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: Man. Yeah, I don't think I have a whole lot
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: else to say about it, but I think Hawaii, you know,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: definitely one of the it's like one of the teams
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: is being very overlooked in this tournament. I will say,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: so we'll do it. We'll take Hawaii in that one.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: You know, do I think Arkansas is actually gonna lose?
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: Probably not, But also you know, I guess we have
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: to worry the total is a bit high because it's
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: an Arkansas game. They play fast. Hawaii also plays fast,
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: so that's one issue. Like I would like it better
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: if Hawaii slowed the game down, but I.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: Do like the fact they have the better deepfense.
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: But you know, they'll probably run with Arkansas, and that
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: is what Arkansas wants to do. But maybe Arkansas, will
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: you know, run out of gas a little bit or something.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: Hawaii only has one extra day off, but even so,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Hawaii does have a bit of
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: a rest advantage there. All right, the six to eleven matchup,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: as we start the evening slate, here we have North Carolina.
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: And VCU VCU.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: I showed you guys the market read on this last day.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: VCUC was like a very trendy underdog pick here. They
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: won the Atlantic Ten. They did not have to face
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis during that tournament run. Saint Louis did beat
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: them both times. This is a good VCU team, but
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: it seems like absolutely nobody wants in North Carolina. And
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: you know, they're one of those teams that qualifies as
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: being a good team. I would say that had a
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: bad conference tournament. They got knocked out by Clemson. They
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: almost came back and won that game. I told you
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: I did like Clemson and that one. And this game
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: is also in South Carolina, by the way, so I know,
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's not that horrible location for VCU either,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: because they're Virginia team coming in for DC. But you know,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: North Carolina they just played in Charlotte. Now they're just
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: going to South Carolina. It's such a it's a good
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: location for North Carolina. You know, their crowd's gonna show
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: up for this, so I think they will have a
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: crowd advantage here. And again, I think people are just
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: overlooking them because of the Caleb Wilson injury and whatever.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah he's the best player. But I think North Carolina
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: can win this game. I mean, I don't think either
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: one of these teams is gonna be able to get
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: by Illinois, but I'll lean towards North Carolina and this one.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: They're down to two and a half here. The public
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: looks like they are on VCU sixty seven percent of tickets,
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: only sixty five percent of the cash. This is the thing, dude,
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: March Maddiness. You get some public underdogs because everybody wants
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: to pick the next Cinderella, you know what I mean,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Everybody wants to be right about it. Everybody wants to
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: pick the right underdog. Here. Yeah, VCU could win this game.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: I mean it's a small spread. I'm not saying they
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: can't win, but I just think they're one of those
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: public underdogs that's too so I would lean in the
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: other direction in that game. Okay, Howard and Michigan in
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: the sixteen to one game, Howard won the playing game
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: the other night. They looked good in doing so, and
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: I think maybe they looked a little too good.
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: They uh to im prod people.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: I've heard people say Howard is gonna beat Michigan. That's
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: not gonna happen Howard. Yeah, I mean they shredded their
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: bad conference. They were in the MIAC. People think Howard
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: is like, they must be awesome man, because they beat UNBC.
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: You know u NBC, that team that won if you
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: NBC one seven years ago is the sixteen see that
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: means and Howard beat them now, that means Howard must
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: be better than that twenty.
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: Eighteen UNBC team.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: No, that's not how it works, UNBC. That whole conference,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: the American East was awful this year. The MIAC was bad.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Both the both those conferences are really bad. No, Howard
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: is not gonna beat Michigan. This game is in Buffalo, Michigan,
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: will have I mean, that's not that much of a
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: travel spot. Got to go through Canada to get there,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: but it's a decent location in Buffalo, Michigan. You know
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: they're coming off losing in the Big Ten tournament. I mean,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: they made it to the final, didn't have a good
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: game in the final, lone loss as a favorite.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: So people are talking.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: About how Michigan is vulnerable whatever. I don't know. I
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: think Michigan's gonna run away with this game now. The
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: question is do they really need to though, Like again,
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: like with Duke, this is one of those games where
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: you're probably gonna have the game in hand and then
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: you could just kind of start looking ahead to the
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: next game, you know what I mean. So Michigan probably
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: not really incentivized to win by this huge margineer, even
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: though they could. So it's it's a tough call, Howard.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: You know, the advantage that they have is the fact
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: that they played a game already, So when you have
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: a game under your belt, you know you could shed
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: the nerves.
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: You're already kind of used to it.
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: Though, of course Dayton, you know, these teams aren't playing
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: a Dayton now, right, so you have to play in
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: another new venue. But when you play already in the tournament,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: that is a little bit of an edge because you
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of new momentum there. So Howard
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: does have that edge a little bit, but we haven't
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: really seen that matter that much in these sixteen to
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: one games. The money, believe it or not, is coming
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: in on Michigan, Howard fifty three percent of the tickets,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: Cash on Michigan.
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I would actually probably agree with laying
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: the points with Michigan there, but there's no way I
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: would actually do it. The next game up is my
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: last play in college basketball for the day, and we
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: are gonna go with the playing team having the advantage
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: of having already played, and that's gonna be Texas. We're
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: gonna take Texas plus two and a half against BYU.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: This game is in Portland, Oregon, so I know it's
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: not the greatest location for Texas. They're having to travel
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: in for Dayton. BYU hasn't played since Big twelve tournament, though,
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: and they actually played decent in that game against you.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: And if you remember correctly, BYU played close against Houston.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: But you know, I always talk about how that can
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: kind of set up a flat spot when a team's
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: coming off playing really well as a big underdog, And yeah,
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: Houston pulled away at the end of that game, but
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: it was only a seven point final. BYU is still
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: within like four six points in the final couple of
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: minutes of that game. So BYU had a huge effort
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: in that game. Now, yeah, they've had rest to kind
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: of get over that. But I also don't know if
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: res is that helpful to BYU because they play offense.
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: They don't really play defense. They rely on offensive timing.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: They like to try to run the floor, and I
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: think that might be a problem coming off a lot
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: of rest. Texas is gonna try to slow them down.
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: Texas is not a good defense. I know that both
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: these defenses are bad. Texas is even worse, but Texas
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: might slow BYU down and be able to throw them
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: out of what they want to do. Texas plays half
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: court and they get good shots.
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: They're a very.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: Efficient shooting team. Very strange combo for Texas.
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: But if you have they is.
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna be impressed by what Texas did the other night.
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: The ACC is.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: Putting together a horrible showing already in the tournament. NC
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: State looked awful against Texas. SMU looked bad last night.
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: You know, so nobody's gonna like, In fact, people are
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: probably gonna think less of Texas after seeing them play
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: the other night horrible game. They looked awful. You know,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: they won the game barely. They did have the lead
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: for the majority of the game. They almost blew it
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: at the end. People watching that game were like, I
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: was watching it and I was saying, this is terrible basketball.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: It's like the worst game I've ever seen.
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: But I think that means we should be looking towards
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: Texas here because everybody saw them. They looked extremely unimpressive.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: They got the win, they got the game under their belts,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: so now they have some momentum. They got the nerves
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: out of the way. I actually kind of like it, man,
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: And there's a reason why Byu is not favored by
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: that much here. And we know Byu is without Saunders,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: but I think that has more of an effect than
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: any other injury that we've talked about in this tournament,
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: which sounds crazy because he's not there best player, but Byu,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: they're like metrics have fallen way down since he's been
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: out because they turned from like a three headed offensive
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: monster into like a two headed monster where it's easier
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: to defend uh. And I know again, Texas not a
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: good defense, but still BYU, Like, I don't know if
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: those guys could like totally carry the load here. You know,
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: I'm not whoever wins this game. I'm knocking them out
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: in the next round of the turn of the bracket anyway.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna get by Gonzaga. But yeah,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: we'll go with Texas in this one. I picked them
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: in my bracket as well. Uh sixty two tickets fifty
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on BYU. So BYU is
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: a public side. People still like BYU. Again, people don't
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: like these ugly, ugly slow teams like Texas. The public
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: never wants to play them. They like these up tempo
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: scoring teams. Oh yeah, de Bonsa for BYU. He's an
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: elite college player, yeah he is. But again that doesn't
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: carry a team, right Like We've seen other elite players
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: go down like immediately in tournaments, right Like you know,
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: Kevin Durant with Texas, they never did well in the tournament,
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: you know, et cetera. Like stuff like that happens, you
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. Uh, So we're gonna take Texas.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: Speaking of Kevin Durant, we're taking his team Texas plus
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: the points.
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: Reidhearted, what's up?
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Man? No? All right?
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: Next game is uh so that's a six to eleven game.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: There. Next is a ten to seven Texas A and
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: M and Saint Mary's which is gonna be in Oklahoma City.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: So yeah, the location probably does help Texas A and
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: M a little bit, but I still like Saint Mary's
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: in this game. Uh, Saint Mary's. They got more experienced,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: they got the more experienced coach with Randy Bennett, and
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: there they play a style that Texas A and M
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: does not want to run into.
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: They have a new coach this year, Bucky whatever the
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: fuck Fucky. They played Bucky ball Fucky ball, which means, yeah,
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: they play fast, and that's not what Saint Mary's is
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: gonna do. Saint Mary's slows the game way down. They
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: find good shots, and in fact, they've been a very
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: good three point shooting team this year. They rebound pretty well,
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: they play good deepense. Text A and M is actually
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: good on defense, believe or not. They're a pretty balanced team,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: but running into a slow paced team is not what
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: they want to do. Man, Texas A and M was
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: not what they looked like at the beginning of the
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: season when they were leading the SEC, I was telling
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: you they were gonna fall off a bit, and in fact, they.
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: Fell all the way almost out of the tournament.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: Now that might motivate them a little bit, like, hey,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: we gotta get our shit together, we're in the tournament.
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: A and M didn't have a good showing in the
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: Big twelve tournament, But I don't know if I considered
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: them to be like one of those good teams is
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: just gonna bounce back from that, you know what I mean.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's didn't do what they wanted to do in
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: their conference tournament either, right Like they lost to Santa Clara.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: I gave you, guys, Santa Clara as a winner in
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: that game on the show, So you know they might
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: be ready for this to bounce back here in this one,
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: I like the matchup for Saint Mary's here Man and
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: the amount of experience they have.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: A and M seems like they're a bit of a.
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: Some like I don't want to say they're a public underdog,
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: but it seems like more people than not kind of
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: are picking this, you know, picking Texas A and M
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: in this one because I think it's because oh, yeah,
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: texts a and M power conference team.
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: And while a lot of times I.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Do agree with that, like oh yeah, the like if
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: you see like a lower seed, like in like a
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: six eleven whatever like we just saw with Texas and
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: they're actually a power conference team, that is worth a
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: look just in general to pull that like you know,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: seed upset or whatever it would be, you know, an
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: upset on the on the spread as well for Texas there.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: But because you know that you're getting like a battle
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: tested team, you know what I mean, if they're from
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: one of those power conferences. Now, yeah, I know Saint
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: Mary's is not from one of those power conferences, but
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: there's still you know, they have a lot of experience
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: in doing what they're doing here. Other team that has
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of guys that came back to So I
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: think they're one of the more continuous teams I can
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: look real quick. You guys should buy Ken Bomb though
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: only like twenty five a year or something. Uh, they're
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: not as good as I thought. They're one hundred and
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: twenty first and continuity Saint Mary's. But in this day
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: and age, I mean, I don't know that that's not
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: that bad. Fifty five percent of tickets seventy two percent
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: of cash on Saint Mary's.
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: That's the amount of like returning minutes.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: That they got did they have on their team this
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: year from like the previous year and years past. The
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with me on Saint Mary's. There, that
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: is the way I would look laying points, you know,
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: with the slow paced team, you know, a little bit iffy,
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: But I tried to do it last year and loss.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: If you guys remember Saint Mary's against Vandy last year,
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: But Saint Mary's did something I didn't think they'd be
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: able to do. They came back from a huge deficit
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: in that game, didn't cover, but they actually won the
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: game somehow. And this matchup seems similar to that, right,
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: Like they're facing a fast paced SEC team that is,
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: you know, in a position they haven't really exactly been
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: in before. I know you might be saying, what are
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: you talking about? Been in the tournament the last couple
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: of years. I know, but that was with a different coach,
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: a completely different system, where A and M played a
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: slow style. So this is like almost you could consider
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: this to be basically a new team. So this does
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: remind me of that Vandy Saint Mary's game where Saint
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Mary's was also that was a seven to ten game
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: as well. I think Saint Mary's might have been the ten,
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: though I forget.
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: Maybe they were the seven. I forget either way.
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not gonna be a play for me this time,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: but I agree with Saint Mary's in that one. All right.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Penn and Illinois, I mean this is ridiculous. Illinois is
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: an elite team and Penn like shouldn't even be in
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: the tournament. Man. I know Penn was able to get
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: those miracle threes from TJ Power to beat Yale. There,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: it seems like Power might actually not even play in
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: this game today. It seems like he's injured, so I
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: don't even know if he's gonna play. And Penn is
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: already without one of their other best players. So needless
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: to say, I do not like Penn in this game.
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: I think they're actually probably overseate. To be honest, like
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: I they're significantly worse than Yale doing. I know Yale
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: looked bad in the in the NIT, they were in
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: a bad spot. I mean, Yale wanted to be in
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: this tournament. They should have been. I don't think Penn
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: has a shot in this game. Illinois is up to
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: a twenty five and a half point favorite here, fifty
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets on Penn, fifty nine percent of
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: the cash on Illinois. It is a huge number, though,
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: you know, i'd lean towards laying it with Illinois. I
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: can't quite get there with it, but Penn. You know,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: they're coming up that miracle win against Yale. They're just
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: happy to be here, which I guess means they can
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: play loose. But Illinois is coming off not a great
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: performance against Wisconsin and the Big Ten Tournament, losing as
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: a favorite there. So Illinois might be one of those
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: teams that I do consider to be a very good
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: team that could bounce back from kind of an earlyish
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: conference tournament exit. A lot of times you'll see those
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: teams do that. Location Wise, this game is in South Carolina,
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: so that doesn't really help either team necessarily, But yeah,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: I kind of like Illinois and that one. Illinois will
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: be coming in coming in from Chicago there. Saint Mary's,
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: by the way, coming into their game in Oklahoma City
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: from Vegas. A and M had just been in Nashville
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: prior to that. Yeah, and then BYU is having to
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: go to Portland from Kansas City, by the way, so
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: you know, in Texas having to come in from Dayton.
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: So I mean the travel spot in that one's a
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: little bit odd as well. Uh you know, Michigan, by
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: the way, I forgot to mention, they were in Chicago
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: for the Big Ten tournament and now they're going to
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: Buffalo and Howard is coming in from Dayton in that game.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: Has I already mentioned? All right, Kyle, what's up man?
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. All right? The nine to eight
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: matchup for the right to play Michigan is going to
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: be Saint Louis and Georgia. Georgia being the eighth seed.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: This game is in Buffalo, so that's I would no,
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: I would say, that's not really that helpful. And I
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: keep saying DC, by the way, for these eight en teams,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: that's not right.
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: They were in Pittsburgh.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: So VCU is going down to South Carolina from Pittsburgh
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: my mistake. Now that's interesting though, because if Saint Louis
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: stayed in the Pittsburgh area, that is a really quick
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: travel leg from Pittsburgh to Buffalo, you know what I mean.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: And Georgia is coming in from Nashville whatever. Now, Georgia,
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: you know, they didn't look that good in the SEC tournament.
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: They lost to Ole Miss. I believe in their run
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: in the tournament there. Georgia, the thing about them is
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: they go super fast and they don't play defense, eighty
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: fourth in defense, and that's where Saint Louis does have
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: an edge here, even though kenbom as Saint Louis a
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: little bit worse than them now because they fell off
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: a cliff towards the end of the season. Georgia is
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: the better offense, There's no question about that. Both teams
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: go super fast. Both teams are pretty lucky according to
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: ken Bum with Saint Louis being more lucky though, But
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis has the better deepfense, dude, and they're the
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: better defense getting points here. They're fortieth in deepfense compared
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: to Georgia eighty fourth, So there is a pretty significant
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: defensive difference there with Saint Louis. I think in this case,
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: the public might kind of be eyeing the SEC team
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: here and liking that super, you know, fast paced scoring
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: team like Georgia. Here Saint Louis, you know, they look
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: so bad down the stretch. I think people won't want them.
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: They might be another one of those teams that kind
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: of qualifies as, hey, this is a good team, and
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: they didn't really look that good in their conference tournament,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean.
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: They haven't looked good.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: For a while now, but some of their losses are
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: explainable because they were in like bad spots and whatever.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: I think they just kind of hit a lull. They
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: might be able to turn it on again and use
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: this tournament setting as a reset, you know, Like they
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: were supposed to be like a five six seed potentially
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: in the tournament for a while. Now they're falling all
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: the way down to a nine seed. I'm they have
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: the ability to turn it back on Manute and become
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: what they were early in the season. Fifty ticket, sixty
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Saint Louis. I'll lean
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: to taking the points with Saint Louis in that one,
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: but you know, I don't really have that strong of
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: an opinion on it though, So that's just a lean.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Everything else here are just leans. The three fourteen matchup
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: in the West Region Gonzaga on Kennisau State. I saw
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: this matchup and I was like, man, Gonzaga got such
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: a good match up here because Kenasau likes to go
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: fast and Gonzaga likes to go fast. It's basically all
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: offense here, but Gonzaga actually plays defense too, and Kennasau doesn't.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: I don't see Kennisaw having a shot in this game
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: at all. I saw this draw and I'm like, Yeah,
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga got a really good draw here. Like, I think
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: they have a really good shot to make the Sweet sixteen,
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: even though I'm not that high on them. They look
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna be without Braydon huff Still, who is
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: one of their best players. They have been playing without
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: him for a long time, but obviously if he comes
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: back it'll help them.
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: They're not gonna need him in this game though.
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: Uh. The game's in Portland, Oregon, too, which is very
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: advantageous to Gonzaga. Their crowd can come in from Washington,
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: you know. Uh, Kennesaw is a Georgia team. Havnna go
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: all the way out there. Like, there were just so
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: many advantages to Gonzaga in this one man. Gonzaga won
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: the West Coast Conference again, but they do that every year,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: so they're not gonna be like totally hyped up by that.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: I don't think or whatever they're you know, they just
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: last played in Vegas, so they're staying in the Pacific
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: time zone. Kennesaw just last played in I don't know
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: wherever the hell.
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: Their conference tournament was Conference USA. It was in some weird.
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: Place and I think that one was in Alabama. I think.
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: Whatever it was. Oh yeah, I am and uh that's
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: what I should have remembered.
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: South Florida played in Birmingham, Alabama for their tournament. Anyway,
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: I would lay the points with Gonzaga here. Man, it's
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: a bad matchup for Kennesaw. I mean, they weren't the
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: best team in their own conference. They're a super fast
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: paced team. Now they run into a fast paced team
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: that just does it way better than they do and
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: actually plays defense. Yeah, I don't think Kennisaw has a chance.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga twenty one point favorite, up from eighteen and a half,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: so the money has come in on that side. If
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: you want Gonzaga, you have lost a little bit of
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: value there. Though fifty two percent of the tickets are
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: on Kenansaw, sixty six percent of the cash on Gonzaga.
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: Though the money coming in on Gonzaga in that one,
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: and then to finish it off number, it's a fifteen
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: to two game between Idaho and Houston in Oklahoma City, Houston.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: You know, they get to play not that far away
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: really from Houston, coming in from Kansas City.
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: It's a decent location for Houston.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: Idaho won the Big Sky, they got to come in
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: here from playing in Boise, Idaho. A little bit of
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: a weird travel spot there. Houston, though, they could be
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: in a bit of a flat spot here, man, because
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: they ran all the way to the Big twelve championship
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: and came pretty close against Arizona in that game. So
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: Houston's coming up a huge game against Arizona, So I
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: could see them being a little bit flat coming into
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: this game. And Houston plays slow, remember they're slow, defense
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: oriented team and asking them to cover a big number
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: like this with a really low total in the one thirties.
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: Is where this total is at? And where are they
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: at Houston? Yeah, one thirty eight. I would take the
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: points with the Idaho in this one. Houston up to
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: minus twenty three and a half, eighty one percent of
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, only seventy eight percent of the cash
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: Idaho I think they're a bit overlooked. I mean, they're
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: not that bad. They're one of the top, like four
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: teams I believe in in the Big Sky. Even though
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: they got the seventh seed in that tournament, don't be
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: fooled by that, because they're one of the better defenses
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: in that conference. They're not a bad team. In a
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: slow paced game. I think they can hang around at
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: least within this huge number. You know, I'm not gonna
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: say they're gonna be close to winning the game or anything,
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: but I would take the points in that one if
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: I was gonna do it.
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: Plus Houston being in a bit of.
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: A flat spot, you know, out of the games here
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: that I didn't put on my card.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: You know, I'm gonna be honest.
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: I think that one actually might be next to be honest,
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: Idaho plus the points because again Houston, I don't love
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: the spot there for them. All right, And that's that's
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: it for the college basketball. Man. We're gonna go to NHL.
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a break real quick here. We have
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: way too much NHL to talk about, and then NBA.
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: There isn't much NBA. I'm completely skipping NBA. I have
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: one NHL play for you here. If you know how
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: I handicap, you probably already know what it is. But
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: I'll be right back. All right, let's see NHL here.
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: Let's go oops, all right, first game up, it's all
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: evening games here Winnipeg at my Boston Bruins. Winnipeg. They're
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: coming off losing to Nashville. You know, not a great
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: performance from them there day off. Here they're starting a
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: road trip. You know, I talked about this. When teams
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: start road trips, a lot of times they will be
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: focused to start the road trips. So I think it's
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: an okay spot for Winnipeg. Here for the Bruins, I
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot. They're returning home from a road trip,
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: so you know I talk about this one. Teams would
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: turned on from road trips. I don't think it's the
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: greatest spot. It was a shorter road trip where they
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: stayed in the Eastern time zone though only a three
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: game road trip, so it's not the worst.
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: But still you.
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: Gotta get back to home life. Whatever. They're coming off
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: a big game against their rival Montreal where they fell
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: short in overtime, and they have a big game against
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Detroit on deck which is Saturday on ABC, So a
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: little bit sandwiche here. I mean, this one isn't on
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: my card, but close. I would say the money's coming
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: in on the Bruins, and I don't agree with that.
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: I don't understand that at all. I like Winnipeg in
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: this one. Bruins down for minus one forty five to
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty six, sixty eight percent of tickets, ninety
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on them. That doesn't make
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: any sense to me. You know, everything that I do
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: as far as situational handicapping would put me on Winnipeg
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: in that one, and that one close to making my card.
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: Islanders at Ottawa, Islanders just Toronto, I mean whatever, Toronto
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: not having a good season. You know, they have momentum
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: at least coming into this or a decently rested team potential.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: They look ahead to Montreal because Montreal is having a
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: good season. Ottawa is coming up a pretty ugly loss
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: to Washington, but they did that yesterday, so they are
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: on a back to back here. But they did have
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: two days off prior to yesterday, so they're not gonna
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: be totally unrested. I don't think tough call in this one.
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: I don't like the game at all.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: Money coming in on the Islanders Autowa down for minus
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: one forty five to minus one thirty seventy eight percent
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety percent of the cash coming into the Islanders.
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: I slightly lean towards Ottawa even though they are on
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: the back to back here. I think there's still rested enough.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: You got to keep in mind though Omar played yesterday,
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: so it won't be him a net. It's gonna be
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: rhyme or although he actually was good in the last game,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: and I would say he's been good recently. Do They
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: won his last two starts, and the start before that
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: was a fourth re lost to Carolina.
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: Like, I'm not really gonna blame.
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: Him for that. For some reason, they keep throwing him
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: in these Carolina games, I don't know.
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: So I don't think it's that bad for Ottawa there.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: If he plays Montreal at Detroit, Montreal just beat the Bruins.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: Good win for Montreal there, rivalry win. But they're not
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Detroit. I wouldn't imagine Detroit's having a good season.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: Detroit just be Calgary. I don't think they're gonna overlook
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: this game either, So I think you will get focused
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: out of both teams here. Detroit is staying at home
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: with more time off, so they do have a little
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: bit of an advantage in that regard. Montreal looks like
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: they're getting the money sort of right now. Fifty tickets,
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the cash on them, no line movement.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: Montreal at minus won ten there. This one, Yeah, really
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: really tough call here. Montreal has been good on the road.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: They're eighteen to seven and eight on the road. Detroit
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: good at home, nineteen eleven and three at home. Yeah,
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: both teams. Good stuff from both teams, and now it's
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: a very very difficult call. I think I would slightly
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: need to Detroit better travel and rest spot there, but
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: no strong opinion there.
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: Rangers at Columbus Rangers.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: You know, the good thing for them is they get
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: to play on the road here, but they aren't a
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: back to back. They lost horribly last night at home
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: to New Jersey.
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: What else is new?
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: The Rangers lost at home again to the Devils. Having
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: to deal with that. I won't play the David Putty
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: thing again, but I did play the Seinfeld scene there
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: with them at the Rangers Devil's game there. Bad bad
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: performance from the Rangers. It's a back to back, having
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: to travel to Columbus, very strange spot. But maybe they
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: will try to bounce back because that loss was just
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: so ugly last night. Columbus. They just killed Carolina on Tuesday.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: Now they're staying at home, but they might just be
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: kind of basking in that win. That was such a
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: good win over Carolina. I like the range in this game, man,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: even though they're on the back to back. That's the
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: only way I would play this game Columbus. This is
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: how bad it is for the Rangers. Now Columbus is
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: minus two twenty Oh my god, ninety five percent of tickets,
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the cash on Columbus. I would
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: go like Rangers puck line in this one. Man. I
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: just I hesitate just because of travel from New York
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: to Columbus with no time off is a little bit weird.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: But the Rangers are way better on the road. I
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: think they're in a bounced back spot. Columbus in a
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: letdown spot, and you will get Shasterkin and Thatt. I'm
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: pretty sure for the Rangers. I'm pretty sure Quick played
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: last night, so you will get their better goalie here
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Rangers nineteen fifteen and two on the road, not that bad.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: Columbus pretty good at home though, eighteen eight and seven
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: at home. So you know that one's not on my car,
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: but that one actually is close to being on my
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: card as well. Chicago at Minnesota on Hulu. These two
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: teams just play in Chicago lost at home in overtime.
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, so Chicago might take or excuse me,
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: Minnesota might take Chicago more seriously now that Minnesota just
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: lost their excuse me, just almost lost to Chicago, they
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: might take them more seriously. But Chicago lost at home.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: You know they're not going to overlook Minnesota. Hear, even
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: though they do have Colorado next. Minnesota actually might have
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: more of a tendency to overlook the game because they
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: did wind up getting the win, and they do have
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Dallas up next, so the zig Zag could potentially still.
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: Put, you know, lean towards Chicago in this one.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: Man. Even though initially I was like, well, Minnesota will
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: take them seriously because they almost lost to them, but
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: with Dallas on deck for them, maybe not. In the
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: fact that Minnesota did win the game on the road,
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll think, hey, this will be easy we'll beat
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: them again at home. Minnesota down for minus two to
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: fifty to minus two twenty eight, ninety four percent of tickets,
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on them, So the
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: public on Minnesota to lessen the money on them. I
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: agree with Chicago in that one. On the puck line,
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: I guess is what it would be. But that one
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: doesn't make my card. This next game is the one
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: that does. This is the last play I'm giving out
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: on the show. We're gonna take the Seattle kracking on
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: the money line here against Nashville. I think this is
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Nashville. They're returning home from a
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: road trip. And you know, I talk about it every
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: day pretty much when a team's returning home from a
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: road trip. This one, they've been on the road since
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: March seventh. They had to go all the way up
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: to the basically the Pacific Northwest. Yeah they did, including
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: by the way, beating Seattle in Seattle. So this is
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: a quick road revenge angle for Seattle as well. Now
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Nashville's returning home from all that. And again, when you
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: return home, you might overlook your opponent, and especially if
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: you just beat them on the road trip, got to
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: get back to home life. Whatever Nashville is, Vegas on deck.
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: Vegas is a better team, that'see. They might be looking
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: ahead to that. Meanwhile, Seattle is starting a road trip
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: and coming off of pretty pretty ugly loss. I would say,
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: even though it was to Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is good,
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: but Seattle losing six to two at home. I think
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be happy to just leave home, go out
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: on the road, focus on hockey, you know what I mean.
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: This is another one of those spots where you have
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: a team starting a road trip against the team returning
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip. Plus it's road revenge in
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: the mix there. Plus Nashville has the look ahead here.
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: I like Seattle. I think it's a bounce back spot.
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: I think they will have Decord back in net because
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: Grubauer played their last game. Decord. You know, things haven't
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: been good for Seattle at all recently, but he is
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: still their better goalie. So that's what we're doing. We're
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: going with Seattle. The money seems like it's agreeing with
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: me here. Nashville down minus one thirty five to minus
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: one thirty two, fifty percent of tickets, ninety nine percent
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Seattle, so the money seems like
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: it's agreeing with me on Seattle. That is the way
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: we're going there.
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: Then we have.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: Florida and Edmonton in the Stanley Cup re rematch here
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: or whatever you want to call it. Edmonton beat Florida
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: during the regular season already, so they did get a
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: little bit of revenge. But you know, they're still gonna
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: show up for a game against Florida. I think Florida
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: will show up as well. Though. Florida off two ugly
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: losses on the road trip here, including getting smacked by
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: Vancouver that is not a good loss at all, losing
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: five to two. I think maybe they were looking ahead
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: to Edmonton here. Edmonton, you know, I think they might
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: have been looking ahead to this too in the last game,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: but they still won against San Jose. Big game for
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: both teams. Difficult read in this one, Edmonton, the money
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: is coming in their way up from minus one forty
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: five to minus one fifty seven, eighty percent of the tickets,
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the cash on Edmonton. I actually
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: slightly leaned towards Florida because they're coming off of an
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: uglier loss and they did lose to Edmonton the only
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: time they played this year, so they might be looking
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: for the more recent revenge. I don't know how much
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: that really matters. Revenge definitely could be over used, you
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. And Edmonton still wants to beat Florida,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: right because you can't even really get revenge for losing
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: back to back Stanley Cup finals, you know, like you'd
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: have to beat them twice in the Stanley Cup Finals
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: to get revenge for that. So Edmonton is still going
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: to show up too. Tampa Bay at Vancouver Vancouver coming
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: up that nice win over Florida. Like I said, Tampa
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: Bay just crush Seattle. They do have Edmonton on decks,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: so it's possible Tampa Bay looks right past Vancouver here. Vancouver,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: though again coming up that big win over Florida, might
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: be in a little bit of a letdown mode here
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: because that was a big win. But they're not gonna
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: overlook Tampa Bay. There is the possibility Tampa does look
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: past this game. Tampa Bay up for minus two eighty
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: five to minus two ninety one, ninety five percent of
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: the tickets, only ninety two percent of the cash. Tampa
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: Bay is a public very heavy road favorite. I would
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards Vancouver around like a puck line there,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it. Then, the second game in
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: the Huluit doubleheader is Utah at Vegas. Utah having a
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: decent season.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: You know, they just beat.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: Dallas six to three on the road, so for Utah
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: they could be in a letdown spot after that. But
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: that did break a losing streak for them, so sometimes
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: when you break a losing streak, you will carry that momentum.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: They've had a couple of days off.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Vegas, but beating Dallas
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: is huge for Utah. For Vegas, they just got shut
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: out at home by Buffalo, so they should be in
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot. They have one fewer day off,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: but they're staying at home off a pretty ugly shutout loss.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: Buffalo's pretty good now. The one thing is, though that
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: was a close game. It was a one nothing game.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: Later I think there was an empty net goal in
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: that game, so Vegas did almost beat Buffalo. But even so,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: I think I would still lean to Vegas in this game.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: The money's not agreeing with me though. Vegas down for
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: minus one forty five to minus one thirty sixty percent
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on Utah.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: So the money is saying utah. But I slightly disagree.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: Buffalo at San Jose, Buffalo, Like I said, they did
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: just get that shutout win at Vegas. That was a
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: good win for Buffalo. Now they go to go to
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: San Jose. They did just beat San Jose at home
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: not that long ago, six to three, so they might
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: not totally take San Jose seriously here, although they only
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: have La on deck. San Jose returning home from a
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: road trip though, so that's a problem. They did lose
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: to Buffalo to start the road trip, so maybe they
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: won't overlook Buffalo here.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: Plus Buffalo having a good season.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: But still you got to take into account the fact
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: that San Jose went all the way to the East
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: coast Eastern Canada, then came back and played Edmonton in
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: their last game, and now they're returning home from all that.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: They've been away for more than a week. So you know,
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: a lot of times it's a bad spot when teams
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: are turning on from road trips, long road trips especially,
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: they could be at a disadvantage. They get a little
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: bit distracted that game. By the way, they were within
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: one goal in the middle of the third period in
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: that game against Edmonton, So I can't get on board
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: with San Jose in that game.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in that way.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is at minus one forty five sixty seven percent
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: of tickets on them, seventy one percent of the cash
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: on San Jose, so big big ticket versus cash disparity
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: in the market there, But there's no way it could
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: come in on San Jose in that return home spot.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: I just can't do that.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: In fact, I might even lean in the other direction
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: towards Buffalo, to be honest, because that's just such a
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: bad spot typically in these daily sports.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: And then we have.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia at LA. Philadelphia the only winner that we had
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: last night on the show one in overtime. And now
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: they're on a back to back, but they're only going
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: from Anaheim to LA and they had three days off
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: prior to the Anaheim game, so they shouldn't be that unrested,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: but it will.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: It looks like it will be the case.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: They're gonna go to Earsen in net here though, though
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: they actually won his last couple of games, so maybe
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: that's not that bad of a thing. I don't like
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia's goaltending in general. LA coming into this game beating
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: the Rangers and returning home from a road trip, and
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: you know that's not good. They've been on the road
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: since March ninth. They went out to the East Coast.
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: Now they're flying cross country. They do have two days off,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: but a lot of times you'll get distracted in that
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: return home spot. I think they're gonna be potentially even
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to Buffalo because Buffalo has been a better
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: team than Philadelphia. So even though Philadelphia is on the
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: back to back, I like Philadelphia in this game, LA,
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: as you know because I talk about it all the time.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: They're not very good at home either, ten, fifteen and
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: seven at home, very very bad. Philly not bad on
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: the roads seventeen, twelve and four. That's not horrible, So yeah,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: the home road splits. Definitely favorite Philadelphia here as well. Philadelphia,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: even though they're on the back to back, like I said,
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: they're rested and they're already in the Western or Pacific
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: time zone. They're only traveling like thirty miles up the
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: road or whatever. So I don't know why the money's
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: on LA here. They're up to minus one seventy fifty
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: fifty on the tickets, nine to nine percent of the
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: cash on LA. Some of it might be because of
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: the back to back that Phillies in, but the spot
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: is awful for LA. I like Philadelphia in that game.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: Won't put it on my card, but that's the way
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: that I lean there. Then we got NBA before I
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: get out of here. We have I don't know about
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: nine NBA games here. Maybe NBA TV has the first
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: game up Orlando and Charlotte Orlando coming off a pretty
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: close call against the Thunder in their last game, so
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: they could potentially be in a hangover spot here. They're
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: playing a fourth game in six days, all in different cities.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: That's not easy to do. Only lost by five at
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: home to the Thunder, and I think it was a
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: pretty close game at the end of it, so could
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a hangover there. Charlotte is coming
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: up a very satisfying blowout win over Miami, though Miami
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: did not have Bam out of bio in that game,
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: but even so, Charlotte just destroyed them and now they're
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: staying at home, maybe feeling a bit high on themselves.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Tough call in this game. The money's coming in towards
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: the Magic. For what that's worth, the Hornets are five
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: and a half seventy three percent of tickets, only fifty
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on the Hornets. There's no
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: way I could I could play Orlando, though, after that
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: game against the Thunder where they played pretty well, Wagner
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: looks like he's on the verge of coming back from Orlando.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: But it won't be tonight, not yet. The market reed
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: is saying Orlando. I don't have really an opinion one
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: way or the other. There Detroit at Washington, this game
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: just was played. They're playing each other again here and
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: now Detroit they were like nineteen point favorites at Washington
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: and they only won by thirteen the last time. And
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: now you'll notice Detroit is only a fourteen and a
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: half way only a fourteen and a half way favorite
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: this time, seventy two percent of tickets, seventy nine percent
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. That's because Cad Cunningham is
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: being rested for this game. So that's why the line
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: is different in this game. Just keep that in mind. Still,
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: Detroit might not take Washington seriously after beating them in
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: the last game. They got Golden State LA on deck
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, so those are bigger games. I'd probably lean
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Washington here. Maybe they'll show
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: some form of effort, which I think they really kind
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: of did in their last game and it still wasn't
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: good enough.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: But we'll see.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: You're getting less value now though, because Cunningham is out.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: But I'm not looking to lay the points in that one.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: Lakers at Miami. The Lakers got another win over Houston
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: last night. I'm pissed about it the Lakers again. It
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: was a misleading result again in the final there because
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: the Lakers couldn't miss Man, they shot sixty percent from
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: the field, like fifty percent from three, absolutely ridiculous. Probably
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: not gonna happen again here. They're playing a fourth game
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: in six days, not all in different cities because the
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: last two were in Houston, but still now having to
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: go to Miami with no time off. I don't like
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: the spot here for the for the Lakers. Miami coming
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: off that blowout lost to Charlotte without out of BYO.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: Of course, they're back home here now after the one
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: game on the road there out of BUYO game time
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: decision tonight. He's probable, so he's going to play. I
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: think they just rested him pretty much in their last game.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: I like the heat in this game, man, the Lakers.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: I'm still not buying it. Heat up to three and
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: a half. This is one of the better. This is
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: probably the strongest lean in the NBA today, To be honest,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with the heat plus at least,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: you know, it's more of a clean handicap, right because
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: these two teams are still fighting for playoff positioning and whatever,
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: so you know you're gonna get effort, Like you don't
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: have to worry about these teams not putting in effort,
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Sixty percent of tickets, eighty
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on the heat. But I
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: mean we're still trying to find teams that might not
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: put in as big of an effort though, you know
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: what I mean, And that might be the Lakers here
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: after those huge Western Conference wins. So yeah, I like
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: the heat in that one for sure. My strongest opinion
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: probably of the NBA board here Cleveland at Chicago. Cleveland
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: beat Milwaukee a couple of nights ago. Don't know if
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: Jannis was in that game or not, but it was
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: only a seven point win. Now they're going to Chicago.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: Chicago really let us down on the show last night.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: But Toronto was another team that really couldn't miss last night. Man,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed about it. The money actually wanted to agree
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: with me on that game. Didn't matter. Chicago now want
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: to back to back after that. But they are staying
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: at home and they did get blown out in that game.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: So I mean, maybe they'll put in an effort against
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: a team like Cleveland. I don't know, man, I wouldn't
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: want to lay it. Probably Cleveland minus thirteen. But the
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is coming in on Cleveland sixty
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: on them.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: I'm staying away, of course. I don't love any of it.
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: Really. Clippers are at New Orleans. This is a spot
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: that you know where they're playing a second game in
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: a row here. This game just happened, and I told
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: I liked the Pelicans. That was last night. The Pelicans
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: won by fifteen. Very nice to win for the Pelicans.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: But remember the Clippers are coming up a huge game
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: against San Antonio. So now that they lost to New Orleans,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: the Clippers might flip it around and flip the script
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: and zigzag this one, man, because when you have the
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: better team basically losing the game a lot of times,
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: you do want to look to them to bounce back.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: And I believe well, I thought Kawhi Leonard wasn't gonna
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: play in that game, but I guess he did.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if he's playing in this game
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: or not. It looks like he is. He's not even
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: listed as.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: Injured now, so I think we will get Kawhi Leonard
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: in this one. But Tom didn't play yesterday.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know if.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna play tonight or not.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much that matters, really, But New
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: Orleans is around the same size favorite here one and
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: a half. They were a two point favorite in the
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: last game, which again it does look weird that the
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: Pelicans are a favorite like that. So that's why I
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: said another reason to like the Pelicans in the first
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: game last night was it was a very fishy line there,
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: like why would the Pelicans be favored fishy because that's
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: what pelicans eat? Man. But now I would zigzag at
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: this time, man, even though it does look like a
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: fishy line again. You'll see, Well, the Pelicans won last night,
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: so they could do it again, right, I don't.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: Think that's the case.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: I look the Clippers this time, to take them more
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: seriously this time. Sixty seven percent of tickets on the Pelicans,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the cash on the Clippers. I
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: would lean to the Clippers there. Phoenix at San Antonio.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: Pretty good game, Phoenix, you know, having a decent season here.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: San Antonio very good though, Phoenix coming off a couple losses.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: This is like weird travel for them.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: Member, they had to go to Boston, then Minnesota with
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: no time off.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: They lost both those games.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: Now they're traveling with one day off, going to San Antonio,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, all in different cities.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're gonna get up for a.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: Game against San Antonio, but it's a weird travel spot. Man.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: San Antonio is returning from the Pacific coast, though, they're
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: playing a third game at four days as well in
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: different cities. And you know they're coming out of an
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: easy game against Sacramento. They're gonna have to step it
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: up for this game against the Suns. Spurs are ten
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: point favored here. Their public. Of course, eighty one percent
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, only sixty eight percent of the cash,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: So it looks like the money is kind of leaning
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: towards the Suns in this one. I'm not gonna disagree
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: with it. I don't have a strong opinion on the game.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: The market is saying Sons, So do with that information
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: what you want. Dyan Brook's still out for the Suns,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: by the way, it looks like he'll be out for
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: a couple more games there, so somebody to keep in mind.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee at Utah. Milwaukee just lost to Cleveland. Now, if
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: I remember correctly, Yannis didn't play in that game. Am
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: I right about that? I think I am. So. Milwaukee
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: had a decent seven point loss at home without Yannis.
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: I believe Janis is not going to be back for
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: this game. I think he remains out here. Let me see. Yeah,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: he's out until the twenty eighth according to this. But
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: it looks like Utah. I mean, we know they have
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: injury issues, but Markannon, who's one of the best players,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: I think he's probably not playing tonight, even though he's
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: listed as a game time decision.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna play.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's played for a while in fact,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: so so I think we're gonna have no Yannison, no
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: marketing in this game. So somebody to keep in mind.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee coming off a decent performance though against Cleveland, so
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: they could be in a bit of a hangover spot
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: after that, even though a lot of times you will
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: show up focused in your first game of a road
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: trip usually, but Milwaukee just beat Utah by double digits
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: at home. They got Phoenix on deck, who they lost
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: to at home after that not that long ago, so
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: they might be looking ahead to Phoenix, Phoenix the better
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: team anyway, and coming up that big game against Cleveland
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: where they stepped it up without Yannis. First game without
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: Yannis in a while now this is his second game
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: out going into elevation. I don't like how it sets
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: up for Milwaukee, man, I don't I like Utah here
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: Utah as we're turning on from a road trip, so
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: I don't love that. Although it was less than a week,
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: but they did go to the Pacific Coast then Minnesota.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: They got absolutely drilled by Minnesota in their most recent
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: game though, So maybe they will show you something you know,
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: and you know, kind of a quick revenge spot, if
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: you want to call it that adjustment spot. I like
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: the Jazz here, but the market is really hard to
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: read because the Bucks flip from a two point dodge
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: to a five and a half way favorite. I think
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: probably because of the marketing injury news. I don't really know.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: Fifty seven percent of tickets, fifty six percent of the
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: cash on the Jazz, so the public looks like they're
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: on the Jazz. I don't really even buy that. Why
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: would the public be on the Jazz. I don't understand that.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: I think I would take the extra value there and
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: take the points with Utah on that one. And then
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: we have Philadelphia at Sacramento. Of course, we know Philadelphia
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: playing basically without a team right now. They just got
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: killed in Denver.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: Maybe they this.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: Will be easier at least going to Sacramento, so maybe
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: they will bounce back. Sacramento just got killed at home
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: by San Antonio. How much effort are you gonna get
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: out of Sacramento here? That's what you have to try
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: to gauge, because they're a very injured team as well.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: They're playing out the stretch basically without all their best players.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what we're gonna get in this game
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: at all.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: Sixers are three point favorite here, fifty five percent of
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them, ninety two percent of the cash
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Kings. So the money is coming
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: in on the Kings. I don't really know exactly why,
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: but just keep that in mind. Of course, again, the
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: Sixers is still without all of their starters. Basically, it
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: looks like Embiid is questionable. Well he's doubtful now, so
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: he's not playing to I either still, So no George,
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: no Maxy, no Oubray, no Embiid.
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: For the Kings, Monk is questionable, so he.
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: Might come back for them, you know, and he is
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: with the injuries that they have. He is like one
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: of their best players that's actually playing. Uh So, somebody
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: keep in mind there, I guess that's gonna do it. Man.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: That's the rundown for today. The plays one more time
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: in college of basketball. We have Hawaii plus the points man.
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: That one seems really really difficult to do, but when
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: it seems really difficult sometimes it's right. And then Texas
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: plus the points hockey. We're going with the krakeing on
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: the money line. That's gonna do it. Happy official March
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: Madness Day everyone, official start to the first round of
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: the tournament these Thursday Friday. You know, it's the craziest
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: College of Basketball days of the year basically as far
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: as you know. But yeah, it's the madness, Like what
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: else do you want? Debatably, it's less crazy than some
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: of those conference tournament days and whatever, but you know,
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: I love it. Like you know, I used to take
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: it off from work just to focus on basketball in
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: these couple of days. So let's do it. Let's get
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: some wins today. I'm gonna take a little rest. I'm
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: gonna finalize my bracket. I'll probably link to my bracket
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: and go watch my bracket show. You still have time
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: for that too. I'll probably link to my bracket in
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: the show description there and whatever. I don't know if
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna change anything at this point, but yeah, I
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: mean you'll you'll see what my bracket looks like and
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: hopefully it'll do.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: All right, that's gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, learn a tone on Instagram,
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: you know, like subscribe here so you get the notifications
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: boosts this channel up. Listen on an audio as well.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: Reviewing audio, Apple, Spotify. That helps me out covering you
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: because my yuke channel on YouTube, so.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: You can check that out.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: What else, uh, Patreon dot com, slash learner tone. I
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: I'm like, what are my plugs? I don't know, Patreon
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: dot com slash and learn it tone and you can
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: support me there. It looks like my screensaver on my
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: TV is on, so that's awesome.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: And then.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: Loser casts of course every Tuesday night. You can check
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: that show out too. That's gonna do it. Peace, guys,