Latest / SpeakSmart English / The Apple Leak: 20 New Devices and Smart Home Innovations
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: So picture spending like ten million dollars on a state
- 0:03Speaker 1: of the art security system for your house. Okay, you
- 0:06Speaker 1: know you have biometric scanners, reinforced seal doors, motion sensors
- 0:11Speaker 1: in literally every room. It works basically exactly. But then
- 0:15Speaker 1: as you are locking up for the night, you accidentally
- 0:18Speaker 1: tape the architectural blueprints right on the front door. Oh no, yeah,
- 0:22Speaker 1: complete with the location of every hidden safe and blind spot,
- 0:24Speaker 1: just sitting there for anyone walking by to read. That
- 0:27Speaker 1: is rough it is, and that is precisely what we
- 0:30Speaker 1: are looking at today with one of the most secretive
- 0:33Speaker 1: companies on Earth.
- 0:34Speaker 2: Yeah, it really is the perfect analogy for the situation.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Right, We're talking about over twenty unreleased devices, a complete
- 0:40Speaker 1: hardware roadmap for the next couple of years, and it
- 0:43Speaker 1: was just accidentally left sitting in plain sight within the
- 0:47Speaker 1: software update code for MICS twenty six point seven.
- 0:50Speaker 2: What's fascinating here is that this is actually a structural
- 0:53Speaker 2: inevitability of modern tech development.
- 0:55Speaker 1: Really, how so well.
- 0:57Speaker 2: We expect these hardware companies to be these impenetras vaults,
- 1:00Speaker 2: you know, but software updates have increasingly become their achilles heel.
- 1:05Speaker 1: Because the software has to be ready before the hardware
- 1:08Speaker 1: I guess.
- 1:08Speaker 2: Precisely long before a physical device like say a new
- 1:12Speaker 2: headset or a smart speaker ever, hits a manufacturing line.
- 1:17Speaker 2: The operating system needs to know how to communicate.
- 1:19Speaker 1: With it, right, The code has to exist.
- 1:22Speaker 2: First, exactly, the software engineers have to build the foundational support.
- 1:26Speaker 2: They need those digital hooks to recognize these unreleased components.
- 1:30Speaker 1: Okay, I see.
- 1:31Speaker 2: So they are forced to put these hardware identifiers into
- 1:35Speaker 2: the public code incredibly early.
- 1:38Speaker 1: It is unavoidable. I am struggling to understand why a
- 1:41Speaker 1: company with literally unlimited resources would use actual identifiers, though
- 1:45Speaker 1: it seems counterintuitive, I know, right, Like, couldn't they just
- 1:48Speaker 1: use random strings of gibberish or dummy code until the
- 1:50Speaker 1: day before the launch? Why leave a readable map for
- 1:53Speaker 1: data miners to find?
- 1:55Speaker 2: Well, it comes down to the sheer complexity of the
- 1:57Speaker 2: dependencies in a modern operating system. Cannot just use a
- 2:01Speaker 2: blank variable when thousands of different software frameworks are involved.
- 2:04Speaker 2: You have audio routing, power management, Bluetooth protocols, and they
- 2:10Speaker 2: all need to interact with that specific piece of hardware.
- 2:13Speaker 1: Oh wow, so it is deeply integrated, very deeply.
- 2:17Speaker 2: If you mask it too heavily. The internal teams who
- 2:20Speaker 2: are pesting the software across all these different departments, they
- 2:23Speaker 2: end up breaking.
- 2:24Speaker 1: The build because the system doesn't know what it is
- 2:26Speaker 1: actually talking to exactly.
- 2:28Speaker 2: The hardware teams want total silence, obviously, but the software
- 2:31Speaker 2: teams need to lay the groundwork in.
- 2:33Speaker 1: Reality, and that reality requires specific functional code.
- 2:37Speaker 2: Yes, and if you know how to read the structure
- 2:39Speaker 2: of that code, the breadcrumbs are always there.
- 2:42Speaker 1: In tracing those breadcrumbs takes us somewhere completely unexpected. It
- 2:45Speaker 1: really does, because when you look at this leaked roadmap,
- 2:49Speaker 1: the vanguard isn't a new phone, it isn't a laptop.
- 2:52Speaker 1: Oh it is not. The code points directly into the
- 2:54Speaker 1: living room. There's this aggressive, unified push to take over
- 2:59Speaker 1: the smart home. Just huge. Yeah, we are seeing references
- 3:02Speaker 1: to an Apple home hub with two distinct variants. They're
- 3:06Speaker 1: labeled J four ninety and J four nine.
- 3:08Speaker 2: One, And that represents a massive strategic shift for them.
- 3:11Speaker 1: Because they've sort of ignored it until now.
- 3:14Speaker 2: Historically, yes, their approach to the home has been very fragmented.
- 3:18Speaker 2: You know, a speaker here, a TV box there, right,
- 3:20Speaker 2: But there was no centralized nervous system tying.
- 3:23Speaker 1: It all together. Okay, let's unpack this though, because aren't
- 3:26Speaker 1: they incredibly late to this part? Prety extremely We have
- 3:30Speaker 1: seen competitors dominating kitchen counters and bedside tables with smart
- 3:34Speaker 1: displays for over half a decade now, oh, at least
- 3:37Speaker 1: half a decade. So the leak details that J four
- 3:39Speaker 1: nine one is a wall mounted screen and J four
- 3:42Speaker 1: ninety is a stand mounted version, which is apparently expected
- 3:45Speaker 1: to be significantly more expensive.
- 3:47Speaker 2: Right, possibly with that robotic stand.
- 3:49Speaker 1: Sold exactly, So, is the strategy here simply to release
- 3:53Speaker 1: a prettier digital photo frame or is there an actual
- 3:57Speaker 1: mechanical reason they waited this long?
- 3:59Speaker 2: It is definitely not about being a photo frame. If
- 4:02Speaker 2: we look at the underlying mechanics of the smart home
- 4:04Speaker 2: market right now, it is completely defined by protocol friction.
- 4:09Speaker 1: Protocol friction. What do you mean by that?
- 4:12Speaker 2: Well, you buy a smart plug from one brand, you
- 4:14Speaker 2: buy a thermostat from another, and a camera from a third.
- 4:17Speaker 1: All and they all have their own separate.
- 4:19Speaker 2: Apps exactly, they require different apps. They constantly drop off
- 4:22Speaker 2: the network, and they rarely trigger each other reliably.
- 4:26Speaker 1: It is a mess, it really is. I have to
- 4:28Speaker 1: reset my smart lights like once a week.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Right, So the reason they waited is to leverage their
- 4:34Speaker 2: proprietary closed ecosystem to bypass that friction entirely.
- 4:39Speaker 1: I see.
- 4:40Speaker 2: By creating a dedicated powered hub, especially that J four
- 4:43Speaker 2: ninety model on the motorized stand, they are essentially building
- 4:47Speaker 2: a local.
- 4:47Speaker 1: Server for your house. Wow.
- 4:50Speaker 2: Yeah, they want this screen to process your voice commands locally.
- 4:54Speaker 2: They want it to route your spatial audio and manage
- 4:56Speaker 2: heavy video feeds without bouncing every single request up to
- 5:00Speaker 2: a cloud server.
- 5:01Speaker 1: So it is much faster and more secure exactly.
- 5:04Speaker 2: But doing that requires serious silicon, which is why they
- 5:06Speaker 2: couldn't just throw a cheap tablet on a speaker base
- 5:09Speaker 2: five years ago. They had to wait for their chips
- 5:11Speaker 2: to get powerful enough.
- 5:13Speaker 1: That reliance on local processing makes a lot of sense.
- 5:15Speaker 1: When you look at the sheer volume of accessories launching
- 5:18Speaker 1: alongside this hub, it is a massive Yeah. The code
- 5:21Speaker 1: doesn't just show the screens. It outlines a completely coordinated deployment,
- 5:25Speaker 1: which is very unlike them. Usually they stagger things, right,
- 5:28Speaker 1: but we are seeing a new TV remote which is
- 5:31Speaker 1: apparently finished and just waiting for a software update to
- 5:35Speaker 1: actually launch alongside the new hardware, right, it's just sitting
- 5:38Speaker 1: there in the code. And then there is a home
- 5:40Speaker 1: Pod Mini two labeled B five twenty five, and the
- 5:44Speaker 1: leak even has the color palette. Oh the colors are great, yeah,
- 5:47Speaker 1: rose pink, silver, space gray, and starlight. But the hardware
- 5:52Speaker 1: that actually changes the equation is categorized as J two
- 5:55Speaker 1: twenty nine. Yes, this is the really interesting one. The
- 5:58Speaker 1: source notes this is a multi sensor device that recognizes
- 6:01Speaker 1: alarms and records video.
- 6:03Speaker 2: So basically a proprietary security camera.
- 6:05Speaker 1: Perfectly integrated into that new hub right exactly. And it
- 6:10Speaker 1: doesn't stop there. There are two completely unidentified smart home
- 6:14Speaker 1: accessories just floating in the code is one seventy two
- 6:17Speaker 1: and one seventy.
- 6:18Speaker 2: Three, probably environmental sensors of some kind, temperature, humidity, maybe motion.
- 6:24Speaker 1: Right, So instead of slowly releasing these over five years,
- 6:27Speaker 1: they're dropping an entire fleet at once.
- 6:30Speaker 2: What's fascinating here is that this is a classic ecosystem
- 6:33Speaker 2: trap in the best sense of the word. For their
- 6:35Speaker 2: bottom line, how do you mean when you enter a
- 6:38Speaker 2: mature market late, you cannot sell a single hub and
- 6:41Speaker 2: tell consumers, hey, trust us, the accessories will.
- 6:44Speaker 1: Come because people will just stick with what they already have, right,
- 6:47Speaker 1: you have to offer an immediate turn key solution. Oh
- 6:50Speaker 1: so you just replace everything all at once. Exactly.
- 6:52Speaker 2: If they drop the hub, the new home pod minis,
- 6:55Speaker 2: the J two twenty nine cameras, and those mysterious one
- 6:58Speaker 2: hundred and seventy two and one hundred and seventy three
- 7:00Speaker 2: sensors on the exact same day, they instantly transform a
- 7:03Speaker 2: fragmented house into.
- 7:04Speaker 1: A unified environment. That is wild.
- 7:06Speaker 2: They want the consumer to walk into a store by
- 7:09Speaker 2: the entire setup in one transaction and completely box out
- 7:12Speaker 2: all third party competitors.
- 7:14Speaker 1: And it just works out of the box, right.
- 7:16Speaker 2: It is designed so that the camera talks perfectly to
- 7:18Speaker 2: the hub, which routes the audio perfectly to the speakers,
- 7:22Speaker 2: all verified by the sensors.
- 7:24Speaker 1: No friction. Okay. But if the goal is to map
- 7:27Speaker 1: and control the environment inside the house with all these sensors,
- 7:31Speaker 1: what happens when we leave the house? That is the
- 7:33Speaker 1: next logical step. Yeah, because the code shifts heavily from
- 7:36Speaker 1: environmental hardware to wearables. Yeah, you know tech we wear
- 7:41Speaker 1: on our bodies to interact with our environment. Ambient technology. Exactly.
- 7:45Speaker 1: There's a massive push toward ambient tech starting with a
- 7:49Speaker 1: headset designated as N one o nine. Ah, Yes, the
- 7:52Speaker 1: N one o nine. Based on the documentation, this is
- 7:55Speaker 1: basically a light version of their current ultra premium Vision Pro.
- 7:59Speaker 2: Which is a necessary correction based on market realities honestly.
- 8:03Speaker 1: Because the original was just too expensive.
- 8:05Speaker 2: Well, given its prohibitive pricing and weight, the original headset
- 8:07Speaker 2: functioned more as a public developer kit than an actual
- 8:10Speaker 2: consumer appliance.
- 8:11Speaker 1: Right, Not a lot of regular people are buying a
- 8:13Speaker 1: three thousand dollars headset exactly.
- 8:15Speaker 2: It proved the underlying eye tracting and spatial interface concepts,
- 8:18Speaker 2: which was important, but it was structurally incapable of reaching
- 8:22Speaker 2: a mass audience.
- 8:24Speaker 1: So how do you take a headset that complex and
- 8:26Speaker 1: make it light without completely ruining the experience? Like, where
- 8:30Speaker 1: do they actually cut the costs?
- 8:32Speaker 2: You have to look at the bill of materials. The
- 8:34Speaker 2: primary cost drivers in the original are those ultra high
- 8:38Speaker 2: resolution microOLED.
- 8:39Speaker 1: Displays Okay, the screens inside.
- 8:42Speaker 2: Right, and also the external screen that shows the user's
- 8:45Speaker 2: eyes to the outside world. Plus the machined aluminum and glass.
- 8:48Speaker 1: Chassis which makes it really heavy, very heavy.
- 8:51Speaker 2: So to commercialize the N one oh nine they have
- 8:53Speaker 2: to sacrifice some of those premium materials.
- 8:56Speaker 1: They will likely.
- 8:57Speaker 2: Use high grade plastics to reduce the weight.
- 9:00Speaker 1: That makes sense.
- 9:01Speaker 2: But more importantly, there will probably lower the internal display
- 9:03Speaker 2: resolutions slightly and completely remove that external eye display.
- 9:08Speaker 1: Oh wow, so no more seeing the person's eyes through
- 9:10Speaker 1: the glass.
- 9:11Speaker 2: Right, which was a huge engineering challenge and very expensive.
- 9:14Speaker 2: The processing power will remain high so the apps run smoothly,
- 9:17Speaker 2: but the physical delivery mechanism becomes cheaper.
- 9:20Speaker 1: So it's about accessibility exactly.
- 9:22Speaker 2: This is not a device designed to push the boundaries
- 9:24Speaker 2: of physics anymore. It is the device designed to actually
- 9:27Speaker 2: get augmented reality onto the faces of regular consumers so.
- 9:31Speaker 1: The software ecosystem can finally become profitable.
- 9:33Speaker 2: Precisely, they need a user base to sell apps to
- 9:37Speaker 2: even with.
- 9:37Speaker 1: Those compromises, though, a headset still isolates you, you know.
- 9:42Speaker 1: But the next wearable on this list is something people
- 9:44Speaker 1: already wear all day, every day, the earbuds. Yes, the
- 9:48Speaker 1: leak details a plan for air pods equipped with dual cameras.
- 9:52Speaker 1: This is truly science fiction stuff. It is air pods
- 9:55Speaker 1: with actual visual inputs designed to record and remember what
- 9:59Speaker 1: the user is seeing in real time, specifically to give
- 10:02Speaker 1: serie visual context.
- 10:04Speaker 2: Yeah, that is a fundamental paradigm shift for artificial intelligence.
- 10:07Speaker 1: On the timeframe for this is listed as twenty twenty seven.
- 10:10Speaker 2: Right, because right now, a voice assistant is completely blind.
- 10:14Speaker 1: It only knows.
- 10:15Speaker 2: What you explicitly dictate to it or what text it
- 10:18Speaker 2: can scrape from your emails.
- 10:19Speaker 1: Right, it has no context of your physical surroundings.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Exactly, by putting dual cameras in the earbuds, you are
- 10:26Speaker 2: suddenly giving the AI spatial awareness and object recognition.
- 10:30Speaker 1: I have to pause you there, because honestly, the logistics
- 10:32Speaker 1: of this sound like a total nightmare.
- 10:34Speaker 2: Oh, the engineering challenges are immense, Right, How.
- 10:37Speaker 1: Do you run real time video analysis on a device
- 10:40Speaker 1: that is roughly the size of a kiddie bean without
- 10:43Speaker 1: the battery dying in ten minutes or the earbud physically
- 10:46Speaker 1: burning the user's ear from all that processor.
- 10:49Speaker 2: Heat, That thermal and power constraint is exactly why the
- 10:52Speaker 2: code points to a twenty twenty seven release, despite some
- 10:55Speaker 2: other industry rumors of an earlier launch.
- 10:57Speaker 1: Oh so they just literally cannot do it. Yet.
- 11:00Speaker 2: You cannot be raw uncompressed video from two cameras continuously
- 11:04Speaker 2: to a phone via Bluetooth, the bandwidth simply doesn't exist.
- 11:08Speaker 1: It would just choke the connection completely.
- 11:10Speaker 2: So the AirPods themselves need an incredibly advanced, highly efficient
- 11:14Speaker 2: chip to process that video locally.
- 11:16Speaker 1: Oh so the earbud does the thinking sort of.
- 11:19Speaker 2: It compresses the relevant data into tiny semantic descriptions, like
- 11:23Speaker 2: instead of sending a video frame, it just sends a
- 11:25Speaker 2: text string saying user is looking at a red car.
- 11:29Speaker 1: Wow, that is wild.
- 11:31Speaker 2: And it only sends that tiny text data to the
- 11:33Speaker 2: phone's AI model.
- 11:35Speaker 1: But achieving that level of local.
- 11:37Speaker 2: Video processing on a micro battery requires a massive leap
- 11:40Speaker 2: in silicon efficiency, which they.
- 11:42Speaker 1: Clearly haven't perfected yet hence twenty twenty seven exactly. And
- 11:46Speaker 1: even when they do perfect the hardware in twenty twenty seven,
- 11:48Speaker 1: the source material points out a major geographical bottleneck, Yes,
- 11:52Speaker 1: the localization issue. Yeah. It specifically highlights Poland as an
- 11:56Speaker 1: example of a market that will likely have to wait
- 11:59Speaker 1: far longer to add, actually use these visual AI features,
- 12:02Speaker 1: even if they can buy the new camera equipped AirPods
- 12:05Speaker 1: on launch day in the store. Right, you might have
- 12:08Speaker 1: the hardware, but the software is locked. It seems like
- 12:10Speaker 1: the hardware is completely outpacing the software's ability to cross borders.
- 12:14Speaker 2: Well, it comes down to how these large language models
- 12:17Speaker 2: are actually trained and regulated. Okay, how so understanding visual
- 12:21Speaker 2: context like if you are looking at a menu or
- 12:23Speaker 2: reading a street sign, that requires the AI to process
- 12:27Speaker 2: regional languages and local cultural contexts instantaneously, So.
- 12:31Speaker 1: It's not just translating text. It has to understand what
- 12:35Speaker 1: it is seeing in that specific country.
- 12:37Speaker 2: Right. Furthermore, massive server infrastructure is required in these regions
- 12:42Speaker 2: to support the data load.
- 12:43Speaker 1: Because it can't all bounce back to California exactly.
- 12:46Speaker 2: The latency would be terrible. And this is all while
- 12:50Speaker 2: navigating very strict localized privacy laws regarding continuous camera recording.
- 12:55Speaker 1: Oh right, the privacy aspect is huge.
- 12:56Speaker 2: The physical cameras might be ready to ship globally, but
- 12:59Speaker 2: the low vocalized AI models required to make sense of
- 13:02Speaker 2: that footage lags significantly behind, depending entirely on the country.
- 13:06Speaker 1: That makes total sense. Now, while they are taking their
- 13:08Speaker 1: time with the camera pods, they're simultaneously flooding the traditional
- 13:12Speaker 1: audio market. They really are. The leak outlines the upcoming
- 13:15Speaker 1: AirPods Pro fourth generation, which is interestingly labeled version one
- 13:19Speaker 1: point four up from the current one point three an
- 13:22Speaker 1: incremental bump. Yeah, and there is an unknown air Pods
- 13:25Speaker 1: model designated three four five. Plus they are pushing two
- 13:29Speaker 1: brand new Beats models B five eighteen and B fifty two.
- 13:33Speaker 1: That is a lot of audio hardware, right, Why saturate
- 13:36Speaker 1: their own market with so many overlapping products, especially using
- 13:40Speaker 1: the Beats brand to do it? I noticed they seem
- 13:42Speaker 1: to be using Beats to fill in the gaps as
- 13:44Speaker 1: the standard Airpod's lineup becomes super saturated.
- 13:48Speaker 2: That is exactly what they are doing. Beats basically operates
- 13:51Speaker 2: as their structural shock absorber.
- 13:53Speaker 1: Shock absorber, how do you mean?
- 13:55Speaker 2: Well, the standard AirPods lineup has to maintain a very
- 13:58Speaker 2: specific brand identity to be pristine, seamless and broadly appealing
- 14:03Speaker 2: to everyone.
- 14:03Speaker 1: Right, the classic white plastic look exactly. They cannot take
- 14:07Speaker 1: wild design risks with it.
- 14:08Speaker 2: But by keeping Beats active and constantly updating models like
- 14:12Speaker 2: that B five eighteen, they have this built in experimental playground.
- 14:15Speaker 1: Oh. I see.
- 14:16Speaker 2: They can test aggressive price points, They can try different
- 14:18Speaker 2: form factors for extreme sports, or push wild color ways
- 14:22Speaker 2: without ever diluting their core aesthetic.
- 14:23Speaker 1: That is brilliant.
- 14:24Speaker 2: Actually, it allows them to capture the budget conscious consumer
- 14:28Speaker 2: and the niche athlete, while still funneling all that revenue
- 14:31Speaker 2: back into the exact same parent company.
- 14:33Speaker 1: Wow. Okay, So all of this ambient tech, the smart
- 14:37Speaker 1: home servers, the visual AI processing we just talked about,
- 14:41Speaker 1: it all requires massive computational.
- 14:43Speaker 2: Muscle, tremendous amounts of processing power, yes, which.
- 14:46Speaker 1: Naturally brings us to the core computing devices that fund
- 14:49Speaker 1: this entire R and D operation. Yeah, right, the iPads
- 14:52Speaker 1: and the max y cash cows exactly. But going through
- 14:55Speaker 1: this section of the leak, the hardware choices are just bizarre.
- 14:58Speaker 1: We're seeing what looks like severe refreshed fatigue.
- 15:01Speaker 2: Yes, the law of diminishing returns is hitting their silicon
- 15:04Speaker 2: development really hard right now.
- 15:06Speaker 1: Case in point, what the source actually calls the iPad
- 15:09Speaker 1: Mini Paradox, specifically models J five ten and J five
- 15:13Speaker 1: to eleven. This one is so frustrating. Right on paper,
- 15:16Speaker 1: it sounds like an absolute powerhouse. It has Wi Fi
- 15:18Speaker 1: and cellular options and ol ed screen for perfect contrast,
- 15:22Speaker 1: and it is powered by the blazing fast A nineteen
- 15:24Speaker 1: pro chip. It sounds perfect, but there is a glaring
- 15:27Speaker 1: mechanical flaw. It is locked at a sixty hertz refresh rate.
- 15:32Speaker 1: The commentary actually likened it to an iPhone seventeen E.
- 15:35Speaker 2: Which is just well, it is a tragedy of engineering.
- 15:38Speaker 1: Here is where it gets really interesting for me, because
- 15:41Speaker 1: it is like dropping a Ferrari engine, the A nineteen
- 15:44Speaker 1: pro chip into a car with the bicycle tires. Yeah,
- 15:47Speaker 1: the sixty hearts display. That is exactly what it is like. Yet,
- 15:50Speaker 1: how does a sixty hert screen actually bottleneck and chip
- 15:53Speaker 1: that powerful?
- 15:54Speaker 2: It creates a massive dissonance in the user experience.
- 15:57Speaker 1: Okay, in what way?
- 15:58Speaker 2: Well, the A nineteen proach is rendering the graphical interface
- 16:02Speaker 2: at over one hundred frames per second. Say you are
- 16:05Speaker 2: looking at a complex three D model or even just
- 16:08Speaker 2: fast scrolling a heavy web page.
- 16:10Speaker 1: Right, the processor is flying.
- 16:11Speaker 2: The processor is doing this instantly, But a sixty hertz
- 16:14Speaker 2: display physically cannot draw those frames fast enough. It can
- 16:17Speaker 2: only update the pixels sixty times a second maximum.
- 16:20Speaker 1: Oh, so they are at or sync.
- 16:21Speaker 2: Exactly, So the processor literally has to wait or frames
- 16:24Speaker 2: just get dropped entirely. You end up with motion blur
- 16:27Speaker 2: or these tiny microstutters.
- 16:28Speaker 1: Even though the brain of the device is incredibly fast.
- 16:31Speaker 2: Right, you have an engine capable of supersonic speeds, but
- 16:34Speaker 2: the wheels can only spin at sixty miles an hour.
- 16:37Speaker 1: So why do it? Why spend the money to build
- 16:40Speaker 1: this incredible processor and then intentionally cripple the display artificial
- 16:44Speaker 1: market segmentation just to force up cells.
- 16:47Speaker 2: Yes, the technology and the supply chain for one hundred
- 16:50Speaker 2: and twenty hertz olead panels are completely mature and relatively
- 16:54Speaker 2: inexpensive right.
- 16:55Speaker 1: Now, so they could easily afford to put it in.
- 16:56Speaker 2: There, absolutely, But if they put one hundred and twenty
- 16:59Speaker 2: hurtz skis green on the iPad Mini, the day to
- 17:02Speaker 2: day visual experience becomes completely indistinguishable from the iPad Pro.
- 17:06Speaker 1: Oh, and Pro costs twice as much.
- 17:08Speaker 2: Exactly, they are deliberately withholding cheap, readily available technology to
- 17:13Speaker 2: force consumers who actually care about smooth scrolling to just
- 17:16Speaker 2: give up and buy the higher margin device. Wow, they
- 17:19Speaker 2: are protecting the Pro tier at the expense of the
- 17:21Speaker 2: Mini's hardware harmony.
- 17:23Speaker 1: That protective strategy bleeds right into the MacBook lineup too,
- 17:26Speaker 1: but honestly in a much more chaotic way.
- 17:28Speaker 2: The max section of this leak is wild.
- 17:31Speaker 1: It is so the forty nine MacBook Pro is getting
- 17:34Speaker 1: a standard M six bump.
- 17:36Speaker 2: That is expected, right, business as usual.
- 17:38Speaker 1: But then the bombshell drops. The leak reveals that the
- 17:42Speaker 1: M six Pro and the M six Max chips are
- 17:46Speaker 1: entirely canceled gone. They are completely skipping a generation for
- 17:49Speaker 1: the high end laptops, moving straight to the M seven
- 17:52Speaker 1: Pro and Max next year for the JO four line,
- 17:55Speaker 1: which is unprecedented for them. Right. Why would a tech
- 17:58Speaker 1: giant with arguably the best silicon design team in the
- 18:02Speaker 1: entire world hit a wall like this and skip a.
- 18:05Speaker 2: Generation Because they're finally bumping up against the physical limits
- 18:09Speaker 2: of semiconductor manufacturing, the actual physics of it. Yes, when
- 18:13Speaker 2: we talk about these chips, we are dealing with a
- 18:15Speaker 2: three nanimeter node process, okay, which is tiny beyond tiny.
- 18:18Speaker 2: That means the transistors are so microscopically small that they
- 18:22Speaker 2: are battling quantum tunneling.
- 18:23Speaker 1: Wait, quantum tunneling. What does that mean?
- 18:25Speaker 2: It literally means electrons are jumping across physical barriers where
- 18:29Speaker 2: they shouldn't just because the gaps are so incredibly small.
- 18:32Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, that sounds dangerous for a computer.
- 18:34Speaker 2: It causes errors and a lot of heat. To make
- 18:36Speaker 2: an M six pro significantly faster than an M five Pro.
- 18:40Speaker 2: They have to pack even more transistors into that tiny space,
- 18:44Speaker 2: which generates an immense amount of heat, so it.
- 18:47Speaker 1: Is essentially a thermal issue. They just can't cool it
- 18:49Speaker 1: down inside a thin laptop chassis.
- 18:51Speaker 2: It is a combination of thermals and yield.
- 18:54Speaker 1: Rates, the field rates being how many chips actually work right.
- 18:57Speaker 2: When the manufacturing partner bakes these silicon wafers, a certain
- 19:01Speaker 2: percentage of the chips are always defective. Okay, as the
- 19:04Speaker 2: manufacturing process gets smaller and more complex, that defect rate
- 19:08Speaker 2: goes way up, so.
- 19:09Speaker 1: They throw away a lot of expensive silicon.
- 19:11Speaker 2: Exactly, it is highly likely that the yield rates for
- 19:14Speaker 2: a theoretical M six pro were just too low to
- 19:17Speaker 2: be financially viable, and on top of that, the performance
- 19:20Speaker 2: sleep probably wasn't high enough to justify the crazy heat output.
- 19:24Speaker 1: Well, that makes a lot of sense.
- 19:25Speaker 2: By canceling it and pushing all those resources to the
- 19:28Speaker 2: M seven architecture, they buy their engineer's time to design
- 19:31Speaker 2: a much more efficient core layout rather than just brute
- 19:35Speaker 2: forcing a chip that runs way too hot and costs
- 19:37Speaker 2: too much to manufacture.
- 19:38Speaker 1: Well, they are definitely trying to distract from that silicon
- 19:42Speaker 1: delay with some crazy new form factors. Oh, definitely, because
- 19:45Speaker 1: the code reveals models K one fourteen C, K fourteen S,
- 19:48Speaker 1: one sixteen C and one sixteen S the big ones. Yes,
- 19:52Speaker 1: these are the long rumored touchscreen MacBook Ultras. Finally, I
- 19:55Speaker 1: know they have resisted putting touch screens on laptops for
- 19:58Speaker 1: over a decade. It costs only claiming it ruins the
- 20:01Speaker 1: ergonomics gorilla arm they used to call it. Right now
- 20:04Speaker 1: they are doing it, but the source notes a massive caveat.
- 20:07Speaker 1: These brand new, cutting edge refresh designs will actually run
- 20:12Speaker 1: on older M five Pro and M five Max chips,
- 20:15Speaker 1: which is so ironic. It is we're getting a futuristic
- 20:18Speaker 1: chassis powered by last year's brain.
- 20:20Speaker 2: What's fascinating here is that it is a really delicate
- 20:23Speaker 2: balancing act of engineering resources. How so re engineering a
- 20:27Speaker 2: MacBook to support a touch layer changes the entire physical
- 20:30Speaker 2: weight distribution of the device.
- 20:32Speaker 1: Oh, because the screen is heavier, Exactly.
- 20:34Speaker 2: You have to completely redesign the hinge mechanics so the
- 20:36Speaker 2: screen doesn't wobble every time you poke it.
- 20:38Speaker 1: Oh, that would be incredibly annoying.
- 20:40Speaker 2: Right, And you have to rewrite the core mac os
- 20:43Speaker 2: interface to accept larger touch targets, and you have to
- 20:47Speaker 2: reconfigure the battery layout to balance the new top heavyweight.
- 20:50Speaker 1: That sounds incredibly expensive.
- 20:52Speaker 2: It is that chassis redesign consumes an astronomical amount of
- 20:56Speaker 2: R and D money and.
- 20:58Speaker 1: Time, so they use older to offset that.
- 21:01Speaker 2: Huge cost exactly to get the product out the door
- 21:05Speaker 2: and maintain their profit margins. On a completely new hardware line,
- 21:09Speaker 2: they lock in a proven older silicon architecture that they
- 21:12Speaker 2: can manufacture reliably and cheaply.
- 21:14Speaker 1: Wow.
- 21:15Speaker 2: The irony, of course, is that the consumer is going
- 21:17Speaker 2: to pay a massive premium. The price for an ultratier
- 21:20Speaker 2: will certainly.
- 21:21Speaker 1: Go up, not down right, It's going to be so expensive.
- 21:24Speaker 2: And you'll be paying that premium while technically buying last
- 21:26Speaker 2: generation processors. They are calculating that the sheer novelty of
- 21:30Speaker 2: finally touching a MAX screen will completely overshadow the slightly
- 21:34Speaker 2: older silicon inside.
- 21:35Speaker 1: That is a bold bet, real quick. Just rounding out
- 21:38Speaker 1: of the computing section, there is a small note about
- 21:40Speaker 1: the desktop line. The IMACA right models J three three
- 21:43Speaker 1: and J thirty four. They are getting an M six refresh,
- 21:47Speaker 1: but the source explicitly points out that the iMac remains
- 21:50Speaker 1: a very slow seller compared to MacBooks and iPads. It
- 21:54Speaker 1: really has dropped off. It feels like the desktop has
- 21:57Speaker 1: just become a legacy appliance, you know, while all the
- 22:00Speaker 1: aggressive innovation is happening on battery power.
- 22:02Speaker 2: That is exactly it. The desktop no longer dictates the
- 22:06Speaker 2: broader strategic.
- 22:07Speaker 1: Roadmap, just kind of there.
- 22:09Speaker 2: It exists to serve very specific enterprise or creative workflows, sure,
- 22:15Speaker 2: but it is no longer the center of the consumer
- 22:18Speaker 2: digital ecosystem.
- 22:19Speaker 1: Which naturally brings us to the device that absolutely funds
- 22:22Speaker 1: this entire ecosystem, the big one, the iPhone. If you
- 22:26Speaker 1: want to see how this company is truly restructuring its future,
- 22:29Speaker 1: you just have to look at how they are manipulating
- 22:31Speaker 1: the iPhone release cycle.
- 22:32Speaker 2: This is the most crucial part of the leak.
- 22:34Speaker 1: Because, according to this code, the traditional September event where
- 22:37Speaker 1: they drop the entire lineup all at once, yeah, that
- 22:40Speaker 1: is dead gone completely. They are completely fracturing the release schedule.
- 22:44Speaker 2: If we connect this to the bigger picture from a
- 22:46Speaker 2: business perspective, this is the most revealing strategic shift we
- 22:49Speaker 2: have seen in years.
- 22:51Speaker 1: Okay, so let's walk through it. The roadmap shows a
- 22:54Speaker 1: radical split release strategy. In the fall event, they will
- 22:58Speaker 1: exclusively launch the premium tier. We are talking the iPhone
- 23:02Speaker 1: eighteen Pro, the eighteen Pro Max, and a new model
- 23:06Speaker 1: dubbed the iPhone Ultra only the highest margins exactly. Then
- 23:11Speaker 1: they are holding back the entire standard tier for a
- 23:14Speaker 1: separate spring event. Right. That is where we will see
- 23:17Speaker 1: the base iPhone eighteen, the iPhone eighteen E, and a
- 23:21Speaker 1: mysterious R two device covering model numbers V sixty three,
- 23:25Speaker 1: V sixty four, V sixty eight, V sixty seven and
- 23:27Speaker 1: sixty two, And just to note, an E model is
- 23:29Speaker 1: expected to appear regardless of whatever else changes in that lineup.
- 23:32Speaker 1: Good to know. But if you are a consumer who
- 23:34Speaker 1: usually upgrades your phone during the holiday season, this completely
- 23:38Speaker 1: changes your math, doesn't it.
- 23:39Speaker 2: It corners the consumer entirely, it really does. Why do
- 23:41Speaker 2: they want to do that, because for the past decade
- 23:44Speaker 2: a major problem for their profit margins has been internal cannibalization.
- 23:47Speaker 1: People buying the cheaper phone instead of the expensive one.
- 23:50Speaker 2: Precisely, a customer walks into a retail store in October,
- 23:55Speaker 2: they look at the brand new Pro model and then
- 23:57Speaker 2: they look at the brand new base model sitting.
- 23:59Speaker 1: Right next to it, right, and they compare them.
- 24:01Speaker 2: They realize the base model is perfectly fine for just
- 24:04Speaker 2: texting and taking photos, and they save themselves three or
- 24:08Speaker 2: four hundred dollars.
- 24:09Speaker 1: Which hurts the company's bottom line.
- 24:11Speaker 2: Exactly, So, by splitting the release, the company removes that
- 24:15Speaker 2: choice entirely during the most critical shopping season of the year.
- 24:19Speaker 2: Oh wow, if you want a new iPhone in the
- 24:21Speaker 2: fourth quarter, maybe for a holiday gift, or you just
- 24:24Speaker 2: want the newest thing, your only options are the most expensive,
- 24:28Speaker 2: highest margin devices they make.
- 24:30Speaker 1: It is an absolute masterclass and financial engineer, it really is.
- 24:33Speaker 1: They basically forced the early adopters and the holiday shoppers
- 24:37Speaker 1: straight into the premium tier. And then what happens in
- 24:40Speaker 1: the spring well.
- 24:41Speaker 2: Spring is traditionally a dead zone for tech retail sales
- 24:45Speaker 2: just naturally slumped.
- 24:47Speaker 1: Right, Everyone already bought their stuff in December. Yeah, exactly.
- 24:50Speaker 2: But by injecting the base iPhone eighteen, the Budget eighteen E,
- 24:54Speaker 2: and this new R two device into that exact spring window,
- 24:57Speaker 2: they create a massive artificial revenue sp.
- 25:00Speaker 1: Because everyone who couldn't afford the pro is finally upgrading.
- 25:03Speaker 2: Yes, they capture the price conscious upgraders and completely smooth
- 25:07Speaker 2: out their revenue graph across the entire fiscal year.
- 25:10Speaker 1: Okay, but isn't that a massive risk. It is a
- 25:12Speaker 1: huge gamble because the source material also briefly pivots to
- 25:16Speaker 1: mention some upcoming reviews for the Google Pixel eleven and
- 25:20Speaker 1: the Pixel eleven Pro Excel right the competition exactly. It
- 25:23Speaker 1: is a stark reminder to the listener that while this
- 25:26Speaker 1: company's meticulously manipulating its twenty twenty six and twenty twenty
- 25:29Speaker 1: seven release schedules, the rest of the industry isn't just
- 25:32Speaker 1: standing still. They are advancing rapidly in AI and computational photography.
- 25:37Speaker 1: That is the risk.
- 25:38Speaker 2: A split release cycle assumes absolute, unshakable brand loyalty.
- 25:42Speaker 1: Which is hard to guarantee.
- 25:43Speaker 2: It assumes that a customer who only has the budget
- 25:46Speaker 2: for a base model will willingly wait six months for
- 25:49Speaker 2: the spring event rather than simply walking into a carrier
- 25:52Speaker 2: store in November and buying a flagship Pixel or Galaxy
- 25:55Speaker 2: device right then and there, right.
- 25:57Speaker 1: Because their current phone might be broken or they just
- 25:59Speaker 1: want something new. Exactly.
- 26:01Speaker 2: It is a profound test of their market dominance. They
- 26:05Speaker 2: are gambling that the pull of eye message and their
- 26:08Speaker 2: unified ecosystem is so strong that consumers will literally delay
- 26:13Speaker 2: their natural purchasing habits rather than switch brands.
- 26:16Speaker 1: It's just a breathtaking flex of power when you really
- 26:19Speaker 1: think about.
- 26:19Speaker 2: It, unmatched arrogance or confidence, depending on how you look
- 26:23Speaker 2: at it.
- 26:23Speaker 1: Honestly, when you step back and look at the sheer
- 26:26Speaker 1: scope of this roadmap, it is overwhelming.
- 26:28Speaker 2: It covers almost every aspect of daily life.
- 26:31Speaker 1: It really does. We started with this multi million dollar
- 26:34Speaker 1: security system left wy open via macOS code. We looked
- 26:38Speaker 1: at how they are dropping a completely coordinated fleet of
- 26:41Speaker 1: hubs and cameras to just brute force their way into
- 26:44Speaker 1: the living.
- 26:44Speaker 2: Room by passing all the protocol friction right.
- 26:47Speaker 1: We examine the massive engineering hurdles of putting visual AI
- 26:51Speaker 1: into air pods and the regional bottlenecks of rolling that
- 26:54Speaker 1: out the Poland example. We unpacked the refresh fatigue of
- 26:57Speaker 1: sixty herz iPads and skipped MacBook processors.
- 27:00Speaker 2: Dealing with those thermal realities.
- 27:02Speaker 1: And we finally arrived this complete manipulation of consumer buying
- 27:06Speaker 1: abits with the fractured iPhone release cycle.
- 27:09Speaker 2: It is a masterclass and ecosystem lock in truly, But
- 27:13Speaker 2: you know, mapping out this level of hardware integration, where
- 27:17Speaker 2: every device is constantly communicating, processing visual data locally, and
- 27:22Speaker 2: tracking environmental metrics, it leads to a critical long term
- 27:27Speaker 2: consequence for the hardware itself, something we really need to
- 27:29Speaker 2: think about. What do you mean, Well, if Apple's twenty
- 27:32Speaker 2: twenty seven roadmap includes smart home cameras that map our
- 27:35Speaker 2: living rooms and air pods with dual cameras that literally record.
- 27:39Speaker 1: Everything we see.
- 27:40Speaker 2: Ye, If the only way to process all that real
- 27:43Speaker 2: time visual AI privately is to run it entirely on local,
- 27:47Speaker 2: highly secure internal processors, then the hardware enclosures are going
- 27:50Speaker 2: to become completely impenetrable.
- 27:52Speaker 1: Oh wow.
- 27:53Speaker 2: To ensure that local AI data cannot be tampered with
- 27:55Speaker 2: or extracted by a bad actor, the logic boards, the storage,
- 27:59Speaker 2: and the sensors will have to be cryptographically paired and
- 28:02Speaker 2: physically sealed in ways we have never seen.
- 28:04Speaker 1: Before so no one could ever open them up.
- 28:06Speaker 2: Right, So, at what point does the ecosystem become a panopticon?
- 28:10Speaker 2: Are we unknowingly trading our right to ever, repair, modify,
- 28:13Speaker 2: or upgrade our own devices for the sake of having
- 28:16Speaker 2: this hyper secure local visual AI. That is because if
- 28:20Speaker 2: the ecosystem requires total hardware lockdown to guarantee our privacy,
- 28:25Speaker 2: the era of fixing your own technology is permanently over.
- 28:29Speaker 2: Are we buying ultimate convenience at the cost of an
- 28:31Speaker 2: unrecorded life?
- 28:33Speaker 1: That is a fascinating and honestly somewhat terrifying angle to
- 28:36Speaker 1: consider as these devices move from leaked code into our
- 28:39Speaker 1: actual homes over the next two years. I want to
- 28:42Speaker 1: explicitly thank all of our listeners for staying with us
- 28:44Speaker 1: until the very end of this massive roadmap breakdown. If
- 28:47Speaker 1: you enjoy this conversation, please encourage everyone to subscribe to
- 28:50Speaker 1: the show so you never miss an analysis. I bid
- 28:52Speaker 1: you all a fond farewell until next time.