Latest / Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning / Opening Segment 8/20/26

Transcript

Opening Segment 8/20/26 · Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Now goodest sleeve and Larry Minty in the morning seventen wr.
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: Well, yesterday we got that alert from the National Weather
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: Service that parts of our area would see two to
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: three inches of rain, and just listening to Rays Stagic
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: a moment ago, a lot hasn't changed. There are still
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: flash flood warnings for the area. Severe thunderstorms may happen.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: So let's dig down and get an extended forecast now
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: from Raised Stagic Race Sedagic Woor Weather Channel meteorologist Ray
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: thanks a lot for spending some time with us this morning.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: So what are we looking at all?
• 0:40
  Speaker 3: Right, Well, let's dive in. First, let's separate watch from
• 0:44
  Speaker 3: warning because you mentioned flash flood warnings. There's no flash
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: flood warnings right now. It is a watch and that'll
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: start at two o'clock this afternoon. So the watch means
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: the potential is there for flooding. Now, when we get
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: to a warning and an advisory, which we might, that's
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: when flooding is emin it or is occurring. And I
• 1:01
  Speaker 3: think later today and especially this evening and especially north
• 1:05
  Speaker 3: central Jersey, Central Jersey, I think that's where the greatest
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: risk is going to be because the flood watch goes
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: only through the five Burroughs, doesn't get up into Rockland
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: in Westchester Counties. So there's going to be a cutoff
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: to where we get the worst of the rain and
• 1:21
  Speaker 3: where we do get the highest severe weather risk. I
• 1:24
  Speaker 3: hope all that makes sense.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: So our producer Natalie is at home recovering from her
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: knee surgery. I've advised her and her family start filling
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: the sand bags and get the gondola ready because they've
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: been clobbered in New Jersey. I think they've been seven
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: cases of flooding in New Jersey since Memorial Day weekend.
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the month of July for New York City had
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: a record amount of flash flood warnings issue. Now remember
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: the warnings being flooding eminent or is occurring. So yeah,
• 1:56
  Speaker 3: North Jersey been hit exceptionally hard to with multiple inch
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: of rain. But here is a question, and let's see
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: who's the smarter of the bunch or the smartest bunch.
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: Here we go meteorological question. How much rain do you
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: think that we have received this month? And are we
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: in a deficit for the gear or are we in
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: a surplus for the year. Now this is for Central
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: Park where we officially measure.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: Ka, we wait to say, Natalie, you can't answer. I
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: can't answer. We have our own weather guy here. Who
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: is the weather man in San Diego for years? Non't
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: But let's face it, our weather guy is right here.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: That's what we meant it.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: I was a weather guy in San Diego. That doesn't count.
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: You know. You know my message machine said Ray, it said,
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: this is the KFMB Weather department. If you're looking for
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: a meteorologist, you might want to try another station.
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: Another market. Right, how about this, Let's dumb it down
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: for you, Larry. Let's say, how about for the year,
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: what would you think since the first of January? Will
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: we have a surplus or do we have a deficit
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: in terms of rainfall at Central Park at the record?
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: Oh, I don't know Central Park. I knew New Jersey,
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: though I knew Newkay, New Jersey. New Jersey is slightly under,
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: but they may go over. They're definitely going to go
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: over pretty soon. But they were slightly under. I think
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: I think it was about twenty seven inches for the year.
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: So at Newark almost twenty six inches since January first.
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: That's liquid equivalent, and believe it or not, a deficit
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: of liquid with a nine inches. Well since January first,
• 3:46
  Speaker 3: there was probably some snow in there, so it's melted down.
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: You know, you non meteorologist Typeslint Larry and I have
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: this conversation to your meteorologists. Isn't quotes, by the way,
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: so yeah.
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: I know, I get it. Don't even listen in you're
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: not going to understand the meteorological talking.
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: Yes, in New York City Central Park and in Newark
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: it's actually just above four inches in the hole for
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: the year. And this is just kind of that. The
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: lesson here is, you know, the variability of when we
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: get these flash flood events, like it may be in
• 4:19
  Speaker 3: Natalie's house and that part of Central Jersey in one case,
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: but you know at somebody else's house, Larry, maybe your house,
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: you don't get anything. So when you get these events,
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: with these flash flood risks, it doesn't mean for everybody.
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: The watch is defined as in and around the watch area,
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: and it means the potential for flooding. When you get
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: into the warnings, they're only even for a borough or
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: a couple of boroughs or maybe a few counties. You
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: notice that a lot of times you don't get you know,
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: every County in the tri State under a flash flood warning.
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: Something like that would happen in that bigger event like
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: we had back a couple of weeks ago, especially through
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: upstate New York.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: I really appreciate I appreciate you, Ray, because you might
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: the only weather person I've ever talked to that downplays
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: every event and everybody else you never want. You'd never
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: get a TV job.
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: And I don't want one, trust me.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Well, one last thing. When I was a kid, my
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: uncle would say, it's good that we have a lot
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: of snow because we used to have a lot of
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: snow snowpack, and that goes into the reservoir system. That
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: means we'll have water through the drought season in the summer.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: We don't get the snowpack like we used to.
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: No, there's been a trend toward less snow. I don't
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: even want to get into what's going to happen this
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: super El Nino winter. That's a song for another time.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: But who knows. I mean, it's been trending a lot
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: less snow and there may be an opportunity. I'll just
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: say this for more coastal events. That doesn't mean it's
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: going to be rain and or snow. It could mean
• 5:53
  Speaker 3: more rain, could mean more snow. But in an El
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: Nino winter, typically it's a little bit more active southern
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: jet stream, you know what, the jet stream is, right
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: everybody anyway or not further south, some of our southern
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: states may have an opportunity to get more snow than
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: they would in a typical winter, in an al Nini winter.
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: So I don't know what this super hype super El
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: Nino thing is gonna do. And you know me, I
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: don't want to go beyond three days with any kind
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: of comfort at all. Just take a look at last
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: hurricane season. I'll always point to that was supposed to
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: be this big above average season and that didn't happen.
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: So seasonal forecasting, my message is extremely tough. It is
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: based on climatology, what's happened in the past, and a
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: pretty good chance that if you take any given like
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: three or four Al Ninio winters, most of them are
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: probably going to be slightly above average here in the
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: East in terms of the Northeast in terms of temperature,
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: and maybe slightly above average in terms of precipt. Doesn't
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: at all mean if that's rain and or snow or
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: a combination of both.
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: Well, Ray, if you can join us again at aight
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: oh five, that would be great so we can get
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: an update on the weather. And would also like to
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: delve into your absolute bias against TV meteorologists, because I
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: think I think that's what we're talking about, Like, well,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: I would never do that.
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: That's I love my meteorologists, Do you really? Yeah, I
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: just don't want to be one.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Well, you don't have a face.
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: You don't have a face for TV. I've met him,
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: I've seen him. Yeah, he's been here.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Why are you going on the plus shide with this guy?
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: He's always so well.
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: All right, we'll get back to you an eight.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: But anyway, let's get to the chaos and just well,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: you're packing up to take his son to college and
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: nothing's gone right so far?
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: Am I right? Larry? No, nothing's gone right. But maybe
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: that's because my entire family left me and went down
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: the shore and I'm just have to deal with everything
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: by myself. Maybe that that's part of the reason.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: Can I nickname you calamity?
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: Larry?
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: I mean everything that you planned yesterday you were telling
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: us about.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: I was thrilled. I thought I had it all set.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: I did. I was way ahead of it. I made
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: I won't say the name of the rental company because
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: it should I okay, enterprise. So I made a reservation
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: for either a large suv or a mini van. So
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: yes to pick up, pick it up because we have
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: to go to an event later today. I made it
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: for yesterday. I can pick it up. I just haven't
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: sit at my house and would leave, uh, you know,
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: sometime tonight or if forget what time exactly, maybe tomorrow morning,
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: but and then we were gonna fly back. We're gonna
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: leave it off in Raleigh. I get to the smart
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: I go to the rental place and they said, I'm sorry,
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: we don't have anything like that. We we can get
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: a pickup truck if you'd like, or maybe a large car,
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: but all the SUV's and all the mini vans have
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: been taken because of people moving back to college. And
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: I said, well, I'm moving back to college, my kids
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: are moving back to college. Is there a special class
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: because I should be involved in that. And they said, no,
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: we they do this to us all the time. You
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: you make your reservation online and they don't check with us.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: But we haven't had we haven't had a car that
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: size all week? Can you imagine that?
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: Did they have a pickup truck for you?
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: They did have a pickup I'm not taking a Come on,
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: I'm not taking a pickup truck because if it starts
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: to rain, what I have to do get a tarp.
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, that's what we do.
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: All right, you country boys can get you You can
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: go ahead and get your pickup truck. I'm not driving
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: a pickup truck. Plus I got four people in the car.
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: But I have to go back to this. So you
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: can actually make a reservation for a car. You request
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: the kind of car you want, you go and they
• 10:09
  Speaker 4: don't have it, and they say, ooh sorry, then why
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: are you even reserving it?
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: I know I don't understand the process. And the local
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: people said it happens to them all the time. But
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: I will say this, when my wife called and complained
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: to them yesterday and said, you know you have to
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: you should get us something, and they said, we'll give
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: you two free rentals in the future because we really apologize.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: And they said, so you can use it anytime you want.
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: And so I called them back and said, can I
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: use it Friday because that's when I need it? And
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: so they yeah, they took back the anytime you want
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: that wasn't going to happen. Yeah, but it's crazy out
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: there because of kids going back to school. So and
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: I just I just fell prey to it. Go to
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: the iHeartRadio app and leave us a talk back about
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: anything we talked about today. You could win a courteous
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: lye when Larry MENTI in the Morning T shirt, Which
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: will you awarded every day to our favorite talkback of
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: the morning If you want to go ahead like Ray Stage,
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: I can blast TV meteorologists. Go ahead or who's your favorite?
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: And while you're on the free iHeartRadio app, be sure
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: to set a preset for seven to ten wor also
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: don't forget the best talkback of the week takes on
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: the Sea Crane Radio. Sea crane radios that work when
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: it matters most bayone Believe in bayone, what a game
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: at the Little League World Series that Natalie actually watched
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: the whole thing. Plus a chance to see Journey at
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: a twenty five