Latest / Toadstool Sports / SATURDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments | 3/7/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on Own
- 0:06Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight it.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Was just complete bullshit.
- 0:10Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 0:13Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
- 0:17Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 0:23Speaker 2: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
- 0:26Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:35Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to
- 0:40Speaker 2: burn my browins hat Man, I don't know what is
- 0:43Speaker 2: going on with the bruins arch hape?
- 0:46Speaker 1: Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
- 0:49Speaker 2: who even knows?
- 0:50Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
- 0:53Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
- 0:56Speaker 1: after the worst day that I.
- 0:58Speaker 3: Could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:06Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
- 1:09Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
- 1:12Speaker 2: years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:25Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
- 1:33Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
- 1:36Speaker 1: It is Saturday, March seventh. This is gonna be the
- 1:40Speaker 1: college basketball show.
- 1:41Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to come back and do NBA and
- 1:43Speaker 2: NHL and see if we have anything additional there.
- 1:47Speaker 1: I feel very.
- 1:48Speaker 2: Messed up right now with this college basketball. I'm trying
- 1:51Speaker 2: to narrow it down. I got two plays, but I
- 1:53Speaker 2: think I'm gonna give out on the show here today.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Definitely some other leans.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Don't know if I'm gonna get there with these other leans,
- 2:00Speaker 2: but I do like the rest of these plays here.
- 2:04Speaker 1: I do like the two plays I'm gonna give out.
- 2:06Speaker 1: I should say.
- 2:07Speaker 2: Yesterday horrible day one and three, and it should have
- 2:11Speaker 2: been a lot better than that.
- 2:12Speaker 1: Dude, Buffalo, we killed the closing.
- 2:16Speaker 2: Line on that, Like that line closed five and a half,
- 2:18Speaker 2: so you know that we were on the best number there,
- 2:21Speaker 2: and it looks like I'm already probably starting to get
- 2:23Speaker 2: limited on some of the.
- 2:25Speaker 1: Sites out there.
- 2:26Speaker 2: Oh you're not allowed to bet this much yet, thank you,
- 2:31Speaker 2: although I guess they did approve the one I just
- 2:34Speaker 2: put in. But we killed the closing line on that.
- 2:37Speaker 2: Buffalo was covering most of that game. They were hanging
- 2:41Speaker 2: around in that game, and then they wound up losing
- 2:44Speaker 2: by twenty. But the game, if you look at it,
- 2:45Speaker 2: it was not a blowout like that at all, So
- 2:48Speaker 2: I'm not.
- 2:49Speaker 1: Happy about that.
- 2:50Speaker 2: Selthy's Missouri was even worse because that was a money line.
- 2:53Speaker 1: Plane, dude.
- 2:54Speaker 2: They went off like a four point favorite in that game,
- 2:57Speaker 2: and when I gave you guys that play on the
- 2:59Speaker 2: show was either minus two and a half or a
- 3:03Speaker 2: very small money line like minus won twenty something, the
- 3:06Speaker 2: money line was minus won ninety. When the game tipped off,
- 3:09Speaker 2: we absolutely annihilated that closing number. And then they they
- 3:12Speaker 2: led the whole game. They had to lead the entire game.
- 3:15Speaker 2: They were winning by I think nine maybe ten, pretty
- 3:18Speaker 2: deep into the second half, and then they wound up
- 3:21Speaker 2: losing the game outright. Basically, the only point where they're
- 3:24Speaker 2: losing the game at all is right at the end
- 3:26Speaker 2: of the game. And then they intentionally foul. I'm ridiculously pissed.
- 3:31Speaker 2: Then La Clippers. That was gonna be a money line
- 3:35Speaker 2: cash like easy on that. They were winning that game
- 3:37Speaker 2: by twenty points in the middle of the game, they
- 3:39Speaker 2: were winning the game.
- 3:40Speaker 1: Outright, basically wired to wire.
- 3:42Speaker 2: They're winning by fifteen points with like ten minutes to go,
- 3:47Speaker 2: and then whatever, like a few minutes later, they're losing
- 3:50Speaker 2: the game by two. They went from having a ninety
- 3:53Speaker 2: to seventy five lead in the fourth quarter to being
- 3:56Speaker 2: down ninety seven to ninety five. And then they still cover,
- 4:00Speaker 2: but they did not win the game. They actually did
- 4:03Speaker 2: retake the lead in the final minutes of the game.
- 4:07Speaker 2: That should have been an easy, outright winner on the Clippers.
- 4:10Speaker 2: It was an easy cover, I guess if you want
- 4:12Speaker 2: to call it that. So that was the winner yesterday.
- 4:15Speaker 2: And then the Pacers missed by one bucket. And if
- 4:18Speaker 2: you look at that game, that game was very, very skewed.
- 4:21Speaker 2: They ran into a Lakers team that couldn't miss any shots.
- 4:25Speaker 2: That was what happened in that game. Like the I
- 4:27Speaker 2: think the Pacers had more field goal attempts in the
- 4:30Speaker 2: game than the Lakers did, and they still didn't even
- 4:35Speaker 2: cover the plus nine and a half, so that was
- 4:37Speaker 2: just kind of an outlier. I think the market basically
- 4:40Speaker 2: agreed with every play I gave out yesterday.
- 4:42Speaker 1: I'm fucking pissed, Charles. What's up?
- 4:46Speaker 2: It also seemed like I couldn't get into my bank
- 4:48Speaker 2: account this morning, so yeah, I guess I'm.
- 4:51Speaker 1: De banked either out of my bank my bank might
- 4:55Speaker 1: have gotten ACKed. I don't know.
- 4:58Speaker 2: Let's just get into this me and we have way
- 5:00Speaker 2: too many games to talk about here. I'm gonna try
- 5:02Speaker 2: to run down all these games. How do we want
- 5:08Speaker 2: to even start with this? Because you know, everything starts
- 5:12Speaker 2: at noon. Conference tournament action starts at noon. Regular action
- 5:16Speaker 2: starts at noon. What do we want to do? Do we
- 5:19Speaker 2: want to do the regular games first?
- 5:21Speaker 1: Yeah? Why not?
- 5:22Speaker 2: CBS at noon? Number seven Houston is at Oklahoma State.
- 5:26Speaker 2: This is to complete the season. Houston. I don't know
- 5:32Speaker 2: if they can drop into the three seed for the
- 5:35Speaker 2: Big Twelve or not. I don't know if they really
- 5:36Speaker 2: care either. Arizona has already clinched the one seed. Here,
- 5:41Speaker 2: Houston is coming up beating Baylor. Now, Houston did have
- 5:43Speaker 2: kind of a scare in that game against Baylor. Baylor
- 5:46Speaker 2: was playing really tight with them, and I think actually
- 5:48Speaker 2: it was winning in the second half, and then Houston
- 5:52Speaker 2: ran away with that game really late in the game.
- 5:55Speaker 1: So you know, maybe they will show up.
- 5:57Speaker 2: Plus Houston, they might have reason to show up just
- 5:59Speaker 2: because there is maybe still a chance of a one
- 6:02Speaker 2: seed for them, So you might see effort out of
- 6:06Speaker 2: them for that reason.
- 6:07Speaker 1: They gotta go to Oklahoma State here. Oklahoma State just put.
- 6:11Speaker 2: Up a lot of points in an overtime win against UCF.
- 6:14Speaker 2: They're coming back from a road trip there. Last time
- 6:16Speaker 2: they were at home, they did win against West Virginia.
- 6:19Speaker 2: It's been a bad season for Oklahoma State, but this
- 6:22Speaker 2: is their final home game.
- 6:23Speaker 1: It is senior night.
- 6:25Speaker 2: I don't think I would fade that at home. I
- 6:27Speaker 2: would probably lean towards Oklahoma State there, plus the points,
- 6:30Speaker 2: Houston down to a thirteen point favor from thirteen and
- 6:33Speaker 2: a half, eighty five percent of tickets, eighty seven percent
- 6:36Speaker 2: of the cash on Houston, there'll be a public side
- 6:39Speaker 2: total in the high one forties.
- 6:42Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 6:43Speaker 2: I don't have much to say about that, but yeah,
- 6:44Speaker 2: probably would lean to taking the points with the home
- 6:46Speaker 2: dog there. C W Network at noon, we have the
- 6:49Speaker 2: Virginia rivalry between Virginia Tech and Virginia. Virginia Tech actually
- 6:55Speaker 2: won the first meeting at home, believe it or not,
- 6:57Speaker 2: by ten points, so there is a revenge angle here
- 7:01Speaker 2: for Virginia. Virginia Tech sets up pretty nicely.
- 7:05Speaker 1: For this game though.
- 7:05Speaker 2: They just beat BC, who cares and unfortunately BC is
- 7:09Speaker 2: not even going to make the ACC tournament because they're
- 7:12Speaker 2: They're like the one big conference that cuts teams from
- 7:16Speaker 2: the tournament. Virginia is coming up beating Wake and not
- 7:20Speaker 2: doing so in style. They only won by five, so
- 7:23Speaker 2: I think they will show up for this too.
- 7:25Speaker 1: This is their final home game.
- 7:27Speaker 2: I think they were given a wake up call in
- 7:29Speaker 2: that game, and remember they were coming off losing a
- 7:32Speaker 2: long win streak with a reality check game against Dukes,
- 7:35Speaker 2: so I think they were hungover.
- 7:38Speaker 1: Didn't come close to covering against Wake.
- 7:41Speaker 2: So I do think Virginia will give you a better
- 7:43Speaker 2: effort in this one as well. It's gonna be a
- 7:46Speaker 2: big game for both teams, though, I think so. I
- 7:48Speaker 2: don't quite want to do it, but I will. I'll
- 7:51Speaker 2: lean towards laying it with Virginia. Oh the money is
- 7:54Speaker 2: coming in that way. They're down for twelve to eleven
- 7:56Speaker 2: and a half, fifty five percent of the tickets around
- 7:58Speaker 2: Virginia Tech, sixty percent of the cash on Virginia.
- 8:02Speaker 1: I would lay it, but it's.
- 8:05Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's another one that I'm gonna I'm
- 8:07Speaker 2: gonna leave it alone.
- 8:09Speaker 1: That's on the c W at noon noon ESPN.
- 8:12Speaker 2: Number twenty, Arkansas at Missouri. These teams already played once
- 8:17Speaker 2: as well. I believe Arkansas won at home.
- 8:20Speaker 1: Yeah they did. They won by eight, But that game
- 8:22Speaker 1: was fairly close. I believe. Actually I might be wrong
- 8:27Speaker 1: about that. Hold on.
- 8:27Speaker 2: This might have been the game where Arkansas was actually
- 8:29Speaker 2: way ahead and then Missouri made it look closer.
- 8:32Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I was thinking of.
- 8:33Speaker 2: Yeah, Arkansas was winning that game by double digits late
- 8:37Speaker 2: in the game, and Missouri kind of made it cosmetics.
- 8:39Speaker 2: So Arkansas had an easy time of it. They were
- 8:42Speaker 2: the better team. Arkansas is coming up putting up one
- 8:44Speaker 2: hundred points against Texas. That was an easy win for them,
- 8:48Speaker 2: a good win for them. Now they have to go
- 8:50Speaker 2: on the road to play Missouri, who will be in
- 8:53Speaker 2: revenge mode most likely Missouri coming into this. Of course,
- 8:57Speaker 2: both these teams will be in the Big twelve excuse
- 9:01Speaker 2: the SEC tournament. I keep thinking of Missouri's in the
- 9:03Speaker 2: Big Twelve that was a long time ago. Missouri might
- 9:08Speaker 2: have a little bit something extra to play for here
- 9:10Speaker 2: because they are kind of a bubble team, whereas Arkansas
- 9:13Speaker 2: is more definitively in the tournament.
- 9:16Speaker 1: Missouri is coming off an ugly.
- 9:17Speaker 2: Loss to Oklahoma as well, so I would have to
- 9:20Speaker 2: go Missouri in this one. They're actually a favorite here now,
- 9:23Speaker 2: so they do fall into that category of being an
- 9:27Speaker 2: unranked favorite against a ranked dog, and those have started
- 9:31Speaker 2: to work out kind of like they tend to do,
- 9:35Speaker 2: even though I think the books have kind of skewed
- 9:37Speaker 2: those numbers towards the favorite a bit. Missouri looks like
- 9:40Speaker 2: they open a three point dog. I'm not sure if
- 9:42Speaker 2: that was true or not.
- 9:42Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 9:43Speaker 2: Actually, you know what, I know why. I think Arkansas's
- 9:47Speaker 2: best player is injured. I think that's the problem. A Cuff,
- 9:50Speaker 2: who is their freshman fien on him.
- 9:53Speaker 1: I think he's hurt.
- 9:54Speaker 2: I think that's why the line went from Arkansas minus
- 9:57Speaker 2: three to Missouri minus two. So I like Missouri in
- 10:01Speaker 2: the game, but I gotta lay off for that reason
- 10:03Speaker 2: because that does set up kind of an injured player
- 10:06Speaker 2: theory spot where maybe you are getting a little bit
- 10:08Speaker 2: of value in Arkansas and the money looks like it
- 10:10Speaker 2: is coming back on Arkansas for that reason, fifty nine
- 10:13Speaker 2: percent tickets ninety six percent of the cash on them,
- 10:16Speaker 2: So it looks like there is money coming back on
- 10:18Speaker 2: Arkansas at the Missouri favorite price. There we're getting Arkansas
- 10:22Speaker 2: as a dog in the injured player theory spot. I
- 10:25Speaker 2: still think the situation lines up better for Missouri. I
- 10:28Speaker 2: think the injured player spot means a little bit less
- 10:30Speaker 2: in college, but we will see.
- 10:35Speaker 1: USA Network.
- 10:36Speaker 2: At twelve, we have Davidson at Saint Bonaventure UH finishing
- 10:40Speaker 2: the A ten regular season here. Now, the main thing
- 10:44Speaker 2: to notice I think here is that Saint Bonaventure's minus
- 10:46Speaker 2: three and a half. Nobody's gonna lay points with Saint
- 10:49Speaker 2: Bonaventure here. They are five hundred team. Their A ten
- 10:52Speaker 2: record is terrible. Davidson has the better record in both
- 10:56Speaker 2: so like it looks way too easy to play Davidson
- 10:59Speaker 2: as an underdog here, the oddsmakers are telling you the same.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Bonaventure is not as bad as they look.
- 11:04Speaker 2: I believe every team in this conference makes their conference tournament.
- 11:07Speaker 1: So nobody's gonna get eliminated here.
- 11:10Speaker 2: Davidson did just come off a loss as a home
- 11:12Speaker 2: favorite to Saint Joe's though, so that wasn't a great
- 11:15Speaker 2: performance from them, So maybe they might show up in
- 11:20Speaker 2: kind of bounce back mode. I think they've not played
- 11:22Speaker 2: Saint Bonaventure otherwise this year. Uh, Same Bonaventure. I would
- 11:27Speaker 2: still probably lay it with them, though it is their
- 11:28Speaker 2: final home game. They're coming off a couple losses in
- 11:31Speaker 2: a row as well, not playing particularly well right now. Yeah,
- 11:36Speaker 2: it would be same bonadventure for me in that game,
- 11:38Speaker 2: but I got nothing other than that their minus three
- 11:43Speaker 2: right now. It's really just the fact that it looks
- 11:45Speaker 2: way too easy to play David's in there. Fox Sports
- 11:48Speaker 2: won at twelve Butler at DePaul to.
- 11:51Speaker 1: Finish the Big East regular season. Here.
- 11:54Speaker 2: These teams did play earlier this year, Butler won at
- 11:58Speaker 2: home by seven, So I guess they're sort of revenge here.
- 12:01Speaker 2: Don't want to overstate revenge, Butler's coming off a couple well,
- 12:05Speaker 2: they're coming up a bad loss to Creighton at home,
- 12:08Speaker 2: which maybe they were hungover because they played okay against
- 12:11Speaker 2: Villanova on the road the game before. That's so Butler
- 12:14Speaker 2: had a very bad final home game against Creighton, so maybe.
- 12:17Speaker 1: They will still show up for that reason.
- 12:20Speaker 2: For De Paul, they just lost to Villanova pretty bad,
- 12:24Speaker 2: they by nineteen points at home, and this is gonna
- 12:26Speaker 2: be their final home game, so I expect them to
- 12:28Speaker 2: show up as well. And they did lose to Butler
- 12:30Speaker 2: the first time. DePaul is down from three and a
- 12:33Speaker 2: half to three. Though the money is coming in towards
- 12:35Speaker 2: Butler fifty six percent of the ticket to ninety six
- 12:38Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Butler, So the market Reid
- 12:42Speaker 2: for now does appear to be indicating on Butler. You
- 12:46Speaker 2: can take that for what it's worth. I don't really
- 12:47Speaker 2: have much of an opinion on that game at all.
- 12:50Speaker 2: TNT and True TV at noon. By the way, I
- 12:53Speaker 2: think I was correct about both under leans that I
- 12:56Speaker 2: had yesterday, and I was correct I think at least
- 12:58Speaker 2: about that one over and as well.
- 13:02Speaker 1: Although I had two.
- 13:03Speaker 2: Opinions on hockey overs, one of them was right. I
- 13:05Speaker 2: don't know about the other. All right, Noon, True TV,
- 13:09Speaker 2: TNT Xavier and Villanova again regular season closer for Villanova
- 13:16Speaker 2: here at home. Xavier played Villanova pretty tight at home,
- 13:20Speaker 2: so Villanova kind.
- 13:21Speaker 1: Of got a scare.
- 13:22Speaker 2: When they played at Xavier, they only won by three,
- 13:25Speaker 2: so maybe they'll take Xavier a bit more seriously here.
- 13:28Speaker 2: Xavier didn't give us a good performance last game out
- 13:32Speaker 2: when I gave you guys Xavier as a play, I
- 13:34Speaker 2: thought they caught Seaton hall in in a spot to
- 13:37Speaker 2: catch them, and they still didn't do well. Villanova's coming
- 13:41Speaker 2: out of an easy one over to Paul. But this
- 13:43Speaker 2: is their final home game. I think they might take
- 13:45Speaker 2: Xavier a little bit more seriously this time. Villanova's an
- 13:48Speaker 2: eleven and a half paint favorite. Xavier sixty two tickets
- 13:52Speaker 2: and eighty percent of the cash on them though, so
- 13:54Speaker 2: the money is coming in towards Xavier. Villanova tries to
- 13:58Speaker 2: slow the game down, so I'm not really too keen
- 14:00Speaker 2: on laying points with Villanova.
- 14:05Speaker 1: The total is in the one.
- 14:06Speaker 2: Fifties, I think because Xavier tries to speed it up,
- 14:08Speaker 2: so we'll see what I would assume that Villanova would
- 14:11Speaker 2: be able to slow it down though, I mean, they're
- 14:13Speaker 2: at home, they are the better team, but if they do,
- 14:16Speaker 2: maybe it does make.
- 14:17Speaker 1: Sense slean towards taking the points.
- 14:19Speaker 2: There Again, no strong opinion for me there Noon on
- 14:23Speaker 2: Espnu Notre Dame at BC. This is a rivalry of
- 14:27Speaker 2: the two Catholic schools. They already played once this year,
- 14:30Speaker 2: Notre Dame one only by four though at home, so
- 14:34Speaker 2: I believe Notre Dame did not cover the number here. Yeah,
- 14:37Speaker 2: they were seven and a half, so maybe they take
- 14:39Speaker 2: BC a little bit.
- 14:40Speaker 1: Seriously for that reason. Notre Dame, though.
- 14:45Speaker 2: The thing about Notre Dame is they will be in
- 14:46Speaker 2: the ACE or actually, excuse me, they're trying to avoid
- 14:49Speaker 2: missing the ACC Tournament my mistake, because they're tied with
- 14:52Speaker 2: PITT right now. The bottom three teams get dropped from
- 14:56Speaker 2: the ACC tournament, so Georgia Tech and BC are both
- 15:00Speaker 2: they guaranteed to be out of it now, but Notre
- 15:02Speaker 2: Dame and PITT. One of those teams is gonna get eliminated.
- 15:05Speaker 2: And the way Notre Dame has been, I think they've
- 15:08Speaker 2: been more competitive than PIT this year, so I think
- 15:10Speaker 2: they should get in over PIT. But they're gonna have
- 15:13Speaker 2: to win this game to do that, so I guess
- 15:14Speaker 2: there is gonna be motivation on the Notre Dame side
- 15:18Speaker 2: for those couple of reasons. But they're having to go
- 15:21Speaker 2: to Boston for this and this is gonna be BC's
- 15:23Speaker 2: last game because they're not making the ACC Tournament, So
- 15:26Speaker 2: I think you're gonna get an effort out of them.
- 15:28Speaker 2: It's their final home game, it's their last game. But
- 15:31Speaker 2: they did just have to play a tough game at
- 15:33Speaker 2: Virginia Tech. They were, I suppose, still fighting to avoid
- 15:39Speaker 2: missing the a SEC tournament. They didn't do particularly well
- 15:41Speaker 2: in the game. I did get close towards the end.
- 15:43Speaker 2: They cut it to six near the end, so I
- 15:46Speaker 2: guess you could argue that maybe they did put in
- 15:47Speaker 2: an effort in that one. This is a tough game
- 15:51Speaker 2: to handicap, dude. Notre Dame's a one and a half
- 15:53Speaker 2: point favorite up from one, which is basically in line
- 15:57Speaker 2: with the home favorite price that they were in the
- 16:02Speaker 2: first matchup. This is a really difficult handicap too.
- 16:06Speaker 1: Man. Yeah, I kind of.
- 16:10Speaker 2: Want to lead towards Boston College because it is their
- 16:12Speaker 2: final game that they're playing this season.
- 16:14Speaker 1: It's a rivalry and they get to play spoiler. So
- 16:18Speaker 1: I think I would probably lean to BC in that
- 16:20Speaker 1: one slightly.
- 16:22Speaker 2: Next up, ACC Network, this is one of my best bets.
- 16:26Speaker 2: One of them is in regular season play here and
- 16:28Speaker 2: the other is in conference tournament action where I'm own two,
- 16:32Speaker 2: so that's awesome. We're gonna take the seventeen and a
- 16:35Speaker 2: half with Georgia Tech against Clemson. This is a spot
- 16:39Speaker 2: where Clemson is coming off a really close call against
- 16:42Speaker 2: North Carolina and they beat Louisville the game before that,
- 16:45Speaker 2: so they're.
- 16:46Speaker 1: Coming up two huge games.
- 16:48Speaker 2: Clemson, they're pretty secure having a tournament spot now.
- 16:51Speaker 1: I mean, they have twenty one wins. They'll make it.
- 16:55Speaker 2: You know, they're coming up that crazy game against UNC.
- 17:00Speaker 2: Right in that game at the end, man, and they
- 17:02Speaker 2: lost right.
- 17:03Speaker 1: At the end.
- 17:03Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be flat coming into this, and
- 17:05Speaker 2: I think they might be looking ahead to the ACC Tournament.
- 17:08Speaker 1: So I think this is a sandwich spot. Man.
- 17:09Speaker 2: They just played Louisville in North Carolina and they are
- 17:13Speaker 2: looking forward to the ACC Tournament. How I mean, I
- 17:16Speaker 2: know it's their final home game, but how excited do
- 17:18Speaker 2: they really get for Georgia Tech, who they already been
- 17:21Speaker 2: on the road by fourteen points. I don't see them
- 17:24Speaker 2: getting too excited in Georgia Tech. As I said, they're
- 17:27Speaker 2: not playing again, this is their last game of the season,
- 17:30Speaker 2: they're out of the ACC Tournament.
- 17:32Speaker 1: They're in the last.
- 17:33Speaker 2: Place, so I think that means you're gonna get an effort.
- 17:35Speaker 2: I mean, look at how many games they've lost in
- 17:37Speaker 2: a row. Do you want to end your season like that?
- 17:40Speaker 2: Do you want to go into the offseason losing whatever?
- 17:43Speaker 1: Fourteen games in a row.
- 17:44Speaker 2: Whatever this is, I don't know it's I think it's
- 17:46Speaker 2: not quite that many, but whatever it is, it's bad.
- 17:49Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get an effort here.
- 17:51Speaker 2: And the other good thing about this is Clemson plays
- 17:53Speaker 2: really slow, so they are not really a team that's
- 17:57Speaker 2: a style. They don't play a style that enables them
- 18:00Speaker 2: to cover numbers like this, and they can win the
- 18:03Speaker 2: game without covering too. Of course, they can come in
- 18:05Speaker 2: get their final win in the home game. I mean,
- 18:07Speaker 2: of course, if they lose, you know, it's not gonna
- 18:09Speaker 2: help their resume, obviously, But I don't think they're gonna lose.
- 18:12Speaker 2: But we're taking the points here, man, Clemson, they are
- 18:15Speaker 2: down from seventeen to sixteen a half with juice.
- 18:18Speaker 1: I looked at a bunch of different books. I saw
- 18:20Speaker 1: numbers all over the place.
- 18:21Speaker 2: Between seventeen and sixteen and a half. This isn't football,
- 18:25Speaker 2: so seventeen is not a key number. So hopefully It's
- 18:27Speaker 2: still fine at either price. The total is indeed pretty
- 18:30Speaker 2: low in the one to forties. Now Georgia Tech does
- 18:33Speaker 2: they try to go really fast. Georgia Tech does, so
- 18:36Speaker 2: Clemson going slow might you know, frustrate Georgia Tech. But
- 18:42Speaker 2: I think Georgia Tech can still come within this number.
- 18:44Speaker 2: And if Clemson plays slow, it's gonna, I think lower
- 18:48Speaker 2: the total here, which I think is gonna help us
- 18:50Speaker 2: get more of a premium. You know, each point is
- 18:52Speaker 2: gonna be worth more of a premium.
- 18:54Speaker 1: In that case.
- 18:55Speaker 2: The money looks like it is on Georgia Tech's side
- 18:57Speaker 2: here eighty three percent of the tickets ninety eight percent
- 19:00Speaker 2: of the cash on them.
- 19:01Speaker 1: So we will do it.
- 19:02Speaker 2: We will take Georgia Tech plus the points there. All right,
- 19:10Speaker 2: Louisiana attack a Delaware. This is a final home final
- 19:15Speaker 2: regular season game.
- 19:16Speaker 1: Here.
- 19:17Speaker 2: Both of these teams are in letout spots, which is
- 19:19Speaker 2: why I'm talking.
- 19:20Speaker 1: About the game. It's kind of insane.
- 19:22Speaker 2: Louisiana tack just upset Liberty on the road. We know
- 19:25Speaker 2: that Liberty had already clinched the one seed in conference
- 19:28Speaker 2: to USA though, so they didn't really have a whole
- 19:29Speaker 2: lot to play for. It was revenge for a lot
- 19:32Speaker 2: of tech. I almost gave that out as a play
- 19:34Speaker 2: on the show. I should have a mad that I didn't.
- 19:38Speaker 2: Now they're playing a second straight road game, so they
- 19:40Speaker 2: should be in a pretty big letdown spot here. And
- 19:42Speaker 2: they already beat Delaware, but only by two at home
- 19:45Speaker 2: in overtime, and they were six at half point favorites.
- 19:49Speaker 2: So for that reason, maybe they will take Delaware a
- 19:51Speaker 2: little bit seriously. But the other caveat here is Delaware
- 19:56Speaker 2: is coming off a win over Sam Houston.
- 19:58Speaker 1: That was a nice win for Della at home.
- 20:02Speaker 2: But I still think Delaware is probably the better side
- 20:04Speaker 2: here because they did just end a four game losing streak.
- 20:07Speaker 2: They came back home, and they are at home here
- 20:09Speaker 2: for their final home game. So this might be, you know,
- 20:13Speaker 2: senior night whatever, and you know you play your final
- 20:16Speaker 2: home game, you want to get up for it. I
- 20:19Speaker 2: believe this conference also drops their bottom teams, and I
- 20:23Speaker 2: think Delaware is already They're already like they can't make
- 20:26Speaker 2: the conference tournament. I think so, I think this is
- 20:28Speaker 2: their last game. I believe somebody, could you know, correct
- 20:32Speaker 2: me if I'm wrong about that. Actually, I could look
- 20:35Speaker 2: at it real quick. I'm pretty sure the CUSA drops
- 20:37Speaker 2: their bottom like two or three teams.
- 20:41Speaker 1: Let me say.
- 20:44Speaker 2: They drop the bottom two teams, and I'm fairly certain
- 20:47Speaker 2: that Delaware is actually you know what, I don't know
- 20:51Speaker 2: if Delaware is guaranteed to be out or not, but
- 20:53Speaker 2: either way.
- 20:54Speaker 1: They're gonna get it.
- 20:55Speaker 2: You're gonna get an effort out of them, I think
- 20:57Speaker 2: either way. So like, either they're gonna get eliminated from
- 20:59Speaker 2: the conference tournament, which LA Tech is not in danger
- 21:02Speaker 2: of that they're already gonna be in, although they have
- 21:04Speaker 2: a chance of getting a top four seed.
- 21:06Speaker 1: I guess.
- 21:09Speaker 2: Delaware it's either their final game of the entire season or.
- 21:14Speaker 1: They're playing to make the tournament.
- 21:15Speaker 2: So I do think there probably is more motivation on
- 21:18Speaker 2: the Delaware side. LA Tech is down for two and
- 21:20Speaker 2: a half to two here, I would probably only towards
- 21:22Speaker 2: taking the points of Delaware there.
- 21:24Speaker 1: It's you know, it's a handicapper.
- 21:27Speaker 2: Both teams are in kind of difficult spots though, and
- 21:33Speaker 2: you know, the pressure is always on if a team
- 21:35Speaker 2: is trying to avoid missing the tournaments, that's the other thing.
- 21:38Speaker 2: But for Delaware, because they're a home underdog, I think
- 21:41Speaker 2: that's fine because you know, you know you're gonna get
- 21:44Speaker 2: an effort from a team like that, and if they're
- 21:46Speaker 2: an underdog, that's fine.
- 21:48Speaker 1: You just don't want to be like laying points with
- 21:49Speaker 1: a team that needs.
- 21:51Speaker 2: A win, you know what I mean. I don't know
- 21:52Speaker 2: if they do. I have to see like what the
- 21:54Speaker 2: tie breakers are and stuff. But because they're in last
- 21:58Speaker 2: place right now, two teams get I think a lot
- 22:00Speaker 2: would have to go right for them to avoid missing
- 22:03Speaker 2: the conference tournament though in their first year, which by
- 22:07Speaker 2: the way, that is another factor there. These teams in
- 22:10Speaker 2: Conference USA, they're not familiar with Delawar's arena because Delaware
- 22:14Speaker 2: is new to the conference, so.
- 22:18Speaker 1: There is that aspect of it.
- 22:20Speaker 2: By the way, talking about unfamiliar arenas, the Big Twelve
- 22:24Speaker 2: tournament arena this year, we've seen the women playing on
- 22:27Speaker 2: it already. It's a glass floor where they are like
- 22:32Speaker 2: LEDs in the floor that make the floor like a
- 22:36Speaker 2: huge like advertisement billboard, and they could change with the
- 22:39Speaker 2: floor looks like at any time. And the floor is
- 22:42Speaker 2: not hardwood, so the ball bounces differently and because of
- 22:46Speaker 2: the visual effects of it, it like messes with your
- 22:48Speaker 2: sight lines and stuff.
- 22:49Speaker 1: I think it's absolute chaos. So I think there might
- 22:53Speaker 1: be a lot.
- 22:53Speaker 2: Of unders going on, especially early on in Big twelve games,
- 22:57Speaker 2: talking about the men's when the Big Twelve tournaments starts,
- 23:01Speaker 2: and we've already seen the women's tournament do that as well,
- 23:04Speaker 2: So that's something that I will shout it out there
- 23:08Speaker 2: once we get to the Big twelve tournament, Like, first
- 23:10Speaker 2: half unders are probably gonna be good bets in that
- 23:13Speaker 2: tournament generally, because like having that new floor and how
- 23:17Speaker 2: it affects you visually and the bounce of the ball
- 23:20Speaker 2: is gonna be very, very strange and it's gonna take
- 23:22Speaker 2: teams a while to get used to it. I think
- 23:24Speaker 2: it's a dumb idea anyway. Number four, Yukon is at
- 23:28Speaker 2: Marquette on Fox at twelve thirty regular season finale. Here
- 23:33Speaker 2: in this one, Yukon did just have a scare against
- 23:36Speaker 2: Seaton Hall. They almost lost the game in their home
- 23:39Speaker 2: finale to Seaton Hall, so maybe Yukon does have a
- 23:42Speaker 2: little bit of motivation here. Now, I do think Yukon
- 23:45Speaker 2: is locked into the two seed. I think they do
- 23:47Speaker 2: not own the tiebreaker against Saint John's and Saint John's
- 23:51Speaker 2: won yesterday, so I think Yukon is guaranteed the two
- 23:54Speaker 2: seed in the Big East now, believe it or not,
- 23:56Speaker 2: because those two teams split the season series. The tiebreaker
- 24:01Speaker 2: is I think Saint John's has it. Somebody can correct
- 24:04Speaker 2: me if I'm wrong about that. Yukon already beat Marquette
- 24:08Speaker 2: by sixteen at home. Yukon having to go to Milwaukee,
- 24:12Speaker 2: you know, it's a little bit of a weird travel spot,
- 24:14Speaker 2: even though they've had to do it. You know, with
- 24:16Speaker 2: these teams being in the Big East for a while now,
- 24:18Speaker 2: they are somewhat used to it now. But Marquette did
- 24:21Speaker 2: just get a decent win over Providence. I would probably
- 24:24Speaker 2: lean to Marquette in this one, though Yukon does try
- 24:27Speaker 2: to slow it down.
- 24:28Speaker 1: They're laying nine and a half on the road. It's
- 24:30Speaker 1: a low total.
- 24:31Speaker 2: Marquette's gonna try to speed it up, and I'm guessing
- 24:33Speaker 2: they won't be totally successful in doing so. But you know,
- 24:37Speaker 2: if Yukon can't really gain anything by winning this game,
- 24:40Speaker 2: well other than here's the one thing though, Yukon is
- 24:43Speaker 2: still playing for a one seed, so if they lose
- 24:45Speaker 2: this game, they're gonna lose the one seed. So Yukon
- 24:48Speaker 2: does still have that motivation. So I definitely should point
- 24:51Speaker 2: that out. They're a public side though, eighty five percent
- 24:54Speaker 2: of the tickets ninety three percent of the cash on them.
- 24:57Speaker 2: But I think that does, you know, kind of put
- 24:59Speaker 2: some pressure on and it probably means the line is
- 25:01Speaker 2: a bit high on Yukon on the road. You know,
- 25:05Speaker 2: I would probably take the points with Marquette there. That's
- 25:09Speaker 2: the way I would look at that game, all right,
- 25:12Speaker 2: one pm. ESPN Network, South Carolina at ole Miss. South
- 25:17Speaker 2: Carolina has lost three games in a row. I believe
- 25:20Speaker 2: every team in the SEC makes the SEC Tournament, so
- 25:23Speaker 2: there's no it's not gonna be the last time South
- 25:26Speaker 2: Carolina plays.
- 25:27Speaker 3: But.
- 25:29Speaker 2: I think they might want to get a win here.
- 25:31Speaker 2: Man for Old Miss, the spot for Ole Miss is
- 25:33Speaker 2: not good. Ole Miss just played a really tough game.
- 25:37Speaker 2: They just took Vandy right to the wire and their
- 25:39Speaker 2: home finale, Man, that was or excuse me, this is
- 25:41Speaker 2: their home finale. They took Vandy right to the wire though.
- 25:45Speaker 2: That was a huge performance from Old Miss, almost pulling
- 25:48Speaker 2: off the upset of Vandy. So I think they will
- 25:50Speaker 2: be in a hangover spot here. I know this is
- 25:53Speaker 2: their final home game, so there is that concern there.
- 25:56Speaker 2: But I would lean to South Carolina. Here the money
- 25:58Speaker 2: is agreeing with me on this.
- 26:00Speaker 1: This one is not on my card right now. This
- 26:02Speaker 1: was on my short list though.
- 26:04Speaker 2: U Ole Miss is laying seven and they're not really
- 26:07Speaker 2: known as a team that I think they're a pretty
- 26:10Speaker 2: slow based team. I should bring up Ken Palm again. Yeah,
- 26:16Speaker 2: they play slow still Ole Miss does so. Yeah, asking
- 26:19Speaker 2: a team like that to lay points, you know, in
- 26:21Speaker 2: a situation like this, I know South Carolina is bad,
- 26:24Speaker 2: but seventy five percent of tickets are on Old Miss,
- 26:27Speaker 2: fifty three percent of the cash on South Carolina, I
- 26:30Speaker 2: would take the points of South Carolina and that one,
- 26:32Speaker 2: and that was close to being a play for me,
- 26:34Speaker 2: So I do have a decent opinion on that one.
- 26:37Speaker 2: Miami Ohio, by the way, hilariously they keep dropping in
- 26:41Speaker 2: Ken Bomb even though they keep winning, because their wins
- 26:44Speaker 2: are so unimpressive. They dropped to ninetieth. I'm pissed about
- 26:47Speaker 2: that game too, dude. Miami Ohio clearly committed.
- 26:50Speaker 1: A foul on the.
- 26:52Speaker 2: Second to last possession that Ohio had where I think
- 26:55Speaker 2: the game was tied at that point.
- 26:57Speaker 1: It was a full body collision, dude, Like.
- 26:59Speaker 2: You can't just like I agree with letting the players play,
- 27:03Speaker 2: and the commentators on ESPN two or whatever we're saying, Nope.
- 27:07Speaker 1: You don't call that.
- 27:08Speaker 2: You know, you don't have the game decided on a foul.
- 27:10Speaker 2: I'm like, dude, he jumped into him, full body collision.
- 27:14Speaker 2: It's like, if you're not gonna call foul on that,
- 27:16Speaker 2: that means you're not gonna call foul ever on anything.
- 27:19Speaker 1: Like what are you doing here?
- 27:20Speaker 2: They were like, Nope, the offensive player was out of control.
- 27:24Speaker 1: Oh my god. I'm like, yeah, but the foul.
- 27:27Speaker 2: Gets called on the defense in a case, like the
- 27:29Speaker 2: defenders still jumped into him, Like what are you talking about?
- 27:34Speaker 2: Even if the offensive player is out of control, that's
- 27:36Speaker 2: still a defensive foul in that case. It's I don't know, man,
- 27:39Speaker 2: it's ridiculous. I think it should have bet a foul.
- 27:44Speaker 2: I mean yeah, really really stupid. And then Miami Ohio
- 27:48Speaker 2: very unsportsmanlike of them at the end. They were like
- 27:51Speaker 2: flipping off the crowd and taunting them, and then the
- 27:54Speaker 2: crowd started throwing shit at them, which they shouldn't have done,
- 27:56Speaker 2: of course, but what do you expect with a drunk
- 27:59Speaker 2: crowd and Athens, Ohio on a Friday night with nothing
- 28:02Speaker 2: better to do. Miami Ohio. Yeah, dude, win the game.
- 28:08Speaker 2: Just be like we won. Get in the handshake line,
- 28:12Speaker 2: you know, Dude, Like I'm not, you know, a prude
- 28:16Speaker 2: or anything like that, but you know, be more sports
- 28:19Speaker 2: than like than that instead of flipping off the crowd
- 28:21Speaker 2: and being like and waving at them and stuff.
- 28:23Speaker 1: Fuck you.
- 28:24Speaker 2: I hate this Miami Ohio team, Dude, I fucking hate them.
- 28:27Speaker 2: Then the ninth luckiest team in the country, fuck them.
- 28:31Speaker 1: Fuck off. I can't wait until that team loses a game.
- 28:35Speaker 1: Fuck fuckers.
- 28:37Speaker 2: Uh, they're gonna lose in the MAC tournament, dude, it'll
- 28:39Speaker 2: be I hope they lose like the first game in
- 28:42Speaker 2: the MAC Tournament and then they get left out.
- 28:45Speaker 1: The NCAA tournament. Anyway. Fox Sports won At two pm.
- 28:50Speaker 2: Arizona State is at Iowa State. Arizona State is coming
- 28:53Speaker 2: off a huge win against Kansas in their final home game.
- 28:57Speaker 2: That was a great win for Arizona State, win of
- 28:59Speaker 2: the season basically. Now, yeah, you could argue they should
- 29:03Speaker 2: get up for a game against Iowa State.
- 29:05Speaker 1: It's a big game. Iowa State has some reasons to.
- 29:08Speaker 2: Play it though, I mean, they're trying to play for
- 29:09Speaker 2: seeding a little bit here, trying to lock up one
- 29:13Speaker 2: of the top four seeds in the Big twelve tournament,
- 29:15Speaker 2: and they're coming up of I don't want to say
- 29:17Speaker 2: it's a bad loss to Arizona, but they had lost
- 29:19Speaker 2: to Texas Tech last.
- 29:21Speaker 1: Time they were at home.
- 29:21Speaker 2: Prior to that, they lost at Arizona by double digits.
- 29:26Speaker 1: This is their final home game.
- 29:27Speaker 2: I think you will get an effort out of at
- 29:29Speaker 2: Iowa State this time. So this is a game where
- 29:32Speaker 2: I would lean towards laying the points with the favorite.
- 29:36Speaker 1: Iowa State did drop.
- 29:37Speaker 2: From sixteen and a half to fifteen and a half,
- 29:39Speaker 2: though it is a fairly low total in the one forties.
- 29:41Speaker 2: But the only way that I could consider playing that
- 29:44Speaker 2: game would be to lay it with Iowa State. And
- 29:47Speaker 2: I was stay you know, like I said, they're still
- 29:49Speaker 2: trying to get back on the two line in.
- 29:51Speaker 1: The bracketologies as well, so they have some things to
- 29:55Speaker 1: play for. Whether I know some of that.
- 29:57Speaker 2: You know, the pressure's on you, you're laying too many points, whatever.
- 30:00Speaker 2: There is the warrior that Arizona State still treats it
- 30:03Speaker 2: as a big game. It shows up, but I think
- 30:05Speaker 2: Iowa State wins that game. Handily, so that would be
- 30:08Speaker 2: the way I would lean there. CBS at two pm,
- 30:11Speaker 2: Kansas State at Kansas, the Kansas rivalry. Kansas, of course,
- 30:16Speaker 2: already won the first matchup at Kansas State easily by
- 30:19Speaker 2: twenty four points. You might get an effort out of
- 30:23Speaker 2: Kansas State here though, man, I mean, it's revenge.
- 30:25Speaker 1: It's their final.
- 30:26Speaker 2: Home game, or excuse me, it's Kansas's final home game.
- 30:29Speaker 2: I mistake, But even though it is, I think you
- 30:32Speaker 2: might see an effort out of Kansas State this time.
- 30:34Speaker 2: They did just beat West Virginia to end a losing streak.
- 30:37Speaker 1: It's revenge. Kansas might not totally pay attention to them. Kansas.
- 30:43Speaker 2: You know they are coming off a bad loss though
- 30:45Speaker 2: to Arizona State, so that's the thing. So you might
- 30:47Speaker 2: get an effort out of Kansas to here.
- 30:50Speaker 1: Kansas.
- 30:50Speaker 2: I think they do play fairly slow though, although the
- 30:53Speaker 2: total is actually pretty high in the one fifties because
- 30:56Speaker 2: Kansas State likes to go fast. But I think Kansas
- 31:00Speaker 2: is going to slow this thing down. But I would
- 31:03Speaker 2: lean towards taking the points with Kansas State. This one's
- 31:05Speaker 2: definitely not a player or anything like that. Kansas is
- 31:08Speaker 2: a sixteen and a half point favorite here. We don't
- 31:10Speaker 2: really see the percentages yet, but I don't think Kansas
- 31:14Speaker 2: is really the type of team to want to lay
- 31:16Speaker 2: a ton of points with. Typically, they're much better on
- 31:20Speaker 2: the defensive side than the offensive side according to Ken
- 31:22Speaker 2: Palm here top ten defense, but outside the top fifty
- 31:25Speaker 2: on offense.
- 31:26Speaker 1: I think you play a little bit faster than I thought.
- 31:29Speaker 2: But I think because Kansas State is a fast team,
- 31:31Speaker 2: Kansas will want to slow it down a bit because
- 31:34Speaker 2: they do play slower than Kansas State.
- 31:37Speaker 1: Where is Kansas State?
- 31:38Speaker 2: Even here they're at one hundred g they're eighth in
- 31:43Speaker 2: the country in tempo. By the way, Kansas State, but
- 31:45Speaker 2: they are an unlucky team. Oh, by the way, I
- 31:47Speaker 2: forgot to mention for Clemson, they are a pretty unlucky team.
- 31:51Speaker 2: But this Clemson team is way better on defense than offense,
- 31:54Speaker 2: and they play super slow, as I already mentioned. So
- 31:57Speaker 2: that's part of the reason for taking Georgia attack here.
- 31:59Speaker 2: Clemson outside of the top seventy on offense, even though
- 32:02Speaker 2: they're top twenty defense, they play one of the thirty
- 32:06Speaker 2: slowest paces in the country. So that's what we got
- 32:09Speaker 2: going on there. Georgia Tech is.
- 32:12Speaker 1: Where are they at here?
- 32:17Speaker 2: They're one hundred and sixty ninth in the country, which
- 32:19Speaker 2: is of course not great, but they're actually decent defensively.
- 32:22Speaker 2: They're one hundred and twenty ninth on deepense Georgia Tech,
- 32:25Speaker 2: so they can defend a bit.
- 32:27Speaker 1: I know they try to go fast, but they're.
- 32:28Speaker 2: Also a fairly unlucky team, even though I know Clemson
- 32:31Speaker 2: also is, but we don't have much to go on
- 32:33Speaker 2: with the luck index there.
- 32:34Speaker 1: So yeah, Georgia Tech.
- 32:35Speaker 2: Just talking about that play once more because they usually
- 32:38Speaker 2: give the kin palm info out Louisville at number twenty
- 32:41Speaker 2: two Miami two pm ESPNU. Louisville is a hard team
- 32:46Speaker 2: to gauge. Man They're just all over the place because
- 32:49Speaker 2: they rely on threes to such a degree. They did
- 32:51Speaker 2: just get a win against Syracuse in their final home game.
- 32:55Speaker 2: I don't think they played Miami otherwise this year.
- 32:57Speaker 1: I think they will show up for a game against Miami.
- 32:59Speaker 2: I mean, Miami is a ranked team, but I would
- 33:03Speaker 2: bet that Ken bumbas Louisville ranked higher than Miami.
- 33:06Speaker 1: He does.
- 33:06Speaker 2: He has the sixteenth in the country in Miami twenty eighth,
- 33:10Speaker 2: So this is one of those situations where basically the
- 33:13Speaker 2: rankings makers, the AP or whatever they're telling you something
- 33:17Speaker 2: different than what actuality is.
- 33:20Speaker 1: Because Miami keeps winning.
- 33:21Speaker 2: Miami just had a nice win on the road at SMU,
- 33:23Speaker 2: which I thought was a good spot for SMU, and
- 33:27Speaker 2: it was not. I didn't give it out as a
- 33:29Speaker 2: player or anything, but Miami did get that win. Now,
- 33:31Speaker 2: this is Miami's final home game, so I don't think
- 33:34Speaker 2: they're gonna overlook it or anything like that, but I
- 33:37Speaker 2: think I would play Louisville here. Miami has flipped from
- 33:40Speaker 2: a one point dodger a two point favorite, so that's interesting.
- 33:43Speaker 2: I guess we would have to look to see if, like,
- 33:46Speaker 2: is there an injury on the Louisville side.
- 33:49Speaker 1: Yes, there is Michel Brown, however he pronounce his name.
- 33:54Speaker 1: He's Louisville's best player.
- 33:55Speaker 2: He's absolutely an extremely talented player. He's not playing in
- 34:00Speaker 2: this game, so that's why he didn't play against Syracuse either,
- 34:05Speaker 2: so that might have been the injured player spot then
- 34:07Speaker 2: in the game against Syracuse. So now this is their
- 34:09Speaker 2: second game without him, So maybe you see a little
- 34:11Speaker 2: bit of a step back for Louisville there, because he
- 34:13Speaker 2: is a really good player. But sixty seven percent of
- 34:16Speaker 2: tickets on Miami, eighty nine percent of the casual on Louisville.
- 34:19Speaker 1: I would still lean Louisville.
- 34:21Speaker 2: As well here, not caring as much about the injured player.
- 34:24Speaker 2: Theory spot there all right. Number twenty four Vandy at
- 34:28Speaker 2: number twenty three Tennessee ESPN at two pm. This one,
- 34:32Speaker 2: I do think Tennessee is like, really, they're really close.
- 34:37Speaker 2: They might be better than Vanny. Where does ken Bum
- 34:39Speaker 2: have the met Yeah, ken Bum has Tennessee thirteenth in
- 34:42Speaker 2: the country, man very very good on defense. Vandy is
- 34:46Speaker 2: a bit of the better offense here, though he is
- 34:50Speaker 2: Vandy fifteenth in the country. Believe it or not, Vandy
- 34:53Speaker 2: the metrics do like them. This is an interesting game.
- 34:56Speaker 2: I usually like defense over offense, but Tennessee is laying
- 35:00Speaker 2: points here, and this is revenge for Vandy. This is
- 35:03Speaker 2: a huge rivalry, and Tennessee already went to Vandy and
- 35:06Speaker 2: beat them. Where I think Tennessee was really playing with
- 35:09Speaker 2: a chip on their shoulder, like, hey, you know this
- 35:12Speaker 2: Vandy team there are a little brother and they're ranked
- 35:15Speaker 2: higher than us. So I think Tennessee went into that
- 35:16Speaker 2: game with some fire. But now I think the shoes.
- 35:19Speaker 2: On the other foot, I think Vandy can play the
- 35:21Speaker 2: little brother role again here because they are ranked lower
- 35:24Speaker 2: than Tennessee. Again here, Vandy's coming up of a real
- 35:27Speaker 2: close call at Ole Miss too.
- 35:28Speaker 1: Like I said, so, they didn't really play well.
- 35:30Speaker 2: They didn't play well in the prior game against Kentucky,
- 35:32Speaker 2: either in a loss or Kentucky just absolutely shot the
- 35:36Speaker 2: lights out in that game. So I do think Vandy
- 35:38Speaker 2: is gonna give you a lot of effort in this one.
- 35:40Speaker 2: But it is a third straight road game, which doesn't
- 35:43Speaker 2: usually happen in these big conferences, so that might be
- 35:45Speaker 2: a little bit of a concern. Tennessee being in their
- 35:48Speaker 2: final home game and still probably getting up for this
- 35:50Speaker 2: game is still a concern too. They just had an
- 35:53Speaker 2: easy one over South Carolina, so I'd probably lean to
- 35:58Speaker 2: Vandy plus the point points, but not strong for me.
- 36:02Speaker 2: Tennessee down for four and a half to four here,
- 36:05Speaker 2: I do normally, I do like Tennessee better because they
- 36:08Speaker 2: are the better defense. I think they're the more proven,
- 36:11Speaker 2: you know program in recent years. I probably trust Rick
- 36:14Speaker 2: Barnes a little bit more in a game like this too,
- 36:16Speaker 2: but I just don't trust him once they get deep
- 36:19Speaker 2: into a tournament sixty ticket sixty eight percent of the
- 36:22Speaker 2: cash on Tennessee an NCAA tournament, I should say so
- 36:27Speaker 2: Tennessee public side, it looks like maybe a little bit
- 36:29Speaker 2: more of the money for now, but I wouldn't really
- 36:31Speaker 2: put much stock in a one percent difference there.
- 36:35Speaker 1: So that's what we got going on there. I know,
- 36:39Speaker 1: I haven't really talked about the IVY.
- 36:42Speaker 2: There's not really a whole lot to say about the
- 36:43Speaker 2: IVY League, to be honest, So you know, I don't
- 36:47Speaker 2: know if I'm gonna have anything to say really, USA
- 36:49Speaker 2: Network at two pm, George Washington is at the horrendous
- 36:52Speaker 2: Loyala Chicago. I don't know if these two teams already
- 36:57Speaker 2: played once. I don't think they know they did. George
- 36:59Speaker 2: Washing one one, one hundred and one to sixty six
- 37:04Speaker 2: is what they beat Loyola Chicago by at home, So
- 37:08Speaker 2: they really might not take them seriously whatsoever. Here George
- 37:14Speaker 2: Washington going out on the road here, although gw you know,
- 37:17Speaker 2: I mean, I guess you could argue the fighting for
- 37:20Speaker 2: seeding here. I think George Washington is gonna be a
- 37:22Speaker 2: disruptor in the A ten tournament. Man, I think they're
- 37:25Speaker 2: like the third best team maybe fourth in this conference.
- 37:28Speaker 2: So once you get to tournament time, we'll see what
- 37:30Speaker 2: they do. This is not a game where I would
- 37:33Speaker 2: play George Washington, though it's gonna be Loyola's final home game. Yes,
- 37:37Speaker 2: still make the conference tournament, because every team makes the
- 37:39Speaker 2: conference tournament.
- 37:40Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure.
- 37:42Speaker 2: Loyola coming up a double digit loss to Saint louis
- 37:45Speaker 2: no shock there. I believe they cover the number in
- 37:48Speaker 2: that one because it was on the road and they
- 37:50Speaker 2: only lost by fourteen, so that's not really that bad.
- 37:54Speaker 2: I guess you have to ask was the game actually
- 37:57Speaker 2: close at all, which the answer is no, so they
- 37:59Speaker 2: pretty much to get blown out ish in that game.
- 38:03Speaker 2: This is their final home game. I'd lean to Loyola here,
- 38:05Speaker 2: but I know it's real ugly. GW is up to
- 38:10Speaker 2: a ten point road favorite in that one. They're certainly
- 38:14Speaker 2: the better team and they're an underrated team, but.
- 38:17Speaker 1: That's a spot where I.
- 38:18Speaker 2: Think the home dog would be the way I would
- 38:20Speaker 2: look TNT True TV at two PM. Very interesting game
- 38:24Speaker 2: between two teams that are on the bubble, Cincinnati and TCU.
- 38:29Speaker 2: I think Cincinnati needs the win more though, because they're
- 38:33Speaker 2: you saw my bracketology, they're in the next four out
- 38:36Speaker 2: in my bracketology. They're a good team, man, The metrics
- 38:40Speaker 2: like them. They're very good on depfense. They're playing really
- 38:42Speaker 2: well over the last month or so. Cincinnati is a
- 38:45Speaker 2: dangerous team. They have not played TCU yet this year.
- 38:48Speaker 2: I don't think they do have to go on the
- 38:50Speaker 2: road for it though. Cincinnati is coming off of drilling BYU,
- 38:54Speaker 2: So Cincinnati had a great final home game and they
- 38:57Speaker 2: might be feeling a little bit high on themselves after that.
- 39:00Speaker 2: To go to Texas a bit of a weird travel
- 39:02Speaker 2: spot here, so maybe that'll affect them. They've been pretty
- 39:06Speaker 2: decent on the road though, to be honest, Like they
- 39:08Speaker 2: did win at Kansas, so you know they have had
- 39:12Speaker 2: some road success this year. TCU is coming up a
- 39:16Speaker 2: huge win though over Texas Tech. TCU is basically they've
- 39:20Speaker 2: all but ensured themselves a tournament spot. I mean, I
- 39:23Speaker 2: don't think a twenty win Big twelve team is going
- 39:25Speaker 2: to be left out.
- 39:26Speaker 1: I highly doubt it.
- 39:27Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, I think Cincinnati needs the game
- 39:32Speaker 2: more and I know need doesn't mean that the pressure
- 39:34Speaker 2: is on you. So you know, you might be an
- 39:37Speaker 2: overvalued commodity. But in this case, Cincinnati is going to
- 39:40Speaker 2: be an underdog, So I think Cincinnati is the way
- 39:42Speaker 2: to look here. TCU coming up that nice win at
- 39:46Speaker 2: Texas Tech that was a win here on the show
- 39:47Speaker 2: as well, gave that out as a winner. So you
- 39:51Speaker 2: could potentially see maybe more of a letdown from TCU
- 39:54Speaker 2: than you would from Cincinnati here, because they've all but
- 39:58Speaker 2: pretty much ensured themselves a tournament spot.
- 40:00Speaker 1: Though it's not completely definitive, and you do have.
- 40:02Speaker 2: To worry about bubble Steelers, you know, in some of
- 40:05Speaker 2: these conference tournaments. But I would lean to Cincinnati here.
- 40:09Speaker 2: TCU is a two point favorite. I know, final home
- 40:12Speaker 2: game a lot of times you do get up for it.
- 40:14Speaker 2: But yeah, I like Cincinnati here. Fifty percent of tickets,
- 40:18Speaker 2: ninety four percent of the cash on them. Not on
- 40:21Speaker 2: my card, but I would take the points with them.
- 40:25Speaker 2: SMU at Florida State on ACC Network at two pm.
- 40:29Speaker 2: SMU has lost three games in a row and they're
- 40:32Speaker 2: falling fast. Man, They're on the verge of falling out
- 40:35Speaker 2: of the tournament. If they get one more win, they're
- 40:37Speaker 2: a twenty.
- 40:37Speaker 1: Win ACC team.
- 40:40Speaker 2: I don't know, because the ACC team is not as
- 40:42Speaker 2: good and California is probably not gonna make it in.
- 40:44Speaker 2: They're one of those SMU. Man, they needed that win
- 40:48Speaker 2: over Miami and it didn't happen. So I don't know
- 40:52Speaker 2: what's gonna happen here. You might see them hung over
- 40:54Speaker 2: a little bit after that loss, but they probably know
- 40:58Speaker 2: that they need to put it in an effort here too, man,
- 40:59Speaker 2: So I could see it going both ways, like will
- 41:02Speaker 2: you get a deflated SMU team here? Will you get
- 41:04Speaker 2: a lot of effort out of them here? I'm not sure.
- 41:07Speaker 1: Now.
- 41:07Speaker 2: SMU did only beat Florida State by three at home,
- 41:10Speaker 2: and SMU were double digit favorites in that game, so
- 41:14Speaker 2: they did get a scare the other time they played
- 41:16Speaker 2: Florida States. They might take Florida State seriously. Florida State's
- 41:19Speaker 2: also been playing fairly well recently. We'll see they might
- 41:23Speaker 2: be able to pull something in the tournament. Man, Like
- 41:26Speaker 2: in the ACC tournament. I think if any one of
- 41:28Speaker 2: these teams as kind of a dark horse, So we'll
- 41:30Speaker 2: talk about it when the tournament structure is set up.
- 41:32Speaker 2: A Florida State could be a team that might make
- 41:35Speaker 2: some noise in that tournament. Florida State did just beat
- 41:40Speaker 2: Pitt only by one on the road, and now they're
- 41:43Speaker 2: back at home for their final home game, so I
- 41:45Speaker 2: think you're gonna get an effort out of Florida State
- 41:47Speaker 2: here as well, because they just got a scare from
- 41:49Speaker 2: Pitt and this is their final home game and it's
- 41:52Speaker 2: technically revenge for the earlier season loss too, So I'm
- 41:56Speaker 2: not doing anything with this game. I'd probably lean towards
- 41:59Speaker 2: that though, and the money is concurring with that. I mean,
- 42:03Speaker 2: when you have a team that probably will take the
- 42:07Speaker 2: opponent seriously and you probably have to get effort out
- 42:09Speaker 2: of them because they're a bubble team right now and
- 42:12Speaker 2: they're getting points, I think that's probably the way to look.
- 42:16Speaker 1: But tough read Man.
- 42:18Speaker 2: Florida State is indeed a one and a half point favorite,
- 42:21Speaker 2: seventy five percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
- 42:23Speaker 2: cash on SMU though. SMU will be a public side
- 42:27Speaker 2: too though, so that's one maybe other concern there. People
- 42:30Speaker 2: are gonna look at this and like it's a pick
- 42:32Speaker 2: the winner situation. They know SMU is trying to make
- 42:35Speaker 2: the tournament, so I think the public will be on SMU.
- 42:38Speaker 2: That is a concern, and it looks kind of too
- 42:40Speaker 2: easy to take them as the team with the better
- 42:42Speaker 2: record in a pick the winner situation. Princeid at Yale,
- 42:48Speaker 2: A'll just shout out quickly because Yale they only have
- 42:51Speaker 2: three conference losses, and believe it or not, one of
- 42:53Speaker 2: them was at home to Princeton. I believe so I know. No,
- 42:57Speaker 2: it was on the road at Princeton. Sorry, they lost
- 43:00Speaker 2: by sixteen points at Princeton. That was their worst conference loss.
- 43:05Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna show up for this one manually.
- 43:08Speaker 2: Yale actually has one more wait, no, this is the tournament.
- 43:13Speaker 2: Get so I guess Yale already has the one seed
- 43:15Speaker 2: wrapped up, so I think seeding why Yale doesn't need
- 43:19Speaker 2: to win this game because they're already the one seed.
- 43:22Speaker 2: We already know they're gonna be playing Cornell. So there
- 43:25Speaker 2: is all that, and it's, like I said, that is
- 43:27Speaker 2: actually what's happening. They have to play Cornell in Ithaca
- 43:31Speaker 2: in the IVY Tournament. I don't know why the IVY
- 43:33Speaker 2: Tournament is set up that way, Like, why would you?
- 43:36Speaker 1: Why would you screw your best team like that?
- 43:39Speaker 2: Man, They basically have to play a road game against
- 43:42Speaker 2: Cornell in the tournament.
- 43:43Speaker 1: Fucking stupid.
- 43:44Speaker 2: But I think Yale might show up here, man, because
- 43:47Speaker 2: they know that they lost to Princeton. This is Yale's
- 43:51Speaker 2: final home game Princeton. You know they can't really play
- 43:55Speaker 2: spoiler because Yale already has the one seed, although I
- 43:58Speaker 2: guess you could argue that you know there is the
- 44:01Speaker 2: chance you don't get a huge effort out of Yale
- 44:02Speaker 2: here because they're looking forward to the conference tournament already.
- 44:05Speaker 2: Princeton just ended along losing streak and probably will show
- 44:09Speaker 2: up because it's the last time they're playing this year.
- 44:11Speaker 2: So it's an interesting handicap. I don't want anything to
- 44:14Speaker 2: do with the game. Yale's a fourteen point favorite, though
- 44:19Speaker 2: total is low in the one thirties. It's a difficult read.
- 44:25Speaker 2: I probably would actually still lean towards taking the points
- 44:27Speaker 2: with Princeton in that one. I don't think the revenge
- 44:29Speaker 2: angle is enough for Yale to cover a huge number
- 44:32Speaker 2: like that when they have bigger things to do, and
- 44:36Speaker 2: Princeton might go all out for their last game. All right,
- 44:40Speaker 2: Sam Houston and Liberty, This game doesn't really have too
- 44:43Speaker 2: many ramifications because Liberty these teams are already both locked
- 44:46Speaker 2: into their seeds in the CUSA. Liberty is already the
- 44:49Speaker 2: one seed. Sam Houston already the two seed, doesn't matter
- 44:52Speaker 2: what happens here. Liberty did already win at sam Houston,
- 44:56Speaker 2: so there is a road revenge angle here for sam
- 45:00Speaker 2: Houston Liberty final home game.
- 45:05Speaker 1: So maybe they get up for that reason. But I
- 45:07Speaker 1: don't know.
- 45:07Speaker 2: I think the road revenge angle might be stronger Sam Houston.
- 45:11Speaker 2: They did lose a winning streak though, so I don't
- 45:13Speaker 2: love that they lost a five game win streak. When
- 45:16Speaker 2: teams lose win streaks a lot of times they will
- 45:18Speaker 2: be hung over. Both teams are coming up ugly losses
- 45:22Speaker 2: as favorites. Liberties was worse at home against LA Tech,
- 45:26Speaker 2: but they just didn't care about the game sam Houston.
- 45:28Speaker 2: Under they care that much about Delaware either. Maybe they
- 45:31Speaker 2: were looking ahead. Maybe this Liberty game does mean a
- 45:35Speaker 2: little bit of something of Sam Houston for revenge purposes
- 45:38Speaker 2: and whatever Liberty.
- 45:40Speaker 1: You know, it's possible that neither of.
- 45:42Speaker 2: These teams want to show anything in case they match
- 45:45Speaker 2: up in the conference tournament, but we'll see. Of course,
- 45:49Speaker 2: there's a decent chance one of those teams get or
- 45:51Speaker 2: one or both get knocked out of the conference tournament
- 45:53Speaker 2: or early on because it's a bad conference overall. Man,
- 45:57Speaker 2: it could be chaos. Liberty's up to a foreign half
- 46:00Speaker 2: point favorite. I would probably take the points with Sam Houston,
- 46:03Speaker 2: but it's a pretty difficult read in that game. I
- 46:06Speaker 2: don't want anything to do with it, all, right, Sam
- 46:09Speaker 2: Houston or excuse Stanford at NC State at two fifteen
- 46:14Speaker 2: pm CW Network, Stanford having to go to kind of
- 46:18Speaker 2: an unfamiliar venue here, Stanford's on a three game win streak. Now,
- 46:22Speaker 2: I don't think Stanford is under any delusion that they
- 46:25Speaker 2: can really be a tournament.
- 46:26Speaker 1: Team this year.
- 46:28Speaker 2: They're probably gonna wind up in one of those invitational
- 46:30Speaker 2: tournaments after the season is over, which it seems like
- 46:34Speaker 2: that happens to Stanford a lot recently. But maybe they'll
- 46:38Speaker 2: show up because they do get to play a team
- 46:40Speaker 2: that is projected to be in the tournament in NC State.
- 46:43Speaker 2: But this is NC State's final home game, and NC
- 46:46Speaker 2: State's coming off three straight losses that we're all really ugly.
- 46:51Speaker 2: I mean, they got blown out by Virginia and Duke,
- 46:53Speaker 2: and I mean, I'm not gonna blame them too much,
- 46:56Speaker 2: but I gave on NC State as a play on
- 46:58Speaker 2: the show here. I thought they caught Duke in a
- 47:00Speaker 2: good spot and they still put up a horrible performance
- 47:03Speaker 2: and they lost a Notre Dame in the middle of there.
- 47:07Speaker 2: NC State, you gotta get an effort out of them here.
- 47:10Speaker 2: I mean, those performances are just all way too embarrassing.
- 47:14Speaker 1: This is their final home game.
- 47:17Speaker 2: You know, it's a tough handicap because I think both
- 47:19Speaker 2: teams will show up NC State still, I guess, kind
- 47:24Speaker 2: of fighting to make sure that they make the tournament.
- 47:26Speaker 1: I think they will be in. They're a nine point favorite, though.
- 47:30Speaker 2: Fifty percent of tickets ninety five percent of the cash
- 47:32Speaker 2: on Stanford, so the money is coming in on Stanford.
- 47:37Speaker 2: I have a real difficult time trying to figure this
- 47:39Speaker 2: one out, man. I mean, obviously I would not come
- 47:41Speaker 2: close to touching this game. It's an interesting game. The
- 47:47Speaker 2: money is saying Stanford, so take that for what it's worth.
- 47:49Speaker 2: I guess I don't know how much that is really worth. Okay,
- 47:53Speaker 2: I'm skipping all the conference tournament games for now that
- 47:55Speaker 2: I'm gonna circle back and talk about a lot of them.
- 47:57Speaker 2: There's so many games to talk about. George at Mississippi
- 48:00Speaker 2: State at three thirty PM. I looked at this game
- 48:04Speaker 2: because Georgia is coming of a huge win over Alabama.
- 48:07Speaker 2: That was a very nice win for Georgia. Now they're
- 48:09Speaker 2: gonna go on the road and play a bad Mississippi
- 48:12Speaker 2: State team. They did not play them otherwise this year.
- 48:15Speaker 2: I don't believe, but they might not have total focus here.
- 48:18Speaker 2: Georgia is pretty much they've secured themselves a tournament spot.
- 48:22Speaker 1: I would have to say they're gonna be in Mississippi State.
- 48:26Speaker 2: Just got blown out multiple games in a row final
- 48:29Speaker 2: home game. You gotta think they're gonna give you an
- 48:31Speaker 2: effort here at the very least they catch a tournament
- 48:34Speaker 2: team at home. The money looks like it's coming in
- 48:37Speaker 2: on Georgia. But the only way I would play this
- 48:38Speaker 2: game is taking the points in Mississippi State.
- 48:41Speaker 1: I worry a little bit because it is you know, Georgia.
- 48:44Speaker 2: They like to go frenetically fast and they score a
- 48:47Speaker 2: ton of points, so you're having to deal with that.
- 48:49Speaker 2: So I prefer taking points against like slower based teams.
- 48:53Speaker 2: But Mississippi State would be the way I would play
- 48:55Speaker 2: this game. This is close to being a play for me.
- 48:58Speaker 2: Sixty two percent of tickets, seventy seven percent of the
- 49:00Speaker 2: cash on Georgia, maybe a little bit worried some of
- 49:03Speaker 2: the money looks like it's on Georgia for now. But yeah,
- 49:06Speaker 2: the only way I could see playing that game would
- 49:07Speaker 2: be to take the points.
- 49:09Speaker 1: With Mississippi State.
- 49:12Speaker 2: ESPN at four pm, we have a pretty interesting game
- 49:14Speaker 2: between number five Florida, who really is a legit team. Man,
- 49:19Speaker 2: They might be like the fourth best team in the
- 49:21Speaker 2: country at Kentucky. Now, this is a revenge game for Kentucky.
- 49:26Speaker 1: Florida did beat them by nine at home Florida in the.
- 49:31Speaker 2: What's their coach's named, Todd Golden in his era, they
- 49:34Speaker 2: had not beaten Kentucky at all. Before that they were
- 49:37Speaker 2: own four, so they have struggled against Kentucky. And here's
- 49:41Speaker 2: the thing, man, Florida, they're coming off two ridiculous performances.
- 49:45Speaker 2: So they put up one hundred and eleven and one
- 49:46Speaker 2: hundred and eight points against Arkansas and then Mississippi State.
- 49:49Speaker 2: Who cares really, but Florida looks unbeatable right now. Man,
- 49:54Speaker 2: it is revenge. It's a tricky spot. They're going on
- 49:57Speaker 2: the road here. Florida's gonna be laying points in this one,
- 50:00Speaker 2: and everybody kind of knows.
- 50:02Speaker 1: So here's the thing.
- 50:03Speaker 2: Florida has wrapped up the one seed in the seced
- 50:05Speaker 2: that's done. They're gonna be the one seed in the
- 50:07Speaker 2: SEC Tournament, three game lead over Alabama and Arkansas.
- 50:11Speaker 1: Now, the problem is everybody knows.
- 50:14Speaker 2: Florida's fighting for a one seed, and if they lose
- 50:17Speaker 2: this game, they're not gonna get a one seed. So
- 50:20Speaker 2: they might have motivation still here if they're trying to
- 50:22Speaker 2: get a one seed, because I would fade Florida here. Otherwise, Man,
- 50:26Speaker 2: I like Kentucky in this game. That's still the way
- 50:29Speaker 2: I would lean in this game. But I worry a
- 50:30Speaker 2: little bit that Florida might still have motivation because they've
- 50:33Speaker 2: been bad against Kentucky, you know, in recent years, and
- 50:38Speaker 2: the one seed is really kind of the motivator there,
- 50:41Speaker 2: but you are asking him to lay points on the road.
- 50:43Speaker 2: Kentucky's coming off a loss that was a win I
- 50:45Speaker 2: gave out on the show on Texas A and M.
- 50:48Speaker 2: Kentucky was coming off beating Vandy and they had this
- 50:50Speaker 2: huge Florida game on decks, So they're in a pretty
- 50:53Speaker 2: clear sandwich in that one. They took the loss. Now
- 50:57Speaker 2: they got their final home game here. This is a
- 51:00Speaker 2: game where it does look really easy to lay the
- 51:02Speaker 2: points of Florida. They're down from seven to six and
- 51:04Speaker 2: a half. Unfortunately, I think you've lost the key number
- 51:07Speaker 2: of seven there. But eighty eight percent of the tickets
- 51:10Speaker 2: and cash on Florida, they're gonna be a heavily public side.
- 51:13Speaker 1: It looks so easy to lay.
- 51:14Speaker 2: The points of Florida when they're just a machine and
- 51:17Speaker 2: blowing everybody out. But I would take the Points of
- 51:20Speaker 2: Kentucky if.
- 51:21Speaker 1: I was gonna play that one.
- 51:23Speaker 2: It's not on my card, but you know, all right,
- 51:26Speaker 2: CBS at four pm, wisconstant is at number fifteen Perdue.
- 51:31Speaker 2: I think Purdue is kind of an underrated commodity at
- 51:34Speaker 2: this point. Man, This Purdue team ken bum has the
- 51:36Speaker 2: seventh in the country. I mean, they're very very efficient
- 51:39Speaker 2: on offense. They're not very good on defense. They're the
- 51:42Speaker 2: worst defensive team in Kenbump's top Inside is top twenty,
- 51:48Speaker 2: inside is top fifteen.
- 51:49Speaker 1: I should say.
- 51:50Speaker 2: But I think there's a lot of Purdue disdain right
- 51:55Speaker 2: now because they keep losing at home. But I think
- 51:57Speaker 2: that's exactly when you're gonna see them win a game
- 51:59Speaker 2: at home, you know what I mean. Oh, last time
- 52:01Speaker 2: they were at home, they lost again to Michigan State. Yeah,
- 52:04Speaker 2: but again luk who they lost to at home? They
- 52:06Speaker 2: lost to Michigan State and Michigan, Illinois and.
- 52:13Speaker 1: Iowa State.
- 52:14Speaker 2: I think, yeah, so those are their four home losses.
- 52:16Speaker 2: You know, it's yeah, Purdue has lost more at home
- 52:18Speaker 2: than they usually do. But what's the common thread between
- 52:22Speaker 2: all those teams they lost to at home?
- 52:24Speaker 1: Oh?
- 52:24Speaker 2: Yeah, all of them are in Ken bombs top ten,
- 52:27Speaker 2: Michigan State, at Iowa State, Illinois, and Michigan. So those
- 52:31Speaker 2: are all elite teams pretty much. The Purdue loss to
- 52:34Speaker 2: at home, Wisconsin is not elite. They're twenty fifth and
- 52:38Speaker 2: Ken Pom. So Purdue should not lose this game. I
- 52:41Speaker 2: wouldn't imagine Wisconsin. We got to see what's going on
- 52:45Speaker 2: with the Winter. As I mentioned, they're big man. I'm
- 52:48Speaker 2: guessing he's not gonna play.
- 52:50Speaker 1: In this game.
- 52:51Speaker 2: He did, He's considered day to day, but because you know,
- 52:54Speaker 2: they want to get him ready for the tournament and whatever,
- 52:57Speaker 2: Wisconsin might actually rest him in this game. They just
- 52:59Speaker 2: blew out Maryland, Wisconsin might start looking ahead to the
- 53:03Speaker 2: conference tournament. I think there's a very I don't even
- 53:05Speaker 2: know if there's an outside chance they can get a
- 53:07Speaker 2: top four seed. I think Wisconsin they're pretty much I think,
- 53:10Speaker 2: locked into either the five seed or the sixth seed
- 53:13Speaker 2: in the Big Ten tournament.
- 53:15Speaker 1: So I don't think they really can.
- 53:17Speaker 2: I mean, they could jump Perdue, but I just don't
- 53:19Speaker 2: think they really That's not what they have in mind
- 53:22Speaker 2: right now.
- 53:23Speaker 1: Man.
- 53:23Speaker 2: They want to make a run in the Big Ten
- 53:24Speaker 2: tournament probably, So I know it sounds weird, but Wisconsin
- 53:29Speaker 2: might actually not have as much motivation as you might
- 53:32Speaker 2: think in this game.
- 53:34Speaker 1: I don't believe they played or no, they did.
- 53:36Speaker 2: Wisconsin did luci Berdu at home earlier this year, so
- 53:39Speaker 2: I guess there is maybe a road revenge mode of here.
- 53:41Speaker 2: And I guess you could make the argument that you know,
- 53:44Speaker 2: with their injured player out, maybe they'll show up with
- 53:46Speaker 2: better effort here with their best player, well, one of
- 53:49Speaker 2: their best players out.
- 53:51Speaker 1: Winter if he is a ded out. I don't know
- 53:53Speaker 1: if he is, because it looks like he avoided a
- 53:56Speaker 1: serious injury. There. Good for Wisconsin. For Purdue, Purdue's.
- 54:02Speaker 2: Coming off a scare, Dude, they haven't been playing well.
- 54:05Speaker 2: They lost the last game at home to Michigan State
- 54:07Speaker 2: or the Michigan State's very good. They went out on
- 54:10Speaker 2: the road, lost to Ohio State, and then they almost
- 54:12Speaker 2: lost in Northwestern. Although I keep telling your Northwestern is
- 54:15Speaker 2: not as bad as they look. Northwestern could be an
- 54:18Speaker 2: interesting team in the Big Ten tournament man, because they're
- 54:21Speaker 2: I think they're the most underrated team in the entire conference.
- 54:24Speaker 1: They're not anywhere close to as bad as they look.
- 54:28Speaker 2: Purdue had trouble with them and almost lost the game,
- 54:30Speaker 2: but I think Purdue was gonna see that as an
- 54:32Speaker 2: escape because they were still a big favorite in that
- 54:35Speaker 2: game and they almost lost the game. So I think
- 54:37Speaker 2: you will get an effort out of Purdue here in
- 54:39Speaker 2: their final home game. I don't know if they have
- 54:43Speaker 2: a shot to get one of the top four seeds
- 54:45Speaker 2: in the conference or not. Purduees kind of playing for
- 54:48Speaker 2: tournament seeding as well.
- 54:49Speaker 1: Though.
- 54:50Speaker 2: The money's coming in on Wisconsin, but I kind of disagree.
- 54:53Speaker 2: I think I would lay it with Purdue in this one.
- 54:55Speaker 2: Purdue is an eight and a half point favorite. The
- 54:58Speaker 2: tickets are on them the casual Wisconsin, but I kind.
- 55:01Speaker 1: Of disagree with that.
- 55:03Speaker 2: Read There US Say Network at four PM, Number twenty
- 55:06Speaker 2: five Saint Louis Is at George Mason in the Atlantic
- 55:10Speaker 2: Ten at regular season finale, all the games I've talked
- 55:12Speaker 2: about so far regular season Saint Louis coming off kind
- 55:17Speaker 2: of an if he performance against Loyola Chicago, but they're
- 55:20Speaker 2: kind of just playing out the stretch.
- 55:21Speaker 1: Now.
- 55:22Speaker 2: They got to go to George Mason, who is an
- 55:24Speaker 2: overrated team. They're not as good as their record looks,
- 55:26Speaker 2: but I think now that George Mason has shown that
- 55:29Speaker 2: and they've lost a bunch of games recently, you might
- 55:32Speaker 2: get an effort from them in their final home game.
- 55:34Speaker 2: But they are coming up a really tough game at
- 55:36Speaker 2: VCU where they only lost by five. So George Mason
- 55:40Speaker 2: did play pretty well in that game at VCU. So
- 55:43Speaker 2: how much will George Mason have left in the tank
- 55:45Speaker 2: is another question that we need to ask here. George
- 55:48Speaker 2: Mason sixty seven percent of tickets and only fifty eight
- 55:50Speaker 2: percent of the cash, so they actually look like a
- 55:53Speaker 2: public underdog here. Believing or not, Saint Louis is laying
- 55:58Speaker 2: seven and a half on the road here. I'd probably
- 56:02Speaker 2: still lean towards taking the points with George Mason, but
- 56:04Speaker 2: I know they're not.
- 56:05Speaker 1: As good as people think they are.
- 56:07Speaker 2: The public looks like they are siding with them for
- 56:09Speaker 2: whatever reason, maybe thinking oh, this is gonna be a
- 56:12Speaker 2: sneaky underdog pick here. I don't know, but Saint Louis
- 56:15Speaker 2: is also not that familiar with a lot of these
- 56:18Speaker 2: road venues, you know, you know, so they have been
- 56:20Speaker 2: tripped up on the road.
- 56:23Speaker 1: I think Saint Louis.
- 56:24Speaker 2: Yeah, like their actual conference losses have come on the road,
- 56:28Speaker 2: including at Rhode Island and Dayton. Dayton is better than
- 56:33Speaker 2: George Mason. Rhode Island is not, though, I don't think so. Yeah,
- 56:39Speaker 2: it's it's a tough game to handicap in that one too.
- 56:42Speaker 2: New Mexico and Utah State is a pretty good game.
- 56:44Speaker 1: Man. It's not a.
- 56:45Speaker 2: TV because CBS Sports is covering like Missouri Valley and
- 56:50Speaker 2: stuff in conference tournament.
- 56:51Speaker 1: Actually, this game would be on TV otherwise.
- 56:54Speaker 2: I'm surprised it's nowhere because this is a good game
- 56:58Speaker 2: New Mexico. I gave you guys call Colorado State against
- 57:01Speaker 2: them in their last game. New Mexico took the loss
- 57:03Speaker 2: in that game, so they might be in bounced back
- 57:06Speaker 2: mode after that.
- 57:07Speaker 1: They did lose at home badly to Utah.
- 57:09Speaker 2: State earlier this year by twenty points, so they might
- 57:11Speaker 2: show up with some vengeance in this one. The problem
- 57:15Speaker 2: is Utah State is coming up a horrible loss at
- 57:18Speaker 2: UNLV ninety two to sixty five. That's one of the
- 57:23Speaker 2: worst losses that you'll see from this Utah State team.
- 57:27Speaker 2: I mean, that's a crazy bad loss, and this is
- 57:29Speaker 2: their final home game, So you gotta think the Utah
- 57:31Speaker 2: State's gonna give you the effort to they still I
- 57:34Speaker 2: don't believe they've locked up the one seed yet in
- 57:36Speaker 2: the Mountain West, New Mexico is still kind of in
- 57:38Speaker 2: the mix.
- 57:39Speaker 1: There fighting for seeding as well.
- 57:40Speaker 2: So very interesting game where I think both teams are
- 57:43Speaker 2: gonna show up. Utah States at seven and a half
- 57:47Speaker 2: point favorite. Utah State's coming off the worst loss for sure,
- 57:52Speaker 2: and it is their final home game, but it is
- 57:54Speaker 2: a big road revenge game for New Mexico. I kind
- 57:58Speaker 2: of think I would lean towards taking the points of
- 58:00Speaker 2: New Mexico there, but it's you know, it's really not
- 58:03Speaker 2: a strong opinion for me there.
- 58:06Speaker 1: You know, both teams.
- 58:09Speaker 2: Are kind of known for scoring, but maybe an under
- 58:12Speaker 2: could be in the cards in that one. Total's fairly
- 58:15Speaker 2: high at one fifty seven and a half. But if
- 58:17Speaker 2: it's like a playoff type of atmosphere, maybe.
- 58:19Speaker 1: You see something like that. I don't know. Man Espnu.
- 58:23Speaker 2: At four pm, Florida Atlantic is at Wichita FAU. I
- 58:27Speaker 2: think they were injured earlier in the season and now
- 58:29Speaker 2: they're kind of coming together and they could be a
- 58:31Speaker 2: dangerous team in the American Conference tournament. Here they already
- 58:36Speaker 2: beat Wichita earlier this year eighty five to sixty seven
- 58:40Speaker 2: at home, so they did win in a blowout basically,
- 58:43Speaker 2: so there is kind of a revenge motive for Wichita
- 58:45Speaker 2: here on Wichita's floor. FAU having to go to Wichita
- 58:50Speaker 2: is kind of a weird travel spot. But FAU is
- 58:52Speaker 2: coming off a really bad performance. They're coming out of
- 58:55Speaker 2: an escape where they almost lost at home to Charlotte,
- 58:58Speaker 2: so that's not great of them. So they well, it's
- 59:01Speaker 2: good for them in this game because they might show
- 59:03Speaker 2: up with effort. Wichita just won on the road at Utsa,
- 59:06Speaker 2: but they do have momentum.
- 59:08Speaker 1: It's their final home game.
- 59:09Speaker 2: It's a revenge game for them, so I don't see
- 59:11Speaker 2: them not showing up in this one.
- 59:13Speaker 1: Wichita.
- 59:14Speaker 2: You know, there is still seating I think sort of
- 59:17Speaker 2: for both these teams. To play for here, these teams
- 59:19Speaker 2: fighting for yeah, some sort of seeding. I don't know
- 59:22Speaker 2: how much that really matters though in the conference tournament.
- 59:25Speaker 2: They'll both be in the tournament. I don't know if
- 59:28Speaker 2: every team in the conference makes the tournament or not,
- 59:30Speaker 2: but they'll both be in it, and rightfully so. I mean,
- 59:32Speaker 2: these are two of the top five or so teams
- 59:36Speaker 2: in the conference. I would say Wichita up from six
- 59:39Speaker 2: and a half to seven and a half years, so
- 59:40Speaker 2: some money has come in early on Wichita.
- 59:43Speaker 1: I don't really disagree.
- 59:44Speaker 2: With that, you know, all right, boys at Colorado State, Yeah,
- 59:50Speaker 2: I mean I talk about all these games, man, I
- 59:52Speaker 2: only give out very, very sporadic plays because I don't
- 59:54Speaker 2: have much of a read for most you know, most
- 59:56Speaker 2: of these games are not strong enough being very here.
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: Boise just beat San Diego State. That was a huge
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: win for them, so that could put them in a
- 1:00:05Speaker 2: letdown spot here, and they already beat Colorado State by
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: six at home. They may not have covered the number
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: in that one. Colorado State was not playing as well.
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: Then Boise did actually cover sort of their five and
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: a half point favorites there, so I guess there is
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: a little bit of revenge for Colorado State here. It
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: is their final home game, so all of those things
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: are pointing towards Colorado State. But the problem is Colorado
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: State's coming up a really nice upset and win on
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: the road at New Mexico, so they could be in
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: a letdown spot here too. They're on a real nice
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: role though. Colorado State's the hottest team in this conference
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: right now. They won eight games in a row. Granted
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: most of those were against bad teams, they still did
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: beat San Diego State and New Mexico in there, and
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: they beat UNLV, who's been beating a lot of good
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: teams in the conference this year.
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: What do we do with this one?
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: Colorado State's a one point favorite up from a pick them,
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: but they got seventy five percent of the tickets and
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: only sixty four percent of the cash on them, so
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: the money looks like it's fading Colorado State here. I
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: think there are more factors in favor of Colorado State here, though,
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: I think I would.
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: Probably lean towards them.
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: Towards Colorado State, like money line in that game, but
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: of course that is not gonna make my card. I
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: don't want to go against a market read like that
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: either really ACC Network at four pm Cal at Wake Forest.
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: Cal.
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know how much of a chance
- 1:01:26Speaker 2: they have to make the tournament at this point. They
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: did win at Georgia Tech in the last game. Now
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: they're gonna go to Wake to finish the season.
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: Cal.
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: I guess you could still consider themselves, consider them to
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: be a bubble team, so maybe they'll still show up
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: for that reason. Wake coming off a close call against Virginia. Man,
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: so Wake really putting a huge effort against Virginia and
- 1:01:48Speaker 2: fell short. So this is their final home game, so
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: you might get an effort out of Wake for that reason.
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: But they will.
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: I think they will make the ACC Tournament. I don't
- 1:01:57Speaker 2: think they could be left out of the ACC Tournament
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: at this point, so we will. We'll see Wake there,
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: so you know, coming off that huge effort against Virginia,
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: I don't know what their effort is gonna look like
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: in this one. Even though it is their final home game,
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: Cal has kind of more reason to show up for
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: bubble purposes, but.
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: Everybody knows that. But Wake is actually a favorite.
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: Uh, They're actually a five and a half point favorite,
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: So this game kind of gives me whiplash as far
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: as like what I think about it, sixty percent of tickets,
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: fifty percent of tickets excuse me, and sixty three percent
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: of the.
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: Cash on Cal.
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: You know, I think I would take the points with
- 1:02:30Speaker 2: Cal here because Wake is coming up that really big
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: effort against Virginia. Cal kind of needs the game and
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: they're an underdog. And that's the type of line, like
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: when you have a team that needs to win, you
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: don't want to lay points with them, but you do
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: want to look towards them when they're an underdog.
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: But the thing is, nobody's gonna want to lay points.
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: With Wake here, right, Like why is Wake a favorite
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: at a you know, five hundred record, a terrible acc
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: record and Cal has the way better record. Everybody knows
- 1:02:59Speaker 2: Cal is a bubble team, so you think the public
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: would definitely be siding with Cal in this one too,
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: And it looks like they kind of are, But the
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: way the situation sets up, I think they might get
- 1:03:09Speaker 2: that one, right. So that's what I think about that.
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: C W At four thirty pm, Pitt at Syracuse. Pitt
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: just almost be Florida State, which is a pretty big
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: performance in Pitt's final home game.
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: Now they're going on the road to Syracuse.
- 1:03:24Speaker 2: Now, Pitt did lose at home to Syracuse, though, so
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: I guess they have a little bit of a revenge
- 1:03:29Speaker 2: motive here. And the other reason that Pitt, you know,
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: has reason to show up is that they're trying to
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: avoid missing the ACC tournament because it's between them and
- 1:03:39Speaker 2: Notre Dame. So they do have reason to show up
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: for that and for revenge purposes. Syracuse has lost four
- 1:03:47Speaker 2: straight though, so I think you might see an effort
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: out of them too in their final home game.
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: It's an interesting one.
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: Syracuse is up to a six and a half point favorite,
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: eighty three percent of tickets eighty five percent of the
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: cash on Syracuse. Pitt is coming off the tougher game, man,
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: where they really did put in a big effort there,
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: even though they do have more motivational factors here.
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: Very tough read.
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: You know, I might lean, I don't know, I might
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: lead towards laying it with Syracuse still in that one,
- 1:04:18Speaker 2: but it's a very very difficult handicap Peacock and NBC
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: Sports has Utah at Baylor. I don't know why, but
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: I think I would fade Baylor here, man. I mean,
- 1:04:28Speaker 2: I know Baylor lost by thirteen in their game at Houston,
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: but that game was really close and Houston ran away
- 1:04:33Speaker 2: with the game in the final like six minutes of
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: the game.
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: I think Baylor might have been winning.
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: Outright with like six minutes left, and then they just
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: had an insane implosion. So Baylor coming out of that game,
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: I don't know what they're gonna have left after that.
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: I know this is their final home game, but I
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: don't know if.
- 1:04:52Speaker 2: You really get excited about Utah after you, you know,
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: had a huge game at Houston. Utah coming into this
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: of an ugly loss to Colorado at home, maybe you'll
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: get an effort out of Utah.
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: Here.
- 1:05:04Speaker 2: Baylor is gonna be laying a lot of points in
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: this one, double digits, twelve and a half. I would
- 1:05:09Speaker 2: lean towards taking the points. With Utah sixty tickets ninety
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: six percent of cash on Utah, so the money is
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: coming in on Utah here. You know, Baylor might start
- 1:05:19Speaker 2: looking ahead to the conference tournament because they will be
- 1:05:21Speaker 2: in it. I don't think Baylor has a shot at
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: getting into the tournament at this point. So, like the
- 1:05:27Speaker 2: NCAA Tournament, not my strongest opinion, But I do like
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: Utah in that one. All right, Indiana at Ohio State
- 1:05:36Speaker 2: on Fox. This is a bubble battle if there ever
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: was one man do these. I don't think these two
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: teams played at all this year either. Interestingly, Indiana just
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: absolutely crushed Minnesota by thirty points, and they'll ask him
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: a huge get right win for Indiana here, but now
- 1:05:54Speaker 2: they've gotta go on the road. But the thing is,
- 1:05:56Speaker 2: I think Ohio State is more secure in their tournaments now.
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: They beat Purdue and they did not have a letdown
- 1:06:03Speaker 2: coming off of that, and they killed Penn State, but
- 1:06:05Speaker 2: Penn State was also coming off a huge win I
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: think over Iowa. So both teams are in bad spots,
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: but I Ohio State really got the job done there.
- 1:06:15Speaker 2: I think Ohio State is pretty much I don't want
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: to say they're definitely in the tournament, but they have
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: a much better chance of making the tournament now than
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: Indiana does.
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: So that might put the motivation.
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: More on the Indiana side here. They're gonna be an
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: underdog in this one. So both teams coming up blowout wins.
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: I'm lean towards taking the points with Indiana, and the
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: money seems to agree, Ohio State down from six and
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: a half to five, sixty eight percent of tickets in
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: ninety two percent of the cash in Indiana. I'll agree
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: with Indiana in that one. All right, keeping it going,
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: Texas A and M at LSU. I'm finishing the regular season,
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: then I gotta dude, Conference tournament. We might have to
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: go a little bit rapid fire there or something.
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: I don't know. There are just way too many games
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: to talk about. All.
- 1:06:58Speaker 2: This part of it being an OWL isn't too bad.
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: Texas A and M. They're coming up that huge win
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: over Kentucky, but they might still need to show up
- 1:07:06Speaker 2: here because A and M is kind of a bubble
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: team right now.
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: But this definitely could be a letdown spot here.
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: They've got to go on the road, and LSU might
- 1:07:13Speaker 2: be able to play spoiler. LSU coming up a couple
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: losses and now this is their final home game.
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: I don't know if.
- 1:07:21Speaker 2: I don't think any of the SEC teams get dropped
- 1:07:23Speaker 2: from the tournament, so LSU does not have to worry
- 1:07:26Speaker 2: about that.
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: But A and M up to a three and a
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: half point favorite, it looks pretty easy to.
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: Lay it with A and M and oh A and
- 1:07:31Speaker 2: m They look good against Kentucky and they need to
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: win this game, you know, the secure a tournament spot.
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: I'd probably lean towards taking the points with LSU in
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: that one. Though not a strong enough opinion for me,
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: but that's my opinion. There probably the biggest regular season
- 1:07:47Speaker 2: game six thirty pm on ESPN, number seventeen North Carolina
- 1:07:52Speaker 2: at number one, Duke. It's one of the biggest rivalries
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: out there, North Carolina. Even I think they're underrated. They
- 1:07:59Speaker 2: managed to get the win that home against UH Kentucky. Now,
- 1:08:02Speaker 2: North Carolina got some bad news that Caleb Wilson injured
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: himself in practice and now he's gonna miss the rest
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: of the season, so he's not coming back. So that's
- 1:08:13Speaker 2: one of North Carolina's best players who hasn't played for
- 1:08:16Speaker 2: a while now, but he's not coming back now, So
- 1:08:21Speaker 2: you know, I mean, there is a chance that that
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: is a you know, it's not a positive. But the
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: thing the silver lining with that is that North Carolina
- 1:08:29Speaker 2: can just move forward. We know we're not gonna have
- 1:08:32Speaker 2: him now, right, so you're not gonna be guessing this
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: whole time, like when is he coming back or is
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: he coming back?
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: No, you know this is.
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: Gonna be your team, so you move forward with it. Now,
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: North Carolina's coming up beating Clemson. That was a pretty
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: big win for them, although you could argue that I
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: guess they had a close call as a favorite too,
- 1:08:49Speaker 2: but they I believe they still covered the number all
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: though it was kind of bs at the end of
- 1:08:53Speaker 2: that game on I think there was some dumb foul
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: at the end of that game or something that they
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: covered on.
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: They're gonna get up for the game against Duke.
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: Obviously it is a rivalry game, but Duke is not
- 1:09:03Speaker 2: going to take them lightly this time because Duke, you know,
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: they only have one conference loss and it was to
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: North Carolina, so obviously they're gonna remember that. Even though
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: Duke is coming up absolutely annihilating basically all of their
- 1:09:15Speaker 2: recent opponents, I just don't see much of a reason
- 1:09:19Speaker 2: why that won't happen again here. This is their final
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: home game, and the revenge factor I think is a
- 1:09:24Speaker 2: reason for them to actually show up in this one.
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: You know, Duke is likely they're not in danger of
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: losing a one seed or anything like that, but you know,
- 1:09:34Speaker 2: I still think there is motivation on the Duke side here.
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Duke.
- 1:09:39Speaker 2: People are also going to think, oh, this is a
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: ranked matchup U, and see Duke North Carolina one outright
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: in the first game, and you're telling me they're getting
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: seventeen and a half points, Like, I think the public
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: is going to think this number looks really really high
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: and Duke does play slow, but they've been covering all
- 1:09:55Speaker 2: these numbers recently, although prior to this recent run, Duke
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: was failing to cover most of their games. So which
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: Duke is gonna show up here? Fifty six percent of
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: the tickets is seventy three percent of the couch on Duke.
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: I agree with that money. I would lay it with
- 1:10:09Speaker 2: Duke in this one. I think they are that much
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: better than North Carolina. I think North Carolina is overrated
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: U and Duke is a legit team. Like the top
- 1:10:20Speaker 2: two teams in the country are Duke in Michigan. I
- 1:10:23Speaker 2: think there's like pretty much no debate about that. Duke, Yeah,
- 1:10:27Speaker 2: is completely elite. So and you know when this is
- 1:10:30Speaker 2: like a revenge game that might actually matter. Yeah, I
- 1:10:33Speaker 2: think Duke probably gets the job done and covers in
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: that one. Okay, almost done. Talking about the regular season, games.
- 1:10:44Speaker 2: You do have The Iron Bowl Basketball Edition, Part two,
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: eight thirty pm on ESPN. Auburn at Alabama. This is
- 1:10:51Speaker 2: gonna be a big one. Number sixteen Alabama. Alabama is
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: coming up of loss to Georgia Alabama, and we know
- 1:10:58Speaker 2: they're gonna be in the tournament.
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: Though it's basically just will they be a four seed
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: or a five seed.
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: They're already locked into one of the top seeds in
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: the SEC tournament too, so they already get the maximum
- 1:11:08Speaker 2: number of buys.
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: I think in the SEC Tournament.
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: Whether they get a two seed or a three seed,
- 1:11:13Speaker 2: I don't think that matters. So I think they're gonna
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: land in one of those spots. They did just lose
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: a long win streak, and you know I talk about
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: that when you've won eight games in a row and
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: then you take a loss in a pretty hard fought game,
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: you know, I think that could hang you over a
- 1:11:31Speaker 2: little bit because you're not really used to losing. They
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: had a huge game against Tennessee and revenge the game
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: before that too, so they're coming off two pretty big games.
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: I know this is their home finale here, but this
- 1:11:42Speaker 2: game absolutely means more to Auburn. This is also road
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: revenge because Alabama went into Auburn, and by the way,
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: Auburn was a favorite in that game. If you don't remember,
- 1:11:53Speaker 2: Auburn is one of the most underrated teams in college basketball. Man,
- 1:11:56Speaker 2: they faced an extremely difficult schedule. They've had some losses,
- 1:12:00Speaker 2: They've had some losses they shouldn't have taken. Auburn was
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: a two and a half point favorite in that game
- 1:12:06Speaker 2: at Alabama, and now look at what er excuse me
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: at Auburn, and now Alabama's a seven and a half
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: point favorite here, although they're down from eight and a half,
- 1:12:14Speaker 2: the money looks like it's all coming in on Auburn.
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: And that's the thing. Auburn is absolutely in desperation mode
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: here and they're in road revenge mode Alabama. I don't
- 1:12:24Speaker 2: really think they have as much reason to really go
- 1:12:27Speaker 2: all out in this game. Auburn needs the game way
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: more and they're getting points on the road here. They're
- 1:12:34Speaker 2: a lot better of a team than people think they are.
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: Auburn also plays fast, so Alabama going fast is not
- 1:12:39Speaker 2: gonna throw Auburn out of the style they want. They
- 1:12:42Speaker 2: play fast as well. Sixty eight percent of the tickets
- 1:12:45Speaker 2: are on Alabama eighty seven percent of the cash on
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: Auburn though, so the money is coming in on Auburn.
- 1:12:52Speaker 2: I agree with it. I would take the points with
- 1:12:54Speaker 2: Auburn in this one, and then let me see.
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: First game.
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: What was the final again? It was high, high scoring
- 1:13:04Speaker 2: ninety six to ninety two. Because I was gonna say
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: it over just the style of this of this matchup
- 1:13:10Speaker 2: kind of makes sense to look over total at one
- 1:13:13Speaker 2: seventy six and a half. If Alabama doesn't have a
- 1:13:15Speaker 2: full effort here, their defense might be even worse than
- 1:13:18Speaker 2: it usually is because Alabama is not very good on deepfense.
- 1:13:21Speaker 2: Although Auburn is also poor defensively, they're worse than Alabama
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: on defense. Alabama is elite on offense, and Auburn is
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: very good on offense as well. Auburn is like mini Alabama,
- 1:13:33Speaker 2: you know what I mean, Like they do the same
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: thing as Alabama.
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: They're just not as good at any of it.
- 1:13:38Speaker 2: But in this case, I think Auburn is the right
- 1:13:41Speaker 2: side plus the points. Yes, uh, North Carolina overrated. I
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: just don't tell Garrett about that all right, Before I
- 1:13:51Speaker 2: get into all this conference tournament action, Oklahoma at Texas
- 1:13:54Speaker 2: in the Red River rivalry where Texas won the first
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: meeting at o Oklahoma by ten, so there is a
- 1:14:01Speaker 2: road revenge motive for Oklahoma here. Oklahoma's playing decent basketball recently.
- 1:14:06Speaker 2: They've won three games in a row. They just crushed Missouri,
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: which was a nice win for them at home, but
- 1:14:14Speaker 2: they do have a road revenge on the mine here
- 1:14:16Speaker 2: going out on the road. Texas is still kind of
- 1:14:18Speaker 2: a bubble team though, so Texas can't really afford to
- 1:14:21Speaker 2: lose this game.
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: And Texas is having their final home game.
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: They're coming off a loss to Arkansas that was a
- 1:14:26Speaker 2: pretty ugly loss. Even though Arkansas is good, Texas lost
- 1:14:30Speaker 2: by twenty points. It's a tough read in this one.
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: The money's coming in towards Oklahoma. Oklahoma does get to
- 1:14:36Speaker 2: play spoiler against their rival, though, if they could potentially
- 1:14:40Speaker 2: beat Texas and hurt Texas's tournament chances, I think Texas
- 1:14:44Speaker 2: should absolutely be in Texas Power ratings wise, they're good enough.
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: They're thirty third and ken Baum out of all the
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: bubble teams or whatever.
- 1:14:54Speaker 2: Ohio State actually is the best at twenty seventh now,
- 1:14:57Speaker 2: but next behind them is Texas, So I think both
- 1:15:00Speaker 2: of those teams should get in uh eighty three percent
- 1:15:03Speaker 2: of tickets ninety five percent of the casual in Oklahoma.
- 1:15:06Speaker 2: I'll probably agree with that with taking the points with Oklahoma,
- 1:15:09Speaker 2: but that's not a game I want anything to do with.
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: Fox Swords won at nine PM. I do have an
- 1:15:14Speaker 2: opinion on this one. UCLA at USC. Ucla is coming
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: up a huge win over Nebraska. That was a massive win, man,
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: so they could be in big time letdown mode here
- 1:15:25Speaker 2: on the road at USC. They already beat USC at
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: home earlier this year. Where was that at Yeah, they
- 1:15:32Speaker 2: beat them by nineteen points, not even that long ago,
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: three games ago.
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: So there is a quick revenge motive for USC here.
- 1:15:40Speaker 2: My worry is that, you know, I don't know what
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: this is with Cronin's an insane person man, UCLA's coach.
- 1:15:47Speaker 1: I don't know what this thing is about the revenue share, but.
- 1:15:52Speaker 2: Whatever, anyway, UCLA could be in a letdown spot. It
- 1:15:57Speaker 2: is revenge for USC. The question is what are you
- 1:15:59Speaker 2: gonna get USC? Because they lost Baker Mazara who just
- 1:16:03Speaker 2: basically either left the team or got kicked off the team,
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: and they did not show up with a good effort
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: in the game after that.
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: Man, So USC. They look kind of deflated.
- 1:16:14Speaker 2: But maybe they'll show up for their final home game
- 1:16:16Speaker 2: against their main rival in UCLA. Ucla is in the
- 1:16:21Speaker 2: letdown spot. Like I said, now, Ucla, they haven't been
- 1:16:23Speaker 2: good on the road, but the thing is their road
- 1:16:26Speaker 2: games in the Pacific time zone are the ones that
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: they're used to and they've been better in those games.
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: So they did win at Oregon and they did win
- 1:16:33Speaker 2: at Washington earlier this year, so that would be my concern.
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: Even though you look at UCLA, they've been pretty bad
- 1:16:38Speaker 2: on the road, but they're familiar road games let's say
- 1:16:42Speaker 2: against the former Pac twelve teams.
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: They have done well in those games.
- 1:16:46Speaker 2: They're just bad in all the other road games against
- 1:16:48Speaker 2: the other Big ten teams, so they have to go
- 1:16:50Speaker 2: to another part of the country. So I'm not gonna
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: say that their bad road record really applies to this
- 1:16:57Speaker 2: game specifically USC.
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: I mean, they've lost six games in a row.
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: They're not gonna make the tournament at this point, but
- 1:17:05Speaker 2: final home game against their main rival in quick revenge,
- 1:17:09Speaker 2: they're catching them in a let down spot. USC did
- 1:17:11Speaker 2: just loose the Nebraska so people might see that too.
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: This looks really easy to play Ucla here.
- 1:17:17Speaker 2: Now, Ucla is still kind of a bubble team, so
- 1:17:20Speaker 2: you might get effort from Ucla for that reason. They're
- 1:17:23Speaker 2: up from three to six and a half here. The
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: fact that the money's coming out in Ucla worries me
- 1:17:27Speaker 2: a little bit, but I would lean towards taking the
- 1:17:30Speaker 2: points with USC here eighty eight percent of the tickets,
- 1:17:33Speaker 2: ninety seven percent of the couch in Ucla. I consider
- 1:17:36Speaker 2: putting this one on my card. I don't think I
- 1:17:38Speaker 2: could do it, but that one is one of the
- 1:17:41Speaker 2: ones that was in consideration. USC plus the points. Northwestern
- 1:17:46Speaker 2: at Minnesota. This is on Big Ten Network at nine PM.
- 1:17:50Speaker 2: As I already mentioned Northwestern's coming up of a huge
- 1:17:53Speaker 2: performance against Purdue. They basically took Purdue right to the
- 1:17:56Speaker 2: wire in their home finale. That was a huge game
- 1:17:59Speaker 2: for Northway. I think they're gonna be in letdown mode
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: coming off of that hangover mode they already now here's
- 1:18:05Speaker 2: the problem though. They actually lost at home to Minnesota
- 1:18:08Speaker 2: earlier this year, so there is a little bit of
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: a road revenge modive here that might come into play.
- 1:18:13Speaker 2: Although you don't want to overrate that. I do think
- 1:18:15Speaker 2: it's still a bad spot for them. Coming up that
- 1:18:18Speaker 2: monster rafter against Purdue. I just don't know what they're
- 1:18:20Speaker 2: gonna have left here, and Minnesota is coming off a
- 1:18:24Speaker 2: stupid blowout loss to Iowa. Excuse the Iowa, Indiana, excuse
- 1:18:28Speaker 2: the Indiana. I mean, that was a bad game for them.
- 1:18:31Speaker 2: They lost by thirty points. Now they're back at home.
- 1:18:34Speaker 2: Minnesota has been significantly better at home this year, though
- 1:18:36Speaker 2: I know they had won really weird home loss to
- 1:18:39Speaker 2: Maryland in there, but they've been fairly good at home otherwise,
- 1:18:43Speaker 2: pretty competitive. They're gonna be actually laying points here though.
- 1:18:47Speaker 2: They're down to a three point favorite, so the money
- 1:18:49Speaker 2: looks like it's coming against Minnesota. The thing about laying
- 1:18:52Speaker 2: points with Minnesota is they play really slow and they
- 1:18:55Speaker 2: aren't a good offensive team. I know three is not
- 1:18:57Speaker 2: a ton of points. Low total in the low one thirties.
- 1:19:02Speaker 2: I'll lean towards Minnesota, but I'm gonna skip the game here, man,
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: I still worry about the road revenge angle for Northwestern there.
- 1:19:09Speaker 2: It is Minnesota's final home game. They'll coming off an
- 1:19:11Speaker 2: embarrassing loss, and Northwestern's coming off of ridiculous efforts, so
- 1:19:16Speaker 2: there is still that.
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: Going on there.
- 1:19:19Speaker 2: You see San Diego, and you see Santa Barbara is
- 1:19:21Speaker 2: gonna be an addressing game to finish Big West regular
- 1:19:24Speaker 2: season play. You see San Diego's definitely in the mix
- 1:19:27Speaker 2: here now, man, and they've overtaken you see Santa Barbara
- 1:19:30Speaker 2: in the standings now. You see San Diego lost a
- 1:19:34Speaker 2: five game win streak with a loss to cal State
- 1:19:36Speaker 2: Fullerton on the road, So they have a second straight
- 1:19:39Speaker 2: road game that wasn't a great loss, so they might
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: be in bounced back mode here, and they did lose
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: ugly to You see Santa Barbara sixty two to forty
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: eight at home earlier this season, so there is a
- 1:19:51Speaker 2: road revenge mode off here for you see San Diego
- 1:19:55Speaker 2: coming off of that, and I think, you know, they
- 1:19:58Speaker 2: aren't really that much worse of a team, so you
- 1:20:01Speaker 2: know they're definitely favor I would say they were definitely
- 1:20:03Speaker 2: favored in that game. Actually, let me see how much
- 1:20:08Speaker 2: they were favored by in this game four and a half.
- 1:20:11Speaker 2: So back then, the oddsergers are telling you, we're telling
- 1:20:13Speaker 2: you see San Diego is a slightly better team. Maybe
- 1:20:16Speaker 2: they are actually still, but you see San Diego losing
- 1:20:20Speaker 2: a long ish win streak worries me a little bit
- 1:20:24Speaker 2: still road revenge pretty strong angle. I you see Santa
- 1:20:27Speaker 2: Barber I think is in the worst spot though, because
- 1:20:29Speaker 2: they just had a big game on the road.
- 1:20:30Speaker 1: At UC Irvine and came close.
- 1:20:33Speaker 2: To beating them, So that was a big game for
- 1:20:35Speaker 2: them there, but this is still big. It's a final
- 1:20:38Speaker 2: home game for them. There are some seeding implications here.
- 1:20:41Speaker 2: This is gonna be a really interesting conference tournament with
- 1:20:44Speaker 2: a lot of teams close to each other in this
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: conference tournament.
- 1:20:47Speaker 1: Man, you see Santa Barbara already dropped.
- 1:20:49Speaker 2: From two and a half to a pick them there,
- 1:20:51Speaker 2: so the money has already come in towards U see
- 1:20:53Speaker 2: San Diego. I agree with it, but I would prefer
- 1:20:56Speaker 2: the plus two and a half at a pick them.
- 1:20:58Speaker 2: It's definitely more questionable, but I would slightly lean to
- 1:21:01Speaker 2: UC San Diego.
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: There.
- 1:21:04Speaker 2: ESPN ten thirty PM, getting into the degenerate hours, we
- 1:21:07Speaker 2: have number ten Texas Tech at BYU, and this is
- 1:21:10Speaker 2: another instance of unranked home favorite.
- 1:21:13Speaker 1: BYU is a favorite against the ranked underdog, and this
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: is a more extreme.
- 1:21:18Speaker 2: One because, oh, Texas Tech number ten in the country,
- 1:21:23Speaker 2: it looks way too easy to play Texas Tech here,
- 1:21:25Speaker 2: and BYU has been absolutely falling off a cliff. So
- 1:21:28Speaker 2: you know what I'm gonna say. I lean towards BYU
- 1:21:30Speaker 2: here Texas Tech. They're without JT. Top and I think
- 1:21:34Speaker 2: that's actually a worse loss than BYU losing Saunders, although
- 1:21:38Speaker 2: it seems like Texas Tech is the better team though,
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: and that's the thing. That's why they've kind of overcome
- 1:21:43Speaker 2: that loss a little bit better than BYU has overcome
- 1:21:46Speaker 2: their loss of Saunders.
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: But Texas Tech legit lost their best player.
- 1:21:51Speaker 2: They're coming off of a pretty tough loss to TCU.
- 1:21:54Speaker 1: You could argue that it should bounce back after that,
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: but they're going out into elevation.
- 1:21:59Speaker 2: They already beat B one by thirteen at home. BYU
- 1:22:02Speaker 2: has been playing so bad recently. They got to get something. Man,
- 1:22:05Speaker 2: it's their final home game. They're back at home. Last
- 1:22:08Speaker 2: time they were here, they had an embarrassing performance against
- 1:22:10Speaker 2: UCF that was way worse than the final score even
- 1:22:14Speaker 2: made it look. So I think you will get an
- 1:22:16Speaker 2: effort out of BYU here. That's the way I would lean.
- 1:22:21Speaker 2: They're getting the money. They were a two point favored.
- 1:22:23Speaker 2: I would probably money line it for now. You might
- 1:22:26Speaker 2: be able to find a decent money line sixty three
- 1:22:28Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on BYU.
- 1:22:31Speaker 2: That's what I like in that one. ESPN two at
- 1:22:34Speaker 2: eleven PM. Number two Arizona at Colorado. I like Colorado
- 1:22:39Speaker 2: and this one Arizona's coming off two big wins against
- 1:22:42Speaker 2: Kansas and Iowa State, very satisfying wins. Now they're gonna
- 1:22:46Speaker 2: go on the road into Elevation to play Colorado, who
- 1:22:50Speaker 2: I don't think they've played this year at all.
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: You know, Arizona's been in elevation already.
- 1:22:56Speaker 2: Earlier this year they did go to BYU, but they
- 1:22:58Speaker 2: only won by three, so they didn't do that well there.
- 1:23:02Speaker 1: Colorado, they've been playing okay recently.
- 1:23:04Speaker 2: They've won three of their last four, although no win
- 1:23:07Speaker 2: at anywhere near the caliber of you know, they've not
- 1:23:11Speaker 2: played anybody near the caliber of Arizona. Let's just say,
- 1:23:14Speaker 2: but I would take the points to Colorado here. Man,
- 1:23:16Speaker 2: it's their final home game. It's a pretty big deal
- 1:23:19Speaker 2: to play Arizona. The spot's not very good for Arizona.
- 1:23:22Speaker 2: I think it's a letdown spot. As I said, money
- 1:23:25Speaker 2: looks like it is somewhat in on Arizona for now,
- 1:23:27Speaker 2: but they are public of course, seventy three percent of
- 1:23:30Speaker 2: tickets eighty one percent of the cash on them up
- 1:23:33Speaker 2: from fourteen to fourteen and a half. It's really really
- 1:23:37Speaker 2: difficult to fade a team like Arizona when they're so good.
- 1:23:39Speaker 1: But this is a spot where you know it might happen.
- 1:23:42Speaker 2: Then you know they don't need to They don't need
- 1:23:45Speaker 2: to cover to win the game, of course as well,
- 1:23:48Speaker 2: and you know how many losses can Arizona endore and
- 1:23:53Speaker 2: still get a one seed, you know what I mean?
- 1:23:55Speaker 2: Like they might at this point be pretty close to
- 1:23:57Speaker 2: being locked into a one seed in the NCAA tournament.
- 1:24:00Speaker 2: So there might not be a ton of motivation here
- 1:24:04Speaker 2: for Arizona. So yes, I would take the points of Colorado. Yeah,
- 1:24:08Speaker 2: Mormon lean Colorado. I lean towards them. It's all the
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: elevation leans. I lean towards Colorado.
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: In that game.
- 1:24:17Speaker 2: Washington at Oregon, Washington just beat USC. Nice win for them,
- 1:24:23Speaker 2: although USC looks like they've completely fallen off. Now Washington's
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: got to go to Oregon. Washington did beat them at
- 1:24:29Speaker 2: home earlier this year, I believe, yeah, by fifteen, So
- 1:24:33Speaker 2: you know, Washington might not might not pay a ton
- 1:24:36Speaker 2: of attention to Oregon here. Oregon's not as bad as
- 1:24:39Speaker 2: the record looks, man, and they're coming off a really
- 1:24:42Speaker 2: ugly loss on the road at Illinois. They got absolutely
- 1:24:45Speaker 2: blasted in that game. Now Oregon's at home for their
- 1:24:48Speaker 2: home finale. They've had a bad season. People are gonna
- 1:24:51Speaker 2: look at this and there's no way they're gonna want
- 1:24:53Speaker 2: to play Oregon to pick the winner.
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: Price.
- 1:24:55Speaker 2: Oregon's basically a favorite here and they have a way
- 1:24:57Speaker 2: worse record than Washington. No, nobody's gonna want a Oregon here.
- 1:25:01Speaker 2: But that is how I would play it. Oregon money
- 1:25:05Speaker 2: line would be my lean in this one. Washington sixty
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: seven percent tickets on them, ninety four percent of the
- 1:25:09Speaker 2: cash on Oregon. I would lean that way. You know,
- 1:25:13Speaker 2: don't really have a strong opinion on that one. And
- 1:25:16Speaker 2: that is the.
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: Final game there.
- 1:25:19Speaker 2: Oh, I was gonna talk about one other game in the.
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: Wait, how did I miss? I missed a couple of
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: games here? Man, I apologize?
- 1:25:28Speaker 2: How did I I skipped a couple of games in
- 1:25:30Speaker 2: the in the mix here? I apologize because I was
- 1:25:33Speaker 2: gonna talk about a couple of these. Cal State Forardton
- 1:25:35Speaker 2: at cal State Northridge. This on This is the like,
- 1:25:39Speaker 2: if I was gonna add another game, I think it
- 1:25:41Speaker 2: would be this one. Cal State Fullardton just beat UC
- 1:25:45Speaker 2: San Diego and that was on the heels of playing
- 1:25:47Speaker 2: a really tough game against Hawaii too.
- 1:25:49Speaker 1: So Cal State Fullarton's coming off two huge games.
- 1:25:53Speaker 2: Now they're gonna go on on the road to play
- 1:25:54Speaker 2: Cal State Northridge to finish the season. Now, both these
- 1:25:57Speaker 2: teams are in the conference tournament. This conference Big West
- 1:26:01Speaker 2: drops their bottom three. That's already long beach riverside in Bakersfield.
- 1:26:05Speaker 2: By the way, Bakersfield, their coach just got like arrested
- 1:26:08Speaker 2: for being a pimp. So I mean, that's kind of
- 1:26:12Speaker 2: awesome in a way. If you're gonna be in last place,
- 1:26:16Speaker 2: do it, you know in style what That's what I say.
- 1:26:19Speaker 2: So none of these teams in this game don't have
- 1:26:22Speaker 2: to worry about missing the conference tournament or anything like that.
- 1:26:25Speaker 2: So Fullerton's coming off two huge games, and they already
- 1:26:28Speaker 2: beat Cal State Northridge at home only by seven, but
- 1:26:32Speaker 2: they did beat them. I think north Ridge is the
- 1:26:35Speaker 2: better team though, and north Ridge is coming into this
- 1:26:38Speaker 2: game breaking a losing streak with a bad performance against Bakersfield.
- 1:26:42Speaker 2: They barely beat them, but that was a fourth road
- 1:26:44Speaker 2: game in five games, so it wasn't exactly the easiest
- 1:26:48Speaker 2: spot for them. Only getting by that the pimp team
- 1:26:52Speaker 2: Bakersfield having to go play on their blue court. They
- 1:26:55Speaker 2: have a ridiculous blue court with a huge road runner
- 1:26:58Speaker 2: logo in it. You know, Northridge coming off of that
- 1:27:02Speaker 2: very close call, they're in revenge. It's their final home game,
- 1:27:07Speaker 2: you know, Northridge. I guess you could debate that they're
- 1:27:09Speaker 2: playing for seeding here. They could potentially get one. They're
- 1:27:12Speaker 2: probably still gonna get one of the top seeds here,
- 1:27:15Speaker 2: but they have four teams right behind them within a
- 1:27:17Speaker 2: game of them, and I don't know how many of
- 1:27:19Speaker 2: those teams.
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: They have the tiebreaker against it.
- 1:27:20Speaker 2: Fullerton is actually one of those teams, so they don't
- 1:27:23Speaker 2: want to lose the tiebreaker to Fullerton. Let me see
- 1:27:27Speaker 2: you see San Diego? They they beat once? Do they
- 1:27:33Speaker 2: only they beat them twice? They drove the tiebreaker against
- 1:27:36Speaker 2: you see San Diego, Davis and Santa Barbara.
- 1:27:39Speaker 1: Let's see real quick.
- 1:27:41Speaker 2: They beat you see Davis once? Let me see did
- 1:27:46Speaker 2: they play them twice?
- 1:27:48Speaker 1: I'm all messed up. This is yeah. I'm like scrolling
- 1:27:50Speaker 1: through it.
- 1:27:51Speaker 2: I'm like, wait, no, they went one to one against
- 1:27:54Speaker 2: you See Davis, So I'd have to look more into
- 1:27:56Speaker 2: that to see if they have the tiebreaker against them. Obviously,
- 1:27:59Speaker 2: they will not have the tiebreaker against Fullerton if they
- 1:28:02Speaker 2: lose this one, and then you see Santa Barbara. They
- 1:28:07Speaker 2: do have the tiebreaker against them. They beat them twice,
- 1:28:09Speaker 2: believe it or not, so I guess they're they're probably
- 1:28:11Speaker 2: they're I think they're guaranteed one of the top four
- 1:28:14Speaker 2: seeds anyway. Now, But I like Cal State Northridge in
- 1:28:17Speaker 2: this one. Man, it all kind of lines up correctly
- 1:28:19Speaker 2: for them. They're up from four and a half to
- 1:28:23Speaker 2: five here. I would lay it it's a very high
- 1:28:25Speaker 2: total as well, so it makes it a lot easier
- 1:28:27Speaker 2: to win by margin in that one.
- 1:28:31Speaker 1: That one is not quite on my card. I don't know.
- 1:28:33Speaker 2: I mean this one again, if I was gonna add
- 1:28:35Speaker 2: one play, it would be this.
- 1:28:38Speaker 1: Fullerton.
- 1:28:38Speaker 2: That was their final home game too, where they went
- 1:28:40Speaker 2: all out against U see San Diego. They pulled off
- 1:28:44Speaker 2: the upset there. I don't know how exactly big of
- 1:28:47Speaker 2: a deal that was, you know. I guess I'll keep
- 1:28:49Speaker 2: it off of my card, But I do like north
- 1:28:50Speaker 2: Ridge quite a bit in that game and then True
- 1:28:53Speaker 2: TV at eight pm Providence in Georgetown. Georgetown's coming up
- 1:28:57Speaker 2: a huge performance against Saint John's, so that was a
- 1:29:02Speaker 2: big game.
- 1:29:03Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:29:03Speaker 2: They put in a huge effort against Saint John's and
- 1:29:05Speaker 2: almost pulled off a fifteen and a half point ups that,
- 1:29:08Speaker 2: so I think they might be flat here against Providence.
- 1:29:11Speaker 2: They already did beat Providence on the road, so it
- 1:29:14Speaker 2: is a road revenge angle for Providence.
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: The only thing that.
- 1:29:16Speaker 2: Kind of gives me hesitation here is does Georgetown really
- 1:29:20Speaker 2: want to head into the conference tournament on an eight
- 1:29:23Speaker 2: game losing streak. I don't think they really do, and
- 1:29:25Speaker 2: it is their final home games. There are some reasons
- 1:29:29Speaker 2: for them to still give you effort here.
- 1:29:32Speaker 1: Providence coming into this game off a.
- 1:29:33Speaker 2: Losing to Marquette pretty ugly by over twenty points at
- 1:29:36Speaker 2: home in their home finale, so they're probably going to
- 1:29:39Speaker 2: be motivated here for a couple of those reasons. I'm
- 1:29:41Speaker 2: including the revenge angle, the money's coming into Providence. I
- 1:29:45Speaker 2: agree with it, but this one doesn't make my card.
- 1:29:48Speaker 2: This is one of the closer ones to being on
- 1:29:49Speaker 2: my car, though. I mean, you can't ignore the Georgetown
- 1:29:52Speaker 2: just put in a massive effort against Saint John's.
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: They're down from one and a half to one.
- 1:29:56Speaker 2: Here fifty percent of tickets and eighty one percent of
- 1:29:58Speaker 2: the cash on Providence. I agree with Providence in that one.
- 1:30:03Speaker 2: And then ESPN you at eight pm. You see Davis
- 1:30:09Speaker 2: at U see Irvine.
- 1:30:11Speaker 1: This one.
- 1:30:12Speaker 2: You see Davis coming off beating Long Beach. They're playing
- 1:30:16Speaker 2: a fourth road game in five games.
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: This is you know, this is not.
- 1:30:23Speaker 2: A great like spot as far as the travel is concerned.
- 1:30:26Speaker 2: Here you see Davis already beat You see Irvine at
- 1:30:29Speaker 2: home by three. You see Irvine comes into this an
- 1:30:32Speaker 2: easy win over cal Pauly.
- 1:30:34Speaker 1: This will be their final home game.
- 1:30:35Speaker 2: I don't have a good read on this game at all,
- 1:30:37Speaker 2: but it is a TV game, so you know, I
- 1:30:40Speaker 2: just try to give you a read on these TV games.
- 1:30:42Speaker 2: Irvine is up from seven to eight and a half,
- 1:30:44Speaker 2: so the money looks like it is saying to lay
- 1:30:46Speaker 2: it with Irvine. It would be more tempting to do
- 1:30:49Speaker 2: it at minus seven, of course the better number. But
- 1:30:51Speaker 2: I just don't have a read on this game at all.
- 1:30:53Speaker 2: I mean, it is their final home game and the
- 1:30:55Speaker 2: travel spot is a lot better for you see Irvine,
- 1:30:58Speaker 2: So I guess I wouldn't really disagree with laying it,
- 1:31:00Speaker 2: but you know, you see Davis might have a little
- 1:31:04Speaker 2: bit of extra motiva. But you see Davis did win
- 1:31:06Speaker 2: against them at home already, so you know the revenge
- 1:31:09Speaker 2: factor is there for you see Irvine as well. Jeff,
- 1:31:12Speaker 2: you think, yeah, Cooley, you think he's gonna sweep this
- 1:31:15Speaker 2: former team. There's no way that I would play Georgetown
- 1:31:20Speaker 2: coming up that Saint John's game. Like I said, I
- 1:31:22Speaker 2: think Providence probably wins that game. That would be my opinion.
- 1:31:26Speaker 2: Sweeping your former team is you know, that's a very
- 1:31:30Speaker 2: minor factor. As far as how long has Cooley been there.
- 1:31:33Speaker 2: He's been there for multiple years now, right. I don't
- 1:31:36Speaker 2: think that's not a huge factor in that game. Like motivationally, Matt,
- 1:31:43Speaker 2: what's up man? Queen's dude?
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: Their coach follows me, Grant Leonard baby, he follows me.
- 1:31:50Speaker 2: He had I don't know. He was celebrating with the
- 1:31:53Speaker 2: Is their mask ont a dog? I don't know, because
- 1:31:55Speaker 2: he was holding up like a dog. I don't know
- 1:31:56Speaker 2: if it was a bulldog or what. At the end
- 1:31:59Speaker 2: of the game. Yes, hey, I don't know. I'm not
- 1:32:01Speaker 2: sleeping on Queens, but I'm gonna tell you right now,
- 1:32:03Speaker 2: they're not as good as Austin p Or.
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: Or Central Arkansas. So do I think Do I think
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: Queens is gonna win that conference? I do not.
- 1:32:14Speaker 2: They're just not good enough on defense, so I don't
- 1:32:16Speaker 2: think they're gonna win it now. Yeah, they're the Royals.
- 1:32:20Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna take a quick break. I'm gonna
- 1:32:24Speaker 2: come back. I'm gonna talk about the conference tournaments and yeah,
- 1:32:29Speaker 2: I mean then I have to come back and talk
- 1:32:30Speaker 2: about NBA and NHL.
- 1:32:31Speaker 1: Dude, this is really taking a lot out of me.
- 1:32:33Speaker 2: I don't want this to take too long, but I
- 1:32:36Speaker 2: gotta at least hit all the conference tournament games, so
- 1:32:38Speaker 2: I'm gonna try.
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: I'm gonna be back shortly.
- 1:32:57Speaker 3: Yep.
- 1:32:58Speaker 2: Inside, I want killing myself. We are on OWN seven
- 1:33:03Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
- 1:33:05Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
- 1:33:07Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
- 1:33:10Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
- 1:33:14Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
- 1:33:16Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
- 1:33:21Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season.
- 1:33:28Speaker 2: Man, with wickends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
- 1:33:33Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
- 1:33:35Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack.
- 1:33:38Speaker 3: Man, I don't know what is going on with the
- 1:33:40Speaker 3: Bruins arch epe is that what it is?
- 1:33:43Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth. I think who
- 1:33:47Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
- 1:33:49Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I.
- 1:33:55Speaker 3: Could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
- 1:33:59Speaker 3: until I die least oh two yesterday and yesterday it
- 1:34:03Speaker 3: did not go well for me. Own five, the worst
- 1:34:07Speaker 3: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:34:12Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump, discontinus, the slump continues.
- 1:34:17Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:34:20Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:34:22Speaker 2: point other than potentially ended.
- 1:34:24Speaker 1: All. All right, we're back.
- 1:34:31Speaker 2: This is why the suck's doing this in the morning.
- 1:34:33Speaker 2: Man conference tournaments, let's go uh these start at noon
- 1:34:37Speaker 2: as well. We got the colonial is in action. Campbell
- 1:34:41Speaker 2: is playing stony Brook. These are all neutral site Washington
- 1:34:45Speaker 2: d C. I don't remember what seeds these are in
- 1:34:49Speaker 2: the tournament, but this will be both teams first game
- 1:34:51Speaker 2: in the tournament because the only tournament game that was
- 1:34:53Speaker 2: played so far was the Northeastern NCAAT one. Campbell ended
- 1:34:57Speaker 2: the season, ending their losing streak with a win over NCAAT.
- 1:35:01Speaker 2: They played Stonybrook once this year and they lost my
- 1:35:04Speaker 2: twelve at home. But I think Campbell is the better
- 1:35:07Speaker 2: team here.
- 1:35:07Speaker 1: Man. That was during that.
- 1:35:09Speaker 2: Weird run where Stonybrook was pulling off all these road
- 1:35:12Speaker 2: up sets.
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: Stony Brook is not as good as that.
- 1:35:14Speaker 2: And people might look at the records and think Stonybrook
- 1:35:17Speaker 2: is the better team because they're above five hundred and
- 1:35:19Speaker 2: Campbell is below, But yeah, that's not the case.
- 1:35:23Speaker 1: Campbell's the favorite here on.
- 1:35:24Speaker 2: A neutral So the oddsmakers are telling you Campbell's the
- 1:35:27Speaker 2: better team, they have the adjustments to maybe because they
- 1:35:30Speaker 2: did lose the regular season game. Now, Stonybrook did the
- 1:35:35Speaker 2: end the season on a losing streak, so I actually
- 1:35:37Speaker 2: like playing teams that ended on.
- 1:35:38Speaker 1: A losing streak.
- 1:35:40Speaker 2: For instance, Northeastern winning the first game in this conference
- 1:35:43Speaker 2: tournament after they lost fourteen games in a row.
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: Nobody wanted them.
- 1:35:47Speaker 2: I told you I liked Northeastern in that game, and
- 1:35:50Speaker 2: they were able to do it because a lot of times,
- 1:35:52Speaker 2: when you finish the season on a bad stretch like this,
- 1:35:55Speaker 2: you can end that losing momentum.
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: By having that break. The conference tournament's like a reset.
- 1:36:00Speaker 2: But in this case, neither team ended, you know, on
- 1:36:02Speaker 2: a hot streak or anything like that. I think it
- 1:36:04Speaker 2: does come down to the fact that Campbell will have
- 1:36:06Speaker 2: the adjustments to make people think stony Brook is the
- 1:36:09Speaker 2: better team because of their record, but they're not. Campbell
- 1:36:12Speaker 2: lost at home to them in kind of a fluke
- 1:36:14Speaker 2: game where they were like six and a half point
- 1:36:16Speaker 2: favorites probably in that game and lost.
- 1:36:18Speaker 1: Campbell's a three.
- 1:36:19Speaker 2: Point favorite here, maybe two and a half. I would
- 1:36:22Speaker 2: lay it with Campbell. That's the way I would play
- 1:36:24Speaker 2: that one. Looking at the rest of the Colonial Conference here,
- 1:36:29Speaker 2: I'm gonna continue to call it the Colonial Northeastern is
- 1:36:32Speaker 2: that Drexel? And now, you know, I keep talking about
- 1:36:34Speaker 2: how when a team has a tournament game under their belt,
- 1:36:37Speaker 2: and Northeastern is the only team in this conference that
- 1:36:40Speaker 2: does have that already because they beat NCA and t
- 1:36:43Speaker 2: in the playing game. Basically, that will give that team
- 1:36:46Speaker 2: some momentum. They'll be used to the venue. They got
- 1:36:49Speaker 2: that game out of the way, you know, you shed
- 1:36:51Speaker 2: the nerves. So I think that is a positive for Northeastern.
- 1:36:54Speaker 2: Last time they played Drexel, they lost at home. They
- 1:36:57Speaker 2: lost on the road as well, So maybe Drexel, you know,
- 1:37:00Speaker 2: we'll think it's gonna be easy not take them totally
- 1:37:03Speaker 2: seriously here, Drexel did end the season with a loss
- 1:37:07Speaker 2: to Hastra, but Drexel still hasn't played since then. I
- 1:37:11Speaker 2: think Northeastern has the momentum here. I would take the
- 1:37:14Speaker 2: points with Northeastern.
- 1:37:16Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna want to do that, but you know, I
- 1:37:19Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna They're probably not gonna win.
- 1:37:21Speaker 2: But you know I said that about some of these
- 1:37:23Speaker 2: other teams yesterday. Yes, dude, Belmont losing is the most
- 1:37:26Speaker 2: insane thing. Like Drake wasn't missing any of their shots.
- 1:37:31Speaker 2: These commerce tournaments are so bad, dude, Belmont is one
- 1:37:34Speaker 2: of the best mid major teams. They're like a top
- 1:37:36Speaker 2: fifty something Ken Palm team, and now they're not gonna
- 1:37:39Speaker 2: make the tournament. These commerce tournaments are bs man. They
- 1:37:42Speaker 2: will like remove your best teams, like almost right away,
- 1:37:46Speaker 2: so stupid. Anyway, I would take the points with Northeastern here,
- 1:37:50Speaker 2: nobody's gonna want to do that, but Drexel laying five
- 1:37:53Speaker 2: and a half. With Drexel up from four and a
- 1:37:54Speaker 2: half to five and a half, it looks like the
- 1:37:56Speaker 2: money initially came in on Drexel, But I don't really
- 1:37:59Speaker 2: I wouldn't really agree with it. Drexel is an ugly
- 1:38:02Speaker 2: slow team doing laying points like that low total in
- 1:38:05Speaker 2: the one thirties.
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean.
- 1:38:07Speaker 2: That's yeah, not what I would do. I would take
- 1:38:10Speaker 2: the points, but of first, you know me, I'm a contrarian.
- 1:38:13Speaker 1: No.
- 1:38:13Speaker 2: Still, nobody's gonna want Northeastern even though they did win
- 1:38:16Speaker 2: that first game. Hampton is at thousand or not at
- 1:38:20Speaker 2: Towsand excuse me, this is in the tournament. They're all
- 1:38:22Speaker 2: in Washington d C. Hampton's not a very good team, man.
- 1:38:26Speaker 2: That's just the thing. They got blown out at Towsand
- 1:38:30Speaker 2: in the last game, so you know, maybe they'll make
- 1:38:32Speaker 2: adjustments from that because they got absolutely embarrassed by thirty
- 1:38:35Speaker 2: plus points. Hampton, by the way, actually won the home
- 1:38:38Speaker 2: game against Towsands, so they split the season series. Hampton
- 1:38:42Speaker 2: finished the season on a bad note, so there are
- 1:38:45Speaker 2: reasons why they might show up here. Last game, you know,
- 1:38:48Speaker 2: against Towsand was a blowout loss, so you know, they're
- 1:38:52Speaker 2: probably not quite as bad as that. But the last
- 1:38:56Speaker 2: game they played was against William and Mary, which was
- 1:38:59Speaker 2: a tough game for Hampton. Tousand finished the season hot, though,
- 1:39:03Speaker 2: with a three game win streak, and I don't like
- 1:39:05Speaker 2: when teams finish the season hot and then they have
- 1:39:08Speaker 2: a break that might snap that momentum and now they
- 1:39:10Speaker 2: have to come play in the tournament. I think Towsand
- 1:39:14Speaker 2: is absolutely the better team here, but now they're up
- 1:39:16Speaker 2: to a seven point favorite with a total of one
- 1:39:19Speaker 2: thirty one, very low total. I think the spot is
- 1:39:23Speaker 2: a little bit better for Hampton, even though yes, tousand
- 1:39:25Speaker 2: is definitely the better team. Money looks like it's on thousand,
- 1:39:29Speaker 2: but I might lean towards taking the points in that one,
- 1:39:32Speaker 2: even though Hampton is really not very good. Yeah it's
- 1:39:38Speaker 2: I mean, that's not an easy handicap for me at all.
- 1:39:40Speaker 2: But Towsand I think they're kind of more of a
- 1:39:42Speaker 2: defensive team, slow team, again, not really conducive to laying
- 1:39:46Speaker 2: points like that. Then we have a game that's not
- 1:39:49Speaker 2: gonna be slow between Elon and William and Mary. Willim
- 1:39:52Speaker 2: and Mary play super fast. Other' up from five to six.
- 1:39:57Speaker 2: Believe it or not, William and Mary lost both regular
- 1:40:00Speaker 2: season games to Elon.
- 1:40:01Speaker 1: I don't know what it is. Maybe Elon matches up
- 1:40:04Speaker 1: well against them.
- 1:40:04Speaker 2: They lost both games by three points to Elon, but
- 1:40:08Speaker 2: them also might motivate William and Mary. Women and Mary
- 1:40:10Speaker 2: are definitely the better of the two teams. But again,
- 1:40:13Speaker 2: maybe there's a matchup issue against Elon. But like again,
- 1:40:17Speaker 2: I would dig into the box scores and see I
- 1:40:19Speaker 2: did do that last night, and nothing like totally jumped
- 1:40:22Speaker 2: out at me as far as like making me want
- 1:40:24Speaker 2: to play this game. But Women and Mary did come
- 1:40:26Speaker 2: into this on a three game win streak, which I
- 1:40:28Speaker 2: think that's not good. Elon went in on a four
- 1:40:33Speaker 2: game losing streak, and didn't you know those weren't close
- 1:40:36Speaker 2: losses in the last couple of games either, So and
- 1:40:39Speaker 2: they got absolutely embarrassed by NCAA and T in the
- 1:40:41Speaker 2: mix there too. So again, I think when you have
- 1:40:45Speaker 2: those momentums, teams are going in opposite directions and then
- 1:40:48Speaker 2: that momentum might all get stopped because you get all,
- 1:40:51Speaker 2: you know, a few days off. Now the conference tournament starts,
- 1:40:54Speaker 2: you go somewhere else. It's like a reset and women
- 1:40:56Speaker 2: and Mary has had issues with Elon man, which I
- 1:41:00Speaker 2: think they know that and.
- 1:41:01Speaker 1: They might try to fix some things.
- 1:41:02Speaker 2: But I would lean towards Elon in that one man,
- 1:41:06Speaker 2: maybe there's the potential here of an early exit in
- 1:41:09Speaker 2: this tournament for William and Mary. And you know, I'm
- 1:41:11Speaker 2: just not a fan of these fast paced teams, you
- 1:41:13Speaker 2: know what I mean? That would be good for UNC Wilmington,
- 1:41:16Speaker 2: even though they're on the other side of the bracket.
- 1:41:18Speaker 2: You wound, see, Wilmington can't like they're they've been unable
- 1:41:20Speaker 2: to beat William and Mary because William and Mary speeds
- 1:41:23Speaker 2: them up and throws them way off. But it seems
- 1:41:27Speaker 2: like Elon is successfully able to slow William and Mary
- 1:41:30Speaker 2: down a bit. So I don't know, Man Elon here.
- 1:41:34Speaker 2: They're not a very good team, but they are slow
- 1:41:36Speaker 2: based em they're horrible on defense, so you know, yeah,
- 1:41:42Speaker 2: it's it's a weird game. I don't want anything to
- 1:41:44Speaker 2: do with it, but yeah, it's a very odd game.
- 1:41:47Speaker 2: But I think I probably would lean towards Elon based
- 1:41:49Speaker 2: on the momentum thing. The SoCon continues at new in here,
- 1:41:55Speaker 2: trying to get through all these games. Man, the Citadel
- 1:41:57Speaker 2: is playing East Tennessee. Dell got an upset win last
- 1:42:01Speaker 2: night against Chattanuguy. I mean, I think they were about
- 1:42:05Speaker 2: seven point dogs in that game, right, So that was
- 1:42:07Speaker 2: a decent upset for the Citadel last night. Now, sometimes
- 1:42:10Speaker 2: when the team pulls off an upset like that, it's
- 1:42:12Speaker 2: kind of like they shot their wad and then they're
- 1:42:15Speaker 2: kind of done after that. And I think they're gonna
- 1:42:18Speaker 2: show up because they're facing the one seed here. The
- 1:42:21Speaker 2: problem for East Tennessee is they haven't played yet in
- 1:42:23Speaker 2: the tournament.
- 1:42:24Speaker 1: They didn't end the season on a good.
- 1:42:26Speaker 2: Note though they lost their last two regular season games.
- 1:42:29Speaker 2: That was because they'd already wrapped up the one seed
- 1:42:31Speaker 2: in the conference.
- 1:42:32Speaker 1: Though they didn't show up.
- 1:42:34Speaker 2: But you know, I could see that going one of
- 1:42:37Speaker 2: two ways, Like maybe East Tennessee comes into this rusty
- 1:42:39Speaker 2: because they really haven't put in a huge effort for
- 1:42:42Speaker 2: a while, or because they lost their last two games,
- 1:42:45Speaker 2: maybe they'll right the ship here. You know, this is
- 1:42:48Speaker 2: reset time and they'll show up for this one. East
- 1:42:51Speaker 2: Tennessee against the Citadel during the regular season beat them
- 1:42:56Speaker 2: handily both times. They embarrassed them both times they beat them.
- 1:42:59Speaker 2: I almost thirty points in both games. So East Tennessee
- 1:43:02Speaker 2: State has not had a problem matchup wise with them.
- 1:43:05Speaker 2: Maybe it might mean they might take Citadel a little
- 1:43:08Speaker 2: bit lightly. Though it's a low total of one forty
- 1:43:12Speaker 2: and you're asking East Tennessee to win by sixteen points
- 1:43:15Speaker 2: here up from fourteen and a half, seventy five percent
- 1:43:17Speaker 2: of the tickets and only seventy one percent of the
- 1:43:19Speaker 2: cash in East Tennessee. They should win the game, but
- 1:43:24Speaker 2: I would probably take the points of the Citadel.
- 1:43:26Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:43:26Speaker 2: I don't love it when the team's coming off an upset,
- 1:43:29Speaker 2: but you know they have the momentum in the tournament now,
- 1:43:32Speaker 2: and they're used to the venue. All these games are
- 1:43:34Speaker 2: in Nationale, North Carolina, so you know, we'll see what
- 1:43:38Speaker 2: happens there in East Tennessee. Just might take them a
- 1:43:40Speaker 2: little bit lightly. You UNC Greensboro at whaff Or excuse
- 1:43:45Speaker 2: versus Wafford.
- 1:43:47Speaker 1: You UNC.
- 1:43:47Speaker 2: Greensboro got the win last night against VMI. Easy win there.
- 1:43:52Speaker 2: They did beat Wafford by ten. The last time they
- 1:43:54Speaker 2: played them, lost to them on the road by double digits,
- 1:43:57Speaker 2: so the home team won each game during the right
- 1:44:00Speaker 2: season by double digits. In this matchup, Wafford into the
- 1:44:04Speaker 2: season on a bad note losing to Citadel, so maybe
- 1:44:06Speaker 2: they will show up.
- 1:44:08Speaker 1: For this one.
- 1:44:09Speaker 2: But you UNC Greensboro is the team and has the
- 1:44:11Speaker 2: momentum because they won an easy game against VMI, so
- 1:44:14Speaker 2: they got their bearings. They played already in this venue.
- 1:44:18Speaker 2: Wafford's up to a four and a half point favorite here.
- 1:44:21Speaker 2: Money looks like it's kind of coming back, and you
- 1:44:23Speaker 2: would see Greensboro now tickets fifty one percent of the
- 1:44:26Speaker 2: cash on them. I'd probably take the points with them too. Again,
- 1:44:30Speaker 2: I think last time they played Wafford. They wait, I
- 1:44:34Speaker 2: forget which which team won the most recent matchup. I
- 1:44:37Speaker 2: guess you would see Greensboro did, so sometimes it will
- 1:44:39Speaker 2: zigzag back the other way. But in that one, I
- 1:44:42Speaker 2: think because UNC Greensboro already has a game under their
- 1:44:45Speaker 2: belt here, they're also playing a little bit. I think
- 1:44:48Speaker 2: they're playing a little bit closer to home, playing in Asheville,
- 1:44:50Speaker 2: but I'm not sure about that. I'd probably take the points.
- 1:44:54Speaker 2: Greensboro's played well down the stretch, and I think Wafford
- 1:44:57Speaker 2: is an overrated two seed in that conference tournament. Man, Like,
- 1:45:00Speaker 2: I don't think Wafford is as good as any of
- 1:45:03Speaker 2: these other four teams that we're talking about in the
- 1:45:06Speaker 2: three through six seeds there, Furman and Samford. This is like,
- 1:45:12Speaker 2: I think this is the closest matchup that we have
- 1:45:14Speaker 2: between all of these.
- 1:45:16Speaker 1: This is a tough one to read. Furman into the
- 1:45:18Speaker 1: season on.
- 1:45:19Speaker 2: A bad note, a bad loss to Western Carolina who
- 1:45:22Speaker 2: has had a decent season. Though against Samford, Furman did
- 1:45:26Speaker 2: win both matchups. Both games were close, but they did
- 1:45:29Speaker 2: win both games. Maybe, you know, maybe that means Samford
- 1:45:33Speaker 2: will make the adjustments and get them this time.
- 1:45:36Speaker 1: I'm not so sure about that. Samford finished the season very,
- 1:45:40Speaker 1: very hot. They won probably eight of their last nine
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: games or something like that here with one loss in
- 1:45:46Speaker 1: the middle.
- 1:45:46Speaker 2: They're finishing the season on a two game wins steak,
- 1:45:48Speaker 2: and again having time off and having to go into
- 1:45:51Speaker 2: the conference tournament can end your hot momentum Man, So
- 1:45:55Speaker 2: that might hurt that heat or that Samford was on Man,
- 1:45:58Speaker 2: and I'm sure they probably did not want this draw
- 1:46:00Speaker 2: against Furman, a team that they haven't been able to
- 1:46:02Speaker 2: beat this year. Samford has slipped from a one point
- 1:46:05Speaker 2: dodger to a one point favorite here. I kind of
- 1:46:08Speaker 2: leaned Furman in this one. Man, what does Ken Palm
- 1:46:12Speaker 2: say about this? He's got Furman two oh three. He's
- 1:46:15Speaker 2: got Furman as the very slightly better team Samford at ten.
- 1:46:20Speaker 2: Furman the less lucky team here. Furrman is the better depfense.
- 1:46:24Speaker 2: So that is something I look for as well. Yeah,
- 1:46:27Speaker 2: I lean Furhman in that one. And then Western Carolina
- 1:46:31Speaker 2: and Mercer. This whole conference is really down this year though.
- 1:46:36Speaker 2: Uh they just played each other and West Carolin. Western
- 1:46:38Speaker 2: Carolina just beat Mercer at home two games ago, and
- 1:46:41Speaker 2: they finished the season on a heater man winning six
- 1:46:45Speaker 2: games in a row. So that might disrupt their momentum there.
- 1:46:48Speaker 2: And it's a little bit of a quick revenge or
- 1:46:51Speaker 2: adjustment spot. Like when you just played a team and
- 1:46:53Speaker 2: you just beat them a lot of times, that other
- 1:46:55Speaker 2: team is more likely to get you back. Mercer did
- 1:46:58Speaker 2: win their home game by double digits earlier in the season.
- 1:47:01Speaker 2: I do think Mercer is the better team here. Mercer,
- 1:47:05Speaker 2: though they finished the season on a good note too.
- 1:47:06Speaker 2: They beat the top team in the conference, East Tennessee.
- 1:47:10Speaker 2: But it was a game where East Tennessee didn't have
- 1:47:13Speaker 2: anything to really play for at that point. Mercer's down
- 1:47:15Speaker 2: from two to one, so the money is coming in
- 1:47:18Speaker 2: against Mercer and going towards Western Carolina. But I kind
- 1:47:21Speaker 2: of lean Mercer in this game. Yeah, I mean, I
- 1:47:24Speaker 2: think Mercer does have the best player in this conference,
- 1:47:27Speaker 2: if I'm not mistaken. Let me see here, Ken Bomas
- 1:47:33Speaker 2: Mercer at one eight, Western Carolina significantly less at.
- 1:47:37Speaker 1: Two thirty four. So he has Mercer way higher ranked
- 1:47:41Speaker 1: than Western Carolina.
- 1:47:42Speaker 2: Western Carolina's outside the top three hundred on defense.
- 1:47:45Speaker 1: Both teams are bad on depense.
- 1:47:47Speaker 2: He's got both teams pretty unlucky, I think, but he's
- 1:47:50Speaker 2: got Mercer as.
- 1:47:52Speaker 1: As the less bad defense.
- 1:47:55Speaker 2: So yeah, according to Ken Bam, Mercer is a significantly
- 1:47:59Speaker 2: better team.
- 1:47:59Speaker 1: Here. Let me see as far as Mercer.
- 1:48:05Speaker 2: Yeah, this guy uh Baraka, oh Kogi Barack Obama. This guy,
- 1:48:12Speaker 2: he's like one of the best players in the conference.
- 1:48:14Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:48:15Speaker 2: So yeah, that guy, I believe he's the guy I'm
- 1:48:18Speaker 2: thinking of. He's good man. Not to be not to
- 1:48:20Speaker 2: be confused with the ARMANI Mighty. Some of these names
- 1:48:24Speaker 2: are so ridiculous in college basketball. Man, that guy is
- 1:48:30Speaker 2: also on Mercer along with Brady's shoulders.
- 1:48:34Speaker 1: Yeah anyway, yeah, I would lean to Mercer in that game.
- 1:48:38Speaker 1: All right, let's try to get this thing done.
- 1:48:40Speaker 2: Man, it's gonna be a fucking long video as usual.
- 1:48:43Speaker 2: I gotta come back and do the rest of the
- 1:48:46Speaker 2: sports today.
- 1:48:48Speaker 1: Let's get into the.
- 1:48:51Speaker 2: ESPN really messing up here at these graphics here, Let's.
- 1:48:55Speaker 1: Get into.
- 1:48:57Speaker 2: The Northeast Conference. Oh, this is on stone Hill and Mercyhurst.
- 1:49:03Speaker 2: Mercyhurst just got their first Division One tournament win ever
- 1:49:08Speaker 2: in their conference win at home. The crowd is going crazy.
- 1:49:12Speaker 2: Let me bring up the NEC here. Big win for
- 1:49:15Speaker 2: Mercy hearst. So you know when the crowd celebrates like that,
- 1:49:18Speaker 2: and that's a monumental win for your program. There is
- 1:49:21Speaker 2: the possibility of a letdown here. They're playing against stone Hill.
- 1:49:25Speaker 2: They did just beat stone Hill on the road the
- 1:49:28Speaker 2: game before that to finish the regular season, so there
- 1:49:30Speaker 2: is a little bit of revenge in.
- 1:49:32Speaker 1: Mind maybe for stone Hill here.
- 1:49:34Speaker 2: Stone Hill, the road team actually won both games in
- 1:49:37Speaker 2: this regular season match up here, but more recently it
- 1:49:41Speaker 2: was Mercyhurst winning at Stonehill. Mercy is coming off a
- 1:49:44Speaker 2: game that wasn't a big win. I mean, they won
- 1:49:46Speaker 2: a game they were supposed to win against an inferior
- 1:49:49Speaker 2: FDU team. But I think it was still big for Mercyhurst, man,
- 1:49:53Speaker 2: because they got to do it in front of their
- 1:49:54Speaker 2: home crowd. They got to finally get a conference tournament win.
- 1:49:58Speaker 2: Here they're at home again. Here, stone Hill is coming
- 1:50:01Speaker 2: off an upset of Lemoyne, and I don't love to
- 1:50:04Speaker 2: play on teams that just pulled off an upset like that.
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: Mercy Hurst, like I said, they are a.
- 1:50:12Speaker 2: They could make the conference final here, man, I think
- 1:50:15Speaker 2: this is actually this is the semifinal, so Mercy of
- 1:50:18Speaker 2: course they can their favorite here and if they win
- 1:50:19Speaker 2: this game, they're in the final. And I hope that happens,
- 1:50:22Speaker 2: because if they make the final, we're gonna play Mercy
- 1:50:25Speaker 2: Hurst in the final. Man, because if Mercyhurst makes the
- 1:50:28Speaker 2: final against US, say Long Island, Long Island gets the
- 1:50:33Speaker 2: conference bid even if they don't win the final because
- 1:50:36Speaker 2: Mercyhurst is ineligible to make the tournament because they're still
- 1:50:39Speaker 2: in transition. So very very weird set up there. We'll
- 1:50:43Speaker 2: see if they can get it done in this one.
- 1:50:44Speaker 2: But in this one, I actually do lean to stone Hill.
- 1:50:47Speaker 2: Plus the points Mercyhurst is quite public eighty nine percent
- 1:50:50Speaker 2: of tickets of though ninety seven percent of the cash
- 1:50:52Speaker 2: on them. I don't think they're really you know, I
- 1:50:54Speaker 2: don't think the public is really playing these Northeast Conference
- 1:50:57Speaker 2: games though, So we'll see. The other game is actually
- 1:51:01Speaker 2: my play, believe it or not. I don't know if
- 1:51:07Speaker 2: you expected this one, but I told I kind of
- 1:51:09Speaker 2: told you that I was gonna do this. Long Island
- 1:51:11Speaker 2: at minus the points is my other play here against Wagner.
- 1:51:14Speaker 2: We're gonna lay it with Long Island. Long Island has
- 1:51:17Speaker 2: been easily the best team in this conference this year,
- 1:51:20Speaker 2: but they're also coming off a horrible performance. And again,
- 1:51:24Speaker 2: I talk about this when you finish the season on
- 1:51:26Speaker 2: a good note, like they were pretty hot to finish
- 1:51:28Speaker 2: the season four out of five wins.
- 1:51:29Speaker 1: There.
- 1:51:32Speaker 2: You finish the season like that, and then you have
- 1:51:33Speaker 2: a break. It can disrupt your momentum. And they had
- 1:51:36Speaker 2: just beaten Chicago State the second to last regular season game,
- 1:51:42Speaker 2: so I think they took Chicago State really lightly, and
- 1:51:44Speaker 2: Long Island almost lost to Chicago State as a huge favorite,
- 1:51:48Speaker 2: like an eleven and a half way favorites. You know,
- 1:51:49Speaker 2: I talk about this when a team has a real
- 1:51:52Speaker 2: scare as a huge favorite. A lot of times they
- 1:51:55Speaker 2: will play better in the next game. And that's what
- 1:51:57Speaker 2: I like about this man a Long Island had that
- 1:52:00Speaker 2: huge scare, so I think you're gonna get a much
- 1:52:02Speaker 2: better effort this time. I know they beat Wagner easily
- 1:52:05Speaker 2: the last time they played them on this floor. They
- 1:52:07Speaker 2: also beat them on the road, But I looked into
- 1:52:10Speaker 2: those games, Long Island's just clearly the better team. Like,
- 1:52:12Speaker 2: I don't think there's really you know, I mean, yeah,
- 1:52:15Speaker 2: Wagner could make the adjustments here, but I also don't
- 1:52:18Speaker 2: like the spot that Wagner is in here. Wagner just
- 1:52:21Speaker 2: pulled off the upset on the road of Central connecticuts.
- 1:52:23Speaker 2: So now they're having to go from Central Connecticut to
- 1:52:25Speaker 2: Long Island, so they're having to travel between locations here,
- 1:52:29Speaker 2: whereas Long Island's just staying at home. Off a bad performance.
- 1:52:33Speaker 2: Wagner pulled off the seven versus two upset. Although I
- 1:52:37Speaker 2: told you Central Connecticut's not as good as people think
- 1:52:39Speaker 2: they are. They're not really the second best team in
- 1:52:41Speaker 2: this conference. But still a seven over two is a
- 1:52:45Speaker 2: pretty you know, satisfying upset.
- 1:52:47Speaker 1: Let's say it's a pretty nice upset.
- 1:52:49Speaker 2: Yeah, Wagner's gonna give you the effort here, but I
- 1:52:51Speaker 2: just don't see it happening.
- 1:52:52Speaker 1: Man. Wagner were three and a half point.
- 1:52:56Speaker 2: Dogs in that game, so it wasn't like a huge
- 1:52:57Speaker 2: upset spread wise. But all those things being combined here,
- 1:53:01Speaker 2: we're gonna lay it with Long Island here.
- 1:53:03Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:53:05Speaker 2: According to ken Bum, I know they're a really lucky team,
- 1:53:08Speaker 2: which does worry me.
- 1:53:09Speaker 1: But they're pretty balanced. They're good team.
- 1:53:11Speaker 2: They're almost in the top two well not good, but
- 1:53:13Speaker 2: they're almost in the top two hundred. They're by far
- 1:53:16Speaker 2: the best team in this conference. Wagner is outside the
- 1:53:19Speaker 2: top three hundred. They're outside the top three hundred on defense.
- 1:53:22Speaker 2: They're a middling luck team, so they're not like an
- 1:53:25Speaker 2: unlucky team.
- 1:53:26Speaker 1: Really. Wagner tries to play slow.
- 1:53:30Speaker 2: Long Island is probably gonna try to speed the game
- 1:53:34Speaker 2: up a little bit too. Long Island goes a little
- 1:53:36Speaker 2: bit faster, so hopefully they're able to do that here
- 1:53:38Speaker 2: and get the job done. But yes, we're going Long
- 1:53:42Speaker 2: Island in that game. I had my eye on that
- 1:53:44Speaker 2: one after all those games finished, So that's that game
- 1:53:47Speaker 2: all right, keeping it going. So I think my two
- 1:53:52Speaker 2: players are not right away, so I can get the
- 1:53:54Speaker 2: Instagram videos out a little bit later too, when I
- 1:53:57Speaker 2: come back and do NBA NHL. It's gonna be a
- 1:53:59Speaker 2: quicker game though. All right, we have the Big South
- 1:54:02Speaker 2: semifinals are in action. We have one conference finals, so
- 1:54:06Speaker 2: we're gonna have one auto bid decided tonight. By the way,
- 1:54:08Speaker 2: Big Souther are in the semifinals. You unc Asheville got
- 1:54:12Speaker 2: the win yesterday and they're facing high Point.
- 1:54:15Speaker 1: High Points gonna be a huge favorite in this one.
- 1:54:17Speaker 2: You unc Asheville beat Longwood in a very close game
- 1:54:20Speaker 2: yesterday against high Point. They lost both regular season matchups.
- 1:54:26Speaker 2: Neither game was particularly close at all. High Point is
- 1:54:29Speaker 2: definitely the considerably better team here. Both teams have a
- 1:54:32Speaker 2: game under their belt now in the tournament. You wu
- 1:54:34Speaker 2: and see Asheville had a hard fought game there. High
- 1:54:37Speaker 2: Point had a much easier game yesterday against a horrible
- 1:54:40Speaker 2: Gardner Web team. Very easy win for high Point. They
- 1:54:43Speaker 2: kind of just went through the motions in that game.
- 1:54:47Speaker 2: High Point should win this game. They're up to a
- 1:54:50Speaker 2: thirteen point favorite from eleven and a half. It looks
- 1:54:52Speaker 2: like some of the money's coming in on high Point.
- 1:54:55Speaker 2: I probably wouldn't even disagree with laying it with high
- 1:54:58Speaker 2: Point here, but you hopefully they win the game, you know,
- 1:55:01Speaker 2: for so that we don't keep getting all these good
- 1:55:04Speaker 2: teams eliminated from the tournament completely. High Point might have
- 1:55:08Speaker 2: a more difficult game if it becomes them versus Winthrop,
- 1:55:12Speaker 2: which is probably gonna happen. That's gonna be a more
- 1:55:16Speaker 2: difficult game for high Point. But I think they do
- 1:55:18Speaker 2: get through this game. I would lean towards them covering
- 1:55:21Speaker 2: as well, but you know, not a strong opinion. And
- 1:55:23Speaker 2: then we have Presbyterian and Winthrop. Presbyterian had an insane
- 1:55:27Speaker 2: game last night. I just don't see Presbyterian being able
- 1:55:30Speaker 2: to put in another effort like this again. Although there
- 1:55:33Speaker 2: are some caveats to this, but if you saw that
- 1:55:35Speaker 2: game last night against Radford, which was a six versus three,
- 1:55:39Speaker 2: and everybody was like, oh, this is an upset, but
- 1:55:41Speaker 2: I mean Radford was only like a two point favorite.
- 1:55:43Speaker 2: Presbyterian hit a long three pointer to tie the game,
- 1:55:48Speaker 2: I think, just to send the game into overtime, and
- 1:55:50Speaker 2: then they won an overtime. So and this was the
- 1:55:53Speaker 2: latest game, This is the game that was last night.
- 1:55:55Speaker 2: I think this is the last game that was played
- 1:55:57Speaker 2: last night, so Presbyterian has less time to recover from this,
- 1:56:01Speaker 2: and they went into overtime, so that's not good.
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: And they're going up against Winthrop, who had a huge
- 1:56:08Speaker 1: scary yesterday.
- 1:56:09Speaker 2: I went Throp should have lost the game against Charleston Southern.
- 1:56:12Speaker 2: I've never seen anything like that finish where Charleston Southern
- 1:56:16Speaker 2: was winning the game by seven with like forty seconds
- 1:56:19Speaker 2: left in the game and Winthrop scored the last twelve
- 1:56:22Speaker 2: points and won the game. And what happened was, I
- 1:56:25Speaker 2: think they they hit a basket, you know, they made
- 1:56:27Speaker 2: a basket or something. Then they stole the inbound pass,
- 1:56:31Speaker 2: got it and won, got the free throw, stole another,
- 1:56:36Speaker 2: they stole it again from Charleston Southern, scored again, and
- 1:56:41Speaker 2: then Charleston Southern I think missed a shot and then
- 1:56:45Speaker 2: it looked like there was an out of bounds play
- 1:56:46Speaker 2: where they were gonna get the ball back at least
- 1:56:48Speaker 2: to have a chance, And I do think this was
- 1:56:51Speaker 2: the correct call.
- 1:56:52Speaker 1: It was overturned and.
- 1:56:53Speaker 2: Giving back to Winthrop. That I do think was the
- 1:56:55Speaker 2: correct call. And then Charleston Southern had to intentionally foul.
- 1:56:59Speaker 2: Then Charleston Southern stepped out of bounds when they got
- 1:57:02Speaker 2: the ball back again, and with zero point one seconds
- 1:57:05Speaker 2: left down three, they intentionally fouled again, even though they're
- 1:57:09Speaker 2: gonna have no chance left to do anything anyway, So
- 1:57:11Speaker 2: that put the game over. With those final free throws,
- 1:57:14Speaker 2: it put the game over by one and a half points.
- 1:57:17Speaker 2: And Winthrop covered a lot of the numbers. I think
- 1:57:20Speaker 2: they closed six and a half, but they were five
- 1:57:22Speaker 2: and a half, four and a half for a while.
- 1:57:24Speaker 2: Absolutely outrageous way for that game to finish. But Winthrop
- 1:57:28Speaker 2: struggled in that game then. And the other thing is
- 1:57:31Speaker 2: Duncombe came back in that game for Winthrop. They were
- 1:57:34Speaker 2: losing the game and he didn't start the game, and
- 1:57:36Speaker 2: then they put him in. Like a surprise appearance from Duncombe. Huge, yeah,
- 1:57:43Speaker 2: I mean that was huge. It did turn the game
- 1:57:45Speaker 2: around for them. He's like the best player in the conference.
- 1:57:48Speaker 2: So I think Winthrop after that scare, it looks like
- 1:57:50Speaker 2: Duncombe will play here. I would have to lean Winthrop
- 1:57:53Speaker 2: in this game. But Winthrop did just beat Presbyterian in
- 1:57:57Speaker 2: the final regular season game, so but they did only lose,
- 1:58:02Speaker 2: I mean they did only win by four though, So
- 1:58:04Speaker 2: Winthrop was seven and a half way favorites. And they
- 1:58:06Speaker 2: almost lost that game, so that might actually even be
- 1:58:08Speaker 2: better for Winthrop.
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: They might show up.
- 1:58:10Speaker 2: For that reason too, because they almost lost that game
- 1:58:12Speaker 2: to Presbyterian. They did meet them on the road earlier
- 1:58:15Speaker 2: this year. But yeah, I think Winthrop is definitely the
- 1:58:17Speaker 2: right side here. Throw up from six and a half
- 1:58:20Speaker 2: to seven and a half here. That one's close to
- 1:58:22Speaker 2: a play for me, to be honest, I'm Winthrop. I
- 1:58:25Speaker 2: do like Winthrop in that game, you know, I'm that
- 1:58:30Speaker 2: one I'm considering too. I mean, it's really really close
- 1:58:32Speaker 2: to being a play, just because of the way the
- 1:58:36Speaker 2: games worked out last night.
- 1:58:38Speaker 1: But I don't know.
- 1:58:39Speaker 2: I mean, when when it comes tournament time, you're usually
- 1:58:41Speaker 2: gonna get a lot of effort. And I know I'm
- 1:58:43Speaker 2: saying that, and I gave you guys Long Island already,
- 1:58:45Speaker 2: But yeah, all right, you know that one that I
- 1:58:53Speaker 2: talked about with Winthrop was a little bit less extreme,
- 1:58:55Speaker 2: but the Presbyterian overtime situation kind of puts that in
- 1:58:59Speaker 2: that kind of territory where I might want to think
- 1:59:01Speaker 2: about it. All right, we have the American East Tournament starting.
- 1:59:07Speaker 2: Albany is playing at umss Lowl. All the high seeds
- 1:59:10Speaker 2: are hosting these games, so Albany's at UMSS Lowell UMSS
- 1:59:14Speaker 2: Lowell I believe won both regular season matchups. They they
- 1:59:19Speaker 2: might match up well against Albany.
- 1:59:22Speaker 1: U mess.
- 1:59:23Speaker 2: Lowell finished with a win to the regular season after
- 1:59:26Speaker 2: losing a couple of games. I think they probably get
- 1:59:28Speaker 2: it done against Albany, but maybe Albany does have some
- 1:59:32Speaker 2: adjustments to make you after losing. Albany did lose three
- 1:59:35Speaker 2: out of the last four games too, but Albany might
- 1:59:38Speaker 2: have some adjustments to make after Lowell did beat them twice.
- 1:59:41Speaker 2: But there might be a matchup thing where Lowell just
- 1:59:44Speaker 2: might be the better team. Lowell is only a two
- 1:59:46Speaker 2: and a half point favorite at home, but I think
- 1:59:48Speaker 2: they are the better team, So I don't know why
- 1:59:50Speaker 2: they're only two and a half well, ken Bummley is
- 1:59:53Speaker 2: in five ranking spots better.
- 1:59:54Speaker 1: Both teams are atrocious.
- 1:59:56Speaker 2: Actually, Albany is one of the bottom like twenty five
- 2:00:00Speaker 2: teams defensively and Lowell is not that much better. Lowell
- 2:00:04Speaker 2: is gonna try to speed it up because Albaney likes
- 2:00:06Speaker 2: to go slow. Lowell is the more lucky team though,
- 2:00:10Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't want anything to do with that game,
- 2:00:12Speaker 2: but you know, maybe Lowell gets it done for a
- 2:00:15Speaker 2: third time. It looks like they do match up well
- 2:00:17Speaker 2: against Albaney, but no guarantee in that one.
- 2:00:21Speaker 1: That's the three versus six game, I believe. No, that's
- 2:00:25Speaker 1: the four five four five.
- 2:00:27Speaker 2: The eight versus one is New Hampshire against UNBC. New
- 2:00:31Speaker 2: Hampshire broke their long losing streaggle to win over Bryant,
- 2:00:35Speaker 2: which I think is good because that kind of just
- 2:00:37Speaker 2: ends their losing streak, although I think having time off
- 2:00:39Speaker 2: will help end their losing streak as well.
- 2:00:42Speaker 1: They're a lot.
- 2:00:43Speaker 2: Worse than UNBC, but they did actually only lose by
- 2:00:45Speaker 2: one the last time they were on this floor at
- 2:00:48Speaker 2: u NBC, but they got blown out at home by UNBC. UNBC,
- 2:00:52Speaker 2: obviously I think will win the game, but covering might
- 2:00:54Speaker 2: be a different story.
- 2:00:55Speaker 1: UNBC finished the season super.
- 2:00:57Speaker 2: Hot, winning like nine games in a row or something,
- 2:01:01Speaker 2: so I don't like that when you finish the season
- 2:01:03Speaker 2: on a huge win streak and they blew out NJIT
- 2:01:06Speaker 2: to finish the season on the road. You know, nj
- 2:01:08Speaker 2: T has been near the top of the conference, but
- 2:01:10Speaker 2: they're really not that good. I would probably take the
- 2:01:15Speaker 2: points because I think that could be disruptive to unbc's
- 2:01:18Speaker 2: flow there having time off with that long win streak,
- 2:01:21Speaker 2: they're laying thirteen and a half now here. I'd probably
- 2:01:24Speaker 2: take the points with the U n H, but that
- 2:01:26Speaker 2: one's not a play for me either, of course, nothing.
- 2:01:29Speaker 2: I don't have any other college plays here, but a
- 2:01:32Speaker 2: lot of these are not strong opinions either. Bryant is
- 2:01:35Speaker 2: at Vermont. Vermont is the other best team in the conference.
- 2:01:39Speaker 2: This is the two versus seven game. Vermont's way better
- 2:01:42Speaker 2: than Bryant. I believe they won both games against Bryant
- 2:01:45Speaker 2: during the regular season. Let me see, Yes, they beat
- 2:01:51Speaker 2: Bryant both times by double digits, so Vermont the considerably
- 2:01:55Speaker 2: better team. I don't think there's anything really misleading about that.
- 2:01:58Speaker 2: Bryant finished the season on a really bad note, though,
- 2:02:01Speaker 2: so maybe they will show up for this. Vermont finished
- 2:02:04Speaker 2: on a three game win streak, so you know, I
- 2:02:06Speaker 2: kind of don't like it when teams come into the
- 2:02:08Speaker 2: conference tournament having their positive momentum disrupt that. I feel
- 2:02:11Speaker 2: like I just reiterate myself all the time. But I
- 2:02:14Speaker 2: would probably take the points with Bryant here. Vermont's a
- 2:02:17Speaker 2: thirteen point favorite. We see ninety percent of the tickets
- 2:02:20Speaker 2: on them right now, ninety nine percent of the cash
- 2:02:22Speaker 2: probably not accurate, but this is a low total too,
- 2:02:25Speaker 2: in the one thirties. So is that UNBC game. So
- 2:02:28Speaker 2: I'd probably leave its taking the points with Bryant. But yeah,
- 2:02:31Speaker 2: of course I think Vermont will win and I think
- 2:02:33Speaker 2: UMBC will also win there.
- 2:02:35Speaker 1: And then this conference reshuffles.
- 2:02:37Speaker 2: The seeding after that, so the the top teams get
- 2:02:41Speaker 2: a good advantage by you know, the seed reshuffle, and
- 2:02:44Speaker 2: then the three six is Maine against the very fraudulent NJIT.
- 2:02:49Speaker 1: Maine finished the.
- 2:02:50Speaker 2: Season with two losses in a row. They lost to
- 2:02:52Speaker 2: NJIT at home not that long ago. They actually beat
- 2:02:55Speaker 2: them on the road, so the last time they were
- 2:02:58Speaker 2: here they won.
- 2:02:59Speaker 1: The road team won games.
- 2:03:01Speaker 2: NJT lost their last four games and they did get
- 2:03:03Speaker 2: totally blown out at home in their last game. So
- 2:03:06Speaker 2: maybe NJT will show up with some focus because they
- 2:03:10Speaker 2: didn't play well at the end of the season at all,
- 2:03:14Speaker 2: and the last time they're on this floor they.
- 2:03:16Speaker 1: Did lose to Maine.
- 2:03:17Speaker 2: NJAT is really not as good as people think they are,
- 2:03:20Speaker 2: but I think they are the.
- 2:03:21Speaker 1: Better team here.
- 2:03:22Speaker 2: Still, Maine is not very good NJT up from three
- 2:03:25Speaker 2: to four, so you know this one, I might actually
- 2:03:29Speaker 2: lay it, even though I think NJT is a fraud,
- 2:03:31Speaker 2: as I keep saying. Maine is like a bottom twenty team, man,
- 2:03:34Speaker 2: and they're bad, although they're actually fairly good defensively. But
- 2:03:38Speaker 2: NJT is also, I mean not good, but they're not
- 2:03:41Speaker 2: horrible defensively, but neither is NJIT although they are really
- 2:03:44Speaker 2: lucky eleventh in the country in luck but ken Bum
- 2:03:47Speaker 2: does have NG like ten ranking spots higher, or so
- 2:03:50Speaker 2: fifteen actually, which isn't saying much. I mean, both these
- 2:03:54Speaker 2: teams are in the bottom thirty in all Division one.
- 2:03:57Speaker 2: I mean, this is a horrible conference. But yeah, those
- 2:04:02Speaker 2: are my thoughts on that game. I mean, it's not
- 2:04:03Speaker 2: something I want to get involved, even though I am
- 2:04:05Speaker 2: getting involved in an ugly conference myself.
- 2:04:08Speaker 1: Over there. All right, other conference tournament games to talk about? Here?
- 2:04:13Speaker 1: What else we got?
- 2:04:14Speaker 2: I already talked about the Colonium, already talked about this
- 2:04:17Speaker 2: soa Conne and the Big South, and we're going through it.
- 2:04:20Speaker 2: We got Missouri Valley at three point thirty pm on
- 2:04:24Speaker 2: CBS Sports. Drake and U s interesting with Drake. I
- 2:04:30Speaker 2: just think this is where Drake it runs out for them.
- 2:04:32Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:04:32Speaker 2: I mean, they just knocked off Belmont. They're the Cinderella.
- 2:04:36Speaker 2: But I think you know, this is the midnight situation here.
- 2:04:40Speaker 2: Everybody's shitting on u S due oh u i C
- 2:04:43Speaker 2: had this huge upset yesterday against Murray State. It was
- 2:04:47Speaker 2: a good win, no doubt about it against Murray State.
- 2:04:49Speaker 2: But I told you I liked UICE in that game
- 2:04:51Speaker 2: because they're the better deepense and they were actually favored
- 2:04:54Speaker 2: against Murray State when the game went off, so it
- 2:04:57Speaker 2: was not really an upset. U i C is better
- 2:05:00Speaker 2: team here. They're actually the fourth best team in this conference.
- 2:05:03Speaker 2: Drake is probably about the ninth and they are the
- 2:05:06Speaker 2: nine seeds.
- 2:05:07Speaker 1: So there you go.
- 2:05:07Speaker 2: People complaining about this conference. I will complain about Belmont
- 2:05:11Speaker 2: being gone. I'm shocked by that. I expected Belmont to
- 2:05:14Speaker 2: be in this game, win this one, and get to
- 2:05:17Speaker 2: the final. But you know that's not gonna happen anymore.
- 2:05:21Speaker 2: Although the second best team is still alive in Northern Iowa.
- 2:05:26Speaker 2: But yeah, I think this is where the clock strikes
- 2:05:28Speaker 2: midnight on the Drake Cinderella. I think the run is
- 2:05:32Speaker 2: over for Drake and this one. I would have to imagine.
- 2:05:36Speaker 1: Boy, I'm really starting to dislike the Drake. I hate
- 2:05:39Speaker 1: the Drake. Yeah, I'm not liking it.
- 2:05:46Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, U I see is the better
- 2:05:48Speaker 2: team here, man, and people are not giving you, I
- 2:05:50Speaker 2: see that much credit. I think the public might want
- 2:05:53Speaker 2: Drake because well, if Drake can beat Belmont, they can
- 2:05:55Speaker 2: beat anybody. But the money's coming in in U I see,
- 2:05:58Speaker 2: I like it. I agree with it this one. I
- 2:06:01Speaker 2: consider this putting this one on my card, to be honest,
- 2:06:03Speaker 2: I like U I see here, but they are slow
- 2:06:06Speaker 2: paced team, and you know, laying points in a tournament
- 2:06:09Speaker 2: setting like this, you know it's probably gonna be a
- 2:06:10Speaker 2: low scoring game in the one forties for the total
- 2:06:14Speaker 2: there fifty seven percent tickets, seventy five percent of the
- 2:06:16Speaker 2: cash on U S. I agree with U. S. You
- 2:06:19Speaker 2: know that was just such a monumental upset for Drake.
- 2:06:22Speaker 2: Double digit oppo set. They've had one hundred points in
- 2:06:25Speaker 2: the game.
- 2:06:26Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it ends for them here, But this
- 2:06:28Speaker 1: one doesn't make my card. Now. The other thing I
- 2:06:33Speaker 1: was gonna say this Missouri Valley.
- 2:06:35Speaker 2: By the way, if you discount that Drake Belmont game yesterday,
- 2:06:39Speaker 2: coming into this season, I think even if you include
- 2:06:42Speaker 2: that game, I think we're we're seeing like a fourteen
- 2:06:47Speaker 2: to two under run in the Missouri Valley Tournament because
- 2:06:50Speaker 2: they play all these games are in Saint Louis and
- 2:06:53Speaker 2: it's like this, like bigger arena, so the site lines
- 2:06:56Speaker 2: are messed up, so you see.
- 2:06:57Speaker 1: A ton of unders.
- 2:06:58Speaker 2: But I think the unders are better in the earlier
- 2:07:01Speaker 2: games in the tournament because well maybe not though, because
- 2:07:04Speaker 2: then you get to like the finals, the semifinals and
- 2:07:06Speaker 2: those who come, like a real playoff atmosphere. But when
- 2:07:08Speaker 2: teams have to adjust to the venue, that's another angle
- 2:07:11Speaker 2: to consider. Man, when teams have to adjust to a venue,
- 2:07:14Speaker 2: We're too late for that now. But like the early
- 2:07:16Speaker 2: games in this conference tournament, unders make sense, you know,
- 2:07:20Speaker 2: in weird, big arenas like this, and this conference has
- 2:07:23Speaker 2: been notorious for unders, so I will I will point
- 2:07:26Speaker 2: that out as well, but I'm not really a total
- 2:07:28Speaker 2: as guys, you know, Nope, I completely disagree. One thing
- 2:07:32Speaker 2: I should point out though, is in these conference tournaments.
- 2:07:35Speaker 2: I know I talked about the futures and I'm gonna
- 2:07:37Speaker 2: I'm gonna do more of those, but it's actually better
- 2:07:39Speaker 2: to do a roll over if you like a team
- 2:07:42Speaker 2: to win a conference, you should just play them on
- 2:07:44Speaker 2: the money line in every game, play them on the
- 2:07:46Speaker 2: money line, and if they win, take your winnings from.
- 2:07:49Speaker 1: That roll it over into the next game.
- 2:07:51Speaker 2: So make it like a small or bet because you're
- 2:07:53Speaker 2: gonna be playing them potentially multiple times in a row.
- 2:07:56Speaker 2: But take your winnings from the first one, bet them
- 2:07:58Speaker 2: again in the next one, and keep doing that until you,
- 2:08:01Speaker 2: you know, think that, because then you could also stop
- 2:08:04Speaker 2: at any point where you think they have a bad
- 2:08:05Speaker 2: matchup or something like that.
- 2:08:07Speaker 1: Maybe you don't want to do it anymore, you know
- 2:08:08Speaker 1: what I mean?
- 2:08:08Speaker 2: So the roll over, But if you keep rolling it
- 2:08:11Speaker 2: over every single time, you'll make more money that way
- 2:08:13Speaker 2: than playing a future. But no, I think Drake is
- 2:08:16Speaker 2: definitely gonna lose this game. Well good luck to you, Jeff.
- 2:08:22Speaker 2: I do not think you're gonna win that bet. Yes, yeah,
- 2:08:28Speaker 2: I like you, I see in that game, and I
- 2:08:29Speaker 2: like Northern Iowa and the other game.
- 2:08:31Speaker 1: But the money's coming in on Bradley.
- 2:08:33Speaker 2: Bradley's a false two seed though, man, And they really
- 2:08:36Speaker 2: had to go through a lot yesterday to win that game.
- 2:08:38Speaker 2: I know they played earlier. These two teams played in
- 2:08:41Speaker 2: the later two games last night, Bradley was the second
- 2:08:44Speaker 2: and last game. Northern Iowa was the last game. But
- 2:08:46Speaker 2: Northern Iowa, their game was over early, man, and I
- 2:08:49Speaker 2: believe that game did go under. I told you the
- 2:08:51Speaker 2: under in that game, and I think it stayed under.
- 2:08:53Speaker 1: I think so Northern Iowa.
- 2:09:00Speaker 2: I agreed with Drake covering in that game against Belmont yesterday.
- 2:09:04Speaker 2: Money line is just an insane bet though there's no
- 2:09:07Speaker 2: way I thought they were gonna lose the game, but
- 2:09:09Speaker 2: I thought because Drake had a little bit of momentum
- 2:09:11Speaker 2: that it might have made sense to look towards them
- 2:09:13Speaker 2: on the on the the spread, but definitely not money line.
- 2:09:17Speaker 2: This Drake team is still they sucked, dude. They're gonna
- 2:09:21Speaker 2: their luck is gonna run out. Like they weren't missing
- 2:09:24Speaker 2: at all against Belmont in that game. That's not gonna
- 2:09:27Speaker 2: happen again. That was an insane shooting performance and they're
- 2:09:30Speaker 2: facing an Illinois Chicago is one of the best defenses
- 2:09:33Speaker 2: in this conference. So good luck to Drake on that.
- 2:09:36Speaker 2: Illinois Chicago, I think is a better defense than Belmont
- 2:09:39Speaker 2: is in Northern Iowa is a great defense, like twentieth
- 2:09:43Speaker 2: in the country. Good so I think they're gonna they
- 2:09:47Speaker 2: will beat Bradley. But I do think Bradley had to
- 2:09:51Speaker 2: go to overtime yesterday.
- 2:09:52Speaker 1: It was a very tough game.
- 2:09:53Speaker 2: Everybody was complaining, Oh, Valpo is gonna pull off this
- 2:09:56Speaker 2: big upset against Bradley. I was kind of rooting for it,
- 2:09:59Speaker 2: just so just to see all the tiers. Bradley is
- 2:10:04Speaker 2: a false two seed. Man, They're like the sixth best
- 2:10:07Speaker 2: team in this conference. They're not that good. Northern Iowa
- 2:10:10Speaker 2: is the second best team in this conference. That's why
- 2:10:12Speaker 2: they're four and a half point favorites.
- 2:10:13Speaker 1: In this game.
- 2:10:14Speaker 2: The money is coming in on Bradley, sixty four percent
- 2:10:17Speaker 2: of tickets, seventy percent of the cash on Bradley. I
- 2:10:20Speaker 2: would probably actually lean to Northern Iowa here. Uh, the
- 2:10:24Speaker 2: totals very low in the one twenties. I could see
- 2:10:27Speaker 2: it being a very low scoring game in this Northern
- 2:10:29Speaker 2: Iowa team. I mean, they're they're a brutal defense. After
- 2:10:33Speaker 2: face looking at these teams because I always look at
- 2:10:36Speaker 2: what do they do in the regular season. U I
- 2:10:38Speaker 2: see against Drake u i S beat them by seven
- 2:10:40Speaker 2: at home and beat them by ten on the road.
- 2:10:43Speaker 2: So U I see is two and zero against Drake
- 2:10:45Speaker 2: during the regal season.
- 2:10:47Speaker 1: They're the better team. Like I said, sure Drake.
- 2:10:50Speaker 2: You know, maybe Drake can get something together and you know,
- 2:10:54Speaker 2: adjust some things. But I'm sorry, I just don't see
- 2:10:58Speaker 2: it happening up one money. What's up man? Well, of
- 2:11:03Speaker 2: course you like Drake. They're the Cinderella of this tournament.
- 2:11:05Speaker 2: Everybody loves Drake right now.
- 2:11:07Speaker 1: But I don't. I mean, I'm trying to make money.
- 2:11:11Speaker 2: I'm trying to make money here, man, and I think
- 2:11:13Speaker 2: playing Drake is a way to lose money at this point.
- 2:11:17Speaker 1: It's a way to put yourself in the poorhouse.
- 2:11:20Speaker 2: Northern Iowa and Bradley in this matchup, what do these
- 2:11:22Speaker 2: teams do in the regular season. Bradley lost really badly
- 2:11:28Speaker 2: in the game at Northern Iowa sixty one to forty nine.
- 2:11:31Speaker 2: Northern Iowa really held their offense down. And then I
- 2:11:35Speaker 2: think that might have been the only game they played.
- 2:11:37Speaker 2: Did they only played once?
- 2:11:38Speaker 1: Let me see?
- 2:11:39Speaker 2: No, the other game was a higher scoring game seventy
- 2:11:41Speaker 2: five is sixty nine. Bradley actually won the home game,
- 2:11:45Speaker 2: so the home team won each But yeah, I like
- 2:11:48Speaker 2: Northern Iowa in this one. But asking an extreme defense
- 2:11:51Speaker 2: to cover like that is kind of a different story.
- 2:11:54Speaker 2: But I think Northern Iowa gets through, and at this
- 2:11:56Speaker 2: point I'm hoping Northern Iowa wins this conference tournament because
- 2:12:00Speaker 2: they're the best team left. They're like eightieth and ken Palm,
- 2:12:03Speaker 2: so they're a top one hundred team again bum, and
- 2:12:05Speaker 2: they're a very very good defense. So Northern Iowa is
- 2:12:12Speaker 2: a top twenty defense in the entire country.
- 2:12:15Speaker 1: Yes, not overall, not overall because their offense sucks.
- 2:12:20Speaker 2: They're seventy sixth overall, twenty first in defense, I'm sorry.
- 2:12:24Speaker 2: And they're extremely unlucky too. According to Kentbom, they've underperformed.
- 2:12:30Speaker 2: They're one of the twentiest twenty unluckiest teams in the country.
- 2:12:33Speaker 2: And they're an extreme slow paced team, second slowest in
- 2:12:37Speaker 2: the country. And actually their offense is not as bad
- 2:12:39Speaker 2: as I thought. At one to eighty five, kind of
- 2:12:41Speaker 2: a mediocre offense, Northern Iowa was pretty legit, man, Okay,
- 2:12:47Speaker 2: disagree with the numbers.
- 2:12:49Speaker 1: This is an objective measure.
- 2:12:50Speaker 2: According to Kentbom, Northern Iowa is an extremely good defense.
- 2:12:55Speaker 1: That's the way that it is. And you I see
- 2:12:59Speaker 1: by the way good on defense as well. In their
- 2:13:02Speaker 1: own right.
- 2:13:02Speaker 2: I gotta get out of here soon though, man, I
- 2:13:04Speaker 2: gotta finish this. U i C is seventy fourth in
- 2:13:06Speaker 2: the country a defense, so U i C is a
- 2:13:09Speaker 2: strong defense as well, like I said, and they're pretty
- 2:13:12Speaker 2: unlucky as well. Drake, on the other hand, Drake is
- 2:13:16Speaker 2: an unlucky team.
- 2:13:17Speaker 1: We'll give you that. But they're putrid defensively at two
- 2:13:20Speaker 1: forty fifth. And when it.
- 2:13:22Speaker 2: Comes down to it, you know, I like defenses better,
- 2:13:25Speaker 2: maybe not laying a ton of points. But no, that's no,
- 2:13:29Speaker 2: that's not what I said. I said, Northern Iowa has
- 2:13:32Speaker 2: the twentieth defense, the twentieth best defense. It's twenty one
- 2:13:36Speaker 2: right now in Ken Palm, Fine, I said, Northern Iowa.
- 2:13:40Speaker 2: I said u C has the second best defense in
- 2:13:42Speaker 2: this conference, is what I said. And as I just
- 2:13:45Speaker 2: showed you, there's seventy fourth in the country and defense
- 2:13:49Speaker 2: UIC is they're very good on defense. Northern Iowa is
- 2:13:53Speaker 2: like an elite defense though, uh, I said Northern Iowa.
- 2:13:56Speaker 2: Of both of those teams, those are two very very
- 2:13:58Speaker 2: good defenses, and Bradley not so much.
- 2:14:03Speaker 1: Bradley a little bit better on offense.
- 2:14:05Speaker 2: They're more balanced, though Bradley is so you know, northern Iowa,
- 2:14:11Speaker 2: but U I see is seventy fourth or whatever I
- 2:14:13Speaker 2: just said. All right, those are my thoughts on the
- 2:14:17Speaker 2: Missouri Valley. Everybody wants to fucking argue about the Missouri Valley.
- 2:14:21Speaker 2: But you know, ken Baum's numbers are an objective measure,
- 2:14:25Speaker 2: and he is pretty much in line with what the
- 2:14:27Speaker 2: oddsmakers will tell you. So you know, it's not like
- 2:14:30Speaker 2: he's like bullshitting. I mean, numbers can't really I mean, numbers,
- 2:14:34Speaker 2: I guess can lie if you're looking at numbers that
- 2:14:37Speaker 2: you know aren't factoring everything in. But those numbers that
- 2:14:40Speaker 2: he has there are not a lie. All right, Do
- 2:14:43Speaker 2: you have any.
- 2:14:43Speaker 1: Other conference tournaments to talk?
- 2:14:45Speaker 2: We do have the Ohio Valley still that might Oh,
- 2:14:47Speaker 2: we have the matt Act in action as well.
- 2:14:50Speaker 1: I forgot about that.
- 2:14:52Speaker 2: The matt Act only plays night games, and the West
- 2:14:55Speaker 2: Coast Conference we still have to talk about.
- 2:14:56Speaker 1: I gotta get out of here shortly, man, the matt Act.
- 2:15:00Speaker 2: We have two evening games, Maris and Quinnipiac probably the
- 2:15:04Speaker 2: more interesting game. These teams are both good. They're actually
- 2:15:07Speaker 2: both better defensively than offensively. Marius is more of an
- 2:15:10Speaker 2: imbalanced team. Towards defense, they're like a top one hundred defense,
- 2:15:14Speaker 2: but they're like outside the top two fifty on offense.
- 2:15:17Speaker 2: So Quinnipiac is a little bit more balanced. But I
- 2:15:22Speaker 2: think Maris is kind.
- 2:15:23Speaker 1: Of the better team.
- 2:15:23Speaker 2: Man and Maris end of the season not on the
- 2:15:26Speaker 2: greatest note, losing to Saint Peters. I told you Saint
- 2:15:28Speaker 2: Peters as a fraud as a two seed, and they
- 2:15:31Speaker 2: were already bounced. They got bounced last night. Maris lost
- 2:15:36Speaker 2: four of their last six games against Quinnipiac. During the
- 2:15:40Speaker 2: regular season. They won the home game that might have
- 2:15:43Speaker 2: been the only time they played. Actually yeah, I think
- 2:15:45Speaker 2: they only played once and Maris won at home. So
- 2:15:48Speaker 2: I guess maybe Quinnipiac has adjustments to make, if you
- 2:15:51Speaker 2: want to say that. But Quinnipiac is coming into this
- 2:15:54Speaker 2: game in okay shape too, as they finished the season
- 2:15:58Speaker 2: ending a three game losing streak with one win in
- 2:16:00Speaker 2: so I don't think it's like they're gonna have momentum
- 2:16:02Speaker 2: disrupted or anything like that. If anything, they're losing, momentum
- 2:16:05Speaker 2: is disrupted here. So I think this game really kind
- 2:16:08Speaker 2: of comes down to who the better team is. The
- 2:16:10Speaker 2: money's coming on a Quinnipiac, but I disagree. I actually
- 2:16:14Speaker 2: I like Marist in this one. You're giving me the
- 2:16:16Speaker 2: better defense getting points here. That's the way I'm gonna look.
- 2:16:20Speaker 2: I'm not gonna put this on my card, but Quinnipiac
- 2:16:23Speaker 2: is up to a two.
- 2:16:23Speaker 1: And a half point favorite. These games are all in
- 2:16:25Speaker 1: Atlantic City, New Jersey.
- 2:16:27Speaker 2: By the way, eighty five percent takes ninety six percent
- 2:16:30Speaker 2: of the cash on Quinnipiac.
- 2:16:32Speaker 1: Again, I lean towards the defense.
- 2:16:34Speaker 2: I think Maris is kind of an underrated commodity here.
- 2:16:37Speaker 2: That's the way that I would look in that one.
- 2:16:40Speaker 2: But no strong opinion for me. They're low totals in
- 2:16:43Speaker 2: both these games in the low one thirties. The other
- 2:16:45Speaker 2: game is Mount Saint Mary's against Sianna. Mount Saint Mary's
- 2:16:49Speaker 2: is the team that upsets Saint Peter's. Oh no, they
- 2:16:52Speaker 2: beat Fairfield.
- 2:16:52Speaker 1: What am I saying? They beat Fairfield? I'm all messed
- 2:16:55Speaker 1: up as far as this tournament structure is concerned. My mistake.
- 2:16:58Speaker 2: They had an easy win over Fairfield in the first game,
- 2:17:01Speaker 2: So who's an easy win?
- 2:17:04Speaker 1: So or no? Wait, this is the end of the
- 2:17:05Speaker 1: regular season, right, yay?
- 2:17:07Speaker 2: I'm an idiot. Yeah, these teams have not played in
- 2:17:09Speaker 2: this tournament yet. I am all messed up right now.
- 2:17:12Speaker 2: All the teams that are playing, and I haven't played
- 2:17:14Speaker 2: yet in this tournament at all.
- 2:17:15Speaker 1: My mistake.
- 2:17:16Speaker 2: This is the three to six game, and then the
- 2:17:18Speaker 2: game I just talked about is the four to five game.
- 2:17:21Speaker 2: So Mount Saint Mary's they finished on a hot streak,
- 2:17:23Speaker 2: though they won five of their last six games, beating
- 2:17:26Speaker 2: Fairfield was their last regular season game there. Sianna wasn't
- 2:17:31Speaker 2: really as good down the stretch. They did win their
- 2:17:33Speaker 2: final home final home game, but I think Sianna is
- 2:17:37Speaker 2: They're an overlooked team. I told you they were my
- 2:17:40Speaker 2: pick to have some value to potentially win this conference,
- 2:17:43Speaker 2: and now they don't even have to get through Saint Peter's.
- 2:17:46Speaker 2: It looks even better for them, except the money is
- 2:17:48Speaker 2: coming in on Mount Saint Mary's here.
- 2:17:51Speaker 1: I kind of like Sianna in this one.
- 2:17:53Speaker 2: Though they're up to a three and a half point favorite,
- 2:17:55Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of tickets on them. The money is
- 2:17:57Speaker 2: coming in on Mount Saint Mary's eighty two percent of
- 2:17:59Speaker 2: the cash me back on them.
- 2:18:01Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Sianna, though Sianna's not great.
- 2:18:04Speaker 2: I mean, they're outside the top two hundred, but this
- 2:18:07Speaker 2: whole conference is pretty bad, man. Sianna is a balanced team.
- 2:18:11Speaker 2: At least Mount Saint Mary's is worse at two to
- 2:18:15Speaker 2: eightieth in the country. They're the better deepfense here, but
- 2:18:18Speaker 2: they're very bad on offense.
- 2:18:20Speaker 1: So yeah, you are with them.
- 2:18:21Speaker 2: You are getting the better deepfense getting points, which sometimes
- 2:18:24Speaker 2: I look towards. But Mount Saint Mary's is a lucky
- 2:18:27Speaker 2: team as well, at eighty eighth and lock according to
- 2:18:29Speaker 2: Ken Pump, so they've overperformed a bit. I think I
- 2:18:32Speaker 2: would lean to Siana in that one. Yeah, that's all right, man,
- 2:18:37Speaker 2: all right, let's I get dude. I get like, I
- 2:18:40Speaker 2: get way way Jude. I get super intense about it, man,
- 2:18:44Speaker 2: I have strong opinions. I get really bullish about it.
- 2:18:47Speaker 2: You know, I apologize. I'm always a dick on this show.
- 2:18:50Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:18:51Speaker 2: I you know, I start going a little crazy here,
- 2:18:54Speaker 2: especially because I lost money last.
- 2:18:56Speaker 1: Night, and I'm really pissed about it.
- 2:18:59Speaker 2: Because I had some really good closing live value on
- 2:19:01Speaker 2: those college basketball plays and they both lost and the
- 2:19:05Speaker 2: Clippers blew the money line portion of that bet there,
- 2:19:08Speaker 2: although at least they still covered.
- 2:19:10Speaker 1: All Right, what else do we have here. Uh.
- 2:19:15Speaker 2: By the way, you know, if I miss any of
- 2:19:17Speaker 2: these tournament games that you can let me know.
- 2:19:19Speaker 1: There are a lot of tournament games they still have
- 2:19:21Speaker 1: to talk about.
- 2:19:21Speaker 2: Holy fuck, dude, there's so many tournament games to talk
- 2:19:24Speaker 2: about here. We got already talked about the Yeah, that
- 2:19:29Speaker 2: matt Act there. They're changing their name next next year.
- 2:19:32Speaker 2: By the way, sun Belt, we have two games here.
- 2:19:35Speaker 2: Southern Miss is kind of the if you want to
- 2:19:38Speaker 2: call it that there, Actually Georgia Southern is really sort
- 2:19:41Speaker 2: of the Cinderella here. Southern miss has won two games
- 2:19:45Speaker 2: in the tournament as well, though. They beat James Madison
- 2:19:48Speaker 2: and then Texas State last night, So they're.
- 2:19:51Speaker 1: Coming into this game with momentum.
- 2:19:53Speaker 2: And now the question is like what do we want
- 2:19:56Speaker 2: to go with here because they're playing app State here.
- 2:19:59Speaker 2: App State hasn't in this tournament yet. All these games
- 2:20:01Speaker 2: are in Pensacola, Florida. I believe now Southern miss is
- 2:20:06Speaker 2: already adjusted to the venue.
- 2:20:07Speaker 1: They've already won two games.
- 2:20:08Speaker 2: They pulled off two upsets, kind of mild ish upsets.
- 2:20:13Speaker 2: So what do we do, Like at some point, you
- 2:20:16Speaker 2: know it's gonna there's gonna be fatigue at some point
- 2:20:18Speaker 2: with teams like this because they played multiple games in
- 2:20:21Speaker 2: multiple days.
- 2:20:22Speaker 1: App State. The thing about them being like potentially rusty.
- 2:20:25Speaker 2: The good thing about App State is they play defense
- 2:20:28Speaker 2: and they play I think slower, so the rust isn't
- 2:20:31Speaker 2: gonna be as much of a factor for them. And
- 2:20:33Speaker 2: by the way, they lost to Texas State in their finale,
- 2:20:36Speaker 2: so people might actually want to jump on Southern Miss here. Oh,
- 2:20:39Speaker 2: because Southern Miss just beat Texas State, who beat app States?
- 2:20:42Speaker 2: That means Southern Miss has a chance here. App State
- 2:20:45Speaker 2: finished the regular season losing three of their last four,
- 2:20:48Speaker 2: so I don't really see the rust being a factor
- 2:20:51Speaker 2: for app State here that much. They're already up to
- 2:20:56Speaker 2: a five point favorite though, so the money came in
- 2:20:58Speaker 2: or early on app State. Now the money's coming back
- 2:21:00Speaker 2: on Southern Miss though. Fifty percent of tickets eighty three
- 2:21:03Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. It's a low total
- 2:21:05Speaker 2: because app State likes to play slow I think, and
- 2:21:07Speaker 2: play defense. Let me make sure I'm right about that. Yeah,
- 2:21:11Speaker 2: they play really really slow and they're pretty good on defense.
- 2:21:14Speaker 2: App Staate is they're one of the better defenses in
- 2:21:17Speaker 2: this conference. It's a pretty it really, it's kind of
- 2:21:20Speaker 2: a lousy conference. I kind of like app State in
- 2:21:24Speaker 2: this one. I think they do get the win. All
- 2:21:26Speaker 2: the money's coming in on Southern Miss though as far
- 2:21:29Speaker 2: as covering, and you know, I mean again, because they
- 2:21:31Speaker 2: do have the momentum right now. They played games in
- 2:21:34Speaker 2: the tournament already, and they're probably not totally tired out
- 2:21:37Speaker 2: yet and they're not facing a team that's gonna speed
- 2:21:41Speaker 2: them up. I mean, I guess I am not gonna
- 2:21:43Speaker 2: totally disagree with taking the points at this higher number,
- 2:21:46Speaker 2: but difficult read for me there. And then we have
- 2:21:49Speaker 2: two teams that I thought would get bounced from this tournament,
- 2:21:52Speaker 2: although Coastal hasn't played yet in the tournament, Georgia Southern
- 2:21:55Speaker 2: and Coastal Carolina. I did not expect Georgia Southern to
- 2:21:58Speaker 2: be here. They've won three games and three nights already,
- 2:22:02Speaker 2: so I think at some point their fatigue is gonna
- 2:22:04Speaker 2: come in here. Man, they beat Old Dominion and that
- 2:22:07Speaker 2: was bad because I took a loss on Old Dominion there.
- 2:22:10Speaker 2: I don't think Georgia Southern is as good as people
- 2:22:12Speaker 2: think they are. But now they pulled off two pretty
- 2:22:15Speaker 2: big upsets against Arkansas State and then South Alabama, catching
- 2:22:19Speaker 2: two teams coming into this cold I think Arkansas State
- 2:22:23Speaker 2: was about a seven point favorite. South Alabama was four
- 2:22:26Speaker 2: and a half. So Georgia Southern off of multiple upsets
- 2:22:29Speaker 2: like that, I think they might run out here.
- 2:22:31Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:22:32Speaker 2: They did beat Coastal on the road by one, and
- 2:22:35Speaker 2: they lost at home by four, so they did have
- 2:22:37Speaker 2: close matchups against Coastal. The problem with liking Coastal here
- 2:22:40Speaker 2: is I don't think Coastal is as good as their
- 2:22:42Speaker 2: record looks. And they finished the season with three wins
- 2:22:45Speaker 2: in a row and they haven't played since then. So
- 2:22:48Speaker 2: the problem with Coastal is they're gonna be rusty coming
- 2:22:51Speaker 2: into this one.
- 2:22:51Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:22:54Speaker 2: As far as app State against Southern Mists, by the way,
- 2:22:56Speaker 2: I don't think I talked about what they did during
- 2:22:57Speaker 2: the regular season. App State one a Southern Miss, and
- 2:23:00Speaker 2: that was the only time they played this year, I think,
- 2:23:02Speaker 2: so I guess, you know, you could argue that maybe
- 2:23:05Speaker 2: Southern Miss has some adjustments to make there. Sometimes the
- 2:23:08Speaker 2: better team just wins out, though, you know, but in
- 2:23:11Speaker 2: this game, you know, I really think Georgia Southern's run
- 2:23:14Speaker 2: is gonna come to an end at some point. Coastal
- 2:23:18Speaker 2: is up to two and a half, seventy five percent
- 2:23:20Speaker 2: tickets eighty one percent of the cash on them. I
- 2:23:22Speaker 2: don't love Coastal here though, because I think their momentum
- 2:23:25Speaker 2: will be disrupted. They might come into this game rusty.
- 2:23:30Speaker 2: I mean, I kind of lean to Georgia Southern here.
- 2:23:33Speaker 2: I just I don't believe in Coastal. But I don't
- 2:23:36Speaker 2: want to play on a team that's already played three
- 2:23:38Speaker 2: games and three nights and pulled off two upsets. And
- 2:23:41Speaker 2: you know, they're kind of the darling of this tournament.
- 2:23:44Speaker 2: So I don't like that. All right, we have the
- 2:23:48Speaker 2: Ohio Valley Championship is tonight. Actually, hold on, I want
- 2:23:53Speaker 2: to do I have skipped some games. Hold on, Oh
- 2:23:57Speaker 2: my god? What other games we have to talk about here?
- 2:24:00Speaker 1: We have? Yes, okay, we have the Big Sky at
- 2:24:05Speaker 1: Tournament is in action as we I think this is
- 2:24:07Speaker 1: the Big Sky Tournament? Is it? I believe? So? I
- 2:24:12Speaker 1: believe this is the opening round of it? Uh yeah.
- 2:24:16Speaker 2: This is being played in Boise, Idaho. So we have
- 2:24:19Speaker 2: Northern Arizona at Idaho State. Northern Arizona is not a
- 2:24:23Speaker 2: very good team at all. Idaho State's not that much better, though.
- 2:24:27Speaker 2: The road team believe it or not each one each
- 2:24:30Speaker 2: of the games this year, so they split with the
- 2:24:32Speaker 2: road team winning each. Idaho State lost their last two
- 2:24:35Speaker 2: games of the season, so the fact that they get
- 2:24:38Speaker 2: some rest probably helps them. Northern Arizona lost four games
- 2:24:42Speaker 2: in a row to end the season, so getting some
- 2:24:44Speaker 2: rest probably helps them as well. The game is in Idaho,
- 2:24:47Speaker 2: but it's in Boise and Idaho State is in Pocatello,
- 2:24:50Speaker 2: so they have to travel across the state a little
- 2:24:53Speaker 2: bit for this one. Idaho State's a four and a
- 2:24:55Speaker 2: half point favorite. They are the better team, and then
- 2:24:58Speaker 2: I expect them to win the game. But I don't
- 2:25:00Speaker 2: really have a read on this game at all. You know,
- 2:25:04Speaker 2: I don't even know if I want to give an
- 2:25:05Speaker 2: opinion on the game because I just don't really even
- 2:25:07Speaker 2: have one, very very tough read in that one. And
- 2:25:10Speaker 2: then the second game in the Big Sky late Night
- 2:25:14Speaker 2: is Sacramento State and Idaho. Sacramento State's really bad. I think, well, actually,
- 2:25:20Speaker 2: Northern Northern Arizona excuse me, is maybe the worst team
- 2:25:24Speaker 2: in this conference. I think Sacramento State might be the
- 2:25:27Speaker 2: second worst, or maybe even the worst. Sacramento State finally
- 2:25:31Speaker 2: ended a long losing stream with a win against Idaho State,
- 2:25:34Speaker 2: which I think is a good thing because they're not gonna.
- 2:25:36Speaker 1: Have like long winning momentum disrupted or anything like that. Here.
- 2:25:40Speaker 2: They lost both regular season matchups to Idaho, most.
- 2:25:44Speaker 1: Recently losing at home.
- 2:25:45Speaker 2: So yeah, we know Idaho is the better team, there's
- 2:25:47Speaker 2: no question about that. This venue, I think is Idah
- 2:25:51Speaker 2: hosts probably the closest team in this conference to Boise
- 2:25:54Speaker 2: because they're up in Moscow.
- 2:25:57Speaker 1: I think it's still I don't know what is it.
- 2:25:58Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know Idaho you.
- 2:26:00Speaker 2: Geography that well, but I think it's probably at least
- 2:26:02Speaker 2: a few hours to drive down there. But that's not
- 2:26:04Speaker 2: too bad considering what the geography looks like out there.
- 2:26:08Speaker 2: Idaho finished on a bit of a hot or note
- 2:26:10Speaker 2: winny three of four, beating a very hot Eastern Washington
- 2:26:14Speaker 2: team to finish the season. Idaho's a six and a
- 2:26:18Speaker 2: half point favorite here this one. You know, I almost
- 2:26:23Speaker 2: kind of lean towards Sacramento State in that one because
- 2:26:25Speaker 2: of the way the momentum kind of lines up there,
- 2:26:27Speaker 2: or lack thereof. I think I might take the points
- 2:26:29Speaker 2: of Sacramento State there if I was gonna do anything
- 2:26:31Speaker 2: with it, But that you know, I have no strong
- 2:26:34Speaker 2: opinion on that game either. All right, give me Northern
- 2:26:39Speaker 2: Arizona here, man, I want to try to find the rest.
- 2:26:42Speaker 2: Here's your Queens team. One of you guys in there
- 2:26:45Speaker 2: was loving Queens. Queens is playing Austin p in the
- 2:26:50Speaker 2: a Sun Tournament here semi finals. Because the Central Arkansas
- 2:26:56Speaker 2: is still live as well Central Arkansas, it sets up
- 2:27:00Speaker 2: a little bit better from them, I think. Well, actually,
- 2:27:02Speaker 2: but dude, I'm sorry I skipped Central Arkansas.
- 2:27:05Speaker 1: We'll talk about them first.
- 2:27:06Speaker 2: They're playing at five pm eastern Central Arkansas. Now, they
- 2:27:11Speaker 2: beat Bellerman in the conference, so they got a game
- 2:27:13Speaker 2: under their belt.
- 2:27:14Speaker 1: They won. I thought they might struggle a little bit,
- 2:27:16Speaker 1: but they did not. They had a nice easy win.
- 2:27:18Speaker 2: Now they're coming into this game against a Florida Golf
- 2:27:20Speaker 2: Coast team that just beat them at Florida Gulf Coast.
- 2:27:24Speaker 2: And I think Central Arkansas might have been looking ahead
- 2:27:26Speaker 2: to Austin P and they got caught against Gulf Coast.
- 2:27:30Speaker 2: So I think that was not a legitimate loss for
- 2:27:32Speaker 2: Central Arkansas. Here, Central Arkansas was winning the game up
- 2:27:37Speaker 2: down the stretch, and it looked like they should have
- 2:27:38Speaker 2: had the game put away and they didn't. They had
- 2:27:41Speaker 2: a really bad shooting game in that one too, so
- 2:27:43Speaker 2: that game was a little bit misleading. So I think
- 2:27:45Speaker 2: they will have a better effort here. I think that
- 2:27:48Speaker 2: game yet wasn't what it looked like it was. And
- 2:27:52Speaker 2: then they beat Florida Golf Coast only by two at home,
- 2:27:55Speaker 2: so they struggled in that game too. As a big favorite, though,
- 2:27:59Speaker 2: I just think that they didn't pay attention to Golf
- 2:28:01Speaker 2: Coast in the next game because they had a look
- 2:28:03Speaker 2: ahead spot. So I think this is the game Central
- 2:28:05Speaker 2: Arkansas will actually give you a better effort here. Golf
- 2:28:08Speaker 2: Coast had a more difficult game, and well it wasn't
- 2:28:10Speaker 2: that difficult because they ran away with it against lipscumb
- 2:28:13Speaker 2: but they beat a more difficult opponent, let's say, yesterday.
- 2:28:17Speaker 2: So this one, I think it might just come down
- 2:28:19Speaker 2: to who the better team is here, that is Central Arkansas,
- 2:28:22Speaker 2: and they'll have the adjustments to make off that loss.
- 2:28:25Speaker 1: The money's coming on a Golf Coast. I don't really
- 2:28:27Speaker 1: agree with it.
- 2:28:30Speaker 2: Central Arkansas is a five point favorite, seventy five percent
- 2:28:32Speaker 2: of tickets, sixty five percent of the cash on them.
- 2:28:34Speaker 2: But Margaret Reed is saying Golf Coast, but I think
- 2:28:37Speaker 2: I were saying, yeah, Golf Coast, and I think I
- 2:28:39Speaker 2: lead to Central Arkansas there, all right. And then we
- 2:28:43Speaker 2: have Queens against Austin P. And this is a pickham
- 2:28:46Speaker 2: line here. Queens just beat West Georgia yesterday and it
- 2:28:50Speaker 2: was a kind of an unimpressive win against a pretty
- 2:28:53Speaker 2: bad West Georgia team. They beat them by eight. But
- 2:28:56Speaker 2: it'll continue their momentum here.
- 2:28:58Speaker 1: Austin P.
- 2:29:00Speaker 2: They really struggled yesterday. The Austin P didn't look good
- 2:29:03Speaker 2: against Stetson.
- 2:29:04Speaker 1: Man.
- 2:29:05Speaker 2: Stetson, it wasn't I don't even think it was really
- 2:29:08Speaker 2: like Stetson was hitting all their threes or anything either.
- 2:29:10Speaker 2: It was a bad game for Austin P. And they
- 2:29:12Speaker 2: were losing that game down the stretch as a big favorite.
- 2:29:15Speaker 2: But you know what I always say, when a big
- 2:29:17Speaker 2: favorite gets a huge scare, that's gonna scare them into
- 2:29:20Speaker 2: focus in the next game. So I think Austin P
- 2:29:23Speaker 2: is gonna give you a good effort in this one.
- 2:29:25Speaker 2: They did win at Queen's last time they played them.
- 2:29:28Speaker 2: I think that was the only time they played them
- 2:29:30Speaker 2: this year. But I just think Austin P is the
- 2:29:32Speaker 2: better team man, and being scared back into focus in
- 2:29:35Speaker 2: this one. I would go Austin P in this game
- 2:29:37Speaker 2: on the money line.
- 2:29:38Speaker 1: I apologize.
- 2:29:39Speaker 2: I like Queens as well because their coach follows me
- 2:29:42Speaker 2: on Twitter, so you know, but Austin P is the
- 2:29:44Speaker 2: better I think they're the better team. Man, I don't
- 2:29:46Speaker 2: know why this line is a pick com. Austin P
- 2:29:49Speaker 2: is a pretty lucky team, but I think they are
- 2:29:51Speaker 2: the better team. Austin P is the significantly better defense,
- 2:29:55Speaker 2: and they're better in Ken Bomb's rankings by about close
- 2:29:58Speaker 2: to thirty rankings, so I think they should be favored here.
- 2:30:02Speaker 1: I don't know why they're not.
- 2:30:04Speaker 2: Queens is also a lucky team, actually luckier than Austin P.
- 2:30:08Speaker 2: So that throws the luck index out of the equation there.
- 2:30:12Speaker 1: Both teams play fast. It's just the Queens.
- 2:30:15Speaker 2: Even though they're the better offense, they're not good on defense.
- 2:30:17Speaker 2: Austin P is a significantly better defense and a more
- 2:30:20Speaker 2: balanced team, so I think Austin P gets the job
- 2:30:24Speaker 2: done in that one.
- 2:30:26Speaker 1: All right, almost done here? Man? Let me see. So
- 2:30:33Speaker 1: that was that.
- 2:30:33Speaker 2: We have some Summit League action here the semifinals in
- 2:30:38Speaker 2: the Summit Omaha and North Dakota State. I think is
- 2:30:40Speaker 2: the first one of the two. Omaha got the win yesterday.
- 2:30:44Speaker 2: I thought they would now they got North Dakota State.
- 2:30:47Speaker 2: They did lose on the road last time they played them,
- 2:30:49Speaker 2: and they lost at home by two, lost on the
- 2:30:52Speaker 2: road by eight. So Omaha did play North Dakota State
- 2:30:54Speaker 2: pretty competitively and they finished the season on a losing
- 2:30:58Speaker 2: not They did win against celt CODA in this conference tournament.
- 2:31:03Speaker 1: Kind of an easy win.
- 2:31:04Speaker 2: For Omaha yesterday as a favorite, but North Dakota State
- 2:31:08Speaker 2: the way this tournament sets up as they stagger it,
- 2:31:10Speaker 2: so the one and two seeds actually have rest coming
- 2:31:13Speaker 2: into this game. So the teams their opponents played yesterday,
- 2:31:17Speaker 2: but the one and two seeds didn't play yesterday.
- 2:31:19Speaker 1: So that's an advantage.
- 2:31:20Speaker 2: To the top seeds because they do already have a
- 2:31:23Speaker 2: game under their belt in the tournament, but they got
- 2:31:25Speaker 2: a day off yesterday. On North Dakota State had an
- 2:31:28Speaker 2: easy win over or Roberts. Now they're adjusted to the tournament,
- 2:31:31Speaker 2: adjusted to the venue, so you know, I don't think
- 2:31:35Speaker 2: North Dakota State is gonna lose this game. They're an
- 2:31:38Speaker 2: eight and a half point favorite here, up from six
- 2:31:40Speaker 2: and a half. I'd probably lean towards laying it to
- 2:31:43Speaker 2: be honest, even though they didn't win by this margin
- 2:31:47Speaker 2: either game against Omaha, So yeah, that one, I don't know.
- 2:31:51Speaker 2: I think I actually prefer Saint Thomas in the other game.
- 2:31:53Speaker 2: As far as the favorites, I think Saint Thomas might
- 2:31:56Speaker 2: actually win the conference now because I thought there were
- 2:31:59Speaker 2: maybe in trouble having to play soult Dakota State, who's
- 2:32:02Speaker 2: not as bad as people think they are, and then
- 2:32:03Speaker 2: I thought they would get Denver here, but very lucky
- 2:32:06Speaker 2: for them, they don't because Saint Thomas lost. But I
- 2:32:11Speaker 2: think they the only one by four against Denver, and
- 2:32:14Speaker 2: then they lost at Denver. So Saint Thomas gets a
- 2:32:17Speaker 2: much better draw here against a very overrated three seed
- 2:32:21Speaker 2: North Dakota. It's not as good as people think they
- 2:32:23Speaker 2: are at all. North Dakota is nowhere close to the
- 2:32:26Speaker 2: third best team in this conference. They think they're actually
- 2:32:28Speaker 2: like fifth or sixth. So Saint Thomas had the rest
- 2:32:31Speaker 2: yesterday as well. North Dakota did not. Saint Thomas had
- 2:32:35Speaker 2: kind of an easy win against Selt Dakota State. In
- 2:32:38Speaker 2: North Dakota beat Denver, it was a good win for
- 2:32:42Speaker 2: them against Denver in an upset, believe it or not,
- 2:32:44Speaker 2: against a sixth seed that was actually the favorite. I
- 2:32:48Speaker 2: would probably lay it with Saint Thomas here. They're up
- 2:32:50Speaker 2: to a twelve and a half point favorite. There's more
- 2:32:53Speaker 2: margin there for them to cover this because the totals
- 2:32:56Speaker 2: higher in this game seventy five percent tickets, eighty percent
- 2:32:59Speaker 2: of the cash on them, looking like kind of a
- 2:33:01Speaker 2: public side, but some of the money looks like it
- 2:33:03Speaker 2: is coming in on them too, So that's the way
- 2:33:05Speaker 2: I lean there.
- 2:33:07Speaker 1: Thank you, Hindian. What's up? Gotta wear it for the Celtics.
- 2:33:11Speaker 2: They got, you know, Jason Tatum back yesterday all right,
- 2:33:15Speaker 2: and everybody was making fun of him because he was
- 2:33:18Speaker 2: rusty early in the game.
- 2:33:19Speaker 1: But then of course he still put up a double double, you.
- 2:33:23Speaker 2: Know, after being out for almost a year with a
- 2:33:25Speaker 2: torn achilles.
- 2:33:26Speaker 1: I mean, what do you want him to do? All right?
- 2:33:29Speaker 1: And then what else do we have here? So that
- 2:33:32Speaker 1: was that.
- 2:33:35Speaker 2: Trying to make sure if I miss something, you know,
- 2:33:38Speaker 2: somebody could try to let me know. I think I'm
- 2:33:39Speaker 2: gonna get everything though the Ohio Valley Championship. Man, this
- 2:33:42Speaker 2: is the first auto bit that's gonna happen in Evansville
- 2:33:45Speaker 2: Indiana between Morehead and Tennessee State. I'm pissed Morehead was
- 2:33:50Speaker 2: losing that entire game against Simo and I gave you
- 2:33:53Speaker 2: guys Cimo as a play. We crushed the closing number
- 2:33:56Speaker 2: on that you know, had a really good I thought
- 2:34:01Speaker 2: it was a good situation. And I think Morehead is
- 2:34:03Speaker 2: a very overrated two seed here, and they somehow escaped
- 2:34:07Speaker 2: with a win last night after losing like ninety eight
- 2:34:10Speaker 2: percent of that game pretty much.
- 2:34:12Speaker 1: Actually, how much was it.
- 2:34:13Speaker 2: Let's see, I'm probably exaggerating slightly, but not much. Eighty
- 2:34:17Speaker 2: six percent of the game was led by Southeast Missouri.
- 2:34:20Speaker 2: I'm sorry, but yeah, I just don't trust more Ahead, man,
- 2:34:24Speaker 2: I don't think they're good. Both teams shot really poorly
- 2:34:26Speaker 2: in the game. I'm still pissed. I think we should
- 2:34:30Speaker 2: have had the win in that one. Morehead did beat
- 2:34:32Speaker 2: Tennessee State the last time they played them, they lost
- 2:34:36Speaker 2: to them on the road in an overtime game. I
- 2:34:38Speaker 2: think so they actually did play well both games against
- 2:34:41Speaker 2: Tennessee State, but Tennessee State's not gonna.
- 2:34:43Speaker 1: Take them lightly here, man.
- 2:34:45Speaker 2: Morehead, that was a more difficult win last night, and
- 2:34:48Speaker 2: it was the later game last night Tennessee State had
- 2:34:51Speaker 2: kind of an impressive win against Tennessee Martin, but that
- 2:34:54Speaker 2: game was over, like you know, so they didn't have
- 2:34:56Speaker 2: to put in a full game of effort like Morehead,
- 2:34:59Speaker 2: and Tennessee's State legitimately won that game. It wasn't like Morehead.
- 2:35:03Speaker 2: It was losing their entire game. Tennessee State's the better
- 2:35:06Speaker 2: team here. I think they get it done. I've been
- 2:35:09Speaker 2: saying Morehead is not gonna win this one. Where are
- 2:35:14Speaker 2: they at?
- 2:35:14Speaker 1: There? They are?
- 2:35:16Speaker 2: The money is kind of coming into Morehead. Tennessee State's
- 2:35:18Speaker 2: something from three and a half to five here, seventy
- 2:35:20Speaker 2: four percent of tickets in, eighty four percent of the
- 2:35:22Speaker 2: cash on Morehead. But I don't know how much I
- 2:35:25Speaker 2: really buy that. I if I was gonna play the game,
- 2:35:27Speaker 2: I would lay it with Tennessee State. I think they
- 2:35:30Speaker 2: are the considerably better team. Morehead is ken Bomb's second
- 2:35:34Speaker 2: luckiest team first now they're luckier than Liberty Now. After
- 2:35:38Speaker 2: last night's lucky win, Morehead is the luckiest team in
- 2:35:41Speaker 2: the nation according to ken Bomb. They're outside the top
- 2:35:44Speaker 2: three hundred on defense, which is awful, barely inside the
- 2:35:48Speaker 2: top three hundred overall. This is not a good conference,
- 2:35:52Speaker 2: but Tennessee State is still better than they are. Tennessee
- 2:35:55Speaker 2: State is inside the top two hundred, which at least
- 2:35:57Speaker 2: there's that. They're lucky as well, is that, but not
- 2:36:00Speaker 2: as lucky as Morehead, And they're better on both sides
- 2:36:03Speaker 2: of the ball offense and defense. I'm pretty sure one
- 2:36:06Speaker 2: eighty and two fifteen Moreheads two oh one and three sixteen.
- 2:36:10Speaker 2: Morehead's gonna try to slow the game down, but I
- 2:36:12Speaker 2: don't know if they're gonna be able to do. Tennessee
- 2:36:14Speaker 2: State's gonna try to speed it up. Tennessee State is
- 2:36:17Speaker 2: the better team on both sides of the ball though,
- 2:36:19Speaker 2: So I like Tennessee State there. And then we still
- 2:36:22Speaker 2: got to talk West Coast Conference tournament.
- 2:36:24Speaker 1: I think right.
- 2:36:27Speaker 2: There are some games going on. There's always two games
- 2:36:29Speaker 2: in the West Coast. I'll let me see. Yeah, so
- 2:36:33Speaker 2: we have Portland and San Francisco. Portland won again last night.
- 2:36:37Speaker 2: They're kind of a little bit of a darling now,
- 2:36:39Speaker 2: I guess in this tournament because they've won two games.
- 2:36:42Speaker 2: Washington State's not a very good team, though they're running
- 2:36:45Speaker 2: into San Francisco now. Now, the advantage Portland does have
- 2:36:47Speaker 2: is they played two games in this arena already playing
- 2:36:50Speaker 2: at the Orleans in Vegas or San Francisco has to come.
- 2:36:53Speaker 1: Into this cold.
- 2:36:54Speaker 2: But San Francisco didn't finish the season great. They lost
- 2:36:58Speaker 2: five of their last seven games, so I don't think
- 2:37:01Speaker 2: their momentum is really gonna be like killed or anything
- 2:37:03Speaker 2: like that.
- 2:37:04Speaker 1: Against Portland.
- 2:37:05Speaker 2: During the regular season, they beat Portland at home only
- 2:37:07Speaker 2: by five, so that might, you know, kind of get
- 2:37:10Speaker 2: them to focus a little bit more on Portland. I
- 2:37:12Speaker 2: think that was the only time they played them. You
- 2:37:14Speaker 2: can correct me if I'm wrong about that if I
- 2:37:16Speaker 2: miss something, but that was just a one off game.
- 2:37:19Speaker 2: I think San Francisco was a big favorite in that
- 2:37:23Speaker 2: game and got a little bit of a scare. Problem
- 2:37:25Speaker 2: is they're up to an eight point favorite now. I
- 2:37:27Speaker 2: don't know why, because they opened four and a half,
- 2:37:29Speaker 2: which seems pretty low, but now they're an eight point favorite.
- 2:37:33Speaker 2: I don't think I could lay eight with San Francisco,
- 2:37:35Speaker 2: though initially I would have leaned to San Francisco at
- 2:37:37Speaker 2: the lower number, but eight, yeah, I don't.
- 2:37:39Speaker 1: Think I could do that.
- 2:37:40Speaker 2: Fifty percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash
- 2:37:42Speaker 2: on Portland. They do have the edge of having played
- 2:37:45Speaker 2: in this venue already, so there is that take from
- 2:37:48Speaker 2: that what you want to. I guess I don't really
- 2:37:51Speaker 2: have a great read on that game. And then Seattle
- 2:37:53Speaker 2: is at Pacific. Seattle did get one game under their
- 2:37:56Speaker 2: belt in this tournament, and Seattle is new to playing
- 2:37:59Speaker 2: in the West Coast, so they used to play in
- 2:38:01Speaker 2: the Whack who also play in Las Vegas. But Seattle
- 2:38:05Speaker 2: got that game out of the way. They had a
- 2:38:06Speaker 2: bit of a scare, if you want to call it that,
- 2:38:08Speaker 2: against San Diego. Seattle was a favorite of eight and
- 2:38:12Speaker 2: a half, So I do like teams to come off
- 2:38:14Speaker 2: scares like that. Seattle didn't put in a good performance here,
- 2:38:17Speaker 2: and they have a game under their belt. They're playing Pacific.
- 2:38:21Speaker 2: They did lose on the road at Pacific earlier this year.
- 2:38:24Speaker 2: Pacific is not a bad team. I think that was
- 2:38:26Speaker 2: the only time they played them this year. Pacific's not
- 2:38:28Speaker 2: really a bad team, but they are coming into this
- 2:38:30Speaker 2: game cold. They finished the season bad though, on a
- 2:38:34Speaker 2: four game losing streak, although they played some good teams
- 2:38:37Speaker 2: in there. But a lot of times when you end
- 2:38:39Speaker 2: on a losing streak, having that time off will actually
- 2:38:41Speaker 2: help you, so it's not as bad for Pacific, but
- 2:38:45Speaker 2: I think Seattle, having that scare last night and having
- 2:38:47Speaker 2: that game under their belt, I think I would lean
- 2:38:49Speaker 2: to Seattle here. Pacific's up from one and a half
- 2:38:51Speaker 2: to two here, but sixty per tickets eighty five percent
- 2:38:55Speaker 2: of the cash coming in of Seattle.
- 2:38:57Speaker 1: Pacific is not a bad team.
- 2:38:59Speaker 2: I do think they probably you are the slightly better
- 2:39:01Speaker 2: team here, but I think Seattle is the better defense too,
- 2:39:04Speaker 2: and they're a little bit of an underdog here. Seattle,
- 2:39:07Speaker 2: believe it or not, twenty third in the country defensively,
- 2:39:09Speaker 2: although they're almost not even a top three hundred offense.
- 2:39:14Speaker 2: So Seattle can't score, but they do play defense quite well.
- 2:39:18Speaker 2: Pacific is pretty good on defense as well, but they're
- 2:39:22Speaker 2: the lesser team and Seattle is the better.
- 2:39:26Speaker 1: Defense.
- 2:39:27Speaker 2: Actually, Pacific is the better team slightly by two ranking spots,
- 2:39:30Speaker 2: but Seattle is the better defense.
- 2:39:32Speaker 1: Excuse me.
- 2:39:32Speaker 2: Pacific is the better offense and they are more balanced though,
- 2:39:36Speaker 2: and Seattle is the luckier team, so you could take
- 2:39:39Speaker 2: all of that for what you want to. Pacific actually
- 2:39:41Speaker 2: tries to slow the game way down and Seattle tries
- 2:39:44Speaker 2: to speed it up a bit. But they might be
- 2:39:46Speaker 2: okay playing a slow game as well. I don't know,
- 2:39:50Speaker 2: And I think that's finally it. Man, that's gonna do
- 2:39:52Speaker 2: it for this huge college basketball slate today. I gotta
- 2:39:56Speaker 2: come back and talk about NHL and NBA in a minute.
- 2:40:00Speaker 1: Yes, I think that's finally it for the night.
- 2:40:01Speaker 2: West Coast finishes last, man, So that's gonna do it
- 2:40:05Speaker 2: once again.
- 2:40:06Speaker 1: All that for two plays Georgia Tech plus.
- 2:40:09Speaker 2: Seventeen and a half and Long Island minus eight and
- 2:40:12Speaker 2: a half. Trying to be really selective with those. Let's
- 2:40:15Speaker 2: get it done, and I'll be back with the regular
- 2:40:19Speaker 2: daily show just for NHL and NBA and hope, hopefully
- 2:40:22Speaker 2: it's gonna be quick.
- 2:40:23Speaker 1: But that's what I got for you for now.
- 2:40:25Speaker 2: Learn a toad on Twitter. I don't do why's my own?
- 2:40:28Speaker 2: I was gonna say, why's my ban? Or not up
- 2:40:29Speaker 2: it is?
- 2:40:29Speaker 1: I just was screen sharing. I was thrown off.
- 2:40:32Speaker 2: Learn it tone on Twitter, Learn a tone on Instagram,
- 2:40:35Speaker 2: page roon dot com slash, learn to toad, like, subscribe
- 2:40:38Speaker 2: to the channel here, let's boost this thing, give me replies,
- 2:40:41Speaker 2: et cetera. Listen on audio, Apple, Spotify review over there
- 2:40:45Speaker 2: covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube?
- 2:40:48Speaker 1: You check that out as well.
- 2:40:49Speaker 2: Same stuff applies over there and Loser Cast the comedy
- 2:40:53Speaker 2: podcast every Tuesday night.
- 2:40:55Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now. I'll be back and
- 2:40:58Speaker 1: not too long.
- 2:40:58Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna do these Instagram videos first as well,
- 2:41:00Speaker 2: and then i'll be back. Got to handicap those games still. Man,
- 2:41:04Speaker 2: we're cutting it close, going to the wire here, but
- 2:41:06Speaker 2: I think we'll get that.
- 2:41:08Speaker 1: This next video will be quicker. I'll be back. Peace
- 2:41:10Speaker 1: for now, guys. I appreciate it everybody. Thanks for hanging out.