Latest / Best of LinkedIn: Digital Transformation & Tech / Best of LinkedIn: Sustainability & Green ICT CW 18/ 19
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: This episode is provided by Thomas Allgeier and Frennis, based on the most relevant LinkedIn posts about sustainability in green ICT in CW-E eighteen and nineteen.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Frennes supports ICT enterprises in the form of delivering precise ICT market and pricing intelligence that analysts subscriptions and existing databases cannot provide.
- 0:19Speaker 1: you can find more info in the description.
- 0:21Speaker 1: fine.
- 0:21Speaker 1: so imagine buying a diet soda specifically to justify eating like three extra large pizzas
- 0:28Speaker 0: stomach my weekend.
- 0:29Speaker 1: Yeah, well that is exactly the kind of math the tech industry's doing right now when it comes to AI and energy efficiency.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Today we're really tearing down the greenwashing.
- 0:38Speaker 0: We absolutely are!
- 0:39Speaker 0: We're looking at top sustainability in Green ICT trends.
- 0:42Speaker 0: It really dominated conversation across LinkedIn over these past two weeks.
- 0:47Speaker 0: The underlying theme here is just a massive collision between digital ambition and physical reality.
- 0:52Speaker 1: It's huge, we've got a massive stack of insights to get through.
- 0:55Speaker 1: We're gonna cover everything from the hidden energy costs of AI To you know...the deep mechanics of green software engineering
- 1:02Speaker 0: And sustainability reporting landscape which is honestly bit of wild west right now
- 1:06Speaker 1: Totally!
- 1:07Speaker 1: The goal for you listening right now Is cut-through noise.
- 1:11Speaker 1: We want extract actionable evidence based insight that can take back to your own IT infrastructure.
- 1:18Speaker 0: Exactly, understanding not just what is happening but you know the actual mechanics of why?
- 1:23Speaker 1: Right.
- 1:24Speaker 1: so let's start with The Elephant in the Room which is AI's explosive growth.
- 1:28Speaker 1: Mark Bradley shared some numbers that really set the baseline for this physical cost.
- 1:33Speaker 0: yeah his post was eye-opening.
- 1:35Speaker 1: we hear a lot about AI taking energy.
- 1:40Speaker 1: It's hard to grasp.
- 1:41Speaker 1: Bradley points out that a single chat GPT query takes about ten times the electricity of a standard Google search.
- 1:47Speaker 0: Ten times, just for one query?
- 1:49Speaker 0: Right.
- 1:49Speaker 1: and when you zoom-out at the macro level A single new data center in Illinois needs seven hundred megawatts power.
- 1:55Speaker 1: And get this three million gallons water per day.
- 1:58Speaker 0: That is a day!
- 1:59Speaker 0: Its staggering.
- 2:00Speaker 1: Bradley argues we have apply phenops discipline here and quote treat carbon like cash.
- 2:06Speaker 0: Treating Carbon Like Cash requires understanding how the spending actually works, right?
- 2:11Speaker 0: Because a traditional Google search is essentially a retrieval operation.
- 2:14Speaker 1: Right it's just looking something up
- 2:16Speaker 0: exactly.
- 2:17Speaker 0: It's looking up information in an incredibly well organized pre-existing index.
- 2:22Speaker 0: But generative AI query Is fundamentally different.
- 2:26Speaker 0: its calculating probabilities for every single word it generates in real time.
- 2:32Speaker 0: Its
- 2:32Speaker 1: firing billions of parameters to synthesize and answer yeah
- 2:36Speaker 0: The compute requirement is orders of magnitude higher.
- 2:39Speaker 1: Which makes sense on a per-query basis, but the defense you always hear from the tech giants... ...is that models are getting vastly more efficient.
- 2:46Speaker 0: Sure they say so
- 2:47Speaker 1: And they ARE right!
- 2:48Speaker 1: Ben Hillier highlighted Google reduced energy required for a Gemini query by thirty three times in just one year.
- 2:55Speaker 0: They absolutely did.
- 2:56Speaker 0: But Hillier also points out this brilliant counterintuitive reality here known as the Jevons Paradox.
- 3:02Speaker 1: Oh right, the economic principle
- 3:04Speaker 0: Yeah.
- 3:05Speaker 0: It says that as technological progress increases the efficiency of a resource, demand increases.
- 3:15Speaker 1: It's like adding a lane to a congested highway, it doesn't actually reduce the traffic...it just makes driving slightly easier for a minute which invites thousands of new cars until the wider highway is completely jammed again.
- 3:26Speaker 1: That is
- 3:26Speaker 0: the perfect analogy making inference The actual running-of-the AI cheaper and more efficient Just integrates into thousands of news software products Which drives up aggregate demand right?
- 3:38Speaker 0: And we have to look at the other side of the ledger, which is the training phase.
- 3:42Speaker 0: Hillier notes that the energy required to train frontier models has grown roughly thirty-seven thousand times in six years.
- 3:48Speaker 0: Thirty
- 3:49Speaker 1: seven thousand times,
- 3:50Speaker 0: wow!
- 3:51Speaker 0: Training GPT-IV alone took an estimated fifty-six thousand megawatt hours.
- 3:56Speaker 1: Okay so diet soda is the inference.
- 3:57Speaker 1: efficiency Yeah.
- 3:58Speaker 1: And three large pizzas are training costs and massive spike in aggregate demand.
- 4:02Speaker 0: Exactly The hangover from those pizzas lasts a very long time.
- 4:06Speaker 0: James Martin highlighted new MIT paper by Jennifer Turlich & John Sturman.
- 4:11Speaker 0: What
- 4:11Speaker 1: did they find?
- 4:12Speaker 0: They look at the actual atmospheric mechanics.
- 4:41Speaker 0: simply doesn't work that way.
- 4:42Speaker 1: Okay, let's unpack this.
- 4:44Speaker 1: if we're training models that require fifty six thousand megawatt hours isn't chasing per query efficiency just a massive distraction from the real problem?
- 4:53Speaker 0: It certainly masking larger structural issue.
- 4:55Speaker 0: Naveen Balani brought up this exact tension.
- 4:58Speaker 0: He argued that the current token economics model is completely breaking down,
- 5:01Speaker 1: and for you listening a token as essentially A piece of word That AI processes right?
- 5:05Speaker 0: And Balani's point Is at The next decade Of ai isn't going to be one by whoever Spends the most on compute.
- 5:11Speaker 0: it's gonna Be won By Whoever Waste the least.
- 5:13Speaker 1: that Makes total sense.
- 5:14Speaker 0: This Shear Velocity If This Growth is hitting a wall.
- 5:17Speaker 0: Karen VanderZand pointed out that Microsoft is currently having to deeply rethink their twenty-thirty climate goals.
- 5:24Speaker 1: Because they're sustainability commitments are directly threatened by their own AI deployment velocity, which brings us the physical reality of all this compute.
- 5:33Speaker 1: because software doesn't run in a vacuum.
- 5:36Speaker 1: Nope!
- 5:37Speaker 0: It has a physical footprint.
- 5:38Speaker 1: If we can't stop the AI train We have to re think where and how it runs in the physical world.
- 5:45Speaker 1: I want bring up Mathieu François.
- 5:47Speaker 1: he shared some mind-blowing research with Professor Xiaolei Ren regarding water stress.
- 5:52Speaker 0: Water is basically the primary mechanism we use to pull heat away from these massive GPU clusters, without it that chips melt!
- 5:59Speaker 1: Right and Francois and Ren found that a Lemma A-B query consumes eight point nine six milliliters of water in India versus three point two six millimeters in Germany.
- 6:08Speaker 0: Okay so on the surface That's less than a Three X difference.
- 6:11Speaker 0: volume
- 6:12Speaker 1: Yeah, you might think.
- 6:13Speaker 1: well the servers in India are just a bit less efficient at cooling.
- 6:15Speaker 0: But volume isn't the metric that matters here?
- 6:18Speaker 1: Exactly!
- 6:18Speaker 1: The metric that matter is regional capacity to replenish water.
- 6:23Speaker 1: Because of regional scarcity... ...the actual water stress impact is twenty-one times higher in India.
- 6:29Speaker 0: Twenty one times for exact same query.
- 6:31Speaker 1: Geography's primary variable not just volume.
- 6:34Speaker 0: This creates an incredibly difficult infrastructure bottleneck.
- 6:39Speaker 0: The power grid and the local water supply simply cannot move as fast, is a software company deploying new AI features.
- 6:46Speaker 0: Yeah And we're seeing two wildly different responses to this bottleneck popping up in our sources.
- 6:52Speaker 0: on one hand We have the brute force high friction approach.
- 6:54Speaker 1: right then negative one.
- 6:56Speaker 1: yeah
- 6:56Speaker 0: Anna Lerner-Nesbitt and Chris Adams brought attention to reports about anthropic leasing capacity at XAI's Colossus Facility in Memphis.
- 7:03Speaker 1: And just to be clear, we are purely reporting what was highlighted in these LinkedIn posts.
- 7:08Speaker 1: Yes!
- 7:09Speaker 0: The concern Nesbett & Adams raised is that this facility has reportedly operated dozens of unpermitted gas turbines bringing massive pollution into a frontline community.
- 7:17Speaker 1: But think the mechanics.
- 7:19Speaker 1: why a tech company would resort to burning gas locally.
- 7:22Speaker 1: A traditional power grid requires years of planning right?
- 7:25Speaker 0: It's exactly.
- 7:26Speaker 0: Yeah, permitting substation construction all to deliver five hundred megawatts safely and AI arms race demands that compute power now so you bypass the grid.
- 7:37Speaker 1: But then there's the other side of the coin, which is innovative infrastructure approaches.
- 7:44Speaker 1: Experts across our sources are tracking ocean-based solutions.
- 7:48Speaker 1: Amir Olajuan highlighted China testing underwater data centers cooled by seawater.
- 7:54Speaker 1: Stella Su discussed Pantherlassa building offshore AI datacenters powered entirely by wave energy.
- 8:00Speaker 1: And Sean Moran noted at Jacobson Start Campus Project in Portugal, achieving a water usage effectiveness of exactly zero.
- 8:07Speaker 1: Zero?
- 8:08Speaker 1: Zero!
- 8:08Speaker 1: By using Atlantic seawater for cooling.
- 8:10Speaker 0: Okay but I have to push back here.
- 8:12Speaker 0: Putting data centers underwater sounds like James Bond villain's lair.
- 8:15Speaker 1: It totally does.
- 8:16Speaker 1: Isn't
- 8:16Speaker 0: the maintenance, corrosion and connectivity of saltwater immersed tech just a logistical nightmare that completely offsets the cooling benefits?
- 8:24Speaker 1: The physical trade-offs are definitely high.
- 8:26Speaker 1: Salt Water is notoriously destructive But you have to understand the sheer desperation of thermal management right now.
- 8:33Speaker 1: James Hall observed that an Amazon data center in Virginia recently went down simply because it got too hot.
- 8:40Speaker 0: Wait, It didn't get hacked?
- 8:41Speaker 1: No!
- 8:42Speaker 1: A backhoe didn't cut a fiber cable, it just overheated.
- 8:46Speaker 1: Because AI chips run radically hotter than traditional cloud servers.
- 8:50Speaker 1: GreenOps isn't about saving carbon anymore
- 8:53Speaker 0: It's the sheer resilience and survival of technology.
- 8:56Speaker 0: Exactly
- 8:57Speaker 1: We're being forced into extreme environments because the traditional grid cannot handle thermal load.
- 9:03Speaker 0: If hardware is fighting for its life thermally we need to look at what's commanding that hardware so hard in first place.
- 9:10Speaker 0: The software Exactly.
- 9:12Speaker 0: The software, hardware only uses energy when software tells it to.
- 9:15Speaker 0: which brings us to our third theme Green Software and Engineering.
- 9:19Speaker 1: This is where we shift from physical geography To digital frugality.
- 9:23Speaker 1: Yeah
- 9:23Speaker 0: And Paul Young shared an incredible win From GitHub that illustrates this perfectly.
- 9:28Speaker 0: They managed to cut their agentic workflow tokens by forty three to sixty two percent.
- 9:32Speaker 1: That's massive!
- 9:33Speaker 1: For context An agent work flow.
- 9:36Speaker 1: When you give AI autonomy break down a big task, use tools and figure out the steps on its own.
- 9:42Speaker 1: Right!
- 9:43Speaker 0: And every time the AI thinks about step it processes tokens which burns energy.
- 9:49Speaker 0: GitHub achieved this massive reduction by simply moving basic data gathering at of LLM reasoning loop.
- 9:55Speaker 1: Oh interesting.
- 9:56Speaker 1: so what did they used instead?
- 9:58Speaker 0: Just simple command line interface commands CLI commands.
- 10:01Speaker 0: Using a billion parameter LLM to figure out what files are in a folder is like chartering a Boeing seven forty-seven To drive across the street to pick up groceries.
- 10:09Speaker 1: That's a great way to put it.
- 10:10Speaker 1: They also stripped out unused tool schemas didn't they?
- 10:13Speaker 0: Yeah, those were adding ten to fifteen kilobytes of overhead per API call.
- 10:16Speaker 1: So what does this all mean for the people writing the code?
- 10:19Speaker 1: Because it feels like we've been asking a chef to cook as zero waste meal without giving them a compost bin or proper knives.
- 10:25Speaker 1: We keep giving developers guilt trips instead of actual tools.
- 10:28Speaker 0: I love that framing and David DeCarvalho, and Johanser brought up this exact necessity.
- 10:35Speaker 0: Eco-design has to move past just sensitizing developers.
- 10:39Speaker 1: They need concrete tools.
- 10:41Speaker 0: Exactly, they specifically pointed to the API green score which gives a measurable metric on efficiency and they highlighted frameworks like Spring Native To make digital frugality A daily measureable reality.
- 10:54Speaker 1: And education is catching up too.
- 10:55Speaker 1: Rhett Palmera shared that The Green Software Foundation now has free self-paced courses.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Always great!
- 11:02Speaker 1: Anita Shutler discussed Blue Angel certification for sustainable software
- 11:06Speaker 0: Which perfectly aligns with Purvivarma's core argument.
- 11:09Speaker 0: She emphasizes that sustainability cannot be a side initiative.
- 11:13Speaker 0: It must be a core cloud architecture principle
- 11:15Speaker 1: right alongside cost and performance.
- 11:17Speaker 0: Exactly, but here's the catch to prove to your leadership That using spring native actually saved energy you need bulletproof data.
- 11:25Speaker 1: And now leads directly into our final theme The fragmented world of sustainability report.
- 11:30Speaker 0: yeah You can't reduce what you haven't measured.
- 11:33Speaker 0: Pascal Jolie shared a post detailing at baseline AI emissions assessment He just completed for octa.
- 11:38Speaker 1: He was mapping the carbon footprint of their LLM chatbots, right?
- 11:42Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 11:43Speaker 0: Yes and his biggest takeaway is that most sustainability teams have zero visibility into enterprise AI usage.
- 11:51Speaker 1: They are completely flying blind
- 11:53Speaker 0: Totally flying blind And part reason because the methodology still so raw.
- 11:57Speaker 0: Dr Sasha Lucione's literature review found that AI environmental reporting Is currently relying heavily on course proxies
- 12:05Speaker 1: Because the actual life cycle of AI is still poorly defined, so they're just guessing emissions based on money spent.
- 12:12Speaker 0: Exactly!
- 12:13Speaker 0: And when a metric is poorly-defined it leaves massive loopholes.
- 12:17Speaker 0: Vinayak Setpute and Shreya Gupta broke down.
- 12:20Speaker 0: nine tactics companies use beyond traditional greenwashing.
- 12:23Speaker 1: Tactics like greenhushing?
- 12:24Speaker 1: Yes
- 12:25Speaker 0: staying silent about genuine wins to avoid audits on other initiatives...and green crowding
- 12:30Speaker 1: Right, where you hide in slow-moving industry coalitions.
- 12:33Speaker 1: You sign a pledge to be carbon neutral by twenty fifty put the badge on your website and then do absolutely nothing.
- 12:38Speaker 0: Exactly!
- 12:39Speaker 0: The only antidote of these tactics is hard evidence.
- 12:42Speaker 0: And the market's responding?
- 12:44Speaker 0: Bjorn Stengel and Brianna Weiss mentioned.
- 12:46Speaker 0: IDC just mapped over thirty sustainability software vendors.
- 12:49Speaker 1: Charlie Appleton highlighted partnership between Greenpixie and Generate Zero To combine AI usage data with scope one through three carbon tracking
- 12:57Speaker 0: And Jay Ruckelshaus pointed out that the IFRS is shifting ESG disclosure rules to focus on substance over
- 13:04Speaker 1: form,
- 13:05Speaker 0: meaning disclosures must connect directly to financial performance and value creation.
- 13:10Speaker 1: Right now though it sounds like everyone is grading their own homework using entirely different rubrics
- 13:16Speaker 0: Pretty much.
- 13:17Speaker 1: When do we finally get a standardized test for carbon accounting so you can actually compare company A to company B?
- 13:22Speaker 0: That's exactly what Kate Goldenring or Svia Segment are pushing shared emissions standards.
- 13:28Speaker 0: Until we have interoperable data, as Bjorn Soaring-Gigler mentioned climate intelligence won't be truly actionable.
- 13:35Speaker 1: We're basically building the airplane while flying it!
- 13:37Speaker 0: We really are.
- 13:38Speaker 0: and that brings me to a final thought.
- 13:39Speaker 0: I want to leave the listener with today weaving together Marosa Zalabak's point about AI ethics
- 13:44Speaker 1: The question of who benefits?
- 13:45Speaker 1: And Who is harmed?
- 13:47Speaker 0: Yes pair that with Nelson Switzer rule of forty four regarding climate tech scaling.
- 13:52Speaker 0: The challenge for you listening is this, as you look at your own organization's digital transformation don't just ask if your new AI tool or cloud architecture is highly efficient.
- 14:02Speaker 0: Ask if the compute power is genuinely creating enough human-or business value to justify its physical footprint on earth?
- 14:11Speaker 0: Are we building efficient systems of things that we do not need in first place?
- 14:15Speaker 1: That is a phenomenal question to end on.
- 14:17Speaker 1: Yeah, if you enjoyed this episode new episodes drop every two weeks.
- 14:22Speaker 1: also check out our other editions on cloud digital products and services artificial intelligence an ICT in tech insights health tech defense
- 14:30Speaker 0: Tech.
- 14:31Speaker 0: thanks for listening everyone.
- 14:32Speaker 1: thank You so much for taking the steep dive with us today.
- 14:34Speaker 1: don't forget To subscribe And we'll catch On The next one.