Latest / The Curve / RTC27: This stock has delivered nearly 300% for the past 5 years
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to season two of Raising the Curve, a conversation for women who want to
- 0:06learn more about money, via money. For the future they want to have. The pursuit
- 0:11for financial confidence and increasing your wealth should be a simple one. So
- 0:16this is a place for you to learn about investing in finance in a non-scary or
- 0:20intimidating way. Thank you for being here and for listening. Because together
- 0:25we really can raise the curve. Hi, that's her booster and she looks like she's
- 0:32about to fall asleep. I feel like I hung over. Not girls. I've not had mine yet but I
- 0:37had a nap just before coming here and it was just the worst idea. You know
- 0:42sometimes a nap is just exactly what you need and you're like oh I'm really
- 0:45detected today. Have you ever had a coffee then had a 20 minute nap and then you
- 0:50wake up and you get there. No, it's a happy hit and it's like it's successful. Yeah.
- 0:55Okay, but maybe not for you. I feel like when you have coffee alone you're just
- 0:59like scary. Yeah. I'm really excited. They got you a full strength coffee
- 1:03and see what you have and your hands were shaking. I had to remember once I
- 1:07or the same thing happened. I was in when I was in Sydney and I had to pull over
- 1:10on the side of the road, get out of the car, sit down on the grass and have
- 1:14some like deep breaths because I felt so anxious. It's like a little kid that's
- 1:19head sugar for the first time. Yeah. What's happening? I can somewhat self-regulate
- 1:24now but just probably won't be having coffee then nap. So what are we talking
- 1:30about today because I've tried asking several times if it's like it's a surprise.
- 1:34Wait till we're in this studio. Well I can let the cat out of the bag now. What are we talking about?
- 1:41Drambol. We're going to do a stock story. Oh yay. Yeah, you're out. Yeah.
- 1:46So watch what company are we talking about. So this is one that we know very well. Is it
- 1:52Microsoft? No, I knew I'd get that reaction. I invited Microsoft. The amount of people
- 1:58say to me, gosh, it really loves the Microsoft stock. Does it is anyone else in the
- 2:03industry as enthusiastic about the Microsoft stock as you are? Well obviously a ton of people
- 2:07because the share price is going up. So how much is one stock? Sorry, sorry. One moment we'll
- 2:15just do a quick Google. 300. I should have known this. Three hundred and eleven dollars right now.
- 2:20It's quite high. Yeah. And it's going up. Yes. Good to know. Anyway, sorry. Back to the day.
- 2:27So can you give me some clothes thing? What industry is it in? So you've drunk tequila.
- 2:32Not. Coconut tequila. My favourite. No, close. It is an alcohol. Well, I really want to guess it.
- 2:42We have it at Arvins. First. Yeah. Well, the peanut coffee. Moe, Hennessy, Louis Vuitton.
- 2:48Other way around. But I remember you said this is one of the most, the person who owns this
- 2:56owns a huge amount of stock, right? Yes. And it's one of the more successful stocks. Did you
- 3:02say in history? Did I just make that up? It is. It is one of, yeah, it's got a fantastic
- 3:07track record. So it's for those that don't know, it's actually the world's largest luxury goods
- 3:12company. So it's got about a four hundred billion dollar market cap. What is a market cap?
- 3:17So that's when you take all the shares and you times it by the share price. So say you had your
- 3:23share price was three dollars and you had a million shares. Your business would be worth three
- 3:27million dollars. Is that how you value the company though? Yeah, that's the valuation of the
- 3:30company is the market cap. Okay. Yeah. So the market cap is the size of the company really.
- 3:35Because when the share price increases, if shares don't, your share count stays the same,
- 3:40but your share price increases, which means the value of your company goes up. Does that make sense?
- 3:45No. So let's say I owned a company and had a million shares,
- 3:50yeah, available to the public and the shares were trading at three dollars and then for some reason
- 3:58business business didn't do too well. That's those shares are now with two dollars. My business
- 4:03is only with two million rather than three million. So the market cap, it's called the market
- 4:07capitalization of a company is the number of shares available to the public times the share price
- 4:13and that's the size of the company. So to put that in perspective, the market cap of
- 4:19Microsoft is 2.3 trillion and LVMH is 400 billion. Yeah. So it's yeah. And like Catman do is like
- 4:29700 million. So how many shares would they have? Would you, so you would take that amount?
- 4:34Yeah. You would divide it by how many shares there are and that's how much
- 4:37the share price is? Yes. Yeah. So if you had the market cap and you want to
- 4:42figure out how many shares were available to the public, you could divide that by the share price
- 4:46or if you only had the share price and the market, then you could, you know, you can use
- 4:51country. Yeah. So is that what a company would sell for be valued at or is it just a term that
- 4:57you use to kind of explain the overall value? But it's not necessarily what it would sell for.
- 5:04It would sell for more than that. Okay. Yeah. Because shareholders are a bit like, well why would I
- 5:07sell to you? I want to sell to you at a premium. So therefore you always hear about takeovers
- 5:13or companies being bid for it like a 20% premium to the share price or a 30% premium to the
- 5:18share price or whatever because investors need to be compensated for what you're going to miss out
- 5:22on in the future. So yeah. It's a comparison to other to compare to other companies as well.
- 5:27So we're talking about LVMH. Yes. LVMH and are we going to go through the five criteria?
- 5:35Yes. Yeah. But I'll just go a bit over you because some people might not know.
- 5:39I don't even really know what they're even on to. So they are a French company and they were
- 5:45founded back in 1987. So 34 years ago. That was good math. Yeah. Well, surely had that written down.
- 5:54It's just like a 33. Yeah. Yeah. And it was when they merged Moe, Hennessy with Louis Vuitton
- 6:00as the name suggests. Oh, so there was two companies. Yes. Yeah. And they merged together. So they
- 6:05actually have 75 brands under LVMH. Ooh. So they've actually got six pillars, which kind of
- 6:11makes it easy. So they've got wine and spirits. So they've got Moe, Hennessy, Moe under the
- 6:15air, Dom Perillon, the then they've also got the fashion. So they've got heaps of under the air,
- 6:20but those are just a few. Then they've got fashion leather goods, which is obviously Louis Vuitton.
- 6:25They also have Celine, Kenzo, Gavinci, Dior, Mark Jacobs, Fendi, like all under the one. Yeah.
- 6:33Crazy. Yeah. Wow. You really, it's so like from a like consumer point of view. Yeah.
- 6:38You would never know that they were all owned by the same. Yeah. That's what I love about my job
- 6:42is that I, you get to look at companies like this and you learn things like this. It's crazy to think
- 6:47and like I remember when we might, I didn't realize that Microsoft owned LinkedIn when I was back,
- 6:52look first looking at it. You're like, you're just all these things. You're just like a segue
- 6:55in Microsoft coming back Microsoft. Anything you didn't go up in Microsoft. Yeah. But no, it's actually
- 7:01really interesting. And then so there. So the third pillar of perfumes and cosmetics and then
- 7:07retailing. So they owned the DFS and for fours. Do they own all the retail network? What's
- 7:13the DFS? You know, DFS, you know, the, um, DFS, you know, DFS, gallery, kind of like the kind of
- 7:23like tax free shopping mall things. Yeah. And then they've got watches and jewelry and then they
- 7:28have kind of other. Yeah. So they've just acquired them over time. They're just quite over time.
- 7:35Yeah. So they actually bought Tiffany and co earlier back in 2021 in January. How much do you
- 7:43know how much they bought it for? 16 billion. Yeah. But like we're talking about a $400 billion
- 7:49company, 16 billion. It's not that much billion. I can't even comprehend that much money.
- 7:57So that was the biggest luxury brand acquisition ever. Oh, you could do so much with that money.
- 8:02Who's the CEO? Yeah. So his name is, and I'm gonna butcher this so
- 8:08apologies to any free. See people listening. And his name is Bernard. Oh, not. Oh, no. Yeah.
- 8:17It doesn't know. Which means you've definitely Bernard. Bernard. Bernard. We'll just call him B.
- 8:21Okay. So Bernard, how old is he? Yeah. He's about 17. He's quite old. And he's been working there
- 8:29for a long time. Yeah. So he started, oh, he's been there. I want to say like 30 plus years.
- 8:35Wow. And he's a chairman and a CEO. And he owns 40 percent of the company. How much is that?
- 8:42160 billion. Yeah. And 60 hold on. I need to let that sink in. He's France's richest person.
- 8:49And he's up there with like Jeff Bezos and the founder of Amazon and all those guys.
- 8:55He's, yeah. Wow. But he's quite under the radar. Oh, yeah. I feel like I've heard Jeff Bezos,
- 9:00you know, all of like Marx, I could blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, so much. I've not heard Bernard.
- 9:06Maybe Bernard's quite like cool and modest and just a bit. Well, he owns like a luxury
- 9:11fashion house. So he can't be there. Cool and under the radar. Yeah. But I mean, yeah.
- 9:16Wow. He's done a fantastic job. He must be very clever. Yeah. So the company generated $110
- 9:21billion of sales last year in 2021 and $20 billion of profit in one year. So you think 16 billion to buy
- 9:30Tiffany and co. It's not even one year's profit. Do you know what I mean? So like putting it in
- 9:35perspective like that. I honestly can't, it's not really sinking in. I can't fathom that.
- 9:41You know, because you obviously work with really big numbers with the work that you do. So you're
- 9:45kind of somewhat used to hearing even a billion, one billion to Mac. I'm like, I don't know what
- 9:51to put that in my head. Yeah. I guess you become immune. We're not immune. It's still a massive
- 9:56number. Like I feel like I work in the dollars. The dollars and the cents and the thousands.
- 10:01But like that's kind of where it stops. Billions is way too many. Yeah. So this company,
- 10:08LBMH has delivered 30% return per year for the last five years. So that's delivered around 300
- 10:16percent from 2017 to 2021. Wow. Yeah. So I mean, that's only five years longer. I haven't pulled up
- 10:25the stats for longer, but 30% return per year for the last five years. Well, it's been through a
- 10:29global pandemic and global markets have been selling off. And like if that's quite amazing to make
- 10:35300% return on your investment in five years. So what would that base how you'd bought?
- 10:40Can we quickly do the maths on what that might be? So if you bought a stock five years ago from
- 10:45that. But three times. Yeah. Right. Yeah. So if you put $10,000 in you'd have $30,000. And five
- 10:52years. Yeah. Oh my God. I think I know my next stock I want to invest in. Okay. Can we start
- 11:00from the beginning then and go through the criteria? Yes. I mean, obviously even you just throwing
- 11:04those thumbs out. I'm like, cool. It's obviously a good stock. Yeah. But could we? Yeah. Okay.
- 11:10So first. So the first one, the structural growth industry. Yeah. So fashion.
- 11:17I mean, they're covering different industries as well. Right. So it's like if one wasn't growing
- 11:22that much, at least the other few would be. One thing I didn't mention before actually, which
- 11:27is vital to that. So apologies. Is that about over 40% of the revenue comes from China.
- 11:36And that's been going gangbusters. And I just want to when we talk about structural growth,
- 11:43we talked, there's kind of a few reasons. And one of them is changing demographics or changing
- 11:49consumer behavior. When we talked about structural versus cyclical, you remember that we were talking
- 11:53about, you know, different long term. And it's and structural is something that's really long
- 11:57term, which is yeah, changing demographics or consumer behavior. And so I just, I want to set a
- 12:03scene. So I get comfortable. Yeah. I'm just going to hit you with some. Is this an imagination
- 12:11like should I close my eyes? No, it's just more like setting the scene of a structural growth.
- 12:14I'm going to shut my eyes just to really get on the side. Okay. So China is now 42 times larger
- 12:22than it was in 1980. And it now counts for a third of global trade. By third? Yes, a third of global
- 12:28trade. By 2030, it'll be the world's largest economy. 50% of its population, sorry, 50% of China's
- 12:37population lives in the city. And in the next 10 years, that's going to go to 75%. So this term
- 12:44of urbanization in China is happening at unprecedented speed. I can't believe I'm saying I'm
- 12:48unprecedented again. I'm so sick of that word. That is 75% of people in China who are living
- 12:54this city. Yes. Yeah. So 50% of China's current population lives in cities. And that's going
- 13:00to move to 75% in the next decade. So that's 170 to 200 million people that are going to move to
- 13:07the city in the next decade. So that's nearly two thirds of the whole population of the US
- 13:13moving to cities. And that's a huge driver of economic growth, which then flows down to this
- 13:21this rising middle class or this increase increase in spending ability to spend increase in
- 13:29disposable income from this middle class. And so that is forecast to grow at about 7% per year.
- 13:38So when we talk about structural growth, one of those is changing demographics and consuming
- 13:44behavior. So you've got this massive wave. There's 170 to 200 million people over the next decade
- 13:51that will be able to spend more by more luxury items. And with LVMH being the top luxury brand in
- 13:59China, it's just sitting there waiting for this title wave. And so that's kind of what we mean when
- 14:06we talk about structural growth trends is I wouldn't even know to think about that though. If I was
- 14:12looking at a stock trying to decide if it's an structural growth industry, how you even meant to
- 14:18like what I know and that's difficult because we get thrown these statistics all the time and
- 14:22we're constantly reading it. But I think it's if you read newspapers and you start looking at or
- 14:31googling these companies, you start seeing these articles and things and you start seeing what other
- 14:36people have written about LVMH in terms of their views and stuff. And you start to form your own
- 14:42view if that makes sense. So it's basically the more research that you probably should do, the more
- 14:47you will uncover this kind of thing. But it's really just comes down to like reading the news,
- 14:52it might be one headline that you catch that says urbanization is off the charts in China or
- 14:58something. And then you're like, oh, that's part of my interest. I'm going to read that. And then
- 15:01you start thinking, hang on, who's going to benefit from that? That's going to be luxury goods
- 15:06companies like LVMH or you're going to be like, that's going to benefit luxury goods coming.
- 15:10I'm going to see if there's any listed. So it's kind of having we talk about that investing mindset
- 15:15of when you read a news paper or you read a news article or you hear a comment or it can be
- 15:22any kind of way that you get that little spark or it's quite worldly though. Like it's not,
- 15:27you know, it's not just as simple as focus on the stock market and stocks and companies. It's
- 15:32actually really quite a holistic view on what is happening globally and in the world. And it might
- 15:38not be of interest to you. And that's fine. But something will be of interest and you'll be able
- 15:42to spot a trend. You know, some people might have visited China recently and seen this happening
- 15:49or they might have, they might be Chinese themselves or they might, you know, there's so many
- 15:54different ways that you could have, you could, you could see this trend. And with a structural
- 15:58growth trend, you don't have to find it now. Do you know what I mean? You could find it in,
- 16:03in two years time and you, or, you know, it's still going to be going because it's such a long term
- 16:08trend. So with that, with the whole influx of people moving to the city in China,
- 16:14would a good question be looking at other goods that are produced in China,
- 16:22see what some of the top ones are exporting out of there, look into those companies,
- 16:26see if they're listed. You know, yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, is that, or, yeah, or even Western brands
- 16:31that are like Starbucks, for example, you know, more people being able to afford to buy coffee every
- 16:36day. I'm just trying to think off the top of my head, but it could be any kind of company,
- 16:42it could be a Western company that's expanding in China because they can, they can see this trend,
- 16:46or like you see it, it could be in a company exporting out of China because now, you know,
- 16:52there's a lot more staff they can employ and then they can actually produce those goods and
- 16:55and shut them off overseas. There's also a kind of an ESG overlay to this, which I didn't realize
- 17:01until I started. Hey, hey, hey, you just said an acronym without breaking it down. Environmental
- 17:08governance, social, social governance, ESG, ESG environment, social governance. Yeah.
- 17:18Honestly, so this is just kind of the responsible investing that we talked about in last
- 17:22episode, about, I need to make myself a glossary. I know of that in the studio every time.
- 17:28Just a little acronym. I knew you were saying when you said it, I knew you were talking about
- 17:31conscious investing, but I thought as well as someone's listening and maybe they're heading
- 17:34out of it. That's true. So what was the, so it's just all about buying less and buying better.
- 17:40So there's, with, you know, consuming less if instead of buying, that's why when you said Starbucks,
- 17:47I thought that can't be. Yeah, sorry. Yeah, that's not a conscious. But I mean, we,
- 17:52yeah, finding, you know, we're kind of talking, we're not kind of talking conscious investing.
- 17:56No, no, no, no, that's fine, but when you said there's a conscious investing head over,
- 18:00I was like, oh, they don't seem to tie together. Yeah. So this is kind of, instead of buying
- 18:06teen handbags, you buy one more expensive one. So you've also got that element coming through as
- 18:11well. Okay. What's number two? Number two, revenue visibility. Now, at first glance, you
- 18:18probably think, you know, there's not a lot of revenue visibility in this business. Someone,
- 18:22you know, if you fashion, you would think because you can't, and you don't know if someone's
- 18:25going to walk into someone by a handbag or not. But we say revenue visibility comes in three ways,
- 18:30and that's having, you know, consistent long-term track record of revenue growth,
- 18:37being subscription revenue, or being contracted revenue. I was about to say I remember that one.
- 18:43So this is the first one is that they, that LVMH has a very long, consistent track record of
- 18:48revenue growth. So that gives you some confidence in the visibility of the future. So they've
- 18:54grown sales by 11% per year for the last 10 years. So that's translated into earnings growth
- 18:59of 15% per year. So you can get comfortable that they have weathered a few storms within that 10
- 19:06years and that. Even if they had a few terrible designs. Not saying it's 11% every year, it's an
- 19:11average. So, but you can get pretty confident that it's a pretty well-managed company and that they
- 19:17can get through different economic cycles and all that. So that gives me confidence on the
- 19:24revenue visibility. And so because they've been around for more than 30 years, there's also that
- 19:30it's not just a five-year look. It's actually like long standard. And you look at the track record
- 19:35of them acquiring certain brands and businesses, integrating them and growing. And it's now worth
- 19:42400 billion dollars. The company. So you can get comfort knowing that when they bought Tiffany and
- 19:46Co. last year, that that's probably going to be a great acquisition. They're going to integrate it.
- 19:52It's further diversifying. It's another brand. You know, you can get because they've done
- 19:56they've had a track record of it. So track records are great in terms of investing because we don't
- 20:01have anything to look to in the future. We only have the past. So if you can invest in a well-managed
- 20:07company, there's a consistent track record that that gives me. Also, I guess I mean, this might be
- 20:13a weird way to look at it. But I imagine Tiffany and Co wouldn't sell to a company that could potentially
- 20:20dive the brand. You know, all of the brands that they've acquired are really premium high-quality brands.
- 20:27And I feel like the people who started them wouldn't just sell them out for the sake of getting
- 20:31money. They would want them to be well-run. And the thing is, if you're a publicly listed company,
- 20:37you don't have to say if someone comes, so say someone comes and offers you a 40% premium.
- 20:45So that's 40% on top of what? So say they were trading in a dollar and someone comes and goes,
- 20:49I'll give you a dollar 44 years and goes to every single sheholder because there's a publicly
- 20:54listed company and everyone says, yeah, oh my god, amazing. In sales, you don't have to say
- 20:58in where the company goes. Whereas if it's a private company, you can be like, no, thank you,
- 21:03because you own the shares. Of course. Yeah. So, but that's the good thing about LVMH is because
- 21:10Bernad owns 40% of the company. He still has a huge say. If someone comes and offers
- 21:19to buy the business for 600 billion, he could say no and they wouldn't be able to buy it because
- 21:25he's to one's 40%. But what about the other brands that he's acquired? Are they the same or no?
- 21:29Because you're going to say Tiffany and Kong. Yeah. All of those brands, they might still have had
- 21:37someone that owned a huge percentage right? Yeah, yeah. I don't know. But, you know,
- 21:41if a friend has a price, it might not be a 40% premium. And then they'll be like, okay, we'll give you
- 21:4650% premium. And they'll be like, no, 60% premium. They'll be like, okay. Yeah. But that's
- 21:51right. So, say it was Tiffany and Kong. Yeah. And you're looking at the fact that Bernad bought it.
- 21:56Yeah. Say the founder and, you know, CEO of Tiffany and Kong owned 40%. Yeah. And Bernad came along
- 22:06offered X amount. I imagine if someone as a CEO owns a huge amount, they would want it to be bought
- 22:12by someone that wasn't going to drive the brand to the ground. You know what I mean? So, I think
- 22:16that's probably a tick of approval and the fact that he has got so many successful brands that he's
- 22:22acquired. Yes. Because he's well respected and does what he does with those brands. Yeah. And that
- 22:29kind of comes into the next one, which is the aligned management team, which is number three.
- 22:34And he has built a legacy. He has built the largest global luxury company in the world.
- 22:42Quite a man. Yeah. And so I love that it's a guy as well. Yeah. You kind of would assume it
- 22:48would be a woman. Yeah. But he obviously loves fashion. He was dope with the pope of fashion.
- 22:53He must be star. You'd be walking around like, oh my god. I'm the pope of fashion. The pope of
- 22:58fashion. I imagine your wardrobe. I don't know. I don't know. It's not only my style. Yeah.
- 23:07Imagine your alcohol cabinet. Imagine your jewelry. Yeah. And then you wouldn't be.
- 23:12You wouldn't short of match. No. No. You would have. Yeah. You would be well.
- 23:16Stocks. Stocks. And all about it. Yeah. And he was actually buying shares last year.
- 23:23And so it would be buying off public shareholders. Yeah. So this is one of the most positive signals.
- 23:31You can you could ever find in my opinion for an investment. And it's not it doesn't always
- 23:37ring true. But if a CEO or a founder or any insider in the company say the chairman or anything
- 23:43is buying shares in the company, those people know the company the best. They know the company so
- 23:49well. If they're buying shares, they've got some good shit in store. They got some good
- 23:55intel. So this is the one time that you can you could literally just jump on the bandwagon
- 24:00and be like, I'm going to buy shares. I think I'm going to. Yeah. Yeah. So you can actually
- 24:05and they have to disclose it. They have to disclose when they're buying shares because they consider.
- 24:09Would you be screaming it from the rooftops? Like just over. Oh, that's what I mean.
- 24:14I mean, there is a caveat that some CEOs buy shares and the cheaper I still was down. But it's
- 24:19I don't know the status, but it's majority of the time. It is a very, very positive signal.
- 24:24It just is kind of the flip side is if you see a CEO selling a large chunk of his shares.
- 24:29Again, I wonder if a CEO would ever do that just to try and get the share price off.
- 24:33You know, the thing's like, oh, shit, things are not going very well all the time. And then they're like,
- 24:37oh, just buying the 50 shares. You know, and then people are, oh, but just plans for the company.
- 24:41It's got to be a big amount. It's not true. It's hitting the sand all by $50.
- 24:47It's like, mate, put your money on your mouth as if you're going to turn the ship around.
- 24:50Yeah, yeah.
- 24:51So, yeah, but if he or she was buying a large amount of shares, that would be a big tick for me.
- 25:02And he runs this like a family business because he is such a large shareholder on his 40%.
- 25:08It's like a family business. You know, like they, it's so in steady growth.
- 25:11All the cousins are employed. Right. He's got all his and all the daughters and yeah.
- 25:15So the wives of the people that marry into the family, like the whole everyone works there.
- 25:19And that's like, that's what you want when you're a shareholder. You want someone to run it,
- 25:23like it's going to be run for 10, 20 years. You know, you don't want to invest in a company.
- 25:27That's just the head to have a good financial result through much time.
- 25:31I can put back. Yeah. I mean, some people don't say, well, a lot of deal, but yeah.
- 25:36So, aligned management team, giant tick. Giant tick. I think we could.
- 25:41I don't think we could get bigger. Yeah. Is that five or is that four?
- 25:46That's three. Oh, Lord. How long has it been going?
- 25:51Sure. All right. Let's. Yeah.
- 25:53Number four balance sheet. So they've got a bit of debt.
- 25:56But 10 billion dollars, which is a bit of debt.
- 26:01But like I said, they made 20 billion dollars in one year. Okay.
- 26:05So that debt can get paid off super quick. So it's actually not a lot.
- 26:09And they're expected to be net cash next year, which means they'll probably have more acquisitions.
- 26:14So they're in a pretty strong financial position.
- 26:17What was that? I don't know.
- 26:21Irish kind of. I blame the booster.
- 26:25It's going in my voice box. Number five, secret sauce.
- 26:31Oh, the secret sauce. They've got lots of secret sauces, don't they?
- 26:34Because they've got so many brands. So many brands.
- 26:37I want to try guess what this sauce would be. It would be tomato.
- 26:42It would be like a barbecue alley of sorts, you know, like a little bit jazzy,
- 26:47quite premium, you have to pay extra for it.
- 26:50Is it the fact that they have so many of the luxury brands? So they have a huge portion of the.
- 26:55Yeah. This one's not really. I mean, we say this one subjective anyway.
- 27:00For me, I think it's that they own such strong brands, you know, Louis Vuitton,
- 27:07Moette Hennessey, Kristen Dior, there's such strong brands in themselves and like,
- 27:16definitely, you know, they've got the leaders in each category effectively in terms of luxury
- 27:20brands. So that itself is a is a secret sauce sauce. I can't even say it properly.
- 27:30I also think there's a net. So they've got kind of what we would call a competitive
- 27:33mode, you know, because they own so many brands. And when you're purchasing a product that
- 27:39that is this expensive, it's a, a motive purchase. It's a status. It's a desirability. So you want,
- 27:46you want that brand, you want that Celine brand, you might better afford it and you could buy
- 27:51something else, but you don't want to because you want that status. So it comes with owning a product.
- 27:56Is that your stomach? Oh my god, I'm going to start bringing in some almonds.
- 28:03And you're going to have to eat five at the door before you come in.
- 28:08And then it's also like we spoke about diversified portfolio of brands. So you've also got that
- 28:14kind of competitiveness as well. So it kind of ticks a few boxes in terms of this.
- 28:20The sauce. The sauce? Yes.
- 28:22No, that's not. I'm probably the only raise my stomach, but it's because that's the sauce.
- 28:26Talking about Ayoli. One thing that we should talk about more, I think, when we talk about these
- 28:31companies, when we do stock stories, we always talk about the positive side of things.
- 28:35And with every investment, there's always risk. And to just finish on a
- 28:42but we do need to think about the risks we're investing in companies. And with this one,
- 28:47yes, the exposure to China is a great positive and it's, you know, a great structural growth
- 28:52story, but it also can be a risk. And we, I think it was last year, the government in China
- 28:58really cracks down on luxury items because they wanted to smooth out the dispersion of wealth.
- 29:05So they wanted to, you know, improve the wealth disparity in the country. So that's cool.
- 29:08That's cool. They put, yeah, China.
- 29:13Could it just pause for a second? That's amazing.
- 29:18It was sort of the response I was expecting. Go China.
- 29:22No, that's not. Yeah, yeah, yeah. It's amazing. I mean, not great for LVMH.
- 29:26No, no, it's not. But it was only a small dip in the issue price, but, and we're long-term
- 29:31investors. So, but there is kind of these things that create headlines and, you know,
- 29:35some risks that you should be aware of. But this is why we say diversify because there will be
- 29:39times when, you know, it could have been Europe or it could have been the US comes out and puts
- 29:44an increased tax on luxury goods or something. And, you know, the there earnings will be impacted.
- 29:50So it's making sure that you diversify and invest in, you know, different companies or different
- 29:54assets. But I must say, I have faith that they would be able to jog around the problem.
- 29:58Oh, totally. Yeah, jog around. But you know what I mean?
- 30:01We'll just buy another brand over here. Yeah, like I feel just looking at what
- 30:05everything that you've seen. Yeah. If there was, you know, huge tax lapped on luxury goods or
- 30:11their walls would have earned, that they would figure out a way to, oh, definitely not.
- 30:15Yeah, it's very well managed. Yeah. And the last thing is that a small caveat.
- 30:21If anyone's currently searching on cheeses or hatched to buy this, is that you can't buy
- 30:28on cheeses at hatch because it's listed in France. So it's a bit negative, but you can buy
- 30:32on stake. And I'm not going to go into the details of how, but because it's a foreign company,
- 30:40you can actually, you can actually list in the US as a foreign company under what we call an ADR,
- 30:47which is an American depository receipt. Don't worry. I know. I'm not going to even open that
- 30:53can of worms. So you, at the ticker is LVMUY. Okay. But if you looked up LVMH on stake,
- 31:04you'll be able to find it. But it's just, it's just a way that foreign companies get around
- 31:08being able to listen to the US and how we can get access to it when platforms we use,
- 31:13they're only investing in US stocks. So author and ETF is another way, but. Yeah. I feel like I
- 31:18would want to go straight to the bull's eye, you know. If you do all this work, you're like,
- 31:23ETF that maybe has a little bit of LVMH. I'd like to have the whole LVMH. I like a style. Yeah,
- 31:29a style. Yeah. Bold. Here I am. Yeah. Pretty to buy. All so ready for dinner. So should we wrap this up?
- 31:35Good idea. Okay. That was really great. I love stock stories. I always learn so much.
- 31:40They're actually fun to do. We should do more of them. They're so much more fun. I almost
- 31:43want to do a whole season. I need to find a bad one. Yeah. Actually, that's a good idea,
- 31:47but I just like, it's a positive person, you know. It's also boring because then you don't
- 31:53know. I know. I know. I'm going to go invest in that. Yeah. I think we keep doing some positive
- 31:57ones because it's so great for people to listen here, everything, like here at Analyze and then
- 32:03if they want to invest in themselves, they can decide to. Maybe the next one will do a bit more
- 32:06of a balanced view. Yeah. Cool. All right. Bye. Bye. Thank you so much for joining us,
- 32:15but today's episode of Raising the Curve. Please subscribe and leave a review on whatever
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