Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Ryan Bridge: The numbers that tell us where we're heading
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: There's a reason we talk a lot on this program,
- 0:01Speaker 1: and we've been doing it a lot this morning, about
- 0:03Speaker 1: bond markets, about growth, about central bank decisions, about wars
- 0:07Speaker 1: in far-flung places, faraway places. There was, and probably still is,
- 0:12Speaker 1: I reckon, a school of thought in this industry that
- 0:14Speaker 1: I'm in that people either don't want or don't understand
- 0:17Speaker 1: financial markets, currencies, and economics. I've always thought that was BS,
- 0:22Speaker 1: and it's why we focus on them a lot. They're
- 0:24Speaker 1: important because they tell a story about where we have
- 0:27Speaker 1: been and more importantly, what is potentially next for us.
- 0:30Speaker 1: People aren't stupid. Most of the correspondence, the emails, the
- 0:34Speaker 1: letters that I get are from people far smarter than me,
- 0:37Speaker 1: though that is not really saying much about them, probably
- 0:40Speaker 1: more about me. This week, we're getting GDP for Q2.
- 0:44Speaker 1: It's going to show we've gone either sideways or slightly forwards.
- 0:47Speaker 1: If you listen to the Bank Economist, which is better
- 0:49Speaker 1: than backwards, which is where they were picking that we
- 0:52Speaker 1: would go just a few months ago, where the RBNZ
- 0:54Speaker 1: was picking we would go. This is Stats NZ data
- 0:57Speaker 1: and is, of course, itself backwards looking. It'll show us
- 1:01Speaker 1: where we've been. For a look at where we're going,
- 1:03Speaker 1: we had the PMI. That's the Manufacturing Index on Friday.
- 1:06Speaker 1: It was off slightly July to August, but still an expansion.
- 1:11Speaker 1: and still above the long-term average. This is a good thing.
- 1:15Speaker 1: What's more, it tells us that Ford orders are looking good,
- 1:19Speaker 1: which bodes well for Q3. As always, there is a
- 1:23Speaker 1: reason to talk about the numbers, not just the ones
- 1:26Speaker 1: that we will hear about this week, but the ones
- 1:28Speaker 1: which give us the clues about where we are heading next.
- 1:33Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live
- 1:36Speaker 1: to News Talk ZB from 5 a.m. weekdays or follow
- 1:40Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio.