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AFC Win Total Best Bets · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:08
Speaker 1: Welcome to the favorites from the Volume podcast network. I
0:14
Speaker 1: am Chad Mollminuted is Tuesday, July six, which means the
0:18
Speaker 1: NBA Finals are starting tonight, the Phoenix Suns hosting the
0:24
Speaker 1: Milwaukee Bucks. We are going to discuss the NBA Finals
0:29
Speaker 1: with one of our guests, Raheem Palmer later in the show.
0:34
Speaker 1: We are also not even eighty days away from NFL
0:41
Speaker 1: season beginning, which means there are so many wind total
0:48
Speaker 1: opportunities on the betting boards. Raheem is going to discuss
0:52
Speaker 1: that as well because he is an NFL expert. But first,
0:56
Speaker 1: let me welcome the most expert of NFL experts, the
1:01
Speaker 1: man who drives the bus on wind totals, the man
1:05
Speaker 1: who wins in totality every year, My bff, my compadre,
1:12
Speaker 1: my companion, Simon Hunter. Tell people where you are, Simon Hunter. Yeah,
1:18
Speaker 1: you're just the best light man. I wish I literally
1:20
Speaker 1: have you just followed me around. I don't even have
1:22
Speaker 1: to introduce myself to people. The way I would follow
1:24
Speaker 1: me around, I would have no problem with quitting everything
1:28
Speaker 1: I've got and just following you wherever you've got. So
1:31
Speaker 1: we'll see if I can give the people of view.
1:32
Speaker 1: I am at a house that's pretty dope at Lake Tahoe.
1:37
Speaker 1: I've never been here before. It's my boss's place, not
1:40
Speaker 1: Chad's place. I have another boss, boss Bob talked to Chad.
1:43
Speaker 1: I'd interview people for runners, which is like the lazy
1:47
Speaker 1: man's way of making bets. You you pretty much pay
1:49
Speaker 1: people to go to casinos and make bets for you,
1:52
Speaker 1: either because you can't make bets yourself in person, or
1:55
Speaker 1: you just don't have the time to go all the
1:56
Speaker 1: different casinos. So I am here interviewing people right now,
1:59
Speaker 1: and it's a it was. I thought it was gonna
2:02
Speaker 1: be hard, but it's actually been a really nice little
2:03
Speaker 1: break in a vacation from regular life. How does that work?
2:07
Speaker 1: Explain what the interview process for that is? Like, Um,
2:12
Speaker 1: it's tough to say because people everyone's different. Um, Like
2:17
Speaker 1: the one guy who already knew I was gonna hire,
2:20
Speaker 1: he was basically already my minion. So he's he's probably
2:23
Speaker 1: like forty three, and he's been working with us for
2:25
Speaker 1: about five years and he's really into it. So like
2:28
Speaker 1: he did a lot of my draft prep for me,
2:29
Speaker 1: Like I mainly focused on the quarterbacks, and he was
2:31
Speaker 1: doing a lot of the other stuff for me. It's
2:33
Speaker 1: already had um a relationship with him, and like I'm
2:37
Speaker 1: basically just paying him extra to come move out to
2:39
Speaker 1: Jersey for um, Like he'll come. He'll probably like arrive
2:44
Speaker 1: August twenty and he'll leave the middle of February, like
2:47
Speaker 1: after the super Bowl. So I'm asking a guy a
2:50
Speaker 1: lot to leave Vegas to move out to Jersey. But
2:53
Speaker 1: he's cool with it, like he's into it. So he's
2:55
Speaker 1: coming out. And then I have another guy who I'm
2:57
Speaker 1: interviewed from Reno and he's young, he's hungry, and I
3:03
Speaker 1: basically I do have like a weird process, like I'll um,
3:07
Speaker 1: I'll do the criminal history stuff, like I don't care
3:09
Speaker 1: if they get called smoking weed or whatever. I don't
3:11
Speaker 1: care about that stuff. It's more like criminal stuff like, um,
3:14
Speaker 1: you know it's a rob people blah blah blah. So
3:17
Speaker 1: I'll do I'll make a call either their parents or
3:20
Speaker 1: a sibling without telling them that I'm in the room.
3:23
Speaker 1: I'll make them put them on speaker, and I'll give
3:25
Speaker 1: him a list of questions to ask that person without
3:27
Speaker 1: knowing that I'm in the room. And then I'll have
3:29
Speaker 1: them call their best friend and do the same exact thing,
3:33
Speaker 1: and it's been great. Man. You just get the realist, honest,
3:38
Speaker 1: most true answers from these people, because um, people love
3:43
Speaker 1: to talk about relationships. You'd be shocked if you call
3:45
Speaker 1: people and go, hey, can you just say like, what
3:47
Speaker 1: do you think our best story is? And the people
3:49
Speaker 1: just start talking, don't even ask why, They'll just be
3:50
Speaker 1: like yeah, and I'll just start talking. So I I
3:53
Speaker 1: I've stolen that from other guys and it's been great.
3:56
Speaker 1: Like I've met both the minions I have working for
3:58
Speaker 1: me that Vegas, I did the same thing with them. Now,
4:00
Speaker 1: the one guy that's coming, I didn't really have the interview.
4:02
Speaker 1: I just had to ask him like if you wanted
4:04
Speaker 1: to come, And the other guy did it too. His
4:06
Speaker 1: mom was really funny and she basically just saying, now,
4:09
Speaker 1: he's like the most loyal dude ever, Like he would
4:12
Speaker 1: die for anything the people that cares about. And that's
4:15
Speaker 1: what I want. Because I'm giving this due to duffel bag.
4:17
Speaker 1: Maybe sometimes a fifty dollars. I need something I know
4:20
Speaker 1: that's loyal, and I have his mom's addressed now, so
4:24
Speaker 1: this kid's not gonna disappear with my money because he
4:26
Speaker 1: wouldn't do that to his mom. So it's definitely a
4:28
Speaker 1: little weird, but that's how the processes you have to
4:30
Speaker 1: interview these people. So when you give this list of questions,
4:35
Speaker 1: the guy he calls up say his mom and says, Mom,
4:42
Speaker 1: have I ever been arrested? How do you get them
4:44
Speaker 1: to that? And be like, Mom, have I ever stolen
4:47
Speaker 1: money from you? You and dad have ever robbed people?
4:50
Speaker 1: Have I ever? Have I ever done something that like
4:55
Speaker 1: embarrassing so much you want to disown me or kick
4:57
Speaker 1: me out of the house. Like there's a there's a
4:58
Speaker 1: bunch of weird little things and like little stupid things
5:01
Speaker 1: like me and you talked about love. I think love
5:03
Speaker 1: is an important thing. I don't really trust people if
5:04
Speaker 1: they've never had a relationship before. So that's another one
5:07
Speaker 1: I have them ask, go, Mom, I've ever been in
5:09
Speaker 1: love and things like that, right, very like you know
5:12
Speaker 1: it sounds stupid, but honestly, I think you really do it.
5:15
Speaker 1: Really you get a really good perspective. Instead of me
5:18
Speaker 1: asking these people these questions because people, especially gamblers, they're
5:21
Speaker 1: such bullshitters and I can't stand it. So I'm like, no,
5:23
Speaker 1: I'm cutting out to the middle man, let's just call
5:25
Speaker 1: your mom right now, because they don't know what's coming.
5:27
Speaker 1: So they're shocked and they're they're calling their mom all
5:30
Speaker 1: of a sudden in their job interviews. So it works man,
5:32
Speaker 1: especially you just want to make the person uncomfortable because
5:34
Speaker 1: you learn a lot about people when they're uncomfortable. What
5:37
Speaker 1: have you asked? This is outstanding? What if asked when
5:44
Speaker 1: and you've heard an answer where the person was was
5:48
Speaker 1: all of a sudden they were something was being revealed
5:51
Speaker 1: that disqualified them for the job. Oh my god, dude,
5:55
Speaker 1: I have so many. I mean, the easiest one ever
5:57
Speaker 1: was this dude stole all of his dad's power tools
6:00
Speaker 1: and sold them so he could go like make some
6:03
Speaker 1: bets when he was like eighteen or nineteen, and I
6:05
Speaker 1: get it, it was like five years later maturities like that.
6:08
Speaker 1: But I was like, dude that I I cannot, like,
6:12
Speaker 1: I cannot trust you. How do I know you're not
6:14
Speaker 1: going a losing streak with your own money? And then
6:15
Speaker 1: take my money and disappear. So that guy was I mean,
6:18
Speaker 1: that was a two minute interview. That guy was done,
6:21
Speaker 1: Like he didn't order water to the table. He was gone.
6:23
Speaker 1: So there there's something like that, they're just quick. Or
6:26
Speaker 1: a guy will sit down, I'll look him I do
6:28
Speaker 1: not like. I will look at up someone I said,
6:29
Speaker 1: I do not like your face, like either I met
6:31
Speaker 1: them in a past life. I don't know what. I'll
6:33
Speaker 1: ask them what their sign is. Who knows, But I'll
6:36
Speaker 1: just look at and be like, Okay, I mean this, dude,
6:38
Speaker 1: this ain't gonna work. But a lot of these guys
6:41
Speaker 1: are in the business. So even if I don't know them,
6:44
Speaker 1: they worked with a different group, maybe they were a
6:45
Speaker 1: runner for some other pro that I know, and they'll
6:47
Speaker 1: put them onto me, which is always the best because
6:49
Speaker 1: you just want some of that someone can valuage for
6:51
Speaker 1: because in this business is just purely relationship business. By
6:55
Speaker 1: the way, you're You're so right about that first instinct
7:01
Speaker 1: and knowing or not knowing and getting it from the
7:07
Speaker 1: tone of voice, from what their experience has been. Uh.
7:13
Speaker 1: You and I had it the day that you reached
7:16
Speaker 1: out to me on Twitter and I randomly called back Raheem,
7:20
Speaker 1: who's on the call with us, you know, who joined
7:22
Speaker 1: Action as a freelance writer and was doing incredible work.
7:27
Speaker 1: And then it took us about two seconds to realize
7:31
Speaker 1: that we wanted to hire him. Raheem, if I gave
7:36
Speaker 1: you a list of questions to call your parents right now, uh,
7:42
Speaker 1: would you be able to be hired by Simon Hunter
7:46
Speaker 1: as a runner? Oh? Not at all at all. I mean,
7:51
Speaker 1: I've made so many mistakes in my life, so it's
7:53
Speaker 1: just like I'm matured. But I've made a lot of mistakes,
7:57
Speaker 1: so not at all that. By the way, you guys
8:01
Speaker 1: don't live too far from each other. You guys can
8:02
Speaker 1: get together on Sundays, you know, Yeah, as you I
8:06
Speaker 1: might need a runner myself so we can get talk off.
8:11
Speaker 1: You can figure that out for sure, man, I get it. Yeah, Well,
8:14
Speaker 1: I'm glad I can bring you guys together, all right,
8:18
Speaker 1: Raheem before we get to to uh a f C
8:21
Speaker 1: win totals, and I do want to get to that.
8:23
Speaker 1: Like I said Sons hosting the Box, I have so
8:28
Speaker 1: many opinions about this series just from a narrative point
8:32
Speaker 1: of view. So excited for Chris Paul. I want him
8:35
Speaker 1: to win an NBA title. I think he deserves it.
8:39
Speaker 1: Um such a great leader on the floor, always improving
8:42
Speaker 1: his teams. Give me your sense of the narrative of
8:46
Speaker 1: the sons in the Bucks. First, okay, I mean first
8:48
Speaker 1: things first, Chris Paul. I mean, it's just one of
8:51
Speaker 1: the greatest point guards of all time. He's finally getting
8:54
Speaker 1: an opportunity. And I think it's it's ironic because you know,
8:58
Speaker 1: Chris Paul has really struggled the state stay healthy in
9:01
Speaker 1: the playoffs, but now everybody else is injured and he's healthy,
9:05
Speaker 1: So I think he has a really you know, good
9:08
Speaker 1: opportunity to not only win the finals, but when finals MVP.
9:11
Speaker 1: Because one of the things that you got to look
9:13
Speaker 1: at is that the Bucks play a lot of drop coverage.
9:15
Speaker 1: So if their drop coverage, that means he's gonna be
9:17
Speaker 1: getting these mid range jump shots with Lopez dropping into
9:20
Speaker 1: the lane, and I think it's wide open for him.
9:23
Speaker 1: So I'm excited to see it. All right, So before
9:27
Speaker 1: we get to m v P, because we do have
9:30
Speaker 1: breaking news from the Action Network news desk from our
9:33
Speaker 1: own Brandon Anderson, Action Network NBA contributor, frequent contributor to
9:38
Speaker 1: the Action Network NBA podcast with You and Matt Moore.
9:41
Speaker 1: He's been amazing on NBA Player props all season long.
9:45
Speaker 1: You guys go deep into season long m v p
9:49
Speaker 1: ods do it better than anybody. He has decided that
9:53
Speaker 1: Jay Crowder at a hundred and fifty two one, might
9:55
Speaker 1: be the best MVP bet in the finals. How do
9:59
Speaker 1: you feel about that? I think Brandon is absolutely batshit insane.
10:06
Speaker 1: Just you know, I feel like I love Brandon to death,
10:10
Speaker 1: but I feel like he was sent here to destroy
10:13
Speaker 1: me and destroy my brain. We're polar I passes. I
10:16
Speaker 1: was telling Matt Mitchell before this call, He's essentially Steph
10:20
Speaker 1: Curry and I'm eating Rosazuki. I just want to get
10:23
Speaker 1: on base. Just give me the easy hits. Let me
10:25
Speaker 1: get on base, hit as many singles as much as possible.
10:28
Speaker 1: He wants to pull up from forty five ft and
10:31
Speaker 1: I just I can't do it. But I think his
10:33
Speaker 1: logic is sound. His logic is sounded. Is because if
10:36
Speaker 1: you look at the two thousand thirteen NBA Finals, Danny
10:39
Speaker 1: Green hit a ton of three pointers and he was
10:42
Speaker 1: on the path to actually when an m v P
10:44
Speaker 1: had the spurs actually got it done, and Ray Island
10:47
Speaker 1: doesn't hit the shot. So Jay Crowder has been known
10:50
Speaker 1: to get hot. He's gonna get open three. So if
10:53
Speaker 1: he hits four threes tonight, he hits five threes in
10:57
Speaker 1: game two, Game four, and then when Yannice comes back,
11:00
Speaker 1: he's gonna be the primary defender of your honest. So
11:04
Speaker 1: at plus one one, it's a good lottery ticket, Like,
11:08
Speaker 1: I'm not mad at it. And then with some of
11:09
Speaker 1: these sites giving you the opportunity to cash out, he
11:12
Speaker 1: could go, he can get hot in games one and
11:14
Speaker 1: two and you can cash it out and make a profit.
11:17
Speaker 1: It does feel interesting, um, how everyone is so sure
11:21
Speaker 1: about the Sun's sons and four. That's one of the
11:24
Speaker 1: highest pet props right now. And the bookmakers, if they
11:28
Speaker 1: really took it serious, the sons would be minus three hundred.
11:30
Speaker 1: You're even higher at this point, and they're not. They're
11:33
Speaker 1: not even minus two hundred. They've come down a little bit.
11:35
Speaker 1: So it's been very interesting watching the line movement that
11:39
Speaker 1: the public has been coming in heavy on the Suns,
11:41
Speaker 1: and the pros have kind of just been not taking
11:44
Speaker 1: the bucks, but they've been they've been putting down a
11:46
Speaker 1: little money on testing the water because we're still we're
11:49
Speaker 1: still so unsure about Honest. Have you have you thought
11:51
Speaker 1: and at all that Jane is gonna come back in
11:53
Speaker 1: the series. Do you think it's just all smoke screen
11:55
Speaker 1: that they're saying he might be coming back. I do
11:58
Speaker 1: think he's gonna come back for a game the Rae.
12:00
Speaker 1: But I think the thing with Jannice is, if you
12:02
Speaker 1: look at his game, he's not a guy who's gonna
12:04
Speaker 1: hit mid range jumpers. He's not a guy who hit threes.
12:07
Speaker 1: He's dependent on driving to the lane. So if you
12:10
Speaker 1: get j honest, this could actually hurt them more than
12:12
Speaker 1: it could help them, because you have a guy who
12:15
Speaker 1: is depended on driving to the lane. Like this is
12:18
Speaker 1: not gonna be the Yannest that we saw two weeks ago.
12:21
Speaker 1: He's gonna be sixty sevent and I don't know if
12:25
Speaker 1: I want that. So if Yannest comes back, I'd be
12:28
Speaker 1: leaning more towards the Sons. Actually, all right, So give
12:32
Speaker 1: me your take right now or here before we get
12:35
Speaker 1: to a FC win totals on the series. What are
12:40
Speaker 1: you betting? How are you strategically thinking about it? Game
12:44
Speaker 1: to game? Okay, game the game. I like the under tonight.
12:47
Speaker 1: I mean when you look at the Suns Chris Paul,
12:49
Speaker 1: he plays one of the slowest paces in the lad
12:51
Speaker 1: You saw that when he was out for games one
12:53
Speaker 1: and two in the Western Conference Finals. When he's on
12:56
Speaker 1: the court, the Sons are only playing ninety six possessions,
12:58
Speaker 1: so they're really slow pay game. That's eleven and pace
13:01
Speaker 1: among all six team playoff teams. So my model actually
13:05
Speaker 1: makes this game to seven team. So with it being
13:07
Speaker 1: up to to nineteam, I really like the under. The
13:10
Speaker 1: Bucks offense has really been struggling. I mean, they're a
13:13
Speaker 1: team that's you know, when Janice is not out there,
13:15
Speaker 1: they're highly depended on jump shooting. And this Bucks team,
13:19
Speaker 1: if we saw over the last two three seasons, they
13:21
Speaker 1: can get into the playoffs and start missing these jump shots.
13:24
Speaker 1: So and they're they're primarily winning with their defense. So
13:28
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna have a rock fight tonight. So
13:30
Speaker 1: I really like the under. Personally, I like the Sons
13:33
Speaker 1: just because I think they just have too many They
13:36
Speaker 1: don't They're like the Spurs. They're not gonna beat themselves.
13:40
Speaker 1: You know, you have to go out there and beat them,
13:41
Speaker 1: like this is not a team, Like this team hasn't
13:43
Speaker 1: lost three in a row all season long, you know,
13:46
Speaker 1: so this team they recover from losses. They're great offensively,
13:50
Speaker 1: great defensively. I think the Suns eventually get it done
13:53
Speaker 1: it's a little steamed up now at minus two minus
13:56
Speaker 1: one ninety, but based on the fact that there's six
13:59
Speaker 1: point favorites in game one and Janice has hurt, I
14:03
Speaker 1: think there's some value on it still. Alright, So I'm
14:06
Speaker 1: coming out of here, and I'm thinking, at the very least,
14:09
Speaker 1: if I'm thinking from a long term point of view,
14:13
Speaker 1: I'm betting Chris Paul m v P. I'm betting Jay
14:15
Speaker 1: Crowder m v P. I'm betting Sons minus two hundred
14:20
Speaker 1: to win the series, and then I can play with
14:22
Speaker 1: it a little bit. Let's say they get down, maybe
14:24
Speaker 1: they lose the first game, maybe there's still some value
14:27
Speaker 1: to be had going forward. So that's that's what I'm
14:30
Speaker 1: thinking about. That's how I'm gonna do it. Yeah, Yeah,
14:33
Speaker 1: I like that. I mean, I think the one thing
14:35
Speaker 1: you have to worry about, you do have to worry
14:36
Speaker 1: about Devin Booker, because if Milwaukee decides to put Drew
14:41
Speaker 1: Holiday on Chris Paul, then they're just gonna say, hey, look,
14:44
Speaker 1: Devin Booker, you gotta beat us. And that's possible. So
14:48
Speaker 1: I think there is some concern in that aspect, But
14:51
Speaker 1: I think Chris Paul has the narrative behind them, and
14:53
Speaker 1: we all know that. You know, m v Voting for
14:57
Speaker 1: m v P is based on narratives, a hundred percent
15:00
Speaker 1: narrative based. Which is why I would actually like Paul
15:03
Speaker 1: and Crowder over Booker. Because Booker as the primary score
15:08
Speaker 1: for the Suns. He's gonna have to go above and
15:12
Speaker 1: beyond to win m VP. He can't just do game
15:15
Speaker 1: and get MVP because that's what the expectation is. He's
15:18
Speaker 1: gonna have to go out and have a couple of
15:19
Speaker 1: games where he flourishes to a degree that is way, way,
15:24
Speaker 1: way beyond expectations. Whereas Crowder is going to be that
15:27
Speaker 1: guy who if he is the defensive stopper and he
15:30
Speaker 1: does get some threes, he's he's got like an Iguadala
15:34
Speaker 1: andre Iguadala field from that first Warriors um uh finals
15:39
Speaker 1: against the Calves where he won m v P. So
15:42
Speaker 1: that's why I kind of like it. That's my thing.
15:44
Speaker 1: I like it too. I mean, even though I think
15:45
Speaker 1: Brandon is crazy, I like it my side, all right,
15:50
Speaker 1: Simon raheem, nothing matters more than the NFL. So let's
15:57
Speaker 1: talk a f C win totals. This is what we're
15:59
Speaker 1: gonna be doing over the next few weeks, just so
16:01
Speaker 1: people know on the pod, we're gonna do uh a
16:05
Speaker 1: f C win totals. Then we're gonna do NFC win
16:07
Speaker 1: totals next week. We've got a whole lineup that Matt
16:10
Speaker 1: Mitchell has concocted here to make sure everyone gets smarter
16:14
Speaker 1: and can start getting down their best before the season begins.
16:17
Speaker 1: Look right off the bat, you've got four teams in
16:21
Speaker 1: the a f C that have wind totals that are
16:26
Speaker 1: set at double digits. Chiefs at twelve, Ravens at eleven,
16:32
Speaker 1: Bills at ten and a half, Colts at ten, Simon.
16:37
Speaker 1: Before we get to all right, who do you like
16:38
Speaker 1: the most? I do want to talk about these are
16:40
Speaker 1: the teams that will get the most attention. Give me
16:43
Speaker 1: your take on Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Cults. Sure we can
16:49
Speaker 1: start with the Bills because of man Mitchell. Of course,
16:55
Speaker 1: the Bills make me wow. Your hands off, bro yo, Hey,
17:01
Speaker 1: come on now, I'm making it happen. Now. This is
17:05
Speaker 1: one of these things where if you want to know
17:07
Speaker 1: if you're listening to a smart podcast or if you
17:09
Speaker 1: think these people are frauds, the frauds of all the
17:11
Speaker 1: frauds will tell you to take the Bills over ten
17:14
Speaker 1: and a half. To me, one of the easiest things
17:16
Speaker 1: to stare at and say, okay, red flags all over
17:18
Speaker 1: the place, ten a half bills. We're talking about a
17:21
Speaker 1: seventeen games schedule. Who doesn't think the Bills are gonna
17:25
Speaker 1: get eleven wins this year? Everyone does. Everyone looks at
17:28
Speaker 1: that Bill's team, they say, that's an easy bet ten
17:31
Speaker 1: and a half, especially in the seventeen games, you know, like,
17:33
Speaker 1: why wouldn't you bet that? So every show you're gonna
17:36
Speaker 1: listen to everyone. I'm telling you, they're gonna tell you
17:38
Speaker 1: to take the over ten and a half. Easiest bet
17:41
Speaker 1: looking at this under a ten and a half for
17:43
Speaker 1: the Bills. And it's not like last year. Josh Allen
17:46
Speaker 1: amazing quarterback. Last year he played out of his mind.
17:49
Speaker 1: It just doesn't work this way, and people don't get that.
17:52
Speaker 1: People think every here it's easy. It's just not. It's
17:55
Speaker 1: just one of these things where all these teams have
17:58
Speaker 1: now had a whole offseason to why all the film
18:00
Speaker 1: on Josh Allen, They get to study that exact offense
18:03
Speaker 1: the Bills ran last year. They're gonna run the same
18:05
Speaker 1: exact offense this year too. They don't lose anybody. So
18:07
Speaker 1: this is one of those where it's just stinks of
18:10
Speaker 1: a trap. Everything about this bill's number is a trap
18:13
Speaker 1: to me. I graded him out at ten point two,
18:16
Speaker 1: and I saw it was ten a half. I go,
18:17
Speaker 1: oh my god, they're gonna get so much money on
18:20
Speaker 1: this over. I can't wait to come August how much
18:22
Speaker 1: money these bookmakers say they have on this over. If
18:25
Speaker 1: I guarantee, it's gona so easy, easy bet people, please
18:29
Speaker 1: take that bills under. Oh my god, I have so
18:32
Speaker 1: many notes to make right now. I gotta get the
18:35
Speaker 1: bills under, even though I already got him on a
18:37
Speaker 1: super Bowl future. So do I that that that doesn't
18:40
Speaker 1: take away from it. We're just talking about like pure
18:42
Speaker 1: value based bets here, all right, uh raheem. Before Simon
18:47
Speaker 1: finishes with the other three, do you do you have thoughts? Actually,
18:51
Speaker 1: Simon On, Chiefs over under, Ravens over under, or Cults
18:56
Speaker 1: over under the I'm boring I stay away from the
19:00
Speaker 1: its like I'm staying away because like the Chiefs, I
19:01
Speaker 1: don't wanna bet that under, like I want to bet
19:03
Speaker 1: the over. I have him great as the over, but
19:06
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't really feel like having money
19:08
Speaker 1: tied up in such a high number like that with
19:10
Speaker 1: them on that over and the Ravens. I've looked long
19:13
Speaker 1: and hard at it because I really liked them to
19:15
Speaker 1: bounce back this year. They just they were the bad
19:17
Speaker 1: luck team. It felt like last year they had the injuries.
19:18
Speaker 1: Lamar got Covid. He just wasn't right. I'm coming back
19:21
Speaker 1: from it because again, covid affects your lungs and your body.
19:24
Speaker 1: So he's the guy that depends on his lungs and
19:27
Speaker 1: his body for his style play. So to me, that
19:29
Speaker 1: was just one of those where I leaned the Chiefs over,
19:31
Speaker 1: I lean the I lean Baltimore over. And for the Colds,
19:35
Speaker 1: people already gonna know I'm I'm all in on the Colds.
19:37
Speaker 1: I bet them at ten. I bet them at nine
19:39
Speaker 1: and a half. I know their schedule is really hard,
19:41
Speaker 1: but I just look at a team that had the
19:43
Speaker 1: corpse we call Philip Rivers leading them in the playoffs,
19:46
Speaker 1: and he made things happen even though he was not
19:48
Speaker 1: a good quarterback last year. If Carson Wentz can just
19:51
Speaker 1: figure it out, like he he's soft, I'm not gonna
19:54
Speaker 1: lie that man is soft. He let a rookie come
19:57
Speaker 1: in and take his job. That is a soft man.
19:59
Speaker 1: But it Carson should bounce back. He's he's surrounded by
20:03
Speaker 1: just people that weren't good from Like Frank, Frank is
20:06
Speaker 1: a great guy to have coaching. So for me, everything
20:09
Speaker 1: lines up right. I just really like everything that's happening
20:12
Speaker 1: for the Colts so too. That's that's a no brainer
20:14
Speaker 1: to me. Take that over with the Colts. Alright, raheem,
20:16
Speaker 1: what is your take on Chiefs twelve, Ravens eleven, Bills
20:20
Speaker 1: ten and a half, Colts ten. Okay, first things first,
20:23
Speaker 1: I like the Colts. I like the Coats big. I
20:25
Speaker 1: mean you can take I think it's that it's at
20:27
Speaker 1: ten um juice that positively at plus one fifteen, or
20:31
Speaker 1: you can get it minus um. You can get it
20:33
Speaker 1: nine and a half minus one fifty. I think I
20:35
Speaker 1: would rather take the ten. I think this is a
20:39
Speaker 1: reclamation project for the Colts with Carson Wentz. But Frank
20:43
Speaker 1: Wright has a history with Carson Wentz, like Carson Wentz
20:46
Speaker 1: had his best season with the Eagles. And then also,
20:48
Speaker 1: I think one of the things you gotta look at
20:50
Speaker 1: is that Frank White, right, might as well be the quarterbacks.
20:53
Speaker 1: I mean, he took Jacoby Brissette to seven and nine
20:56
Speaker 1: and they almost made the playoffs. Like he took uh
21:00
Speaker 1: Larry Holmes status Um Philip Rivers at the end of
21:05
Speaker 1: his career and they almost beat the Bills in the
21:08
Speaker 1: first round, and they probably should have won that game.
21:10
Speaker 1: So I have trust in the Coats. I like their
21:12
Speaker 1: over and he won the Super Bowl nick Foles. Nick
21:16
Speaker 1: Foles won the Super Bowl with Um. When it comes
21:25
Speaker 1: to what were the other teams, we said Bills and Ravens.
21:31
Speaker 1: I agree with the would I agree with Simon on
21:33
Speaker 1: the Bills because and part of it has to do
21:35
Speaker 1: with the division, because when you look at the Patriots,
21:38
Speaker 1: they spent almost two hundred million in free agency. They're
21:41
Speaker 1: gonna be a much better team. And they struggled last
21:43
Speaker 1: year because they had so many losses due to COVID
21:46
Speaker 1: opt outs. Now they've they've upgraded both sides of the ball.
21:49
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be better. I think the Jets
21:51
Speaker 1: are gonna be better with Robert Sala So I think
21:53
Speaker 1: the rest of the division is so much better that
21:55
Speaker 1: the Bills take a hit here. So I'm going under
21:57
Speaker 1: on them. I actually just agree on the Ravens. I
22:01
Speaker 1: just for me. I just Lamar has just played outstanding
22:06
Speaker 1: for like to two years in a row. I think
22:08
Speaker 1: the Browns are the team to beat in that division.
22:11
Speaker 1: I think the Bangles are gonna be a little bit better.
22:12
Speaker 1: And I just think that the wind told us a
22:14
Speaker 1: little bit too high. Like I know, they've had some
22:16
Speaker 1: problems with the offensive line. They've never really replaced anybody
22:19
Speaker 1: since Marshall Yonda. So I'm gonna go under on them
22:22
Speaker 1: and then the Chiefs. See. I struggle with this because
22:25
Speaker 1: I like to bet against human achievement. So when I
22:30
Speaker 1: see a win total of twelve, I'm kind of looking under.
22:33
Speaker 1: And you know, they have they have a lot of
22:36
Speaker 1: pieces on the offense, but they never It's like they
22:40
Speaker 1: have Tyreek Hill, they have they have Kelsey, but who
22:43
Speaker 1: else do they have other than them? And these guys
22:45
Speaker 1: have been healthy for so long that I'm kind of
22:49
Speaker 1: leading under. But I think I'm i'm a i'm a
22:52
Speaker 1: i'm a i'm a past there. I have no real
22:54
Speaker 1: opinion on that. What do you think interest you said,
22:57
Speaker 1: because I've heard a lot of people say that is
22:59
Speaker 1: if Sammy Watkins was good for the last five years,
23:01
Speaker 1: so it's like, Okay, who they have other than Travis
23:03
Speaker 1: Kelsey and all these other years. I get it like
23:06
Speaker 1: they have they're depending on new, fast, young guys. But
23:10
Speaker 1: I'm not worried at all about that. But like I'm
23:11
Speaker 1: with him, it's just not fun to bet on such
23:13
Speaker 1: a big number over. It's as a professional, no one
23:16
Speaker 1: wants to bet over of a twelve. It's just a
23:18
Speaker 1: weird thing to bet. I'm concerned that Raheem likes to
23:23
Speaker 1: bet against human achievement because because it completely flies in
23:29
Speaker 1: the face of my personal philosophy on life, which is
23:35
Speaker 1: to be optimistic and root for the positive. I mean,
23:39
Speaker 1: I'm optimistic too, but when it comes to making money
23:42
Speaker 1: that we all know that the public likes to bet
23:45
Speaker 1: on overs. So that's where the value is, is betting
23:48
Speaker 1: against that human achievement. All right, that's fine, that's fine
23:52
Speaker 1: if you want to make money instead of you know,
23:55
Speaker 1: live in a rose colored world. Totally totally fine. Alright, Simon,
24:00
Speaker 1: let me go to you next. We got rid of
24:02
Speaker 1: sort of the Big four, the double digit totals. We
24:08
Speaker 1: are now looking at anybody who's nine and a half
24:12
Speaker 1: and under. That includes the Browns, the Titans. I think
24:17
Speaker 1: got moved up a little bit in some places to ten,
24:20
Speaker 1: but not everywhere. Um, I see the Chargers, Dolphins, Patriots
24:26
Speaker 1: at nine. When you're thinking about this sort of under
24:30
Speaker 1: double digit tier, give me your best over and your
24:37
Speaker 1: best under, and I think this is where allow of
24:39
Speaker 1: the value is going to be this year. Because of
24:41
Speaker 1: the seventeen game schedule. The bookmakers, just like me, I've
24:44
Speaker 1: had a hard time making allow these win totals because
24:47
Speaker 1: it's just throwing a wrench into everything. Instead of ten
24:49
Speaker 1: and six, you have eleven and six or whatever, nine
24:53
Speaker 1: and eight or whatever the number is gonna be. It's
24:55
Speaker 1: just weird. It's it's especially weird for me to look
24:57
Speaker 1: at on paper. I literally haven't gotten over it yet.
25:00
Speaker 1: But with all those teams you just named, like Raheem
25:03
Speaker 1: was saying, people love taking the overs, and there's so
25:05
Speaker 1: many teams whore I look at it, I go, that's
25:08
Speaker 1: such a trap. Like some of these, some of these
25:10
Speaker 1: I just feel like such traps. But I feel like
25:13
Speaker 1: the easiest bet. And I'm gonna keep saying it. The
25:15
Speaker 1: whole year is just gonna be a Houston under. I
25:17
Speaker 1: know it's a really low total, but four and a half.
25:20
Speaker 1: I don't care like keep going down lower and lower.
25:22
Speaker 1: That team is truly one of the worst teams I've
25:24
Speaker 1: ever seen on paper. Like I I cannot wait to
25:28
Speaker 1: bet against them. It's just like last year where the
25:30
Speaker 1: Jets were losing by twenty points to start the year.
25:33
Speaker 1: That's gonna be our gold and Goose start the year. Chat.
25:35
Speaker 1: We're gonna fade Houston so hard, and then we're gonna
25:37
Speaker 1: ride them for the final eight weeks of the year.
25:39
Speaker 1: It's gonna be such a love here relationship with them.
25:41
Speaker 1: But they're gonna be one of those teams that there's
25:44
Speaker 1: been multiple weeks. They're gonna be twenty point underdogs. I
25:47
Speaker 1: truly believe this is one of the worst teams will
25:48
Speaker 1: ever see take a football field. I am so forward
25:52
Speaker 1: to being sick to my stomach betting on Houston Texas
25:55
Speaker 1: week after week after week after week. It is go
26:00
Speaker 1: in to defy logic. It is going to be exactly
26:02
Speaker 1: what you're supposed to do as a professional better and
26:05
Speaker 1: I am going to hate every single second of it.
26:09
Speaker 1: Let me just make sure I have the right number
26:12
Speaker 1: for the Texans. They are the They are under four
26:16
Speaker 1: and a half, which is the lowest win total posted
26:22
Speaker 1: for any team, just beneath the Lions at five. Alright,
26:27
Speaker 1: so is that, like Simon, would you say that is
26:29
Speaker 1: your favorite? That is your favorite total to bet on? Yeah,
26:35
Speaker 1: because I think I think the NFL has just changed
26:38
Speaker 1: so much where these teams really are taking We saw
26:40
Speaker 1: the Jets and the Jacks last year. They really did tank,
26:43
Speaker 1: and the bookmakers are trying to They're trying to make
26:46
Speaker 1: it not so low that the sharp's come in. So
26:48
Speaker 1: have you on the over? Because again, it's football, weird
26:50
Speaker 1: things can happen, you never know. But to me, this
26:53
Speaker 1: is just you literally everything I look at it, this team,
26:56
Speaker 1: from the coaching, the front office, to the players They've
26:59
Speaker 1: just added this off season. The worst team I've ever
27:01
Speaker 1: seen on favor. Even if Watson comes back, I still
27:04
Speaker 1: would take this under. So yeah, this is one of
27:06
Speaker 1: these opportunities where I don't even have them any any
27:09
Speaker 1: time I've stimulated their season, They've never crossed three wins.
27:11
Speaker 1: So I think you're getting a ton of value your
27:13
Speaker 1: bet in this under. What do you think of that?
27:17
Speaker 1: I agree with him. I mean, I just don't have
27:20
Speaker 1: much respect for the Houston team. So I'm I'm there,
27:24
Speaker 1: all right, so then give me if if that's like
27:26
Speaker 1: your best bet and it happens to be an under raheem,
27:30
Speaker 1: well go ahead, Simon, what are you gonna say? No, No,
27:33
Speaker 1: I was saying, yeah, that's my favorite under beet for sure.
27:36
Speaker 1: Do you have a favorite over bet? Yeah, that's NFC
27:41
Speaker 1: for a f C. I guess I got We talked
27:44
Speaker 1: um what was it last week or two weeks ago?
27:47
Speaker 1: And uh, I think it was Sean. I forget who was,
27:52
Speaker 1: but they're saying they loved the Chargers over I'm with them.
27:55
Speaker 1: I just feel like that's gonna be such a fun
27:56
Speaker 1: team to bet this year. I know the division is
27:58
Speaker 1: really tough, and you can say what you want about
28:02
Speaker 1: them having all new offense coming in there, but everything
28:05
Speaker 1: I've just seen from their defense being healthy next year
28:08
Speaker 1: and their offense having all those weapons, if bactive upgrade
28:10
Speaker 1: the offensive line, I just cannot see them going I
28:13
Speaker 1: think the toll is up to nine or maybe Taitan
28:15
Speaker 1: have still I just can't see them going under the Yeah,
28:18
Speaker 1: I can't see them going under that. I just think
28:19
Speaker 1: the Chargers have so much talent there this year. That's
28:22
Speaker 1: a ten wing team. So for my favorite over in
28:24
Speaker 1: the FC, I love the Chargers. Raheem. This is a
28:28
Speaker 1: good question for you, if I may say so myself. Yeah,
28:32
Speaker 1: when you like, we're pegging teams like the Texans, we're
28:36
Speaker 1: pegging teams like the Chargers. When you before the season begins,
28:41
Speaker 1: have modeled what you think is an advantage for one
28:44
Speaker 1: team and it's not working, or you've modeled a disadvantage
28:51
Speaker 1: for a team and it is working, meaning the team
28:54
Speaker 1: is playing better than you expected, the team is playing
28:57
Speaker 1: worse than you expected. How long but for you make
29:00
Speaker 1: the adjustment and just admit that what you were modeling
29:03
Speaker 1: was wrong a couple of weeks. So I mean, I
29:09
Speaker 1: think they're I think the see for me, the first
29:12
Speaker 1: couple of weeks in the NFL season are kind of
29:14
Speaker 1: like the easiest because that's when the lines are the
29:16
Speaker 1: softest and I'm really big or not trying to catch
29:20
Speaker 1: a falling knife. So I'll give you example. If you
29:22
Speaker 1: look at the two thousand nine Tennessee Titans in two
29:25
Speaker 1: thousand and eight, they went thirteen and three. They come
29:29
Speaker 1: back the next season and they start off oh and six,
29:32
Speaker 1: and the public is firing on him every week, like, oh,
29:35
Speaker 1: This team is not gonna go oh and two. This
29:36
Speaker 1: team is not gonna go oh and three. This team
29:38
Speaker 1: is not gonna go on four before you know what,
29:40
Speaker 1: they're O and six. So I just think you have
29:44
Speaker 1: to you have to quickly be able to adjust to
29:46
Speaker 1: what you're seeing and recognize is this team losing games
29:49
Speaker 1: based on luck? Are they're really just a bad team.
29:51
Speaker 1: So a couple of weeks and then I'm out. I
29:55
Speaker 1: love that phrase catch a falling knife. Explain it, um
29:59
Speaker 1: so mean. It's just, you know, you're trying to catch
30:02
Speaker 1: a falling knife and you get stabs, so and it's
30:05
Speaker 1: just it's just it's one of those things that I
30:07
Speaker 1: think a lot it's a falacy that a lot of
30:09
Speaker 1: betters find themselves doing. Keep betting the same thing over
30:12
Speaker 1: and over and over again, and it just doesn't work.
30:15
Speaker 1: It sounds like a terrible experience. I've had to learn
30:20
Speaker 1: it too many times. So simon, if you heard that
30:23
Speaker 1: phrase catch a falling knife, oh yeah, definitely, that's a
30:27
Speaker 1: that's a great phrase to live by. Hmm. I'm gonna
30:31
Speaker 1: use it. I think I'm all in, and I don't
30:33
Speaker 1: want to catch a falling knife either. I'm against it.
30:37
Speaker 1: All right, So then raheem, I got Simmons. He's thinking
30:41
Speaker 1: Chargers over if he has to, uh, you know, gunn
30:44
Speaker 1: to his head. We also, I could give you credit
30:46
Speaker 1: for you You seem to love the Cults over ten
30:50
Speaker 1: and a half, So I don't want to discount your
30:51
Speaker 1: enthusiasm for that because I'm telling you got to choose
30:54
Speaker 1: a team that's under double digits. Uh raheem, give me
30:57
Speaker 1: your favorite under and your favorite over if you can
31:01
Speaker 1: outside of those top four teams. Okay, So I'm taking
31:05
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans under nine and a half. I mean,
31:08
Speaker 1: this is a team. They had one of the worst
31:10
Speaker 1: defenses in the NFL last season. They were twenty knife
31:13
Speaker 1: and d v o A thirties against the past. I
31:16
Speaker 1: don't see their defense really improving that much this year.
31:19
Speaker 1: I know they gave Bud the pre a lot of money,
31:21
Speaker 1: but I'm just not expecting him to really, you know,
31:25
Speaker 1: have that performance with the Titans. They're really gonna change
31:27
Speaker 1: this defense. Now. The biggest reason why I like this
31:30
Speaker 1: under is you guys, remember when Kyle Shanahan was with
31:33
Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons. He was one of the best offensive coordinators.
31:37
Speaker 1: He left and the Falcons were never the same offensively,
31:40
Speaker 1: even though they had the same pieces. So the Titans
31:43
Speaker 1: lost Arthur Smith, and you know, Ryan Tannehill had career
31:47
Speaker 1: numbers under him. Now, I know they added Julio Jones
31:51
Speaker 1: and the public is really gonna be hyped over his edition.
31:54
Speaker 1: But how much better can this offense be? This is
31:56
Speaker 1: one of the best offenses ever, I mean, and then
31:59
Speaker 1: they outperformed their Protagonan went total they were they were
32:02
Speaker 1: they were eleven and five, but he had a Protagonant
32:04
Speaker 1: expectation of just nine point one wins. So I know
32:07
Speaker 1: the public is gonna push this up, but I'm taking
32:09
Speaker 1: the under It's unfortunate that they play in the same
32:12
Speaker 1: division as the Texans, but I still like the under
32:16
Speaker 1: something you're shaking your head in the affirmative. Yeah, I
32:20
Speaker 1: don't think eno. People are talking about big of a
32:22
Speaker 1: lossaid especially I've seen a lot of people in the
32:24
Speaker 1: fantasy community being all over the Titans team just for
32:27
Speaker 1: this upcoming season, and I'm with Raheem. I think their
32:29
Speaker 1: office is gonna take such a huge step back. It's
32:32
Speaker 1: it's gonna be jarring. Especially Tannehill. Again, he was incredible
32:36
Speaker 1: last year, but it was so above what is just normal,
32:39
Speaker 1: Like he could not miss on deep throw, especially to
32:41
Speaker 1: start the year, they were out of this world. So
32:44
Speaker 1: to me, I'm with him, that's that's a high wind total.
32:46
Speaker 1: Uh My only scary part is what he just talks
32:48
Speaker 1: about that division, like they could go easy to go
32:51
Speaker 1: four and now against the Jacks in the Texas. So
32:53
Speaker 1: it is a little terrifying in that division. All right,
32:55
Speaker 1: thank give me your favorite over reheam. It's unfortunate because
32:59
Speaker 1: I was gonna say that Charges as well. I mean
33:01
Speaker 1: this Chargers team, they replaced Anthony Lynn with Brandon Staley,
33:06
Speaker 1: and that's a huge upgrade at coach. I mean the
33:08
Speaker 1: Charges Blue leads of eleven points of more four times
33:11
Speaker 1: last season. Like that's enough to you know, get a
33:15
Speaker 1: three win improvement. So I've really, really, really like the Chargers.
33:18
Speaker 1: I think year two of Justin Herbert is gonna it's like, honestly,
33:23
Speaker 1: we should be talking about possibly betting him to win
33:26
Speaker 1: m v P because you know, second year quarterbacks tend
33:29
Speaker 1: to do it. So I really like the Chargers. If
33:33
Speaker 1: I have to give out another one, I'd say to Browns,
33:35
Speaker 1: I think they're a super Bowl winning team. Well I'm
33:37
Speaker 1: So glad you mentioned that because I'm looking at the
33:41
Speaker 1: win totals here and the one team that sticks out
33:43
Speaker 1: that we did not discuss are the Cleveland Browns nine
33:47
Speaker 1: and a half. You think they're super Bowl team explained,
33:51
Speaker 1: I mean you have the second year with their head coach,
33:54
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield has played in so many different systems. I
33:57
Speaker 1: mean this this offense was great last year. I think
33:59
Speaker 1: their waitness was their defense. So you know, you had
34:01
Speaker 1: guys like Greedy Williams were hurt all last year. The
34:04
Speaker 1: defense is gonna be better. Also, I think when you
34:07
Speaker 1: looked at a lot of those Browns games, they played
34:09
Speaker 1: in a lot of weather suppressed games where you had
34:11
Speaker 1: to win impacting things you had rained, Like it was
34:14
Speaker 1: like seven or eight games to where they literally just
34:17
Speaker 1: couldn't pass the ball because of the weather. So I
34:19
Speaker 1: just think the offense is gonna be better with Kevin Stefanski,
34:22
Speaker 1: and year two, the defense is gonna be better. They
34:25
Speaker 1: just sign Um Clowney. No no, no, no, no, no
34:31
Speaker 1: no no. We are not going to make betting decisions
34:35
Speaker 1: and give betting advice based on Javan Clowney, who might
34:41
Speaker 1: might play ten games. He's not he's no Raheem. He's
34:47
Speaker 1: a University of Pennsylvania. You have an Ivy League degree.
34:51
Speaker 1: You are smarter than that. We're not being suckers for
34:55
Speaker 1: the big name going to a team, you know what.
34:57
Speaker 1: You know what, I'm not being a sucker for the
34:58
Speaker 1: big name. He's a upplemental peace so he doesn't have
35:02
Speaker 1: to be the main guy here, and he's not gonna
35:05
Speaker 1: have the sack numbers, but he's gonna have the pressure
35:08
Speaker 1: numbers that you need. And I think that the Browns
35:11
Speaker 1: defense is already gonna be better in the secondary. It's
35:13
Speaker 1: just I really really liked this Browns team this year,
35:16
Speaker 1: and I think I think they have a real shot.
35:19
Speaker 1: And it also when you look at the rest of division,
35:22
Speaker 1: the Stillers are gonna regress, the Bengals aren't gonna be great.
35:26
Speaker 1: I already told you I'm not that high on the Ravens.
35:28
Speaker 1: I don't mind the Browns at all. I think they're
35:30
Speaker 1: a really interesting team, and I agree with you. I
35:33
Speaker 1: thought Kevin Stefanski's ability to adjust the game plan midway
35:38
Speaker 1: through last year and make Baker Mayfield a more comfortable
35:42
Speaker 1: and more reliable quarterback was great signals great things for
35:47
Speaker 1: the future. I'm not betting it because of J davean
35:50
Speaker 1: fucking clowney. That's right, I mean, that's fair. I just
35:54
Speaker 1: I just think he's a good supplemental piece for them. Uh, signon, signon?
36:00
Speaker 1: Who are you with here? Are you with me and
36:01
Speaker 1: my logic forbetting me over? Are you with Raheem and
36:05
Speaker 1: his logic forbetting me over? The only reason I haven't
36:08
Speaker 1: bet this over is it just it's something little stinky
36:11
Speaker 1: about it, something a little stink. I don't know why
36:13
Speaker 1: this isn't ten, because I haven't. I have just created
36:16
Speaker 1: out at ten point two. So it's again I have
36:18
Speaker 1: this way over. And it's it's a little weird to
36:21
Speaker 1: me because I know they've talked to plenty of guys
36:23
Speaker 1: in sports books and they told me they've been getting
36:25
Speaker 1: hit hard on this over, And I don't know, it's weird.
36:29
Speaker 1: It's a weird number because I'm with Raheem. All they've
36:32
Speaker 1: done is improved. They literally their draft, they killed the draft.
36:35
Speaker 1: They drafted all these really good defenders. Everything about this
36:37
Speaker 1: team has been improved. I don't know why it's this number.
36:41
Speaker 1: So for me, I just went the other way and
36:43
Speaker 1: I just took them to win the FC at plus
36:44
Speaker 1: a thousand. I didn't touch this total just because I figure,
36:47
Speaker 1: you know what, I'll take something where I could see
36:50
Speaker 1: them getting to the FC Championship. I don't know. Maybe
36:52
Speaker 1: they're gonna come in as a wild card at nine
36:54
Speaker 1: or nine and eight, whatever weird number they're gonna come
36:56
Speaker 1: in at. There's just something weird about this number. Is
36:58
Speaker 1: if the Vegas knows something, cause is how is this
37:01
Speaker 1: not double digits? This is a double digit win team.
37:03
Speaker 1: So that's some reason I'm staying away from it. There's
37:05
Speaker 1: just something stinky about it. I don't want to try
37:07
Speaker 1: to catch a falling knife. All right, let me recap,
37:12
Speaker 1: because this is what we're saying. This is what we're
37:13
Speaker 1: telling people right now. We love the Bills under ten
37:16
Speaker 1: and a half, We love the Colts over ten, we
37:19
Speaker 1: love the Titans under nine and a half, we love
37:21
Speaker 1: the Chargers over nine, and we love the Texans under
37:26
Speaker 1: four and a half. We all seem to love the Browns,
37:29
Speaker 1: but we're a little bit afraid to pull the trigger
37:31
Speaker 1: right now. And I like, I like Raheem's idea of
37:33
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert as m v P. I think that's a
37:35
Speaker 1: really good idea too. Yeah, that's a really fun one,
37:38
Speaker 1: especially because like he just said, it's the year two.
37:40
Speaker 1: Year three leaps like I bet two with the win
37:42
Speaker 1: m d P. I have no faith in two. But
37:44
Speaker 1: it's the same thing where this makes had a major
37:47
Speaker 1: hip injury. He had a guy in the head of
37:49
Speaker 1: him last year. He didn't know the playbook. I just
37:51
Speaker 1: look at the town on Miami. Year two too is
37:53
Speaker 1: fully healthy. You bet that. It's not. Like I'm sitting here.
37:56
Speaker 1: To two was a top twenty quarterback, top ten quarterback.
37:59
Speaker 1: I'm just betting on projecting out what too it could
38:01
Speaker 1: be because I've seen the town in college. So to me,
38:03
Speaker 1: that's another guy in the FC. I loved to a
38:05
Speaker 1: year two. It's a little taste. I love it. You
38:08
Speaker 1: know what. I love it. I love both of you.
38:11
Speaker 1: You guys are great. Rhem Palmer, Simon Hunter. Thank you
38:17
Speaker 1: for joining the Favorites podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
38:22
Speaker 1: Guyam Chad Milman. We will be back on Thursday with
38:26
Speaker 1: the thunder Doe Down on the podcast from Apple podcast,
38:30
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast. Until next time,
38:33
Speaker 1: I love you,