Latest / The Jake Wimberly Podcast / Getting you ready for a monster SEC football weekend

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Getting you ready for a monster SEC football weekend · The Jake Wimberly Podcast

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  Speaker 1: We've got your.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: Top 10 high school football games of the week that
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: we'll get into. Raphael Esparza will join us here momentarily.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: We'll go through our.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Games at college and the NFL. And of course, Joseph Lissy,
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: Sirius XM Satellite Radio will join us as well. So
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: if not, we'll get right to it. Bring Esparza in here.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: Raphael Esparza. MyBookie.ag vs.
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  Speaker 1: iDocSports.
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  Speaker 2: Esparza, always great to see you. Sir, you got that
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  Speaker 2: nice MyBookie shirt on tonight.
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I've been doing a lot of press stuff for
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: them today. I don't know why today's been a busy
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: day media-wise. It's been a weird one.
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: No, it has. So we got Lane Kiffin still out
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: here whining, calling Ole Miss that was their Super Bowl. Look,
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: we'll get into the games in a minute. Lane Kiffin
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: better not let Ole Miss beat him twice.
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Ole Miss has something else to worry
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: about right now. They have to go to Florida, which
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: is coming off a big win against Auburn. I think
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: I mentioned that in your show that I liked Auburn.
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: And this running back that Florida has, when he rushes
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: for 100 yards or more, they're a perfect 7-0. So
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: if Ole Miss can't stop the run game, maybe it
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: will be a Super Bowl letdown game. I think this game,
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: and you know how I love the SEC, I think
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: this game right here, Ole Miss and Florida is probably
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: one of the better ones on the card.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: No, I think so as well. Let's go ahead and
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: get right into it because we've got a lot of
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: games to get to. And let me pull these in
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: real quick.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: And let me see.
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  Speaker 2: Where did my games go as far as I've just
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: lost my games?
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: I'm going to find them, though. I'll be here in
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  Speaker 1: a minute.
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  Speaker 2: But first, let's– your take first.
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: Let me ask this.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: Jackson Dart goes down for the New York Giants. We'll
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: get into some NFL as well. Your thoughts on what
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: that means for the New York football Giants?
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: They're done. I mean, they're– I think they can maybe–
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: Staying third in that division, I think they have enough
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  Speaker 3: talent to surpass Washington, not beating the gutter. But if
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: you're the Eagles and the Cowboys, boy, did you get
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: a gift last week. Because not only Dark goes down,
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: but so do Daniels go down. So now you have
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  Speaker 3: two star quarterbacks in your division that goes down now.
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: I hate to say it, you hate to wish bad things,
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: but for the Cowboys and Eagles, they won twice on Sunday.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: And speaking of the NFL, we got one tomorrow night,
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: Atlanta Falcons at the Green Bay Packers. Falcons look like
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: they may play Piddocks. They're a five point dog on
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: the road against the Packers. That totals at 43. You
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: would think, I mean, the betting public, I would assume, oh,
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  Speaker 2: this is a slam dunk for the Packers.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Is it a slam dunk for the Packers?
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  Speaker 3: I mean, if you looked at slam dunks in the NFL,
• 4:31
  Speaker 3: I think people thought the Baltimore Ravens were a slam dunk.
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: I thought people thought the Chargers were a slam dunk
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: last week. So you can't really use that kind of
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  Speaker 3: reference anymore. But Penick's in it. How's their offense going
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: to be? Because right now, Atlanta's offense has been as
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: pitiful as the Pittsburgh Steelers' offense. So... The books are
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: going to be huge Falcon fans. I wouldn't be shocked
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: if this one closes around six, maybe even a six
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: and a half, because they're going to be a really
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: popular bet on Thursday.
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: No, I agree with you. All right, let's roll into
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: some college. We got one taste on Friday Night Liberty Coastal.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: We won't touch that. When you get to your Friday
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: night games, I'm always looking. How about this one?
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't even call it an upset.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Clemson at Cal, 930 kick on the West Coast.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: Clemson won't play Georgia.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: In a non-conference game. They canned that one, them and
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: Georgia both. Cal is a one-point favorite. That total is
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: at 50-and-a-half. What do you think about Cal winning outright
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: in the under?
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: I mean, if you look at talent per talent, you
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: would think Clemson has the better talent on the football field.
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: But just because you have talent doesn't mean it can
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: play the game. How many times have we seen Miami,
• 5:42
  Speaker 3: we'll even put Florida State, having all this money of
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: transfers at NIL, and they just don't pan out.
• 5:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: I think the only team that's probably going to be
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: rooting for Clemson more is going to be LSU because
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: they need them to win games to be, hey, you
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: know what, we beat Clemson. If Clemson only has four
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: or five wins, then that win that LSU has in
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  Speaker 3: their game one of their football season really is nothing
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: because so far everyone else has beaten Clemson. North Carolina
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: should have won that game last week. I'm leaning towards Cal, but, man,
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: it's really hard to take a bet against Clemson because
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: I think North Carolina is better than Cal.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: No, I agree with you.
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: All right, let's roll into Saturday. 11 o'clock kick. Texas
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: at Tennessee. Texas is a five-point favorite on the road,
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: total of 56. I had a guest on out of
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: Louisiana today, and he brought some interesting nuggets that we
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: were just talking about this game in general. I didn't
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: realize Arch Manning has been putrid on the road as
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: a starting quarterback with Texas. Should have lost at Mississippi
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: State last year. They came back 17 down, won against
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: Kentucky by one to three. Lost to Georgia, got blown out.
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  Speaker 2: They didn't look good for three quarters against Ohio State.
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: They did get the win.
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  Speaker 2: Is the wrong team maybe favored here? Should this be
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: a pick-em?
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: I mean, if you throw Manning out to the side,
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: they still have a great run game. They still have
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: a really good offensive line. They still have a good
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: defense out there. I think what you said, his struggles
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: on the road, is the reason why this number is dropping.
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: It's going to open up at five and a half.
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: There's some four and a halves out there. So I
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: think this number continues to drop. I think Tennessee dog
• 7:16
  Speaker 3: money comes in. So if I get a better price
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: on the Longhorns, I'm probably going to jump on them.
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: Colorado is a 10-point dog at Baylor. That totals at 55.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: Is that line too hot?
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: It is, and I do the TMR live show for
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: the Colorado Buffs with Dion and Chico and stuff like
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: that every Tuesday afternoon. And I told them, you need
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: to play like you did Georgia Tech. You need to
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: keep this an under game, because if it's a high
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: scoring game, no disrespect to the Colorado Buff fans that
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: I do every Tuesday night that were bashing me in
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: the chat. Then you're going to get blown out if
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: it's an offensive game. You need this to stay under
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: type of football, old, maybe Big Ten type of football,
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: run the ball, control the line of scrimmage. Then I
• 7:58
  Speaker 3: think Colorado can keep this interesting, but I just think
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: Baylor has the more talent. Now Deion's kicking guys off
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: the team because they were laughing at the embarrassing loss.
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: Not a good place right now.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah, not a good place. Not a good place. Banning
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: the media, all the stuff that they're doing there.
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: Hey, Ohio State's a 27-point favorite, 11 o'clock kick against Illinois.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: That's a 53-and-a-half point total. Is that line too big
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: for Ohio State to cover?
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so. I think Illinois can, I don't
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: want to say make a game of it, but I
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: think make a game of it betting-wise. I can see,
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: you know, maybe Ohio State only winning by 20, 21
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: type of game. So I think Illinois is a live dog.
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: Are they a live dog to win? No.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: No, I would agree with you that. We're visiting with
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: Rafael Esparza. He's going to tell you where all you
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: can find him here in a bit as we come
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: through some of these games. Hey, Notre Dame's taking on Purdue.
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know that there will be any interest outside
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: of the Domers for this. 27-and-a-half, that totals at 58.
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: I think the first three weeks.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: They've hit a couple of these. They've missed one. Can
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: they cover the 27-and-a-half?
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: Hmm. I'm going to say no. This Purdue team is
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: one of the most eye-turning that I've seen so far.
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: I mean, I really like this quarterback. I really like
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: they've been playing defense. They can score. I kind of
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: like the over in this one. If you're Notre Dame,
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: you still need to put up a big number on
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: offense because you still need style points. And I think
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: Purdue can score on Notre Dame's defense. I kind of
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: like the over.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: And Iowa-Michigan, a 230 game.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Iowa, a five-point dog in the big house. This total,
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: maybe the lowest total all weekend, 38.5. Is Iowa going
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: to drag Michigan down into the mud and make them
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: play a 10-7 ballgame?
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Michigan needs to put up 20-plus points if they
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: want a comfortable win because if it's an ugly 14-13
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: type of game in the fourth quarter, then Iowa's a really,
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: really live dog. But I think if Michigan can score
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: 20-plus points, I think they win easily.
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: Let's go back to that Ole Miss-Florida game you referenced.
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: Could be the best game of the weekend, For Ole Miss,
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: I've circled this week for months because I said I
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: wanted to see how Ole Miss, loss or win, come
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: off the hangover. You won the big game. It's been
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: the big media buzz. Now it's Florida.
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: It's football.
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: You're going to the swamp, a place where it's tough
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: to go play. Ole Miss, a slight favorite. I'm looking
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: at Florida minus three Uh, totals at 59 and you,
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: you probably know this stuff. Uh, you got all these stats.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: Somebody told me on my show too, that, um, I
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: think the last 10 years, 20 years, when you see
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: a top 10 team go in and they're an underdog
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: on the road, they've lost those games. And some of
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: that might've come out of the big 12 or the
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: big 10, um, Ole Miss, are they in trouble here?
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: I think so, but it's all down to Florida. If
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: they can control the line of scrimmage, if they can
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: run the ball and keep Ohio State's offense shameless on
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: the sidelines, then yes, I think Ole Miss is in trouble.
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: If not, if Ole Miss can stop the run, which
• 10:54
  Speaker 3: I think Ole Miss did okay against LSU's run game,
• 10:57
  Speaker 3: if that's the case, then we're going to have a
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: nail-biter on this one. I think Florida can be able
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: to run the ball Man, just the fan list kid
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: was really impressive against LSU, especially in the fourth quarters.
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: I'm really high on him. But at the same time,
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: I'm really high on this Florida head coach that used
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: to be the Tulane head coach.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no, he's good.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: Summerall is very good. Speaking of being good, Boise's pretty
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: darn good. They're giving all the respect to Western Michigan.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: The Boise coach said, hey, they're undefeated in my mind.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: They won the game at Michigan. We're not taking them lightly.
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: Boise's a seven-point favorite.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: Totals at 50. Can Western Michigan take it into the fourth?
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah, this is not in a blue field. This is
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: in Western Michigan. So, yeah, I think this is going
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: to be a game Western Michigan can play. So this
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: is going to be very interesting. Yes, Boise State has
• 11:38
  Speaker 3: played some tough opponents. Don't forget, they had Oregon on
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: the ropes in week one. So I think this is
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: going to be a game. I can't wait to watch
• 11:46
  Speaker 3: this one. This is an exciting one.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: No, I like this one. That's an under-the-radar game.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: And speaking of games that won't fly under the radar, but, man, Oklahoma,
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: they are a 14-point dog at Georgia.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: That total is at 44.5.
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: John Mateer looks good coming off the bus. He looks
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: good on the poster. He looks good in pregame warm-ups.
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: He is not good on the field, or at least
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: he hasn't shown it yet. They can't score, and they've
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: got to go to Georgia and play. Could this be
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: a– I mean, could Georgia cover this? And I'd say easily,
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: but like 28-7. I think so.
• 12:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: I think so. He's a deer in headlights when he's
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: back there. And then you put pressure on him. He
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: looks– Jameis Winston looks better than him when you put
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: pressure in. How did Jameis Winston play on Monday night? So, yeah,
• 12:32
  Speaker 3: this is a reason. I thought Oklahoma was going to
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: be a surprise team in the SEC. I thought their
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: defense was going to be impressive. Man, I was totally,
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: totally wrong. And just like how– I need to apologize
• 12:43
  Speaker 3: right now for your show. I said Mississippi State would
• 12:46
  Speaker 3: lose against South Carolina. I apologize. I'm really, really impressed
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: with this quarterback you have at Mississippi State. I'm hoping
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: he stays there and that's transferred somewhere else where he
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: gets more money. But, boy, he was impressive. Hats off
• 13:00
  Speaker 3: to you, Mississippi State fans. I was wrong.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: Didn't you pick up Minnesota as well?
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: No, I had the under in that game.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Okay, you had the under in that game. All right,
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: we'll come back to that.
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: Hey, let me ask you this.
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: Why is nobody putting respect on Duke's name? They're the
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: ACC champs.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: They're undefeated.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: Now, they're going to kill William and Mary this week.
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't even play this one. 43 and a half
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: on the line, 62 and a half. But Duke is
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: getting zero respect this year.
• 13:25
  Speaker 3: Yeah. Because we're forced to talk about your SEC. We're
• 13:32
  Speaker 3: forced to talk about my Big Ten who keeps on
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: winning national championships. So, I mean, I think that's why
• 13:37
  Speaker 3: no one's talking. And then when we do talk about ACC,
• 13:39
  Speaker 3: we either want to make fun of Clemson or North Carolina.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah. Or, you know, Flex Miami.
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: We should be talking more about Virginia Tech, too. Virginia Tech, very,
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: very quiet. They've been very impressive.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: No, they have.
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: They have.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: All right, Vanderbilt gets by on a one-in-a-million shot. They
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: hit the lottery last week against NC State. They go
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: into Auburn coming off a loss against Florida. Auburn's a
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: nine and a half point favorite. That totals at 55.
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: That line feels too big for me for Auburn to cover.
• 14:08
  Speaker 4: It does.
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: I can see Auburn winning by center, but I feel bad.
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: Vanderbilt under total season wins is probably one of the
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: most popular bet all summer long. And I'm sure people
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: who bet the under really thought, OK, this one's going
• 14:20
  Speaker 3: to be a loss against NC State. And now you
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: have a W. So now you have to sweat. for
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: the whole rest of the season for Vanderbilt. So, I
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: like Auburn in this one. I don't think they cover.
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: I got them waiting by a touchdown.
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: So, Michigan, I saw a report today by Sports Business Journal.
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: They're publicly saying, hey, we got to put more money
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: into the program. Like, we want to be one of
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: the top spenders. We want to be in the game.
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: We'll see if they do that. They're a five-and-a-half point
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: favorite over Michigan State. That totals at 48-and-a-half. Do they
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: keep it rolling here?
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: One thing about Michigan State, this Fitzpatrick or Fitzgerald, He
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: plays defense. He played it in Northwestern. He always played
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: good defense, and they're going to play the same good
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: defense on Saturday. I wouldn't think Michigan State's going to
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: be a pushover because of how they play defense.
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: Oregon, you referenced them earlier. They look like absolute poo-poo
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: so far. They've got to go to the Coliseum. They're
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: a three-point favorite. It feels like the wrong team's favorite here.
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: Totals at 62. Will the real Oregon stand up, or
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: does Lincoln Riley get a signature win here and get
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: the boosters off his back?
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: But first of all, last week I said bet the
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: over in the Portland State-Oregon. It opened up at 67.5.
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: On your show, it was 69.5. It closed at 72.5,
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: and it didn't matter because they scored 88 points. So
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: I really want to take the over on this one
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: at 62.5 because, I mean, Boise State was able to score.
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: Oklahoma State put some points on them. USC's defense has
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: looked pretty good. If Oregon loses this game, they're done.
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: They're not going to be in a national championship talk anymore.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: USC wasn't in the talk to be a national champion
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: in the college football playoffs. So I think this is
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: a game that Oregon needs. I'm really looking to see
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: if this total drops. I want to play the over,
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: but 62 is such a big number.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no, it really is.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: Hey, Texas A & M' s got quarterback problems, offensive line problems.
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: They let Kentucky come into their own house and beat them.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: They go to LSU.
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: Both these teams are walking wounded. LSU minus eight and
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: a half. That totals at 52. What is the right play.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: On this one?
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: That the over would be, but they're all banged up
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: on both sides of the ball. So I don't know.
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: I think LSU wins this way. I can't believe I
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: gave two breaths of Texas A & M maybe being
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: back in college football, and they just laid a complete
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: egg to Big Blue Nation last week. So this is
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: probably the only time I'm actually going to be rooting
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: for LSU because I'm tired of Texas A & M
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: football talk. I'm tired of Nebraska football talk. I hope
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: they get crushed by 59-0.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: Let's get one more. We'll go to the NFL real quick.
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: Mississippi State, you referenced the Bulldogs. They play Missouri in Starkville.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: It'll be the best crowd and atmosphere they've had probably
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: since Dan Mullen brought Florida in there and Joe Moorhead
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: was there. Dogs are a six-and-a-half point favorite. Totals at 59.
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: State is 3-0 against the numbers so far this year.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Can they keep it up at home?
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: You have a lot of Mississippi State fans that watch
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: your show. The Bulldogs, they call in sometimes on your
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: show when I'm there. They have won both times that
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: I said they might lose or they will lose. Give
• 17:31
  Speaker 3: me Missouri on this one. I'm going to keep the
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: trend going. I'm going to take the Missouri Tigers to
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: win this game so the Bulldogs fans can be happy
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: with me on Wednesday, the next Wednesday.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they'll ask you to please never pick them if
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: they win on Saturday. All right, let's jump into some
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: NFL before we let you out of here. We've got
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: the Bengals at the Steelers. The Steelers are a three-and-a-half
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: point dog at home. I don't know what's going on
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: with Aaron Rodgers.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: Maybe it's age.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: That total is at 42-and-a-half.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: You like Joe Burrow, Joey B., or you like Aaron
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: Rodgers to bounce back here?
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: I thought the Bengals, if healthy and if their defense
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: were improved, they would win that division. I was not
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: sold on Baltimore Ravens coming into the season. They lose
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: last week. Pittsburgh's just awful. Their offense is awful. And
• 18:19
  Speaker 3: if he keeps on struggling, that's you, Aaron Rodgers, who
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: keeps on throwing every girlfriend and ex-fiancee underneath the bus.
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: If you can't bench him, if he gets hurt, it's
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: Mason Rudolph that's next. It's not like you have a
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: top rookie or first-year quarterback behind him. It's going to
• 18:35
  Speaker 3: be a long season in Pittsburgh if they don't turn
• 18:37
  Speaker 3: things around. And DK Metcalf keeps on dropping passes.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: I guess he's worried about falling off the end of
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: the earth since he's a flat earther.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: And that's him, not me. All right, we've got a
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: big one in the AFC.
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: Patriots, Jaguars. This is a 12 o'clock kick. Jags minus three.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Total at 45.
• 18:53
  Speaker 3: Man, New England, they're at the Super Bowl. And Drake
• 18:56
  Speaker 3: Mayne looks like sophomore slump is really– nipping him or something.
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: I'm sold. I'm not sold on why they're struggling, but
• 19:05
  Speaker 3: I'm going to take Jacksonville. They had Denver in the
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: ropes until after halftime and then Bo Nix, and they
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: were able to run the ball. I think Jacksonville bounces back.
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: Ravens are a slight favorite over Dallas, minus three and
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: a half in Big D. That totals at 53. Dallas
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: got the bounce back last week. They get two in
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: a row here.
• 19:24
  Speaker 3: I think the Saints were able to score pretty much
• 19:27
  Speaker 3: at will against their Baltimore defense and Cowboys offense is
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: pretty impressive. There's only one thing to look at this one.
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: I like the over. I mean, I really thought this
• 19:37
  Speaker 3: total would open up around 54 and a half 55.
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: So I think there's really good value. I think it's
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: going to be a high scoring Sunday night game.
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: And let's go ahead and let's get to the Monday
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: night game. Philly at Chicago, Caleb Williams getting clowned online
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: for what looks.
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: To be a hamstring injury.
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: Eagles are a five-point favorite on Monday night.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: That totals at 41.
• 19:57
  Speaker 3: That just tells you that the Bears have zero possibility
• 20:01
  Speaker 3: that Williams is going to play. Their backup has a
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: concussion protocol. I like the Eagles in this spot. And
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: I'm going to I'm not going to jump on Caleb
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: Williams' side, but I think the precautionary reason was, A,
• 20:13
  Speaker 3: the field was awful because of the weather. I think
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: that's why they took the card out and stuff like that,
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: because I think it was the weather and the field itself.
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: If it was a sunny day in Chicago, I don't
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: think they would have brought the card out. But I'm
• 20:27
  Speaker 3: going to give them a little bit of slack.
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: Sparza, tell everybody where to find you. And, of course,
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: they can find you with us tomorrow at.
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: 430 on The Drive. Yeah, you can find me tomorrow
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: at 4.30. You can find me on x at bsi.sports.
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: You can find me on Instagram at Rafael Esparza. And
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: you also can find me over at my bookie. Don't
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: forget to use the promo code patio. We just put
• 20:46
  Speaker 3: up some great boxing profits. Who Ryan Garcia is going
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: to fight next? If you like politics, I just revised
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: the Senate odds and the governor odds for November primaries.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: That's what I'm talking about.
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: Let's get to some political odds. Esparza, we'll talk to
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: you tomorrow. See you.
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: Take it easy.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: See you. Let's bring in Joseph.
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: Lissy and, of course, Sirius XM Satellite Radio. And you
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: can find him at Go4The2. Lissy, welcome in, brother.
• 21:11
  Speaker 4: How you doing? Doing well, Jake.
• 21:13
  Speaker 5: You got me after a gym night, so I got
• 21:16
  Speaker 5: the baseball hat on.
• 21:17
  Speaker 4: But I can't wait for week four. Let me just
• 21:20
  Speaker 4: say this.
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: I mean, week three was good, and we had some
• 21:23
  Speaker 5: upsets and crazy finishes. Vanderbilt and NC State. But these
• 21:27
  Speaker 5: are the games where... We're really going to see which
• 21:30
  Speaker 5: teams in both the Big Ten and SEC are contenders
• 21:33
  Speaker 5: or pretenders with about six or seven great games, and
• 21:37
  Speaker 5: I can't wait to see how it all plays out Saturday.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: Oh, yeah. Yeah, I can't wait for Saturday.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: It's going to be a fun, long– it's something about
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: a long Saturday, and I know you're probably just like me,
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: where you'll do a show probably or you'll come off
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: a show on a Friday, settle in on a Saturday,
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: and you're there until 10 or 11 o'clock at night,
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: and it's like we just can't get enough of it.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: College football is so fun.
• 21:58
  Speaker 5: Yeah, and I love the fact that that Texas-Tennessee game
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: is a noon kick. I mean, I hate night games,
• 22:05
  Speaker 5: and I know in historic Vegas they love it and.
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: All, and that's great. I get it.
• 22:09
  Speaker 5: I get certain atmospheres, but I don't want to see
• 22:11
  Speaker 5: every big game... played at a 7 or an 8
• 22:14
  Speaker 5: o'clock window. I used to love Keith Jackson growing up, 3.30 window.
• 22:19
  Speaker 5: Some of the biggest games, even when I was working
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: at ABC, was the 3.30 window. That was the prime
• 22:25
  Speaker 5: time window. It wasn't until obviously around like 2010, 2011,
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: that they really made a big push for that prime
• 22:33
  Speaker 5: time matchup. But give me the 3.30 window every day, especially.
• 22:37
  Speaker 5: I mean, when you talk SEC games, Like certain stadiums,
• 22:42
  Speaker 5: like even Death Valley, LSU, the Tigers play better at night.
• 22:46
  Speaker 5: But the way the shadows come in in Baton Rouge,
• 22:49
  Speaker 5: on the plains in Auburn when we get the Iron
• 22:52
  Speaker 5: Bowl at 3.30, 4 o'clock, I mean, it's just great.
• 22:55
  Speaker 5: I love the atmosphere at 3.30 in the SEC, and
• 22:58
  Speaker 5: that's what I miss, baby.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: No, I agree with you 100%.
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: All right, let's jump right into it. Let's go right
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: to that 11 o'clock game. Texas at Tennessee, Tennessee minus
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: five on the line, depending on where you shop it at.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: And the total is at 56. And I had a
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: guest on today, and I did not know this. He
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: said Arch Manning, he was out of ESPN Radio in
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: Baton Rouge, and we were just touching this game.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: He said Arch Manning.
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: Hasn't been good on the road. I mean, they had
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: to come back and beat Mississippi State last year down
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: by 17. They barely beat Kentucky, got killed by Georgia.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: This is not a tough place to go play in Knoxville.
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: No, it's I mean, you know, last year, Tennessee was
• 23:36
  Speaker 5: like mediocre at home.
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: They were four and three at home. They had a
• 23:39
  Speaker 4: couple of losses.
• 23:40
  Speaker 5: Vanderbilt and Oklahoma stand out at the end of the
• 23:43
  Speaker 5: regular season, typically under Joss Heupel. Even going back to
• 23:47
  Speaker 5: the days of Hendon Hooker, they've been a dominant home team.
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: You know, for the most part, they were over 800,
• 23:52
  Speaker 5: 900 winning percentage prior to last year. Last year, they
• 23:56
  Speaker 5: slipped off. And I agree with you about Arch. I've
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: said it. They were four and three straight up in
• 24:00
  Speaker 5: road environments. And you mentioned Ohio State. You mentioned Georgia.
• 24:04
  Speaker 5: And then Florida, where they were two and a half
• 24:06
  Speaker 5: point favorites. That line opened up in a similar weekend
• 24:10
  Speaker 5: at six and a half, similar to what we're seeing
• 24:12
  Speaker 5: at Tennessee. And then you mentioned the two overtime games
• 24:15
  Speaker 5: with Kentucky and Miss State. They win but don't cover.
• 24:18
  Speaker 5: They were two and five ATS last year. Again, yes,
• 24:22
  Speaker 5: I take that all into account. But I also take
• 24:24
  Speaker 5: into account the other aspect. which is Faison Brandon and
• 24:28
  Speaker 5: this offense are similar to where Arch and Texas were
• 24:31
  Speaker 5: last year. You have a quarterback that has all the athleticism,
• 24:35
  Speaker 5: all the hype, but he's still inexperienced. You know, go
• 24:39
  Speaker 5: back to the Georgia Tech game. What did he complete?
• 24:41
  Speaker 5: 11 of 21 or 11, 10 of 21 for 141 yards.
• 24:46
  Speaker 5: He doesn't have the best defense in this matchup. Now,
• 24:49
  Speaker 5: Texas will be without Hollywood Smothers, potentially, but I don't
• 24:52
  Speaker 5: think it matters. I mean, running back, as long as
• 24:54
  Speaker 5: the offensive line is opening up holes, it's one of
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: the most plug-and-play type of positions that you could get
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: in college and NFL action.
• 25:02
  Speaker 4: So not worried about that.
• 25:04
  Speaker 5: I just think that if the game falls on FaZe
• 25:06
  Speaker 5: and Brandon, I'm concerned. and both teams will want to
• 25:10
  Speaker 5: run the football, but I still think Texas has to
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: show it. Here's the thing. The line is fishy. Not
• 25:16
  Speaker 5: going to deny it, but also they instill the line
• 25:18
  Speaker 5: to make short bettors think, why is this line like that?
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: And this is the where's Waldo weekend. Don't dummy it down. Just, hey,
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: just untrain your eyes. Go with what you know, and
• 25:29
  Speaker 5: that's Texas to me, is the more complete team. Might
• 25:32
  Speaker 5: be close for a half, but I think they pull
• 25:34
  Speaker 5: away in the second half and cover this easy.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Totally agree. Totally agree with that.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: All right, so 38-and-a-half is the total for Iowa and Michigan.
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: Michigan has been– they got.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: The win over Oklahoma.
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: We'll get to Oklahoma here in a bit over in Georgia. But, man,
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: is Iowa going to pull them down in the mud
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: and play a 17-10 ballgame?
• 25:53
  Speaker 5: I think they have to, right? And then Phil Parker's
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: one of the best defensive coordinators. And think about last year,
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: four games. I think they lost all four, Jake, by 3.7
• 26:03
  Speaker 5: points per game. Now, granted, they had that fluke Fernando
• 26:07
  Speaker 5: Mendoza safety and whatever that was at the end of Indiana,
• 26:11
  Speaker 5: but they were still toe-to-toe with the Hoosiers in that matchup. And,
• 26:15
  Speaker 5: you know, defensively, You look at 66 rushing yards allowed,
• 26:20
  Speaker 5: only 119 passing yards allowed, plus three or four in
• 26:23
  Speaker 5: turnover margin and only 23, 24 percent third down defense.
• 26:28
  Speaker 5: And they're averaging 268 on the ground.
• 26:31
  Speaker 4: And they threw for 206, which is untypical of Iowa. Right.
• 26:35
  Speaker 5: So they got a little Hank Brown in the backups.
• 26:37
  Speaker 5: Kalinsky can sling it a little bit with that offense.
• 26:42
  Speaker 5: I don't believe in Bryce Underwood, big picture. I think
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: he's a great athlete. I still think he's an inconsistent quarterback.
• 26:47
  Speaker 5: He sort of reminds me. of Nico at Tennessee with
• 26:52
  Speaker 5: all the hype, all the, you know, we want to
• 26:55
  Speaker 5: see it and you see glimpses, but you never see
• 26:58
  Speaker 5: the big picture. And I'm just going to go with
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: the more methodical team on the road. I think both
• 27:03
  Speaker 5: teams could struggle. I think it's a lower scoring game,
• 27:06
  Speaker 5: but I still believe Iowa has the type of defense
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: to pull this out. And I'm going to go with
• 27:11
  Speaker 5: the five and a half points and I think they
• 27:13
  Speaker 5: win it on the money line as well.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: You mentioned Indiana and I just thought of something. Yeah.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: We haven't talked about Indiana. And I know they haven't
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: played anybody. And they just got two players through this
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: NCAA petition that are going to get back on this
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: roster that have been practicing. It's the quietest buzz of
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: a defending national champion that I've seen.
• 27:34
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and they play on Friday night. We're going to
• 27:36
  Speaker 4: see that game. It seems a little.
• 27:38
  Speaker 5: Not fishy, but by Indiana standards, they're 0-3 against the number,
• 27:42
  Speaker 5: and they play Northwestern coming off a dominating home win
• 27:45
  Speaker 5: over Colorado, right? So we're going to see that. I
• 27:48
  Speaker 5: agree with you. Again, you talk about, hey, is Indiana
• 27:52
  Speaker 5: going to be undefeated? Probably not. Maybe they're 10-2 or 11-1,
• 27:55
  Speaker 5: but they're going to be there. I tell you what,
• 27:58
  Speaker 5: if they don't win the Big Ten and it's an
• 28:01
  Speaker 5: at-large between Indiana or Oregon at this point, hands down,
• 28:05
  Speaker 5: I don't care if Indiana hasn't played anybody. I'm taking
• 28:08
  Speaker 5: the defending national champs because Oregon, to me, has more
• 28:12
  Speaker 5: holes and more question marks entering week four than any
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: other team, even outside of Oklahoma. I mean, you think
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: about the questions about this team is ridiculous. but I'm
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: with you. I think nobody's talking about Georgia either. And
• 28:25
  Speaker 5: I know they haven't played anybody. Arkansas was a layup,
• 28:28
  Speaker 5: you know, with KJ Jackson and Braylon Allen in that offense.
• 28:31
  Speaker 5: But I mean, entering that game, they were averaging 66.7
• 28:34
  Speaker 5: points per game. I mean, you know, I think this
• 28:37
  Speaker 5: is the biggest, you know, I still say most complete team.
• 28:42
  Speaker 5: I think if you're asking me, Georgia, Indiana, and you
• 28:46
  Speaker 5: want to throw one of the three in there. I
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: still think Texas, Ohio State maybe, but I think it's one, two.
• 28:52
  Speaker 5: I think Indiana and Georgia have a good argument at
• 28:56
  Speaker 5: this point.
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss is a three-point dog on the road at Florida.
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: That totals at 59.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: Can the Rebs, you know, come down off the clouds
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: here and play a football game?
• 29:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it's possible.
• 29:08
  Speaker 5: But here's the thing, though, Jake, and we're an SEC country,
• 29:11
  Speaker 5: so I.
• 29:12
  Speaker 4: Need to ask you. You would think, right?
• 29:15
  Speaker 5: Tell me if I'm wrong. I was wrong on the
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: Auburn game. I thought Byron Brown and Golich would step
• 29:20
  Speaker 5: up at home. But you would think from all these
• 29:23
  Speaker 5: Gator fans, Steve Spurrier coached that team last week, and
• 29:26
  Speaker 5: they won the Natty with Danny Werfel.
• 29:29
  Speaker 4: It's 1999. I mean, you would think the Gator fans,
• 29:32
  Speaker 4: and I understand. I get it.
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: After last year with all the optimism and Billy Napier
• 29:38
  Speaker 5: laying an egg. But, I mean, particularly, the brakes. Bear
• 29:42
  Speaker 5: Bryant didn't coach them last week. We're hearing it on Feinbaum, and, oh,
• 29:46
  Speaker 5: they missed out on Auburn, messed up. John Summerall, they
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: were going to get a quality win. They were supposed
• 29:53
  Speaker 5: to win that game at two-and-a-half-point favor. I'm not taking
• 29:57
  Speaker 5: away from John Summerall. They got their first road win
• 29:59
  Speaker 5: in over a year. That's a gutty win, and they
• 30:02
  Speaker 5: stepped up 243 on the ground. And Jaden Baugh's a
• 30:05
  Speaker 5: very good running back.
• 30:07
  Speaker 4: Again, that too.
• 30:08
  Speaker 5: I mean, we're anointing Jaden Baugh like he's Emmitt Smith
• 30:11
  Speaker 5: at this point in the season. I'm just saying, Gator fans,
• 30:13
  Speaker 5: pump the brakes a little bit. That being said, Jake,
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: you got the best player.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: Look.
• 30:20
  Speaker 5: Best player on the field is still Trinidad Chambliss. He's
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: a franchise guy. I don't care if Kiwan Lacy doesn't play.
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: I think this team is legitimately a top-five team. He
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: is the hands-down, him and Mensah, the best quarterback. I
• 30:37
  Speaker 5: don't care if the defense shows up and gives up
• 30:39
  Speaker 5: 300 yards rushing. He can have that team in the
• 30:42
  Speaker 5: game and covering that number by himself. Give me the Rebs.
• 30:46
  Speaker 5: I think they pull it out right. I think Florida's
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: maybe a good team, not an elite team.
• 30:51
  Speaker 4: I'll take the Rebs.
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: No, I agree with you. We're right on the same page.
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: All right, you mentioned Georgia. They took care of Arkansas.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: It was like a glorified scrimmage. They're a 14-point favorite
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: of Oklahoma. We've talked about John Mateer looking the part,
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: not being the guy.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know how Oklahoma scores.
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm trying to be funny.
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: No, I know. I'm with you. 109 rushing yards per
• 31:11
  Speaker 4: game on the ground.
• 31:12
  Speaker 5: I mean, how do you go on the road to
• 31:15
  Speaker 5: Athens with a defense that's holding opposing offenses to less
• 31:19
  Speaker 5: than three yards per rush? knowing how physical the defense is.
• 31:23
  Speaker 5: They got a rushing attack. They've rushed for over 200
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: in all three games this year. They are now 56-1
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: straight up, dating back to 2016. every time they rush
• 31:32
  Speaker 5: for over 200 against FCS and FBS opponents. The gutter
• 31:37
  Speaker 5: Stockton prior to last week, people say he's a game manager. Well,
• 31:41
  Speaker 5: if he continues at this pace, Jake, he's going to
• 31:44
  Speaker 5: set the completion percentage record that Bo Nix did at Oregon.
• 31:48
  Speaker 4: He was completing.
• 31:49
  Speaker 5: 87% of his passes heading into that game last week.
• 31:53
  Speaker 5: I mean, you know, give the guy a little props.
• 31:55
  Speaker 5: He's better than a game manager. I just, I'm with you. Look,
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: how does Oklahoma stay in the game? Have you listened
• 32:03
  Speaker 5: to the press conferences with Mateer? What happened to this guy?
• 32:06
  Speaker 4: No confidence.
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: I don't know what happened. He played better when he
• 32:11
  Speaker 5: hurt his thumb last year. I don't know what's going on, but.
• 32:15
  Speaker 5: I could only look dogs. It's not on like the
• 32:17
  Speaker 5: best bet, but it's Georgia or bust. I think Georgia
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: is on a mission to just steamroll everybody until late October, November.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: I agree with that.
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: You referenced Oregon. They're out in California this week or
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: this weekend, taking on USC at the Coliseum. It's a
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: big one for Lincoln Riley. It's a big one for
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: Dan Lanning. It's a three point spread. You know, at
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: this point I have, I have no, I have no
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: faith in Oregon. I have faith in Dan Lanning, but man,
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: it looks like, you know, they could be, walking into
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: a hornet's nest out there.
• 32:45
  Speaker 4: It is.
• 32:46
  Speaker 5: And so people like, you know, I couldn't bet the
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: game in Rutgers last week because it was Jersey.
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: Right.
• 32:51
  Speaker 5: But people were like, oh, they should kill Rutgers. And
• 32:54
  Speaker 5: I'm like, you know, pump the brakes a little bit.
• 32:56
  Speaker 5: They were just five and eight entering that game straight
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: up on the road or on a neutral field, you know,
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: heading over the past couple of seasons.
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: Right.
• 33:05
  Speaker 5: And they were last year 0-4-2 against the spread on
• 33:08
  Speaker 5: the road. So now they go into Rutgers, and Rutgers
• 33:12
  Speaker 5: has hosted Louisville. Back in the day, I was at
• 33:15
  Speaker 5: that game when they beat Bobby Petrino. But Michigan, Ohio State,
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: to have a West Coast team like– you could have
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: UCLA or Cal come in there, but to have USC
• 33:27
  Speaker 5: come to Piscataway, those kids from New Jersey take that
• 33:30
  Speaker 5: as like, you know, it's like old school. So they
• 33:32
  Speaker 5: were going to be up for that game and giving
• 33:35
  Speaker 5: them 24 and a half points in a primetime 330
• 33:38
  Speaker 5: matchup was just a bad spot for USC, especially with
• 33:42
  Speaker 5: a potential look ahead for Oregon. That being said, Lincoln Riley, right,
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: both coaches technically haven't won a big game. Lanning wins
• 33:50
  Speaker 5: in the regular season, can't really get it done in
• 33:52
  Speaker 5: the postseason. But Lincoln Riley at home, Jake, is 10-0
• 33:57
  Speaker 5: dating back to all last year. They've won in the
• 33:59
  Speaker 5: Coliseum by 24.8 points per game. That's what I know.
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: They are a much better home team than they are
• 34:06
  Speaker 5: on the road. I like King Miller. I like the
• 34:09
  Speaker 5: rushing attack. I think Maiava is a little bit more consistent.
• 34:12
  Speaker 4: And I like Harry Patterson with that defense.
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: I don't think it's the days of, you know, 2001
• 34:17
  Speaker 5: or 2003 with Pete Carroll, but I still think they're
• 34:20
  Speaker 5: good enough to force a turnover. I'm not sold on
• 34:23
  Speaker 5: Dante Moore. And you bring up Lanning. How does your
• 34:27
  Speaker 5: team come out flat when you're picked to win the
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: natty by multiple sources? You have a quarterback that foregone
• 34:36
  Speaker 5: the NFL draft and you come out flat and back
• 34:39
  Speaker 5: to back weeks against Boise and Oklahoma State.
• 34:43
  Speaker 4: They lose this game. They are they are potentially out
• 34:47
  Speaker 4: of the playoff. I'm sorry.
• 34:48
  Speaker 5: I know they would only have two losses and they
• 34:50
  Speaker 5: have pickup games, Ohio state, Washington, Michigan.
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: I get it.
• 34:54
  Speaker 5: But from a mentality perspective to have two losses before
• 34:58
  Speaker 5: you get into October, they could be dead and buried.
• 35:01
  Speaker 5: I'm taking USC.
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: No, again, we're right on the same page. And look, that's,
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: I mean, they could be, and they would be probably
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: dead and buried. They'd have zero room for margin.
• 35:10
  Speaker 4: Right. Can I ask you one question?
• 35:13
  Speaker 5: If they lose another game, let's say a 9-3 Oregon
• 35:17
  Speaker 5: team that has the Oklahoma State loss, the USC loss,
• 35:21
  Speaker 5: and we'll give them one of the big three, Ohio State, Michigan,
• 35:25
  Speaker 5: or Washington, right? If it's between them or an SEC
• 35:29
  Speaker 5: team or someone else in the Big 12, Are we
• 35:34
  Speaker 5: for sure that Oregon's getting that nod over anybody else
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: with that Oklahoma State loss?
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: No, not at all. Not at all.
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: The committee would have some work to do, but if
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: you took a 9-3 Alabama team that maybe had a
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: loss to.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: Georgia and their losses... I don't know that Oregon would
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: get that nod.
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think Oregon's in the same spot that Texas
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: was last year, where it looked good at home. But
• 35:57
  Speaker 5: if you don't have a quality road win under your belt,
• 36:00
  Speaker 5: you're not getting in. I mean, unless it's against a
• 36:03
  Speaker 5: top 10 opponent, where is the quality road victories? They're
• 36:08
  Speaker 5: similar to where Texas was last year, right? They said, oh,
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: we beat Vanderbilt, we beat this. But they got boat
• 36:15
  Speaker 5: raced by Georgia by 25, and that's why they didn't
• 36:18
  Speaker 5: get in last year.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: No, I agree with you.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and they have zero room for error if they
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: lose this week. Speaking of errors and zero room, Texas
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: A & M is down at LSU. Somebody's going to
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: take two losses. A & M has not looked good.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: They've had to replace a lot of offensive starters. Their
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: quarterback has not looked the best. I'd like LSU in
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: the home setting.
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: Jake, maybe I'm a homer. You know, I like A
• 36:42
  Speaker 5: & M. They've won two straight in the series. I'm
• 36:46
  Speaker 5: still not sold on this Blake Baker defense. I mean,
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: we talk about– I talked about mobile quarterbacks. Yeah, Trinidad
• 36:52
  Speaker 5: Chambliss statistically only had, what, two yards rushing? But at
• 36:55
  Speaker 5: the end of the day, he buried them when he
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: got outside the pocket, when he scored the touchdown. He
• 37:01
  Speaker 5: extended plays, keeping his eyes downfield. That's what happens when
• 37:05
  Speaker 5: you rush the kitchen sink away from the edge and
• 37:08
  Speaker 5: leave running lanes up the middle. And last year, Marcel
• 37:11
  Speaker 5: Reed abused them for a buck eight on the ground
• 37:14
  Speaker 5: and two touchdowns. Without Trey Des Green, I don't know.
• 37:18
  Speaker 5: I mean, both teams are coming off a loss. LSU
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: is supposed to win this game.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: They're at home.
• 37:24
  Speaker 5: This was the Brian Kelly game where he was fired
• 37:27
  Speaker 5: after this game last year, right?
• 37:29
  Speaker 4: I just go back to this.
• 37:31
  Speaker 5: Texas A & M with the defensive coach, if we're
• 37:33
  Speaker 5: talking both teams to get up, It's going to be
• 37:36
  Speaker 5: Elko on the defensive adjustments, right? He's going to make
• 37:39
  Speaker 5: sure his defense is tight in this game. And that's
• 37:43
  Speaker 5: where I lean to A & M. I don't love
• 37:45
  Speaker 5: Marcel Reed. I don't love Sam Levitt. But Reed can run.
• 37:49
  Speaker 5: And I know LSU can't stop mobile guys. So I'm
• 37:52
  Speaker 5: going to take the points.
• 37:54
  Speaker 4: But again.
• 37:56
  Speaker 5: it wouldn't shock me if LSU pulls it out. They're
• 37:58
  Speaker 5: supposed to pull it out though. This is why you
• 38:01
  Speaker 5: come from, this is why the $ 91 million guy is
• 38:05
  Speaker 5: in bad. If he can't win this game, they're going
• 38:08
  Speaker 5: to be saying what happened, right?
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: Two losses for him too.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no, you're right.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's a lot of pressure on him and
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: nobody's going to want to hear his excuses like he's
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: done this week of, you know, saying, Hey, you know,
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: if we would have played Ohio state and if anybody
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: be criticized at a comeback.
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: So yeah. I just want to.
• 38:25
  Speaker 5: Be– the fans in Miss State hate me anyway, so
• 38:28
  Speaker 5: hang on. Is the week one win over Clemson more
• 38:34
  Speaker 5: indicative of LSU or watching Clemson struggle with NC, knowing
• 38:39
  Speaker 5: how bad or mediocre they might be? I think that's
• 38:43
  Speaker 5: the biggest concern that LSU fans don't want to embrace
• 38:46
  Speaker 5: right now.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: No, I agree.
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: I agree because Clemson looks awful, absolutely awful. And they
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: may lose to Cal. What do you think?
• 38:53
  Speaker 5: I think they will. I think they got the better quarter.
• 38:56
  Speaker 5: Third down offense, 20% for Chad Morris. Tate Reynolds does it.
• 39:01
  Speaker 5: Tate Reynolds, that's a sneaky play. It's a 10-30 kick.
• 39:04
  Speaker 4: It's in Berkeley.
• 39:05
  Speaker 5: Tate Reynolds is going to have to put up 250
• 39:07
  Speaker 5: through the air to match JKS. And Saga Politelli's eight touchdowns,
• 39:12
  Speaker 5: two interceptions, 66% completion percentage. People were selling them at
• 39:17
  Speaker 5: the six and a half win total. They could be
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: a seven or an eight win football team. I like
• 39:22
  Speaker 5: Lou point.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: Not into speaking to Mississippi state.
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: They're going to hate me. Watch this.
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: Let's let's see if you give them more reasons to hate.
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: I will.
• 39:32
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: So they get Missouri Taylor. You know, he's talking to
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: town or coast to coast right now.
• 39:37
  Speaker 4: Right.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: Missouri's good. Eli drink. What's his good.
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: They've got a good quarterback in Austin Simmons. I'm going
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: to take it that you're going with the Tigers.
• 39:45
  Speaker 5: I am going with the Tigers. Here's the thing. I'm
• 39:47
  Speaker 5: not taking away from the two road wins. Unbelievable second half.
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: And I'll say this, you know, Beamer should be called
• 39:54
  Speaker 5: out because South Carolina should have really been up 30
• 39:56
  Speaker 5: to nothing in the first half. You know, Miss State
• 39:59
  Speaker 5: played terrible in the first half, but South Carolina didn't
• 40:03
  Speaker 5: capitalize in red zone opportunities either. That's how bad Lenora
• 40:06
  Speaker 5: Sellers and the play calling was. inside the 20-yard line
• 40:10
  Speaker 5: to allow them to only build a 16-0 first half lead.
• 40:13
  Speaker 5: Kamario Taylor, unbelievable, one of the most electric young quarterbacks. Again,
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: they've done a great job. Here's the concern. They're still
• 40:24
  Speaker 5: a young team, Bama's on deck, and now they have
• 40:27
  Speaker 5: all this optimism, they have all this media hype. How
• 40:30
  Speaker 5: does the team handle it? I'm not saying potentially... I
• 40:34
  Speaker 5: just think it's a letdown spot. Missouri is only five
• 40:38
  Speaker 5: and six under Drinkwitz in road environments, but Austin Simmons
• 40:42
  Speaker 5: didn't play in the Egg Bowl last year. He's got
• 40:44
  Speaker 5: an opportunity, right, with Missouri.
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: This is it.
• 40:47
  Speaker 5: This is your shot. Kamario Taylor scored the touchdown. He's
• 40:51
  Speaker 5: in Missouri. He could go up against the Egg Bowl
• 40:54
  Speaker 5: and miss state here. I just think that Missouri's defense,
• 40:57
  Speaker 5: 28% third down defense. They're still running the football. Buck
• 41:02
  Speaker 5: 73 on the ground. without Hardy. And that's another story.
• 41:05
  Speaker 5: The kid might not come back at all this year.
• 41:07
  Speaker 5: It's a shame, you know, he might sit out, but
• 41:09
  Speaker 5: I still think they have enough in the tank to
• 41:11
  Speaker 5: keep it within the five and a half.
• 41:13
  Speaker 4: And it wouldn't shock me if they do strike the upset.
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: This is it.
• 41:17
  Speaker 5: If they win this game, miss state and cover fans
• 41:20
  Speaker 5: can hate me. I'll be on the, I'll be on
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: the bulldogs against Alabama.
• 41:25
  Speaker 4: When Keelan Russell comes to town next week.
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: Hey, let's bow it, put a bow on it with
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: that one, Alabama gets South Carolina and you know, Shane Beamer, uh,
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: If they play poorly, fans are going to start groaning.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: They're really going to start groaning.
• 41:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 41:38
  Speaker 5: I mean, you have a Heisman. Somebody said this to me,
• 41:41
  Speaker 5: and how true is this? Kamario Taylor is playing the
• 41:45
  Speaker 5: way Lenora Sellers was hyped up to play, right, throughout
• 41:50
  Speaker 5: his first couple of seasons. Two years ago, when Lenora
• 41:52
  Speaker 5: Sellers almost abused him and Rocket Sanders against LSU, it
• 41:56
  Speaker 5: was like, we need this guy. Then you see the
• 41:59
  Speaker 5: Texas A & M first half. They're like, where is
• 42:01
  Speaker 5: this guy the whole season? Then you put on the
• 42:03
  Speaker 5: game last week, I need South Carolina. Guy can't even run.
• 42:06
  Speaker 5: He can't throw. It was amazing how pathetic he was.
• 42:10
  Speaker 5: And then on top of it, the interceptions to give
• 42:13
  Speaker 5: Miss State the double-digit lead.
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: Crazy.
• 42:16
  Speaker 5: Beamer is on the hot seat. I don't see any
• 42:19
  Speaker 5: in-game adjustments from him. It's amazing coming from a legendary
• 42:23
  Speaker 5: head coach. His teams only win when the game plan
• 42:26
  Speaker 5: works from the start of the game to the end.
• 42:29
  Speaker 5: When teams make adjustments like they did against A &
• 42:31
  Speaker 5: M in the second half, he doesn't have an answer.
• 42:34
  Speaker 5: He's like the Mike McDaniel of college football. That being said,
• 42:38
  Speaker 5: they've covered five straight against Bama, but the fact that
• 42:41
  Speaker 5: Bama's running the football now, and look, Florida State needed
• 42:45
  Speaker 5: that game.
• 42:46
  Speaker 4: I was on Florida State.
• 42:47
  Speaker 5: They pushed the limit, but I don't see Lenora Sellers
• 42:51
  Speaker 5: throwing Ashton Daniels' ass 377 and Deuce Robinson and Nick
• 42:56
  Speaker 5: Carver in that offense anymore. duplicating what Florida State did.
• 43:00
  Speaker 5: I thought it was the great spot. I think Alabama
• 43:02
  Speaker 5: rebounds and crushes them by 20 or more.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: I agree.
• 43:06
  Speaker 5: I agree.
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: We're on the same page on just about everything this week. Hey,
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: I know you've got a busy week. Tell everybody where
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: to find your work. I know you guys are going
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: to be working hard through the week.
• 43:13
  Speaker 5: Yeah, so Coach Fountain and I do the podcast. That'll
• 43:16
  Speaker 5: be up on Friday night with all the picks. That's
• 43:19
  Speaker 5: on FanStream Sports. I do the show Crossing Lines every Wednesday.
• 43:25
  Speaker 5: That's part of what Jeff Nadeau and Donnie Rightside. And
• 43:29
  Speaker 5: then I do Saturday morning, me and the algorithm, the
• 43:33
  Speaker 5: model versus the encyclopedia, up on YouTube, up on X,
• 43:37
  Speaker 5: me and three check bets.
• 43:38
  Speaker 4: It's a great show.
• 43:40
  Speaker 5: You know, site, because if you like stats and Ken Palm,
• 43:44
  Speaker 5: they have everything free access.
• 43:45
  Speaker 4: It's great. Joseph.
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: Appreciate you, brother. We'll do it again next week. Enjoy
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: the weekend.
• 43:49
  Speaker 4: Yeah. I love the show. Jay. Good luck this week.
• 43:52
  Speaker 4: Talk soon. All right.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: Thank you, brother. Appreciate it.
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: Joseph Lissy. Make sure to get him on X at
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: go for the two. And, uh, you can follow him there. Let's, uh,
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: get into some high school football real quick as, uh,
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: and let me see if I can do this real quick.
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: And I did not save that outright. Uh, And that's
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: why when you produce your own show like this, you
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: miss things. So, Joseph, sorry about that. Let's go ahead
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: and cut that off. All right, let's jump into some
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: high school football real quick. We've got some big games
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: around the state of Mississippi. Brandon 3-1 at Starkville 4-0.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: This is going to be one of the bigger ones
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: in the state.
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: Brandon Shields has Starkville picked to win 24-21. That game
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: may not hit mid-20s with the way these two teams
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: play defense and they're going to run the football. Madison
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: Central 2-2 at Warren Central. Madison Central needs a win,
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: but Warren Central is really good. Warren Central gets the
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: nod here, 31-28. Oxford at Grenada. Oxford at 3-1. Grenada 3-0.
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: Oxford gets the win, 35-20. They bounce back after a
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: loss to Tupelo. Knoxville County 4-0 at Louisville 2-2. Louisville's
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: played a tough schedule.
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: I like Louisville.
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: Shields likes Louisville to win 30-16. Poplarville 4-0 at Picayune.
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: Big rivalry game between these two each and every year.
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: Poplarville gets the better of them, though, 34-24. Morton 4-0
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: at Raleigh this week. Raleigh should get the win against Morton.
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: Morton's going to press, but Raleigh should do four quarters,
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: come out on top, 30-20. Heidelberg at Leak. Heidelberg at 2-1,
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: Leak at 4-0. Heidelberg is the favorite here, 32-26. Hattiesburg
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: 2-2 at Meridian 2-2. Tony Vance gets to take on
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: his old team at Hattiesburg. Hattiesburg, though, the better team, 27-21.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: Summerall at Pearl River Central.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Summerall 4-0.
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: At Pearl River Central. This would be a good one
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: in South Mississippi. PRC, pick to win, 35-21. And Tri-County
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: at Leak Academy. Tri-County, pick to win, 31-28. And I
• 45:46
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  Speaker 2: Make sure to get over to thezone1059. com and click the link.
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• 46:11
  Speaker 1: MyBookie when you get in today. All right, we're out tonight.
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: We've been on almost 50 minutes, so we appreciate you guys.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: Make sure to share the show.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: Like me on X, also on Facebook and YouTube. Remember,
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: ketchup is king. Bacon's a delicacy.
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: Aloha means goodbye.
• 46:27
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• 46:33
  Speaker 2: Have a great night.
• 46:34
  Speaker 4: Good night.