Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 15 Gambling Picks, Do or Die, Windows are Open, In The Green

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NFL Week 15 Gambling Picks, Do or Die, Windows are Open, In The Green · Three For The Money

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the planet for sports betters. The box behind
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me I don't know if you can hear that or not but
1:05
all right well forget I mentioned it but it's
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week 15 of the NFL season and and it's it's where
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it's it's it's coming down to the wire there's
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not really a lot of football left so the only
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way to treasure these last remaining few weeks
1:26
of a full slate of football is is to bet bet
1:30
at all take all of the games we're not doing
1:34
that or at least i'm not but we are talking about
1:36
a number of games this week um But first, let's
1:41
talk about last week. So last week, I went four
1:43
and three and I lost my surefire pick. But shout
1:46
out to you guys for the Jags Moneyline pick because
1:50
I double dipped in that game. It ended up going
1:53
over. But that Jags Moneyline really helped me
1:57
out. So shout out them. Shout out Daniel Jones
2:02
for getting horribly injured. But but yeah, so
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four and three lost a surefire So I'm only like
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a little bit in the red from last week not too
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bad I guess I might be in the in the green because
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I also put out the The Chargers money line, which
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I mean I didn't get it. We didn't give that out
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on the show, but I want to count it because I
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want to be in the green so It counts. You're
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100 % counting. It counts. Then I'm in the green.
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Doesn't matter, baby, kaboom. Yes, the Chargers
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managed to squeak that one out by the hair of
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their chinny chin chin. I didn't watch the end
2:51
of that game, but it worked out. So doesn't matter,
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baby, kaboom. Chris, what about you? How was
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last week? Last week was a lot of fun. Went eight
3:03
and three. Uh, one of my surefire and, and one
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of the easiest surefire wins that I've ever had
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in the history of this program. Um, the Seahawks
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just molly walked the Falcons. Um, yeah, it was
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a lot of, a lot of fun. Had a couple plus money
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winners with the Jags and then also the Chargers,
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which were, was even money, but still had a plus
3:25
sign next to it. So I'm counting as plus money.
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Um, yeah, a lot of fun. Eight and three. Roll
3:31
it into this week. Um, and fuck it. Why not the
3:34
rest of the season? So yeah. Um, pretty pumped
3:36
for this week. Sean, how'd you do five and two
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and the picks I gave out sure fire winner. Um,
3:45
bears lost by the hook. Fuck Joe burrow. Um,
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bills had that cover all day, but they just let
3:54
him do whatever they wanted. Um, me and the boys
3:58
went to the bar though ended up betting puka
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td and that cash like 10 minutes after i placed
4:04
it so that was tight um also ended up taking
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my home's interception later that night uh thanks
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to our buddy in the group chat um and that wasn't
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the only he threw but that was plus 105 i think
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so not a bad sunday um i did fall asleep before
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the eagles chargers game last night Um, yeah,
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it fell asleep at like six, but I saw some replays
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and shout out James P Sullivan, dude. Did y 'all
4:34
see that? He had like a career game. Four interceptions.
4:39
That's crazy. He sounds like a civil war general.
4:44
James P Sullivan, Sully from Monsters Inc. Like
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that you had, I'm not gonna lie. Yeah, I've totally
4:56
forgot about that. You had my mind in a blend.
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I was like, did some chargers DVF for? No, they
5:04
were doing like the Disney broadcast. Yeah. Yeah.
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Yeah. I monsters in characters and yeah, I get
5:09
that now. I thought that was funny. But it was
5:14
like, it was just snagging it four times. It's
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hilarious. I thought it was funny. Yes, it was
5:23
quite silly how they kept mentioning the Disney
5:26
broadcast during the regular broadcast, which
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have been proven to create some very memorable
5:33
moments in the past few years. So why wouldn't
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you? Anyway, moving on, it's week 15. We're talking
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about like six games. We're talking about exactly
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six games. And then others if we decide to bet
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them. But the first game Divisional matchup.
5:53
I think a lot of these are divisional matchups
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I Mean like half of them. I don't know whatever
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Bill's Patriots the Patriots are home underdogs
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by a point and a half over under is 50 and a
6:07
half and I'm not gonna front this game has my
6:12
brain in a mental mental torture chamber right
6:15
now It feels like the Bills can score at will
6:20
Um, but am I just thinking that because they
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played the Bengals and their defense stinks.
6:27
And like that game went way, way over in it for
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a snow game, which is incredible. You don't really
6:33
see that a lot. Um, and so, but the Patriots
6:37
are like, I mean, they're, they have the best
6:39
record in the NFL, but they played like no one
6:42
except the bills. Uh, and it's, uh, it's, it's,
6:45
it's really weird. It's, and I'm also, it feels
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like there's just going to be more snow. Because
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it's it feels a bit early in the season. I didn't
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look this up at all I probably should have It
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feels a bit early in the season to have these
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snow games. So which makes me think that there's
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just going to be more snow Which then puts my
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brain in in the mode it it's very reminiscent
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of that Bill's Patriots game like Two or three
7:14
years ago when when when Bill Belichick was still
7:17
the coach and he just ran it up the middle the
7:20
entire game. And they couldn't stop them. And
7:26
the Patriots won that game, even though the Patriots
7:28
sucked that year. So it's I don't know. I don't
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know. I have an idea of what I want to pick.
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But I also don't. So I want to hear from from
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Sean, what do you think about this game? You're
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muted. First impression, I want to take the Patriots
7:49
here. home dogs. But I really think the best
7:52
play is the over at 49 and a half. Buffalo's
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defense is just dog duty, absolute cheeks. They
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just kind of let Joe Burrow do whatever he wanted
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to last week. Since he put up 25 first downs
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in average six yards per play. That's not just
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bad. That's like Drake. Drake may may might actually
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have a day bad and like this is like also but
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If the pets, you know get up Josh Allen is gonna
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go full god mode again and in the best way possible
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and This is just kind of like where he plays
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like a few football. I'm scoring every drive
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You never know when it's coming, but when it
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hits its points points, points, they're just
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flooding the board. I understand divisional games
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can get ugly. They can be slow. These these still
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these teams are still fighting for the AFC East
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and both offenses have juice. Buffalo if Buffalo
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gets role in New England have to answer even
9:06
by accident. And I did look up the weather as
9:10
you mentioned it. Clear skies gonna be a beautiful,
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beautiful Sunday in Foxboro. It will be a high
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of 31 degrees, but that's pretty normal for these
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two teams. Also, I've got receipts from our friends
9:27
at the Turen Center. Patriots at home with rest
9:30
advantage. Overs since 2012. 21 -4 -1 all time.
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9 -1 in the last 10. Funny enough, the most recent
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win was against the Bills. And also, there's
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another one. Bills with rest. disadvantage over
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since 2008, 31, 18 and two all time six, three
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and one in the last 10. Uh, so bad defenses,
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a QB that can just break the game open by himself
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to our offenses, fighting division, historical
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trends, screaming for points. It's points, points,
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points over 49 and a half. Chris, what you got?
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Um, well, first I'll say, um, I'm going to double
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dip with the over, but I'm also taking the bill's
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money line. Uh, New England can't win them all,
10:17
right? Like they have to lose at some point.
10:22
You think so? And like you said, they haven't
10:25
played a good team since the bills bills got
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to be looking for advantage. And I know it's
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like the oldest cliche in sports. It's hard to
10:33
be a team twice. I think it's even harder when
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the other team is really fucking good like the
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bills are. I think the bills get revenge here.
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I think they win and Yeah. Like we mentioned,
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uh, the, I know that Buffalo defense is terrible.
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New England has the worst red zone defense in
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the NFL dead last. So, um, that's awesome. I
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think, uh, yeah, that's great for the over great
10:56
for the bills. Um, also stat from our friend
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at trend center friends at trend center. Um,
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in the last 36 years, big ass sample size when
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a team with Um, a worst winning percentage is
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favored. They are 40, 12 and one against the
11:18
spread when the total is more than 35 and a half.
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Obviously this total is way more than 35. Um,
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yeah, I like the bills on the money line. It's
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only, I think it's minus one on most books right
11:30
now. So I'm just going to take, don't want to
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mess with that. Um, yeah, give me a money line.
11:34
Also remember that trend for later in this episode.
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Spoiler may not spoiler tease. I believe in the
11:41
biz what they call it. So yes bills moneyline
11:43
and also adding the over Willie P what you taken
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I'm on the over You guys both made a very convincing
11:51
argument It and that that was it was either gonna
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be Patriots or the over I just couldn't Just
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couldn't put it together so thank you, but yeah
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the over it's It just feels kind of right. I
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mean, I don't think the Patriots have a bad defense.
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I think it's very middle of the road. I did not
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know that the Patriots have the worst red zone
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defense. Very, very, very good worth noting,
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I would say. That's kind of all I got. Yes, Chris.
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I just want to add something to that. It's a
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pretty key factor. It's after week 13 and on.
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That's a yeah late in the season. Um, yeah, I
12:40
like that. So I needed to throw that in because
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that's obviously a big parameter. So yes. Okay.
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All right. Moving on, uh, another divisional
12:51
matchup, the Ravens at the bangles, uh, the bangles
12:55
lost a shootout in the snow against the bills.
12:58
Like we kind of just went over, um, the Ravens,
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um, that game went over. surprisingly, when I
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really, really needed it to go under. But it's
13:12
the Ravens just feel like not a good team right
13:16
now. And I don't know what's going on. They just
13:20
it feels like they just can't put it together.
13:23
Also, they're six seven. The Bengals are home
13:27
dogs by two and a half. And the over under is
13:30
52 and a half. At the risk of sounding like a
13:34
dumb dumb right now, I'm gonna take the Bengals
13:36
plus two and a half here. I feel like this is
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kind of the move honestly, like the Ravens, you
13:43
don't really know who they are right now. And
13:45
at this point in the season, you gotta know who
13:48
you are. And based on what we know about them,
13:52
I don't think they're gonna make the playoffs.
13:54
It's not gonna be good for them. And so it's...
13:58
It's like it's it's the Bengals, you know, we
14:01
know that they can score We know that they can
14:03
score pretty much at will right now the past
14:07
couple of weeks and the Ravens not so much their
14:10
defense Thought they were putting it together
14:12
for a little bit and then I don't know the the
14:16
groundhog went back in the hole. I Don't know.
14:18
I don't have another saying for that, but I'm
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going Bengals plus two and a half. It's a divisional
14:23
dog at home, so I'm hoping that bodes well for
14:27
me. Uh, Chris, what do you think? Uh, over 51
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and a half. Um, uh, we touched on, or you said
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Bengals played in a shootout last week. I think
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it's another one. Um, I took the under last time
14:39
these two teams played on Thanksgiving. It w
14:42
it hit, but that easily could have gone over,
14:45
uh, Lamar Jackson at three pretty crucial turnovers.
14:48
One, I believe in the red zone or at least in
14:49
Bengals territory when they're driving. I don't
14:52
think the Bengals can force three more turnovers
14:54
again. So yeah, give me the over. I just, both
14:58
these defenses suck. And the QBs, while, yes,
15:03
Lamar and the Ravens offense is not good right
15:06
now, he still has the talent to torch a bad defense.
15:09
So yeah, over 51 and a half. The total has gone
15:11
over in six of the last seven times these two
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teams have played. Obviously, that one being
15:16
last two weeks ago, three weeks ago, whenever,
15:19
Thanksgiving. So yeah, over 51 and a half for
15:22
me. Sean, will you take it? Ravens just look
15:28
off right now. Oddmakers have them at two and
15:32
a half point favorites. I kind of failed to see
15:36
why, especially on the road. Baltimore just lost
15:41
to a geezer with a broken wrist while the Bengals
15:44
just put up 34 on the Bills and at one point
15:48
led, but pretty much went toe to toe, score to
15:52
score with the Bills. I don't really get why
15:55
this market values the Ravens this much. But
16:00
my biggest issue isn't with the full game. I
16:03
think it's just how Baltimore starts. They've
16:06
been brutal in the first half. So I will be taking
16:10
Ravens team total first half under 13 and a half.
16:14
They are just one in 12 in their first half season
16:18
or team totals this season. The worst. the NFL
16:23
by an entire mile Even if you go back to last
16:27
season They are just five and eight in this spot.
16:31
So they like to start slow. They just really
16:34
it it's not a fluke I mean, honestly, this is
16:37
just how they do. It's just like they cannot
16:39
Get out of their own way in the first half. They
16:43
have to figure it out But yeah, give me the Ravens
16:46
team total first half under 13 and a half Kind
16:49
of greasy, but I love it All right Gotcha. All
16:55
right moving on next game another divisional
16:59
matchup the Chargers at the Chiefs the Chiefs
17:02
are also six seven The Chiefs are favored by
17:06
four and a half. Listen, it's right there. This
17:08
is the only week I get to say this The Chiefs
17:13
are Favored by four and a half points and the
17:16
over under is forty one and a half The Chargers
17:19
squeaked one out against the Eagles But the Chargers
17:23
it feels like they're just beat up which is pretty
17:26
common for them the past couple of years, so
17:30
the Chiefs look bad Going up against the Texas
17:35
defense, you know, it's great defense, you know,
17:39
but at the same time it that last game kind of
17:44
just felt like everything that used to go the
17:48
chief's way went the opposite. Like a drop here,
17:53
a drop there, a call. Like nothing's nothing's
17:57
really really kind of kicking for him right now.
18:00
And the I think the window is still kind of open
18:04
for them to make the playoffs. As crazy as that
18:08
sounds. But it's Very it's very tight window.
18:13
It's very tight window The chiefs being favored
18:16
by four and a half It doesn't feel right to me
18:22
I Will I'll I'll let Chris do it John. Oh, yeah,
18:28
I want to go first cuz I got some things to say
18:31
okay, I Hate this game. I hate this matchup.
18:35
I don't want to pick a side I don't want to pretend
18:38
like there's even a side to pick I don't have,
18:41
I don't have a pick for this. I just kind of
18:43
want to talk this out. This is just like the
18:47
Chiefs worst season since Mahomes, in the Mahomes
18:52
era. And they're still sniffing the playoffs.
18:56
That's crazy. In their last 10 games, the Chiefs
19:00
have been favored nine times, despite how bad
19:04
they've looked. They are three and six against
19:08
the spread in those games. And in their last
19:12
26 games, Kansas City is just 9 -17 against the
19:17
spread, losing five straight. They've just lost
19:22
five straight. Yet, they still have an 11 % chance
19:26
to make the postseason, which terrifies me because
19:31
this is like right when you think that they're
19:34
cooked. This is when Mahomes goes full supervillain.
19:40
So I did find this stat for when my homes throws
19:44
for under 200 yards The Chiefs bounce back the
19:48
very next game They are 11 and 4 against the
19:51
spread and teams facing the Chiefs on short rest
19:56
They are 4 and 19 straight up 8 and 15 against
20:02
the spread the Cowboys were one of the few teams
20:04
that actually beat them Outright in this spot
20:08
on Thanksgiving But let's let's flip it to the
20:13
Chargers real quick who are nine and four coming
20:16
off an OT win against the Eagles Sounds kind
20:21
of cute, you know, they beat the Eagles until
20:24
you like look at who they played they played
20:26
the Raiders the Jags who smacked him Steelers
20:31
which I guess you could make a case for now that
20:33
they're leading the division Titans and Vikings
20:38
That Vikings game was when Carson Wentz got hurt.
20:41
So yeah, they're winning but it's just cupcakes
20:44
and chaos at this point and Justin Herbert as
20:50
an underdog is straight money 16 12 and 1 against
20:55
the spread isn't as a dog 12 and 6 on the road
21:01
or neutral site and When he's a dog of three
21:04
or more. He is just he is 12 6 and 1 And if you
21:08
push it to three and a half, four, he's 11 and
21:11
two against the spread. So this game is my nightmare.
21:17
Chiefs can't cover, but bounce back after bad
21:19
performances, my home's on short rest is deadly.
21:24
Chargers might be fake good, who knows, but Herbert
21:28
as a dog is elite. These are two teams I do not
21:32
trust facing each other with trends saying bet
21:35
the Chargers. but also don't piss off my homes.
21:42
What Chris, what are your thoughts after just
21:46
my insane ramblings here? Because I have no idea
21:50
what to take in this game. I mean, I kind of
21:54
like I get what you're coming from, especially
21:56
like picking a side. I don't want to do that,
21:59
so I'm not taking under 42 and a half. Neither
22:03
offense is good. Obviously the Chiefs offensive
22:05
struggles have been. well -documented. The Chargers
22:09
offense is also just, I mean, not really their
22:12
fault, their hurt, but it's bad. It's not like,
22:16
I know they won that game against the Eagles.
22:18
They did not look good. Jaylen Hertz, on offense,
22:22
they did not look good. Hertz had four turnovers
22:24
in regulation, including two on the same play,
22:27
and they still barely won in overtime. That offensive
22:33
line is Swiss cheese. Herbert has no time back
22:36
there. They can't run the ball at all unless
22:39
it's Herbert running for his life. Uh, I think
22:42
chief's going to be able to get after him. She's
22:44
had a really good defense at home. Mentioned
22:45
that last week and they, defense played fine.
22:49
Not, I know they allowed 20 points, but they
22:51
played well enough to keep it under. So yeah,
22:54
going back to well under 42 and a half, a late
22:56
season divisional game. These are usually tight,
22:58
usually low scoring. So yeah, I struggle to see
23:02
them scoring more than six touchdowns in this
23:04
game. Under 42 and a half Will you got anything?
23:09
I'm also on the under. All right, let's go it
23:12
the chiefs. I mean putting it together on offense
23:15
for them is seems very Not great for for for
23:21
them in these past few weeks and The Chargers
23:25
they're they're beat up. I think they're they've
23:28
had they were talking on the on the broadcast
23:31
about how many offensive line combinations that
23:34
they've had. And it's just a tremendous amount.
23:38
Oh, yeah, that's all. And so they're both feels
23:43
like both of these teams are going to really
23:45
lean on the run in this game. And it's going
23:50
to be cold in Kansas City. You know, this time
23:54
of year, it's like Okay, like negative two degrees.
23:57
I didn't look that up. Don't quote me, but it's
24:00
gonna be I just know it's gonna be cold And for
24:03
that reason I'm taking the under under forty
24:05
one and a half That's that's kind of all I got
24:10
unless it's not I A little a little teaser for
24:16
later in the show. I have a stat later But Shawn
24:21
does that help? Well that little teaser yeah
24:25
a little bit okay, I guess I'm on the under Kick
24:30
off it's gonna be 20 degrees Sounds pretty cold
24:34
pretty sunny though. No clowns clear clear skies
24:39
Yeah, this this game sucks though I Mean you
24:45
guys know like where I'm coming from like with
24:48
this like if you were to pick a side like gun
24:50
to your head You couldn't do it If I had to,
24:55
I'd probably pick the Chargers. Because it just
24:59
feels like the Chiefs can't cover more than two.
25:04
It's a divisional game. A lot of crazy things
25:07
happen. This is as back up against the wall as
25:12
you can get, though. It'd be the Chargers. I
25:16
mean, they can still win, but yeah, I don't...
25:19
I know back against the wall. This is one of
25:21
my homes kind of does this thing, but also like
25:24
you said, like every, it seems like every bounce
25:27
to cheese. I've gotten the last however long
25:29
my homes has been the starting quarterback. They're
25:31
just not getting, in fact, they're usually going
25:33
the opposite way. So yeah, if I had to pick a
25:36
side, it'd probably be chargers plus four and
25:38
a half, but I mean, I can see the chiefs. They
25:41
can still win and obviously, and not cover this
25:45
game. I could see them winning by two, but. Yeah,
25:48
I wouldn't know. Part of it, obviously, is why
25:50
I take the under. Yeah. I mean, I said in week
25:55
three that I wasn't going to pick sides in the
25:58
Chiefs' games anymore. So I guess the under is
26:01
my only option because I'm definitely not betting
26:03
this over with the way that the Chiefs are playing
26:06
and the way that the Chargers are all banged
26:09
up, too. This game stinks. This is like a very
26:15
important game and this game stinks. Yeah. Yes.
26:20
Both of these teams kind of stink. But hey, that's
26:25
football. Anyway, moving on. Packers at the Broncos.
26:33
The Broncos are home dogs by two and a half points.
26:35
The over under is forty three and a half. The
26:38
Bronco did they play last week? Okay, yeah, we're
26:43
on coast beat the Raiders by touchdown Okay,
26:46
didn't cover didn't cover no because they they
26:50
can't win by more than a touchdown. They're physically
26:53
capable right Packers beat the Bears Where you
26:59
know, we talked about on this show the Bears
27:01
end up winning this game. They're there for real
27:05
for real But they did it so they're not But I
27:12
don't think they're they're not totally it's
27:13
just kind of like This is kind of like a curse
27:16
thing at this point, honestly And I guess I should
27:20
have looked at the schedule see if they play
27:21
again Because I think they they do play again
27:24
the Bears and the Packers if I'm not mistaken
27:27
I could be mistaken. Anyway, let's get back to
27:29
this game I guess I'll I'll go first on this
27:34
one. I think if you give me the Broncos that
27:37
plus Plus money plus the points. I think I think
27:41
I gotta take it like Honestly right now with
27:43
how inconsistent the Packers are it feels like
27:47
Yeah, they they win these games that like actually
27:51
matter but it kind of feels like it's just really
27:56
inconsistent and The only consistency we have
27:59
in this in this matchup at least from my point
28:02
of view is The Broncos play with their food,
28:05
but they do squeak it out And for that I'm taking
28:09
the plot of the the points here. I'm taking plus
28:11
two and a half It feels like they're kind of
28:13
just giving this to me which now that I'm saying
28:16
it out loud feels like a rat line But it's too
28:19
late. It's already circled on the paper Broncos
28:22
plus two and a half. That's kind of it for my
28:24
analysis Chris, what do you think? Well did it
28:28
impend so he can't erase the circle Yeah, sure
28:35
I'm taking the Packers minus two and a half.
28:38
Um, I don't love it, but I just think, I just
28:41
think they're the better team. And I like almost
28:44
in every position you could argue, um, that also
28:47
this time of year is usually when Jordan love
28:49
and this offense kind of get it together and
28:53
play really fucking good. Obviously the defense
28:55
is great. Uh, I just, yeah, I just trust him
28:59
more than the Broncos. I know Broncos as a dog,
29:01
it's a much. different story than when they're
29:04
a favorite. But I mean, they've been playing
29:06
with fire a lot lately and I think they get burned
29:10
here. Take the Packers when it's two and a half.
29:13
I mentioned that the trendsetter set as a road,
29:18
or not road favorite, but as a favorite against
29:21
a team with a better winning percentage. This
29:22
is the other time. So yeah, Packers when it's
29:24
two and a half. I just think it's going to be
29:28
a very tight game. All right, but I like anything
29:31
under a field ball and taking Packers. Sean,
29:35
did you give your pick? I did not. All right.
29:38
What's your pick? I'm on the Broncos straight
29:41
up money line. They've won 10 straight or 10
29:45
overall, 10 straight, correct? I don't know.
29:51
Okay, I think it's 10 straight, but they've definitely
29:54
won 11 straight at home. going back to last season.
29:59
They're outscoring their opponents by 15 and
30:02
a half points per game at mile high. They're
30:05
tied for the best record in the NFL at 11 and
30:08
two. Being listed as home underdogs in this just
30:13
doesn't make much sense to me. But they piled
30:19
on a league high of 55 sacks. And I think that
30:24
pressure is just going to go straight at this
30:26
young Packers offensive line. And they just kind
30:29
of want to run the ball, maybe project Jordan
30:31
Love a little bit. Denver, I think they have
30:38
the talent to neutralize Green Bay and Jordan
30:44
Love during his Toyotathon search, if you guys
30:47
don't know about. Toyota thought his Toyota thon
30:50
stats. Um, I could find those a little later.
30:52
There's a lot of thon stats. Oh yeah. Uh, Jordan
30:57
love is like really fucking good when Toyota
31:00
thon's going on right now. I thought that was
31:02
just a joke. You know, it's not a joke. It's
31:07
kind of what I don't know. I don't know the numbers
31:09
exactly, but it's kind of what I alluded to.
31:10
Like late in the season, this offense really
31:12
gets going and Toyota thon is always like early
31:15
December. For however long out He has 36 touchdowns
31:21
in two interceptions since he's been in the league
31:24
during whenever Toyota runs Toyota phone damn
31:29
Pretty fucking good And a top on that Top on
31:38
that Lafleur in December. He is 21 and for straight
31:43
-up and 14 10 and one against the spread. So
31:50
he's really good in December. Don't think that
31:52
I didn't look that up, but the Packers have only
31:58
traveled to Denver eight times in franchise history.
32:03
Isn't that a little wild? That is wild. A little
32:07
wild. Would you care to know their record? I
32:11
assume it's bad. It's bad. One and seven straight
32:14
up since 1970. The only win coming in 2007 when
32:22
Brett Favre out -dueled Jay Cutler. Damn. Crazy.
32:29
So I'm kind of going off history right here.
32:33
Just one and seven straight up. That's not good.
32:36
But honestly, if you're going to give me the
32:39
11 and two Broncos as home dogs, I'm going to
32:44
take it. So that's just kind of, that's just
32:48
kind of what it is. Um, but yeah, Broncos money
32:52
line. Oh, yes. All right. Moving on. Uh, the
32:58
next game, uh, lions at the Rams, uh, the Rams
33:03
are favored by five and a half points and the
33:05
over under is 55 and a half. Um, I guess I should
33:08
have looked this up before the show, but I feel
33:10
like this is the highest total of the week. In
33:14
a game that feels like the Rams can score at
33:18
will, but also the Lions can score at will most
33:21
of the time. With both of these teams, the Lions
33:24
coming in with the number one offense in the
33:26
NFL right now. And the Rams, I didn't look up
33:29
any defensive stats, but they've sure beat the
33:32
shit out of the Cardinals last week, which really
33:35
helped me out. Uh, I should have made that sure
33:38
fire. Um, but anyway, uh, let's see the Rams,
33:43
they beat the shit out of Cardinals and then
33:45
the lions. Are they on by last week? No, they
33:50
put Thursday. Right. They beat the Cowboys. Yes,
33:53
they beat the Cowboys. Um, okay. Yes. And a very,
33:58
was that a high score? That was like 44 to 30.
34:01
Yeah, it was exactly what it was. Boom. Like
34:08
an elephant. Anyway, Chris, what do you have
34:11
for this game? Sorry, that was funny. Even though
34:16
I didn't remember who they played, but yeah.
34:21
I'm taking the Lions plus five and a half. Usually
34:25
Detroit on the road, not very good, but this
34:31
is in a dome controlled environment and the Rams
34:33
don't really have home field advantage. They
34:36
have no fans. So yeah, I just think the Lions,
34:40
they are, they have to start putting together
34:43
some wins. They like, if they lose this game,
34:46
I'm, I don't know if they're mathematically eliminated,
34:48
but they're pretty much done. I think, um, I
34:51
don't know if they're going to win, but I like
34:52
them to keep close. This is also like last week,
34:55
another Utah, give me two stats from the trend
34:58
center. Um, since 2012 road dogs coming off a
35:01
win versus a team who just put up 45 plus points.
35:04
are 2912 and one against the spread nine and
35:07
one in the last 10 also Jared golf as an underdog
35:10
four plus points since 22 2022 is nine one and
35:15
one against the spread. So do or die spot for
35:19
the lions. I know this is a big game for the
35:20
Rams to fight for division crown, even though
35:23
I guess this is an individual game. So I don't
35:24
know if that really matters, but, um, lions got
35:27
to have it. So I can keep it close potentially
35:30
went out, right? Probably won't sprinkle money
35:32
line, but yeah, definitely plus five and a half.
35:35
Sean, what are you taking? I'm supposed to have
35:38
a half. You took the words right out of my mouth.
35:42
I did find another stats. Chris took some of
35:45
my stats that I had written down. But when Sean
35:50
McVeigh is favored by three points or more at
35:54
home versus teams above 500, the Los Angeles
35:58
Rams are just seven, 11 and one. Getting a call
36:01
right now. I don't know who you are. Sorry. But
36:06
yes, you can say that the Lions defense is shaky.
36:16
I think it might actually help us because I did
36:18
find another stat about this. The Lions, when
36:21
they have allowed 30 -plus points in back -to
36:23
-back weeks, first to Green Bay on Thanksgiving
36:26
and then to Dallas, Dan Campbell has been money
36:29
after these defensive losses going 17 and 8 against
36:33
the spread after allowing 30 plus points including
36:36
6 and 4 against the spread with Detroit. Yeah,
36:41
it's just big number, angry team, profitable
36:45
trends. Let the lion feast. Lions plus five and
36:48
a half. Will, what you got? That is a lot of
36:52
points for the Lions, so I don't hate that pick.
36:56
However, my pick for this game is the over, over
36:58
55 and a half. It feels like a lot of the times
37:03
when the over is set so high that it just, it
37:06
cruises. That's what it feels like. I didn't
37:08
look that up. I probably should have, but I didn't.
37:12
And so for that reason, I'm taking over 55 and
37:14
a half. It does feel like both of these teams
37:17
score at will no matter how good the defense
37:20
is on the other side of the ball. I like the
37:26
over. I want to have some fun. I want to have
37:27
some fun. I've been betting the Rams a lot lately.
37:32
And for the most part, it's been working out.
37:35
But for this one, I'm taking the over. Over 55
37:37
and a half. Let's see what happens. All right.
37:44
Very respectable. I do respect the over. I respect
37:49
the Lions. All right. Next game. The next game
37:54
we're talking about is Sunday night football
37:57
Vikings at the Cowboys. The Cowboys favor by
38:00
five and a half points here. The Vikings beat
38:03
the shit out of the commanders on their game.
38:09
Commanders didn't do anything. And so Jaden Daniels
38:13
with possibly another entry. Anyway, Cowboys
38:18
seem to be able to just score, you know, to just
38:22
do. I mean, that's the story of the Cowboys this
38:24
season, being able to score but not being able
38:27
to stop anyway. The Vikings, they've just been
38:30
kind of ass this year in total. But Cowboys favored
38:37
by five and a half over under 47 and a half.
38:41
Sean, what do you think about this game? Not
38:44
gonna think too much on this one. I'm going over
38:47
47 and a half. Vikings just mollywopped the Manders.
38:52
And you know, JJ didn't look that bad. Three
38:56
TDs, only 163 yards, but he went 16 and 23. That's
39:02
not bad. Not too shabby. So I like that going
39:07
into Dallas versus their Swiss cheese secondary.
39:11
Meanwhile, like you said, Cowboys just score
39:14
at will. But they are also the league's best.
39:17
on the over going nine and four so far. And I
39:21
do have a little stat from our friends at the
39:23
Trends Center. Dak is a home favorite when the
39:27
over under is less than or equal to 48, going
39:32
23 and four in the last seven years, going nine
39:36
and one in the last 10. So give me the over at
39:40
47 and a half, please. And thank you. Will, what
39:43
do you got? I'm also on the over. I mean, it's
39:48
just math, you know? If the Vikings can score
39:52
30 points and the Vikings can score like, you
39:56
know, almost 30 points, it feels like this game
40:00
is just gonna go over, you know? It's just math.
40:04
Math is power. I don't know if you guys know
40:06
that. I mean, that's really all I have on this
40:10
game. I don't really have anything else. Chris?
40:13
What are you laughing at? I love that. It's just
40:16
math. If both teams score a certain amount of
40:19
points, it's going to go over. It's like, yeah,
40:21
you could say that about every game. I'm trying
40:23
to make it entertaining for people. I was laughing
40:27
at Koda's silhouette coming in the door and then
40:32
picking up Sonny. And I was like. But yes, very
40:38
astute observation, Will. Yes. Astute. Yes. Chris,
40:44
what do you have for this game? I got the Cowboys
40:46
minus five and a half. Yeah, nine looked really
40:49
good last week against the ship back commanders.
40:53
The Cowboys defense. Obviously they're not the
40:56
85 Bears, but I think their leaps and bounds
40:58
better than the commanders. I don't think Washington's
41:02
even trying at this point. I think JJ kind of
41:05
comes back to Earth. Also, Minnesota has not
41:07
been able to put together two solid games this
41:09
season. They are 0 and 4 against the spread after
41:11
a win. in 2025. Dallas kind of like Detroit.
41:17
They I mean, they need a win. And I think they're
41:20
going to kind of run it up here. So yeah, Cowboys
41:22
minus five and a half. Honestly, anything under
41:24
a touchdown love the Cowboys. Okay. All right.
41:28
Moving on to everyone's favorite segment of the
41:31
week. The surefire double unit guaranteed not
41:35
to lose plays of the week. I lost mine last year.
41:39
So I have to guarantee here. Sorry, I Couldn't
41:46
I couldn't focus with all the huffing and puffing
41:48
you're doing in the mic. So anyway moving on
41:54
Yeah, I'm sure the listeners love that one My
42:00
my surefire pick this week is the Chief's chargers
42:05
under 41 and a half and I do have a tasty tasty
42:08
stat from our friends over at the trend center
42:11
chiefs home favorite unders obviously when the
42:15
chiefs are favored and they're at home and the
42:19
I believe the filters are between the over unders
42:23
set at 39 and a half to like 56 Which is like
42:27
almost all of them It's 144 58 and 2 Yes quite
42:34
a big sample size. Give me the under in this
42:38
game. Also, it's a divisional game. And those
42:41
tend to go under. So and that's that's pretty
42:44
much it. That's all I got. Sean, what do you
42:46
think? I like your surefire pick this one thing.
42:52
Okay, well, what what is what is your Okay. Okay,
42:57
that's what you're asking. I got you. Um, I got
43:00
an absolute stinker, fellas. But it cannot be
43:07
ignored The seven and six Carolina Panthers are
43:12
favored on the road versus the New Orleans Saints
43:17
Right after the Saints beat the Bucks in a crucial
43:20
game for the division I'm not saying that this
43:23
line is wrong But what I am telling you is that
43:30
when odd makers Think that the Panthers are going
43:34
to over perform They under perform The Carolina
43:42
Panthers have not won or covered a game they
43:46
were favored in regular season or postseason
43:49
since September of 2021 that is four full years
43:57
without a single straight -up win or an against
44:01
the spread win as a favorite. They are 0 and
44:05
11 in that span. Even if you zoom out since 2020,
44:12
Panthers 3 and 14 against the spread. Those three
44:16
covers, Davis Mills, Zach Wilson, Dwayne Haskins,
44:22
those are the three teams they beat. Yes. That's
44:25
hardly impressive at all. Yeah. Bryce Young doesn't
44:31
really change the story. He's been playing much
44:33
better this season, but this will only be his
44:36
third career start as a favorite. He closed minus
44:39
two and a half versus Dallas last year and lost
44:42
30 to 14. Earlier season, he closed at minus
44:47
five and a half at home also against the Saints
44:51
and lost 17 to seven. Carolina. NaNo becomes
44:56
a road favorite for the first time since September
44:58
of 2022 versus the Giants. Surprise, surprise,
45:02
another game they lost 19 to 16. Finally, wrapping
45:07
it up from our friends at the Trends Center is
45:09
a decade long system specifically targeted for
45:12
this situation. Fade the Panthers as favorites
45:17
versus bad teams over the last 10 years. This
45:22
is 24 -0. 100 % win rate 90 % ROI. It's a straight
45:30
-ass line homie And also that includes the cash
45:35
earlier from this year versus the New Orleans
45:37
Saints So give me the Saints plus two and a half
45:41
as my double unit surefire guaranteed play of
45:44
the week Chris can you get stinkier? I believe
45:51
I can Um, I don't know, I don't know about stinky
45:54
year, but it's as stinky. First of all, adding
45:57
saints plus two and after my car. Um, second
45:59
off the Indianapolis Colts are in a bit of a
46:04
pickle. Jesus Christ. They don't have a quarterback.
46:08
Um, obviously Daniel Jones towards Achilles.
46:12
That's bad. Um, Riley Leonard is week to week
46:15
now with something. I don't know what he's, but
46:18
I know he's hurt. They're working out Philip
46:20
rivers. Um, I don't know why. Um, I guess he's
46:27
a body they can put back there. Um, I don't see
46:31
how they're going to score. Like how, how are
46:32
they going to score points? Uh, Colts team total
46:34
under 13 and a half. The Seattle Seahawks have
46:38
played backup quarterbacks, two straight weeks.
46:42
Um, this, this will be the third. And in those
46:44
two games, they have allowed a total of nine
46:47
points with all nine coming last week against
46:50
Kirk Cousins and the Falcons. So. Yes, Colts,
46:54
team total under 13 and a half, double unit guaranteed
46:56
not to lose. Whoever they roll out there, Saints
47:00
is just going to make it a living hell for them.
47:03
Or Saints, Seahawks. So yeah, team total under
47:07
13 and a half. This game's going to suck. So
47:10
yeah, Seahawks, let's go. Uh, I'm just going
47:13
to ride the Seahawks until the wheels fall off.
47:15
Apparently this is the third or fourth time.
47:18
I think they're, they've been involved in a sure
47:19
fire this season. If it ain't broke. I mean,
47:23
yeah, they've covered, I think all but one. So
47:25
yeah. Which obviously they don't have to cover
47:27
this one, but yeah, team total under 13 and a
47:30
half. Also, hopefully it'll be 13 and a half
47:32
when this comes out. Cause usually when I give
47:33
up team totals, the line moves against my favor.
47:37
Um, but I already locked it in. So. Hopefully
47:41
it'll say 13 and a half until Thursday Yeah,
47:44
I just don't see how they can score two touchdowns
47:47
Okay, there it is. There's the surefire double
47:51
unit guaranteed not to lose picks of the week
47:54
Moving on we have our extra plays from the week.
47:58
I don't have any I will say Okay, whatever Wait,
48:10
what happened? I missed it. I was looking at
48:12
this kind of just ran out of the room chasing
48:18
the cat Trying to run a show over here Really
48:23
funny What's that? Sonny, it's a sunny bowl bowl
48:30
With a cat hole in his whiskers There are the
48:36
listeners at home. Not the not the viewers Yep
48:42
All right Extra place extra place I don't have
48:52
any I was really really thinking about taking
48:55
the Panthers. I'm not gonna front They're just
48:58
scrappy. I like them. I Probably wasn't gonna
49:01
do it. I don't have it written down. So it's
49:03
not set in stone obviously, but but that's I
49:06
mean that's That's all I have on that note. Sean,
49:10
what are your extra plays? I don't have any at
49:14
the moment because none of these games matter.
49:20
And they're kind of not worth my attention anymore.
49:24
Do you know what I mean? I know exactly what
49:26
you mean. The games that we didn't talk about
49:34
suck. So I only I really only bet the Titans
49:40
last week just because it was a a crucial game
49:44
like for the franchise to beat Chador Sanders,
49:50
that's it and Luckily they won outright but yeah,
49:57
I don't have anything else I it might change
50:01
who knows but Unless some crazy I find some other
50:05
crazy trend center stat to be honest If I find
50:08
another if I find a 25 and no trend center stat,
50:11
I'm gonna bet it that's just what it is But yeah
50:15
for right now, that's it. I got seven games Fair
50:20
enough Chris Chris. Do you have any other extra
50:22
place? Yeah, well Saints plus two and a half.
50:25
I added after Sean's Excellent explanation. But
50:28
um, yeah, I only got one more other than that
50:30
bears my seven half against the Browns. I know
50:34
Shador played well. He still lost outright to
50:39
the 1 -11 Titans at home. That's bad. That's
50:45
really, really, really bad. I don't think he's
50:51
going to play that well again. Obviously, turnovers
50:53
were pretty much the reason that the Browns lost
50:57
that game. And that's kind of what the Bears
50:59
have been thriving on all season on defense.
51:01
So it's kind of like a bend, bend, don't break
51:03
and cause turnovers. So I think they'll probably
51:05
get, I'd say at least a couple on this one off
51:08
your door. Also the Browns defense for like supposing
51:13
they're supposed to be like the backbone of this
51:14
team. They have been for the last few years.
51:17
Again, the 111 Titans hung 31 on them. That at
51:21
home, that's very bad on the road. This defense
51:24
really all season has not been good They're allowing
51:26
28 points per game away from Cleveland. I Think
51:30
Chicago they're obviously coming off a loss and
51:32
we're gonna take out some frustration again if
51:35
the one in eleven Titans can run it up against
51:37
this team I think Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams
51:40
can find a way to win by more than a touchdown.
51:43
So yeah, I just I think the Bears are They they're
51:47
pissed off They need a win. I think they get
51:50
a bounce back win here and run it up on the on
51:52
the browns. So yeah, there's my son. That's only
51:55
an extra play. That sounds like easy money. I
51:58
might add that. Yeah. Everyone is just crying.
52:02
I know. And he did play well. He obviously he
52:04
threw for like 340 yards before touchdowns. He
52:07
did. I'm not saying he played poorly. He played
52:08
very well, but it's against the worst team in
52:12
the league at home tights. I think where I Think
52:16
we're crowning him a little too early and I know
52:18
that's kind of the narrative and he was a fifth
52:19
-round pick So it's not like he was supposed
52:21
to be good, but I just I Mean the shade though
52:28
if he looks like we can talk about anybody He
52:32
was a fifth -round pick and you'd be like, oh
52:34
cool He lost outright to a terrible terrible
52:39
team, but because he should or we're like, hey
52:41
this guy look out nothing like now is Yes been
52:45
seeing a lot of people on on X and various other
52:51
platforms writing his dong about this this performance
52:57
he put on but they they seem to forget he he
53:01
didn't succeed in the most important stat. They
53:04
lost and it's not and the Titans defense ass
53:08
let's not be like hey they're 1 -11 but the defense
53:10
isn't half bad kind of like last year it was
53:13
That was sort of the narrative around the Titans,
53:15
but I mean, the deep, this defense fucking sucks.
53:18
So it's like, if he didn't throw for 300 yards,
53:21
especially when you were trailing for most of
53:22
the games, you kind of have to throw it. Like.
53:27
Yeah. Yes. He played well, but I don't see it
53:30
happening in two weeks. Yeah. I, uh, I was on
53:34
X today and saw a comparison between Shador's
53:40
first three games. and Tom Brady's first three
53:43
games. And how Shador was much better than Tom
53:47
Brady in his first three games. And I was like,
53:49
what are we doing? What are we doing? What about
53:53
Peyton Manning in his first three games? Yeah,
53:56
like, compare him to any other quarterback first
53:59
three games. Like... It's not... I don't know.
54:05
It's just like the glaze is just so... It's just
54:11
so thick. Like, it's just like, ugh. You hear
54:16
people talk about how we played. You're like,
54:17
oh, the Browns won by two touchdowns, right?
54:20
No, they lost outright. So I just, I mean, I
54:25
get why they're doing it because it should or
54:27
and everyone, it's all the people who are like,
54:29
hey, like he's going to be good. Stop shitting
54:32
on him. And he actually plays well for once.
54:34
So they're like, hey, like this is what I've
54:37
been saying. I just think we need to pump the
54:39
brakes here. I also think the public could be
54:42
all over. They see Shador, who just played well,
54:46
catching more than a touchdown against like a
54:47
Bears team who yet, I would say got exposed,
54:50
but finally played like poorly for the first
54:54
time this season, or at least in a long time.
54:57
I just don't see it. I don't see how they're
54:59
going to hang with them. Yeah, the Bears definitely
55:01
came down to earth a little bit. But against
55:05
an amazing Packers team. Yeah. But Shador is
55:11
one and two. He beat the Raiders. Congratulations.
55:16
You should beat the Raiders. You didn't score
55:21
double digits against the Niners who are hurt
55:25
to all hell. I don't have anybody at home also
55:30
like and then you lost to the Titans. You lose
55:34
to the Titans like that's just like. I'm wearing
55:37
a tight jersey right now. And I'm like, yo, if
55:39
you lose to the Titans, you're bad. How many
55:41
turnovers did he have? Was it two or three? One,
55:44
one should or should door one. He had only had
55:48
one interception, but he had a fumble too, didn't
55:49
he? He had a fumble. I thought he did. Um, I
55:53
don't remember that. Cause that was like the
55:54
whole thing where, um, after I thought he fumbled
55:58
and then like all of the Titans defense ran to
56:00
the end zone is was doing like his celebration.
56:02
And we're like, Oh, like Shame on the Titans
56:05
for calling him. It's like well look at whenever
56:08
cam ward has fumbled this season or gotten sacked
56:11
Everyone does his celebration right in his fucking
56:13
face. I Yeah, and I don't want to say he was
56:17
the reason they lost that game because their
56:19
defense not play well at all, but he He played
56:22
a pretty big part in it Yes, we did protect cam
56:27
Pretty pretty well this game. Yeah, I was miles
56:30
Garrett only had one sack the only sack that
56:33
they allowed that they offensive line allowed.
56:36
I, I was terrified for Cam and obviously it could
56:39
have been two, but I forget who was the Cleveland
56:43
defender who he just put in the earth. And like,
56:47
that was awesome. So I thought, yeah, I think
56:53
the Titans are obviously terrible, but that was
56:56
the first time where it was like, Hey, kind of
56:59
got something here. Cause that was the first
57:01
time they played a complete football game. in
57:04
years. Hell yeah. I mean, I kind of, I still
57:10
kind of think that the Seahawks game was a very
57:14
complete football game. Yeah. It was, it was
57:18
about as, as complete as you could get for like
57:23
what they are against, like a, against a 10 and
57:26
three team now. Like, yo, they were also, that
57:31
was by far our best game of the season. And we
57:35
had two games. They played very well, but also
57:37
they were down like 21 -3 at one point. Like
57:40
I know they came back covered. That was awesome.
57:42
But I think last week, I mean, we're kind of
57:46
splitting hairs here, but. You're right. That's
57:52
fair. That's a fair point. All right. And Chris,
57:57
you mentioned earlier that. The Colts are working
58:00
out Philip Rivers. I don't know if you saw, but
58:02
they signed Philip Rivers to the practice squad.
58:07
He's gonna start. He's gonna start on Sunday.
58:11
Right now he's on the practice squad. Am I wrong?
58:15
Flacco's out there, correct? Apparently that
58:18
was a joke. Oh, okay. I got duped. Yes. But also,
58:25
at this point, the Bengals should cut him. or
58:28
release him. Well, I mean, Joe gets hurt again.
58:32
Fair enough. So I mean, like, because I mean,
58:37
if if Joe Flacco gets cut, he's playing, he's
58:41
playing for the Colts, which that would be his
58:45
third team this year. Yes. Has there has there
58:50
ever been another quarterback that's played for
58:52
three teams in a single year? Did he play for
58:56
the Jets? This year. I know he was on the team,
58:59
but I don't remember if he was on the jets this
59:02
year. Wasn't he? Who was he with before since
59:05
then? Browns. Browns. Yeah, that was it. Okay.
59:08
Yeah. Cause they had, they had Joe Flacco, Deshaun
59:12
Watson. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. And then Dylan
59:14
Gabriel and then Shador Sanders. And can you
59:16
pick it? Oh yeah. Can you pick it? Yeah. Yeah.
59:22
Obviously I should have remembered that, but
59:24
yeah. I mean, I don't know. Maybe there's gotta
59:27
be at some point. I might, I might look that
59:30
up. Maybe I don't know. I also like speaking
59:35
of just like random NFL, like history, I saw
59:39
something on X that Jalen hurts when he threw
59:43
the pick and also fumbled on the same play that
59:46
he was the first player, at least since like
59:48
the late seventies where they kind of started
59:51
tracking these things who turned the ball over
59:53
twice in one play. Yep, that's that's I'm surprised
59:58
that hasn't happened at some point Well, it's
1:00:02
just such a like. Oh, I know you should like
1:00:05
think like how do you even do that? I know it's
1:00:08
crazy Don't get me wrong, but I'm just surprised
1:00:10
that a ball hadn't bounced that way once in the
1:00:13
last 50 60 years. Yeah Yeah, I mean I get that
1:00:21
but That's hilarious. I fucking love it. It's
1:00:25
so funny. God. For some reason, the Google AI
1:00:29
isn't telling me if that has happened or not.
1:00:35
Then it hasn't. Well, you need to ask Grok, or
1:00:39
whatever its fucking name is. It's called Grok.
1:00:43
You got to tweet at it, though. You don't. You'll
1:00:49
be like, hey. there's just like examples like
1:00:52
Josh Johnson has played for 14 teams and it's
1:00:54
like okay well did he like of course he's been
1:00:59
on three teams in a year but has he played for
1:01:02
three teams in a year it's just not telling me
1:01:05
oh well well that's enough of that anyway um
1:01:11
other news um Sean you're in the hot dog bowl
1:01:15
great yeah let's bring this up let's talk about
1:01:20
we don't i just wanted to pose a question to
1:01:22
the class before we got into that um okay just
1:01:25
about the eagles obviously they're done uh no
1:01:29
they're not done they're not going to die they're
1:01:32
like they're chances of having any sort of success
1:01:37
in the postseason that's not happening um are
1:01:41
they like i've i've struggled with this for a
1:01:45
long time nick siriani jalen hurts Obviously
1:01:49
has great success in this league been to two
1:01:51
Super Bowls one one of them. You could make the
1:01:54
argument They should have won two. I have no
1:01:57
idea if Syria is a good head coach or children
1:01:59
Yeah, it's pretty up in the air and it's like
1:02:06
one of them splits off from the other Every other
1:02:09
year I switch right before them being like, okay
1:02:12
They're actually really good. Like I was wrong
1:02:15
to think otherwise and then the next year comes
1:02:18
around it's like oh they fucking suck why did
1:02:20
i think they were ever this good yeah it's uh
1:02:25
it's weird because when you i mean just to play
1:02:29
devil's advocate it's like i mean none of these
1:02:32
like jalen hurts isn't gonna play like you know
1:02:36
butt booty ass um enough to for the eagles to
1:02:41
move them and because he's he's been very good
1:02:45
in all the previous years. And then like Nick
1:02:49
Sirianni, I mean, like last year at the beginning
1:02:51
of the year, they lost, they went like, they
1:02:53
didn't win their their first like two or three
1:02:56
games or something. And people were just calling
1:02:57
for his head. And then they won the Super Bowl.
1:02:59
And so it's, it's a very, it's very interesting
1:03:02
dichotomy that they have right now. So it's it's
1:03:06
kind of like, I don't, I don't think it would
1:03:09
be smart to move off of either one of them, let
1:03:12
alone both of them. For the next year at least
1:03:16
but next year will probably be very telling on
1:03:19
what what the future is because it's it's uh,
1:03:25
it's it's weird because it's like AJ Brown like
1:03:28
everyone's calling him a diva, but like also
1:03:30
Like he's kind of right like he's like you guys
1:03:34
need to throw me the ball But also like the guy
1:03:36
who's throwing the ball is not that great And
1:03:38
it's like that's really weird of you to say that
1:03:41
after you win the Super Bowl I don't know. It's,
1:03:44
there's a lot of moving parts in this. They threw
1:03:47
him the ball Monday night and he, I mean, he
1:03:51
had a wide open touchdown dropped. And then I
1:03:54
forget which pick it was, but they threw it to
1:03:58
AJ and it wasn't the best throw, but he didn't
1:04:00
really make a great effort to try to come down
1:04:02
with it. And then they went over his head or
1:04:04
something and got picked. I it's like, yeah,
1:04:07
you can say he's right, but also like they're
1:04:10
throwing him the ball. And it's like, yes, most
1:04:12
of the time you'll come down with it. But now
1:04:14
it's like, yes, now you can't you can't bitch
1:04:17
and moan all season, like throw me the football.
1:04:19
And then they start throwing you the football
1:04:20
and you still can't capitalize. And I know, I
1:04:25
mean, he is a diva. Let's get that out of the
1:04:27
way. But I don't know. Is he there next year?
1:04:30
I don't know what his contract looks like. It's
1:04:33
tough to say. But it is, you know, them starting
1:04:38
to throw him the ball is fairly recent. in the
1:04:41
last two weeks, it's definitely like coming from
1:04:43
a an AJ Brown fantasy owner. Like previous like
1:04:49
the first half of this year. I mean, it's wasn't
1:04:52
great. It was not fun. It was bad. Yeah. And
1:04:57
it's like, do I not play this guy? And it's like,
1:05:01
well, no, I can't not play him. He's AJ Brown.
1:05:05
He's very good. But then, you know, like uh not
1:05:08
this past week but the week before he had like
1:05:10
35 fantasy points it's like all right i think
1:05:13
they still lost that game but yeah i don't know
1:05:16
he did his he did his job i don't know i just
1:05:20
hope we bring him home uh not till he's not till
1:05:25
he's 33 well you think they trade him well not
1:05:30
to the titans why not who cares so they'll trade
1:05:34
it because the patriots will try to get him before
1:05:36
us Where you're not using like Mike Vrabel, I
1:05:42
mean AJ Brown and Stefan digs the same locker
1:05:46
room Rough I think I think digs only has that
1:05:54
one year. Yeah Yeah, that's true. It's digs early
1:06:00
30s. I think It's weird it's like but a Couple
1:06:07
years But he's about he's been bouncing around.
1:06:11
I think that's because that's why I think he's
1:06:13
a bit older than he probably is Because the Vikings
1:06:17
the Bills the Texans the Patriots, that's four
1:06:20
teams a lot of teams. Yeah, I Just named them
1:06:23
all Shit man, what else we got want to talk about
1:06:31
the hot dog bowl I guess we can talk about it
1:06:35
Sean, what is your mentality going into the hot
1:06:37
dog bowl? It's not the hot dog bowl. He's it's
1:06:40
like I'm consolation bracket like he's still
1:06:43
I'm still alive. Yeah, next week into the hot
1:06:47
dog bracket. Yeah, hot rackets better. So okay,
1:06:51
I'm playing our buddy Ryan. Correct. Ryan's team.
1:06:56
It actually kind of doesn't. I beat his ass last
1:07:00
week. Well, compared to my team. Like if you
1:07:05
go into the ESPN fantasy app, which is the only
1:07:12
app you should use to play fantasy football because
1:07:15
all the other ones stink. If you go to the standings
1:07:23
and you go to points four, Ryan is outscoring
1:07:28
me by almost a hundred points. Not well less
1:07:33
than a hundred points, but his points against
1:07:36
is by far The most in the league only second
1:07:41
in the league is Chris who made the playoffs
1:07:44
He has 1700 points against him and He scored
1:07:51
1500 points. So he was like kind of like destined
1:07:56
to lose He's four and ten I'm seven and seven.
1:08:01
I'm the only like 500 person in this in this
1:08:05
fucking bracket that pisses me off because everybody's
1:08:08
four and ten and there's three and eleven My
1:08:13
mentality is just I just Put the best team out
1:08:18
there and like if I end up playing in the hot
1:08:21
dog bowl I end up playing in the hot dog bowl
1:08:23
It's just like it's there's nothing I can do
1:08:26
at this point. All the good players are gone
1:08:28
I did what I could last week. I picked up like
1:08:32
two guys off the bench I won last week somehow
1:08:38
because Carson or our buddy Carson He had Jalen
1:08:42
hurts who had four interceptions, which is hilarious.
1:08:45
So Jalen hurts got point four points. I ended
1:08:49
up winning by Six point I ended up winning by
1:08:55
point six Six points. Oh damn. Yeah. So yeah,
1:09:02
it was that close. Um, I woke up this morning
1:09:07
and I was like, what the hell happened? Like
1:09:10
I won. Are you kidding me? Um, but I had the,
1:09:15
this is what I'm confused about is I, I had the
1:09:17
head to head win over the guy who got in over
1:09:22
me. I think it goes to total points first and
1:09:25
then head to head. It goes to total points first
1:09:28
before head to head. I think so. I think it's
1:09:30
what ESPN's model is. It has to hit this. I mean,
1:09:35
it makes sense, but if I beat that guy, then
1:09:39
like, I don't know. No, it should be in, but
1:09:45
it's whatever. Yeah. It must go to head to head
1:09:48
because yeah, he has like 200 more. Yeah. You
1:09:50
got a decent team. Bo Nix could go off and Derek
1:09:54
Henry has the ability to go off. I mean, he's
1:09:57
playing the Bengals. So it's like that defense
1:10:00
stinks. I just got for like, this is the first
1:10:03
time I've missed the playoffs since I've been
1:10:07
in the fantasy league with the boys and girl.
1:10:15
It's not fun, is it? Well, it's not it's not
1:10:19
fun now that we actually have like something
1:10:22
to play for in the in the losers bracket Where
1:10:25
you're actually like a loser other than just
1:10:29
like I don't care anymore So this is real like
1:10:33
unfortunate because I I won last year I won the
1:10:36
league last year and You're still forced to care
1:10:40
Yes, and this is Kind of awful Fantasy football
1:10:46
is a fickle bitch. I'm not going to lie. This
1:10:48
is like kind of terrible. Just win, baby. Yeah.
1:10:53
So my mindset is just like put the best team
1:10:57
that I can together and hope they ball out because
1:11:02
I was at the store earlier today and Kerger's
1:11:08
got some pretty good deals on hot dogs. I'm not
1:11:09
going to lie. You can get a pack of 24 hot dogs
1:11:14
for like $6 .99 and that's not bad. So I think
1:11:18
the only, like I've thought about this, like
1:11:20
if I do end up losing, the like, the positive
1:11:24
about it is I don't have to plan my meals. It's
1:11:28
like, I don't have to, I don't have to like know
1:11:31
what I'm going to eat. I know I'm going to eat
1:11:33
hot dogs for like the next four days. That's
1:11:35
pretty cool. Yeah. It's like, there's, there's
1:11:39
some solace like in my mind about that. But other
1:11:44
than that, I'm like, dude, my dumps are going
1:11:48
to be terrible. And that's like not cool. Like
1:11:52
you're thinking too much about it. It sounds
1:11:54
like you're preparing to lose. You need to get
1:11:57
rid of that mentality. I'm, I'm preparing to
1:12:00
lose, but also not like I'm mentally preparing
1:12:06
to lose. Like I am expecting the worst. which
1:12:10
is a very unhealthy mindset. So like many therapists
1:12:16
have told me before, that's a very, it's a very
1:12:19
unhealthy mindset. But yeah, so, but you can't
1:12:27
just be like, gun ho it's like, oh, I'm not gonna
1:12:30
lose. You know, like you have to have like some
1:12:33
doubt in your mind. Yeah, you're not insane.
1:12:36
Yeah, I'm not insane. So I got to like, I gotta
1:12:40
think like if I do lose then I have to I do have
1:12:44
to mentally prepare myself to eat 71 hot dogs
1:12:48
and that is a mental preparation that's not like
1:12:53
just like I'm gonna Just go out and do it that
1:12:58
is like oh I have to sit down and eat 71 hot
1:13:03
dogs for the next however many meals it takes
1:13:07
to eat 71 hot dogs So Yeah, that's That's my
1:13:14
mindset behind it. You'll be all right. Just
1:13:18
put some veggies on the hot dog and yeah fibers
1:13:21
good But I don't I think fiber might actually
1:13:24
hurt me Like I feel like I just go long since
1:13:29
you've had a vegetable No, no. No, I'm just saying
1:13:32
because like I feel like Well fiber makes you
1:13:36
dump, right? what's it help it helps you Tom
1:13:41
yeah not supposed to make you dump sure but I
1:13:51
think it I think it goes both ways a little bit
1:13:53
it turns it into solid supposed to unless you
1:13:59
like eat a lot of fiber then you'll get cleaned
1:14:02
out But that's a different as different situation,
1:14:05
but I think on that note on the dumps we We send
1:14:09
her on home. All right Thank you so much for
1:14:12
listening and watching really appreciate it.
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