Latest / Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning / Ohio State vs. Texas: Is Arch Manning Ready For The Buckeye Defense?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to buck Eyes tomorrow morning for Thursday, August fourteenth,
- 0:03Speaker 1: time your host Tom or the Texas game in sixteen days,
- 0:05Speaker 1: the gimme It's Michigan in one hundred and seven days.
- 0:08Speaker 1: If you're planning your next event, make it unforgettable with
- 0:11Speaker 1: Grateful Griddle, Columbus's favorite food truck serving up Smashburger's gourmet
- 0:14Speaker 1: sandwiches and good vibes. Booker catering today at gratefulgriddleoh dot com.
- 0:20Speaker 1: On today's show, we're going to be welcoming in one
- 0:21Speaker 1: of my favorite guests every single year. He is Brett
- 0:25Speaker 1: siancea of Pick six previews. This is one of these
- 0:28Speaker 1: I'm not just the president and also a client kind
- 0:30Speaker 1: of moments where I don't just have him on. I
- 0:32Speaker 1: buy this magazine every single year. I go to it.
- 0:36Speaker 1: I wear it out over the course of the season. Brett,
- 0:39Speaker 1: thank you for joining me.
- 0:40Speaker 2: Oh Tom, thanks for that intro, Thanks for coming on
- 0:42Speaker 2: board again for twenty twenty five. And yeah, I always
- 0:45Speaker 2: look forward to our annual chat here breaking down the preseason.
- 0:48Speaker 2: And I want to say congrats to the Ohio State
- 0:50Speaker 2: listeners out there on the national title. You know it
- 0:53Speaker 2: was a long time coming. They've been close to the
- 0:55Speaker 2: last decade, but to finally breakthrough pretty cool to watch.
- 0:58Speaker 2: I was out in Columbus for the first time time,
- 1:00Speaker 2: my first time, I should say for Nebraska Ohio State,
- 1:04Speaker 2: and great game looking back on it, that would have
- 1:06Speaker 2: shifted everything at Nebraska came up on more score, but
- 1:09Speaker 2: now got to see Columbus. It's one of the special
- 1:11Speaker 2: places in college football. And don't want to wait too
- 1:14Speaker 2: long to get back there. So good luck and yeah,
- 1:17Speaker 2: can't wait to break it down.
- 1:18Speaker 1: Yeah boy, I don't know how many people walking out
- 1:20Speaker 1: of the stadium that day would have talked about that
- 1:22Speaker 1: being a great game, but it was an important one ultimately,
- 1:24Speaker 1: and they sort of figured out from there they needed
- 1:27Speaker 1: to do on that offensive line. So yeah, all's well.
- 1:30Speaker 1: That ends well for the twenty twenty four buck guys.
- 1:32Speaker 1: And now for the twenty twenty five buck Eyes. It's
- 1:35Speaker 1: almost a question of you know, ollswell that starts well,
- 1:38Speaker 1: I guess for either Ohio State or Texas, And you know,
- 1:41Speaker 1: I would assume that the Ohio State fans have a
- 1:43Speaker 1: decent idea what to expect from Ohio State. If you
- 1:46Speaker 1: have any thoughts on the buck Eyes that are you know,
- 1:49Speaker 1: really outside what I think the broad consensus is definitely
- 1:53Speaker 1: let us know, But really, to me, I think the
- 1:55Speaker 1: first thing I want to talk about is the Texas Longhorns,
- 1:58Speaker 1: because Ohio State just saw them down and the Cotton
- 2:00Speaker 1: Bowl down in Dallas Fort Worth back in January, and
- 2:04Speaker 1: now they're starting the season with what is either a
- 2:07Speaker 1: one versus two or a one versus three or a
- 2:10Speaker 1: two versus three if you, depending on who you want
- 2:12Speaker 1: to look at it matchup. What are your expectations for
- 2:16Speaker 1: that game, because that feels like that's going to be
- 2:18Speaker 1: one of the biggest of the season.
- 2:20Speaker 2: Absolutely well, it was a heck of a Final Four game,
- 2:23Speaker 2: and of course I'm sure Texas fans are still seeing
- 2:25Speaker 2: nightmares of Jack Sawyer stripping the ball from yours and
- 2:28Speaker 2: going down ninety yards down the sideline, So they're gonna
- 2:31Speaker 2: want revenge and they're gonna have to come take it
- 2:33Speaker 2: in Columbus here at noon kickoff. I know we all
- 2:35Speaker 2: wish it was primetime for such a special occasion, but
- 2:38Speaker 2: nonetheless a great season opener if you're going off the
- 2:41Speaker 2: coaches poll, it's the first ever one versus two season
- 2:44Speaker 2: opener in college football history. Now you know, the AP
- 2:47Speaker 2: dropped the highest data spot but nonetheless one of the
- 2:49Speaker 2: biggest openers of all time. So I can't wait to
- 2:52Speaker 2: see it. And what you're going to have in this
- 2:53Speaker 2: game are two of the best recruiters in the game.
- 2:56Speaker 2: I mean, I know that Ohio State sent a school
- 2:58Speaker 2: record fourteen draft picks to the p but Texas also
- 3:01Speaker 2: sent a bunch too. Five starters off their defense were
- 3:05Speaker 2: drafted and four of their offensive linemen are gone, not
- 3:08Speaker 2: to mention losing a receiver. So both teams are rebuilding, reloading,
- 3:13Speaker 2: but they're backfilling it with some of the best talent
- 3:15Speaker 2: in the country. I mean, Ohio State number three in
- 3:17Speaker 2: the five year recruiting average, Texas number four, So I
- 3:20Speaker 2: mean you have blue chippers all over the place. So yeah,
- 3:23Speaker 2: I just put together what I call advanced rosters, and
- 3:27Speaker 2: basically it's just a visual look at the too deep,
- 3:30Speaker 2: you know, labeling who's a five star, who's a four star.
- 3:32Speaker 2: There's a whole lot of green on the page signifying
- 3:36Speaker 2: four star, five star for these two teams, So real quick.
- 3:39Speaker 2: With Texas, I think the areas that you can try
- 3:41Speaker 2: and expose are a young, new look offensive line, four
- 3:45Speaker 2: starters gone, So maybe the Ohigo State D line can
- 3:47Speaker 2: tee off on that and then their secondary loses a lot.
- 3:51Speaker 2: They lose the Thorpe winner with JADEB Barron gone and
- 3:53Speaker 2: a couple other starters, So maybe pick on that secondary.
- 3:57Speaker 2: That's just a quick view of it, but going to
- 3:58Speaker 2: be strength on strength, two blue blood programs going at it.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Well, I have done podcasting long enough to know that
- 4:05Speaker 1: if I can put arch Manning's name in the title,
- 4:08Speaker 1: we can probably get a bunch of extra clicks on
- 4:10Speaker 1: YouTube and on your podcast platform of choice. So let's
- 4:13Speaker 1: talk a little bit about arch Manning. This is a
- 4:16Speaker 1: game where your Ohio State has not officially announced its
- 4:19Speaker 1: starting quarterback, but the broad expectation is that it's going
- 4:22Speaker 1: to be Julian Say And who is one of those
- 4:23Speaker 1: former five star recruits that you were talking about. Arch
- 4:26Speaker 1: Manning is the other one on the other side of
- 4:28Speaker 1: the ball. You know he's going to be Texas's starter.
- 4:31Speaker 1: We saw him a little bit last year. He played
- 4:33Speaker 1: a little bit in the Cotton Bowl, played a little
- 4:35Speaker 1: bit of snap here or there in the SEC Championship
- 4:38Speaker 1: game in some of the earlier CFP games, but really
- 4:41Speaker 1: really didn't throw the ball much the back half of
- 4:44Speaker 1: the season, So I know there are people who view
- 4:46Speaker 1: him as an absolute sure thing. Where do you view
- 4:52Speaker 1: him where? What are your expectations for arch Manning this
- 4:55Speaker 1: season and especially in that first game on the road
- 4:58Speaker 1: in Columbus.
- 4:59Speaker 2: I'm pretty off domistic about him. We saw him at
- 5:02Speaker 2: times last year. I know it wasn't anything any critical situations,
- 5:05Speaker 2: but he had a couple starts back in September, got
- 5:08Speaker 2: some series here and there, and his stats were decent.
- 5:10Speaker 2: I mean it was a high ten point four yards
- 5:12Speaker 2: per attempt a QB rating that was on pace with
- 5:15Speaker 2: the leaders in the SEC. And again, small sample size,
- 5:18Speaker 2: but you're comparing that against Julian Sayan or Lincoln Clientholts,
- 5:22Speaker 2: who have very small sample sizes as well, if not
- 5:24Speaker 2: zero in the case of Sion. But but yeah, so
- 5:27Speaker 2: with arch Manning, I mean, we can't crown him the
- 5:29Speaker 2: Heisman all of a sudden. I see, he's the leader
- 5:31Speaker 2: in the preseason Heisman odds. Keep in mind that the
- 5:35Speaker 2: leader in the preseason Heisman odds, they have not won
- 5:37Speaker 2: the award in the last ten years, so don't put
- 5:39Speaker 2: too much stock in that. I think he'll be solid
- 5:42Speaker 2: and I think that he does bring some to the
- 5:44Speaker 2: short yardage game. I say that because Texas really struggled
- 5:47Speaker 2: in the short yardage. Again, we'll go back to that
- 5:50Speaker 2: Jack Sawyer first and goal from the one. You got
- 5:53Speaker 2: to be able to punch that in. But I think
- 5:54Speaker 2: with Manning with his legs, I think is going to
- 5:56Speaker 2: be an addition to them in short yardage at the
- 5:59Speaker 2: goal line and some third downs where he kentucky and run.
- 6:02Speaker 2: You didn't get that from yours, So you are going
- 6:04Speaker 2: to get a dual threat ability with Arch. But yeah,
- 6:07Speaker 2: the reason I'm drawn to Texas is really it's partly Arch,
- 6:10Speaker 2: but it's a lot of the rest of the roster.
- 6:11Speaker 2: Like we said, top recruiters, a lot of mock NFL
- 6:14Speaker 2: draft picks for next year. So yeah, a lot to
- 6:17Speaker 2: like around them, So it's not just the Arch story.
- 6:20Speaker 1: Well, you mentioned some of the diverging rankings among Texas
- 6:23Speaker 1: and Ohio State, and are they won two, are they
- 6:25Speaker 1: won three? The consensus obviously is these are two of
- 6:29Speaker 1: the very best teams in the country. You have them
- 6:32Speaker 1: two three, and that's because you've got Penn State number one,
- 6:35Speaker 1: and I can certainly look at twenty twenty three Michigan
- 6:38Speaker 1: and the sort of pattern that they followed in terms
- 6:41Speaker 1: of bringing back a bunch of guys who could have
- 6:43Speaker 1: gone to the NFL Draft and riding that to a
- 6:46Speaker 1: national championship in the Ohio State following the same formula
- 6:49Speaker 1: last year. It definitely feels like if it's going to
- 6:52Speaker 1: happen for Penn State, they sort of are using that
- 6:55Speaker 1: same formula this year, and it feels like if it's
- 6:58Speaker 1: going to happen for James Franklin at Penn State, this
- 7:01Speaker 1: would be the year it would happen.
- 7:03Speaker 3: Absolutely.
- 7:04Speaker 2: Yeah, Penn State enters as my number one team, not
- 7:07Speaker 2: only in the Big Ten, but my pick nationally as
- 7:09Speaker 2: number one. A lot to like you hit on some
- 7:11Speaker 2: key points there, very veteran. You know, you look in
- 7:14Speaker 2: January when players are deciding to go pro or come back.
- 7:18Speaker 3: Yes, they lost Abdul Carter.
- 7:19Speaker 2: They're doing all defensive end went number three overall, but
- 7:22Speaker 2: aside from that, most guys are back. A lot of
- 7:24Speaker 2: mid to late round draft grades decided to come back.
- 7:27Speaker 2: Run it back one last year in state college on offense,
- 7:30Speaker 2: Drew Aller, I know that he his last throw of
- 7:33Speaker 2: the season is what everyone remembers, but still a pretty
- 7:35Speaker 2: solid statistical year. He's drawing first round grades. The two
- 7:39Speaker 2: five star running backs in the backfield, Singleton and Allen.
- 7:42Speaker 2: It's going to be a Sammy Sosa Mark McGuire type
- 7:45Speaker 2: deal because they're both going to be chasing the all
- 7:47Speaker 2: time Penn State rushing record in November if they keep
- 7:50Speaker 2: up this pace. So that's something, you know, storyline within
- 7:53Speaker 2: the storyline. But yeah, they've got all the fundamentals. The
- 7:56Speaker 2: offensive line is stacked, the defense is stacked. And what
- 7:59Speaker 2: drew to Penn State even further is the brain power
- 8:02Speaker 2: at coordinator this time around. And everyone can critique James Franklin,
- 8:06Speaker 2: but he's got Cotolnecki calling the offense who did it
- 8:09Speaker 2: at Kansas, and then Jim Knowles, a guy obviously the
- 8:12Speaker 2: listeners here are familiar with really a defensive genius. Maybe
- 8:16Speaker 2: it might take an extra year for that defense to
- 8:17Speaker 2: get installed. I know there was some critique about that,
- 8:20Speaker 2: but a lot to like from the brain power of
- 8:23Speaker 2: the coordinators. And the last note on Penn State is,
- 8:26Speaker 2: you know, I look back at when they are favored,
- 8:28Speaker 2: when they have the talent advantage, which I think will
- 8:30Speaker 2: be every game outside of Columbus. They are number one
- 8:34Speaker 2: in the country the last three years against the spread
- 8:37Speaker 2: as the favorite seventy four percent covering, and then straight
- 8:40Speaker 2: up as the favorite the last three years thirty four
- 8:42Speaker 2: and two. So Franklin, to his credit, when he is favored,
- 8:46Speaker 2: when he has the talent, he does really well taking
- 8:48Speaker 2: care of business. So I see at least eleven and
- 8:50Speaker 2: one for them, And yeah, this is a little one
- 8:53Speaker 2: year opportunity for them because you catch Ohio State in
- 8:55Speaker 2: Oregon and a little bit of a transitional period. I
- 8:58Speaker 2: mean Ohio State sending fourteen draft picks and Oregon looking
- 9:01Speaker 2: really young but talented.
- 9:03Speaker 3: So I think it's a one year window for Penn
- 9:04Speaker 3: State to strike.
- 9:06Speaker 1: Now let's move on to everyone in Columbus's second favorite team,
- 9:09Speaker 1: the Michigan Wolverines. This is another intriguing year where they
- 9:13Speaker 1: had it. You know, they had the big step back
- 9:15Speaker 1: year last year after they lost all those guys to
- 9:18Speaker 1: the NFL, and you know, it looked like they were
- 9:21Speaker 1: going to have a completely lost season and then ended
- 9:23Speaker 1: up winning their last three games to go from five
- 9:24Speaker 1: and five to eight and five, and you know, really
- 9:27Speaker 1: really changed the trajectory of several teams seasons, including Ohio State,
- 9:32Speaker 1: what are you expecting from this from the Wolverines this year?
- 9:35Speaker 1: Because I know Bryce Underwood is an immensely talented quarterback, Bud,
- 9:40Speaker 1: He's a true freshman quarterback, and that's always a little
- 9:43Speaker 1: bit of a you know, there's always a little bit
- 9:44Speaker 1: of a sort of pause in your sentence there when
- 9:48Speaker 1: you get to it. There's an immensely talented true freshman quarterback,
- 9:52Speaker 1: and they have They've lost a lot of talent, a
- 9:55Speaker 1: lot of very talented players that midd the defensive line
- 9:57Speaker 1: and some other spots as well.
- 9:59Speaker 2: Yeah, so looking back on Michigan last year, they had
- 10:02Speaker 2: the strong defense, but the offense was just completely broken,
- 10:05Speaker 2: I mean, one of the worst in college football quarterback
- 10:08Speaker 2: spot mostly to blame. They go out They signed the
- 10:10Speaker 2: number one overall to be the number one overall prospect
- 10:13Speaker 2: in Bryce Underwood. So all their trips, all their trips
- 10:16Speaker 2: are on Bryce Underwood because I don't see much depth
- 10:19Speaker 2: behind him. Some reports out of spring ball and then
- 10:22Speaker 2: out of fall camp seems like a pretty empty roster spot.
- 10:25Speaker 2: They went and signed Jake Garcia as an insurance policy,
- 10:28Speaker 2: but I don't really know what they have there, So
- 10:30Speaker 2: it's still a question for me at quarterback. The reason
- 10:32Speaker 2: I still have Michigan in my national top twenty is
- 10:35Speaker 2: all about that defense again. And I know they lost
- 10:37Speaker 2: some draft picks, but they really backfield again. They're continuing
- 10:40Speaker 2: to recruit that side of the ball. The linebacking pair
- 10:43Speaker 2: is one of the best in the country. And then
- 10:45Speaker 2: here's the thing for you. The Senior Bowl such a
- 10:49Speaker 2: the East West Shrine Bowl, they put out a one
- 10:52Speaker 2: thousand player list and what that is is, you know,
- 10:55Speaker 2: every cycle, you have about two hundred and fifty draft
- 10:57Speaker 2: picks and then another seven hundred and fifty players that
- 11:00Speaker 2: are either free agents or invited to rookie mini camp,
- 11:03Speaker 2: so basically an extended NFL draft watch list. They've got
- 11:07Speaker 2: ten starters on their defense on the watch list for
- 11:09Speaker 2: next year's draft, so it is loaded again on defense.
- 11:14Speaker 2: That's why I'm sticking with them in the top twenty.
- 11:17Speaker 2: But the offense does remain a question, especially a quarterback.
- 11:20Speaker 2: It's so hard to come in as a true freshman.
- 11:22Speaker 2: Think back to last year. The eighteen year old true
- 11:24Speaker 2: freshmans that started it was really Rayola. I think Aiden Chiles,
- 11:29Speaker 2: he might have been a red shirt that's within the
- 11:31Speaker 2: Big ten foot print. But then you got to go nationally.
- 11:33Speaker 2: Maybe DJ Lagway. He only played a couple of games.
- 11:36Speaker 2: He was solid, but was injured. So it's really hard.
- 11:39Speaker 2: I mean, it's a rare sample size to come in
- 11:41Speaker 2: as an eighteen year old, especially at one of these.
- 11:42Speaker 3: Blue blood programs.
- 11:44Speaker 2: So it still remains a question on that side.
- 11:47Speaker 1: Before I was going to ask you about Illinois, but
- 11:49Speaker 1: you mentioned Oregon earlier. So I do want to hit
- 11:51Speaker 1: the Oregon Ducks real quickly because it feels like they
- 11:54Speaker 1: were one of those teams that you could have looked
- 11:56Speaker 1: at last year and said this is their year, and
- 11:58Speaker 1: they certainly went through most of the year with it
- 12:00Speaker 1: looking like their year. They beat Ohio State by one
- 12:02Speaker 1: at home, they win the Big Ten and of the
- 12:04Speaker 1: CFP as the number one seed, and then I think
- 12:07Speaker 1: everyone who's probably watching this knows exactly what happened out
- 12:10Speaker 1: in Pasady into California. Is this a little bit of
- 12:13Speaker 1: a step back year for the Ducks? And if so,
- 12:16Speaker 1: how big a step back? Because it feels like this
- 12:19Speaker 1: is a program that at this point may be talented
- 12:21Speaker 1: enough that they are still in the college football playoff picture,
- 12:25Speaker 1: even if it is a little bit of a step
- 12:27Speaker 1: back season.
- 12:28Speaker 2: Yeah, The Oregon discussion is really fascinating because last year
- 12:31Speaker 2: and this year it's all about the playoff structure. And
- 12:33Speaker 2: now I say that because last year they went thirteen
- 12:36Speaker 2: to zero. I mean they were the only team undefeated
- 12:39Speaker 2: when all the dust settled there. They were the team
- 12:42Speaker 2: the prior one hundred and thirty years of college football,
- 12:44Speaker 2: they would have either been playing in the Rose Bowl
- 12:46Speaker 2: with a win and in you know, if you win
- 12:48Speaker 2: the Rosebowl, you're a national champion, or being that one
- 12:50Speaker 2: versus two BCS title game, So that would have or
- 12:54Speaker 2: could have been their first national title school history. Instead,
- 12:57Speaker 2: it times up with the twelve team or back into
- 13:00Speaker 2: that bracket, they run into an NFL machine Ohio State,
- 13:03Speaker 2: and we all know what happened there. So it hurt
- 13:05Speaker 2: them last year. The playoff structure, now I will say
- 13:08Speaker 2: it actually benefits them this year coming around because it's
- 13:11Speaker 2: a very young team, it's a very talented team. I
- 13:14Speaker 2: don't see them going twelve and zero. So again, in
- 13:16Speaker 2: the old system, there's no way this is a national
- 13:18Speaker 2: title contender. But in a twelve team bracket, I see
- 13:21Speaker 2: them going something like ten and two, probably losing that
- 13:24Speaker 2: white out at Penn State and maybe dropping another game somewhere,
- 13:27Speaker 2: but still making the bracket as a ten and two
- 13:29Speaker 2: at large. And now when you're talking twelve thirteen, fourteen
- 13:33Speaker 2: games in, they're going to be a lot more experienced.
- 13:36Speaker 2: They're no longer the young team. They're just a really
- 13:38Speaker 2: talented team. So I see them rounding into form come
- 13:41Speaker 2: bracket time and being a tough out in that bracket.
- 13:44Speaker 2: And I put this in the book, and it's funny.
- 13:46Speaker 2: I was on Oregon Radio and I dropped this. I said,
- 13:48Speaker 2: Oregon's my national title pick. I paused way too long.
- 13:51Speaker 2: I said, in twenty twenty six, I think next year
- 13:54Speaker 2: is the year for them. They're really building towards that.
- 13:57Speaker 2: And I'll leave you with this is that when you
- 13:59Speaker 2: look at recruiting ranks and the transfer ranks, if you
- 14:02Speaker 2: do it per player, you know, look at the average
- 14:04Speaker 2: rating per player, Oregon was actually number one in the
- 14:07Speaker 2: high school ranks and number one on the transfer portal
- 14:10Speaker 2: last year. So a new caliber of athlete is coming
- 14:13Speaker 2: up to Eugene. It might take till twenty twenty six
- 14:16Speaker 2: the cash in, but they are they're rebuilding quickly.
- 14:20Speaker 1: Yeah, they feel like they might be the next one
- 14:22Speaker 1: on that Michigan, Ohio State, Penn State, Oregon. Potential cycle
- 14:27Speaker 1: there of teams where oldest stars are potentially aligning. There
- 14:30Speaker 1: doesn't mean you win. Lots of teams that thought they
- 14:35Speaker 1: maybe had a chance last year that didn't end up winning.
- 14:36Speaker 1: But yeah, certainly, certainly in that conversation. One team that
- 14:40Speaker 1: feels like it's in the conversation for the CFP, you know,
- 14:43Speaker 1: at least in terms of getting in this year. Maybe
- 14:46Speaker 1: sort of the Indiana role from twenty twenty four is Illinois.
- 14:50Speaker 1: They're a team that won ten games last year, including
- 14:52Speaker 1: the Bowl win over South Carolina. And I was thinking, Okay,
- 14:56Speaker 1: I wonder where Brett has them predicting the Big ten
- 14:59Speaker 1: and aging through and it's no, not first, not second,
- 15:02Speaker 1: not third, And you keep going, you keep going. Well,
- 15:05Speaker 1: you have them thirty second in the nation among the
- 15:08Speaker 1: Power five teams and well outside of the College Football
- 15:12Speaker 1: Playoff picture. And I read the reasoning and I thought, oh, yeah,
- 15:15Speaker 1: you know what, that makes a lot of sense. So
- 15:17Speaker 1: why are you maybe not quite as ready to crown
- 15:21Speaker 1: Brett Beilama a College Football Playoff participant, as a lot
- 15:24Speaker 1: of other folks.
- 15:25Speaker 2: Are well every year doing the preview magazine I always
- 15:28Speaker 2: upset a couple fan bases, and this year I'm not
- 15:30Speaker 2: making many friends in Champagne, Illinois, that's for sure.
- 15:34Speaker 3: But yeah, here's the deal.
- 15:35Speaker 2: Last year it was a special season. My hat's off
- 15:37Speaker 2: to Brett Bielima. He grinded out ten wins with this roster,
- 15:40Speaker 2: a lot of one score games against some bad opponents.
- 15:42Speaker 2: Though you're looking at fifty to forty nine win over Purdue,
- 15:46Speaker 2: they survived against the worst team in the country. You know,
- 15:49Speaker 2: one score games against Rutgers Northwestern was a ten pointer,
- 15:54Speaker 2: Brett Nebraska was a touchdown, Kansas with a touchdown, So
- 15:57Speaker 2: you know, long story short. When I look at my
- 15:58Speaker 2: advanced metrics advanced stats, this did not look like a
- 16:01Speaker 2: ten win team at all. You're looking at a bottom ten, sorry,
- 16:05Speaker 2: bottom ten defense for my adjusted numbers, about middle of
- 16:08Speaker 2: the pack offense, and then the game greader. Last year,
- 16:11Speaker 2: my overall formula thirty fifth out of sixty eight, below
- 16:14Speaker 2: average in the Power four. So that is a serious
- 16:17Speaker 2: red flag if I'm trying to project forward to twenty
- 16:20Speaker 2: twenty five, and the counter is always, hey, they returned
- 16:23Speaker 2: twenty starters, that's great, But I think that this roster
- 16:26Speaker 2: with those same starters. I think they already peaked last year.
- 16:29Speaker 2: I don't know how much more you could get out
- 16:30Speaker 2: of them win loss wise. So with a tougher schedule draw,
- 16:34Speaker 2: I see them going something like seven and five, eight
- 16:36Speaker 2: and four, and that would project them in the middle
- 16:39Speaker 2: of the pack in the Big Ten.
- 16:40Speaker 3: I've got them ninth in the Big Ten.
- 16:42Speaker 2: And you mentioned thirty second nationally, so I see a
- 16:45Speaker 2: big step back in the win loss column, and you
- 16:48Speaker 2: know it's going against the grain.
- 16:49Speaker 3: The coaches poll have them twelve. I've got them ninth
- 16:52Speaker 3: in the Big Ten.
- 16:54Speaker 1: Yeah. Those are always the really interesting ones where you're
- 16:57Speaker 1: a little bit of an outlier on someone and you're
- 16:59Speaker 1: either going to look real smart or other people are
- 17:01Speaker 1: going to look real smart later in the year.
- 17:03Speaker 3: Yep.
- 17:04Speaker 1: What are you know? Is there another program or two
- 17:07Speaker 1: that you're either much higher on than the national consensus
- 17:10Speaker 1: or maybe much lower on, whether that's in the Big
- 17:12Speaker 1: ten or anywhere in the country.
- 17:14Speaker 2: Yeah, well, this Big twelve is pretty fascinating. I mean,
- 17:17Speaker 2: you saw media days. Their coaches did a poll and
- 17:20Speaker 2: they picked Kansas State versus Iowa State as their projected
- 17:23Speaker 2: championship game in the Big Twelve. In the book here,
- 17:25Speaker 2: I've got them outside my top five in the conference.
- 17:28Speaker 2: I have Kansas State six, Iowa State seventh in that conference.
- 17:31Speaker 2: That's how wide open it is.
- 17:33Speaker 3: Team.
- 17:33Speaker 2: I'm pretty high ons Texas Tech, and of course they
- 17:36Speaker 2: were one of the storylines of the offseason. They rallied
- 17:38Speaker 2: up all their their boosters, their alumni, all that oil
- 17:41Speaker 2: money out in West Texas. They went and signed the
- 17:44Speaker 2: number one transfer class in the country and they signed
- 17:47Speaker 2: twelve Blue Chippers this cycle. That's more than the rest
- 17:50Speaker 2: of the Big Twelve combined. So I think you have
- 17:52Speaker 2: a serious talent infusion there in Lubbock, and that's going
- 17:55Speaker 2: to be enough in a tight conference to get them
- 17:57Speaker 2: to the title game, the Big Twelve title game. So
- 18:00Speaker 2: higher on Texas Tech. Additionally, higher on Baylor and TCU
- 18:03Speaker 2: than most I saw the AP came out and neither
- 18:06Speaker 2: Baylor nor TCU or ranked. I've got them both ranked
- 18:09Speaker 2: and really competing for a Big Twelve as well. So
- 18:12Speaker 2: I see kind of the power returning to the state
- 18:14Speaker 2: of Texas with the event within that conference, along with
- 18:17Speaker 2: Arizona State.
- 18:18Speaker 3: So I would give you those two. We're selling Illinois
- 18:21Speaker 3: big time.
- 18:21Speaker 2: We talked about that selling SMU that's a team everyone
- 18:25Speaker 2: has contending for the ACC. I don't see it special
- 18:28Speaker 2: run last year. But if you're looking at recruiting trends,
- 18:31Speaker 2: transfer trends, they don't really stack up. So I'm selling
- 18:34Speaker 2: them outside my top twenty five. So those are some outliers.
- 18:38Speaker 2: And yeah, those are the interesting cases. But it's a
- 18:41Speaker 2: wide open field in the Big twelve, wide open nationally,
- 18:43Speaker 2: you could argue probably ten teams to win the national title,
- 18:46Speaker 2: which is fun.
- 18:47Speaker 1: Yeah, it should be. It should be a really fun year,
- 18:50Speaker 1: a great time too. I will once again give it
- 18:52Speaker 1: a plug. Pick six Previews there is every single year.
- 18:56Speaker 1: Let people know where they can get a copy. And
- 18:58Speaker 1: also I just got an email in my inbox that
- 19:01Speaker 1: I'm intrigued by about Pick six plus. Let people know
- 19:03Speaker 1: about that as well.
- 19:05Speaker 3: Yeah, thanks so much, Tom. Again, I'll always love our chat.
- 19:07Speaker 2: In the preseason, we got to see how the shakes
- 19:09Speaker 2: out come on November and December, see how I stood
- 19:12Speaker 2: with the predictions. But yeah, the magazine, it's Pick Sixpreviews
- 19:15Speaker 2: dot Com, Pick six Previews on Twitter, and yeah, it's
- 19:18Speaker 2: a fourteenth annual.
- 19:19Speaker 3: What it is, it's a one man show. It's me.
- 19:21Speaker 2: I'm doing all sixty eight Power four teams. The claim
- 19:24Speaker 2: to fame is that over the last ten years and
- 19:27Speaker 2: the last five year intervals, I'm the number one great
- 19:29Speaker 2: prediction magazine in the country. So you know, the accuracy
- 19:33Speaker 2: title is there, talking to head coaches, talking to coordinators.
- 19:36Speaker 2: Putting it into a readable format. I think it's important too.
- 19:40Speaker 2: No acronyms, no abbreviations, no jargon.
- 19:42Speaker 3: It's it's readable.
- 19:43Speaker 2: You know you're going to learn about every program in here,
- 19:45Speaker 2: so courage you go check that out. We have it
- 19:47Speaker 2: as a digital product and the hard copy magazine that
- 19:50Speaker 2: Tom just showed off their spiral bound which everyone loves,
- 19:54Speaker 2: and yeah.
- 19:54Speaker 3: So I'm glad you brought that up with Pick six plus.
- 19:57Speaker 2: So everything you love from the preview magazine and more
- 20:00Speaker 2: is now going to be coming in season. So the
- 20:02Speaker 2: idea is that every Tuesday from Week one through the playoffs,
- 20:06Speaker 2: it'll hit your email inbox. Every team has a page
- 20:09Speaker 2: and it's got everything. It's got all my advanced stats,
- 20:11Speaker 2: all my numbers, but then also more of the against
- 20:14Speaker 2: the spread stuff, you know, game logs, situational splits, how
- 20:18Speaker 2: a team is as a favorite, how they are off
- 20:20Speaker 2: a buy, you know, any kind of angles that way,
- 20:22Speaker 2: my game, greater formula projection for a line, you know,
- 20:25Speaker 2: predictions that way, talent profiles, schedules, everything you could ask for.
- 20:30Speaker 2: Because I find that once the season kicks off, it's
- 20:33Speaker 2: sixty games all at once. I have like sixty tabs
- 20:36Speaker 2: open on my laptop. It's impossible to follow. So I
- 20:39Speaker 2: wanted to make it readable way. Everything you want about
- 20:41Speaker 2: Ohio State or your opponent coming off is on one page.
- 20:44Speaker 3: You can find all the relevant info.
- 20:46Speaker 2: So yeah, go check out a sample there. Pick sixpreviews
- 20:48Speaker 2: dot Com slash plus. You'll see it on there big pdf.
- 20:52Speaker 2: I've got in there to check it out, So yeah,
- 20:54Speaker 2: thanks for bringing that up. I'm really excited to launch it.
- 20:56Speaker 1: All right, So there you go, pick Sixpreviews dot Com
- 20:58Speaker 1: and pick Sixpreviews dot Com slash plus. So make sure
- 21:02Speaker 1: you do check that out because it is a product
- 21:04Speaker 1: I truly do believe in, something I enjoy getting every year,
- 21:07Speaker 1: and if I can't find it, it's usually because my
- 21:10Speaker 1: twelve year old son has taken it and is deep
- 21:12Speaker 1: doing a deep dive on some team in the mountain
- 21:15Speaker 1: in the Big twelve over the acc or whatever it is.
- 21:19Speaker 1: So really appreciate Brett coming on and giving us a
- 21:22Speaker 1: little bit of national insight on where things stand with
- 21:24Speaker 1: some of the teams on the Buckeye schedule and some
- 21:26Speaker 1: teams of interest for the Buckeyes. You're gonna have plenty
- 21:28Speaker 1: more to talk about about that and everything else as
- 21:31Speaker 1: we count down the days to that Texas game. You
- 21:33Speaker 1: can do that all at buckeyehuddle dot com. That's where
- 21:35Speaker 1: we have our whole team of insiders covering the Buckeyes,
- 21:37Speaker 1: covering recruitering, covering x's and o's, and much more.
- 21:41Speaker 3: You can find it.
- 21:41Speaker 1: All at Buckeye huddle dot com. That'll do it for today.
- 21:44Speaker 1: Thank you guys all for joining us.
- 21:45Speaker 3: Have a great day.
- 21:46Speaker 1: We'll talk to you tomorrow.