Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 221 - 2/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 221 - 2/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 221 of the All Systems Go sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone happy
0:35
Thirsty Thursday. Our work week is coming to an
0:38
end, but we got a couple days left here before the weekend,
0:41
hopefully continue our hot streak.
0:44
Now looking toward today guys, I have another 3 pack of college
0:47
basketball plays for you all three very short money line
0:50
plays or I guess one's a little bit more expensive, but as
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always, 3 plays. Let's try to eke out A2 in one
0:56
night and produce a winning night, which is our goal.
0:59
But then also I wanted to talk a little bit about the Four
1:02
Nations final tonight, which is obviously USA, Canada.
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I can tell you guys just from being around Boston, I live
1:09
about 20 minutes, no, probably like 30 minutes from downtown
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Boston and it is taking Boston by storm.
1:15
I mean, these ticket prices are ridiculous, upwards of like
1:19
$1000 to get in for tonight's game.
1:21
And there is a ton on the line, bragging rights, of course, the
1:25
rivalry of USA and Canada. It's basically a coin flip game.
1:29
So I'm going to give you some thoughts on on the Four Nations
1:32
final here for tonight. But then we got to see if we can
1:35
produce another winning night guys because we went two and one
1:38
yesterday plus 0.4 units. I will take it every time.
1:42
And when you look in the Sports Betting Hall of Fame, there's
1:46
going to be a little picture of the Mizzou Tigers because Oh my
1:50
God, did Missouri come through for the team last night.
1:54
I would argue again, a Hall of Fame wiseguy play because we
1:57
were talking about Alabama and Missouri and how basically
2:00
everybody and their mother was on Alabama.
2:02
Upwards of 8590% of tickets were on Bama.
2:06
But yet Missouri was basically a pick em.
2:09
Missouri flipped to 1 1/2 point home favorite.
2:11
And we said, of course, going into a bet, it's OK being
2:14
nervous, feeling, feeling like it's going to be a, you know, a,
2:18
a dogfight. And pretty much every bet is
2:20
like that unless you get a very nice rocking chair winner.
2:23
But the fact that Mizzou came through for the team, that was
2:27
just beautiful. I mean, that's why you bet on
2:30
sports. That's why you're a data-driven
2:32
better. Because all I heard all day was.
2:34
What's up with the line? The wrong team is favored.
2:37
Bama won't lose two in a row. There's no way they'll lose two
2:39
in a row. They're the better team.
2:41
They. Got to win, but what did we do?
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We stuck to the model, the data, the market and the market told
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us even though everyone was playing Bama, the line went to
2:50
Mizzou. So talk about a Hall of Fame
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reverse line move fade, the trendy dog play.
2:56
That was just fantastic to see Mizzou just play lights out.
2:59
I mean, they were just fantastic throughout that game.
3:01
Got a little close at the end, but Mizzou, that was, that was
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one of the, I would argue that was one of the best winners that
3:07
we've had this year in college basketball, just because it
3:09
seemed so fishy, so improbable, and yet we didn't fall into the,
3:13
the herd mentality, the trap of you got to play Bama.
3:15
We, we stuck to our, our principles and cashed a huge
3:18
data-driven bet on Mizzou. Now, aside from Mizzou, also got
3:21
Boise State. That one was nice because didn't
3:23
have to sweat that one too much. It was, I don't know, they're
3:25
probably a few at half and then really rolled in the
3:27
second-half. And the only loser was Nebraska,
3:30
which again, they were like -1 1/2.
3:32
They closed at -2 at some shops. They just played the worst first
3:36
half I've seen in quite a while. They just could not make a shot
3:39
in Penn State was unconscious. But either way, guys buoyed by
3:42
Mizzou and Boise, another winning night there.
3:44
So let's see if we can keep it going for for tonight.
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Now, before we get to college basketball, as I mentioned, 3
3:50
plays overall. I just want you to want to
3:52
mention a little bit just some thoughts about the Four Nations
3:56
final tonight because again, if you haven't been paying
3:58
attention, this was a mid season tournament that to me, I didn't
4:02
know what to expect. It kind of caught up to me or
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you know, caught me, caught me off guard because it wasn't
4:08
something that I really look forward to.
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I didn't really know what it would be like.
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Would it be like an All Star game, the Olympics, you know,
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somewhere in between. But this thing, the NH LS got to
4:16
be hot, got to be really happy and just hockey in general has
4:19
got to be ecstatic because if you've been watching any of
4:22
these games, they've been unbelievable.
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These guys care. USA Canada is the championship
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game here tonight at the TD Garden in Boston.
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So I can just tell you the vibe on the ground.
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I got friends who are going to the game and are spending a lot
4:34
of money to do so. My dad obviously is a huge, if
4:38
you didn't know, he's a huge hockey guy.
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He was born in Bethesda, MD and moved to Boston when he was like
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21 years old and he knew nothing about hockey and fell in love
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with Bobby Orr and Phil Esposito.
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So he raised me to be a die hard Bruins fan, but he is super into
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this matchup. And you've seen today on
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Twitter, you know a lot of the 1980 Miracle on Ice, you know,
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the Herb Brooks speech, you know, tonight we skate with
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them. Tonight we beat him.
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And tonight we shut them down because tonight we're the
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greatest hockey team in the world.
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So all that being said, you're like Josh, OK, you're giving me
5:11
a lot of insights. This is a betting podcast.
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What's your play? I'm going to tell you one thing
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tonight, guys, I'm not betting on this game.
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I'm watching this game as a fan. I'm rooting for Team USA.
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The reason why I'm not betting it is because #1 it's a
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difficult handicap. It's basically a pick em.
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It's -110 both sides. You saw some books open a little
5:32
bit in favor of USA, like -120 ish -115 down to -110 So it's
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basically a coin flip game. And really, what makes a
5:41
difficult handicap to me is, on the one hand, you know, USA is
5:45
kind of the bigger, tougher team, but they have a big
5:48
injury. Charlie McAvoy is out, which
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stinks for me as a Bruins fan. The Bruins are actually really
5:53
mad. They feel like Team USA screwed
5:55
up the injury. But then you have Kale Makar
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coming back for Team Canada. And Kale Makar did not play in
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that first game when USA beat Canada.
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So I feel like Canada is the healthier, better team.
6:07
But the other difficult handicap here is the goaltending.
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I don't trust Jordan Bennington, do you?
6:12
I think Connor Hellebuck is the advantage here in net for Team
6:16
USA. Obviously there's questions
6:18
about what's going to go on with the anthem.
6:19
Will one will Canada Boo USA will USA Boo Canada?
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You pay for the tickets, you do whatever you want, but I I would
6:26
cheer for both teams. That's just my personal opinion.
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But Long story short guys, I find no edge.
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This is literally a coin flip game and if I take USAI feel
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like I'm injecting my patriotism and playing them just because I
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want them to win and that goes against my data-driven
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contrarian philosophy. If I take Canada and USA wins,
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I'll be annoyed that USA won and I bet against them.
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So this is just one of those sporting events where if you're
6:52
playing it, I wish you the best of luck.
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You know, I feel like I lean a little bit toward Canada just
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because they're healthier, but I don't trust their goaltending.
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So I'm going to watch this thing as a just hockey fan, not a
7:03
sports better tonight. And I would also mention the
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total, you know, it does look like it's a pretty sharp under,
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like it's a very low total. It's 5 1/2 and it's really
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juiced up under 5 1/2. Like -130 So I entertain maybe
7:18
just take the under and root for a lower scoring game.
7:20
Maybe USA, you know, wins three to two or something like that.
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But it's pretty juiced up. And I would lean a little bit
7:26
toward kind of the Game 7 under betting system or trend.
7:29
You typically see an elimination games, championship games, you
7:33
see lower scoring, you know, final games because you know,
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teams basically there's so much on the line, they're going to
7:38
take less chances, they're going to play a little bit tighter.
7:41
But then I had a couple people I respect that like the over 5 1/2
7:45
at like, you know, plus one O 5 + 110.
7:48
So Long story short, I've had a lot of people reach out and say,
7:50
what are you doing for this game, guys?
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I know it's a betting podcast. Maybe you feel like I'm being a
7:55
cop out here, but I'm just watching this game rooting for
7:58
team USAI. Got no action on this other than
8:02
being a fan and die hard lover of the sport of hockey.
8:06
So just wanted to wanted to mention that at the outset.
8:08
And again, it's a pick em game so I really can't fault you
8:12
whichever direction you go in. With that being said, now I got
8:15
some plays for you, let's get right back to some college
8:18
hoops. Who's loving college hoops?
8:21
So 3 pack overall guys. First one on the board for me,
8:24
7:00 game. This is UTEP against Kennesaw
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State. Now going into it we have UTEP
8:30
17 and 8 on the year. They just saw their two game win
8:32
streak however come to an end. They lost to Liberty 76 to 69.
8:37
Did not cover as a 1 1/2 point home dog.
8:39
Meanwhile, Kennesaw 15 and 11 on the year, but they have dropped
8:42
two of their last three, just fell to Sam Houston 78 to 76.
8:47
They did cover though as a 2 1/2 point Rd. dog.
8:50
So what have we seen across the market here?
8:52
Well, in a night with a lot of college hoops action, there's
8:54
like 53 games to choose from. This is one of the lower back
8:57
games, yet we've seen a pretty sharp move in favor of Kennesaw
9:01
State. Kennesaw State open this game as
9:04
around a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
9:06
And now I've seen Kennesaw move up to -3 1/2.
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And one thing I've noticed since early afternoon to later
9:12
afternoon is that the juice has only increased on Kennesaw state
9:16
-3 1/2 -, 115. I see one book even going to
9:19
four. So it's been pretty clearly 1
9:21
sided in favor of smart money playing Kennesaw State at home.
9:26
Now if you look at DraftKings, pretty good bet split on
9:28
Kennesaw State. The Owls, by the way, they're
9:30
getting 60% of spread bets, but 84% of spread dollars.
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So a really good low bets, higher dollars bet split and
9:38
again, 60% and 84% and a relatively low bet game tells me
9:42
majority smart money here really coinciding with that line move
9:46
going toward Kennesaw State. Now, Ken Palm as Kennesaw
9:49
winning by three points. So you want to lay a 3 1/2?
9:52
And again, we saw this with Boise last night.
9:54
Like I paid kind of an expensive -190 they rolled in one by like
9:58
10 or 11. So that's always your option.
10:01
But I'm the type of person who'd rather be a little safe than
10:04
sorry. So I money line Kennesaw State.
10:06
I got them at -175 on the money line, Kennesaw does have a few
10:11
advantages here that I'll bank on.
10:12
One is the better offensive rebound percentage, 34% versus
10:16
24%. That's a pretty big edge.
10:19
Also, if you look at limiting their opponents to a better
10:22
effective field goal percentage, like playing better defense,
10:25
making it difficult on your opponent.
10:27
Kennesaw State ranks 61st in the country.
10:29
UTEP ranks 219. Also, just rebounding in
10:33
general, offensive and defensive.
10:35
You know, typically when you out rebound your opponent, that's
10:37
most of the time a recipe for for success.
10:40
But Kennesaw State averages 42 rebounds per game.
10:44
The UTEP Miners average 30 rebounds per game.
10:47
So hopefully we can dominate on the boards tonight.
10:50
Of course, home Rd. you saw the Mizzou crowd going nuts last
10:53
night. And if you watch the Boise State
10:55
game, same thing. But I'd love to be on a sharp
10:58
side with the home crowd in my favor because I think it does
11:01
make a difference in college much more than the pros.
11:03
But Kennesaw State, 11:00 and 2:00 at home this year, they've
11:06
played pretty well. UTEP four and four on the road.
11:09
And then also, I'll throw this at you a little bit of a revenge
11:12
angle because Kennesaw State lost to UTEP earlier this year.
11:16
It was in late January. They lost 73 to 71 on the road,
11:21
so they played them close on the road.
11:23
Now you're at home. It's also a little fishy because
11:25
UTEP has a better record, yet Kennesaw has the line move in
11:28
their favor. It doesn't hurt that our friends
11:31
at Rhythm have Kennesaw state -3.1.
11:34
So I'm playing Kennesaw State here, hopefully start our night
11:36
off with the winner. I got Kennesaw State on the
11:39
money line at -175 next bet for you, Tennessee Martin and
11:46
Tennessee Tech. There's an 830 game here
11:49
tonight, a very, very low back game.
11:50
So of course line movement is important to me now.
11:53
Tennessee Martin, 12 and 16 just saw their three-game win streak
11:56
come to an end. Don't remind me.
11:58
I played them like an idiot on the pod the other night.
12:01
They were just terrible. Which actually makes me excited
12:03
to bet against them tonight. Hint hint.
12:05
I like Tennessee Tech, but they lost to Tennessee State 86 to
12:08
75, losing outright as a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
12:12
Meanwhile, Tennessee Tech 13 and 14 on the air.
12:15
They've lost three of their last four.
12:16
Just fell to Southeast Missouri State, 83 to 69.
12:20
Did not cover as a 6 1/2 point Rd. dog.
12:22
So what do you see across the market here?
12:24
Well, this game opened Tennessee Tech listed as a short 1 1/2
12:28
point home favorite. And it's pretty clear in one of
12:31
the lowest bet games of the night.
12:33
So this is not an added game extra game.
12:34
It's just a it's game 780-9790. But it's still very low bet in
12:38
terms of popularity. But we've seen one way movement
12:42
in favor of Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech opened -1 1/2
12:46
juiced up. Now they're -2 some shops even
12:49
up to 2 1/2. So it's been pretty one way in
12:51
favor of Tennessee Tech. If you look at DraftKings,
12:54
pretty good bet split on Tennessee Tech, 68% of spread
12:57
bets, 80% of spread dollars, and again, extremely low bet game.
13:02
So 60% would technically be public, but I try to make this
13:06
point all the time. Even though that's a majority of
13:08
tickets, it's a low bet game. So it's coming from a much
13:11
smaller share of betters and doesn't really involve public
13:14
bias. Ken Palm does have Tennessee
13:16
Tech winning by three. So if you want to lay two 2 1/2,
13:19
save some juice. I hope you win, but this is a
13:22
money line play for me because I've been clipped many times
13:24
before laying a, you know, two, 2 1/2 and they win by one or
13:28
two. So I got Tennessee Tech on the
13:31
money line at -130. Also you look at Tennessee Tech,
13:35
a few advantages here. The better effective field goal
13:38
percentage, 51% versus 47%, better three-point shooting, 36%
13:43
versus 31%, better free throw shooting, 72% versus 70%.
13:48
If you remember those of you who are with me and played UT Martin
13:52
the other night, they could not make any free throws.
13:54
Hopefully that continues here tonight.
13:56
But then also the Golden Eagles of Tennessee Tech.
13:58
They take better care of the ball.
13:59
They ranked two, 211 in the country in turnover percentage.
14:03
Might not sound great, but Tennessee Martin is one of the
14:05
worst. They ranked 319.
14:08
Another angle here that's hopefully to our advantage, a
14:11
really big rest first tired advantage in favor of Tennessee
14:14
Tech Tennessee Tech hasn't played since February 15th.
14:18
They've been off 5 days. Tennessee Martin last played
14:20
February 18th a couple nights ago.
14:23
Also Home Rd. Doesn't hurt that Tennessee Tech
14:26
is 7 and three at home this year.
14:28
Tennessee Martin 5:00 and 11:00 on the road.
14:31
And our friends at Rhythm have Tennessee Tech favored by about
14:35
just one point, so it's not huge there.
14:37
But again, Ken Palm has the winning by three.
14:40
It's a low bet, obscure, sharp line move and maybe I'm letting
14:44
my bias seep in, but I really want to beat UT Martin because I
14:47
wanted to gouge my eyes out betting on them the other night.
14:50
And hopefully we can take advantage and and beat them, get
14:53
some get some reverse revenge here tonight.
14:55
So I like Tennessee Tech to hopefully win this game.
14:58
Got them at -130 last bit of the night, 9:00 PM Eastern Time,
15:03
Portland State and Idaho State. Portland State comes in 16 and
15:07
10 on the year. They've won two in a row, just
15:09
held off Northern Colorado, 82 to 71 easily covered as a 1 1/2
15:13
point home favorite. Meanwhile, Idaho State 11 and 13
15:17
on the year, they've dropped three of four, just lost to
15:19
Montana State, 74 to 69, didn't cover as a 3 1/2 point Rd. dog.
15:24
So what have you seen across the market here?
15:26
Well, this game open Idaho State listed as a 1 1/2 point home
15:30
favorite. And right off the bat, that
15:32
opening line is meaningful to me because Idaho State is a below
15:36
500 team and they dropped three of four, yet they're favored
15:40
over Portland State, who's 16 and 10 and is 1/2 in a row.
15:43
Again, that's fishy in favor of Idaho State.
15:46
So wise guys have embraced that fishy play.
15:49
They've gotten down on Idaho State.
15:51
They open up -1 1/2 -, 110. Now they're juiced up -1 1/2 -,
15:56
115. And a lot of books are now up to
15:58
-2 So it's been pretty much one way movement in favor of Idaho
16:02
State. Now you look at the bet splits
16:04
here. They look really good on Idaho
16:06
State at both DraftKings and Circa.
16:08
At DraftKings, Idaho State is getting 68% of spread bets but
16:12
89% of spread dollars. Out in Vegas At Circa, Idaho
16:16
State, 60% of bets, 74% of spread dollars.
16:21
So both the National DraftKings public book and Circa Sharp Book
16:25
in Vegas both really good splits in favor of the home team, Idaho
16:29
State. Now Ken Palm only has Idaho
16:32
State winning by 1, so you guys know the drill.
16:35
Money line play for me. I got Idaho State around -130
16:39
pretty good split here on the they're called the Bengals.
16:42
The Idaho State Bengals 57% of money line bets, 70% of money
16:47
line dollars at DraftKings. And a couple things to bank on
16:50
with Idaho State, even though they have the worst record of
16:53
the two teams, they have the better offensive efficiency, 211
16:57
versus 258, offensive rebound percentage, 39% versus 34%, and
17:02
a big edge at free throw shooting, 73% versus only 64%.
17:07
And also they do a better job of limiting offensive rebounds.
17:10
If you give up offensive boards, it's demoralizing.
17:14
It leads to put back opportunities.
17:16
You want to not give up offensive rebounds and they are
17:19
pretty good at that. They ranked 41st in the country
17:21
versus Portland State. That gives up a lot of offensive
17:24
boards. They ranked 272nd.
17:27
The Bengals also, as I mentioned, Fishy by low value
17:30
favorite on a losing streak with a losing record against the sell
17:33
high Dog on the road with a winning streak and a winning
17:37
record. Idaho State, by the way, eight
17:39
and three at home this year. Portland State 5:00 and 8:00 on
17:42
the road. Lastly, our friends at Rhythm,
17:44
Ken Palm only has Idaho State winning by one, but Rhythm has
17:48
Idaho State -2.1. So I'm going Idaho State late
17:52
night. Let's go Bengals on the money
17:55
line at -130 so Kennesaw State, Tennessee Tech and Idaho State,
18:00
3 money lines. Let's try to go 2 and one and
18:02
keep our winning streak going. So that about does it for
18:06
episode 221 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
18:10
powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
18:12
where we wrap things up. And I start first by saying
18:15
thank you. Thank you for taking the time
18:17
out of your busy lives and your busy day to devote 30 minutes or
18:20
so to hopefully spacing out. And whether you come to the pod
18:24
with, you know, a notebook with with some plays, or maybe you
18:28
had no time to look at the board, the fact that you pull up
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a chair to the virtual bar and gather around and and breakdown
18:33
sharp plays with me, it really means a lot.
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So thank you for tuning in. If you do enjoy the pod and you
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want to help me grow the pod, please do me a big favor.
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Give this podcast a five star review.
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If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, click the five stars.
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If there's an option to leave a nice comment, that would also
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make my day. If you also want to click the
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follow button or recommend it to a friend, that would be
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fantastic as well. Secondly, if you enjoy this
18:57
style of betting breakdown, maybe never in a million years
19:01
would you have played Mizzou last night, but you've learned
19:03
to read the market and respect and trust the market.
19:06
Will the market win every time? No, but it's going to win a
19:08
majority of the time the smart money.
19:10
So that's why we respect the data.
19:13
But if that's the case and you enjoy data-driven betting, you
19:15
want to learn more about data-driven betting.
19:18
You know what you should do? You should buy 2 books.
19:20
You should start with the Everything Guide to Sports
19:22
Betting. It's the first book I ever
19:24
wrote, basically encompasses the sharp contrarian philosophy
19:27
across the entire betting market.
19:29
You can go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
19:31
Sports Betting. But you know what?
19:33
I got a new book coming out and I want to thank you all for pre
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ordering it. But if you haven't done it yet,
19:39
go to Amazon.com and type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
19:43
It comes out August 12th. I cannot wait.
19:45
I'm super proud of it. I think it's I think it's I
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think hopefully it'll be well received because I put a lot of
19:50
a lot of time and energy into it and pretty much dump my entire
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brain into this thing. So looking forward to dropping
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it to you guys. But please, if you want to
20:00
pre-order a copy on Amazon, that would really, really mean the
20:03
world to me. And thank you all who have
20:04
already pre-ordered a copy. I love you guys.
20:07
Next, if you have not done it yet.
20:11
You better go download both rhythm and Juice reel, my two
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favorite sports betting apps on the market.
20:15
They help me win. They're going to help you win.
20:17
So rhythm does a fantastic job of powering this podcast.
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Rhythm is great for their AI backed models and predictions
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for best bets and player props. And of course, Juice Reel where
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you can follow the all systems go best bet picks, support the
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team sign up there $4.99 a week. Hopefully the pod gives you a,
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you know, 5 bucks worth of insights throughout the week,
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If you like the pod, which is free, go sign up to follow those
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insights. Or you can just go to the juice
20:55
reel social tab and click find juicers and search ASG under
20:59
score podcast. Also, you can tell the Robo
21:02
Jackson best bet picks if you like, and you can also get
21:05
arbitrage indicators, sharp, sharp mush system matches.
21:09
You can sync up your sports books, and you can also get
21:13
really cool game breakdowns, real bets and dollars on every
21:15
single matchup from people who have synced up their sports
21:18
books. So of course, guys, lastly, I
21:21
got to figure a way to incorporate this in the the
21:24
ending spiel. But also if you need a live odds
21:27
page #1 if you're not using a live odds page and and sports
21:31
betting is even harder than it is to begin with.
21:33
So you got to have a live odds page which shows you every game
21:36
on the board moving in real time.
21:38
So you can shop for the best line.
21:39
You can look at opening numbers versus current, see which
21:42
direction the line is moving, anticipate line movement, jump
21:45
on a number or a hook before it moves.
21:48
So if you need a live odds page or you're looking to get a
21:50
better live odds page, that's less expensive because they can
21:53
be expensive out there. If you know who I'm talking
21:56
about, you know who I'm talking about.
21:57
But I'd love for you guys to try out Odds Logic you might have
22:01
heard me talk about on previous pods.
22:02
I just started partnering up with Odds Logic.
22:05
So if you want to give it a shot, you can just go to
22:07
oddslogic.com/josh 123 and you'll be locked and loaded with
22:13
a 7 day free trial. If you need that link or have
22:16
any questions about Oddslogic, please send me a direct message
22:19
on Twitter at Josh under score Insights.
22:22
So that about does it for today's Thirsty Thursday pod.
22:25
Also want to mention I'll be on SiriusXM, which I am every
22:29
Thursday night, 8:00 with my buddy Patrick Maher and Dustin
22:33
Swedelson. So we breaking down some games
22:35
and maybe some some MLB talk, maybe the importance of a live
22:38
odds page. Maybe we'll talk about that as
22:40
well. But I will hope to see you guys
22:41
there if you have SiriusXM. So as always, leave you with a
22:46
couple things. One, whether I see you at the
22:48
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
22:51
in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down at the Encore
22:54
in Boston, or placing bets out in the desert at the South Point
22:59
where the lowest juice possible is found.
23:01
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
23:03
swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
23:05
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
23:08
Show me Boise. That was a nice winter, but
23:10
you're going to show me Mizzou, man, that game right there last
23:14
night with Mizzou, that just makes sports betting the best.
23:18
Because all I heard all day was Bama Bama, Bama, Bama, Bama,
23:21
Bama, Bama. And you know what we did?
23:24
We didn't fall into the trap of the public, we respected the
23:27
line move and the bet splits and we cashed one heck of a ticket
23:31
on Missouri last night. So show me a Mizzou ticket and
23:34
guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
23:36
you. We'll post about the book,
23:37
sweatshirt and train plays all night long.
23:40
So wish you the best luck everyone.
23:41
As always. Two and one, one and 2-3 and OO
23:45
and three the previous night. Should never affect, even though
23:47
we can't help it. We're human, but shouldn't
23:49
affect our our our reading of the board the next day.
23:54
And we're always going to try to stick to the model, stick to the
23:56
blueprint, never get too high, never get too low.
23:58
Marathon, not a Sprint. I know these are all cliches,
24:01
but they're important because I think you got to stay even
24:03
keeled because sports betting, it'll give you the highest of
24:06
highs like Mizzou and the lowest of lows.
24:08
And we've been there too. But either way, guys, if we can
24:11
stick to that model, that games with our head and not our heart
24:14
against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
24:17
avoid parlays, get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
24:21
to be successful sports bettors long term.
24:23
So enjoy the sweats, enjoy USA. Canada again, I don't have any
24:27
action on it. I'm just going to be rooting old
24:29
school with my dad for Team USA. Should be a great game.
24:34
Very much looking forward to that.
24:35
Hopefully we can get a couple winners here on the college
24:38
basketball hardwood. So of course, guys, good luck,
24:41
enjoy your night, and then we'll be right back at it for a big
24:43
Friday edition. That'll be episode 2/22/22.
24:48
Got to get got to get my pods straight here.
24:50
Episode 2/22 of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast
24:54
powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and go USA.