Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | January 10, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:04Fall systems going clear the lifting. What's going on everybody? We're back talking
- 0:38some hoops. Hope everybody out there having a good Wednesday. Nice eight games
- 0:43slate, that's right in the wheelhouse that I like, eight games, fun
- 0:46injury news are waiting on. As always, there is ten games on the
- 0:50dockets, so yes, ten games tonight in the association. Fan Duel and
- 0:54DraftKings been cutting out those later games. Hey, people can playing not enough
- 0:58time with the family sitting around the computer all night. We totally get it.
- 1:02DraftKings and Fandola listened. So eight games on the slate, but showdown
- 1:07two gamer the night slate. We'll have Showdown content over here as always.
- 1:11Projections updated throughout the night as always. Pair by Ben Drew, Jordan,
- 1:15Nate's, Richie Small's wins a lot, Evan Mark. What is going on
- 1:19everybody, especially Nate's having coming off a big NHL Bay, Hey, you
- 1:23called your shot. Called it in the wrong sport though, Nay's but it
- 1:26pays the same. So good stuff right there, bringing my man. Rio
- 1:29has your Wednesday afternoon going, my man? Oh yeah, everything's going good.
- 1:34A little bit behind for any of our members waiting for the slave plan
- 1:37to go up a little bit tougher when we have these earlier shows, but
- 1:40I'll definitely finish it up once we get off of here. But yeah,
- 1:44everything was good over here. Had a pretty good night for showdown. I
- 1:47saw a bunch of people. It was like a big four hundred plus waight
- 1:51chop in the in the big tournament last night. We had a bunch of
- 1:53people ship that one. The bill was pretty straightforward, so I know Para
- 2:00Bay was a part of that train, so shout out to him. But
- 2:02yeah, definitely excited about this slate for sure. I've just got finished up
- 2:07doing my write up and getting ready for the show. And yeah, it's
- 2:08a really really fun one of a lot of good games, a lot of
- 2:12spots to attack from a DFS perspective. Absolutely again, before we get into
- 2:16it, go game by game. Appreciate that like button. Subscribe button also
- 2:22helps us out a ton And if you do want to join us at shipinnation
- 2:24dot com, we got golf locking tomorrow, Golf back in full. Forth
- 2:28is very excited for that. MMA back this weekend NFL Playoffs Saturday, Sunday,
- 2:32Monday, NBA of course as always, Hey, this is the best
- 2:37time of year, all the money to be made. You ship all those
- 2:38sports you're looking at Hella cheese right there, So plenty of sports, plenty
- 2:43of action. We got Showdown Golf content as well. No better time to
- 2:46get in. And just because all the sports are going doesn't mean the price
- 2:50goes up. Sell weekly, monthly, six month, and annual packages.
- 2:53And to make it even cheaper cheaper, use that code Mayo gets you ten
- 2:58percent off any of the monthly, six month or annual packages. And the
- 3:04Discord comes with all those monthly, six month, annual packages, did not
- 3:07come with the weekly package. So if you just want to give us a
- 3:10try, you get all the content on the site. But Discord is definitely
- 3:14a big part of our community over here. Again, eight games, looking
- 3:19at like the start times, I like it a lot of time. I
- 3:21mean, the Slave's gonna be done in an hour and a half, which
- 3:23is always nice. A lot of seven PM games, four of them at
- 3:27seven eastern, two at seven thirty, one at eight, and one at
- 3:30eight thirty. So that's nice in my opinion. Unfortunately, like Zion,
- 3:35questionable that is an eight thirty game. Any initial thoughts on this late though,
- 3:38with stars and scrubs, balanced games zero looking at matchups, you just
- 3:44want to go game by game. Uh yeah, I mean in terms of
- 3:46build type, I could definitely see this being a mid tier type build.
- 3:50The highest spend up is only ten point five k for Shake Gilgis and yeah,
- 3:54mitsiear is pretty loaded tonight. Obviously some pretty big games to talk about,
- 3:59with the Washington, Indi game going to be a big one, even
- 4:00Sacramento Charlotte has some interest. San Antonio Detroit two terrible teams with terrible defenses,
- 4:05and then Philly Atlanta. I think a lot of the ownership will condense
- 4:10around those games, and rightfully so. But yeah, I mean I don't
- 4:15I don't really think that like the Zion News is going to do much in
- 4:17terms of changing up the build because you look at the price tags of the
- 4:21guys over there, they're all pretty price appropriately, so it's not like you're
- 4:25getting a huge edge waiting for that. It's not like a Luca Laide scratch,
- 4:29like a Yokich Late scratcher again, some some really good value. I
- 4:32think that all these early games are the ones that we're going to want to
- 4:35attack. Yep, I like it. We'll get right into it again.
- 4:39We appreciate everyone hanging out. Hope everybody out there having a great Wednesday afternoon.
- 4:45First game of the Nights. It's a back to back. Four of
- 4:46the Sacramento Kings taken on the Charlotte Hornets two thirty total. Kings are favored
- 4:51by eight. No injury report on the King side, but Kevin Herder did
- 4:55start like we expected. Expect them to continue to start. Kevin harder on
- 5:00this monster game. Monster first half yesterday for sure. Hopefully some people got
- 5:03on that Fox. Not so much as far as the Hornet side, they're
- 5:08pretty thin. Cody Martin's questionable, so they could even be thinner. Mark
- 5:12Williams still out, Heyward out, LaMelo is still out, so same story
- 5:15for them. Cody Martin, I'll throw it to you right away. Does
- 5:18Cody Martin do anything? Mcawans will probably slide in the starting lineup after.
- 5:21That's someone we need on this slate. Terror Rose Year eight point five k
- 5:27always an interesting play, handles the ball a lot without Lamelow thoughts on this
- 5:30first game. Solid total, pretty big spread. Yeah, I mean Cody
- 5:35Martin news is, it's not huge, but he'll definitely bring in some guys
- 5:39into play in terms from value, you know that the head coach for Charlotte's
- 5:44been saying that he wants to give Nick Smith Junior and JT thor more minutes.
- 5:46I think those are two guys that would definitely benefit from Cody Martin being
- 5:49out. But I mean, on top of that, they're just they're playing
- 5:51Terry Roseier, Miles Bridge is huge minutes. You still got Brandon Miller in
- 5:55there, so they have enough bodies to where they don't really grade out as
- 5:59as great values, But I think from a matchup perspective, this is a
- 6:02decent spot for some of these guys in the Hornets. Obviously, the King's
- 6:06coming off of the back to back with the win, the comeback win against
- 6:11the Pistons last night. Yeah, the King's defense has kind of been struggling
- 6:15a bit. They're more of a rim funnel this season, as has kind
- 6:17of been the story with them with Sabonis download not that great of a rim
- 6:20protector. They kind of struggle with their pick and roll defense as well.
- 6:25So I think Terry Rozier is firmly in play eight point five K. We
- 6:28know that he's going to play huge minutes. I talk about the role with
- 6:30him all the time. It's elite with the ball handling, touch time at
- 6:34six percentage usage, all that stuff. So I think that this is a
- 6:38totally fine spot to get to Terry Rozier at eight point five K. I
- 6:42know that a lot of people are in Discord are huge fans of him.
- 6:45He's made him a ton of money or it made us a ton of money
- 6:46this year, So I definitely like Terry Rozier. I think Miles Bridges is
- 6:51squarely in play two, just in terms of the minute ceiling, because he's
- 6:55played forty minutes in three straight games, taking eighteen shots in all three games
- 7:00that resulted in Fantasy scores of forty seven thirty seven point seven five and forty
- 7:03three point seven to five. So I think that he's a totally fine option
- 7:08at his price tag. Those are really the main two guys I would be
- 7:11looking to on the Hornets side, though, like I said, you could
- 7:15get to the Nick Smith Junior and JT. Thor if you want to.
- 7:20I hope that the box score watchers look at JT. Thor and see twenty
- 7:25three and a half and kind of expect that again. But I remember somebody
- 7:29in Discord when when that game was going on, they posted the play by
- 7:32play stuff and he had like five or six offensive rebounds in like in like
- 7:38five seconds or something. So that's kind of just the big spike in fantasy
- 7:41scoring came from that. But yeah, on the King side, great spot
- 7:45for DeVonta Sabonis again. He's been crushing in back to backs this year.
- 7:48Not gonna be on any sort of minutes restriction, obviously, it's a great
- 7:51matchup versus the Hornets or bottom five and rim defense in bottom two or bottom
- 7:59bottom two rip bout of three in DVP two centers this season, But yeah,
- 8:03Sabonus has been on a tear lately. Darren Fox is kind of I
- 8:07don't know really what is going on with him. He seems like he could
- 8:09just be fatigued or maybe sick or something. But his usage has gone down,
- 8:15and because of that, Sabonis has climbed a ton. He's seen this
- 8:18assist numbers go up, the overall usage, touch time, everything going up.
- 8:24He's got a triple double in six of his last eleven games and three
- 8:26of his last four games. I think that the ceiling is is really high
- 8:30for him, even in a back to back, and I don't think that
- 8:31he'll really get too much ownership. Yeah, like I mentioned with Fox,
- 8:35I don't really want to play him right now, just with the current form.
- 8:37He just he just looks off. I don't know what's going on,
- 8:41but yeah, he's just kind of a tough click right now. I think
- 8:43that you could definitely get some Lake Munk or Kegan Murray. Great matchup versus
- 8:48the Hornets. They're just terrible defensively all around, and the Kings are they're
- 8:54really tightening up their rotation right now. They've kind of taken out Davon Mitchell,
- 8:58Alex Lanjeville McGee. Will you know, they'll get in there for a
- 9:01couple of minutes. Do Ourtes out of the rotation? The Sasha of zen
- 9:05Cob is out of the rotations that they're running like seven and a half guys.
- 9:09If you consider Harrison Barnes, mean he's been getting cut down too by
- 9:11Trey Lyles as well. So I think that all these guys kind of make
- 9:15a little bit of sense when you take into account how tight the rotation has
- 9:18been. Yeah, great breakdown. Any thoughts on like if Cody Martin plays
- 9:22value isn't great on this late we do have Q tags that could open up
- 9:26some stuff, but I don't know any thoughts there. It's five point three
- 9:31K. The guarden Ford eligibility is pretty nice. Get me twenty five something
- 9:35like that and I'll be good with it. Any thoughts on him in this
- 9:39game? I think Rosier he's definitely gonna be owned. He'll be I think
- 9:43the mid the mid tier, I mean, there's only so many ways to
- 9:46go up top. The mid tier is definitely the route people are gonna go.
- 9:48A five is a great price for Terry. Who's gonna chuck Outside of
- 9:52that though, I don't think much ownership really gets to this game. But
- 9:54thoughts on Cody Martin if he plays as the value then if he's out,
- 9:58what any these guys like a Brandon Miller and Nick Smith and McGowan's any of
- 10:03that, would that do anything or put them in play? Uh? Yeah?
- 10:07Couldymoton plays? I think that he's fine at five point three K.
- 10:09But I think that there's enough high upside guys in that same range. I
- 10:13mean, even Kevin Love the same price tag. I think that Jalen Smith
- 10:18is interesting as well, Like there's plenty of guys cheaper or a little bit
- 10:22more expensive that have equal to or better upside, So I don't think I
- 10:26really want to lock in that spot for him. And yeah, I think
- 10:30that Nick Smith Junior would be totally fine as a value value played, but
- 10:33I think he's only point guard eligible, which is kind of tough because point
- 10:37guard is really loaded tonight. So maybe not really looking to anybody on this
- 10:43on that side. Yeah, that's a good shout talking about point guard.
- 10:46Terry does have shooting guard in eligibility, which is nice. But this next
- 10:48game Spurs Pistons two thirty eight total, Spurs favored by three. Zach Collins
- 10:54out's, Kate Cunningham's out, Isaiah Stewart's auful. So no changes on either
- 10:58team here. But talking point guard Trey Jones in the starting lineup, I
- 11:03think he will be five point a k. Pretty popular on this slate and
- 11:07you can go right to the other side Killian Hayes. Disappointing yesterday. I
- 11:11know a lot of people got there, but price hasn't moved five point five
- 11:15k. I think he's pretty interesting, probably a little ownership. Jalen Durtan
- 11:20absolutely smashed earlier in the game, slowed down a bit, but paid off
- 11:24the price egg. I think he's interesting. Mentioned Baha Vidanovic yesterday. I
- 11:28know we're a little worried about the coach speak looking at the minutes. Thirty
- 11:33two minutes, so I mean he was playing really good ball. He shot
- 11:35the ball ten for fourteen from the field, four for seven from deep and
- 11:39still only got thirty two minutes. So I think maybe that is the cap,
- 11:43especially when we're talking it back to back. I liked him more yesterday
- 11:46and with what you said yesterday with the coaches. Now at back to back,
- 11:50he played a great game and still got up to thirty two. I
- 11:54don't know. I'll let you talk about him if you tell me he gets
- 11:56thirty four even thirty two minutes. Maybe in this spot without Kaid he handles
- 12:01a lot or good shooter, he handles the ball a lot. They can
- 12:05post him up in the low posts, run to make plays outside of that.
- 12:09Yeah, I love both point guards. I like Jalen Duran. Talk
- 12:13to me about Bohan and I talked about Wemby a little bit as well.
- 12:18Sure, yeah, so I'll start on the Spurs side. But just like
- 12:22from a matchup perspective, this is just a really strong game to attack with
- 12:26both these teams in the bottom six in defensive rating, bottom eight rim defense.
- 12:31The Spurs are a huge three point final as well their bottom two and
- 12:33three point defense, and both these teams are playing up and pace right now.
- 12:37So I think that it's a really really good game to attack. But
- 12:39I'll start with Wemby. He's going to see his minutes limit right around twenty
- 12:43four to twenty six minutes in that range, but even in those short of
- 12:48minutes stints, he could definitely pay off the price tag at nine K.
- 12:50I mean, this is such a good matchup for him. I mentioned yesterday
- 12:56on the show when when talking about Sibonis just obviously he crushed, but I
- 13:00was talking about from a ceiling perspective, the way that the Pistons were giving
- 13:03up a lot of fantasy points was blocks and steels. They're dead last in
- 13:05blocks allowed and fifth worst in steals allowed to the center position, and that
- 13:11kind of plays right into Wemby's game. Obviously, he's like an elite defender
- 13:15and elite blocks and steels. Guy averages three point three blocks per game,
- 13:18one point steal, one point two steals per game. So I think even
- 13:22in twenty four to twenty six minutes. He could definitely get up to sixty
- 13:26Fantasy points just with I mean, I could even see him getting double digit
- 13:31blocks and steels in total in this game and putting up a huge score.
- 13:33So I definitely have interest in Wemby at eight point nine K. Vassal has
- 13:39a really good matchup too. The Pistons are one of the worst on ball
- 13:41defenses. He's one of the safer players on the teams in terms of a
- 13:46minutes perspective. I'm gonna see around thirty four to thirty five minutes, But
- 13:50seven point three K kind of expensive for him. You really need to get
- 13:54close to fifty and I don't know how many times he's done that this year.
- 13:58You know, he's a really, really solid score, but this might
- 14:01not be the spot for him, just from a pricing standpoint. Kind of
- 14:05same thing with Keldon two, really big spot. But seven K coming off
- 14:09of the bench, gonna see around thirty one thirty two minutes. Yeah,
- 14:13I don't know. I find it kind of tough to click on him,
- 14:16or to click on really any bench player at seven K. So I think
- 14:20that I can get away from him, but the usage is going to be
- 14:22pretty good in the second unit, But yeah, you mentioned Trade Jones,
- 14:26He's definitely my preferred option on this first side outside of Wemby. Pop finally
- 14:31put him back into the starting lineup, and he's seen thirty five and thirty
- 14:33four minutes in those two starts, and matchupoisea one of the best ones in
- 14:37the league versus gonna be see killing Hayes on defense a lot. He's just
- 14:41an awful defender, So that's a big spot for Trade Jones. He can
- 14:43get there multiple ways, has a pretty solid floor with the assist as well.
- 14:48And then yeah, I'll mentioned Dominic Barlow on at three point seven K.
- 14:52I don't think that he's the craziest value play going to see the backup
- 14:56center minutes and if wenbc's you know, twenty four to, that should be
- 15:00about twenty two ish minutes for him. So I think that he's definitely played
- 15:05at three point seven K and it looked like a really, really solid value
- 15:09play. And then on the Piston side, I like the spot for Jalen
- 15:11Duran And yeah, like you mentioned, he was on his way to a
- 15:13huge game last time versus the Kings picked up a ton of fouls in a
- 15:18quick amount of time. And then lost some minutes, only got to twenty
- 15:20four. But yeah, like what Monty Williams said about getting him more touches
- 15:24and kind of running their offense through him was definitely true. He saw his
- 15:28his touches increase and he was even bringing the ball up the floor at times.
- 15:31So I think at seven point one K, he's got a lot of
- 15:35upside. Obviously, it would be a lot better when he's not facing Victor
- 15:39woman Yama because he's you know, super lengthy and gonna gonna make it tough
- 15:43for him to score down low. But the usage was pretty solid for him
- 15:46twenty eight point three percent usage rate and twenty five percent assist percentage last game
- 15:50without Kid. Obviously a really small sample size, but I do like during
- 15:54at seven point one K, I think the ivy is is fine. Six
- 15:58pointy K is pretty expensive for somebody of his, uh his caliber right now,
- 16:03But I mean matchups, matchups good, pretty solid usage R without Kid.
- 16:07I just think that he's kind of just fine. And yeah, the
- 16:11boyon thing, I don't know if that's if that's like a floor for him
- 16:15or if that's the ceiling in terms of minutes at thirty two to thirty three
- 16:18minutes. But matchup wise, this is probably one of the best ones he'll
- 16:22face all year long. The Spurs are terrible three point defense, and Bogie
- 16:26can definitely get hot. I think six point six k is pretty reasonable for
- 16:30him from an upside standpoint, So I think that he's in play and I
- 16:34don't really want to play Killian Hazer. Now five point five k. He
- 16:37just doesn't do much outside of assists. I mean, he's not looking to
- 16:40score. I don't he like. It took him almost two quarters even attempt
- 16:44to shot last game. So I just don't really see a ceiling for him
- 16:47at five point five K. Much rather find the three hundred dollars to get
- 16:49to trade Jones. Yeah, great breakdown. We're in lockstep with a lot
- 16:53of it. I love Trey Jones, love Duran. The thing's a tough
- 16:56one for me because, man, like you know, of guy's not going
- 17:00to play thirty minutes and you see that price tag, but you talked everything
- 17:03about the matchup. When he's on the court, he's a complete monster.
- 17:07I feel the same way with Calvin, Like seven K off the bench,
- 17:10I just can't do it. Be Sell's a little interesting. He liked his
- 17:12matchup. Ownership should be pretty low. He can get hot and put up
- 17:17points, so I think he is an interesting GPP play. Definitely love this
- 17:21game, though we're gonna get to the next game, which is the best
- 17:23on the slate, at least in my opinion. A lot of people Pacers
- 17:26Washington, but talking Duran and Miles Turner right in that six eight, seven
- 17:32to one price day, both are gonna be relative pretty popular. I think
- 17:36Turner will be more popular. Obviously you can't play two centers, but if
- 17:40you had to pick one, who would you lean between those two? Probably
- 17:45go Turner. Just like the matchup a little bit better for him. I
- 17:52think that the minutes are a little bit more shaky for Moles Turner, though
- 17:53he could definitely lose minutes to a guy like Isaiah Jackson that could run more
- 17:57small ball as well, so I think the minutes are a little bit less
- 18:02secure from Alice Turner, but the matchup is much better. I like it.
- 18:07Pairedby likes your Barlow call and then two other names. I have no
- 18:10interest personally Burks Alec Burks, He's the man, but price is the thing.
- 18:15Can't do it at this price tag coming off the bench the minutes there
- 18:18and then Chetty for four K. It's no for me any interest in those
- 18:22two though, No, not really keep it moving. Next game on the
- 18:26slate again, five to talk about or is it four? It's four to
- 18:30talk about five or at seven pm Eastern? Biggest total, best game environment
- 18:34Washington Pacer Washington against the Pacers two fifty two total. India is favored by
- 18:41eight. Looking at the injury report, unfortunate Tyres is out. It looks
- 18:45like he could have been out for a lot longer so though, so good
- 18:48news there. He is out for this game though, and then Landrew Shamont
- 18:52out on the Washington side, which doesn't mean much. I mean talk about
- 18:56goodness the monster total two teams, I don't play much defense. I guess
- 19:02I'll throw it to you. Where do you want to start? In terms
- 19:03of ownership, I think Miles Turner and Jalen Smith are two of the more
- 19:07popular plays. Probably Jalen Smith having power forward eligibility is huge. Miles Turner
- 19:12just centered eligible. But man, I think you can get to Tias I
- 19:17mean talk about Trade Jones. Tias Jones, what a year he's having.
- 19:21KU's Obi Namhar like Gafford even I think this game has all the goodness.
- 19:26Start with wherever you want to go and take it away. But this is
- 19:29when I have a lot of interest in for sure. Yeah, definitely in
- 19:33agreement with you there. I think this is a min one situation on both
- 19:36sides. I think you just want you want ownership in this game in multiple
- 19:41ways, So definitely have a ton of interest. Matchupwise, I think we
- 19:45know how that's going to play out. These are two fast paced teams,
- 19:47two really terrible rim defense. Defense's Pacers are pretty bad to transition or the
- 19:52Wizards are a bad transition team as well, and the Pacers are number two
- 19:56transition offense. So I think that obviously is a clear pathway to an massive
- 20:00game here. But you're gonna want ownership in this game up and down your
- 20:03lineups, so I'll start with the Wizards side. Though I like the spot
- 20:07for Kyle Kuzma here. He seems a little bit too cheap in terms of
- 20:10the game environment, and I think this game could stay pretty close throughout.
- 20:15We've seen times where the Wizards are able to keep the game close and Kuzma
- 20:18just has a massive ceiling in those games. Last game against Okac, which
- 20:22is kind of considered a bad matchup for a player like Kuzma. He got
- 20:26up to forty eight zero point seventy five DK points, had fifteen rebounds.
- 20:30I wouldn't expect him to get that many rebounds. He could definitely flair with
- 20:33double digits. But it was worth noting that the Wizards did run out more
- 20:37of a small ball lineup towards the end of the game, which is gonna
- 20:40give a guy like Kuzma danny Avia better rebounding rates. So I think Kuzma
- 20:44is a great play here. Th This is are dead lasting DVP to power
- 20:48forwards this season, which just strengthens the Kuzma upside case, so a ton
- 20:52of interest in him. Danny Avia equally as good of a spot, comes
- 20:56in fourteen fourteen hundred cheaper than Kuzma, and also should see pretty solid minutes
- 21:03in the low thirties in a close game on the season. He's a one
- 21:07point zero one fantasy point printed producer with a good amount of upside in close
- 21:11games, flash fifty point upside a couple of times in the past month or
- 21:15so, So knowing that he has that within the range of outcomes, I
- 21:18think you should definitely have interest in him, like the spot for him a
- 21:22lot. Yeah, Tys Jones, like you mentioned, he's definitely in play
- 21:26six K. He had a triple double the last time these guys played,
- 21:30so I don't know if he how many more times he'll do that in his
- 21:33career, but he seems like a pretty solid play at six K. I'm
- 21:37gonna see probably the weaker defender. I would assume that in the starting lineup,
- 21:41Jordan Poole would see Andrew Nemhard, and Nemhart is it, you know,
- 21:45as not great of a fantasy producer, he is, He's a really
- 21:48solid defender, so I think that could give a little bit more of an
- 21:51offensive upside case to Tys Jones. So I definitely have interest in him at
- 21:55six K. You could do a Hyasin Trey Jones can just fill out the
- 22:00rest of your roster that way. Both are pretty solid plays tonight. But
- 22:03yeah, I don't don't really have interest in Jordan pool though. This is
- 22:08just not the matchup for him. The Pacers are I don't know, if
- 22:11I want to say, a good three point defense. They allow the least
- 22:15amount of three pointers per game, but that could just be because their rim
- 22:17defense is so bad that all of the offense is kind of funnel to the
- 22:22rim for opposing teams. That's just not really Jordan Poole's game five point nine
- 22:27K is a solid price site, but even you look at last game where
- 22:30he shot the ball seventeen times, scored twenty four real points, and still
- 22:33only got to thirty three fantasy points. So I just don't really see that
- 22:37big of an upside case. But obviously, because I'm saying that now,
- 22:41he probably goes for forty plus. Yeah, I like your Gafford shout too.
- 22:45Obviously, great matchup for opposing centers against the Pacers who have terrible rim
- 22:48defense, So I'm totally fine with him Outside that though, I think those
- 22:53are the main guys you look into. I think cool Bali could be in
- 22:56play four point six K, but I don't know what the upside case is
- 23:00for him, And maybe he takes more minutes away from Jordan Poole and that
- 23:03would give him, you know, a clear runway to a higher ceiling game
- 23:07from a minutes perspective. Obviously, it's a great matchup versus pacers in an
- 23:12uptempo game, but not sure what the ceiling really is on him, and
- 23:17then on the Pacers side, Miles Turner is gonna be the top priced player
- 23:19on the Pacers and he's going to have to step into a really big offensive
- 23:25role if this team wants to stay competitive without Halliburton. This is also the
- 23:29best matchup for opposing centers pace or the Wizard's dead last and DVP to the
- 23:33center position. So he's in a great spot here. Six point a k
- 23:37pretty reasonable price sage for him, So I have a lot of interest in
- 23:40him. TJ McConnell, I would love to get your thoughts in this because
- 23:42I think this is kind of the big talking point in the slate, the
- 23:45TJ versus Nemhart situation. Obviously TJ is fifteen hundred dollars more expensive, but
- 23:51coming in at probably a fraction of the ownership, seeing like almost forty percent
- 23:55on Nemhard. And I don't know, I just I kind of TJ.
- 24:00Just you tell me that I can get twenty five thirty minutes out of TJ
- 24:04and he's gonna be single digit ownership. I mean, he's got realistic,
- 24:07realistically fifty point upside, he's got triple double upside, And this is just
- 24:11such a good matchup for point guards, I just don't I don't know.
- 24:15I would love to get your thoughts on that though, just because we know
- 24:18that Nemhart's gonna start and see a bigger usage bump. But TJ is kind
- 24:22of kind of the guy for me. Yeah, I mean, Nemar,
- 24:25I agree with you. I much preferred TJT like his upside more GPPs however,
- 24:30like I don't think you need to play either, like Tyas is still
- 24:33seven hundred cheaper. We talked about Trey Jones the Rose Gears like point guard
- 24:37is loaded today. I would I do prefer TJ for the ownership discount for
- 24:41sure. When he's on the court, he's more active. I think his
- 24:45playmaking left to go up without Tyreee. Him and Tyree shared the court a
- 24:48lot when TJ did get in his second stint and stuff, which obviously you're
- 24:53playing a back role to that. But we've seen TJ in the past couple
- 24:56of years when he did get the opportunity hand on the ball. Well,
- 25:00I mean he can be aggressive, he makes plays, obviously, the stock
- 25:03up side is always there. Yeah, I prefer TJS for sure over Nemhart.
- 25:08I definitely prefer like the Miles Turner, the Jalen Smith, maybe even
- 25:12Obi Topping because of the value and stuff there. Yeah, that's my take.
- 25:18I'm on the TJ side with you six to seven though, you got
- 25:19you gotta do something at that price. So I'm not in love with it,
- 25:22but I do. I don't love Nemahard much, gotcha. Yeah,
- 25:26I think I think we're in agreement there. I just will we'll mention this.
- 25:30It's a There's been a three hundred and seventy minute sample size of TJ
- 25:33McConnell on the court without Tyres Halliburn, and he averages almost fifty DK points
- 25:40per thirty six minutes. So I mean, man, if he if he
- 25:41gets thirty plus minutes, I really do think that he's got huge upside.
- 25:45Like what would you pencil would you pencil him in for minutes? What's your
- 25:49guests? I would say twenty eight is probably probably about where I would project
- 25:55him, and then thirty two is probably the high end, just because I
- 25:59mean near coming off of a back injury as well. I mean, that's
- 26:02not not really something to mess around with when you're talking about a young guy.
- 26:06He's I mean, he's had a multiple, multiple injury game absence with
- 26:11a bunch of injuries. I don't I mean, I don't think that Nemhart,
- 26:15we haven't projected. I'm seeing like around thirty minutes on Nemhard and I
- 26:18just don't. I kind of see it like that just seems a little bit
- 26:22high for me. I just don't know if I can see him getting up
- 26:23to thirty minutes. Yeah, I mean thirty minutes for TJ. McConnell.
- 26:27I'll sign off at this ownership, no doubt about that. He's always active,
- 26:32He's always doing something. He ain't gonna like chill in the corner,
- 26:34which is always a worry about players. So yeah, I'm in. I
- 26:37like McConnell, Berna Marshall for sure, a couple other guys I wanted to
- 26:41mention on the pitch just really quickly. I think that this is a sneaky,
- 26:45really good spot for Bendick Matheren as well. I think he's kind of
- 26:48the biggest winner of the Teacher or the Atari's Halliburn injury outside of TJ and
- 26:52Nemhart obviously, but he leads a team in usage with Haliburn off the court
- 26:56twenty six and a half usage percentage. He just thirty seven DK points per
- 27:00thirty six. But on top of that, he's been playing really well lately.
- 27:03He's kind of taken away minutes from Buddy Healed Bruce Brown to a lesser
- 27:08degree, but he's seen twenty nine thirty five minutes in back to back games,
- 27:12and the matchup obviously great versus Wizards, but for a player of his
- 27:17archetype, he's looking to get to the rim. He's one of the pacers
- 27:19better transition scores, and the Wizards just have no rimp protection and they have
- 27:23no transition defense. So I think that he's got a pretty solid upside at
- 27:27six point four K, and I don't really see many people going to him,
- 27:30So I have interest in Mendic Matherin here. Yeah, we already touched
- 27:36on the nempart situation. We're kind of under on him. I think in
- 27:38like single entry cash game stuff, you're probably locking in them hard. Well,
- 27:44I don't know you're the cash guy, but I do see a pretty
- 27:47solid projection on definitely in play. But as of now, I don't have
- 27:51the cash report up yet, still hoping to get some news before, but
- 27:53as of now, he would not be on the cash report for me right
- 27:56now gotcha. Yeah, definitely in cast consideration for sure. And again cash
- 28:02report everything always up at Chippin' Nation, updated throughout, so make sure to
- 28:07check all that out. But yeah, right now, like Miles Turner is
- 28:10way more of a priority for me than that part. There's I like for
- 28:14jis price a lot, So yeah, but five point two k is a
- 28:17good price take for sure, and Jalen Smith will be the last guy I
- 28:21will mention on the Pacers side. He's also going to see a bigger offensive
- 28:23responsibility with Hal burn out. He's shown to be a pretty capable scorer at
- 28:27times too. They were kind of feeding him a little bit in the post
- 28:30last game versus the Celtics. Just the issue of the minute ceiling has not
- 28:34really been there. But match up wise, you know, Wizard's terrible room
- 28:38defense, So I think that he's firmly in play at five K. I
- 28:41just wish that he got more minutes because I think he's got huge upside if
- 28:45you were to see close to thirty minutes. No Obie love Nie Smith,
- 28:49like these are the games I like playing, Obi like fast pace, up
- 28:52and down, just get out and run. There's a lot of pass for
- 28:56him there any thoughts on him or Nie Smith better call, I will say
- 29:00he might be like one percent on like if that, so for sure you
- 29:03can build a lot of chalk around that. Yeah, yeah, for sure.
- 29:08But yeah, in terms of Obi, I don't know. He's just
- 29:12the minutes have not really been there for him. I know that Rick Carlisle
- 29:15likes him, but they're pretty deep in their you know, the front court,
- 29:19the power forward, center spots. So I just I don't know.
- 29:22I like Obi as a player. This does profile, it's a really good
- 29:26match up for him, but so did that that Atlanta game and he only
- 29:30got twenty two minutes. So I'm I think I'm going to be off of
- 29:33Obi topping here unfortunately. Yeah, no, that makes sense for sure,
- 29:37and we still do have Q tags. We're about to get to the next
- 29:40game that could open up more value. So spent a good amount of time
- 29:44on this Pacers Washington game and the Detroit s first game because they are two
- 29:48of the best games on the slate in my opinion. They're probably Philly.
- 29:52Atlanta is a good one too that we'll get to, but two of the
- 29:53better games on the slate for sure. Some of these other games will go
- 29:57much quicker looking at the likes a little disappointed. Right now, take a
- 30:02time out, take one second. We appreciate it. Thumbs up, you
- 30:04can click it. You don't even have to worry about missing information. There
- 30:08we go, I should be plenty of time. We appreciate that a ton
- 30:11may appreciates that a ton helps us give you free shows. I'm the Daily
- 30:15over here. Also that subscribe button helps us out a ton and a couple
- 30:19of new faces. Trickled in wins a lots in here, Drew's in here,
- 30:23Ryan Shepherd's in here a poem? What is going on? Charles Sean
- 30:26Sullivan, Eddie in here? Chops in here? Could be Travis Hope everybody
- 30:32out there, Steven, what is going on as well? Hope y'all having
- 30:34a great day. Eight games to talk about? Three down, five to
- 30:37go. Actually that'd be six to go. Actually, no, what am
- 30:41I doing? I know eight minus five is three, but there we go.
- 30:47Five games to talk about? Right here? Someone's going on with these
- 30:48two monitors. Real. I was including the late games, but the next
- 30:52two and then I was like, oh, we got ten games on the
- 30:55slate. That's not even close to right. But hey, we don't have
- 30:57to touch on those last two games Minnesota Timberwolves Boston Celtics two twenty four total,
- 31:03Boston favored by ten. This is the least appealing game on the slate
- 31:07for me. If Gobert so on the Minnesota side, go Bear's questionable,
- 31:11Conley's out. If Go Bear's out, is it gonna be nas reed?
- 31:15And if it is always nas reed is a fun click. Boston side,
- 31:19Porzingis is out, there's still price up and healthy enough, though I don't
- 31:25know. I'm probably gonna completely fade the spot. Let me know if you
- 31:27see anything different. Talk about go Beart news though, if he's besides nasrid,
- 31:33if he gets a start like a Kyle Anderson at four to four,
- 31:36like we just talked about Obi in that same range, NASA has power forward
- 31:40eligibility, which is nice, the price take is five to two, though
- 31:42it's not completely free. Still, if he gets a start and I have
- 31:45interest and then maybe can or something like that, rebounding floor goes up at
- 31:51seven point nine k. But if go Beart's in, I got nothing in
- 31:53this one? What do you see? Yeah, I'm pretty fine getting away
- 31:57from this game. There's just way too many other spots that are much better
- 32:01and even some later games we haven't even talked about yet to want to lock
- 32:06in some guys in this game. I mean, these are two of the
- 32:07best defenses in the league. I'm kind of kicking myself last night because I
- 32:10was trying to get in the get in a bet on the Boston side.
- 32:15I saw the report that the Wolves were they had to take off or their
- 32:21playing got delayed till this morning, so they had to travel this morning.
- 32:22So I was kind of anticipating some guys to sit or just for them not
- 32:27to be full performance. So I wasn't able to get that in unfortunately.
- 32:31But yeah, yeah, I just don't think that you really need to go
- 32:36there. If Rudy Gobert's out, then I would assume they probably put Kyle
- 32:39Anderson in the starting lineup. They like to go to him to fill in
- 32:42for the Karanthine Towns. Rudy gobert'type plays, and then as Reed will definitely
- 32:45fill in backup center minutes, So he would be interesting play just because we
- 32:50know the upside is definitely there for him. But from a minute standpoint,
- 32:53I don't think that his are gonna like increase that much. He's probably still
- 32:58going to see around twenty five to twenty eight minutes, which is definitely good
- 33:00for nas Reed, But I think that we could just look elsewhere. I
- 33:05mean, if you're telling me, I'm like choosing between him or like a
- 33:07Cody Martin or is it Cody or Caleb on the on Charlotte Cody, right,
- 33:12Cody, Yeah, Cody's on Charlotte Caleb, but they're out. Yeah,
- 33:15so I would take I would definitely take nas over that type of player.
- 33:19But yeah, just I don't think we need to go there in this
- 33:22this Slayest thing. There will be better spots open up later or just just
- 33:27better like roster constructions building around the mid tier seems much better to to kind
- 33:30of waste the roster spot on some of these shaky value pieces, Like I
- 33:35haven't even seen Jordan mcgloffin with a decent ownership and a little bit or a
- 33:38decent projection and a decent amount of ownership, I don't think. I mean,
- 33:43they still have Anthony Edwards and karlthonya town to soak up a ton of
- 33:46usage. I just don't see it for these guys. Yeah, mine would
- 33:50just be slow mo. If like if he gets to start over Go bears
- 33:53out. I'd be good with SloMo at four or four otherwise if it's not
- 33:58as I'd like him at five to two. Mark a freaking watcher, so
- 34:00he knows the drill. I'm sorry. If you are a Minnesota fan or
- 34:04something, Hey, that's how she goes. And I bet you if you
- 34:07faded Minnesota pretty much all year, I mean you're definitely not losing money because
- 34:09of it, that's for sure. So yeah, another day and not having
- 34:13interests in Minnesota. If one of Aunt or Cat I guess two of Aunt
- 34:17Cat Gober out, maybe we'll get to some Minnesota maybe late in the year
- 34:21for you, Mark. But yeah, it's a team two twenty four total,
- 34:24almost ten point dogs. Two good defensive teams. If you want to
- 34:29play them, they're gonna be low. So you got that going for you.
- 34:30Keep it roll the next game. Ok see Thunder Miami Heat two thirty
- 34:35three total. Oka se favored by four and a half. No injury news
- 34:38on the OKC side to worry about. On the Miami side, doll yep.
- 34:42Caleb Martin is out, Jimmy Butler is out, Kyle Lowry is out,
- 34:47HEIMI hotkez Man the price is finally up there. But I'm a fan
- 34:52of his game. He does a lot, He contributes to a lot of
- 34:53areas double double upside for sure. Six point one k's gonna be pretty low.
- 34:59Ow. I think he's fine. Josh Richardson, I expect to get
- 35:01the most ownership in this game by far, though four point six K.
- 35:06Thoughts on him, Thoughts on himI, I mean you can always play SGA.
- 35:09I guess the question is, do you think we have enough value right
- 35:13now for SGA to be the top guy? And then like an SGA Rosier
- 35:16Bild there's something like that. Do you think we have enough value to get
- 35:20there right now? Only point guard eligible for SGA is a little tougher though,
- 35:23but break down this one. Yeah, I think you know what I'm
- 35:27gonna say about SGA. I always kind of take an underweight stance on him,
- 35:30just with the price tag baked in and the like upside case. I
- 35:36guess you know you need close to forty points. I just give the same
- 35:38speel every time we talk about it. You need close to forty points for
- 35:40him to kind of start to reach a thing that's going to bury you for
- 35:45not playing him. And I just think there's better people at the point guard
- 35:47spot that are cheaper and have similar to better upsides, So I will probably
- 35:53will not be playing any SGA tonight. I think the matchup is just about
- 35:57neutral for him. But yeah, you're competing with guys like Trey Young,
- 36:01Tyrese Maxey, all the value point guards as well, so he's gonna come
- 36:06in low owned. I'm guessing, but I just kind of I agree with
- 36:08it. I won't be going there. Who do you think he draws on
- 36:15defense? I would assume it's going to be Josh Richardson if he's starting.
- 36:20And if it's not Richardson starting, like if they go, I guess R.
- 36:23J. Hanson would be maybe the only one unless they go Hero Hawk
- 36:27has Duncan or something like that. But if it's not Jay rich starting,
- 36:30who do you think would be because they ain't gonna be a Hero probably Hawk
- 36:35as whoever starts I guess would probably be it. And you think Richardson does
- 36:38get the NAB, I think so, I saw. I think projected starters
- 36:43Head had Hampton in there. Uh, actually I'm seeing Duncan, Tyler,
- 36:50Hero, Duncan, hawkez Djovic and Bam. Okay, Yeah, May.
- 36:54If that's the team they're running out there, then a little bit more interest.
- 36:58They probably would put Hawkes on him. Yeah yeah, I mean Harks
- 37:05is just kind of like going off topic a little bit, but he's like
- 37:08the perfect heat for the for like Eric Spolstro. I just think he's he
- 37:13fits in so well with that team. I agree he was the stud at
- 37:16UC. I was surprised to see his game. I mean, you see
- 37:19all those guys, the Frank Kaminski's of the world, that college studs,
- 37:22But it's like, man, are you too? Are you not athletic enough?
- 37:24Or are you too? He just plays at his own pace and he's
- 37:28always in the right spot. Yeah. I like his game. Yeah,
- 37:30he definitely he comes in as like a very mature rookie to me. Obviously
- 37:35he played a long time in college. I think that kind of speaks to
- 37:38why he's playing as well as he is now. But yeah, he's a
- 37:42he's a stud. Definitely A big fan of his game. Yeah. On
- 37:45the okay see side, outside of Shay, I just don't really want to
- 37:47get to any of these guys. I mean, Jaylen Williams role is increasing
- 37:51as a ball handler. He's kind of taken over the second usage or second
- 37:54unit usage over Giddy. Now, I think that he could be in play
- 37:59at seven K, but I like some other spots better. This is definitely
- 38:02not a CHET spy going against Bam. BAM's a great defender. He could
- 38:06definitely get Chett in the foul trouble pretty quickly. So I'm off of him,
- 38:09and yeah, Giddy just he's still not seeing the minutes that he needs
- 38:15to. I mean, he's still he's getting there in different ways, but
- 38:19I just don't think that he's not gonna see the thirty minutes that I think
- 38:22you need from somebody at that price tax. So I'm okay getting away from
- 38:24him, kind of full fading, Okay, see outside of Jaylen Williams a
- 38:29little bit, and I guess SGA can remain in the player pool. And
- 38:34then on the Miami side, I think BAM's in a pretty good spot here.
- 38:36Okay. See struggles pretty badly in not versus centers, but just rebounding
- 38:40the ball. They're not a strong rebounding team. Chet is just he's being
- 38:45just kind of pushed around down low, and Bam super physical guy, so
- 38:49I could see him putting up a pretty big rebounding game. They're running more
- 38:52of the offense through him as well, so I think that could give him
- 38:53a bigg opportunity for assists in this matchup. I think Tyler Herro is in
- 38:58a fine spot as well to see well he'll see Lou Dort and case Wallace
- 39:04SGA on defense, which would definitely make things more difficult on him. But
- 39:07I think his ball handley could definitely increase as well. With Kyle Lowry ruled
- 39:10out here, no Caleb Martin as well, so he's got a pretty big
- 39:14minutes upside, and the Thunder are a little bit of a three point final
- 39:16right now, so I think he could put up a decent scoring output At
- 39:20seven point nine K, really solid price tag for him. I think the
- 39:23thing that's keeping Hawkes in play is just the minutes. He's gonna see huge
- 39:28minutes here with this scene being asked thin as they are, especially in the
- 39:31forward position with no Martin, no Jimmy Butler, so I think he's fine
- 39:36to keep him play just from the minutes, but the matchup is not that
- 39:38great for him. Kevin Love been playing really well lately, been a solid
- 39:44Fantasy producer over the last four games. Scored no less than thirty point five
- 39:46DK points over the last four games. Just the minutes aren't really there for
- 39:51him, But I think that he's a pretty solid point for dollar play.
- 39:54I think Duncan Robinson kind of sneaky. Five K really good matchup for three
- 39:59points shooters. He's added more playmaking to his game, got to seven assists
- 40:02last game. Kind of like the the Max Strews conversation. We've had a
- 40:06couple of times where they're doing a little bit more than just shooting the ball.
- 40:10I don't want to say that he has like slate breaking ability, but
- 40:14he's definitely got He's definitely got a ceiling at five K, and in a
- 40:16matchup where the Thunder struggle versus three point shooters or just funnel more their defense
- 40:22at three point shooters, I think that he's firmly in play. And then
- 40:24Jay rich justrison four point six K really solid value right now, projecting really
- 40:29well. So I think that he's a totally fine option if he doesn't start.
- 40:32What are your thoughts on Richardson, I still ownership will come down,
- 40:37and I still think I mean, he could play the same minutes as if
- 40:39he did start, Like they just don't have that. You can always run
- 40:44hero at the point and just play in forty minutes. But still, I
- 40:46mean, for at least defense wise and stuff like their backcourt RJ Hampton,
- 40:52Duncan Robinson and that's it really like Tyler Herro Like, they just don't have
- 40:58anyone really in the back court. So even if he doesn't start, you
- 41:00feel good about him. Yeah, he'll still play pretty solid. Men's probably
- 41:05still play starter like minutes. I think he's fine regardless. Yeah, and
- 41:08Drew is definitely happy that you brought up Duncan Robinson And it makes sense.
- 41:13Ownership is gonna be low. We just talked about the lack of depth they
- 41:15have at guard. He does that guard in Ford eligibility and he'll chuck.
- 41:20I mean, who you know what Duncan Robinson is. You mentioned last game
- 41:22seven assists, you got to thirty one DK points. Then you look at
- 41:25it, shot four from twelve and three for ten from d A couple of
- 41:30those more go in. I mean you could be sitting at a forty spot
- 41:31there. So yeah, Duncan that pretty low ownership. I do not mind
- 41:36that, and I know Drew definitely loves that. Hey, if you think
- 41:37he's a lock for five X, might as well lock him in your team
- 41:40for sure at that ownership. So yeah, SGA, I'm I mean,
- 41:45he's just so good in real life, so it makes you want to click
- 41:50him more. I do agree with you, like the forty zero points type
- 41:52of stuff. That side's a lot easier for me to get away. It
- 41:54probably would just be SGA or nothing really, but Hero interesting prey low ownership.
- 42:00Howckets playing a bunch of minutes BAM at a center position. I think
- 42:05most people probably won't go that high, and then Jay rich don't. Yeah,
- 42:08I think this Miami side is interesting. I don't want to jam him
- 42:12though, I mean it's still there's still multiple like is it a Hero game?
- 42:16Is a BAM game a dunkin game? At their price tags, it's
- 42:21not a spot like I want three heat. I don't think on too many
- 42:23lineups, but one or two all at their ownership. Besides Josh Richardson will
- 42:28be pretty overweight. Yeah, so talk if they do start RJ. Hampton
- 42:32at three K, which I do think is the possibility, would you have
- 42:37interest there? He's three K, he's been price not really, I mean,
- 42:44he's just such a low usage guy, What is even like the minutes
- 42:46ceiling for him? You know you saw twenty five against Golden State and still
- 42:51only put up thirteen and a half DK points. Yeah, no, I
- 42:53hear you. Yeah, I don't. I don't know. I don't think
- 42:58so, I don't think I'll be going there. I just don't think because
- 43:00you don't really need a mind price value in this late because Sja is the
- 43:04highest priced player at ten point five K. You don't really even have interest
- 43:07in him. So I don't think you need to mess around with a guy
- 43:08like RJ. Hampton when there's much stronger plays in the val or in the
- 43:13mid tier. Yeah, that's a great point. That's it's a mid tier
- 43:16build. Like, there's not Luca, there's not Yannis, there's not stuff
- 43:20like that that you absolutely need it. I don't think it's the worst thing
- 43:22because it kind of gets you on a different roster construction. Unless he did
- 43:25pop, then I definitely wouldn't like him as much. But yeah, I'm
- 43:30with you, he's been low used the centchuz at Orlando. Not even sure
- 43:32he does start, though they probably do go richardson a couple games left on
- 43:37the slates. Again, appreciate everyone hanging out. If you do want to
- 43:39join us at shiping Nation dot com, make sure you do use that promo
- 43:43code. Mayo gets you ten percent off all membership plans for monthly, six
- 43:49months and annual use that called Mayo ten percent off. You see it right
- 43:52there. NFL is still going on, MLB. Next thing you know,
- 43:55it'll be here, which is crazy to think about NBA going on, PGA
- 43:59going on, MMA going on, NHL going on, and shout out to
- 44:02Naid's NHL chat has been crushing it. I put in my first single game
- 44:07parlay ever today in the NHL Street, so if you're in the discord,
- 44:10you can go check it out over there. That is all I will say
- 44:14about that, because I don't know shit about hockey as far as NHL wise,
- 44:20And you can go on the discord and read why I bet on that.
- 44:23But let's keep it rolling. That's the fun thing is NFL bestball.
- 44:27People always talking about college football. It's not something we offer, but Smarty
- 44:30absolutely crush it all season long. A lot of people had fun sweating in
- 44:35there. So much going on tennis chat as well, So check out,
- 44:38get in the discord if you do join one of those monthly six month annual
- 44:43packages and use that promo code Mayo. Three games left Philadelphia seventy six Ers,
- 44:47Atlanta Hawks big total two forty four. Philly is favored by one,
- 44:52and we do have some injury news very important in this one. Philly side.
- 44:55Joel Embiid is out. Expect Paul Reid to start. Danton Melton is
- 45:00questionable. They're going to the Hawks side. Dejonte questionable, Clint Cappella questionable,
- 45:06Leslie Matthews questionable, DeAndre Hunter is still out. The three games on
- 45:10the slate that I had circle as my favorites Pacers Wizards game, this game
- 45:15and then Detroit San Antonio. Yeah, this is a very good game and
- 45:21only can get better with his injury news. So any leans on some of
- 45:23these Q tags and break it down however you however you want. Yeah,
- 45:29I mean achilles soreness for Capella is that doesn't really sound good. I think
- 45:32that he's a pretty good chance to sit. He's had a history of achilles
- 45:37injuries, and he set out for multiple games with the achilles injuries in his
- 45:43career. But yeah, Dejonte downgrade questionable. He's been kind of in the
- 45:47midst of all the trade talks, so you know, maybe they got a
- 45:51trade on the table for him. Maybe he's gonna get moved after this game.
- 45:57I would love that. I don't know if they're even I don't know
- 46:00if they're looking for him or like, if there's been any talks about that,
- 46:01but I think that he would fit in so well with that team and
- 46:05they shift what did they shift your Boykante though? For it, I'd be
- 46:08fine with that. Yeah, Dejonte is my guy. I've always I love
- 46:13his game. Man, he's just he's fun to watch. Really, just
- 46:15a solid all around ballplayer. I think that he would We've seen him run
- 46:20a team before with the Spurs. He's just a man, A big fan
- 46:22of his. But yeah, I think that he's Uh, he's got a
- 46:25good chance to sit here. Obviously, with the the mid mid day downgrade
- 46:30to questionable wasn't like a downgrade to problem is all the way to questionable.
- 46:34So he's probably gonna sit. Obviously, it's gonna give more usage to Trey
- 46:39Young nine point nine. K's already already seeing a ton of minutes, already
- 46:44dominating usage and assist percentage for this team, touch time, all that stuff.
- 46:47So he's going to be a really strong play at nine point nine.
- 46:50K could bring Bogdan Bogdanovic into the rotation a little bit more. I'm not
- 46:54sure if they would want to start with him. I guess they might have
- 46:59to. Maybe maybe they go Trent Forrest to start just for the defense.
- 47:04But obviously bog Down is gonna be the biggest beneficiary with no de John Saint
- 47:07Marie and he would be in play for sure. But yeah, game environment
- 47:12wise, this is really solid. I think that the Sixers they kind of
- 47:15rate out as a pretty solid defense in terms of defensive rating when you look
- 47:17at the numbers, but they're struggling with their rim defense right now. Obviously
- 47:22not having Joel and b down there is gonna hurt them a bit. But
- 47:27bottom seven rim defense right now, bottom four and transition defense, and those
- 47:30are kind of two spots where the Hawks are are looking to play more into
- 47:34like they're really solid transition offense, gonna look to get out and run.
- 47:37They're a top paced team, So really good spot for them and equally as
- 47:42good of a spot, if not better, for the Sixers. The Hawks
- 47:45are awful defensively all season long, gonna be without their best on ball defender
- 47:49too. If the Jount Murder were to sit bottom four defensive rating, bottom
- 47:52four rim defense, bottom six three point defense, and bottom three and transition
- 47:57defense, So man, that's gonna be definitely a game to attack. And
- 48:00sorry with the sixer side, Tyres MAXI huge spot here for him. Sub
- 48:05nine K just yeah, for all those reasons I mentioned that kind of it
- 48:08is exactly how Tyres Maxie plays. He's a you know, fast, fast
- 48:12guard, going to look to get downhill, get to the rim and yeah,
- 48:15and with no no EMBIID. Obviously, he's leading the team in usage
- 48:19and assist percentage, So not having Melton there too would just kind of solidify
- 48:23his upside case. So I love Maxie tonight, probably my favorite overall play
- 48:27on the slate. Gonna definitely be having him across a ton of my lineups.
- 48:32Tobis Harris very interesting to sub seven K gonna be making his return after
- 48:37the the one game absence obviously sees a big usage bump without without EMBIID as
- 48:43well. And as much as I love Jalen Johnson as like a talent in
- 48:46the league, he's just he's a pretty bad defender. I'll say to just
- 48:51put it nicely. So I think that Tobias Harris, being, you know,
- 48:53the season veteran that he is, he's going to take advantage of that
- 48:57really solid price sac for him, and he can get there multiple ways,
- 48:59so I have interest in him. I think if the Anthony Milton is out
- 49:01again, we could look to Kelly Ubre, who's going to be the third
- 49:05fiddle on offense. Played thirty seven minutes last game. I think that's very
- 49:08much on the table here again, and he's a player that plays well in
- 49:13transition as well. And outside of those three, though I'm not really messing
- 49:16with any of these other guys. It's kind of tough to pay five point
- 49:20seven K for Paul Reid when they're almost splitting the center minutes down the middle
- 49:23with him and Movamba, And I mean even Mo at four point five K
- 49:27is not really cheap enough to consider as a backup center. So I think
- 49:30that you really just look into the main three guys on the Sixer side and
- 49:35then kind of moving on on the Atlanta side. He already mentioned the Trey
- 49:38Young stuff. Gonna like him a ton If de John Taimurray is ruled out
- 49:40here, would like him even better. If the Anthony Melton is ruled out
- 49:45as well, just Danthony Melton really solid on ball defenders, that would kind
- 49:47of make things a little bit easier for him. But yeah, he's he's
- 49:52got a really solid floor just from the assist numbers, kind of hovering around
- 49:55ten every single game, and if the shots not falling, he kind of
- 49:59has that to fall back on for some fantasy scoring. But yeah, he's
- 50:02playing huge minutes right now. Forty minutes is definitely in play here, and
- 50:07with this game being close, I think he's got really big upside. Yeah.
- 50:14I don't really know what to say about the Johnson though. I mean,
- 50:15I like the spot if he's in, but the questional attack definitely has
- 50:20me worried if he is actually injured or if it's just the trade thing.
- 50:23But if he's in, I mean, he's playing really well right now,
- 50:25scoring the ball well twenty two straight or twenty two points in four straight games
- 50:30at least, so he's fine. Seven point four K prices starting to come
- 50:35down, just doesn't really have the ceiling you need from a guy in that
- 50:38range with while straying the floor with Tree young, so I'd be looking elsewhere
- 50:43and probably to no surprise of everybody that watches the show have interest in Jaylen
- 50:47Johnson. Even at seven K. He busted for US a few games ago
- 50:52in a really good spot, but that was more so he got into foul
- 50:55trouble. He's been getting into foul trouble a couple of times, so that's
- 50:58kind of limited the it's ceiling from him. But I think on a on
- 51:01a regular game with you know, just no funny business with the fouls,
- 51:07he's gonna get close to forty minutes. I could definitely see that again here.
- 51:09And these sixers are not a good room defense, like I mentioned,
- 51:13and they're a terrible in transition, which are two of the areas that Jalen
- 51:15Johnson excels in. So I think I'm gonna be playing a good amount of
- 51:20him, and I don't see a lot of people going to him at seven
- 51:22K. If Capella is out a lot of interest in Yakakongu, he's a
- 51:28really solid fantasy producer in his career and four point eight K solid price SAG
- 51:31power forward eligible two which is huge, so he would be very much in
- 51:35play and in a good spot. And then yeah, I think I think
- 51:39Bogie Bogdanovic, Cidy Bay very much in play, especially De john S.
- 51:44Murray is out, gonna need to command more usage in the second unit,
- 51:46so those guys are totally fine as well. But yeah, this is a
- 51:50really really good game to target. Yeah, you could have broken down any
- 51:52better. I mean, especially if we don't get this and this is the
- 51:57most important news on the slate is guys, and if we don't get it
- 52:00before that first lock time with four locking at seven eastern. Again, if
- 52:05we didn't, it would be right at seven eastern. But man, that's
- 52:09a lot of good games and teams and positions where maybe you want people wouldn't
- 52:14have room for Kong Wu as much, or Trey Young or Jalen Johnson.
- 52:17They all get a massive bumps. I mean, No, Capella Kung Wu
- 52:21is one of the best plays on the slate. No Dejonte, Jalen Johnson,
- 52:23Sadiq Bay, Bigdonovitch, Trey, all of them, like the Hawks
- 52:28are great, great plays, and they're not gonna project like that because projections
- 52:31have to Jonte and Capella in. But that definitely will change the slate.
- 52:35And I would love to get overweight one that you mentioned, like great game
- 52:38environment, anyway, Tyres Maasy, I have a little more interested in Paul
- 52:43Reid, but I do understand exactly what you're saying, and center is loaded.
- 52:46I do think he gets a little ownership though, So hey, fading
- 52:51or fading someone that's gonna get a little ownership. You can ever go wrong
- 52:54with that. Love the Tobias price tag at six' nine. So let's
- 52:59say Dejonte's out and you obviously, as Tambo says, his dk at works,
- 53:02he can play both, but Tobias Harris or Jalen Johnson for pretty much
- 53:07the same price. If you said if Deconte is out correct correct? I
- 53:15don't know, man, that's pretty that's really tough. Yeah, both great
- 53:19players. I don't really know if like how big of a usage bump Jalen's
- 53:23gonna see just looking at the looking at it quickly, it's I mean,
- 53:29he's kind of just he's a low usage guy. He's more so just like
- 53:30a pick and roll and like kind of cuts to the rim type of player
- 53:34and gets there with with steals and reboundings. So I don't necessarily think that
- 53:38like the usage standpoint is going to change much for for a guy like Jalen
- 53:43Johnson. More so Bogdanovic, But yeah, I probably would. I probably
- 53:47would side with Jalen Johnson, though, I just I think that the upside
- 53:52is a little bit better than Tobias Harris's makes sense. Yeah, this game
- 53:55definitely monitor the news. That's an important one at seventh or eastern. But
- 54:00are you gonna our last question? Are you gonna make a rule like you
- 54:04said in that Pacers Washington game mid one of this game, I'm like a
- 54:09Maxi Tobias, just messy Tobias, Jallen Johnson, et cetera. You're gonna
- 54:14do any mid one rule for this one? I don't think so, just
- 54:16it's not the same type of spot for the six er SEC because I think
- 54:21you're really only well for me, I'm only considering three guys really, so
- 54:25I think that I'll just get overweight them in. I'll just have a bunch
- 54:30of that. I don't know if I'll have mid one just because there's only
- 54:32three guys to choose from, whereas Indy there's a good amount. Washington has
- 54:37like four to five guys I'm considering, but I'll definitely be overweight in this
- 54:39game for sure. I like it. We have two games left on the
- 54:44slate and yeah, you're probably like, man, they've talked fifty four minutes
- 54:46on six games on eight games slate. Well, these last two games are
- 54:50pretty much gonna be very very quick for me. A lot of my teams
- 54:54are gonna be done at seven, third Easter and then I got time to
- 54:58chill a bit. But what's going on? Conscious? What's going on?
- 55:00Danny coaches in here, justin in here as well, and yeah, Danny
- 55:04reminds it again. I'm not even gonna say it. I feel bad asking
- 55:07too much. But you can read the screen and we appreciated a ton two
- 55:09hundred twelve people out there watching. Hope all two hundred and twelve. Are
- 55:14you not two hundred eleven having a great day? Maybe the other man was
- 55:17not having a good day. But two games left, Houston Rockets Chicago Bulls
- 55:22two to sixteen total, Bulls favored by four into report for Houston, Easton
- 55:28out, Dylan Brooks out still Chicago sided. Nothing to worry about, two
- 55:31healthy teams, low total, really really easy. Stay away from me.
- 55:37If I had to pick anyone, I don't know. Seangon is a contrarian
- 55:39spend, but like as this upside, can you get you sixty at this
- 55:44center position, which is probably what you want on a slate like this,
- 55:46Lavine, I guess at six to seven if I had to pick anyone.
- 55:51But yeah, like I said, I don't like these last two games.
- 55:52Eight games slate. Make it a six gamer, make it pretty much a
- 55:55five game, or with that Boston Minnesota game too, So I got nothing.
- 56:00What about you? Yeah, that's that's definitely the way I was approaching
- 56:04the slate. I think that's a pretty easy cross off. Just such a
- 56:07bad game environment, low low games total to really solid defenses, to slow
- 56:13paced teams. So I think that you could definitely look elsewhere there. There's
- 56:16a couple of guys that are in consideration. I think that Kobe White is
- 56:20kind of fine as a contrarian play. He's just seen. His minutes have
- 56:23been fine, regardless of Zach Levine and Vucevic. Seen thirty eight, forty
- 56:28and forty two, got up to forty six and a half, forty four
- 56:30and forty three DK points, So I think that he's a fine option at
- 56:35seven point two. K Like you mentioned Levine, no minutes limming on him
- 56:38now got to six thirty six minutes last game versus the Hornets, but he
- 56:44seemed a little little timid in terms of shooting the ball, didn't really take
- 56:47a ton of shots, wasn't really driving the ball a lot, so I
- 56:51would be looking elsewhere, especially if there's any sort of ownership. I'm seeing
- 56:53double digit ownership on him, so that seems like a pretty easy fade spot.
- 56:58And then Jabari Smith kind of has a slightly positive matchup with the Bulls
- 57:02being more of a three point funnel. But I mean his minutes are gonna
- 57:06be safe for two Atari Easton, But yeah, I'm gonna agree with you
- 57:08though. This is kind of an X off game for me. Yeah,
- 57:12last game thirty two minutes, seventeen DK points, thirty two twenty nine,
- 57:16thirty two to twenty four did have that big one in there with a lot
- 57:20of rebounds. But yeah, pretty much eight gameslay making a five game slate
- 57:23is how I'm playing it with. If you won off something in these games,
- 57:28I think that's fine. What's up, shy Town, I was just
- 57:30messing around, But we appreciate those words. I hope you're having a good
- 57:34one. Seawan Pelicans Warriors to thirty four total. Pelicans favored by two.
- 57:39There is injury news in this one, especially on the Pelicans side. Zion
- 57:43questionable, Jose Alvarado questionable. Do remember, though, this game is thirty
- 57:47minutes or it's the last game of the night by thirty minutes, and it's
- 57:51an hour after that Philly Atlanta game, And I'm not gonna have really any
- 57:54roster spot. Like Jared Jackson, we knew we were gonna play in Memphis
- 57:58anyway. However that new broke it was gonna be fine. If we don't
- 58:01get the Zion News prior to the Philly Hawks game, I really don't care.
- 58:07Like, even if he is ruled out, they got enough bodies Ingram,
- 58:09Joe Bell, CJ. I'm not backloading or anything for the Zion News.
- 58:15If you get earlier in the day, Yeah, bump a CJ.
- 58:17Bump of Brandon Ingram maybe. But they're still priced up, so oh.
- 58:22Alvarado's also questionable. That doesn't mean as much. Warriors side CP three obviously,
- 58:27Draymond's still out, probably coming back pretty soon. It sounds like Gary
- 58:30Payton out as well. CP three, the main one hurting his hand.
- 58:36I don't know, though, man, all these guys are priced up like
- 58:37they should be it's it's an X for me any Lean on Zion and then
- 58:42what do you see in this one? Uh? Hard to tell his Zion
- 58:45because it seems like if he just gets scratched, he's out for a couple
- 58:49of games. So he's probably gonna be out, would be my Lean can't
- 58:52play on back to backs, even at twenty three years old, So yeah,
- 58:57big struggle for him. I remember somebody in Disco or the other night
- 59:00was saying, I think it was a Rusty Jones was saying that the conversation
- 59:05for like Zion versus John Moran got a little bit closer now that Jaws out
- 59:08for the season. I don't think that it's even close. Jaws clearly the
- 59:13better franchise player in in my opinion. Just I've seen enough at a Zion
- 59:19to know that he doesn't really take basketball seriously. But yeah, in terms
- 59:23of matchup the Pelicans, they've been one of the better defenses over the past
- 59:28month or so pretty much in every category. So this is kind of a
- 59:30bad spot for the Warriors in every which way you paint it. I mean,
- 59:34it's better spot for three point shooters catching shoot three point shooters. I
- 59:38think that Klay Thompson just playing as I guess, as good as he has
- 59:42been lately, shooting the ball really well. He's in play, but not
- 59:46like running to play him by any means. I think Pods is fine,
- 59:52But the rotation is still so deep for the Warriors right now that I don't
- 59:54think that any one of these guys kind of grades out as a great play.
- 1:00:00And yeah, I don't even think that like the Zion News really change
- 1:00:01as much. Obviously, Ingram and CJ gonna see more usage. Maybe Jonas
- 1:00:05Valanciunis we'll see a higher minutes for, but he's been kind of losing run
- 1:00:08to Larry Nance Junior. Just he kind of fits the mold of the team
- 1:00:12a little bit better in terms of the way that they want to play.
- 1:00:15But yeah, I mean, Trey Murphy's even price to five point six k,
- 1:00:17Herb Jones five point five k doesn't really show that big of a ceiling.
- 1:00:21So I don't think that you're really like gaining that much by waiting for
- 1:00:24the Zion News. You should just probably be looking to jam in these these
- 1:00:29five games that we talked about and kind of excess one out. I love
- 1:00:32it, love being lock step with your Rio again the Hawks News, the
- 1:00:37story of the Slates, Indy Washington, game Detroit, San Antonio, Philly,
- 1:00:42Atlanta our favorite games, but definitely that Atlanta News. Capella dejonte q
- 1:00:46tags are very important on this late and that is thirty minutes after and again
- 1:00:51we talched. There's ten games in the association, only eight games on FanDuel
- 1:00:54and DK, but the last two games we will have projections Showdown Core report
- 1:00:59that Real does break down his favorite plays, a little slate breakdown down below
- 1:01:02as well. And again we do have projections, we do have ownership for
- 1:01:07that and a lot of members have had success in those streets. So hey,
- 1:01:09if you can't play during or this hour and a half window, does
- 1:01:13it work for you, you're having a bad day and you want to chase
- 1:01:16We do not recommend ever doing that. Or if you're having a great day
- 1:01:20and you want some more action, make sure to check out that Showdown Core
- 1:01:22Report. Again, remember Golf Lox tomorrow, MMA this week, NFL,
- 1:01:27this week, NBA, of course, NHL. No better time to get
- 1:01:30over. Plenty of money to be made. That's what we Rio and myself
- 1:01:34will be looking to do. Use that promo code Mayo gets you ten percent
- 1:01:37off any package monthly, six month or annual, and if you do join,
- 1:01:43get in the discord. Awesome stuff is always Rio. Hope everybody out
- 1:01:46there has a great night. Get that ship at Nation Logos. I'm your
- 1:01:50DraftKings or FanDuel. Hey Mike, give you just a little little better chance
- 1:01:53to get to the top there. Have a great night, be safe.
- 1:01:57Great stuff is always Rio. For my man, real untitled good night,
- 1:02:01have a good