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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 1/14/26 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
0:06
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:08
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:12
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:15
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
0:18
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:21
Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
0:26
Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four that
0:29
Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with bookends the
0:33
Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
0:37
Speaker 1: into pink.
0:39
Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins.
0:41
Speaker 1: Hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
0:43
Speaker 1: the bruins. Arch hate? Is that what it is? I
0:46
Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
0:50
Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
0:53
Speaker 2: But I don't even know what data is anymore.
0:54
Speaker 1: Man's back with you after the worst day that I
0:58
Speaker 1: could possibly have, back with for you, as I always
1:01
Speaker 1: am until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday
1:05
Speaker 1: and yesterday it did not go well for me. Own
1:08
Speaker 1: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
1:12
Speaker 1: eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to even
1:14
Speaker 1: tell you about this anymore. The slump, the slump discontinuous,
1:19
Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
1:24
Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point, other
1:26
Speaker 1: than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's Toad
1:34
Speaker 1: back with you with toad Stool Sports. It is Wednesday,
1:38
Speaker 1: January fourteenth. Promished Adam winning day last night. Man, we
1:44
Speaker 1: went to two and two. Not happy about it. College
1:48
Speaker 1: basketball was owned to last night. Hockey was good, baby.
1:52
Speaker 1: I got my Utah mammoth the jersey for the occasion here. Uh,
1:59
Speaker 1: mister h Keller? Is that Keller? Is his name? I
2:02
Speaker 1: always forgot. I'm like Kessel. Wait, no, that's the guy
2:05
Speaker 1: who left the Bruins. What Keller? Yeah? So yeah, we
2:12
Speaker 1: should have had a winning day last night, though I'm
2:14
Speaker 1: not happy about it. To put my headphones away here,
2:17
Speaker 1: myke my cord is not not behaving here. I apologize, man,
2:24
Speaker 1: my setup is a little bit, a little bit off.
2:27
Speaker 2: From the way that I want it right now.
2:29
Speaker 1: But yes, Minnesota was the main sticking point last night.
2:33
Speaker 1: Is they had a double digit lead with like ten
2:36
Speaker 1: minutes to go in that game against Wisconsin, first half
2:39
Speaker 1: would have won from I don't really do halves, but
2:43
Speaker 1: you get Wisconsin in that major letdown spot, it kind
2:46
Speaker 1: of makes sense that the letdown would hit earlier in
2:49
Speaker 1: the game. So our first half wager did make sense.
2:51
Speaker 1: For Minnesota that would have gotten the job done. But
2:54
Speaker 1: they blew the game. Man, double digit lead, low scoring
2:58
Speaker 1: game the way that you want it with Minnesota, and
3:00
Speaker 1: then they blow it. They fall behind by margin and
3:02
Speaker 1: then they lose and they missed by one point or whatever.
3:06
Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, losing by three, I'm pissed
3:11
Speaker 1: off about that. And then Oklahoma was never close. It
3:15
Speaker 1: was the wrong side. I apologize. I thought it was
3:18
Speaker 1: a horrible spot for Florida. I'm sometimes you're just wrong, man.
3:22
Speaker 1: What can you do? Uh? That was the wrong one.
3:24
Speaker 1: And then hockey was good. Like I said, we added
3:27
Speaker 1: the Bruins. The Bruins got the job done three nothing,
3:30
Speaker 1: and then a blowout went from Utah as well, six
3:33
Speaker 1: to one. I believe it was the fine home Utah,
3:35
Speaker 1: So we did get those right. Mister Pinsey, what's up, Kyle,
3:40
Speaker 1: what's up man? Tyson? What's up? Everybody? Yeah? Uh? Ten
3:47
Speaker 1: percent on the on the money line. Yeah, you went
3:49
Speaker 1: ten percent on the puck line. Okay, all right.
3:54
Speaker 2: I don't usually recommend that. I mean, yeah, like I.
3:57
Speaker 1: Say, when it's a dog, you're basically saying that you
4:00
Speaker 1: think that they have a better chance to win outright
4:02
Speaker 1: than what the oddsmakers are giving you for the most
4:04
Speaker 1: part of your playing the dog. So if it's a
4:07
Speaker 1: dog that's like less than double digits, it's kind of
4:10
Speaker 1: my rule in football and basketball, then I say ten
4:14
Speaker 1: percent on the money line, ninety percent of the bet
4:18
Speaker 1: on the spread. If it's more than double digit favor
4:21
Speaker 1: then I start saying, probably put like between one and
4:25
Speaker 1: three percent on the money line, just so you have something,
4:29
Speaker 1: just so if it hits, you're not like totally pissed off.
4:32
Speaker 1: And I still think it's a If you're doing your
4:35
Speaker 1: handicapping right, I think you still win more often than
4:38
Speaker 1: you don't. Plus that really small amount and that huge dog,
4:41
Speaker 1: you're not losing that much by doing it. So that's
4:43
Speaker 1: how I do it. I almost I have one hockey
4:46
Speaker 1: play today and I almost went puck line with it.
4:49
Speaker 1: It is an underdog, though, and it was so close
4:51
Speaker 1: to my threshold that I was just like, now, let's
4:54
Speaker 1: just go money line on it. So that's what we're
4:56
Speaker 1: gonna do today. And I have four college basketball plays
5:01
Speaker 1: and we will not have any NBA today. I don't
5:04
Speaker 1: like the NBA board. So even though it is my
5:07
Speaker 1: best sport historically and the like just recently, it continues
5:12
Speaker 1: to be good. All right, we can get into college
5:15
Speaker 1: basketball here. There's a lot a lot to do here.
5:18
Speaker 2: Trace and what's up?
5:19
Speaker 1: Man? Tower Gang ended due to uh, irreconcilable differences between
5:29
Speaker 1: Top and Clint. I'm not happy about it. I wanted
5:33
Speaker 1: the show to continue. I don't know, man, I thought
5:36
Speaker 1: I thought we definitely had something there. I'm sad, obviously. Yeah,
5:41
Speaker 1: it's just, uh, if there's any way that it continues,
5:45
Speaker 1: it'll have to be probably just the og lineup of it.
5:50
Speaker 1: But I don't even know if that's gonna happen because
5:52
Speaker 1: everybody's just kind of off doing their own thing now.
5:54
Speaker 1: So I I have no idea, man, But if you
5:57
Speaker 1: watch the last episode of Tower Gang, will probably see
6:02
Speaker 1: what happened, although some of it might have been in
6:04
Speaker 1: the post show behind the paywall. But yeah, I I
6:08
Speaker 1: wasn't even sure what was going on, Like I thought
6:10
Speaker 1: they were kind of just messing with each other and
6:12
Speaker 1: then I don't know, thank you, sir. Yeah, I mean
6:16
Speaker 1: I loved I love doing it, so yeah, I don't
6:20
Speaker 1: really have that outlet anymore, although I am.
6:22
Speaker 2: On loser Cast. You can check out loser Cast.
6:24
Speaker 1: We had an episode last night that is the comedy
6:27
Speaker 1: panel podcast that I'm on right now with Tyler the
6:30
Speaker 1: Tower Gang producers on it, and it's the Brains out
6:34
Speaker 1: of Layton from Outlawed Thoughts, and we got a couple
6:38
Speaker 1: other guys on it as well.
6:40
Speaker 2: All right, let's get into this board today here, man.
6:44
Speaker 1: We have a lot of games that are early today,
6:48
Speaker 1: earlier than seven pm at least. There's a bunch of
6:50
Speaker 1: like six and six thirty Eastern games here, starting with
6:54
Speaker 1: an A ten matchup between VCU and Rhode Island at
6:57
Speaker 1: Rhode Island six pm on CBS Sports. I first looked
7:02
Speaker 1: at this and I'm like, VCU has got to be
7:04
Speaker 1: in some sort of hangover spot kind of because they
7:09
Speaker 1: came off that huge game against Saint Louis and they
7:11
Speaker 1: lost the game. So I thought they were gonna be
7:13
Speaker 1: hungover after that game, and it seems like they were.
7:16
Speaker 1: They lost to George Mason, who is atop the A
7:19
Speaker 1: ten right now. Although I don't think George Mason is
7:21
Speaker 1: actually the best team in the A ten, and in fact,
7:24
Speaker 1: I think VCU was actually better than they are. But
7:27
Speaker 1: that was a road game, a tough spot for VCU.
7:29
Speaker 1: They took another loss. Now how do they respond to that?
7:32
Speaker 1: Because that was another big game. It's a second straight
7:35
Speaker 1: road game, third road game in four games. Rhode Island
7:39
Speaker 1: not doing very well this year. It seems like maybe
7:41
Speaker 1: it could be another hangover here for VCU. Rhode Island
7:45
Speaker 1: likely gets up for the game, although Rhode Island did
7:47
Speaker 1: just pull off a nice upset on the road at Davidson.
7:50
Speaker 1: I assume that was an upset, so they're coming off
7:53
Speaker 1: of that. I don't think they're gonna have a let
7:55
Speaker 1: down facing VCU, though, the returning conference champs from last
7:59
Speaker 1: year and that end of the day long well not
8:01
Speaker 1: a long, but a three game loss streak fort Rhode
8:03
Speaker 1: Island and that was their first conference win, so there
8:06
Speaker 1: is the argument that maybe that will give them some
8:08
Speaker 1: momentum moving forward here. So I probably need to Rhode
8:14
Speaker 1: Island and this one. The money is kind of disagreeing
8:16
Speaker 1: with that. VCU was a four and a half point
8:18
Speaker 1: road favorite here, sixty seven percent of the tickets we
8:21
Speaker 1: see nine to nine percent of the cash right now
8:23
Speaker 1: on VC, although I don't think that's really accurate. But
8:26
Speaker 1: I would probably leaned towards taking the points in that one.
8:29
Speaker 1: But I have no strong opinion on that. I have
8:32
Speaker 1: a somewhat stronger opinion on an Army at holy Cross
8:35
Speaker 1: in the Patriot League. Oh God, Army not one of
8:39
Speaker 1: the better teams of the Patriot League. Let's just put
8:41
Speaker 1: it that way. They're in fact bad enough that they're
8:43
Speaker 1: a pretty big underdog at holy Cross. Here. Army is
8:47
Speaker 1: coming off three straight losses after opening the conference slate
8:51
Speaker 1: with a win against Lehigh. And we'll talk about Lehigh
8:53
Speaker 1: in a minute. Army last game they took a loss
8:57
Speaker 1: to Boston University. They're staying in Massachusetts. It makes it,
9:01
Speaker 1: I guess, a little bit easier, not that Armies that
9:03
Speaker 1: far away anyway, but makes the.
9:05
Speaker 2: Travel spot a little bit easier here.
9:06
Speaker 1: They do have American up next, which they're one of
9:09
Speaker 1: the better teams in the conference, but I don't know
9:11
Speaker 1: that that's gonna be a look ahead because when you're
9:13
Speaker 1: losing every game, you're gonna probably show up and try
9:15
Speaker 1: to win a game. Meanwhile, I think holy Cross is
9:19
Speaker 1: probably in a bad spot here because they just beat
9:21
Speaker 1: American on the road. That was a pretty big upset
9:24
Speaker 1: for holy Cross. Probably about an eight point underdog is
9:28
Speaker 1: what holy Cross was in that game, so I could
9:30
Speaker 1: see holy Cross being hung over after that game. I
9:35
Speaker 1: leaned the Army in this game, although it is interesting
9:37
Speaker 1: the holy Cross is a pretty substantial favorite here. Well,
9:41
Speaker 1: they're down from six and a half to five and
9:42
Speaker 1: a half now, so the money, the early market move
9:45
Speaker 1: seems to agree with me on taking the points with
9:47
Speaker 1: Army in this one, and that is what I would do.
9:50
Speaker 1: It's a low total as well, one forty three and
9:52
Speaker 1: a half, so the it makes more sense to take
9:56
Speaker 1: points when there's a low total like this, but that
9:59
Speaker 1: is what I would do.
9:59
Speaker 2: All so, one thing that kind of has me pausing.
10:02
Speaker 1: Is that, like, why would holy Cross be this big
10:05
Speaker 1: of a favorite when both teams have horrible records? Right,
10:09
Speaker 1: So that that does make me hesitate a little bit,
10:12
Speaker 1: and that like just the number looks so weird it
10:15
Speaker 1: almost makes me want to lean to holy Cross. But
10:17
Speaker 1: the situation pretty much says Army to me. So that's
10:20
Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that one. The next
10:22
Speaker 1: game up is the game that I actually have a
10:25
Speaker 1: play on. First best bet of the day comes in early.
10:29
Speaker 1: We have nothing on the seven pm slate, by the way,
10:32
Speaker 1: we have a six pm and then we have some
10:34
Speaker 1: later games.
10:35
Speaker 2: We're gonna be.
10:36
Speaker 1: On Boston University. My guys, my family alma mater, not mine,
10:42
Speaker 1: but like everybody in my family pretty much, we're gonna
10:44
Speaker 1: go with BU. On the money line in this one,
10:47
Speaker 1: you can find them somewhere around two two and a half.
10:50
Speaker 1: If it gets to two and a half, I'd probably
10:52
Speaker 1: just say lay the points spread instead at two and
10:55
Speaker 1: a half, but I found a good money line on it.
10:57
Speaker 1: Any money line that's kind of in like the minus
10:59
Speaker 1: one thirty range, I would probably just do that. And
11:02
Speaker 1: as I talk about in college basketball, usually when you
11:04
Speaker 1: have a favorite of minus one minus one and a
11:07
Speaker 1: half from minus two, it actually is more advantageous to
11:12
Speaker 1: lay a money line price on that favorite. So just
11:16
Speaker 1: reiterating that, the total is pretty low at one forty one,
11:19
Speaker 1: so laying points. I don't love laying points when the
11:22
Speaker 1: totals that low, but this is a horrible spot for
11:25
Speaker 1: Lehigh Lehigh. I mean, they're not one of the better
11:28
Speaker 1: teams in the conference, but the spot is just awful.
11:31
Speaker 1: Lehi just pulled off an upset at Colgate. Colegate is
11:34
Speaker 1: usually one of the best teams in the Patriot and
11:37
Speaker 1: they are again. They're one of the top couple of
11:39
Speaker 1: teams in this conference. Lehigh went into their place and
11:43
Speaker 1: beat them. That was a huge game for Lehigh. Now
11:46
Speaker 1: that you have a second straight road game, third road
11:48
Speaker 1: game in four games, having to go up to Boston again,
11:52
Speaker 1: and up next in a few days they play Navy,
11:55
Speaker 1: and Navy is the team that's atop the conference. So
11:58
Speaker 1: I think this is a sandwich spot for Lehigh here,
12:02
Speaker 1: So I don't like it at all. Meanwhile, for Boston University,
12:04
Speaker 1: as I pointed out, they just beat an army and
12:07
Speaker 1: they're staying at home, so I think they just have
12:09
Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum right now. So I like
12:11
Speaker 1: how this sets up a lot better for Boston University here.
12:14
Speaker 1: And then I think I did look at the conference
12:17
Speaker 1: tournament from last year, because I usually look at that
12:19
Speaker 1: to see what happened in the conference tournament last year,
12:22
Speaker 1: but in this case, there wasn't a whole lot going on.
12:24
Speaker 2: These teams did not meet.
12:26
Speaker 1: Up in the conference tournament last year, so I don't
12:28
Speaker 1: think that matters as far as Lehigh is concerned. Though,
12:33
Speaker 1: hold on Lehigh, Oh, I was looking at lee High
12:36
Speaker 1: never mind. Yeah, So there's not really much to see
12:38
Speaker 1: as far as that's concerned. So that's basically out of
12:40
Speaker 1: the equation. It does look like BU ticked up from
12:43
Speaker 1: two to two and a half early. We still don't
12:45
Speaker 1: really have a market read on this, but my situation
12:48
Speaker 1: read is Lehigh's in a horrible spot. We're gonna lay
12:51
Speaker 1: it with Boston University or lay a money line price.
12:55
Speaker 1: That's the first play up, all right, Iowa and Purdue
13:03
Speaker 1: Big Ten Network. This is an interesting one. Number five
13:06
Speaker 1: per due of course, Purdue is a legit team. Ken
13:09
Speaker 1: Bomb's got them in the top three. Actually, he has
13:12
Speaker 1: them number three in his power ratings. In my preseason preview,
13:17
Speaker 1: I said Purdue was gonna be a title contender because
13:20
Speaker 1: they're bringing back all their guards again and whatever. But
13:23
Speaker 1: obviously we're in the middle of the season here, so
13:25
Speaker 1: now we're talking about what.
13:26
Speaker 2: Is the spot.
13:27
Speaker 1: Now Iowa has dropped out of the rankings, though Iowa
13:30
Speaker 1: was still a legit team, Ken bomb as them in
13:32
Speaker 1: the top twenty five. Still, both of these teams played
13:35
Speaker 1: a slow pace, so that's not gonna really throw either
13:39
Speaker 1: team off. Iowa is coming into this off a pretty
13:43
Speaker 1: difficult gaming. It's Illinois though, So yeah, Iowa's gonna want
13:46
Speaker 1: to get up for a game and gets Purdue as well,
13:48
Speaker 1: but they're gonna have to put in that for two
13:50
Speaker 1: games in a row, and they're gonna have to go
13:51
Speaker 1: from facing Well. I was gonna say Illinois is a
13:54
Speaker 1: fast paced team, but they're not actually that fast anymore.
13:56
Speaker 1: So they're actually playing two somewhat slower paced teams in
14:00
Speaker 1: a row, which is interesting, but it's still it's a
14:04
Speaker 1: tough spot for Iowa. I think, just because they're playing
14:06
Speaker 1: two big games in a row. Purdue is coming off
14:09
Speaker 1: of somewhat lackluster effort against Penn State where they caught
14:13
Speaker 1: Penn State in a bad spot too. Penn State had
14:15
Speaker 1: gone all out and almost pulled off an upset against Michigan.
14:20
Speaker 1: I want to say, was it Michigan. Michigan's faltering recently? Man, Yes,
14:25
Speaker 1: it was so I thought Penn State was in a
14:27
Speaker 1: bad spot. But Purdue, I don't know, man, if they
14:30
Speaker 1: just went through the motions or what, but it was
14:32
Speaker 1: not a good game for Purdue. Then one by eight.
14:35
Speaker 1: It was just a get in, get out type of
14:37
Speaker 1: effort for Purdue. Maybe Purdue shows up with more effort here.
14:41
Speaker 1: This is not a bad spot for Purdue though, So
14:44
Speaker 1: I think I actually prefer Purdue in this game, even
14:46
Speaker 1: though I tend to be mister underdog, but not always.
14:50
Speaker 1: You can't always be mister underdog. Purdue is a ten
14:54
Speaker 1: and a half way favorite here. It is a low total,
14:56
Speaker 1: of course, because it's expected that both teams are gonna
14:59
Speaker 1: slow this thing down. So I don't really hate the
15:01
Speaker 1: idea of an under in this game either. But Purdue
15:04
Speaker 1: does shoot very efficiently, so they're probably like the highest scoring,
15:08
Speaker 1: slow based team out there, Purdue, because they just find
15:11
Speaker 1: good shots and they nail them at a high rate.
15:14
Speaker 1: But yeah, I would probably need to Purdue minus the
15:17
Speaker 1: points in that one. Garrett, what's up man? Yes, North Carolina.
15:23
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion on that one. You're on, Kansas,
15:28
Speaker 1: Good for you. I don't buy into the due factor.
15:32
Speaker 1: But if you if you watched my show last night,
15:35
Speaker 1: you saw what my opinions were on that. I leaned
15:37
Speaker 1: to Kansas in that game. I just thought the main
15:42
Speaker 1: factor was that Kansas was coming off a bad loss
15:44
Speaker 1: to West Virginia and I thought they were probably looking ahead.
15:47
Speaker 1: And Kansas is definitely really good at home, but that
15:50
Speaker 1: was big factored into the line, and a lot of
15:52
Speaker 1: these like small ranked road favorites have not been coming
15:55
Speaker 1: through this year, so I had my concerns with it,
15:58
Speaker 1: although of course it won and both my plays didn't.
16:01
Speaker 1: Kansas is rarely an underdog at home though, by the way,
16:05
Speaker 1: that was only I think the fourth time Kansas was
16:07
Speaker 1: an underdog at home since twenty nineteen, and I think
16:10
Speaker 1: prior to twenty nineteen they hadn't been a home underdog
16:13
Speaker 1: for like two decades. But Kansas last year they were down,
16:17
Speaker 1: as we know, they had their lowest seed in the tournament.
16:21
Speaker 1: I think maybe in program history or for a long
16:24
Speaker 1: long time. It's hard to win on the road. But
16:28
Speaker 1: I mean that's factored into the line though. But again
16:31
Speaker 1: I agreed with Kansas just because Kansas was coming off
16:34
Speaker 1: that bad performance. That was kind of my handicap there.
16:39
Speaker 1: The Big South, we have a pretty good game between
16:41
Speaker 1: High Point and Winthrop. High Point is basically the dominant
16:44
Speaker 1: team in this conference. But maybe we should hold that
16:48
Speaker 1: a little bit because look at the line in this game.
16:50
Speaker 1: High Point sixteen and three on the season, Winthrop eleven
16:54
Speaker 1: and eight. Yet Winthrop is favored in this game at home,
16:57
Speaker 1: So that's got to give you a little bit of
16:59
Speaker 1: paw man, Like, what is going on here?
17:01
Speaker 2: Why is Winthrop a favorite?
17:03
Speaker 1: Well, the oddspeakers are telling you there isn't actually that
17:05
Speaker 1: much of a gap between these two teams, although I
17:08
Speaker 1: think ken Bomb probably has high Point winning this game
17:10
Speaker 1: by a few points, So the line does seem a
17:13
Speaker 1: little bit off to me. Although ken Bomb it's all analytics,
17:18
Speaker 1: so he's not factoring in like the real current situation.
17:21
Speaker 1: And like, I don't know if there's any personnel missing
17:24
Speaker 1: in this game or anything like that. But at the
17:26
Speaker 1: very least, you know Winthrop is gonna come in with
17:29
Speaker 1: a huge effort in this game, man, because high Point
17:31
Speaker 1: won the conference last year, Winthrop coming out of an
17:35
Speaker 1: easy win over USC Upstate, and I believe Winthrop. I
17:39
Speaker 1: think they got knocked out of the tournament last year
17:41
Speaker 1: by high Point as well. Yeah, and that might have
17:43
Speaker 1: been in the I don't yeah, I think that was
17:45
Speaker 1: in the conference final too.
17:47
Speaker 2: High Point beat.
17:47
Speaker 1: Them in the conference finals, so this is a pretty
17:49
Speaker 1: major revenge spot for Winthrop for losing in the conference final.
17:53
Speaker 1: They haven't seen high Points since then, even though the
17:56
Speaker 1: personnel was of course different, especially with the transfer situation,
18:00
Speaker 1: but still, it's gonna be a big game for Winthrop's program. Man,
18:04
Speaker 1: and high Point just came off an overtime win against
18:07
Speaker 1: Charleston Southern. Although I think Charleston's Southern is not as
18:11
Speaker 1: good as their record looks, I don't think they're as
18:12
Speaker 1: good as Winthrop. That was still a pretty big game
18:15
Speaker 1: for High Point because Charleston Southern was up in the
18:18
Speaker 1: top like few in this conference going into that game,
18:23
Speaker 1: so it was still a pretty big game.
18:24
Speaker 2: So High Points having.
18:25
Speaker 1: To play two straight fairly big road games, so I
18:28
Speaker 1: would lean to Winthrop in this game. I'm not gonna
18:31
Speaker 1: make the play, but high Point actually initially flipped from
18:34
Speaker 1: a one and a half dog to one to that
18:35
Speaker 1: point favorite, which I do think high Points still should
18:38
Speaker 1: be a favorite in this game. But the money is
18:41
Speaker 1: coming in on Winthrop according to the percentages, and again
18:43
Speaker 1: I do agree with it. Sixty seven percent of the
18:46
Speaker 1: tickets are on high Point. It's seventy eight percent of
18:48
Speaker 1: the cash on Winthrop, So yeah, I would agree with Winthrop.
18:53
Speaker 2: It's a slight lean for me in that one.
18:55
Speaker 1: Butler at Xavier for some big East action on Fox Sports.
19:00
Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot to say about this game.
19:02
Speaker 1: Butler is coming in off three straight losses though, so
19:05
Speaker 1: you might see a hungrier Butler team here as they
19:09
Speaker 1: only have one win in conference they kind of need one.
19:11
Speaker 1: Xavier actually has two. Now we had Xavier, they caught
19:14
Speaker 1: Providence in a really nice spot Providence a horrible spot
19:18
Speaker 1: for Providence. It was a sandwich spot, big time for Providence.
19:21
Speaker 1: So Xavier was a winner that I gave it on
19:23
Speaker 1: the show. Now, that did break a losing streak for Xavier,
19:27
Speaker 1: so that could give them some new momentum coming into
19:30
Speaker 1: this game. But I don't know. I could see Butler
19:33
Speaker 1: coming in here as the hungrier team, and I could
19:35
Speaker 1: see arguments for both sides in this one. So there's
19:39
Speaker 1: no way I'm gonna have anything as a like for
19:40
Speaker 1: a play in this game or anything. It looks like
19:42
Speaker 1: the money is somewhat coming in on Butler, as they've
19:45
Speaker 1: moved up from a pick them to one and a
19:46
Speaker 1: half with Jews actually seventy one percent of the tickets,
19:50
Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the cash. On Butler, I'll slightly
19:54
Speaker 1: lean to Butler as well. I just think they're the
19:56
Speaker 1: hungrier team for a win right now. But that's not good.
20:00
Speaker 1: That's not anything good enough for me to do anything
20:02
Speaker 1: with that game. But that's a very weak.
20:04
Speaker 2: Opinion for me on that one. You're going with Devin.
20:07
Speaker 1: Booker over on assists, all right, what's what's the reasoning?
20:10
Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm not into the props really, so
20:13
Speaker 1: I don't know what really goes on with the props.
20:15
Speaker 1: So I think if you're going over assists, you're gonna
20:17
Speaker 1: want like a situation where you think that he's gonna
20:21
Speaker 1: be like, there's gotta be a reason why you think
20:23
Speaker 1: he's gonna be dishing it out more like he's got
20:26
Speaker 1: more scores surrounding him, whatever, because he is the highest
20:29
Speaker 1: scoring player on Phoenix, right, or maybe it's gonna be
20:33
Speaker 1: that the opponent is gonna be like defending against his
20:36
Speaker 1: Uh oh, you got it last night? All right? Oh yeah,
20:39
Speaker 1: that was last night Phoenix was playing. Uh yeah, they're
20:42
Speaker 1: not playing tonight Phoenix played. I got that game wrong.
20:45
Speaker 2: On the side.
20:45
Speaker 1: It wasn't a play for me, but it was a
20:48
Speaker 1: phoenix in Miami, I believe, is what it was. Ole
20:53
Speaker 1: Miss is playing at Georgia. Ole Miss just beat Missouri.
20:58
Speaker 1: I don't even remember who was favored in this game,
21:00
Speaker 1: to be honest, let me say, uh yeah, the line
21:03
Speaker 1: was right around to pick them. Ole Miss is a
21:05
Speaker 1: slight favorite in that one. Decent win for all miss
21:08
Speaker 1: just in that they're gonna at least have some momentum
21:11
Speaker 1: coming into this one. I don't think they're gonna they're
21:13
Speaker 1: gonna be overconfident or anything like that. They do play
21:15
Speaker 1: their in state rival, Mississippi State next, that's always a
21:19
Speaker 1: big game.
21:20
Speaker 2: But I think that they're not gonna overlook Georgia though.
21:23
Speaker 1: I mean, they're playing a ranked Georgia team here that's
21:26
Speaker 1: close to the top of the SEC right now. Georgia
21:30
Speaker 1: is coming off a win at South Carolina, a decent
21:32
Speaker 1: win for Georgia to bounce back. This was a back
21:35
Speaker 1: and forth game, man, and Georgia was a favorite in
21:37
Speaker 1: this one, so they were expected to win. Georgia. But
21:42
Speaker 1: worry with them is that they have a look ahead
21:44
Speaker 1: here to Arkansas, which might be the biggest situational factor
21:48
Speaker 1: here potentially, even though I think the biggest situational factors
21:51
Speaker 1: are actually what just happened rather than what's gonna happen next,
21:55
Speaker 1: because that's all mental, and it's easier to overcome the
21:59
Speaker 1: mental and the physical toll that the previous game just took
22:03
Speaker 1: on you, which is physical and mental. Uh, this game.
22:07
Speaker 1: I have a hard time with this game. Wait, I'm
22:10
Speaker 1: looking at South Carolina. That's not what I want. That's
22:11
Speaker 1: a different game, which I will talk about as well.
22:14
Speaker 1: This is Old Miss and Georgia. I am. I'll lean
22:18
Speaker 1: to Ole Miss plus the points here. Georgia eighty six
22:21
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, seventy three percent of the cash
22:23
Speaker 1: on them. They are up to an eleven point favorite.
22:25
Speaker 1: But they look public, which doesn't surprise me. Ole Miss.
22:29
Speaker 1: Not like they're a team that plays slow. The public
22:32
Speaker 1: doesn't want anything to do with Old Miss usually anyway.
22:34
Speaker 1: But they're also down this year, so public is going
22:37
Speaker 1: to be all over Georgia. A faster paced team than
22:39
Speaker 1: they are, and less of the money is totals at
22:43
Speaker 1: one sixty one because you kind of have to with
22:45
Speaker 1: Georgia being a really fast paced team. But maybe Mississippi
22:48
Speaker 1: will be able to slow it down a little bit.
22:50
Speaker 1: It is easier to slow the game down, although the
22:54
Speaker 1: better team and the home team usually are able to
22:57
Speaker 1: control the pace though as well. So if Georgia is
22:59
Speaker 1: a speed this thing up, ole Miss might be in
23:02
Speaker 1: for a long night in that one. So I think
23:05
Speaker 1: it's really gonna depend on which team can kind of
23:07
Speaker 1: overcome that. That's on espn U at seven PM. I
23:11
Speaker 1: would lean to taking the points with ole Miss, though
23:14
Speaker 1: again just because I kind of like the slow down
23:16
Speaker 1: team getting a ton of points. But that's really the
23:20
Speaker 1: most of the angle that I have there. Georgia plays
23:22
Speaker 1: ludicrously fast. By the ludicrous speed, Georgia at number two
23:26
Speaker 1: in the country its tempo, which I don't think that's
23:30
Speaker 1: a good thing to be honest. Once again, into the tournament,
23:32
Speaker 1: if you're trying to make a run in the NCAA
23:34
Speaker 1: tournament and you're going that fast, that's just it's a problem, man.
23:39
Speaker 1: So that is something that worries me about Georgia. Later on,
23:45
Speaker 1: we have Illinois State in Indiana State in the Missouri Valley,
23:48
Speaker 1: and Missouri Valley does give us some situations and I
23:51
Speaker 1: do have one play in the Missouri Valley, And when
23:53
Speaker 1: I first looked at this, I'm like, oh, Illinois State's
23:55
Speaker 1: gonna be in a huge bounce back here because they
23:58
Speaker 1: just lost at Valpo, which is pretty ugly. But then
24:00
Speaker 1: they also followed that up with a loss to Illinois Chicago,
24:04
Speaker 1: who I think got into a little brother mode and
24:07
Speaker 1: got the win there as an underdog at Illinois State
24:10
Speaker 1: as well. I'm like, Illinois State has got to show
24:12
Speaker 1: up for this game against Indiana State in a bounceback
24:15
Speaker 1: spot here after an ugly loss. And then I'm looking
24:17
Speaker 1: at it more and I'm like, I don't know, because
24:20
Speaker 1: Illinois State has Bradley, Northern Iowa, and Belmont and Murray
24:24
Speaker 1: State all on deck, so those are all opponents that
24:28
Speaker 1: they could be looking ahead to, whereas Indiana State's been
24:31
Speaker 1: awful this year, and Illinois Stated already beat Indiana State
24:35
Speaker 1: by twenty at home, so they might even come into
24:37
Speaker 1: this thinking it's easy to be in Indiana State. So
24:40
Speaker 1: I do have my hesitations about that thought. Then I
24:44
Speaker 1: went over and I looked at the Indiana State side.
24:46
Speaker 1: They just had a bad loss at home to Evansville.
24:48
Speaker 1: Evansville is worse than Indiana State. They're the worst team
24:51
Speaker 1: in the conference. Evansville got into a little brother mode,
24:54
Speaker 1: and I think it was a bad spot for Indiana
24:56
Speaker 1: State because they'd upset or excuse me, they had almost
24:58
Speaker 1: pulled off the upset of in the prior game, and
25:03
Speaker 1: they had played Northern Iowa the game before that too,
25:06
Speaker 1: and they had Illinois State, Murray State, Bradley and Drake
25:09
Speaker 1: again all on deck.
25:10
Speaker 2: So that was basically a sandwich for Indiana State.
25:13
Speaker 1: So both teams almost look like during spots where they
25:17
Speaker 1: should bounce back. But the more I think about it,
25:19
Speaker 1: I think Indiana State is probably the way I would
25:21
Speaker 1: leaning in this one because there are more negatives.
25:23
Speaker 2: To Illinois State's situation here.
25:25
Speaker 1: Illinois States down from six and a half to five
25:27
Speaker 1: and a half there, So.
25:29
Speaker 2: The initial move.
25:32
Speaker 1: On the line does seem to agree with me on that.
25:34
Speaker 1: I would lean to Indiana State plus the points a
25:38
Speaker 1: ten action. We got Saint Bonaventure at Saint Joseph's the
25:41
Speaker 1: Battle of the Saints. Saint Bonaventure is coming up a
25:45
Speaker 1: pretty bad loss at home to fordham Man, so I
25:48
Speaker 1: think they are going to be in bounced back mode
25:50
Speaker 1: after that. They were coming up pretty big games against
25:52
Speaker 1: VCU and Richmond. So maybe you can kind of explain
25:55
Speaker 1: that Fordham maybe considers this us to be a little
25:58
Speaker 1: brother in the state of New York because they were
26:02
Speaker 1: both in New York, even though Fordham is in New
26:04
Speaker 1: York City and Saint Bonaventure's upstate. But that's a bad
26:09
Speaker 1: loss for Bonaventure.
26:10
Speaker 2: They were a big favorite in that one.
26:11
Speaker 1: Meanwhile, Saint Joe's just pulled off a road up set
26:15
Speaker 1: at Richmond, and they have VCU and Dayton on deck,
26:19
Speaker 1: so they might consider those to be bigger games here man,
26:22
Speaker 1: as we're looking to say, a Saint Bonaventure team that's
26:26
Speaker 1: falling off to the point where they don't even have
26:28
Speaker 1: a conference win yet. So I think Saint Bonaventure is
26:31
Speaker 1: definitely gonna be showing up trying to get a conference win.
26:33
Speaker 1: They're not as bad as their conference record looks. At
26:36
Speaker 1: the very least. I like Saint Bonaventure in this game.
26:39
Speaker 1: They actually dropped from a two point favorite to a
26:41
Speaker 1: one point favorite, but sixty seven percent of ticket seventy
26:44
Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on them. On the Bonnies,
26:48
Speaker 1: the Bonnie's against the Joe's. No, it's it's the Bonnies
26:51
Speaker 1: against the Hawks. The Joe's actually look like they're on
26:54
Speaker 1: Bonaventure with the with the pros here, so I don't know,
26:57
Speaker 1: but yeah, I would lean to the Bonnies in that one,
27:01
Speaker 1: all right. And again, if you want me to talk
27:03
Speaker 1: about any of these other games, I can. But some
27:04
Speaker 1: of these games I found to be less interesting. East
27:08
Speaker 1: Carolina at South Florida had some interesting components tore. East
27:13
Speaker 1: Carolina just lost a close game at home to UAB.
27:16
Speaker 1: UAB was a pretty big favorite in that game. East
27:19
Speaker 1: Carolina is not one of the better teams in this
27:21
Speaker 1: American conference, and they started out playing some fairly difficult
27:25
Speaker 1: American opponents as well, and South Florida is also one
27:28
Speaker 1: of them. If you saw my bracketology, I actually have
27:30
Speaker 1: South Florida winning winning that conference, winning this conference right
27:37
Speaker 1: now in my bracketology. East Carolina I'm having to go
27:40
Speaker 1: on the road here off a pretty difficult game. Could
27:43
Speaker 1: be difficult for them. But South Florida is also in
27:45
Speaker 1: a difficult spot. They just beat in North Texas and
27:48
Speaker 1: Tulsa after they played I believe an overtime game against
27:51
Speaker 1: UAB yet double overtime. So South Florida has had a
27:54
Speaker 1: difficult run as well, and they play Wichita and UAB
27:57
Speaker 1: again in revenge next, and then FAU and then Tulane
28:01
Speaker 1: and then Temple, and all of those teams un near
28:04
Speaker 1: the top of the conference. So I think South Florida
28:07
Speaker 1: is actually in the worst spot here. I think it's
28:09
Speaker 1: debatably a sandwich spot that they're in here. Though I
28:12
Speaker 1: don't know Whichita, being their next opponent is, I guess
28:15
Speaker 1: the opponent they're least going to be looking ahead to
28:17
Speaker 1: out of all those upcoming opponents. So maybe I shouldn't.
28:21
Speaker 2: Quite say that.
28:21
Speaker 1: You can see why I'm not on this game, but
28:25
Speaker 1: I would probably look towards taking the points with East Carolina.
28:28
Speaker 1: But I don't think I could do that either of
28:29
Speaker 1: them not being in a particularly good spot either, So
28:33
Speaker 1: I worry about that from both sides there. Peacock and
28:38
Speaker 1: NBC Sports has Colorado and Cincinnati at seven pm. Colorado
28:43
Speaker 1: they covered for us. They made a huge comeback in
28:46
Speaker 1: the game against Sexast Tech Man on Saturday. I believe
28:49
Speaker 1: Colorado did not go away in that game. So they
28:51
Speaker 1: put it in a full effort in that game at home,
28:54
Speaker 1: and they almost pulled off the upset of Texas Tech.
28:57
Speaker 1: And now they've got to travel to Cincinnati. I think
29:00
Speaker 1: the spot looks pretty bad. Cincinnati a winless team in
29:04
Speaker 1: the conference. It's possible Colorado's paying more attention to West
29:07
Speaker 1: Virginia because that's who they play next on this two
29:10
Speaker 1: game trip, and they have really all bigger opponents upcoming, Kansas, UCF,
29:15
Speaker 1: who just dropped out of the rankings, Iowa State, etc.
29:19
Speaker 1: So I think this is a pretty bad spot for Colorado.
29:22
Speaker 1: It's just I don't know if I can get there
29:24
Speaker 1: with Cincinnati. Cincinnati just had a pretty difficult game at UCF,
29:28
Speaker 1: where I said I leaned to Cincinnati in that game
29:31
Speaker 1: and they covered, but they lost by one.
29:34
Speaker 2: That was a pretty big game.
29:36
Speaker 1: And Cincinnati has Iowa State and then Arizona on deck
29:39
Speaker 1: as well, so it almost looks like they're kind of
29:42
Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot here. However, I don't think a
29:45
Speaker 1: Cincinnati team that's still looking for the first conference win
29:48
Speaker 1: in a winnable game here. I don't think they're going
29:50
Speaker 1: to overlook Colorado, who does have a decent record. So
29:54
Speaker 1: I do lead to Cincinnati in this game, and looking
29:57
Speaker 1: at the number here, the number seems just crazy to me.
30:02
Speaker 1: You want to talk about, Yeah, a winnable game How
30:05
Speaker 1: could an eight and eight Cincinnati team who's owned three
30:07
Speaker 1: and conference to being eight and a half point favored
30:10
Speaker 1: against a twelve and four team, right they That line
30:13
Speaker 1: looks so so suspicious. Oddsmakers are telling you Cincinnati is
30:18
Speaker 1: actually the better team. They face the way more difficult
30:21
Speaker 1: schedules so far. So I think Cincinnati is probably the
30:24
Speaker 1: right side in that game, especially given how suspect that
30:27
Speaker 1: line looks. The money seems to agree eighty or excuse
30:32
Speaker 1: sixty four percent of tickets eighty six percent of the
30:34
Speaker 1: cash on Cincinnati. I would lean that way, but you
30:37
Speaker 1: are asking them to lay a pretty substantial price here
30:42
Speaker 1: with a low total of one forty nine. Cincinnati plays fast,
30:46
Speaker 1: but they are extremely lopsided towards defense, and they can't
30:50
Speaker 1: score even though they play fast, so makes it a
30:53
Speaker 1: little bit more difficult for them to cover a number
30:55
Speaker 1: like this. But I would agree with the Cincinnati side
30:58
Speaker 1: in that game. All right, what other games we want
31:03
Speaker 1: to talk about here?
31:06
Speaker 2: I was, I don't know.
31:07
Speaker 1: Usually I'm gonna talk about like most of the big
31:09
Speaker 1: conference games that there were so many of them, I
31:11
Speaker 1: don't know. I mean Pitt at Georgia Tech's on the
31:13
Speaker 1: ACC Network I try to talk about the TV games
31:16
Speaker 1: as well. This is a pretty ugly game, though, Pit
31:19
Speaker 1: is they're just not good man. They are coming off
31:22
Speaker 1: three straight losses though, and they still don't have an
31:24
Speaker 1: ACC win, so I think they are gonna be motivated
31:28
Speaker 1: to try to get one, even though they have Louisville
31:30
Speaker 1: up next. PITT is in a position where they can't
31:33
Speaker 1: really overlook anybody. Georgia Tech's coming up a pretty close
31:36
Speaker 1: performance against Miami. They lost by ten, but if you
31:39
Speaker 1: dig into that box score, they played pretty tough in
31:42
Speaker 1: that game. That game was pretty close down the stretch,
31:45
Speaker 1: So I think the spot does set up a little
31:46
Speaker 1: bit worse for Georgia Tech. And they might have a
31:49
Speaker 1: look ahead as well because they got NC State Clemson
31:51
Speaker 1: on deck. So I would probably need to pit in
31:55
Speaker 1: this game. Even though it's real ugly, they're also the
31:58
Speaker 1: favorite on the road, and you got to think, well,
32:00
Speaker 1: why would that be? Again, the oddsmakers are telling you
32:03
Speaker 1: they're the better team even though they're seven and nine
32:06
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech's ten and seven. The public's got to look
32:08
Speaker 1: at this and wonder what is going on. They're like,
32:11
Speaker 1: how could PITT possibly be a road favorite in that game.
32:15
Speaker 1: But again oddsmakers are telling you what you need to know.
32:18
Speaker 1: Pitt is this is somewhat better team. According to them,
32:21
Speaker 1: they must have played the more difficult schedule, which I
32:24
Speaker 1: think if you dig into it, that will be the case.
32:26
Speaker 1: Sixty seven percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the
32:28
Speaker 1: cash on Pitt, they're up from one to one and
32:31
Speaker 1: a half. I agree with that market read in that one.
32:33
Speaker 1: I agree with the Pitt side in that game. We
32:37
Speaker 1: have a decent matt Ac match up here between Saint
32:40
Speaker 1: Peter's and quinnip Eak. Saint Peter's has worked themselves up
32:45
Speaker 1: close to the top of the conference. Man five and
32:47
Speaker 1: one in conference. They just delivered to Merrimack their first
32:50
Speaker 1: conference loss. That was a good win for Saint Peter's.
32:54
Speaker 1: Now they're on the road against Quinnipiac. I think both
32:57
Speaker 1: teams are gonna show up, although Saint Peter's is gonna
32:59
Speaker 1: have to put in that amount of effort. Two games
33:01
Speaker 1: in a row after beating Merrimack, where Quinnipiac is coming
33:05
Speaker 1: out an easier game, they beat Sacred Heart Sacred Hat,
33:09
Speaker 1: and I think they almost lost that game too. Sacred
33:12
Speaker 1: Heart was winning that game in the second half for
33:15
Speaker 1: quite a while in that game, So Quinnipiac had a
33:18
Speaker 1: scare in that game. Actually maybe they were even looking ahead.
33:21
Speaker 1: Like Sacred Heart just went completely silent at the end
33:24
Speaker 1: of that game and like didn't score again for the
33:26
Speaker 1: final three minutes. They went on stretches of like three
33:29
Speaker 1: minutes a piece where they only scored one bucket. I
33:33
Speaker 1: think they scored one bucket in the final six minutes
33:36
Speaker 1: of that game. Really ridiculous. I expect both teams to
33:41
Speaker 1: show up, but I think the I think Quinnipiac is
33:44
Speaker 1: a little bit of an easier time of it here
33:48
Speaker 1: based on what they did in their last game. So
33:50
Speaker 1: I kind of leaned to Quinnipiac here. The money is
33:52
Speaker 1: not agreeing with me on that one. Quinnipiac is down
33:55
Speaker 1: from eight to seven here, fifty percent of the tickets
33:58
Speaker 1: on both sides, sixty seven percent of the cash on
34:00
Speaker 1: Saint Peter's on the Peacocks. But I kind of disagree,
34:07
Speaker 1: although it is gonna be a little bit more difficult
34:08
Speaker 1: for Quinnipiac to cover a seven point number like that
34:12
Speaker 1: when the totals one forty two and a half, which
34:14
Speaker 1: is pretty low.
34:15
Speaker 2: So all things to keep in mind, there in that
34:17
Speaker 2: one dirty sock.
34:20
Speaker 1: What's up man, Thanks for hanging out all right, And
34:23
Speaker 1: I'm trying to just talk about like the more interesting,
34:25
Speaker 1: like bigger games.
34:28
Speaker 2: Niagara and Canesius.
34:29
Speaker 1: Is the Battle of Buffalo for what it's worth, these
34:31
Speaker 1: two teams have a rivalry, they are close in proximity.
34:35
Speaker 1: They do not like each other. Canesius was just absolutely
34:39
Speaker 1: abysmal last year and Niagara was a little bit better
34:42
Speaker 1: than that last year. But now the tables have turned
34:44
Speaker 1: and Canesius is actually better than Niagara this year slightly.
34:48
Speaker 1: If we look at what happened last year, Niagara beat
34:51
Speaker 1: Canesius both games. So I think Canesius will be a
34:55
Speaker 1: little bit more motivated here because it is a rivalry.
34:58
Speaker 1: It's double revenge for Canesius. Canes just just got drilled
35:02
Speaker 1: by Iona. Man Iona is pretty solid, but seventy four
35:06
Speaker 1: to forty eight, and that was at Iona, but still
35:09
Speaker 1: that was a really, really ugly loss. So I think
35:12
Speaker 1: canese just will be extra motivated coming off of that
35:14
Speaker 1: horrible loss as well. Whereas Niagara, they're coming off a
35:19
Speaker 1: closer loss to Manhattan, but they aren't playing a third
35:21
Speaker 1: straight game on the road here. They also got pretty
35:25
Speaker 1: much handled by Iona at Iona the game before that,
35:28
Speaker 1: although Canese just looked worse against Iona. So maybe some
35:31
Speaker 1: people will come in and handicap this and think taking
35:34
Speaker 1: the points makes sense. I would actually probably lay it,
35:37
Speaker 1: but the money seems to disagree with me on this.
35:40
Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of the tickets, seventy four percent of
35:43
Speaker 1: the cash on Canesius, they're down from three and a
35:45
Speaker 1: half to three. I don't really agree with that move though,
35:50
Speaker 1: slightly into Canesius in that one, but I just figured
35:52
Speaker 1: I would mention it because it is the Battle of Buffalo.
35:56
Speaker 1: Dirty sack? Did I say good morning? I don't even remember, dude,
35:58
Speaker 1: I don't remember anything more. I have the amnesia, short
36:04
Speaker 1: term amnesia. We have a pretty big game here in
36:07
Speaker 1: the Sun Belt between Southern Miss and Troy. Both these
36:11
Speaker 1: teams are up near the top of the conference. Troy
36:14
Speaker 1: won the conference last year. I think both teams are
36:17
Speaker 1: gonna come into this game with motivation. Here. Southern Miss
36:20
Speaker 1: just beat you on Monroe. Who cares Troy coming into
36:24
Speaker 1: this game off of a easy win over a Louisiana
36:28
Speaker 1: So Troy bounced back from that loss at Arkansas State.
36:31
Speaker 1: Fine with that win over Louisiana. But Troy does have
36:34
Speaker 1: Arkansas State again next in revenge after Arkansas State got
36:38
Speaker 1: revenge against them for the.
36:40
Speaker 2: Conference final last year. That is a big game.
36:43
Speaker 1: But I don't really see Troy overlooking Southern Miss in
36:47
Speaker 1: this one.
36:50
Speaker 2: Troy's a nine point favorite here.
36:51
Speaker 1: The nine is a little bit of a big number
36:55
Speaker 1: when you see the totals only one hundred and forty
36:57
Speaker 1: seven and a half. Troy does not play fast, So
37:01
Speaker 1: what do we even want to do with this game?
37:02
Speaker 3: I don't know.
37:02
Speaker 1: Obviously, the oddsmakers are telling you Troy is the better team. Uh,
37:06
Speaker 1: ken bum, let me see ken Bum has something. Miss
37:09
Speaker 1: barely cracking into the top two hundred has them is
37:12
Speaker 1: a bit more of a lucky team.
37:14
Speaker 2: They're very bad offensively.
37:16
Speaker 1: Troy usually is. I'm used to Troy being defensive minded,
37:20
Speaker 1: but they're actually a little bit better offensively than defensively.
37:23
Speaker 1: Troy is the team with more balance, though, and they
37:25
Speaker 1: are the better team. You know, I guess I would
37:30
Speaker 1: probably lay it with Troy, but I I don't love
37:33
Speaker 1: it really and Troy does play slow again, so that
37:35
Speaker 1: is a little bit of a concern when you're laying
37:37
Speaker 1: that amount of points. Winning day.
37:40
Speaker 2: Hell yeah, because you parlayed the man that I got
37:43
Speaker 2: them right here.
37:43
Speaker 1: Man, everybody makes fun of their their name and their
37:47
Speaker 1: mascot in their jersey, But come on, man, I like this.
37:49
Speaker 1: I like this. Whatever you want to call it, sky blue,
37:53
Speaker 1: powder blue, whatever, I like it.
37:55
Speaker 2: Man, all right, let me see.
38:01
Speaker 1: But yes, my college basketball was ass yesterday. I play
38:05
Speaker 1: everything as an individual play, so my day was slightly losing.
38:09
Speaker 1: ESPN two has an SEC matchup on at seven between
38:13
Speaker 1: Auburn and Missouri, two teams that are probably not performing
38:17
Speaker 1: as well as they would want. Auburn, I mean, they're
38:20
Speaker 1: really in a transition period though in Auburn, with Bruce
38:23
Speaker 1: Pearl's son taking over a lot of their players from
38:26
Speaker 1: last year left. Auburn is coming up a pretty nice
38:28
Speaker 1: win over Arkansas man pretty satisfying to beat a ranked
38:32
Speaker 1: John Caliperi coached Arkansas team by twenty two points.
38:35
Speaker 2: So Auburn maybe.
38:37
Speaker 1: Could be in a little bit of a let down
38:38
Speaker 1: here having to go on the road to Missouri. Missouri
38:42
Speaker 1: has done some things at home, like they beat Florida
38:45
Speaker 1: at home, which was a pretty good win there. That
38:47
Speaker 1: was I believe their only conference home games so far,
38:50
Speaker 1: and They actually pulled off a big road up set
38:52
Speaker 1: at Kentucky as well, So I don't know exactly what
38:56
Speaker 1: this Missouri team is man besides unpredictable, because they also
38:59
Speaker 1: lost to Ole Miss in a game where they were favorites.
39:02
Speaker 1: Missouri is like, Yeah, we're gonna win as an underdog
39:05
Speaker 1: and we're gonna lose as a favorite. That's what we're
39:06
Speaker 1: gonna do, all right. Well, now they're back at home,
39:10
Speaker 1: and I don't really see them overlooking Auburn, especially after
39:12
Speaker 1: losing as I think a favorite on the road against
39:16
Speaker 1: Oh Miss. Let me see, Oh no, I said Ole
39:18
Speaker 1: Miss is a slight favorite. Never mind, Old Miss is
39:20
Speaker 1: a very small favorite in that one, so scratch all that.
39:23
Speaker 1: But I think Missouri will show up, although they do
39:27
Speaker 1: have LSU Georgia on deck. Those teams are doing better
39:30
Speaker 1: this year, although I think Auburn is still in like
39:34
Speaker 1: the tournament discussion year and it is still Auburn. I mean,
39:36
Speaker 1: they still have a lot of that name recognition. So
39:39
Speaker 1: I like Missouri in this game. Auburn's down from two
39:41
Speaker 1: to a pickham yere, so the money is seemingly coming
39:45
Speaker 1: in pretty strong on Missouri knocking that line down like that,
39:48
Speaker 1: so that is the way that I would lean towards
39:51
Speaker 1: Missourial though it looks like they're probably gonna go off
39:53
Speaker 1: as a favorite. There. SEC Network has Kentucky at LSU
39:58
Speaker 1: also at seven pm. Kentucky. They gotta get get something going, man,
40:03
Speaker 1: they got to get right, and maybe they're about to
40:05
Speaker 1: do that because they did just gonna win over Mississippi
40:07
Speaker 1: State at home. Nice bounce back from Kentucky losing as
40:12
Speaker 1: a big favorite at home to Missouri. And I think
40:14
Speaker 1: we lost on that game too. They caught Missouri off
40:18
Speaker 1: the upset of Florida too. I don't know how Kentucky
40:21
Speaker 1: bombed that game as much as they did. There were
40:24
Speaker 1: rumblings in Kentucky man they want Mark Pope fired, Mac Pope,
40:29
Speaker 1: they want a new Pope. It's installed in Kentucky. Man.
40:33
Speaker 1: But then Kentucky blew up Mississippi State in their last game.
40:36
Speaker 1: I mean, that's not that impressive with Mississippi State being
40:39
Speaker 1: down this year. But what it does do is it
40:41
Speaker 1: will give Kentucky new momentum and kind of make those
40:45
Speaker 1: negative thoughts disappear a little bit.
40:47
Speaker 2: Bring that out on the road. I think maybe Kentucky
40:50
Speaker 2: will show up with some momentum mirror.
40:52
Speaker 1: Although you do have to worry. They do have Tennessee next,
40:54
Speaker 1: so maybe that is a little bit of a look
40:55
Speaker 1: at that's a rivalry between those two teams. Those two
40:59
Speaker 1: states don't like each other. Tennessee is still ranked, so
41:02
Speaker 1: they do have that game on deck. But Kentucky not
41:05
Speaker 1: really in a position to overlook anybody right now, and
41:08
Speaker 1: LSU is potentially a tournament team this year. LSU, they
41:13
Speaker 1: just lost to Vandy. They covered for us, but they
41:15
Speaker 1: were never really in that game as far as winning
41:18
Speaker 1: the game is concerned. Had they had to make a
41:19
Speaker 1: little bit of a comeback to kind of backdoor that cover,
41:22
Speaker 1: I think as well, although we got it done. LSU
41:27
Speaker 1: now at home against Kentucky off of that. But if
41:29
Speaker 1: you look at the number in this game now, the
41:32
Speaker 1: number just tells you what you need to know. Kentucky's
41:34
Speaker 1: ten and six, LSU's twelve and four. Yet Kentucky's a.
41:37
Speaker 2: Four and a half point road favorite.
41:39
Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you what you need to know here, man,
41:42
Speaker 1: They're telling you Kentucky is the better team. I think
41:46
Speaker 1: the spot does set up a little bit better for
41:47
Speaker 1: them as well. Just like I said, I lean Kentucky
41:50
Speaker 1: in this one. LSU doesn't have an SEC win yet though,
41:54
Speaker 1: so at LSU is starting to fall out of the
41:56
Speaker 1: tournament picture, so they do kind of need a good
41:59
Speaker 1: win here, and this would be a decent win for them.
42:02
Speaker 1: But both teams really kind of I think, are in
42:05
Speaker 1: a spot where they're gonna try to get this win.
42:07
Speaker 1: Kentucky has gone up from two and a half to
42:09
Speaker 1: four four and a half. As I said, sixty two
42:12
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on LSU. LSU shaping up to
42:16
Speaker 1: me maybe a public underdog in this one pros versus
42:19
Speaker 1: Joe's situation. Man, where the pros are on the favorite,
42:22
Speaker 1: that is something that you got to take notice of
42:24
Speaker 1: because you're if that's the case, you're signing against the
42:28
Speaker 1: public with the pros and you're actually on the better team.
42:31
Speaker 1: I mean, that is something you don't find that often,
42:34
Speaker 1: and that's something you gotta look at. Sixty six percent
42:37
Speaker 1: of the cash on Kentucky. As I said, I lean
42:39
Speaker 1: Kentucky in that game as well. Kyle, what's up man? Yeah,
42:45
Speaker 1: Well that everybody's saying Kentucky sucks, but I will I
42:49
Speaker 1: will push back on that, and I'm not a Kentucky
42:51
Speaker 1: fan because I don't like John cal Parry when he
42:53
Speaker 1: was there. Ken bumpsalls Kentucky is the twenty eighth best
42:56
Speaker 1: team in the country and he has them very low
42:58
Speaker 1: in his luck in dexit three. Pretty balanced offense and
43:02
Speaker 1: defense as well, So Kentucky not as bad as people
43:06
Speaker 1: are claiming that they are. All right. UAB and Tulane
43:12
Speaker 1: is kind of an addressing one in the American room.
43:14
Speaker 1: I think Tulane is just not as good as the
43:17
Speaker 1: record looks. Man. I think they've had a week schedule
43:19
Speaker 1: so far. I mean, if you look at their schedule,
43:21
Speaker 1: it's been pretty weak, and every time they've played anybody
43:24
Speaker 1: remotely decent, they've lost, except well BC, if you want
43:28
Speaker 1: to call them remotely decent. Tulane did beat them, but
43:31
Speaker 1: they lost to Utah State. Utah State is very good,
43:33
Speaker 1: though they lost to Akron UC San Diego blew them out.
43:38
Speaker 1: So this Tulane resume is not impressive. They did have
43:41
Speaker 1: a decent win over over FAU and conference play, but
43:45
Speaker 1: we're gonna look at this in UAB is actually a
43:47
Speaker 1: road favorite here against Tulane, even though Tulane has a
43:51
Speaker 1: slightly better overall record in the better conference records, So
43:55
Speaker 1: you got to be thinking, why is UAB favored here? Well, again,
43:58
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you, don't let your eyes deceive you.
44:02
Speaker 1: Don't let the records deceive you. UAB is actually the
44:05
Speaker 1: better team. They have faced a little bit more of
44:08
Speaker 1: a difficult schedule. They actually have a pretty decent win
44:11
Speaker 1: in here against high Point in the out of conference schedule.
44:14
Speaker 1: High Point is legit and UAB decent win for them
44:17
Speaker 1: against South Florida. The people are probably gonna look at say, oh,
44:20
Speaker 1: but UAB lost to FAU and Tulane beat FAU and
44:24
Speaker 1: UAB just barely got by East Carolina. So why would
44:27
Speaker 1: we want UAB here. Well, that's part of the reason
44:30
Speaker 1: why I would want UAB here is because they're coming
44:32
Speaker 1: off a bad game against East Carolina. I think maybe
44:35
Speaker 1: they were looking ahead. Maybe they were in a sandwich.
44:37
Speaker 1: I mean that was sandwiched in between South Florida, Florida
44:40
Speaker 1: Atlantic and Tulane. So I think they overlooked DCU bad
44:44
Speaker 1: performance with you at UAB.
44:46
Speaker 2: I think they bounce back. I think they get this one.
44:49
Speaker 1: Tulane is coming into this one with momentum at least,
44:53
Speaker 1: it's not really a bad spot for Tulane at the
44:55
Speaker 1: very least. They do have no North Texas next, but
44:58
Speaker 1: they're not playing that well, so I don't that's a
45:00
Speaker 1: look ahead or anything. So the spot's not bad for Tulane,
45:04
Speaker 1: but I think it is a more like rally spot
45:08
Speaker 1: for UAB, Like we have to be focused after that
45:10
Speaker 1: bad game, even though they won it. So I lean
45:13
Speaker 1: UAB two point favorite. Now. It looks like the money
45:16
Speaker 1: is kind of on the Tulane side, but I don't
45:18
Speaker 1: agree with that, although they're also kind of looking like
45:21
Speaker 1: a public dog in some ways. Eighty three percent of
45:24
Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on them,
45:26
Speaker 1: I lean UAB in that game. All right, San Diego
45:32
Speaker 1: State and Wyoming. As we get to the eight pm slate,
45:34
Speaker 1: CBS Sports has this game in the Mountain West. It's
45:38
Speaker 1: actually a pretty interesting Mountain West matchup man Wyoming is
45:41
Speaker 1: actually they're they're looking pretty competitive in the Mountain West
45:46
Speaker 1: right now, and as you can see here that the
45:49
Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you that is the case, with San
45:51
Speaker 1: Diego State only being a one and a half point
45:53
Speaker 1: road favorite here. So this is not a gimme by
45:58
Speaker 1: any means for San Diego State here. San Diego State
46:01
Speaker 1: is coming into this game with momentum. At least they
46:03
Speaker 1: just beat Fresno, easy win for them, not a win
46:07
Speaker 1: that's gonna have them overconfident. They do have New Mexico next,
46:10
Speaker 1: so I don't know if they're gonna be looking ahead
46:12
Speaker 1: to that. Maybe I don't know. Having to go into
46:14
Speaker 1: Wyoming a little bit of a weird spot. You gotta
46:16
Speaker 1: go into high elevation whatever, although of course you're in
46:19
Speaker 1: the Mountain West, you're used to playing in high elevation.
46:21
Speaker 1: Although San Diego State of course doesn't play in high
46:24
Speaker 1: elevation at home, so going to Wyoming still might be
46:27
Speaker 1: a little bit of an issue for them. I don't
46:30
Speaker 1: know if I love the spot for Wyoming though, and
46:32
Speaker 1: I don't love that they didn't cover for us over
46:35
Speaker 1: the weekend against Nevada or Wyoming kind of blew that game.
46:38
Speaker 1: Wyoming was winning that game outright pretty late in the
46:41
Speaker 1: game and blew the whole thing and didn't even cover
46:44
Speaker 1: as a dog.
46:45
Speaker 2: So I'm not happy about that.
46:46
Speaker 1: Now.
46:47
Speaker 2: Off of that blown loss or blown.
46:50
Speaker 1: Potential upset, I should say by Wyoming, they could be
46:53
Speaker 1: a little bit hungover coming off that game. But the
46:56
Speaker 1: thing is they're not gonna overlook San Diego State though.
46:59
Speaker 1: That's the thing. The spot does set up a little
47:01
Speaker 1: bit better for San Diego State. They're up from two
47:04
Speaker 1: to two and a half. But all the money it
47:05
Speaker 1: looks like it's coming in on the Wyoming side. San
47:08
Speaker 1: Diego State looking public as well. Seventy five percent of
47:11
Speaker 1: the tickets on them, seventy three percent of the cash
47:13
Speaker 1: coming back on Wyoming. I won't disagree with Wyoming here,
47:17
Speaker 1: although I hesitate again because I do think the spot
47:20
Speaker 1: is a little bit worse for them. All Right, more
47:23
Speaker 1: best bets. Let's go. We got the Missouri Valley one
47:26
Speaker 1: is coming up in the eight PM slate here. This
47:31
Speaker 1: is just on ESPN. Plus we're gonna lay the points
47:34
Speaker 1: with Southern Illinois. And if you look at this like again,
47:37
Speaker 1: record wise, you might think, well, why are we doing this?
47:40
Speaker 1: We're going to get Drake by the way, let's we
47:44
Speaker 1: gotta we gotta do it, man, we gotta fade the Drake. Boy,
47:48
Speaker 1: I'm really starting to dislike the Drake. I hate the Drake.
47:55
Speaker 1: All right. So as far as what was I talking?
48:01
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, so the records here, both teams were sitting
48:03
Speaker 1: at eight and nine and two and four in conference.
48:06
Speaker 1: So why is Southern Illinois a five and a half
48:08
Speaker 1: point favorite here? Well, the osmakers are again telling you
48:12
Speaker 1: something with that. They're telling you Southern Illinois is better
48:15
Speaker 1: than the record looks. Probably, And remember I gave you
48:18
Speaker 1: Southern Illinois. Which game was that? I think we had
48:22
Speaker 1: Southern Illinois in one of these other games not that
48:24
Speaker 1: long ago, and I believe we got to win on it,
48:27
Speaker 1: although I don't remember which game it was.
48:29
Speaker 2: But they've been covering some games.
48:31
Speaker 1: They faced a pretty difficult conference schedule so far, and
48:35
Speaker 1: ken Bom has them very low in his luck in
48:37
Speaker 1: next three hundred and forty seconds, so he has them
48:39
Speaker 1: as one of the like twenty five twenty three really
48:42
Speaker 1: unluckiest teams in the entire country. He has Southern Illinois
48:46
Speaker 1: in the top one hundred in defense, and he has
48:50
Speaker 1: them in the top well, he has them sixty first
48:53
Speaker 1: in overall strength of schedule. So Southern Illinois, they played
48:57
Speaker 1: a difficult schedule. They're unlucky according to ken Bom, whereas Drake.
49:03
Speaker 1: I mean, I know Drake is also unlucky, but they
49:05
Speaker 1: faced a weaker schedule. Yeah, both teams are unlucky. But
49:09
Speaker 1: Drake also is not even in the top two hundred
49:13
Speaker 1: defensively now. So Ben McCollum or whatever his name is
49:17
Speaker 1: leaving to go to Iowa. I don't know, Man, Drake
49:20
Speaker 1: definitely taking a huge step back from that. They're not
49:23
Speaker 1: that defensive team anymore. Southern Illinois is the way better
49:26
Speaker 1: defensive team. I know we're laying points and defense is
49:30
Speaker 1: not the only thing. Like I don't love laying points
49:33
Speaker 1: of the team that focuses on defense necessarily, But we
49:37
Speaker 1: also got to look at the spot here, and I
49:38
Speaker 1: think the spot does set up really well for Southern Illinois.
49:42
Speaker 1: Drake is coming off a huge game against Belmont where
49:44
Speaker 1: they almost pulled off the upset at home against Belmont.
49:48
Speaker 1: Belmont is probably the best team in this conference right now.
49:51
Speaker 1: I have them winning this conference right now in my bracketology.
49:54
Speaker 1: Huge performance from Drake. Now they're coming off of that,
49:57
Speaker 1: I think they could be a little bit hungover, man,
49:58
Speaker 1: going back out on the road, Drake hasn't exactly been
50:02
Speaker 1: good in road conference play. They played okay, losing by
50:05
Speaker 1: nine at Murray State, only beat Evansville by one. That's
50:09
Speaker 1: kind of a red flag, and then they got destroyed
50:11
Speaker 1: by twenty seven at Bradley, so their road record is
50:15
Speaker 1: not that good. Southern Illinois actually beat Belmont on the road,
50:19
Speaker 1: which might be actually a good sign, and they almost
50:21
Speaker 1: beat Murray State and Bradley on the road and didn't
50:24
Speaker 1: play that badly and homely against Illinois State. So Southern
50:28
Speaker 1: Illinois has already faced most of the top teams in
50:31
Speaker 1: this conference that they've performed pretty well against them, but
50:34
Speaker 1: now they're coming off of by far, their worst conference performance.
50:38
Speaker 1: But you can absolutely explain why they lost to Illinois Chicago.
50:42
Speaker 1: I think Illinois Chicago was an opinion that I gave
50:44
Speaker 1: out on the show and lean it was a really
50:47
Speaker 1: bad spot for Southern Illinois. Man, they'd beaten Belmont on
50:50
Speaker 1: the road, huge win for Southern Illinois. Then they had
50:54
Speaker 1: to go to Illinois Chicago. And Illinois Chicago considers it
50:56
Speaker 1: also to be a little brother to Southern Illinois as well,
50:59
Speaker 1: so they got up for that game. Southern Illinois I
51:01
Speaker 1: think looked right past them because they did have Drake
51:04
Speaker 1: and then they have Belmont again next. But the reason
51:07
Speaker 1: why I think Southern Illinois is absolutely gonna focus on
51:09
Speaker 1: Drake and why it was a look ahead to.
51:11
Speaker 2: Them in their last game, which made it a sandwich.
51:14
Speaker 1: Guests who knocked out Southern Illinois from the Mountain West
51:16
Speaker 1: or Mountain I always say Mountain West Missouri Valley MVC
51:20
Speaker 1: versus MWC. Yeah, guess who knocked Southern Illinois out of
51:24
Speaker 1: the Mountain they almost said it again out of the
51:26
Speaker 1: Missouri Valley Conference tournament last year. Yeah, it was Drake.
51:30
Speaker 1: So Southern Illinois got knocked out of the conference tournament
51:33
Speaker 1: by Drake last year. They lost to Drake both times
51:37
Speaker 1: they played them last year, so they were owing Yeah,
51:40
Speaker 1: own two against I think they only played them once
51:42
Speaker 1: in regular season play last year and they lost at
51:44
Speaker 1: home to Drake. So they lost here to Drake last
51:48
Speaker 1: year by ten points. So this is like a double
51:51
Speaker 1: revenge spot for Southern Illinois as well. So I like it.
51:54
Speaker 1: We're going with Southern Illinois in this one. The money
51:56
Speaker 1: looks like it agrees with me. They dropped from six
51:58
Speaker 1: to five and a half, but fifty to fifty on
52:01
Speaker 1: the tickets and eighty percent of the cash is on
52:03
Speaker 1: Southern Illinois. I know the total is low. These teams
52:06
Speaker 1: don't really play fast. Southern Illinois kind of more of
52:09
Speaker 1: a mid tempo style. I think so, maybe they will
52:11
Speaker 1: try to speed it up a little bit just to
52:13
Speaker 1: throw off Drake. No, I'm wrong, there's no yeah, No,
52:16
Speaker 1: they're actually fast.
52:17
Speaker 2: My mistake.
52:18
Speaker 1: So if Southern Illinois is able to push the pace
52:20
Speaker 1: a little bit here, they might actually be able to
52:22
Speaker 1: throw Drake out of their preferred style and out of
52:24
Speaker 1: their element because Drake likes to play slow. So hopefully
52:27
Speaker 1: Southern Illinois can control the pace and speed this thing up.
52:32
Speaker 1: But yes, we were going with Southern Illinois in that one,
52:35
Speaker 1: minus the points. All right? Uh, next up? What do
52:41
Speaker 1: we have here? I have another one of my games
52:44
Speaker 1: in as well, and I don't even see it on
52:46
Speaker 1: the schedule.
52:47
Speaker 2: Where the hell is this other game?
52:49
Speaker 1: Uh? What?
52:50
Speaker 2: I feel like I skipped my other game.
52:52
Speaker 1: How could I skip it when I have a play
52:54
Speaker 1: on I don't even see it? Where is it? I apologize? Yeah,
52:58
Speaker 1: I don't even see my other game on here on
53:00
Speaker 1: the schedule. I think it's at the same time. I
53:02
Speaker 1: think it's in the eight p I No, I do
53:03
Speaker 1: see it. All right, we haven't talked about it yet,
53:06
Speaker 1: all right. Fordham at Saint Louis is gonna be kind
53:10
Speaker 1: of an interesting one in the A ten with Saint
53:12
Speaker 1: Louis being the dominant force in this conference, they should
53:16
Speaker 1: be able to win this game. Although Fordham, I mean,
53:19
Speaker 1: Fordham is also coming of an upset win over Saint Bonaventure,
53:22
Speaker 1: so that was a big win for Fordham.
53:25
Speaker 2: It could put them in a letdown spot.
53:27
Speaker 1: However, I doubt that they're gonna overlook the best team
53:30
Speaker 1: in the conference, Saint Louis. Saint Louis is coming out
53:33
Speaker 1: of an easy win over Lasal though, so I think
53:36
Speaker 1: the spot does set up better for Saint Louis because
53:38
Speaker 1: Fordham is gonna have to put in a huge effort
53:40
Speaker 1: multiple games in a row, so I think they might
53:43
Speaker 1: be up against it in this one. The money is
53:45
Speaker 1: coming in on Fordham, though, we have eighty percent of
53:47
Speaker 1: the tickets on Saint Louis, eighty percent of the cash
53:49
Speaker 1: on Fordham. I kind of don't agree with it, though.
53:53
Speaker 1: Saint Louis is an eighteen and a half point favorite,
53:55
Speaker 1: down from nineteen, but I probably would lay it. The
53:58
Speaker 1: only issue is to Saint Louis just kind of come
54:00
Speaker 1: in and go through the motions, get in, get out.
54:03
Speaker 1: I don't know, all right, we have Temple and Rice.
54:08
Speaker 1: Excusely Temple in Memphis, Temple and Rice, that would not
54:11
Speaker 1: be a game I would talk about Temple and Memphis.
54:13
Speaker 1: This is interesting because Temple is eleven and five and
54:16
Speaker 1: undefeated in the American Conference. Memphis is seven and eight
54:20
Speaker 1: overall and has a loss in the American Yet Memphis
54:23
Speaker 1: is a seven and a half point favorite in this game.
54:26
Speaker 1: I mean, you gotta look at this and think that
54:28
Speaker 1: line is just so ridiculous, man, And again it's the
54:33
Speaker 1: oddsmaker's telling you Memphis is actually the better team. I
54:36
Speaker 1: think there's no question Memphis face the more difficult out
54:39
Speaker 1: of conference schedule, and that is why part of the
54:42
Speaker 1: reason why the record looks way worse.
54:44
Speaker 2: So right away I'm looking at Memphis for that reason.
54:46
Speaker 1: The money is not though the money has dropped Memphis
54:50
Speaker 1: from ten to eight, seventy five tickets fifty two percent
54:53
Speaker 1: of the cash on them, So the public ticket percentage
54:57
Speaker 1: seems like it's on Memphis. But why would it be, Like,
55:00
Speaker 1: how could the public come in and see a below
55:01
Speaker 1: five hundred Memphis team, even though yeah, Memphis has that
55:04
Speaker 1: name around them, But really, you're telling me the public
55:07
Speaker 1: is laying eight points with a below five hundred team
55:10
Speaker 1: against the team with a way better record. I'm not
55:12
Speaker 1: buying that, so I don't know if I really buy
55:15
Speaker 1: those percentages, although again I don't really want to buck
55:18
Speaker 1: what the market is, what the market numbers say. But
55:22
Speaker 1: Temple's also facing easy conference schedule so far. Man, Charlotte, UTSA,
55:27
Speaker 1: and East Carolina. Yeah, that's a real gauntlet there with
55:30
Speaker 1: two of those games being at home, although Charlotte is
55:32
Speaker 1: playing okay, but really easy schedule so far for Temple. Man,
55:37
Speaker 1: Now they go on the road to face Memphis, It's
55:39
Speaker 1: not gonna be easy for them. Memphis, again, they face
55:43
Speaker 1: some more difficult overall schedule. Their conference schedule has been
55:47
Speaker 1: more difficult too, because they faced North Texas. They actually
55:49
Speaker 1: beat them at home, although North Texas looks a little
55:52
Speaker 1: bit down this year, and Memphis did lose on the
55:56
Speaker 1: road at FAU. That's not an easy game. Now Memphis
55:59
Speaker 1: is back at home. I think Memphis is gonna show
56:02
Speaker 1: up for this one. Man, I don't really see what
56:04
Speaker 1: the money is apparently seeing here. I would I would
56:09
Speaker 1: lay it with Memphis. I would side with Oh yeah,
56:13
Speaker 1: this line looks totally weird. This is a very suspect
56:15
Speaker 1: looking line here. I would lay it with Memphis if
56:18
Speaker 1: I was gonna play it. Peacock has a big twelve
56:20
Speaker 1: game here between UCF and Kansas State. UCF just dropped
56:25
Speaker 1: out of the rankings, man, so they had that target
56:27
Speaker 1: on their back. Now they're outside of the rankings. Are
56:30
Speaker 1: they really a top twenty five team? Probably not. Where
56:34
Speaker 1: does ken Bom had them? Ken Bom has them forty six,
56:39
Speaker 1: So no, but they dropped out of the rankings. I
56:43
Speaker 1: forget if it was with the Oklahoma State loss or
56:45
Speaker 1: with this like escape against Cincinnati, but it was an escape.
56:50
Speaker 1: Now they're going to Manhattan. Kansas might not be easy though, man.
56:54
Speaker 1: I mean, last time U SEEF went out to this
56:55
Speaker 1: area of the country, they lost in Stillwater to Oklahoma State.
57:00
Speaker 1: And they do play Arizona and Iowa State up next.
57:02
Speaker 1: So I don't know if they're gonna look past Kansas
57:05
Speaker 1: State here because Kansas State has really not been that
57:07
Speaker 1: good this year, so they might be a team that
57:09
Speaker 1: you might overlook. Actually, Kansas State's coming back home after
57:13
Speaker 1: making the Arizona trip and losing both games there. They
57:17
Speaker 1: were actually a favorite at Arizona State. Arizona State not
57:20
Speaker 1: doing well and Kansas State took that loss as well.
57:23
Speaker 1: So coming back home might be better for Kansas State
57:26
Speaker 1: to just show up and try to get this win here.
57:28
Speaker 1: They played okay when they were at only against BYU
57:30
Speaker 1: not that long ago, So I lean to Kansas State
57:34
Speaker 1: in this one. And the oddsmakers are telling you a
57:36
Speaker 1: little bit of something with Kansas State being a favorite here.
57:39
Speaker 1: It's another one of these lines that looks a little
57:41
Speaker 1: bit weird, Like why would Kansas State be a favorite.
57:44
Speaker 2: Against a thirteen to two team? Right, Like that just
57:47
Speaker 2: looks weird.
57:48
Speaker 1: Public's probably gonna want to come in and take UCF
57:50
Speaker 1: as the dog because they have the better record, even
57:53
Speaker 1: though they have less less name recognition. But yeah, I
57:56
Speaker 1: like Kansas State here. They dropped from three to two,
57:59
Speaker 1: but fifty six percent of tickets seventy seven percent of
58:02
Speaker 1: the cash on Kansas State, so the money is saying
58:04
Speaker 1: Kansas State there. I do not disagree. Celth Dakota State
58:11
Speaker 1: is at North Dakota State in the Battle of the Summit.
58:15
Speaker 2: These two teams seem.
58:16
Speaker 1: To more often than not, one of these teams is
58:19
Speaker 1: the winner of this conference. So the last year, Omaha
58:22
Speaker 1: somehow did it. After North Dakota State got bounced from
58:24
Speaker 1: the tournament. Saint Thomas is one of the better teams
58:27
Speaker 1: in this conference right now as well. But right now
58:29
Speaker 1: celth Dakota State's a little bit down in. North Dakota
58:31
Speaker 1: State is one of the best teams in this conference.
58:34
Speaker 1: Sheelth Dakota State just beat Denver at home. That's not
58:37
Speaker 1: an impressive win there or whatever. North Dakota State coming
58:41
Speaker 1: into this one off a win at Omaha, and Omaha
58:43
Speaker 1: did win the conference last year, so maybe that was
58:45
Speaker 1: a little bit of a bigger win. And North Dakota
58:47
Speaker 1: State does face Saint Thomas next, so it's possible they
58:50
Speaker 1: look ahead to that because that is going to be
58:52
Speaker 1: their main competition to try to win the summit this year.
58:55
Speaker 2: So even though North.
58:56
Speaker 1: Dakota State versus South Dakota State is usually a rivalry,
59:00
Speaker 1: I think North Dakota State might have some other things
59:04
Speaker 1: in mind here. So I would probably need towards taking
59:06
Speaker 1: the points in this one with South Dakota State, but
59:09
Speaker 1: don't really have a great reason to do it. North
59:12
Speaker 1: Dakota State's a five and a half point favored in
59:14
Speaker 1: that one. The total is one, so it is a
59:16
Speaker 1: low total. Next up is my next play, and this
59:20
Speaker 1: is about to get ugly man. We're in the sun
59:22
Speaker 1: Belt at eight pm. It's on ESPN plus. We're gonna
59:25
Speaker 1: take Louisiana excuse me plus nine here. And this is
59:30
Speaker 1: really all about the spot. I know Louisiana is terrible,
59:34
Speaker 1: I get it, but Texas State isn't exactly that good.
59:37
Speaker 1: Ken Bum's got Louisiana and like the bottom forty, I
59:40
Speaker 1: get it. Although at least they're decent ish defensively. They're
59:45
Speaker 1: horrible offensively, but defensively they're at least respectable to some extent.
59:52
Speaker 1: Louisiana plays is ridiculously slow, one of the slowest tempo
59:55
Speaker 1: teams in the country. Ken Bum does have them as
59:57
Speaker 1: being one of the unluckier teams in the country, though
1:00:00
Speaker 1: for Texas State, he's got them as a lucky team
1:00:03
Speaker 1: ninetieth in Locke to face a very weak schedule, even
1:00:06
Speaker 1: weaker than Louisiana has. They also play slow, so this
1:00:10
Speaker 1: is probably gonna be a game where points are at
1:00:11
Speaker 1: a premium because both teams play slow and Texas State
1:00:15
Speaker 1: is not exactly impressive offensively at two to eighty third
1:00:18
Speaker 1: according to Kenpom, Texas State is also the worst defense
1:00:23
Speaker 1: or no, no excuse me, they're not the worst defense,
1:00:24
Speaker 1: but it's close. Excuse me. So it's almost a situation
1:00:27
Speaker 1: where Louisiana is the better defense getting points. It's not quite,
1:00:31
Speaker 1: but the teams are close in Kempbom's defensive rankings. So
1:00:35
Speaker 1: I think points are gonna be hard to come by
1:00:37
Speaker 1: in this game. Man, it's gonna be slow. It's two
1:00:39
Speaker 1: teams that aren't good offensively. Texas State is at two
1:00:42
Speaker 1: sixty one in kempbom's rankings, which isn't exactly good. Now, Louisiana,
1:00:49
Speaker 1: they have won two games in conference already, so that's
1:00:51
Speaker 1: not that battle. Though. Both of them are against Joel Monroe,
1:00:54
Speaker 1: who is the worst team in the conference, so I
1:00:56
Speaker 1: know they haven't beaten anybody else yet. But there are
1:00:58
Speaker 1: other games that are against South Alabama, Southern Miss, and Troy.
1:01:02
Speaker 1: I mean, those are good teams in the conference. Texas
1:01:05
Speaker 1: State is mediocre really and probably worse than all three
1:01:09
Speaker 1: of those teams. So Louisiana gets a little bit of
1:01:12
Speaker 1: an easier task here facing Texas State than those teams.
1:01:15
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna show up.
1:01:16
Speaker 1: Louisiana just lost by twenty at home Detroit, so I
1:01:19
Speaker 1: think they're gonna be a little bit angry about that,
1:01:22
Speaker 1: but really what we're looking at here is Texas State
1:01:25
Speaker 1: is in a horrible spot. Texas State just played son
1:01:29
Speaker 1: Miss and Arkansas State. And I know this doesn't mean
1:01:31
Speaker 1: Texas State has faced a very difficult conference schedule. I
1:01:34
Speaker 1: know they've already faced Arkansas State both times, South Alabama
1:01:38
Speaker 1: and Troy and Southern Miss. So yeah, Texas State has
1:01:42
Speaker 1: had a very difficult conference schedule, I'm not denying that.
1:01:45
Speaker 2: And most of the games on the road as well,
1:01:47
Speaker 2: the last four.
1:01:47
Speaker 1: Games on the road. So they're back at home now
1:01:50
Speaker 1: where they did win against South Alabama. But Texas State's
1:01:54
Speaker 1: coming up almost beating Arkansas State on the road. Man,
1:01:57
Speaker 1: this would have been a huge upset, beating one of
1:01:59
Speaker 1: the time teams in the conference. Texas State was an
1:02:01
Speaker 1: eleven and a half point underdog in this game and
1:02:04
Speaker 1: they lost by one, and they almost won the game
1:02:07
Speaker 1: after Arkansas State was winning most of the game, Texas
1:02:10
Speaker 1: State refused to go away and they played them basically
1:02:13
Speaker 1: right to the wire. So I don't know what Texas
1:02:16
Speaker 1: State's gonna have left after that. And they play Southern
1:02:18
Speaker 1: Miss next, which is revenge, quick revenge for losing to
1:02:22
Speaker 1: them not that long ago. But it's also a big
1:02:24
Speaker 1: game because Southern miss is at the top of the
1:02:26
Speaker 1: Sun Belt standings right now too, so this is definitely
1:02:29
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. So we're gonna take the points with
1:02:32
Speaker 1: Louisiana in this one. Texas State did drop from a
1:02:35
Speaker 1: nine point favorite to an eight point favorite already, so
1:02:37
Speaker 1: I apologize. But again, these basketball lines, a lot of
1:02:41
Speaker 1: them move fast. Man, Hopefully that line is still fine
1:02:44
Speaker 1: to do this. The total is low, like I said
1:02:46
Speaker 1: at one thirty, So I like taking a lot of
1:02:49
Speaker 1: points when it's gonna be an ugly low scoring game.
1:02:52
Speaker 1: Like I said, based on the style that these teams
1:02:54
Speaker 1: play and the lack of offense on both sides, that
1:02:57
Speaker 1: seems like it's what it's what's gonna happen here. The
1:03:00
Speaker 1: total seems to bear that out. So Louisiana is the
1:03:04
Speaker 1: play there. All right, we have the Battle of Illinois.
1:03:08
Speaker 1: As we get to the late portion here, we still.
1:03:10
Speaker 2: Have a lot of games left.
1:03:12
Speaker 1: Man, I'm not talking about all the rest of them,
1:03:14
Speaker 1: but I will talk about all the big conference games
1:03:18
Speaker 1: that are left. Number thirteen, Illinois at Northwestern here in
1:03:20
Speaker 1: the Battle of Illinois eight thirty p I'm on the
1:03:23
Speaker 1: Big ten network.
1:03:24
Speaker 2: This is a big game, man.
1:03:26
Speaker 1: I think it's kind of big for both teams, although
1:03:28
Speaker 1: it is probably bigger for Northwestern as the little brother
1:03:31
Speaker 1: in this situation. Both teams are also kind of Chicago
1:03:36
Speaker 1: area as well, so it is a big game. It's
1:03:38
Speaker 1: especially a big game for Northwestern though. Now Illinois is
1:03:41
Speaker 1: coming up beating Iowa. Nice win on the road against
1:03:44
Speaker 1: a ranked Iowa team, so Illinois could maybe be in
1:03:47
Speaker 1: a little bit of a letdown for that reason. They're
1:03:49
Speaker 1: playing a third road game in four games, a second
1:03:52
Speaker 1: road game in a row. That makes it a little
1:03:54
Speaker 1: bit difficult for Illinois to do this. Now Northwestern only
1:03:57
Speaker 1: sitting at eight and eight. I think Northwestern is to
1:04:00
Speaker 1: show up for this as they lost an overtime to
1:04:03
Speaker 1: Rutgers on the road in their last game, and that
1:04:05
Speaker 1: was a game we had Rutgers here on the show.
1:04:07
Speaker 1: That was one of my wins the other day. I
1:04:10
Speaker 1: gave you guys Rutgers. I thought it was a horrible
1:04:12
Speaker 1: spot for Northwestern because they had actually played Michigan State
1:04:16
Speaker 1: pretty close. Even though they lost by ten, that game
1:04:19
Speaker 1: was close down the stretch against Michigan State. They were
1:04:21
Speaker 1: coming off that game, having to go to New Jersey
1:04:24
Speaker 1: to play at this awful Rutgers team, and they had
1:04:26
Speaker 1: this huge Illinois game on deck and then Nebraska after it,
1:04:30
Speaker 1: so that was a sandwich spot. Part of that handicap
1:04:32
Speaker 1: was that in Northwestern is going to be focused on Illinois,
1:04:37
Speaker 1: so I think they will be. I think they're coming
1:04:39
Speaker 1: off an ugly loss to Rutgers now, so I think
1:04:41
Speaker 1: Northwestern is in the better situational spot now here. I
1:04:45
Speaker 1: think they might be the more motivated team here as well,
1:04:48
Speaker 1: so I would lean towards Northwestern plus the points in
1:04:51
Speaker 1: this one. The money seems like it's also in agreement
1:04:54
Speaker 1: all over this one. Illinois down from nine and a
1:04:56
Speaker 1: half to eight and a half here, fifty to fifty
1:04:58
Speaker 1: on the tickets, but ninety one percent of the cash
1:05:01
Speaker 1: on Northwestern right now, so the money seems like it's
1:05:03
Speaker 1: on Northwestern. I agree Northwestern plus the points and that
1:05:07
Speaker 1: one would be the.
1:05:09
Speaker 2: Side I would lean to there.
1:05:11
Speaker 1: And with Illinois again, like I mentioned a little while,
1:05:14
Speaker 1: and I'm used to them being this fast paced team,
1:05:16
Speaker 1: but that's not what they are this year, so it
1:05:18
Speaker 1: might be a little bit of a slower paced game,
1:05:21
Speaker 1: and that probably also helps the underdog, and Northwestern also
1:05:25
Speaker 1: plays slow. And Northwestern, by the way, is also the
1:05:27
Speaker 1: unluckiest team in Division One now according to Ken Pumps,
1:05:32
Speaker 1: so that is also what you're looking at with Northwestern
1:05:34
Speaker 1: kind of an undervalue team sitting at eight and eight,
1:05:37
Speaker 1: Ken Pumps saying they're a little better than that. UCLA
1:05:41
Speaker 1: is having to travel to Pennsylvania to play Penn State.
1:05:44
Speaker 1: This is on Fox Sports one at eight thirty. Bit
1:05:47
Speaker 1: of a difficult travel spot for UCLA, although they're probably
1:05:50
Speaker 1: a little bit used to it now because they're facing
1:05:53
Speaker 1: the Big Ten schedule like this for the second or
1:05:56
Speaker 1: third time now since the conference realignment. UCLA did our
1:06:00
Speaker 1: already have to go on the road a couple of
1:06:01
Speaker 1: times this year to Iowa and Wisconsin, but they did
1:06:03
Speaker 1: lose both games. Now, UCLA did bounce back from that
1:06:07
Speaker 1: with a win at home over Maryland. Maryland's awful, but
1:06:10
Speaker 1: that might give UCLA some momentum to carry back out
1:06:13
Speaker 1: on the road. But they do play Ohio State and
1:06:15
Speaker 1: Purdue after this. They play Ohio State on the road
1:06:18
Speaker 1: after this, and then they come back home to play Purdue,
1:06:21
Speaker 1: so it is possible they overlook Penn State in the
1:06:24
Speaker 1: spot man, because you're looking at a potential tournament team
1:06:27
Speaker 1: in Ohio State, and then obviously Purdue is elite, so
1:06:30
Speaker 1: maybe they overlooked this Penn State team and has this
1:06:33
Speaker 1: really ugly record.
1:06:34
Speaker 2: Penn State, though, they're coming off a game where.
1:06:37
Speaker 1: They only lost it by eight to Purdue, so then
1:06:39
Speaker 1: the question is how close was this game really? And
1:06:44
Speaker 1: you know, it wasn't that close. Purdue had a double
1:06:46
Speaker 1: digit lead late in the game, so it wasn't really
1:06:48
Speaker 1: like it went to the wire or anything. So I
1:06:51
Speaker 1: think the spot does kind of set up better for
1:06:53
Speaker 1: Penn State. Now, I thought Penn State would do worse
1:06:55
Speaker 1: in that game against Purdue because Penn State had almost.
1:06:58
Speaker 2: Beaten Michigan the game prior to that, but.
1:07:04
Speaker 1: Whatever it was, man, I mean, they at least had
1:07:06
Speaker 1: a respectable result, only losing by eight at Purdue. They
1:07:09
Speaker 1: also only lost by eight to Illinois. Not that long
1:07:12
Speaker 1: ago they played in Michigan State to within four, which was.
1:07:15
Speaker 2: A win for us on the show.
1:07:16
Speaker 1: So this Penn State team has shown the ability to
1:07:19
Speaker 1: be competitive against some pretty good teams, and UCLA is
1:07:21
Speaker 1: not really at the level of those teams. So I
1:07:25
Speaker 1: lean to Penn State in this game. UCLA down for
1:07:28
Speaker 1: four to three and a half. The market seems to
1:07:30
Speaker 1: agree with Penn State here, Ucla sixty seven percent of tickets,
1:07:33
Speaker 1: only fifty three percent of the cash on them. I
1:07:36
Speaker 1: agree with the market read on that one Penn State
1:07:39
Speaker 1: would be the way I would lean ESPN two. As
1:07:42
Speaker 1: we get to the late night games here or later games.
1:07:46
Speaker 1: Number ten, Vandy is at Texas.
1:07:49
Speaker 2: Interesting game.
1:07:50
Speaker 1: Vandy is still undefeated, they or at least a little
1:07:55
Speaker 1: more battle tested now that they played Alabama and lsulthough
1:07:58
Speaker 1: we know LSU is a little bit down. A little
1:08:00
Speaker 1: bit down, but a little LSU is not as good
1:08:02
Speaker 1: as their record looks, is what I should say. Now.
1:08:05
Speaker 1: Vandy's got to go on the road though, to play
1:08:07
Speaker 1: Texas not an easy environment, man, And they do play
1:08:10
Speaker 1: Florida in Arkansas coming up next, So maybe Vandy will
1:08:13
Speaker 1: look past Texas a little bit here to those bigger
1:08:16
Speaker 1: opponents that are on deck here. Texas, though, they're coming
1:08:20
Speaker 1: of a big upset win, so I don't love the
1:08:22
Speaker 1: spot for Texas either. They just went into Alabama and
1:08:25
Speaker 1: beat Alabama. Man, that is a big win for Texas.
1:08:28
Speaker 1: And now I'm not gonna say they're gonna overlook Vandy,
1:08:30
Speaker 1: of course not, but they might not have a ton
1:08:32
Speaker 1: left in the tank after that win over a fast
1:08:35
Speaker 1: paced Alabama team. Big win for Texas there, So I
1:08:40
Speaker 1: don't exactly love how it sets up for Texas here.
1:08:43
Speaker 1: The money is coming into the Texas side, with sixty
1:08:45
Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets ninety one percent of the cash
1:08:47
Speaker 1: on them right now. Vandy is a five point road
1:08:50
Speaker 1: favorite here, and it does look too easy to lay
1:08:53
Speaker 1: the points with Vandy against an unranked Texas team in
1:08:57
Speaker 1: this situation, though, Man, I don't know, because it's a
1:09:01
Speaker 1: look at spot for Vandy, but Texas is gonna have
1:09:03
Speaker 1: to bring that effort multiple games in a row. Vandy's
1:09:06
Speaker 1: coming off a game where they didn't cover. I slightly
1:09:11
Speaker 1: lean to Vandy in this one. They're up to five
1:09:14
Speaker 1: with juice there, but not a strong opinion for me,
1:09:17
Speaker 1: and I usually do not want to lay teams that
1:09:20
Speaker 1: look like they're gonna be public, and it looks way
1:09:22
Speaker 1: too easy to lay the points with them unless it's
1:09:24
Speaker 1: a real strong situation, So I'm staying away. Garrett. You
1:09:30
Speaker 1: have your North Carolina tar Heels TA Heels number fourteen
1:09:33
Speaker 1: in the country, having to go out to the West
1:09:36
Speaker 1: Coast to Stanford, and I talk about this in these
1:09:38
Speaker 1: East East Coast teams having to go out to the
1:09:41
Speaker 1: West to play these late night games, it can be
1:09:44
Speaker 1: a little bit difficult. It can mess with their biological clock, man,
1:09:48
Speaker 1: because they have to play late on their biological clock.
1:09:51
Speaker 1: Although at least with basketball it's a two hour game
1:09:54
Speaker 1: instead of a three hour game, but still not that
1:09:56
Speaker 1: easy to head out to the Pacific Coast and have
1:09:58
Speaker 1: to do that in a night game.
1:10:01
Speaker 2: North Carolina they're.
1:10:01
Speaker 1: Coming up beating Wake. Now I could see this going
1:10:04
Speaker 1: two ways. Either they're gonna refocus because they had a
1:10:08
Speaker 1: close game against Wake and they should have won that
1:10:11
Speaker 1: game more easily. And of course Wake is the little
1:10:13
Speaker 1: brother and gets up more for it, so maybe North
1:10:15
Speaker 1: Carolina will have focus here because of that. Or you
1:10:19
Speaker 1: could argue that maybe it's actually even a letdown spot
1:10:22
Speaker 1: because Wake is an in state rival. So which way
1:10:27
Speaker 1: is this gonna go? I don't know. A Wake not
1:10:29
Speaker 1: very good this year, so I don't know. To me,
1:10:32
Speaker 1: it kind of seems again North Carolina should show up
1:10:35
Speaker 1: for this game, but then again they do have to
1:10:36
Speaker 1: deal with the travel spot, which is difficult. They might
1:10:40
Speaker 1: show up again because Stanford has a pretty good record,
1:10:42
Speaker 1: although Stanford's not as good as the record looks. Stamford
1:10:46
Speaker 1: is coming back home as well, so Stanford has to
1:10:48
Speaker 1: readjust to the Pacific time zone as well. So the
1:10:51
Speaker 1: oddsmakers seem to schedule the acc like this where they
1:10:54
Speaker 1: have both teams flying across country at the same time,
1:10:58
Speaker 1: so it kind of negates any advantage one team might have.
1:11:03
Speaker 1: But it is probably still more of an advantage to
1:11:05
Speaker 1: Stanford because they're coming back home, so they're more used
1:11:09
Speaker 1: to the environment they're gonna be playing in. They did
1:11:12
Speaker 1: just lose to Virginia. They have duke on deck. They're
1:11:16
Speaker 1: gonna get duke at home. You're very difficult couple of
1:11:18
Speaker 1: home games against uncee a duke. They're not gonna overlook
1:11:21
Speaker 1: either one of them, though, So I don't know, man,
1:11:23
Speaker 1: this is a difficult handicap. It is a weird spot
1:11:27
Speaker 1: for North Carolina. North Carolina is gonna be a public side.
1:11:30
Speaker 1: They're three and a half point favorite, up from three
1:11:33
Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the tickets on them, the eighty
1:11:36
Speaker 1: six percent of the cash. Man. I mean, something tells
1:11:40
Speaker 1: me that I want to lean towards taking the points
1:11:43
Speaker 1: and this one. Sorry, Garrett, but I don't have a
1:11:45
Speaker 1: strong opinion on it at all though, But it just
1:11:49
Speaker 1: looks too easy to be on the North Carolina side there,
1:11:51
Speaker 1: And unless there's a really strong situation telling me otherwise,
1:11:54
Speaker 1: when it looks too easy, I worry that it is
1:11:58
Speaker 1: all right, Peacock. At nine pm, we have you Utah
1:12:00
Speaker 1: at Texas Tech number fifteen. Texas Tech. Utah is coming
1:12:04
Speaker 1: off a huge performance man in the basketball edition of
1:12:07
Speaker 1: The Holy War against BYU. Utah took BYU right to
1:12:11
Speaker 1: the limit. Man.
1:12:11
Speaker 2: That was a monster game for Utah.
1:12:14
Speaker 1: Utah is not very good right now in BYU is
1:12:17
Speaker 1: so Utah probably considers itself to be the little brother
1:12:20
Speaker 1: of the two in the state of Utah, and they
1:12:22
Speaker 1: put an all out effort in for that game. Man,
1:12:24
Speaker 1: So I think Utah might not have a ton left
1:12:27
Speaker 1: in the tank here for Texas Tech. And Texas Tech's
1:12:30
Speaker 1: coming up that game where they almost blew it against Colorado,
1:12:33
Speaker 1: so they're coming off a much more lackluster performance here
1:12:37
Speaker 1: coming back home. I lean to Texas Tech in this game,
1:12:40
Speaker 1: but they do have BYU up next, which worries me
1:12:42
Speaker 1: a little bit.
1:12:43
Speaker 2: And then of course.
1:12:44
Speaker 1: Utah is not gonna overlook Texas tex It's just a
1:12:46
Speaker 1: matter of they might just have nothing left after that
1:12:49
Speaker 1: huge game against BYU. So I like Texas Tech. In
1:12:53
Speaker 1: this game, they're laying seventeen and a half, which is yeah,
1:12:57
Speaker 1: I know, it's a pretty big spread. Although Utah sucks.
1:13:00
Speaker 1: Oh wait, what Uta sucks? What?
1:13:03
Speaker 3: Hold on a minute.
1:13:19
Speaker 1: As you noticed yesterday, I have my Celtic Pride drops here.
1:13:24
Speaker 1: I clipped myself Baby, one of my favorite movies because
1:13:28
Speaker 1: as a boss is Celtics fan, I kind of have
1:13:30
Speaker 1: to be a fan of it. It's a it's a
1:13:34
Speaker 1: it's a comedy. The critics hate, man, but I recommend
1:13:37
Speaker 1: watching it. It's I think it's funny. It's so stupid
1:13:40
Speaker 1: that it's funny, you know. And and I'm in it
1:13:43
Speaker 1: as an extra as a child, so there is that
1:13:47
Speaker 1: as well. Although I think you have to like really
1:13:49
Speaker 1: like figure out where you can kind of see me
1:13:51
Speaker 1: in it and pause it, and you can you can
1:13:54
Speaker 1: only really see me because you can find where my
1:13:56
Speaker 1: dad is in it because he has a big like
1:13:58
Speaker 1: gray Beard on North Carolina, by the way, is up
1:14:01
Speaker 1: to four and a half now, so I don't know
1:14:04
Speaker 1: the some movement on the North.
1:14:06
Speaker 2: Carolina side there, but I don't know.
1:14:08
Speaker 1: I still I slightly disagree with that one, but I
1:14:11
Speaker 1: do like Texas, So I'm tempted to actually play Texas
1:14:14
Speaker 1: Tech here because of this spot, but I'm gonna slightly
1:14:17
Speaker 1: stay away from it. But I do like Texas Tech
1:14:20
Speaker 1: in that game, all right. I don't think we had
1:14:24
Speaker 1: anything else to say about that. Oh, eighty three percent
1:14:26
Speaker 1: of tickets in ninety six percent of the cash on
1:14:28
Speaker 1: Texas Texa, and the money is agreeing with Texas Tech. Okay.
1:14:33
Speaker 1: South Carolina is at number seventeen Arkansas in the SEC
1:14:36
Speaker 1: network at nine PM. South Carolina just lost pretty close
1:14:41
Speaker 1: to Georgia. They played pretty well, big game for South Carolina.
1:14:45
Speaker 1: Now they're going to maintain that effort again going out
1:14:47
Speaker 1: on the road to Arkansas, and they might get kind
1:14:49
Speaker 1: of an angry Arkansas because Arkansas just got wiped by
1:14:53
Speaker 1: twenty two points at Auburn, so Arkansas might show up
1:14:56
Speaker 1: for this game, although they do have Georgia and Vandy
1:14:58
Speaker 1: on deck, so possible look at it as well. But
1:15:01
Speaker 1: Arkansas took that loss by the way. Auburn was actually
1:15:04
Speaker 1: favored in that game. So that was one of those
1:15:07
Speaker 1: games where he had an unranked favorite against a ranked underdog,
1:15:11
Speaker 1: and the unranked team did actually come through in that
1:15:13
Speaker 1: one with Auburn, and I believe they were a slight
1:15:15
Speaker 1: favorite in that one. But I lean to Arkansas on
1:15:18
Speaker 1: this one. I think Arkansas is in more of like
1:15:20
Speaker 1: the bounce back spot here. The money kind of agrees,
1:15:24
Speaker 1: although Arkansas dropped from twelve to ten and a half,
1:15:26
Speaker 1: but eighty three percent of the tickets and ninety seven
1:15:29
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Arkansas, so the market relooked
1:15:32
Speaker 1: similar to Texas attack. And yeah, I would lay the
1:15:34
Speaker 1: points with Arkansas in that one, all right, And then
1:15:39
Speaker 1: my last play, we're gonna take the points with the
1:15:41
Speaker 1: Virginia tack. Even though they're having a well, they're having
1:15:45
Speaker 1: to travel to Texas, which is a little bit of
1:15:47
Speaker 1: a weird travel spot for them because SMU hasn't been
1:15:50
Speaker 1: in the ACC for that long. But I think Virginia
1:15:54
Speaker 1: Tech's coming into this with motivation, with excuse me, momentum,
1:15:57
Speaker 1: as Virginia Tech had lost two games in a row.
1:16:00
Speaker 1: They beat Cal at home, not a huge win for
1:16:02
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, just to win. They wanted, they were favored,
1:16:06
Speaker 1: they actually didn't cover, So I think they're gonna have
1:16:08
Speaker 1: some momentum and they're gonna be focused coming into this
1:16:11
Speaker 1: game against SMU man and they only have Notre Dame
1:16:14
Speaker 1: up next Syracuse, so I don't think they'll be looking ahead.
1:16:16
Speaker 1: I think you will have a focus Virginia Tech team
1:16:19
Speaker 1: against SMU. This is also kind of a bubble battle
1:16:22
Speaker 1: or Virginia Tech I think kind of needs a better
1:16:25
Speaker 1: performance in this game because they're like one of the
1:16:27
Speaker 1: last teams in the tournament right now. In SMU, I
1:16:31
Speaker 1: believe it is more securely in the tournament right now
1:16:33
Speaker 1: because SMU was ranked up until like their last game,
1:16:37
Speaker 1: so or they became ranked I think with the win
1:16:40
Speaker 1: over North Carolina and then became unranked after that, so
1:16:43
Speaker 1: SMU is more securely in the tournament. So Virginia Tech
1:16:46
Speaker 1: kind of needs the game more for their resume right now,
1:16:48
Speaker 1: and they're getting a ton of points. So I don't
1:16:51
Speaker 1: love being on teams that need a game, but when
1:16:54
Speaker 1: they're an underdog like this and the spot sets up
1:16:57
Speaker 1: for it, yeah I'll be on them. When you think
1:16:59
Speaker 1: you're gonn to get more motivation out of a big underdog,
1:17:02
Speaker 1: you do want to consider them for SMU. I mean, look,
1:17:05
Speaker 1: at the run that they're coming off of here. Man,
1:17:07
Speaker 1: they beat North Carolina at home, then they went out
1:17:09
Speaker 1: on the road and they played clemsonto within four, and
1:17:12
Speaker 1: then they followed that up by playing Duke on the
1:17:14
Speaker 1: road to within seven. And this game was pretty close
1:17:17
Speaker 1: down the stretch man SMU. They were losing basically the
1:17:21
Speaker 1: whole game, but they just refused to go away, and
1:17:23
Speaker 1: they came all the way back and cut it to
1:17:25
Speaker 1: a one possession game in the final two minutes of
1:17:27
Speaker 1: the game. So SMU will put in that late run,
1:17:31
Speaker 1: had a chance to maybe get there and maybe do
1:17:34
Speaker 1: something in that game, they fell just short. I think
1:17:37
Speaker 1: they're gonna be in a huge flat spot here. Not
1:17:39
Speaker 1: only that, but they have a look ahead spot as
1:17:41
Speaker 1: well to Virginia on deck on Saturday, one of the
1:17:45
Speaker 1: noontime games on the Big Saturday Board, SMU has got
1:17:48
Speaker 1: to play Virginia.
1:17:49
Speaker 2: They're gonna be hosting them.
1:17:51
Speaker 1: So this is a sandwich spot, I think, man between
1:17:55
Speaker 1: ranked teams like this, I like Virginia Tech and this one,
1:17:58
Speaker 1: and that is what we're doing. SMU already dropped from
1:18:01
Speaker 1: nine to seven and a half, so the money looks
1:18:03
Speaker 1: like it agrees with me. I would at least get
1:18:05
Speaker 1: the seven and a half here because seven is the
1:18:07
Speaker 1: key number, key ish in basketball because that's when teams
1:18:10
Speaker 1: stop potentially fouling at the three possession threshold. SMU looks
1:18:14
Speaker 1: public eighty percent of the tickets and cash on them,
1:18:18
Speaker 1: so excuse me. Even though Virginia Tech actually has a
1:18:21
Speaker 1: slightly better record, I think SMU might wind up being
1:18:24
Speaker 1: the public side here anyway, So I like how it
1:18:27
Speaker 1: sets up. Virginia Tech is my last college basketball play
1:18:31
Speaker 1: of the day there. Texas Tech is definitely tempting. Man,
1:18:35
Speaker 1: that's one of the other ones that I was like
1:18:37
Speaker 1: seriously considering. But yeah, I guess I'll stay off of
1:18:41
Speaker 1: it a little bit. I just sometimes I worry, maybe
1:18:45
Speaker 1: more so this year than I ever have. I worry
1:18:47
Speaker 1: a little bit about like jumping on that team that's
1:18:51
Speaker 1: the like the ranked team and laying like a huge
1:18:53
Speaker 1: amount of points with them when maybe their opponent will
1:18:56
Speaker 1: still show up even if their opponent isn't kind of
1:18:58
Speaker 1: a bad spot look more for spots. So I think
1:19:01
Speaker 1: a team just isn't gonna be focused, although again I
1:19:04
Speaker 1: think Texas Sex should be focused. But you already heard
1:19:07
Speaker 1: my handicapping on that CBS Sports at ten PM has
1:19:11
Speaker 1: now ranked number twenty three Utah State hosting Nevada here.
1:19:16
Speaker 1: Utah State, they're good, man, no doubt about it. Like
1:19:21
Speaker 1: they're probably gonna be the one Mountain West team that
1:19:23
Speaker 1: will get in that large bid if they don't win
1:19:26
Speaker 1: the Mountain West Tournament. I believe they'll get in any way.
1:19:28
Speaker 1: Mountain West looks a bit down this year. There may
1:19:32
Speaker 1: be an argument for San Diego State to getting a
1:19:34
Speaker 1: large as we see how the conference plays out. But
1:19:38
Speaker 1: Utah State will definitely, I think be in the tournament
1:19:40
Speaker 1: regardless of whether they win the conference or not. But
1:19:42
Speaker 1: now they're ranked, and you know, I talk about this
1:19:44
Speaker 1: when a team cracks into the rankings like this, especially
1:19:48
Speaker 1: a lower conference team like this where they're not usually
1:19:51
Speaker 1: in a situation like this, sometimes it'll affect them negatively
1:19:54
Speaker 1: mentally and it'll put a target on their back, so
1:19:57
Speaker 1: the other teams will be targeting them. But they'll have
1:20:00
Speaker 1: this like sense of like almost overconfidence. So I don't
1:20:03
Speaker 1: really love that for Utah State. They're coming up blowing
1:20:06
Speaker 1: out Boise Man. They might be feeling really high on
1:20:09
Speaker 1: themselves after going to boise beating them by twenty seven,
1:20:13
Speaker 1: and Boise is a team that usually doesn't give up
1:20:15
Speaker 1: a lot of points. Boise might not be what we
1:20:18
Speaker 1: thought they were coming.
1:20:20
Speaker 2: Into this season.
1:20:21
Speaker 1: Man, they've had a bad season so far Boise. It's
1:20:24
Speaker 1: been pretty bad for them. So Utah State really riding
1:20:27
Speaker 1: high right now. Nevada is coming off a close call
1:20:30
Speaker 1: kind of at home against Wyoming where I'm pissed. I
1:20:32
Speaker 1: think we should have had the win with Wyoming in
1:20:35
Speaker 1: that when at least the cover I mean with Wyoming.
1:20:37
Speaker 1: As you can see, Nevada was in a sandwich spot.
1:20:40
Speaker 1: They played closely against San Diego State in the game
1:20:42
Speaker 1: before that, they had this monster game against Utah State
1:20:45
Speaker 1: on deck, so I think Nevada was in a bad spot.
1:20:49
Speaker 1: They wound up getting the job done anyway, but I
1:20:51
Speaker 1: think they're absolutely gonna show up for Utah State. So
1:20:54
Speaker 1: I like Nevada in this one plus the points. That's
1:20:57
Speaker 1: the way I would lean in this one. Utah State's
1:20:58
Speaker 1: a fourteen point vay in that one. I would take
1:21:01
Speaker 1: the points if I was gonna play it. Then we
1:21:04
Speaker 1: do have on Fox Sports won the Battle of Arizona
1:21:07
Speaker 1: Arizona State at Arizona. Of course, Arizona's ranked number one
1:21:12
Speaker 1: in the country, and of course they are. They're undefeated.
1:21:15
Speaker 1: They haven't done anything wrong. You could maybe call into
1:21:18
Speaker 1: question their schedule a little bit. They haven't faced a
1:21:20
Speaker 1: strong conference schedule yet, so we'll see how good they
1:21:24
Speaker 1: really are. But they're not gonna lose to Arizona State.
1:21:26
Speaker 1: I wouldn't imagine Arizona State is just not very good.
1:21:29
Speaker 1: But they're coming into the game with momentum at least
1:21:31
Speaker 1: because Arizona State finally gotta win against Kansas State small
1:21:36
Speaker 1: upset in that one, breaking a four game losing street
1:21:39
Speaker 1: for Arizona State and getting their first conference wins. So
1:21:43
Speaker 1: they're coming into this game with momentum, which I think
1:21:45
Speaker 1: is a positive. And you know, they're not gonna overlook
1:21:47
Speaker 1: Arizona And sometimes some weird things happen in this rivalry.
1:21:51
Speaker 1: Member the underdog can really step it up sometimes and overperform,
1:21:55
Speaker 1: especially Arizona State. You know, they consider themselves to be
1:21:57
Speaker 1: the little brother in this rival, so they're definitely gonna
1:22:01
Speaker 1: show up. I would imagine Arizona coming of an easy
1:22:05
Speaker 1: win at TCU. They do have UCF on deck, who
1:22:08
Speaker 1: was just ranked, so you know, are they gonna overlook
1:22:11
Speaker 1: Arizona State. There's the possibility they do, even though this
1:22:15
Speaker 1: is a rivalry. It is possible that maybe they care
1:22:18
Speaker 1: more about the upcoming game against UCF. But it doesn't
1:22:21
Speaker 1: look like a terrible spot for Arizona to me, so
1:22:24
Speaker 1: I'm staying away.
1:22:26
Speaker 2: Arizona is a twenty two point favorite.
1:22:28
Speaker 1: They are public seventy five percent of tickets and only
1:22:30
Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the cash. I would agree with
1:22:32
Speaker 1: the market read, and I would lean towards taking the
1:22:34
Speaker 1: points with Arizona State, but I don't want to do it. It's
1:22:38
Speaker 1: expected to be pretty fast paced as well. Arizona plays
1:22:41
Speaker 1: fast total of pretty high one sixty eight, and ken
1:22:45
Speaker 1: bum As Arizona is still actually ranked behind Michigan. He's
1:22:49
Speaker 1: got Arizona ranked number two and Arizona being the twenty
1:22:53
Speaker 1: sixth fastest fastest tempo team just being of Michigan. They're
1:22:57
Speaker 1: in action tonight as well on the Big ten network
1:22:59
Speaker 1: number for Michigan having to go to Washington. There are
1:23:03
Speaker 1: some things that I consider to be negatives here from Michigan. Man.
1:23:07
Speaker 1: First of all, they lost to Wisconsin. Now one argument
1:23:11
Speaker 1: might be, well, Michigan is a twenty point favorite in
1:23:13
Speaker 1: that game, So that was a horrible loss, so they
1:23:15
Speaker 1: should bounce back from that.
1:23:17
Speaker 2: Yes, I understand that argument.
1:23:18
Speaker 1: But the other argument is when you have a team
1:23:22
Speaker 1: it's undefeated, like Michigan, dis late into the season and
1:23:25
Speaker 1: they finally take a loss. I talk about this, sometimes
1:23:29
Speaker 1: you get hung over in the next game.
1:23:30
Speaker 3: Man.
1:23:30
Speaker 2: I don't know what to call that spot, but it's.
1:23:32
Speaker 1: Like the the loss of undefeated and his hangover spot.
1:23:37
Speaker 1: I don't know what else to call it. So I
1:23:40
Speaker 1: could see them being hung over here and they're going
1:23:41
Speaker 1: to go play a late night game on the West Coast,
1:23:43
Speaker 1: which doesn't seem great to me either, a little bit
1:23:46
Speaker 1: of an unfamiliar environment having to go to Seattle to
1:23:49
Speaker 1: play Washington. Big ten Network has this game, by the way,
1:23:53
Speaker 1: if you want to watch it late at night, and again,
1:23:56
Speaker 1: it's gonna be really late on Michigan's biological clock too.
1:23:59
Speaker 1: So I don't love the spot. And it's possible they
1:24:02
Speaker 1: overlook Washington because Washington is a bit of a woua
1:24:04
Speaker 1: feel lightheaded a little bit, oh, man, bear with me.
1:24:09
Speaker 1: Washington doesn't have a great record either, so they're a
1:24:11
Speaker 1: team that might be overlooked a little bit. Washington is
1:24:14
Speaker 1: staying at home here, so they're not traveling back out
1:24:17
Speaker 1: to the Pacific coast, so they do have a travel
1:24:19
Speaker 1: advantage staying at home. And they just beat Ohio State,
1:24:22
Speaker 1: which is a good win. But I don't think it's
1:24:23
Speaker 1: gonna make them overconfident, and you know they're not gonna
1:24:26
Speaker 1: overlook Michigan. So I would lean towards taking the points
1:24:29
Speaker 1: with Washington in this game, and.
1:24:31
Speaker 2: It looks fairly easy.
1:24:33
Speaker 1: The public is gonna be on Michigan, man, because they're
1:24:35
Speaker 1: gonna see, well, Michigan lost that game, they're still really
1:24:38
Speaker 1: really good. Of course they're gonna bounce back. That's like
1:24:40
Speaker 1: the public sentiment when a team takes their first loss
1:24:44
Speaker 1: like that, Oh they'll immediately bounce back, but often that
1:24:47
Speaker 1: is not what happens. Twelve and a half actually seems
1:24:50
Speaker 1: low for a Michigan team that is ranked this highly
1:24:53
Speaker 1: and has been this dominant this year, public will probably
1:24:56
Speaker 1: have no qualms about laying a number like that. Some
1:25:00
Speaker 1: of the tickets around Michigan, it says ninety nine percent
1:25:02
Speaker 1: of the cash right now, though I don't buy that,
1:25:03
Speaker 1: but I think it is going to be a situation
1:25:06
Speaker 1: where Michigan is a very public side in that game.
1:25:09
Speaker 1: I lean Washington in that game, a Duke is also
1:25:13
Speaker 1: having to go out to the Pacific Coast and play
1:25:15
Speaker 1: even later at eleven PM on ACC network, so they
1:25:18
Speaker 1: get the real shaft job here, which I'm kind of
1:25:22
Speaker 1: happy about. Garrett, You're probably happy about that. The North
1:25:24
Speaker 1: Carolina gets at least the earlier game on ACC network,
1:25:28
Speaker 1: So Duke is really the one that has to play
1:25:30
Speaker 1: really late on their biological clock. Duke is coming up
1:25:34
Speaker 1: a couple of nice ranked wins over Louisville and SMU.
1:25:37
Speaker 1: Going out to the Pacific Coast could be a difficult
1:25:39
Speaker 1: spot here for them, man, So I'm leaning towards fading
1:25:43
Speaker 1: Duke in this one. Cal is coming back from the
1:25:46
Speaker 1: East Coast as well, though, but of course, again they're
1:25:49
Speaker 1: at least playing at home. But the ACC did set
1:25:51
Speaker 1: it up so that both of these teams are crossing
1:25:54
Speaker 1: country the country at the same time, so that kind
1:25:56
Speaker 1: of negates the travel a little bit. California did, just
1:26:00
Speaker 1: it was both games in Virginia, so I think back
1:26:03
Speaker 1: at home they should be focused. I would guess I
1:26:06
Speaker 1: do lean to Cal in this one, and they're more
1:26:08
Speaker 1: used to playing a late night game like this, Duke
1:26:11
Speaker 1: is down from fourteen to twelve. They're a very public team,
1:26:14
Speaker 1: twelve and a half. Excuse me, ninety percent of the tickets,
1:26:17
Speaker 1: only seventy seven percent of the cash on Duke. I
1:26:20
Speaker 1: agree with the market Rena that one I would lean
1:26:22
Speaker 1: towards taking the points with California, and that one I
1:26:24
Speaker 1: kind of prefer that one over any sort of lean
1:26:28
Speaker 1: in the North Carolina game, by the way, so Garrett
1:26:31
Speaker 1: probably likes to hear that, But yeah, that would be
1:26:35
Speaker 1: what I would think. Duke plays a little bit faster
1:26:37
Speaker 1: this year, which I'm not used to. They're more of
1:26:39
Speaker 1: a mid tempo team. I'm used to them being a
1:26:41
Speaker 1: slow team. Like why is the total one to fifty
1:26:43
Speaker 1: two and a half. Yeah, because Duke doesn't quite play
1:26:46
Speaker 1: as slow this year. But still, yeah, I think I
1:26:50
Speaker 1: would lean towards cal plus the points. And then we
1:26:52
Speaker 1: do have TCU at BYU to finish the board off
1:26:55
Speaker 1: here on ESPN two. Also at eleven PM is coming
1:27:00
Speaker 1: off that big game against Arizona, but TCU just didn't
1:27:03
Speaker 1: hang man. TCU was coming off that big overtime game
1:27:07
Speaker 1: against Kansas, so I think they just ran out of steam.
1:27:09
Speaker 1: They just didn't have it. I definitely did not want
1:27:12
Speaker 1: to jump on TCU in that game against Arizona, even
1:27:15
Speaker 1: though it looked really easy to play the Arizona side.
1:27:18
Speaker 1: I just said it was a stay away. Now TCU
1:27:21
Speaker 1: should show up for a game at BYU, but they
1:27:23
Speaker 1: are having to go into Elevation to do it. But
1:27:26
Speaker 1: it's not a bad spot for TCU as far as
1:27:28
Speaker 1: the playing Arizona. The fact that they played Arizona in
1:27:31
Speaker 1: the last game. It wasn't a close game, so I
1:27:33
Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna be hung over anything like that.
1:27:35
Speaker 1: They might have to adjust to playing an elevation though.
1:27:39
Speaker 1: Now BYU the spot does set up pretty fine for
1:27:41
Speaker 1: them as they're staying in Utah and they almost lost
1:27:44
Speaker 1: to Utah in the Holy War that I mentioned a
1:27:47
Speaker 1: little while ago. That was a bigger game for Utah
1:27:50
Speaker 1: and BYU was a big favorite in that game, I think,
1:27:53
Speaker 1: and didn't do well and barely escaped in that game.
1:27:56
Speaker 1: So when a good team escapes like that, usually they
1:27:59
Speaker 1: show up with more intensity in the next game. The
1:28:02
Speaker 1: one thing I question is Texas Tech coming into into
1:28:05
Speaker 1: the fray in this game as well. That's BYU's next
1:28:08
Speaker 1: opponent and I mentioned that with Texas Tech as well.
1:28:11
Speaker 1: There's maybe a little bit of a look ahead for
1:28:13
Speaker 1: both these teams BYU and Texas Tech because they have
1:28:15
Speaker 1: to play each other on Saturday, So that's a little
1:28:19
Speaker 1: bit of a worry. Maybe there's a little bit of
1:28:21
Speaker 1: a look ahead there, but I think the spot does
1:28:23
Speaker 1: set up a little bit better for BYU in this one.
1:28:26
Speaker 1: I would probably lay it, but the money is coming
1:28:29
Speaker 1: in on TCU fifty percent of ticket sixty seven percent
1:28:32
Speaker 1: of the cash on TCU.
1:28:33
Speaker 2: BYU is a twelve point favorite.
1:28:36
Speaker 1: I don't like this one anywhere near as much as
1:28:38
Speaker 1: I like Texas Tech, though. Texas Tech is like almost
1:28:41
Speaker 1: on my card. That's how good I think that game
1:28:44
Speaker 1: is against Yeah, because Utah just played such a crazy game,
1:28:50
Speaker 1: But that's gonna do it. Those are my four plays there.
1:28:53
Speaker 1: We got a little bit of hockey and a little
1:28:54
Speaker 1: bit of NBA before I get out of here. Hopefully
1:28:56
Speaker 1: this won't take that long. Not a ton here.
1:28:59
Speaker 2: We have four hockey games and I am on the
1:29:01
Speaker 2: first game.
1:29:03
Speaker 1: Best bets, baby, here we go. I'm getting a kind
1:29:12
Speaker 1: of cool alternate Seattle Jersey, by the way, for one
1:29:14
Speaker 1: of one of my Boston guys that's on Seattle don't
1:29:17
Speaker 1: have it yet though, but we are gonna be on
1:29:19
Speaker 1: the Seattle kracking here. And I don't think i'll have
1:29:22
Speaker 1: the jersey to wear tomorrow if they do get it done.
1:29:24
Speaker 2: But we're going money line on this plus one forty.
1:29:26
Speaker 1: We're just going balls to the wall. We're gonna do
1:29:29
Speaker 1: what Vegas run around wager Talk says, and just take
1:29:32
Speaker 1: the money line because points are for pussies are in
1:29:34
Speaker 1: this case, goals are for pussies. Goals are for what's
1:29:39
Speaker 1: a gem that's a synonym for pussy. I don't know.
1:29:45
Speaker 1: I can't think of one off the top of my head.
1:29:47
Speaker 1: But we're gonna take the money line here. I consider
1:29:49
Speaker 1: doing a split bet puck line and money line here.
1:29:52
Speaker 1: You could do that too if you want to. But
1:29:54
Speaker 1: gets into that range, I think I was gonna have
1:29:56
Speaker 1: to lay about minus one seventeen price that. So I
1:30:00
Speaker 1: was like, all right, I don't just take the money
1:30:02
Speaker 1: line here now. Really this is mostly a fade of
1:30:07
Speaker 1: New Jersey. But I don't think the spot is bad
1:30:09
Speaker 1: for Seattle either, because Seattle, Yeah, they just beat the
1:30:11
Speaker 1: Rangers at Madison Square. That's usually a pretty big game.
1:30:15
Speaker 1: But They're staying in the New York, New Jersey area, man,
1:30:19
Speaker 1: and they're one and one on the road trip so far,
1:30:22
Speaker 1: so I think they will show up, and they'll show
1:30:24
Speaker 1: up for a game against a decent New Jersey team.
1:30:26
Speaker 1: The travel spot, I'm gonna show you in a second
1:30:29
Speaker 1: is way better for Seattle. So I really like the
1:30:31
Speaker 1: fact that they're staying in the New York, New Jersey
1:30:33
Speaker 1: area for this. They should have Decord back in that year,
1:30:36
Speaker 1: who is kind of their better goalial though, have been
1:30:39
Speaker 1: alternating between the two goalies, so we'll see. But I
1:30:44
Speaker 1: don't think it's really there's no drop off. I don't
1:30:46
Speaker 1: think between their two goalies. Now for the Devils, I
1:30:50
Speaker 1: don't like the spot for the Devils at all. Man.
1:30:53
Speaker 1: They're turning over from a road trip they've been on
1:30:54
Speaker 1: since last Tuesday. The Devils, well, they started in New York,
1:30:59
Speaker 1: so I don't know if that was really the start
1:31:00
Speaker 1: of the road.
1:31:01
Speaker 2: Trip or not.
1:31:01
Speaker 1: Technically it was, and they that was their awful nine
1:31:05
Speaker 1: to nothing lost by the way at the Islanders, I
1:31:07
Speaker 1: should say, But then they did go on their true
1:31:09
Speaker 1: road trip Thursday in Pittsburgh, then went to Winnipeg and
1:31:13
Speaker 1: then they finished the road trip finally getting a win
1:31:15
Speaker 1: in a big win at Minnesota. So the Devil's pulled
1:31:19
Speaker 1: off an upset at Minnesota to finish the road trip. Now, yes,
1:31:22
Speaker 1: you could argue that that might end their losing momentum,
1:31:25
Speaker 1: and that's good. But I think it's bad because I
1:31:28
Speaker 1: see this more of a let down. I see this
1:31:30
Speaker 1: more as a letdown spot because that was a big
1:31:32
Speaker 1: win over Minnesota.
1:31:33
Speaker 2: Plus it's a return home spot from a trip. And
1:31:36
Speaker 2: you know, I like to fade teams.
1:31:38
Speaker 1: It's one of it's my bread and butter, basically, man,
1:31:40
Speaker 1: in these daily sports, fading the team that returns home
1:31:43
Speaker 1: from a road trip because they have to get back
1:31:45
Speaker 1: to family life, they have stuff to do. They could
1:31:48
Speaker 1: be a little bit distracted. They might overlook a Seattle team.
1:31:51
Speaker 1: It's really not that good. And oh yeah, who does
1:31:54
Speaker 1: New Jersey play next? They play the Carolina Hurricanes next, man,
1:31:57
Speaker 1: So I think it makes it a sandwich spot. That
1:32:00
Speaker 1: is a pretty intense look ahead to probably the best
1:32:04
Speaker 1: team in the East in Carolina. So this spot has
1:32:07
Speaker 1: Seattle written all over it. For me. New Jersey has
1:32:09
Speaker 1: already dropped all the way from minus one seventy to
1:32:12
Speaker 1: minus one forties. So this line is on the move
1:32:15
Speaker 1: man strong, strong market read on Seattle. I would jump
1:32:19
Speaker 1: in on it. Just grab Seattle as the money line underdog.
1:32:22
Speaker 1: New Jersey's got fifty seven percent of the tickets on
1:32:24
Speaker 1: the Seattle eighty one percent of the cash on Seattle.
1:32:27
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think that plus one forty is gonna
1:32:31
Speaker 1: wind up being a good price. It's gonna be some
1:32:33
Speaker 1: closing line value because I think New Jersey might continue
1:32:36
Speaker 1: to plummet a bit. I don't know, maybe they'll wind
1:32:38
Speaker 1: up being a little bit of buyback. But Seattle is
1:32:42
Speaker 1: the play for me there. Philadelphia at Buffalo is actually
1:32:45
Speaker 1: one of the televised games. Is a double header on
1:32:48
Speaker 1: TNT and True TV in HBO Max. Philadelphia Buffalo is
1:32:52
Speaker 1: the first game up in that double header. It's an
1:32:54
Speaker 1: interesting game.
1:32:55
Speaker 2: It's a decent game.
1:32:56
Speaker 1: Philadelphia. They're on a losing streak here. Man, they've lost
1:33:00
Speaker 1: three games in a row. But they lost two and
1:33:02
Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay thought they would zigzag and get the
1:33:05
Speaker 1: second game. They did not.
1:33:07
Speaker 2: But now they're going out on the road. It's only
1:33:09
Speaker 2: a two game road trip.
1:33:10
Speaker 1: But sometimes when things aren't working for you at home,
1:33:12
Speaker 1: it's good to just leave, go, you know, just go
1:33:16
Speaker 1: somewhere else, go out on the road, focus on hockey.
1:33:19
Speaker 1: That's what Philly gets to do here. So it's a
1:33:21
Speaker 1: decent spot for them. They're playing Buffalo here in Buffalo.
1:33:25
Speaker 1: I think the spot's a little bit worse for them.
1:33:27
Speaker 1: They're staying at home, but they're coming off a game
1:33:30
Speaker 1: against Florida where they only lost four to three. Close
1:33:34
Speaker 1: game against Florida. If you look at what happened in
1:33:36
Speaker 1: this game, it was a three to two game. Late
1:33:38
Speaker 1: in the game, they give up an empty net and
1:33:40
Speaker 1: then Buffalo did score again at the end, but either way,
1:33:43
Speaker 1: it was a close game.
1:33:44
Speaker 2: It was a one score game.
1:33:47
Speaker 1: The statistics were pretty close in the game as well.
1:33:49
Speaker 1: So Buffalo is coming off that big game. They do
1:33:53
Speaker 1: it Montreal next tomorrow as well. Montreal is a pretty
1:33:56
Speaker 1: good record as well, so it is possible Buffalo actually
1:33:59
Speaker 1: even kind of overlooks Philly here just because Philly hasn't
1:34:02
Speaker 1: been playing well recently. Although I don't know now, the
1:34:05
Speaker 1: last time Buffalo played Philly, they beat them in Buffalo,
1:34:08
Speaker 1: so Philly has the more recent revenge aspect of this,
1:34:12
Speaker 1: although Philly won the game prior to that. I believe
1:34:15
Speaker 1: in Philly. I lead to Philadelphia in this game. If
1:34:18
Speaker 1: that wasn't obvious. The money does agree with this one.
1:34:21
Speaker 1: If I was gonna add any other hockey play, it
1:34:23
Speaker 1: would be this one. Flyers on the money line. This
1:34:26
Speaker 1: is my second favorite of the Hockey Place. I really
1:34:29
Speaker 1: don't like the other games much at all. Buffalo down
1:34:31
Speaker 1: for minus one fifty five to minus one forty one
1:34:33
Speaker 1: on the money line. Sixty six percent of the tickets
1:34:36
Speaker 1: are on Philly and eighty eight percent of the cash
1:34:38
Speaker 1: on Philly, so market agrees with Philly in that one.
1:34:43
Speaker 1: Ottawa at the Rangers, Oh God, the Rangers get another
1:34:46
Speaker 1: home game. Rangers, we know they're really really bad at
1:34:49
Speaker 1: home as I always have to point out Autawa's coming
1:34:52
Speaker 1: into this off of breaking their losing streak. They had
1:34:55
Speaker 1: a four game losing streak, broke it by beating Vancouver.
1:34:58
Speaker 1: Now I don't think they're gonna be in a letdown
1:35:01
Speaker 1: spot after being Vancouver. But Ottawa played yesterday and they
1:35:05
Speaker 1: have to travel for a one game trip to Madison
1:35:07
Speaker 1: Square Garden.
1:35:08
Speaker 2: Then they're coming back home.
1:35:10
Speaker 1: So it is kind of a weird spot for Ottawa here.
1:35:13
Speaker 1: So I don't love that that they have no time
1:35:16
Speaker 1: off and they have to travel from Ottawa down to
1:35:19
Speaker 1: New York for a game. New York is coming off
1:35:22
Speaker 1: a pretty embarrassing home loss to Seattle, Man, and as
1:35:25
Speaker 1: bad as they are at home, you gotta think that
1:35:28
Speaker 1: they're gonna want to try to get something right here.
1:35:30
Speaker 1: They've lost now three more games in a row at
1:35:33
Speaker 1: home here. Yeah, because their actual last true home game
1:35:37
Speaker 1: prior to going on that long road trip that culminated
1:35:41
Speaker 1: in the Winter Classic, they did actually win barely against
1:35:44
Speaker 1: Philadelphia back on December twentieth, So I think the spot
1:35:47
Speaker 1: sets up better for the Rangers in this game. Man.
1:35:50
Speaker 1: Ottawa did go up for minus one O vibes to
1:35:52
Speaker 1: minus one fifteen, eighty four percent of the tickets in
1:35:55
Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash on them. But it
1:35:56
Speaker 1: looks like Ottawa is going to be a public side
1:35:59
Speaker 1: the Rangers. Now we're even not including overtime losses. They're
1:36:04
Speaker 1: actually below five hundred now, so that might be a
1:36:07
Speaker 1: little bit of an extra motivator for them as well.
1:36:09
Speaker 1: But yeah, the Rangers are awful at home five twelve
1:36:12
Speaker 1: and four, so that remains a thing where really it's
1:36:16
Speaker 1: it's really tough to want to play the Rangers at home,
1:36:18
Speaker 1: Man and then we have the last game of the
1:36:22
Speaker 1: double header on TNT and whatever, Vegas at LA. Interesting
1:36:27
Speaker 1: game out in the Pacific time zone here. Vegas is
1:36:32
Speaker 1: coming up smashing San Jose on Sunday. Vegas is on
1:36:35
Speaker 1: a four game win streak. Now, when you're on a
1:36:37
Speaker 1: four game win streak like that, you don't really want
1:36:39
Speaker 1: to have two days off like Vegas has here. So
1:36:41
Speaker 1: that's a little bit of a concern. Vegas has a
1:36:44
Speaker 1: couple of days off here, might break their momentum a
1:36:47
Speaker 1: little bit, although I don't really see them overlooking LA.
1:36:51
Speaker 1: Although maybe Vegas will be a little bit overconfident after
1:36:53
Speaker 1: crushing San Jose. When you crush anybody seven to two,
1:36:57
Speaker 1: you might be feeling a little bit overconfident. LA is
1:37:00
Speaker 1: coming off of loss to Dallas, and that was a
1:37:02
Speaker 1: tough game against Dallas. They lost three to one. You
1:37:05
Speaker 1: kind of have to dig into the box score and
1:37:07
Speaker 1: see how close was this game really. There was an
1:37:11
Speaker 1: empty net goal at the end, so this was a
1:37:12
Speaker 1: close game. Was two to one right near the end.
1:37:15
Speaker 1: So LA is coming up a pretty difficult game against Dallas.
1:37:18
Speaker 1: Man staying at home, but they're gonna have to put
1:37:20
Speaker 1: in that after a couple of games in a row.
1:37:22
Speaker 1: So it's a difficult spot for both teams in my
1:37:25
Speaker 1: opinion here man, now the money is slightly indicating towards La.
1:37:30
Speaker 1: Vegas down for minus one fifteen and minus one thirteen
1:37:33
Speaker 1: seventy three percent of tickets and seventy nine percent of
1:37:36
Speaker 1: the cash on the Kings. You know, I kind of
1:37:40
Speaker 1: disagree with it though. I think the spot's a little
1:37:43
Speaker 1: bit better for Vegas. I think it's tough to come
1:37:45
Speaker 1: up that game against Dallas. Man, although LA should show
1:37:48
Speaker 1: up for a game against Vegas. LA is also, as
1:37:51
Speaker 1: I said, they're they're like the Rangers. They're pretty bad
1:37:54
Speaker 1: at home seven to ten and five, So fading them
1:37:57
Speaker 1: at home is definitely something that is profitable this year,
1:38:00
Speaker 1: and Vegas has been fairly good on the road at
1:38:03
Speaker 1: eleven to five and six. So yeah, for me, I
1:38:07
Speaker 1: would probably slightly lean Vegas now. But you can see
1:38:09
Speaker 1: why I don't like those.
1:38:11
Speaker 2: Two games there.
1:38:12
Speaker 1: We'll finish the board here with NBA. Not too much
1:38:16
Speaker 1: going on here for NBA, but we have whatever this.
1:38:18
Speaker 2: Is seven games.
1:38:20
Speaker 1: There is an ESPN doubleheader at least Toronto and Indiana
1:38:24
Speaker 1: is the first game up. Now Toronto, they're coming off
1:38:26
Speaker 1: a loss to Philadelphia.
1:38:28
Speaker 2: On an ESPN game.
1:38:29
Speaker 1: Philadelphia kind of zig zag them. Now Toronto's going back
1:38:33
Speaker 1: out on the road for a single road game to
1:38:35
Speaker 1: play Indiana.
1:38:36
Speaker 2: But maybe that's good for Toronto.
1:38:38
Speaker 1: Just get out of home after you played a bad
1:38:41
Speaker 1: game at home, go out on the road. I almost say,
1:38:44
Speaker 1: Daniel Powder again, but I won't this time. So I
1:38:47
Speaker 1: think the spot could be a little bit of a
1:38:48
Speaker 1: bounced back spot for.
1:38:49
Speaker 2: Toronto here for Indiana.
1:38:51
Speaker 1: Indiana just beat the Celtics, man, so I could see
1:38:53
Speaker 1: this being a little bit of a letdown for Indiana
1:38:56
Speaker 1: staying at home off that big win over the Celtics
1:38:59
Speaker 1: as an underdog. So I would slightly lead to the
1:39:01
Speaker 1: Raptors in this one. But the money I know is
1:39:03
Speaker 1: disagreeing on this one. Oh no, it's not.
1:39:05
Speaker 2: Now never mind, uh.
1:39:07
Speaker 1: Sixty ticket seventy three percent of the cash on the
1:39:10
Speaker 1: Raptors money is agreeing with it. Now they're up from
1:39:12
Speaker 1: two and a half to two and a half. With juice,
1:39:15
Speaker 1: I agree, I would lay it with the Raptors if
1:39:17
Speaker 1: I was gonna play that game. It's not one that
1:39:19
Speaker 1: I have a strong enough opinion on though, and I'm
1:39:22
Speaker 1: skipping the whole NBA board today. First ESPN game up
1:39:26
Speaker 1: is Cleveland at Philadelphia. Interesting game, gotta look at the
1:39:30
Speaker 1: injury reporter though Cleveland seems pretty intact right now. In Philadelphia,
1:39:33
Speaker 1: looks like Paul George and Joel Embiid are both supposed
1:39:37
Speaker 1: to play tonight as well, so I think they'll probably
1:39:39
Speaker 1: both be out there for this big game ESPN game.
1:39:43
Speaker 1: So Philly should have a full lineup as well. But
1:39:46
Speaker 1: I think the spot is better for Cleveland. They're coming
1:39:48
Speaker 1: off that ugly loss to Utah, not the maymmotha the Jazz.
1:39:54
Speaker 1: So we got that win with the Jazz the other day.
1:39:58
Speaker 1: Cleveland was at a sandwich spot. I thought between Minnesota
1:40:00
Speaker 1: and Philly. I'm pretty sure that was the game that
1:40:02
Speaker 1: we had to win on right with Utah? Was it?
1:40:04
Speaker 1: I think? So? Whatever it was, yeah, I believe it was.
1:40:10
Speaker 1: So Cleveland's coming off an ugly home loss. Man is
1:40:12
Speaker 1: a pretty big favorite. I think Cleveland was a double
1:40:15
Speaker 1: digit favorite there, so I think the spot does set
1:40:18
Speaker 1: up better for Cleveland and bounce back off that horrendous loss.
1:40:21
Speaker 2: Philadelphia is coming.
1:40:22
Speaker 1: Up that Zigzag win in Toronto and they're actually returning
1:40:26
Speaker 1: over from a road trip technically only been on the roads.
1:40:29
Speaker 1: It's Friday, though, and they only went to Orlando in Toronto,
1:40:32
Speaker 1: so it's not like an extreme road trip return spot
1:40:36
Speaker 1: from like a long road trip or anything like that,
1:40:38
Speaker 1: and usually that handicap as well, they're going to be
1:40:41
Speaker 1: distracted by returning home, but I don't think they're gonna
1:40:44
Speaker 1: be distracted when they have Cleveland as their opponent and
1:40:46
Speaker 1: it's an ESPN game, and they replay this game on
1:40:51
Speaker 1: Friday too, which is interesting, so might be a wait
1:40:54
Speaker 1: and see approach here and then to see if you
1:40:55
Speaker 1: get a zigzag spot that looks good that sets up
1:40:59
Speaker 1: on Friday. I know I don't play that many zigzag spots,
1:41:02
Speaker 1: but I lean to Cleveland in this game, though, and
1:41:04
Speaker 1: the money seems to agree. The Sixers dropped from three
1:41:07
Speaker 1: and a half to one, and I don't really know why,
1:41:09
Speaker 1: because it looks like their guys will be playing tonight.
1:41:12
Speaker 1: Fifty four percent of the tickets that are on the
1:41:14
Speaker 1: Sixers and seventy percent of the cash on Cleveland. The
1:41:17
Speaker 1: market is telling you with the line being at one,
1:41:20
Speaker 1: that indicates that Cleveland is actually the better team with
1:41:23
Speaker 1: the Sixers not getting full home court, and I agree
1:41:25
Speaker 1: with the Calves in that one. Probably this is my
1:41:28
Speaker 1: strongest NBA opinion actually towards the Calves, but I don't
1:41:31
Speaker 1: love it enough. Utah is at Chicago. I don't really
1:41:36
Speaker 1: like Utah on this spot, obviously, because they just pulled
1:41:38
Speaker 1: off that big upset that I just mentioned against Cleveland,
1:41:41
Speaker 1: so they could be in a little bit of a
1:41:42
Speaker 1: let down here. Chicago is coming up playing Houston, though.
1:41:47
Speaker 1: That was a big game against Houston, so Chicago had
1:41:51
Speaker 1: a close game against Houston. They're winning that game, and
1:41:53
Speaker 1: that was last night too, so I can't really jump
1:41:56
Speaker 1: into Chicago here either. Man. They're on a back to
1:41:59
Speaker 1: back off a huge game against Houston where they fell
1:42:02
Speaker 1: just short. Josh Giddy is still out. I believe Kobe
1:42:06
Speaker 1: White is that his name didn't play for Chicago last night.
1:42:09
Speaker 1: Coby White, Kobe White. I apologize. I forget these guys' names. Man,
1:42:14
Speaker 1: whatever his name is, Kobe White. Yeah, I got it right.
1:42:18
Speaker 1: He didn't play, but I think it was They called
1:42:20
Speaker 1: it injury maintenance, but it's really more. I think he
1:42:23
Speaker 1: just rested in that game against the Jazz, So you know, overall,
1:42:29
Speaker 1: I kind of wanted to lead to the Bulls here
1:42:31
Speaker 1: because the Jazz are in the worst. They're in that
1:42:34
Speaker 1: like huge letdown spot, of course, and the Bulls at
1:42:37
Speaker 1: least did have rest before that last game. But the
1:42:39
Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Jazz Bulls down from
1:42:42
Speaker 1: four and a half to three and a half year,
1:42:43
Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the tickets on them, sixty seven
1:42:46
Speaker 1: percent of the cash though in Utah, So it is
1:42:48
Speaker 1: looking looking like a pros versus Joe's scenario lining up
1:42:52
Speaker 1: towards Utah there, although I had a slight disagreement with
1:42:57
Speaker 1: that just because Utah is in the big letdown. But yeah,
1:43:00
Speaker 1: I can see the argument against Chicago because Chicago's in
1:43:04
Speaker 1: that horrible rest spot and they're coming off that big
1:43:06
Speaker 1: game as well. So tough game to handicap Brooklyn at
1:43:10
Speaker 1: New Orleans. I mean, this is a real ugly one,
1:43:13
Speaker 1: the ugliest game of the night. Brooklyn coming into this
1:43:17
Speaker 1: game on a four game losing streak, playing a third
1:43:20
Speaker 1: game in four and a's in different cities, though in
1:43:22
Speaker 1: actually a fourth and six all in different cities, which
1:43:25
Speaker 1: is not easy to do. But it is the last
1:43:27
Speaker 1: game of the road trip, and they've lost every game
1:43:29
Speaker 1: on the road trip, so maybe they will show up
1:43:32
Speaker 1: to try to salvage a game on the road trip.
1:43:34
Speaker 1: New Orleans is coming off a more difficult game here.
1:43:36
Speaker 1: They played yesterday. Actually they played Denver, so they played
1:43:40
Speaker 1: a pretty tough game, even though it was Denver without Jokich.
1:43:43
Speaker 1: New Orleans played pretty tough in that game and only
1:43:45
Speaker 1: lost my six man staying at home here.
1:43:49
Speaker 2: I think you gotta lean towards the Nets in this one.
1:43:52
Speaker 1: Man. The money seems to completely disagree though, but I
1:43:55
Speaker 1: don't understand why. I think this is one of the
1:43:57
Speaker 1: stronger NBA Leans that I have here. I like the
1:44:00
Speaker 1: Nets in this one. They're up from one and a
1:44:02
Speaker 1: half to two, sixty one percent of tickets and only
1:44:04
Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on them. But I
1:44:06
Speaker 1: just don't see the argument for the Pelicans in that
1:44:09
Speaker 1: one at all. On the back to back, plus coming
1:44:14
Speaker 1: off a huge game in that game, I don't like
1:44:17
Speaker 1: it for the Pelicans, man, But I guess the argument
1:44:20
Speaker 1: might be, well, the Nets shouldn't be favored by two
1:44:22
Speaker 1: on the road here against anybody like.
1:44:24
Speaker 2: I have seen.
1:44:24
Speaker 1: The market basically has been saying New Orleans is a
1:44:27
Speaker 1: little bit better than the record looks, but I don't know.
1:44:30
Speaker 1: A second game in the doubleheader is Denver at Dallas,
1:44:33
Speaker 1: and I'm sure that when the odds receison, when the
1:44:35
Speaker 1: schedule makers scheduled this game, I'm sure they did not
1:44:38
Speaker 1: envision Jokich and Anthony Davis both being hurt for this game.
1:44:43
Speaker 1: But that is what's going on here. We have neither
1:44:45
Speaker 1: guy playing in this game. Denver is coming off that
1:44:50
Speaker 1: close call against New Orleans and they are on the
1:44:52
Speaker 1: back to back. Not a huge travel leg for New
1:44:55
Speaker 1: Orleans to Dallas, but still it is a back to back.
1:44:58
Speaker 1: Although you could make the argument that the Denver just
1:45:01
Speaker 1: sleepwalk through that game yesterday because they almost lost the
1:45:04
Speaker 1: New Orleans, they didn't really show up. Yeah, I could
1:45:07
Speaker 1: definitely see that argument, so maybe they will show up
1:45:10
Speaker 1: for Dallas.
1:45:10
Speaker 2: Still, Dallas is coming out.
1:45:12
Speaker 1: Of an easy game at home though against Brooklyn only
1:45:15
Speaker 1: one by eight, and they didn't play yesterday, so I
1:45:17
Speaker 1: think the spot sets up better for Dallas in this game.
1:45:20
Speaker 1: That is the way I would lean towards the MAVs.
1:45:23
Speaker 1: They flip from a one point dog to a one
1:45:24
Speaker 1: point favorite, and it seems it looks way too easy
1:45:28
Speaker 1: to take the Nuggets right, even without jokicch Like, to me,
1:45:31
Speaker 1: I would think the public would be on the Nuggets here,
1:45:34
Speaker 1: just like, why wouldn't you be right? Like you're getting
1:45:37
Speaker 1: a point with the Nuggets here. They still have the
1:45:38
Speaker 1: better record. You wouldn't think anybody really want to touch
1:45:42
Speaker 1: Dallas in a scenario like this, A lot of it.
1:45:44
Speaker 1: At least Dallas doesn't have a winning home record, although
1:45:47
Speaker 1: Denver has been good on the road. But yes, Jokic
1:45:50
Speaker 1: is still out. Davis we know is gonna be out
1:45:52
Speaker 1: for a while. He's having to have surgery, I think,
1:45:55
Speaker 1: to repair his torn ligament in his hand. Jokic, I'm
1:45:58
Speaker 1: not sure when he's gonna be back. But for some reason,
1:46:01
Speaker 1: the market Reid is pointing towards the Nuggets here, and
1:46:04
Speaker 1: I don't agree with it, even though the MAVs initially
1:46:06
Speaker 1: moved to the one point favorite, fifty eight percent of
1:46:08
Speaker 1: the tickets and only fifty seven percent of the cash
1:46:11
Speaker 1: on the MAVs doesn't make any sense to me. We'll
1:46:13
Speaker 1: see if the market winds up agreeing with me later
1:46:15
Speaker 1: in the day. But I would only play the MAVs
1:46:18
Speaker 1: in that game if I was gonna play it. The
1:46:20
Speaker 1: Knicks are at Sacramento Knicks are coming into this game
1:46:25
Speaker 1: after beating Portland. They've had a couple of days off,
1:46:28
Speaker 1: so they're pretty rested. Doesn't look like a horrible spot
1:46:31
Speaker 1: to me for the Knicks. They played Golden State tomorrow.
1:46:34
Speaker 1: So will they overlook Sacramento just because they played Golden
1:46:37
Speaker 1: State tomorrow? I don't know. Maybe. I mean it is
1:46:39
Speaker 1: still Golden State, it is still Steph Curry. I mean,
1:46:42
Speaker 1: they will gain more of your attention than the Kings
1:46:45
Speaker 1: will at the very least. But I do think the
1:46:47
Speaker 1: Kings are in kind of a bad spot. The Kings
1:46:49
Speaker 1: just had a pretty, i would say, satisfying win at
1:46:54
Speaker 1: home against the Lakers by double digits.
1:46:57
Speaker 2: Nice win for Sacramento.
1:46:59
Speaker 1: Now there a series of games, but they beat Houston
1:47:03
Speaker 1: and the Lakers both by double digits at home. So
1:47:07
Speaker 1: there might be a letdown in store for Sacramento here,
1:47:09
Speaker 1: even though, of course they shouldn't overlook the Knicks. The
1:47:11
Speaker 1: Knicks are good, but they're an East Eastern Conference team.
1:47:15
Speaker 1: Sacramento's coming up two big wins from them. I don't know, Man,
1:47:19
Speaker 1: it looks a little bit difficult of a spot here.
1:47:22
Speaker 1: I think the spot is better.
1:47:23
Speaker 2: For the Knicks here.
1:47:24
Speaker 1: Schrader is still out with his suspension until the next
1:47:27
Speaker 1: came for punching somebody or whatever. Sabonis looks like he's
1:47:32
Speaker 1: coming back fairly soon, but not yet. Sacramento does have
1:47:35
Speaker 1: Levigne back, as I mentioned, he's.
1:47:37
Speaker 2: Been back for a few games.
1:47:38
Speaker 1: For what it's worth, I think I kind of lean
1:47:41
Speaker 1: to the Knicks in this game. They're right from ten
1:47:43
Speaker 1: and a half to eleven, but the money is definitely
1:47:45
Speaker 1: disagreeing with They Sixty three percent of the tickets are
1:47:48
Speaker 1: on the Knicks, so they're a public side, which doesn't
1:47:51
Speaker 1: surprise me, but fifty three percent of the cash on
1:47:53
Speaker 1: the Kings, so the money is coming under the Kings
1:47:56
Speaker 1: in that one. But I don't really agree with that. Uh,
1:48:00
Speaker 1: but I don't want to have anything to do with
1:48:01
Speaker 1: that game. And then Washington at the Clippers. Washington coming
1:48:05
Speaker 1: off three straight losses. They didn't even cover for us,
1:48:07
Speaker 1: and what I thought was a good spot to fade
1:48:09
Speaker 1: the Phoenix Suns, Washington still didn't play well. Now they're
1:48:14
Speaker 1: just going from Phoenix to LA They've had two days
1:48:16
Speaker 1: off to try to break this losing momentum. I think
1:48:19
Speaker 1: Washington at least will try to show up and try
1:48:21
Speaker 1: to win this game. Man, I don't. We gotta see
1:48:23
Speaker 1: what the Trey Young's situation is for Washington, because I
1:48:26
Speaker 1: don't know if he's played yet. I'm pretty sure he
1:48:28
Speaker 1: didn't play in that game, because I would have liked
1:48:31
Speaker 1: Washington a lot less if he played in that game,
1:48:35
Speaker 1: if that was his Washington debut. The Clippers just had
1:48:39
Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot returning over from a road trip,
1:48:42
Speaker 1: finishing the road trip by beating Detroit. Nice win for
1:48:46
Speaker 1: the Clippers. They return home and they still won and
1:48:48
Speaker 1: covered against Charlotte, though I think the Clippers were like
1:48:50
Speaker 1: a five point favorite in that one and they still covered,
1:48:53
Speaker 1: and what was a bad spot? Now they're finishing their
1:48:56
Speaker 1: two game home stand. They do play Toronto Necks. Not
1:48:59
Speaker 1: sure if that's really gonna be a look ahead. But
1:49:01
Speaker 1: how much attention do the Clippers really pay to Washington yere,
1:49:04
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, the Clippers didn't have that
1:49:07
Speaker 1: great of a game in that game against Charlotte, so
1:49:09
Speaker 1: maybe they will be in that second game back home.
1:49:12
Speaker 1: Bounce back spotter not really playing that well in the
1:49:15
Speaker 1: first game, even though they did still cover. The money
1:49:19
Speaker 1: is indicating on the Clippers for what it's worth down
1:49:22
Speaker 1: from thirteen to twelve and a half. Here fifty three
1:49:24
Speaker 1: percent of tickets and sixty one percent of the cash
1:49:26
Speaker 1: on the Clippers, So the money is saying Clippers for
1:49:31
Speaker 1: what it's worth. Trey Young looks like he's injured, so
1:49:34
Speaker 1: he's still out. I don't think he's played yet. Yeah,
1:49:36
Speaker 1: he hasn't played since December twenty seventh, so he Oh,
1:49:40
Speaker 1: he's still injured. I thought the injury was just basically
1:49:44
Speaker 1: he was injured until he got traded away from the Hawks,
1:49:47
Speaker 1: is what I thought. I thought it was a fake injury.
1:49:49
Speaker 1: But maybe he has to not play for the Wizards
1:49:51
Speaker 1: for a couple of games just to make it look
1:49:52
Speaker 1: like a real injury. Man, I don't know, but he's
1:49:55
Speaker 1: not playing in the games and he hasn't played yet
1:49:57
Speaker 1: for the clip for the Wizards, so not a factor
1:50:01
Speaker 1: in that game. I'll slightly lean to the Clippers as well,
1:50:04
Speaker 1: but I really don't have an opinion on that game
1:50:05
Speaker 1: at all, and that is gonna do it. Man. Once again,
1:50:08
Speaker 1: My plays for the day are four college basketball plays.
1:50:12
Speaker 1: Be you Boston University on the money line or lay
1:50:15
Speaker 1: the two and a half if it is up that high.
1:50:17
Speaker 1: Now Louisiana plus the points, Southern Illinois minus the points,
1:50:22
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech plus the points. And then in hockey we
1:50:24
Speaker 1: have the Seattle crack and money line that is gonna
1:50:28
Speaker 1: do it. I appreciate it, guys. Thanks for hanging out.
1:50:32
Speaker 1: I'll be back of course as usual tomorrow morning, as
1:50:34
Speaker 1: long as I'm alive. Thanks for everybody for hanging out.
1:50:38
Speaker 1: Learn to toad on Twitter. You can subscribe on Twitter
1:50:41
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Speaker 1: the channel that helps me out boost this channel. Baby. Uh,
1:51:01
Speaker 1: this jersey is a bit big, so it's all like
1:51:02
Speaker 1: lop sided on me. But I like the look of it, man,
1:51:06
Speaker 1: I like it. I like it a little bit oversized anyway.
1:51:09
Speaker 1: I don't want to be wearing a tight jersey, so
1:51:10
Speaker 1: I get the large. I'm not a big man, so
1:51:13
Speaker 1: I get the large. The large jerseys are a bit oversized,
1:51:16
Speaker 1: but I like it anyway. What was I saying? Oh yeah,
1:51:20
Speaker 1: leg subscribe, give me good comments on the channel here,
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Speaker 1: listen on audio give me a good review over there.
1:51:25
Speaker 1: That helps me out as well with Yeah, it's on
1:51:29
Speaker 1: Apple and Spotify. And then we got covered in yuke. Dude,
1:51:35
Speaker 1: I'm losing my mind. I apologize lack of sleep and
1:51:38
Speaker 1: whatever else. I covered in you because my yuk channel
1:51:40
Speaker 1: on YouTube, so you can check that out as well.
1:51:43
Speaker 1: Ytube is what we should call it. But covered in
1:51:45
Speaker 1: you because I used to do drunk ukulele covers on there.
1:51:49
Speaker 1: Now I'm a sober man man. It's all non alcoholic beers.
1:51:52
Speaker 1: And I had one explode in my mini fridge there.
1:51:55
Speaker 1: I don't like that fridge, like the back panel of it,
1:51:58
Speaker 1: that's the cooling unit is too close to the stuff
1:52:01
Speaker 1: in the fridge and it could freeze over. But somehow
1:52:04
Speaker 1: it happened because the door wasn't like totally shut and
1:52:07
Speaker 1: I don't know how that happened on the fridge anyway,
1:52:10
Speaker 1: whatever I'm rambling, uh, covered in yuke my yuke channel
1:52:13
Speaker 1: go check it out on YouTube, Patreon, dot com, sash
1:52:16
Speaker 1: leader to tow and you get some bonus stuff. All
1:52:19
Speaker 1: of the things helped me out, man. And then Loser
1:52:22
Speaker 1: Cast we had a new episode last night. I think
1:52:25
Speaker 1: I nominated a good choice for a loser. This week,
1:52:27
Speaker 1: we had a couple of doozis. One was probably pretty
1:52:30
Speaker 1: obviously gonna be in the mix therefore, but you can
1:52:33
Speaker 1: go check that out. It was a fun episode again
1:52:35
Speaker 1: as usual. That's gonna do it for now, man, So
1:52:39
Speaker 1: I appreciate it again, everybody. Let's have a good day.
1:52:41
Speaker 1: Let's have a winning day again, because we've been in
1:52:44
Speaker 1: a bit of a lull here after we were really hot,
1:52:47
Speaker 1: not off to a great start to twenty twenty six.
1:52:49
Speaker 1: We're kind of just treading water here so far. So
1:52:52
Speaker 1: let's slight loss so far, I think on the year.
1:52:54
Speaker 1: So let's get back up. Man. Can't keep a good
1:52:58
Speaker 1: man down. I get knocked down, but I get up again.
1:53:01
Speaker 1: All right. I think I do have a you cover
1:53:03
Speaker 1: of that somewhere by the way. Maybe I'll redo it
1:53:05
Speaker 1: because it is fun to play. Peace guys,