Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 152 - 10/30/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 152 - 10/30/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 152 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
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Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
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week. We are one day away from
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Halloween and the end of October, which we will then turn
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the page literally and figuratively to the month of
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November Before, you know, it'll be Thanksgiving.
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So it'll be the holiday season here coming up shortly.
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But we got a lot to get to in the sports betting world today.
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I have a four pack of sweats for you.
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I got to play in pretty much every sport available Tonight.
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I got a college football bet for you guys looking at maybe a nice
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little fade, the trendy dog ish dog to fave line move.
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Hoping this team can come through for us tonight.
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Two games overall. I got my eyes on one of them and
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then also a play on the World Series.
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Haven't had a World Series bet yet.
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I was trying to pick my spots. I found one for tonight.
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Hopefully that will we can take advantage of.
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So I got to play for Dodgers, Yankees got an NHL bet for you
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looking to bet against a team on the second leg of a back-to-back
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and I got an NBA play for you. I'm looking at this total to go
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over hopefully with a really good rhythm edge.
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And then I want to talk a little bit about NFL upcoming here for
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Week 9 because I just wrote the sharp report for visen.com.
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You can always check it out for my Twitter page at Josh under
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score insights. But there are three games that
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caught my eye and one I'm saying, hey, we should probably
1:45
bet this thing right now because we got a good sharp line move.
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It's a very heavily back game and I'm hoping this dog can
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bark, bark for us for two weeks in a row.
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So a four pack overall, a look toward NFL Week 9.
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That's what we'll be talking about on today's pod.
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Now looking back to our last night, guys, 2 and 3 -, 1.18
2:03
units. It was a good night in college
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football because I would argue we capped pretty much every game
2:08
perfectly even though we lost New Mexico State.
2:11
Pathetic team. That quarterback was probably
2:13
the worst quarterback I've ever seen.
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I'm like, can you put anyone else in there other than that
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kid? Poor Nunez kid just couldn't do
2:20
anything. But anyway, we got him 7 1/2.
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New Mexico State, they closed at 7.
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We did our part. They just ended up getting blown
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out late. Couldn't cover the number, but a
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great hit with the latex Sam Houston State under one of those
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nice rocking chair unders when you didn't have to sweat that
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thing at all. It was a nine to three-game.
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They scored 12 points. We had under 45 1/2 with that
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good sharp line freeze and a windy under.
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So I was great to see and then we also got Louisiana, the Ragin
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Cajuns baby coming up bigly for the team.
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Remember we got a four and a half and end up closing around
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4:00. So we were able to beat that
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closing line with a good play there with the Ragin Cajun.
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So two and one college. We got our finger on the pulse
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of college right now, guys, sadly, 2 losses here.
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The Rangers got down early. I was surprised by that.
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I turn on the game, it was 3 to one.
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I'm like, OK, that's not good. They kind of made it a little
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bit closer, but the Rangers end up losing to the Caps.
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And then the one that was annoying me because we were
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sitting at 2:00 and 2:00 and I'm saying, hey, we just get our
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last game of the night. We have a winning night.
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But of course, it was for not because the Pelicans teased us.
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They're up by like 25 points in the first quarter, end up
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getting blown out, losing the game.
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So Pelicans, that was disappointing, even though
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again, we had that good system edge toward Rd. favorite.
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So either way, guys, second straight two and three night,
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you got to keep grinding, just keep chipping at it.
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Hopefully we'll breakthrough tonight and get back to our
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winning ways. So I want to start off with a
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little bit of college football for tonight.
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Now we have two games tonight, Jacksonville State and Liberty,
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as well as Kennesaw State and Western Kentucky and obviously
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the Kennesaw State, Western Kentucky game.
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If you haven't noticed, that's a big number.
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Currently it is Western Kentucky favored by 24.
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Wine hasn't moved too much. Totals did dip a little bit, 50
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and half down to 49 and half. I consider the under there.
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But I said, you know what, we got a sharp move on the Liberty
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game tonight. So give me Liberty or give me
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death. I like Liberty tonight.
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Guys on the money line at home against Jacksonville State.
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It is a 7:00 game here tonight and you can watch this one on
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what channel is it on CBS Sports Network.
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So going into it, we have two of the best teams in Conference
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USA. Jacksonville State is four and
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three. They've won four straight,
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Liberty is five and one. But remember they had that bad
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loss against Kennesaw. Remember we had Kennesaw in the,
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what was it the under? I forgot.
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No, we had the over in that game, but Kennesaw ended up
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winning as like a 26 point home dog.
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So going into this one, guys, we actually opened a lot of shops.
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Jacksonville State slightly favored, like a lot of shops
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open Jacksonville state -1 and now completely flipped up to
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liberty -2 1/2. So you guys heard the magic
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words flip and actually you thinking dog to favorite Liberty
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open as a dog has now flipped to a favorite.
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So that tells me right off the bat, we got smart money on
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Liberty tonight opening plus one now up to -2 1/2.
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Now pretty good bets with they're only getting around 58%
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of bats, but nearly 65% of money.
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So it's not a huge public play toward Liberty.
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I was afraid, hey, you know, it's going to be 80% Liberty and
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just the obvious move in their favor.
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But no, it kind of is just a very slight public support
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relatively relatively even ticket split yet we've seen that
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big move in favor of Liberty. Ask yourself this, you know,
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should 50 what I say 58% of bets flip A-Team, you know what, 3
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1/2 points, No, maybe you move 1/2 point, maybe you move a
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point. But that big move, big
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adjustment toward Liberty tells me it's not just the public,
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it's wise guys hitting Liberty 'cause that line move.
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So I love this spot for Liberty dog to favorite and that's layer
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on a few more things guys. I really like the buy low, sell
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high opportunity for Liberty tonight because if you look at
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Jacksonville State, they've won four straight and they have
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blown out everybody. Let me give you their last four
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games. Last week they beat MTSU 42 to
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20. Prior to that they beat New
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Mexico State 54 to 13, beat Kennesaw 63 to 24, beat Southern
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Miss 44 to 7. So they're just rolling
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everybody. You look at Liberty, they were
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undefeated 5 and O, but then they lose to Kennesaw again,
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favored by, I want to say 26 points.
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You lose by three. So just from the standpoint of
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selling high on Jacksonville State after all these blowout
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wins and buying low simultaneously on Liberty after
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that, a really bad loss when they really should have blown
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doors, they lose out, right? So I want to buy low on Liberty.
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I want to sell high on Jacksonville State.
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I'm also, you know, assuming here that maybe it's a good, you
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know, humble pie. Eat a slice of humble pie, get
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get humbled. You know, motivational play
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after a bad loss to bank on Liberty to bounce back.
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And based on this line, move toward Liberty tells you smart
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money is expecting them to bounce back.
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You also look at a correlative betting play because Liberty is
7:01
now just a 2 1/2 point favorite, but the total is pretty high.
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It's 6464 1/2. So why is that a good thing for
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Liberty? Because it's a short favorite.
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More amount of expected points scored, easier for the favorite
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to cover that number. And then also, I'm going to
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really bank on Liberty's defense here.
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We all know Jacksonville State can put up points, but Liberty
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is only giving up 22 points a game.
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Jacksonville State is giving up 29 points per game.
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So hopefully the defense of Liberty can hold down
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Jacksonville State. But I saw that dog to fave line
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move as well as that buy low sell high opportunity.
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I said, hey, let's, let's play Liberty here tonight guys.
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I got him on the money line at -125 and reason why I went money
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line number one. It should be a tight game.
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You know, open around to pick em.
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You know -1 Jacksonville State now -2 1/2 Liberty odds makers
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are telling you it could be close.
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So you would hate to lay a 2 1/2 now and have Liberty win by one
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or two and you lose your bet. So I took Liberty on the money
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line. I got him at -125 And I know
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Rhythm had a projected spread of like liberty -1.1.
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So you could make the case a values now Jacksonville State 2
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1/2. But I'm going to stick with that
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line move. I'm going to stick with that buy
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low, sell high play. I'm going to go Liberty the
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Flames, but give me Liberty or give me death.
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I'm on liberty money line, buy low, sell high dog to fave line
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move Liberty at -125 to win the game straight up.
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Now let's go over to some Major League Baseball.
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So I had a couple people saying, hey, are you going to have a
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World Series bet? I haven't had one yet.
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Just didn't didn't really have much that kind of caught my eye.
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But I said, you know what? I think we got an edge here
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tonight. So we have in the World Series
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Game 5 tonight, Dodgers lead 3 to one.
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Yankees staved off elimination by winning last night and
8:42
winning pretty handily. 11 to 4. The bats finally got going.
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So what are you looking at here for tonight?
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Well, if you ask me, this will play here to ride the Yankees.
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Even though I'm a Red Sox fan, I'm going to look at the Yankees
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here tonight, guys. I'm going to lay it with New
8:55
York. I got the Yankees at -150 First
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thing you notice about the Yankees is a line move in their
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favor tonight, down 3 to one again, got to keep your season
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alive. But they open as low as -135 Now
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they've been bet up to -145 -, 150.
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I see some shops even like -155 So it's been one way movement in
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favor of New York tells me smart money is in their favor.
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But what I really like about New York is that they're not getting
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sixty 7080% of bets. They're only getting 48% of bets
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tonight. So they're getting less than
9:26
half the tickets, yet the line has moved in their favor
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10/15/20 cents. So again, a little bit of a you
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can either call it technically RLM because it's sub 50% line
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moved in their favor. You could also call it a fade
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the trendy dog slight public on Dodgers line went to Yankees.
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Or you could call it a 5050 line move because theoretically it's
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basically split. Yet in a vacuum, if the tickets
9:48
are split, line shouldn't really move at all.
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You would assume the oddsmakers have no reason to adjust the
9:52
price their their action is balanced.
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Yet we've seen the line go to New York, so only 48% of bets
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are on New York. But the Yankees are taking in
10:00
62% of dollars at DraftKings. So low bets, higher dollars,
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line move. We're matching here with New
10:07
York. This is like our system when it
10:09
comes to biting in the UFC. Then I dig a little bit deeper.
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Starting pitchers here tonight. Hopefully a big edge with
10:15
Garrett Cole. Garrett Cole is going for New
10:17
York in the post season. He's one and O 2.82 ERA.
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He'll be opposed by Jack Flaherty, who's one and two with
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a 6.1 O ERA. I want to bet against Flaherty.
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I want to back Cole. I want to back the veteran.
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Cole has only given up seven runs in 22.1 innings pitched
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this postseason. Flaherty's given up 14 earned
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runs in 20.2 innings pitched. So Flaherty's, you know, he's
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getting knocked around here a little bit.
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If you look at some of his games, he gave up eight runs
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against the Yankees or sorry, against the Mets previously.
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He gave up what, four runs against the San Diego Padres
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earlier. Now, these teams actually played
10:56
or these pitchers opposed each other in the opener.
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And Garrett Cole pitched really well against the Dodgers.
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He went six innings, only gave up one run.
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But if you remember, he left that game with a lead three to
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two. That was game one where Freddie
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Freeman hit the walk off Grand Slam.
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So it wasn't Cole who let down the Yankees, it was the bullpen
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there. So hopefully an advantage here
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with Cole over Flaherty with this low bets, higher dollars,
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sharp reverse line move or fade the trendy dog or 5050 line
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move, whatever you want to call it, all lining up here with New
11:24
York. Now, I will also mention two
11:27
things here. Yankees seem like maybe they're
11:31
breaking through a little bit better vibe in the clubhouse,
11:34
finally put up some runs. Maybe they kind of broke the sea
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a little bit by staving off elimination last night.
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And I must also tell you guys, I finished up the comeback, which
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as a Red Sox fan, when baseball meant everything to me, when it
11:49
was life or death, trying to break the curse.
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What did Kevin Millar say after Game 3 when they got crushed
11:55
19/8? He said, don't let us win
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tonight because then we got Pedro.
12:00
We got chilling and anything can happen in the Game 7.
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So is this kind of, maybe, I don't know, a Twilight Zone
12:05
alternate universe where the Yankees blew it in O43O now O3,
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can they start to mount this comeback?
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I don't know if they can do it. And obviously you're getting a
12:13
great series bet to have New York come back and win.
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But maybe maybe they solved a little bit last night, so
12:20
hopefully they can carry that into tonight.
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But the biggest thing for me is that 48% bets more than 60%
12:26
dollars line move in their favor.
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I'm going to Yankees tonight. Let's win the damn game.
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I got the Yankees at -145. Now over to the NHL.
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One bet here in hockey that caught my eye, Vegas Golden
12:39
Knights and the LA Kings. Now going into this one is a
12:43
late night game, 10:00 Eastern Time.
12:46
But I noticed a couple things going on here.
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Let's start with the line move. Lions going to the Vegas school,
12:50
the Knights. I'm on the Knights here, guys.
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I got the Knights at -125 some shops are up to -130 but this
12:57
game actually opened around to pick em.
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It was basically -110 both sides.
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And whether it's hockey, baseball, a spread sport, you
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open at a pick em. Where's the line move?
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Because maybe wise guys have the game out of pick em, in which
13:09
case they're not going to bet it.
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There's no edge. But they also may say, oh, I
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have this team favored. So if it's a pick em, let's hit
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them now. Well, looks to me like smart
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money's all over VGK tonight. Vegas open -110 they're up to
13:21
-125 -, 130. So a big, you know, 1520 cent
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steam move in their favor, pick them to favorite line move.
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And we used to usually talk dog to fave with this.
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We pick them to fave. But then I have a ton of system
13:34
matches on Vegas school. The Knights tonight.
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And a lot of them have to do with rest first tired because
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the Kings are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
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They played the San Jose Sharks last night and lost four to two,
13:45
even though the Sharks stink and Kings were a huge favorite there
13:48
versus the Golden Knights who have haven't played since the
13:51
28th. They were off last night.
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They've also won four straight. So from that system match of
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rested favorite versus team on a back-to-back.
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Let me give you some of these numbers here.
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If you are a favorite versus a team on the a second leg of a
14:04
back-to-back, you're 15 and six this year, 71 percent, 7% ROI
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since 2021. That system is 69%, 6.5% ROI
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Rested Rd. favorite off team with a back-to-back at least two
14:17
days off from your last game. That's two and O this year, 72
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percent, 19% ROI since 2021. Rd. favorite off a win 62% This
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year. I just have a generic rested Rd.
14:29
favorite at least two days between your last game, 65% this
14:32
season. Let's see.
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And then I also have Rd. favorite who made the postseason
14:37
the previous year, 63% and rested Rd. division favorite
14:41
since 2020, 167%. So I just gave you what, 5-6
14:46
system matches here, all with really good RO is on the Vegas
14:50
school, the Knights. But also dig a little deeper
14:53
offensively. Knights are averaging 4.7 goals
14:56
per game versus only three for the Kings.
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They're only giving up 2.8 goals per game versus 3.3 for the
15:03
Kings. So better offense and defense
15:05
for VGK and the Knights have the better power play 33% versus
15:09
13%. If you look at the goaltenders I
15:12
didn't get, I don't think we have you know, exact
15:15
confirmation on this, but it looks like it's going to be
15:17
Aiden Hill against Darcy Kemper. Hill and Kemper both have a
15:20
goals against of like 3.2. They haven't been great.
15:22
They're same percentage is below 900.
15:25
But Aiden Hill is coming off his best game of the year.
15:29
He just shut out Calgary 5 nothing.
15:31
So hopefully Aiden Hill, if you remember, he led them to the cup
15:34
a couple years ago. Hopefully, hopefully you can
15:37
play well tonight. But I got to go this favorite
15:40
verse second leg of a back-to-back.
15:41
I'm on VGKI got the Golden Knights at -125 now you're
15:45
looking VGK around -130 now to the NBA, one of the bigger games
15:51
here in the NBA, Knicks and the Miami Heat 7:30 PM Eastern Time.
15:57
This one is interesting for a few reasons.
15:59
So let's start off with, let me just pull this up and get my
16:03
splits here. But going into this one, we
16:07
actually opened this game with. Let me see if I can find it for
16:12
you. We had the Knicks around a 1 1/2
16:16
point Rd. favorite. They got up as high as 2 1/2,
16:19
two, 2 1/2. Now it's back down to 1 1/2.
16:22
Knicks are the popular place. 75% of bats and keep might be a
16:26
little intriguing getting the points.
16:28
It's kind of a line freeze. They're only getting 25% bats
16:31
but 48% money and they pretty much stayed where they're at.
16:34
But I'm going to focus on the total here guys, because I got a
16:36
really good system match on a low total over.
16:39
If you guys noticed this total, it open at 214 1/2.
16:43
Very, very low number we've seen Now get that up to 215.
16:48
Some books are at 215 1/2. So right off the bat, we've seen
16:51
this total tick up. Now if you look at a good rhythm
16:55
edge here, rhythm is predicting. I have two models.
16:58
One model says the total should be 216.
17:00
Another one says it should be 216 1/2.
17:03
So actually didn't AMA ask me anything.
17:05
First time in my life today with Rhythm and I kind of explained
17:09
how I like to use Rhythm as like a cherry on top.
17:11
I use my, you know, regular data-driven model.
17:14
Then I use Rhythm as kind of one last, you know, boat of
17:17
confidence. So I saw this line rise, Nick's
17:20
heat 214 1/2 now 2:15. And then I look at Rhythm and
17:24
they say it should be two 16216 1/2.
17:26
So right now we're using Rhythm to kind of validate that line
17:30
move upwards in terms of the total.
17:33
Now you get into some system matches here, low total overs.
17:37
So when the total is less than 217, the over is 82 and 6157%
17:44
the last two seasons. So it's cashing nearly 60% of
17:47
the time. In general, overs this year are
17:52
55 percent, 31 and 25. But if the total rises, it goes
17:57
up at least 1/2 point, the overs 59%.
18:00
So now we're kind of layering in some betting system matches and
18:03
in the spot again, you open 214 and half, 9 or 215, some 215 and
18:08
halfs out there. We're kind of, you know, adding
18:11
more fuel to the fire to take this over.
18:14
Lastly, you know, you do have a short spread.
18:16
So Knicks are only favored by 1 1/2 on the road.
18:19
Competitive game back and forth. Let's get some points.
18:21
Maybe we get overtime. But also this is a play for me
18:24
on the Knicks. Now, Miami is always tough.
18:26
You ask yourself, why is this total so low?
18:28
Well, Miami is slow. They are not great offensively
18:31
and they play good defense. They're more of a defensive
18:33
under team. But the Knicks #4 offensive
18:36
efficiency this year, 30th defensive efficiency.
18:41
So I'm hoping we get some points in this one.
18:42
Guys. Again, rhythms closer to two
18:44
16217. We saw it.
18:47
We've seen it tick up. I was able to get over 214 1/2
18:51
at bet MGM. That is still available.
18:53
If you can't get that, 2:15 is pretty widely available, but try
18:57
to scratch and claw for the 214 1/2 over, if not 2:15, but give
19:02
me that over in the Knicks and the Miami Heat.
19:05
So Knicks, Miami Heat over Vegas, Golden Knights, Yankees,
19:09
and Liberty on the money line. Now to finish up the pod, I
19:12
wanted to mention just a couple games in the NFL that caught my
19:15
eye. First one, Chargers in
19:17
Cleveland. This one is interesting because
19:20
everyone is playing the Chargers going to this one.
19:23
We have the Chargers. I'll just dial it up for you.
19:27
They opened the Chargers as high as a four and a half point Rd.
19:31
favorite. The lines down to 2.
19:33
And why is that important? Because I said public slower
19:37
Chargers. Actually let me amend that.
19:38
Tickets are basically split 5050.
19:40
Yet the lines going to the Cleveland Browns tells me we got
19:43
smart money on Cleveland. They're only getting half the
19:45
tickets, but 70% of money. Also maybe a tease.
19:49
Cleveland 2:00 to 8:00. Go through some key numbers and
19:53
also I did notice this total ticked up 4039 and half up to
19:56
around 43. But you know the Charger 6 and
20:00
one to the under. You have an under ref with Bill
20:02
Vinovich only 46% bet 67% money is under.
20:06
So Long story short, I'm going to lean, I'm leaning pretty hard
20:09
in Cleveland here 5050, but the lines going to the Browns
20:12
leaning a little bit to the under.
20:14
But let's see how this thing settles.
20:16
I see one book that might be down to 1 1/2.
20:18
So maybe this is more of a teaser play, but looks like the
20:20
Cleveland Browns are pretty sharp.
20:22
Next one that caught my eye. Let's check out Rams in Seattle.
20:27
I really like to play with the Rams here guys.
20:30
The Rams actually opened at Seattle as a let's see, 3 point
20:35
dog Seattle open -3 but once Seattle got blown out by the
20:39
Bills and the Rams had that big one over the Vikings, we saw
20:43
this on completely. Now flip to Rams -1 1/2 Rams -2
20:48
so dog to fave line. Move on the Rams.
20:50
Now they're a little public. I don't love that 69% bet, 71%
20:54
money, but looks like pro and Joe.
20:57
But you do have Rd. favorites 62% against the spread this
21:01
year. I'm looking at money lining the
21:03
Rams on the money line. They're only around like -125 -,
21:08
120, something like that. And if you look at Rd.
21:10
favorites, straight up, they are 73% this year.
21:15
So I liken this a lot to last week with Atlanta playing
21:19
Seattle. Remember, Atlanta was that dog
21:21
to fave line or saw Atlanta playing the Bucks.
21:23
I should say Atlanta had the dog to fave line move.
21:26
The Bucks had a lot of injuries. This is different where the Rams
21:29
have the dog to fave line move, but injuries are actually really
21:32
good for the Rams. They got Nakua and obviously
21:35
Cooper cut back. But here's the other angle.
21:38
Rest was tired. The Rams last played on
21:40
Thursday, Seattle played on Sunday.
21:43
So I'm looking at the Rams here on the money line.
21:45
They remind me a lot of the the Falcons who came through for us
21:49
last week. Well, here's the game I'm really
21:51
interested in and I actually played it right now.
21:53
I played it right before the pod.
21:55
The Colts. Colts came through and covered
21:57
the number last week for us taking the points against
22:00
Houston. And I really like the Colts plus
22:02
the points on Sunday Night Football.
22:04
Is that the Monday night song? Anyway, Colts at Minnesota, This
22:10
one's interesting because you open this game Minnesota as high
22:13
as -6 1/2 and the public says Indy, I don't believe in you
22:17
Minnesota, you're a good team. I know Minnesota's lost a couple
22:20
in a row, but they're at home. This is a get right spot for
22:22
Minnesota. However, Minnesota open minus 6
22:25
1/2. The line is down to 5 1/2.
22:27
Some shops are even going down to five.
22:30
So why is this line going toward Indy if everyone's playing
22:32
Minnesota? Minnesota is getting 72% of
22:35
spread bets. Well, tells me we've got smart
22:37
money on the Colts. They're only getting 28% of bets
22:40
in a Sunday Night Football game, so heavily bet contrarian
22:43
opportunity. They are getting nearly 40% of
22:46
dollars. So low bets, higher dollars.
22:48
Also sweet spot Rd. dogs getting 4 1/2 points or more.
22:52
They're 21 and 13 against the spread, 62% this year.
22:56
Prime time dogs haven't been great, but they're still 54%
22:59
since 2020. And this is also a play where
23:02
maybe you believe in Joe Flacco because when Anthony Richardson
23:06
tapped out and that's kind of like a no no in football.
23:10
You, even if you're tired, you can't say it and tap out.
23:12
Well, they're getting rid of Richardson.
23:13
They put in Joe Flacco. Flacco's going to start this
23:15
game. And the move immediately when it
23:17
was announced Flacco's going to start was toward Indy.
23:20
So Flacco basically reading between the lines is an upgrade
23:24
over Anthony Richardson. So I put Indy in plus 5 1/2
23:29
again, five and a half a lot of people say is a dead number.
23:31
I think it's important if this is a 27 to 22 game 2520 game,
23:36
you know, we've had this before over the Brandon Aubrey game
23:39
against the Cowboys. That hook could be big on the 5
23:42
1/2 so don't be upset you missed the six and a half six hopefully
23:46
be glad you get 5 1/2 when maybe this thing gets down to 5.
23:49
But I'm going to go Colts plus 5 1/2.
23:53
So that about does it for episode 152 of the All systems
23:57
go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
24:00
Pretty much hit on it. Hit on everything today, guys,
24:02
NFL, college football, NBANHL, Major League Baseball.
24:06
Before you know it, we'll have some UFC fighting coming up for
24:09
Friday. But this is the part of the pod
24:11
where we wrap things up. And I start by first thanking
24:15
you. As always, thank you for tuning
24:16
in, taking the time out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
24:19
the virtual bar and sweat sharp contrarian plays with me each
24:22
day. But secondly, I'm going to ask a
24:24
big favor of you. Can you do me a solid?
24:26
Could you please give this podcast a five star review?
24:30
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, go to that rate or
24:33
review button, click five stars. It's an easy thing you can do to
24:36
let me know you appreciate the pod.
24:38
But more importantly, it helps us to grow the pod, rise up the
24:41
charts. If there's an option to follow,
24:43
click the follow button. That way you get alerted as soon
24:45
as it drops each day. And then also, if you want to
24:48
recommend it to a friend, word of mouth is always great.
24:50
If you want to leave a nice review, I would very much
24:52
appreciate that as well. But please give this pod a five
24:55
star review if you enjoy it. Secondly, if you enjoy this
24:58
style of bedding breakdown, sharp data-driven contrarian
25:01
bedding reading and monitoring the sports betting market like
25:04
Wall Street traders read and monitor the the stock market.
25:09
If this style of betting is appealed to you, maybe you've
25:12
learned a thing or two. You've noticed that you're
25:13
focusing more on lines and numbers than you are your gut
25:16
and your bias. Hopefully that's been a benefit
25:18
to your bankroll as well. But if you enjoy the POD, you
25:21
want to learn more about data-driven betting, go do me
25:23
another solid go buy my book. I wrote a book, it's called the
25:26
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
25:28
Just go to Amazon.com, type in the Everything Guide to sports
25:31
Betting, pick up a copy for you or for a friend or that buddy of
25:35
yours that parlays everything and has no bankroll management.
25:39
But the Everything guide to sports betting, it's got
25:41
everything I've learned in the industry.
25:43
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
25:45
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
25:48
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
25:51
a bankroll management plan. It's all included in the
25:53
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
25:55
So gift it to a buddy of yours, family member friend and makes a
25:58
great holiday stocking stuffer. And if you go, if you go buy it
26:02
on Amazon, Jeff Bezos will drop it at your front porch with a
26:05
drone within like 24 hours. So again, pick one up When I see
26:09
at the book, I'll sign the book for you.
26:11
I'll buy you a beer next. Have you taken advantage of
26:14
Rhythm or Juice Reel yet? We reference Rhythm and Juice
26:17
Reel every day on the pod because they do a great job
26:19
helping us win and I know they're going to help you win.
26:22
So if you haven't done it yet, go sign up for Rhythm and Juice
26:24
Reel. Give it a shot with a 7 day free
26:26
trial. Rhythm is great for their AI
26:28
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
26:31
Juice Reel is great for a plethora of of great options
26:34
here. Whether it's tailing the best
26:36
bet picks from Robo Jackson, whether it's looking at
26:38
arbitrage opportunities, sharp mush indicators as well as
26:42
syncing up your sports books, getting a running record and
26:44
report card of your action. All these great options,
26:47
including actual dollar breakdowns on the spread money
26:50
line in total. All right there with you from
26:52
people who have synced up the app to their sports books all
26:55
included with a juice reel account.
26:57
So please give it a shot. Hope you guys know I wouldn't
27:00
vouch for something that I don't truly believe in myself, but
27:02
rhythm and juice reel are great tools that you can add to your
27:06
data-driven toolbox. Use it as another box to check
27:08
when you're trying to get down on a game.
27:11
But please go sign up in this specific way.
27:13
Click the custom links that are located in the bio description
27:16
of this podcast. So for example, today they'll
27:19
say something like in episode 152, Josh dishes out a 5 pack of
27:23
sweats for Wednesday. OK, scroll below that.
27:26
Go down a little bit. You should have a link for
27:28
juice, Real and Rhythm. Click those custom links.
27:31
Then you'll be off and running with a 7 day free trial.
27:34
But that about does it, everybody.
27:35
As always, I'll leave you with a couple things.
27:37
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
27:40
River in Rhode Island, Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
27:43
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain
27:46
Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the
27:49
woods and Massachusetts. Or out in the desert where the
27:52
true grinders get down or Billy Walter sends his number runners
27:55
where the lowest use possible is found.
27:57
The South Point or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping
27:59
in the stadium swim pool. When you cash a big ticket at
28:02
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
28:05
You're going to show me a nice LA Tech Sam Houston under a
28:09
beautiful raging Cajuns ticket. Whatever you do, Pelicans.
28:14
Pelicans kept us from a winning night.
28:16
What a pathetic performance. No Curry, no Wiggins and you get
28:19
blown out. Pelicans, you're the weakest
28:21
link. Goodbye.
28:22
But anyway, guys, if we can stick to that model, stay sharp,
28:25
stay contrary and bet against the public.
28:27
Place yourselves on the side of the house.
28:28
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
28:30
Will smart money win every time? No, it won't.
28:33
No such thing as locker guarantee and betting.
28:35
But here's the thing, if you stick to that model, that games
28:38
with your head and not your heart based on data instead of
28:41
your gut against the house with the pros or sorry, with the
28:44
house against the public with the pros flatbed, avoid parlays
28:49
and get that CLV. If we can do that long term,
28:51
we're going to be successful sports betters.
28:54
So have a great Wednesday night, everybody.
28:56
I'll see you tomorrow for another big episode of the All
28:59
Systems Go sports betting pod. That'll be episode 153.
29:02
I very much look forward to it with you guys.
29:05
So have a great night. We got a four pack tonight.
29:07
Can we find a way to get three of these?
29:09
That is the goal and we'll be a bit right back at it for
29:11
tomorrow. So good luck everybody.
29:13
Enjoy the sweats and I'll see you for a big Thirsty Thursday.
29:16
Good luck.