Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 04/27/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, all system's going clear the left of.
- 0:41Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 3: Shipping Nation YouTube station back Monday, seven games on tap,
- 0:47Speaker 3: no course field. I'm back with my main man, Matt.
- 0:49Speaker 3: How are we doing, brother? How is your weekend? Happy Monday?
- 0:52Speaker 3: Excited to talk some uh some basis with you here hopefully,
- 0:56Speaker 3: hopefully we'll see some uh some offense. We got pretty
- 1:00Speaker 3: dnsed overall pitching obviously from three big arms and then
- 1:03Speaker 3: everybody else, and you got the Dodgers right, so it
- 1:06Speaker 3: should be a fun sight to talk through here.
- 1:09Speaker 2: But how was your weekend man? Excited to be back
- 1:11Speaker 2: talking talking baseball with you?
- 1:14Speaker 4: Yeah, bro, good weekend man. Excited to get on here,
- 1:16Speaker 4: talk some ball with you. Kind of a condensed Monday
- 1:20Speaker 4: night slate. So we don't have a ton of games,
- 1:22Speaker 4: but it's a really good spots to choose from, so
- 1:24Speaker 4: excited to break it down with you. Pitching is pretty
- 1:27Speaker 4: rough aside from a couple of guys up top obviously,
- 1:29Speaker 4: which you're gonna get a lot of ownership stack. Ownership
- 1:32Speaker 4: seems pretty spread out outside of the Dodgers. Hard to
- 1:37Speaker 4: get away from them, but obviously the ownership fade always
- 1:40Speaker 4: in playing tournament and there's some other really good spots tonight.
- 1:43Speaker 4: So I love Monday night slates. Monday night slates things
- 1:46Speaker 4: often play out a little bit weird on Monday, so
- 1:48Speaker 4: I'm hoping for more of the same this evening.
- 1:50Speaker 2: Yeah, no, seven games kind of right in that sweet spot.
- 1:53Speaker 3: I like the six to eight games kind of window
- 1:57Speaker 3: just because there's enough games.
- 1:58Speaker 4: Right.
- 1:58Speaker 3: If you don't have the the guy that goes crazy
- 2:01Speaker 3: right like on those three four game slates, Right, if
- 2:04Speaker 3: you don't have the seven hole hitter that hits fucking
- 2:07Speaker 3: two home runs right and scores thirty points, I mean,
- 2:11Speaker 3: you're dead right in a seven eight game slate right
- 2:14Speaker 3: like we have tonight. You're not necessarily dead right, especially
- 2:17Speaker 3: depending on ownership and that obviously you'd love to have
- 2:20Speaker 3: it there. But this is kind of sweet spot here. Yeah,
- 2:24Speaker 3: pitching Ceeese, freed Yamamoto and then everybody else. And then
- 2:28Speaker 3: in terms of offense, it's seattle just as the value
- 2:32Speaker 3: because it allows you to get up there on those guys. Obviously,
- 2:36Speaker 3: the Dodgers and the Angels, right are kind of the
- 2:39Speaker 3: three teams that are getting ownership three pitchers, so you
- 2:43Speaker 3: know where everyone's going, right, dry run once I share
- 2:46Speaker 3: the screen here, I'll have it up in terms of
- 2:49Speaker 3: projected score right and talking through it there. So yeah, great,
- 2:53Speaker 3: great slate ahead. I think some big totals here. We
- 2:57Speaker 3: got a cheaper pitcher that I have quite a bit
- 2:59Speaker 3: in us in as well to leverage some of that
- 3:01Speaker 3: ownership on some of the Seattle bats that we're gonna
- 3:05Speaker 3: get to.
- 3:05Speaker 2: So yeah, looking forward to talking bases here with with you.
- 3:09Speaker 3: We got our guy wins a lot in the chat
- 3:11Speaker 3: Philly fanom Juice, Jake Swales, what's up, Jake Dewett, Taco Todd,
- 3:17Speaker 3: our guys Stoner overall, appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit that
- 3:22Speaker 3: like button, hit that subscribe button, helps us out a ton.
- 3:25Speaker 3: I'm gonna pull our partner Sabersim up on the screen here.
- 3:29Speaker 3: Got to navigate through the new streamline stream yard look here,
- 3:35Speaker 3: so should see to hear up on the screen Matt
- 3:39Speaker 3: Pitching eight K and above. We got Ranger Suarez up
- 3:42Speaker 3: to Dylan Cease obviously talk on the main three up
- 3:47Speaker 3: top right, Cease Freed, Yamamoto ownership gonna lead to cease
- 3:52Speaker 3: probably number one, Yamamoto to Freed being number three in
- 3:56Speaker 3: terms of how the field's gonna go all three of
- 3:59Speaker 3: them are gonna get played. Had a very very heavy margin.
- 4:02Speaker 3: Castino's not going to get played, Jack Leeder Lighter is
- 4:04Speaker 3: not going to get played it Swarz really not going
- 4:06Speaker 3: to get played outside of maybe ten to twelve percent
- 4:11Speaker 3: somewhere in there. So what do you see here from
- 4:13Speaker 3: eight came above in terms of pitching break it down?
- 4:16Speaker 4: Yeah, bro, I think that it's really those three guys
- 4:20Speaker 4: and then everyone else, Like you're talking about a rough
- 4:25Speaker 4: pitching slate. But besides that, like the three guys that
- 4:29Speaker 4: we're talking about here and see Samamoto and Freed are
- 4:32Speaker 4: all anywhere from like elite starting pitchers to elite DFS pictures.
- 4:39Speaker 4: Like Freed is a better pitcher than Cees. Freed is,
- 4:44Speaker 4: for my money, one of the best pitchers in baseball.
- 4:47Speaker 4: He's not quite as good of a DFS pitcher as
- 4:49Speaker 4: Cease because of the strikeout of equity you get with Cees.
- 4:54Speaker 4: So you got both of them here, and then Yamamoto,
- 4:56Speaker 4: who's a little bit cheaper than Freed, who for my money,
- 5:00Speaker 4: is my top option against the Marlins at home. The
- 5:04Speaker 4: Marlins are frisky. I kind of like this lineup, but
- 5:07Speaker 4: I'm not afraid to use a pitcher against them, especially
- 5:10Speaker 4: a guy of talented as Yamamoto saw him really struggle
- 5:13Speaker 4: early on last time. I was still finished with a
- 5:16Speaker 4: quality start, a good start at that. He's just been phenomenal.
- 5:19Speaker 4: He's one of the best pitchers in baseball. He's about
- 5:22Speaker 4: as consistent as it gets, and I see more of
- 5:24Speaker 4: the same from him here. I think that Cese looks
- 5:27Speaker 4: like the guy with the best upside, because that's who
- 5:30Speaker 4: he is, also probably definitely, for my money, the lowest
- 5:34Speaker 4: floor between these three guys. He can get got by anyone.
- 5:37Speaker 4: He's a guy that kind of gets in his own
- 5:40Speaker 4: way at times. So you got a Boston team that
- 5:44Speaker 4: frisky right now, fired their manager. It's one of the
- 5:46Speaker 4: last two finally starting to see the ball well. I
- 5:50Speaker 4: do think there are holes to poke and cease, but
- 5:51Speaker 4: his upside is real. So those two guys and then Freed,
- 5:56Speaker 4: you're paying for Freed here, and I think that's why
- 5:58Speaker 4: he's going to be lower on than the other two.
- 5:59Speaker 4: But he's also wildly in play. He's just really really good.
- 6:04Speaker 4: And the Rangers don't scare me. They're not the worst
- 6:09Speaker 4: line up in baseball. But it's not a matchup. I'm
- 6:11Speaker 4: afraid to get to with a pitcher as talented as Freed.
- 6:14Speaker 4: He is third on my list here, but I think
- 6:17Speaker 4: he's also wildly in play after that. Honestly, like I
- 6:21Speaker 4: listed a bunch on the slate plan that's more for
- 6:24Speaker 4: like tournaments. If you're playing a bunch of lineups like
- 6:28Speaker 4: those are the three guys I think if you're playing
- 6:30Speaker 4: like one, two, three, four or five lineups that you're
- 6:33Speaker 4: playing personally.
- 6:35Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I'm with you there, so yeah, I'll start
- 6:38Speaker 3: up at the top. Cease his number three for me,
- 6:41Speaker 3: behind the other two Max Freed, I get it right.
- 6:44Speaker 3: Price feels crazy, but he is a groundball guy. He
- 6:48Speaker 3: does have strikeouts. Vegas isn't scared. His k prop is
- 6:51Speaker 3: off the charts. I mean five and a half heavy
- 6:53Speaker 3: juice to the over, which is obviously right at the
- 6:55Speaker 3: five and a half number, behind Yamamoto and behind Dylan Cease. Right,
- 7:01Speaker 3: Dylan ce seven and a half k prop best on
- 7:02Speaker 3: the slate by far. Heavy juice on the over. Ownership
- 7:05Speaker 3: is going to follow, right. Everyone knows Boston has not
- 7:07Speaker 3: been great, But Dylan Ceeese the issue I have and
- 7:11Speaker 3: why I think, yes, does he have upside?
- 7:14Speaker 4: Yes?
- 7:14Speaker 2: Is he great play.
- 7:15Speaker 3: Yes, that's why the ownership's following their strikeouts in this
- 7:19Speaker 3: Boston lineup, I get at all things there, but of
- 7:22Speaker 3: the three, I put him number three when considering ownership,
- 7:25Speaker 3: in considering the ability for Dylan See's just to self
- 7:30Speaker 3: implode right with walks things like that. Right, Boston is
- 7:34Speaker 3: getting a whole new revamp right their Their whole staff
- 7:37Speaker 3: is out of there pretty much, So don't love that
- 7:41Speaker 3: he's great. I think Freed and Yamlodo are slightly ahead
- 7:45Speaker 3: for me, Yamamota being number one just at that price
- 7:47Speaker 3: point ninety. I'm not scared of his last outing where
- 7:51Speaker 3: he got tagged around a little bit, still managed to
- 7:54Speaker 3: claw his way back in there. Pretty good chance at
- 7:57Speaker 3: a win here, right, Dodgers Bats when we get there,
- 8:00Speaker 3: we're gonna talk about it. In terms of out props
- 8:03Speaker 3: on the slate. Yamamoto's got an eighteen and a half
- 8:05Speaker 3: out prop which is up there. Same thing with Max
- 8:08Speaker 3: Freed eighteen and a half out prop that's higher than
- 8:12Speaker 3: that that out of Dylan cees there, right, So those
- 8:16Speaker 3: my rankings of those three is probably free just with
- 8:19Speaker 3: the strikeout upside. Because if you take a look at
- 8:22Speaker 3: this Texas lineup on this on the current year against
- 8:25Speaker 3: left handed pitching. I mean they're at a twenty nine
- 8:28Speaker 3: percent k rate against left handed pitching, especially at home,
- 8:32Speaker 3: they've been miserable.
- 8:33Speaker 2: It's a good place to pitch.
- 8:35Speaker 3: I think the Yankees bats are fairly interesting when we
- 8:37Speaker 3: get to stacks wise right, So I put Free number
- 8:41Speaker 3: one just because I think he's gonna be the lowest own.
- 8:43Speaker 2: I think he has a ton of strikeout upside here.
- 8:45Speaker 3: He's not bulletproofed by any means, but you can poke
- 8:48Speaker 3: hose and cease yamamotor. We just saw get some hiccups
- 8:50Speaker 3: last start, but hard to really argue with all three
- 8:54Speaker 3: of those guys up there. The other guy I think
- 8:56Speaker 3: is fairly interesting above Ak, if you wanted to take
- 8:58Speaker 3: a stab, would be Jack Leader or a lighter. The
- 9:01Speaker 3: reason I say that is because, yes, the Yankees are
- 9:04Speaker 3: patient offense. Yes they have a ton of power. However,
- 9:08Speaker 3: they do have strikeouts. In this lineup. Leader has at
- 9:12Speaker 3: least shown the ability to strike out guys his k
- 9:16Speaker 3: props five and a half, heavy juice to the over
- 9:19Speaker 3: can it go south? Absolutely is their upside and tournaments
- 9:23Speaker 3: which were chasing, Yes, so Leader would be the fourth guy.
- 9:27Speaker 2: I will look at it an eighty three hundred with.
- 9:30Speaker 3: A guy where you can chase strikeouts, right, So that's
- 9:34Speaker 3: kind of the guy I'm looking at. Not getting to
- 9:35Speaker 3: Castill outside of Seattle here, don't don't like that, and
- 9:40Speaker 3: then Ranger Suarez don't really like that either. So for me,
- 9:44Speaker 3: it's freed Yamamoto cease leader. Up above eight k are
- 9:51Speaker 3: the four guys I'm kind of interested in. When we
- 9:53Speaker 3: drop down below eight k, Matthew Boyd stands out. That's
- 9:57Speaker 3: kind of the guy everyone wants to go to. At
- 9:59Speaker 3: seventy have an hundred there decent matchup. He's got the
- 10:04Speaker 3: ballpark up grade. Obviously going out to San Diego, I
- 10:09Speaker 3: don't know. He's got the pitch count, he's got the leash.
- 10:13Speaker 3: San Diego is not the best lineup. I mean, we
- 10:16Speaker 3: saw them fall in their flate face. What three games,
- 10:19Speaker 3: four games in a row in Coors Field. They just
- 10:22Speaker 3: don't strike out. It's on Matthew Boyd. I don't I
- 10:26Speaker 3: don't know. I think he's fine, but I'd rather take
- 10:29Speaker 3: a shot on some of these other guys down here.
- 10:31Speaker 3: If I'm going down here that aren't going to get played.
- 10:33Speaker 3: Connor Prelip looks good to me. I liked what I
- 10:36Speaker 3: saw in his last start. Has been ripping up triple A.
- 10:41Speaker 3: Pitch count is a little concerning, but he did get
- 10:44Speaker 3: to eighty two pitches his last time before they pulled them.
- 10:47Speaker 2: Seattle.
- 10:48Speaker 3: Outside of Seattle, I mean, I'm not too afraid of
- 10:50Speaker 3: that offense there. So I think Connor Prelip is pretty
- 10:53Speaker 3: interesting at sixty seven hundred. Outside of that, I mean,
- 10:57Speaker 3: Randy Vasquez probably on the other side of Boyd in
- 11:00Speaker 3: that same ballpark, he's been good. What do you see
- 11:03Speaker 3: down here as value arms on the slate?
- 11:07Speaker 4: Yeah, so I like Boyd here, Like his advanced numbers
- 11:11Speaker 4: are really really good, about a thirty nine percent strikeout
- 11:14Speaker 4: rate to both sides. Like, I don't know, it's always
- 11:19Speaker 4: tough facing this Padres team, but they're coming from Mexico.
- 11:24Speaker 4: They just left cores before that. Now you're getting them
- 11:27Speaker 4: back at home. I might be in on Boyd at
- 11:30Speaker 4: seventy seven hundred. I think he looks good here. I
- 11:32Speaker 4: think your point, you know, going back a little bit
- 11:35Speaker 4: on lighter makes a lot of sense to like, he's
- 11:37Speaker 4: the natural pivot off of the expensive guys because he
- 11:39Speaker 4: has the strikeout upside to match the top guys. So
- 11:43Speaker 4: I get that, and I also understand why you have
- 11:45Speaker 4: Freed is your top choice given the matchup. Texas has
- 11:48Speaker 4: been horrendous first lefties, So I think all three top
- 11:51Speaker 4: guys look really really good as far as the bargain
- 11:54Speaker 4: shopping goes, pre Lip I think is worth a look.
- 11:57Speaker 4: He's so cheap, he's fully stretched out. Seattle has been
- 12:00Speaker 4: amazing versus lefties either, so I could get on board
- 12:03Speaker 4: with him. I mentioned Boyd not much more than that.
- 12:07Speaker 4: I'm gonna keep my pitcher pool pretty tight here. I
- 12:10Speaker 4: like all three top guys, and I like Boyd. I
- 12:13Speaker 4: like the idea of some lighter and I like pre Lip.
- 12:17Speaker 4: I saw some dustin may chatter and the chat. I'm
- 12:19Speaker 4: good there. He's just not a guy I'm ever gonna use.
- 12:22Speaker 4: Randy Vasquez has been really good to start the season,
- 12:24Speaker 4: but he's not cheap cheap, and he's in a bad matchup,
- 12:29Speaker 4: so I'd rather use boy to the same price tag. Basically,
- 12:33Speaker 4: some decent options down here, but no one I'm like
- 12:36Speaker 4: super excited about.
- 12:39Speaker 2: Yeah, I would.
- 12:39Speaker 3: I have a little bit more interest in Vasquez than
- 12:42Speaker 3: boy personally. In that same game, just at the ownership
- 12:44Speaker 3: discount exact same game. I mean, these guys are realistically
- 12:48Speaker 3: a very similar pitching. I mean matchups are pretty equal.
- 12:53Speaker 3: You look at the Padres current season against lefties, Kate.
- 12:57Speaker 3: You look at the Cubs on the current seasons right
- 13:00Speaker 3: handed pitching twenty one percent k rate. You look at
- 13:04Speaker 3: Vasquez over the last month, thirty days or so. I
- 13:06Speaker 3: know it's limited sample there, one hundred and fourteen played appearances.
- 13:10Speaker 3: He's sitting at a twenty six percent k rate, and
- 13:13Speaker 3: thirty percent of that comes from the left side right.
- 13:17Speaker 3: So depending on how many lefties are in there, I'm
- 13:20Speaker 3: assuming Bush will be in there. I'm assuming Happ will
- 13:22Speaker 3: be in there, Bellasteros, Pca. Those guys have have strikeouts there.
- 13:26Speaker 3: So that's why I slightly lean to to Vasquez. But
- 13:31Speaker 3: really it's the top three lighter. Vasquez Emboider is what
- 13:36Speaker 3: the pitching pool looks like. Pre Lip is kind of
- 13:38Speaker 3: the guy I'm taking a stand on down low though,
- 13:40Speaker 3: so I'll have more Prelip than either Boyd or Suarez,
- 13:45Speaker 3: but those are Notarz, excuse me Vasquez. So really seven
- 13:49Speaker 3: pitchers I'm kind of looking at on the slate that
- 13:52Speaker 3: feels I mean I want fault to anyone for kind
- 13:54Speaker 3: of limiting that down.
- 13:55Speaker 2: To like four to five.
- 13:57Speaker 3: Right, seize free Yamamoto those and then throw take your
- 14:01Speaker 3: pick between Boyd Vasquez pre lip really and and lighter right,
- 14:07Speaker 3: pick two of those four and just kind of go
- 14:10Speaker 3: condensed on there in terms of pitching, So any any
- 14:13Speaker 3: closing closing remarks for pitching before we jump over and
- 14:17Speaker 3: talk kidding.
- 14:18Speaker 4: No, let's get into some baths. I think we see
- 14:20Speaker 4: pitching for the most part pretty eye to eye, with
- 14:23Speaker 4: some leans a little bit differently.
- 14:25Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 14:25Speaker 3: Absolutely, let's jump over here. Let me refresh the stone,
- 14:31Speaker 3: share this tab all right, we got the stone here.
- 14:33Speaker 3: Now my face is gonna be nice and red because
- 14:35Speaker 3: of this bright screen.
- 14:37Speaker 2: In front of me.
- 14:39Speaker 3: First came in Slate, Cardinals, Pirates, Wilburd Dodo is gonna
- 14:44Speaker 3: make his debut or he's he's the rookie's gonna come
- 14:47Speaker 3: in after. I think they're throwing a left handed opener.
- 14:50Speaker 3: And Montgomery I believe something something like that. I believe, Yeah,
- 14:57Speaker 3: Mason Montgomery. Cardinals look fairly interesting here, sort of. The Pirates,
- 15:02Speaker 3: I mean, the ballpark's not great. Cardinals bullpen is ass very,
- 15:06Speaker 3: very bad six worst in baseball. You look on the
- 15:09Speaker 3: other side, card or the Pirates bullpen not much better,
- 15:13Speaker 3: kind of middle of the road three to ninety nine
- 15:16Speaker 3: X fit. Both of these pictures I think are attackable.
- 15:19Speaker 3: Dustin May, I mean, does he have flashes to be
- 15:23Speaker 3: a good picture?
- 15:25Speaker 2: Yeah? Has he shown it yet?
- 15:27Speaker 3: No, Kenny walk just just give up a ship ton
- 15:31Speaker 3: of power to the lefties, yes, O'Neal, Cruz, Brenda Lowe, Reynolds, O'Hearn.
- 15:36Speaker 3: I mean the Pirates have lefties that can hit the
- 15:38Speaker 3: damn baseball, right, I mean, and you got a bad bullpen.
- 15:41Speaker 3: I think the Pirates are pretty interesting. But I don't
- 15:44Speaker 3: sleep in the Cardinals either. I think the lefty opener
- 15:47Speaker 3: is gonna scare some people off of these lefties like
- 15:49Speaker 3: Weather Hulpt, Burlason, Gorman, those guys. But I mean you're
- 15:53Speaker 3: gonna get the bulk of the game against a righty
- 15:56Speaker 3: coming in after after the opener and there and then.
- 16:00Speaker 3: I mean, Pirates bullpen is nothing, nothing crazy. So I
- 16:02Speaker 3: like offense in this one. What do you see here?
- 16:05Speaker 4: Yeah? I do too. I think both sides are wildly
- 16:08Speaker 4: in play. Like Dustin May has been pretty good, good
- 16:14Speaker 4: against right he right, he's so far this season the
- 16:16Speaker 4: lefties still get him. Pittsburgh's gonna overload with lefties, seems
- 16:20Speaker 4: like a very trappy spot for May. So I can
- 16:22Speaker 4: get on board with Pittsburgh and then Saint Louis. And
- 16:25Speaker 4: then for Pittsburgh you also get the bad Cardinals bullpen,
- 16:27Speaker 4: which has been really overused recently as well. So yeah,
- 16:31Speaker 4: I like Pittsburgh. I also like Saint Louis. You get
- 16:35Speaker 4: an unknown commodity in Wilburt's Hotel, you get a better
- 16:39Speaker 4: bullpen than Saint Louis, but you know, their mediocre arms
- 16:42Speaker 4: are still mediocre, so if you get out to a
- 16:44Speaker 4: big lead here, you're not going to see the Pirates
- 16:46Speaker 4: best arms. I think both stacks have upsided in tournaments.
- 16:50Speaker 4: Saint Louis is pricey now though, like way more price
- 16:54Speaker 4: than they had been, probably deservedly so though, So I
- 16:57Speaker 4: think both sides have upside in tournaments, and I don't
- 17:00Speaker 4: don't expect either to get a whole bunch of love,
- 17:02Speaker 4: to be quite honest.
- 17:03Speaker 2: Yeah, I lean.
- 17:04Speaker 3: I lean the Pirates side, just with all the all
- 17:07Speaker 3: the lefties there and you get the added bullpen of
- 17:11Speaker 3: the Cards there.
- 17:12Speaker 2: But yeah, both sides are are in play.
- 17:13Speaker 3: You want the lefties for the Pirates, Ondeo Cruz, Brendelo,
- 17:17Speaker 3: O'Hearn or three of the better players in the slate
- 17:19Speaker 3: in my opinion, Brian Reynolds. Even Ozuna has been really good.
- 17:22Speaker 3: I like this lineup that the Pirates throughout. You get
- 17:25Speaker 3: Horwitz at a twenty seven dollars value down there at
- 17:28Speaker 3: first base, nobody's going to play him, But when they're
- 17:31Speaker 3: gonna play guys like Freddie Freeman and Otani at that
- 17:34Speaker 3: position there, So yeah, I lean the Pirates side. Cardinals
- 17:38Speaker 3: get full nine ing at bats, they're they're fine as well,
- 17:41Speaker 3: both both both offenses.
- 17:43Speaker 2: In this game. I'm definitely in. But Pirates I like
- 17:46Speaker 2: a little bit.
- 17:46Speaker 3: More there than the Cardinals side. Next game on the
- 17:53Speaker 3: slate Tier Red Sox, Blue Jays, Dylan Cease, Rangers, Suarez,
- 17:58Speaker 3: Red Sox. Outside of large field tournaments, I mean, you
- 18:01Speaker 3: can pick some lefty power against Dylan Cees if you
- 18:03Speaker 3: want to. Will You or bray You stands out to me.
- 18:06Speaker 3: Roman Anthony can always hit a home run. Bray You
- 18:09Speaker 3: by far be my favorite kind of leverage guy at
- 18:11Speaker 3: forty two hundred doesn't break the bank. He's been really good.
- 18:14Speaker 3: He's a really good baseball player, really good hitter. That's
- 18:17Speaker 3: an elite. If you go like instead of playing Cease,
- 18:20Speaker 3: you play Yamamoto, and you play Max Freed while throwing
- 18:25Speaker 3: a one off or a two man Red Sox stack,
- 18:27Speaker 3: will you or bray you and pick whoever else you want?
- 18:30Speaker 3: Another lefty in there, Marcelo may Or at second base,
- 18:33Speaker 3: which is a weak position. You get a four and
- 18:35Speaker 3: six in the order, both lefties both don't strike out
- 18:38Speaker 3: really against right hand and pitching much, and it leverages
- 18:41Speaker 3: Cease and you got the other two spin up arms
- 18:43Speaker 3: on the slate. I think that's interesting, But offensively, I
- 18:46Speaker 3: don't really like this game on either sides, lean more
- 18:49Speaker 3: Red Sox side, just in tournaments as mini stacks Blue Jays,
- 18:53Speaker 3: I never get this team right. Naturally, they'll probably go.
- 18:56Speaker 3: Okamoto and Vlad are fine. I think is lefty power
- 19:01Speaker 3: hitters that you can get to. Okamoto be my favorite
- 19:04Speaker 3: at thirty six hundred, just a value bat at third base,
- 19:07Speaker 3: which is pretty weak in general.
- 19:08Speaker 2: Max mounts he's gonna soak up so much ownership there.
- 19:10Speaker 3: So Okamodo, I think is fine, but more one officer
- 19:15Speaker 3: leverage mini stacks here, What do you see.
- 19:18Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel like I'm on the same exact page
- 19:20Speaker 4: as you hear. Boston makes a lot of sense as
- 19:22Speaker 4: a leverage back against Cease or using pieces if you're
- 19:25Speaker 4: not playing him. Toronto. I don't know like they're in
- 19:30Speaker 4: a better spot than Boston on paper, because Suarez certainly
- 19:33Speaker 4: isn't as gonna Cease, but so far As is also
- 19:37Speaker 4: good and he's not getting ownership, So I don't know,
- 19:41Speaker 4: like I could see he's in some Toronto here. I
- 19:43Speaker 4: don't think I'm personally gonna get there. They're They've been
- 19:46Speaker 4: pretty underwhelming to start the season. No Springer takes out
- 19:49Speaker 4: a big bat in their lineup, especially against left Ease.
- 19:54Speaker 4: I get your points about Cease and why you like
- 19:56Speaker 4: the other two guys more, I'm personally still more likely
- 19:59Speaker 4: to play Ceased and Stack Boston. I get it, though,
- 20:03Speaker 4: like Cease when he doesn't have his best stuff, puts
- 20:08Speaker 4: guys on base that he can get rocked. It will
- 20:12Speaker 4: happen a couple few times this season, so I think
- 20:15Speaker 4: there's merit in going to Boston Cease his ownership. But
- 20:18Speaker 4: that's really the only reason I've had interest in them.
- 20:21Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just really Mayor at a week second base position.
- 20:24Speaker 3: And then William Brady is by far my favorite play
- 20:26Speaker 3: from this game, just because the dude mash's righties doesn't
- 20:29Speaker 3: really strike out, you get leverage. It's a value tag
- 20:33Speaker 3: technically for spend up outfielder if you will, in that
- 20:36Speaker 3: four k range. So yeah, he's by far. My favorite
- 20:39Speaker 3: play from this game. In terms of offense would be
- 20:42Speaker 3: Willyard Bray You. But yeah, I'm not gonna have a
- 20:45Speaker 3: ton of Boston stacks. I'm not going to have really
- 20:47Speaker 3: any Toronto outside of really one offs. And I see
- 20:51Speaker 3: it got Kenny talking about when the offense in that
- 20:54Speaker 3: last game right wind blown in temperature, I mean, the
- 20:58Speaker 3: weather on this slate is pretty ass all over the place.
- 21:01Speaker 3: I mean Chicago, you got fifteen plus blown in. It's
- 21:06Speaker 3: chances for storms out out there. Really the only good
- 21:08Speaker 3: hitting environment really on this slate is Dodger Stadium, maybe
- 21:13Speaker 3: a little bit in Minnesota, but it's fifty degrees there,
- 21:18Speaker 3: so the win doesn't really offset the temperaters too much.
- 21:23Speaker 3: So it's really Dodger Stadium. And then this game being indoors, right,
- 21:28Speaker 3: the other games all pretty much suck, I mean, outside
- 21:30Speaker 3: of Texas being inside between the ballparks and the weather.
- 21:34Speaker 3: I mean, there's not really an edge on the slate
- 21:36Speaker 3: in terms of weather. It's all pretty equal in my opinion,
- 21:41Speaker 3: across the board. So that's where I had taken an account.
- 21:44Speaker 3: More bullpens. How crappy are the bullpens? How's the team doing?
- 21:49Speaker 3: Can they get there without the long ball? So guys
- 21:51Speaker 3: like O'Neal Cruz right with stolen bases, things like that
- 21:54Speaker 3: is what I take more into into account. When it's
- 21:57Speaker 3: a slate like this where there's not glaring weather spots
- 21:59Speaker 3: right where it's eighty plus degrees win blown out here
- 22:03Speaker 3: or eighty eighty degrees neutral win, whatever, it's pretty pretty
- 22:07Speaker 3: equal front from what I'm looking at across the slate.
- 22:10Speaker 3: Next game, Angels, White Sox Anthony Kay for the White
- 22:14Speaker 3: Sox here, Jack Kuchannowitz k Channawitz. Ground ball guy doesn't
- 22:17Speaker 3: is not very good, but keeps the ball on the ground.
- 22:19Speaker 3: Angels bullpen not good. White Sox bullpen not good. This
- 22:23Speaker 3: is an offensive game for me, despite the weather. This
- 22:26Speaker 3: is the probably the biggest risk here as well. In
- 22:29Speaker 3: terms of weather on the slate, Roth has it tagged
- 22:32Speaker 3: as yellow orange right now, gonna have to monitor it.
- 22:36Speaker 3: If those storms right, We're I'm getting storms here here
- 22:40Speaker 3: in Wisconsin.
- 22:41Speaker 2: If it slides a little north, We're all said.
- 22:44Speaker 3: Here, not gonna be great for this game to play through,
- 22:49Speaker 3: which would suck because I like offense in this one.
- 22:51Speaker 2: But what do you see here, White Sox Angels on
- 22:54Speaker 2: the slate?
- 22:56Speaker 4: It's all offense here. You've got two pitchers who, for
- 23:00Speaker 4: lack of a better term, stink. I mean, Anthony k
- 23:03Speaker 4: is not good. Jack o'cannowitz also not good. Two offenses
- 23:08Speaker 4: that are more than capable. Angels certainly have big upside
- 23:12Speaker 4: power and speed. The White Socks have had upside a
- 23:15Speaker 4: bunch this year. I think, presuming this game plays, these
- 23:19Speaker 4: two teams look like two of the better stacks on
- 23:21Speaker 4: the board, two top five stacks tonight. Two teams do
- 23:26Speaker 4: you think you can play a flag on in tournaments.
- 23:28Speaker 4: I don't think you have to play them, obviously, there's
- 23:29Speaker 4: the Dodgers, Mariners, Yankees, et cetera. But I think these
- 23:35Speaker 4: two teams are right at the top of that list
- 23:38Speaker 4: both sides. I don't personally want any pitching from this game.
- 23:41Speaker 4: It's all about the offenses.
- 23:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you, Angels. Look really good. They mash lefties.
- 23:48Speaker 3: Anthony k not good. You look at him. I mean
- 23:51Speaker 3: eight p k rate against right handed hitters, fourteen walk
- 23:57Speaker 3: rate gives up a ton of power, a ton of
- 23:59Speaker 3: fly balls. I mean Perraza has been murdering left handed pitching,
- 24:03Speaker 3: Mike Trout, Adele Solaire, even Vaughan Grissom, cheap second baseman,
- 24:07Speaker 3: zach Netto. I mean, I love the Angel stack here
- 24:10Speaker 3: White Sox. I prefer the Angel side more just because
- 24:14Speaker 3: I hate staking against the ground ball guy like Kachanowitz.
- 24:17Speaker 3: Even though he's not a good pitcher, he does keep
- 24:19Speaker 3: the ball on the ground. However, Ben and Tendi, Vargas, Murakami, Antonosi, Montgomery,
- 24:26Speaker 3: Peters All all five of those guys or six of
- 24:30Speaker 3: those guys, excuse me, all hit the ball in the
- 24:33Speaker 3: air against right handed pitching. So yeah, I'm in on offense.
- 24:36Speaker 3: I lean the Angel side, but don't hate the hate
- 24:38Speaker 3: the White Sox side either. You look at the bullpen rankings.
- 24:41Speaker 3: I mean, white White Sox hitting fourth worst in baseball,
- 24:45Speaker 3: Angels hitting third worst in baseball. So right there, I
- 24:48Speaker 3: have natural more more interest in this game just because
- 24:52Speaker 3: the bullpens suck. The weather not great. But again, Weather's
- 24:57Speaker 3: pretty equal on the slate in all the games, right,
- 25:00Speaker 3: So I'm looking at bullpens more and both these bullpens
- 25:02Speaker 3: are horrible. So I'm in on offense on this one.
- 25:06Speaker 3: Lean the lean the Angel side, next Sea the slates.
- 25:10Speaker 3: We are going to go to Minnesota. Kind of prelip
- 25:14Speaker 3: Luis Castillo. Castillo outside of Seattle not been great.
- 25:18Speaker 2: Twins.
- 25:19Speaker 3: I think the Twins are super sneaky here, and I'm
- 25:22Speaker 3: buying on the Twins. I like this lineup that they
- 25:25Speaker 3: threw out. Buxton being in there leading off is nice.
- 25:27Speaker 3: You got a cheap guy in brooks Lee who's a
- 25:29Speaker 3: switch hitter, going to be pinchhit pinch hit free for
- 25:33Speaker 3: the most part in this game. Trevor Larnock, I mean,
- 25:35Speaker 3: dude has tons of power against righties. I just think
- 25:38Speaker 3: Castillo is declining. I think he has been declining for
- 25:42Speaker 3: like six straight years. Give me some Twins in this one.
- 25:45Speaker 3: I definitely like the Twins side a lot more than
- 25:47Speaker 3: the Mariner side. I'm more in on pre Lips a
- 25:50Speaker 3: value arm than playing any of these Mariners. But Jay
- 25:52Speaker 3: Rod it is fine. Ref Schneider. If you want your
- 25:55Speaker 3: two at bats against the left handed pitcher. He's fine
- 25:57Speaker 3: at twenty seven hundred. He can definitely hit a home run.
- 26:00Speaker 3: But Jay Rod would be my favorite guy from this
- 26:02Speaker 3: game if going to the Mariners. But I like the
- 26:05Speaker 3: Twins stack quite a bit here. What do you see?
- 26:08Speaker 4: Yeah, so I'm with you. I feel like for me,
- 26:12Speaker 4: it will depend on the Chicago the White Sox Angels
- 26:17Speaker 4: game if I actually get to the Twins here, because
- 26:19Speaker 4: I like those two teams more. But if all of
- 26:21Speaker 4: a sudden that game is out of play, both these
- 26:23Speaker 4: teams become much more in play for me. Castillo is
- 26:27Speaker 4: not good. You're right in that he's gone downhill every
- 26:31Speaker 4: year in the pat Ford what seems like the past
- 26:33Speaker 4: five or six used to be a stud. It's not
- 26:36Speaker 4: that guy anymore, especially on the road. It's a good
- 26:39Speaker 4: spot for the Twins. I like some other offenses more.
- 26:41Speaker 4: But we saw your boy brooks Lee leading off yesterday.
- 26:45Speaker 4: He's back up towards the top of the lineup. He
- 26:47Speaker 4: hit a homer two. He's twenty three hundred. He could
- 26:51Speaker 4: become one of the best value plays on the slate.
- 26:52Speaker 4: Buxton didn't play yesterday, so we'll see what their lineup
- 26:55Speaker 4: looks like tonight. But yeah, I get on board with
- 26:58Speaker 4: the Twins. I could also get on more so with
- 27:00Speaker 4: the Mariners than I think you do, other than you
- 27:03Speaker 4: can prelip I get. I get it, like, he's definitely
- 27:06Speaker 4: in play as probably the best cheat cheap arm tonight,
- 27:09Speaker 4: but he's still an unknown commodity. The Mariners aren't, Like
- 27:13Speaker 4: we know who they are and what their upside is
- 27:16Speaker 4: if they get going. They also have been running lately,
- 27:19Speaker 4: so I think I'm more in on Seattle than you are.
- 27:23Speaker 4: I think you're a little bit higher on Minnesota than
- 27:25Speaker 4: I am. But all in all, I also like offense
- 27:27Speaker 4: in this game.
- 27:28Speaker 3: Yeah, I just I just think the Mariners are gonna
- 27:31Speaker 3: be super chalk. I mean, just looking at the dry
- 27:34Speaker 3: run that I ran projections wise, I mean eighty four
- 27:37Speaker 3: percent Seattle stacks, because was it allowed you to do
- 27:39Speaker 3: if you five man Seattle, Well, it allows you to
- 27:41Speaker 3: play three, spend up Dodgers and spend up pitching.
- 27:44Speaker 2: So that's what everybody wants to do on the slate.
- 27:47Speaker 3: And I'll just go to the other side in the
- 27:49Speaker 3: exact same park, the exact same hitting. I get the
- 27:52Speaker 3: I get the Twins bullpen is worse than the Mariners.
- 27:55Speaker 3: But I think Castillo is a worst pitcher at this
- 27:58Speaker 3: point than Prelip can be at least. I mean, Castillo's declining,
- 28:03Speaker 3: pre Lips just coming in right. So and you see,
- 28:07Speaker 3: I mean eighty four percent combined ownership right now projected
- 28:11Speaker 3: wise on the Mariners. I'm fine selling on that and
- 28:13Speaker 3: buying on the Twins. But by no means is are
- 28:17Speaker 3: the Mariners bad plays? Right, I'm just with a condensed,
- 28:22Speaker 3: shorter slate when I like the chalky pitchers.
- 28:25Speaker 2: I need to get somewhere.
- 28:26Speaker 3: I need to get different somewhere, right, And I just
- 28:28Speaker 3: think you're going to see so many Mariners stacks because
- 28:30Speaker 3: it allows what it allows you to do from a
- 28:32Speaker 3: roster construction standpoint.
- 28:34Speaker 2: Is that a bad thing? Maybe not, But it's.
- 28:37Speaker 3: Just something that I'm looking to get different than they're
- 28:40Speaker 3: just in terms of roster construction in general, and the
- 28:42Speaker 3: Twin side of it in terms of a stack are
- 28:45Speaker 3: right there, right. They allow me to do the same
- 28:47Speaker 3: thing twenty five hundred and three K four K thirty
- 28:49Speaker 3: one thirty eight hundred, twenty eight hundred. I mean they're
- 28:52Speaker 3: the exact same kind of play here. So that's that's
- 28:55Speaker 3: that's what I'm looking at and Castillo gets left. These
- 28:57Speaker 3: tons of fly balls, tons of power not I mean
- 29:00Speaker 3: tons of power allowed.
- 29:02Speaker 2: Not good against lefties. Yeah, next game on.
- 29:05Speaker 3: The slate, Next game on the slate, Yankees Rangers, Jack Leider,
- 29:10Speaker 3: Max Freed.
- 29:11Speaker 2: This is pitching more so in this one for me.
- 29:15Speaker 3: Yankees I think are really really high upside stack on
- 29:18Speaker 3: this slate because they're going to be significantly lower owned
- 29:21Speaker 3: than the Dodgers and they have similar ceilings if they
- 29:25Speaker 3: actually do it right with the power that the Yankees
- 29:28Speaker 3: team has. There was a slate what last week or something,
- 29:30Speaker 3: the Yankees were like five percent owned because of the weather,
- 29:33Speaker 3: and they hit what four or five six home runs
- 29:36Speaker 3: something like that. They always have that's in their bag
- 29:40Speaker 3: to the opportunity to hit a ton of home runs
- 29:43Speaker 3: and get there. Texas bullpen not great, Jack Leader up
- 29:48Speaker 3: and down not not good. So Yankees are pretty interesting
- 29:52Speaker 3: overall in terms of the stack. Don't really want to
- 29:55Speaker 3: mess with any Rangers. Not a spot where I'm going
- 29:57Speaker 3: to go. If you wanted to buy into Josh Young
- 30:00Speaker 3: and say the breakouts finally here he mashes lefties, he'd
- 30:04Speaker 3: be fine, But not something I'm too interested in.
- 30:07Speaker 2: Here. I'm more on the Max Freedz side than the Rangers.
- 30:11Speaker 4: I am a huge Josh young guy, but not tonight
- 30:14Speaker 4: the I like Freid over the Rangers. Here the Yankees,
- 30:18Speaker 4: though they look good. This is a classic play both
- 30:20Speaker 4: sides lighter in play because of his streakout upside on
- 30:23Speaker 4: a slate where we don't love pitching options, but the
- 30:25Speaker 4: Yankees themselves probably the only other team outside of the
- 30:28Speaker 4: Dodgers that can match the only other team that can
- 30:32Speaker 4: match the Dodgers upside on this slate. Jason de Mingez
- 30:36Speaker 4: back in our lives, probably in the lineup tonight. He
- 30:39Speaker 4: got called up yesterday, So yeah, the lineup all of
- 30:43Speaker 4: a sudden got a little bit deeper. We know he's
- 30:45Speaker 4: a guy that has power and can run. So yeah,
- 30:50Speaker 4: I like the Yankees, heater, I mean, are they my
- 30:53Speaker 4: favorite stack on the board. Probably not, But ownership considered.
- 30:57Speaker 4: If you tell me that they're gonna be low her
- 31:00Speaker 4: own than like the Dodgers, and then teams like the
- 31:03Speaker 4: Angels and the Mariners, give me the Yankees at that point.
- 31:08Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there.
- 31:11Speaker 3: I do have some slight concerns the Rangers bullpen's not great,
- 31:14Speaker 3: but it's rested. I mean, they're Quandtrail is really gonna
- 31:18Speaker 3: be the only guy, and he's like the long reliever.
- 31:19Speaker 2: Anyways, he's really gonna be probably the only guy.
- 31:22Speaker 3: Maybe Peyton Gray won't be available, but the rest of
- 31:25Speaker 3: these guys are all all pretty rested. So you're gonna
- 31:27Speaker 3: see a lot of platoon, a lot of splits, a
- 31:30Speaker 3: lot of a lot of pictures, a lot a lot
- 31:32Speaker 3: of matchups right where it favors a pitcher more so.
- 31:35Speaker 3: Obviously the Yankees can always get there. But adding Domingas
- 31:38Speaker 3: is nice. He's super cheap, Austin Wells twenty seven hundred
- 31:40Speaker 3: tons of power, He's a great catcher, play on the slate,
- 31:43Speaker 3: And yeah, I side with the Yankees more than I
- 31:46Speaker 3: side with the Mariners at similar ownership. I mean, if
- 31:50Speaker 3: you stack the Yankees outside of Judge and Rice, I mean, yeah,
- 31:54Speaker 3: you want those guys, but you leave one of them
- 31:55Speaker 3: off on your stack, and it's a super affordable stack.
- 31:57Speaker 2: I mean, look at this, Look at this team. Yeah,
- 31:59Speaker 2: do you want to play Ryan McMahon.
- 32:01Speaker 3: No, But he's twenty three hundred in the Yankees and
- 32:04Speaker 3: he's a lefty against Jack Ledder, right, So the Yankees
- 32:08Speaker 3: I like him they're more affordable to stack up if
- 32:11Speaker 3: you leave one of those big guys off. Feels gross
- 32:13Speaker 3: stacking the Yankees and leaving one of Ben Rice or
- 32:16Speaker 3: Aaron Judge off, But that's how you how you can
- 32:19Speaker 3: get away with it. And obviously it opens up spend
- 32:23Speaker 3: up pitching on the slate too. So I'm with you there,
- 32:26Speaker 3: Josh Young. I think is fine to leave in your
- 32:27Speaker 3: pool as a one off just because the dude does
- 32:30Speaker 3: hit left handed, pitching really good, huge, huge prospect coming in.
- 32:34Speaker 3: Maybe it's finally starting to click there, right, So I
- 32:38Speaker 3: don't hate that, and and it leverages some freed ownership
- 32:41Speaker 3: as well. That's what I look for in like a
- 32:43Speaker 3: five to two to one build or a four to
- 32:44Speaker 3: three to one build, something like that. I look for
- 32:47Speaker 3: that one off who has home on upside and potentially
- 32:50Speaker 3: can help offset and bump my line up above others
- 32:55Speaker 3: when it's a chalkier pitcher that they're hitting against. Mix
- 32:59Speaker 3: game in a slate Cubs Matthew Boyd Vasquez two pitchers.
- 33:03Speaker 3: I think you can play. Ballpark sucks, Padres, bullpen nails
- 33:07Speaker 3: Cubs good offense, Vasquez could be smoking mirrors. It's just
- 33:14Speaker 3: I like offenses a lot more in other spots. I'm
- 33:16Speaker 3: not getting to this one much. What do you see here?
- 33:19Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with you, Like Vasquez might be smoking mirrors.
- 33:23Speaker 4: He did change some things around, and he just looks
- 33:25Speaker 4: better this year than he has in the past. I
- 33:28Speaker 4: don't think this is the spot. I'm gonna test it out, though,
- 33:30Speaker 4: Like in San Diego, just don't love this game for offense.
- 33:34Speaker 4: I mean, they're good hitters all over this game, so
- 33:36Speaker 4: I would leave them in my pool if I were
- 33:38Speaker 4: playing at one fifty and it's a small enough slate,
- 33:41Speaker 4: or it wouldn't be like the craziest thing if either
- 33:43Speaker 4: one of these offenses got there. But I don't know.
- 33:47Speaker 4: I respect both pitchers enough and the ballpark, so I'm
- 33:50Speaker 4: out on this game for offense.
- 33:52Speaker 3: Yeah, Loriano, I think it is decent, right, just historically
- 33:56Speaker 3: hits lefties really good. Boyd can get hit for some
- 33:59Speaker 3: power at times, and you can still. I mean maybe
- 34:02Speaker 3: these guys, if they get a hold of they can
- 34:04Speaker 3: hit it out of any park, right, So it doesn't really.
- 34:06Speaker 2: Matter too much. But yeah, I'm with you.
- 34:08Speaker 3: There not a great spot from offense in that one
- 34:12Speaker 3: takes us to everybody's favorite spot.
- 34:14Speaker 2: On the slate.
- 34:15Speaker 3: Dodgers gonna be approaching like a coors Field type ownership
- 34:19Speaker 3: for a good reason. Chris Paddock in Our Lives fly
- 34:22Speaker 3: ball home run guy. Not a good pitcher by any means,
- 34:25Speaker 3: gives up a shit ton of power, always tons of
- 34:27Speaker 3: home runs. You got the best offensive baseball in the Dodgers,
- 34:31Speaker 3: Mariners or the Marlins. Bullpen not good either, tenth worst
- 34:36Speaker 3: in baseball four point four to two x fit. I mean, yeah,
- 34:40Speaker 3: they have some good guys that have some strikeout ability
- 34:43Speaker 3: in there, but I mean it's all all things going
- 34:47Speaker 3: for the Dodgers here. Not much bad things to say.
- 34:51Speaker 3: Don't really want to pick on young Modo. He's just
- 34:53Speaker 3: a consistent, good pitcher, good real life pitcher, good Dodgers bullpen.
- 34:57Speaker 3: I think I'd rather leverage other stacks more them get
- 35:00Speaker 3: to any of these Marlins. But what do you here
- 35:02Speaker 3: here around us out?
- 35:04Speaker 4: Yeah, I respect Yamamoto too much, like the Marlins are peski,
- 35:09Speaker 4: but I'd rather stack the Red Sox if I'm going
- 35:11Speaker 4: with a leverage stack. So that's how I feel they're
- 35:15Speaker 4: the Dodgers. I mean, it's tough, like they're clearly the
- 35:19Speaker 4: top stack on the board. Paddock is not very good.
- 35:21Speaker 4: Their offense is obviously amazing. Their lineup, I should say,
- 35:25Speaker 4: but we're playing an ownership game and they're gonna be
- 35:27Speaker 4: by far the highest owed with some other really good
- 35:29Speaker 4: spots tonight. So I understand both sides of it. I think,
- 35:32Speaker 4: like pretty much always in spots like this, you can
- 35:36Speaker 4: build plus EV lineups with them and without them. They
- 35:41Speaker 4: are good places to go without using the Dodgers here
- 35:44Speaker 4: and hoping that Paddock is just okay and you know,
- 35:48Speaker 4: the Dodgers just don't hit home runs tonight, or you
- 35:51Speaker 4: can just go all in on the Dodgers and hope
- 35:53Speaker 4: that it's the Dodgers and they do what they are
- 35:55Speaker 4: going to often do this season. So really, I don't
- 35:57Speaker 4: have like a strong take on whether you should play
- 36:00Speaker 4: them or not. Just know the merits of whatever you
- 36:03Speaker 4: do decide doing.
- 36:06Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there.
- 36:06Speaker 3: I think if I play the Dodgers, I'm not going
- 36:08Speaker 3: to play them with the Mariners just because that's that's
- 36:12Speaker 3: what projections say, that's what optimizers are gonna spit out
- 36:15Speaker 3: just because of those price tags on Seattle right they have.
- 36:18Speaker 4: That's where if you're playing like some Boston like the
- 36:21Speaker 4: Dodgers exactly.
- 36:22Speaker 2: I mean so or pivot to the Twins on the
- 36:24Speaker 2: other side of the Mariners game.
- 36:25Speaker 3: It's at the same price points right against the guy
- 36:28Speaker 3: who is trash against left handed hitters, right, especially outside
- 36:32Speaker 3: of Seattle. Right that picture's wallpark there. So that's what
- 36:35Speaker 3: I would look like. I mean, there's not you don't.
- 36:38Speaker 3: It doesn't take us to come out here and tell
- 36:39Speaker 3: you to play the Dodgers. I mean any every show
- 36:42Speaker 3: across the industry is going to be slurping the Dodgers.
- 36:45Speaker 3: It's just from a roster construction standpoint, play the Dodgers differently, right.
- 36:50Speaker 3: If the Dodgers do it well, don't build your Dodgers
- 36:52Speaker 3: teams the same as everyone else. Go to a different
- 36:55Speaker 3: team besides Seattle or the cheap I don't even want
- 36:59Speaker 3: to say the Angels, right, because the Angels, I mean
- 37:01Speaker 3: really aren't going to get played with them. Maybe Praza
- 37:02Speaker 3: and Grissom are going to get played with Dodger stacks,
- 37:05Speaker 3: but I mean it's really the Mariners because of the
- 37:09Speaker 3: position eligibility, the cheap price points. I mean Josh Naylor
- 37:13Speaker 3: thirty four hundred, I mean Crawford twenty eight hundred, Garver
- 37:16Speaker 3: or Cole Jong Revas. These guys are just dirt cheap
- 37:19Speaker 3: and it allows you to get different there. I just
- 37:22Speaker 3: looked at Dodger stacks in terms of projected projections on
- 37:25Speaker 3: the dry run, seventy five percent of the Dodger stacks
- 37:28Speaker 3: had seattle right, So right there, that tells me if
- 37:31Speaker 3: you play the Dodgers, just go to a different team
- 37:33Speaker 3: like the Twins, like I talked about, and you're different there, right.
- 37:37Speaker 3: So yeah, Dodgers great plays. Obviously best stack in the
- 37:40Speaker 3: board on paper. There is other good offenses though, like
- 37:43Speaker 3: the Yankees, right we talked about, I like the Twins
- 37:45Speaker 3: a lot That White Sox Angels game has upside, That
- 37:48Speaker 3: Pirates Cardinals game has upside. Right, So there are other
- 37:51Speaker 3: spots on a slate where there's probably not a lot
- 37:54Speaker 3: of scoring, right in terms of home runs, and that
- 37:56Speaker 3: just with the weather, the temperatures, the ballparks. So yeah,
- 38:01Speaker 3: you could see if the Dodgers don't get there by
- 38:02Speaker 3: the whole long ball, right, you could see these other
- 38:06Speaker 3: teams right that have bad bullpens, offenses that kind of
- 38:10Speaker 3: just play small ball can get some stolen bases. Things
- 38:13Speaker 3: like that get there in tournaments Matt. It was all
- 38:19Speaker 3: seven games, right. We talked pitching, we talked hitting. Let's
- 38:22Speaker 3: do the kind of end of the show summary. Here,
- 38:25Speaker 3: your favorite pitching combo, your favorite offense, and then a
- 38:30Speaker 3: sneakier offense in a home run call if you have them.
- 38:34Speaker 4: Yeah, so I think my favorite offense is going to
- 38:38Speaker 4: be We'll go with with the Pirates. I like them
- 38:44Speaker 4: a lot. Here we'll say my sneaky offense is also
- 38:51Speaker 4: the Pirates. I mean, I'm just going to be consistent there.
- 38:53Speaker 4: Say they fit both categories there and then a home
- 38:57Speaker 4: run call. I am going to go with. I like
- 39:05Speaker 4: the White Sox also at this game plays. Give me
- 39:07Speaker 4: someone from the White Sex. Give me Miguel Vargas forty
- 39:09Speaker 4: five hundred. I like that.
- 39:12Speaker 2: I like that a lot. I'm oh, your favorite pitching pairing,
- 39:20Speaker 2: Give me Freed.
- 39:21Speaker 4: And Yama Moto. I'm gonna leave seats out.
- 39:23Speaker 2: For now, Freed in Yamamoto.
- 39:26Speaker 4: I like that.
- 39:26Speaker 2: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go.
- 39:32Speaker 3: Max Freed, and I'm gonna go down the board and
- 39:34Speaker 3: I'm gonna play kind of prelip just as a as
- 39:38Speaker 3: a flyer. Right, obviously, I'm gonna have exposure to all
- 39:40Speaker 3: three of those guys at the top, but for the
- 39:42Speaker 3: sake of this, I'm gonna go pre lip and Max
- 39:45Speaker 3: freed offense. I like the Twins a ton They're my
- 39:50Speaker 3: favorite kind of lower own team on the board. So
- 39:54Speaker 3: I'm going with the Twinkies quite a bit, and then
- 39:56Speaker 3: I'm with you on the Pirates. I like the Pirates
- 39:58Speaker 3: quite a bit as well. Angels will kind of be
- 40:00Speaker 3: that third team that I'm looking at outside of the Dodgers.
- 40:05Speaker 3: And then my home run call, I'm gonna go to
- 40:09Speaker 3: the Twins. I'm gonna go do a lefty. I'm gonna
- 40:13Speaker 3: go to the three spot, Trevor Larnock. Not fully safe
- 40:17Speaker 3: of pinchhit, but I like my chances to at least
- 40:21Speaker 3: get two at bats, even one at bat.
- 40:23Speaker 2: He could do it in one against Castillo.
- 40:25Speaker 3: I'm going Trevor Larnock, three hole, home run, three K
- 40:29Speaker 3: like him a lot like the Twins. I'm doubling down
- 40:31Speaker 3: on the Twins. Pitching, stacks, home run calls, all of it,
- 40:34Speaker 3: so Twins don't do it. I'm getting slacked here tonight,
- 40:37Speaker 3: but that's that's the chances we play. Matt Any any
- 40:41Speaker 3: closing remarks before we get out of here.
- 40:44Speaker 4: I don't think so. I like you playing your flag.
- 40:46Speaker 4: I'm Minnisota, though I respect it.
- 40:49Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just a spot I'm going in on.
- 40:51Speaker 3: When offenses outside of the Dodgers right and and some
- 40:56Speaker 3: of the chalkier value guys fairly fairly equal across the
- 41:00Speaker 3: in my opinion, So I'll go with the team against
- 41:03Speaker 3: the declining pitcher in my opinion in Castillo. So no
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- 41:39Speaker 3: get you through the summer into the NFL season, which
- 41:43Speaker 3: is right around the corner. NFL drafts just wrapped up there.
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- 41:48Speaker 3: the summer as well, but that's going to do it
- 41:51Speaker 3: for the baseball breakdown here on today's seven game slate
- 41:55Speaker 3: should be a fun one format. Odd Aid's good luck
- 41:58Speaker 3: tonight in those contests. We're going to see you next
- 42:01Speaker 3: time we're out here.
- 42:01Speaker 2: Peace,