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NCAAB Best Bets Saturday 1/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with bookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into peak. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man, I don't know
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: what is going on with the Bruins. March eight? Is
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: that what it is? I don't even know it's it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what day is anymore. But I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore. Man, back with you after the
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: worst day that I can possibly have, Back with you
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die, at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore. To the slump, praise,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody?
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you is toadstool Sports. I don't
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: even know what day it is, man as usual. This
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: is the college basketball edition for Saturday. College basketball. Man,
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: it just took me like an hour and a half
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: to get through this entire board, which I guess is
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: not that bad, although I'm being super selective and I'm
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: only giving out three plays here and hopefully we're gonna
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: hit That's that's what there is to it. I'm gonna
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: talk about it. This is gonna be hopefully not that long,
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna make my job in the morning a
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: lot easier because in the morning I just have to
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: focus on whatever other sports are going on, which does
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: include the NFL by the way. So yeah, I mean,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: I guess let's get let's get into it man. Late nights, Man,
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: I need I might need more of a caffev and
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: dirty sock what's up man, Thanks for hanging out, Zach.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: What's up? Yeah, I have no idea. Yeah. Uh, Michigan State,
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: it was kind of all over the place. Man. It
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: was two and a half, it was two, it was
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: one and a half, it was back to two, it
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: was I think it closed at some places. It's still
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: two two and a half. They probably should have won
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: the game, even though Nebraska did have the bigger lead
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: in the game multiple times. I think the biggest lead
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: was six, and Nebraska had that lead a couple of times.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: But Michigan State had a three point lead with a
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: few minutes to go, and I'm thinking, well, this is
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: a really low scoring game, and that's what I wanted.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: That's the style that Michigan State wanted, and that's what
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: you want when you're playing the better defense as an underdog.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, they're just gonna put this game away.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Not quite. The market also disagreed with me on that game.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: Maybe I should have maybe I should not have given
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: it out. Maybe I should have skipped the day entirely.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: But I had it a two and a half, so
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: I only had a loser on like the money line
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: sprinkle part of it, let's get into it. Man, If
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: you want me to talk about any of these other games,
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: I will. I mean, this is Saturday, so there's a
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: ton of games. Obviously, I'm gonna focus on these big
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: conference games because conference plays starting, We're gonna have some
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: huge games here. I'll talk about some of the other
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: interesting ones and some of the smaller conferences, but for
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: the most part, I don't think there's really that much
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: it's interesting. I mean, I'll talk about it, but again,
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: like when people ask me to talk about a game
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: and I don't have a real opinion on it, and
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: I'm like, I don't really want to give out an
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: opinion on it, really, and I guess if you want
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: me to, I guess I have to. But it's like,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm obviously I'm pretty much saying don't bet
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: that game, though, So whatever, we do have an eleven
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: AM game up in the ACC. This is gonna be
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: pretty heavily focused on the ACC. By the way, I
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: have three plays and two of them are ACC and
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: this one almost makes my card like if I was
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: gonna add another one, it would be this eleven AM
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: game here. I actually like this one as well. On
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: ESPN two This is number twenty one Virginia at NC State. Now,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: this is one of those games where I feel like
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: I talked about it like ad in Ossium last year.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: I talked about it in college basketball as well. The
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: odds makers they know more than the rankings makers. So
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: the odds makers, they have the money at stake. The
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: rankings makers are just going based on what they saw.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: They don't care. Odds makers, Yes, they're trying to split
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: the action, But the odds makers have all this money
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: at stake, so they're more in tune with how each
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: team actually is then the rankings makers. And when you
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: look at this line, looks a little bit odd that
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: NC State is a four and a half point favorite here,
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half. So it looks like
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: there is money coming in on NC State here. It
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: looks weird, like why is the unranked team favored? Right Well,
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are actually telling you NC State like they're
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: really close in power rankings to Virginia, And that's that's
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: what there is to at NC State kind of under
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: the radar right now. They were in the rankings for
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: a bit earlier in the season and they fell out
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: of the rankings and now it's Virginia that just kind
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: of looks like the better team right now, ken Bomb,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: we're just ken Bomb having the metal. So I think
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I just gave away what one of my plays is
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be by ken Bomb. By the way, I don't
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: want to show all of his up projections and stuff,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: but yeah, it's like thirty bucks a year or whatever. Yeah,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: so ken Bum actually has NC State ranked three rankings
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: spots higher than Virginia as well. He has NC State
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: as the better defense. Interestingly, although I like the better
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: defense getting points, but this is the better defense laying
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: points in this case. He's got NC State extremely unlucky
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: at three hundred and thirteenth in the country. So he's
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: telling you they've underperformed quite a bit. They've actually faced
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: a difficult schedule forty first, so a lot of things
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: that kind of make me like NC State here man,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: and the public is not going to be on them.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: The public is gonna see, Oh, the ranked team Virginia
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: getting points looks really really easy to take Virginia here,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: team with the better record as well, the team that
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: just has the better I don't know if I want
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: to say the better history, but yeah, I mean kind
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: of and better kind of. I don't want to not
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: necessarily recent history, but over the last decade or so,
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: Virginia has definitely been the better program. Charles, what's up.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out Virginia. I don't think they're in
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: a very good spot either. So Virginia the public is
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: probably gonna think they're gonna bounce back. Oh, they just
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: got upset by Virginia Tech. They're winning all these games,
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: They're gonna bounce back. But I think they're in a
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: situation where it's they could potentially lose the same game twice.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: For lack of a better term. Even though yes, they
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: were a favorite, I think probably about a five to
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite at Virginia Tech. I
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: said that I leaned to Virginia Tech in that game.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: I thought the game meant more to them. Now, Virginia
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: that busted up a win streak of theirs, and they
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: have not lost since. I don't know. They only had
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: one of their loss this season to Butler, which was
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: a while ago. It's probably back in like November or whatever,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: so Virginia's not lost for a while. When you have
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: a win streak like that and you lose the win
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: streak a lot of times, it will hang you over
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: into the next game. This Virginia Tech game also went
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: to triple overtime, so that can really take a lot
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: out of you. Man. So Virginia is gonna have to
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: overcome all of that in this game and play a
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: second straight road game as well. Seems a little bit
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: difficult to mean. This game was on New Year's Eve,
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: by the way, so it was not that long ago. Yeah,
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: I just think it's it is a bad spot for
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: them in NC State. They're going to be up for
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: this game they get to host Virginia. NC State. They
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: did just have a pretty big win over Wake, though.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Although I think Wake considers themselves to be the little
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: brother in the state of North Carolina, that is still
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: kind of a North Carolina rivalry. But I don't think
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: NC State's really gonna be in like a letdown mode
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: when they get to host a ranked Virginia team here.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: So that's really kind of the only thing that I'm
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit worried about is that they had a
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: good game against Wake in the last game. But I
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: would lay the points with the NC State. This is
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: almost on my card. And as I talk about as
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: I was alluding to already, when you have a team
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: that is an unranked team, it's favored over a ranked team.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: That should always like be on your short list as
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: far as bets that you might want to make, because
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: it's the odds makers are differing an opinion from the
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: rankings makers, and the public likes to go with what
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: the rankings makers are saying, and they're kind of in
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: line with all of that because it's all like, oh,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: this team looks better than this team whatever, and they
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: always just kind of align it that way. But if
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you something else and it looks
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: really fishy, yeah, you gotta pay attention to that. So
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on that game. I actually like
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: that one a lot. Like if I was gonna add
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: one more play, like I said, it would be NC
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: State minus the points. I mean, I'd maybe like to
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: get a little bit of a better number than four
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: and a half. I don't know if you will, though,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: because I think the real money is coming in an
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: NC State. But when the public comes in tomorrow, maybe
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: they will speak and maybe they will want some early
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: action here. If they're awake out in Vegas, they probably
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: won't even be awake yet. SEC matchup here we have
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Kentucky and Alabama. Alabama's ranked fourteenth in the country. But
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: if you look at the line on this this line
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: kind of looks short, like it looks pretty easy to
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: lay the points of Alabama when they're laying five and
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: a half. And you're expecting this is going to be
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: a high scoring game totals in the mid one seventies.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, we're expecting to have some fast paced action
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: this game, especially from Alabama. They play ridiculously fast. Kentucky
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: actually doesn't really play as fast this year as they
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: did last year for some reason. But I mean I
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: still could see this game being very, very fast paced
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: and pretty high scoring. So I think it over is
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: in consideration for this game. I also probably lean to
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: Kentucky plus the points. As far as the side, I
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: just think they're kind of under the radar right now.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've they got four losses, but their losses
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: are to Louisville, Michigan State North Carolina by three. They
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: did get absolutely obliterated by Gonzaga, but I mean those
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: are all like legit teams, man. But yes, it does
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: mean that maybe Kentucky hasn't quite stepped up that well
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: in class, although they beat Indiana and Saint John's more recently,
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: so they're on the right track. I mean, those are
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: pretty decent wins. They're coming off a game where I
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: think they were in a sandwich spot and I almost
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: gave that out as a play on Bellerman. Bellerman is
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: also in Louisville, Kentucky, I think, so they're an in
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: state little brother. So I think they got up for
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: that game, so you can kind of just explain why
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: Kentucky wasn't that good in that game. They came off
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: those two big games against Indiana, Saint John's, had Alabama
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: up next. I think they just went through the motions
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: just totally overlooked Bellerman here. I do think Kentucky might
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: be dealing with some injuries as well, so maybe that's
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: something to keep in mind. And one other thing I
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: am a little bit worried about is this is going
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: to be their first true road game outside of the
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: state of Kentucky. Their only other true road game was
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: the loss at Louisville, so that is a little bit
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: of a concern if you do like Kentucky here. But
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: I do think Alabama's a little bit overrated based on
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: what they did the last couple of years. They're not
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: quite as good this year. Ken Bum has some seventeenth,
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: so the rankings aren't that far off on them, but
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: he does have Kentucky as the twentieth ranked team, So
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Kentucky maybe a little bit under the raidar right now
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: as far as the fact that they're not ranked by
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: the AP or whatever. Kentucky is also the way better defense,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. Kentucky playing a little bit slower
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: than they did last year this year and Alabama where
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: they play at a ridiculous pace tenth and tempo, but
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: they're only seventy third in defense, which is not great,
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: and their second in offensive efficiency. So Alabama is a
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: very imbalanced team. Like they're definitely the type of team
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: that I do kind of look to fade, like. I
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: don't like teams that don't play defense and teams that
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: exhaust themselves with fast pace, especially when it comes tournament time.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: It's not a good thing in a single games. Sometimes yeah,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: it will like throw off a team that wants to
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: play slow. But in this case, I mean, you are
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: getting Kentucky as the web at way better defense, getting points,
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: so I would probably look that way, even though taking
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: Kentucky plus the points is probably not correlated to the
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: total going over, and I actually think the over makes
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: sense in that game as well. So that's all that
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: information about that one. VCU and Ducane. There are some
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: interesting games in the A ten man this A ten conference.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be fun to watch this conference play out
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: and watch this tournament. I think now VCU they're one
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: of the best two teams in this conference right now.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: I think it's between VCU and Saint Louis. One of
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: those two teams I think should win the conference, and
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: if they don't, I think they might both wind up
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: having at large what's the word. I'm looking for, at
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: large arguments to get into the tournament as an at
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: large bid. So A ten might wind up being a
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: multi bid league this year. VCU is coming up that
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: win over Saint Bonaventure. I was not correct about them
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: covering they won and did not cover. Now one thing
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: I forgot to consider in that game though, is that
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: I believe VCU knocked Saint Bonaventure out of the A
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: ten tournament last year, so maybe Saint Bonaventure showed up
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit more for that. But even if you
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: consider that, I mean, I was still going by when
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I handicapped that, I was still saying, well, Saint Bonaventure
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: was obviously not going to overlook VCU, so that was
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: still basically part of the handicap. Anyway, I'm trying to
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: incorporate the the conference tournaments from last year a little
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: bit more in the smaller conferences in my handicapping here.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: But I just didn't really see any great angles anyway
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: that I wouldn't, you know, it didn't leave me to
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: see any additional angles today. Let's just say, and the
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: play that I had on Montana State last night, I
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: already loved that play, but it made me, it made
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: it like even better when I looked look at at
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: what happened in the conference tournaments last year. As far
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: as revenge, like some types of revenge that matter, the
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: revenge that matters is this team is the team that
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: knocked you out last year. You know, that's like one
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: of the types of revenge that does matter. But anyway, VCU,
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: they beat Saint Bonaventure. That was a nice win. Now
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: they have to go on the road to face you Cane.
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: They've only played one other game on the road, and
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: they played fine. They lost by six to NC State.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: That's not bad, but they do have to go on
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: the road, and yeah, guess who they have next, as
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: I already the team that I just mentioned a little
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: while ago, Saint Louis is who VC you as next,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: So really early in conference play, they're gonna get a
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: huge game again, and it's what might be the best
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: team in the conference, Saint Louis, so they could be
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that. Man, It's just that Dukaine's been
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: playing pretty well as well, so I don't know if
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: VCU is gonna totally overlook Dukaine. But the other problem
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I have with Ducaine here looking towards Dukane is that
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: they just pulled off a pretty nice upset at Davidson,
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: So they are coming off an upset win. And I
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: don't love playing on teams when they're coming off an
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: upset win. Although it was a little bit milder of
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: an upset, I guess, and you know, they're not gonna
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: overlook VCU, So I would lean to Ducaine in this
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: game if I was gonna play it. VCU has already
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: dropped from a seven point favorite to a six point favorite,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: although VCU is now a fast paced team again, so
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: this is expected to be somewhat faster paced, with a
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: total in the one sixties, which I don't love when
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: I'm looking to take points or whatever. But I'm gonna
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: zoom in on ken Balm a little bit, which I
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: usually do not. Ducaine actually plays quite fast this year
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: as well, so it's expected to be a fast paced game.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: So that's why the totals as high as it is,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: and it makes me like taking the points a little
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: bit less, but that's that game. Those are my thoughts
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: on it. Big East play continues with Villanova at Butler.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: Pretty interesting game at noon. All these games except for
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: the Virginia one that I've talked about so far at noon,
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: this one's on TNT. USA Network has that A ten
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: game I just talked about, by the way, and ESPN
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: has the Kentucky Alabama game because that's one of the
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: bigger games, so ESPN gets gets that game, of course,
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: and USA Network has like a contract with the Atlantic
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Ten for whatever reason. Weird to call that conference the
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Atlantic ten at this point though, when you have teams
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: like Saint Louis in it. But yes, Villanova at Butler
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: is an interesting game, and I think we have a
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: short line in this game too, Like I think it's
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: basically like a pickham line. It's a contrast of styles
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: here because Butler likes to play fast and Villanova likes
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: to play slow, and it is easier to slow down
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: the game, and it's easier for the better team, which
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: I do still think is Villanova here to control the pace.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: But a lot of times the home team has an
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: easier time controlling the pace as well, So you have
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: to kind of in this game try to figure out
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: which team you think is gonna be able to control
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: the pace here. Butler has actually flipped from one point
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: dog to a one point favorite here, and how Villanova's
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: played recently, I think the public might wind up siding
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: with Villanova in this one, even though they usually don't
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: like these like slower paced, ugly teams. But Villanova's been
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: efficient offensively this year, so that one of these slow
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: paced teams kind of like Purdue, like a slow paced
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: team that actually shoots efficiently, So that's what Villanova is.
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Although Villanova's actually balanced some I must say Villanova actually
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: is top forty in both offense and defense, so and
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: their bottom ten in Temple. They play crazy, crazy slow,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: although ken Bum does them as a little bit of
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: a lucky team at eighty fifth in the Luck Index.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: He's got Butler to twenty seventh in the lock so
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: Butler underperforming a little bit according to him, although he
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: only has him at forty eighth in his rankings Villanova
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: at twenty sixth. So yes, Villanova is the better team.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: When I first looked at this, I was thinking, well,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: Villanov's probably gonna be public, so it probably makes sense
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: to maybe leaning towards Butler here, even though usually I
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: like the better defense, which I believe is Villanova in
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: this game. Let me make sure of that. Ah, yes
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: it is, so Villanova is the better defense here. Villanova's
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: coming off barely getting by to Paul as well, though,
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: So like my first instinct before I looked at the
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: situation was, Oh, I'm probably gonna lean to Butler in
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: this game because I think it's gonna be like the
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: public's gonna side with Villanova. I have to won four
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: games in a row. But the fact that Villanova barely
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: got by to Paul at home, I think they might
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: have been looking ahead to this game. Maybe so I
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: think Villanova might actually show up better in this game
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: because they're off of like a scare against a bad team,
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: so they might actually show up for this game, whereas
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Butler actually just had a close loss in Omaha they
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: had to go to Creighton, so I actually think the
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: spot is actually worse for Butler, believe it or not,
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: because they were probably an underdog. I think they were
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: at Creighton and they played pretty well lost by four,
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: so you know, take all of that into consideration. I
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: actually probably horseshoe the whole way, and I probably actually
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: lead to Villanova in this game, as I think they're
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: the team in the slightly better spot and they have
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: the better deepfense, So slightly into Villanova for me, mister Pinsey,
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: what's up? Yeah? Sorry, Sorry to make you sweat? Everybody
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: dance now, that's that's actually the title of that song.
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: Gonna make You Sweat is the title of that. I
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: should use that as like a drop or something. But yes,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: Michigan State, I mean the market wound up disagreeing with
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: me on that. I got a little bit concerned about it.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: But it was a low scoring, like pretty close game
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: the whole way, so you know, hopefully you got the
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: two and a half and Michigan State came in for
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: you or at least the two, So it pushed. The
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: line was moving up and down between one and a
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: half and two and a half all day, so it
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: was I think it was still like two to two
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: and a half when the game went off. Though. It's
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: one of those situations where you gotta have a lot
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: of books at your arsenal, you know what I mean,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: like just make sure that you get the best number
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: that's out there. It's one of those times where it
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: kind of mattered. Big East also had Providence in Saint
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: John's on Fox at noon. Saint John's is a huge
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: favorite in this game, and I actually I might lean
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: towards Saint John's here as well Providence. I mean, they
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: got kind of the name recognition here and Saint John's
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: hasn't looked that good this year, but I think they're
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: way better than Providence. I don't think Providence is very
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: good at all. Providence is coming off another loss they
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: lost to Seaton Hall. Kind of a tough game. Seaton
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: Hall will try to slow you down. Providence like to
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: play fast. Now Providence is going to Saint John's here.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: I assume this is probably a square garden game. It is,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: which is like Saint John's alternate home arena. Basically, they
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: played some of their big TV games there. Saint John's
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: is coming off an easier win, but they went to Georgetown. Georgetown,
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: they're doing the same thing they did last year. Man
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: they looked good out of conference, but Georgetown just doesn't
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: look like they're playing well. This was beeing of Providence,
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: by the way, because former Providence coach Ed Cooley I'm
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: pretty sure is still the coach at Georgetown, and things
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: are not going that great for Georgetown, but Saint John's
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: is able to get that win now. Saint John's they
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: haven't looked great against some of the best opponents that
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: they faced this year, but Providence is not a great opponent.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Saint Johns should be able to take care of them.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: And the fact that the spot I actually think might
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: even be slightly worse for Providence here, and I actually
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: think that Saint John's is slightly under the radar here.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: And this is gonna be a fast tempo game. Both
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: teams like to go fast, even though Saint John's is
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: not exactly an offensive juggernaut. Usually they go fast and
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: they try to like wreak havoc and turn you over
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: and play defense, you know what I mean, that's Saint
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: John's thing. But I would have to lean towards laying
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: the points with them. The total is high at one
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: seventy h Saint John's is just significantly better than Providence,
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: even though the records don't really make it look that way.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: Right now, Ken Bump probably has Saint John's in the
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: top twenty five. He does, so, he has them nineteenth
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: and he has Providence way way like below that. Where
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: does he has Providence seventy eighth? So I mean there
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: is definitely a disparity here between these two teams. I
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: think laying it makes sense, especially when it's gonna be
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: fast paced and you have a high total here, So
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: Saint John's would be the leaning there. You got the
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Hell yeah, one and a half.
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: You need more books available, man, Yeah, I mean yeah,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: Like two is like kind of a key number in
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: basketball because it is a bucket one hundred percent boost
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: for the NBA. Do the Hawks cover I don't even know.
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: I didn't pay attention to it at all. Notre Dame
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: just covered who are they? They're playing on the West Coast.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. I think I did lean that
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: way right because they were coming off that ridiculously ugly
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: game in the previous game. I don't remember. All right,
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: next game up is one of my plays. Let's just
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: do it. The Hawks covered, all right? Nice? I wish
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: I added it to my card, man. I don't know.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe I might be being too selective, but that's I mean,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to practice selectivity here and a lot of times.
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: Once college basketball gets going, I'm gonna have like eight
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: to nine plays, you know, on a Saturday, But this
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: Saturday only have three, which is very very selective because
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: I mean we have whatever, probably one hundred games tomorrow,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: so it is that's a lot of selectivity. So I
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: better get these right. Jeffrey Dobbo, you think he was bad? What?
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: No way? Hey man? All right, best bets? We have
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: the first one up right now, which is gonna be
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: unfortunate for the people who want to try to find
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: the best bets. Go back and listen to the show,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: because I don't do it unless do you want men
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: to skip it and do it at the end of
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: the show, because we're doing all college basketball here? Do
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: you want to wait that long for my best bets
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: like I would do with the football. It's up to you, guys.
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: Whatever whoever answers me first is what I'll do. Do
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: you want me to do best bets chronologically as I
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: go and have them mixed in here, or do you
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: want me to do all of them at the end?
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: They're only gonna be three. And I already told you
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: that I like NC State quite a bit. NC State
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: is a bubble boy. His net streak ended. I don't know.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I agreed with that or not.
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: The nets I don't even remember. I was not one
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: of my strong opinions at all though. But dude, you
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: can't make money by forcing yourself to bet on a
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: single team's game every single time. Like you're gonna lose
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: money when you're trying to force it. Mix it in,
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: all right, That was the first actual answer. All Right, fine,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna there's not gonna be as much suspense,
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: although because we just talked about Saint John's before we
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: go away from that. Yeah, inside, I want to kill myself,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: all right. I Like, I've only talked about like three
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: games and we're already thirty minutes in, all right, best bets.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: I already threw up the graphic anyway, so why not?
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: All right? First one up, we're gonna lay the points
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: with wake Forest, and I know this line is moving.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, you guys probably could have figured this out already,
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: and especially because I already just talked about the Virginia
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Tech Virginia game, which is most of the basis for
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: this play. Wake Forest opened three three would have been
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: a lot better. You might be able to get about
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: a five here. I mean, I think the public might
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: come in against wake Forest here, so we'll see. I
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: think we might get an anti public favorite here with
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: wake Forest. This is on the ACC network at noon,
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: if people actually want to watch this game. And one
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: thing you're gonna see when you look at this, this
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: is another situation. We have a team with the worst
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: record laying a bunch of points, and everybody saw what
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech just did to Virginia. So the public I think,
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: is definitely gonna be on Virginia Tech here. Oh my god,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: a two lost team getting five and a half points.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: That just be Virginia. Looks so easy if they could
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: be Virginia of course they can cover as an underdog
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: against wake Forest. Right. Well, I'm gonna tell you no,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: that is not the way to look at this game
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: of Virginia Tech. By the way, they have not stepped
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: up particularly well in class the one like except for
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Virginia of course. And the one other time they did
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: okay was the road game against US South Carolina. Guess
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: they pulled off an upset. There was a fine upset,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: but other than that, I mean, they did lose to VCU,
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: they lost to Saint Mary's. I don't know. I just
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: don't see Virginia Tech as being that trustworthy, especially in
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: this spot. And this is only their second true road
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: game of the year, and I know the first one
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: they did get that win, like I said, at South Carolina.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: But how do they get back up off the mat
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: after this, man Like, they got to be celebrating big time.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: They just beat Virginia, their main rival here. Virginia is
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: always the big brother in the state of Virginia. So
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: the game just means more to Virginia Tech. And when
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: they get an upset like that, they get a win
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: over Virginia, especially on their home floor, They're gonna be partying,
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: man I don't know. I don't know. Do the crowd
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: rush the court? I don't know. Can we see? Let
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: me see if we can see right here. You're not
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: gonna get the audio though, I don't think, but because
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: I'm in Firefox in here, but let me see. Oh,
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: no court storming, Come on, man, dude, I hate when
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: there's no court storming. Like the trend going against court
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: storming is ridiculous. But anyway, that was a triple overtime
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: game on New Year's Eve, man, I mean that had
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: to have taken a ton out of Virginia Tech. Not
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: only beating their their primary rival, but beating them as
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: an unranked team against a ranked team, beating them as
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: the little brother and having to go to triple overtime
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: to do it. That has to like completely gas you, you man.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: So I just don't see them having a great effort
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: here at Wake Man Wake coming into this game. Yeah.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Wake just had a rivalry game themselves where they were
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: little brothers at NC State, but they lost the game
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: by thirteen points. Man, they didn't have a great game
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: in that one. They're coming home here and this is
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: gonna be their first ACC home game of the season,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna get up for it, man,
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: I think the crowd's gonna show up for it. Virginia
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: Tech's been looking pretty good, so I think Wake is
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: going to They're gonna be ready for it, man. Wake
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: They've actually looked really good in some of these games
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: against good opponents. They lost by one to Michigan, and
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: we see how good Michigan is right now, and they
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: also lost by one to Texas Tech. So this Wake
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: team they played well against some serious competition, man. And
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: those teams are definitely better than Virginia Tech. And yes,
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: I know Wake lost to NC State, they lost to
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: Fandy really badly, but both of those teams are better
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: than Virginia Tech. And yes, Wake also has a loss
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: in there against Oklahoma, kind of a weird loss mixed
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: in there. Oklahoma is not great, but neither is Virginia Tech.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: Wake's actually the better team. We're gonna go with Wake
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: in this one, although Ken Bomb actually has Wake barely
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: the better team. He has them sixty one and sixty two.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: He has Wakes the somewhat faster team, although there's not
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: really a huge tempo difference here. He has Virginia Tech
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: extremely lucky, though twentieth in his luck index, so he's
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: telling you they're overperforming. They could be the type of
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: team that you do want to fade. And then Wake
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: Forest does have the somewhat better defense than were of
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: a defense oriented team, although I know that's better when
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: you're taking points instead of laying them, but we're gonna
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: lay it here. And he does have Wake as having
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: faced the more difficult schedule, which I just showed you,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, and they actually did pretty well against that schedule.
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: So Wake is the first play catching Virginia Tech in
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: a horrible spot as well, so I mean, which is
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: really the main part of the handicap the bubble boy.
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: I don't have a drop for the bubble boy, though,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't think Wake cares about their
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: football team winning the Mayo Bowl, to be honest, And
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: I'm still pissed about that. The only pick in the
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: bowls that I got wrong today, I am kind of
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: pissed about it. But whatever, I mean, my bowl pick'ems
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: don't really have much money on them, so I don't know,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: but I want to be right at all times. I
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: don't know what you're talking about. More more, Gna, what
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: the fuck are you talking about? All right? We got
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: a I mean, if you want to talk about any
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: games that I'm skipping, I will. Some of these games
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: I just don't find that interesting, so I am skipping
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: some of them. I'm gonna try to talk about the
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: the indressing ones, the ranked matchups, whatever. I mean. Clemson
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: is facing pit if you want me to talk about it.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: C W Network, We're not even out of the noon
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: slate yet. Man, we're half hour in a man fucking
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: college basketball uh Clemson. I mean, we know Clemson has
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: been good the last couple I think they're a little
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: bit down this year though, and they just barely got
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: by Syracuse and Cincinnati for that matter, so they didn't
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: play that well in those games. And I think maybe
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: Clemson will come out with some more focus here after
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: kind of an ugly game at Syracuse. They might show
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better for this game against Pitt.
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: Although they have SMU on deck, and SMU has been
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: pretty good to start the season, so Clemson might be
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: looking ahead a little bit to that. It does, in
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: a way look too easy to lay the points, with
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Clemson only laying three and a half as an eleven
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: and three team against a seven and seven pit team
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: pitt they're coming off having to go to Miami. Miami
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: looks like they're kind of on the upswing right now.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: Pitt lost that game only by seven though, so pitt
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: actually did played pretty well in this game, and they
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: actually almost pulled off an upset in this game. So
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: I don't really want pitt in this game after playing
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: pretty close against Miami here. So I actually think because
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: Clemson just had a close call as a favorite and
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh had a close call as an underdog, I actually
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: kind of lean to Clemson in this game, even though
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: I think the public is gonna be on Clemson as
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: well and it just looks way too easy to lay
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: the points. I would have a slight lean that way.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: Although Pittsburgh you gotta think they will probably get up
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: for Clemson though, because Clemson was one of the top
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: teams in the ACC the last couple of years. So
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: I don't really see pitt really overlooking this game. So
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know that game's not one that I want
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: to deal with. Obviously, Clemson down to a three point
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: favorite in a low total of one thirty six, I
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: don't know what we're talking. I don't know who's Andy
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: Van sl Like, I have no idea who these people are.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: All right, we got Oklahoma State Texas Tech on ESPN
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: two finally in the one pm slate here, Texas Tech
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: obviously the better team, ranked fifteenth. Oklahoma State has a
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: nice looking record, but they are not as good as
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: that record looks. They've had it really really easy Oklahoma State,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: so I'm not really buying that Oklahoma State is this good.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Am I buying that they might wind up making the
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: tournament this year? Maybe, But they're not as good as
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: their record looks. I mean, they've had a real easy schedule.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: They have one good win over Texas A and M.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: Actually I guess a decent road win against the Northwestern
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: you could throw in there, and then they lost to
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: their big brother Oklahoma and since then they've just had
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: some easy opponents, having a step way up in class
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: here to face Texas Tech second true road game, and yes,
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: I know they won the first one at Northwestern, but
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech definitely a different animal. Although Texas Tech I
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: think dealing with some injuries this year, but I don't
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: know if they're getting these guys back or not. But
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech we faded them in their last game and
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: they still won. They were coming up that huge game
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: against Duke I believe, actually did we get the cover
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: on Winthrop in that one? I don't remember. Texas Tech
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: won the game, though, I think we probably did not
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: get the cover in that one. Easy win for Texas Tech. Now,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: the I'm for Texas Tech here though, is that they're
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: playing Houston next in three days, so that could be
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: a major look ahead spot. Although I don't know if
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech is going to overlook their conference home opener
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: though and conference opener, So there's a lot going on
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: in this game, which is why I don't like it,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: because I don't have enough indicators pointing me in one
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: direction here. Texas Tech's up doing eleven and a half
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: point favorite total is high at one sixty nine and
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: a half. Money looks like it came in a little
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: bit on Texas Tech early, you know. I mean it's
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: it might be a game where the numbers guys disagree
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: with the situational guys because, like I think the numbers
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: guys are gonna say, well, Oklahoma State is just crap,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: like because they haven't played anybody good. So Texas Tech
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: should be able to hammer them. But I come in
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: and I say, well, I'm worried that Texas Tech might
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead. So that would be one reason to
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: maybe look towards Oklahoma State there, but a reason to
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: not besides the fact that they're not that good is
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: the total being too high. So there is that as well,
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: where the total being high, I should say, but it
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: also looks like from a numbers perspective, it almost looks
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: too easy to take Oklahoma State, right, Like a twelve
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: and one team getting double digits as an underdog like
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: that line looks kind of crazy. Although then again, Texas
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: Tech is ranked fifteenth in the country, so that might
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: hold the public and check a little bit as far
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: as thinking that way. All right, SEC Network at one PM,
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: we have Auburn and Georgia. Georgia's ranked twenty third. Auburn.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to think about Auburn right now, man,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're in a transition period to some extent here.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: They lost Bruce Pearl of course, to the broadcast booth
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: or whatever, to the the analyst panel, whatever you want
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: to say. Auburn's faced some difficult teams this year, though
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: they played fairly well. Really they lost by one to Houston.
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: They did get blown up by Michigan, but I mean,
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna knock them too much for that blown
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: up by Arizona on the road. Arizona is solid as well.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: They beat Saint John's and then they did lose in
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: a blowout to Purdue. Purdue is also good, so you
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: kind of have to figure out, well, what are they
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: gonna do against Georgia, who's not as good as I
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: don't think any of those teams I just mentioned, but
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: they're probably better than the other teams. And Auburn does
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: have a win over at NC State as well. I
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention that in Oregon. So they've actually faced
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: a pretty pretty difficult schedule, facing a lot of Power
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: Conference teams here now. There one road game so far
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: was the one at Arizona where they got destroyed. So
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: they haven't been good on the road, but it's only
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: a single game sample size. Georgia, I mean, they've been hot,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: they've looked good, but Georgia has actually faced a much
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: much weaker schedule than Auburn has. Georgia, I mean, who's
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: the toughest opponent they face Clemson probably and they lost
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: that game by three, which isn't bad, but their wins
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: are not impressive. Dude, winning by single digits against Georgia
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: Tech Xavier of beating Florida State Cincinnati, those aren't very
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: good teams. So yeah, I mean Georgia really has not
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: faced great opponents yet, and they do have Florida next
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: to three days, so that's a that is a rivalry,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: you know, Georgia, the Georgia Florida line. It's more of
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: a football rivalry, but I think it is still kind
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: of a rivalry in basketball as well. And with Auburn
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: looking kind of down this year, I kind of think
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: Auburn is the right side in this game. They're the
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: more battle tested team. Like I said, Georgia is up
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: to a five point favor here. It almost looks a
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: little bit easy to lay the points. It is a
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: high total at one hundred and seventy three and a half.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: Because I think Georgia does play fast. I can't even
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: type of course. Yeah, George's third in the country in tempo,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous, really insane, and you know, I just
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: I think that's too fast. But whatever. Auburn I don't
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: believe plays particularly slow either, which is, which is why
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: the total is that igh. So an over you know,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: might make sense in this game. But if you want
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: me to pick a side, I think probably Auburn plus
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: the points is the lean. Auburn just beat Queens easily,
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: so they're coming off a nice momentum starting win there,
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: All right, Colgate an Army and the Patriot is gonna
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: point out because I believe this is a rematch of
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: one of the later games in the Patriot Tournament last year.
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: I believe I think Army did they even make it
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: the whole way? Or am I thinking of Navy? I forget,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: but I think Colgate won the Patriot or no American
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: won the tournament? What am I saying? But I think
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: Colgate knocked Army out of the Patriot Tournament last year,
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: so there is a little bit of revenge on the
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: side of Army here in this game. So I think
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: Army does have this game circle. They probably would already
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: because Colgate is usually one of the better teams in
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: this conference. Colegate's coming off a pretty bad performance at
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: La Fayette where they only won by eight. I don't
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna be looking ahead to American because
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: American looks like they're one of the more competitive teams
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: in this conference this year, so I could see it
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: going both ways for colegately, like they're coming off kind
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: of an ugly performance, but they might be looking ahead here.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: I do worry about Army a little bit here, though,
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: because Army is definitely not gonna overlook Colgate. But Army
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: did just pull off an upset I believe at Lehigh
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: in their last game, so that worries me a little
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: bit about looking towards the Army side here, but I
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: will lean that way. I think the game does mean
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: something to them, especially to maybe get revenge against the
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: team that ended their season last year. Cole Gates a
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite. One hundred and forty
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: seven and a half is the total. It's probably gonna
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: be an ugly game, where maybe it makes sense to
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: take the points from that perspective as well. Okay, what else?
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: What else do we want to talk about here? I
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: think it's a similar situation with Vermont New Hampshire, if
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: I'm not mistake. I think Vermont did eliminate New Hampshire
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: from the American East Tournament last year, but I don't
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: know how much that really matters, Like New Hampshire is
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: gonna try to get up for a game against Vermont anyway,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: because Vermont is like always at the top of this conference.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: Although Bryant's actually won the conference last year. I forgot
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Bryant was in this conference because I was like, wait,
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: who won this conference last year? Yeah, Vermont the coming
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: up kind of an ugly loss at Princeton. I mean,
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: Princeton is not very good this year, so Vermont might
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: kind of bounce back off of that. But I do
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: think New Hampshire will try to show up in this game,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: and Vermont may not be as good right now as
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: they have been typically will I mean that kind of
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: remains to be seen. New Hampshire just got smashed by Nebraska.
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, of course they did kind of predictable there,
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: but they are having to travel back home for this one.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: But overall, probably would lean towards taking the points in
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: New Hampshire. It's a seven and a half point spread
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: in that one. Obviously, Vermont the favorite, and the total
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: is pretty high and pretty low, excusely one hundred and
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half, so it makes way more
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: sense to take the points of the That's that low
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: all right, CBS at one thirty pms BYU at Kansas
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: State number ten in the country. BYU, that's what they're ranked.
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb actually has them exactly that tenth in the country.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: They're pretty good, balanced team for the most part. They
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: play a little bit too fast for my liking, but
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: what can you do. They're going to Kansas State here.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: Kansas State is not great, you know. I don't think
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: we know where Kansas State's gonna wide up this year.
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: But ken bum has them pretty bad. Actually, it's seventy
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: fifth in the country and they play even faster. It's
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: seventeenth in tempo. Not good. I don't like that. And
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: their defense is horrible one hundred and twentieth in kem
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: Bum's defensive rankings. So a lot of things that don't
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: look good about Kansas State here, but sometimes it's about
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: the spot. And for BYU, they actually have not played
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: a true road game yet, believe it or not, and
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: out of conference play they never played a true road game,
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: which is crazy to think about. But this is gonna
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: be their first true road game having to go to
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: Kansas State. So weird things can happen in a spot
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: like that. Man, I don't know if they're really gonna
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to Arizona State. Arizona State still, I
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: think with Bobby Hurley as their coach, there just things
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: not really going that well for them. For BYU coming
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: up an easy win over a pretty bad Eastern Washington
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: team this year, and again that was actually before Christmas
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: as well, So somebody keep in mind with these games
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: first game of conference play, some of these teams have
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: not played since before Christmas, so I think that's bad.
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: Like BYU, that could cost them a lot of their
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: momentum because they hadn't lost since they lost to Yukon
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: their only loss of the season in mid November, So
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: for them to go without playing for this amount of time,
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: that's not good. I think that could really disrupt their momentum.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: As I always say, when you have an extended break
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: when you're winning, that's not what you want. So that
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: makes it a little bit worse for BYU. Here Kansas State,
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: they did play after the break. They got a win
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: over U on Monroe, which was not impressive at all,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: barely getting by them, and that was Kansas State's first
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: game out of the break. They might have been looking
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: ahead to playing BYU and then Arizona. So I do
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: think the spot is better for Kansas State here, So
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: that would be the way I would lean in this one.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: And I think in a way it looks too easy
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: to play BYU, like the line doesn't look that high.
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: It's down for eight and a half to seven and
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: a half here. I do worry that kem Bum's rankings
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: do have a pretty wide disparity between these two teams,
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: and the total is quite high because both teams play
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: pretty fast at one hundred and seventy two and a half,
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: So that makes me worry a little bit about taking
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: the points. But I do lean to Kansas State plus
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: the points in that one. Fox At two PM we
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: have Houston, number eight in the country at Cincinnati. My
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: instinct on this game pretty much says under in this
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: game because even though Cincinnati plays a bit faster, they
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: really are not good offensively, and they are actually pretty
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: good defensively in Houston. Of course, you know what they do,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: they slow the pace down. They'll probably be able to
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: control the pace in this game as well. I would
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: guess even though they're on the road, they are the
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: better team, not as good as they have been the
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: last couple of years though unfortunately as Houston, I mean,
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: they're a team that they're always able to just not
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: even reload, but like they bring guys up through their system,
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: so they just continue to be pretty good. But they're
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: ranked eleventh in kembom's rankings right now, so not a
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: complete powerhouse like they have been the past couple of years.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: They've looked pretty good this year. I mean they're only
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: losses to Tennessee, and Tennessee had revenge for getting knocked
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: out of the actual tournament March Madness last year to Houston's.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: That was a big game. Houston beat Auburn, fine win there,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: and they beat Arkansas, though Houston's not very battle tested
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: right now. They're coming off kind of a weird game
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: against Tennessee where Houston only won that game by nine,
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: but if you look at the box score, Houston was
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: winning that game by like sixteen with like a minute
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: to go, and I think they just they must have
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: walked off the floor or something, because Middle Tennessee just
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: put up a ton of points at the end in
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: garbage time when it didn't matter at all. So this
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: win was a little bit easier than it looks like.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: But it was still kind of an ugly looking win.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Now Houston's going on the road here and this is
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: actually their first true road game, so again we have
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: another one of those situations. So that's kind of weird.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: So might make it a little bit more difficult because
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: they're having to go on the road here for the
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: first time. Unlike BYU, Houston did play after the break.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: That Middle Tennessee game was a nice tune up, I
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: would say, after the break, But you do have to
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: worry that maybe Houston looks ahead to Texas Tech here
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: and you know, Cincinnati will at least show up for
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: a game against Houston. And all they did was play
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Lipscomb in their last game, and we got that one wrong.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: I know Lipscomb did not cover in that one, but
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: the spot does set up better in my opinion, for Cincinnati,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: and if it's gonna be kind of one of these
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: low scoring, ugly games, taking the points is better in
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: a situation like that. Houston's only laying seven, which doesn't
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: look like a lot for the recreational betters that might
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: come in and play Houston in this game. It almost
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: looks too easy to do that. The seven is not
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: a big number. The total is also not big, although
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: it's up a little bit to one hundred and thirty five.
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: I would take the points probably if I was gonna
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: play it. And I think under kind of makes sense
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: in the game as well, just based on the style
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: that those two teams play. So that's that game, Gisel James, Yeah,
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: where's he at now? I feel like that was a
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: name like long long ago? Like, how how is that
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: guy still playing? If he is, he must be like
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: thirty years old. My voice is killing me, man, all right,
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: try to soften my voice a little bit, maybe sh
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: like lean back in my chair. You know, Let's see
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: what if I yeah, what if I just kind of
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: relax like this, you know, take a breath. You know,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: I'm always like leaning forward and getting real excited about it.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know, how's this we can have like lounge
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: lounging toad here? How about this? Vandy number eleven at
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: South Carolina at two pm Eastern on ESP and U Vandy.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: They're definitely legit. Man ken Baum has them at seventh
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: in the country, a very very balanced Vandy. Man. I mean,
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: I know they lost that Bowl the other day. I
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: don't think they cared about it that much. I like
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: to Iowa and that one. Vandy Sports has been excellent
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: this year man the football teams. The football team had
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: a great season. The basketball team right now looks like
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: the best team in the SEC, which is insane to
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: think about coming from kind of out of nowhere, even
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: though they made the tournament last year. Yes, late night lounge,
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: maybe that's what we should call these these streams. Now,
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: I need to do it from like a couch or something.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: For Vandy here, they have to go on the road
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: to South Carolina. South Carolina is gonna, I think, try
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: to kind of do the opposite of Vandy, because Vandy
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: plays fast, South Carolina does not. South Carolina plays slow.
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: And yes, Vandy is definitely the better team. We all
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: know this. South Carolina not good at all really at
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: eighty eighth and ken Bum's rankings. But ken Bum does
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: have them as one of the ten unluckiest teams in
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: the country or eleven unluckiest, so he's saying South Carolina's
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: underperformed a bid, although they faced the fifth weekest schedule
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: as well, so that's not great. The South Carolina's is
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: not battle tested at all. Now, South Carolina does play
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: pretty slow two hundred and sixty second in tempo, so
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to ugly this thing up. Slow it
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: way down. Now for Vandy, they did play once after
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: the break, so that'll help continue their momentum. They beat
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: New Haven, but they might overlook South Carolina. Man because
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: Vandy has a big game up next against Alabama. I
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna pay more attention to Alabama in the
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: next game if I were to guess so, I mean,
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: and then South Carolina for their purposes. They just beat Albany,
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: really easy win for South Carolina as well. That was
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: after the break as well. You know, conference home opener
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: gets a host, a highly ranked team gets to muddy
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: it up for them, and maybe Vandy overlooks them a
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: little bit. I think if you're gonna play the game,
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: I think taking the points is the move in this
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: one of the Vandy is down from fourteen and a
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: half to eleven, although fourteen is not a key number
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: in basketball, so it's not football here. Although you've lost
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: some value if you do like South Carolina, hopefully I
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: mean the public might come in and maybe drive this
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: line back up a little bit. But I would take
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: the points to South Carolina. If I was gonna play
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: it totally, it was kind of in the mid range
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: at one fifty six. Oh thank you, Charles four hundred.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: It's about time. I want to bump this thing up
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: big time. Man. It's just these long live streams. I
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: don't know. People don't love this format, I don't think.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I think I'm I might be
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: one of the only people doing something like this, like
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: going this in depth with this many different sports. I
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: don't know, and having like all these like long live
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: streams where you know, I interact with a chat and whatever.
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe I'm the only one doing it.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: Kansas at UCF ooh Man at two pm on Peacock
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: and NBC Sports. The autists love it. Yeah, there aren't
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: enough of them though. This game. It's interesting, man, because
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: you see it's playing pretty well so far this season.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: But I don't think they've been that battle test that
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: I'll look in a minute. Kansas is ranked seventeenth in
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: the country. They're about ranked where they should be. I think,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: uh Kenbam has them at Where does he have them at?
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: Where is Kansas? Am? I blind? Yeah? He has them sixteenth. Yeah,
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: So Kansas. They're back on the upswing man. I mean,
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: they're a good defensive team, you know, sixth in defense.
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: They don't score that well though, and they play a
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: bit slow. As far as you seef, UCF is gonna
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: want to play a bit faster. UCF is much worse
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: defensively though, so it's kind of the It's one of
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: the more typical matchups where you got Kansas slow defensive
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: team against UCF fast offensive team. But of course Kansas
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: is the favorite here now. I'm just remembering last year.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: I actually laid the points with Kansas in a spot
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: like this when they went to UCF, because I think
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: UCF beat Kansas at UCF the year prior to that,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: when UCF was like new to the Big twelve, so
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: Kansas was then used to the trip and they went in.
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: It was some really good spot I think to play Kansas,
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: even though I think some of the professional betters disagree
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: with me on the Kansas U se F game last year,
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: but it was a spot where like U se F
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: was coming off some really really major game and I
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: think Kansas was a little bit down and coming off
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: some really bad games. So I laid it with Kansas
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: similar number to this and got an absolute blowout win
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: from Kansas last year, like they completely embarrassed you see
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: F in that game. I think Kansas might have won
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: that game by fifty points. I was that one made
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: me feel really good because I'm like when you when
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: you're that right about a game, like I don't know
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: if I've had a blowout win to that extent like ever.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, you guys could go back and figure out
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: what the score was, but it was insane. But now
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: maybe the shoe was on the other foot now because
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: UCF probably remembers that game of just getting absolutely embarrassed
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: by Kansas on this floor, and you know they're gonna
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: step up for a game against Kansas, which I didn't
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: include that in my handicap in that game last year,
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: like you, oh, UCF should get up for Kansas. I
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: don't remember exactly why I didn't, but I'm glad I
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: didn't because I was very right about the game. But
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: in this game, you know, I mean, I don't know
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: what we're gonna get out of Kansas. Year. Kansas is
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: comingut of an easy win over Davidson. They do play
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: TCU next, and maybe they look ahead a little bit,
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if they're gonna overlook UCF because
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: U c F is a one lost team right now,
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. Kansas though, they haven't played since
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: before the break, so again something to keep in mind.
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: That break can hurt their momentum here, so they might
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: come into this game a little bit rusty for UCF.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: I don't think you CEF's played a difficult schedule, like
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: I said, the reason why they're eleven to one, Yeah,
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: this schedule is total weak sauce. I mean their best
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: wins are against Texas A and M on the road.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: I mean it's a good win, no shame in that,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: and then they had a neutral win over pit which
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: is really not anything to boast about. So yeah, U
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: c F has played a very weak schedule. Kansas is
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: obviously the better team and the more bad I'll test
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: the team now. UCF also has not played since before
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: the break, so something to keep in mind. Both teams
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: could have their momentum totally stalled out, so that kind
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: of negates itself, and maybe that momentum stalling will hurt
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: UCF more because they're more of a fast offensive team.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: So that you know, it is a bit. I don't
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: know what else to say, but like the having the
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: long break might hurt a team that plays that style
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: more is what I should say. So I mean, this
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: game is obviously a complete pass for me, but if
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: you look at the line, it also looks too easy
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: to play Kansas uff I just want to over them.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: Kansas is only a four and a half point favorite,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: down from six totals in the one fifties, so it's
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: not a huge total. You know, it looks way too
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: easy to play Kansas. I would probably lean to UCF
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: in this one, but we just don't know what we're
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of them. We don't know how good
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: they even are, so I worry about that. It's not
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: a situation like last year, where the situation was really
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: strong for Kansas. This time it really is and it
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: is still kind of a weird spot for Kansas to
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: have to travel to Orlando or wherever Central Florida is,
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: so I'll lean that way in this one. Maybe u
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: c F will bounce back from losing horribly to Kansas
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: at home last year, and I'm pretty sure they lost
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: on the road to Kansas as well, though it might
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: have been a little bit closer. That game is at
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: two pm Eastern. Advertise it over three point eight percent. Yeah,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: I mean you want to shoot for between like three
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: and five percent. Really, thank you, mister Pitsey. You just
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: might be one of those autists though, Man, I don't know.
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I feel like I'm too much of
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: a tout though if I like boast my uh you know,
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: my stats, my ROI and stuff like that. But it's
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: been really really insane over the last three months though
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: at GW at George Washington here in the A ten
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: conference here, I thought, I know there was another A
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: ten game that I thought was more interesting. I don't know.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: This is of course on USA Network. This game is
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: interesting just because LaSalle is coming off playing George Mason
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: really close. That was a big game for Lasal. George
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: Mason is one of the better teams of this conference.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: They were obviously the favorite in that game, and LaSalle
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: on New Year's Eve played really really tight against George Mason. Man,
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: and I think George Mason had zero turnovers in the game,
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: which I was looking at the box score and I
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: double taked him like what like there were only four
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game. I've never seen anything like that,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: but very very odd. But anyway, Lasal, Yeah, they played
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: George Mason really close, so coming off of that, it
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: might be a difficult spot for them to have to
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: try to keep up that effort again, although if they can,
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: they probably will because GW was playing pretty decent so
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: far as well. Now GW is coming off a pretty
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: good game themselves on New Year's Eve. I believe it
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: was an upset of Richmond on the road. Let me
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: see another. ESPN projections really tell you who the favorite
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: was here. It looks like GW actually was projected to
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: win according to ESPN. But whatever, that was a nice
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: win for them. GW does have a dating up next,
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: so I kind of worry about GW a little bit.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: They might look ahead to Dayton a little bit because
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: Dayton is like one of the teams, it's always kind
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: of there in the mix in the A ten, so
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: they might overlook Lasal. So I do worry about that
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Whoops, But yeah, I don't know. The
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: money seems to be coming in on LaSalle, George Washington
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: down from sixteen and a half to fifteen. Of wheres
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: we don't see any percentages yet because I'm doing this
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: at night, but you know, in that game, I might
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: actually lean towards laying the points slightly in that. But again,
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: I don'm given out all these opinions, but it's like,
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know, like some of these games. I mean,
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: these are very very weak opinions for me. So let's
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: just say that Baylor is at TCU on TNT. This
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: is an interesting one. I mean, it's a Texas battle.
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: Both teams are gonna get up for this game, so
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: it's gonna come down to which team is the better team,
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: Probably Baylor. Looking at their schedule, they have a win
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: over Washington and win over Creighton. They lost to Saint
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: John's beat San Diego State, lost to Memphis on the road.
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: That's not great. Now, this is their second true road game,
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: although playing at TCU with something they do all the time,
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: so they're not gonna be thrown off by going to TCU.
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: A tcu' schedule has been I don't know. I don't
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: know which team actually has the more difficult scheduler. TCU
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: has a close loss to Michigan. That's a pretty good
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: good performance from them in that one. They beat Florida,
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: pretty solid, beat Wisconsin, they do have a loss to
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame in here, which is not terrific, especially if
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: that was at home. I don't know if that was
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: home or a neutral game. Now for TCU, they did
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: play on Monday, so they're coming off a win over
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: Jackson State, kind of a tune up game. They do
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: have Kansas next, I think is what that was. I
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: think I already mentioned that, but they're not gonna overlook Baylor. Man.
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: Baylor also did have a game whether they played out
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: of the break already, so they have momentum right now
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: as well. Baylor plays Iowa State in Houston next one.
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook TCU, So I think
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: it's kind of like a more of a numbers handicap
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: because I think both teams will show up for this.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: TCU is left from a one point favorite to one
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, which is the oddspeaker's telling you.
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: Baylor is actually the better team, though Ken bums Baylor
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: twenty ninth in the country. Actually, Baylor is a very
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: lopsided team, though they actually play somewhat faster this year,
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: and they're really good on offense and pretty bad on defense.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's a massive discrepancy, seventh in offense and
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: one hundred first in defense, acording to kem Bum. So
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: I don't like teams that profile like that. As far
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: as TCU, where are they at? They're down at fifty
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: fifth in kem Bum's rankings. They play a lot slower.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: They're also imbalanced, but they're towards the defensive side thirtieth
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: in deepfense and one hundred and seventh in offense. But
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: you know me, I actually lean towards the slow down
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: defensive teams, although Baylor has definitely made the more difficult
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: schedule here you can see with ken Bum's rankings significantly so,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. Man, Again, I kind of like
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: the team that plays depfense better of the team that
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: might muddy it up and slow it down. So I
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: would probably slightly into TCU in that game. The numbers
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: up from one to one and a half in that
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: one big Gamley Twitter pages. So yeah, advertise their outrageous wins. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: I mean that's what they do. I mean, I don't
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: know what you want to call them, some form of tout,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: I guess. Yeah, dude, you shouldn't take anybody seriously that
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: does parlays, Okay, Like I know some of you guys
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: like to do parlays for fun whatever. I mean, sure,
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: I mean go ahead, but like you know, as far
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: as like a serious like gambling, if you're really trying
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: to profit, I'm saying that you should not put serious
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: money on parlays because they're losing. It's a losing bet.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: It's minus expected value, negative expected value. You know. So
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: the guys that like tout how good they are and
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: all they're doing is parlays, it's bullshit because you basically
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: can't beat the books doing all parlays. They just never
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: give you good enough odds on them. All right, what
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: else do we have going on? South Carolina upstaining Presbyterian?
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: I just thought was weird because Presbyterian is literally the
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: only team in the Big South that doesn't have a
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: conference game yet, so they might show up a little
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: extra for that game. And they're coming off a non
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: Division one win as well, so Presbyterian might be the
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: right side in this one. The Blue hose their name
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: is Paddy hose Man. I don't know. It has something
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: to do with something Scottish er, so I don't know
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: what it is. South Carolina Upstate is coming off kind
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: of a difficult game against Radford. Radford's been a little
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: bit under the radar, I think, because they played kind
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: of badly and out of conference play. But Radford is
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: better than they look, and they've looked pretty good in
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: conference plays so far, which I kind of expected. But
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: USC Upstate is coming off that game against Radford, pretty
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: big game. They might be looking ahead to Winthrop because
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: Winthrop just kind of has name recognition in the conference,
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: and then Charles's Southern and high Point both playing well.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: Of course, high Point won the conference last year as well,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: So Presbyterian does look like kind of a weird spot
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: there where maybe it's a flat spot for USC Upstate,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: So I lean Presbyterian in that one. They're one point favorite,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: which also might look weird to some some of the
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: recreational betters just because they're a below five hundred team,
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: although USC Upstates only a five hundred team, And again,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: records don't tell you the whole story because a lot
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: of teams play a lot of like Division one there
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: non Division one teams, I mean, and stuff like that
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: out of conference. So whatever, all right, you only know
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: the two caverns me and walking bets. Yeah, walking bets
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: is uh, she stopped doing it right because she had
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: a baby. Taylor, Taylor matth This, you mean her. You
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: could go follow Lucy Burge. She's a Boston chick. She
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: she might be the original walking bets actually, because that's
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: what she does. But she does it as more of
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: like I'm gonna show you my outfit type of thing.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: But I think she's She's way hotter than Taylor math this. Dude.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: I know Taylor matth This has huge tits and whatever.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: But you know me, that's not my thing. I'm a
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: tit man. But I don't like the like mass, the
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: oversized ones. Like Lucy Burge is way hotter in my opinion,
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: like way cutter. And she's from around here and she
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: she's not that much of a fan of me from
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: the Twitter interactions, so uh because I hit on her, No,
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: actually sometimes I do, but you know whatever, Yes, correct,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: That's that's what the books thrive on, man. That's why
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: they advertise the parlays all the time. It might it
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: might be a yeah, a bit of a trap there. Yeah,
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: they're trying to rope you all in and you get
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: those Yeah, it's just a bad. It's a bad bet,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: and they know it. They know they're gonna make money
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: off of you, and of course the public loves that.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, I'm getting like plus money on these bets,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, like because it's like it's tempting.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: It's like the lottery. Oh my god, there's a chance
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: I can win a lot by only paying a little Yeah, yeah,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: you can look her up. Lucy Burge also a plus
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: that her voice is way less irritating than Taylor Matth.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: Taylor Matth this man, Oh my god. I don't know
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: if it's what is is it a like a Minnesota,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin maybe like a Midwest accent that she has. I
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: don't know, but whatever it is, it's I don't mind
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: those accents, but combined with like the tone of her voice,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: it's like absolutely grading. So, uh, Lucy Burge a better
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: voice to listen to as well. So I will say that,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: all right. I don't know, I don't think I'm dude.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: Should I talk about Xavier de Paul? I don't know.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: If you want to talk about some of these other games,
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: I can, but I mean it's a big East game, Xavier.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're just not very good this year. They
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: just got blown out by Yukon, though this game's on
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one at two pm. Coming off that blowout loss,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: they should probably bounce back, whereas de Paul actually I
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: think is coming off What did I talk about I
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: already talked about DePaul. Yeah, they played Villanova really close,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: so I think DePaul was actually in the worst spot here,
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: even though as a dormat in the Big East, they
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: usually try to get up for every game, but this
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: is impossible to do. I mean, they're humans. You can't
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: have an full effort every single game. So I actually
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: probably prefer Xavier in this one, although the public is
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: probably gonna come in on this and also agree with
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: Xavier getting points. Looks weird to see DePaul as a
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: favorite up from two to two and a half, so
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: I don't love that that. It's one of those misleading lines,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: like how is DePaul favorite even though they do an
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: above five hundred record right now because they played week
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: out of conference opponents. But I think the spot's a
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Xavier, and that's the way I
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: lean those Xavier. Again, they're really really not playing well
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: this year. Man, It's not going well for Richard Patino. There,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: Rick Patino's son some Midwest accents. I'm fine with. Like, dude,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: what about that that thick like news woman chick, you
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: know what I'm talking about, the one who she reads
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: the insulting tweets. She became famous for doing that for
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: all the tweets that are insulting her. I don't mind
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: her voice. She's also hilarious and I think and I
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: think she's kind of hot. Uh you know who I'm
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: talking about, right, I forget her name though, justin w's up. No,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: that's not the way to handicap man. When you see
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: that a team was bad against like a really bad team,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: you gotta look at what the situation was, because a
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: single game like that can completely mislead you. Like usually
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: I want to fade that sentiment, Like if they had
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: just played poorly against Missouri State and they're in literally
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: their previous game, I would be all over Xavier in
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: the next game because they played a bad game the
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: previous game and it's gonna shock them back into focus,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So you can't just look
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: at a game like that, man and like and really
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: draw that much from it. Yeah, Chariza Codell that's right,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: justin you you you know her right? Tell her about me? Man,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: let's go uh, let's let's hook it up. I'll move
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: to Missouri, and misery is what I call it, though,
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: even though I've never actually set foot in the state,
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: I've only flown over it, believe it or not. Uh yeah,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: you'll you'll see her out there, all right. The next
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: one is gonna be one of my best bets. But
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: you probably probably already knew that was gonna be the case.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: Although I feel like I kind of have to get
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: more water though, should I should? I make you wait,
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: We'll go to an intermission year even though I'm like
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: not even halfway done with the board. Holy crap, this
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: is gonna be like a two and a half hour show. Man,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: We're going way way late. It's college basketball. Man. I
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: did this in like the mornings last year. I don't
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: even know how I did it. I don't think I
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: did quite as in depth as I did as I'm
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: doing now. But all this for three plays though, man, uh,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: give me one second, you guys, you might be able
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: to guess what I'm doing in this next game. Here's
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: the game. Hold on a second. Oh my god, I'm
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: dying here, Man, I should have like a video that
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: I play during the intermission. Man, I don't know. I'll
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: maybe I can figure something out. I don't know, right,
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: Sometimes I just drop one of my drops that I have,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: one of the longer ones, best bets. You you know
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: what this is gonna be already, We're gonna take the points.
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: There you go. We get an underdog, the only underdog
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: out of the three, my guys, Boston College, which you
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: can't even bet it in Massachusetts because the law is
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: against it. You can't bet at any of the Massachusetts
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: colleges in Massachusetts. So it might have to might have
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: to go old school on that one and find other
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: means that exists out there for doing so. BC is
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: at Georgia Tech. This is on the ACC network at
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: two pm now, BC. I like how this sets up
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: a lot on both sides, actually, because already I was
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be eyeing this game because of what Georgia Tech
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: just did. But and I probably would play it anyway
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: just for that reason. But look at what BC just did. Man.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: BC was at home against Lemoyne. La Moyne is not
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: good and they're in whatever the Northeast Conference, or whatever.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: They're pretty new to Division one as well, and BC
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: at home barely got by them. They only one by eight,
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: and they could have lost this game. There was a
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: horrible performance of BC in this game, so I think
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be looking to play a lot better coming
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: off of that, and maybe they were even looking ahead
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: to ACC play. I know, I know BC is really bad,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: but Georgia Tech is honestly not that much better, and BC,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: again the spot is so much better. And BC barely
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: got through this game, and it reached a point where
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: they were I think only winning yeah by three or
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: four in the final minute of the game. So BC
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: barely got by that. And when a huge favorite like
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: BC was in this game, presumably they were probably a
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: double digit favorite in this game. When they almost lose
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: the game outright, they usually show up focus in the
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: next game. So I think that's what we're gonna get here.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: And of course, on the Georgia Tech side, what did
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: they just do? They just almost beat Twoke, To be honest,
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: they went into Duke and they played pretty well in
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: this game against Duke Man. They were in this game
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: almost the entire way down whatever that is. Three They
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: were actually yeah, down two, tied with like a few
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: minutes left whatever, there was still within one possession in
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: the final minute of the game. So Georgia Tech that
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: was a monster BEFOREDS or Georgia tack. I think there
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: were whatever twenty four point underdogs in this game. I
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: told you they would cover. But now the fact that
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech almost won the game outright as a monster
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: underdog in that game, that was like one of their
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: games of the year. Man, that was massive. I just
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be massively flat coming off of that,
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: even though I know this is technically their conference home opener.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: But how excited do you get about Boston College after
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: you just did that against Duke? I don't know. And
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: up next they do have Syracuse, and Syracuse at least
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: is a team that draws, you know, name, they have
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: name recognition at the very least, and they're nine to
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: five overall, so h they're they're at least they're better
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: than BC and they're you know, Syracuse. I mean again,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: it's the name. I mean, of course, because of the
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: Jim Beheim era and whatever, Syracuse kind of always draws
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: your attention to some extent. So yeah, we're definitely fanning
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: Georgia tack here. They're a six and a half point favorite.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we're gonna get to that key
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: number seven or an auto though, I guess you could
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: wait a little bit just to see where the number
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: is gonna go. Don't know if you're gonna get a
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: better number than six and a half or not. The
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: total is pretty low at one hundred and forty six,
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: so taking the points makes sense in a game with
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: a lower total, of course. Now for Boston College, the
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: other thing I like about this is they're actually the
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: better defense. Ken Bom has some sixty seventh overall in defense,
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: even though they're horrific offensively at two sixty eighth, But
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: they're actually better defensively than Georgia Tech is, and he
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: only has Georgia Tech twenty four ranking spots high er,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: so not that much he's got Georgia Tech is having
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: faced the a very very weak schedule at three hundred
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: and forty fourth, although BC at three forty one not
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: much better. He does have BC as one of the
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: unluckiest teams at three point fifties, so they're one of
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: the bottom of fifteen teams in luck, which means that
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: they've underperformed, so that's good. Georgia Tech a little bit
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: unlucky as well, but not as significantly so at two four. Also,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: BC might be able to slow this game down. Man,
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: even though I know they're going on the road. Georgia
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: Tech wants to go up tempo here and speed this up,
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: But it is easier to slow the game down for
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: any team really to slow the game down. So maybe
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: BC will be able to muddy this thing up and
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: play defense, and that's what we wanted. The total is
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: kind of telling you that, like, why is the total
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: this low when you're looking at the home team being
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: a faster paced team like Georgia Tech. That's part of
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: the reason why. But Georgia Tech is also not good offensively.
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: They're one hundred and seventy sixth offensively ninety third defensively,
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: so I mean they're not good anyway. They're one hundred
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: and twenty fifth overall according to ken Pond. But they're
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: also a more defensive oriented team than offense. Both of
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: these teams are more defense than offense. Just BC is
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: an extreme variety of it, but it does so happen.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: The BC is the better defense here, getting points, and
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: the team that's laying points is in a horrible spot,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: and they're a team that isn't great offensively, so a
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: lot of things come into the mix, a lot of
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: things pointing BC's way in this one. And then also,
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: of course, as I already said, BC played horribly in
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: their last game. So BC plus the points in that one,
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: CHRISA is a thick Sabrina Carpenter. Yeah, man, maybe I
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: don't know. I'm trying. I'm trying to think of a
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: pun on that. I can't really think of one right
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: now though, Underdog the cartoon. Yeah, I don't know. Maybe
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: all right, celt Dakota State in North Dakota. I think
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: that North Dakota actually upset celt Dakota State in the
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: Summit Tournament last year and knocked them out of the tournament.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: So I think celt Dakota State might actually show up
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: in this game because of that. They might remember that.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: I believe that's the case. Let me see. I don't
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: know if I'm wrong about this or not. Let me see.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: I might be don't hold me to it. I might
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: be thinking of the wrong thing. Yes, I am correct. Actually,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: that Summit Tournament got all jacked up man Jack rabbed
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: it up, So Celticota State might show up for this
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: soough they are coming up a nice win of he
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: own Maha two days ago and Omaha. They're not great,
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: but they did win the conference last year, so that's
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: a decent win for South Dakota State. But I don't
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook the team that knocked them out
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: last year, man, the team that ended their season, you know,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: and did it in a situation where South Dakota State
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: was supposed to win that game. I'm pretty sure too,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: So they might show up for this game and have
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: it circled on North Dakota's coming up beating Oral Roberts
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: to start conference playing to a fine win. But I
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, I think I would probably to
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: South Dakota State in this one, just because I think
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: they might show up, just because of the revenge mode
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: of your although you don't want to over you don't
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: want to overstate revenge and overvalue it. All the money
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: has come in against them for now though they're down
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: for mat and a half to six and a half
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: here total in one hundred and forty nine and a half,
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: So just putting the information out there. Man. As always,
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: I have no good transition from one game to another.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: We do in the American East. Bryant and Maine, we're
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: not even out of the two pm slate. Oh my god. Yeah,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: Oral Roberts's ship. Yeah. But again, that's just I mean,
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: that's just kind of like a tidbit, right, Like, I
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: don't know, it doesn't really help handicapping purposes, like this
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: team sucks has factored into the line Bryant and Maine.
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: This is this is a rematch of the conference final
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: last year. Believe it or not, Maine. I kind of
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: wanted to see Maine getting into the tournament. Man, they
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: had a decent season last year. They're not having one
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: this year. But maybe they'll show up for this one
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: because Bryant beat them in the conference final last year,
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: so the game probably does mean something to Maine here.
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: Bryant is also not as good this year. Bryant coming
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: off beating what is this Worcester State, man, one of
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: the one of the teams from from my neck of
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: the woods. Worcester State, a non Division one team there.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: Bryant coming off that, so they're not coming off a
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: big win or anything like that. And then from Maine,
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: what a Maine do in their last game? They beat
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: the University of motherfucking umfk oh, sorry, the main Fort
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: Kent Bengals. Yeah. Whatever, So Maine got that win over
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: a non Division one team. So the way it sets up,
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: it's fine for both teams. But you know, maybe Maine
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: just has a little bit extra here because it's the
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: rematch of the finals from last year. Bryant down from
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: two to one and a half here, total really low
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: on one hundred and twenty seven, so taking any points
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: you can get kind of makes sense here. I would
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: lean to Maine plus the points in that one. We
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: got U n C and SMU is Garrett in the
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: chat right now. I don't know do we see him earlier?
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: I have no idea did he leave already? Because this
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: is way too long of a show. Number twelve ranked
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: North Caro on line at SMU, And this is another
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: one of those situations, man, where you have an unranked
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: team favored over a ranked team. SMU is flipped from
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: a two point dodge to a one point favorite here,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: so that immediately catches my attention, as you know, like
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: when you see an unranked team favorite over a ranked team. Well,
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: why is that right? You have to ask that question
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: now in this case, I mean, yeah, it's all about
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: the power rank is ken Bum is SMU thirty ninth,
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: which is pretty good. He has some really lucky though
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: at forty seventh, So I worry about SMU a little bit.
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: They're better offensively than defensively. On North Carolina is actually
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: better defensively than offensively. They're they're considerably better defense here
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: ranked twenty third and kem Bump's rankings by the way,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: So North Carolina is over ranked by the rankings makers
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: right now, which maybe you'd expect that because it's North
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: Carolina and they're always going to get that kind of
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: respect when they're playing well. North Carolina plays a bit slow.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: SMU is going to try to speed this up a
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: little bit and maybe they will be able to at home.
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: But North Carolina, again, they are the better defense. North
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: Carolina is high in the Luck Index two though, at
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: forty first, So both teams have kind of overperformed. So
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: what do we do with this game? I mean, I'm
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: staying away. North Carolina just beat Florida State, I mean
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: not an impressive win. Really, they've only played one road
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: game so far though, and they won at Kentucky, which
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: was a fine win. But we'll see what they could
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: do when they have to go to Texas here to SMU. Now,
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: SMU at eleven and two, they have not faced that
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: difficult to schedule. They beat Mississippi State and they should
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: have lost that game, and I'm pissed about it because
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: that was a loss here on the show with Mississippi State.
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State blew that game. SMU lost to Vandy on
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: the road. I mean, you can't really knock them for that,
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: and then they lost at home to an LSU team.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: It's playing okay this year. But other than that, SMU,
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: they're really not that battle tested. They beat Butler as well,
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: my mistake. That's an okay win there, but we'll see
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: what they can do. Man. Obviously they're gonna show up
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: for their conference home opener, actually their conference open or
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: they haven't even played a conference game yet, so you
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna get up for this game against North Carolina.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: For North Carolina, they do have Wake next. I don't
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna really look ahead to that, which
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: is in a week, because Wake, I think cares more
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: about that game than North Carolina does. That's just the
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: way that it is. Wake's the little brother there. But
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: all that being said, you know me, if I don't
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: really see a situation that's strong in the other direction,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: I think you gotta lean towards the fact that the
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: line just looks really fishy, like it's basically just a
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: pick the winner. You know, the public is gonna be
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: all over North Carolina in this one, so I'll lean
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: to SMU in this one. They're a one point favorite here.
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: It's gotta be for a reason. It looks way too
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: easy to play North Carolina in that one. So that's
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: my opinion. Yeah, Boo, UNC, you and Garrett are gonna fight. Man,
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: You and c not a fan personally myself, but I
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: I had a soft spot for them, as I've said
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: on the show before, because I liked Michael Jordan really
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: fun to watch when I was growing up, And because
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: Michael Jordan beat the evil Detroit Pistons. He stopped the
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: Pistons who were the the evil guys you know, with
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: Bill Lame Beer or whatever, the guys that intentionally went
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: out there and tried to hurt you and whatever. The
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: team that ended the Celtics dynasty. So I was happy
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: that Michael Jordan ended the Pistons run or whatever you
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: want to call it, before it really got much legs
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: behind or got many legs mind out. How do you
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: even phrase that? I don't know. ESPN two at three
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: pm has pretty good SEC matchup between number nineteen Tennessee
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: and number eighteen Arkansas. Now ken Baum is going to
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: tell you the rankings are a little bit more disparate
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: than that is, he has Tennessee fourteen than the country
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: in Arkansas twenty eighth. Arkansas is a more offensive team
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: and they play fast. Tennessee is the more defensive team
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: and they play slow. So this is one of those
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: classic handicaps where it's defense versus offense, and it's defense
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: plus slow versus offense plus fast. And you know me,
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: if there's no situation that indicates to look the other way,
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: I like the team that plays defense and the team
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: that slows it down. And of course that also puts
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: you on the side that is maybe getting value here,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: because I think Arkansas is the team it's over ranked
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: in the rankings, at least according to ken pomp So
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: a couple of reasons selight Tennessee here man and the
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: oddsbeakers are kind of telling you that's the case too,
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: because Arkansas is not getting a full home court hero
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: though they are up from one and a half to three.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: Total at one hundred and fifty seven and a half
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: is obviously not low. It's kind of they kind of
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: had to throw it up there in the middle, I think,
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: because it's like, well, Arkansas is going to try to
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: go fast, Tennessee is going to try to play slow,
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: So what's gonna happen here? But again, you're giving me
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: the better defense getting points with Tennessee. They're coming off
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: of beating South Carolina State, who cares after the break,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: nice momentum, continuing win there for them. For Arkansas, they
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: played out of the break and they beat James Madison
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit more of a difficult opponent. But whatever,
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: that's a whim staying at home. Both teams are gonna
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: get up for it. And if that's the case, again,
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: I think the rankings are misleading in this game a
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: little bit. The rankings makers are actually telling you Arkansas
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: is the better of the two teams, which is not
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: the case. Give me the actual better team getting some
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: points as the better defense as well in this one, Man,
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: I would say Tennessee is the way to lean in
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: that game. Okay, what else do we have here any
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: of these games that we want to talk about. This
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: is a really really good MAC game here between Akron
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: and Miami Ohio. This is a rematch of the conference
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: final last year, which was a crazy game. I don't
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: know if you guys remember that game, but Akron was
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: the best team in the MAC last year and they
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: were able to get it done. But Miami Ohio was
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: a decent team in the MAC as well. They made
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: the final and Miami Ohio was blowing Akron out of
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: that game. Miami Ohio had like a twenty something point
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: lead probably, and then Acrod came all the way back
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: and won the game. Absolutely crazy results. You know, Miami
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: Ohio absolutely has this game circle. But Akron's not gonna
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: overlook Miami Ohio either, because this is Miami Ohio team
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: somehow continues to be undefeated. Even I keep telling you,
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: the wheels are gonna fall off of this Miami Ohio team. Man,
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: at some point, and this might finally be, And I
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: know I thought it was gonna be when they were
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: at Bowling Green because Bowling Green plays strong defense. Man,
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green is one of the better defensive teams in
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: the MAC. I was pretty surprised that Miami Ohio won
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: that game outright and wanted it as easily as they did.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: Maybe we have this team wrong, but I don't really
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: think so, An Akron right now, they're the best team
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: in the MAC. Man again, Akron is And there's a
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: reason why, as you're gonna see, as I'm gonna show you,
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: they're actually favored on the road in this game, and
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: the public might have a tendency don't want to grab.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, an undefeated team getting points at home
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: looks very tempting to do that to grab Miami Ohio.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: And now this is an even more interesting matchup, by
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: the way, because what I didn't realize is that I
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: think this was the case last year as well. The
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: two head coaches in this matchup are half brothers as well,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: So the two coaches here are related, which is insane. Yeah,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: they call themselves brothers, they're half brothers. They have different
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: last names. But it's crazy, man, just I don't know.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: It's just an added tidbit there that makes us more
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: of a rivalry. I guess it's already a rivalry because
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: both teams are in Ohio, they're both some of the
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: better teams in the MAC. But people are gonna look
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: at this and see, oh my god, Akron has three losses.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: Why are they laying three points on the road to
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio, who's undefeated. Well, first of all, Akrons face
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a more difficult schedule, at least in the fact, Well,
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: they lost to Purdue, so that's one of their losses.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, they weren't expected to win at Purdue, and
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: they played fine in the game. They lost by eighteen.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: That's not horrible. They were Actually they played pretty close
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: in that game. Actually the game was close until late.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: Although I know other than that, Akron has not really
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: faced that difficult to schedule. There are other losses that
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: are Murray State and Yale. Those teams are not horrible.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: Now they're going on the road, yes, but they've been
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: road tests at least in the fact they've played at Purdue.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: They played at Tulane and actually won that game. Now
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: from Miami Ohio, Miami Ohio has really faced a week
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: schedule though they've faced nobody. Dude, Miami Ohio has not
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: even faced a power conference team all season, so they
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: faced one of the weakest schedules in all of college basketball.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: So again they the wheels have to come off of
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: this thing. Ken Bum as Miami Ohio having faced the
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: sixth weakest schedule in the entire in the entirety of
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: Division one, and they're sixty second in his luck Index,
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: so they've overperformed. They do play fast, and they're better
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: offensively the defensively. Ken Bum has them outside of his
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: top one hundred, by the way, even though they're fourteen
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: and zero. So they're amongst such undefeated teams right now
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: as Vanderbilt and who's the other team I talked about
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: that's undefeated right now? I forget, but it's just ridiculous, man,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio. They're not going to remain undefeated for that
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: much longer. It might be now. Akron is the better team.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: It's why they're laying points on the road. Akron fifty
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: six and ken Bum's ragus the Akron is a very
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: lopsided team though, where they're twelfth in offense and two
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: hundred and eighth in defense. No, no, I don't like
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: teams that profile that way and their thirtieth and tempo,
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: so both teams play fast. This is gonna be a
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: fast paced game here. Akron is way lower in the
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: luck index though at two ninety on ken Bumps he
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: is telling you Accros underperforming. Miami Ohio was overperformed. Obviously,
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play this game, I would play Akron.
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: They're done from three and a half to two, so
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: it looks like some of the money's coming against them,
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: But they're the better team, man, there's a reason why
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: they're favoring on the road against an undefeated team. Ken
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: bam Asam is significantly the better team here, so even
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: though yes they're they're lopside of Miami Ohio kind of
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: is as well. Both teams are more offensive than defensive.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with you on an over
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: as well, though the total dropped well from one eighty
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: and a half to one seventy four for some reason.
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: But both teams play fast and they don't play very
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: good defense, so I don't really see that game staying
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: under like any sort of total, even though it's a
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: high total. So other than the fact that it might
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: be like kind of a playoff type of atmosphere, but playoffs.
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, these are just the styles of
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: the style of team is just you gotta expect points
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: to happen in that game. But I do like laying
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: the points with Akron in that game too, now that
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: they're in a minus two favor and a money line
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: on Akron makes sense, man, And I know I've been
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: saying it. I've said it probably a couple of different times.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio has been an underdog multiple different times. Man,
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: But at some point they're gonna lose one of these games,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: and maybe it's this one. But of course Akron does
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: have the revenge excuse me, Miami Ohio does have the
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: revenge mode of here though, again because of the conference
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: final last year. So a lot of things to keep
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: in mind with that game. Oh, we have ol Miss
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: in Oklahoma at three point thirty pm. This is on
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: the SEC Network. This is an ugly game, man. Both
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: these teams I think are down this year. They're both
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: tournament teams last year. But ole Miss, I mean they
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: play slow, they play ugly, They're coming off in momentum
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: continuing win here. I don't think they're gonna overlook Oklahoma
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: They've only played one road game so far at Saint
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: John's and they played alright. They lost by five, so
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: that was ole missus road tests so far. Oklaho Holmas
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: face a week schedule for the most part as well.
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: Best win is I guess the neutral site want against Marquette,
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: maybe the win over Wake Forest. I don't know. I
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: know they beat Oklahoma State, but Oklahoma State is down. Man,
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: I'm not down, but Oklahoma State is not as good
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: as they look. I mean with that ridiculous record. So
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Oklahoma's face a pretty weak schedule though,
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: and they have losses to Nebraska. That was a close
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: game though they played Okay in that game. Oh yeah,
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: Nebraska is still undefeated. That's right. I forgot. They're one
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: of the undefeated teams still. And Gonzaga handled Oklahoma pretty well. Now,
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma beat Mississippi Valley State, the hilarious worst team in
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: all of Division One. Didn't really beat them that decisively either,
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: considering it was Mississippi Valley State. Oklahoma is laying seven
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: in this game, So the oswigers are telling you Oklahoma
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: is the significantly better team over ol Miss this year.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: But it's a low total one hundred and forty six
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: and a half. And I just don't know, man, I
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: don't know if I trust Oklahoma to lay points like that.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: They're a bad defense, which I don't love, although they
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: could score. Their offense is how they do what they do.
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: They're also a slow team, which is bizarre. A slow
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: team that plays good offense. One of those weird profiles there.
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: And then yeah, as far as old Miss, ole Miss
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: plays even slower, and Ole Miss is better defensively than offensively.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: So again I think if I have to pick this game,
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lead to taking the
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: points with a little miss though as the better defense
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: getting points there in, which might be a slow, ugly
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: game as well. So that's probably what I would I
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: would have to do in that game. Total in the
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: one forties forties. Like I said, Duke is at Florida
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: State on CBS, Duke ranked six in the country. Ken
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: Bump's got them at ninth. Now, Duke, they're coming up
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: that close call against Georgia Tech. Duke was coming up
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: their first loss of the season though to Texas Tech,
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: and you know it probably hung them over a little bit.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: I think that was part of my handicap in that game.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: I was correct about Georgia Tech covering in that one.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: I keep pointing it out. I got to point it out. Man,
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: got to point out when I'm right, baby. Now, I
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: think Dukes should show up focus here, although they do
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: have a potential look ahead to Louisville, which worries me
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit, and maybe they overlook Florida State. But
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: I think after Duke almost got caught against Georgia Tech,
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: I think it's more likely that they will show up
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: in this game. Florida State just played against UNC. It
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: wasn't exactly close. They lost by thirteen, so they're having
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: to play two North Carolina teams in a row, the
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: top two North Carolina teams in a row. I should
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: say Florida State's not good man. I mean, I think
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: if I had to play this game, I would probably
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: lay the points. Duke's down to a fifteen point favorite here.
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: The total is fairly high in the one sixties, so
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: it probably makes it easier for a favorite to cover
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: in that case. Duke is actually a mid tempo team,
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: is here. I'm used to them being a slow paced team,
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: and Florida State does play fast, so it's expected to
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: be a lot of scoring in that game, all right,
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: and then we have Arizona at Utah on Peacock. Arizona
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: ranked first in the rankings Ken Bomb has the second.
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: They're good, there's no doubt about it. Utah is not good,
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: So Arizona's gonna be laying a lot of points here.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: Although Arizona's gonna have to go into elevation for this.
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: So will they be good enough to cover a huge spread?
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know. They're coming up beating South Dakota State
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: coming out of the break, so they do have a
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: little bit of momentum. At least they play Kansas State next.
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: It's not like a huge look ahead Arizona. Of course,
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: they're one of the other undefeated teams that I forgot
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: to mention. Utah coming off a pretty tough game. They
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: went to Washington and lost that game, so that was
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: a more difficult game for them. So I think the
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: spot actually doesn't totally set up that well for Utah.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean I could see Utah getting blown
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: out in the game. Potentially, money did kind of comeing
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: towards Utah. It looks like early Arizona down from nineteen
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: and a half to eighteen and a half. I struggle
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: with this one. The totals high in the one sixties,
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: so I mean, I don't know. Gun to my head,
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: I guess I would probably lean to laying the points
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: of Arizona with what these teams just did in their
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: previous games. But I don't love it at all. I mean,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: it's not even close to a game I was considering.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: We have Rhode Island at George Mason in the A ten.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: Rhode Island coming off a pretty ugly game against Loyola Chicago,
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: who looks like they're down this year. Like I said,
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: Rhode Island lost that game at home as a favorite,
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: So you gotta think they're gonna bounce back from that,
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna focus playing a team like George Mason
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: that's a one loss team right now, although George Mason's
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: facing a pretty easy schedule, though not really as good
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: as they look. But George Mason almost lost their last game,
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: as I pointed out as well, Lasal almost took them
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: to the limits, so they should actually be in a
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot as well here. So another game that
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: I just got to leave on the sidelines. Man. But
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: George Mason is up to a seven point favorite totals
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: in the one forties. It's a low total, though, and
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know man with a low total, I don't know.
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think George Mason. The fact that they
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: played really poorly against La Sal I think that was
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: the uglier performance out of the two, because you couldn't
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: make the argument that Weill Loyol just has kind of
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: that name recognition. So maybe that loss wasn't that bad
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: for Rhode Island. So I guess I would lean towards
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: laying it with George Mason. But you know, I'm certainly
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: I certainly would not be pumped about it by any stretch.
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: All Right, Now we're getting into some where you can
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: kind of skip over some of these games, although again,
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: if you want me to talk about any of these games,
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: I can LSU at Texas A and M at four
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: pm SEC. It's on ESPNU actually, but it's an SEC game.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: LSU coming into this after pounding Southern Miss LSUS look
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: good so far, but they're not really that battle tested, right, Like,
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: the only good team they played so far was Texas Tech,
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: and Texas Tech annihilated them. So I'm not sold and
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: to Actually they beat SMU. That's a fine win. I
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: guess the win of SMU. I was overlooking that. But
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: we'll see what they have to do when they have
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: to go on the road at Texas A and M.
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: And they played one road game at BC and won
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: that game, but BC took them into overtime, so it
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: wasn't exactly good for LSU. Going on the road to
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M might be a little bit difficult. Here.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: A and M has been al right this year, but
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: they're not totally battle tested either. I mean, they actually
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: lost to SMU, so people might look at that and
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: see the common opponent and maybe think it's easy to
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: play LSU here. So, oh my god, if LSU beat SMU,
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: who beat Texas A and M although it was an overtime,
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: but it was also by thirteen, that it's gonna look
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: pretty easy to play LSU in this game, I think,
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: so I would probably fade that sentiment. I mean, neither
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: team is very battle tested, so I'm not impressed by
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: either resume. I don't think either team is as good
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: as they look. What does ken Bum have to say
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: about it? He's got LSU thirty six in the country,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: and he's got Texas A and M where fifty first,
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: So not a huge disparity there between the two. A
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: and M pretty balanced team at least somewhat low in
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: the luck Index, and they're a high tempo team. LSU
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: plays mid tempo. They're more uh, they're highering the luck index.
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: So ken Bum's saying they've overperformed a little bit. And
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: they are the worst defense out of the two. So
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: you're getting the slightly better defense with very slightly with
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M in this game if you want
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M in this one. Texas A and
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: M is actually laying five points here though, so that
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: is a little bit odd, like there must be an
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: injury or something on the LSU side, because I don't
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: really see, like obviously the power ratings are not telling
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: you that saying M should be a five point favorite.
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're ken bum as in fifteen ranking spots
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: lower or whatever. So there's got to be an injury
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: or something that's the reason why A and M's laying five.
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: So even though I might like A and M at
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: like one of the lower numbers like when it was two,
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: I just don't know if there's really line value at all.
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think there is laying it at five,
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: so you gotta I don't know, you gotta stay away
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: from it, I think. I mean, if you want to
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: like moneyline, parlay a and m with some other team,
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: because I do kind of think they win the game,
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: but I don't know totals in the one sixties in
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: that one. All right, I need to I'm not doing
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: well with my my lounging man. South Alabama at Troy.
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: This is in Alabama. Battle here. Both these teams are
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: in Alabama. Of course, Troy won the Sun Belt last year,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: so I believe they did. So you know, teams are
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: gonna have Troy circle. They're gonna get up for Troy.
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: South Alabama's coming off a really bad performance, only winning
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: by five at Louisiana. That's a bad game. Louisiana is
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: not a good team. Troy coming into this off a
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: one hundred point explosion against Texas State, scoring one hundred points.
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: So when a team scores one hundred points like that,
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: I kind of want to look to fade them in
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: the next game. And Troy does have their I believe
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: it's the Sun Belt final rematch from last year. In
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: the next game against Arkansas State, the game will be
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: more to Arkansas State because Arkansas State lost the game.
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: But Troy still may overlook this and be looking ahead
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: to Arkansas State. So I would lean towards fading Troy
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: in this game. I would lead to South Alabama on
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: this one. Seven and a half is the number, so
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: you're getting a decent amount of points with South Alabama
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: total in one hundred and forty five. Obviously not a
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: high total. So we gotta get cozy. I need I
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: need the the Clint mind come a shirt. All right, man,
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: I know I'm skipping some of these other small conference games.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: I mean again, if you want me to talk about
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: any of these other games, I will, But Colorado at
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: Arizona State here met at five pm or finally in
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: the evening. Now here Colorado, I mean, neither of these
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: teams are really that good. So what do we do
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: with this game? Man? Both teams are not as good
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: as the record looks. Colorado's coming off that loss such
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: a Northern Colorado, and of course we faded Northern Colorado
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: off of that game with success last night. Now does
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: Colorado bounce back from that? Maybe? I mean that was
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: an ugly spot because Colorado had that sandwiched in between
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: Stanford and Arizona State, two big conference teams. Northern Colorado.
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: You know, they got up for that game against the
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: big boy, So Colorado's coming up an ugly game. Man.
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: They lost as a big favorite home to an in
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: state little brother. They should show up for this game
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: against Arizona State. Although for Colorado, they only played one
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: all the road game and it was in Colorado at
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: Colorado State, and they lost that game. So I don't
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: like the fact that they haven't played any true road
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: game outside of the state of Colorado so far, so
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: that's not great for Colorado. For Arizona State here, they're
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: coming off two straight losses and they haven't played since
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: before the break, So I think that's actually a positive
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: for Arizona State because they went into the break lose
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: it to UCLA and then they lost to Oregon State,
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: who's not very good right now. But the fact that
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: they had a break after that I think will help
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: bust that losing momentum, and I think they're gonna show
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: up here even though they do a BYU next coming
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: off of that break. You know, after losing a couple
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: of games in a row, started conference play at home.
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Colorado man, so for me,
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: both teams are kind of in positive spots here, but
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: there are some slight Nega Colorado, so I'd probably lay
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: it with Arizona State in this one. Three points is
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: the line totally at one fifty seven, and it looks
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: weird to be laying points, by the way, with Arizona
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: State sitting at nine and four against Colorado at ten
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: and three, it almost looks easy to take the points
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: with the team with the better records. So all right,
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: we got Minnesota at Northwestern on Big Ten Network. I
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: know I'm talking about all the Power Conference teams here.
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: Minnesota just beat fairly Dickinson. Who cares. That's fairly irrelevant,
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: although it continued their momentum coming out of the break. Now,
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: Minnesota has not been good on the road. They've played
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: two games on the road and they got blown out
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: by Missouri and Purdue. Northwestern is not as good as
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: those two teams, but still they haven't been good on
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: the road. I don't know that they're gonna look ahead
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: to Iowa. I mean, Iowa does loom on the horizon though,
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: so I don't know, but I don't think they're gonna
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: overlook Northwestern. But who knows Northwestern. They have Michigan State next,
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: so I mean both teams could possibly be in a
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: look at here on Northwestern coming up that game they
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: beat Howard excuse me, after the break, so they have
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum coming into this. Both teams
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: are in very similar spots here, so for me, it
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: kind of comes down to I think I would probably
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: lay it with Northwestern just because Minnesota is not good
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: on the road. Northwestern's five and a half here with juice,
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: although one hundred and thirty eight and a half is
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: the total, so it's not a high total. I don't
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: love laying points when it's not a high total, but
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: Northwestern being the slightly better team, that's probably what I
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: would do there is lay it. And again that's only
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: because I think the situation doesn't really help you help
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: either team one way or the other. I'm not going
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: to drink kreative, man, That shit will fuck you up.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: Dom Oraurs. Yeah, I've heard some real kreative horror stories. Man,
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: I don't want any of that alright. One other games
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: that I want to talk about we have UCLA and Iowa.
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'll talk about this is a big ten
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: game on Peacock at six pm, ioways ranked twenty fifth
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: in the country. Now for UCLA, it's a little weird
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: for UCLA because they haven't played since before the break.
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: So UCLA has been off for a long time since
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: December twenty third, and they went into the break on
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: a three game win streak, so that could break their
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: momentum a little bit. Man, So they might come into
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: this game slow. Although UCLA likes to play slow. I'm
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: pretty sure both of these teams play slow, so it's
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be a low scoring, slow paced game here.
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: Ucla not really road tested so far. They only played
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: on the road at Washington, and I believe UCLA has
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: not left the Pacific time zone this season at all,
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: So the fact that they're leaving the Pacific times on end,
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: they're coming off maybe disadvantageous. Rake those are definitely some
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: negatives on the side of UCLA here. Now for Iowa,
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've been decently impressive, I guess. I mean
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: their two losses are to Michigan State and Iowa State,
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: and they played both games fairly respectably, both on the road.
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: They were really close against Iowa State could have won
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: that game. That was a win for us on the
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: show with Iowa plus the points. Iowa did play already
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: coming out of the break and they easily beat UMass Lowell,
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: So they have momentum coming into this. Man, you know
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get up for a game against UCLA, although
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: UCLA should get up for a ranked team, but yeah,
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, obviously teams will get up for
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: UCLA because they're as as I accidentally bring up the
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: source here, Yeah you know, I'm I mean, obviously teams
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: get up for UCLA because they're just some name team
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: in college basketball. Obviously, ioways dropped from a seven point
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: favorite to a five and a half point favorite. Here
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: totals low at one hundred and thirty. So I don't
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: love the idea of laying points with the low total
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: like that. But I think if I was gonna play
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: the game, I think I probably would lay the points
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: with Iowa. But I don't love the idea of laying points. Yeah,
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: with a low total with a slow paced seam like that,
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: that does worry me a little bit, all right, What
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: other games. I want to talk about Northern Colorado Montana.
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: This is the game that I forgot to mention when
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: I handicapped the Northern Colorado game. We got it right
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: with Montana State, but I talked about it on my
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: Instagram video about that game. Northern Colorado, Man, I think
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: they were especially looking ahead to Montana here because Montana
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: is the team that eliminated Northern Colorado in the final
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: in the Big Sky Final last year. So I think
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado absolutely has this game circled. And by the way,
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: Montana State had been eliminated by Northern Colorado last year
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: in the Big Sky Turn so that made that an
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: even bigger game from Montana State. So those were factors
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: in that game as well, made it even better to
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: play Montana State in that game. Now. I think Northern
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: Colorado probably bounced us back here after they lost that
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: game pretty ugly at Montana State. It was totally explainable,
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: as we know, we explained how bad of a spot
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: they were in. Northern Colorado had upset Colorado the game
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: before that, huge win for them, so it was a
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: great spot to fade them. I think they bounced back
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: here and they try to get the revenge from losing
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: the conference final last year to Montana. Montana coming off
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: a win over Northern Arizona whatever, It's not an impressive
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: win or anything like that. Now. One issue I have
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: with it is that Montana's a seven and seven team
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: and Northern Colorado's like ten and four, and the fact
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: that Montana's laying one point. It's one of those like
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: sketchy looking lines, you know where the public, if they
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: see this, they're gonna want to come in on Northern
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: Colorado because, oh my god, the team with the better
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: record getting a point here. It looks so easy to
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: play Northern Colorado here. So somebody like that does make
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: me pause. But give it the situation, I think I
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: have to slightly lean to Northern Colorado there, although Montana
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: is probably not gonna overlook the game either though, So
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: and they flip from plus one dog to a minus
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: one favorite there. All right, SEC actually got Mississippi State
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: and Texas. How many more? We don't have many games
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: left here we go, baby final stretch. It'll be a
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: little bit over two hours here. Mississippi State and Texas.
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, both these teams are a bit down right now,
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: but especially Mississippi State. They're not very good this year. Man.
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: They're coming up beating Alabama State, so they'll continue their
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 1: momentum here. But their resume is not great. They played
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: pretty respectably against Iowa State, but other than that, I mean,
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess a lot of their losses are close.
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: They have a close loss to New Mexico, close loss
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: to SMU, close to San Francisco where that was the
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: play for us on the show. I believe it was
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. Yeah, I mean, it's still not a very
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: impressive resume though they haven't played really, I mean, the
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: only other Power Conference teams they play were Kansas State
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: and loss and Georgia Tech and won that game barely.
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: So Boston a blowout to Kansas State as well. So yeah,
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: not extremely battle tests here. They're having to go on
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: the road now. Their only other road game was that
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: win at Georgia Tech. But Texas is obviously better than
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. Texas has been okay this year. They're coming
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 1: off a break though, so Texas went into the break
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: on a two game win streak, so they're coming out
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: of a break, so that break might hurt their momentum
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit and I worry about it. Even though
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: this is their sec home opener, they do have Tennessee, Alabama,
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: and Vandy as their next three opponents, so it is
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: possibly a look ahead spot in addition to maybe having
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: their momentum stopped by having a break. So I don't
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: love the spot for Texas in this, although I think
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: they're pretty clearly the better team. But where hard they
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: with that? Maybe I'll look for Mississippi State instead? How
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: about that? There they are? So Texas is a nine
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite total at one fifty seven
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: mid tier total, They're you know, even though yeah, Texas
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: is clearly the better team asking them to lay points
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: in a situation like this, they play like mid tempo.
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: They're not very good defensively. They're much better offensively. The defensively,
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: I know, Mississippi State is pretty bad this year. Ken
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: Bum has got them at eighty third. They also play
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: about the same tempo. They're a little bit better defensively
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: than offensively for what it's worth, But I think Texas
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: is kind of in the worst spot there, so I
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: probably lean to taking the points with Mississippi State, but
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay away. Yes, ucl Gay, Yes, a lot
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 1: of gayness in La Yes, Zach, Yes, speaking of Bears, Yes, right,
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado or the Bears and Montana are the Grizzlies. Yes,
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 1: the Bears and the Grizzly Bears. Okay, Illinois at Penn
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: State here, Illinois ranked twentieth in the country, but ken
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: Baum has them ranked eighth. So this Illinois team, they're
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're for real. Their ranking is slipped because
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: they haven't looked as good recently, but they're definitely good. Man.
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: They're probably better this year than they were last year.
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, look at their losses. I mean, I don't know.
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: They lost to Yukon. I mean, of course that's acceptable.
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: And they lost by four to Alabama. That's fine. They
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: have wins over Tennessee, Texas Tech on the road at
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. Those are pretty fine wins. They beat Missouri
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: and absolutely destroyed them. That's a pretty good win as well.
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: And then yes, of course they did have that loss,
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: which is a loss for me on the show where
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know what happened in that game, and they
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: lost to Nebraska as a huge favorite. Illinois was so yeah,
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: I mean Illinois, I think they believe it or not.
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: I think Illinois might be a little bit under the
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: radar here and UNDERVALUEDI They're coming off a win over
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: Southern coming out of the break, so they have momentum
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: coming out of They played that game after the break,
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: so that's good. They're going out on the road. They're
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: not gonna be intimidated. I don't think by being on
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: the road against Penn State. They did win at Ohio
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: State already, they got really nothing up on deck with Rutgers,
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: so I think Illinois will be focused here and I
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: think Penn State at nine and four, I'm not sold
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: on Penn State. Man. They had that one step up
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: game against Michigan State that we got right on the show,
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: but it was a bad spot for Michigan State, and
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: other than that, Penn State really has been unimpressive. Man.
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: They lost to Providence, they lost horribly to Indiana, and
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: Indiana's okay, and they also lost horribly to Pittsburgh, So
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: that Michigan State game is looking like more of an outlier.
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: Like this Penn State resume is really quite bad. And yes,
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: they did bounce back with a nice win out of
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: the break against NC Central, who's not good at all.
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: But if I was gonna play this game, I think
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: I would have to lay it. Even though you're laying
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: a huge price with Illinois on the road, I'm not
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: sure that it's big enough. To be honest, they're laying
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: sixteen and a half on the road, the totals at
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: one fifty five and a half. I think I would
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: lay it if I was gonna play that game. For
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: all those reasons. I just stated we got some Mountain
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: West action I haven't really talked about. I haven't don't
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: think I've talked about any of the Mountain West yet.
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: Nevada is at Fresno State. For Nevada, they're playing pretty
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: well right now, but I'm not sure that I buy
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: it for Nevada. They're okay, but they just beat Colorado
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: State on the road after beating Boise State. Those are
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: some nice wins. They actually beat Boise State before the break,
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: and they came out of the break and the break
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: didn't hurt their momentum, and they beat Colorado State on
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: the road. Colorado State's probably a bit down this year
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: from what they did last year, but good win for Nevada.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: And how they go on the road to Fresno and
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: they might not really pay attention to Freszo. Up next,
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: they got San Diego State. Even though San Diego State
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: might not be quite as good this year, there's still
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: one of the They are like one of the teams
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: that you always pretty much circle your games against them
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: in the Mountain West. So this is kind of Sandwich
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: looking to me for Nevada here. I don't know that
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 1: they're really gonna focus much on a below five hundred
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: Fresno team. Fresno's lost four games in a row. They
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: came out of the break and they lost at home
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: to Utah State. No shame in that Utah State's the
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: best team in the Mountain West. Now when I see
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: something like that, I have to see how close was
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: this game, And it wasn't that close. So the Fresno
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: was within like three possessions and a couple points late
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 1: in the game. So yeah, they are coming off a
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: tough game, but they are staying at home. They are
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: still looking for their first conference win. I think the
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: spot's worse for Nevada. I would go Fresno State in
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: this one. Nevada is a seven point favorite. It looks
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 1: like you might not be able to get the seven
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: much longer It's a little bit of a key number
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: in basketball, as I say, and the total is pretty
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: low at one forty eight and a half, So I
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: would take it with Fresno if I was gonna play it.
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: We do have on Fox at eight pm. Number five
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 1: Purdue at Wisconsin. Wisconsin has been struggling a lot. Purdue
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: is good. We know this. Purdue is a top several team.
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're quite the fifth best team ken
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: Bums actually ken bum mess in fourth. So what am
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 1: I saying? I Purdue was one of my picks preseason,
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: as you remember, because they had all these guys returning
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: very very veteran guard play from Purdue. Yeah, so Purdue
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: is that good. But looking at this line, the line
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: looks pretty low, man Like, it looks so easy to
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: lay the points of Purdue. It's coming down from the
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: key number seven to six and a half with a
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: total of one fifty one and a half. Year it
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: looks really really easy right to late almost below the
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: key number seven. Now with the number five ranked team
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: in the country, Purdue against an unranked Wisconsin team, it's
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: been really really struggling. Looks kind of crazy. We're just
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 1: kent bombv Wisconsin at I mean there he has them
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: forty thirds, so they're like, it's not like they're playing
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: that well. So I don't know. I mean, this line
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: does look way too easy to play Purdue though. Man.
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: For Purdue, they've been fine on the road so far.
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: They had that win at Alabama, which is a win
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: for me here on the show as well. On the
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 1: road they have a good home winner, I don't know
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: if it's home or neutral. I forget against Texas Tech,
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: and then they had that one weird home blowout lost
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 1: to Iowa State, and then they did beat Marquette Minnesota.
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, those teams aren't very good right now. And
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: then Auburn. That's a decent win against Auburn. So yeah, Purdue,
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: I mean they're good. They're decently battle testing. They're coming
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: off crushing Kent State, and Kent State is one of
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: the better teams than the MAC probably beating them by
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: forty one points. Now they're going back out on the road.
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: They did beat Rutgers on the road as well. I
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention that. So Penn Purdue two and zero
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: on the road, that's not that bad. But I don't know, Man,
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: to me, it's just the line looks way too short,
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: and I think Wisconsin might be better than they look.
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: They're coming up a win over Milwaukee the other day
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: or whatever. I just think that continues their momentum into
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: this game. I think I would probably take the points
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: of this one, just because it looks way too easy
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: to play per due and take. If you can get seven,
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: obviously that's better, but of course I don't actually want
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: to deal with it, don't actually want to play the game,
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 1: all right. And then we have number twenty two Florida
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: at Missouri in the SEC at eight thirty pm here,
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: and I do still have one more play, by the way,
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 1: that I haven't gotten to yet, So you guys are
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: getting one of the plays very late here. It's a
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: late night game and it's late in the show, so
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: worth the wait. Hopefully. I think it's the weakest of
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: my three plays, though, but hopefully it's a winner. Florida.
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 1: They played after the break, they beat Dartmouth whatever. Now
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 1: they're going on the road to face Missouri. I believe
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: Florida beat Missouri on the road last year and lost
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: to them at home if I'm not mistaken. So I
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: don't know if that really matters a whole lot Florida.
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: They're definitely battle tested this year though. Man, it's like
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: Florida's got four losses, but look at their losses. They
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: lost by Fourida, Yukon, one at Duke, four against CCO,
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: TCU was alright, and then six to Arizona. So yeah,
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: they don't really have any great wins, that's true. Their
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: best wins or I guess Miami, and I don't know,
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: Providence is not that great of wins, so I guess
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: it's the Miami wins. Yes, I know they don't have
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: any signature wins yet, but they played well in all
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 1: their losses and they were to all really good teams
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: like Duke except for TCU, Duke, Yukon and Arizona are
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: all legitimate, like top several teams. So I think Florida
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better than they look now. They
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: do have Georgia and Tennessee on deck, though, and they
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: might overlook Missouri looking ahead to those two teams because Missouri,
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I mean to me, I think Missouri
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: just doesn't really grab many people's attention. Now, Missouri hasn't
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: played since before the break, but the way they went
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: into the break was horrible. They lost ninety one to
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: forty eight to Illinois. That is awful. So I think
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 1: the spot is better from Missouri here because they're gonna
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: be resting and going into the break on a horrible
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: note like that, you gotta think they're gonna fix some
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: things coming out of the break. And now I know
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: the resume is not very impressive. They lost to Notre
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: Dame on the road, they lost to Kansas. Kansas is good,
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 1: and they lost horribly to Illinois. I get it. They
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 1: haven't stepped up in class. Well. Florida is easily the
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: more battle tested team I know, but I don't know.
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: To me, the spot is just a little bit better
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: from Missouri, and it looks too easy to lay the points.
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: I think I would lean to Missouri in this one
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: plus the six and a half. Uh, but I'm gonna
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: stay away. Uh. Definitely not Florida by one hundred, even
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: though I know Missouri again, they're not great. I know,
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: h and Florida is better than you look. Ken bomb
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: as Missouri at sixty fifth, which is not great, and
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: they don't play great defense, I know, and they're one
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: of the weakest schedules and they're high up in the
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: luck index, so I know I don't like any of that.
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: Florida is one of the unluckiest teams. In his face,
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: one of the strongest schedules. I know both teams are
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: probably gonna play fast in this one. Yeah, I mean,
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: if if you like Missouri, it's really all about the
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: schedule here. But I think there might be some room
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: to go over this total at one hundred and fifty
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: four and a half because I think Missouri still plays
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: fast if I'm not mistaken. Actually they don't. Now I
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: am mistaken. They'ret two hundred and eighth in tempo. My mistake.
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 1: But I was thinking of like last year, these two
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: teams are both fast paced. Florida still is all right,
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: last play here we go and then there's one more game.
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna talk about after that. So right
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 1: around the two hour mark here, yeah, they suck, but
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: that's factored into the telling me why is the line
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: only six and a half. Then I don't know the
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: odds bakers are telling you something with that line, Like
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: I again, like this team sucks. Is not a handicapping
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 1: like argument or strategy, Like yes, we know that, and
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: it's factored into the line. So I mean, yeah, that game.
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: I mean again, it looks like the odds bakers are
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 1: just begging you to play Florida on that game. Although
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 1: again I know Florida does have an uglier record and
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: they are clearly the more battle tested team, so I
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: worry about all that. So yeah, it would not shock
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: me if Florida won that game and cover it. Obviously. Obviously,
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: this is why it's not on my card, because I
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: don't have a strong feeling on that game. But the
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: situation to me does seem like it's quite positive for Missouri,
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: all right, Yeah, uh yeah, Penis Covid No, I Florida
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: does have some problems. Man, I'm not gonna lie. Like
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: Xavian Lee, that weird tandem where they brought him and
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: Boogie Flann both over, they don't seem to mesh very well.
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: Uh So, I don't know, there's there are some issues
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: that Florida has, all right. My last play is Long
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: Beach State minus one. And I know I usually say
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 1: when you have a minus one minus one and a
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: half minus two favorite in college basketball, you want to
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: actually go to the money line. But in this case,
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: the money line the best I saw was like minus
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: one thirty five. I'm like, what the heck like when
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: you have a minus one favorite, usually you can find
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: like minus one twenty or maybe even better. But minus
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: one thirty five, I'm like, no, I'm not doing that.
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 1: Minus one is fine if you're being charged extra, because
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: the reason why the professionals tell you to money line
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: it on these college basketball favorites of one, one and
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: a half and two is because you usually can get
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: a money line price that's better ev But at minus
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: one thirty five for a minus one favorite, it's not
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: so long. Beach State minus one is the playo. Although
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 1: if you see worse numbers than that out there in
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: a better money line, money line is fine as well. Now,
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: the crux of this handicap is that we're gonna fade
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: cal Poly here. Cal Poly just beat u SE San Diego. Man,
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: they came out of the break, broke a four game
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: lost week, and they beat the team that's the best
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: team in the conference, the Big West, the team that
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: won the conference last year. Monster win for cal Poly.
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: I think use the San Diego might have been the
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 1: team that knocked them out of the play out of
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: the conference tournament last year as well, So huge win
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 1: for cal Poly. Now they have to turn around in
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: two days from that, like two day only one day
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 1: removed basically from that because that was on Thursday, and
• 2:05:56
  Speaker 1: they got to play at Long Beach, who is way
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: down and Long Beach was horrible last year. Long Beach
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: didn't even make the conference tournament last year. And by
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: the way, cal Paly beat Long Beach both times last year.
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 1: So whatever weight you want to put into that, I
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 1: wouldn't put too much weighted to that. But it is
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: double revenge technically for Long Beach State because they lost
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: both games to cal Paly last year. And speaking of
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: double revenge, cal Poly plays cal State Northridge next was
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a better team, and north Ridge
• 2:06:26
  Speaker 1: beat cal Poly both times they played them last year,
• 2:06:29
  Speaker 1: so they might have that game more circle than this game.
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: So there is definitely an argument that it's a bit
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot here, man. So I like Long
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 1: Beach in this one, even though they're not great. But
• 2:06:41
  Speaker 1: Long Beach they're coming off of a win where they
• 2:06:43
  Speaker 1: came out of the break, they beat Lincoln University, California,
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 1: whatever stomped them. That'll be good just to carry them
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: momentum into this one. I don't think they're gonna overlook
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 1: cal Pauly, even with uc Orrvine on deck. I think
• 2:06:56
  Speaker 1: Long Beach is gonna be looking to get a win.
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 1: Prior to that game lost four out of five and
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: they lost to use San Diego, by the way, So
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: the public might look at this and think what is
• 2:07:06
  Speaker 1: going on here with this line where Long Beach has
• 2:07:08
  Speaker 1: the worst record. They already have double digital losses and
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: they're a favorite here and they lost to use the
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: San Diego, who cal Poly just beats. So you're getting
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 1: a point with cal Poly. It looks so easy to
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: play cal Poly here, but I'm saying you should not
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: do that now. As far as what ken Bum looks
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 1: like for these teams, I actually like what I see
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: here too, because cal Pauly, I mean, they play extremely fast.
• 2:07:32
  Speaker 1: That's what they did last year too. They're fourth in tempo,
• 2:07:35
  Speaker 1: and you know, I think that when teams do that,
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: the wheels kind of come off at some point. Cal
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: Poly is actually not even good defensively or offensively. Actually
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 1: slightly better defensively, believe it or not, but they're really
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: bad in both ken Bum asim at two twenty ninth,
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 1: so he doesn't even have them that much higher than
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: Long Beach. He has Long Beach at two fit the
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 1: first overall cal Poly. Yeah, they face the THESEUS schedule
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: eighty third, but Long Beach sixty seconds, so Long Beach
• 2:08:03
  Speaker 1: is actually faced a slightly more difficult schedule. And he's
• 2:08:07
  Speaker 1: got cal Pauly really high in the luck index at
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: seventy fifth, so they've overperformed, whereas Long Beach State is
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: underperformed at two hundred and forty six and ken Bump's
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 1: luck index. So they're a team that you do want
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 1: to play on based on the lucky index at Cal Paul.
• 2:08:23
  Speaker 1: You want to tend to fade that. You want to
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: try to fade them based on the luck index here.
• 2:08:31
  Speaker 1: And the other thing is, yeah, cal Poly plays ridiculously fast. Well, yeah,
• 2:08:34
  Speaker 1: Long Beach State plays slow at two hundred and six
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: and tempost. So I think Long Beach might be able
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 1: to slow this thing way down, man and get this
• 2:08:44
  Speaker 1: thing done ugly it up frustrate cal Poly by slowing
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: it way down. We're going to Long Beach. Man at
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 1: the Walter Pyramid if you've never seen it, They literally
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: play in a pyramid and it's kind of a it's
• 2:08:58
  Speaker 1: kind of ridiculous looking. It's it's like the they play
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: in a bass pro shops. Actually, hold on, I'll find
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: it for you real quick. I'll show you what it
• 2:09:05
  Speaker 1: looks like. If you guys are are unfamiliar with the
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 1: Walter Pyramid, it's ridiculous. Hold on, I'm gonna bring up
• 2:09:12
  Speaker 1: a picture of it. Yeah, and the inside of it,
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: like the roof is like pyramided as well. Hold on,
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna bring this up. Let me bring it into
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 1: my other window here if I can here it is
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 1: if you if you guys can see this, I know
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: it's on Reddit or whatever. This is the outside of
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: the pyramid, and then this is the inside of it.
• 2:09:36
  Speaker 1: Here that's where Long Beach plays. Man, it's a very
• 2:09:40
  Speaker 1: unique venue zooming in. It's not great quality, but yeah,
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 1: it's it must be so weird, like driving along you're
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: close to the close to the beach and then like,
• 2:09:50
  Speaker 1: what the hell is this? Uh? A bass pro shops
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: over here? What? Uh? It's obviously you know it's all
• 2:09:57
  Speaker 1: Illuminati stuff though you know it's all masonry. So we're
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: going with the Masons here. They're rigging the game for
• 2:10:03
  Speaker 1: them in this one, you know. So we're going with
• 2:10:05
  Speaker 1: Long Beach in that game at the Walter Pyramid, And
• 2:10:10
  Speaker 1: as far as the line is concerned, yeah, there's not
• 2:10:12
  Speaker 1: a whole lot going on with the market yet that
• 2:10:16
  Speaker 1: we can see her. They're already up from one and
• 2:10:17
  Speaker 1: a half to two, by the way, so it looks
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 1: like it's one where there's probably gonna be market agreement
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 1: with me on this one. The totals at one sixty three,
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: so oddspeakers are kind of throwing it. I don't like
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 1: to throwing it a little bit of a high number,
• 2:10:31
  Speaker 1: thinking that cal Poly is gonna really like kind of
• 2:10:34
  Speaker 1: speed this thing up a bit. I do worry about
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: that a little bit. But it was like the number
• 2:10:39
  Speaker 1: is going in the Long Beach directions, so you got
• 2:10:41
  Speaker 1: to get on that, I would say, if you want it,
• 2:10:44
  Speaker 1: and maybe you do have to go money line on
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: that Illuminati Beach state, Yes, correct, all right, And then
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 1: I was gonna talk about there's one more game that's
• 2:10:56
  Speaker 1: a really good game in the Mountain West, which is
• 2:10:59
  Speaker 1: Boise State and San Diego State. CBS Sports one of
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 1: the Bailout Degenerate specials at the end of the night. Here,
• 2:11:06
  Speaker 1: this is a good game Man, two of the stronger
• 2:11:09
  Speaker 1: teams in the Mountain West. Boise is coming up beating
• 2:11:12
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. That's a nice win for Boise. They bounce
• 2:11:15
  Speaker 1: back off of that loss at Nevada, which was kind
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 1: of explainable. I think I leaned to Nevada on that
• 2:11:21
  Speaker 1: one because the Boys had beaten Saint Mary's the game
• 2:11:23
  Speaker 1: before that nice win New Mexico on deck, they might
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 1: have paid more attention to now boys. He got that
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 1: win over New Mexico, Boise was able to frustrate them.
• 2:11:33
  Speaker 1: Slow it down at home. Now Boyse's gotta go on
• 2:11:36
  Speaker 1: on the road to face San Diego State. I think
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 1: San Diego State also plays slow like Boise does. San
• 2:11:41
  Speaker 1: Diego State is a little bit more mid tempo this year,
• 2:11:44
  Speaker 1: but there's still a better defensive team than offensive team.
• 2:11:47
  Speaker 1: San Diego State is the slightly better team in kem
• 2:11:49
  Speaker 1: Bum's rankings, two ranking spots higher. Boise is more in balanced.
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 1: Boise is the better defense, although not considerably so, and
• 2:11:57
  Speaker 1: they do have a worse offense, so both teams focus
• 2:12:02
  Speaker 1: more on deepfense. I still think it's gonna be more
• 2:12:04
  Speaker 1: of a defensive kind of slug fest, a slow game
• 2:12:08
  Speaker 1: you know, oh Slugfest. By the way, I forgot True
• 2:12:12
  Speaker 1: Blood and chosen that's a very physical I love watching
• 2:12:18
  Speaker 1: plays like that. I know you like all those bubble
• 2:12:20
  Speaker 1: screens and three hundred. That's right. I love to see
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 1: big bodies bang. I told you I was gonna find
• 2:12:30
  Speaker 1: the Grooden clip. I love to see big bodies bang.
• 2:12:33
  Speaker 1: There you go. I talked about it this morning. I'm
• 2:12:35
  Speaker 1: not letting you down. I got the drop anyway. That
• 2:12:40
  Speaker 1: might be what's happening in this game, big bodies banging.
• 2:12:43
  Speaker 1: Two teams that like to play deepense and play physical.
• 2:12:47
  Speaker 1: It's at San Diego State. San Diego State maybe a
• 2:12:50
  Speaker 1: little bit under the radar right now, man, just because
• 2:12:52
  Speaker 1: they've been down more so than Boise State has the
• 2:12:55
  Speaker 1: last couple of years. So I guess San Diego State
• 2:12:57
  Speaker 1: made the tournament last year, and boys he didn't. But
• 2:13:00
  Speaker 1: San Diego State got wrecked in the play in against
• 2:13:04
  Speaker 1: so technically they made the tournament, but they didn't win
• 2:13:06
  Speaker 1: the play and they got wrecked by North Carolina. Now,
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: San Diego State just played San Jose State. It was
• 2:13:11
  Speaker 1: a much easier game for San Diego State in the
• 2:13:14
  Speaker 1: last game. So Boise might be a little bit more
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 1: tired here coming off those bigger games that they've had
• 2:13:19
  Speaker 1: to play. So I think the spot does set up
• 2:13:21
  Speaker 1: better for San Diego State in this one. That is
• 2:13:24
  Speaker 1: the way that I would lean. They're up from three
• 2:13:26
  Speaker 1: to three and a half, you're having to lay points.
• 2:13:27
  Speaker 1: Of the low total, like I said, one hundred and
• 2:13:30
  Speaker 1: thirty seven and a half, big bodies banging. I wouldn't
• 2:13:34
  Speaker 1: really disagree with an under in this game. And again
• 2:13:37
  Speaker 1: it's a total that's way low for a reason. I
• 2:13:40
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna see defensive physicality here. Although Boise. You
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 1: don't have to worry a little bit about the fatigue
• 2:13:48
  Speaker 1: factor with Boise as far as how intense their defense
• 2:13:51
  Speaker 1: is gonna be off of the New Mexico game. So
• 2:13:55
  Speaker 1: but I still think the under is probably worth considering.
• 2:13:58
  Speaker 1: But then I also lean to San Diego States the points,
• 2:14:00
  Speaker 1: and that is it. That's gonna do it, maybe over
• 2:14:04
  Speaker 1: two hours long college basketball late night shows Man Degeneracy,
• 2:14:10
  Speaker 1: and I'll be back in like five or six hours
• 2:14:14
  Speaker 1: to talk about the other games that were going on.
• 2:14:16
  Speaker 1: But it'll be a much easier show for me in
• 2:14:17
  Speaker 1: the morning because it'll just be I know, we'll have
• 2:14:20
  Speaker 1: a good amount of NHL because it's Saturday. I don't
• 2:14:22
  Speaker 1: know if there's any college football, even though we're in
• 2:14:24
  Speaker 1: bull season. There's got to be something, right, there's definitely
• 2:14:27
  Speaker 1: maybe not because there's NFL tomorrow, although I know they
• 2:14:31
  Speaker 1: overlap I think last Saturday. So we will see and
• 2:14:33
  Speaker 1: there's probably some amount of NBA, but we'll figure it out.
• 2:14:36
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. My plays one more time. Lay
• 2:14:38
  Speaker 1: the points with Wake Forest five and a half is
• 2:14:41
  Speaker 1: when I saw out there. Take the points with BC
• 2:14:45
  Speaker 1: six and a half, Boston College and then Long Beach.
• 2:14:48
  Speaker 1: I said one. But it's a two right now. If
• 2:14:51
  Speaker 1: you find a good money line. Price of money line
• 2:14:53
  Speaker 1: also is actually probably a preferable if you find a
• 2:14:57
  Speaker 1: money line. That's the fact that it's up to minus
• 2:14:59
  Speaker 1: two now. If you the money line, it like minus
• 2:15:01
  Speaker 1: one thirty. I think that also makes sense. I'm being selective, man.
• 2:15:05
  Speaker 1: Let's hope we get it. Let's hope we get a win.
• 2:15:07
  Speaker 1: Another winning day here, let's do it. I'll be back
• 2:15:10
  Speaker 1: in the morning. I appreciate it. Guys. Learn to toade
• 2:15:12
  Speaker 1: on Twitter, Learn to tode on Instagram. Thanks for the
• 2:15:15
  Speaker 1: four hundred subscribers. By the way, here. Let's get some
• 2:15:18
  Speaker 1: more subscribers on Twitter as well. I got to start
• 2:15:21
  Speaker 1: doing subscriber content over there, I know, but let's get
• 2:15:25
  Speaker 1: more subscribers here. Monetize this thing on YouTube, toadstool sports,
• 2:15:30
  Speaker 1: give me likes, give me subscriptions here, you know, do
• 2:15:32
  Speaker 1: all the things, give me replies, comments, whatever, it helps
• 2:15:37
  Speaker 1: me out. The audio on Spotify and Apple that helps
• 2:15:39
  Speaker 1: me out as well. Review give me a good review
• 2:15:42
  Speaker 1: and listen over there. Covered in you because my yuke channel,
• 2:15:46
  Speaker 1: so you can check that out as well. And of course,
• 2:15:47
  Speaker 1: like subscribe's s up there as well. Patreon dot com, slash,
• 2:15:52
  Speaker 1: learn to tote, you can get some bonus uke content there.
• 2:15:55
  Speaker 1: And we have the Loser Casts, my comedy panel podcast,
• 2:16:01
  Speaker 1: where we did two episodes of it this week. Me
• 2:16:04
  Speaker 1: Layton Tyler Yankee part of the panel, Adam Nutterer if
• 2:16:07
  Speaker 1: he ever shows up, and then Brose of Smith and
• 2:16:10
  Speaker 1: this guy Eldon who just lives in Layton's room. I think,
• 2:16:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it's a weird mix of characters, but
• 2:16:17
  Speaker 1: we try to make something work out of it. So
• 2:16:20
  Speaker 1: you can check that out as well. And I believe
• 2:16:23
  Speaker 1: that is it for now. That's gonna do it. I
• 2:16:25
  Speaker 1: will be on Jewels Gray Pills show Sunday night, even
• 2:16:30
  Speaker 1: though I plan on starting to do some bracketology stuff
• 2:16:33
  Speaker 1: on this channel as well, just because I'm obsessed with it.
• 2:16:35
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. We'll see, but that's that'll be
• 2:16:39
  Speaker 1: Sunday night. I'm on Gray Pills with Jewels, and then
• 2:16:42
  Speaker 1: I still forget the name of the show that I'm
• 2:16:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be on on Wednesday, but I tweeted it out,
• 2:16:48
  Speaker 1: so we'll figure it out. That's gonna do it. I
• 2:16:51
  Speaker 1: appreciate it. Guys, late night, you're sticking with me. Peace
• 2:16:55
  Speaker 1: until tomorrow morning.