Latest / NO FILTER / As China tensions surge_ Taiwan braces for conflict_and watches Washington(MP3_160K)
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: It's not just Ukraine and the Middle East that are
- 0:03Speaker 1: under tremendous pressure overseas.
- 0:06Speaker 2: It's also the situation.
- 0:08Speaker 1: In the Far East as China stares down Taiwan with
- 0:12Speaker 1: serious ambitions to claim that island as its own. Taiwan's
- 0:17Speaker 1: military planners say American support, including weapons steals, are critical
- 0:22Speaker 1: in fending off a potential Chinese attack. Let's bring in
- 0:26Speaker 1: NBC News International correspondent Jennis Maki Freyer live in Beijing.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Jennis, you got to look at.
- 0:33Speaker 1: How Taiwan is racing to overhaul its military and get
- 0:37Speaker 1: Trump's backing.
- 0:39Speaker 2: What can you tell us.
- 0:42Speaker 3: Well make The US has long been a key backer
- 0:45Speaker 3: for Taiwan, with billions of dollars in weapons steals. These
- 0:48Speaker 3: are purchases, not military aid, as well as US training assistants.
- 0:52Speaker 3: Less clear is how far US support would go, namely,
- 0:56Speaker 3: would the US defend Taiwan. This is a looming question
- 1:00Speaker 3: in Taipei these days, as officials face not only heightened
- 1:03Speaker 3: military activity by China around the island, but mixed messaging
- 1:07Speaker 3: from the White House. This live fire drill was years
- 1:13Speaker 3: in the making, with high precision weapons made in the
- 1:16Speaker 3: USA and purchased by Taiwan. These high moms high mobility
- 1:22Speaker 3: artillery rocket systems arrived here late last year. The same
- 1:26Speaker 3: systems Ukrainian soldiers have been using to target Russian positions.
- 1:32Speaker 3: Mobile launchers are equipped with guided rockets that can strike
- 1:36Speaker 3: one hundred and eighty five miles away. That's well beyond
- 1:39Speaker 3: the southeastern coast of China.
- 1:41Speaker 4: More of these.
- 1:42Speaker 5: Rocket systems will be delivered here next year, that's earlier
- 1:45Speaker 5: than planned. Part of this race to overhaul Taiwan's defenses
- 1:49Speaker 5: Taiwan much, this colonel said, we have one hundred percent
- 1:54Speaker 5: confidence in our readiness new equipment and strategy. Taiwan is
- 1:58Speaker 5: a self governing demidocracy that Beijing claims as its own.
- 2:03Speaker 5: China's president, she Jimping makes no secret of his intentions
- 2:06Speaker 5: to unify the island with.
- 2:08Speaker 4: The mainland and won't rule out using fours.
- 2:11Speaker 6: With a huge challenge security challenge from the mainland China,
- 2:15Speaker 6: so we have to make ourself very.
- 2:22Speaker 7: Will on the combat.
- 2:24Speaker 5: Ridden this billions of dollars in US arms deals have
- 2:27Speaker 5: been helping Taiwan build up and revamp its defenses with
- 2:31Speaker 5: weapons like drones, missiles, and upgraded fighter jets. They've expanded
- 2:38Speaker 5: mandatory military service to one year, and reservist training just
- 2:42Speaker 5: increased too well, rep I think it's useful and practice
- 2:47Speaker 5: as this. Reservist US military personnel are also involved with training,
- 2:52Speaker 5: at least dozens of them according to the Pentagon, though
- 2:55Speaker 5: an exact number on the ground and.
- 2:57Speaker 4: What they do is a bit murky.
- 3:00Speaker 5: It's all fundamental to a US mandate to provide Taiwan
- 3:04Speaker 5: with weapons and skills to deter any attack by China.
- 3:08Speaker 5: Hi Mar's mark a significant step, as well as an
- 3:12Speaker 5: intelligence sharing deal with the US.
- 3:15Speaker 4: Is it a game changer for Turner? Yet?
- 3:18Speaker 5: Now more than ever here there are questions about reliability
- 3:23Speaker 5: and whether the US would intervene if China ever invaded.
- 3:27Speaker 2: Taiwan did take all of our chip business. You know,
- 3:30Speaker 2: we used to make our own chips. Now they're made
- 3:32Speaker 2: in Taiwan.
- 3:33Speaker 5: Officials in Taipei were rattled first by comments President Trump
- 3:37Speaker 5: made on the campaign trail regarding semiconductors, and then telling
- 3:41Speaker 5: Bloomberg in an interview after his inauguration.
- 3:44Speaker 4: That Taiwan quote should pay US for defense.
- 3:47Speaker 7: You don't have the cards.
- 3:48Speaker 5: Then came the collapse of US support for Ukraine, and
- 3:52Speaker 5: now the threat of steep tariffs on Taiwan's exports, we still.
- 3:57Speaker 6: Considered that there is a Kina you know ideas emergent
- 4:04Speaker 6: in the US government right now, which voices or narrative
- 4:09Speaker 6: should we listen to.
- 4:10Speaker 5: Taiwan's president is pledging this week to buy more American
- 4:14Speaker 5: goods as it tries to downplay tariff tensions as friendly friction.
- 4:18Speaker 5: But leaning into the anxiety is China ramping up military
- 4:23Speaker 5: activity around the island and most recently staging amphibious landing
- 4:28Speaker 5: drills in the Taiwan Strait.
- 4:30Speaker 4: The head of US Indo Pacific.
- 4:32Speaker 5: Command, Admiral Samuel Paparo, warned that Chinese exercises are not
- 4:37Speaker 5: drills but rehearsals, leaving the island looking to Washington for
- 4:41Speaker 5: clues about whether more deals will equal a deterrent for
- 4:46Speaker 5: China or just more uncertainty.
- 4:49Speaker 3: Taiwan's government boost to defense spending to three percent of
- 4:52Speaker 3: the island's budget to show that it is doing more
- 4:55Speaker 3: to defend itself, but President Trump and others in the
- 4:57Speaker 3: administration have said it should be ten percent. There is
- 5:01Speaker 3: talk of more weapons deals in the works, possibly exceeding
- 5:04Speaker 3: what Taiwan bought during.
- 5:05Speaker 7: Trump's first term.
- 5:06Speaker 3: That's according to Reuters, but again none of it with
- 5:09Speaker 3: any guarantees that President Trump will be any more committed
- 5:12Speaker 3: than in the past or in the long run.
- 5:15Speaker 8: Jonathan NBC's Jennis Mackie fair live for us in Beijing.
- 5:19Speaker 8: Thank you so very much, joining us now here in
- 5:22Speaker 8: New York. Executive director at the McCain Institute, Doctor Evelyn Farkas.
- 5:25Speaker 8: She is the former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Russia,
- 5:29Speaker 8: Ukraine and Eurasia. Good to see you, doctor Fergus. I
- 5:32Speaker 8: want to turn to Ukraine just but first a brief
- 5:35Speaker 8: bit on this. What is your assessment right now? Just
- 5:38Speaker 8: how aggressive do you think Shijinping is going to be?
- 5:41Speaker 8: How is he viewing the landscape, but also his political
- 5:44Speaker 8: situation at home factory into whether he makes a move
- 5:47Speaker 8: on Taiwan.
- 5:48Speaker 9: I mean, she is not a risk taker like Vladimir Putin,
- 5:51Speaker 9: but he's clearly watching our diplomacy. I know we're going
- 5:54Speaker 9: to talk about Russia Ukraine because he's looking to see
- 5:57Speaker 9: is the United States willing to stand up and stand
- 5:59Speaker 9: by you.
- 6:00Speaker 2: If we waiver, he will be more.
- 6:02Speaker 9: Embolden to take action against Taiwan. And he's clearly probing
- 6:05Speaker 9: to see what kind of advantage he can take. He's
- 6:09Speaker 9: moving more incrementally, so he's moving in closer and closer
- 6:13Speaker 9: to Taiwan, trying to take away their freedom of action,
- 6:16Speaker 9: their freedom of maneuver. And this is what Admiral Paparo
- 6:18Speaker 9: is warning about. These are not dress rehearsals. So I
- 6:21Speaker 9: think we have to really make sure that we're telegraphing
- 6:24Speaker 9: clearly deterrent messages frankly from the White House.
- 6:27Speaker 2: I mean, that's what the reporting's saying.
- 6:28Speaker 7: So let's turn out to Ukraine.
- 6:30Speaker 8: I have a long piece co author with Ashley Parker
- 6:33Speaker 8: in The Atlantic Today about the state of how the
- 6:35Speaker 8: White House is viewing this conflict in President Trump a
- 6:38Speaker 8: week or so back, sort of really single.
- 6:39Speaker 7: He's going to step.
- 6:40Speaker 8: Back from diplomatic efforts, which is set off a lot
- 6:43Speaker 8: of alarm of bells. But he is, we report privately,
- 6:46Speaker 8: unhappy with with Vladimir Putin. He does fee a little
- 6:48Speaker 8: bit humiliated here that Russia continues to ignore US calls
- 6:51Speaker 8: for a ceasefire.
- 6:53Speaker 7: Ukraine and Russia are meeting next week. Again, Andy stumbled
- 6:55Speaker 7: us not involved.
- 6:56Speaker 8: We're told that President Trump wants to see some progress there,
- 7:00Speaker 8: or he might again emphasize might actually take action against
- 7:04Speaker 8: Russia with some sanctions.
- 7:06Speaker 7: We know there's a big bill in the Senate.
- 7:07Speaker 8: But if past his prologue he's never stood up the
- 7:10Speaker 8: Putin before, do you think you would now?
- 7:12Speaker 2: Maybe?
- 7:13Speaker 9: I mean, if he really wants progress, the only way
- 7:15Speaker 9: he's going to get at Jonathan is to put.
- 7:16Speaker 2: Pressure on Putin. What does that mean?
- 7:19Speaker 9: It means he doesn't show up until the Russians give
- 7:21Speaker 9: him whatever their memorandum is that they owe him, and frankly,
- 7:25Speaker 9: I don't think the Ukrainians should either. Second, he's got
- 7:28Speaker 9: a huge advantage that was handed to him by Senator
- 7:30Speaker 9: Lindsay Graham and eighty two senators who are waiting with
- 7:34Speaker 9: this sword, you know, this threat that the President can
- 7:37Speaker 9: lodge at Russia to say, if you guys don't make
- 7:40Speaker 9: a piece deal, we have hard sanctions coming, and this
- 7:43Speaker 9: sanctions bill that the Senate has proposed, and they, like
- 7:46Speaker 9: I said, they have eighty two co signatories, they're ready
- 7:49Speaker 9: to go with it. It's secondary sanctions. This would really
- 7:52Speaker 9: hurt Russia. And we can't underscore the fact that Russia
- 7:55Speaker 9: is weak economically and militarily. It might look like they're
- 7:59Speaker 9: not because they blow US, but sanctions would hurt them.
- 8:02Speaker 9: The other thing, of course, is assistance to Ukraine. President
- 8:05Speaker 9: Trump can offer to do more there.
- 8:07Speaker 8: That takes me to my final question here is that
- 8:09Speaker 8: there's a sense that people I've talked to that if
- 8:11Speaker 8: the US steps away from diplomatic efforts, certainly that's an
- 8:14Speaker 8: advantage to Russia. There seems like they're launching their summer
- 8:17Speaker 8: offensive now. But as long as the intel sharing continues
- 8:20Speaker 8: and the assistance goes, there's the sense that Ukraine, with
- 8:22Speaker 8: Europe's help, can weather the storm.
- 8:24Speaker 7: But how concerned would you be if Trump pulls that
- 8:26Speaker 7: back to I.
- 8:28Speaker 9: Would be really concerned. I do think the Europeans are
- 8:31Speaker 9: making a difference, and seeing the German Chancellor Merits out
- 8:34Speaker 9: there talking very robustly and making a real commitment to
- 8:39Speaker 9: technology transfer and working with Ukraine on creating more munitions,
- 8:42Speaker 9: long range munitions.
- 8:44Speaker 2: That's serious.
- 8:45Speaker 9: But that will take time, Jonathan, And we need to
- 8:47Speaker 9: help them with air defense. I mean, remember what Putin's
- 8:49Speaker 9: doing is attacking civilians and those are our Patriot missiles
- 8:53Speaker 9: that protect the Ukrainians.
- 8:55Speaker 5: And ev What do you say to people who are
- 8:57Speaker 5: skeptical when you try to connect our response in Ukraine too,
- 9:02Speaker 5: What might happen in Taiwan.
- 9:05Speaker 9: Well, I just say, look at what the Ukrainian sorry,
- 9:08Speaker 9: look at what the Russians and the Chinese say about
- 9:10Speaker 9: their relationship. They're working closely together. They believe their strategic allies.
- 9:15Speaker 9: China loves the fact that Russia is waging this war
- 9:18Speaker 9: in Ukraine and distracting the United States and our allies
- 9:21Speaker 9: to include our Asian allies.
- 9:23Speaker 2: And making them nervous.
- 9:24Speaker 9: So clearly that the Chinese and the Russians, along with
- 9:28Speaker 9: the Iranians and North Koreans are working in concert