Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 33: Week 2 College Football Betting Preview

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Episode 33: Week 2 College Football Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, fans of all ages, it's your
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favorite time of the week. You might need to brace yourself and grab a
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cold beverage. Mark and Scott are ready to drop from college football betting knowledge
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on your gass. The boys are back and ready to help you find some
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angles to beat your book, impress your friends, and get you ready to
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enjoy the greatest sport on the planet. So sit back and enjoy because we're
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damn happy to have you. Welcome to the Crazy Sheet, Lady and diddleman,
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boys and girls, it's your favorite time of the week. Three download
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the craziest and put up your pods, and you go for a run,
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you go for a walk. Are you to sit around and you want to
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talk about some college football? I'm marking, I'm here in the college football
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podcasting study in Scottie, my friend, you are at home this season?
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How the hell are you? Man? I am good, ready to get
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rolling now the week. Last week was a little stinky on the cast,
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but man I hung around and in bets some end game bets, some things
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took, some took some crazy stuff we didn't talk about and didn't have a
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terrible week and I don't know how because that had the makings of a disaster
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written all over it. But hung around and just battled. I felt like
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I was a total grinder. I was. I was kidish last week in
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rounders, That's what I was. Feel like I should have been driving a
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truck this week. Oh, Joey King is driving his paper route. That
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was an interesting week. Colorado obviously was the surprise of the weekend. Just
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I thought Duke played extremely well. There were some teams out there that I
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had power rated higher, and I probably, as I always do, make
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my biggest adjustments between in week one and two, and then my next biggest
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adjustment will be next week. But there's gonna be some there's some good teams.
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I think Florida State legitimately as a national championship contender based on what we
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saw against LSU. And it wasn't just the score. The Coleman kid at
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FSU, goodness gracious, did he make a difference. And if you're paying
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mel Tucker nine and a half million dollars a year to watch that guy got
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get away and not be able to get that guy out of football, what
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the hell's going on up there? The best thing I saw on the weekend
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was him pointing at the LSU dB and then pointing out his coaching staff like
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this dude can't cover me and putting they go right at him hops him for
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a touchdown. That's the coolest thing I saw. We just like, dude,
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throw me into football. That was awesome. I mean. And then
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he didn't get up barking and talking a bunch of gibberish in the end zone.
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He just got up and was like, there you go. Just you
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know, we own you. They were really good in the second half.
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LSU should have had a significantly bigger lead than they did at half time.
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That's what cost to the ball game. They wasted total opportunities. And get
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I'm not gonna overthink LSU. That's still a talented football team. The one
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thing I will point out, I hate what they're doing moving Perkins inside.
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They had taken a guy that was an elite pass rusher and just played with
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his hair on fire, and they'm standing around spying the quarterback all weekend.
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He was non existent on the field. They need to fix that ship tomorrow.
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Yeah, I agree, And it'll be interesting to see what they do
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with them as we move in the next few weeks. I thought that they
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were gonna put him in and spy Jordan Travis, and they did. Now
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they've said they're gonna leave him at the mic, but he was But because
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they did that, they got out schemed because they completely took him out of
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the game. They let Travis get back there. They've got skilled position talent
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around that team. The offensive lines better at FSU. But I was impressed
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with their physicality. And that's the reason I think this team actually has a
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chance to play for the SEC champion in Chipping possibly on because they were very
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physical. Uh flipping around a couple of different ways. Pac twelve goes thirteen
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and Ozer to get the season started. Un be good. They're gonna be
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really good. And I thought Ucla after they moved to Dante Moore looked looked
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strong and I'll be surprised if he's not the starter this week. I'll be
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on Ucla if I can get some news that Dante Moore is the starter.
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He's a difference maker. He's a freshman. He had a freshman interception.
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But the offense looked good, you know, out there, and so I
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was kind of encouraged by that. Uh. I think Washington le. I
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think Washington's really good and I like I like my PAC twelve bet for them
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to win it. But I'll tell you they're thing. Ohio State may have
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an issue. I think I think I was. I was expecting Ohio State
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to just bullyball. These guys hit some big plays, and they never could
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get the offense rolling. And I honestly think it's got to be getting a
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little hotter around Ryan Day's house than it has been in years past because with
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Michigan playing with the free hardball shirt I love that, by the way,
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and getting it going. So yeah, I think Michigan looked great. And
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obviously East Carolina isn't that good, but I thought they looked as advertised.
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I thought I would looked really good even though they didn't score twenty five points
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to help the friends keep his job moving forward against Utah State, but that
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defense is still strong in Wisconsin. To me, it was a mixed bag.
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I could they never seemed to dominate that game the way that I felt
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like they should, and so the big ten is is very interesting to me.
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Uh fucking James Franklin scoring late, man, he looks you know,
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he was watching the score that was awesome. There were several days like I
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know it fried you, but I love it when coaches do that' like covering
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over or whatever. They're like trying to get in late cover the line,
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and it was awesome. Oh man, you know. And I kind of
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wonder too with the running clock if they're trying to just get more reps.
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But whatever, I just I couldn't believe that I had the under that game,
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was sitting tents. I was good. It blows. I Look when
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I lost the bet, I was like, wait a minute, I won
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that game because I didn't see the final touchdown go when I changed the channel.
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And then the Texas Tech Wyoming game, I was sitting on a dead
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under at that game, and Tech just decided that they would get very conservative
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in the second half and let Wyoming chip away, get back in the game
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and eventually lose the game. Yeah. Which, if you've got a Texas
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Tech overwin total ticket, I don't know you're gonna be able to get there.
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Now. If you've got a Colorado over underwin ticket, like we talked
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about, I don't know that you're in TCU. So yeah, there's a
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couple of things I want to talk about about four things about me. I'm
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real quick. I know he's been the talk of the country and first Hunter
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is legit. Imagine if that dude was on FOURD State, Oh my gosh,
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I mean, because that's where he was committed when Dion got him to
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bail. Holy smokes, that guy's good. Did you see the video of
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him pre game and the guys are like, you're overrated, you did ac
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custom him and all that, and then he gets the pick down on that
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endzone. It turned boy was like who said it? Who said it?
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And their faces are life man, dang, you know. I mean,
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he just hurt around and started barking at it. I thought it was awesome.
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You gonna trash talk kids when they fire right back at you, Good
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for them. I thought that was awesome. I'm not totally righting one other
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thing on beyond there. At some point you gotta start saying that the dude
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really can't coach, that it's not just all hype wagon. I have no
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problem with him saying what he said about calling the roster, you know,
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because there's a lot of guys that turn over rosters, and you know it
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in just theon especially new guys. I mean, you'll see teams with fifty
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and sixty new guys, and that's what on did. I don't have a
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problem with anything he does. I mean this, I like what he's telling
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those kids from a coaching standpoint, Like when you see the videos of him
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talking to the kids and stuff like that. I like what he's saying.
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So I'm impressed. They're significantly better than I thought they would be. They
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may not win another game, and I still think they're better than I thought
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they would be. It is saying his son did a really good job.
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Man, he can move around. Yeah, and look he was just off
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on two more touchdown passes and that game's not closed, you know. So
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it was I dot Colorado looked great. Nebraska inventing ways to lose. They
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play Colorado this year, so we'll talk about it on the hill. Did
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they lose that game? Idea? Holy moke? I mean it is.
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It was Blossi and Wonder after blunder and you're just like, man, this
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is all that pick before halftime, which ultimately ended up being the difference in
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the game. Yeah, I mean this. If our seventh grade quarterback does
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that tonight, I'll be like, what are you thinking? I mean,
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how did you not see that guy and just throw it right to him like
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he wasn't gonna drop back on that ball. I mean that was just as
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a bad read, bad just bad decision. Man, Don't throw a ball
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like that. Take the field goal and live to fight another day. Throw
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that thing in the stands if you don't have anybody open. It's just pour
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pour quarterback play. And that ended up being the game. Everybody talks about
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fumbles and what that fumble was gigantic. They made some huge mistakes late in
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the four quarter, you know, another pig that obviously ultimately lost him the
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game. Nebraska lost the game right for it happened. That's a bottom one.
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Yeah, it was. Minnesota was underwhelming and underwhelming. Yeah, and
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you know, and they were talked about they're gonna throw the ball more with
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Kelly ak manness boy, that name was fun to say. But they just
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couldn't get anything going. And then you're right with Nebraska. That was the
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one reason I didn't like Nebraska to bet that game at plus seven is Jeff
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Simms was great at Georgia Tech, but couldn't I just was like, man,
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Georgia Tech was terrible when he was there and he didn't look great,
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and so this week will be interested. Had Nebraska won that game in Colorado
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did what they did last week, without a doubt in my mind. You
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not only that, I think that the Big ten or the big new kickoff
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would be up there and it would be bananas in that place. It's gonna
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be nuts in Boulder come Saturday for this game. And I don't know what
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keep up Colorado, but we'll get. Yeah, Nebraska just cannot move the
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ball, and so I it's gonna be interesting to see where things go.
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Anything else from last week is takeaways. No, I think, you know,
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I think some of the I think some of the teams in the SEC.
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I think this is the first time I do. I do want to
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point out South Carolina's got major problems. Yeah, on the offensive line,
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they can't do. You can't I need help. You give up nine sacks
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in a game, I mean, that's just I don't care if they brought
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if North Carolina ball Lawrence Taylor back. I mean, dude, you cannot
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give up nine sacks in a game. That's awful. I did think Carolina
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defense looked a lot better. I thought they had made some really good improvements
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there are. I hate Mississippi State schedule for where they play teams. Got
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LSU next week after this game, but boy, both those teams look suspect
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and if you're gonna catch them, now them in South Carolina they played back
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to back, one at home then at South Carolina. If you want to
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play them, you better be glad it's now, because they got they got
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a lot of things they got to fix. I think they will, especially
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think LSU will, But man, they got a long way and they both
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got a long way to go because that Florida State defense bullied them in the
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second half. Scotty last week four and five. That brings us to six
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and eight below the Mendoza line. As we get started this week, I
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think we got a good week coming up. We got one day to point
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two pointed points for a couple of teams here. But I feel a little
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bit more confident in what I'm going here. Been able to adjust some numbers,
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and I look forward to weeks and weeks of this coming out. Remember
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don't we said be careful with your bankroll getting started early. You don't want
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to blow it all. In Week one, I pushed around a little money
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and lost a couple of hundred bucks, which is fine. That's kind of
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my cost for playing Scotty. First game I want to go to is a
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team from your home state, just north of your hometown and Starkville, Mississippi.
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Let's talk about the Old Miss Rebels. Will be traveling down to New
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Orleans this weekend to play two lane at their home stadium. I liked their
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home stadium. I'm glad they're not doing something stupid and playing this in the
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Superdome. But they'll have a good Old Miss fan base that'll show up there.
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But the same time, two lanes drawing. Now that they've done what
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they've done, two lane getting seven points over under here is sixty seven.
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Two lane scored thirty seven points, gave up seventeen last week to South Alabama,
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finish that game with a plus two in the turnover margin. Rushed for
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one hundred and forty two yards through for three hundred Old Miss on the flip
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side, and scored seventy three points last tweek, gave up seven. They're
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one of those straight up and they were plus two in the turnover margin last
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week. They also rushed for one hundred and forty three yards, but they
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threw the rock for a small five hundred and twenty four yards against an fcsupposed
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in this one. This is an interesting matchup Old Miss Tou Lane. You
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got the Lane train and Willie Fritz. How are we playing this one?
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I like the Rebels system, bot mine only becaus enough points. Obviously,
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we bet against Tulane last week lost South Alabama. Turning the ball over.
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Losing turnover battle was the difference in that ball game. I think Old Miss
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is just too talented for these guys. They are not going to be held.
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Tulane did what they were able to do last week because South Alabama couldn't
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run the football, and they're not. I don't think there's any chance they're
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gonna be able to keep Old Miss from running the football at those quarterback keeps.
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I think I've said this a bunch Spencer Sanders, I mean, what
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in the world was he thinking. The only way Old Miss doesn't cover this
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game is if Kiffen gets the switching quarterback. But it was a dark last
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week until the ball game was out, and I think he's planned done anything
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to lose it. I think at some point there's going to be a quarterback
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controversy up there, but I don't think it's Saturday. I think the Rebels
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got too much talent. Defense is good enough for them to cover this number.
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I think it's also fairly high scoring, but I think the Rebels covered
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the seventh. I with you on this one. I think Old Miss is
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a better team than a lot of people thought coming into the season. I
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think Lane does a really good job. I think he's one of the better
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I think he's one of the top twenty coaches in the country, especially from
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an offensive mind. And their defense is stepped up. We've played a ton
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of Old Miss unders over the last couple of years. Here. I think
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this may be where the balloon finally pops for Tulane and they come in here
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and take care of business and get this one done. So I will ride
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with you with the Old Miss Rebels minus seven. Next one, I want
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to go to Scotty on your rotation sheet. This is game three thirty three
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Texas A and m University of Miami at Florida. Line opened up around three
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month all the way up to Miami getting four and a half points at home
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over under here is fifty one. Both of these teams are coming into the
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season with new offensive coordinators. The big question last week was if A and
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M was gonna let Bobby Petrino run the offense or if Jimbo Fisher was going
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to control him and keep him bottled up. We were on a m first
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half in that one. It was obvious that if you watched the game,
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Bobby Petrino's calling the offense. I'm not saying Jimbo doesn't have some override there,
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but they looked good. Connor Wegman and the Boys put it to him
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An went out and took care of business. Defensively, they did what they
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were supposed to do. And I know that doesn't sound like much, but
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last season this defense even struggled to slow down the run, and so I
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was impressed that they just came out played ball. Didn't overlook this opponent like
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they did a lot last year as they go into this rematch from this game
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last season. This was a low scoring affair last year, but both these
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teams scored last week. Miami scored thirty eight and gave up three. Texas
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Sam scored fifty two gave up ten. Both of these teams are plus one
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in the turnover margin. I'll tell you where I'm going with this one.
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I'm going over fifty one points. I think points are going to be a
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premium in this spot, and you're gonna see I think more of them.
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I also think A M wins and covers this game. I won't be surprised
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if you don't see some systems launch out this play later in the week and
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we don't see this number go up. I think A and M knows are
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gonna have to score points to win, and I think they're gonna dominate this
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Miami team. This is a good Texas A and M team. I've really
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we've got them. Take them with the over at seven and a half.
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I like Texas A and M and this one to go over. Fifty one
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is the total. I do think they'll give some points up, but I
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look for this Aggie offense to be pretty high flight in this one. Yeah,
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I agree with you on this. I just think both these teams are
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playing a little faster than before. I think also some of these numbers are
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still low and that everybody's expecting a lot less play. Saw staff this week
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that that has not borne out. I saw a couple of head to head
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matchups that were repeated from the year before play totals were one different, two
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different. That's just not enough to make a difference in the ball game.
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I think a lot of these teams run fast, trying to catch guys off
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guard. Certainly what Petrino wants to do. If he thinks he catch his
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Manami's sleeping or soft or tired, man, He's going fast. So that's
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I just don't think that really matters here. This is a must win for
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the Southeastern Conference in my mind, and I think it is for Bama too.
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I think those are two big games that the SEC needs to win after
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the drubbings the ACC put on them in because I will tell you I think
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another one's in danger of losing on the West Coast this week. So I
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think this is actually a pretty big game for the SEC. Same thing with
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Bama. So anyway, that's one of the reasons I think they come out
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and they play well. But I do think it's gonna be a really good
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game to watch, hell a lot better than last year. I think it's
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gonna be a lot more exciting. Next one. I want to go to
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scott A. Let's go to the game. Everybody's gonna be talking about the
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most bet Game of the week is what I've got to think. It's gonna
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be a game three eighteen on your rotation sheet. Colorado coming home hosting the
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Nebraska Men of Corn. Colorado's laying three. This is a big line moved.
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Nebraska was favored in this going into the season. Just two weeks ago.
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They were minus one and a half minus two over under who's at fifty
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nine. Nebraska, with that offensive power play against Minnesota, scored ten points.
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They gave up thirteen. They were minus three in the turnover margin.
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We all saw what Colorado did forty five to forty two. They were plus
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one in the turnover margin. I like Colorado here. I think you're gonna
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have to bet them until you get bucked off the train, which may be
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in two more weeks, because I don't know if the books are gonna be
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able adjust to him. I think they're gonna give up some points, but
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they've got explosive plays all over this offense, and I think they're gonna keep
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getting better. And Nebraska to me, has not shown me that they can
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play bulleyball yet much less than they have any explosion. So I would leave
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Colorado minus three. What say you? I don't think they got enough firefower
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to keep up with Colorado. At Colorado, defense still leads a lot to
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be desired, But man Hunter can make plays, and I find it difficult
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to believe that Dean's not gonna find their best playmaker. He's gonna bait sends
19:17
into a bad throw and get a pick. You can feel it. I
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mean, just in my opinion, that's what's going to happen. But I
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just don't think they're gonna be able to keep up with him. Man,
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they spread you out, move around. At Kent State offense moved around a
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ton and was able to score points even when they played good teams. And
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we go back to Georgia last year, they scored good points completely out.
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Man Sanders is literally mobile in the pocket. There was one play mark he
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made and he rolls out to a great stram. There aren't five quarterbacks in
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the country that get that ball off at all. And then he creates just
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enough space to fire a guard for a first down and he got hit in
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the grill. As soon as he hit through it popped right up and was
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ready to roll. Man. I just he's got He got a conflans too
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that I like I mean, you see a quarterback bang around like that,
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get hit, pop right back up and just ready to go right back down
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the field. It affects a team. They play hard, and the offensive
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lineman, you know, get get a little bit more pep in their step
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when I got a guy back there like that. So I like Colorado.
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I can't say high and pressed, tam. I don't want to overdo week
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one. This is more about how poorly Nebraska played and looked, and I
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understand the defense for and that was a road game. But this is two
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and at the end of the day, I like Colorado. Here, Oh
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getting interesting, getting interesting, Scott A. Let's move to the SEC game.
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Three forty six. Arkansas will be at home this week as they host
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Kent State. Kent State is one of the worst teams in the country,
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and I don't know that you can set a line high enough to get away
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from this. This was a team that was dominated in Week one against UCF.
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You see f from with tempo gust bus was still chunking it way deep
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in this game. But with this Arkansas team, I think they're gonna dominate
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him. We're gonna play it the same way we did last week. At
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the an M game. We're gonna go over in the first half. We're
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gonna take the team total. We're gonna take MICUs the points, which we
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look for that to come in around twenty three and a half. Over under
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to be thirty two and a half, and I think their team total will
21:18
probably come in around twenty eight. If I can get a flight twenty eight,
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I'll play that as well. This Arkansas team, they do lose their
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offensive coordinator, but they don't lose much else in an offensive set. I
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think they can bully this Kent State team as much as they want to,
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and Kent State is not going to be able to move the ball in this
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Arkansas defense. Arkansas played an FCS team last week. They gave up thirteen
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points in garbage time, but they were also a plus five in the turnover
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margin Kent State. Kent State gave up fifty six points to UCF and they
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were plus two in the turnover margin in that game. This is a bad
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football team. They returned one starter from last season, all new coaching staff.
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I don't like anything about what you're gonna get here. I'm gonna bade
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this team most of the season. I'm taking Arkansas first half and team total
22:03
to cover in this one. You won't find many guys that kJ Jefferson can't
22:10
throw the football better than. But John Royce plumb Lea is one of them.
22:14
And knt Say gave up three hundred and eighty nine yards on the ground.
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Do you realize what kJ Jefferson rocket Sanders are going to do to that
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defense? I mean it's just how long do they want to play them?
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On? How many reps did they want to give them? I mean that
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really is the difference. And give up three hundred and thirty four yards passing,
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they're gonna force this. Kin't Say can walk up the line which played
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right into Jefferson's hand and boom, he hits a long pass play for touchdowns.
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It's pretty easy to see what's coming. But Sanders is going to have
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a field day. That guy's gotten faster and as big and as physical as
22:51
that kid is running the football. I think Arkansas puts wood to these guys,
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as y'all can tell from us betting hit multiple ways. Oh, I
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liked that one the lot Scotty. Let's go out west here for a rematch
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game. Wazoo will be at home playing Wisconsin this week on your rotation sheet,
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this is game three, twenty six. Let me pull it up real
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quick, bingo, Washington State's getting six and a half over under. Here
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is fifty eight and a half. Wisconsin scored thirty eight with their opener from
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Luke Fickle and Phil Longo. They gave up seventeen and that one they were
23:27
minus two with the turnover chain. Washington State scored fifty points giving up twenty
23:32
four, and they were minus one in the turnover battle. And this was
23:34
well Wisconsin and me, I was I was underwhelmed at best. I'm expecting
23:41
this team to run the rock and take some big shots. Chez Molucy broke
23:45
off. I think a seventy two eighty yard touchdown run to bump this one
23:49
up. Otherwise, this was in a fourteen point window there, and I
23:52
really thought Wisconsin was gonna punk a team from Buffalo that I don't believe it's
23:56
gonna be very good this season, and they really never could quite just stretched
24:00
this one out. This was a game last year that Washington State came to
24:04
Madison in one in a lower scoring affair. But I think this year,
24:08
Washington State they're not scared of getting to shoot out. They're actually more physical
24:12
this year than they were last year. Give me Washington State plus six and
24:17
a half. Probably gonna hold out and see if I can get a seven
24:18
come game time. But I like Wazoo in this one. The home doog
24:22
and the points is a theme for me this week. I know it's early,
24:26
but I agree with you. I like Wazoo. This is as much
24:30
about Wazoo to me as not. I actually expected Whiskey with that big of
24:33
a change, to kind of look like they did on offense. I expect
24:37
long ago to keep getting better every week than to kind of get adjusted to
24:41
that system. But I just like this Wazoo team. I think they're better
24:45
than I was expecting. I thought they looked pretty good. So I like
24:49
Wazoo here. I like them at home. I like the points. Tough
24:53
place to go, so let's give me some Wazoo at home. It is
24:59
hard to get to Pullma if you've never been there before. Next one I
25:02
want to go to, Let's go to a rematch from last year again.
25:06
Game three sixty four on your rotation sheet. This is an interesting one.
25:11
North Carolina has laying somewhere between seventeen and eighteen against an Appalachian State team.
25:15
North Carolina's coming off of that big win over South Carolina. Appy State had
25:19
a pretty big win last week as well. Moving into this one over under,
25:23
here's at fifty eight. North Carolina's laying eighteen. Both these teams won
25:29
in the turnover battle. Last week. Appy State was plus three, North
25:32
Carolina was plus two. Do we think Appy State can pull the upset or
25:37
propelling this game two years in a row. No, I think they are
25:41
absolutely going to get drubbed. In honor of Jimmy Buffett and his song boat
25:47
drinks. I think you're gonna get boat raced this week. Is what's going
25:51
to happen to Appy State. I think last week bad Form thinks it's a
25:53
better football team. Like Drake may thought he played pretty well. Proday couldn't
26:00
run the football a little better than they did last week. But I don't
26:03
really think it matters. I thought he looked good. I just don't think
26:07
this Happy State team is very good. That's why I like this number.
26:11
I think this team's gonna struggle. I think we are two seasons away from
26:15
a likely coaching change in Boton is what I think interesting. I think you're
26:21
gonna get a big showing from NC State, I mean from NC last year
26:23
after they laid an egg in this one. I thought Chins did a good
26:26
job with the defense last week. I was firmly impressed. I mean,
26:29
we were on South Carolina. This is not an overreaction type play. I've
26:33
had this game slotted at a seventeen point power rating since before we went into
26:37
the season, so it's kind of right around in there now. I don't
26:38
like the fact that it creeped up to eighteen, but I would buy it
26:41
almost all the way to twenty. I think they're gonna cause a lot of
26:45
problems for an Appalachian State offense, and I do think Drake May is gonna
26:48
be able to pick him apart. So I'm with you on this one.
26:49
Last one, Scotty. Let's go to Wake Go Texas, Utah traveling down
26:55
to play the Baylor Bears. This is game three nineteen on your rotation sheet.
27:00
Gonna be eleven o'clock central kickoff, which I kept hearing about the heat
27:03
and all that bullshit last week. I didn't see anybody get affected by it.
27:07
Now. Coleman for Florida State did come off right before halftime. It
27:11
looked like he needed to shoot his pants. But I'm pretty sure he had
27:14
some calf cramps in that one. But everybody else I didn't see the heat
27:17
playing issue to it. So I'm not really worried about Utah on this one.
27:19
Utah getting laying seven and a half on the road, I would buy
27:23
this one down the seven if you can over under here's forty seven. Utah
27:27
scored twenty four points last week, gave up eleven. They were plus twe
27:30
in the turnover battle. Baylor scored thirty one, gave up forty two to
27:34
Texas State, and they were dead even in the turnover battle. And that
27:37
one there, Here's where I'm going with this. When Baylor has now lost
27:41
five games in a row and they have played two teams in that run that
27:47
were physical on the trench Kansas State in Texas. Both of those games they
27:51
were dominated. Sawyer Robertson's most likely going to start a quarterback for Baylor.
27:56
Here. Utah is still flirting with the idea that Cam Rising play. If
28:00
he does great. I don't think he will. But the backups played fine
28:04
against Florida, and again they've got the reps because they've been practicing together all
28:07
summer, all through camp where I'm going and this one is it's just gonna
28:11
be a physical affair, and I think Utah is going to dominate the line
28:15
of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. You're gonna get some d linement
28:18
back that didn't play against Florida last week and a linebacker. Baylor, on
28:22
the other hand, is gonna struggle to move the rock in this situation.
28:26
The skill position talent I've downgraded Baylor from last year I've got. This is
28:30
a four win team. I like Utah. I would buy it to a
28:33
flat seven, but I think Utah should handle their business in this one.
28:37
Agree with you here, I thought, I think a couple of things about
28:40
Utah. I ate the extended time to get ready for this ball game.
28:44
I think is extremely important for those guys. I think. Secondly, I
28:48
think that I like their changing pace at quarterback, what they were doing against
28:52
Florida, and man, you talked about putting it on cruise control. We
28:56
don't have any idea what you talk could do. They knew Florida couldn't were
29:00
on them. They swore pre touchdowns and man, they weren't done. I
29:03
mean they worked just on full cruise control. It was like a practice.
29:07
I mean, you could have literally been in the huddle listening to the play
29:12
calls and you wouldn't have learned anything about what that football team can really do.
29:17
They dominated it so clearly. It didn't have to do much to do
29:22
it. I mean you look at him statistically and you think, man,
29:25
this is an easy cover for Baylor. But man, I watched that ball
29:30
game. I saw what they were doing, and I think they're completely going
29:33
to come down here and blow their wig back with a first time starter and
29:37
Sawyer Robertson, who candidly I don't think's quite ready to play having left Mississippi
29:41
State. I don't think anybody thought that he was ready to play. Candidly,
29:47
I think he was the backup to the kid who transferred to Wisconsin when
29:49
Leech died. So I think at the end of the day, you got
29:53
a young quarterback against a really solid, hard hitting defensive football team. I
30:00
think that creates problems. You know, I think it's supposed to cool off
30:03
between now and the weekend before the ball games. So at the end of
30:08
the day and the altitude them coming down from altitude is gonna. I think
30:11
Negate a lot of whatever heat advantage there would be, they're gonna gain from
30:15
a cardiovascure standpoint. So I like U talk here just because I think they're
30:19
a better football team. I think they're more than eight points better than this
30:23
football team. I like it, Scotty. That is the board officially that
30:27
we've got. I'll thought a couple of other plays that I've got at you.
30:30
I like the cal alburn over over at fifty one. I feel like
30:34
that numbers kind of like Cal played with a lot of tempo gilst North Texas
30:38
I could see this game going over the total. I got three home dogs,
30:44
well excusing two home dogs I like and one dog I like. I
30:47
think Yukon is gonna win at George State straight up? That thing better,
30:52
and I thought they were. I was completely unimpressed with the offensive special the
30:57
play God, I thought I was done. How bad the play calling was
31:02
of State? Did you? I think they just leaned on Brandon Armstrong the
31:04
whole game. It was brutal. I mean it was absolutely brutal, but
31:10
but I think a lot of it had to do with you con defensively up
31:15
front. I think they were struggling with them. At the end of the
31:19
day, they said all off season strength of this team was the offensive and
31:23
defensive line, and while they lost on a talent standpoint to NC State,
31:29
I don't disagree. I thought they held their own very very well with the
31:33
power of five team at the line of scrimmage and broke off a seventy yard
31:37
run to get that game really closely. Which the difference enough covering and not.
31:41
I think that was the I think that was a really really big play.
31:45
I liked them to win straight up. I think Tech bounces back.
31:48
I said this preseason. Every Tech fan that I know, including you and
31:53
your wife, are going to love it this weekend. I mean I truly
31:59
don't know any one who's not. And it is amazing how rowdy I think
32:05
that place is going to be. That place can get loud. I think
32:09
we have all seen Bonnicks struggle on the road. I know he's a better
32:13
player, but we have seen it repeatedly. I think this game gets because
32:16
I think they could be a dog. But of these three games, they're
32:20
actually a team I like the least a winning So if you're looking for something,
32:23
I would probably take the points here, unless you just want to take
32:27
a flyer on a big underdog parlay. And then the last one is Cow
32:31
and Auburn. While Auburn looked good last week. I think Hugh Freeze is
32:36
a great coach. I think he's going to do a great job. Just
32:38
look at his recruiting. He is mopping up. They are not going to
32:42
be at a talent disadvantage to Georgia and Obama for long. I think that
32:46
he is doing a phenomenal job out there. I think he's a good football
32:50
coach. But I like what Cow's doing playing fat or. I thought they
32:53
looked really good against more Texas. Went back and watch that game. Really
32:58
impressed there. I thought they did a really nice job. I think that
33:01
teams better. Wilcox has always had them playing decent defensively, And really,
33:07
what it is for me is I question this long trip going on the road
33:13
this early, with a new staff and a ton of new talent coming into
33:16
Auburn. I just question is are they gonna be able to get it done
33:19
and can that defense hold up? I like Cow as an underdog in this
33:23
ball game, so I'm gonna drop me a tech Cow or Ukon Cow or
33:29
Yukon underdog play just for fun. Those are those are the underdog games I
33:35
like. So it's just everyone fy. I am not against that. I'm
33:37
waiting on a couple of things. I like Ucla especially once if I can
33:42
get somewhere that they clarify that they announced Dante Moore at quarterback, I would
33:45
buy that game up to seventeen against San Diego State. San Diego State is
33:50
broken their offense, their quarterback is a former safety that's playing quarterback for him,
33:54
and they're just not that good and they've they've relied on the defense for
33:58
these last couple of years. I can't get there with it. So I
34:00
would take Ucla in that one. Another game I like. I like FAU
34:05
at home land points against Ohio. They think Rourke's gonna play, so they've
34:10
announced, but this line's been minus three to kind of three and a half.
34:14
I think Florida Atlantic's got a good roster. They upgraded a lot,
34:17
They brought a lot of folks in from the portal here. Tom Herman is
34:21
a G five dominating force when it comes to that offense. In Ohio,
34:28
they're one and one straight up, but they're oh and two against the number
34:30
Rourke didn't play last week, and I could see Alban's holding Rourke out one
34:35
more week as you start getting ready for conference play because these games don't matter
34:39
shit to them. It's all about trying to win the MAC and I don't
34:43
know why you would risk him getting hurt in this one. I kind of
34:45
like that one a little bit. That's there. I want to bet JMU
34:50
against Virginia, but I can't touch that at six. It is gross to
34:54
be what's your opinion on Texas and Alabama? Do you have one? I
34:59
do, and I don't know if it is gut because I don't know that
35:06
it's it's certainly ain't watching Texas last week, but man, yours was playing
35:12
so well in that game that early in that ball game. Is hard for
35:15
me to believe that's not gonna be a close football game. I believe that
35:21
this game is going to be close, So I would take Texas and the
35:24
points the other game I like. I like Thursday night. I like the
35:27
Jayhawks host in Illinois. Man, I've barely missed them. Upset for Illinois.
35:34
I knew that Toledo was gonna give them all they wanted. I think
35:37
it's the same thing's gonna happen this week. I just think Kansas is able
35:40
to close the deal at home. So I think that's where I think,
35:45
that's where I like fastball game on Friday night, so short week for both
35:50
these teams. Illinois had a more physical football game. I just think the
35:52
back end of that Illinois defense is lacking. I really do. And it's
35:57
never beat them, has never had an explosive offense. I just don't think
36:00
they're gonna be able to score enough points to stay within this number. And
36:04
you know, and last week Daniels didn't even play the quarterback in Kansas,
36:07
but I mean being played a lot last year. I like you, I
36:09
would lay Kansas minus three. I'll make that a play if you want to
36:13
play it. Because Illinois loses their defensive coordinator, then they lose three guys
36:17
in the defensive backfield that were top sixty six picks and one of them was
36:21
a top five pick. And that's got they got an All American defensive end.
36:24
They got some they still got some talent on that defense. It's just,
36:28
man, you can throw the football on this team and you just don't
36:31
look the Illinois a lot like Missipi State and ways when you lose superstar guys,
36:37
really hard to replace them, and a lot like MISSOPI states d D
36:40
there's no Manuel Forbes over there. I mean that's just a bias. And
36:45
they've lost back to back years Martin Emerson and Emmanuel Forbes. They lost two
36:49
legit NFL cornerback. Emerson's great for the Browns. So I mean it's as
36:53
they don't replace those guys. I mean, that's just the bottom line.
36:57
They're not Bama, they're not Georgia. They can't bring those guys and just
37:00
Libby in another all American, and I think that's where the difference of this
37:04
football team is. So that's my fix. That's everything I got. That's
37:07
everything I've got, Scotty, It's gonna be a good week. Hit us
37:08
up on Twitter, give us some reviews, give us some ratings. If
37:12
you're new to the show, We're glad you're here. I probably should have
37:14
done that at the beginning, but I get so damn excited. I just
37:16
want to talk about football. I didn't do it anyway. Folks, have
37:19
a good week. Travel safe if you're heading to the games, have a
37:22
few cocktails, enjoy some families and friends. Give somebody a hug and by
37:24
god, let's hope we win some money and we'll talk to y'all next week.