Ep. 361: One Nation's Soft Vote and the Secret Harbour By-Election | Australia's Labor Podcast

Socially Democratic · Jul 23, 2026 · 1h 14m

This episode of Socially Democratic is a special two-parter recorded on the eve of the ALP National Conference in Adelaide.

Part one: pollster John Armitage from Qdos Research joins Stephen for a mid-year federal check-in. One Nation is at 30% in Newspoll. The Liberals have collapsed to 19%. And the swing is coming from women.

Part two: Priya Brown from GRA Partners breaks down the Secret Harbour by-election in WA: a long winter campaign in a mortgage-belt seat that One Nation has firmly in its sights.

📊 One Nation at 30%: what it means on two-party preferred, and why the vote is still soft…