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Transcript

BMW Championship PGA Leverage Lane | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS | Single-Entry GPP Strategy · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All system's gone clear the lift up. What's up? Everyone?
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Tyler Tambaline here aka Totec and Tambo back for another
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: edition of Leverage Lane PGA edition here on the ship
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: Nation YouTube station. It is the final PGA edition we'll
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: be doing this season. Of course, we do have the
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: Tour Championship next week, but we won't have a leverage
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Lane for that. We've got some other stuff that we're
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: gonna tease and push here in a minute, but I
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: got my man Alex blikele here with me as always
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: Blick Analytics dot Com gonna break it all down for
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: you and more for the BMW. It's a Milli maker week.
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: I know you got a ticket. I got a ticket.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: We got a ticket to the Big show. So this
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a fun one man. How you doing,
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: my friend?
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been been a long time coming to get
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: that ticket this year finally finally got it. It's back
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: to back top one percent finishes in showdowns the last
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: couple of weeks, so it's been a lot of fun.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Props are on fire, and yeah, I just can't wait
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: for the NFL season. As you saw, like I put
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: the NFL roster construction data into the discord yesterday. That
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: was my task while waiting for my car to be service.
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: Got it all done while I was there at the dealership.
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: So yeah, it was a fun, productive day. And I'm
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: just like, this is such an exciting time of the
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: year and both for golf and of course for for
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: NFL right around the corner.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be awesome, man. We of course will
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: be back. For those who don't know, make sure you're
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: subscribe to this channel. Make sure you hit the thumbs up. Well,
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: you're here. If you're a mobile live, just push the
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: chat screen down hit the thumbs up there for us,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: takes two seconds. But we will be back for NFL.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Last year we didn't start. I think it was week three.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: I want to say maybe week four. Even this year,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: we'll have the entire season that we'll be covering just
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: like this, and we don't put the show out five
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: days early just to get a million clicks and links
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: and all this other stuff and people spreading the word.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: We're trying to make sure we get you, guys, the
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: most actionable advice for your DFS lineups and for your
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: betting and all of that and more so we'll have
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: more on that to come just to heads up, I mean,
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: lots of good people here in the chat, Gocalk says,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: we'll have to catch a replay. Didn't know we still
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: had it. Yeah, we got you covered right through, like
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: we said till the end. This is interesting, gonna be
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: a topic. Obviously. We will get to the chock build,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: how to leverage the chalk build, and we'll see if
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: this is a common thought. I actually think Scotty, who's
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: another interesting topic, could steam a little more than we
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: think because I don't think Rory gets much ownership at
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: all everyone else. There's no way Roy could play good.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: He said he didn't play very much very often. You know,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: he's only played his whole life though he's only one
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: of the best golfers of all time. But there's no
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: way he could play good this week. So wins a
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: lot says, let's have a week. Lots of good people
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: and there I can't bring them up. I like this
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: one though, Seymour putts, which is a great you know,
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: use your name. It's like a fantasy football golf fantasy Seymour.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: But may your Screens be green? Really isn't noteworthy until
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: coming down the stretch on a Sunday. But people are dreamers.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: I was a dreamer on Sunday. My friend and my
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: man Sung Jam made a bogie on eighteen that cost
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: me ten thousand dollars, dropping from first to second in
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: the two fifty four mags. And then I was like, oh,
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: Sam Burns, you had yourself a day, Scotty, wipe the
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: floor with you. That's great, he's your good buddy. At
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: least make a par right, Well, we'll hang on to
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: this ten k. Nope, we'll make a bogie too, he says,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: And that dropped me another five so fifteen K drop
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: on the final two holes as some people were congratulating me,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: which is not how you should do that in this game.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: But least position, placement, points and all these other things
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: that matter, but you don't control it. I don't believe
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: in like MUSHes or jinxes. Everybody knows that. I'm just saying,
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: it's more of a testament to you seeing that it's
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: never over till it's actually over, unless you are blowing
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the field away, as our guy Degenerate seventy five likes
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: to say, or like to say, boat race the field.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: And I should note that quickly, and I'll let you
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: rebuttle that, but just the big guy event quickly, it's
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: times up. I mean you get in still, don't get
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: me wrong, but I'm saying like, if you're not already
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: booked for Vegas or living there, you're probably not going.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: And I get that, but do want to say thank
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: you to everybody that's supported excited to see all those
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: coming out. It looks like we'll have a pretty good
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: crowd of friends, close family, things like that that James
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: is going to have at the event. So a lot
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: of the ship at Nation crew, a bunch of good
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: people from around the DFS space. But that is Friday,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: August twenty first. If you're in Las Vegas, we will
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: be at the d Casino and Hotel. We will be
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: on the twelfth floor at the Detroit Ballroom and you
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: could come on down if you're not sure, You're like,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: I didn't know about it, whatever, but I'm in Vegas.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: I want to check this out. Hit me up on
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: X at Totech and Tambo Alex. I'll let the rebuttal
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: go back to you on the other stuff. I was
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: just saying, like, it's never over till it's over, right
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: in these tournaments as far as you know, Seymour made
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: a good point there.
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I was right there with you. I
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: needed Nap to part the last hole to get second
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: in the two fifty on Sunday and win two tickets.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: He made bogy, So I felt a third cost me
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: I think two thousand dollars there, and I lost one
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: of the two tickets that I was in first four
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: at the moment. So so got the ticket for this week,
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: and hopefully it's funny like the last two years, I've
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: had so many chances with so many tickets, and I
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: got the fifth place finishing in Week one last year
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: for fifty grand, but other than that, it felt like
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: a lot of missed opportunities. It's just like, how funny
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: would it be if the one ticket that I win
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: this year in PGA is the one that really, you know,
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: it gets the big prize. So we'll see what happens
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: this week. And I feel pretty good because I know,
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: you know, the data is all working. The contest hims
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: right now are fully fired up and super powerful, so
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: I feel really really good about the process. We talked
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: a lot on Mastermind episode last week and like just
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: kind of finding the right balance between all this new
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: stuff that I've been able to do, and I feel
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: like we're kind of in the zone now.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, and I think it's gonna be a
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: big season ahead. I will actually make sure to show
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: that off quickly now that you mentioned it real fast
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: there and get Seymour. We appreciate you, but I'm going
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: to get you off the screen there. But I just
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: want to bring this up. I think we have it here.
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna press play on it and then that'll
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: get it on the screen. But yeah, if you guys
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: want to go check it out DFS Mastermind. If you
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: go to this YouTube channel under the video section, you'll
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: find this video how my DFS process changed in twenty
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: twenty six. Lots of comments, lots of people seem to
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: love what we're doing there, So if you want to
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: check that out, that's a good starting point. We've got more.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: Like I said, there's a teaser that we'll be doing
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a side project upcoming. You guys
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: may like, but we'll have more on how to get
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: into that and how to find out about that as
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: we go along. Let's see what else. Yeah, Nap unfortunately
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: never got those eight birdies. No he did that at
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: three m I watched him live do that and that
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: was great for the showdown on Sunday when I didn't
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: have him there. But this one was a little bit different.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: So new one says, well, man, Alex, you sit at
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: the dealership. I don't have patience to do, so they
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: have a nice waiting room. I just did this a
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. Actually it's not the worst.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: Sometimes as long as I have work to do, I'll
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: just sit there and do the work.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and this is a good point by Ryan Sad
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: times from the PGA streets going away, you know it
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: comes with greatness NFL season. But I'll say, like Alex said,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: there's nothing better. There's lots of money to be won
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: this week, by the way, not just the forty four
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: to forty four Mega that you got to pretty much
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: win your way into to play. But the tournaments are good,
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: the contests are nice as usual to make it from
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: that front, so I would say nothing better than going
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: into the NFL season of greatness with some money greatness
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: on the way out from the PGA street. So definitely
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: excited for that. Shout out to Gary and lots of others.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: But let's get into it. What is your thoughts?
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: One last thing there, including the fact that like, there
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: are a ton of satellites for Week one in the lobby.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: So if you know, even if you feel like, oh, man,
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: like this has been a really rough, you know, PGA
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: season and I'm kind of glad it's coming to an end,
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: and I just want a NFL to start, Like Okay,
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: then play really hard this week and next week because
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: you can win some great tickets and start a Week
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: one off with a bank just like I did last year.
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, good call out. Actually, because if you're not in
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: the forty four to forty four this week, you can
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: still get into the one that's coming up in just
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: a few weeks now for NFL. And like I said,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: Alex and I'll be back. We'll have more on that
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: and what's to come, and we might even do some
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: some preview stuff. Well we'll let you guys know, though.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: We'll be out here making sure you guys are taken
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: care of Dollar Bill, my man over at Chip Nation.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: I'll see him in Vegas this weekend. Says not to
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: mention ten days until CFB, So if you're playing in
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: the college football streets and you're eligible to do so.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Lots of good stuff going on over at ship Nation
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: with that Bill heads up, that program we got Kenny
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: hamhock Is is fully locked down for this year. He's
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: a great dude. I had him over on Mastermind doing
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: his interview. He's won the million Maaker, done well in
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: a bunch of different niche sports, but he absolutely crushes
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: college football two he won five. He maxed out the
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: Live Final last year and then won it, So congrats
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: to him for that. But lots of good stuff going on.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: Where do you want to start for this week with
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: the core spit, the weather, any anything you want to
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: comment on from that perspective. First, I think obviously people
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: know it's a smaller field. No people are grinding out.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: You know. I love these posts and I get it, Like,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: you know, somebody posted a you know, all fifty golfers
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: and what they need to do to get to the
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: get to East Lake, Like that is actually an interesting post.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: I'm not shitting on. I'm just saying it's like, yeah,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: they all got to play really good. And that's the
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: thing about like, you know, people always talk about it
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: and we've done a bunch of the past, like motivation.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: They all have motivation right now, they're all going to play.
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: They all want to get through. There is massive rewards
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: for their careers of getting through to the final thirty
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: with the two year exemption, all the majors, et cetera,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: et cetera, et cetera. I know a lot of the
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: you're like, well, most of them already have. Yeah, they
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: want to stack it, they want to get in there,
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: they want to make that happen. So any thoughts on that,
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: and then anything with the course fit you want to
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: bring up probably focus more on that.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Well. So one of the things that I did, because
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: if you remember, like I say it all the time,
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: motivation is not predictive of success. But one thing I
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: did do for round four last week was kind of
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: note the guys who were really on the bubble and
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: note the fact that, okay, that is creating an added
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: layer of pressure. And so we actually used our contention
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: performance score to kind of look at, okay, well, which
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: players might do well because they're on the bubble, and
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: which might struggle And so like the two kind of
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: auto fades for me in round four where Keith Mitchell
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: and Brian Harmon and Harmon ended up like forty two
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: percent in the two fifty and was atrocious, and so
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: like that was the key fade of the slate. The
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: guy that analysis got me onto, someone who was just
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: outside of the bubble and had a really good contention
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: performance score was Max Homa, and so he hit sixty
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: one hundred shot two under and was like eight percent
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: owner or something like that. He was probably the key
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: to my lineup. So it was really pleased with that,
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: And I'll probably look at contenttional performance score again this
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: week for the entire week for those bubble guys, you know,
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: who really have to play well to get into the
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: Tour Championship, and maybe it's a reason to fade some
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: of the guys who were like twenty eighth or thirty
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: second on the list and obviously have to play well,
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: and maybe if their contention performance scores really bad, maybe
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: maybe that means that they're not going to handle that
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: added layer of pressure well. But with all that said,
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: as always, I think course fit and just you know,
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: just generally, like who's good who's not is the more
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: important place to start. And so from a course fit perspective,
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: we only have the PGA Championship from twenty eighteen to
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: work with that week, it was very true that distance
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: was predictive. We also, though, know that like PGA Championships,
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: US opens, they like setting up the golf courses in
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: such a way that rewards distance. So how much of
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: that was bellery of itself versus just the PGA's Championship
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: or the PGA of America, I should say, setting up
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: the golf course in a way that would reward distance,
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: I don't really know. So there's going to be a
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: lot of uncertainty. What I have kind of coded up
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: for this is like in the contest sim over at
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: Block Analytics, there's what we call like just course fit
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: sensitivity and driving distance specifically sensitivity. So every time you
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: send a lineup, you can see like, oh, the lineup
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: is plus thirty percent when distance is super predictive, it's
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: negative twenty percent when distance is not super predictive.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: So just like.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: Really trying to capture and actually quantify that uncertainty as
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: I think a really strong point of those sims and
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: I will probably be leaning into since this week, but
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: it's I'm also going to be looking for guys who
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: like they can succeed regardless because it's very clear around
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: the industry if you look at you know who people
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: around the industry are pointing at for DraftKings place and
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: also just like the most tipped guys for outrights this
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: week bomber bomb or bomb or bomber. So if we
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: can find the guys who can play really well on
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: bomber friendly golf courses even when they're not bombers, that
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: can also be a key this week. And so one
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: of the splits that I'm looking at this week is
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: just performance above or below expectation on those bomber friendly
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: golf courses, on long par seventy golf courses. I know
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: one of my subscribers asked, like, are you going to
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: look at long iron play this week? And my answer
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: was like, as I've talked about a bunch of this
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: season here on leverage Lane, I really haven't found a
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: ton of predictive value in specific approach buckets. I know
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: red kit Cheek on Twitter has kind of made the
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: same point over and over, which is just the like,
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: when you look at specific approach buckets, you're just kind
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: of crashing the sample size in a way that isn't
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: very good with golf. Like, as we know, you kind
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: of want the largest ample size possible most of the time,
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: even when it becomes a little bit less specific to
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: that week, and so that's not surprising. But theoretically, if
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: there is some predictive value in it, that split will
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: pick it up.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: If you're on a long par seventy golf course, obviously
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: you're probably hitting more long irons than usual. So if
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: that's a thing, you'll see it in that split.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, just looking at some of the stuff is pretty
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: interesting too, Like you know, Matt McNeely is, you know,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: forty ninth in the FedEx Cup stuff. Just going back
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: to your previous point about that, and like, I don't
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: know exactly what it is yet because I don't have
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: it up in front of me, But I can't imagine
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: he's good in contention? When has he ever been good? No,
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: he's And then you think about, like, I don't know
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: Ryan Fox, who's twenty fifth and you got to make
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: the top thirty and he's a major winner now, so
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, topbo in Conte. I mean, if I
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: talk about I don't, oh clue how his rates out? Again?
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: You have these I don't have them in front of me.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: I can get access obviously, but just knowing it, my
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: point would be, I've never seen somebody in such a
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: high pressure contention. I know it's one event, but it
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: was like that guy was hitting shots in eight seconds.
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: He was unleashing just like perfect shots down the stretch
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: to win a major walking up, no questions asked. So
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: it's like him staying inside the top thirty doesn't mean
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: it will happen, just would feel better about that than
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: McNeely somehow, you know, getting there. And why would McNeely
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: be forty nine coming in Well, probably because he hasn't
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: been able to make his way to that. So it's
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: like just a couple examples that I can think of
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: just looking quickly at that, but that's.
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: Why he nailed it. McNeely has the worst contentionent performance
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: score in the field. Fox is just really good. And
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: if you recall that week, like Fox was the only
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: one going into round four who was in contention and
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: had a positive contention performance score, So it wasn't surprising
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: to see him come out of there with the win.
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: And yeah, I mean you can kind of see that
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: kind of across the board. The one guy who has
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: a really good contention performance score was kind of the
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: bubble who didn't play really well on Sunday was Michael Brennan.
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: But like you know, we've now seen him close out
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: his close out a win in his first PHA Tour start,
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: and then the next time that he was like really
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: really in contention, he was flawless all day Sunday. So
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: his contention performance scores kind of through the roof a
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: small sample and honestly, like it's probably overinflated at this point.
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: It is the best in this field now, but at
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: the same time, like we haven't seen any reason to
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: think otherwise for him, So I think that might be
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: a little bit with him, Like he's so dominant with
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: the driver that anytime he's in contention, it means that
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: the other parts of his game are also clicking that week,
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: and so with him, it might just be if if
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: I'm putting well and I'm hitting my irons well, like
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: I'm I'm gaining such an advantage off the tee that
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: how could I possibly make a mistake just because the
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: pressure is there. So it'll be interesting to see how
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: his contention performance score kind of progresses over the next
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: year or two. But as of right now, like he
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: looks like a stone cold killer anytime he's in contention.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, he definitely looks very good out there. I always
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: coined him as your boy because that was like, you know,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: we'd have different things. You talk about his distance and
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: how much is you'll off the tee and all of
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: that with him, but like you said, when he's actually
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: truly been in the contention spots, I know it's a
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: very small sample, which I don't love, but it's you've
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: been honest about why it is that way. So my
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: point being that is a good example there. And then
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say that there was one other thing
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: you said on maybe it was Fox. Yeah, Fox is
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: why I remember. I think I think that's why I
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: remembered Fox, not just the event, but I think it
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: was that Sunday where it was like, man, this guy
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: is a good option. Because of that Mad McNeely, I
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: didn't remember anything, just all the times that he did
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: not close. So I was like, that's definitely Mad McNeely
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: for you. Patrick Rodgers would have a horrible contention score,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: but he has to get into contention these days.
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: First, Yeah, I was gonna say, I don't know how
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: bad it would be because I can't remember the last
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: time he was actually there in contention to get.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: A prop him. I mean always hanging around. People are always
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: like saying, how do you stick around for three hundred
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: starts and still not have this? It's like, well that's you.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: Still gotta be good somehow and shout out Zach Blair,
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: you know, to eighty off the tier or whatever it is,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: and he's still in the mix. So you got to
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: find those couple of courses each year. Anything else, Alex
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: with the course fit that you want to talk about
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: for this week specifically, I think you nailed it. I
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: will say, I guess you know. What we do here
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: is obviously break it down from like what we think
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: the field's doing and how we can look at that
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: and leverage it. And we'll get to that in a
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: second with the starting with the chalk build, but or
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: maybe I'll bring that up too. But well, while I'm
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: bringing it up, I would say that the ownership, at
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: least from my perspective so far with the rough draft,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: looks to be skewing heavily towards Bombers naturally, Like it
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: looks like if you go to like Woodland min Wu Hoguard,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: like you're seeing a lot of these guys pick up
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit of steam there. But I'll bring up
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: the rough draft so we can run through this and
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: start looking at if you guys are over on Ship
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: and Nation, this is the stone two point zero. It
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: is the rough draft. So the numbers aren't accurate, Like
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: I have Rory lower than this. I actually think Scotty
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: could get higher than this. And we're gonna have edits
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: and updates before the evening. But it's not really about that.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: It's kind of just getting to the point of using
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: the handbuilder and saying, Okay, what are people doing this week?
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: How are you seeing it shakeout? Right now? From your perspective,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: you think more Scotty or less Scotty because one thing
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: you've talked about all season and this being the final show,
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: people are you know, just just hitting us finally at
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: the very end. Great, But the combinatorial ownership of like
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: you talk about, where if it's going to be a
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: guy like Scotty who's getting that, then that is going
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: to change the guys down below, right, So I'll let
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: you go for it from there and we'll we'll discuss
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: it more. But you know what, what are your thoughts
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: here on the chalk build.
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah, when you click Scotty you're left with seventy one
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: twenty per lineup. So it you know, in a lot
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: of the events so far this year, if you had
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: to go to this range and find five guys in
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: this range, you were clicking like guys who ended up,
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: you know, one hundred and fortieth in the FedEx Cup
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: five times. That was a really, really uncomfortable build. Very
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: few people went with it, and that's why for so
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: much of the year Scotti has come in lower owned
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: than projections around the industry and just kind of everyone
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: kind of caught up to it. And it was the
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: same sort of thing, right. It was like he'd be
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: projected at twenty five percent one week, coming at twenty two,
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: he'd be projected at twenty two the next week, coming
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: at nineteen, all the way down to the week where
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: he was like under five percent at at the Scottish
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: This is one of those weeks though, as as we've
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: gotten in major championships and in a few signature events
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: where the quality of player around seventy one one hundred
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: now is really really good, And so there is a
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: collection of chalk down here. I think where you're gonna
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: see thorpe Bjornson at seventy five, Brennan Minwu, Lee, Scott Sung,
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: Jane Norrin, Ben Griffin, even some like Rose Hoygard, Rayton,
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: Alex Fitzpatrick. There are so many players down here now
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: that people actually can choose from that. I'm with you.
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: I think we're gonna see Scotty. I hadn't projected it
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: twenty one percent for single entry in my first run.
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: I think that's low. I think it's probably twenty five
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: to thirty percent where we'll see him as as you said,
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: like I think Rory could be ten percent or less.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: I was.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: I was like seven percentage points below the second lowest
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: in the industry last week on Rory and ended up
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: I think like half a percentage point too high on him.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: I think I was at like ten point nine, he
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: was ten point four. So yeah, right now I have
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: him at nine point four, and maybe that's even too high.
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know, but yeah, I'm very much with you.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: I think we'll see Scotty and then down to like
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: the Burns through Seawoo group and then some of the
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: upper eight k's as well, and then kind of a
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: jump down to the lower sevens and upper six is
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: from there.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and I will say this, I mean, we'll definitely
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: have a lane at the end that we roll with.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: And it's different again, you're playing a million ticket, I'm
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: playing a mili ticket. It's not about that as much
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: as like it's a fifty man field. There's only so
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: much you can do, and there's definitely things that we're
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: going to attack, like you know, at different angles, approaches,
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: course fits, whatever we go with. But I will say
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: when somebody brought this up earlier, best leverage is playing
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: all six k goals, Like I think all these most
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: the lineups will have sick guys. But if you're saying, like,
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: you know, you could play three six k guys and
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: get different that way and do something different possibly, But
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: I think my takeaway would be like, just again, it's
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: not my lane. Just noting it is that if you're
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: doing that, it's like you're trying to skip over min
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Wu thor Kidiyama, whoever else do you brand in, whoever
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: else you think gets picked there. But then most people
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: would use it to jam Scotti, so you might want
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: to go with something different that way. It's not my thought.
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: I'm just saying that. That's a way that at least
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: if you're talking that language, I think that's how you'd
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: be applying that, as opposed to saying like, oh, I'm
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: just not going to play seven K guys, I'll play
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: six K guys. I built a line up last night
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: on Kicking the Draft for the tournament that Spencer put
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: on with with everybody in the in the setup there
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: that had no six K guys, and I kind of
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: liked it was like two nine to two eights, two sevens.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: So I mean, just depends what you're looking for and
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: what you see, Alex. If we don't know the Scotti, right,
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: I found a couple of different random versions. I'm not
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: playing any of these, by the way, so you guys
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: can play what you want, but they're they're all massively
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: over owned, and they're like, wait, but what is the
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: non Scottie Like I see Ludvig. I'm sure you're seeing
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: him pop, you know, I don't know what you see
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: him for ownership and your GVP scores and things like that,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: but I think Ludwig is at ninety seven hundred going
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: to be popular. I guess you still kind of got
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: to click in with some of these values, like is
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: it min Wu. You know, I don't know who people
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: are going to exactly here in the eights, but what
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: I guess, like, how do you see this lineup shaking out?
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: Is it like a got Her Up Hoveland Kidiyama something like,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: or how do you see this one playing out? Or
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: maybe it's like with Nap and then you get Scott,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: So this one's four sixty six and over on Ohn.
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think it definitely could be something like this.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: I also wouldn't be shocked if we saw so basically,
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: like what this one's doing is it's pulling? What is
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: it just one one of the low sevens upper sixes
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: or No? Two? Because Adams Scott man Like it's funny
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: you hear the names in this in this lineup, Like
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: if imagine you hadn't seen Pricing yet and someone said
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: I've got a lineup of Oberg Minually, Chris got her Up,
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: Victor holand Jake Knapp Adam Scott. What is the cheapest
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: any of those players are in this lineup? I think
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: you'd guess like seventy six hundred, seventy seven hundred something
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: like that, and there are actually two at seventy two
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: hundred or below in this lineup, So I think that
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: kind of gives you an indication just of how easy
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: it's going to be to fit either of these builds
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: where you either want to load up on the nine
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: K range or you want to go get Scotty. So
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: I think that this is probably correct. I also want
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: to be shocked if we did see a couple lineups
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: that actually even started lower than Oberg and it was
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: like you.
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: Started Hire four sixty nine.
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah, or like you know, starting Sea Wu got her
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: up Hoveland Clark or something like that. Clark is somebody
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: who I think is going to end up a lot
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: higher on and then what I currently have. So as
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: we talked about earlier, like if you look at the
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: most tipped players in the industry, it's Bomber Bomber, Bomber Bomber,
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: and I think Wyndham was the most tipped of all.
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: So I definitely think that he's gonna steam quite a bit. Also,
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: just someone who's been awesome over the last few months
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: and just showed last week that oh maybe he's back
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: and form ball striking has been really good. Obviously, the
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: putter came back to life last week. So yeah, I
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: mean it's the other thing here is there are only
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: fifty players, right, So it's gonna be extremely difficult to
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: get different on structure alone, because the whole kind of
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: concept of deviating from structure is that there are so
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: many players that there are naturally these pockets that just
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: get overlooked and just don't fit a ton of builds.
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: But you're not really gonna find that when there are
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: only fifty players to choose from, Like, everyone's gonna get
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: at least some attention, and every range is going to
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: get some amount of attention. Like I think the pocket
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: that is the most likely to fit this bill of like, hey,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: this is just a range of players that gets overlooked
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: because most builds don't go to them would be Henley
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: at eighty four through Spawn at seventy six, so like
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: seventy six hundred to eighty four hundred. But even within
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: that group, like there are there are four guys that
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: I have projected for at least ten percent and could
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: be fifteen percent or more with a JT. Knap, Kidiyama Gerard, Like,
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: none of those guys steaming would surprise me. And you know,
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: Tom Kim has been a really popular play of late.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: I think the fact that his ownership as low as
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: is as low as it is right now is reflective
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: of the fact that people want bombers this week, and
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: obviously he's not a bomber. But it also when it
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: surprises me if Tom Kim is like one of the
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: few short hitters who does end up being thirteen percent,
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: fifteen percent or something like that. So I do think
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: this is another week like last week, like a couple actually,
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: like maybe even a string of events lately have been
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: where we can't really get different from a composition point
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: of view. We have to get different through just who
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: we're playing, or the construction angle that you take, where
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: it's like maybe we go all in on an early
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: stack or all in on a bomber stack, or I
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: think like one of my favorite builds this week might
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: end up being I want to find like six guys
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: who all are protected from an ownership perspective because they're
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: not long off the tee, but they project well, they're
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: just really good players. So like maybe it starts see
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: Wu Henley, Tom Kim or something like that, and finish
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: the line up that way where even if they're all
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: tend to fifteen percent, Like very very few people are
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: building an entire lineup without bombers, so you'd be really
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: really different from a construction perspective in that way.
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean this is again if you look at this,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: and again these are all preliminaries, but like Russell Henley
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: seventy two, Jake Knapp seventy six, obviously I like nap here.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: I'm just noting it, like you could you could get
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: to Henley. It's four, it's median points. Anyway, I'm just
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: noting it. You look at marikoua seventy six, Oh, but
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: I gotta play god her upper hoblin do you like
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: they're two to three points higher? That's that Sea Wu
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: you talked about. I mean, these projections are are probably
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: light too, but I'm just noting with the rough draft,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: but in general, because of you know, Sea Wu net
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: right today versus what about just a month ago? Every
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: time Seawou was on paper, it was like, how is
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: he this cheap? Like he's got ball striking numbers like Scotty.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: This season he's Scotty's buddy, Like everything's been about Sea Woo.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: Now it's not like you said, it's still a really
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: good player. Now what if you do that and start
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: with Sea Wu. Well, I just built I'm not filling
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: it out because it's not my lineup. I'm just noting it.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: But it's like a Sea Wou. All these guys, people
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: are talking about them, but they're not gonna be about them.
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: All these probably actually come in sub these three right here,
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: two of them already are on rough draft, probably sub
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: ten maybe right there Sea Wu. You never know he's
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: like I hit or miss because then people get onto
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: him late. He's ninety one. Like people don't love Decky
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: this week because you know withdraw risk and I think
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: he's actually withdrew from this tournament a couple of times,
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: which people after that in but no showdown in the
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: bag and all these different factors people bringing up that
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: I hear from narratives. We're not narrative street, we're leverage lane,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: but just noting it. Talking to your point, Well, what
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: did you just say to us? You said JJ spawn
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: up to Henley kind of going overlooked. Oh, you can
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: fill out the last two guys in your lineup with
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: two guys directly from that range. So it's just an example,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: but it's just explaining again of like that's where you're
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: making a decision that's fueled on okay, but these are
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: all still really good golfers. This is like the best
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: of the best already, so any it's it's when you
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: get you know, we're just at it. The Fantasy Golf
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: World Championship fifty finalists that get in, Yeah, it's gonna
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: come down to some variants because guess how they got there.
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: They're typically the better players and the best in the
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: world at this game. You didn't just get in, by
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: the way. That was the part where people could get
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: a little bit lucky and have variants fall in their
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: favor but then you got to go two hundred to
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: one and one hundred and fifty. Once you get there,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, these are the favorites, but these guys
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: are also really good, and those guys are just as
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: good and they've won read like anybody can do it.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: So I like your thought process here, and it may
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: come up again later a little bit, but I'll let
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: you get to some more stuff here when we talk
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: about leveraging it. You did hit on a couple key
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: points there. One I think is, again, it's not just
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: about the bomber narrative. This is kind of any week
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: you've done this actually really well too, where there's weeks
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: where there's a quote unquote wave advantage and it's like, yeah,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: but it's like a one stroke, like I'll take it,
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: and I would put some lineups towards that if I
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: was playing a portfolio, But for my single entry, I
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: really don't see it being enough that's gonna knock all
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: of my guys out from making the cut. And there
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: is so many good options that I love. Four of
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: them are falling into the AM. Everyone's on the PM
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: because it's a perceived edge, and I already like four
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: a lot from the other side. I'm just gonna commit
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: to that. Put two more in, finish it out. Compare
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: some two v twos. It makes your life kind of easy.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: At that point, I got four. I love, they're on
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: the opposite side. I'm getting an ownership break based on that.
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: Now my TWOV two becomes which two fall from that side?
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: And guess what becomes easier then tie breakers because you're like, well,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: I love this TWOV two, but it's it's a five
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: to one. I'm pretty committed to this. Now I'm gonna
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: go with the next best thing to that person, Boom,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: your two v two closes out, and people like, how
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: the hell did you get to that? There was a
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: process we just walked through how you got to it,
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: but so many people don't see it that way. Is
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: there any other thoughts around leveraging those chalk builds we
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: just talked about that you could see and then what
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: are the common themes that you're pulling from it that
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: we just went through.
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's kind of it is. I so
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: one thing I'll say here, and I'm going to reiterate
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: this in my in my leverage lane later. But this
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: is a really hard week for ownership because it's like
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: when when the field is compacted to only fifty players,
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: it makes it abundantly clear to everyone playing DFS that
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: you've got to try a little bit harder to be
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: contralling than usual. Like you know, in a in a
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: major championship field, most of the time someone could say,
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: I don't care about ownership. I'm gonna play my six
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: favorite players, and somewhere in that lineup they're gonna stumble
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: into a potential separator. So, like you know, there's there's
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: not that much of an effort from the field of
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: saying how can I be unpredictable this week? This is
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: a week where so much of the field is saying,
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: how can I be unpredictable? How can I do something
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: that people aren't expecting me to do, whether that's taking
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: a risk and playing Rory this week when when everyone
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: else thinks that, you know, he's not ready and he's
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: just gonna struggle his way through again trying to get
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: his game ready for next week, but even then, who
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: knows if he'll be ready to really ball out then,
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: or it's you know, taking the route that we just
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: talked about where it's okay, well what if I don't
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: play bombers, what if I go with an accuracy stack instead.
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: All of this is to say, like, one of the
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: things that I think is worth doing and one of
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: the ways that we can kind of leverage the field
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: this week is just look for opportunities where we know
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: there's ownership protection and and I think the main one
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: that I have so far is is just the idea
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: of kind of steering clear of bomber centric lineups or
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: going all in and saying I'm not going to play
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: a single guy in my lineup who isn't a bomber,
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: and that way you know, it's it's similar to the
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: idea of wave sacking when you go six to ozh right,
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: It's like, if you're going if you're going to lean
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: into the distance narrative, you should lean into it more
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: than anybody else does. You should make it such that
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: like what if this field or what if this course
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: plays like the Houston Open, where it's like it's almost
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: a prerequisite that you need a ball speed of one
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: to eighty five plus to have a great chance of contending.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: And if you're if you're leaning into that and you
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: have five bombers, you don't want your last pick to
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: be Seawoo Kim instead of Chris gotter Up. It just
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: doesn't make sense, right, And so I would say, like
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: you either want to really really make sure that you're
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: going in on it or kind of just steer clear
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: of it altogether. I think that's probably a better approach
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: than having a lineup where you've got like three bombers
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: and three straight guys, or four bombers and two just
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: like kind of long, but they're more accurate than they
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: are along things like that, And so I would say
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: that's probably the number one thing that I think is
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: worth keeping in mind this week. But again it's it's
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: just a hard week to get ownership right, and so
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: that's gonna be kind of the focal point of my
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: leverage lane.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, well we'll talk about that more. Like I said,
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: it's obviously a smaller field people talk about that. I
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: think there's some other good questions that came up that
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: I want to answer as well. I know Oracle brought
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: this up about fan duel. It's only one guy. I mean,
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: they have the range, but I'm saying one guy at
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: six k flat, and again, you got to look at
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: how you're using it and also just remember it's fine
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: to use it, but think about what everybody else that's
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: using it as doing. The minute you put one of
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: those six k guys in, most are going to go
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: to Scotty, you know, Ludwig whatever the chalk is over
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: on FanDuel. So I'm just saying that's gonna be a
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: common thing. But they're trying to get different, which I'm happy.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: I want that innovation. I know they've got the NFL
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Week one five dollars miser where you know there is
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: a one week delay on it, so don't. If you're
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: not normally playing seven or fifty bucks a week, don't
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: do it because you just have to play through it
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: all the next week. But at the end of the day,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: you can put the seven or fifty bucks in. Every
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: dollar you lose, you'll get back, and then you can
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: play it again the next week. So I think that's
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: kind of interesting as well. Somebody has there. I was
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Gary shut up to Gary said, with only fifty guys,
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: You've talked about this plenty in the past. I want
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: to ask you, does any of this change? And now
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: I got to follow up on something else, but does
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: any of this change for you about leaving money on
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: this week? I mean, one hundred to five hundred to
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: me is still fine because it's whatever. But I'm just
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I'm not going over the top to be like, let
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: me leave out Ludwig and play Wyndham Clark and leave
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: the thousand like it is what it is. Those guys
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: are both capable, but just like my point, I'm gonna
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: make it a minute. You're trying to pinpoint too much.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: When you do that, it's like, could you be correct
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: on the one decision? Possibly? Yeah, Wyndham could beat beat
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Ludwig this week. But you're acting as though that's it's
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: a matchup. Bet, it is not. You're putting together a
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: six person lineup that still needs to come through. So
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: what are those other moves that you didn't make or
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: that you left that did that? So that's why I
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: don't mess with that too much. Looks like you're shaking
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: your head. No, what's your thoughts? Yeah?
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: You do you want me to go through like the
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: long answer again? Or should we should we opt for
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: the TLDR version.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: TLDR is good for this show, I think because again
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: it's been talked about, we've mentioned it again, we're against it,
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: so I don't even really go and do it any further.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: But I think you should just go to your TLDR.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: And then I got another point I don't want to forget.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the TLDR version is essentially just when when you
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: leave a lot of money on the table, Let's say
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: it's five hundred dollars, as you kind of just stated, like,
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: let's if you're leaving five hundred or if you're leaving
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: six hundred dollars when you have Sea wou Kim in
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: the lineup, and no, Oberg, you are asking sea Wu
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: to now also beat Fitzpatrick, Cam Jung Ludvig Oberg. When
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: if you had Sea Wu and no money left on
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: the table, he only has to beat the guys below him,
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: So you're asking him to beat more guys. But that's
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: also true of all six players in your lineup, every
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: single one of the eyes in your lineup. When you're
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: leaving six hundred on the table, you're now also asking
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: him to beat everybody who's above him by less than
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: six hundred dollars or less than seven hundred dollars. So
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: you're just asking so much more of your players. And
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: the consequence of that is lineups that leave that much
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: money on the table don't do as well. And I
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: think i'll offer for like a hybrid answer here. The
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: latter part to that is, imagine yourself on Sunday. You've
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: got a sweat. You've got like, obviously we only have
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: six guys in our lineup. Three of them, you know,
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: are like you got to have this guy. You know,
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: they're they're all eight thousand or below, they're all contending
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: for the win. They've been making a bunch of birdies,
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: like you know that three is correct, And so now
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: everyone that you're trying to beat everyone you're dueling with
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: to get into the top one percent and to get
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: the actual takedown. It's about how well your other three
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: v three does, and that other three v three is
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: going to have infinitely more possible opponents if you left
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: six hundred dollars on the table, then if you didn't,
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: And that to me is like the the nail in
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: the coffin against leaving money on the table. You you
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: want to be up against as few possible combinations of
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: players as possible when you've got the right three and
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: you're just you know, sometimes it's the right four and
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: it's two v two And now if you left no
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: money on the table, it's like you could be beat
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: by six possible combinations of players. And if you left
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: six hundred on the table, it's not six possible combos.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: It's like one hundred and forty something or something like that,
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: right like you, It's it's crazy how quickly it stacks
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: up against you with like every additional one hundred dollars
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: that you leave on the table.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: In that way, the combinations are important. That's it's a
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: good segue because that's the second part was gonna lead
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: to your previous point you'd made about like if you're
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: going five bomb people will say this week, Well wait
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: a second, you know, Tambo Alex, you guys just said
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: six bombers are going to be a popular build. Why
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: wouldn't wouldn't a five to one be in my favor
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: if I did that? Like if I went five bombers,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: and then what are you gonna pick the random needle
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: in the haystack? Like you just got it right with Nora,
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: And what if you went to like you said, somebody else,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: like a Henley and it ended up being the guy
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: down low you needed? Like there's so many flips in
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: that build that you're saying you're gonna pinpoint the one.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: And what if it is just like you said, almost
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: like a Houston Open a prerequisite you need one hundred
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: and eighty five plus ball speed, Well then you want
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: it just to have it, and you can get different
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: in other ways, whether it's one hundred and to hundred
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: bucks on the table, a lower owned option separator, a
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: different type of construction, not just who you're playing, but
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: who you're not playing if you're leaving. You know, five
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: of the top six owned guys out of your building
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: going with the secondary bomber pool, Like, there's so many
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: other ways to do it than trying to be that
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: hero with the crystal glass crystal ball and saying I
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: got the glass ball here. That tells me it's this
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: one off that I need this week. That's that's really
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: tricky to thread the needle on.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: I think a really important point there is understanding how
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: most people build lineups and how that's different from like
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: the way that we are talking about building lineups, where
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: we're saying it makes sense to make you're like, first decision,
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: I want to build a bomber stack, and then you
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: go find your six bombers that fit the lineup. The
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: way most people build lineups, even in a week like this,
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: even when they think or know that distance is really important,
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: they're not starting with the decision of the type of
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: player that they want. They're going player by player. They're
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: finding players that they like, and so they might go
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: through the list and they might say, like, Ooh, Alex
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: Norn was awesome last week. He's been great three weeks
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: in a row. I'll play him this week. Ooh, Kidiyama,
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: he fits the bomber narrative. This week Jake Napp, he
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: fits the bomber narrative this week, right, And then they
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: go up and they say, oh, many, Decky's been awesome
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: for weeks in a row. I'll play him.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: So they're finding reasons to play players, and distance is
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: one of those main reasons that they're finding for why
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: they should use somebody. But they're not going to land
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: on a six to zero very often because they're not
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: starting with that decision to actually build a lineup full
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: of six bombers, and they're not automatically excluding people who
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: aren't bombers. They're just looking looking for you know, they're
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: just using distance as a reason to be excited about
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: a potential click. And that's why we consistently see that,
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: whether it's an early stack, whether it's a bomber stack,
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: or you know, sometimes it's an accuracy stack, we very
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: rarely see six to zero because people are building player
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: out instead of lineup in the way that we kind
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: of talk about it.
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, one hundred percent, man, that's the thing. And I
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: don't think, like you said, of people focus on that.
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: We've talked about a ton. If you go to this
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: very YouTube channel under videos, look at the latest video
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: from nine days ago. We did record a new Tools,
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: New Models, New Edge process video breaking it all down.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: We do have more of a collaboration upcoming that will
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: be just sort of a first come, first serve special edition.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: There will be a wait list for that that we'll
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: talk about with people and put it out there. Just
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: further elaborating to next question. We absolutely do have a
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: show together. We do this show during NFL. We haven't
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: got the date and time down yet, but I think
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: last year we did it on Saturdays, I want to say,
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: and we had like the latest information. I can't remember
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: what day we.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: Do, mostly don't even remember. It might have been Fridays,
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I'm I think Saturday is probably I we'll
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: talk about that. We'll figure it out.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: It's probably gonna be Saturday. We'll see. But we both, Yeah,
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: we don't take weekends off, especially not in this spot
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: and with what's on the line. We're playing. Like we said,
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: we're both in the forty four to forty four Mega
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: this week, and a lot of shows out there, people
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: are doing a lot of talking, not a lot of walking,
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: and that's a problem sometimes for people. So to each
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: their own whatever people like. But we definitely play in
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: the streets and have success doing so. So we're trying
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: to bring that to both our major sports, which are
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: PGA and NFL Marquee Sports. I want to address this
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: one quickly just because to Hoop is not going anywhere.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: Hoop is definitely back. He never left and for NFL
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: he was there one hundred percent of the time and
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: he'll be right back in his chair for that. I
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: think people were thinking like, oh, we haven't seen him.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: For PGA, we've got Blickel, We've got Matt Gannon who's
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: been doing boots on the ground before that rest in
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: peace to the Big Guy going to the Big Guy event.
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: This week, we had DJN, so it was always set
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: up where like Hoop was doing mostly NFL and then
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: filling in as needed and then of course running the
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: business on the back end. But Hoop will definitely be
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: We've got the regular show for the Classic Slate excited
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: him title, and myself will be back the three Man Booth,
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: and then we got the Monday night and Thursday night football,
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: plus all the Island games, the Thanksgivings and all that,
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: so you won't be missing out. I will say this
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: just a time out for a quick two second marketing
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: because the topic just came up. If you're a member
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: at ship a Nation, next Tuesday at two pm Eastern,
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: it's a member's only live stream, our first ever nation communication.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: We're going to introduce Ben, the new CEO. We're going
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: to break down all the new offerings and everything that
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: you guys can look at and take advantage of. And
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: if you're a member, you won't want to miss out.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: If you get in before then with any of the
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: promos right now, you'll be a member, so you can
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: take advantage. But it is going to be for members only,
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: from founding family, big guys right up to everybody on
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: the Sabersim packages. If you're not a member and you're
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: waiting for the promos and the surprises, and you know,
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: we've been offully quiet this year, but we got something
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: very big coming. It'll be next Thursday. I believe it's
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: not set in stone yet, but I think it'll be
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: the twenty seventh of August. You'll want to stay tuned.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: But if you're a member Tuesday, August twenty five, two
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern, it'll be posted in the Announcements channel and
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: there'll be a special link there for that. I just
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: don't know golf profit. You might have came in late,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: no problem, but this is just so you see. Well,
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: we'll definitely stand by our numbers, I know, between Alex
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: at his site and our site and professionals like sheets
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: and guys going over it for months on end. Now
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: the members in the chat can tell you there's very
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: accurate ownership but between both of our sites, and we'll
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: see how that works in the future as well. But
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: this is a rough draft. I agree with you, Hadeki
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: definitely won't be fifteen, nor will I don't think Rory
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: will come anywhere near seventeen, but we make those ajustice.
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: We do two more adjustments to the ownership before we
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: put this out final.
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: The thing with the Hideki coming is I don't know
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: if he's saying he's gonna be more owned than that
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: or less owned than that, which makes me think it's
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: a pretty good ownership projection. And I've got him like
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: right at fifteen percent as well, so I think.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: He'll come in less and I know you'll you'll be
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: making a jog again. Obviously very accurate ownership projections. You
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: do this for a living, so that's here. You know
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: you're set up there, but I'm not gonna I'm not
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: really trying to like argue it. I'm just saying just
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: so we want people to be aware we're working with
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: rough draft. Obviously, all the final stuff will be at
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: both our applicable sites. You can go to ship at
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: nation dot com Wednesday night after five pm Eastern six
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern depending on time zones and slates and everything
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: like that where they're playing and get the final draft
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: and it's been very accurate. Alex's stuff is the same,
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: and it's I don't think he's a withdraw risk. I
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: think people think he is, or want to push this
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: into their mind that he could because of this you
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: know tournament and you know him already being in the time,
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: like all the different factors about Hideki, people always think
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: stuff bad about him. The truth of it is he's
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: probably helped people at low ownership more than he's hurt
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: people at high ownership, because even those weeks he wdeed,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: it's not always I know what you'll remember. It's like
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: when your aces got beat by Kings. You'll definitely remember
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: that in a hand, but you don't remember all the
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: time your threes sucked. Out on aces with a set
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: on the flop and it's like, oh, I crushed them,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: but that's what I'm supposed to do. I played good
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: or whatever. People don't think about that. Hideki's usually not
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: super high owned or anything like that as well. Scooter,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: I think is asking about the teaser that we're talking about.
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: It will not be Leverage Lane related. It will not
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: be something publicly put out there like we just did
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: the free show to show you, like the very scrape
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: of the surface. This is something we've been working on
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: behind the scenes that we're excited to put out for
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: you guys. And I think the feedback and the excitement
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: around wanting something like this between DFS Mastermind and Blick
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: Analytics and everybody in the background at Shipping Nation as well,
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: that's asking for more content. This is something they'll be
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: looking for. So again, when we put the announcement out,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: make sure to get on that wait list and be
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: ready for that.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah, just real quick on that. It's something that like
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: we've been asked about very specifically if we could do
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: something like it, and so yeah, the answer is yes
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: we can.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: That's a great point because that's you know, one of
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: our focuses, and where leverage lane was originally adapted from
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: was people saying that all the content is the same
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: and all people always talk about MME and portfolios and
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: all that. Okay, well let's talk about leverage lane and
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: how you might leverage you know, when you're only playing
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: one to five lineups. And then I the feature of like, okay,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: what if you were extrapolating on that and building it
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: out and expanding. Okay, we can do that too, But
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: in general, even when we talk about our leverage lane
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: at the end, we're talking about for me, it's like
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: the two hundred dollars single entry with fifty kop top
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: and how I'm attacking that field. So and also said,
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: you know, talking about Blicklytics, I think there's a bunch
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: of different ones. The blick scored I like, it's you know,
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: blick Analytics is the site. You can go check it
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: out blick analytics dot com. But yeah, it's it's way
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: more of like, yeah, I mean, you could talk about
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: it better, but I would say, like the data, the tools,
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: the add on, It's not just projections and ownership. It's
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: like how you can take the data, the roster construction stuff,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: is amazing like all of that, and the video has
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: the promo code in if you guys want to use
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: promo code Tambo in conjunction with the ship It Nation
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: and Everything affiliate agreement, you can go check it out
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: and get twenty percent off your first month. So definitely
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: go do that. But you can talk about it more
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: if you want, Alex right now, and then we'll get
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: back to how we can go to the betting segment
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: one and done topic and get out of here.
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: Let's just go to one and done because I'm gonna
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: talk a little bit about it in the leverage lane.
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: So well that'll covered.
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: There, all right, perfect, So if you guys want to
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: talk about one and done and you have specific stuff,
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: please yeah, throw it in the chat. But one and
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: done right now, Alex is very specific, like my dad
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: and I are in a couple together, one of the
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: Mayo one, one of the ship It Nation ones. I
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: got in those for Christmas. His textas morning was like, Okay,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: I got a chance to men cash the Mayo cup.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: I need a winner. I'm gonna go with this guy,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: I think, And then his one about the ship It
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: Nation one was like we're probably dead there, so just
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: put whoever you want it And I was like, we're
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: definitely dead there, Dad, So you know that's that's part
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: of it. But any any thoughts on one and done
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: this week from a high level, just of the fact
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: that like obviously everybody's in a completely different position based
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: on the spot this week.
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's so hard to say, uh and to
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: give like there's no like evergreen advice I can give
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: at this point. You know where you stand, make a
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: pick that makes sense based on where you stand at
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: disappoint in the season. I think you've you've heard us
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: talk through like the way in which you should make
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: one and done decisions.
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: Enough.
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: The one thing I will is remember that we have
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: been we found a lot of success kind of gauging
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: one and done ownership on course fit. People really like
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: to lean into the course fit narrative of the week
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: for their one and done selection, which makes me think
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: that the popular guys this week are gonna be guys
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: who hit the ball for and so this is a
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: pretty good week probably to go with a Tommy Headecki
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: see wu, you know, Colin Morikawa, someone from that group
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: instead of the obvious bombers.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think it's like you said, there's a
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: couple thoughts of if you're up top, obviously you can
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: see who's in front of you, Like you're literally in
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: the top ten right now, you can see who's got
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: what in front of you, And if you want to
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: make your decision based off of that, like Okay, you've
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: got Wyndham Clark and the guy in first has Wyndam
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Clark but nobody else does, and you're like, well, he's
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: probably gonna use Wyndam Clark and I'm not good with
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: second place. I want to play to win. That's how
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: I think. That's my mindset here. I'm going for the
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: gusto do it. Or you could say, you know what,
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: it's Wyndham Clark week, nobody has anybody good left. I
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: feel like it's sham. I'll take second if that hits.
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying to me what I would do. I'm
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: just noting for you. Like everybody thinks differently. That's why
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: it's hard for Alex and I to say, like, you
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: gotta do this. But also I think if you're like
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: top fifty, top one hundred, too many people try and
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: overthink and it's like, just get the guy who you
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: want to go down on that. You feel like as
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: far as like go down with I should say, like
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: you think about who you're going to actually put your
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: money on, and say, get me the best amount of
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: money and score that you can and I'll just take
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: the results as they happen, because you don't want to
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: play somebody just like, oh, I overthought it. I ended
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: up going with this thing because they said this. You
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: drop back to like, you know, one of the chalk
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: pieces that everybody has left smashes, and you go from
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: a really good spot or where you would have landed
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: like top ten and really good money versus dropping to
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: like three hundredths now, and you're like, damn, everybody had
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: this guy. I could have just played him and take
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: what I got. It's kind of like late swapping on
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: a Sunday in an NFL large, you know, small tournament
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: where you can kind of see some stuff, but you
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: can't see it all, and there's people behind you with
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: game stacks and people in front of you. It's like, yeah,
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: you're probably not shipping it. Maybe you are, but you
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: need to get whoever's going to get you the most
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: points because you still want the top possible score that
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: you can get when you're sitting second and you see
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: what first has, that's when you can start to make
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: some of those metagame and okay, if this, then that,
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: and here's what I'm up against. But it's tougher in
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: one and done. From that perspective, I don't have too
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: much else to add. If you're completely out of it
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: and you need to min cash, do not pick the
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: most popular golfer of the week, probably just because it
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: depends on how close you are, but you're gonna need
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: an outlier to get there.
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: Yeah, as far as the as far as betting is
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: concerned this week, there's one point I want to make
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: about outrights this week that I think is an important one.
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: The effect of the smaller field is pretty important. And
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: so for some context like last week, see who Kim
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: was second place. Data Golf had him estimated at plus
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: three point one true strokes gained per round, so plus
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: three point one second place context. He gained three point
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: two per round at the WM Phoenix Open, was tied
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: for third. He gained three point nine per round at
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: the CJ Cup, was also second place. The point here
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: is when the field is this much smaller, there's just
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: a chance that no one has that like runaway from
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: the field performance. Now, obviously Scotty did. Scotty gained over
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: five strokes per round on the way to his win,
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: but like guys can be in contention without the crazy
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: crazy spike then in a given week and in like
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: a major championship, especially that it's required to actually put
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: yourself in contention. And so one of the things that
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: was very clear to me in the in the win
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: odds of my model this week was there's a larger
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: emphasis on contention performance score than usual. So the guys
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: who are really popping in the outrights, the two outrights
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: that I have this week, Rose and Michael Brennan, two
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: of the strongest cps in my database. And so that
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: was just something I wanted to point to. And I
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: think it's really interesting about like just the way that
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: this tournament is likely to play out. Obviously, it's possible,
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: like these these guys are really really good. It's very
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: possible that somebody here just boat races the field and
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: nobody who is gaining two and a half per round
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: through three rounds is in contention. But it is possible
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: that someone in that position is going to be in
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: contention plays their way into contention, you know, on the
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: back nine on Sunday, and now it's it really just
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: comes down to how well can you play when you're
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: under that gun, and Contentional Performance Score has done a
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: really good job of helping us in that way this year.
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I do like that call, so I will say
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: just interesting because golf probably probably Yeah, like I said,
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: just letting you know, I definitely appreciate your opinion. But
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: he what's sinking deck, He's higher, and then Aaron second
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: to that, I would definitely take the under on fifteen.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: But I'm not the ownership guy, but I you everything
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: you said about see wou there is like the starting
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: point for me, first of all, But then second of all,
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: it's really like the guys below him. I think Wyndham
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: Clark get steamed, and I think Victor Hovelin and godter
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Up are already going to get some ownership, but just
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: based onf Bombers and different other factors. So it's like,
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: I think Hideki comes in sub fifteen. But I'm not
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: trying to like peg a number or s at twelve
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: or whatever. I just have a feeling that's going to
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: be the case. When it all shakes out.
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't really know. Like I said, I think
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: fifteen is a pretty good estimate because I very much
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: like see the argument for it. His approach plays been
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: on fire, He's driving the ball a lot better than
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: he has and if you just look at his finishes fourteenth, fourteen, third, fifth, seven, seventh,
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: he's playing really really good golf. So yeah, it wouldn't
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: surprise me if Heidecki's twenty percent. But I think the
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: reason why he's projected where he is, it's because when
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: you look through like just the list of names near
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: the top, you can make a case for all of
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: them being really really popular picks this week. So many
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: of them are in great form, so many of them
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: fit the Bomber narrative, like there are going to be
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: plays that we think are really really strong plays this
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: week that slip through the cracks, And I just think
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: Hideki seems like a candidate for one of those guys
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: just look through the cracks like that. But but I
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: also agree with them, like it feels low just just
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: looking at it, like, given what he's done, given the
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: fact that he's nine thousand, and all these other guys
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: that we're kind of talking about our upper nines are
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: low tens. It feels like he's low. But I just
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: don't really see how he gets much higher than where
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: he's projected.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: That's what I'm waiting to see. I would be very,
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: very curious, But man, it's it's really tricky. Like Sea
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Wu got her up. Yeah, I guess I got her
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: ups the Bomber narrative. That's where that stems from.
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: Two.
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: Well, we'll have to wait and see. But you know,
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: as the golf profit says, and follow it up with that,
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: if that's the case, I'd be a really happy camper,
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: and so would so would the Sea Wu buyers. If
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: it ends up being Hideki that picks up the ownership
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: and see Woo doesn't, so like that's the nice thing
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: about this. And our guy, you know, Monday, who does
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: the ownership says, Hideki's still gonna come in around fourteen
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: sixteen when it looks like at the finals. So that's
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: the projection. We'll see what the final number is. And
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: I'm always you know, four our crew and you and
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: everybody doing ownership for a living. I just you know,
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: putting my intuition on it. And I've got the under
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: even on fourteen. We'll see could be very wrong, and
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: that's why it won't affect me too much, to be honestly,
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: that's not part of my super plan over here, I guess,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: but in general, we'll see how it shakes out. I
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: will say the last thing that you said that there
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: was something else you mentioned that oh, Aaron Bred brought up,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: so you did address this. Alex addressed this already about
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: a potential for the small sample with Brennan, but segueing
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: into the betting breakdown and saying that you bet them
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: both or you would like. It's like the Billy Horsseell
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: situation we talked about earlier this season. You are recognizing
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: something that is a small sample, but just saying it's
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: been good enough for me to see it, and again,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: more factors and more variables. It's the betting number that
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: still is really solid and makes it worth it for me,
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: because if the small sample is even wrong in just
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: you knowzero point five, this way, he's still in your stuff.
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: I'm still a better contention score than most. He could
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: be cut in half and still be better than a
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: lot of the field at that number. And so all
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: of these factors matter for you. When you're looking at
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: your data and doing your analysis.
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to make two points on this number
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: one off the bat. Yeah, you're right. It is a
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: small sample still, but importantly there's regression built in based
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: on sample size, and so like he's let me find him.
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: So he's at one point two three, just insanely high.
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: It's the highest number we've seen so far in any
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: contention performance score for anybody. It's the first time I've
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: seen anybody over one point zero. That can loosely be
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: translated to like, we can expect him to play one
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: point two to three strokes above expectation per round when
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: he's in contention. Part of that, though, is because his
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: quote unquote expectation is probably lower than what his baseline's
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: going to be moving forward because he struggled for so
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: much of the season. So I think that is probably
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: the larger source of inflation, if you will, to his
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: contention performance score, and not sample size. It's also the
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: fact that, like, it doesn't mean that that's where he's
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: played so far, or he's probably played something like three
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: to three and a half strokes above expectation, and it's
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: just being regrets to this number. If you want to
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: say it should be regressed further. Sure, Like, I'm not
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: going to argue with that. I think the key isn't
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: how good he's been in contention. It's the fact that
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: he's very clearly someone who has a strongly positive contention
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: performance score. What that exact number is is less important
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: to me.
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: It's just like.
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: It's directionally he's really good winning contention. And then the
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: second thing I'll say about this is, let's also remember
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: that the sample size is not two rounds. We're not
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: just looking at how he's done on Sunday's winning contention,
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: in which case he's won both times. Actually, I think
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: there was a third Sunday where he was in contention,
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: like the week prior. Maybe let's see, yeah, in Detroit,
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: I think he might have been in contention at some point,
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: but he.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Was That was actually the one he hurt on because
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: I had him in my lineup on the Sunday round
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: for Fantasy Golf World Championship because of that, and it
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: was like he was not good on that Sunday. He
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: fell apart.
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: But we're also looking at Saturday's as well, and so
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: the Saturday at the Windom, the Saturday at the rocket
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: was really really good. And this is also a guy
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: who won three times last year on the PGA Tour
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: of America on the on the America's Tour. So this
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: is a guy who's very comfortable kind of closing things out.
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: And I wasn't so sure like how much I should
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: care about that. Now he worth noting like he played
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: really well to get those wins. It wasn't like he
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: had a five stroke lead and almost lost and held
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: on to any of those. But Coven, I thought, told
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: this a pretty important story as well, where like he's
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: another guy who's very accustomed to winning golf tournaments at
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: the collegiate level. At the amateur level, he becomes a pro,
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: gets into contention, and it was like very very clear
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: that he was leaning on those experiences and just kind
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: of being familiar with those feelings. Right, Because all of this,
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: let's remember it's about like how your mind works. Are
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: you able to keep your mind present and in control.
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: I can vouch personally for the fact that, like, you
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: get some really weird feelings like shivery type tingly feelings
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: throughout your body when you're in contention, you're standing over
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: like a four foot putt. It's it's weird, and how
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: well you handle those moments like that's going to carry
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: over no matter what tour it is, no matter what
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: level of golf you're playing. When you get into a
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: similar situation, even at the PG toy level, you might
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: feel it like more intensely, but it's going to be
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: something that you're familiar with. And so the fact that
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: they've had those experiences very very recently is probably a
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: lot better than someone who hasn't been in contention for
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: a long time, and you know, they can't they can't
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: lean on a very recent experience to help them through
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: the moment. So yeah, it's a small sample, but like
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: it's not that small of a sample, and there's a
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: lot of signal beyond just the contention performance score data
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: that is pointing to Brennan being really good in those situations.
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you you covered it well there, and
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: I think that's the key that people have to you know,
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: remember when we're looking at all this data and going
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: through it together. Anything else you have, Alex when it
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: comes I'm just looking at some of these builds and whatnot.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Anything else you have or do you want to get
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: straight to your leverage lane?
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go to leverage lane. I'm actually gonna if
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: you don't mind, I'll bring up my contestant to share
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: the screen real quick, because there's a really cool kind
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: of the point that I want to make here. So
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: can you see the screen?
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we got her.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: Cool. So the first thing I've done is I preloaded
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: a bomber lineup so we can we can take a
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: look at this lineup and let me blow this up
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: for everybody. And so one of the cool features of
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: the SIM is you can hover over the ROI and
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: see how it sims under different circumstances. So when it's
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: more power by market derived projections like all matchup odds,
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: top ten odds, win ons, stuff like that, versus my
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: specific projections, and then you can also see this high
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: DD tilt and low d D tilt. So basically, it's
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: just saying the more important driving distance is when it's
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: like it's most important in the iterations of the sims,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: this lineup can be plus seventy nine percent. When it's
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: least predictive, it's gonna be down at plus twenty percent.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: The other thing that you can do here is you
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: can hover over the lineup itself and get a similar
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: type of ownership sensitivity for each player instead of the
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: course fit sensitivity that we were just looking at. And
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: so the point I want to make here and the
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: thing that's gonna be my leverage lane this week is
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: notice how much more more ownership sensitive in this sim
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: Rory is than got her Up. In Rory's low third
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: of ownerships, this lineup is plus forty six percent on average.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: When Rory's at his highest on average, in his highest
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: third of ownerships, this lineup is plus twenty six percent
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: on average. Got Her Up, on the other hand, goes
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: from plus thirty six point four to plus thirty four
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: point seven. My leverage lane this week, because I am
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: so much more uncertain of ownership than I am in
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: most weeks, is I want to find guys who are
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: less sensitive or who I'm really confident that they're coming
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: in on the reck side of things. So, like, if
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: I play Rory this week, it means I don't see
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: a path to him being ten percent owned, and I
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: think there's a chance he's as low as like five percent,
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: in which case maybe this forty six percent goes to
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: like eighty percent something powerful like that. Right now, we
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: don't need I can come out of the screen share.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: Now we don't need a contest him to help us
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: answer this question. So like one of the things here
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: is just notice godd Arup was between seventeen percent and
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: twenty seven percent, So in no outcome of his ownership,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: is he likely to be low enough to be a
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: true separator. Whereas when Rory drops under ten percent, it's
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: like major fire alarm, you know, separation potential going off
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: for him. So that's the first thing, is like who
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: has the potential to be a real separator? And then
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: the second thing is who has the like upper bounds
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: of ownership. So earlier we were talking about guys like
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: seaw Kim Tom potentially having less steam potential because we
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: know the field is going in on the distance narrative
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: this week. So that's the way that I'm gonna be
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: building this week is I Number one want to find
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: the guys who I'm either really really confident about their
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: ownership or I feel like I can handle the fact
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: that like there's still gonna be a good play even
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: if they do steam. So every single player in my lineup,
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: I want to either feel like they can't steam or
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: if they do it's not gonna change how much I
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: like them and how well they fit the lineup that's
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: gonna be my leverage line.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking at mine. I think, Man, this is
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: a really tricky one, just thinking about how I'm gonna
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: play this. But I looked at it earlier. I think
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be what's the best way to word this one?
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: There's two ways I could word it, but I'm gonna
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: choose this one. I'm probably gonna go with. Yeah, I'm
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: gonna go with three eight K guys in my lineup
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: for the two or all single entry. So it's just
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: a product of like I said, I get everything will
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: show that out and you can look at different versions
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: of it and all that. You can see it. Obviously,
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: the lower rory comes in, like you just showed in
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: the sims that sort of set up with Scotty we
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: talked about earlier. I think Scotty's gonna steam and I
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: think one of the things that comes with that is
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: I just don't see the like the o Bergs and
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: the godder Ups and guys like that Clarks and I
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: think it's see I don't see them getting affected too
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: much because of that. I see what happens is the
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: six K guys start to get more inflated. I know
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: min Wu is gonna be off the charts. So it's
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: like I'm looking at a bill when I can go
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: three eight K guys and I don't need any of
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: those options in my lineup, and it becomes a product
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: what we talked about earlier. It's not just who you play,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: and you talk about this all the time, but it's
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: who I'm not playing. And people are like, well, you
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: still got all your guys are like ten to fifteen percent.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: But it's like, yeah, but I don't have Scotty, I
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: don't have Rory. I don't I'm just you know, throwing
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: some of them out there. I don't have the low
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: six k hok guys. I don't have the min Wu
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: play like once you nail that, like what is that
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: five of the top eight or something like probably, So
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: we'll just give you that as an example. And I'm
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: not going completely off the wall. It's just yeah, I mean,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: you're just math. I mean it's pretty pretty straightforward. You're
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: not getting Scotty in there that at least to my knowledge,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: very easily. So when you go just Scotty you've got
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: like seventy one hundred left once you go three. But
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: that's that's to Aaron's point, and appreciate all the support.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: And I was engaging. That was the other way I
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: was gonna say it. But that's the worst way. It's like, oh,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: I'm just not playing Scotty in my main two hundred
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: dollars single untry. I might have him somewhere else, so
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say it that way. So the two
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: hundred dollars singlelntry that I'm talking about, that you can
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: look it up and see if we say what we play,
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: I will have three ak guys, and I got a
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: pretty good idea of what I'm doing. So anything else
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: you want to add to that.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I've just got one question because I I think
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: you said that really, really well, and it just made
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: me think, like, if you are playing Scotty, if someone
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: is dead said I'm playing Scotty, do you have an
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: idea of how you'd play him.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: That's a good question. I obviously haven't addressed it enough
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: to like make it my top thought. I'm probably like
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: borderline insane to most, but I maybe click Rory first
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: before Scotty. If I'm making a big decision this week
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: just because I always think it's hilarious when like, there's
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: no way one of the best players of all time
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: can play good this week because he said he didn't
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: practice a lot and played bad last week. Yeah, I
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: might motivate him this week to get on his high
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: horse and hop back in there and get it done.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Whether or not it happens, because we just had our
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: motivation rant. I don't know, but I guess like when
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: I'm playing Scotty, I'm not going to want to look
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: like you talk about this so well all the time,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: so I'll give it my best examples. Like let's say
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: the forty four to forty four million, it's five hundred
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: and sixty seven people. Scotty will be popular there, but
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: a lot of the Scotty builds are gonna have at
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: least two of men wu ho guard Rose Scott like
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: you name it. Of that groupings. It's like, I don't
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: want the three v three to that lineup, so I
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: have to get a bit more aggressive, and I have
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: to think about that. So maybe it's Scotty with the
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: next tier up and play more down low. If I
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: like other guys in that bottom tier because we all
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: get well the holes all week to play them, and
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: those guys could come through. If I'm going the other
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: way and saying like, man, if everyone's going to be
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: playing Scotty with two six K guys at least, or
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: I think that, how can I play Scotty with all
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: seven K guys but leave min Wu out you know
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: what I mean? And do that approach like things like
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: that that I can look at. That's how I would
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: think about it.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that I think that's that's where I've landed too,
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: because I was actually like struggling with this thought earlier
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: when we were talking about like, uh, just the section
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: of just like pivoting from the from the truck build.
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: My first thought was like, man, if you have Scotty,
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: like there's so many guys down here that are ten
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: percent and are going to be you know, fifteen to
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: twenty percent conditional ownership within Scotty lineups, It's like, I
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: just don't like anything down here. But I think I
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: think you made a really good point just kind of
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: bringing up like the it's also about who you're not
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: playing and just making us remember that, because I think
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: the way that I would do it is I'd say,
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: if I'm playing Scotty, I'm not playing Thorpe, Jornton, min
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: Wu or Ben Griffin, and now I can play you know, Norrin,
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: Adam Scott, Michael Brennan, Hoyguard Woodland Rayton and like any
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: of the guys that I do actually like down there,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: I don't have. They'll be worried about the fifteen to
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: twenty percent conditional ownership because I'm fading the guys who
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: might be like forty percent conditional ownership, like minmou Wi
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: Lee and Scotty Line. So I think I think that's
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: a really really good call, and it's it's definitely something
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna be testing in the SIMS tonight.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I also think it's interesting just when people don't
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: look at this enough where it's like, oh, you know
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: this lineup still has you know, such high ownership total
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: overall or something. It's like, but you also have to remember,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: let's say you see like a lineup and I don't
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: use total ownership specifically, I'm just using this for a
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: layman's term example to try and help. It's like people say,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: like the Scotty version is one hundred and one percent,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: but it has min Wu, and it has Hoguard and whatever.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: Let's say it as a let's just use Hoguard and
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: Rose no min Wu. Let's leave him out of this
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: for a second. Let's just say they use the two
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: six k guys I think will be popular this week. Okay,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: it has one on one. Let's just use a total
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: and I'm all using this for the example. But the
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: point that would be is people will see like an
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: eighty six on a lineup that scores like five points less,
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: that still has Hogarden rows, but it's a rory lineup
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: and it doesn't have all that rest of the chalk
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: up the middle, and they'll say, like, hmm, do I
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: really want that? Like the ownership still seems high in
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: both you gotta think now about your contest selection and
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: where you and your lineup selection that you're playing it for.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: The one on one in the eighty eight are just
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: examples to make it really easy. But I'm saying that
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: one on one could be one thirty in the forty
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: four to forty four mega, and that eighty eight would
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: probably subsequently be sixty five. Now that delta that you
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: were like worried about a minute ago, so it's not
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: that much of a difference. I guess I better just
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: go with the Scotty lineup. It's six points better. And
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: Scotty just won by a field goal in thensa or
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: actually by a touchdown and then some last week and
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: then Rory sucks. There's no way he could be good.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: It's like people aren't considering that full thing. And on paper,
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: even with you know, good projections and player point projections,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: it might only be six to seven sixty eight points
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: less going in on a median. And if it just
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: happens to be that that's what you need this week,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: it's like you actually have a big leg up. And
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: even when people are going, damn it, I got Rose
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: and Hoguard right, but all the rest wrong because of
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: course you needed Rory and Sea Wu or something like that.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: It's like, okay, yeah, Rory and Sea Wou Kim played
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: good golf in a fifty man field. You're shocked, Well,
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: just you know he played so Rory was so bad
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: last week. I was never thought he could come through.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: Boom nailed it there. It is so things like that
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: are what people are not thinking about enough when they're
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: looking at it. And I actually will use that because
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: you're gonna talk about like analytics in a second for
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: the discord over there again, you could use promo code
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: tambo to check it out and get in twenty percent off.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: But I would say you're part two of the roster construction.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: I only got through the TLDR. The best part that
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: I read, which was hilarious because it's like I've been
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: saying this for years. It's literally where it's not who
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: you play, it's how you play him stems from was
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: something along the lines of like, unfortunately the contrarian players
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: aren't gonna be excited to hear this, but it's like
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be through different ways of playing chalk versus
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: just completely fading chock small sample of like the not
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: your stuff of like the NFL seasons, we only get
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: so many weeks. It's all condensed down. It's not like
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: a baseball season with one hundred and sixty two games
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: for every team and et cetera, et cetera. So it
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: was like, yeah, it's you can play people like, Oh,
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: I can't believe the chalks every week in NFL all
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: the chalk smashed Again, No, you didn't have the three
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: percent quarterback, the two percent defense, the tight end that
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: was you had to pay up for that was only
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: five percent. Well, everybody had a mid range tight end.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: Like you didn't do any of that stuff. You just
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: happened to be in the same place. You played a
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: thirty percent running back that got like three points or
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: five points, and the wide receiver of the tight end
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: for that team got twenty five. It's like you were
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: in the right place but the wrong pieces. You weren't
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: playing the game necessarily. You were playing the plays and
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: the picks and the popularity and all the p's that way.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: But it's about the process, like we talk about, and
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: that to me is the biggest thing that you know
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: you've got going on on top of everything else. That's
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: a huge standout for me of what you offer.
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been cool. So as you kind of just
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: alluded to, all the all the NFL roster construction data
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: has now been dropped into the discord, and there were
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: pretty clear findings, right Like, there are certain positions you
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: want to pay up for chalk. There are certain positions
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: where when you pay up, you want to be paying
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: up for someone contrarian and a separator. There are certain
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: positions where you want no part of cheap chalk, there's
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: another position where you do want the cheap chalk, So
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: very very informative stuff really going to be helpful throughout
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: the season. And the SIMS products that are now on
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: the side I think are really really cool and super powerful,
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: super helpful. Last Sunday it was the first time I
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: put the Round four contest SIM on the site. Immediately
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: win the ticket for the first time this year. So yeah,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: it's been great. And as we've talked about, prices are
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: going to go up in September, so use this kind
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: of opportunity now to get in at a lower price,
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: get locked into that lower price, and you get the
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: final two weeks of the PGA season and use promo
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: code Tambo for twenty percent off, and then for contest
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: SIMS pricing. I should note, like it's it's it's free
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: for the rest of the PGA season, It's not gonna
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: be free for the NFL season. But I think people
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: are gonna be very pleased with the like the progressive
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: discounts the longer that you've been a subscriber, so it's
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: not gonna be cheap, especially when you're first in, but
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: once you've been a subscriber, for a while. I think
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be a really, really, really friendly price.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: Tech love to hear that. Yeah, like you said, if
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: you guys need to get a foundation and more of it. Obviously,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: we've reciprocated this partnership so you can use code blick
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: or blickle at dfsmastermind dot com. If you don't know
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: what it's about, you can just go to the landing
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: page and read. But it talks specifically very clear. DFS
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: is how not who. That's been my mantra forever. We're
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: not chasing picks. We're looking at building your own process.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: You go down to join today, you can get this
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: for it's exclusive. It's only with code blick that you
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  Speaker 1: can get this ten bucks off and get it for
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  Speaker 1: thirty seven dollars. It's a one time payment for seven
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: hours of not commercial free football. It sounds like I
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: was about to say that, but that's coming up soon.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: But seven hours of commercial pointy. Yeah, it's the top
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: twenty questions that over one thousand plus DFS players asked
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: for answers to, and I broke it down in a
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: complete mindmap format of like topic and pieces around it.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: You won't be disappointed. It'd be the best thirty seven
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: dollars you can spend if you use code blick and
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: get that. If you use code blikel you can either
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: go one ninety nine over two payments or three ninety
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: seven one time. Again, this is one time, but this
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: is all those courses plus sixty plus hours. Alex and
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: I have tons of courses in there. If you want
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: a free version of one, you can go on the
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: Ship and Nation channel right now under videos and see that.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: I've got ten plus exclusive dfs pro interviews breaking down
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: their process behind the mind, how they think about everything.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: There's a premium podcast audio feed for both the courses
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: and that so on the road at the gym. Whatever
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: you want to do, do with that. So code Blick
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: for the modules, Blickle for the Mastermind method. There's no
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: subscription fees, there's no recurring there's no nothing. You pay
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: one time. This can really help with your foundation. We
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: do some monthly live Q and a round tables. There's
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: a discord all of that, and then of course if
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: you want to use that knowledge of that foundation to
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: get in with Alex over at Blick Analytics, you can
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: do so there. Lastly, for all the projections ownership. This
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: would be the last chance. By the way, this banner
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: comes down, This price goes away next Tuesday. So just
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: so you guys are aware, there's some changes which we'll
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: be bringing up on the Nation communication for members next Tuesday,
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: two pm Eastern behind the scenes. If you get in
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: for the forty nine dollars at ship at nation dot
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  Speaker 1: com right now and get Saber Sam and get a
• 1:15:30
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• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: first week of NFL as well. So you can literally
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: get your first month for forty nine bucks, including the
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: rest of golf, the MMAMBA or the sorry, the MLB,
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: all that stuff as it's winding down with NASCAR, college
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: football if you're eligible, and then the NFL stuff upcoming.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: But Alex really fun season my friend breaking down all
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: of this stuff with you. Any final comments from you
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: on PGA Leverage Lane and then excitement for NFL Leverage
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: Lane just around the corner.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: I think anybody who has enjoyed listening to us talk
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: about PGA, we'll enjoy the NFL version of leverage lane
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: even more because with NFL there's so many more ways
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: to like really leverage ross or construction more so than
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: just who you're playing right, So, like we we have
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: opportunities in PGA wave stacks and you know, finding the
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: price point that's overlooked, But like there are a million
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: other ways that we can do it in a more
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: powerful way with NFL, through through game stacks, through you know,
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: a very targeted leverage what I've called core correlated leverage
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: for years, where like you're you're fading this guy specifically
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: by playing the guy who's gonna make that guy fail.
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: So it's just if you if you've enjoyed the concepts,
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: if you've enjoyed the way we break down DFS and
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: make it so that you're playing the game of DFS
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: more so than you're just picking golfers, you're gonna like
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: that even more with NFL because it's it's even more
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: playing the game of DFS and less playing fantasy football.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: When we get to that season, agreed.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: And we disagree a little bit more too, because there's
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: like more things that we can go through and think
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: about and ways to attack a slate. So again, fully
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: focused on the process side more than like the picks
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: and that, But it does come into play a little
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: bit more too when we're saying, like if this then that,
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: so stay tuned for that, Stay tuned for some announcements upcoming.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: We appreciate you guys, It's been an amazing PGA season
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: here on Leverage Lane. Leave us a comment below if
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: you appreciate us, make sure to hit that thumbs up
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: and subscribe to the channel. These shows, the Leverage Lane ones,
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: are free every week that we do them. So thank
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: you guys for tuning in for Alex, for myself to
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: attack and Tambo good luck in your contest this week
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: and led Ship It