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UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Speaker 1: Fall.
0:04
Speaker 2: Systems gone clear, the lift up? What is going on?
0:36
Speaker 3: Everybody? Hope you're having a great week. We are back
0:39
Speaker 3: talking some fights. UFC Fight Night, Perth, Australia. The USC
0:43
Speaker 3: has headed to and that means for a m Eastern
0:46
Speaker 3: start time.
0:47
Speaker 2: Get your lineups in Friday night.
0:49
Speaker 3: If you're gonna be up being dj N which I
0:52
Speaker 3: used to do for all these fights, won't be this week.
0:56
Speaker 3: I know that for sure. A little newborn changing your
0:58
Speaker 3: life a little bit. But like we were saying a
0:59
Speaker 3: little before the show, wake up, feed the baby. You
1:02
Speaker 3: watch some fights. Nothing better than that. But thirteen fights
1:05
Speaker 3: the magic number, or twelve is the magic number. Thirteen
1:09
Speaker 3: is just a cherry on top. There we go right here. Actually,
1:12
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have to zoom out. I'm excited for this one.
1:14
Speaker 3: I think it's a very solid DFS card. Ten of
1:16
Speaker 3: the thirteen fights expected to finish, so we should get
1:19
Speaker 3: some violence, early morning violence.
1:21
Speaker 2: Nothing better. How are we doing today, Big Marley?
1:24
Speaker 4: I'm good.
1:24
Speaker 1: I don't know how excited I am to wake up
1:26
Speaker 1: at four am, but hopefully I'll wake up to a
1:29
Speaker 1: sweat that I am looking forward.
1:31
Speaker 4: To for the rest of the card.
1:33
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you won't be waking up either.
1:35
Speaker 4: I doubt it.
1:36
Speaker 2: Nah.
1:36
Speaker 1: I mean, unless I just can't sleep, I'd probably wake
1:40
Speaker 1: up to make sure nothing was canceled. If I can't
1:42
Speaker 1: go back to sleep, then I'll start watching them. But
1:45
Speaker 1: four am like doesn't even exist to.
1:47
Speaker 3: Me, really, you know, Yeah, for sure, I won't even
1:50
Speaker 3: I don't think be waking up to see if anything's canceled.
1:53
Speaker 2: It's it's so rare.
1:54
Speaker 3: If all the fighters make way, I'm gonna cross my fingers.
1:58
Speaker 3: And half the time anyway, if people are gonna miss
2:00
Speaker 3: they just let you know right after lock right on
2:02
Speaker 3: the broadcast to start, and it's so annoying you can't
2:04
Speaker 3: do anything anyway. So wat this is gonna bite me
2:07
Speaker 3: in the ass, and I probably should.
2:09
Speaker 1: But the last time it was like a super early
2:11
Speaker 1: four am start was when we were in Michigan with
2:14
Speaker 1: the ship at crew and we got back in at
2:17
Speaker 1: like three am. I was like, oh, man, dude, there's
2:19
Speaker 1: no way I'm waking up in an hour to see
2:21
Speaker 1: if anything's canceled.
2:24
Speaker 2: For sure.
2:25
Speaker 3: I remember that I was in Greece watching at like
2:27
Speaker 3: two in the morning or something like that.
2:29
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm excited for this. When any broadside over you.
2:32
Speaker 1: For you now, I think it's gonna be a tough one.
2:36
Speaker 5: Man.
2:36
Speaker 1: These these five stars that I have are probably important
2:41
Speaker 1: ones to target, but picking the correct winner is gonna
2:44
Speaker 1: be tough to get, and then you also have to
2:46
Speaker 1: hit the right combination as well. Another one where the
2:50
Speaker 1: main event isn't a must have, but with five rounds
2:53
Speaker 1: definitely makes it interesting. Both guys have finishing power too,
2:56
Speaker 1: so I think it's a good DFS card.
2:58
Speaker 4: What do you think?
2:59
Speaker 3: I think it's a phenomenal DFST car. Like I said,
3:01
Speaker 3: ten of the thirteen fights expected to finish, also only
3:05
Speaker 3: three favorites greater than minus two point fifty, which means
3:08
Speaker 3: I do think we do see some dogs barking, and
3:10
Speaker 3: with so many fights expected to finish, a lot of
3:12
Speaker 3: these dogs have some like one hundred point upside. If
3:15
Speaker 3: Kevin Christian wins at pre check wins, if Sutherland wins,
3:18
Speaker 3: Ghazi of wins like, they all can score one hundred,
3:21
Speaker 3: which is what you want for DFS, and I totally
3:23
Speaker 3: agree with you. Another main event that is fatable most
3:26
Speaker 3: definitely did not work last week. Al Joe absolutely dominated
3:30
Speaker 3: one hundred and thirty eight piece. But now we have
3:32
Speaker 3: two primary strikers in a fight where over three and
3:34
Speaker 3: a half is favored, So kind of tipping my hand
3:37
Speaker 3: a little bit.
3:37
Speaker 2: We'll get there when we get there. But yeah, I
3:40
Speaker 2: think it's.
3:40
Speaker 3: A phenomenal, phenomenal DFS car fingers crossed. All twenty six
3:43
Speaker 3: fighters make weight and then we are good to go.
3:45
Speaker 2: Why a scent?
3:46
Speaker 3: Always good to see you, hope everybody watching live, watching
3:49
Speaker 3: on playback, having a good day.
3:51
Speaker 2: Oh we ask like button subscribe, button helps.
3:53
Speaker 3: Us out a ton, and I might as well get
3:56
Speaker 3: some marketing out of the way right here. Let me
3:58
Speaker 3: share this tab. If you have not better over to
4:00
Speaker 3: shipping nation dot com. This is the homepage that we're
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Speaker 2: You just clicked this.
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4:30
Speaker 2: My mic cutout.
4:31
Speaker 3: Let me get my okay, but now I'm back on
4:35
Speaker 3: my actual mike.
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Speaker 2: When did I cut out? I don't know when I
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Speaker 2: cut out?
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5:00
Speaker 2: I don't know what's good. I don't know what's going on.
5:04
Speaker 2: I'm gonna try one more time with my yettie mic.
5:07
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna have to go AirPods and then we
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Speaker 3: won't have to worry about that at all. But let
5:12
Speaker 3: me know, just say that again if I cut out,
5:14
Speaker 3: all right, because I'm not on the stream yard screen.
5:16
Speaker 3: But if we're gonna we're gonna screw this mic if
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Speaker 3: it goes out one more time. The banner of above
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6:03
Speaker 2: All right, it doesn't look like I cut out quite yet.
6:05
Speaker 3: Let's get back to the stone and let's go bottom
6:08
Speaker 3: to top like we always do. The It's actually not
6:10
Speaker 3: gonna be the first fight of the night. This fight
6:13
Speaker 3: was announced on Wednesday. I believe it's on the main
6:15
Speaker 3: card though, but because I already had stuff in and
6:19
Speaker 3: breakdowns in, it was just easiest to throw it at
6:21
Speaker 3: the bottom. So again, this fight won't be the actual
6:24
Speaker 3: first fight. It doesn't matter. All fights are independent when
6:26
Speaker 3: it's talking dfs. So first fight that we're going to
6:30
Speaker 3: talk about of the night, we got Marwin Rahiki taking
6:33
Speaker 3: on Ali Schmid minus seven hundred is Rihiki, So I'm
6:37
Speaker 3: glad these odds finally came out. Ali Schmid plus five
6:41
Speaker 3: hundred I'm not saying any other individual prop besides under
6:44
Speaker 3: one and a half at minus one eighty and it
6:47
Speaker 3: opened minus one ten, so the under took a lot
6:50
Speaker 3: of money. Rahiki opened minus one thousand in this one.
6:54
Speaker 3: This line just opened like two hours ago. It's looking
6:59
Speaker 3: like a couple hours go. So open minus one thousand,
7:01
Speaker 3: now minus seven hundred. Second biggest favorite on the card.
7:04
Speaker 3: He was supposed to fight Jack Jenkins, who had to
7:06
Speaker 3: pull out due to injury, and in steps Ali Schmid
7:10
Speaker 3: on short notice. This fight was booked on Wednesday, So yeah,
7:13
Speaker 3: I mean it feels like Rahikey or nothing. But I'll
7:16
Speaker 3: say Cody Durdin big underdog last week, pretty similar odds
7:20
Speaker 3: to this one came through.
7:21
Speaker 2: So does Ali Schmid have a chance to do that?
7:25
Speaker 1: Yeah, totally different fights. Schmid stepping in on a couple
7:29
Speaker 1: of days notice off of a fifteen second spinning, spinning
7:34
Speaker 1: backfist knockout, and that knockout was his only win against
7:39
Speaker 1: an opponent who had a win on his record. All
7:42
Speaker 1: of his other wins are against zero win opponents. And
7:45
Speaker 1: I didn't see anything special with this kid. He has
7:49
Speaker 1: two spinning backfitst knockouts. I think he's got a chance
7:52
Speaker 1: of getting another one of those. But man, if he
7:54
Speaker 1: doesn't get a spinning backfist, I think he gets probably
7:58
Speaker 1: hurt in the first second round. Rahik, he just looks
8:01
Speaker 1: like he's gonna be so much better. He's an aggressive
8:04
Speaker 1: striker and he's dangerous too. I just think that Schmidt's
8:07
Speaker 1: probably not ready for the UFC, and Rahiki is gonna
8:11
Speaker 1: come in there looking to kill him early. I do
8:14
Speaker 1: like Rajiki to get an early finish ninety six dollars fair.
8:19
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna play any Schmidt, even if I have
8:21
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty lineups. I will x him out
8:23
Speaker 1: for sure. I'll just know that I don't have to
8:27
Speaker 1: watch the rest of the card if he gets that
8:28
Speaker 1: first round spitting back of this knockout.
8:30
Speaker 4: But I don't think that's gonna happen. I think he
8:32
Speaker 4: gets dog walked in this one.
8:34
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be asleep if it does happen. I was
8:36
Speaker 3: busy during the Durden fight as well, and then I
8:38
Speaker 3: looked on my way I was going to play some poker,
8:40
Speaker 3: and I looked and I was like, fuck, Drden wins.
8:43
Speaker 3: I hardly have any no shipping today, is how I
8:45
Speaker 3: saw it, and it made it easier to not watch
8:48
Speaker 3: as many of the fights. But I mean, Rihiki looks good.
8:51
Speaker 3: Eight to all eight wins by finish, seven by knockout
8:54
Speaker 3: with Schmidt four and two.
8:57
Speaker 2: I gotta get these odds out. Let me refresh this too.
9:01
Speaker 3: Yeah, minus seven hundred and five hundred, no inside the
9:03
Speaker 3: distance props yet, but we'll get eight to oh and
9:06
Speaker 3: four and two schmidches. Yeah, fought. Nobody doesn't look great.
9:09
Speaker 3: He's gonna get walked in this one Rihiki. I probably
9:13
Speaker 3: round one. I want to see what that run one
9:14
Speaker 3: prop is. I won't be surprised if it's like minus
9:16
Speaker 3: one ten minus one twenty. I think he gets him
9:19
Speaker 3: out of there in the first or second round. He
9:21
Speaker 3: is the second most expensive. But again i'll tip my
9:23
Speaker 3: hand a little bit. Any Malcoon team can most definitely
9:26
Speaker 3: go to Rihiki and you can leave. Two hundred plus
9:28
Speaker 3: ninety six hundred is a lot. With that being said,
9:31
Speaker 3: though again, I think a lot of these dogs will
9:32
Speaker 3: be barking only three favorites minus two to fifty or greater,
9:36
Speaker 3: which means a lot of lower tier fighters have like
9:39
Speaker 3: plus one sixty five plus one seventy. That are live
9:42
Speaker 3: to win, so you will will be able to fit
9:44
Speaker 3: Rihiki and the mid tier is pretty solid as well.
9:47
Speaker 3: So yeah, definitely Rihiki or pass in this one. Let's
9:51
Speaker 3: go to the next fight on the card. This one
9:53
Speaker 3: is one of the three fights expected to go the distance.
9:55
Speaker 3: Cody Steele minus one eighty taken on denmar Fan plus
9:58
Speaker 3: one fifty five plus on for this fight to finish,
10:01
Speaker 3: Steel plus one eighty five inside the distance Fan plus
10:04
Speaker 3: six hundred take it away. I see you have a
10:06
Speaker 3: two star on this one.
10:09
Speaker 1: Yeah, two stars, but I am interested in the underdog.
10:13
Speaker 1: I don't think I want too much Steel with limited lineups.
10:16
Speaker 1: If I was making one hundred and fifty, then he's
10:18
Speaker 1: definitely in play. I think Steele is is originally a wrestler,
10:24
Speaker 1: and he looks like he's falling in love with his striking.
10:27
Speaker 1: On the striking, he just has to get in close.
10:30
Speaker 1: He's got some solid, powerful hooks, but he needs to
10:33
Speaker 1: get on the inside. And then mar Fain is gonna
10:36
Speaker 1: want to keep it at range while the fight's on
10:38
Speaker 1: the feet, and then if it is on the inside,
10:40
Speaker 1: Steel could look for just traditional wrestling, and then mar
10:44
Speaker 1: Fayn his grappling's pretty solid himself, but he's a He's
10:48
Speaker 1: kind of like a body to body and then he'll
10:50
Speaker 1: take you down that way. He'll just get in the
10:52
Speaker 1: clinch first body to body and then slam you down.
10:54
Speaker 1: It's kind of kind of different, kind of awkward, but
10:57
Speaker 1: I kind of like it. I think it could have
10:59
Speaker 1: success here Steel. I just think that if Steel wins,
11:02
Speaker 1: it's got to be an early knockout for him to
11:04
Speaker 1: really pay off that value.
11:06
Speaker 4: I don't think he'll.
11:07
Speaker 1: Have enough wrestling success for him to score enough minutes
11:09
Speaker 1: a minute.
11:10
Speaker 4: Wise, if domb.
11:12
Speaker 1: Mar Fan wins, I think he will score over ten
11:15
Speaker 1: x no matter. No matter how he wins, I think
11:18
Speaker 1: it'll be at least seventy four points with ninety five
11:22
Speaker 1: point upside.
11:23
Speaker 4: So I am gonna pick.
11:25
Speaker 1: Mar Fin to get the upset and I will be
11:28
Speaker 1: overweight to him. I'll probably move it to a three
11:30
Speaker 1: star just because I am interested in him. It's I
11:32
Speaker 1: put it as a two star because I'm not interested
11:35
Speaker 1: in the Steel side.
11:37
Speaker 3: I totally agree with you on this fight, like it's
11:40
Speaker 3: supposed to go to the distance only one of three fights. Fan,
11:43
Speaker 3: I'm gonna play him at seventy four hundred, like you said,
11:45
Speaker 3: because he has wrestling upside, and he also has taking money.
11:49
Speaker 3: This week, we've seen a good amount of line movement,
11:51
Speaker 3: and we'll talk about it again as we go through.
11:53
Speaker 3: I always put these odds up on Monday or Tuesday.
11:56
Speaker 3: I did this week on Monday. It was minus two
11:58
Speaker 3: ten steel on Monday. Now it is minus one eighties.
12:01
Speaker 3: So Fan a decent amount of buyback. So I'm gonna
12:04
Speaker 3: play him at seventy four hundred. And now I will say,
12:06
Speaker 3: I think there's plenty of other dogs that have more
12:08
Speaker 3: upside and fights heavily favored to finish. But if a
12:11
Speaker 3: lot of favorites win on this card, a lot of
12:14
Speaker 3: these underdogs can score like ten or fifteen or twenty
12:17
Speaker 3: just because there's a lot of minus six hundred, minus
12:19
Speaker 3: four hundred, minus eight hundred expected to finish. So if
12:22
Speaker 3: the favorites are winning, the dogs aren't gonna score. Whereas Fan.
12:26
Speaker 3: If all favorites win on this card, Fan could be
12:29
Speaker 3: one that's on the optimal and a loss just because
12:31
Speaker 3: it's supposed to go to the distance. He can get
12:33
Speaker 3: takedowns and it could be close that way. I'm not
12:36
Speaker 3: playing for that, but that also shows seventy five in
12:38
Speaker 3: a win could be enough on certain cards, So I'm
12:41
Speaker 3: gonna play fan for that reason. Not my favorite underdog
12:43
Speaker 3: by any means, but a live one that's taking money.
12:46
Speaker 3: And for Steel plus one eighty five inside a distance
12:49
Speaker 3: is solid, but it's mainly I'm gonna pull out your card.
12:52
Speaker 3: What's his round one prop? Like you said, I think
12:54
Speaker 3: he probably needs an early knockout too. Plus four fifty
12:57
Speaker 3: that's like eighteen percent. I think his own ownership will
13:00
Speaker 3: be below eighteen percent. We have that currently right now.
13:04
Speaker 3: He just has to get squeezed. If we look at
13:06
Speaker 3: who he's priced around, cam Roston my eighty nine hundred
13:09
Speaker 3: for one hundred more gonna be more chalky Junior, Tafa, Ti,
13:13
Speaker 3: ty Vasa, Ben Johnston, Brando Perajic, all lower price than him.
13:17
Speaker 2: They're all gonna be more popular.
13:19
Speaker 3: Like if you go down, if you go from Cody
13:22
Speaker 3: Steel eighty eight hundred and just drop to Ben Johnson
13:25
Speaker 3: and leave three hundred, I think that lineup will probably
13:27
Speaker 3: be more duped than a Cody Steel team that leaves
13:31
Speaker 3: zero dollars. So in really chalky teams, I think Cody
13:35
Speaker 3: Steel's fine. But again, you're playing if you're playing multiple teams,
13:39
Speaker 3: you're playing his round one prop. If his round one prop,
13:41
Speaker 3: which it is, is greater than his ownership, which I
13:43
Speaker 3: think it will be, it's hard not to have any
13:46
Speaker 3: interest in him. So yeah, this fight's expect to go
13:48
Speaker 3: to the distance, but that's because the fan side fan
13:51
Speaker 3: doesn't get finishes.
13:52
Speaker 2: Plus one eighty five for.
13:54
Speaker 3: Steel is pretty good at eighty eight hundred plus six
13:56
Speaker 3: hundred per fan inside the distance, which is why this
13:59
Speaker 3: fight is expected to go there. So fans of my
14:02
Speaker 3: preferred side, I prefer some other dogs, but at ownership
14:06
Speaker 3: for Steel, I think this is a very low owned
14:08
Speaker 3: fight where I can make a case for both sides.
14:12
Speaker 2: Keep a rolling.
14:13
Speaker 3: Next fight on the card, Jonathan Mickeliffe taking on THEMBA Grimbo.
14:16
Speaker 3: We have Mickeleff minus two thirty THEMBA plus one ninety
14:19
Speaker 3: five minus one fifty five for this fight to finish
14:22
Speaker 3: Mickeleff plus one hundred THEMBA plus four fifty. I mean
14:26
Speaker 3: kind of a copy and paste in the sense of
14:29
Speaker 3: like for THEMBA and fan. If THEMBA wins, I mean
14:31
Speaker 3: you can see right in the stone five point oh
14:33
Speaker 3: seven takedowns per fifteen minutes, like I prefer him to
14:37
Speaker 3: Fan when we're talking ceiling, and he's four hundred cheaper,
14:41
Speaker 3: but obviously the odds he's more of a dog than
14:45
Speaker 3: is Fan. I will say THEMBA also has gotten some buyback.
14:48
Speaker 3: Minus two eighty five was Jonathan on Monday. Now he's
14:51
Speaker 3: only minus two thirty, So THEMBA getting some money. It
14:55
Speaker 3: is expected to finish, and yeah, THEMBA wants to wrestle,
14:58
Speaker 3: so easy click there.
14:59
Speaker 2: Here's hear your take on Jonathan.
15:02
Speaker 1: Yes, it's really similar to that last fight where I
15:05
Speaker 1: would worry about mkaleaf's score in a win if he's
15:10
Speaker 1: not gonna get a finish here. I think that he
15:13
Speaker 1: could win minutes, but he'd likely have to be in
15:16
Speaker 1: the striking because Grimbo's gonna want to wrestle, and if
15:19
Speaker 1: he is having success wrestling, I just don't think mcaleif
15:22
Speaker 1: is going to be winning minutes off his back. I
15:25
Speaker 1: think he could submit Grimbo, but ninety two hundred dollars
15:29
Speaker 1: a tough price to pay on this card. I would
15:31
Speaker 1: rather go to other people. I'm not going to x
15:34
Speaker 1: him out, but I just would rather get to other
15:37
Speaker 1: guys and then Grimbo.
15:38
Speaker 4: I don't feel good about him.
15:39
Speaker 1: Winning, but if he wins, he could score one hundred
15:42
Speaker 1: plus points on this card, one hundred and ten plus
15:44
Speaker 1: points where you need Grimbo to cash. So, uh, preferred
15:48
Speaker 1: play is definitely gonna be Grimbo, but I don't really
15:52
Speaker 1: trust him that much to be able to wrestle successfully
15:56
Speaker 1: for three rounds, So I picked Jonathan to get the win,
15:59
Speaker 1: which makes me kind of not care for the fight
16:02
Speaker 1: a whole lot.
16:03
Speaker 4: But Grimbo or pass is kind of how I'm looking
16:06
Speaker 4: at it.
16:07
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, I'm glad these fights were back to back,
16:09
Speaker 3: right next to each other. It's so similar. Like, Jonathan's
16:12
Speaker 3: gonna be pretty low owned in the upper tier too.
16:14
Speaker 3: If you want me to do that same thing. Cam
16:17
Speaker 3: Rowson's probably gonna be more chalky for three hundred less
16:20
Speaker 3: Ersa's not going to be owned for one hundred more,
16:22
Speaker 3: But then there's Seal killed in Rahiki definitely gonna be
16:25
Speaker 3: higher on for more, and then again the Tafa two
16:28
Speaker 3: Vasa's Johnson in the world will all be more popular.
16:31
Speaker 3: I do think Mikaeliff will be more popular than Cody
16:34
Speaker 3: Steele will be. He's plus one hundred to finish how
16:38
Speaker 3: many takedowns. Like the thing is Demba wants to wrestle.
16:41
Speaker 3: Jonathan's good on the mat, He's good submission guy. Can
16:44
Speaker 3: he like when THEMA tries to wrestle. Just get his
16:46
Speaker 3: own takedowns, get a reversal.
16:48
Speaker 2: Be up on, be on top. I think we kind of.
16:51
Speaker 3: Want that slash needed at ninety two hundreds, how much
16:54
Speaker 3: takedown control time, reversal upside does he have in this one?
16:59
Speaker 4: Yeah?
16:59
Speaker 1: Actually, I think that's a tough prop to set. I
17:02
Speaker 1: would want to look at that before I'm setting my lineups.
17:05
Speaker 4: For sure. I haven't looked yet, but since he is
17:08
Speaker 4: that big of a favorite, I would guess he's a
17:10
Speaker 4: one and a half. Well yeah, not sure.
17:13
Speaker 3: Yeah, plus one hundred to finish is pretty solid if
17:16
Speaker 3: we're doing that round one stuff. Plut Or like his
17:19
Speaker 3: round one prop plus two seventy five plus two seventy
17:22
Speaker 3: five comes out to twenty six percent. Again, I think
17:25
Speaker 3: that will be he has a better chance in round
17:27
Speaker 3: to win in round one than I think his ownership
17:29
Speaker 3: will be, which is always appealing. And I want to
17:32
Speaker 3: say open plus two eighty five, so little money on
17:36
Speaker 3: the under. Again, I'm gonna play some Jonathan and chalk
17:39
Speaker 3: your teams and a vacuum gun to my head, I'm
17:41
Speaker 3: gonna say he's not optimal more times than not in
17:44
Speaker 3: a win. But we play a salary based game, an
17:46
Speaker 3: ownership game. When you win, how much do you win?
17:49
Speaker 3: Cody Steele and Mickeliff both will be pretty low own
17:52
Speaker 3: as pivots in the upper tier where their round one
17:54
Speaker 3: prop is higher than their ownership, and then again, not
17:59
Speaker 3: all run one wins for them will be optimal. But
18:02
Speaker 3: if you're telling me they're gonna get a round one win,
18:04
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take a chance at pretty low, relatively low
18:07
Speaker 3: ownership to get different on this card, especially because I
18:10
Speaker 3: will be eating plenty of chalk fights as we get there.
18:13
Speaker 2: So what you think you're more likely to be more?
18:16
Speaker 3: If you had to be double the field on mikaelf
18:19
Speaker 3: or Cody Steele, which one would you pick? Obviously we
18:23
Speaker 3: don't plan on being double the field on either, but
18:25
Speaker 3: if you had to, you had to make.
18:27
Speaker 4: Actually I picked mar Fan to win, so yeah.
18:31
Speaker 3: I would pick Nikolaff there as well. All right, let's
18:34
Speaker 3: go to a fight that. Yeah, it's really hard to
18:36
Speaker 3: get away from a chalkier fight. Ben Johnson minus won
18:40
Speaker 3: forty taking on west Schultz plus one twenty minus six
18:43
Speaker 3: hundred for this fight to finish, Johnson minus one ten
18:46
Speaker 3: inside the distance, Schultz plus one point fifty. Another fight
18:50
Speaker 3: that's got some line movement. As you see on Monday,
18:53
Speaker 3: Johnson was minus one sixty three now finds himself as
18:56
Speaker 3: a minus one forty favorites.
18:58
Speaker 2: Many of you.
18:58
Speaker 3: Of you will probably remember West should because he was
19:01
Speaker 3: fighting that Penis guy.
19:02
Speaker 2: A couple months back, the first fight of the night.
19:05
Speaker 2: We absolutely wanted to load up on it.
19:07
Speaker 3: Penis was the striker, Schultz was the wrestler, grappler if
19:10
Speaker 3: he couldn't get to the mat, which he didn't two knockdowns,
19:14
Speaker 3: first round win for Penis actually went off. Now Schultz
19:17
Speaker 3: is getting a little different matchup though, two primary grapplers.
19:21
Speaker 3: They're actually both more likely to win by submission than Ko.
19:24
Speaker 3: Schultz by sub plus two to fifty by KO plus
19:27
Speaker 3: five to fifteen, Johnson plus two to fifteen by sub
19:30
Speaker 3: plus two to eighty five by KO. And I would
19:33
Speaker 3: say most of those I think are probably ground and pound.
19:35
Speaker 3: But a fight that's minus six hundred to finish in
19:38
Speaker 3: the mid tier with two primary grapplers, I mean, yeah,
19:42
Speaker 3: what more can you ask for?
19:43
Speaker 2: Give me a lot of this fight.
19:45
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think Ben Johnston is really a primary grappler.
19:50
Speaker 1: Most of his MMA wins are submissions, but just against
19:54
Speaker 1: low level opponents. I think he is originally like some
19:58
Speaker 1: sort of kickboxer or maybe Moie fighter or something like that,
20:01
Speaker 1: but he has a striking background. So this matchup, I
20:05
Speaker 1: see this as a striker verus grappler matchup where Johnston
20:08
Speaker 1: is gonna want to keep the fight on the feet.
20:10
Speaker 1: He's not gonna want to grapple with a real grappler
20:13
Speaker 1: and Schultz. But Schultz again, that's that's his only real chance.
20:17
Speaker 1: I didn't think Johnston's striking was that good, but in
20:20
Speaker 1: this matchup he should. He should look pretty decent. But
20:24
Speaker 1: on the ground, I think Schultz could dominate. So my
20:27
Speaker 1: preferred play is gonna be Schultz. I just wasn't I
20:30
Speaker 1: wasn't impressed with Johnston. And he's also not a guy
20:33
Speaker 1: who's like one punch and you're dead type of power.
20:36
Speaker 1: He's just a kind of a long rangey kickboxer guy.
20:40
Speaker 1: And he was jumping on like guilletines just like legs
20:45
Speaker 1: aren't even wrapped around. He's just grabbing a neck and
20:47
Speaker 1: they're tapping out within two seconds, Like, I was just
20:49
Speaker 1: really unimpressed since he has the minus next to his name.
20:54
Speaker 1: I was like, there's no way I would lay juice
20:56
Speaker 1: on this guy. Give me West Schultz is my pick.
20:58
Speaker 1: I thought about betting West Schultz. I'm not against it now,
21:01
Speaker 1: but I think my preferred way to go about it
21:04
Speaker 1: is just be overweight on the West Shultz side for sure,
21:07
Speaker 1: and then maybe be around the field on Johnston because
21:10
Speaker 1: Schultz is pretty bad. He could get knocked out once
21:13
Speaker 1: or twice in the first round and finished. Or I
21:15
Speaker 1: mean I doubt Schultz gets submitted. I'd be pretty pretty
21:19
Speaker 1: uh surprised if Schultz got submitted by this guy. To
21:21
Speaker 1: be honest with you, yeah, give me Schultz is one
21:24
Speaker 1: of my favorite underdog plays.
21:26
Speaker 2: Yeah.
21:26
Speaker 3: I like Schultz lot too, So you're surprised to see Schultz.
21:29
Speaker 3: Are Johnson more likely to win by sub than Ko?
21:32
Speaker 4: Yeah?
21:32
Speaker 1: I mean yeah, when you said that, Ali Shakah, But
21:35
Speaker 1: I mean, like you're just looking at record, at his record.
21:38
Speaker 3: It makes sense he's more likely to win. Like he's
21:41
Speaker 3: more likely to win by sub than Schultz is to
21:43
Speaker 3: win by sub. It's actually the most it's the most
21:45
Speaker 3: likely prop on this light is Johnson to win this
21:48
Speaker 3: fight by submission. Interesting, so interesting there, but uh so
21:53
Speaker 3: that open plus two to ten, now it's plus two
21:55
Speaker 3: to fifteen, whereas Johnson by KO open plus three seventy
21:58
Speaker 3: five now plus two eighty five some sharp money. You
22:02
Speaker 3: don't know if it's sharp or not, but it's moving.
22:04
Speaker 3: It's moved quite a bit, almost a dollar. So people
22:07
Speaker 3: are hitting that KO prop. Like you said, I'm team
22:10
Speaker 3: west Schultz. If I had to pick one, eight hundred
22:12
Speaker 3: dollars savings goes a long way. He wants to get
22:14
Speaker 3: it to the mad He's taking money, just a lot
22:16
Speaker 3: going in his favor. But Johnson at eighty five hundreds
22:19
Speaker 3: minus one ten to win round one props in this
22:22
Speaker 3: one Johnson plus two to fifteen, Schultz plus three twenty five.
22:26
Speaker 3: And then both have taken money. Johnson open plus two
22:28
Speaker 3: sixty in round one again now plus two to fifteen,
22:31
Speaker 3: Schultz open plus three sixty in run one now plus
22:34
Speaker 3: three twenty five. So a lot of money coming in
22:37
Speaker 3: on both guys to finish on the under. I love
22:40
Speaker 3: this fight, a phenomenal mid tier fight to target any
22:43
Speaker 3: protest or. Jack Della team can easily go to West
22:46
Speaker 3: Schultz and I think they have West Schultz has more upside.
22:49
Speaker 2: When it's all said and done.
22:50
Speaker 3: Right there, let's go to the second of three fights
22:54
Speaker 3: expected to go the distance Kobe Thickness minus one thirty
22:57
Speaker 3: five taken on Vince Morales plus one fifteen plus what
23:00
Speaker 3: ninety five for this fight to finish Morales plus three
23:03
Speaker 3: twenty five inside the distance Thickness plus four seventy five. Yeah,
23:07
Speaker 3: I do not want to play a mid tier fight
23:10
Speaker 3: that's expected to go the distance, unless you think one
23:12
Speaker 3: of these guys are getting five plus takedowns, which I think.
23:16
Speaker 3: I don't know Morales, maybe I don't see any of
23:19
Speaker 3: them doing it. I think it's a fifteen minute striking
23:21
Speaker 3: match for the most part in this fight, bus So
23:24
Speaker 3: no thank you on my end?
23:25
Speaker 2: What about you?
23:26
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna play it as if it's a one
23:29
Speaker 1: star because I'm gonna ask both of these guys out
23:31
Speaker 1: and hope that the winner scores with a sixty. I'm
23:34
Speaker 1: gonna keep it as a two star, though, because I
23:37
Speaker 1: usually keep my one stars as the I'm sure this
23:40
Speaker 1: will go at the distance and it's gonna be a
23:42
Speaker 1: bad score, but it wouldn't shock me if either one
23:44
Speaker 1: of these guys put up ten X and you need
23:46
Speaker 1: them for the optimal, so.
23:50
Speaker 4: At their prices, I'll keep it as a two.
23:52
Speaker 1: But I don't want to have to play a Morales
23:55
Speaker 1: lineup because of my fomo where I put it in
23:58
Speaker 1: a Thickness lineup, you know what I mean. I'm not
24:00
Speaker 1: trying to just drop that four hundred and throw money
24:02
Speaker 1: into the pot, So I'm just gonna not play either
24:04
Speaker 1: one of them and hope that if I have to
24:06
Speaker 1: target the mid range, it's the Johnson and Schultz fight
24:10
Speaker 1: or the main event, and it's not this one. So
24:13
Speaker 1: I'm going to x this fight out just to make
24:15
Speaker 1: it easier on myself building lineups. Morales probably my preferred
24:19
Speaker 1: play because he's four hundred dollars cheaper.
24:22
Speaker 4: I did pick Thickness to.
24:24
Speaker 1: Win, though, just because Morales is like oh and five,
24:27
Speaker 1: oh and six in the UFC, and I just think
24:30
Speaker 1: it's a bad fight where both guys are gonna have
24:33
Speaker 1: their moments. Either guy could land one or two takedowns
24:36
Speaker 1: here or there, but I think it's mostly gonna stay
24:38
Speaker 1: on the feet and not score well. And I think
24:40
Speaker 1: that Thicknise is the higher volume striker, so I picked
24:45
Speaker 1: him to get his hand raised twenty nine to twenty eight,
24:47
Speaker 1: but I don't think that'll be enough.
24:48
Speaker 3: In dfs you mentioned like ten x. I mean, what
24:52
Speaker 3: are the odds you think ten x seventy three? Like,
24:55
Speaker 3: what are the odds that's optim on this card? I'd
24:57
Speaker 3: put that very very low.
24:59
Speaker 4: Yeah, on the store, probably not.
25:00
Speaker 1: But also, I mean these five, these five star fights,
25:03
Speaker 1: I have probably gonna need them, but also any one
25:07
Speaker 1: of them could just suck shit for fifteen minutes, So
25:11
Speaker 1: you never know.
25:12
Speaker 4: On a card like this where it's a lot of
25:13
Speaker 4: low level.
25:14
Speaker 3: Guys, fair enough, but yeah, we're talking mid tier like
25:17
Speaker 3: this fight is in We talked about the Johnson Scholtz
25:21
Speaker 3: fight phenomenal, minus six hundred to finish, We're gonna talk
25:25
Speaker 3: about Brando and gazebe minus eight hundred to finish, main event,
25:28
Speaker 3: minus two to fifteen to finish. I'm definitely crossing this
25:31
Speaker 3: fight out in twenty and below. If I had to
25:33
Speaker 3: pick a side, though, it would be Vince Morales. He's
25:36
Speaker 3: four hunderd cheaper and he's more likely to win by finish.
25:38
Speaker 3: But no, thank you for me really curiously your take
25:41
Speaker 3: on this next one. I mean, I hate seeing minus
25:43
Speaker 3: one thousand plus Jacob Malcum minus eleven hundred derod meter
25:47
Speaker 3: Sharp plus seven hundred minus two twenty five for this fight.
25:50
Speaker 3: To finish, Malcouon minus two hundred inside the distance Meershart
25:54
Speaker 3: plus eight fifty. Malcoon in round one is plus two hundred.
25:59
Speaker 3: I mean, any time Malcoon's got a minus next to
26:02
Speaker 3: his name to finish a fight, you know it's bad matchmaking.
26:05
Speaker 3: I will say, shout out to Malcoon. He's been my boy.
26:07
Speaker 3: He cashed big for us against Torres Finney last time out.
26:10
Speaker 3: Is absolute domination. Very few wrestlers versus wrestlers are gonna
26:15
Speaker 3: beat Jacob Malcoon in my opinion, the beast. But now
26:18
Speaker 3: we're talking ninety eight hundred dollars. Really curious to hear
26:21
Speaker 3: you taking this one. What do you think?
26:24
Speaker 4: Yeah?
26:25
Speaker 1: I mean, I think mal Kun has the highest ceiling.
26:29
Speaker 4: On the card. If he just wants to go out
26:30
Speaker 4: there and do Malcoon wrestling.
26:33
Speaker 1: I think he could land, you know, either three takedowns
26:38
Speaker 1: and control the fight for fourteen minutes, or he could
26:40
Speaker 1: land eight plus takedowns with a bunch of strikes and
26:44
Speaker 1: score one hundred and thirty points on this card. I
26:47
Speaker 1: also think he could be worried about the only way
26:49
Speaker 1: he loses he's getting submitted, so he just doesn't look
26:52
Speaker 1: for as many takedowns and he strikes with Meershart, and
26:55
Speaker 1: if he doesn't knock out Miershart early, the ninety eight
26:59
Speaker 1: hundred dollars going to be too much to pay off.
27:01
Speaker 1: But I think he could also knock out Mearschhart in
27:03
Speaker 1: the first round. I have been on Meershart as an
27:07
Speaker 1: underdog and a lot of his fights in the past,
27:09
Speaker 1: but I just think that he's done at this point.
27:11
Speaker 1: He doesn't really have any motivation. I'll probably go in
27:14
Speaker 1: there accept takedowns if that's what Malcoun wants to do,
27:18
Speaker 1: but if he gets hit hard once, I think he'll
27:20
Speaker 1: just drop and look for a way out. So I
27:22
Speaker 1: do like Malcoon if I can afford it, But if
27:25
Speaker 1: I can't afford it, I'm totally fine with Rahiki for two.
27:27
Speaker 4: Hundred dollars less.
27:29
Speaker 1: And then there's a lot of guys that are cheaper
27:31
Speaker 1: as well that we could go to as well.
27:33
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I find with sell Kill for four
27:35
Speaker 3: hundred less kind of like what you said. I just
27:37
Speaker 3: don't The one path Meershart has in this fight is
27:42
Speaker 3: like for him to get taken down and throw up
27:44
Speaker 3: as emission, So why would Malcoon do that?
27:46
Speaker 2: Like he can just.
27:47
Speaker 3: Outstrike him, probably get a knockout. Meershard has no chin
27:50
Speaker 3: when it's all said and done. So I'm trusting Malcoun
27:53
Speaker 3: who is a fight smart or is a smart fighter
27:55
Speaker 3: fight smarter. He is a smart fighter. I expect him
27:58
Speaker 3: to fight smartly get a knockout. He knows he probably
28:01
Speaker 3: can't get too many knockouts in the UFC two. He
28:03
Speaker 3: did get Petrowski on the really weird one, but even
28:07
Speaker 3: a first round knockout at ninety eight hundred, I don't
28:10
Speaker 3: I would bet against that being optimal more than likely. Again,
28:14
Speaker 3: it can be three knockdowns, and of course you want that,
28:17
Speaker 3: But there is a lot of upside in the upper
28:19
Speaker 3: tier this week. Ninety eight hundred is a big boy
28:21
Speaker 3: price tag and he's only plus two hundred to win
28:24
Speaker 3: in round one if he does want to put on
28:26
Speaker 3: the wrestling shoes and just show he's a beast on
28:28
Speaker 3: top and he can stay safe. Yeah, like you said,
28:30
Speaker 3: he has the most upside on the card if he
28:32
Speaker 3: chooses that path. I'm gonna hope he doesn't, though, and
28:35
Speaker 3: I plan on being underweights. Definitely not gonna play any
28:39
Speaker 3: Gerald Miershart, though this line says it all all right.
28:43
Speaker 3: Next fight on the car definitely a great one to
28:44
Speaker 3: talk about and target. Junior Tafa minus two ten Kevin
28:48
Speaker 3: Christian plus one eighty minus six hundred for this fight
28:51
Speaker 3: to finish, Tafa minus one fifty five inside the distance,
28:54
Speaker 3: Christian plus two fifteen. As you can see on Monday,
28:58
Speaker 3: Tafa was minus one ninety minus two ten, so he
29:01
Speaker 3: has taken some money. How do you see this fight going?
29:08
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be a knockout from Tafa or
29:10
Speaker 1: a submission from Christian, or it's gonna be a real
29:14
Speaker 1: shitter and we're gonna I'm gonna lose a lot of
29:16
Speaker 1: lineups because I want to be all over it and
29:18
Speaker 1: hope so that it's gonna be a first round finish.
29:21
Speaker 1: Both of these guys suck. Tafa as a decent striker,
29:23
Speaker 1: but he has to keep it on the feet.
29:26
Speaker 4: Uh.
29:26
Speaker 1: Christian's tallest shit, but I think that's gonna work against him.
29:30
Speaker 1: I just think he's gonna be like tall man defense.
29:32
Speaker 1: He gets knocked out. But if you can just fall
29:34
Speaker 1: on to Tafa, get Tapa on his back, then then
29:37
Speaker 1: Tough is like a fish out of water and he's
29:39
Speaker 1: got nothing. Uh not that Christians a good grappler, but
29:43
Speaker 1: he's way better than Tafa and he could submit him
29:45
Speaker 1: in the first round. So I love those kind of
29:48
Speaker 1: fights for DFS. I'll be all over it. Give me
29:51
Speaker 1: Tafa for the knockout, because I think Christian is just
29:54
Speaker 1: really not good, But you.
29:57
Speaker 4: Gotta have exposure to him because he.
29:58
Speaker 1: Could break the slate and hopefully him being not good
30:02
Speaker 1: takes away from his ownership as well. But minus six
30:05
Speaker 1: hundred inside the distance sounds about right to me. It's
30:08
Speaker 1: just that both of these guys do suck, so it
30:11
Speaker 1: could be a horrible fight if it gets out of
30:13
Speaker 1: the first round.
30:15
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I really don't have too much more
30:17
Speaker 3: to add. I think Christian is terrible, but at the
30:20
Speaker 3: end of the day, he's only plus one eighty and
30:22
Speaker 3: a fight minus six hundred to finish, and I do
30:24
Speaker 3: think his ownership stays in check, and I think Tafa
30:27
Speaker 3: gets a decent bit of ownership. So for that reason,
30:29
Speaker 3: leverage good inside the distance prop cheap. If he wins,
30:32
Speaker 3: he's gonna score. But I think he probably is staring
30:35
Speaker 3: up at the stars waking up after being knocked out.
30:37
Speaker 3: When it's all said and done, eighty seven hundred. Tafa
30:41
Speaker 3: feels very strong with a lot of upside too. So
30:44
Speaker 3: I fight, I'm gonna target both sides. Like a lot
30:46
Speaker 3: of these fights coming up, are don't even really have
30:49
Speaker 3: a preferred sided ownership. I just think it's a great
30:51
Speaker 3: one to target. But yeah, I think Tafa does knock
30:54
Speaker 3: him out as the better striker, We'll.
30:57
Speaker 2: Keep it rolling.
30:57
Speaker 3: Next fight on the card, Cam Roston minus one sixty
31:00
Speaker 3: Robert Breecheck plus one forty minus two ten for this
31:03
Speaker 3: fight to finish, Rolston plus one fifteen inside the distance
31:06
Speaker 3: bre Check plus two forty. Another fight with a decent
31:09
Speaker 3: amount of line movement. Rouston was minus two hundred on Monday,
31:13
Speaker 3: now only minus one sixty.
31:15
Speaker 2: Break this one down, how do you see it?
31:19
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think this could be I don't know.
31:24
Speaker 1: I don't really know on this one. It could be
31:26
Speaker 1: a two star, it could be a four star. It
31:29
Speaker 1: just depends on what we get from from Ralston. I
31:33
Speaker 1: think if this is a striking match, then I'm more
31:36
Speaker 1: interested in bree Chick. I think that he is the
31:39
Speaker 1: more dangerous one punch striker. I think it could be
31:44
Speaker 1: really close minute to minute wise, and the striking both
31:47
Speaker 1: guys could get a knockout, but I just think that
31:49
Speaker 1: Breechick is a little bit more dangerous overall if it
31:52
Speaker 1: was a fifteen minute striking match. And when I was
31:55
Speaker 1: looking at this fight, Ralston was around minus three hundred.
31:59
Speaker 1: Now he's minus one seventy, so lots of money coming
32:03
Speaker 1: in on Breechick, So I think that ownership comes along
32:07
Speaker 1: with that as well. But if I was Rouston's coach,
32:10
Speaker 1: I would just want him to grapple. I think that
32:12
Speaker 1: he could look like a minus two hundred or minus
32:14
Speaker 1: three hundred favorite if he is going to go out
32:16
Speaker 1: there and grapple or at least grapple early and keep
32:20
Speaker 1: Breechick guessing on what's coming the rest of the.
32:22
Speaker 4: Fight, and that'll make the striking easier as well.
32:24
Speaker 1: So my preferred play is going to go against the
32:27
Speaker 1: line movement and pick Ralston in this one.
32:30
Speaker 4: He could get a knockout, he could get a submission, but.
32:34
Speaker 1: He could also score sixty five points, whereas Breechick at
32:38
Speaker 1: seventy three hundred could knock him out score ninety five
32:41
Speaker 1: plus points, And you just got to have them.
32:44
Speaker 2: So you're picking Ralston, But what would you say your
32:47
Speaker 2: preferred play is for DFS because it's hand of the
32:50
Speaker 2: more you were talking that maybe it is the guy
32:53
Speaker 2: you're picking against for the price.
32:54
Speaker 1: So my preferred play is Ralston. But I'm worried about
33:00
Speaker 1: not only picking against Breechick, but not having enough Breechick
33:03
Speaker 1: in my lineups because.
33:04
Speaker 4: I think he could just ruin me out of the gates.
33:07
Speaker 1: If he knocks Rousting out in the first round, I
33:09
Speaker 1: mean that kills off all my rout in lineups. But
33:12
Speaker 1: if I don't have Breechick and he's on that optimal lineup,
33:15
Speaker 1: I would just really be kicking myself. So I think
33:17
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna end up hedging more than I want
33:19
Speaker 1: to on the Breachick. So I think, all right, what
33:22
Speaker 1: i want to say is this is like a three
33:24
Speaker 1: star fight for me, but I'm probably gonna play.
33:27
Speaker 4: It as a four star, just as my hedges on Breechick.
33:31
Speaker 3: Okay, that makes sense. I'm my prefer plays bree check at.
33:35
Speaker 3: A lot of it has to do with the line movement,
33:37
Speaker 3: like you said, but it's also sixteen hundred dollars difference.
33:39
Speaker 3: Even if somehow Breecheck wins a seventy eight point decision,
33:42
Speaker 3: which I don't think is the most likely. He's live
33:45
Speaker 3: to be optimal at seventy three hundred if a lot
33:47
Speaker 3: of favorites win, like we talked about. Whereas Rousin, he's
33:50
Speaker 3: competing with a lot of high, high ceiling guys in
33:53
Speaker 3: the upper tier. I also looking at the inside of
33:56
Speaker 3: the distance prop. I just want to make sure I
33:57
Speaker 3: get this right before saying it. If his has gone
34:00
Speaker 3: the wrong. Uh, it was plus one fifteen and open
34:03
Speaker 3: then when I saw it was plus one oh five.
34:05
Speaker 3: Now it's back to plus one fifteen, whereas bree Check
34:08
Speaker 3: open mind or plus two sixty to finish, then went
34:11
Speaker 3: to plus two seventy and now plus two forty. So
34:14
Speaker 3: a lot of line move in this one. And like
34:16
Speaker 3: you said, Rouson opened minus three hundred, and this one
34:19
Speaker 3: in Breecheck has continued to take money. So bree Check
34:22
Speaker 3: a good striker. He is my preferred play. Ralston is
34:26
Speaker 3: another somewhat pivot in the upper tier. Who would you
34:29
Speaker 3: rather play Steal or rank him? Mickeleff, You already have
34:32
Speaker 3: Mickeleff over Steele, So Mickeleff or Rouston.
34:37
Speaker 1: Ralston over both of them, and you were saying that
34:40
Speaker 1: that he will be more chalky, But the way the
34:43
Speaker 1: line's been moving has just been consistently against him, and
34:46
Speaker 1: if it keeps moving, I think his ownership will be
34:50
Speaker 1: fairly low because of it.
34:52
Speaker 3: No, I think it'll be pretty low. Who did I
34:54
Speaker 3: said Rolson will be.
34:55
Speaker 4: Chalky chuckier than Steele and Mickey Leaf.
34:59
Speaker 3: I think you were saying, yeah, I do think he
35:01
Speaker 3: will be more than steal for the fight to finish
35:05
Speaker 3: in the is inside the distance prop Maybe not, Mikolf
35:08
Speaker 3: I don't know the three hundred.
35:10
Speaker 2: Maybe, I think it'll be pretty close.
35:11
Speaker 3: I think you're kind of looking at the three pivots
35:13
Speaker 3: and then Steve Erseg when we get there later. But
35:16
Speaker 3: it's clear that where the ownership's going. I don't think
35:18
Speaker 3: any of those guys will be too too popular when
35:21
Speaker 3: it's all said and done.
35:23
Speaker 2: All right, little just two.
35:24
Speaker 3: Second break, Appreciate everyone hanging out again, watching live or
35:27
Speaker 3: watching on playback. We appreciate you do not forget four
35:30
Speaker 3: am Eastern start time Saturday morning with us in Perth, Australia.
35:34
Speaker 3: Set your alarms, get your lineups up Friday night, whatever
35:38
Speaker 3: it may be I'm probably gonna get up, probably gonna
35:42
Speaker 3: get up most of the content tonight, maybe a projections
35:45
Speaker 3: ownership maybe tomorrow, maybe get it all up tonight or
35:48
Speaker 3: course maybe later tomorrow. But we'll at least have the
35:51
Speaker 3: slate plan and the tier rankings up for everyone that
35:54
Speaker 3: wants to dive in a little early but very early
35:56
Speaker 3: start time.
35:57
Speaker 2: So make sure to not forget to get your lineups
36:00
Speaker 2: in next fight on the card. Definitely a great one
36:03
Speaker 2: to target again.
36:03
Speaker 3: Tie two yev Assa minus two twenty taken on Louis
36:06
Speaker 3: Sutherland plus one eighty five minus three twenty five for
36:09
Speaker 3: this fight to finish. Tie two weyev Assa minus one
36:11
Speaker 3: thirty five inside the distance Sutherland plus two to seventy
36:15
Speaker 3: five tie in round one plus one ninety. It's like, man,
36:19
Speaker 3: ty has been so bad, It's like what who can
36:21
Speaker 3: the UFC give him to get him a dub in
36:24
Speaker 3: front of his crowd. Let's go to the ten and
36:27
Speaker 3: five Louis Sutherland. I mean, yeah, Tye is taking some money.
36:31
Speaker 3: Another story of this late minus one eighty he was Monday,
36:34
Speaker 3: now he is minus two twenty. The fight is heavily
36:37
Speaker 3: juiced to go the distance, but the under has taken
36:39
Speaker 3: a little more money. It was minus four hundred on Monday,
36:43
Speaker 3: now minus three twenty five, but eighty six hundred and
36:46
Speaker 3: seventy six hundred minus three twenty five for the fight
36:49
Speaker 3: to finish.
36:50
Speaker 2: I think the.
36:50
Speaker 3: Winner score is good, more than likely, but yeah, I
36:53
Speaker 3: mean it could bust. Like you talked about ties last
36:55
Speaker 3: fight didn't score.
36:58
Speaker 1: True, yeah, and I mean six fight losing streak for Touivasa.
37:04
Speaker 1: The UFC really wants to keep this guy around. They
37:07
Speaker 1: Sutherland is taking this fight on short notice. They tried
37:10
Speaker 1: to give him Sean Sharaff or whatever his name is,
37:13
Speaker 1: like the worst fighter in the UFC. They really want
37:16
Speaker 1: this guy to win so bad, so when he pulled out,
37:18
Speaker 1: they're like, oh my god, who else can.
37:20
Speaker 4: Touivasa even beat in the UFC?
37:23
Speaker 1: So they're giving them Sutherland and people are actually betting
37:27
Speaker 1: on Touivasa to win. So I'm rooting for him, man,
37:30
Speaker 1: hoping to see a shoey after this one. I do
37:32
Speaker 1: hope he gets a knockout in the first round and
37:34
Speaker 1: he will score if.
37:35
Speaker 4: That's the case.
37:36
Speaker 1: But neither one of these guys is gonna score well
37:40
Speaker 1: minute to minute, and if either one of them does
37:42
Speaker 1: score well, it would be Sutherland by getting takedowns and
37:45
Speaker 1: staying in top control, possibly even finishing Touivasa on the ground.
37:50
Speaker 1: See it's just a great fight to target either way.
37:53
Speaker 1: But another one that you just gotta worry about if
37:56
Speaker 1: it makes it out of the first round, both guys
37:59
Speaker 1: gonna slow down and it could get a real sloppy
38:01
Speaker 1: just like Toui Vassa's last fight. But if he didn't
38:05
Speaker 1: win this one, you gotta cut him at this point.
38:07
Speaker 1: I mean, this it's wild, but go to one more.
38:11
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree toueyve Assam. I preferred SiGe, but this
38:14
Speaker 3: fight's very similar, in my opinion to the Junior Tafa
38:17
Speaker 3: Kevin Christian fight Touey vasson Junior Tafa.
38:20
Speaker 2: Both want to strike.
38:22
Speaker 3: I think Sutherland, if he gets it to the map,
38:24
Speaker 3: maybe can have a little success, but I think more
38:26
Speaker 3: than likely he's gonna stand and bang and try and
38:28
Speaker 3: knock out tie To.
38:29
Speaker 2: But great fights to target. Five Star could not agree more.
38:33
Speaker 3: It is minus three to twenty five to finish, though,
38:35
Speaker 3: so the over is taken a little bit of money.
38:38
Speaker 3: Let's go to the most likely fight to finish on
38:40
Speaker 3: the car to mid tier fight Brando Parichrich minus one
38:43
Speaker 3: thirty taken on Shamil Gazeve plus one ten, minus one
38:46
Speaker 3: eight or minus eight Hunter for this fight to finish
38:50
Speaker 3: Parachich minus won thirty five inside the distance gazee plus
38:54
Speaker 3: one sixty Parachich in round one plus one sixty five
38:57
Speaker 3: Gazeve plus two seventy five. I love this Parachadge guy
39:01
Speaker 3: and how he fights. He just comes forward and wants
39:03
Speaker 3: to throw bombs, and I'm hoping he does the same
39:06
Speaker 3: because either he's gonna knock him out or he's gonna
39:08
Speaker 3: get knocked out two heavy hitting guys. This fight under
39:12
Speaker 3: one and a half is minus two hundred. And this
39:16
Speaker 3: is if I had to pick one fight to be
39:17
Speaker 3: optim on this card, this would be the fights I
39:20
Speaker 3: would pick if a gun was to my head. Eighty
39:22
Speaker 3: four hundred and seventy eight hundred. I think it finishes
39:24
Speaker 3: in the first. Don't have too strong of a lead.
39:27
Speaker 3: Any Parachig team can be Gazi ofv and Sa or
39:30
Speaker 3: Kazeeve excuse me in save six hundred, I see you
39:33
Speaker 3: have more stars on the Gazebe side, so I take
39:36
Speaker 3: it that is who you're picking.
39:38
Speaker 1: Yeah, just because he's the underdog. I think that both
39:41
Speaker 1: of these guys could crash in early.
39:45
Speaker 4: Parasite. What's his name? What are we calling him?
39:47
Speaker 2: I'm calling Paris, But I could be total.
39:50
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he is the better striker, probably more
39:53
Speaker 1: dangerous one punch power. But Ghaziev was a similar style
39:58
Speaker 1: when he came into the UFC. He was just blitz
40:00
Speaker 1: in early, not guys out. But he would also go
40:03
Speaker 1: for takedowns too on the regional scene in the first round.
40:05
Speaker 1: And I think if he takes down Parachadge in the
40:08
Speaker 1: first round, who knows what that guy could look like
40:11
Speaker 1: off of his back. So I'm just gonna be on
40:14
Speaker 1: the underdog who I think has more ways to win
40:17
Speaker 1: this fight. I do think it probably ends early, but
40:22
Speaker 1: another one that if it makes it out of the
40:23
Speaker 1: first round, I would definitely be worried about being all in.
40:26
Speaker 4: On this fight.
40:27
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna have I'm not gonna be all in
40:29
Speaker 1: on any single fight, but I want a good amount
40:32
Speaker 1: of this fight. Off the type of my head, I
40:34
Speaker 1: would think I want maybe forty five percent Ghaziyev, thirty
40:41
Speaker 1: five for Parrichadge some along those lines.
40:46
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna make a rule to be all
40:48
Speaker 3: in just because like ninety eight might not be enough
40:52
Speaker 3: from Brando. I mean, I would take it for sure,
40:55
Speaker 3: but there's a ten of thirteen are expected to finish.
40:57
Speaker 3: There's a lot of big inside the distance props on
41:00
Speaker 3: this slate, so I'm expecting a high score. I'll take
41:02
Speaker 3: ninety eight all day from the mid tier. If I
41:05
Speaker 3: had to go all in on one fight, it would
41:06
Speaker 3: be this fight. Don't have a strong lean on the
41:09
Speaker 3: side though. If there's a big ownership gap on either side,
41:13
Speaker 3: like if you think Gazi has like eight percent high
41:14
Speaker 3: your own, I'd prefer Brando if it's about the same
41:18
Speaker 3: on both. To be honest, I would just want to
41:20
Speaker 3: get overweight on both and just hope it finishes. But
41:23
Speaker 3: Gazebe being six hundred less obviously has appeal there, and
41:26
Speaker 3: you can easily leave the six hundred from Brando right
41:29
Speaker 3: to Gazebe and not give up any upside.
41:32
Speaker 2: Uh for sure? All right, couple fights left.
41:36
Speaker 3: Can appreciate everyone hanging out talk about line movement.
41:39
Speaker 2: Totally moly, this one has been crushed.
41:41
Speaker 3: Steve Urseg minus one eighty five, Tim Elliott plus one
41:44
Speaker 3: sixty plus one seventy for this fight to finish Ersk
41:47
Speaker 3: plus two forty five inside the distance, tim Elliott plus
41:51
Speaker 3: five twenty five. So Steve ersek Open minus two fifty
41:55
Speaker 3: later that day was minus four fifty. And and then
42:00
Speaker 3: when I checked the odds on Monday, when I put
42:02
Speaker 3: these up, he was minus three fifty five. Now a
42:05
Speaker 3: couple days later it is minus one eighty five plus
42:08
Speaker 3: one sixty. This has me going all the way to
42:11
Speaker 3: the Tim Elliott side. That's a whole lot of line movements.
42:14
Speaker 3: And then when Tim wins. He's a great DFS scorer
42:17
Speaker 3: for DraftKings averages three point seventy to one takedowns per
42:20
Speaker 3: fifteen minutes. I don't see myself clicking Ersag. He would
42:24
Speaker 3: be the one that I'd fade up top if I
42:25
Speaker 3: had to just choose one. And I think tim Elliott
42:28
Speaker 3: is a very strong play. At sixty nine hundred. This
42:31
Speaker 3: is the third of three fights expected to go the distance.
42:35
Speaker 3: And yeah, like I said, I mean if every or
42:37
Speaker 3: I said it earlier, if every favorite one on this card,
42:41
Speaker 3: tim Elliott I think would probably be the most likely
42:43
Speaker 3: to be optimal in a loss a because of his
42:46
Speaker 3: price tag, because it's supposed to go the distance, and
42:48
Speaker 3: because of his fighting style. So yeah, I like Tim
42:51
Speaker 3: Elliott quite a bit in this one. I do not
42:53
Speaker 3: see myself playing Erseeg.
42:54
Speaker 4: What about you, Sam, I'm gonna excel Ersag.
42:57
Speaker 1: I do think he's the better striker and keep it
43:00
Speaker 1: on the feet long enough to win, you know, twenty
43:03
Speaker 1: nine to twenty eight.
43:04
Speaker 4: But ninety three hundred is just too much to to
43:07
Speaker 4: to pay on this.
43:08
Speaker 1: Card, especially Uh so I'm gonna x him out even
43:10
Speaker 1: with one hundred and fifty lineups and and the line
43:13
Speaker 1: movement is gonna make me like Elliott more than I
43:17
Speaker 1: did before, but also like to counteract that he's gonna
43:20
Speaker 1: be so much more own than he was before, and
43:23
Speaker 1: that makes me want to keep it as a two
43:25
Speaker 1: star and kind of be a little bit underweight on Elliott,
43:28
Speaker 1: fully fade Ersig and hope that Ersig does win.
43:32
Speaker 4: Uh But if Elliott.
43:33
Speaker 1: Wins, and it's gonna be wrestling heavy a high pace,
43:36
Speaker 1: and he's gonna put up a pretty good score, so
43:38
Speaker 1: you can't fade somebody like him if you're emmying, I'll
43:42
Speaker 1: play this as if it's a five star Elliott one
43:45
Speaker 1: star Ersig, But I can't put a five star on
43:48
Speaker 1: an underdog who.
43:48
Speaker 4: I don't even think's gonna win.
43:50
Speaker 2: So, yeah, you can't.
43:51
Speaker 1: I put Ersig as my winner. I'm not gonna play
43:55
Speaker 1: any of them, and also said he ruins a good
43:58
Speaker 1: amount of the field. If if Elliot's gonna be.
44:00
Speaker 3: Chuck, I'll put the five star Elliott one star, or
44:03
Speaker 3: say for myself. But you do make a good point
44:06
Speaker 3: all that line movement, it's not it comes with something.
44:09
Speaker 3: It comes with ownership, and ownership is very important in
44:12
Speaker 3: the game that we play of DFS, so it's still
44:15
Speaker 3: it's still gonna make I'm gonna play tons of Tim Elliott.
44:18
Speaker 3: When I play Tim Elliott, maybe I'm fading the main event.
44:20
Speaker 3: Maybe that's when I'm playing Nickelf or roustin Er, maybe
44:23
Speaker 3: even Steal, which I don't love. Yeah, just know what
44:26
Speaker 3: you're doing. If you're loading up on Elliott and a
44:28
Speaker 3: lot of these five star fights that Bing Marley has
44:31
Speaker 3: and you think you're Chalky leaving very little money, that's
44:34
Speaker 3: when you make a pivot to one of those people
44:37
Speaker 3: that we mentioned earlier that are pretty low owned. But yeah,
44:39
Speaker 3: Tim Elliott gonna get elevated ownership, but it might not
44:43
Speaker 3: be high enough, is how I see it, so I'm
44:46
Speaker 3: curious to see where this line keeps going if it does.
44:48
Speaker 2: Keep moving in his direction. Two fights left.
44:51
Speaker 3: Quillin Sell killed minus five hundred taking on but Neil
44:54
Speaker 3: Derry us plus three seventy five minus five hundred for
44:57
Speaker 3: this fight to finish, Sell killed minus three hundre inside
45:00
Speaker 3: the distance Banil plus five point fifty. Sell killed in
45:04
Speaker 3: round one minus one twenty. I guess this is the
45:07
Speaker 3: one that's more like, can can Banil do what Cody
45:10
Speaker 3: Durdon did last week? Because at the end of the day,
45:14
Speaker 3: Fuelo was a bigger favorite than sal kild Is, And yeah,
45:17
Speaker 3: we saw what Durdon did.
45:18
Speaker 2: And if Beanil wins, he does usually score.
45:22
Speaker 3: I mean, it's tough for me to click that name,
45:24
Speaker 3: but man, if he wins this fight like Tim Elliot's
45:27
Speaker 3: one hundred more, I mean, Benil might be seven percent
45:30
Speaker 3: and tim Elly could be thirty percent. Like you could
45:32
Speaker 3: see a really wide difference. I just I think sal
45:35
Speaker 3: kild is a real deal, very well rounded, ten years younger.
45:40
Speaker 3: You're gonna play any Banil if you had twenty teams
45:42
Speaker 3: or less.
45:44
Speaker 4: Twenty teams are less, I doubt it.
45:47
Speaker 1: I feel like I'd rather find one hundred dollars more
45:50
Speaker 1: and get to Elliott.
45:54
Speaker 4: But Dame, I'm not against it.
45:56
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, yeah, it's it's wild seeing him at
45:59
Speaker 1: the number for sure, But I also agree that south
46:02
Speaker 1: Kild does look like the real deal. I think he
46:04
Speaker 1: could contend for a title one day. I don't really
46:08
Speaker 1: see any flaws in his game. I don't know how
46:10
Speaker 1: Darrych beats him. I would think that it would be
46:14
Speaker 1: he beats them in the in minutes because south Kild
46:16
Speaker 1: looks more dangerous to me. But I think south Kill
46:19
Speaker 1: is a better wrestler. I think he, at this point
46:22
Speaker 1: in their careers, is the better striker too. So for me,
46:24
Speaker 1: it's gonna be south killed or pass. I would play
46:27
Speaker 1: darry Usch. The more lineups I make that I'm the
46:30
Speaker 1: more interested I am in playing them.
46:32
Speaker 4: But twenty might not be enough.
46:35
Speaker 3: I agree with that, like I give me dry Yusch
46:37
Speaker 3: over Ali Schmid, give me drry Yusch over Thickness, or
46:42
Speaker 3: Vince Morales give me Derri Yusch over Gerald Miershardt. So
46:46
Speaker 3: at least I already said a couple guys that I'd
46:48
Speaker 3: rather him over, But at the end of the day,
46:49
Speaker 3: I could fade all of them in limited lineups, and
46:52
Speaker 3: I plan to do that with most of my teams.
46:55
Speaker 3: But if Dariush wins, I think he does score, it's
46:57
Speaker 3: just I don't see him winning. Seal kills him on
47:00
Speaker 3: I agree with you, future title contender. Yeah, I guess
47:03
Speaker 3: I wouldn't be shocked. It would be uh, it would
47:06
Speaker 3: be pretty cool. And I love his baker tattoo when
47:09
Speaker 3: he uh John Annick talking about how his family owns
47:13
Speaker 3: a bakery and he just head kicks him right on, uh,
47:16
Speaker 3: right on that queue. And then I think he got
47:18
Speaker 3: a tattoo on that foot that he knocked him out
47:20
Speaker 3: with of like a bit something like that. So pretty
47:23
Speaker 3: cool stuff there. I'm excited. How much do you think
47:26
Speaker 3: Seal killed wrestles in this one? Uh?
47:30
Speaker 1: I would I would guess he has at least a
47:32
Speaker 1: two and a half takedown rob Yeah.
47:35
Speaker 3: I mean you can see on the stone seven point
47:37
Speaker 3: nine to five per fifteen minutes, five point one six
47:40
Speaker 3: significant strikes per minutes. Any Malcoon team can go to
47:43
Speaker 3: Seal Killed, any Rahiki team can go to Sell Killed
47:47
Speaker 3: before we go to the main event. Actually, I want
47:48
Speaker 3: you to rank those three Malcoon, sal Killed and.
47:51
Speaker 5: Rahiki Oh dang all right, I would say for the price,
48:00
Speaker 5: I'll take Rahiki, then Malcoon, then Seu killed.
48:04
Speaker 1: But Malcoon has I think the highest ceiling of all
48:08
Speaker 1: of them. I think if any of them are gonna
48:10
Speaker 1: get eight takedowns, it would likely be him. Me Seth
48:14
Speaker 1: killed has it in him too, But against the guy
48:16
Speaker 1: like Darry Hush had be super impressive, it really would.
48:20
Speaker 3: I got it South killed, Rahiki Malkoon, mainly kind of
48:24
Speaker 3: because of the price, but also I'm just I'm telling
48:27
Speaker 3: myself that Malcoon's not gonna go out and wrestle the grappler,
48:30
Speaker 3: like I'm just gonna really hope that. I mean, where's
48:34
Speaker 3: GM three gonna win the fight? If he does, it's
48:36
Speaker 3: on the match, So why do that? And ninety eight
48:38
Speaker 3: hundred is a big boy price?
48:39
Speaker 2: Take? All right?
48:41
Speaker 3: We got one fight left again. Let me get over
48:44
Speaker 3: to shippinnation dot com. My mic was cutting out and
48:47
Speaker 3: all that earlier, so it's been good. Hopefully this transition
48:50
Speaker 3: can be smooth. But you do see right above on
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48:55
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49:41
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49:52
Speaker 3: Definitely do get in the discord if you do join
49:55
Speaker 3: main event time. I am very excited for this one
49:58
Speaker 3: for real life for DFI though it doesn't always translate.
50:01
Speaker 2: So two very good strikers.
50:03
Speaker 3: Carlos Protest minus one fifteen, Jack Della Matalana minus one
50:07
Speaker 3: oh five minus two fifteen. For this fight to finish,
50:11
Speaker 3: we have protests at plus one thirty five inside the distance,
50:13
Speaker 3: Jack Della.
50:14
Speaker 2: Plus one ninety five.
50:16
Speaker 3: I will let you lead this one to start, as
50:18
Speaker 3: you have a three star all the way around.
50:21
Speaker 1: Yeah, looking forward to this fight from a watching purpose,
50:24
Speaker 1: I think both these guys are really exciting striker. It's
50:27
Speaker 1: gonna be a fun fight to watch, maybe even better
50:30
Speaker 1: on if you have an edge.
50:31
Speaker 4: In this one. But I don't really feel like I
50:34
Speaker 4: have an edge in either one.
50:35
Speaker 1: I do think it's gonna stay on the feet for
50:37
Speaker 1: almost the entire fight, and if it doesn't end in
50:40
Speaker 1: the first or the second round, I think it might
50:42
Speaker 1: not be on the optimal lineup. So I'm gonna hope
50:45
Speaker 1: that it doesn't make the optimal and I'll target all
50:48
Speaker 1: these other fights that we really loved on the card
50:50
Speaker 1: and hope that the optimal is already settled by the
50:52
Speaker 1: time that we get here, and then I'll be sweating
50:54
Speaker 1: a low score because I feel like any Protest team
50:58
Speaker 1: I make, I got it almost dupe and put JDM
51:01
Speaker 1: in there too, because that's.
51:02
Speaker 4: How little of a lean I have on either side.
51:07
Speaker 1: I think that Protest is the more dangerous striker, more
51:10
Speaker 1: tools in his striking toolbox, taller, longer, But JDM is
51:17
Speaker 1: the higher paced striker, the better boxer, the guy who
51:22
Speaker 1: needs to get on the inside make this more of
51:24
Speaker 1: a dirty, dirty fight. And I also think he would
51:27
Speaker 1: be the more likely wrestler of the two. So I
51:31
Speaker 1: just don't know, man, I could see it going either way.
51:33
Speaker 1: JDM was a slight underdog when I was doing he
51:36
Speaker 1: was plus one ten, so that was enough for me
51:39
Speaker 1: to pick him by split decision. Had it been Protest
51:43
Speaker 1: plus one ten, I would have picked him.
51:45
Speaker 4: So I really just have no lean in this one.
51:48
Speaker 1: I want to watch it and enjoy it as a
51:50
Speaker 1: fan and hope that it scores eighty points.
51:53
Speaker 4: But give me JDM as my pick too.
51:57
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm hoping that I have the optimal already that
52:01
Speaker 3: I'm fading like one hundred from either guy, and then
52:03
Speaker 3: I'm watching it just cheering for a low score. It
52:05
Speaker 3: will be scary cheering you for it to be a
52:07
Speaker 3: low score with how dangerous Protess is.
52:10
Speaker 2: With Jack Della's.
52:11
Speaker 3: Upside in terms of volume, if he does start taking over.
52:14
Speaker 3: Protest loves his SIGs if he starts to slow down
52:17
Speaker 3: in a twenty five minute fight and Jack Della starts
52:20
Speaker 3: turning it on getting downhill somehow later in the fight,
52:23
Speaker 3: Jack Della does start wrestling like you mentioned, I mean,
52:26
Speaker 3: there's clearly pass for the Atholes eighty two hundred and
52:29
Speaker 3: eight K. But it's gonna come with a lot of
52:31
Speaker 3: ownership like it always does, and it's good excuse me
52:34
Speaker 3: competing with a lot of really good fights right around him.
52:38
Speaker 3: We talked about Brando Gazebe minus eight hundred two finish,
52:41
Speaker 3: Johnson Schultz minus six hundred to finish, even the TUOI
52:45
Speaker 3: Vasas Sutherland for Tafa Christian, like, if Christian wins, give
52:51
Speaker 3: me Christian over Protest or Jack Della in terms of upside,
52:55
Speaker 3: so I think there's just plenty of ways to get
52:57
Speaker 3: away from it. I ticked Protas just because I agree.
53:00
Speaker 3: I think he has more tools in his arsenal man.
53:03
Speaker 3: He's just so nasty of the power. But like you said,
53:06
Speaker 3: where I'm torn is if Protest does slow like Jack's
53:11
Speaker 3: volume advantage is so much more, Protest isn't just gonna
53:14
Speaker 3: put on them for like fifty significant strikes every round,
53:17
Speaker 3: where Jack could try and really push the pace, make
53:20
Speaker 3: try and slow Protest down, and then he'll get points
53:23
Speaker 3: in bunches with a lot of volume, but bigger cage,
53:26
Speaker 3: which also makes me a little more safe to fade
53:30
Speaker 3: this striking match. I hope Protest just bounces around.
53:33
Speaker 2: His teeth.
53:33
Speaker 3: Kicks are really nice. I mean, he's just such a
53:35
Speaker 3: fun striker to watch. But over three and a half
53:38
Speaker 3: is minus one fifty eight. If this fight does go
53:40
Speaker 3: over three and a half, I don't think they're gonna
53:42
Speaker 3: throw an insane amount of volume, at least the Protest side.
53:45
Speaker 3: Where I do feel comfortable being underweight on this fight.
53:49
Speaker 3: It's a coin flip fight, so you have to parlay
53:51
Speaker 3: getting the winner right and then them scoring enough and
53:54
Speaker 3: outscoring a very high scoring card.
53:57
Speaker 2: Is how I see it.
53:57
Speaker 3: So it's been I don't think I've ever wanted to
54:00
Speaker 3: be underweight on so many main events in a row.
54:03
Speaker 3: We've had some work like them, a lot stuff. I
54:05
Speaker 3: can't remember all of them. We had some not work
54:07
Speaker 3: like Ali Joe last week, but obviously that's a different
54:11
Speaker 3: fight in the sense of we knew al Joe wanted
54:13
Speaker 3: to wrestle in this fight. I don't think either really
54:15
Speaker 3: wrestles too much as the stone does show anything else
54:20
Speaker 3: you want to add to that one or any final
54:21
Speaker 3: thoughts before we get on out here.
54:23
Speaker 2: Thirteen fights in Perth, Australia, now, man, let's it.
54:26
Speaker 1: Get those lineups in early four am Eastern start time.
54:31
Speaker 1: Hopefully I'll have a sweat when I wake up. Good
54:33
Speaker 1: luck to you title, good luck to everybody listening. Let's
54:36
Speaker 1: ship it, Let's.
54:37
Speaker 2: Ship it is right.
54:38
Speaker 3: I do want if you are going to be if
54:40
Speaker 3: you're on the East Coast or I mean any American
54:43
Speaker 3: time zone and you are gonna be up for the fights,
54:46
Speaker 3: let me know on the YouTube chat. I want to
54:47
Speaker 3: know who the real real ones are out there. Again,
54:50
Speaker 3: I almost always have been in the past. Life has
54:52
Speaker 3: changed a little bit with the little one. I'm flying tomorrow,
54:55
Speaker 3: so I'm back home. Has stuff to do on Saturdays,
54:57
Speaker 3: so unfortunately I will not be able to I will
55:00
Speaker 3: be up in the morning to catch the main card
55:02
Speaker 3: or whatever fights are still left. Hoping to have a sweat.
55:06
Speaker 3: But tell you hope you're doing well. YSN always good
55:08
Speaker 3: to see you. Like bond subscribe button on the way
55:11
Speaker 3: out helps us out a ton and again, make sure
55:13
Speaker 3: to get those lineups in Friday night or set your
55:15
Speaker 3: alarm for an early four a m. Eastern start time.
55:20
Speaker 3: That's gonna do it for us. Always good talking fights
55:23
Speaker 3: with you, Big Marley. You have a great weekend. Everybody
55:25
Speaker 3: else you as well, be safe. Good luck for Big Marley.
55:28
Speaker 3: I'm titled Tone
56:01
Speaker 2: Then s