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Episode 106 - 8/27/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 106 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:23
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:26
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:33
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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  guys going through our work week and we are one day closer to
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  September, turning the page, trying to finish up August here
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  on a hot note before it gets to the month of September where
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  everything heats up, including NFL week 1, only a couple weeks
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  away. College football.
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  Obviously we'll have a big Saturday here upcoming, but
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  until then, we're going to continue to grind Major League
• 0:57
  Baseball. So for today, I have a four pack
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  of sweats that I'm excited to share with you, including three
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  money lines in one total, which is extremely interesting to me.
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  And again, you've heard me say it before, most likely, but I'm
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  not a huge total guy in League Baseball.
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  However, I don't look for totals.
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  I let the totals scream at me, scream at me, play me because
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  it's a total here today that jumped out to me with a
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  ridiculous low bets, higher dollars bet percentage as well
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  as a great contrarian reverse line move over opportunity.
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  And little cherry on top here. Our friends at Juice Reel have a
• 1:31
  great sharp mush indicator where 63% of the betters in the app
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  are going over, yet 63% of the worst betters in the app are
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  going under. So that's a 25% Juice Reel edge
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  and shout out to the Juice Reel because they helped us cash last
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  night. The Phills bit of a sweat there.
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  They got down early, but the Phillies were able to come back
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  late with a walk off hit by Bryce Harper.
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  So last night had the Phills got a good winner with the Tigers
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  overall two and two, though minus 0.7 units.
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  The disappointing games were the Twins because I went to that
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  game saying, hey, I want to back Bailey over.
• 2:06
  This guy's been incredible. And then what happens?
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  Think he gave up nine runs in the first two innings.
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  So that's baseball guys throwing the ball great.
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  He gets lit up again, what can you do?
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  Sometimes that happens. And then WNBA Liberty Mercury
• 2:19
  over 166 really didn't come close and that one was a
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  frustrating one to watch because I was excited to watch it on NBA
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  TV and just could not keep the scoring going so weren't able to
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  get that over. So overall, 2 and 2 -, 0.7 units
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  from last night. That just sets us up for a nice
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  bounce back, hopefully winning night here for tonight.
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  So without further ado, as I mentioned 4 pack of of Major
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  League Baseball bats, including three money lines as well as one
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  total. So without further ado, let's
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  dive right in first one on the board.
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  Let's go to a matchup here that looks fishy looks obvious take
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  this dog getting plus money playing very well.
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  Nope, I'm going to go the other way.
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  I'm going to go with the favorite.
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  So I'm talking about a 6:40 PM Eastern Time first pitch between
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  the Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland guardians.
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  Now going to this one, the Royals, 74 and 58, they swept
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  yesterday's doubleheader, series opening doubleheader.
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  They won the first game, four to three as -125 Rd. ferrets and
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  then one again, 9:00 to 4:00 as a + 120 Rd. dog.
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  Now for tonight's rematch, the Royals are going to go with
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  ready Michael Lorenzen. He's seven and six with a 3.47
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  ERA. Meanwhile, the Guardians, who
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  are 75 and 57, they're going to go with fellow ready Gavin
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  Williams. He's two and six with a 5.13
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  ERA. So we'll be seen across the
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  board here. While this game opened with
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  Cleveland listed around a -, 145 home favorite and Kansas City
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  around a + 125 road dog. And my first thought was, hey,
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  this is probably going to be a public play just to take Kansas
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  City. They swept the doubleheader
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  yesterday. Obviously, they're red hot right
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  now. Bobby Witt Junior, one of the
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  most exciting young players in the game.
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  So how do you not take the Royals getting plus 125?
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  Well, it looks like wise guys are going the other way in a
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  bounce back spot to back Cleveland.
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  So that's where I want to go because Cleveland Guardians, you
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  know, basically this bet split is around 5050.
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  Just slightly more than 50% of bets are on Cleveland.
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  Yet we've seen this line move toward the Guardians.
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  Guardians opened again -145 now they're up to -155 and I see one
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  book even closer to -160 so basically a 5050 bet split or
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  you know, technically around 54% of bets on Cleveland.
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  The line shouldn't really get juiced up and move 10-15 cents.
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  We know that that big move isn't just caused by that slight
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  higher than 50%. That's what it's really because
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  of pro money coming down on Cleveland to hopefully get back
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  on track. So in addition to this pretty
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  good steam move in their direction, Cleveland kind of
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  that classy fishy betting system value as a favorite off loss,
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  playing an opponent off a win. That system is upwards of 62%
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  this year and then also an ultimate buy low sell high play
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  because the guardians are struggling.
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  They're three and eight over their last eleven games.
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  Royals meanwhile, nine and three over their last 12.
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  So if one team's playing great, the other team is struggling,
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  Why is the team playing great getting more of a payout, a
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  bigger payout? Why are they getting more plus
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  money? Why are the odds makers giving
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  out more of a payout to those who want to back the Royals?
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  Well, tells me that they like that wise guys like the angle
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  with Cleveland here tonight. So the fact of the line move
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  toward Cleveland and a fishy spot.
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  Also, Cleveland, one of the best home teams in baseball.
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  They are 40 and 23 at home, third best and Major League
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  Baseball. Also, they are the best chalk
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  team in Major League Baseball. When they are favored, they're
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  winning roughly 70% of the time. And here's one advantage,
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  hopefully tonight that will come through for us, the bullpen,
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  because Guardians bullpen, the ERA of 2.77, that's the second
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  best in baseball. Meanwhile, the Royals 4.39 ERA,
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  they are 24th in Major League Baseball.
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  So it seems the obvious bet is just take the Royals getting
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  plus money. But if it looks too good to be
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  true, typically it is. I'm going to go with this kind
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  of fishy steam move in favor of the Guardians.
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  Give me Cleveland. I got the Guardians earlier
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  today around -155 Now you're looking at Cleveland upwards of
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  -160 next. But on the board, let's go to
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  old Milwaukee, 8:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the San
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  Francisco Giants at the Milwaukee Brewers.
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  Now going to this one. The Giants are pretty much 566
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  and 66. Just dropped two or three
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  against the Mariners. They lost Sunday series finale
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  four to three as a + 120 Rd. dog.
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  Meanwhile, the Brew Crew 75 and 55.
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  I got to give him credit. I thought when Kristen Yelich
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  got hurt for done for the year, they would take a nosedive.
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  Really haven't missed a beat 20 games above 500.
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  Just took two or three against the A's.
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  Couldn't get the sweep, though. Lost that series finale four to
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  three as a -, 145 road favorite. So for tonight's series opener,
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  the Giants are going to send out their ace Logan Webb, the righty
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  11 and eight 3.13 ERA. And the Brew Crew are going to
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  counter it with fellow righty Tobias Myers, six and five 2.87
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  ERA. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Well, this game opened with a
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  slight favorite of the San Francisco Giants because the
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  Giants went into this one very short -115 road favorite,
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  Brewers A+ around even money or a -, 105 home dog.
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  And basically, the public doesn't know where to go.
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  It's 5050 right down the middle, yet this line is moving toward
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  Milwaukee. We've seen the Brewers open -105
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  now they're flipped to a favorite -115 so again, 5050
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  line move. Theoretically, the line really
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  shouldn't move at all if the tickets are even.
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  However, we've seen this line flip dog to fave in favor of
• 7:45
  Milwaukee. Tells me smart money is backing
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  the Brewers here tonight going from -105 to -115 so dog to fave
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  line move on the Brew Crew. I love this bet split on
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  Milwaukee. The Brewers are only getting 53%
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  of money line bets, but 84% of money line dollars.
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  A notable low bets higher dollars bet split basically half
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  the tickets, but nearly nine out of $10 tells us the big money
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  here is going Milwaukee. Now Milwaukee has a couple
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  advantages here. One would be a non division
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  favorite. So lack of familiarity
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  benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
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  Also a favorite low total told this one is a very low 7 1/2.
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  So if your amount of expected run scored more likely to come
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  from quote UN quote that better team.
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  And not only am I going to bank on hopefully Myers pitching well
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  tonight. We'll get to him in a second,
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  but Milwaukee's got the better bats.
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  Hopefully their offense shows up and gets to web tonight.
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  They're hitting 253 on the year, 626 runs scored.
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  San Fran's hitting 242 with 568 runs scored.
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  Home Rd. splits also favor the Brewers.
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  They're 38 and 24 at home. Giants, meanwhile, just 28 and
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  38 away from the Bay and Logan Webb, good pitcher.
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  I've liked him for a few years now at this point, but he has
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  been worse on the road than at home.
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  At home, 2.26 ERA, on the road 4.11.
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  And also day and night splits. I've been kind of looking into
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  this just to see if there's any discrepancy.
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  Maybe a guy pitches good in the day or bad at night or vice
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  versa. Well, Logan Webb in the day he's
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  great. 2.57 ERA, at night 3.48 his ERA goes up a full run in
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  night starts. Also, Myers, maybe not the
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  household name you would think of, like obviously Logan Webb,
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  but he has a 2.05 ERA in four August starts.
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  He's only given up five earned runs and 22 innings pitched.
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  And again, whole day and night, he has a 2.28 ERA at night, 3.68
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  in the day. So he's pitched much better at
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  night than in the day. We add it all up here guys.
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  It opened a very, very short Giants favorite number here.
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  And even though they're aces on the bump and the tickets are
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  split down the middle, the big money, nearly 90% is going with
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  Milwaukee. So let's make some beer tonight.
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  What do you guys say? I'm going beer makers with a
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  good dog to fave line move. I got Milwaukee at -115 next one
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  for you, 9:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, Tampa Bay Rays and
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  the Seattle Mariners. Now going into this one, we have
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  the Mariners 67 and 65. They won last night's series
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  opener 5 to one, taking care of business as a -, 130 home
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  favorite. For tonight's rematch, the Rays,
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  who are 65 and 66, they're going to send out Jeffrey Springs, the
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  lefty he was hurt much of the early portion of the year.
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  Come back and pitch for about a month now.
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  He's one and two 4.5 O ERA Mariners meanwhile, going to go
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  with their righty stud, Logan Gilbert, 7:00 and 10:00, but a
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  3.21 era. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Well, this guy, this line open
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  with Seattle listed around a -, 140 home favorite and we've seen
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  Seattle now get bet up to -155 -, 160.
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  So right off the bat, we have about a 15 or 20 cent steam move
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  in favor of the Mariners. Now this looks to me like both a
• 10:59
  pro and Joe Bet split. Maybe the public is just leaning
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  Mariners with a better record and at home, whereas not just
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  the public, but wise guys who are moving the number are also
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  going Mariners. And remember, sharps don't care
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  what the public's doing. You know, they're not
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  data-driven betters. They're really betting based on
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  their number. So maybe when this open Mariners
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  -140 they had closer to a -, 150 -, 160, which is why they
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  hammered Seattle early. But currently around 75% of
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  money line bets in dollars on the Mariners.
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  So good pro and Joe split. I'm going to bank on the
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  Mariners offense now they're they don't hit very well.
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  They're hitting like 2:15, but they're much more explosive than
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  the rays. They've hit 146 homers, they've
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  scored 521 runs. The Rays have hit only 121
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  homers and scored 503 runs. Seattle, just like we talked
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  about with Milwaukee, has that favorite value of a non division
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  favorite. With the lack of familiarity
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  benefiting quote UN quote the better team, but in particular
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  good correlative betting value. This total is very low.
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  We could see a low scoring game here.
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  The total here is 6 1/2. You rarely see a 6 1/2 nowadays,
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  but with such a low total 6 1/2 and the Mariners upwards of -160
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  you know this smells kind of like AI don't know 3 nothing
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  Mariners win something like that, But we got the favorite
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  low total. We got the correlative betting
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  non division favorite and then also really good home Rd. splits
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  Mariners 40 and 27 at home this year.
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  Rays 31 and 32 on the road and Jeffrey Springs big splits home
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  Rd. as well. 7.56 ERA on the road, 2.63 at the Trop.
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  Well, guess what? He's on the road tonight.
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  And then Gilbert, he's been better at home than on the road.
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  2.53 ERA at home, 3.81 on the road.
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  But you Add all up. We had the Mariners with a win
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  last night in the opener against the Rays.
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  I'm going to ride the M's again. Good steam move, good
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  correlative betting favorite, low total, non division
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  favorite. Hopefully better pitching with
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  Gilbert over Springs and Mariners hopefully playing well
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  at home. Which are they?
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  Which they played well at home all year.
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  So again, add it all up. There's a Mariners play for me.
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  Guys, I'm going to lay it with Seattle.
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  I got Seattle -155 earlier today.
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  Now you're looking at the Mariners upwards of -160 keep on
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  cruising. Last bet of the night.
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  This is the total, the total that screamed at me.
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  Come play me. Well, it is a 8:40 PM Eastern
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  Time, first pitch between the Miami Marlins and the Colorado
• 13:23
  Rockies. Probably not the two favorite
• 13:25
  teams you're looking to bet on tonight.
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  Well, here's what jumped out to me.
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  Miami is coming into this 147 and 84, obviously terrible
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  record. Colorado, not much better, 49
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  and 83. So, of course, two of the worst
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  teams in baseball. Last night, you saw the Rockies
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  win three to two against Miami in the opener.
• 13:43
  So what really jumped out to me isn't the money line in this
• 13:46
  game, because if you look at the current breakdown for this one,
• 13:49
  you're looking at Rockies laying around -150 at home.
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  They're the public bet, but they really haven't moved off the
• 13:55
  opener of -150 But the total, the total is what jumped out to
• 13:59
  me. So first I'm going to give you
• 14:01
  the pitching matchup. And then when I tell you the
• 14:03
  pitching matchup, that might kind of give you an idea of
• 14:06
  which way I'm going over under. But we have going for the
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  Marlins. Rodri Munoz Brady is 2 and seven
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  with a 5.98 ERA. He'll be opposed by Cal
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  Quantrell. For the Rockies, he is 8:00 and
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  9:00 with a 4.56 ERA. So what have you seen across the
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  board here? Well, this total opened at 11.
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  So of course, elevens. You really only see totals of 11
• 14:27
  or more at Coors Field because of the altitude, but it opened
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  at a very high 11. And what I noticed is that all
• 14:33
  these elevens are really juiced up over 11 -, 115 -, 120.
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  Some shops have even kind of flirted with an 11 1/2, but
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  there's still a lot of a lot of elevens out there.
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  But what's really notable to me isn't just the fact that the
• 14:46
  over 11 is so juiced up, it's the bet split.
• 14:50
  At DraftKings. Currently you are looking at
• 14:52
  only 34% of bets going over, but the over is taking into account
• 14:57
  83% of the money. So let's flip it the other way.
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  66% of bets are going under. Now why are they going under?
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  Probably because they see the public sees a high total 11,
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  even some 11 1/2's out there. And last night was a three to
• 15:12
  two game. So if last night they only
• 15:14
  scored five, you better take the under 1111 1/2 tonight, right?
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  No, no, no wise guys are going the other way. 66% of bets are
• 15:22
  going under, yet it's juiced up over.
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  And then this is what I would call a contrarian over because
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  you got to remember the public loves betting overs.
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  It's just much more fun to watch a game or go out to the bar or
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  hang out with your buddies and sweat the over root for runs.
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  That's fun. However, despite public really
• 15:39
  always wanting to bet overs, they're going the other way.
• 15:42
  They're taking a rare under here.
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  So this provides a another rare opportunity to go contrarian
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  over. And again, only 34% of bets are
• 15:49
  going over, but 83% of dollars are going over.
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  That is about as big of a bet discrepancy as you're going to
• 15:56
  find. Nearly 50% split low bets,
• 15:59
  higher dollars in favor of the over.
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  Now let's dig into some other factors to like this over.
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  This is mainly a data play for me.
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  Again, only 34% of bets are going over, yet the over is
• 16:09
  getting juiced up. And think of it this way.
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  If everyone's betting the under, you know, why are you getting
• 16:13
  like even money to play the under?
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  You got to kind of take a step back and ask yourself why.
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  Well, I'm saying it's because wise guys like this over here.
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  But anyway, couple other reasons like the over.
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  We mentioned the pitchers, but Roderie Munoz, he has an 8.22
• 16:27
  ERA and four August starts. He's gotten lit up pretty much
• 16:30
  every start. He's given up fourteen runs and
• 16:32
  15.1 innings pitched. Cal Quantrell, 5 point O2 ERA
• 16:37
  and three August starts. So he's been getting knocked
• 16:40
  around as well. But it's not just the bet split.
• 16:44
  You know, the juice movement, the the line movement here, but
• 16:47
  also pretty good weather factors at play.
• 16:49
  We all know Colorado because of the altitude, Mile High, the
• 16:52
  rarefied air. The ball travels further, which
• 16:55
  is why you see more runs, which is why it's always difficult to
• 16:58
  be a pitcher in Colorado. Better to be a hitter.
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  But it should be a good night in Colorado.
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  It's going to be clear, it's going to be about 85° and the
• 17:05
  wind is blowing out to left 10 mph.
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  So not only do you have the rarefied air, we have wind
• 17:11
  blowing out. You have good heat, which means
• 17:13
  the the guys on the bump will be sweating here and the hitters
• 17:16
  are ready to go waiting in the in the dugout, which is cool.
• 17:19
  So hopefully we get the pitchers to work and get lit up a bit.
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  But also both bullpens are bad. Colorado's bullpen 5.60 ERA that
• 17:28
  is dead last in baseball. Miami's bullpen 4.10 ERA, that's
• 17:33
  21st. So two of the worst bullpens, 2
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  pitchers on the bump have been getting lit up recently.
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  Really good hot weather blowing out with altitude.
• 17:43
  And then also our friends at Juice Reel.
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  I opened up Juice Reel and I looked at this game and I said,
• 17:48
  hey, do we have a sharp mush indicator on the over?
• 17:51
  Yes, we do. Now, sharp mush, if I haven't
• 17:54
  done a good job of explaining it to you yet, what sharp mush does
• 17:57
  is it basically compiles everyone who has a Juice Reel
• 18:01
  account and when they sync up their sports books and place
• 18:04
  bets, you know, basically which side of the total or which side
• 18:07
  of the, you know, dog favorite are they on.
• 18:10
  Well, what it does is it keeps a record.
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  It knows who's a good better in the app and who's a bad better
• 18:14
  based on your win percentage. And what it does is it isolates
• 18:17
  games where you have a big discrepancy between all the good
• 18:20
  betters on this side and the bad betters on that side.
• 18:23
  So you have the sharps on one side and the mushes, the
• 18:26
  squares, whatever you want to call them, the square.
• 18:28
  Pierre's on the other side. And this was, wouldn't you
• 18:31
  guess, a sharp mush overplay currently in the app, 63% of the
• 18:36
  best betters in the Juice Reel app are going over, yet 63% of
• 18:42
  the worst betters in the app are going under.
• 18:45
  So that would basically come out to a 25% sharp mush edge on the
• 18:50
  over. So when I saw that again, 34%
• 18:53
  bets, 83% money on the over at DraftKings combined with the
• 18:57
  sharp mush indicator from Juice Reel, I said, hey, this is one
• 19:00
  of those totals that I didn't I didn't go looking for it came
• 19:03
  looking for me. So I'm going to take a shot on
• 19:06
  this over guys, make sure you get the 1165 game seven to
• 19:10
  four-game. You got to at least push instead
• 19:12
  of lose on an over 11 1/2, but it should be available.
• 19:15
  You should be able to find it. I got over 11 Miami Colorado
• 19:19
  over 11 at -115. So that about does it for
• 19:24
  episode 106 of the All systems Go sports betting podcast
• 19:28
  powered by Rhythm. Well, this is the part of the
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  pod where we wrap things up and I leave you with a few things.
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  1st is a request. If you enjoy this pod, if you're
• 19:36
  listening to my voice, if you enjoy the data-driven
• 19:38
  perspective, looking at numbers, how the market moves, where the
• 19:42
  bets and dollars are going, system matches, you know, going
• 19:45
  contrary. And if that appeals to you, if
• 19:47
  this pod, you enjoy it and you find it beneficial with good
• 19:50
  insight each day to hopefully help you win and provide a
• 19:53
  blueprint, the data-driven blueprint.
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  Well, could you please give this podcast a 5 star review?
• 20:00
  If you're listening on iTunes or Spotify, give it five stars.
• 20:04
  I would really appreciate it would help us to grow the pod.
• 20:06
  If you want to recommend it to a friend, that would be great as
• 20:08
  well. And if also there is an option
• 20:10
  to follow a follow button on the pod, click that.
• 20:13
  That way as soon as it drops, you get alerted every single
• 20:16
  time. But seriously, thank you for
• 20:17
  listening and if you could give it a 5 star review I would very
• 20:20
  much appreciate it. Secondly, if you enjoyed this
• 20:23
  pod and you want to learn more about data-driven sharp
• 20:26
  contrarian betting how to read the market like data-driven wise
• 20:29
  guys read the market like the the traders on Wall Street, read
• 20:33
  read the stock market. If you want to learn more well,
• 20:36
  guess what I got something that's going to help you.
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  It's a book yes, books are still available.
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  We're not totally getting rid of books, they're still beneficial
• 20:44
  even though I feel like no one reads anymore, myself included.
• 20:47
  I don't read like I used to. But anyway, as an English major,
• 20:50
  I should read more. UVM class of 09.
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  But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting, you
• 20:55
  want to support the team, make my day.
• 20:57
  Let me know you appreciate the pod.
• 20:58
  Go buy my book. Go to Amazon.com and type in the
• 21:02
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 21:04
  Pick up a copy for you or for a friend or family member or a
• 21:07
  buddy of yours or a colleague or Co worker or someone who maybe
• 21:11
  is interested in betting but has no freaking clue where to start.
• 21:14
  Or maybe they are a better and just you know, love betting but
• 21:17
  haven't really gotten the results that they're looking
• 21:19
  for. Well, maybe you can give them
• 21:20
  the all the Everything Guide to Sports Betting and show them how
• 21:23
  to be a data-driven better. How to read the market, how to
• 21:26
  locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
• 21:29
  how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
• 21:31
  management plan. It's all included in the
• 21:33
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 21:35
  So when I see you at the book, I'll buy you a beer, I'll sign
• 21:38
  the book for you, and then we'll sweat some sharp contrarian
• 21:41
  plays together. So that about does it, of
• 21:43
  course. Two parting words to end the pod
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  with, of course, as always, whether I see you at the Borgata
• 21:49
  in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
• 21:52
  Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
• 21:55
  Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
• 21:59
  in my neck of the woods. And Massachusetts are out in the
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  desert, where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter
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  sends his number runners, where the lowest juice possible is
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  found at the South Point, or sweat and sharp contrarian plays
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  jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
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  When you cash a big ticket at Circa, whoever it may be.
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  Hey, you're gonna walk up to me, you know, show me a Tigers
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  ticket. Operation Fade.
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  White Sox paid off for us last night.
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  And most of all, show me that Phillies ticket.
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  You love it, Chefs kiss. You love seeing Bryce Harper
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  walk it off for the Phills last night.
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  And I know my buddy James Santor like that too, who is a big
• 22:31
  Phills fan. Of course if if you haven't done
• 22:34
  it yet, I'd also love for you to give Juice Reel and Rhythm a
• 22:37
  shot with a 7 day free trial. Rhythm of course fantastic with
• 22:41
  their AI backed models and predictions for both game bets
• 22:44
  and player props. We have WNBA going on right now
• 22:47
  in Rhythm. We have golf and then of course
• 22:50
  we have college football that just came back.
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  NFL. I'm counting down the days until
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  we can sweat some props and some plays from from Rhythm.
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  But Rhythm is a fantastic app that helps me win.
• 23:00
  I know it's going to help you win and then Juice Reel helped
• 23:04
  us cash our Phillies play last night thanks to Robo Jackson,
• 23:07
  the hardest working bot around. But Juice Reel is great for
• 23:09
  syncing up your sports books, getting a running report card in
• 23:13
  terms of your performance, you can learn about yourself as a
• 23:15
  better. It's got the sharp mush system
• 23:18
  matches each day, the arbitrage bets.
• 23:20
  It's all included when you sign up and become a Juice Reel
• 23:24
  member. Just so you can download Juice
• 23:26
  Reel. You can download rhythm.
• 23:28
  Both are apps find the App Store and you got to do it this
• 23:31
  specific way. Click the custom links that are
• 23:33
  located in the bio description of this podcast.
• 23:37
  You should see a couple links there to sign up that way.
• 23:40
  Juice Reel and Rhythm know that I refer to you, which is
• 23:42
  important, but again, starting to become the busy time of year.
• 23:46
  Add Juice Reel and Rhythm to your digital betting toolbox.
• 23:49
  Of course, as we wrap every pod up with a little words of
• 23:53
  encouragement, words of wisdom that we've cultivated over time,
• 23:57
  stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public, place
• 24:00
  yourself on the side of the house.
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  Always be with the smart money, never against it.
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  Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
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  No such thing as a locker guarantee.
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  Betting is difficult. Bad beats human error.
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  Again, crazy things can happen, but here's the thing, anything
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  can happen in a one off. But if you consistently long
• 24:18
  term bet with your head and not your heart against the public,
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  with the house, with the pros flat bet, avoid parlays, get
• 24:24
  that CLV. If you can do that long term, I
• 24:28
  almost can guarantee you you're going to be a successful sports
• 24:30
  better. So enjoy the sweats, everyone.
• 24:32
  We got a four pack in baseball. See if we can get three of them.
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  Let's cash some tickets here tonight, guys.
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  I'll see you tomorrow for a big Wednesday edition episode one O
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  7 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by
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  Rhythm.