Latest / Pod Save America / Trump Revives Birtherism
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:22Speaker 1: On today's show, with Kamala Harris' VP announcement imminent, we'll
- 0:26Speaker 1: read the tea leaves and talk through the shortlist. We'll
- 0:29Speaker 1: also talk about how, as we suspected, Trump already seems
- 0:32Speaker 1: to be regretting his VP pick. And reports of Project
- 0:36Speaker 1: 2025's demise may be greatly exaggerated. But first, the fallout
- 0:41Speaker 1: continues from one of the worst, most deranged interviews Donald
- 0:46Speaker 1: Trump has ever given, which is saying a lot. His
- 0:49Speaker 1: live appearance on Wednesday at the National Association of Black
- 0:52Speaker 1: Journalists convention. So Lovett and Stacey Abrams reacted in real
- 0:56Speaker 1: time on the Wednesday pod, but there have been some
- 0:59Speaker 1: developments since then that have kept this story going, namely
- 1:03Speaker 1: the fact that Trump and his campaign have decided to
- 1:06Speaker 1: double down on his accusation that Kamala Harris isn't really black,
- 1:11Speaker 1: and the vice president's response at an event that evening
- 1:14Speaker 1: in Houston. Let's listen first as a refresher to Trump's comments,
- 1:19Speaker 1: and then you'll hear what the VP said in response.
- 1:23Speaker 3: Some of your own supporters, including Republicans on Capitol Hill,
- 1:26Speaker 3: have labeled Vice President Kamala Harris, who is the first
- 1:29Speaker 3: black and Asian American woman to serve as vice president
- 1:32Speaker 3: and be on a major party ticket, as a DEI hire.
- 1:36Speaker 3: Is that acceptable language to you?
- 1:38Speaker 4: How do you define DEI?
- 1:40Speaker 5: Go ahead.
- 1:41Speaker 4: How do you define it?
- 1:42Speaker 3: Diversity, equity, inclusion.
- 1:43Speaker 5: Okay, yeah, go ahead.
- 1:44Speaker 4: Is that what your definition?
- 1:46Speaker 3: That is literally the words, DEI.
- 1:47Speaker 2: Give me a definition then.
- 1:48Speaker 4: Would you give me a definition of that? Give me
- 1:50Speaker 4: a definition.
- 1:51Speaker 2: Sir, I'm asking you a question, a very direct question. No, no,
- 1:53Speaker 2: you have to define it.
- 1:54Speaker 4: Define it for me.
- 1:55Speaker 1: If you will.
- 1:55Speaker 3: I just defined it, sir.
- 1:56Speaker 4: She was always of Indian heritage and she was only
- 2:00Speaker 4: promoting Indian heritage. I didn't know she was black until
- 2:03Speaker 4: a number of years ago when she happened to turn
- 2:06Speaker 4: black and now she wants to be known as black.
- 2:08Speaker 4: So I don't know, is she Indian or is she black?
- 2:11Speaker 5: Donald Trump spoke at the annual meeting of the National
- 2:14Speaker 5: Association of Black Journalists. And it was the same old show.
- 2:22Speaker 5: The divisiveness and the disrespect. And let me just say,
- 2:29Speaker 5: the American people deserve better. The American people deserve better.
- 2:36Speaker 1: All right. Let's start with the man who's had a
- 2:39Speaker 1: spiritual awakening since his assassination attempt. What the hell do
- 2:43Speaker 1: you think Donald Trump was up to with that response
- 2:48Speaker 1: and that whole interview? Like the entire interview, he was
- 2:52Speaker 1: just unhinged, unhinged.
- 2:54Speaker 2: I think I've now listened to this interview several times.
- 2:57Speaker 2: I've listened to.
- 2:57Speaker 1: Me too.
- 2:59Speaker 2: It's funny.
- 2:59Speaker 1: Like last night I had watched it. Tommy had it
- 3:02Speaker 1: on his computer when it was happening. And so I started,
- 3:04Speaker 1: I tuned in because I was so busy. I didn't
- 3:06Speaker 1: even know what was happening. And then I went home
- 3:09Speaker 1: last night just because I was so stunned. Not like
- 3:12Speaker 1: surprising because nothing about Donald Trump is surprising, but just shocking.
- 3:16Speaker 1: And watched the whole thing again. And it was even
- 3:18Speaker 1: worse the second time.
- 3:19Speaker 2: Yeah, I was traveling back home from a family trip
- 3:22Speaker 2: and I was in the airport and I was like
- 3:23Speaker 2: following the slacks coming in and the texts. And I
- 3:26Speaker 2: was like, this seems bad with my family. My parents
- 3:28Speaker 2: are like, how bad is it? I was like, I
- 3:30Speaker 2: don't know what's happening, but it seems very bad. And the, well,
- 3:34Speaker 2: let me just say that in listening to it, the true,
- 3:37Speaker 2: the part that's not getting enough attention because it's, it
- 3:40Speaker 2: might be the funniest part in what is largely an
- 3:43Speaker 2: unfunny and highly offensive interview is when he keeps asking
- 3:45Speaker 2: her to find DEI and she keeps, I.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Was just going to say that exact words.
- 3:49Speaker 2: She's like, that is the literal definition.
- 3:51Speaker 1: But it's obviously he doesn't, he doesn't really get, he
- 3:54Speaker 1: knows that there's a DEI attack that the right wing
- 3:57Speaker 1: has been using and that it's like, it's, you know,
- 4:00Speaker 1: it's racist and, you know, or it's a wedge issue
- 4:04Speaker 1: that they can use. He like gets the politics around it,
- 4:06Speaker 1: but he has no fucking idea what DEI is.
- 4:08Speaker 2: I think he thinks it's a word, not an acronym,
- 4:12Speaker 2: which is why he was so confused by her saying it. Like,
- 4:14Speaker 2: I mean, he thinks it's like, I would love to
- 4:16Speaker 2: see him try to spell it. I mean, let's start
- 4:20Speaker 2: with why he was at the National Association of Black
- 4:23Speaker 2: Journalists to begin with. I can sort of see the
- 4:27Speaker 2: meeting weeks ago, maybe months ago, in the Trump campaign
- 4:30Speaker 2: headquarters where they decided to do this, right? At the
- 4:33Speaker 2: time they're running against Joe Biden, we know from all
- 4:36Speaker 2: the interviews that Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles have done
- 4:38Speaker 2: to tell us how smart they think they are, that
- 4:40Speaker 2: black men are a huge target for the Trump campaign.
- 4:44Speaker 2: They go out, so in their minds, like we can
- 4:46Speaker 2: go to the National Association of Black Journalists, talk to
- 4:50Speaker 2: all of the black media in one fell swoop, and
- 4:52Speaker 2: a Republican president who's been repeatedly called a racist by
- 4:55Speaker 2: Democrats showing up at NABJ would be a grand gesture
- 4:59Speaker 2: to show that he's courting their vote, that he is actually,
- 5:02Speaker 2: unlike most Republican presidents in the past, he's actively seeking
- 5:05Speaker 2: the votes of the black community.
- 5:07Speaker 1: And they knew too that Joe Biden, at least in polling,
- 5:10Speaker 1: was having trouble with younger black voters.
- 5:13Speaker 2: It was highly unlikely to go do an interview at
- 5:16Speaker 2: an ABJ. So he would have the stage to himself.
- 5:19Speaker 1: Yep.
- 5:19Speaker 2: Now, that is one of the things that makes, like,
- 5:22Speaker 2: that's an idea in theory. But if Chris Lasavita and
- 5:25Speaker 2: Susie Wallace were as smart as they want us to
- 5:27Speaker 2: think they are, they would have remembered their candidate is
- 5:31Speaker 2: a racist asshole who also cannot and will not– he
- 5:35Speaker 2: doesn't like tough questions and he really doesn't like them
- 5:37Speaker 2: from black women. And so this– even if we end
- 5:40Speaker 2: up in this place where he was clearly reeling from
- 5:42Speaker 2: how the race has shifted and all the momentum that
- 5:44Speaker 2: Kamala Harris has and seeing her fill arenas and the
- 5:47Speaker 2: polls tightening and all of that, just in any scenario,
- 5:49Speaker 2: even if he was still in his like coronation phase
- 5:54Speaker 2: against Joe Biden– he still was going to have to
- 5:56Speaker 2: answer these questions in front of, with very good journalists
- 5:59Speaker 2: asking himself questions. And he was going to melt down there.
- 6:01Speaker 2: Maybe not to this degree, but he was definitely going
- 6:03Speaker 2: to melt out on that stage. It was one of
- 6:05Speaker 2: those things that's a good idea in theory, but theory
- 6:08Speaker 2: fails to account for the fact that Donald Trump is
- 6:11Speaker 2: the candidate.
- 6:13Speaker 1: Yeah. And I also think right before he did the interview,
- 6:17Speaker 1: he had some crazy post about like, I thought we
- 6:21Speaker 1: tried to do this on Zoom and now Kamala Harris
- 6:24Speaker 1: is not doing it on or gets to do it
- 6:26Speaker 1: on Zoom. And now I have to be there in person.
- 6:29Speaker 1: I would not be surprised if when the race changed
- 6:32Speaker 1: and he knew it was just him and Kamala and
- 6:36Speaker 1: then he was like, oh, now I have to go
- 6:38Speaker 1: to the National Association of Black Journalists. He was already probably,
- 6:41Speaker 1: you know, he probably wanted to do it over Zoom
- 6:42Speaker 1: and not actually go there. Then he goes there. And
- 6:45Speaker 1: then I'm sure because he's Donald Trump and he thinks
- 6:47Speaker 1: he's fucking great. He thought that the first question was
- 6:50Speaker 1: going to be like, hey, you know, Mr. President, thank
- 6:53Speaker 1: you for being here. And what's your plan on, you know,
- 6:56Speaker 1: and the fact that the first question was so pointed
- 6:59Speaker 1: about all of the, you know, you had a dinner
- 7:02Speaker 1: with a white supremacist. You have, you know, said all
- 7:05Speaker 1: these racist things. I think that when you challenge Trump
- 7:08Speaker 1: like that, we've seen this with other interviewers, too. the
- 7:11Speaker 1: few that actually really push and challenge him, that's when
- 7:14Speaker 1: he loses his shit.
- 7:15Speaker 2: It was similar to that Brett Baer interview when he
- 7:18Speaker 2: went through all the people in Trump's cabinet and team
- 7:21Speaker 2: who had turned against him, right? And Trump melted down
- 7:25Speaker 2: about that too.
- 7:26Speaker 1: Yeah, so some people are like, was it a strategy
- 7:28Speaker 1: to say that? It's possible. Anything is possible with Donald
- 7:33Speaker 1: Trump and his campaign. But having watched him for the
- 7:36Speaker 1: last eight years, it just seems like, when you challenge
- 7:41Speaker 1: Donald Trump, when you corner Donald Trump, when he's already upset,
- 7:45Speaker 1: he's going to say crazy shit, racist shit, sexist shit.
- 7:49Speaker 1: It just comes out. And like, I don't, so that
- 7:53Speaker 1: now what happened next, I think is clearly strategic. Well,
- 7:57Speaker 1: but in quotes, in quote, right.
- 7:59Speaker 2: We can debate that. I don't want to ruin your day,
- 8:02Speaker 2: but I want you to know it's just been nine years.
- 8:06Speaker 2: We've been, we've been podcasting with Donald.
- 8:07Speaker 1: Trump for nine years. Yeah, we did something wrong in
- 8:10Speaker 1: another life.
- 8:10Speaker 2: Well, I guess we've been podcasting about for eight years,
- 8:12Speaker 2: but we've been watching out Trump for nine years just
- 8:13Speaker 2: to be factually accurate.
- 8:15Speaker 1: So after it happens, he doubles down and the campaign
- 8:19Speaker 1: doubles down. At his rally that night in Harrisburg, the
- 8:22Speaker 1: campaign projected an image of a business insider headline that
- 8:26Speaker 1: noted how Harris became California's first Indian American senator, which
- 8:32Speaker 1: is true. Trump also posted a video clip of Kamala
- 8:35Speaker 1: cooking Indian food with Mindy Kaling. and said, quote, crazy
- 8:39Speaker 1: Kamala is saying she's Indian, not black, stone cold phony.
- 8:43Speaker 1: She uses everybody, including her racial identity. Why does he
- 8:50Speaker 1: and the campaign think that this is like a winner
- 8:52Speaker 1: for them? Why are they? What's what's what do you
- 8:55Speaker 1: think is the only thing I can think of on
- 8:56Speaker 1: the doubling down is like one of the first principles
- 9:00Speaker 1: for Donald Trump and all the people around him is
- 9:02Speaker 1: never apologize, never back down. just like lean into any
- 9:06Speaker 1: kind of gaffe or controversial statement you make.
- 9:10Speaker 2: I think there is some of that for sure. It
- 9:12Speaker 2: was like, what did Lovett used to call them? Intellectual
- 9:14Speaker 2: Zambonis who would go around behind Trump and like clean
- 9:16Speaker 2: up the mess. I think he's like strategic Zambonis here.
- 9:18Speaker 2: I think that there is a strategy that is a
- 9:21Speaker 2: very tried and true, very misogynistic strategy often used against
- 9:26Speaker 2: female candidates and female candidates of color, which is to
- 9:29Speaker 2: paint them as overly ambitious, do anything for power. And
- 9:33Speaker 2: so what I think take away the way Donald Trump
- 9:36Speaker 2: did this, like his execution of their plan was horrendous
- 9:40Speaker 2: and offensive and counterproductive and hurt him in ways that
- 9:42Speaker 2: we can talk about. I think the campaign's message is
- 9:45Speaker 2: they're racing to define Kamala Harris and they want to
- 9:48Speaker 2: do this argument where she said she was black when
- 9:50Speaker 2: it helped her in this way. She said she was
- 9:53Speaker 2: Indian when it helped her in this way, as a
- 9:55Speaker 2: way to make her seem unprincipled, phony. We've seen this
- 10:00Speaker 2: strategy run against candidates, especially women candidates, all the time
- 10:03Speaker 2: from Republicans. Trump just did it in a way that
- 10:07Speaker 2: was like such an unsubtle sledgehammer that it kind of
- 10:10Speaker 2: blew up in his face.
- 10:12Speaker 1: Could I just point out why it's so fucking stupid
- 10:16Speaker 1: and like, Where it's coming from, that's not only in
- 10:20Speaker 1: Donald Trump's mind, but like a broader feeling on the
- 10:25Speaker 1: right with some of this DEI bullshit. It's like, first
- 10:29Speaker 1: of all, Kamala Harris, her mother came here from India.
- 10:34Speaker 1: Her father came here from Jamaica. She has talked about
- 10:37Speaker 1: that for her entire career. She has written about it
- 10:42Speaker 1: in her book. She's given speeches about it when she
- 10:44Speaker 1: became the vice president. all of the stories everywhere said
- 10:48Speaker 1: that she was the first black and South Asian woman
- 10:52Speaker 1: to be vice president. A lot of firsts. There was
- 10:54Speaker 1: a whole millions of headlines about that. So the idea
- 10:57Speaker 1: that it was hidden or she, she tries to, she
- 11:00Speaker 1: turned black is just nonsense, right? She went to a Howard.
- 11:04Speaker 5: Yes.
- 11:04Speaker 2: Historically black sorority.
- 11:06Speaker 1: Yes. But they are trying to argue that somehow being
- 11:11Speaker 1: black is, Or presenting as black is an advantage, is
- 11:15Speaker 1: a political advantage in some places, because everyone knows that
- 11:20Speaker 1: black Americans, you know, they have all this privilege and advantage, right? Historically, right?
- 11:24Speaker 1: And that sometimes saying that you have Indian heritage gives
- 11:27Speaker 1: you some advantage politically, which is just, it's so fucking preposterous,
- 11:32Speaker 1: but it's exactly how the right thinks now, which is like, oh, well,
- 11:36Speaker 1: if you're white, you know, you have to work hard
- 11:40Speaker 1: and get ahead. But if you're black or if you're
- 11:42Speaker 1: some other minority, then the way that society is now
- 11:46Speaker 1: and where's DEI and everything else, then you get an
- 11:49Speaker 1: advantage that other people don't get. That's the real racist
- 11:52Speaker 1: part of it. And that's what he was really getting at.
- 11:54Speaker 2: It is a, without using the acronym slash word, it's
- 11:59Speaker 2: a way of making, of arguing she is a DEI candidate.
- 12:01Speaker 2: She could never have succeeded in this way on her
- 12:04Speaker 2: own because it is impossible to, for these Republicans to
- 12:07Speaker 2: fathom the idea that a woman or a black woman
- 12:10Speaker 2: or Indian woman could best them in all these ways
- 12:13Speaker 2: to achieve what she has achieved, to win the election
- 12:15Speaker 2: she's won, to advance in the career. They can't comprehend that.
- 12:19Speaker 2: They get to this also because Kamala Harris's story, the
- 12:26Speaker 2: fact that she's black and Indian, is also an anathema
- 12:29Speaker 2: to their view of America. What Trump is really arguing
- 12:32Speaker 2: is that he is a bulwark against changes in this
- 12:35Speaker 2: country that mean that white men are going to have
- 12:38Speaker 2: less power to become a more diverse country. And so
- 12:40Speaker 2: the idea of Kamala Harris is that, as Barack Obama
- 12:43Speaker 2: in the same way, was something they could not comprehend,
- 12:45Speaker 2: they could not wrap their mind around, and so they
- 12:47Speaker 2: must lash out at it in the most offensive ways possible.
- 12:50Speaker 2: It does not compute in their mind that she could
- 12:53Speaker 2: have achieved everything she achieved based on her hard work,
- 12:57Speaker 2: her talent, her brains, her grit, all of that. That
- 13:01Speaker 2: is not in their worldview. It is not possible for them.
- 13:05Speaker 1: Kamala Harris, who has won more elections than Donald Trump
- 13:10Speaker 1: and J.D. Vance combined, who has more political experience in
- 13:13Speaker 1: years than Donald Trump and J.D. Vance combined, who won
- 13:18Speaker 1: the race for attorney general, a close race for attorney general,
- 13:22Speaker 1: particularly the primary in the largest state in the country,
- 13:25Speaker 1: who won a race for U.S. Senate in the largest
- 13:27Speaker 1: state in the country, the fifth largest economy in the world.
- 13:30Speaker 1: and then who went on to run for president and
- 13:32Speaker 1: got selected as vice president and then just spent four
- 13:34Speaker 1: years working with Joe Biden in the White House. That
- 13:37Speaker 1: is the DEI candidate that they are denigrating there.
- 13:41Speaker 2: Just the other thing, I was on the Bulwark podcast
- 13:43Speaker 2: today with Tim Miller and something he pointed out that
- 13:45Speaker 2: had not occurred to me, J.D. Vance's kids.
- 13:48Speaker 1: I know, which I didn't even want to mention because
- 13:50Speaker 1: it's like they're his kids, but like, oh my God.
- 13:54Speaker 2: I didn't want to bring him up either, but he
- 13:55Speaker 2: got asked about it and just basically- stuck with Trump
- 13:58Speaker 2: instead of pushing back anyway, even separating himself in the
- 14:01Speaker 2: most mild way to acknowledge the complexity of American life.
- 14:07Speaker 1: Also, Donald Trump's daddy gave him a bunch of money,
- 14:12Speaker 1: and then he swindled his way to his fortune. That's
- 14:15Speaker 1: how Donald Trump got where he is. That's Donald Trump's advantage.
- 14:18Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, his DEI is just being a Richville son.
- 14:34Speaker 1: So what did you make of Kamala Harris's response? I
- 14:38Speaker 1: loved it.
- 14:40Speaker 2: I loved it as well, but I want to hear
- 14:41Speaker 2: why you loved it.
- 14:42Speaker 1: Okay, so I had a couple people say to me,
- 14:45Speaker 1: you know, Trump doing this and everyone calling him racist
- 14:49Speaker 1: and him taking over the news cycle with this, it's
- 14:52Speaker 1: giving me 2016 vibes where we were all like, oh,
- 14:56Speaker 1: Trump every day was saying something sexist about Hillary or
- 14:58Speaker 1: then he was saying something racist about someone else.
- 15:01Speaker 5: And.
- 15:02Speaker 1: Suddenly that became the campaign and we all thought, oh,
- 15:04Speaker 1: of course he's going to lose and then he wins.
- 15:05Speaker 3: Right.
- 15:06Speaker 1: And I do think that not just the Clinton campaign,
- 15:10Speaker 1: but the whole Democratic Party has sort of learned over
- 15:13Speaker 1: the last several years that he wants us to take
- 15:18Speaker 1: the bait.
- 15:18Speaker 3: Right.
- 15:19Speaker 1: He wants he was desperate for the Harris campaign and
- 15:24Speaker 1: Democrats to be like, you're a racist. And then he's like,
- 15:27Speaker 1: I didn't say anything racist. I said that she's just
- 15:29Speaker 1: trying to prove that she's not really black, you know, like,
- 15:32Speaker 1: and they want that. And the fact that Kamala Harris
- 15:34Speaker 1: stood up there and said it was disrespectful, like he
- 15:39Speaker 1: always is, and it's divisive, which he always is, but
- 15:43Speaker 1: same old story, same old act. We're all tired of it.
- 15:47Speaker 1: We've been hearing it for nine years. There's nothing new.
- 15:50Speaker 1: It's complete bullshit. This is why we need to move forward.
- 15:53Speaker 1: This is why we need to turn the page. It
- 15:55Speaker 1: is the strongest argument and it prevents her from getting
- 15:58Speaker 1: sucked in. And it's also not ignoring it altogether because
- 16:01Speaker 1: I'm sure some people, oh, she should ignore it. You
- 16:03Speaker 1: can't ignore it. But I think lifting it up and
- 16:07Speaker 1: making it about it's not a fight between Kamala Harris
- 16:10Speaker 1: and Donald Trump. He wants it to be a personal
- 16:12Speaker 1: fight between the two of them. What she needs to
- 16:14Speaker 1: do is every time he does this, talk about like,
- 16:16Speaker 1: this is a race about the people of this country
- 16:20Speaker 1: and living in an inclusive, diverse country where every single
- 16:23Speaker 1: person has the chance to get ahead. That's what this
- 16:24Speaker 1: race is about. He doesn't want it to be about that.
- 16:27Speaker 1: He wants to be about like lobbing insults at me
- 16:29Speaker 1: and everyone else because that's who he is. We're so
- 16:31Speaker 1: tired of that. Let's move on.
- 16:33Speaker 2: I thought what I loved about it was she seemed
- 16:36Speaker 2: overjoyed to take it on. Like she almost laughed in
- 16:38Speaker 2: that clip right before she started because she was ready
- 16:41Speaker 2: for it. You're right. It wasn't in anger. It wasn't
- 16:43Speaker 2: about her. It was about taking it back on Donald
- 16:46Speaker 2: Trump and then fitting it back in her frame. And
- 16:48Speaker 2: I love when she said, same old stuff, right? We've
- 16:50Speaker 2: seen it. It's the past. We're focused on the future.
- 16:53Speaker 2: And there is something, and this is what I have
- 16:57Speaker 2: loved about their campaign to date, is they take everything
- 16:59Speaker 2: as an opportunity to push their frame, right? They're fighting
- 17:04Speaker 2: the war, not the individual battles. Because there was just
- 17:08Speaker 2: something inherently old in past that about not understanding people's
- 17:13Speaker 2: complex identities in 2024. It is an old man thing, right?
- 17:19Speaker 2: It is an old, out of touch, 78-year-old rich guy
- 17:23Speaker 2: who lives in Palm Beach who doesn't get it. Because
- 17:25Speaker 2: tens of millions of Americans identify as biracial, right? Everyone
- 17:28Speaker 2: knows someone in their family, their friends, who it's a
- 17:32Speaker 2: white mom, black dad, everything, right? And how people talk
- 17:37Speaker 2: about it and think about it. And, you know, and
- 17:40Speaker 2: this is, we dealt with this with Obama too, right?
- 17:42Speaker 2: This was the whole thing. Obama's not black enough, all
- 17:44Speaker 2: those things. And people got it. You never had to
- 17:46Speaker 2: be explained because they understand because they see it in
- 17:48Speaker 2: their lives. And Donald Trump just looks like an old
- 17:51Speaker 2: fart that doesn't get it. And that's what you want, right?
- 17:53Speaker 2: This is, that is how this race has fundamentally shifted
- 17:56Speaker 2: in the last two weeks is it is, we have
- 17:58Speaker 2: gone from present versus near past to future versus past.
- 18:01Speaker 2: And Trump is the past.
- 18:03Speaker 1: An old fart and an old fart who's fucking scared. Yeah.
- 18:06Speaker 1: Like he looked and sounded- weak doing that. Like, I
- 18:10Speaker 1: know his whole thing and the whole race against Joe
- 18:12Speaker 1: Biden was strength and Joe Biden's weak, but Donald Trump
- 18:15Speaker 1: latching out like that makes him seem small and weak.
- 18:18Speaker 1: It did not come from a position of strength. So,
- 18:21Speaker 1: of course, J.D. Vance joined in the stupidity in Arizona
- 18:23Speaker 1: on Wednesday night. He called Harris a, quote, phony in
- 18:26Speaker 1: his remarks and later added that she has a, quote,
- 18:28Speaker 1: fundamental chameleon-like nature that she is, quote, not who she
- 18:32Speaker 1: pretends to be, And he also accused her of faking
- 18:35Speaker 1: a Southern accent in her Atlanta rally after his event.
- 18:38Speaker 1: Then he went back to defending his comments that not
- 18:41Speaker 1: having children makes you, quote, sociopathic. When reporters asked him,
- 18:45Speaker 1: Vance said, quote, I'm happy to defend what I said
- 18:47Speaker 1: because what I said is true in a clip that
- 18:49Speaker 1: the Harris campaign immediately circulated. Good for them. So we've
- 18:53Speaker 1: been wondering when Trump is going to get tired of
- 18:56Speaker 1: the J.D. Vance routine. It seems like the time might
- 18:59Speaker 1: be now. He was asked about Vance at the NABJ
- 19:02Speaker 1: event yesterday. This didn't get, obviously, as much attention for
- 19:06Speaker 1: good reason, but here's what he said when he was
- 19:08Speaker 1: asked about J.D. Vance. When you look at J.D. Vance,
- 19:10Speaker 1: is he ready on day one? Does he what? Ready
- 19:14Speaker 1: on day one, if he has to be.
- 19:16Speaker 4: I've always had great respect for him and for the
- 19:20Speaker 4: other candidates, too. But I will say this, and I
- 19:24Speaker 4: think this is well documented. Historically, the vice president, in
- 19:28Speaker 4: terms of the election, does not have any impact. I mean,
- 19:31Speaker 4: virtually no impact.
- 19:33Speaker 1: I just can't. We knew it. Honestly, I thought it
- 19:37Speaker 1: would come as a leak first, or I thought that
- 19:40Speaker 1: maybe Trump would try to dress it up a little more,
- 19:43Speaker 1: but he basically stuck two daggers in. He was asked,
- 19:47Speaker 1: is he ready on day one? And his response is... is,
- 19:50Speaker 1: is he ready to be president on day one? And
- 19:52Speaker 1: his response is, the VP doesn't matter.
- 19:54Speaker 2: Because you can always, we've now been watching this sad,
- 19:59Speaker 2: sad man in the public sphere for so long. You
- 20:02Speaker 2: also know this is the conversation he's been having with
- 20:04Speaker 2: a bunch of rich, Palm beach donor types who are
- 20:09Speaker 2: asking him whether he fucked up the JD Vance pick.
- 20:11Speaker 2: And he's, his answer is he can't defend it because
- 20:14Speaker 2: there's no upside there at all, but he would just say,
- 20:16Speaker 2: it doesn't matter. And he's like, historically, it doesn't matter.
- 20:19Speaker 2: It's not exactly true, but it's kind of true. Um,
- 20:22Speaker 2: also just the way he mentioned that he liked the
- 20:24Speaker 2: other people too. And he did say another like little,
- 20:27Speaker 2: I mean, I could.
- 20:27Speaker 1: Honestly be nervous that I'm like, Oh no, he's going
- 20:29Speaker 1: to drop them.
- 20:30Speaker 2: I think there's a chance he could, but I also
- 20:33Speaker 2: love that. He said he had always had great respect
- 20:35Speaker 2: for him.
- 20:37Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 20:38Speaker 1: And also, you know, for meaning like until I didn't
- 20:40Speaker 1: know any of this shit was going to happen. That's
- 20:42Speaker 1: that's basically what he was trying to say.
- 20:43Speaker 2: I mean, Don Jr. had his one moment in the
- 20:45Speaker 2: sun where his dad pretended like he loved him on
- 20:48Speaker 2: stage at the convention. And now now he is fucked.
- 20:51Speaker 2: He has fallen so far below Eric. He might be
- 20:53Speaker 2: below Tiffany now in the family inheritance.
- 20:56Speaker 1: How long does Donald Trump have to do something about J.D.
- 20:58Speaker 1: Vance if he wanted to drop him from the ticket?
- 21:00Speaker 1: Don't they have to print ballots somewhat soon in some states?
- 21:03Speaker 2: Soon-ish. I don't think we're at ballot printing yet, but
- 21:06Speaker 2: we're getting pretty close because we're not that far away
- 21:08Speaker 2: from early votes starting in a handful of states. So
- 21:11Speaker 2: you could, I mean, you can still do the switch
- 21:14Speaker 2: after the ballot printing, but you'd much prefer not to.
- 21:16Speaker 2: That's actually a really good question for an attorney, of
- 21:19Speaker 2: which we know someone we could ask. Because I know
- 21:22Speaker 2: what happened, how tricky it is. The top of the
- 21:24Speaker 2: ticket person is, but I don't know what would happen
- 21:27Speaker 2: if it's the wrong person on the ballot. On the bottom.
- 21:31Speaker 2: Like if it is all of a sudden it was Trump, Burgum,
- 21:35Speaker 2: what that would do. But yeah, but basically I think
- 21:37Speaker 2: he would have like maybe a week at most to
- 21:40Speaker 2: probably do this.
- 21:42Speaker 1: I also can't imagine it being Burgum as a replacement
- 21:45Speaker 1: because it's like, we're going to drop JD Vance, but
- 21:47Speaker 1: don't you worry, everyone. We got Doug Burgum.
- 21:50Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 21:51Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know anyone who would be excited
- 21:53Speaker 1: for people, but even Rubio, I guess, would be better
- 21:56Speaker 1: at that point. I don't know. You know there's a
- 21:59Speaker 1: conversation happening somewhere in Mar-a-Lago or in the Trump campaign
- 22:04Speaker 1: somewhere where they're whispering about, well, he could ditch J.D.
- 22:09Speaker 1: Vance maybe during the Democratic convention, step on her speech,
- 22:12Speaker 1: do something like that, get a press hit, or maybe
- 22:15Speaker 1: do it the day after. They're thinking about it.
- 22:17Speaker 2: I guess August 7th would be probably the deadline.
- 22:21Speaker 1: Right, because that was the Ohio ballot.
- 22:24Speaker 2: Kamala Harris could become president without Ohio. Donald Trump cannot.
- 22:27Speaker 2: So yeah, August 7th, you'd have to do the switch.
- 22:30Speaker 2: And then the RNC would have some process by which
- 22:32Speaker 2: they just rubber stamped whoever their replacement would be.
- 22:35Speaker 1: The new, yeah. There was also reporting in the Bulwark
- 22:38Speaker 1: that everyone on the Trump team thinks that Kellyanne Conway,
- 22:40Speaker 1: who was in favor of Rubio for the VP pick,
- 22:42Speaker 1: is leaking internal doubts about Vance. She didn't exactly deny
- 22:46Speaker 1: it to Mark Caputo at the Bulwark. What do you
- 22:48Speaker 1: think is going on there? Is that just internal sniping
- 22:51Speaker 1: where the campaign's pissed at Kellyanne and Kellyanne is sniping back?
- 22:55Speaker 1: Or what's going on there?
- 22:56Speaker 2: I mean, who knows with these people? One thing that's
- 22:59Speaker 2: pretty clear from seeing Kellyanne over all these years is
- 23:01Speaker 2: she really wants people to think she's right.
- 23:03Speaker 1: Right and in the know. The piece said that she
- 23:07Speaker 1: bristled at the suggestion that she's not still advising Donald Trump.
- 23:11Speaker 1: And she's like, I advise him all the time.
- 23:12Speaker 2: I mean, yes, that is very clear that she, that
- 23:15Speaker 2: in any conversation she has, she must put herself in
- 23:17Speaker 2: the center of all big decisions in Trump land. And
- 23:20Speaker 2: so you can just see a world where she's telling
- 23:22Speaker 2: people that she was in the room pushing for Rubio
- 23:24Speaker 2: or whoever else. And so she's not responsible for this
- 23:26Speaker 2: numbskull who keeps saying crazy shit. So yeah, it is,
- 23:30Speaker 2: you know, this is also, it's another sign that wheels
- 23:32Speaker 2: are coming off because that's, this was like a flashback
- 23:36Speaker 2: to 2017 and 2021 Axios stories about various people knifing
- 23:40Speaker 2: each other in Trump world. Like there's been none of that.
- 23:43Speaker 2: throughout this campaign. We've joked about the famously disciplined Trump campaign,
- 23:48Speaker 2: but one way where they have been more coherent is
- 23:50Speaker 2: that there's less of that internal drama spilling out into
- 23:54Speaker 2: the pages of Politico and Axios, or the bulwark in
- 23:57Speaker 2: this case. This is the first time that's happening. That's
- 23:59Speaker 2: also a sign that they are on their heels since
- 24:02Speaker 2: Kamala Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Of course, time is a flat circle. All of the
- 24:09Speaker 1: Trump campaign internal sniping stories are coming back one more time.
- 24:14Speaker 2: Because those stories always come, if history says anything, 14
- 24:19Speaker 2: to 21 days after the Trump is a changed man stories.
- 24:21Speaker 2: So we're right on schedule here.
- 24:23Speaker 1: Yeah, we are. We are. All right. Lastly, before we
- 24:26Speaker 1: move off of this horror show of an interview forever,
- 24:29Speaker 1: Rachel Scott also asked Trump whether he can legitimately claim
- 24:33Speaker 1: to be the candidate of law and order when he
- 24:35Speaker 1: wants to pardon the January 6th rioters. Here's what he said.
- 24:39Speaker 1: My question is on those rioters who assaulted officers.
- 24:42Speaker 2: Would you pardon those people?
- 24:44Speaker 4: Oh, absolutely I would. If they're innocent, I would pardon them.
- 24:48Speaker 1: They've been convicted.
- 24:49Speaker 4: And by the way, the Supreme Court just under.
- 24:52Speaker 1: He would pardon people who have been convicted of physically
- 24:57Speaker 1: assaulting police officers. In some cases, giving them injuries that
- 25:00Speaker 1: they are still recovering from right now. And we didn't
- 25:05Speaker 1: play it in the clip, but afterwards... When she says, well,
- 25:08Speaker 1: they've been convicted, he's like, yeah, but this system, you know,
- 25:11Speaker 1: this unfair system. So again, convictions only count in Trump's
- 25:15Speaker 1: mind when they are convictions against people he does not like,
- 25:19Speaker 1: when they are convictions against people that support him or
- 25:21Speaker 1: the people that he likes, they do not matter. That
- 25:24Speaker 1: is the guy who wants to be the chief law
- 25:26Speaker 1: enforcement officer in this country and execute our laws.
- 25:30Speaker 2: Cool stuff. I mean, it is.
- 25:31Speaker 1: That's going to be the worst politics. Like, I mean,
- 25:33Speaker 1: I just like... I know I could see in the
- 25:36Speaker 1: last couple of months, there were a few quotes here
- 25:38Speaker 1: and there from people in the Trump orbit that they
- 25:40Speaker 1: were like, maybe trying to walk back the pardon thing
- 25:42Speaker 1: by saying, well, he wants to, he wouldn't pardon the
- 25:46Speaker 1: rioters who've been convicted of physical assault. It's the, it's
- 25:48Speaker 1: the ones who've been convicted of like trespassing or just
- 25:50Speaker 1: been sitting in jail. And all they did was just
- 25:52Speaker 1: walk into the Capitol, right? Like he, right. Just physically
- 25:57Speaker 1: assaulting police officers. Sure. Pardoned. I mean, that to me
- 26:00Speaker 1: is an ad. That's an ad right there.
- 26:02Speaker 2: A hundred percent.
- 26:02Speaker 1: It is.
- 26:03Speaker 2: And even the, Like you're really dancing on the head
- 26:05Speaker 2: of a pin if you're trying to separate the people
- 26:08Speaker 2: who were the actual violence on people who went into
- 26:11Speaker 2: the Capitol. Because we've seen in polling, look, there are lots,
- 26:15Speaker 2: majorities of Republicans believe that the election was stolen. Many
- 26:20Speaker 2: of them believe that Trump did nothing wrong on January 6th.
- 26:24Speaker 2: They have better feelings about, they think some of the
- 26:27Speaker 2: convictions were wrong, the system's broken, but they really do
- 26:29Speaker 2: not like the people who actually went into the Capitol.
- 26:31Speaker 2: And even a lot of Republicans do not think they
- 26:33Speaker 2: should be pardoned. And so Trump is, you're right, he
- 26:35Speaker 2: is zoned in on, there's no more, there's no less
- 26:38Speaker 2: popular way to talk about this than Trump is doing it.
- 26:41Speaker 2: Like he is, it is, he's just, it's bizarre almost.
- 26:45Speaker 2: There is, has always been like this self-destructive impulse in
- 26:47Speaker 2: him and it is coming out and he is in
- 26:49Speaker 2: full flower right now.
- 26:51Speaker 1: God, this is why I want the debate so badly
- 26:54Speaker 1: because can you imagine? Yeah, I know. And again, the
- 26:59Speaker 1: last debate, it probably would have happened. He would have,
- 27:02Speaker 1: been self-destructive had Biden not had the night that he had. But,
- 27:07Speaker 1: you know, he wasn't challenged. And I think if he's
- 27:08Speaker 1: challenged in a debate, which I'm sure Kamala Harris would do,
- 27:11Speaker 1: and I'm sure the moderators would do as well, who knows?
- 27:14Speaker 1: Who knows what we'll see? Speaking of political liabilities, Project
- 27:18Speaker 1: 2025 is, quote, winding down its policy operations, according to
- 27:21Speaker 1: The Washington Post, and the guy who was running it
- 27:24Speaker 1: stepped down. This was also a fun reminder that Project
- 27:26Speaker 1: 2025 isn't just a document full of terrible and unpopular ideas.
- 27:30Speaker 1: It was also a staffing operation run out of the
- 27:32Speaker 1: Heritage Foundation to act specifically as an administration in waiting
- 27:38Speaker 1: for Donald Trump. And it was filled with over 200
- 27:40Speaker 1: people who worked in the last Trump administration, including some
- 27:44Speaker 1: very senior advisors and a handful of cabinet secretaries. Anyway,
- 27:47Speaker 1: the Trump campaign released a statement saying, quote, Reports of
- 27:51Speaker 1: Project 2025's demise would be greatly welcomed. and should serve
- 27:54Speaker 1: as notice to anyone or any group trying to misrepresent
- 27:57Speaker 1: their influence with President Trump and his campaign, it will
- 28:00Speaker 1: not end well for you.
- 28:02Speaker 3: Okay.
- 28:03Speaker 1: Not everyone's so happy about this on the right. Molly Hemingway,
- 28:06Speaker 1: the editor-in-chief of The Federalist, tweeted, Interesting. Thank you, Molly Hemingway.
- 28:25Speaker 1: What do you think has really been going on behind
- 28:26Speaker 1: the scenes between Project 2025 and the Trump people?
- 28:29Speaker 2: I think the Trump people really wanted the Project 2025
- 28:32Speaker 2: people to shut the hell up, right? They did this
- 28:36Speaker 2: all publicly as a way to raise money for the
- 28:39Speaker 2: Heritage Foundation and raise the relevance of the Heritage Foundation,
- 28:42Speaker 2: a group that was very dominant for a long time
- 28:46Speaker 2: in public politics and sort of fell out of favor
- 28:48Speaker 2: for a long time. And they want all the work.
- 28:52Speaker 2: They want the lists. They want the ideas. They just
- 28:54Speaker 2: don't want the bad press. And this is something that
- 28:56Speaker 2: had been getting a ton of attention. Democrats were utilizing
- 28:59Speaker 2: it very well. And so they wanted these people to
- 29:01Speaker 2: shut up. Now, it's important to note that Donald Trump
- 29:04Speaker 2: is the official nominee of the Republican Party. Next, in
- 29:08Speaker 2: a couple of weeks, Kamala Harris will be the official
- 29:09Speaker 2: nominee of the Democratic Party. And what that will mean
- 29:12Speaker 2: is that the federally funded transition operations will begin. So-
- 29:16Speaker 2: They don't need Project 2025 in two weeks to staff
- 29:19Speaker 2: the government with all these apparatchiks. They can do it.
- 29:23Speaker 2: The taxpayer dollars will be helping them do it by
- 29:25Speaker 2: Labor Day.
- 29:26Speaker 1: It's interesting. When you said that, I thought, oh, now
- 29:29Speaker 1: we're going to know. The transition is going to get
- 29:31Speaker 1: staffed with people who were part of Project 2025. That
- 29:34Speaker 1: is inevitable.
- 29:35Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 29:35Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 29:36Speaker 2: It won't be the people who are the head of it, obviously.
- 29:38Speaker 1: No, because they want to be careful, but- like, it's
- 29:40Speaker 1: going to become obvious pretty soon that of course the
- 29:43Speaker 1: Trump campaign embraces both the people and the ideas of
- 29:46Speaker 1: Project 2025.
- 29:48Speaker 2: Obviously, of course, they're going to do it. There's not
- 29:50Speaker 2: even a question in my mind. There is no question
- 29:52Speaker 2: in my mind that were Trump to win the White House,
- 29:55Speaker 2: Project 2025 will be their 100 day, their 200 day,
- 29:58Speaker 2: their 300 day, their first term plan. That is what
- 30:01Speaker 2: they're going to do. And the people on that list
- 30:03Speaker 2: are going to be working in that government. Because do
- 30:05Speaker 2: you think the Trump people are out there just really
- 30:07Speaker 2: combing through LinkedIn looking for undersecretaries of natural resources? Of
- 30:11Speaker 2: course not.
- 30:12Speaker 1: There's no one left. They had like dozens of senior
- 30:15Speaker 1: advisors and national security people and cabinet secretaries who've said
- 30:19Speaker 1: that Trump is dangerous and a threat and would never
- 30:21Speaker 1: work for him again. Whole bunch of other people who
- 30:24Speaker 1: probably have legal bills from the last Trump administration. Like,
- 30:27Speaker 1: they don't have a lot of choices. So, of course,
- 30:30Speaker 1: that's how they're going to staff their government. And the
- 30:32Speaker 1: idea that, because, you know, you talk about sort of
- 30:35Speaker 1: the Democratic strategy moving forward on Project 2025. The idea
- 30:39Speaker 1: that Donald Trump is somehow separate from these ideas or
- 30:43Speaker 1: doesn't embrace most of these ideas. Like, he's already come
- 30:46Speaker 1: out for eliminating the Department of Education, rolling back all
- 30:49Speaker 1: of Joe Biden's environmental regulations. getting rid of most of
- 30:54Speaker 1: the non-political appointees in the federal government to replace them
- 30:57Speaker 1: with MAGA loyalists. He included Medicare and Social Security cuts
- 31:02Speaker 1: in every single budget he proposed every year he was president.
- 31:05Speaker 1: All of this stuff he's already agreed to. I don't know.
- 31:08Speaker 1: Is there anything else that you think Democrats should do
- 31:12Speaker 1: going forward on this?
- 31:13Speaker 2: I think we never stop talking about it. We keep pushing.
- 31:16Speaker 2: We do not take no for an answer here. This
- 31:19Speaker 2: is their agenda.
- 31:20Speaker 1: I would start joking too about Donald Trump saying things like,
- 31:24Speaker 1: I know nothing about Project 2025. I think some of
- 31:26Speaker 1: the points are fine. Some of them I disagree with.
- 31:28Speaker 1: I've never read the document. I think some of the
- 31:30Speaker 1: points are good. I have no idea who's behind it.
- 31:32Speaker 1: More than 200 people who used to work for me
- 31:34Speaker 1: run it. There's a mocking there that I think is
- 31:38Speaker 1: important because some Some people will think, oh, well, he's
- 31:42Speaker 1: disavowed Project 2025. He says he has nothing to do
- 31:44Speaker 1: with it. And I think it's important to, like, remind
- 31:46Speaker 1: people that he's full of shit.
- 31:47Speaker 2: There was plenty of great mainstream press coverage of Project 2025. Like,
- 31:52Speaker 2: the press did a very good job of it.
- 31:53Speaker 1: Really good job.
- 31:54Speaker 2: But the reason why it broke through was people took
- 31:57Speaker 2: it online and started creating their own content about it.
- 32:00Speaker 2: It really was, like, we are now living in a,
- 32:03Speaker 2: you know, brat summer, coconut-pilled abundance of pro-Kamala, anti-Trump media.
- 32:09Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 32:09Speaker 2: But the one success we had prior to the change
- 32:12Speaker 2: in candidacy was a lot of people made some great
- 32:15Speaker 2: videos and content about Project 2025 that really scared the
- 32:18Speaker 2: shit out of a lot of people, and they got shared.
- 32:20Speaker 2: And so we should continue to do that. These are
- 32:25Speaker 2: Cheesecake Factory menu lists of bad policies that we can
- 32:29Speaker 2: continue to do and people should keep doing and pushing
- 32:32Speaker 2: it out there. Because if you're trying to litigate this
- 32:34Speaker 2: in the free press, what the Trump people accomplished here
- 32:37Speaker 2: is getting the, you know, you can see the debate
- 32:40Speaker 2: where the moderator says to Kamala Harris, but the Trump campaign,
- 32:44Speaker 2: but the project has ended, right? Or in a press
- 32:47Speaker 2: conference or an interview that she is doing, not an
- 32:49Speaker 2: interview here, an interview with more credulous mainstream media, but
- 32:54Speaker 2: on social media, continue to educate people about it because
- 32:57Speaker 2: you are in the correct, you are in the right
- 33:00Speaker 2: if you are pushing this out there and explaining to
- 33:01Speaker 2: people what it is, because that is the Trump agenda,
- 33:04Speaker 2: whether they disavow this staffing plan or not.
- 33:19Speaker 1: All right. We are down to the final few days
- 33:21Speaker 1: until VP Harris selects a VP of her own. As
- 33:25Speaker 1: a reminder, the reporting is that she's going to do
- 33:27Speaker 1: a rally on Tuesday, introducing her running mate. That rally
- 33:30Speaker 1: is in Philadelphia, stoking a lot of speculation that the
- 33:33Speaker 1: pick would be Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro. The campaign said
- 33:37Speaker 1: not to read too much into the location. But then today,
- 33:39Speaker 1: NBC News reported that Shapiro had canceled some fundraisers that
- 33:42Speaker 1: were scheduled for this weekend. And Shapiro's folks confirmed that.
- 33:46Speaker 1: They also reported that Shapiro met with Harris's vetting team
- 33:49Speaker 1: on Wednesday. Harris wasn't there, apparently. But reportedly, the vetting
- 33:53Speaker 1: team had very similar meetings with Arizona Senator Mark Kelly,
- 33:58Speaker 1: Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker, Kentucky Governor
- 34:02Speaker 1: Andy Beshear, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. How much do
- 34:06Speaker 1: you read into all the signs that are pointing towards Shapiro?
- 34:11Speaker 2: Do not read anything into the signs. There are no
- 34:13Speaker 2: clues whatsoever. I think it's helpful for you and I
- 34:15Speaker 2: to explain how this worked when Barack Obama picked Joe Biden.
- 34:19Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 34:20Speaker 2: We were in the know. We were senior-ish staffers on
- 34:23Speaker 2: that campaign. Up until hours before the announcement, your team
- 34:28Speaker 2: was writing three different speeches, right? You wrote a speech
- 34:33Speaker 2: for Joe Biden.
- 34:34Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you what happened. Yes, we were supposed
- 34:37Speaker 1: to write all three speeches. I wrote the Joe Biden
- 34:39Speaker 1: speech because I was getting vibes that it might be
- 34:43Speaker 1: Joe Biden. And then someone else wrote the Evan Bayh
- 34:46Speaker 1: speech and someone else wrote the Tim Kaine speech. And
- 34:50Speaker 1: I think that I edited the Tim Kaine speech. I
- 34:52Speaker 1: don't even think I looked at the Evan Bayh speech.
- 34:54Speaker 5: I was.
- 34:57Speaker 1: Like, he's not picking Evan Bayh. So I had a
- 35:00Speaker 1: sense that it was Joe Biden, but you're right. That
- 35:02Speaker 1: was all I knew. And we had to do three speeches. Right.
- 35:04Speaker 2: We had three communications plans. There were three sets of
- 35:06Speaker 2: signs that were made.
- 35:08Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 35:09Speaker 2: And so this idea that Because it's the most closely
- 35:13Speaker 2: held secret in the entire campaign. I'm sure the campaign
- 35:15Speaker 2: wants to tell their supporters before anyone else knows. So
- 35:18Speaker 2: the idea that the advance team knows it's Josh Shapiro,
- 35:22Speaker 2: so they booked a rally in Pennsylvania, that is not it.
- 35:25Speaker 2: The reason the rally's in Pennsylvania is because Pennsylvania is
- 35:29Speaker 2: the most important state for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump
- 35:32Speaker 2: to get to 270.
- 35:33Speaker 1: And it's the closest to Washington DC and Wilmington where
- 35:37Speaker 1: the campaign is. And so if you're doing a battleground
- 35:39Speaker 1: state tour, it makes sense just- logistically, to start in Philly.
- 35:45Speaker 2: That's so funny you say that. It had not occurred
- 35:46Speaker 2: to me until now that the campaign is still in Wilmington, Delaware,
- 35:49Speaker 2: even though Kamala Harris is from Oakland, which is so.
- 35:51Speaker 1: I know.
- 35:51Speaker 2: I mean, look, I love my home city, but it's just.
- 35:54Speaker 1: I think it's... I've heard that it's split. Like, there's
- 35:57Speaker 1: some people who are working out of D.C., and there's
- 35:59Speaker 1: some people who are still working out of Wilmington, so
- 36:01Speaker 1: we'll see.
- 36:02Speaker 2: And this idea... Josh Shapiro may be canceling his fundraisers
- 36:05Speaker 2: because he's probably been told, as have the other finalists,
- 36:09Speaker 2: to keep their weekend's open for some sort of secret
- 36:12Speaker 2: meeting with Kamala Harris. They're not going to, she's not
- 36:15Speaker 2: going to pick.
- 36:15Speaker 1: That was my thought on that.
- 36:17Speaker 2: And this, there's the other thing you mentioned about the fundraiser,
- 36:20Speaker 2: about donors or campaign fundraisers telling people that they should
- 36:24Speaker 2: give now because there are certain laws about people who
- 36:27Speaker 2: do business with the state giving for governors. The fundraisers
- 36:30Speaker 2: also don't know.
- 36:31Speaker 3: Right.
- 36:31Speaker 2: No one knows.
- 36:32Speaker 1: No one would tell a fucking fundraiser.
- 36:34Speaker 2: Here's the thing. If the fundraiser knows, you know, right?
- 36:39Speaker 1: The fundraiser knows failure.
- 36:41Speaker 2: And so I don't know that she, I, she probably
- 36:44Speaker 2: has not made her decision yet. She apparently hasn't met
- 36:46Speaker 2: with the, with the finalists yet. The, she probably has
- 36:49Speaker 2: an idea of who she was thinking. Like I, Obama
- 36:51Speaker 2: clearly was very much leading towards Joe Biden when he,
- 36:54Speaker 2: I think when he did those final meetings with the folks,
- 36:57Speaker 2: but it's probably Kamala Harris, Jenna Malley, Dylan, one or
- 37:01Speaker 2: two other people on her closest team who have any
- 37:04Speaker 2: sense of where her head is on this. And so
- 37:06Speaker 2: all the clues are fake. It's all just noise.
- 37:10Speaker 1: So some lefty groups like the Democratic Socialists of America
- 37:14Speaker 1: and the Uncommitted Movement are making it known that they
- 37:16Speaker 1: would not be happy with Shapiro on the ticket, mainly
- 37:19Speaker 1: because they think the Jewish governor is too pro-Israel, even
- 37:22Speaker 1: though he's called Netanyahu one of the worst leaders of
- 37:24Speaker 1: all time, and notably has taken positions on Gaza that
- 37:28Speaker 1: are no different than any of the other V.P., contenders.
- 37:32Speaker 1: What do you think about that?
- 37:33Speaker 2: And that makes me deeply uncomfortable that you would have
- 37:35Speaker 2: that position specifically for Governor Shapiro.
- 37:38Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 37:39Speaker 1: Who's the only one who's Jewish. Yeah.
- 37:41Speaker 2: And even beyond that, just for people's understanding, what matters
- 37:45Speaker 2: here is Kamala Harris's position.
- 37:47Speaker 1: Right.
- 37:48Speaker 2: And just to give you an example from our life,
- 37:51Speaker 2: Barack Obama's signature issue was his opposition to the Iraq War.
- 37:55Speaker 2: Joe Biden voted for the Iraq War and was a
- 37:57Speaker 2: longtime defender of the Iraq War and became Barack Obama's
- 38:01Speaker 2: running mate and became then an advocate for Barack Obama's
- 38:03Speaker 2: position for ending the Iraq war, right? His position for
- 38:08Speaker 2: he to be the VP nominee will be what her
- 38:10Speaker 2: position is. And so if you're comfortable with her position,
- 38:12Speaker 2: and you may not be, right? And you may want
- 38:14Speaker 2: to push her to change or whatever else, but her
- 38:16Speaker 2: position is a dominant position here on this issue and
- 38:19Speaker 2: every other issue.
- 38:19Speaker 1: And guess what? Kamala Harris, who's now getting attacked for
- 38:22Speaker 1: a position she took in 2019 and 2020 in that primary,
- 38:26Speaker 1: All of her positions are changed now because they were
- 38:28Speaker 1: changed when she got to the White House because her
- 38:30Speaker 1: positions were Joe Biden's positions. That's just what you said.
- 38:32Speaker 1: That's what happens with the VP. And if Josh Shapiro
- 38:35Speaker 1: serves in this White House, his positions are going to
- 38:37Speaker 1: be Kamala Harris's positions. Aside from that, the reason that
- 38:41Speaker 1: Josh Shapiro keeps getting mentioned and he keeps popping up
- 38:43Speaker 1: at the top of the list is the guy has
- 38:46Speaker 1: a 60% approval rating in Pennsylvania. He has won elections
- 38:51Speaker 1: there by a good deal. He outran John Fetterman in 2022. Now,
- 38:55Speaker 1: of course, he was running against Doug Mastriano, who is
- 38:59Speaker 1: somehow even a worse candidate than Dr. Oz, but he
- 39:03Speaker 1: is wildly popular in Pennsylvania. And there was a Fox poll,
- 39:08Speaker 1: I believe, last week that tested what if it was
- 39:10Speaker 1: Shapiro versus Trump in Pennsylvania, and it had him winning
- 39:13Speaker 1: by 10 points. And I haven't seen any polling yet
- 39:17Speaker 1: that tests how would Harris-Shapiro fare against Trump-Vance in Pennsylvania,
- 39:23Speaker 1: and would it make a difference on the ticket? So
- 39:25Speaker 1: I haven't seen that polling yet. But if it if
- 39:27Speaker 1: it helps a few points and everything else checks out
- 39:30Speaker 1: well with Josh Shapiro and Pennsylvania is the tipping point
- 39:33Speaker 1: state in this election, the most important state to win,
- 39:36Speaker 1: you could see why she would want to go for
- 39:38Speaker 1: Josh Shapiro. Yeah.
- 39:39Speaker 2: I mean, there, the polling is a little, I like
- 39:42Speaker 2: hypothetical polling is always a little sketchy. I have seen
- 39:45Speaker 2: polling that asks people, would you Pennsylvania voters, would you
- 39:48Speaker 2: be more or less likely to vote for Kamala Harris
- 39:51Speaker 2: if Josh Shapiro was on the ticket. I've seen some
- 39:53Speaker 2: of the questions for Mark Kelly in Arizona. A lot
- 39:55Speaker 2: of Pennsylvanians are more likely. Most of them will say
- 39:58Speaker 2: it makes no difference. A majority will say it makes
- 39:59Speaker 2: no difference. Some of them will say more, and a
- 40:02Speaker 2: tiny percentage will say yes. So yeah, we'll say it
- 40:04Speaker 2: makes them less likely to vote. But the problem with
- 40:07Speaker 2: that polling is the sample sizes aren't good enough to
- 40:10Speaker 2: know are the people who are saying more likely people
- 40:12Speaker 2: who are voting for Kamala Harris anyway, right? So you
- 40:14Speaker 2: don't really know. Whether it's Josh Shapiro or Mark Kelly
- 40:18Speaker 2: in Arizona, History shows, and with all of these things,
- 40:22Speaker 2: there's a very small sample size issue. But generally, in
- 40:26Speaker 2: the past, one to two points is what you can expect.
- 40:29Speaker 2: It's considered the home state advantage. That has gone down
- 40:33Speaker 2: in recent years as American politicians have gotten more polarized
- 40:36Speaker 2: and more nationalized. But over the past, the home state
- 40:39Speaker 2: advantage is greatly overstated. But Pennsylvania is probably going to
- 40:44Speaker 2: be decided by two points.
- 40:46Speaker 1: When was the last time– there was a VP on
- 40:50Speaker 1: the ticket who was from a very competitive state. Paul
- 40:57Speaker 1: Ryan in Wisconsin. No, I was going to say who
- 41:01Speaker 1: was a statewide official, right? Because Paul Ryan in Wisconsin,
- 41:04Speaker 1: it's like he had a district there, and I'm sure
- 41:06Speaker 1: people in Wisconsin know him, but he wasn't a statewide
- 41:08Speaker 1: official in Wisconsin. Was it Gore in Tennessee? Although Tennessee
- 41:12Speaker 1: back in what, in 1992, that wasn't like, a make
- 41:16Speaker 1: or break state, was it?
- 41:17Speaker 2: Clinton won it easily in 92 and 96. But Gore
- 41:21Speaker 2: obviously famously lost it in 2000. So in some cases,
- 41:23Speaker 2: the home state advantage doesn't work. I think Paul Ryan
- 41:27Speaker 2: is the closest approximation because he's not a random congressman.
- 41:30Speaker 2: He was a national figure with name ID sort of
- 41:33Speaker 2: akin to a statewide elected official. But it's been a
- 41:36Speaker 2: long time. The way they measure this generally is not
- 41:39Speaker 2: in a battleground state. It doesn't have to be a
- 41:40Speaker 2: battleground state. How did the state perform compared to how... the,
- 41:47Speaker 2: how the candidates perform nationally, right? Because of baseline. And so,
- 41:51Speaker 2: you know, it's like Biden did, you know, Obama did
- 41:53Speaker 2: a point or two better in Delaware than he otherwise
- 41:54Speaker 2: would have done based on, but it's, it's, it's all
- 41:56Speaker 2: very hard to disentangle what it means. So I think
- 42:00Speaker 2: the thing is, it's not, it is, does not, picking
- 42:02Speaker 2: Shapiro does not guarantee Pennsylvania. It may help. It may.
- 42:06Speaker 2: And as you say the same thing about Mark Kelly
- 42:08Speaker 2: in Arizona, it may help, but if it does help,
- 42:11Speaker 2: it's only going to help a little. Right.
- 42:14Speaker 1: I think that's right. And so I think At the
- 42:16Speaker 1: end of the day, if you're Kamala Harris, you want someone,
- 42:19Speaker 1: first of all, you want someone who can govern, right?
- 42:22Speaker 1: Like a lot of these candidates, and Barack Obama thought
- 42:25Speaker 1: this too, which is like, I want to pick someone who,
- 42:27Speaker 1: if something happens to me, then I feel they are
- 42:29Speaker 1: ready on day one, like Trump could not say about J.D. Vance.
- 42:33Speaker 1: And then you want someone that you vibe with on
- 42:35Speaker 1: the campaign trail, someone that you know, someone that you trust, right?
- 42:38Speaker 1: And so we can make all the political calculations, and
- 42:42Speaker 1: I'm sure the Harris campaign is doing that as well,
- 42:44Speaker 1: But she's got to feel comfortable with this person. And
- 42:48Speaker 1: so what do you think about sort of the other contenders?
- 42:51Speaker 1: I think, like you said, Kelly would potentially help with
- 42:54Speaker 1: Arizona a little bit, which is a key state, not
- 42:56Speaker 1: as key as Pennsylvania, not as many electoral votes. And
- 42:59Speaker 1: she's probably behind there by more than she is in Pennsylvania.
- 43:03Speaker 1: So that's something to consider. And then you've got Tim Walz,
- 43:06Speaker 1: who it would be someone that you'd pick because he
- 43:10Speaker 1: makes a great argument. He's great on TV. and could
- 43:13Speaker 1: go to some of those Midwestern states and probably do
- 43:17Speaker 1: well campaigning. I think Pete Buttigieg, excellent communicator, one of
- 43:21Speaker 1: the best messengers in the party, also says nothing says
- 43:25Speaker 1: future than Harris and Pete on the ticket together. So
- 43:29Speaker 1: what do you think about some of the other possibilities?
- 43:31Speaker 2: I actually think they're all great. Yeah.
- 43:33Speaker 1: They really are. I actually would not be disappointed.
- 43:36Speaker 2: There's not a bad choice in the group.
- 43:37Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 43:38Speaker 2: I didn't have strong feelings about Tim Walz, but then
- 43:40Speaker 2: I listened to the interview with Lovett and he was awesome.
- 43:42Speaker 2: And it did remind me that this will also date myself.
- 43:46Speaker 2: Back in 2006, campaign ads didn't go viral back then
- 43:49Speaker 2: because no way for them to go viral. But Tim
- 43:51Speaker 2: Walls had an introductory ad that was based on his
- 43:53Speaker 2: time as a football coach for his congressional run in 2006.
- 43:56Speaker 2: It was one that everyone in town talked about and
- 43:59Speaker 2: thought was like the best ad of the cycle, which
- 44:01Speaker 2: I looked for for at least seven minutes on YouTube
- 44:04Speaker 2: and I could not find. But Tim Walls, he's got
- 44:07Speaker 2: a great story. He's a great candidate. the internet has
- 44:09Speaker 2: fallen in love with Tim Walsh. Like he is, he is,
- 44:11Speaker 2: there's a lot of Tim Walsh on TikTok these days. Um,
- 44:14Speaker 2: I mean, Kelly, it has, obviously it's gravitas, military experience, astronaut,
- 44:21Speaker 2: Gabby Giffords, you know, um, you know, I, I think
- 44:25Speaker 2: provides some ideological moderation and how he's sort of seen
- 44:28Speaker 2: as a moderate, um, tough on the border.
- 44:31Speaker 1: Border issues. He's definitely like on paper, like the most
- 44:35Speaker 1: impressive resume.
- 44:36Speaker 5: Right.
- 44:36Speaker 1: But then the question is, you know, we've, I've seen
- 44:39Speaker 1: a bunch of people who are on paper really good.
- 44:40Speaker 1: It doesn't pan out. But on paper, I think you're right.
- 44:43Speaker 1: Like an astronaut who was in the military and– I mean,
- 44:46Speaker 1: let's– yeah. Border state.
- 44:48Speaker 2: He's had two tough– two really tough races. Two high-profile
- 44:51Speaker 2: tough races. Shapiro has not had a tough race.
- 44:54Speaker 5: Right.
- 44:54Speaker 1: That's because Doug Mastriano, kook.
- 44:57Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 44:57Speaker 1: And then– And then Attorney General races. His Attorney General races,
- 45:00Speaker 1: which was statewide.
- 45:01Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 45:01Speaker 2: But it's not the same.
- 45:02Speaker 1: He hasn't had a lot of money spent against him.
- 45:04Speaker 1: So we don't– Kelly has been in the crucible.
- 45:06Speaker 2: And so you can have some– that gives you– Like,
- 45:09Speaker 2: it's hard to compare a Senate race to a presidential race,
- 45:12Speaker 2: but at least you've seen he's had some things. The
- 45:14Speaker 2: other thing is, I talked about the Susan Rice when
- 45:16Speaker 2: I talked to her for last week's pod, is all
- 45:19Speaker 2: that stuff is interesting, but the president and the vice
- 45:21Speaker 2: president have lunch together once a week. And so you
- 45:25Speaker 2: really do have to, like, think about this. You have
- 45:27Speaker 2: to pick someone. Like, imagine you're hiring someone for your company,
- 45:30Speaker 2: and they're like, you're like, I'm going to have to
- 45:33Speaker 2: have lunch with this person once a week for the
- 45:34Speaker 2: next 48 years. Like, you really got to like the person.
- 45:37Speaker 2: You really got to think it's going to be an interesting,
- 45:38Speaker 2: useful conversation.
- 45:40Speaker 1: Honestly, honestly, that's why I hired Lovett to be the
- 45:43Speaker 1: speechwriter in the White House. Because I was like, did
- 45:46Speaker 1: the interviews. There's a lot of good candidates, a lot
- 45:48Speaker 1: of good speeches. But at the end of the day,
- 45:49Speaker 1: I was sitting there at Starbucks and he's making me laugh.
- 45:51Speaker 1: And I'm like, I think I could hang out with
- 45:54Speaker 1: this guy.
- 45:54Speaker 2: 15 years later, you're still eating lunch together.
- 45:58Speaker 1: If only I could go back. Just kidding. Just kidding.
- 46:01Speaker 5: Love it.
- 46:02Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I agree. And also, she knows Lovett. Josh Shapiro,
- 46:06Speaker 1: because they were AGs together, the same class of AGs,
- 46:09Speaker 1: and same thing with Beshear. We haven't talked about Beshear,
- 46:11Speaker 1: but Andy Beshear is also that class of attorneys general.
- 46:14Speaker 1: So some of these personal relationships probably matter as well. Well,
- 46:19Speaker 1: we'll see. We'll see. We'll see if it leaks. So
- 46:21Speaker 1: the event's gonna be Tuesday, so it might, really hoping
- 46:24Speaker 1: it leaks before we record on Monday, but who knows?
- 46:27Speaker 2: We have really gotten lucky with some news recently. So
- 46:31Speaker 2: I think that this one is definitely, you're going to,
- 46:33Speaker 2: Put that pot in the can, and then it's going
- 46:36Speaker 2: to pop right out.
- 46:37Speaker 1: Yeah, probably. All right. Before we go, the election cycle
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