Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA First Look | July 22, 2024 | 3M OPEN DraftKings DFS Pricing and Process

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PGA First Look | July 22, 2024 | 3M OPEN DraftKings DFS Pricing and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
All system's gone clear the lift on What's up? Remember one Tyler Tamberline here
0:38
aka Totag and Tambo. Back for another edition of the Monday First Look Golf
0:43
Show Here on the ship at Nation YouTube station us a favor on the way
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in, smash the like it helps us out a ton, keeps these shows
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free, keeps them coming at you, and then of course subscribe to the
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channel. Once we get to eight thousand subscribers will be giving away another PGA
0:56
annual membership, So hit that subscribe, make sure you're liking the videos on
1:00
the way in. Got my guy here, Hoopster with me has always got
1:02
to give a shout out, go collect first in off the top. A
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lot of good sweats this week, a lot of good wins this week.
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We'll cover that and congratulate everyone here with the Nation celebration here in just a
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minute. But Hoopster Xander times two, we got the double major. He
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was a loser who could never win a tournament, but now he's got two
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majors. What was your thoughts on the open? We'll cover that quick.
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Yeah. I mean a guy that you know couldn't win until he started winning,
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and now he just took home his second major, huge accomplishment. You
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know, he's ascending obviously to the top. I mean, we have Scottie,
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you know, number one, I think still you know, up there
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in a tier of zone. But you know, Xander's on the doorstep kind
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of kind of knocking, getting close to opening that door. And it's been
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a phenomenal run for him. Just very well rounded golfer. I mean,
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all these guys are, all the top guys are very well rounded, but
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it just seems like with him, he just does everything very well. He'd
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been in contention a ton of obviously before these wins started falling into place.
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But you know, sometimes all it takes is one to get that confidence going,
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and you know, just you know, kind of dusted the field yesterday
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and got the job done. So congratulations to him for sure. You know,
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it was a funny amount. Obviously what didn't have my greatest week.
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Mister McElroy had had other plans. I took a big stance on him and
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did not work out so well. And it's the beauty of what we do.
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You you forget about it, you move on and we have a whole
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new week of events to contest to look forward to. But there were a
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lot of winners within the community. I mean the showdown stuff was huge.
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I know DJN won fifty thousand dollars plus, and you know, a bunch
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of other members got the job done too, So you know, it's what
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we always talked about. It's a community around here, you know, community
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feel you know, I didn't have my greatest week, but man, I
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love seeing our community take down some big, big scores this week and big
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amounts of money back to our community. So congratulations with all the winners.
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You got to tweet up. You can kind of go through it and break
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it down for everyone. But it was a big week within the community yet
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again, and just a note too, like even just the joke of Xander
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like knocking at the door and you know, the the djen or he could
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he you know, he might not win anything until he does like that.
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That's the kind of thing here. New One said had some huge sweats.
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I know lsu Nick, who's usually in here, probably in here shortly he
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had a couple of sweats. I was up there in the Millie Maker and
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the five dollars. I ended up like twenty second in the eight eighty eight
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with a five of six you just you just got to keep putting yourself into
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contention, and that's where it's gonna happen. No different than what we saw
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with Xander keeps putting himself there and then takes down two majors in the same
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year. I do want to say quick before we do the celebration of the
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nation. First off, virtual time stamps for all the people that like to
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complain. We are going to go through and celebrate the wins across our community
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on a free show every single time, every single week. So if you
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don't want to hear about it, jump ahead. If you do, we'll
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cover it. But real quick. We did this contest at the start of
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the year. It came down if you know, here's the thing, it's
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actually hard to pick the exact winners of all four majors. Only nine people
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picked two exact major winners, right, and then Kelly Bergland was the winner
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in the end of the random draw out of the nine. So shout out
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to Kelly. Kelly is going to reach out today they said they were a
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PGA only member. They will now get the six ninety nine all access membership
4:16
for the next twelve months for free. So we do take care of our
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contests down the road, even when they are months from when we began,
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right, we started that one way back before the Masters. As for the
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winners this week, just another ton of them again, we'll go through it
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quickly. But shout out to Kenny W seventeen thirty two, eighty three thousand
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hopped in said new to town. Howdy neighbors popped up the nick the sheriff
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emoji, So that was nice to see. But a huge week for him.
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That's a good way. That's a good way to show up and you
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know, introduce yourself to the community. Hey guys, I'm here just one
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what's that number? Eighty three thousand, Ye welcome Stoche eighty two, like
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six hundred bucks. Just a huge ROI nice return on investment there. Ricardo
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back at it again, just absolutely dominates this format every single week, just
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crashing it. That is very impressive. He's always winning and then if not,
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like in contention, the name is just always up there and a good
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guy in the discord in the community. So you definitely love to see that
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for sure, one hundred percent supple up there. Four thousand bucks runner up,
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but I'll take it. Still very nice, definitely X dirk a twenty
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five hundred bucks for him. Lsu Nick was up there. He finished twenty
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fourth in the main Millie and he had the sweat overnight. I think he
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was sitting thirty third, had a real shot, same thing, ends up
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finishing twenty fourth. So nice to see that Philly Phantom on fire right now.
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So says thanks to the team, got sixteen NFL basketball tickets, cash
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first and all the ten times Multipliers wins this two thousand dollars. And I
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know it's not depicted here, but he went back the next night, just
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a week before All Star break, he said, I'm going to try and
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Q with Hebrew Cheetah into that mlbfbd WC the first Slate out that he comes
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back into the baseball he wins the thirty four to seventy ticket and he'll be
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competing in the next Mega to get into it. So just dominant, you
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know, said he's gonna do it, goes out and does it. Our
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guy Dejenner, who you talked about, just a huge weekend, not only
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from Classic Slate for calling the weather the whole way from start to finish on
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his stream, which was phenomenal again the final stream for him this year for
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the PGA season, but he'll be back for the football season. But that
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major he said would be his last stream for a little while for those wondering,
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but came out and just dominated. It was like sixty five sixty three
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thousand just in this and there was nine k in the Megamilly Off, some
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ticket wins and stuff like that. So shout up to our guy James.
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Just crush it there again for himself and for the entire community. So that
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was awesome to see. And then lastly the quick one. We went through
6:45
it on enough shows by now. But if you don't understand this promo,
6:47
we have to explain it quickly. If you're going to be with us for
6:50
NFL anyway, coming up in a couple of months here, six and a
6:55
half weeks, whatever it is. This two ninety nine early Bird special gets
6:59
you the fifty off from three forty nine. It gets you all access until
7:02
September fifth, which also happens to be the end of the PGA season,
7:06
so you'll get the entire PGA coverage for the three m the Olympics, which
7:12
we by the way, we'll be doing one show next week on Wednesday for
7:15
the Olympics. The window is covered, and then the playoff events are covered.
7:19
So if you want all that coverage for free, and you were going
7:23
to be with us for NFL anyway, then it's best to pay the two
7:25
ninety nine lock in the entire NFL stuff, and then also we're including college
7:30
football, which will be projections, the Stone Core Report player will had a
7:33
big meeting with the entire team there last week. That's two three hundred bucks
7:36
just for that package at most other sites, and that's included for free as
7:41
well. Hoop, did you have anything else you want to add before we
7:43
get into the threem open now? I mean, if you're someone out there
7:46
that isn't a member yet and you want to, you know, check us
7:50
out for football season, now it's the time to do it. It's the
7:53
best, that's the cheapest price we're going to have for the NFL season.
7:57
And in addition to the NFL content, you get all access leading up to
8:00
NFL so the rest of July, all of August, and then you know
8:05
the first week of September essentially until the NFL season starts. So you get
8:07
it all for free leading up to the NFL. So if you're thinking about
8:11
doing it now is the time. And then the other group of people that
8:15
should be considering this offer would be people that are PGA only members that are
8:20
gonna stay on for NFL. You just go ahead, make the upgrade to
8:24
the NFL package and you'll get everything for free. You'll get all the PGA
8:28
obviously leading up and then through swing season whatnot, but you get all access
8:31
for free until football starts. So it's like no brainer deal that we're offering
8:37
now cheapest in the industry, most affordable, best value, however you want
8:41
to say it. But the main point is if you think you're going to
8:45
be with us for NFL season, and we hope you know a lot of
8:48
you give us the opportunity to earn your to earn your you know, business
8:52
and spot in our community and whatnot, think about doing it. Now is
8:56
the time, Like there's no no, no reason to wait. Yeah what
8:58
who've just said? That's the last points. If you're paying thirty nine right
9:01
now for PJ only or the equivalent with ship Deviser of fifty a month,
9:05
you're getting those two months for free. So it's essentially a hundred bucks back
9:07
to you your pro rated credit of where you're currently at towards the two ninety
9:11
nine and then you're locked in, so love to see it. Lots of
9:15
good stuff going on. Shut out of Colin James, Me and you are
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on the same page. Sam Burns cost me quite a bit. I was
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sitting second in the five dollars after round three, fourteenth and the twenty five
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dollars million maker Burns in both of those lineups, and it did burn to
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watch that fall. So it's the way it goes. It's fun. We
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had a ton of fun over the weekend. Another major in the books,
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another major season in the books. Let's get on though, Let's move on
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to this three M hoop and let's talk just first grand scheme overview here,
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anything that you think of just off the top of your head. I was
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at the event last year, live with the you know, Lee Hodgers win
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there and everything going on with the Fantasy Golf World Championship. So first thoughts,
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and there's a guy, Kenny eighty three thousand dollars over the weekend.
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Shut out to Kenny, appreciate you. Lots of other good people here in
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the chat, but just nice to see everybody in here. But first on
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the three them open, let's dive into it right at the ten minute mark.
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We made it nice. Yeah, and congrats to Kenny and thanks for
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joining in you. First thing obviously easy course, Bertie Fest, weak field,
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and based on what I see on the first pay chair, pretty soft
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pricing. So those are the three things that stayed out. Bertie Fest,
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weak field, soft pricing in terms of DraftKings. Pretty straightforward for me.
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That's that's what I think of with this event, and then combining it with
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what I see in the first pay chair pricing. He's back. Rinz here
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Ivier w d last week, by the way, shut out the Nick Dunlap.
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Just an absolute baller. If you watched him last night, the fifty
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five foot eagle at the Barracuda. He's in the field. We'll talk about
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him when we get there in a minute. But if you I mean I'm
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a degenerate, I'm watching all this stuff. You know it. So I'm
10:43
going out there. Patrick Rogers. If you wondered why this guy can't win,
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just go watch the highlights of yesterday again. Nine holes to figure it
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out, and the guy just cannot do a thing. He puts it in
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the fairway and then makes every mistake possible thereafter my boy Mac Meisner Mark Messiers
10:58
Mad likes to call him, but we were trying to get him to the
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finish line yesterday and he couldn't get the job done either. So, you
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know, just lots of other good stuff. Andrew who's always helping out.
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I give him the gears sometimes. But he said, finally had a good
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profit being close to the last month, tanuking, let's keep the train rolling,
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thanks for it all it does for its members, so love to see
11:16
that. And then one more set up to Jason. This is Bader Bear
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in the discord. He is giving so for members watching, He's given away
11:24
one hundred dollars single entry ticket. You'll want to be in the discord this
11:26
afternoon. It's going to be the first two hundred to get in. He's
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gonna maximize it. It's gonna be a free role. But whoever wins that
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is going to get one hundred dollars single entry that they can use for the
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Olympics or if they want to save it for the Windom. And yeah,
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rin on brand with the EVR open so like that. And lastly, Nick
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ship my first contest of any kind in over three years. I could never
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ship a contest till I could. And that's what it's all about. What
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right, keeping yourself in the game, bankroll management, contest selection, the
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sustainability of the ecosystem, being able to be in there and be around for
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when your time comes. So yeah, some crazy prices shout out to you,
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Pam two sixty seven hundred Davis Riley, All right, let's get into
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it, Birdie Fest. Like you talked about it. We did cheat a
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little bit right pre show just said, is the five K range in there?
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It's not so interesting On a couple notes, One, it makes sense
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we only have a ten to five tony finaw, so it's not like a
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twelve K or a twelve five and two. We don't want to see,
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you know, I don't want to see anywhere like a five K range just
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with one hundred guys thrown in it, just because I kind of liked that
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they kept it back to the normal price setup when we don't have a Scotty
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or a Rory that's going to blow away the field on paper. Mind you,
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Fino is a pretty big favorite, so I guess I'll get your thoughts
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starting there. But only three guys who ten k about Burns who we mentioned
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Tigala and Tony Finow. Yeah, so the first thing that definitely stands out
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is yeah, no five K range, which I'm pretty happy with, but
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it's like you still without the five K range need a higher ceiling price like
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ten to five is not going to do it, just going to be very
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easy to play multiple expensive guys. Now, these aren't the typical expensive guys
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that see most weeks. This is a week field. So the top guys
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here feed now with the Galla Burns are the only three above ten k.
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But to me, what stands out even more and I just counted, so
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the average roster spot on DraftKings is eight three hundred and thirty three dollars.
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How many guys are priced above the average roster spot on DraftKings and this week
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it's only fifteen, Only fifteen, So you're gonna be able to play at
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least, you know, for the most part, three guys, three guys
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over eighty three hundred very comfortably. Most most lineups will have four, and
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you can probably i'm guessing maybe make it work with five. Does that even
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that up? Yeah, you could play five guys over the average cost of
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a roster spot and still have seven thousand dollars left if you went super balanced.
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So initially here is you know, some of these guys are are going
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to be overlooked a little bit, have low ownership. But it's going to
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be easy to play whatever you want this week. It's going to be easy
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to get in. If you want to play fee now and play a shit
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ton of feed o, it's gonna be very easy to do. That seem
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very very soft now. Specific to the ten k range, you have feenwe
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you have the Gala, you have Burns, like you said, I mean,
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I think it's female that people are most comfortable with. He's he's ten
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to one. His odds to win are much better than the others up here.
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Burns is eighteen to one and thi Gala is twenty to one, so
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you know few basically what the double you know, Thigala's double the odds twenty
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one versus ten to one on a guy like ten five. So I think
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Fenw probably gets a lot of ownership here. He's played, has he won
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this He won it right? Yeah? One, just two years ago,
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yeah, last year, third and twenty like he's crushed it here. Yeah,
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So he's got the course history he's got the successes. I think a
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lot of people will just say, yeah, I want Pheno. I'm assuming
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he's going to be very highly owned at ten to five and be very easy
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to play him. If you start your lineups with him, you still have
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seventy nine hundred dollars per roster spots. There's gonna be a lot of cheap
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guys we can consider. People always like playing Gala and then Burns at ten
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k. I mean, Billy hasn't done anything this year. I mean I
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can't really think of a time when you needed Sam Burns to win money.
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I mean, he's had some decent results ninth at the US opened, tenth
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at the Canadian Open, thirteenth at the Wells Fargo, but has not been
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great. So in terms of ownership, I think Female gets a ton,
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probably the Gala second, and then Burns would be third. When you just
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look at these these three guys at ten k and above, and yeah,
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it's kind of lame only three guys ten thousand dollars and above. It's tough
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tough sledding when you get a field like this. I hear everything you're saying
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though completely, and yeah, that would be the take for me just from
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a first look perspective and just thinking about it out loud as you talked through
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all of that. There's forty three guys in the seven K range. Now,
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there's tons of guys in the upper six k that you can get to.
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There's guys that people will like in the eight k, and so female's
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ownership has just got to be through the roof right ten to five. Only.
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You can play them in a million different ways. It doesn't matter how
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you use them. You can get them in there with the Gala or Burns.
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You can go skip down and say, I like Batia better. He's
15:58
had better chances tournaments like this, so fin now Batia could become popular.
16:03
But I don't know if people are gonna love Billy Horschell ninety six hundred,
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if they're gonna like to pay ninety three hundred for amateur Luke Clanton even though
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we know how good he isn't following this guy, Are people gonna want to
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click that? Maybe not right. Keegan Bradley nine thousand, By the way,
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he was the Ricky Fowler of the the Open. There to congratulate Xander
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first off, new Ryder Cup captain had to be there to give the handshake,
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so good for him, But I do think people will gravitate more to
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these eight K guys, whether it's hodges Off winning last year or Pendrith with
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a decent result yesterday at the Barracuda and makes sense here Davis has pretty good
16:37
history here and should rate out well. McNeely eighty three hundred, so I
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could see it's more feenw and another stud or like with Bati and above.
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Really I'll say ninety eight hundred and up with few and then that's really three
16:49
choices and then few with eight K guys that seem to stand out early on
16:55
is where people would end up, because then you can round it out however
16:56
you want. I just don't see a lot of people going to some of
17:00
these other names. They'll feel like they're a little bit priced up. And
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I'll let you talk about that right now. Hoop like ninety six hundred,
17:06
Billy awesome at the Open. Good for him. Really didn't do anything super
17:10
wrong in the final round. He made some mistakes, for sure, but
17:12
besides the fact that Xanders shot a sixty five bogie free round, I mean,
17:15
you're not really gonna overcome that. But he didn't blow up and shoot
17:18
an eighty or something. So Horseal ninety six hundred talked, you know you
17:22
can lump Bati in there. I lumped him into the top myself and then
17:26
other guys he can post in clant Mitchell thoughts of this nine k range or
17:30
how to use them? Yeah, I mean not here typical nine k range
17:34
in terms of the talent. I mean it falls off pretty quick. I
17:37
mean, I mean it falls off in the ten k range when you don't
17:40
see those guys up there all that often. You know f now As occasionally
17:44
crept up. But it's a big price that you get the nine k range
17:47
and it's like wow, you know, BITTI I think people feel fine playing
17:49
just because he's had some some went upside, you know, Billy Horschell at
17:55
ninety six hundred, like, if that beats me this week, sweet,
17:59
like, I'll, you know, take money, I'll move on to the
18:00
next thing. Mitchell has not been playing well. I think Clinton's the name
18:03
people can definitely sell themselves on because it's a new name. He's been playing
18:08
very solid. Obviously had the tenth that the Rock and more. We followed
18:11
up with a second at the John Deere so Clinton's the name people will be
18:15
fine going to. And then you have Posting and and Keegan, and neither
18:18
one of those guys is playing particularly well, you know. For so for
18:23
like nine K and above, I mean I think few Batilla get a lot
18:30
of ownership. I think people are definitely going to go to those two.
18:32
And then you probably just when you look at these names, it's like,
18:34
all right, well do I just go and pay the ten k for Burns,
18:38
who you know maybe has a chance to win the Galla Boom or bust.
18:41
I just been this nine K range is range people are not going to
18:45
feel very comfortable with outside of what I think would be Batilla and Clanton.
18:49
But it's it's roughier and it's tough to really sell yourselves in some of these
18:53
guys. But I have some Monday afternoon. I don't really see myself playing
18:59
Billy Horse at ninety six. Like again, like if he beats me,
19:02
he beats me. Yeah, And I'll say quickly too because the chat mentioned
19:04
already like Mitchell fifth here in twenty twenty one, fifth here last year.
19:08
People will probably get on him then a little bit, but it's the same.
19:11
I was just about to say this post in eleventh and second the last
19:14
two years, twenty eighth, not far before that, three years ago.
19:17
So again that to me though doesn't say Chalk. That says like, that's
19:19
where it will balance us. So it'll be female, and then these guys
19:23
will get a little bit more spread out. So you should play who you
19:26
like in that range, or you could start with some nine K guys somebody
19:30
talked about already. There's some nine k in the leverage that can work.
19:32
There'll be lineups there that you could build if you wanted to move off of
19:34
female Thigala Burns, whatever that might be. Maybe people shy away from Thigala
19:40
because the three miscuts, the three times he's played here, and he can
19:42
spray it a little bit, like our guy Kenny says over here. So
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I don't know, we'll see how that goes on. Just to Aaron here,
19:48
the chocky guys said, Degenerate did do a pretty good post about this.
19:52
Actually, it's like the Chalk really didn't like Rory missed the cut,
19:56
huge ownership, Hatt and Fleetwood, big ownership, misscut, Feenale, big
20:00
ownership, miss cut, Tom Kim pretty good ownership, missed the cut.
20:04
Thigala Batiya were down there. Louie Louie Big ownership miss cut, but Sungjay
20:08
got T seven, so you know that that's part of it. You see
20:12
sung JT seven, you see Lowry six, but Cawa T sixteenth like those
20:18
weren't necessarily required, and not many of the guys at the very top were
20:22
the chalkiest in their range. Again, it's not just fifteen percent is chalk.
20:26
It's what if they're fifteen percent but everyone around them is twenty five or
20:29
twenty eight or whatever the number is. The chalk really didn't have a great
20:33
week, and that's why you saw a lot of people that sort of go
20:34
against that or exploit it have a little bit better. And then we talked
20:37
about this last week. If you were gonna go against a different wave the
20:41
AMPM, one reason just to go against it, whether aside, was that
20:45
the AMPM was was hosting most of the chokiest guys. That was the other
20:49
angle of attack. So just to note that as you go through looking at
20:53
it week to week, that certainly stands out as well. So I don't
20:56
have much more on the nine K range troop, but I do think this
20:59
akrange gets pretty popular pretty quickly. Like this is where I think if people
21:03
are gonna bite the bull again, you can say it about all those guys
21:07
Mitchell, because of course history post it because of course history. But like
21:10
cam Davis tenth sixteenth, twenty eighth, twelfth, Tom Hogy twentieth, fourth,
21:15
Rio third, second, tenth, Lee Hodge is won here last year
21:18
sixteenth, the year before. To me, it just tells me right away
21:22
this is where people are landing. And so even though there's course history related
21:26
to those nine K guys, we know female is gonna be popular, and
21:30
we know it's probably pick a nine k and then pick a couple eight k's,
21:33
but I can see lineups having at least two eight K guys more often
21:37
than not going into this week. Just first look, yeah, just adding
21:41
on to all the good points that you made there. I mean, just
21:42
kind of like the Hyge test, people are gonna come down here to the
21:45
ak Ring and say, man, is there really a difference between like Taylor
21:49
Pendrith and you know JT posting No not in their head? Is there a
21:53
big difference between matth McNeely and you know, Keith Mitchell, Yeah, probably
21:59
not. Like you can you can sell yourself on these eight K guys over
22:03
the nine K guys all day long. So everything you just said, combined
22:07
with the fact that you're saving money to come down here, I think this
22:10
range gets a lot more ownership than the nine K range. Camp Davis Hogi
22:15
Pendrith has had some big wins. You know. Evrs obviously a name people
22:19
like to quick click, not just Wrin our guy Wrin obviously really likes to
22:22
click the name, but people will like to play him at eighty six Dumblap
22:27
coming off to win Hodges with the course history like you said. And then
22:30
Patrick Rodgers at eighty one hundred playing pretty solid goal fifth thirty, fourth,
22:36
thirty, first, sixteenth, Like he's a guy that you look to in
22:38
some weaker field events, like he gets his as kicked when he plays with
22:41
the big boys, but in events like this like you can definitely consider him.
22:45
So yeah, I think we do see a lot more ownership in this
22:48
eight K range. First the nine all the points that you've made, combined
22:52
with the fact that people will just be fine saving some money and coming down
22:55
here just based on what they view as the difference in talent, it's just
23:00
not going to be much too many people when they start comparing the names and
23:03
the prices. So yeah, AK will definitely be more own than nine k
23:07
for sure. Yeah, that's how I see it. And it's just like
23:11
I said, whether it's two or three. I mean, you could do
23:12
a you mentioned earlier, how you could fit five guys above the average if
23:15
you really wanted to and go balanced. But even with few, you can
23:18
get you know, three and four in there pretty comfortably at least close to
23:22
that, and be able to drop down and still land in plenty of options
23:26
there. So I think that's just how that shakes out. You know,
23:27
if you're gonna go, maybe you could overstack that, or you could try
23:30
and do the double stud up top and move away from that range. Like
23:34
there's a couple different ways if you did the three nine K guys or something
23:37
along those lines. I definitely think there's alternatives, and it becomes one of
23:41
those situations that I always talked about where you kind of have to trust talent
23:45
or upside and just for example, like a Batia Clanton lineup, while they
23:51
may get some individual ownership, they become more into me that range at least
23:53
early. Batia will get some for sure, but like Clanton might end up
23:57
fourteen fifteen, if even get to that level at ninety three hundred dollars price
24:02
tag or a Horsell Clanton and just say I'll take those two guys, even
24:04
though you think there's not much of a difference that really there isn't with some
24:07
of those eight k guys. You just have to kind of angle for that
24:11
with your builds and just take that on as the roster construction being different while
24:15
st still taking on two very talented golfers as of late. So I think
24:18
that's just how I would look at it. But Dunlap winning yesterday, Pendrith
24:22
doing well there. You know, people like evr Grioh, Hogi, Davis
24:26
have the history, Hodges definitely won it last year. Rodgers hasn't been that
24:30
bad here. I definitely think this is where people end up. Did you
24:33
have a Rose take that I missed just thinking about last week? Obviously had
24:37
himself a shot to be in the mix there. He has not played here
24:41
in the past, but you know, qualifying for the Open and then going
24:45
out and finishing second and now here at less than average at eight thousand.
24:49
Do you have any quick thoughts on him before we hop into this bigger seventh
24:52
range. Yeah, nothing personal, just a name. I refuse to click
24:56
like I just I don't. I can't even tell you the last time I
24:59
played Justin Rowe. That'll continue this week as well. I'm not playing Justin
25:03
Rose. All right, Okay, I thought you might be in on this
25:04
guy after last week. But let's let's move on. Let's go to the
25:08
seven K range. We've got let's do seventy five hundred and up. There's
25:12
thirteen guys there. You got Ben Griffin down to Matt Wallace. Anything that
25:15
stands out for you in this one, well, you know, the first
25:18
thing that kind of stands out is there's so many guys here. So I
25:22
think ownership probably does get spread out. I mean, just you know,
25:25
a Monday afternoon prediction. I think a lot of ownership does get spread out
25:29
because when you see so many playable guys in the same price range, that's
25:32
just what naturally happens. And I think a lot of these guys will come
25:36
to the forefront of as solid plays as the week goes on. People always
25:38
like Ben Griffin. Sam Stevens continues to make cuts. The results hasn't been
25:45
all that great, but he's making cuts and now in a weaker field event,
25:48
which you know, he's played in some of the more difficult ones.
25:52
Not Tony typically lives in these weaker field events. But at seventy eight hundred,
25:56
make a cut. Can you get into the top twenty. Yeah.
26:00
Thor at seventy seven I think is fine in this sort of event. Didn't
26:03
really do good at the Baracute Kuda last week. What finished tied for sixty
26:07
first, But I'd be fine getting behind him. Mackenzie Hughes at seventy seven.
26:15
Mac Meisner, maybe he's the one. You know, Mark Messier is,
26:18
as Mao says at seventy six coming off the what fourth place finish?
26:22
He had a sixteenth before that, twentieth. Maybe he's the one that gets
26:26
the ownership in this range. Probably a pretty solid play Bo Hostler and Matt
26:30
Wallace at seventy five hundred. Sure, So there's just a lot of viable
26:34
options in this range. I imagine, you know, ownership does get spread
26:38
out, so you can kind of just play your guys when the dust settles,
26:41
you know, going into Thursday. Yeah, I don't have to see.
26:44
If anything really pops we get to the Wednesday show, we'll talk about
26:45
it. If there's like, you know, some crazy pop off the page
26:48
value that everybody's landing on. But for early on it definitely looks. And
26:52
when you add the point that I was just gonna say, also, when
26:55
you add earlier what I talked about with forty three guys now in the seven
26:57
K range, it's going to be leverage that you can leverage to be had
27:00
on pretty much anyone you want. Like you know, we talked earlier about
27:03
the chalk hitting like some of the lineups at the top this week, Yes,
27:07
Sung Jay was eighteen percent in the million maker and Xander was sixteen,
27:11
but with rom JT eight, five, Burns four, Henley seven, Billy
27:17
Horschel one, you know, all these guys being so low owned. I
27:19
mean, I could see that again here, and so you can mix some
27:22
of these guys. You just don't want to go all in on all these
27:26
chalk guys because this is typically an event too where we see some carnage right
27:29
water out there, all that stuff. So I was there last year,
27:32
it's definitely I can see why. And you're kind of like pins and needles
27:34
on every shot, especially near that cut line. When you get there on
27:37
Friday, you're like, man, please just get up over on the eighteenth
27:41
and get land on the green. Even if it's just a par I'm pining
27:44
with it, even though it should be a birdie. It's just one of
27:45
those things. So I think we see that. I tell you what though,
27:49
this mac Meisner guy. I vouched for this dude, and then I
27:52
had to watch him play for nine holes plus yesterday, just kicking it over
27:56
to the barracuda. He has this pre shot routine that is so till it's
28:00
ridiculous. I would never want to just I'm so happy we don't have to
28:03
watch him very often. After that. I'm not sure if I can be
28:04
a backer at this point. He just does it every single time, So
28:07
I don't know if I'm going to be in on him. But Rico Joe,
28:11
he's been coming through lately. He's got some good results. Chan Kim
28:15
seventy six hundred thor I think it was a Beaderberg guy here. Earlier he
28:18
mentioned the kids have been shown out the games may just be superior. It
28:22
looks like they just seem to care. They care a lot, but it's
28:26
also there, you know what's the right word for, but like they don't
28:29
care as much. They will fire away and take whatever happens happens because there's
28:33
less to lose, more to gain. And so Clanton Dunlap Thor Shipley I
28:37
looked at I think he was pretty good last week too, so he's down
28:40
at seventy three here in a second. But I like these guys that some
28:42
are amateurs, some are amateurs turned pro. So in this spot here,
28:47
I think this is a spot we can get to with some of these guys.
28:48
So I'll definitely have interest on that range. And then the lower range
28:52
seems to have all the guys right who you got let me see here twenty
28:57
thirty guys from seventy four hundred down to seven thousand. So maybe just a
29:00
few names that stand out to you, your guys fencing back in the mix
29:04
there ll get in on him and on fencing. Grazerman, he's been playing
29:11
very well thirteenth, twenty first, twenty six thirty first, twenty first at
29:15
the US Open. I think he's a strong option. Andrew Novak seamous power.
29:19
There's a lot of guys here for me, Shipley, I'm with you
29:22
on that, and I do like to angle the younger guys for sure.
29:25
Nap Ak wrote Silverman. I think Pam puts Silverman in the chat at what
29:32
seventy two hundred. Yeah, he's been playing solid, a lot of made
29:34
cuts. Looks like seven or eight straight made cuts for him at seventy two
29:40
hundred. Can he make the cut get into the top fifteen to twenty,
29:42
I think Silverman can, so I do like him at seventy two hundred.
29:48
Coody coming in at seventy one, coming off the second second place finish,
29:52
and the guy that's made six cuts in a row. So you're getting some
29:56
good value down here. Rio I always kind of play. He's at the
30:00
seventy one Andrew Putnam seven K flat, Burger seven k flat. There's plays
30:07
here, a lot of plays, and yeah, just looking at this,
30:10
for me, I definitely prefer the lower sevens post of the uppers. I
30:15
think I'm gonna probably play more of these lower seven guys in the upper seven
30:18
guys. But there's a lot in this range, just because the sheer number
30:22
of golfers, like you've mentioned, would you say, is like forty forty
30:23
three, Like that's a huge, huge number in the pressure and that's obviously
30:27
a product of the No. Five K range. If there was a five
30:30
K range, all these guys would be in the six K range, So
30:33
no five K range, seven K gets flooded with a lot of guys,
30:37
and like we both said, that's going to just spread out the ownership here
30:41
because there's so many Bible options in this range, so easy to get leverage
30:45
on the ones you feel the best about playing this week. Yeah, and
30:49
what's interesting to me again, just forget the names, the picks and the
30:52
plays. Focus on the process. That's what we do is like Cam Champ,
30:55
you know, first and sixteenth, you know two years ago, in
30:57
the year before that, he won, but like there's not much course history
31:02
that besides, like a couple guys last year did good, for example,
31:04
so like Adam hadwin back in the day at seventy nine hundred, Johnny Vegas
31:08
got a second three years ago, like maybe Doug Gim because he's got three
31:12
decent finishes over four years. But other than that, there's not much.
31:17
Like people will say, Okay, Dilan MoU came fifth last year, but
31:18
what else miscut the yearboard didn't play before that, Sam Ryder seventh, miscut
31:23
twenty fifth miss cut. Maybe they play him, but like I don't think
31:26
anyone's gonna be going based off that, So it's going to be more recent
31:29
form in this range and then just betting odds and value and stuff like that
31:33
that will lead into it. So you know, like Rinn says, here,
31:36
the fact you can get nap, Shipley and Eckro have a ninety four
31:40
dollars average, I don't hate that. Go Collect brought up nap as well.
31:42
It's another djen line Dejenner seventy five always says it, you know,
31:47
don't sleep on that. But he also says, play nap when he plays
31:49
against the slap Dicks. That's uh, you know, this would be a
31:52
week for that. So I definitely think that's a possibility as well. But
31:56
you know, tons of options down here where I think it's going to become
31:59
just pick the guys you want, because I don't see early on at least
32:02
many that are gonna just skyrocket up in ownership. With having forty three options,
32:07
it's gonna get more spread out. And one guy's twelve and one guy's
32:09
eight, and there's gonna be people wrong on the projections where they think one
32:14
guy's twelve and he's eight, and the guy that's eight is thirteen or fifteen
32:16
or something. So I think this is kind of the range where you're just
32:20
gonna have to pick your poison. But like you said, with thirty guys
32:22
seventy four hundred and below, you got tons of options down there that you
32:25
can make your choices that way. Any thoughts on this upper six k range
32:30
that anything that stands out to you there, because I feel like there's a
32:31
lot of a lot of guys still that you could make the case for.
32:36
The Shanks and the Gotterer Ups could have been up there, the Bramlets,
32:38
the the zach Blairs, the all the small leads, the ones, all
32:42
these guys could have been priced up just slightly more, but they stopped because
32:45
there was, you know, already forty three guys. So I don't really
32:49
think there's a huge difference yet, but I think after that it does kind
32:52
of drop off a little bit. Yeah, I just wanted to cover this
32:55
before I get into the six K range. The most disrespectful price and it's
33:00
definitely uh Grazerman at seventy four hundred. I think it could easily be in
33:05
the eight K range this week as well as he's playing so most disrespectful price
33:08
tag on the slide is definitely going to be a Grazerman at seventy four hundred.
33:14
In the six K range, yeah, I mean it's hard on a
33:16
Monday to really, you know, dive deep into the six K range because
33:20
there's just so many guys down here. But some names, you know,
33:23
Ben Coles has had some pretty good finishes. Someone mentioned Toasty at sixty eight,
33:30
Nie Smith, Shank, Davis Riley sixty seven, Joseph Bramlett sixty seven.
33:36
I think those are names that people can get get behind plane this week
33:39
going down. I don't know. There's not a ton actually now that I
33:42
start looking at it, So I don't know. I really prefer some of
33:45
these guys in the seven K range finding a way up to the seventh instead
33:47
of settling on you know a lot of these six k guys. But again
33:52
it's early, it's Monday. A lot could change. But I don't necessarily
33:55
love what I'm seeing here in the sixth K range, which does make sense.
33:59
I mean, it's a very weak field event once you get down here,
34:00
the name it's gonna get pretty gross in a hurry. So yeah,
34:04
out of tom right out of the bat, right out of the gate that
34:07
I think I like this week in assist Kate Rage just not much. And
34:12
that's why I think too, like I said earlier, like it sets up
34:14
for you just don't even need to go down here. But it's just that's
34:15
because there's forty three guys and the way it sets up up top, people
34:19
like the eight k's, they all stand out. That makes sense. Your
34:22
boy Callum Tern, he got twenty first recently so that we thought he was
34:25
back, and then he missed the cut again last week, but seventh and
34:29
thirteenth here, so he actually does have a couple of good results here the
34:31
last two years if people were looking at that. But I will say,
34:34
just going back to your most disrespectful and the range of that, it's like,
34:38
that's where I think people are gonna end up on some of these guys,
34:40
because when you look at it, they're gonna have to go off of
34:44
the recent form. And Meisner, you talked about a twenty at sixteenth,
34:46
fourth, Chan Kim twelfth, tenth, twenty ninth, Harry Hall coming off
34:51
a win twelfth, thirty first, sort of before that, hoey Rico eighth,
34:57
second, twenty, sixth, sixth, you know, Johnny Vegas twentieth
35:00
and twenty fifth, so it's gonna be all based on the recent form.
35:04
Fishburn actually has third at the Barracuda fifteenth twenty fifth. He's been in the
35:08
mix a little bit. Shipley could have done a lot better yesterday, I
35:13
think from all the stuff I looked at, and has a sixth the twenty
35:15
of the twenty sixth and some real big boy events too in the mix there.
35:17
So I think this is gonna be where everybody ends up and they're just
35:21
gonna go based on this recent form and then whatever lines up with the betting
35:24
odds. So you could build your lineups out based off of that and then
35:28
see how you want your lineups to look. But I think that's gonna be
35:30
the case here right where people are gonna be looking at that down low,
35:34
it's always gonna be two. Without getting into the weeds and the names too
35:37
much, Like what's this one? I just saw here? Four PGA cuts
35:42
in a row at sixty three hundred ver smotherman like, yeah, if that's
35:45
your guy, you got you know what I'm gonna tell you about that,
35:46
Like, pick your guy. But he also has sixty first, fifty four,
35:50
sixty fifth, seventy seventieth, miscut, miscut, miscut miscut. So
35:53
if that's your angle and your take, play them, but play enough right,
35:58
or play something that you can actually get an angle in, so it's
36:00
not just one lineup with him because you thought that was right and then all
36:04
the other stuff is wrong and it didn't matter anyway. So I don't see
36:07
a ton though down here. Besides one that I got to bring up.
36:09
Your boy usually is mentioned is Adam shank We talked about him sixty seven,
36:14
My Boy, the flow chart, full motion Baby, We're back at it
36:16
again, Troy Meryrett. What have we got here? Is Troy Marrett playing?
36:21
Yes? Is he cheap? Yes? Can it be? Or is
36:23
it usually a birdie fest? Yes? Do we play him? Yes,
36:28
that's really what it comes down to. Up and down results with him lately,
36:30
up and down results here. But sixty five hundred makes the cuts,
36:34
make the birdies, let's see it. So he's a guy that I'll mention.
36:37
Other than that the hoop. I don't have much down here at all,
36:40
And I think that is the case of No. Five k range where
36:44
they just slammed a bunch of guys down here for the leftovers after you get
36:46
past sixty five hundred. There is forty seven names, and there's gonna be
36:53
more. And I also should note too, we forgot to mention, but
36:55
Glover is at seventy one hundred and Wrensky at sixty three hundred WDD just before
37:01
the show went on, and four other guys are in, and there'll be
37:05
other stuff too, so just keep an eye on that. We'll have it
37:07
all covered over at triper Nation and in Discord over there as well. But
37:09
yeah, there's almost fifty guys sixty five hundred and below. That's just your
37:14
new dumpster this week, so you really don't even have to go there if
37:16
you don't want to. Yeah, kind of the same boat. Like,
37:19
I can't imagine there's gonna be many guys down there that I play. I
37:22
mean, most likely it's going to be zero. The pricing soft, I
37:27
just you know, from going through the show, I'll be able to get
37:29
everything I want, which without you know, diving super super deep into the
37:32
six k range. So that's my initial read at this point. You know,
37:37
what I said in the opening remains true. Birdy fast, soft,
37:40
pricing, weak field. Those are three things you need to know about this
37:45
week. We'll obviously be back Wednesday for a more you know, in depth
37:49
look into the field, have some more you know, stronger concrete takes.
37:52
But in terms of the first look for the three, I'm open, I'm
37:54
good. Yeah, and I think quickly too. Just forgot to mention earlier.
37:59
This is another thing that people brought up this week. Somebody hopped in
38:00
the discord they won with the free showed how mini course they want a showdown
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and then joined up and became a member and came to tell us that,
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which I thought was another really cool story, just to say again, watch
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these free shows. If you can't sign up, that's fine. If you
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don't want to, that's fine. We don't care. We do all our
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shows for free, we do all this stuff that goes with it. But
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somebody signed up and got this free course, went out and put it to
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good work, shipped the slate and then joined as a member right after and
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said why not, Like I just took my profits and put them back in
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and now I'll invest in myself. I want to get the full course.
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I want to be able to see what's going on and have all of the
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but just the two ninety nine package deal versus the industry, We're not
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afraid to show it off when it's just a you know, we don't talk
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badly about our competition, but we will talk correctly and factually about the pricing
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it's right there on the site. You just click that banner at the top.
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You do get the remainder of PGA for free, but you also get
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You get the rest of the PGA season for free, MMA, MLB,
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NBA when it comes back around, and then NFL will have it of course
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for both Classic and Showdown, Slate Pop anything else before we get out of
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here. Man, that's all I got for today UFC pay per view this
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weekend as well, it's like what three to zero four Maybe I'm not sure,
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what is it three or four? Yeah, that's this weekend. And
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if you do sign up for it's packaged. You'll get all that content obviously
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for free. And yeah, it's a great time, John, Like I
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said, I'm opening if you're thinking about being with us for NFL season,
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now's the time. I mean, you get more value for your money.
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Essentially, you're gonna get all access leading up to NFL. So it's a
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for who for myself to tag and tambo let ship it