Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | We Don't Take Days Off | WNBA & World Cup | 7/15/26
Transcript
- 0:16Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
- 0:19Speaker 1: your chase the black coffee on the felt.
- 0:22Speaker 2: Man, you look like a mess.
- 0:25Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
- 0:29Speaker 3: Now you stare at the chips like they made.
- 0:31Speaker 2: You this man.
- 0:33Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet?
- 0:35Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor, your name, steal me
- 0:38Speaker 1: something on somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby,
- 0:44Speaker 1: look at me.
- 0:46Speaker 4: No, hold on, hold on, nothing nice. Now, hold on me,
- 1:10Speaker 4: but it don't.
- 1:11Speaker 3: Get the crown.
- 1:14Speaker 2: Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
- 1:18Speaker 3: Now, what's up, bird budd It's towed back with you
- 1:29Speaker 3: with Toadsool Sports for Wednesday, July fifteenth. We had to
- 1:34Speaker 3: win on the show yesterday with the one play that
- 1:36Speaker 3: I gave out, which was in the WNBA on Washington.
- 1:40Speaker 3: Easy win with that one. They won by double digits,
- 1:43Speaker 3: no question about it. Didn't allow a lot of points
- 1:46Speaker 3: in that one. I was right about everything yesterday. I mean,
- 1:50Speaker 3: I told you I thought there was value at the
- 1:51Speaker 3: American League. In the All Star Game, I think they
- 1:55Speaker 3: won right. They were winning four to nothing near the end.
- 1:58Speaker 3: I think I forgot to mention I also kind of
- 1:59Speaker 3: like to the under in the All Star Game. I
- 2:01Speaker 3: I'm never gonna actually recommend betting that game, but I
- 2:05Speaker 3: feel like it has a tendency to go under a
- 2:07Speaker 3: lot just because people think, oh, it's the All Star Game,
- 2:10Speaker 3: like all the big bats are gonna come out, and
- 2:13Speaker 3: it's gonna be like the the NBA All Star Game
- 2:16Speaker 3: where nobody cares about defense. Well that's not really the case.
- 2:19Speaker 3: In the MLB All Star Game. You're still looking at
- 2:22Speaker 3: like really good pitchers and the hitters are only getting
- 2:25Speaker 3: up like once in the game, right, So it's like
- 2:28Speaker 3: you just get one at bad and it's a good
- 2:29Speaker 3: pitcher to try to do something. So I think the
- 2:32Speaker 3: pitchers tend to have the advantage in that particular game.
- 2:36Speaker 3: But whatever, I was, dude, I was right about everything yesterday, right.
- 2:39Speaker 3: I was right about the other WNBA game two with Connecticut.
- 2:42Speaker 3: They were up big early and then they held on
- 2:44Speaker 3: for the win. I was right about the soccer game.
- 2:48Speaker 3: Spain should have given it notice to play. Spain was
- 2:50Speaker 3: awesome in that game, like their defense and just the
- 2:54Speaker 3: way that they possessed the ball. France had almost no
- 2:57Speaker 3: chances to do anything offensively. It was crazy. And then
- 3:01Speaker 3: towards the end of the game, I don't know what
- 3:02Speaker 3: Spain's goalie was doing. Like that guy takes massive risks,
- 3:06Speaker 3: like running out of the goal to try to run
- 3:08Speaker 3: down the ball and stuff. I'm like, what are you doing, dude,
- 3:10Speaker 3: Like with like eight the eighty one minute mark, they're
- 3:14Speaker 3: up to nothing. I don't know if you were watching it,
- 3:15Speaker 3: but he like ran out of the goal and left
- 3:18Speaker 3: the goal unattended. I'm like, dude, are you serious? And
- 3:21Speaker 3: then somehow he got back and stopped not really a shot,
- 3:25Speaker 3: I guess it was a shot. He somehow got back
- 3:27Speaker 3: and got in the way of the ball. I'm like,
- 3:29Speaker 3: this is ridiculous, dude, But yeah, good on them. I'm
- 3:34Speaker 3: not gonna give out a play on the World Cup
- 3:35Speaker 3: game today. I just don't feel that strongly about it.
- 3:38Speaker 3: But I will give out a WNBA play again today.
- 3:41Speaker 3: We have no baseball today. All Star break continues, and
- 3:44Speaker 3: then there's only one baseball game tomorrow, which again makes
- 3:47Speaker 3: my job easier to handicap very few games here. Yeah,
- 3:52Speaker 3: World Cup, I mean I might have a play on
- 3:54Speaker 3: the final because I really think that Spain, after what
- 3:58Speaker 3: they did yesterday, everybody's gonna want to bet them in
- 4:01Speaker 3: the final, you know. Oh my God, they beat France,
- 4:03Speaker 3: Like we thought this was impossible. Now everybody's just gonna
- 4:06Speaker 3: hand Spain the championship at this point, right, So I
- 4:09Speaker 3: think there's gonna be some value fading them in the
- 4:12Speaker 3: final with whichever team wins today. So which if it's England,
- 4:17Speaker 3: then I think my bracket is in decent shape obviously,
- 4:21Speaker 3: but we'll see it might not be all right. We
- 4:26Speaker 3: have WNBA here. I'm gonna give out a play in
- 4:28Speaker 3: the first game here, so we get action at noon.
- 4:32Speaker 3: We're real degenerates here. Man, with the matinee at play here.
- 4:41Speaker 3: This is just I think this is the best spot
- 4:44Speaker 3: that we have on the board here. And nobody's gonna
- 4:46Speaker 3: like this because we're gonna play on a really bad
- 4:48Speaker 3: team here, and the spread is not very big, but
- 4:52Speaker 3: we're gonna take Seattle plus two and a half here. Obviously,
- 4:55Speaker 3: I'm recommending throwing money on the money line on this
- 4:58Speaker 3: as well. I would say put percent of it on
- 5:00Speaker 3: the money line. I mean, if they're gonna cover this,
- 5:03Speaker 3: they're probably gonna win the game. We're gonna face Chicago here. Chicago,
- 5:07Speaker 3: I mean, I think they are getting a little bit healthier,
- 5:09Speaker 3: but this spot for Chicago is really really bad. And
- 5:13Speaker 3: it's not like they've exactly been a good team this year.
- 5:15Speaker 3: They've been on a pretty bad run. Uh, they've lost
- 5:18Speaker 3: some good teams in here, for sure, But you look
- 5:20Speaker 3: at what they did recently. They're coming back from a
- 5:22Speaker 3: four game road trip. They've been on the road since
- 5:24Speaker 3: July third. So I always talk about this when a
- 5:27Speaker 3: team returns home from a long road trip like this
- 5:30Speaker 3: almost two weeks. In this case, stuff piles up that
- 5:33Speaker 3: you have to do at home, man, So you can
- 5:34Speaker 3: absolutely get distracted when coming back home. And I think
- 5:37Speaker 3: this is worse for Chicago because they played a big
- 5:40Speaker 3: game on Sunday against Dallas and they almost won that game.
- 5:44Speaker 3: That was a win here on the show, if I
- 5:46Speaker 3: remember correctly, I'm pretty sure I gave that out. Chicago
- 5:49Speaker 3: covered that game in Dallas had chances to win the game,
- 5:52Speaker 3: they were winning in the fourth quarter, I'm pretty sure,
- 5:55Speaker 3: and fell just short, but still covered for us. So
- 5:59Speaker 3: two things working against them here the return home spot,
- 6:02Speaker 3: which can be a big negative, can get distracted, and
- 6:05Speaker 3: also they're coming off a big game, and they might
- 6:07Speaker 3: be paying more attention to these upcoming games because their
- 6:10Speaker 3: next game on Friday is against LA, who they just
- 6:13Speaker 3: lost to on Friday right before the Dallas game, so
- 6:16Speaker 3: it's kind of a quick revenge spot, if you will,
- 6:19Speaker 3: against LA, so they might be looking ahead to that.
- 6:21Speaker 3: Then they got Atlanta and then New York in the
- 6:24Speaker 3: following two games, so all these games surrounding the Seattle
- 6:27Speaker 3: game are bigger than the Seattle game. I think they
- 6:29Speaker 3: could easily overlook Seattle here because they're not a good team,
- 6:33Speaker 3: and I don't think these teams have played each other
- 6:35Speaker 3: this year yet, which kind of makes sense. I mean,
- 6:38Speaker 3: they're in different conferences. Seattle, I get it, they're a
- 6:41Speaker 3: bad team, but I think that they're gonna show up
- 6:43Speaker 3: for this one. They're in the middle of a road
- 6:47Speaker 3: trip here, and I know sometimes those road trips can
- 6:49Speaker 3: kind of get to you a little bit. They have
- 6:50Speaker 3: the same amount of rest here. They're only traveling in
- 6:52Speaker 3: from Washington, which I don't think is that bad. But
- 6:55Speaker 3: they've also lost the last two games on the road trip,
- 6:57Speaker 3: so I think they're gonna want to try to pull
- 7:00Speaker 3: even in this road trip here, and this is a
- 7:02Speaker 3: winnable game for them. The last game of the road
- 7:04Speaker 3: trip is at Indiana, so they're probably not gonna win that. Well,
- 7:08Speaker 3: you might argue, well, wouldn't they be looking ahead to that?
- 7:11Speaker 3: I don't really think so, because when you're Seattle and
- 7:13Speaker 3: you're losing all these games, you lost your last couple
- 7:15Speaker 3: of games, I think you're just gonna show up for
- 7:17Speaker 3: whoever your next opponent is. So I'm gonna say, yeah,
- 7:21Speaker 3: we're gonna play Seattle.
- 7:22Speaker 2: Here.
- 7:22Speaker 3: It's mostly a fate of Chicago, though the spot that
- 7:24Speaker 3: Chicago is in is bad. I think it's a return
- 7:27Speaker 3: home spot, plus debatably a sandwich spot. So I like this,
- 7:31Speaker 3: and the market seems like it agrees with me, at
- 7:33Speaker 3: least for now. It looks like a pros versus Joe's
- 7:37Speaker 3: scenario here. Actually, Chicago fifty eight percent of the tickets
- 7:40Speaker 3: fifty five percent of the money on Seattle, so that
- 7:42Speaker 3: seems to concur with what I'm saying here. That would
- 7:46Speaker 3: be my one play Seattle in the WNBA. We're hot
- 7:49Speaker 3: in the WNBA right now. Man. We've won three games
- 7:52Speaker 3: in a row, getting back on track with the WNBA here,
- 7:55Speaker 3: which I like to see. But let's keep it going.
- 7:57Speaker 3: Hopefully we get another winner out of this one here
- 8:00Speaker 3: and then the other WNBA games. The second game I
- 8:04Speaker 3: really don't have much of an opinion on LA at Minnesota.
- 8:08Speaker 3: Minnesota is a double digit favorite, and we're still looking
- 8:10Speaker 3: at injuries on both sides here. Kelsey Plumb is still
- 8:14Speaker 3: out for LA and Collier is still out for Minnesota.
- 8:17Speaker 3: The Minnesota has been an excellent team even without her.
- 8:21Speaker 3: Minnesota is clearly the better team here. But will they
- 8:24Speaker 3: cover a huge number? I'm not so sure about that.
- 8:26Speaker 3: They're coming out of a couple of nice wins here.
- 8:28Speaker 3: They beat New York and then they beat Phoenix. Who
- 8:31Speaker 3: I know, Phoenix. You know, the record isn't that good,
- 8:34Speaker 3: but it's a decent win nonetheless against Phoenix. And I
- 8:37Speaker 3: don't know that Minnesota is gonna have their full effort
- 8:39Speaker 3: here against LA. I mean, they already beat LA in
- 8:42Speaker 3: LA by sixteen back in the middle of June. I
- 8:45Speaker 3: don't know, man, and now, especially because it's LA without Plumb.
- 8:49Speaker 3: I think Plumb might have been in that game in June.
- 8:51Speaker 3: I'm not sure she was, or she wasn't. Maybe she wasn't,
- 8:54Speaker 3: but either way, yeah, I don't have a whole lot
- 8:57Speaker 3: else to say about this game. Miles I think is
- 9:00Speaker 3: back for Minnesota, their star rookie and McBride is like
- 9:07Speaker 3: basically their best scorer. She's there right now as well.
- 9:10Speaker 3: So do with all that info what you want. I
- 9:13Speaker 3: guess Minnesota is orcus. LA just lost to Atlanta, which
- 9:19Speaker 3: was a pretty big game for them, but it wasn't
- 9:21Speaker 3: really that close. They lost by nine points. They're not
- 9:24Speaker 3: gonna overlook Minnesota. I mean, you're gonna try to show
- 9:27Speaker 3: up with effort for a game against the best team
- 9:29Speaker 3: in the league, you know, So probably I would have
- 9:33Speaker 3: a slight lean towards LA plus the points here at
- 9:35Speaker 3: eleven and a half. The money's not agreeing with me, though,
- 9:38Speaker 3: seventy nine percent of tickets on LA, seventy percent of
- 9:41Speaker 3: the cash on Minnesota. I don't really see the public
- 9:43Speaker 3: coming in and playing LA here though, Like why would you?
- 9:47Speaker 3: Doesn't seem like that would really be the case to me.
- 9:49Speaker 3: I think just generally I would say that Minnesota because
- 9:52Speaker 3: they're such a good team, Like, you're not really gonna
- 9:54Speaker 3: find value laying points spreads with them, you know what
- 9:58Speaker 3: I mean. So that's really my only feel this game.
- 10:00Speaker 3: And then the total is really high at one eighty
- 10:03Speaker 3: three and a half, so it's expected that there's gonna
- 10:06Speaker 3: be a lot of scoring here, and the money is
- 10:08Speaker 3: coming in on the over LA notoriously bad on defense,
- 10:12Speaker 3: so that is probably pretty much the reason why that
- 10:15Speaker 3: total is as high as it is. Minnesota though they're
- 10:18Speaker 3: not bad on defense though, so whatever. And then Golden
- 10:22Speaker 3: State in Indiana is a TV game on USA Network.
- 10:26Speaker 3: I mean, as far as WNBA games go, I mean,
- 10:29Speaker 3: these are at least two decent WNBA teams Indiana. Of course,
- 10:33Speaker 3: Caitlin Clark is back. They got Sophie Cunningham, you know
- 10:36Speaker 3: all that. They're coming off a huge win over Las
- 10:39Speaker 3: Vegas though, and they're returning home from a road trip
- 10:42Speaker 3: in which they beat Las Vegas twice during the road trip,
- 10:46Speaker 3: once in their secondary arena, and the last game I
- 10:49Speaker 3: think was in Vegas's standard arena. So you might think, well,
- 10:54Speaker 3: why are we not fading Indiana here? This is a
- 10:56Speaker 3: bad spot, right, Yes it is. I agree. They've been
- 10:59Speaker 3: on the roads since Sunday, July fifth. They're coming back home.
- 11:02Speaker 3: That could definitely be a distraction spot. And they're coming
- 11:05Speaker 3: off a huge win over Vegas. And not only did
- 11:08Speaker 3: they beat the returning champs Vegas, they beat them by
- 11:12Speaker 3: a lot. They beat them up by what is that
- 11:14Speaker 3: thirty four. Nobody goes into Vegas and beat well. Actually,
- 11:18Speaker 3: maybe I shouldn't say that, because Phoenix I think did
- 11:20Speaker 3: that in the first game of the season in the
- 11:23Speaker 3: finals revenge game, or I gave out a winner on Phoenix.
- 11:27Speaker 3: Phoenix won that game in Vegas by thirty three. So yeah,
- 11:30Speaker 3: I mean, Vegas does have their issues at home here,
- 11:33Speaker 3: but Indiana, I mean, maybe Indiana matches up well against Vegas. Dude,
- 11:37Speaker 3: Vegas is probably not gonna want to run into them
- 11:39Speaker 3: during the playoffs after losing to Indiana badly twice a
- 11:44Speaker 3: though the first of those two games, remember Clark didn't
- 11:46Speaker 3: play and on the Vegas side, Wilson didn't play. But
- 11:49Speaker 3: I believe they both played in this most recent game
- 11:51Speaker 3: and it was just a destruction by Indiana. So yes,
- 11:55Speaker 3: I would agree with the sentiment that this is a
- 11:57Speaker 3: letdown spot for them off that ridiculous win, and it's
- 12:00Speaker 3: a return home spot. It looks like you should fade
- 12:02Speaker 3: them here. I have some concerns with that, though, because
- 12:07Speaker 3: Golden State is not really a team you're necessarily gonna overlook,
- 12:10Speaker 3: even though I know in a return home spot it's
- 12:12Speaker 3: gonna be difficult to get up and get ready for
- 12:15Speaker 3: that game. But their next game is against Seattle, which
- 12:17Speaker 3: is not a big game. This Golden State game is
- 12:20Speaker 3: very Golden State is on fire right now. They've won
- 12:23Speaker 3: seven straight games. I think they're playing some good basketball here.
- 12:26Speaker 3: They beat Atlanta three times in that stretch and New
- 12:29Speaker 3: York once. Their last three wins were against mediocre and
- 12:33Speaker 3: bad teams though, so they're gonna have to step it
- 12:35Speaker 3: up in class to play Indiana here over the last
- 12:38Speaker 3: three opponents they had. I still need a Golden State here,
- 12:43Speaker 3: but this is just not I don't feel that it's
- 12:45Speaker 3: that strong. I think Indiana's definitely in a bad spot here,
- 12:49Speaker 3: so I would lean towards Golden State. Golden State. I
- 12:53Speaker 3: think they're a bit better at home than they are
- 12:56Speaker 3: on the road, though, and they're gonna have to step
- 12:58Speaker 3: it back up. They're coming up that win over Connecticut,
- 13:00Speaker 3: which is an easy win, so, but they do have
- 13:03Speaker 3: momentum here. Uh, the money is actually backing Indiana strongly,
- 13:08Speaker 3: though Indiana is at about minus one and a half
- 13:10Speaker 3: minus two here, eighty percent of the tickets on Golden State.
- 13:14Speaker 3: I think it's just the public, you know, probably looking
- 13:17Speaker 3: at the records. Oh, Golden State has the better record.
- 13:19Speaker 3: That's my other worry with this is it looks too
- 13:23Speaker 3: easy to play Golden State almost even though I know
- 13:25Speaker 3: Indiana Caitlin Clark all that they get a lot of
- 13:28Speaker 3: hype around them, Like nobody can even really name a
- 13:30Speaker 3: player on Golden State. I mean even I can't, probably so,
- 13:34Speaker 3: but Golden State has the better w records, So it
- 13:36Speaker 3: almost looks too easy to take them as an underdog here.
- 13:39Speaker 3: But eighty percent of the tickets on them in ninety
- 13:42Speaker 3: three percent of the cash in Indiana. I still don't
- 13:45Speaker 3: agree with that market read though, if I was gonna
- 13:47Speaker 3: play this game, I would take the points with Golden State.
- 13:49Speaker 3: I just think the spot is pretty bad for Indiana.
- 13:53Speaker 3: But my play of the day is Seattle. Seattle's my
- 13:57Speaker 3: only play. I think Chicago's in the worst spot there.
- 14:01Speaker 3: Then we have World Cup Action, which is the other
- 14:04Speaker 3: semi final, England in Argentina. This is in Atlanta, Argentina.
- 14:10Speaker 3: I believe is coming in from the West coast, I
- 14:12Speaker 3: want to say, or no, I think Kansas City. Yeah,
- 14:15Speaker 3: I think Argentina is coming in from Kansas City, England.
- 14:18Speaker 3: I think is only coming in here from Miami. I
- 14:21Speaker 3: believe so do what you want with that. But England
- 14:23Speaker 3: has a little bit of a better travel spot. Here
- 14:26Speaker 3: I mentioned that England is actually a very small favorite
- 14:29Speaker 3: in this game, although at this point the teams are
- 14:31Speaker 3: almost even as far as the line, so some money
- 14:34Speaker 3: has coming in Argentina. But I'm wondering if that's public money,
- 14:38Speaker 3: you know what I mean. Like, I have a hard
- 14:39Speaker 3: time figuring out what does the public think in this
- 14:42Speaker 3: game because I think the public generally they think, oh yeah,
- 14:46Speaker 3: Argentina the returning champs, they have messing like they're not
- 14:49Speaker 3: going to lose. And the public doesn't really like the
- 14:52Speaker 3: style that England plays because they play this low scoring style.
- 14:55Speaker 3: So I kind of think that might be what they think.
- 14:58Speaker 3: But then again, Argentina it hasn't really looked that good
- 15:02Speaker 3: in the knockout bracket here, you know, like barely get
- 15:06Speaker 3: barely getting by Cape Verdey and Egypt, and those are
- 15:10Speaker 3: two games where you know, I talked about those games
- 15:12Speaker 3: on the show. Obviously I gave out a play in
- 15:14Speaker 3: Argentina against Egypt and against Switzerland because I thought Argentina
- 15:18Speaker 3: was underrated after those two performances where they actually dominated
- 15:22Speaker 3: those games statistically. Against Cape Verdey and Egypt like expected goals.
- 15:26Speaker 3: They won those games like basically like two to nothing
- 15:30Speaker 3: or two and a half to a half goal or
- 15:32Speaker 3: something like that. But people might think, oh, well, Argentina's
- 15:36Speaker 3: back on track now because their most difficult of these
- 15:38Speaker 3: opponents was Switzerland and they handled them three to one.
- 15:42Speaker 3: True they did, and if you look at the expected
- 15:45Speaker 3: goals and whatever, Argentina was the better team in this game.
- 15:48Speaker 3: But remember Switzerland got red carded at the seventy two
- 15:51Speaker 3: minute mark, and I was thinking we were gonna get that,
- 15:53Speaker 3: right because I gave out a play in Argentina on
- 15:56Speaker 3: the show on the money line in the first ninety minutes,
- 15:59Speaker 3: and I was thinking, once Switzerland got the red card
- 16:01Speaker 3: and it was one to one, I'm like, Argentina is
- 16:03Speaker 3: going to score here and win this game in regular time,
- 16:05Speaker 3: which they did not do. And instead they score twice
- 16:09Speaker 3: in like an eight minute span or nine minutes span
- 16:11Speaker 3: in extra time. So isn't that just great?
- 16:14Speaker 2: Now?
- 16:14Speaker 3: If you look at the boxer here, I mean it
- 16:16Speaker 3: was Argentina won the game one point nine to four
- 16:19Speaker 3: to point four to seven expected goals. But one point
- 16:21Speaker 3: nine to four is a far cry from three right,
- 16:25Speaker 3: So the final score was still a little bit misleading.
- 16:28Speaker 3: Argentina did not really dominate possession in the game. Both
- 16:32Speaker 3: teams put up a decent amount of shots on goal
- 16:34Speaker 3: in that game. But yes, Argentina was the better team.
- 16:37Speaker 3: But I think maybe they're a little bit overrated again
- 16:39Speaker 3: now because they won that game three to one. But
- 16:42Speaker 3: that score again is a little bit misleading because remember
- 16:45Speaker 3: Argentina was playing the last like thirty minutes of regulation
- 16:48Speaker 3: plus all of extra time with a man advantage, So
- 16:52Speaker 3: you know, I think that you have to take that
- 16:54Speaker 3: into account and way that accordingly. Whereas for England, I
- 17:00Speaker 3: don't know what people are gonna think about England beating Norway.
- 17:03Speaker 3: I mean, maybe they'll get hype for that, because Norway
- 17:05Speaker 3: had a lot of hype and a lot of people
- 17:07Speaker 3: thought Norway, you know, we're gonna win that game. I
- 17:09Speaker 3: didn't really think so, so I don't know. I don't
- 17:12Speaker 3: know what to think about this game. Although I think
- 17:14Speaker 3: England is more battle tested though than Argentina. If you
- 17:17Speaker 3: look at what England has done during the World Cup.
- 17:20Speaker 3: They beat Croatia, that was a pretty good win. Ghana
- 17:23Speaker 3: is okay, then I know Panama is not very good.
- 17:27Speaker 3: Dr Congo not good that game against Mexico though, I
- 17:30Speaker 3: mean Mexico is not great, but having to do what
- 17:33Speaker 3: England did. England was down a man for like half
- 17:36Speaker 3: that game, and it was in Mexico City in elevation.
- 17:40Speaker 3: To win that game that is not easy at all.
- 17:43Speaker 3: And then they follow that up by beating Norway, a
- 17:46Speaker 3: full strength Norway team, So yeah, you know, I mean
- 17:50Speaker 3: England is pretty battle tested in this World Cup, whereas
- 17:53Speaker 3: I don't really think Argentina is. I mean, look at
- 17:56Speaker 3: their run, like they had a really easy group in
- 17:58Speaker 3: the group stage, they beat Algeria, Austria, Jordan, then in
- 18:03Speaker 3: the knockouts they beat Cape Verday Egypt in Switzerland, so
- 18:06Speaker 3: literally Switzerland is the best team they've played so far.
- 18:11Speaker 3: I don't know if that's a great thing, man, I
- 18:12Speaker 3: mean England is gonna be a big time step up
- 18:14Speaker 3: in class from Switzerland. And again, at least England has
- 18:17Speaker 3: played you know, Norway, Mexico, Croatia. I mean, those are
- 18:21Speaker 3: at least better teams than that, I think all of
- 18:25Speaker 3: Argentina's opponents, so England has faced a slew of better
- 18:29Speaker 3: opponents than Argentina has here. Although yes, obviously Argentina will
- 18:33Speaker 3: be the best team they have faced as well, but
- 18:36Speaker 3: I said that yesterday Spain was the more battle tested
- 18:39Speaker 3: team and they were able to get it done and win.
- 18:42Speaker 3: I still like England in this one. I think if
- 18:44Speaker 3: you're gonna play it, I think England to advance is
- 18:46Speaker 3: probably the way I would play this. I don't know
- 18:49Speaker 3: what the line on it is right now, but I
- 18:50Speaker 3: know it's gonna be a small price on it. Like
- 18:53Speaker 3: you're pretty much looking at just to pick them. England
- 18:56Speaker 3: is a very small favorite. It minus won twenty to advance.
- 19:00Speaker 3: I think that's probably what I would do. Like I think,
- 19:04Speaker 3: if you're gonna play this game at all, I think
- 19:05Speaker 3: it's just like determine which side you like and play
- 19:08Speaker 3: that side to advance. Right, And to me, it still
- 19:11Speaker 3: looks pretty easy to play Argentina at plus money, you
- 19:15Speaker 3: know what I mean. Like again, it's still messy in
- 19:17Speaker 3: the returning champs and getting them as an underdog. To me,
- 19:20Speaker 3: it seems a little easy to jump on Argentina here.
- 19:25Speaker 3: That would be my take on this, my opinion on this,
- 19:29Speaker 3: and then yeah, the three way line England's plus one
- 19:31Speaker 3: seventy five, Argentina's probably like plus one eighty, you know.
- 19:34Speaker 3: So it's it's this is considered to be about as
- 19:37Speaker 3: close as a match gets. I think an under maybe
- 19:41Speaker 3: is worth considering here as well. I mean England they
- 19:44Speaker 3: play really good defense, that's kind of their thing. Argentina
- 19:49Speaker 3: with the amount of goals they've scored. Remember, Argentina's played
- 19:52Speaker 3: extra time multiple times too, which might take its toll, right,
- 19:55Speaker 3: I know, a huge game against Mexico could take its
- 19:58Speaker 3: toll to in Mexico for England. But Argentina's gone to
- 20:02Speaker 3: extra time twice here in a row, right, They went
- 20:05Speaker 3: to extra time against Egypt and Switzerland. So Argentina's played
- 20:08Speaker 3: a lot of extra soccer here, So that could tire
- 20:12Speaker 3: Argentina out a little bit too. So that's another thing
- 20:14Speaker 3: to consider here, even though it means they're testing in
- 20:18Speaker 3: like really close games, but so is England. So and
- 20:20Speaker 3: England has been able to overcome one nothing deficits twice.
- 20:25Speaker 3: England did that against Dr Congo and against Mexico, not
- 20:30Speaker 3: against Mexico, against UH Norway. I mean, yeah, England is
- 20:35Speaker 3: down one nothing against Norway and against Dr Congo and
- 20:39Speaker 3: they're they were able to overcome that and win anyway,
- 20:41Speaker 3: So England that's good experience for them too. They're able
- 20:45Speaker 3: to overcome deficits like that. They're like the only team
- 20:48Speaker 3: that's really had to do that, so I think that
- 20:51Speaker 3: will help them a little bit too. I don't know,
- 20:53Speaker 3: I think I'm talking too much about this one game,
- 20:56Speaker 3: but yeah, I mean that's uh, that's what I got, man,
- 20:59Speaker 3: I would in England here minus one twenty to advance.
- 21:03Speaker 3: Don't think I really have anything else to say about that,
- 21:09Speaker 3: but yeah, I mean Argentina, Yeah, they've played all that
- 21:11Speaker 3: extra time, and I think the fact that they were
- 21:13Speaker 3: scoring goals and extra time makes their offense look a
- 21:16Speaker 3: little bit better than maybe it is. So I think
- 21:18Speaker 3: an under might make sense here. And also, like I
- 21:21Speaker 3: said yesterday, the semi final games, you tend to see
- 21:24Speaker 3: a lot of deepfensive focus and teams don't want to
- 21:26Speaker 3: make mistakes and stuff, you know what I mean, kind
- 21:28Speaker 3: of like a super Bowl type of atmosphere. So yesterday's
- 21:31Speaker 3: game went under, it would be in the first ninety minutes.
- 21:34Speaker 3: I think this one also might and that's gonna do it. Man.
- 21:38Speaker 3: My only play of the day is WNBA horrible, horrible, ugly,
- 21:42Speaker 3: you know whatever, you want to say about at Seattle
- 21:44Speaker 3: plus the points, learn a tone on Twitter, and learn
- 21:47Speaker 3: a tone on Instagram, like subscribe to the show here.
- 21:50Speaker 3: We're at five hundred, starting the monetization process here. We'll
- 21:54Speaker 3: be able to get memberships going here if people want
- 21:57Speaker 3: to do that. I got to think about content that
- 21:59Speaker 3: I should make members only. Maybe my like bracket specials
- 22:03Speaker 3: and stuff will be I don't know. I gotta figure
- 22:05Speaker 3: something out as far as that's concerned. We're on audio.
- 22:08Speaker 3: Listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker covered in you because
- 22:11Speaker 3: my yuke channel on YouTube. You can check that out,
- 22:13Speaker 3: Patreon dot com, slash to learn to toad if you
- 22:15Speaker 3: want to support me over there. Loser Cast, of course,
- 22:19Speaker 3: we had an episode last night with just the regular cast,
- 22:23Speaker 3: pretty much without Tyler because he's on vacation. I think
- 22:26Speaker 3: good episode. I thought it was fun and uh, the
- 22:29Speaker 3: New York Giants g spot podcast. That's gonna do it. Peace,
- 22:35Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet.
- 22:37Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the flow. Your name steal mean
- 22:41Speaker 1: something to somebody for show? Put the glass down, baby,
- 22:47Speaker 1: look at me.
- 22:48Speaker 2: No.
- 22:53Speaker 4: Hold on nothing, no.
- 23:00Speaker 2: Hold on hod on, Let me pull you. That bites hard,
- 23:12Speaker 2: but it don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on
- 23:19Speaker 2: and stay with me now