Latest / AI Unveiled - Hype vs. Reality
The Reckoning: When AI Activity Gets Booked as Value
In October, Anthropic reported employee-directed agents logging six hours of working time per estimated human work hour. An independent September working paper found very different estimated gains depending on whether it counted code commits, projects or actual releases. Meanwhile, randomized field evidence shows AI can deliver real professional-quality improvements. These findings are compatible. They simply measure different things.
The series finale names the final Honor System failure mode: activity-value substitution. Asif Waliuddin explains the economic promotion boundary, introduces…
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