Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3480 Republicans Just Got a HUGE WIN in the Redistricting Battle!!!

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Ep. 3480 Republicans Just Got a HUGE WIN in the Redistricting Battle!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your back porch professor.
• 0:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: I'm taking a little break actually from moving my youngest into the dorms today.
• 0:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: So my wife and I are officially empty nesters, but there's always something going on in this rapidly changing world for us to chat about.
• 0:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: And this one is
• 0:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: huge while you were sleeping.
• 0:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: The political map of America fundamentally changed forever.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: In this band of just forty-eight hours, Texas Republicans executed the most aggressive mid-decade redistricting in modern history.
• 0:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: Remember, this was something that Texas Republicans originally didn't want to do, Governor Abbott, and the Texas Republican establishment weren't interested at all in a mid-decade redistricting, but President Trump dropped the hammer.
• 1:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: You looked at congressional maps and he realized that if red state starting with Texas redistricted across the board, we could permanently box the Democrats out of power.
• 1:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so to their credit, Texas Republicans complied the Democrats melted down.
• 1:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: Fifty plus Texas Democrats skip town, hit out in Illinois, right?
• 1:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: Only to delay the inevitable.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: So we now have five new
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  [SPEAKER_00]: seats in Texas, it's official.
• 1:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then California Democrats and trying to desperately retaliate against this.
• 1:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: They ended up triggering a constitutional crisis in their own state.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: And in the process, Trump has been running rings around them, orchestrating what may be the most consequential power grabs since the founding fathers drew the first congressional districts.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: The numbers are absolutely staggering.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: The implications of seismic
• 2:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: And if you don't understand what just happened, you're about to be blindsided by the twenty twenty-six mid-jurms.
• 2:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: Here's what the legacy media won't tell you about the redistricting earthquake that just shook American politics.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans currently hold a razor-thin two hundred twenty to two hundred and fifty majority in the house.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: It's a margin so narrow that losing just three seats would hand control the Democrats.
• 2:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: But that was before Trump personally called Governor Greg Abbott and unleashed what many are calling the redistricting wars.
• 2:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: Texas Republicans just passed as you know, the most aggressive congressional map in decades, creating five new solid Republican and Republican leaning districts by surgically redrawing boundaries around Houston, Dallas and Austin.
• 2:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: And what freaked the Democrats out so much was that this wasn't some background deal.
• 2:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: It wasn't the Republicans meeting in the middle of the night in the darkness right to pass this.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: They did it in broad daylight.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: They celebrated it with Democrats literally fleeing the state to prevent the vote.
• 3:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: But of course, it was inevitable.
• 3:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Republicans have a super majority in the Texas legislature and so the map passed.
• 3:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: But now we have a new state that's about to redistrict and that's Missouri.
• 3:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: So that's one more guaranteed Republican seat.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Bring the total now, the six new GOP districts from two states.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: But here's the key.
• 3:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: The red state redistricting tsunami is just getting started.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: According to the Cook Political Report, Republicans are now as we stand before you factor in any new redistricting seats.
• 3:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Republicans are beginning the two twenty six cycle of two hundred fifteen solid seats.
• 3:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: So they're about five seats that are vulnerable.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: They lean Republican.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: But these are swing seats where the Republican candidates won with the the lowest margin.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: They're the seats the Democrats are pumping millions of dollars to target.
• 4:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: But when you add the six seats from Texas and Missouri, the Republicans are now at a two hundred twenty one safe seats, meaning they can lose all five of those swing seats and still hold the majority easily.
• 4:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: In fact, it would be it would be a slightly bigger majority than what they have right now.
• 4:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: But it gets even better.
• 4:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is the golden age after all.
• 4:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so Trump isn't stopping there.
• 4:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: Indiana Republicans are meeting with J.V.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Vance about splitting Democrat districts, Florida's Ron DeSantis who absolutely hate scavenue some.
• 4:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: He cannot wait to unveil five brand new beautiful solid red seats in Florida.
• 4:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: Ohio is required by law to redraw their maps due to court orders.
• 4:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: adding either two or three more Republican districts there.
• 4:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: So we're looking at something around fourteen to sixteen additional Republican seats from all of this redistricting, transforming a five seat majority into a potential seventeen to twenty seat buffer.
• 5:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, just from the redistricting alone.
• 5:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, of course, grew some news and launched his counter offense of calling a two hundred thirty million dollar special election to temporarily suspend California's independent redistricting commission.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: But here's what the data gets fascinating.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: The latest polling shows forty eight percent in California's support newsrooms redistricting plan.
• 5:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thirty-two percent opposed it, and twenty percent are undecided, and in special elections undecided voters typically vote no, which means news in this walking to a potential fun saw.
• 5:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: If California's redistricting fails, Democrats lose their only counter to this Republican redistricting tsunami.
• 5:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: If you run the numbers, the best case scenario for Democrats is that California passes redistricting the ed five new Democrat seats.
• 5:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: but that still leaves Republicans within your double digit advantage.
• 5:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, that's the Democrats' best possible case scenario.
• 6:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: Worst case, California fails, Texas, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, Missouri, succeed, and some other red states join in, and we're looking at a potential, two hundred and thirty two to two hundred and three Republican majority, a nearly insurmountable, thirty-seat gap.
• 6:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's what we're ending the mid-terms with.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: That's a massive firewall that could permanently lock the Democrats out of congressional power for the foreseeable future.
• 6:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: The reason why this is taking the Democrats completely by surprise here is because mid-decade redistricting is so rare.
• 6:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's not unprecedented, it's happened before, but it hasn't been this widespread since late-eighteen hundreds, a period of intense partisan polarization that very much mirrors our current moment,
• 6:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: But the key difference here is that today's mapping technology makes surgical precision possible.
• 6:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: So Republicans can flip districts by moving just a few prisons while maintaining plausible legal cover.
• 7:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump is looking at this massive shift to the right among Latinos and working class voters.
• 7:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: And he wants districts redrawn to reflect the shift as well as break up these urban Democrat on plays that's sudden some of the most ridiculous embarrassment to imaginable to Congress, Jasmine Crockett, Al Greenbow, both of whom, by the way, look like they're about to lose their seat.
• 7:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: bottom line.
• 7:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: This isn't just about twenty twenty-six.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: These maps are going to be in place for the foreseeable future and they promise to secure Republican dominance forever.
• 7:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: But if Democrats win the popular vote by significant margins, they will still find themselves locked out of power by lines drawn in Austin and Jefferson City.
• 7:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so while political pundits debate polling numbers and fundraising totals, which were dominating anyway, Republicans are systematically restructuring the electoral battlefield.
• 7:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're not just running for office, they're redesigning the playing field to make Democrat victories mathematically impossible in dozens of districts.
• 8:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: The redistricting wars of twenty twenty five may be remembered as the moment American democracy crossed the rubicon not through violence or constitutional crisis but through the cold mathematics of political cartography.
• 8:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans have just drawn themselves a path to power that could last.
• 8:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's stunning stuff.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: So what do you think?
• 8:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: How many seats do you think Republicans are going to be picking up in the midterms?
• 8:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: Let us know in the comments section below.
• 8:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: And as always, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button for breaking news and analysis.
• 8:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: You're not going to get anywhere else.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: God bless.
• 8:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening this episode of the Turley Talks podcast.
• 8:46
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• 8:58
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