Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Cranberry Sauce Supremacy & Best Bets | NFL Week 13

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Cranberry Sauce Supremacy & Best Bets | NFL Week 13 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:10
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, all part of the Action Network
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: family presented by Draft Kings. The Crown is yours. I'm
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz joined by a couple of my jive turkeys
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: on this Thanksgiving preview super episode Kendra and Stucky providing
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: the picks and analysis that will make you a better
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: better in the NFL.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: I've got a lot to get to today.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: We're gonna plant our flag, We're gonna nominate our two
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen Parlay, Kendris Pickle, prop Evans Primer,
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: all in one episode. Let's start with the weird, the bizarre,
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: the random. It's Stucky's question of the week.
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question.
• 0:54
  Speaker 4: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: Is that question?
• 1:00
  Speaker 4: I honestly it's not Thursday, so I didn't I didn't
• 1:02
  Speaker 4: bring a question. Uh, and I'm trying to talk.
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Very as Oh no, it's not good.
• 1:10
  Speaker 4: Up for like three days. I have like four more
• 1:12
  Speaker 4: podcasts to do today for college and NFL.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: You can ask anything about thanks Thanksgiving spectacular.
• 1:19
  Speaker 4: What is your favorite and your and then also what
• 1:24
  Speaker 4: is the most overrated? You can go overrated or underrated
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: or both. Thanksgiving dish kenderdie on any takes overrated.
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with.
• 1:38
  Speaker 5: Mashed potatoes just because I feel like most people don't
• 1:42
  Speaker 5: know how to actually make mashed potatoes and they make
• 1:44
  Speaker 5: dry ass mashed potatoes. It's Thanksgiving. Put the extra butter,
• 1:48
  Speaker 5: put the extra milk in there. Don't do this to me.
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: That's why underrated.
• 1:53
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna say green bean cast role and I'm a
• 1:56
  Speaker 5: cranberry sauce truther. It's the best thing on the plate.
• 1:59
  Speaker 5: It's gotta be the case. I don't want the fresh
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: bull crap. It's Thanksgiving. Give me the shitty shit. I
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: wear my stretching pants on purpose. I also have a
• 2:08
  Speaker 5: bone to pick with New Englanders because they don't do
• 2:10
  Speaker 5: macaroni and cheese for Thanksgiving, and I think that that
• 2:12
  Speaker 5: is a sin. I think that they are all going
• 2:14
  Speaker 5: to hell and I hate that about living up in
• 2:17
  Speaker 5: the Northeast.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I could not agree with you more about cranberry sauce.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: This is not an item to overthink. You just go
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: ninety nine cents, grab it off of the shelf, and
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: I want the ridges. Yeah exactly. I want it shaking
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: when it comes out of the can. Let's not get crazy,
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: but macaroni and cheese is the most underrated. It has
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: to be done properly. That's the thing. You eat mac
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: and cheese all year long. This is not unique, but
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: Thanksgiving mac and cheese specifically. I have a rule that
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: if you can't cut your mac and cheese into a cube,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: then it was not cooked properly.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: On Thanksgiving, it's gotta have that sound.
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: You know what I'm talking about.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, any other day of the year is disgusting,
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: But on Thanksgiving you said, damn right, give me this
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: so and then that's so that would be underrated, overrated.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: I think it's green bean cast role. The fact that
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: we build green bean castrole into an industry standard.
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: We could do so much better. This is this is
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: the best.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: It's the best eating day of the year. There are
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: other green vegetables. Why don't we have broccoli or a
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: Brussels sprout with some bacon on it?
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: Why? Why the cast role? So that's that's my answer.
• 3:36
  Speaker 4: What about you, spiky, We My wife will spend like
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: the two full days cooking, and I mean she's the
• 3:45
  Speaker 4: cook of her entire family, so she brings up. But
• 3:48
  Speaker 4: I'm talking like we will have fifty trays like the
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: big metal trays, and then just put the mouth for
• 3:56
  Speaker 4: everyone and then the leftovers are the best part. But
• 3:59
  Speaker 4: she also makes me an extra duck. I like having
• 4:01
  Speaker 4: a duck besides a turkey. So I think duck is
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: like if you want to go with an alternative meat
• 4:08
  Speaker 4: or like W Madden used to say, the turd duck in.
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: But I love a duck on turkey.
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: Again, A happy Thanksgiving.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: We got a tur duck in right.
• 4:16
  Speaker 4: Yeah, this thing here, there's a deep bone duck stuffed
• 4:19
  Speaker 4: in a deep bone chicken stuffed in a deep bone turkey.
• 4:23
  Speaker 4: It was stuffing.
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: Now you're talking.
• 4:25
  Speaker 4: I actually think granberry sauce is overrated. But I'm gonna say, yeah,
• 4:32
  Speaker 4: what you mentioned mas potatoes. If you if you go
• 4:34
  Speaker 4: to a restaurant, you're like, wow, why are the mast
• 4:36
  Speaker 4: potatoes at a restaurant so much better? When you think
• 4:39
  Speaker 4: you're done putting enough butter in, double it and then
• 4:43
  Speaker 4: double it again. That's the trick to good restaurant mashed potatoes.
• 4:48
  Speaker 4: So I'll say, but I like green bean castle. There's
• 4:51
  Speaker 4: my wife will make that. So Jimmy thinks a like
• 4:54
  Speaker 4: a bunch of different castles like mac and cheese greening
• 4:56
  Speaker 4: castrole like a Broccolian cheddar cast role with like bread
• 5:00
  Speaker 4: crumbs on top, does a Brussels spout cast role with
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: bake We're talking.
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: I'm starving right now, you guys.
• 5:09
  Speaker 4: So Oh, the funny story is my mother in law
• 5:12
  Speaker 4: makes made the one year she made this oyster cast role.
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: And I've had oyster cast role before and it's good,
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: it's decent when it's done right, but this is like
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: the first year that like I had met her, like
• 5:27
  Speaker 4: within a year of that Thanksgiving. So she brought it
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: to me and I was just trying to get like
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: brownie points with her. So I was like and I
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: was like hyping how good it was, but I didn't
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: really like it. So I ended up like tossing it somehow,
• 5:45
  Speaker 4: and then was like, oh, it's so good. So now
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: she like makes extra every year for me and then puts, well,
• 5:53
  Speaker 4: we'll bring me a plate a bit when I'm over there,
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: and then she'll give me this huge tubware thing of
• 5:59
  Speaker 4: extra to go, and I don't like it. And I've
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: been living this lie for like eight years. I had
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: to get it off my chest.
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: I hope if somebody sends her this podcast link.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: I hope she listens, because Alice is she cranking out
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: the coin during the NFL season. Kendrick's starving. I am
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: starving for some football picks. Let's plant our flag for
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: week thirteen.
• 6:21
  Speaker 6: Might flag in it?
• 6:22
  Speaker 4: Shut up, I'm trying to plant my flag here.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: Okay, you're really planning your flag in that deck? Fucky,
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: We'll start with you.
• 6:29
  Speaker 4: I have no bets yet. So far, I haven't placed
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: any bets. It's still pretty early in the week, waiting
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: on some key numbers. But I guess I'll plan my
• 6:38
  Speaker 4: flag on the Indianapolis Colts. My Daniel Jones minus four
• 6:43
  Speaker 4: and a half, my pumpkin. I just think it's a
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: good spot to buy low on the Colts. There's also
• 6:49
  Speaker 4: there's a couple of things working in the colts favor here.
• 6:52
  Speaker 4: One she J. Stroud's coming back. Historically, there's a lot
• 6:55
  Speaker 4: of data that suggests when quarterbacks come back after an
• 6:58
  Speaker 4: extended periods, missing multiple games due to a concussion, that
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: there is a dip in performance. So I do think
• 7:05
  Speaker 4: that CJ. Stroud might be a bit less effective than
• 7:10
  Speaker 4: he usually is. Additionally, I do think this Colts defense
• 7:13
  Speaker 4: is trending up now that soft squardner is a couple
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: of games. Sharrairi's ward is now back. They argue about
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: the best corner group in the NFL. You can maybe
• 7:21
  Speaker 4: run on them a bit. Texas can't really run the ball.
• 7:24
  Speaker 4: And now you're getting the Colts after three straight non
• 7:27
  Speaker 4: covers back at home, right And they were at Pittsburgh
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: overseas at Kansas City, so three games away from home outdoors,
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: So now you're getting them at home. Or I think
• 7:41
  Speaker 4: that operate that offense operates at peak efficiency. The Texans
• 7:45
  Speaker 4: defense is a problem and it's going to be a problem,
• 7:48
  Speaker 4: and they're elite at defending play action, which is what
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: you want to be when you're defending the Colts offense.
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: But I do think that the Colts offense can do
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: enough at home to get this done. I think it's
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: a good by low Sell high spot of the Texans
• 8:03
  Speaker 4: with Stroud coming off with a concussion. And then there's
• 8:06
  Speaker 4: an additionally, the the red zone goal line off difference
• 8:11
  Speaker 4: between these offenses, because the Texans don't know how to
• 8:13
  Speaker 4: score near the end zone and the Colts have Jonathan
• 8:16
  Speaker 4: Taylor or can sneak it with Daniel Jones, and then
• 8:19
  Speaker 4: they have the coach, who is much more aggressive on
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: fourth downs, makes much more positive ev decisions when it
• 8:26
  Speaker 4: comes to like going for it with stikeen at home.
• 8:29
  Speaker 4: I think this is a good spot to get the
• 8:31
  Speaker 4: Colts after that loss. Again, they should have won, and
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: I hope Stiken had the opportunity, had the opportunity to
• 8:38
  Speaker 4: send the Chiefs home, to send the Chiefs home for
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: the season and eliminate them for the playoffs. I mean
• 8:44
  Speaker 4: not mathematically, but they would have been in a tough spot.
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: It was fourth and five around the forty five, correct
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: me if I'm wrong, and they punted up three. What
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: do you think was gonna happen there? He gave it
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: to Mahomes, He drove the field. You're lucky that they
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: didn't score a touchdown. But all year the Colts have
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: been super aggressive and they didn't there on the road
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: against Mahomes, and they punted in a costs them. So
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: I hope stike And learned. His lesson is usually good
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: in that aspect. But yeah, I'm take I'm going to
• 9:19
  Speaker 4: take the Colts here at home against the Texans.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: I could not agree with you more.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: The Colts at home thirty four points per game, number
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: one in the NFL four and one against the spread
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: on their home turf. This is one of my favorite
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: bits of the week. There are fours out there to
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: be had as well. Kendra, what about you? Where are
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: you planting your flag?
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: I am going to go with the Thanksgiving theme. I
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: know that we're probably not going to have a ton
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: of Thanksgiving bets, so I'm going to go with the
• 9:48
  Speaker 5: under and the Chiefs Cowboys game. We got an extra
• 9:50
  Speaker 5: point inline movement this morning. It went from fifty one
• 9:53
  Speaker 5: and a half to fifty two and a half. I'm
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: going to go with the fifty two and a half
• 9:56
  Speaker 5: seems to be pretty consistent across the board. I just
• 9:59
  Speaker 5: think that the Cowboys, do with the additions that they
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: made at the trade deadline, has gotten better.
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: The Chiefs have a good defense.
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: Rashie Rice and Isaiah Pacheco are both questionable. Even if
• 10:08
  Speaker 5: they play, I think that that's probably gonna be a little.
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: Bit of a hindrance to their offense.
• 10:12
  Speaker 5: And I just don't see the Cowboys as good of
• 10:16
  Speaker 5: a season as Dak's been having putting up a ton
• 10:18
  Speaker 5: of points against the Chiefs. The Chiefs haven't scored a
• 10:20
  Speaker 5: ton of points consistently this season. I like the under
• 10:23
  Speaker 5: at fifty two and a half. If I'm not mistaken,
• 10:25
  Speaker 5: it is the highest total this week. Like the under
• 10:27
  Speaker 5: in this game, especially because I do think that the
• 10:29
  Speaker 5: Cowboys defense has gotten significantly better.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: An under for the most watched game potentially of a
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: disgusting isn't while families are gathering, You're over here and
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: folks are sweating out their.
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: Turn them kids, You're taking the under.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: That's the most joyless under have you ever met a season.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with you, just just stating.
• 10:54
  Speaker 3: The raining on the people's parade per usual.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: That is joyless.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the Cincinnati Bengals plus seven also
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving. I'm super sketched out by the fact that
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: the Ravens were outgained by the Jets last week. Lamar
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: still is not Lamar. So while power rating numbers reflect
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: that when this team is healthy, they're a great team,
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: I think we have to start accounting for the fact
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: that Lamar is less than his usual self. He just
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: popped up on the injury report again with a toe injury.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: This his third different injury in the last three weeks.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the Ravens are just playing games
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: with the injury report, but the Lamar that we're seeing
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: on the field would indicate that he's not the same guy.
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: One point six yards per carry, two point five over
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: his last two games. It just changes the dynamics of
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: this Ravens offense. Joe Burrow back for Cincinnati. I usually
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: like fading returning players, but I've been waiting for this one.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: Thought I was gonna get it last week. They still
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: got the cover against New England. I'll take the Bengals
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving plus the seven Stucky. Any pushback on my
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: playing at the flag or Kendra's joyless heartless under.
• 12:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah, the problem with I mean that the Cowboys defense
• 12:09
  Speaker 4: is improved with Quinn Williams and and there are other additions,
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: but especially against the run. You've seen that over the
• 12:15
  Speaker 4: past two weeks. Even if you know you're playing the
• 12:18
  Speaker 4: Raiders and Eagles, who struggle to run the ball anyway,
• 12:20
  Speaker 4: their defense is going to be better. They're getting more
• 12:22
  Speaker 4: pressure too. I concerned is on the back end. They
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: play a lot of zone that works against the Eagles
• 12:28
  Speaker 4: doesn't necessarily work against Mahomes, So Mahomes could have a
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: big day. They're gonna have to get pressure. There are
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: injuries that there are offensive line injuries for both teams,
• 12:37
  Speaker 4: like Tray Smith's out for the Chiefs. They're all Pro guard.
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: That's worth noting that. I think Gitan's going to be
• 12:43
  Speaker 4: out for the Cowboys. They're left tackle. I believe everyone
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: else is going to play. But like Pickens was on,
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: Pickens and Turpin were on the injury report yesterday, I
• 12:52
  Speaker 4: assume they'll be fine. Is in addition to Worthy and Rice,
• 12:56
  Speaker 4: but that's definitely worth noting. I do think that the
• 12:58
  Speaker 4: Cowboys can put up points on anyone at home, but yeah,
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: maybe it's it's a touch high. I don't I don't
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: hate it, but definitely no joy on Thanksgiving watching that
• 13:08
  Speaker 4: game yet. I don't even know how many people are
• 13:09
  Speaker 4: gonna end up watching it. The Bengals Ravens game, Uh,
• 13:14
  Speaker 4: I just I just think it's a pure stay away,
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: Like there's number one. The Ravens might be able to
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: just lie, just line up and hand it off to
• 13:25
  Speaker 4: Henry and Mitchell all game and put up thirty five
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: on the Bengals defense. You got I mean last week
• 13:33
  Speaker 4: the Bengals got the cover, but I meant the Patriots
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: lost all their offensive line and they barely got there.
• 13:42
  Speaker 4: And then there's no t Higgins, which is big, Like
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: Chase and Higgins together is fireworks, and you can't you
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: can't just focus on Chase. A little different story this
• 13:55
  Speaker 4: week without Higgins and Chase is lit up, lit up
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: the Ravens in the past. And then historically when these
• 14:01
  Speaker 4: quarterbacks come back at their extended rest, especially Borrow, there
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: is a lot of rust. So easy, one hundred percent healthy.
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: This seems like a coming back very quick. I assume
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: there's probably gonna be some rust early, and we've seen
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: this with Burrow consistently in like Week one of the
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: regular season when he misses time in the preseason. And
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: then yeah, Lamar is not fully healthy yet now dealing
• 14:22
  Speaker 4: with a toe thing. So the red zone offense is
• 14:25
  Speaker 4: not the same that they can't finish drives. So yeah,
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: that's just a tough game with uncertainty surrounding both quarterbacks.
• 14:34
  Speaker 4: So I don't have a strong feel there either way.
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: To be honest, still have our two Kings and a
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: Queen parlay coming up on this Thanksgiving super episode, which
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: means more picks, more analysis, But right now, a word
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: from the Queen of the pod chatting about our royal
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: friends at DraftKings.
• 14:52
  Speaker 5: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in
• 14:56
  Speaker 5: partnership with DraftKings, our listeners get a great offer right now.
• 14:59
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• 15:28
  Speaker 2: Evan.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: No betting week can start without the primer and you've
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: got the feast over at Actionnetwork dot com. What do
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: we need to know before we nominate our plays for
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: Week thirteen? In fact, before we even get to that,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: a more important question, Evan overrated underrated Thanksgiving side dish.
• 15:46
  Speaker 6: Most overrated dish is definitely the mashed potatoes. I tried
• 15:49
  Speaker 6: to compare them to like the bills, like I feel
• 15:51
  Speaker 6: like they come to the table every year and I
• 15:53
  Speaker 6: just continue to throw them back.
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: So yes, evn is it fair to call mashed potato?
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: Are people overrating mashed potatoes? I agree with all of
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: the analysis on the podcast so.
• 16:06
  Speaker 6: Far, but I think it's more or less like you
• 16:08
  Speaker 6: got to spread. You walk up to the table, what
• 16:10
  Speaker 6: are you choosing? And that's the one I'm not choosing
• 16:14
  Speaker 6: the most, and it's probably one of the more popular ones.
• 16:18
  Speaker 6: So a public side, then I'm walking to the table
• 16:21
  Speaker 6: and just saying.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: No to although public sides have done quite well. We'll
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: detail that in a second. Where do you guys land on?
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: Should we be eating stuffing throughout the course of the year. Yeah,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: we save it for Thanksgiving. It's so good and the
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: knock against it is, hey, if it was actually that good,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: we'd be eating it year round, like pretty much everything
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: else that's on the plate.
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: But one of my grandpa be a box for dinner
• 16:44
  Speaker 5: once a week, literally once a week, there's always one
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: in her pantry.
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: Shout out my friend Nicole.
• 16:51
  Speaker 5: She literally smashes Thanksgiving food year round and I love
• 16:54
  Speaker 5: her for it, her sodium levels have to be off
• 16:57
  Speaker 5: the charts, but good for her.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: Evan, how many times a year do you have stuffing?
• 17:02
  Speaker 6: Stuffing? Oh god? Now that's also kind of overrated unless
• 17:06
  Speaker 6: you do it really well, because in the end it's
• 17:09
  Speaker 6: just kind of sliced up bread with vegetables. But it
• 17:12
  Speaker 6: can be done very well. So it's a it could
• 17:15
  Speaker 6: be good, it's just a.
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: So I was combing through the primer and this one
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: really stood out to me. The Lions and the Cowboys
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: haven't gone a combined two and oh ats on Thanksgiving
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: since two thousand and one. They haven't both gone two
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: and oh straight up and against the spread on Thanksgiving
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: since nineteen ninety four. So I could have been waking
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: up on Thanksgiving morning for the last thirty one years
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: just rolling out of bed slamming a parlay together. Cowboys Lions.
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: Those are the Thanksgiving teams. I'll have them both to win.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: I'd be oh and thirty one if there was ever
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: a case against parlays.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: That's it right now.
• 17:54
  Speaker 6: Yeah, that's probably my favorite note that, honestly, and I
• 17:59
  Speaker 6: think I found that like a year or two ago,
• 18:01
  Speaker 6: and obviously it's worked out recently. But ridiculous that the
• 18:04
  Speaker 6: two teams that we continue to force down everyone's throats
• 18:08
  Speaker 6: have never been able to figure it out both on
• 18:10
  Speaker 6: the same year crushing parlays for over three decades.
• 18:14
  Speaker 5: That is an insane statistic. I never would have guessed,
• 18:18
  Speaker 5: like ever in a million years.
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: That's a great get.
• 18:22
  Speaker 6: Also, the Lions never win, so it really helped a
• 18:24
  Speaker 6: lot of those years when the Cowboys showed up. So
• 18:26
  Speaker 6: that's fair.
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: Do you guys go on your cousin walks? Are we
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: pro cousin walk in this house?
• 18:32
  Speaker 5: Oh?
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you got to gotta get this.
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: I had a cousin walk.
• 18:35
  Speaker 5: I'm in New York City this year, so I'm gonna
• 18:36
  Speaker 5: go to Chinatown for a Thanksgiving and I could have
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: had like a Thanksgiving dinner situation, but I think I'm
• 18:41
  Speaker 5: gonna go to hot pot and I'm gonna go on
• 18:43
  Speaker 5: a cousin walk with no cousins.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Evan, what what else did you pluck out that you
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: feel that people need to know? Saw some overs time
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: stuff in there the public sides. It's it's just it's
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: such a heavy trend's day in the NFL.
• 18:58
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean the interesting thing I think more than
• 19:00
  Speaker 6: anything is the fact that the public really does well
• 19:02
  Speaker 6: on Thanksgiving historically favorites with sixty percent of tickets twenty
• 19:06
  Speaker 6: four and ten against the spread. The thing that becomes
• 19:08
  Speaker 6: interesting though, is this year, and it's been talked about
• 19:11
  Speaker 6: in a lot of different areas, but sixty percent of
• 19:12
  Speaker 6: tickets this year is forty two and seventy three against
• 19:17
  Speaker 6: the spread for US thirty six point five percent. So
• 19:21
  Speaker 6: take it for what you will. That's the data, but
• 19:23
  Speaker 6: this year been terrible. Historically Thanksgiving favorites just ten to
• 19:26
  Speaker 6: roll since two thousand and four, forty and twenty against
• 19:30
  Speaker 6: the spread. And the one that's crazy is obviously just
• 19:33
  Speaker 6: the Chiefs in this scenario, but road favorites twenty five
• 19:36
  Speaker 6: and one straight up since four twenty and six against
• 19:40
  Speaker 6: the number. Pretty good there. The other thing on Thanksgiving,
• 19:44
  Speaker 6: i'll give you too many there, it's yeah, pretty good,
• 19:46
  Speaker 6: not Bad'll be the.
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Chiefs, by the way, the only one that's set that
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: category correct.
• 19:52
  Speaker 6: And then you've got the Packers, so sitting as underdog
• 19:54
  Speaker 6: as there were three not down to two and a half.
• 19:56
  Speaker 6: Matt Lafleur twenty and eighteen straight up up as an
• 20:01
  Speaker 6: underdog as a head coach, only coach that many games
• 20:04
  Speaker 6: above five hundred, so he's really good in that role.
• 20:08
  Speaker 6: I mean, there's a bunch of other things here, Cincinnati,
• 20:11
  Speaker 6: So if you want to take the Bengals, you'll like
• 20:13
  Speaker 6: the fact that Burrow as an underdog of three points
• 20:16
  Speaker 6: or more seventeen and three against the spread, which will
• 20:19
  Speaker 6: be a fun one. That line just not budging enough
• 20:21
  Speaker 6: to get down to that number, especially with the news.
• 20:25
  Speaker 6: And we'll talk about luck sides for a second because
• 20:27
  Speaker 6: we've got other games this weekend. Both a grade luck
• 20:30
  Speaker 6: sides from week thirteen through the Super Bowl, not counting
• 20:33
  Speaker 6: the last week or the regular season sixty eight percent.
• 20:36
  Speaker 6: They're like in Washington and obviously this is Nick giff
• 20:39
  Speaker 6: and Washington six and a half Giants and seven and
• 20:42
  Speaker 6: a half crazy thing there. Honestly about four thousand betting
• 20:46
  Speaker 6: side since twenty eighteen Giants. The Washington side ranks eleventh
• 20:52
  Speaker 6: all time in luck score while the Giants is seventeen.
• 20:54
  Speaker 6: So two real big luck scorers there, which intriguing for
• 20:57
  Speaker 6: the weekend.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: And back to the favorites on Thanksgiving. Yeah, SI favorites
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: with sixty plus percent of the tickets twenty four and
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: ten ats. The problem is Evan that applies to no one,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: so's we can't even use.
• 21:13
  Speaker 6: That public sides, I mean public sides thirty six and
• 21:16
  Speaker 6: twenty so I mean that covers everything right and right now.
• 21:20
  Speaker 6: The only tune that are really even seeing some action
• 21:23
  Speaker 6: would be the Cowboys. We got sixty nine percent of
• 21:25
  Speaker 6: tickets on them right now, case ce a thirty one
• 21:27
  Speaker 6: percent is kind of intriguing, see where that goes over
• 21:29
  Speaker 6: the weekend. The other one would be your Bengals at
• 21:32
  Speaker 6: sixty four percent. So a few things kind of pointing
• 21:34
  Speaker 6: at Cincinnati.
• 21:35
  Speaker 4: It's it's store early though a lot of yeah, yeah,
• 21:39
  Speaker 4: it's Tuesday. A lot of people are gonna wake up
• 21:41
  Speaker 4: on Thursday and then place their bets. I would say,
• 21:46
  Speaker 4: with the road favorites and the favorites Math and then
• 21:49
  Speaker 4: the Lines and Cowboys, it might be a detriment to
• 21:52
  Speaker 4: be a in a way to be at home this week,
• 21:56
  Speaker 4: like the's with all the distractions of Thanksgiving, and then
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: when you're on the it's like this is a business
• 22:01
  Speaker 4: trip and there's no distractions. And I don't know, maybe
• 22:04
  Speaker 4: that plays a small part in it because it has
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: been happening for a very long time, but yeah, that's
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: that's amazing stuff on the lines and Cowboys.
• 22:16
  Speaker 6: Yeah, back Friday. I mean there's I mean, there's a.
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: Real recounting that as a Thanksgiving game.
• 22:23
  Speaker 6: I mean, it's not in the data, but it's definitely
• 22:25
  Speaker 6: it's in the primer because it's it's on a Friday.
• 22:27
  Speaker 6: You're gonna throw me an NFL game at three pm
• 22:29
  Speaker 6: on a Friday. I'm gonna give you some information on it.
• 22:31
  Speaker 6: That's just how it works.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: So what is it?
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: What do you have specifically for Eagles Bears other than
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: the fact that those are the two luckiest teams, two
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: of the luckiest teams in the NFL, so hard to
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: get an edge there as far as the luck rankings go.
• 22:44
  Speaker 6: I mean, just a great game overall. I mean, the
• 22:47
  Speaker 6: note you'll know is that home in Philly Hurts is
• 22:49
  Speaker 6: thirty and four straight up as a favorite. The craziest
• 22:53
  Speaker 6: thing about that thirty and four straight up number, he's
• 22:56
  Speaker 6: actually profited a better seven hundred and eighteen bucks one
• 22:59
  Speaker 6: hundred dollars bet twenty. You'd say to yourself, like seven
• 23:03
  Speaker 6: hundred bucks one hundred dollars bets nothing, but as a
• 23:05
  Speaker 6: home favorite, it's really incredible to even be that high.
• 23:08
  Speaker 6: We've had two hundred and thirty three quarterbacks and so
• 23:11
  Speaker 6: three have made a start as a home favorite. Just
• 23:13
  Speaker 6: five have profited five hundred dollars or more so, sitting
• 23:17
  Speaker 6: at seven eighteen, pretty wild. It's Tom Brady, Joe Flacco,
• 23:21
  Speaker 6: Peyton Manning, Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes. Not a terrible list.
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: Fantastic stuff.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: Thanks so much, Evan stucky have you gotten or I
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: know that you haven't placed a bet yet. But in
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: terms of the before we move off of Thanksgiving altogether,
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: the other games, the early ones Chiefs, Cowboys, Lions, Packers.
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: Is there a side that you find yourself tilting towards
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: for either one of those games?
• 23:43
  Speaker 4: I mean at three and a half, well you can
• 23:46
  Speaker 4: get at DraftKings. I would lean Cowboys, but afraid of
• 23:49
  Speaker 4: their their zone, how much zone they play on the
• 23:52
  Speaker 4: back end against Mahomes. It's a bit concerning, but would
• 23:57
  Speaker 4: lean that way, Like I think that that line should
• 23:58
  Speaker 4: probably be three, which is where I get closed? Is
• 24:00
  Speaker 4: that and although the Chiefs took a ton of money
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: at game day last week, like a ton, but it
• 24:06
  Speaker 4: was ended up being wrong, And then I like that
• 24:11
  Speaker 4: I'm very upset I missed the Packers at plus three.
• 24:13
  Speaker 4: I think right now the Packers are the better team
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: than the Lions, and that's I think the market is
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: coming down on that for a reason.
• 24:20
  Speaker 5: The Lions injury report is disgusting.
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they've had a rough go of that.
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: It is a few weeks heinous.
• 24:28
  Speaker 5: I was doing a bunch of research this morning, and
• 24:30
  Speaker 5: I don't think there's more people on their injury report
• 24:32
  Speaker 5: than off of it, honestly.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: I mean the Packers are in rough shape there too.
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: They have some secondary injuries. Kwai Walker, Golden Jacob's, you
• 24:38
  Speaker 4: know Jenkins still on I our craft that both these
• 24:41
  Speaker 4: teams have been you know, Jayden Reid. Both these teams
• 24:44
  Speaker 4: have been very beat up. But the Lion's offense has
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: been We had that one flash with Dan Campbell against
• 24:51
  Speaker 4: the Commanders and we were like, oh, it's all fixed.
• 24:54
  Speaker 4: But that was mainly about the Commander's defense that day,
• 24:56
  Speaker 4: not wanting to be out there. The Lion's offense for
• 24:59
  Speaker 4: two months is been sub average, are average at best.
• 25:03
  Speaker 4: The offensive line is not the same. It's much worse
• 25:06
  Speaker 4: in the interior now there's no Laporta. Gibbs is like
• 25:10
  Speaker 4: saving them on a That's that's basically the offense right now,
• 25:14
  Speaker 4: but the Laporta loss is huge if there's no more
• 25:18
  Speaker 4: Ben Johnson. So the run game, it just doesn't that.
• 25:20
  Speaker 4: The creativity isn't there, the pressure is there, and then
• 25:24
  Speaker 4: the defense. Last week we just watched Jameis Winston go
• 25:26
  Speaker 4: up and down the field. They should have beat the
• 25:27
  Speaker 4: Lions in Detroit. These are things that didn't used to
• 25:29
  Speaker 4: happen to Detroit when they don't cover against the spread.
• 25:33
  Speaker 4: And by the way, they lost to McCarthy at home.
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: J J.
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: McCarthy beat the Lions in Detroit.
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: Jameis Winston for he does that look right now?
• 25:45
  Speaker 4: Should have won in Detroit. So yeah, we'll love a
• 25:47
  Speaker 4: three there. But do think if it doesn't pop again,
• 25:52
  Speaker 4: which I don't think it will, it might, but I
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: don't know. Maybe a bunch of the Lions could be
• 25:56
  Speaker 4: a public side on Thursday. I don't really know, but
• 26:00
  Speaker 4: the Packers are a good teaser.
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: Piece in my opinion, first game this season, the Green
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: Bay Packers are listed as an underdog and Matt Laflor
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: has performed really well as a coach in those situations.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: I did put Lions minus three in the app earlier
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: this week. I don't love it. I don't love it,
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: I honestly, other than the fact that it's it's a
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: home team, a home favorite on Thanksgiving, and the Lions
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: off of a non cover have been you know them,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: off the loss off of a non cover, They've been machines.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: They also have revenge on their minds. That's part of
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: this too. They got blasted by this Packers team the
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: first time they met. But I do not love the bets.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: Sometimes we place bets that we regret. I'm just gonna
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: have to sit with it.
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: Regret I regret.
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: Before even watching it play out. I'm not in love
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: with that one.
• 26:49
  Speaker 5: I'm all over the Eagles for what it's worth if
• 26:52
  Speaker 5: anybody cares. I think it's a great spot for them.
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: I think that the Bears are fake as how, they've
• 26:57
  Speaker 5: been getting super lucky. I know I talked a lot
• 26:59
  Speaker 5: of shit about the Eagles on Sunday, but I think
• 27:01
  Speaker 5: it's a good bounce back spot for them. They're the
• 27:03
  Speaker 5: better team. If you're gonna sit here and talk about luck,
• 27:07
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna go at the better roster. I'm gonna go
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: with the coach who's proven himself, and I think that
• 27:11
  Speaker 5: that's all I need to know for this game like that.
• 27:13
  Speaker 5: You can talk about luck all you want, but I
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: don't think that the Bears are a good team. I
• 27:16
  Speaker 5: think that they're a lucky team.
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: I think both are to a degree.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: But the Eagles at least have the track record of
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: actually being a Super Bowl winner, and we have not
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: seen that from Chicago, Chicago spot. They are the horseshoe
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: in the ass team of the year, and it's like
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: everything and it's not.
• 27:35
  Speaker 5: Going in like where you like put one in at
• 27:37
  Speaker 5: at a time, like both ends are going up your
• 27:39
  Speaker 5: ass at the same time.
• 27:41
  Speaker 4: You know, if we're talking about I don't push back
• 27:43
  Speaker 4: on that. I don't. I don't hate the Eagles this
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: week because I just hate needing that team to win
• 27:48
  Speaker 4: by margin.
• 27:49
  Speaker 5: I mean, I know that's the part that I hate too,
• 27:51
  Speaker 5: because I.
• 27:51
  Speaker 4: Don't know every week without scoring, Like.
• 27:54
  Speaker 5: I literally said that verbatim on Sunday Show, because I
• 27:57
  Speaker 5: said that. We've talked all season long about how it
• 28:00
  Speaker 5: went from a quarter where they do nothing to a
• 28:02
  Speaker 5: quarter and a half where they do nothing, to a
• 28:04
  Speaker 5: half where they do nothing on both sides of the ball.
• 28:06
  Speaker 5: I agree that that's the part that scares me. Needing
• 28:08
  Speaker 5: a touchdown from them. But I think they have to
• 28:10
  Speaker 5: beat up on the Bears after the embarrassment that they
• 28:13
  Speaker 5: had this weekend.
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: I think the Eagles could be a good teaser piece.
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: Take them down to one, and you don't them to
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: cover seven.
• 28:21
  Speaker 4: Eagles and Packers decent teaser. Yeah, that that would be
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: my only concern because I mean, this Eagles offen. They
• 28:29
  Speaker 4: you would think you would hope that they should be
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: able to run the ball here, because I mean, this
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: is a team they have what eight wins, They have
• 28:37
  Speaker 4: one win by margin, one win all year by more
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: than seven points, and that came against the Giants, who
• 28:47
  Speaker 4: have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. So, yeah,
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: is Lane Johnson ago? I mean he matters a ton.
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: I don't think we're gonna know. I don't know yet.
• 28:58
  Speaker 4: So, but the offensive line isn't as good, the play
• 29:02
  Speaker 4: calling isn't as good. I mean there's the Dolphins line
• 29:04
  Speaker 4: has been all hurt too, Like if Johnson's been hurt,
• 29:07
  Speaker 4: Stein's been hurt, Dickerson has been playing as well. They
• 29:09
  Speaker 4: missed Beckton in the run game. So Barkley's had a
• 29:13
  Speaker 4: much worse year.
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: And it's the Madden curse.
• 29:17
  Speaker 4: But it's at home. These aren't two lucky teams. But yeah,
• 29:23
  Speaker 4: that's that's My only concern is that the Eagles, like
• 29:27
  Speaker 4: it's very difficult for them to go up by fourteen
• 29:29
  Speaker 4: on anybody, or or if they do, they get it
• 29:32
  Speaker 4: all back because they don't score for while. We saw
• 29:34
  Speaker 4: that with against the Cowboys, we saw it against the Broncos.
• 29:39
  Speaker 4: So it's but this could be a matchup. And again,
• 29:42
  Speaker 4: the Bears defense has been living off of turnovers. That's
• 29:45
  Speaker 4: one of the reasons they've been the luckiest team, one
• 29:47
  Speaker 4: of the luckiest teams. We'll see if they get some
• 29:49
  Speaker 4: guys back, you know, Jalen Johnson, Kyler Gordon, some of
• 29:52
  Speaker 4: their linebackers, Tyree Steens, and they have a lot of
• 29:54
  Speaker 4: questionable pieces on that defense, but they've been living off
• 29:58
  Speaker 4: turnovers generally speaking, to turn it over a fewer at
• 30:03
  Speaker 4: a lower rate than almost any team in the NFL.
• 30:07
  Speaker 4: So it might be difficult for the Bears to get
• 30:09
  Speaker 4: stops here and or keep up that turnover pace. So
• 30:12
  Speaker 4: I don't mind the Eagles.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Look, Kendra, we are at least with you on the
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: fact that we do not recommend on this podcast betting
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: on the Chicago Bears this week.
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: So that's uh, I'll take it.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: You get our you get our green check mark here
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: on the action check mark.
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: That's right.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: Nothing more beautiful on Thanksgiving other than the plate that's
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: in front of you, than getting a green check mark
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: as you make your way through the day.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: Kendra, what prop has you gonna pickle this week?
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: Okay, we're in a pickle.
• 30:42
  Speaker 4: Now, I'm really in a pickle. Now, all right, look
• 30:45
  Speaker 4: we're gonna pickle again.
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: Hey.
• 30:50
  Speaker 5: I could have gone anywhere with this because it's such
• 30:51
  Speaker 5: a fun week of games. But I figured the man
• 30:54
  Speaker 5: of the hour, the person that we have to talk about,
• 30:56
  Speaker 5: the person that everybody wants to hear about, in the
• 30:58
  Speaker 5: person that people probably are going to be gambling on
• 31:01
  Speaker 5: in different ways this weekend is going to be Shador Sanders.
• 31:05
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna pickle this week because part of me says
• 31:07
  Speaker 5: it's time to fade him. But the other part of
• 31:09
  Speaker 5: this question, I know that we talked about there's potentially
• 31:12
  Speaker 5: some weather for this game this weekend. But his total
• 31:15
  Speaker 5: unpassing yards is one hundred and sixty seven and a half.
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: I don't hate that because even if he does have
• 31:20
  Speaker 5: some turnovers, clearly the confidence is there for him to
• 31:22
  Speaker 5: continue to keep throwing the ball. Obviously, the weather is
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: going to be a factor. I'm more so, is this
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: the perfect spot to fade him? Or are the shador
• 31:30
  Speaker 5: truthers right? I thought this would be a good, you know,
• 31:33
  Speaker 5: think piece for the podcast, and it's It's really not
• 31:35
  Speaker 5: that high of a total. The weather obviously is going
• 31:38
  Speaker 5: to play a factor. But this is who everybody wants
• 31:39
  Speaker 5: to talk about. This is who everybody wants to watch
• 31:41
  Speaker 5: right now. Where are you guys at on the shador
• 31:43
  Speaker 5: truthers versus the haters?
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: Fucky?
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: I mean I wouldn't go over. I think the Browns
• 31:49
  Speaker 4: are just going to try to run the ball here
• 31:51
  Speaker 4: with all the good the weather's gonna be bad. I
• 31:53
  Speaker 4: mean Sanders last week he had his QBR was eight.
• 31:56
  Speaker 4: There the Brown's success rate on offense was twenty five percent,
• 31:59
  Speaker 4: at the lowest any team. Last week. I mean Sanders
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: had a what the safety? They had a eighty yard
• 32:06
  Speaker 4: screen pass and then he had one good play on
• 32:09
  Speaker 4: a when he rolled out and there was a broken coverage.
• 32:12
  Speaker 4: So like I if you take away the eighty yard
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: screen pass, he went ten of nineteen for one hundred
• 32:18
  Speaker 4: yards with a pick. So, and that was against the
• 32:22
  Speaker 4: Raiders defense, which isn't great indoors so and it was positive,
• 32:28
  Speaker 4: was a positive game script like they were leading. So
• 32:31
  Speaker 4: this sky had the Raiders in that game. And to
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: where I was wrong was the.
• 32:33
  Speaker 3: Brawn we all had the Raiders. That was our.
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: The Browns defensive line just dominated the Raiders. I feared
• 32:41
  Speaker 4: that could happen, but I didn't think it would be
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: that overwhelming. So but I didn't. I didn't see much
• 32:47
  Speaker 4: from Sanders that changed my tune there. Yet I have
• 32:50
  Speaker 4: to see more now. The forty nine Ers defense is
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: not good and they're so they're just so beat up,
• 32:58
  Speaker 4: but they're just they're gonna play a ton of zone.
• 33:02
  Speaker 4: They're gonna load the box. And but I just think,
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: what the weather here is you're the here's the thing.
• 33:08
  Speaker 4: The Browns defense historic under Schwartz has owned owned the
• 33:13
  Speaker 4: Shanahan Tree. The Browns defense also at home is even
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: another level good. And then you throw in all this weather,
• 33:21
  Speaker 4: the wind, the wind gusts. The cold party historically in
• 33:25
  Speaker 4: in wet, bad conditions has fared very poorly, including last
• 33:30
  Speaker 4: year in not the weather's not even gonna be as bad.
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: It's gonna be worse than it was last year. Pretty
• 33:35
  Speaker 4: lost outright as I think an eight point favorite in Cleveland,
• 33:38
  Speaker 4: he had an awful day. Doesn't have big hands, and
• 33:42
  Speaker 4: he struggled throughout his whole career whenever there's any kind
• 33:46
  Speaker 4: of inclement weather or wind. So I think the forty
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: nine ers are gonna go super conservative.
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: Party looked like shit yesterday.
• 33:54
  Speaker 4: Oh my god, the Browns are gonna So I don't
• 33:58
  Speaker 4: I don't know the way. I think if the Browns
• 34:01
  Speaker 4: get behind, way behind, then you're gonna have a chance.
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: But this might just be like a low scoring shit fest,
• 34:08
  Speaker 4: and then it's gonna be really hard for any my think.
• 34:11
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I just I'm in the boat that maybe they're
• 34:13
  Speaker 5: gonna be playing from behind and they're gonna let him
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: throw it, Like you're never gonna mess up this kid's confidence.
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: And I don't think it matters if he throws seven interceptions.
• 34:20
  Speaker 5: He's gonna he's gonna keep trying to throw the ball
• 34:22
  Speaker 5: and they're gonna let him if they're playing from behind,
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: you know. So that's kind of where I was at
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: with it, having put it in just the pickle wanted
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: to throw something popular out there. You're not gonna hurt
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: my feelings. Just thought it was worth the discussion.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: Brown's team total is sixteen and a half for this
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: football game. So we are and we're seeing looks like
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: the under taking some money as well is thirty nine
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: and a half when we went live here, it's thirty eight.
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: And a half now.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: I would I was on his under passing prop last week,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: and the thing I fear is this is the same
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: thing happening again where he hits two good plays. It's
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: such a low number. He doesn't need to do much
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: in order to get the over. I'm with you on
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: fading him because he had a decent performance in terms
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: of getting the win and a couple of nice plays.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: For this is still a rookie fifth round pick making
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: his first NFL start. I can grade him on a curve,
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: but there. I think there are probably other ways to
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: fade shador I would love that. I'm sure the interception
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: prop is juiced to the gills. Oh yeah, maybe we
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: go under him, please.
• 35:29
  Speaker 3: I wonder if there's one out there for over.
• 35:32
  Speaker 5: Like, like I wonder if you could get one for
• 35:34
  Speaker 5: like over one and a half plus money something like that. Yeah, yeah,
• 35:38
  Speaker 5: because if you see him throwing two going.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: Up against your your former boss, Robert Salah, Yeah, no.
• 35:48
  Speaker 5: Kidding, Oh Robert, what can give that house on the
• 35:52
  Speaker 5: best snacks by the way, the solid house loaded with snacks.
• 35:56
  Speaker 5: Oh my God, shout out that family because holy kind
• 35:59
  Speaker 5: of snack household.
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: I'm sure it'll be a great Thanksgiving for the Sallows.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: Two kings and a queen Parlay. Let's nominate them, Kendra
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: and us your multiple nominations for two.
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: I have two required to bring two.
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: It is Thanksgiving. You can bring usually it's to a piece.
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: It's Thanksgiving. So if we want to defeast this out
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: we could, but go ahead.
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: I'm supposed to have two. I have to leg my crabits.
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: I have the Rams minus ten because they're my Kings.
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: I will never fade them.
• 36:46
  Speaker 5: I expect there to be a team every single week
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: that humbles them a little bit, makes them look better.
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: Even in their losses.
• 36:51
  Speaker 5: I still find ways to continue to love this team.
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: They beat the crap out of good They beat.
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: The crap out of the box the other night, and
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: I know that Baker Mayfield got hurt, so I'm going
• 37:02
  Speaker 5: to take that for what it's worth. But I think
• 37:04
  Speaker 5: the Rams are rolling. I think that this number is
• 37:06
  Speaker 5: probably right about where I wouldn't go any further than
• 37:10
  Speaker 5: this if it changes at all. The other thing I
• 37:11
  Speaker 5: want to bring up, this is for me, and this
• 37:13
  Speaker 5: is for Stucky Seattle minus ten and a half. I
• 37:16
  Speaker 5: know that our king is probably going to be starting.
• 37:19
  Speaker 5: And if you don't know who Stucky and Ice King is,
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: it's Max Brosmer, Max b Brozemer Truther is Max Brosmer Podcast.
• 37:26
  Speaker 5: But that being said, I don't really care if it's
• 37:28
  Speaker 5: JJ or it's Max. I honestly probably like this better
• 37:30
  Speaker 5: if it's JJ, so do without what you will. But
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: I like Seattle. They're going to keep rolling there at home.
• 37:38
  Speaker 5: I know that they've been a really good road team
• 37:39
  Speaker 5: this year. I just the Seattle Seahawks. I know that
• 37:42
  Speaker 5: they lost a couple of weeks ago as well, but
• 37:43
  Speaker 5: they score a lot of points. Yes, they didn't look
• 37:45
  Speaker 5: good against the Tennessee Titans for you know, two quarters,
• 37:48
  Speaker 5: But I think that, like I said on Sunday, that
• 37:50
  Speaker 5: said more about the Titans and the fight that they have,
• 37:52
  Speaker 5: I was right about the over in that game. I
• 37:54
  Speaker 5: just think that the Rams score way too many points
• 37:57
  Speaker 5: for Minnesota to be able to keep up with the
• 37:59
  Speaker 5: lack of offense that they have, and that's why I
• 38:01
  Speaker 5: think that this number is what I like it at.
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: Well, I am opposed to you on the Rams, bet,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: so I can get down with the little Seahawks love.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: My vote would be on Seattle.
• 38:13
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean there's a lot of uncertain that Seattle game.
• 38:16
  Speaker 4: It is worth noting that. I mean, yeah, McCarthy just
• 38:19
  Speaker 4: doesn't have it. I actually like Brosberg. He might breath
• 38:22
  Speaker 4: some life into the offense. Well see, I mean it's
• 38:25
  Speaker 4: also you know.
• 38:26
  Speaker 5: A rookies first, yeah, first against a good defense.
• 38:29
  Speaker 4: Although the Seahawks have injuries of linebacker worth noting, but
• 38:32
  Speaker 4: the Vikings have injuries on their offensive line that are
• 38:35
  Speaker 4: worth monitoring. But as far as the Rams are concerned,
• 38:41
  Speaker 4: I mean they're They're up at ten and a half. Now.
• 38:46
  Speaker 4: Part of the reason for that is last week, I mean,
• 38:50
  Speaker 4: excuse me, last week last night the Panthers, they were
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: missing both of their starting linebackers. They had another line
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: one of the new starting line get hurt. They had
• 39:02
  Speaker 4: two starting corners go down. It was an absolute disaster
• 39:09
  Speaker 4: from an injury perspective. So, I mean, you had Wallace
• 39:13
  Speaker 4: and Roseman didn't start, Cheryliss went down with an injury.
• 39:17
  Speaker 4: Horn and Thornton both got hurt in the secondary early,
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: and Horn had a great game and didn't didn't come
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: back out in the second half of the concussion was
• 39:24
  Speaker 4: throwing up, so I doubt he's back. He's their best
• 39:26
  Speaker 4: corner and it's a defense that can't get pressure. They
• 39:31
  Speaker 4: also lost their third string right guard who was starting.
• 39:34
  Speaker 4: They were down to their fourth string right guard and
• 39:36
  Speaker 4: their starting center couldn't go, so they were extremely beat up.
• 39:42
  Speaker 4: And now if you think about it going up against
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: the Rams offense and both teams are traveling across the country,
• 39:47
  Speaker 4: that the Panthers have a short week with a ton
• 39:48
  Speaker 4: of injuries, So like that that advantage normally that you
• 39:52
  Speaker 4: would have is negated. And historically Sean McVay has traveled
• 39:56
  Speaker 4: really well, especially to the East coast. But you think
• 39:59
  Speaker 4: about that Panther's defense, which can't get any pressure, incapable
• 40:03
  Speaker 4: of generating any pressure. Now with a potentially decimated linebacker
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: and cornerback room against that Rams offense, I know that's
• 40:13
  Speaker 4: a big number.
• 40:14
  Speaker 5: Is this just a long way of saying Evan's gonna
• 40:16
  Speaker 5: have to pick?
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: Yes?
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: Like I was, like, you can just just call upon God.
• 40:22
  Speaker 6: At this point, I've been working with Stucky for long
• 40:24
  Speaker 6: enough to know I was just getting prepared to have
• 40:26
  Speaker 6: to make an answer.
• 40:27
  Speaker 5: I literally it's been eleven weeks now, and I'm like,
• 40:31
  Speaker 5: I know where this is going.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: S Evan cracking his knuckles over there, all right.
• 40:38
  Speaker 6: I mean, there's some fun thing called a little bit
• 40:40
  Speaker 6: of a reverse line movement on this one because a
• 40:42
  Speaker 6: lot of tickets, a lot of money on Carolina, but
• 40:45
  Speaker 6: that line's moved from nine and a half to ten
• 40:47
  Speaker 6: to ten and a half, and it's all because of
• 40:48
  Speaker 6: what Stucky just spoke about. So I would go with
• 40:52
  Speaker 6: the Rams, as crazy as that sounds, because I kind
• 40:55
  Speaker 6: of like Minnesota in that game, and I hope Rosmer
• 40:57
  Speaker 6: starts that line though with Carol is literally something we
• 41:02
  Speaker 6: haven't seen in like fifteen or twenty years. You got
• 41:04
  Speaker 6: a team five hundred getting tine and a half at
• 41:07
  Speaker 6: home with their real starting quarterback.
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: Insane, crazy, yeah old for the season. Bet on them
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: would hit.
• 41:14
  Speaker 5: So either way, I'm making money here, fucking hey, you
• 41:17
  Speaker 5: might and you might.
• 41:19
  Speaker 6: End up making money line this weekend. You could just
• 41:21
  Speaker 6: take that be.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: Fine, could end up making money in both directions. Too
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: five and zero against the spread after a loss, or
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers just got dusted in prime time playing
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: a team that has probably reached their peak in value.
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: I want to be on the Panthers.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: I have not bet it yet for all the reasons
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: that stuck, he said, the injury report. Whenever I see
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: JC Horn pop up. Their defenses is bad enough as
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: it is. They're not quite betable if he's not on
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: the field. So I just know that I'm not going
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: to be betting the Rams, but it sounds like we are.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: So is that the official nominee the Rams minus ten
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: is that it is it in?
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: Yes?
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Yes, right, fine putting it in? Okay, Rams, minds ten? Stucky?
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: What about you nominease?
• 42:08
  Speaker 4: Let's go with the let's circle back to the two
• 42:11
  Speaker 4: luck sides, and I'll make you guys choose. I think
• 42:14
  Speaker 4: the Commander's line is too high, So Commanders, I mean,
• 42:18
  Speaker 4: we can get it. We could buy it to seven here,
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: So Commander's plus seven or the Giants plus seven a half.
• 42:24
  Speaker 4: A little concerned about dark comeback from cushion, but it
• 42:26
  Speaker 4: was only one week.
• 42:28
  Speaker 6: Ye.
• 42:28
  Speaker 4: The main thing here is the Giants. No matter what
• 42:31
  Speaker 4: I've loved what I've seen from Kafka. I mean the creativity.
• 42:34
  Speaker 4: This Giants team is still fighting. They should have like
• 42:36
  Speaker 4: six wins that they would stop blowing leads in the
• 42:38
  Speaker 4: fourth quarter. They could easily have six wins being the
• 42:41
  Speaker 4: playoff phrase. They've blown like five or six games in
• 42:44
  Speaker 4: the final minute. But I think the big thing worth
• 42:48
  Speaker 4: noting here is the Patriots offensive line injuries. So that's
• 42:53
  Speaker 4: you do not want that against the Giants pass rush.
• 42:56
  Speaker 4: And you saw the Bengals the angles get pressure last
• 43:02
  Speaker 4: week after those offensive line injuries happened, and they didn't
• 43:05
  Speaker 4: have Dre Andrickson. So the Patriots are probably gonna be
• 43:08
  Speaker 4: without Will. I'm almost sure they're gonna be without Will
• 43:10
  Speaker 4: Campbell and Jared Wilson, their entire left side of their
• 43:13
  Speaker 4: offensive line. The one thing, and we talked about this,
• 43:16
  Speaker 4: Kender has mentioned this, the Patriots haven't had injuries. Last year,
• 43:21
  Speaker 4: their offensive line was horrific, and this year it's not great.
• 43:29
  Speaker 4: Thick Drake may is overcompensated for some of the issues
• 43:33
  Speaker 4: in pass protection, but it's exponentially better than last year. Right,
• 43:38
  Speaker 4: they went out, they drafted Campbell, they drafted Wilson, they
• 43:42
  Speaker 4: brought in Bradbury brought in Moses and winning it was
• 43:45
  Speaker 4: the only one worth a dam last year, and he's
• 43:47
  Speaker 4: in the starting lineup. But once you start getting down
• 43:50
  Speaker 4: to like Verdarian Lowe in there, and some of the
• 43:54
  Speaker 4: guys that they had to play last year, a lot
• 43:56
  Speaker 4: of them are not even on the roster anymore. They
• 43:58
  Speaker 4: weren't even like the NFL Calber players. But there's no
• 44:00
  Speaker 4: depth on that offensive line. Now you about two starters
• 44:02
  Speaker 4: on the left side against a really good pass rush.
• 44:05
  Speaker 4: I think catching over a touchdown here is a bit
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: too much. So yeah, I'll make you guys choose between
• 44:12
  Speaker 4: two ugly primetime dogs that are luck Sides Commanders or
• 44:19
  Speaker 4: the g Men.
• 44:20
  Speaker 5: I'm still mad at the Commanders, and I'm going to
• 44:23
  Speaker 5: the Patriots game, so I why not have something to
• 44:26
  Speaker 5: scream about at this game. If we're there and we
• 44:28
  Speaker 5: need this one leg left, I'll go and yell why not.
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: I can't.
• 44:33
  Speaker 5: It's not the Patriots are gonna make me and Cravits
• 44:36
  Speaker 5: broke this year.
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: But whatever.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: I then, I, yeah, I'm tired of betting against the
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: New England Patriots. I did end up getting the cover
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: with the seven and a half with the Bengals last week,
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: but we really needed that money line to come through,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: and Joe Flacco just decided to hand the ball to
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: the Patriots defense so gross awful. I mean you could
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: say I was screaming at my TV throw the okay,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: then he threw it.
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: I initially think.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: Well, of course, there'll be a lot of fun to
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: bet on Jamis Winston on Monday night. Football feels too easy,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: even though it's the Giants.
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: I like the Commander's bet. My vote would be on Washington.
• 45:18
  Speaker 4: How many, by the way, before you before you answer, Evan,
• 45:22
  Speaker 4: how many games has a bow Knicks one away from
• 45:30
  Speaker 4: home by more than three points this year?
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: I would say zero?
• 45:35
  Speaker 4: Yeah, zero, and that includes a game against the Jets
• 45:39
  Speaker 4: team that threw for negative ten net passing yards.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, this is a bow Nicks Broncos overrated fade.
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: I would go Washington for sure, all.
• 45:48
  Speaker 4: Right, Evan, what do you got?
• 45:49
  Speaker 6: I like the Giants. I would go with the Giants
• 45:51
  Speaker 6: in that game. That's I just new England won nine
• 45:55
  Speaker 6: in a row, like I like the lineup of over seven.
• 45:58
  Speaker 6: I want nothing to do with Washington, like I just
• 46:00
  Speaker 6: I feel like they're headed to just in the wrong direction,
• 46:03
  Speaker 6: while I agree with the kaf could take like I
• 46:05
  Speaker 6: think the creativity is there. I actually, do you think
• 46:08
  Speaker 6: it's going to be dark? I feel like Dart's gonna
• 46:10
  Speaker 6: be back.
• 46:10
  Speaker 3: It's gonna be dark.
• 46:11
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I think yeah, which to me, I like, yeah,
• 46:15
  Speaker 6: I think so if Dart, I like the Giants.
• 46:19
  Speaker 3: We are two halves of a whole idiot today, Evan.
• 46:22
  Speaker 6: It's fantastic.
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: I'm getting out Deity today with.
• 46:26
  Speaker 3: With your mass potatoes, with this ship. This rules me
• 46:30
  Speaker 3: and Evan. This is Evan's podcast today.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: All right, well we've got one really disgusting option for me.
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: And by the way, the Giants plus seven and a
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: half officially in there.
• 46:41
  Speaker 4: I will say, I will say with the commanders, if
• 46:43
  Speaker 4: you want to bet this now now, like if you
• 46:46
  Speaker 4: ever see a seven, bet that. I think it's too
• 46:48
  Speaker 4: high already. But we'll see what the injury report is today.
• 46:52
  Speaker 4: But I assume they should be healthier. Like McLaurin, is
• 46:54
  Speaker 4: he going to be back? There's a chance Jane Daniels.
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: Plays right, so that's fair.
• 47:00
  Speaker 3: I wish they were still the football team.
• 47:02
  Speaker 4: There's I think I think he was originally targeting Week fourteen,
• 47:06
  Speaker 4: which is next week at Minnesota. But this is after
• 47:10
  Speaker 4: a bye. He's been throwing. I could see him plying.
• 47:14
  Speaker 3: I could also see that on Sunday.
• 47:16
  Speaker 4: Night football against the Broncos.
• 47:18
  Speaker 5: But will I can't get over how that X ray
• 47:22
  Speaker 5: was negative. I know that it's like tissue damaged, but whatever.
• 47:25
  Speaker 5: I that was one of the grossest plays I've seen
• 47:29
  Speaker 5: since Gordon Hayward.
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: I hated it.
• 47:32
  Speaker 5: I mean, everyone I know watched in slow motion just
• 47:34
  Speaker 5: as they felt the same amount of ack that I did.
• 47:37
  Speaker 6: I just don't really understand why Washington would even play
• 47:39
  Speaker 6: him at this point, but I agree. See it's it's
• 47:42
  Speaker 6: the Borough thing, like they just get they they want
• 47:44
  Speaker 6: to play. I get it.
• 47:45
  Speaker 4: But yeah, certain we're obviously worth monitoring too.
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: Yeah, he's expected to be back. I fit like pretty
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: for like he's pretty easy.
• 47:55
  Speaker 4: This speaker next week, I think him Singleton l s
• 47:59
  Speaker 4: they have a couple of defense of injuries. But yeah,
• 48:02
  Speaker 4: we'll see. I mean, if the Broncos can be a
• 48:04
  Speaker 4: bit conservative here with some of their injuries, because I
• 48:09
  Speaker 4: mean they're sitting in a pretty good You don't want
• 48:12
  Speaker 4: to risk like your best defensive player when you are
• 48:17
  Speaker 4: sitting at what nine and what are the Broncos down.
• 48:20
  Speaker 4: I think I think of the one seed right now?
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: Uh nine two?
• 48:25
  Speaker 4: Well, I guess the Patriots are because are ten and two.
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: So that's so gross to me.
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: How injuries we got it in there?
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: Rams minus now, I got it at nine and a
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: half just to buy the number down because it was
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: ten and a half. We uh, we got Giants plus
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. We're at plus two thirty three
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: right now, I've got a beautiful play that.
• 48:47
  Speaker 5: Well, I hate both of these we talked about.
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: I threw the Panthers out. I'm not gonna obviously, we
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: can't have both sides of that. So Colts minus four
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: for reasons that we've already discussed on this episode. Or
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: let me sell you on the little cover monsters that
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: are the Tennessee Titans. All of a sudden, Mike McCoy
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: covered three straight with Tennessee the Jags off of an
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: overtime game. I know this is a Jags podcast, but
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: pushing back on that any chance I can, they probably
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: should have lost that game. Trevor Lawrence certainly did his
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: best to attempt that loss. Instead, they win and cover
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: by half a point. Second straight road game, fourth road
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: game in their last five division home dog of seven
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: or more? Do we really trust Trevor Lawrence as a
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: road favorite here? Does that sound like a good idea
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: to anybody? Tennessee Titans plus seven my other nominee, Kendra,
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: I think I already know where you'll be voting.
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: I hate both of these, I will sayess.
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: And unlike any other Kendra hating both of my.
• 49:54
  Speaker 5: Bets, I will say who I thought was going to
• 49:59
  Speaker 5: be hell health last week for the Jags have to
• 50:01
  Speaker 5: be coming back this week. Jordan Lewis gotta be healthy,
• 50:04
  Speaker 5: Hunter Long gotta be healthy, Trayvon Walker gotta be healthy.
• 50:07
  Speaker 5: Anton Harrison gotta be healthy. Those are the only things
• 50:11
  Speaker 5: that I would monitor. I get that it's a divisional game.
• 50:13
  Speaker 5: I've been praising the Tennessee Never thought I would praise
• 50:16
  Speaker 5: the man he's eating Tennessee Titans. They looked good against
• 50:19
  Speaker 5: the Seahawks, even though they lost. I gave them their
• 50:21
  Speaker 5: flowers on Sunday. I was shocked they put up that
• 50:23
  Speaker 5: many points. Trevor Lawrence is a big dumb dumb, guppy
• 50:27
  Speaker 5: faced dummy dumb uh.
• 50:32
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: I kind of liked the Jags originally. I don't I
• 50:35
  Speaker 5: feel like I lean Houston, but I'll probably take the
• 50:39
  Speaker 5: Colts in this. I feel like it's my better option.
• 50:41
  Speaker 5: I can't go against the Jags, even though I hate
• 50:44
  Speaker 5: that guppy face moron, I can't.
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: Do it, all right, we gotta vote for the Colts.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: Stucky, You're already own the Colts, so maybe this is
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: an easy one.
• 50:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, the Jags. I don't mind. The Titans at seven
• 50:56
  Speaker 4: has come down a bit. The thing I'd worry about
• 50:59
  Speaker 4: is they might be without two starting offensive linemen. Uh
• 51:02
  Speaker 4: Kushion Barry and Moore both got hurt last week. Getsticy
• 51:06
  Speaker 4: for the Titans quick. Their offense line isn't already good,
• 51:08
  Speaker 4: but those you lose.
• 51:10
  Speaker 5: Those two and callan Ridley's out, Not that he really matters,
• 51:13
  Speaker 5: but like when you're the Titans, you need bodies.
• 51:16
  Speaker 4: Yeah, Io Manor also dealing with a hamstring, so they
• 51:21
  Speaker 4: could be very shorthanded on offense, and then the Jacks
• 51:23
  Speaker 4: could be getting healthier on defense. As you mentioned, with
• 51:25
  Speaker 4: Lewis and Walker back, they could get their their Harrison back.
• 51:29
  Speaker 4: We'll see on btj Uh.
• 51:32
  Speaker 3: I don't care about how I will.
• 51:33
  Speaker 4: I will say that the Titans like they've covered three straight,
• 51:37
  Speaker 4: so there's two ways to look at this. They've played
• 51:41
  Speaker 4: a bunch of very tough defenses. Cam Ward has and
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: I think he's improving a little bit. Like they've played,
• 51:47
  Speaker 4: they've played the Texans.
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: His confidence is improving.
• 51:51
  Speaker 5: He's trampling all over the place in the first quarter
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: last week. I hate that he's improving because I hate them,
• 51:57
  Speaker 5: But I'm gonna say it.
• 51:58
  Speaker 3: You're right, he looks better.
• 52:00
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it looks a little better like that. But over
• 52:02
  Speaker 4: the past like just month, they've played the Colts, the Chargers,
• 52:05
  Speaker 4: the Texans, the Seahawks, so they've played some you know,
• 52:10
  Speaker 4: early in the season they played the Rams and the Broncos.
• 52:12
  Speaker 4: They played a very difficult schedule of opposing defenses. But
• 52:16
  Speaker 4: they've covered three straight. This should be an easier test
• 52:18
  Speaker 4: against the Jags, depending especially if they're still shorthanded. But
• 52:21
  Speaker 4: I will say the way that they've covered is it's
• 52:26
  Speaker 4: probably because I haven't bet on them. I haven't bet
• 52:28
  Speaker 4: on them in the past three weeks. Against the Chargers
• 52:31
  Speaker 4: they lost by seven, they covered nine and a half.
• 52:33
  Speaker 4: They had two non offensive touchdowns against the Titans. I
• 52:38
  Speaker 4: mean against the Texans they needed a touchdown in the
• 52:41
  Speaker 4: final minute and then against the Seahawks, they had an
• 52:46
  Speaker 4: eighty yard punt return for a touchdown that ultimately helped
• 52:52
  Speaker 4: and then they had a touchdown in the you know,
• 52:54
  Speaker 4: the final minute of the game as well, so they gotten.
• 52:56
  Speaker 4: They keep getting the back door like they were on
• 52:58
  Speaker 4: the brink of not Maybe you could argue they probably
• 53:01
  Speaker 4: shouldn't have covered any of those games.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: So you need a backdoor to cover against the Seahawks.
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: You can cover straight through the front door against the
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars.
• 53:10
  Speaker 4: Yeah, Jack Shield won't really trust the Jags on the road.
• 53:13
  Speaker 4: Like the jagson went like barely beat the decimated Cardinals team.
• 53:17
  Speaker 4: They lost. They they went to overtime with the Raiders.
• 53:20
  Speaker 4: It's not the same team away from home.
• 53:22
  Speaker 3: Bag Jags fans. This is not a Jacks podcast.
• 53:25
  Speaker 4: No, I still love the Jacks, but they're just not
• 53:27
  Speaker 4: the same team on the road. But I'll say, for
• 53:30
  Speaker 4: the sake of this, we can throw in colts either
• 53:35
  Speaker 4: against the spreader money line. It's fine with me, all right.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: I threw in the four and a half because I
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: bought the Rams down to nine and a half, So
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: the official plays Rams minus nine and a half Giants
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: plus seven and a half. Colts minus four and a
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: half plus five twenty five, two Kings and a Queen
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: Parlay presented by Draft Kings. The Crown is yours and
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: that will do it for this week's episode or no
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: show on Thursday, we're off for the Thanksgiving holiday. A
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving to all of you who are listening and
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: watching this special. Thanks to our producers do a phenomenal
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: job each and every week. Gifford Gold, David Payne, our
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: stats man, Evan Abrams. Go check out his Thanksgiving primer.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: It's a must.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: The Favorites will return Sunday nights as we recap week thirteen.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: Catch it right here on the Action Network YouTube page.
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: Thanks so much for tuning in. We'll see you next
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: time here on the Favorites Podcast, presented by DraftKings.
• 54:29
  Speaker 5: Happy Thanksgiving, Cranberry Sauce Supremacy.
• 54:35
  Speaker 3: Happy Thanksgiving Gamblers. We're thankful for you. Action Network reminds
• 54:52
  Speaker 3: you please gamble responsibly.
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: hundred Gambler