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- 0:17Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
- 0:20Speaker 1: your checks. Black coffee on the felt. Man, you look
- 0:24Speaker 1: like a mist three team Parlette turned the dust in
- 0:28Speaker 1: your head. Now you stare at the chips like they
- 0:32Speaker 1: made you this man. But don't you go quiet. Don't
- 0:36Speaker 1: you fade from the floor. Your name steal mean something
- 0:40Speaker 1: on somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby, look
- 0:46Speaker 1: at me. No, hold on, hold on nothing nice now,
- 0:58Speaker 1: hold on, hold on me, but it all get the crown.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Now what's up or about? It's towed back with you
- 1:30Speaker 2: with Toadstool Sports. This is gonna be the college football
- 1:34Speaker 2: preview show. I mean, I'm calling it best bets I'm
- 1:37Speaker 2: gonna give out. I guess some ideas of sort of
- 1:40Speaker 2: what I think might be the value plays in the
- 1:42Speaker 2: different conferences here. Not that I know anything about it,
- 1:45Speaker 2: but I have It's an ever changing landscape, man, with
- 1:48Speaker 2: all the transfers, the coaching carouselics, so many different things
- 1:51Speaker 2: going on. If you saw me do the show last year,
- 1:54Speaker 2: and basically I have the odds in front of me,
- 1:56Speaker 2: and then I'm looking at how many returning starters are
- 1:58Speaker 2: there for each team, Like, who are the big transfers
- 2:01Speaker 2: that are kind of involved in some of these teams?
- 2:03Speaker 2: What were the like major coaching changes, et cetera. And
- 2:07Speaker 2: then this year we do have completely changing conferences too.
- 2:11Speaker 2: The PAC twelve is back. It's reformed with teams that
- 2:16Speaker 2: are sort of lesser conference teams have moved up into
- 2:19Speaker 2: that new conference. And you know, I mean, I guess
- 2:22Speaker 2: I'm gonna at the end of the show I can
- 2:23Speaker 2: kind of talk about like the actual championship ods and
- 2:26Speaker 2: who like where I think there might be some value there,
- 2:29Speaker 2: I guess, But again, I mean, the future market is
- 2:32Speaker 2: not really my main thing here. What I will say
- 2:36Speaker 2: is that, I mean, everybody pretty much knows college football.
- 2:39Speaker 2: You basically it's a two conference sport at this point,
- 2:42Speaker 2: Like you have, the Big Ten is probably the best conference,
- 2:45Speaker 2: and then the SEC is right behind that. Every other
- 2:48Speaker 2: conference is a step behind that, you know what I mean,
- 2:52Speaker 2: Like after those two, you got, I guess the ACC,
- 2:54Speaker 2: the Big Twelve, the reform PAC twelve. I guess we're
- 2:57Speaker 2: gonna see how good that conference is. Then the Mountain
- 2:59Speaker 2: West is probably gonna be a little bit worse because
- 3:01Speaker 2: some of those better teams moved up into the PAC
- 3:04Speaker 2: twelve moved up, and then you have like the little
- 3:08Speaker 2: guys that go like behind that too, And of course
- 3:11Speaker 2: one of those smaller conference teams, I think, by rule,
- 3:13Speaker 2: has to get into the stupid playoffs. So the the
- 3:17Speaker 2: power what is it, the Power five? I don't even
- 3:20Speaker 2: think it's called the Power five anymore, whatever the hell
- 3:22Speaker 2: it's called. I don't know, man, but I guess let's
- 3:25Speaker 2: get into it. I got the odds up here. I
- 3:27Speaker 2: don't know if I'm allowed to say the name of
- 3:29Speaker 2: this book, but you know what name, well, you know
- 3:31Speaker 2: what this book is. I mean, I don't know if
- 3:34Speaker 2: I'm allowed to even show the screen, to be honest,
- 3:36Speaker 2: but nobody watches this show anyway. So whatever, we're gonna
- 3:40Speaker 2: start with the ACC here. I think I'm just gonna
- 3:43Speaker 2: kind of go in order of how they're listed here,
- 3:45Speaker 2: so it's probably alphabetical, which maybe that's not the most
- 3:48Speaker 2: exciting thing to do. But the ACC. Of course, this
- 3:52Speaker 2: does not show my guys here on my hat Boston
- 3:55Speaker 2: College because you can't actually bet on them here. I
- 3:58Speaker 2: don't even know what BC's are odds are, but they're
- 4:00Speaker 2: probably gonna be fairly irrelevant. Maybe a bowl team. But
- 4:04Speaker 2: Miami is the team that is the favorite to win
- 4:07Speaker 2: this conference again and minus won forty six. Even though
- 4:12Speaker 2: Carson Beck has gone, He's in the NFL. Now, Miami
- 4:14Speaker 2: went and they replaced him with Darien Mensa, one of
- 4:17Speaker 2: the biggest transfers of the offseason. He's been all over
- 4:21Speaker 2: the place already. He's a quarterback. He was that I
- 4:24Speaker 2: believe he was a tulane first, that he was a
- 4:26Speaker 2: duke last year. So now he's transferring within the ACC.
- 4:30Speaker 2: How is that gonna work out? I don't know, but
- 4:32Speaker 2: he is used to being in this conference at least,
- 4:34Speaker 2: so Miami is definitely going to be in contention to
- 4:37Speaker 2: win this conference again. Do I think there's actually value
- 4:40Speaker 2: in laying a minus one forty six favorite of them
- 4:42Speaker 2: to win the ACC? Probably not. I mean, everybody knows
- 4:46Speaker 2: that they made the championship last year, and everybody's gonna
- 4:49Speaker 2: remember that. Everybody is probably gonna be kind of overrating Miami,
- 4:54Speaker 2: I would say, so, maybe you want to look somewhere
- 4:55Speaker 2: else here. As far as the returning production is concerned,
- 4:59Speaker 2: I kind of I like this list of returning starters better,
- 5:02Speaker 2: although I do have this percentage of returning production coming
- 5:06Speaker 2: back as well, But I think the returning starters is
- 5:09Speaker 2: maybe a little bit of a better way to look.
- 5:11Speaker 2: Although here, like Miami's not going to rank high here,
- 5:14Speaker 2: like they do not have a ton of returning production,
- 5:17Speaker 2: so that kind of leads me to want to go
- 5:19Speaker 2: kind of against them as well as far as like
- 5:22Speaker 2: they're actual starters returning. They have very few starters coming
- 5:26Speaker 2: back on offense, very few on the line as well.
- 5:29Speaker 2: They do have a lot of defensive backs coming back
- 5:32Speaker 2: on the defense, but one of Miami's strengths was the
- 5:35Speaker 2: line on both sides of the ball. They were really
- 5:37Speaker 2: good in the trenches last year, and a lot of
- 5:39Speaker 2: those guys are gonna be gone, so I think Miami
- 5:41Speaker 2: could really kind of only take a step back here.
- 5:44Speaker 2: SMU was at plus six fifty to win this conference,
- 5:47Speaker 2: and they do have a lot of returning production, so
- 5:49Speaker 2: I mean it's possible that maybe SMU is worth a
- 5:52Speaker 2: look there and will be in the running. They're bringing
- 5:54Speaker 2: back quarterback Jennings again this year. I think this is
- 5:57Speaker 2: gonna be at least his third straight year being quarterback
- 6:00Speaker 2: for them, So they're bringing back a lot of production
- 6:02Speaker 2: on the offensive side of things. But defensively, they might
- 6:06Speaker 2: have some problems. And then I heard a lot of
- 6:08Speaker 2: guys kind of hyping up Louisville at plus eight point fifty.
- 6:11Speaker 2: But I'm not really sure what the hype is with Louisville.
- 6:15Speaker 2: They're bringing back their running back, Isaac Brown, but they
- 6:18Speaker 2: don't have a lot of offensive returning start. They really
- 6:20Speaker 2: just don't have a lot of returning starters in general.
- 6:22Speaker 2: And their quarterback is going to be a guy that
- 6:24Speaker 2: they've gotten a transfer from Ohio State, I'm pretty sure,
- 6:27Speaker 2: and he really hasn't even played, which is let me
- 6:31Speaker 2: say I got everything all over the place here, Wait,
- 6:35Speaker 2: where's my depth chart? I hear it is Louisville. Let
- 6:38Speaker 2: me say their quarterback is Lincoln Kine Holes. Seriously, no
- 6:44Speaker 2: idea who that even is. But Louisville, it's gonna be
- 6:47Speaker 2: all about the fact that they're running back is returning.
- 6:49Speaker 2: But I'm not sure that i'd really love Louisville here, Like,
- 6:53Speaker 2: maybe if you're gonna do anything with the ACC, maybe
- 6:55Speaker 2: you do just take the shot with SMU because that
- 6:58Speaker 2: experience will probably at least kind of loom large there.
- 7:02Speaker 2: Then you do have to also take into account, like
- 7:05Speaker 2: you know, are there coaching changes here or whatever. As
- 7:08Speaker 2: far as I SMU, they did lose their offensive coordinator
- 7:11Speaker 2: it looks like to Missouri State, but that's probably something
- 7:16Speaker 2: that's not going to be a huge deal. I wouldn't
- 7:18Speaker 2: imagine Clemson at plus fourteen hundred. They're always kind of
- 7:21Speaker 2: in the mix. But I looked at what they got
- 7:23Speaker 2: going on, and they have a new quarterback coming in Vizena,
- 7:27Speaker 2: who I think was a backup at Clemson, so he
- 7:30Speaker 2: is in the same system, so he does know the system.
- 7:33Speaker 2: But I'm not really sure that's going to be that
- 7:35Speaker 2: good of a thing, to be honest, He's going to
- 7:38Speaker 2: be coming in with a lack of experience at least.
- 7:40Speaker 2: But they're at plus fourteen hundred. Clemson is I believe
- 7:44Speaker 2: they're not making I don't think Clemson is making any
- 7:46Speaker 2: coaching changes or anything like that, right, let me say no.
- 7:49Speaker 2: So I think the coaching changes are kind of few
- 7:51Speaker 2: and far between. Here. Pittsburgh at nineteen to one, maybe
- 7:55Speaker 2: a little bit interesting. They're bringing back returning starters, so
- 7:59Speaker 2: that's the reason why I think they might be a
- 8:01Speaker 2: little bit more interesting. But maybe I overrate their returning
- 8:04Speaker 2: starters and underrate the transfers. But I think if you
- 8:06Speaker 2: have returning production like this, the thing is these guys
- 8:09Speaker 2: know the system already, so they're like ready to go.
- 8:11Speaker 2: So Pittsburgh is bringing back one of their quarterbacks who's
- 8:14Speaker 2: played in the last couple of years, Heinschel, so he
- 8:17Speaker 2: is going to be back, as well as basically their
- 8:19Speaker 2: entire offensive line coming back and half of the defense.
- 8:23Speaker 2: So they have a decent amount of returning production coming
- 8:26Speaker 2: back there too. So those are probably the two teams
- 8:29Speaker 2: that I would look for for maybe having some value
- 8:31Speaker 2: in the ACC SMU and pitt at those prices. But
- 8:35Speaker 2: ACC is going to be a bad conference, dude. I mean,
- 8:38Speaker 2: Miami is certainly going to be in contention again. I
- 8:40Speaker 2: think a lot of the teams that kind of surprised
- 8:42Speaker 2: last year are all going to take steps back. Like Virginia,
- 8:45Speaker 2: like a team that came from out of nowhere and
- 8:47Speaker 2: had a really good season last year. I don't really
- 8:49Speaker 2: see them repeating what they did last year. They're at
- 8:53Speaker 2: twenty to one this year. Georgia texts all the way
- 8:55Speaker 2: down to forty five to one because they lost their
- 8:58Speaker 2: quarterback Haines King, so they're gonna be sort of I
- 9:01Speaker 2: think in a bit of a rebuild mode, I would imagine.
- 9:05Speaker 2: Let me see, Yeah, they're not bringing back a whole
- 9:07Speaker 2: lot of starting production at all, especially on the offense.
- 9:11Speaker 2: So it looks like Georgia Tech will be rebuilding, although
- 9:14Speaker 2: I don't know, you know, the I mean, of course,
- 9:16Speaker 2: there are always transfers to stuff like that. Their quarterback
- 9:19Speaker 2: is going to be Alberto Mendoza, not Fernando Mendoz. I
- 9:22Speaker 2: have no idea who this is, to be honest, he
- 9:26Speaker 2: was on Indiana apparently, Wait is he related to Fernando Mendoza?
- 9:30Speaker 2: And then he was he was on Indiana? Like do
- 9:33Speaker 2: they have two brothers on their team? I don't even know.
- 9:35Speaker 2: I'd have to look that up. I honestly have no clue.
- 9:39Speaker 2: I mean, I dude, I don't know enough of the
- 9:42Speaker 2: details here. But Florida State of forty three to one.
- 9:45Speaker 2: I mean, I know Florida State has been awful recently,
- 9:47Speaker 2: but historically they're really good programs. So I'm wondering, like,
- 9:50Speaker 2: when is this program going to rise up again? You know,
- 9:53Speaker 2: it's it seems like at some point that's going to happen.
- 9:57Speaker 2: But I don't know that they're not bringing back a
- 9:59Speaker 2: lot of returning stars, So I don't know if I
- 10:00Speaker 2: really love that this year's Either NC State is at
- 10:04Speaker 2: twenty to one. I mean, they seemed to always just
- 10:06Speaker 2: be kind of mediocre. Virginia Tech twenty eight to one.
- 10:08Speaker 2: I know Virginia Tech lost drones to the draft their quarterback.
- 10:13Speaker 2: Then I guess cal is there forty four to one,
- 10:16Speaker 2: Georgia Tech forty five to one, Bill Belichick with North
- 10:19Speaker 2: Carolina all the way down at one hundred and fifty
- 10:22Speaker 2: to one. North Carolina is supposed to suck again under
- 10:26Speaker 2: Bill Belichick. I mean, I think the Belichick experiment is
- 10:31Speaker 2: not panning out, and they're behind wake Forest at eighty
- 10:34Speaker 2: four to one. Duke at eighty eight to one. Duke
- 10:36Speaker 2: is another team that I think is taking a major
- 10:39Speaker 2: step back because they're losing mens. I mean, they were
- 10:41Speaker 2: competing for the conference last year, but I don't see
- 10:44Speaker 2: them doing a whole lot. And then Syracuse and North
- 10:47Speaker 2: Carolina both of the same odds. Probably nothing going on there.
- 10:51Speaker 2: And then Stanford at three hundred to one, even though
- 10:54Speaker 2: I think Stanford is actually one of the teams returning
- 10:57Speaker 2: some of the most start they're actually returning twelve stars.
- 11:00Speaker 2: They're returning most of their defense, and they're running back
- 11:03Speaker 2: from last year. Seems like it's not enough because they're
- 11:07Speaker 2: still ranked like they're still ranked as the worst team
- 11:11Speaker 2: in this conference. I remember that the travel is kind
- 11:14Speaker 2: of ridiculous in a conference like this, especially for the
- 11:17Speaker 2: California teams Callen Stanford constantly having to go cross country,
- 11:22Speaker 2: which is just I still hate these conference realignments. It's
- 11:24Speaker 2: just stupid. But yeah, I think SMU might be the
- 11:27Speaker 2: best shot as far as getting value to win this
- 11:29Speaker 2: thing at six and a half to one, and then second,
- 11:33Speaker 2: I would say Pittsburgh at nineteen to one. The American
- 11:36Speaker 2: Conference seems like it's kind of wide open, with Navy
- 11:39Speaker 2: being plus three sixty. Navy, I believe won it last year.
- 11:45Speaker 2: If I'm not mistaud, I don't even remember. Dude, did
- 11:46Speaker 2: n't even win it last year. I think they did.
- 11:49Speaker 2: But Navy, I mean, I think they're gonna be just
- 11:52Speaker 2: overhyped as they usually are, but they always kind of
- 11:55Speaker 2: have a shot here because teams like Navy and Army
- 11:57Speaker 2: Armies at eight to one teams they run the triple option.
- 12:02Speaker 2: Although the teams in this conference know the triple option
- 12:04Speaker 2: just because they see it from those two teams, so
- 12:07Speaker 2: they have to be prepared for it. But the triple
- 12:09Speaker 2: option seems to always kind of do well in a
- 12:11Speaker 2: conference like this and throw other teams off a bit
- 12:14Speaker 2: just because they still don't see it that much. And
- 12:17Speaker 2: I think Army at eight to one might actually be
- 12:20Speaker 2: an interesting look in this conference because it's a totally
- 12:23Speaker 2: wide open conference. They're bringing back their quarterback helms, and
- 12:26Speaker 2: they're bringing back eleven starters, which includes most of their offense,
- 12:31Speaker 2: so that offense is probably gonna be going like from
- 12:34Speaker 2: the get go, so I think they're gonna be a
- 12:36Speaker 2: potent offensive team. Their defense might suck though. And then
- 12:40Speaker 2: UTSA at plus four to seventy five I think is
- 12:43Speaker 2: also somewhat interesting. They're bringing back Owen McCown again their quarterback,
- 12:47Speaker 2: which seems like he's been there for forever. They have
- 12:50Speaker 2: eight returning starters, which is the majority of their offense
- 12:54Speaker 2: is coming back, but not much on their defense, so
- 12:57Speaker 2: they're not known as a defensive team. But UTSA has
- 13:00Speaker 2: been known for having a very balanced offense, so they
- 13:04Speaker 2: might be in the mix still as well. Oh, it
- 13:06Speaker 2: was was South Florida I think was one of the
- 13:08Speaker 2: teams that competed for the conference last year. They're at
- 13:11Speaker 2: seven to one. I'm not exactly sure what's going on
- 13:14Speaker 2: with South Florida this year. They're bringing back almost nobody,
- 13:18Speaker 2: so it seems like South Florida is sort of in
- 13:21Speaker 2: a bit of a rebuild here. So I don't know
- 13:23Speaker 2: if I love that. Although I don't really know what
- 13:25Speaker 2: kind of transfers they're bringing in here. It looks like quarterback.
- 13:31Speaker 2: They got Van Buren, who I guess was at LSU.
- 13:36Speaker 2: He must have been one of the backups at LSU,
- 13:37Speaker 2: then he was at he was at Mississippi State before that,
- 13:40Speaker 2: so he has some experience in an SEC system, though
- 13:44Speaker 2: not really playing in actual games. And then East Carolina
- 13:48Speaker 2: is at plus five point fifty. I'm not exactly sure why.
- 13:52Speaker 2: Let me see, East Caroline only has three returning starters,
- 13:56Speaker 2: so it seems like they're kind of in a rebuild
- 13:58Speaker 2: mode as well, so them being at odds like that,
- 14:00Speaker 2: that doesn't totally make sense to me, although it must
- 14:02Speaker 2: mean they went out and they got some strong transfers
- 14:05Speaker 2: or something. Griffiths is their quarterback. I have no idea
- 14:10Speaker 2: who this guy is, so I don't know, man, it
- 14:13Speaker 2: looks like he was at Texas Tech last year, though
- 14:15Speaker 2: it didn't play a whole lot, so he was in a
- 14:18Speaker 2: good system over there. They have a good offense. But
- 14:21Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean to me, I think
- 14:23Speaker 2: UTSA and Army might be the teams to look at,
- 14:26Speaker 2: because again it's me with the returning starters. I think
- 14:29Speaker 2: those are the teams to maybe look at. And the
- 14:30Speaker 2: Memphis is at plus seven to fifth. The Memphis seems
- 14:34Speaker 2: to kind of always be in the mix at least,
- 14:36Speaker 2: but they're only bringing back one starter, So I don't know, man,
- 14:39Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, again, UTSA at plus four to seventy five,
- 14:43Speaker 2: Army at plus eight hundred, and I think those are
- 14:45Speaker 2: maybe the value plays in this conference, and I think
- 14:48Speaker 2: Navy will still be there in the mix there. As
- 14:53Speaker 2: far as Navy's returning production, let me see, Navy is
- 14:56Speaker 2: bringing back a lot of guys too. They're bringing back
- 14:58Speaker 2: more than half of their defense, about half of their
- 15:00Speaker 2: offense as well, not their quarterback or running back, so
- 15:04Speaker 2: they're bringing back basically their entire offensive line. So Navy
- 15:07Speaker 2: does have returning production here as well, just they're losing
- 15:10Speaker 2: some of their offensive skill players. Then Tulane at plus
- 15:14Speaker 2: eight fifties sort of in the mix. They I believe,
- 15:16Speaker 2: changed coaches. They got Will Hall, they elevated him from
- 15:20Speaker 2: offensive assistant to their coach apparently, so they're gonna be
- 15:24Speaker 2: implementing a new scheme. We'll see how long that takes there.
- 15:27Speaker 2: They don't have a whole lot of returning starters either,
- 15:29Speaker 2: so I don't know. I'm not too high in Tulane
- 15:31Speaker 2: take it too long to talk about this shitty conference,
- 15:33Speaker 2: But again, you got what I think there. As far
- 15:36Speaker 2: as maybe value Big twelve, one of the bigger conferences here,
- 15:40Speaker 2: Texas Tech is the favorite to win this thing again
- 15:42Speaker 2: at minus one point fifteen. They kind of ran away
- 15:45Speaker 2: with the conference last year. But I don't know if
- 15:47Speaker 2: I love Texas Tech. Man, It's just they put a
- 15:49Speaker 2: lot of money into the program, oil money, so they
- 15:53Speaker 2: can kind of just go out and buy players. They're
- 15:55Speaker 2: returning a lot of guys, though not their quarterback though Morton,
- 16:00Speaker 2: who got drafted by the Patriots. But they're bringing back
- 16:03Speaker 2: multiple running backs, wide receiver, a tight end, and more
- 16:07Speaker 2: than half of their offensive line plus more than half
- 16:09Speaker 2: of their defense. So Texas Tech does have a lot
- 16:11Speaker 2: of returning production here. So that's gonna be interesting. They
- 16:16Speaker 2: must have gone out and gotten some quarterback here. Let
- 16:21Speaker 2: me say they have a Will Hammond, who is I
- 16:25Speaker 2: think he was on Yeah, I was gonna say he
- 16:27Speaker 2: was one of the quarterbacks on Texas Tech. He filled
- 16:30Speaker 2: in for Morton I think when Morton was hurt and whatever.
- 16:32Speaker 2: So that's actually not that bad either. Texas Tech is
- 16:35Speaker 2: just gonna use a guy that's already been in their
- 16:38Speaker 2: system for two years. So Texas Tech. Yeah, they're definitely
- 16:41Speaker 2: gonna be competitive again in this conference, although I don't
- 16:45Speaker 2: know if there's gonna be value there because everybody just
- 16:47Speaker 2: loves the Texas Tech offense and they looked really good
- 16:49Speaker 2: last year. I'd be looking more towards BYU or Utah here,
- 16:53Speaker 2: though PYU is at plus five point fifty. BYU is
- 16:57Speaker 2: bringing back a lot of guys, including their quarterback. I'm
- 16:59Speaker 2: pretty sure. Yeah, Bear Bachmeyer, he's coming back for a
- 17:05Speaker 2: second straight year. With BYU, they're bringing back almost their
- 17:07Speaker 2: entire defense and like half of their offense. So BYU
- 17:13Speaker 2: should basically hit the ground running. And the thing to
- 17:15Speaker 2: like about BYU and Utah in this conference is that
- 17:18Speaker 2: they're the only two teams that play like a physical
- 17:21Speaker 2: style really in this conference, and that I think throws
- 17:24Speaker 2: these other teams off because these other teams are a
- 17:27Speaker 2: bit more focused on finesse for lack of a better word,
- 17:31Speaker 2: like the physical teams tend to be more tough. And
- 17:33Speaker 2: that's why Utah has always been really good in like
- 17:36Speaker 2: the Pac twelve and the Big twelve, because they're one
- 17:38Speaker 2: of the only teams that does that. BYU kind of
- 17:40Speaker 2: does that as well. Utah plus seven fifty is interesting.
- 17:44Speaker 2: They lost their quarterback, they lost their coach. They do
- 17:47Speaker 2: have their quarterback, back Dampier, he's coming back for Utah.
- 17:51Speaker 2: They lost their coach, Winningham, who's been there for forever,
- 17:54Speaker 2: which you might think that's gonna cause them to take
- 17:55Speaker 2: a step back because he's going to Michigan, so maybe.
- 18:01Speaker 2: But the thing about Utah is they've they've been planning
- 18:05Speaker 2: on this and they have elevated one of their other
- 18:08Speaker 2: coaches who's already been in the system to their head coach,
- 18:12Speaker 2: which is, let me see, he must be listened. Oh,
- 18:14Speaker 2: I guess he's not listed here. I don't know. Yeah,
- 18:18Speaker 2: but Utah, I forget the guy's name. But Utah has
- 18:20Speaker 2: elevated a guy who's already been in their coaching staff
- 18:23Speaker 2: for multiple years to coach, and he's gonna run the
- 18:26Speaker 2: same system that Whittingham did, so I think Utah is
- 18:29Speaker 2: gonna still have some continuity there, so I don't mind
- 18:34Speaker 2: Utah here. Utah is only bringing back five returning starters though,
- 18:38Speaker 2: which does include their quarterback, though dampier, but that dampens
- 18:45Speaker 2: the hype for Utah a little bit there because I'm
- 18:47Speaker 2: assuming witting Him is taking some of his guys over
- 18:49Speaker 2: to Michigan with him too. And then you got Kansas
- 18:52Speaker 2: State of fourteen to one. I don't know exactly what
- 18:55Speaker 2: to you know, what there is to necessarily love about
- 18:58Speaker 2: Kansas State. I think they under last year, though I
- 19:01Speaker 2: will say that they're bringing back nine returning starters, which
- 19:05Speaker 2: does include Avery Johnson, their quarterback, so they do have
- 19:08Speaker 2: some continuity there. On the offense, they're at fourteen to one,
- 19:12Speaker 2: Houston's at fifteen and a half to one. A lot
- 19:17Speaker 2: of this I'm just kind of flying by the seat
- 19:19Speaker 2: of my pantsy Houston is bringing back a lot of
- 19:21Speaker 2: starters though they're bringing back Wegman their quarterback. They're bringing
- 19:25Speaker 2: back most of their wide receiving corps, so it's gonna
- 19:27Speaker 2: be a lot of similar guys there, and they're bringing
- 19:29Speaker 2: back a lot of their defenders as well, a lot
- 19:32Speaker 2: of their defensive backs coming back. So Houston with a
- 19:35Speaker 2: lot of returning starters here with twelve so Houston, Yeah,
- 19:40Speaker 2: I mean, I guess there are some things to like there.
- 19:44Speaker 2: Then I don't know. After that, you got TCU at
- 19:46Speaker 2: twenty to one, Arizona at twenty two to one, Arizona
- 19:48Speaker 2: State at twenty five to one. I believe Levitt left. Yeah,
- 19:52Speaker 2: Levitt left Arizona State. He was the top ranked transfer,
- 19:56Speaker 2: the quarterback from Arizona State. He was hurt at the
- 19:58Speaker 2: end of last year. I believe he went to LSU.
- 20:02Speaker 2: So I think he's gonna be the starter for LSU
- 20:04Speaker 2: maybe this year, but yeah, he's gone from Arizona State.
- 20:08Speaker 2: Then you have Oklahoma State at twenty nine to one.
- 20:10Speaker 2: One thing I forgot to talk about was the drop
- 20:12Speaker 2: off with North Texas in the American Conference. They're at
- 20:15Speaker 2: thirty to one. Now their quarterback who was really good
- 20:18Speaker 2: last year, mess to Maker. He's on Oklahoma State now.
- 20:22Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure so Oklahoma State may improve their offense
- 20:25Speaker 2: a bit with him there. As far as Oklahoma State,
- 20:29Speaker 2: They're not returning a lot of starters though, so I
- 20:31Speaker 2: don't know, but they might see some improvement there. Baylor
- 20:35Speaker 2: at forty nine to one. Baylor looks like they're taking
- 20:38Speaker 2: a step back. I know, their quarterback got drafted. They're
- 20:40Speaker 2: only bringing back five starters. So their quarterback, Sawyer Robertson
- 20:45Speaker 2: is at his name, he got drafted, I think somewhere
- 20:48Speaker 2: in the NFL. And then after that, I mean, I
- 20:51Speaker 2: don't know, the rest of the teams in this conference
- 20:53Speaker 2: is not considered to be particularly good. Let's say, probably
- 20:58Speaker 2: a drop off for UCF this year. Colorado, of course,
- 21:02Speaker 2: you know, no longer a shit or of Sanders or whatever,
- 21:05Speaker 2: though I don't think they had them last year either.
- 21:07Speaker 2: And Iowa State is considered to be the worst team
- 21:09Speaker 2: in the conference now because basically their entire team is
- 21:13Speaker 2: now Penn State, which I'll talk about next when I
- 21:15Speaker 2: get to the Big Ten. But yeah, I think as
- 21:18Speaker 2: far as the most value here, I would probably say
- 21:21Speaker 2: BYU at plus five point fifty because physicality plus a
- 21:25Speaker 2: lot of returning starters. I always kind of like Utah,
- 21:28Speaker 2: and Utah was kind of my pick last year, but
- 21:31Speaker 2: I'm looking for value here, right, So usually I'm not
- 21:33Speaker 2: going to be saying there's value in the favored unless
- 21:35Speaker 2: I really think there is. But I don't really think
- 21:37Speaker 2: there is. With Texas Tech there so, and maybe Houston
- 21:42Speaker 2: just because of the amount of returning production they have there,
- 21:45Speaker 2: they might be in the mix. It's kind of a
- 21:47Speaker 2: weak conference, so we'll see. And then as far as
- 21:50Speaker 2: TCU actually don't know what they're their returning production is
- 21:53Speaker 2: kind of limited. They're bringing back a decent amount of
- 21:56Speaker 2: their defense, but their defense wasn't even good, so only
- 21:59Speaker 2: eight returning starters there for TCU. All right, Big Ten
- 22:05Speaker 2: probably the best conference in college football. They probably had
- 22:09Speaker 2: the two best teams from last year. Ohio State and
- 22:14Speaker 2: Indiana were probably the top two teams. Ohio State is
- 22:17Speaker 2: the favorite to win this conference this year, although plus
- 22:20Speaker 2: money plus one eighty, Oregon right behind that at plus
- 22:23Speaker 2: two forty, and then Indiana plus two sixty, and there's
- 22:26Speaker 2: a big gap after those three teams. Ohio State's gonna
- 22:29Speaker 2: have some continuity because Saying is going to be their
- 22:33Speaker 2: quarterback and they're bringing back eleven starters also including Bo
- 22:37Speaker 2: Jackson their running back. Is he Bo Jackson's son or something.
- 22:40Speaker 2: I don't even know, he might just be named after
- 22:43Speaker 2: Bo Jackson. I think because his father likes Bo or something.
- 22:48Speaker 2: I think maybe Bo Jackson's a multi sport athlete. I
- 22:50Speaker 2: don't know, but Ohio State's bringing back most of their offense,
- 22:53Speaker 2: although not much of their defense. But saying will be
- 22:56Speaker 2: entering his second season, I'm pretty sure. Yeah, that means
- 22:59Speaker 2: it's gonna be some decent continuity here. So Ohio State.
- 23:03Speaker 2: I would to righte off Ohio State like they they
- 23:06Speaker 2: might be the pick to actually win this conference at
- 23:08Speaker 2: plus one to eighty. Oregon at plus two forty is interesting.
- 23:13Speaker 2: Oregon went out and they got cause or no, their
- 23:16Speaker 2: quarterback actually decided to come back. I'm pretty sure Oregon
- 23:21Speaker 2: hold on. Yeah, they have fourteen returning starters, so almost
- 23:24Speaker 2: their whole defense is coming back. And Dante Moore, their quarterback,
- 23:28Speaker 2: I guess, made a surprising decision and decided to not
- 23:31Speaker 2: enter the NFL draft. He's coming back to Oregon. So
- 23:34Speaker 2: Oregon has a lot of returning starters here. I think
- 23:37Speaker 2: they're gonna be good. And last year they were more
- 23:39Speaker 2: of an offensive team than a defensive team. And there's
- 23:42Speaker 2: always the worry about the travel with one of these
- 23:44Speaker 2: Pacific teams. Like I said with the ACC, same thing
- 23:47Speaker 2: with the Big Ten. With Oregon, USC UCLA, they have
- 23:50Speaker 2: to do all this travel, so it's kind of annoying
- 23:52Speaker 2: for them. So I don't know if I'd really want
- 23:54Speaker 2: to do it. But Oregon they should be one of
- 23:57Speaker 2: the top teams though, you know, and maybe their defense
- 24:00Speaker 2: will improve a little bit. Indiana, I think they're gonna
- 24:03Speaker 2: take a step back. I mean, I know this is
- 24:05Speaker 2: all this hype, and Kurt Signetti has completely turned the
- 24:07Speaker 2: team around. They won the championship last year. But of
- 24:10Speaker 2: course Mendoza is now on the Raiders, so he's gone.
- 24:13Speaker 2: Indiana is replacing him with Josh Hoover, quarterback from I
- 24:18Speaker 2: believe TCU. So TCU, by the way, yeah, they lost Hoover,
- 24:22Speaker 2: so TCU might be taking a step back for that reason.
- 24:25Speaker 2: How good is Hoover? Though, I don't know, man, I
- 24:27Speaker 2: would be worried about that decision a little bit because
- 24:29Speaker 2: the Big Ten is a different animal than the Big Twelve. Right,
- 24:32Speaker 2: Like the Big Twelve, you can put up big offensive
- 24:34Speaker 2: numbers because a lot of the defenses in that conference suck.
- 24:37Speaker 2: In the Big Ten, that's not the case. The Big
- 24:40Speaker 2: Ten has a lot of really good defenses, so Hoover's
- 24:43Speaker 2: gonna have to step up his game, but he will
- 24:45Speaker 2: be the starter for Indiana this year. There and as
- 24:48Speaker 2: far as the Indiana's returning production hold on, I'm looking
- 24:52Speaker 2: at the wrong thing here. They're still bringing back twelve starters,
- 24:57Speaker 2: so basically mostly their defense is coming back. A lot
- 25:00Speaker 2: of their offensive players are gone, so Indiana might actually
- 25:04Speaker 2: struggle a bit offensively coming into this year, but their
- 25:07Speaker 2: defense remains intact. They're gonna be a contender for sure,
- 25:12Speaker 2: but I don't think there's gonna be value on them.
- 25:14Speaker 2: And it seems like you think you would think the
- 25:17Speaker 2: public probably would perceive value on them at plus two sixty,
- 25:20Speaker 2: I don't really see that being the case. USC is
- 25:23Speaker 2: at sixteen to one. Here, USC is bringing back the
- 25:27Speaker 2: most returning starters in all of college football. They're bringing
- 25:31Speaker 2: back fifteen starters, including Mayava, their quarterback or Mayava, who
- 25:36Speaker 2: I believe. I think he's been on multiple different teams.
- 25:39Speaker 2: I want to say he was the guy that left
- 25:42Speaker 2: UNLV right. If I'm not mistaken, I forget, but he's
- 25:45Speaker 2: coming back, A couple of running backs coming back. They're
- 25:48Speaker 2: basically their entire offensive line is coming back as well,
- 25:51Speaker 2: and a lot of their defense, so USC is gonna
- 25:53Speaker 2: have a lot of continuity. So that's at least pretty
- 25:56Speaker 2: good for USC there. I know I'm missing. I might
- 26:00Speaker 2: be missing like if coaches are changing or whatever. I
- 26:02Speaker 2: don't know. Uc LA is getting a new coach, it
- 26:05Speaker 2: looks like, but maybe I should just scroll through this
- 26:06Speaker 2: real quick, just to see if there's anything like I forgot.
- 26:11Speaker 2: You know, North Texas and South Florida getting new coaches
- 26:14Speaker 2: in the American Conference that I kind of just glossed over.
- 26:17Speaker 2: But Neil Brown assistant from Texas is going to North Texas.
- 26:21Speaker 2: Brian Hartline, OHC from Ohio State is going to South Florida.
- 26:25Speaker 2: So Ohio State is losing their offensive coordinator from last year.
- 26:31Speaker 2: And then let's see, and Oregon is losing their DC,
- 26:35Speaker 2: Tosh Lupoy is going to cal so Oregon is gonna
- 26:39Speaker 2: have a new DC. Memphis is getting Charlie Huff from
- 26:44Speaker 2: Southern miss so he's gonna be their coach there. I
- 26:46Speaker 2: don't know if that's that interesting or not. I think
- 26:51Speaker 2: I pretty much covered all the rest of these coaching changes,
- 26:54Speaker 2: though so far I haven't gotten to the rest of
- 26:58Speaker 2: the Big Ten yet, but I guess I'll mention those
- 27:01Speaker 2: once I get to them. And then, yes, Stanford has
- 27:04Speaker 2: a new coach. That's Tavita Pritchard is coming from the
- 27:08Speaker 2: Washington Redskins. He's their QB coach. He's stepping down and
- 27:12Speaker 2: going back into a college setting. But to get a
- 27:14Speaker 2: head coach job though, So that's I guess interesting ish.
- 27:19Speaker 2: Oh yeah, And then I forgot James Franklin. We knew
- 27:22Speaker 2: that because he was hanging out of Virginia Tech. He
- 27:24Speaker 2: got fired by Penn State, so he's at Virginia Tech
- 27:27Speaker 2: this year. I forgot to mention that. I don't know, man,
- 27:31Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think I'm not a Franklin guy.
- 27:34Speaker 2: I mean, I don't see that being I mean, maybe
- 27:37Speaker 2: it will be an improvement from what Virginia Tech was doing,
- 27:39Speaker 2: but I don't know, man, I'm not sure that's gonna
- 27:42Speaker 2: work out that great, at least in the short term.
- 27:45Speaker 2: Probably not. And Oklahoma State, by the way, is getting
- 27:48Speaker 2: Eric Morris, who was the head coach at North Texas.
- 27:50Speaker 2: So North Texas also lost their head coach. Morris was
- 27:53Speaker 2: pretty good, so that's why mess to Maker went to
- 27:55Speaker 2: Oklahoma State as well. So Morris is going over there
- 27:58Speaker 2: with his quarterbacks. That's gonna be good for Oklahoma State
- 28:02Speaker 2: because their quarterback and probably some other guys coming over
- 28:04Speaker 2: to already know the coach's system, you know what I mean.
- 28:07Speaker 2: So there's some continuity there. So that's not so Oklahoma
- 28:11Speaker 2: State should be better than they have been recently, at
- 28:13Speaker 2: the very least. Anyway, let me say, who's in the
- 28:19Speaker 2: chat here, dirty sock? What's up? Yes, thanks for hanging
- 28:21Speaker 2: out jeweles again. Oh thank you. As far as the
- 28:25Speaker 2: rest of these teams here, Michigan at seventeen to one,
- 28:29Speaker 2: they got Kyle Whittingham, now, man, I mean he's a
- 28:31Speaker 2: legitimate coach, so and they have ten returning starters, including
- 28:35Speaker 2: the quarterback Underwood, most of their offenses coming back, including
- 28:39Speaker 2: most of their offensive line and some of their receiving corps. Defense,
- 28:43Speaker 2: though is basically having a big time turnover at Michigan.
- 28:47Speaker 2: I mean I would to write Michigan off though. I
- 28:49Speaker 2: mean I said that I thought Michigan might be somewhat
- 28:52Speaker 2: in contention last year there at seventeen to one. This year,
- 28:55Speaker 2: but they might start out, you know, it's gonna be
- 28:57Speaker 2: a little bit maybe slow in the in the beginning
- 29:00Speaker 2: to try to get going, Like, you know, the quarterback's
- 29:03Speaker 2: gonna have to learn the new system with winning him
- 29:05Speaker 2: there whatever, winning him will bring sort of this like
- 29:08Speaker 2: physical mindset to Michigan. They kind of already had that.
- 29:11Speaker 2: But you know then, of course, Penn State, as I
- 29:14Speaker 2: alluded to, they're at twenty two to one. They're probably undervalued, man,
- 29:18Speaker 2: based on how bad they were last year. But James
- 29:20Speaker 2: Franklin kind of just he kind of nuked the team, dude, Like,
- 29:24Speaker 2: I don't know what else to tell you. Dru Aller
- 29:27Speaker 2: is gone. Of course, he's on the Pittsburgh Steelers now.
- 29:29Speaker 2: They actually like him. He looked good in the first
- 29:32Speaker 2: preseason game, not so good the other day. I don't
- 29:35Speaker 2: think he was very good at Penn State though, But
- 29:38Speaker 2: it's Penn State is an interesting team because they're basically
- 29:42Speaker 2: gonna be Iowa State now because they got Matt Campbell
- 29:44Speaker 2: and he brought over a bunch of guys, including Beck
- 29:48Speaker 2: to the quarterback from Iowa State, and I believe some
- 29:52Speaker 2: of their wide receivers. So it's gonna look like, you know, well,
- 29:55Speaker 2: Penn State doesn't have much returning production here, and that's true.
- 29:59Speaker 2: Only four guys but they're just completely turning over the team.
- 30:03Speaker 2: But there is gonna be continuity there because Matt Campbell
- 30:06Speaker 2: is bringing over guys that already know his system. Yes,
- 30:09Speaker 2: they have to put the new system in place there.
- 30:12Speaker 2: I don't know about Penn State's defense, man, because Iowa
- 30:14Speaker 2: State was a Big twelve team, and I guess they
- 30:17Speaker 2: were known for being one of the better defenses in
- 30:19Speaker 2: the Big twelve. But the Big ten is a different thing, man,
- 30:23Speaker 2: So I don't know Campbell really having a step up
- 30:26Speaker 2: in class here to coach in the Big twelve. We'll see.
- 30:29Speaker 2: I mean, I don't hate Penn State. Maybe there is
- 30:31Speaker 2: some value there. On a long shot twenty two to one,
- 30:35Speaker 2: they might be kind of around it. By the way,
- 30:38Speaker 2: Penn State the one thing to like about Penn State,
- 30:41Speaker 2: besides that they do have some continuity because the coach
- 30:43Speaker 2: and the quarterback and know each other and whatever. Penn
- 30:45Speaker 2: State is a really easy schedule this year. That's one
- 30:48Speaker 2: other thing to look at if you look at their schedule.
- 30:52Speaker 2: Hang on, see if I can bring it up here,
- 30:56Speaker 2: like they have one of the easiest schedules in the
- 30:59Speaker 2: major conference. Let me see, it looks like ESPN might oh,
- 31:05Speaker 2: ESPN doesn't have their schedule yet. I guess. Yeah, I
- 31:08Speaker 2: don't know what's up with that, but I thought the
- 31:09Speaker 2: schedules are out already. I guess we don't know the
- 31:11Speaker 2: actual order of teams yet, but we know who the
- 31:14Speaker 2: teams are going to be playing, I guess. But yeah,
- 31:15Speaker 2: Penn State has a really easy schedule this year, and
- 31:18Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure they're avoiding like all the better teams.
- 31:21Speaker 2: I think they avoid all three of Ohio State, Oregon,
- 31:24Speaker 2: in Indiana. I think Penn State doesn't have to play
- 31:26Speaker 2: any of them this year, if I'm not mistaken. So
- 31:30Speaker 2: that's gonna be interesting. So they might be in the
- 31:32Speaker 2: mixes because they have such an easy schedule. Washington's at
- 31:35Speaker 2: twenty four to one. I don't know if Washington's really
- 31:39Speaker 2: that interesting or not. I think they do have some
- 31:42Speaker 2: decent returning production. Yeah, they have eleven returning starters, mostly
- 31:47Speaker 2: on the offense, including Demond Williams Junior, their quarterback. So
- 31:51Speaker 2: they have a decent amount of returning production there for Washington.
- 31:54Speaker 2: But there I forgot to mention them. There are another,
- 31:56Speaker 2: of course, Pacific Coast team that's having to travel a
- 31:59Speaker 2: lot here. Then I don't know we got Iowa forty
- 32:02Speaker 2: two to one. Iowa seems to always be good defensively,
- 32:05Speaker 2: but I think they lost like Gronowski, who is their quarterback.
- 32:09Speaker 2: With Iowa, they can kind of plug and play their
- 32:11Speaker 2: quarterback a little bit though, because a lot of times
- 32:13Speaker 2: they just focus more on the rushing attack and the deepfense.
- 32:15Speaker 2: But Gronowski was kind of a guy that would throw
- 32:18Speaker 2: the ball as well, So I don't know, they're gonna
- 32:19Speaker 2: need to kind of replace that in some way. And
- 32:22Speaker 2: then I don't know if we really love any of
- 32:24Speaker 2: the rest of these seems the Big Ten is very
- 32:25Speaker 2: top heavy, even though it's a good conference. It's like
- 32:29Speaker 2: a bunch of good teams at the top, and then
- 32:30Speaker 2: the rest of these teams kind of suck man like Wisconsin.
- 32:35Speaker 2: I mean, they have not been able to get back
- 32:38Speaker 2: to that level that they once were at at thirteen
- 32:40Speaker 2: and a half. What is that at one hundred and
- 32:44Speaker 2: thirty five to one, that is yeah, ridiculous, Nebraska one
- 32:47Speaker 2: hundred and fifty to one. So Nebraska, Ryola is gone
- 32:51Speaker 2: and he has gone to I forget where where do
- 32:56Speaker 2: Ryola go? Let me see, I know he went. I
- 32:59Speaker 2: know he was one of the big transfers. Let me see,
- 33:03Speaker 2: I gotta get to the right page here. I'm all
- 33:05Speaker 2: over the place he went to. Oh he went to Oregon?
- 33:09Speaker 2: Really all right? Well, so I guess Oregon has multiple
- 33:13Speaker 2: quarterbacks then, because Dante Moore is gonna be the start
- 33:15Speaker 2: of it. Ryola, I guess went to Oregon as well.
- 33:18Speaker 2: I don't know. It's kind of a weird decision. I suppose,
- 33:22Speaker 2: so I think he'll be the backup. But I guess
- 33:24Speaker 2: that means that Oregon has multiple decent quarterbacks, although I
- 33:27Speaker 2: think more is better than Ryola. And then Illinois, I mean,
- 33:31Speaker 2: they've looked better than they actually were the last couple
- 33:34Speaker 2: of years, and Altmeyer's gone now their quarterback he got drafted.
- 33:38Speaker 2: So I don't see Illinois making a ton of noise here.
- 33:41Speaker 2: U se La is at one hundred and seventy to one.
- 33:43Speaker 2: They got a new coach maybe to try to turn
- 33:45Speaker 2: things around there with Bob Chesney was coming from JMU,
- 33:50Speaker 2: so he did well with jam mue Ale, though JAMU
- 33:52Speaker 2: had kind of been built up by Kurt Signetti. So
- 33:55Speaker 2: I don't know. And then I don't know, man, I
- 33:57Speaker 2: don't know if there's anything else really interesting. Michigan State
- 34:00Speaker 2: has Pat Fitzgerald now who used to be the coach
- 34:02Speaker 2: at Northwestern. Both of them are at five hundred to
- 34:05Speaker 2: one here after Minnesota two hundred and one. Michigan State
- 34:09Speaker 2: you kind of think at some point they're gonna kind
- 34:11Speaker 2: of move back up a little bit here, and then
- 34:14Speaker 2: Rutgers of purdueer just both ass But yeah, Michigan State
- 34:18Speaker 2: maybe ifits I think he's a good coach. Man. I
- 34:20Speaker 2: think he got fired for some sort of impropriety or
- 34:24Speaker 2: something at Northwestern, but he might be able to do
- 34:26Speaker 2: something with this Michigan State team. So I don't know, man,
- 34:29Speaker 2: I guess we'll see. But that's what we got going
- 34:32Speaker 2: on in this conference. I forgot to mention FAU by
- 34:35Speaker 2: the way, as far as the American Conference, I apologize.
- 34:39Speaker 2: I think they're in that conference, right, I just skipped
- 34:41Speaker 2: over FAU. They're at sixteen to one there, but they
- 34:44Speaker 2: do have a lot of returning production. They have eleven
- 34:46Speaker 2: guys Aturning had like more than half their deepfense, and
- 34:49Speaker 2: then their quarterback Velt Camp along with a couple other guys.
- 34:52Speaker 2: So FAU thus have some returning production there as well.
- 34:56Speaker 2: All right, Oh and Big so Big. As far as
- 35:00Speaker 2: who I think has value. I like Ohio State, man,
- 35:06Speaker 2: you know, I mean at plus one eighty, I think
- 35:09Speaker 2: maybe there is actually a little bit of value there.
- 35:11Speaker 2: I mean the power ratings that a lot of the
- 35:13Speaker 2: Power Ratings guys have them as the number one team
- 35:15Speaker 2: in the country, although they have Oregon in Indiana not
- 35:18Speaker 2: that far behind them. But yeah, Oregon, I think there
- 35:21Speaker 2: might be some value. I just worry about the travel
- 35:23Speaker 2: a little bit there, but Oregon should be very good
- 35:26Speaker 2: and in contention as well. I would not play Indiana though,
- 35:30Speaker 2: after what they did last year. I see them taking
- 35:32Speaker 2: a little bit of a step back this year. And
- 35:35Speaker 2: then other than that, I mean, Penn State is kind
- 35:37Speaker 2: of interesting at twenty two to one, but we'll see
- 35:40Speaker 2: what Matt Campbell's system can look like in the Big Ten.
- 35:44Speaker 2: I don't exactly know what we're gonna see there, but
- 35:46Speaker 2: we'll say. In the Conference USA, I mean, this is
- 35:51Speaker 2: a garbage conference here, and I think some of the
- 35:53Speaker 2: teams left this conference as well. Liberty is at plus
- 35:56Speaker 2: two fifty. I mean, they were supposed to win the
- 35:59Speaker 2: conference last year, I think, and they had a bad
- 36:00Speaker 2: season and didn't win it. Are at plus two fifty here.
- 36:05Speaker 2: I don't know what their returning production looks like. They're
- 36:07Speaker 2: returning ten starters, including their quarterback, Vasco, and bunch of
- 36:11Speaker 2: their offensive line, so their offense should be decent and
- 36:15Speaker 2: ready to go again. Western Kentucky is at plus three seventy.
- 36:18Speaker 2: They're usually kind of in the mix in this conference
- 36:20Speaker 2: as well. They're only bringing back six returning starters, though
- 36:23Speaker 2: it does include their quarterback Tisdale Junior. I don't know.
- 36:29Speaker 2: And then let me see. Jacksonville stayed at plus five
- 36:32Speaker 2: point forty. They've kind of been one of the I
- 36:35Speaker 2: think they've won the conference last year. Right. They're bringing
- 36:37Speaker 2: back Kreole, their quarterback, and half of their deepfense, but
- 36:40Speaker 2: only eight returning starters there, so, I don't know if
- 36:43Speaker 2: that's really that great for continuity. Delaware is it? Plus
- 36:47Speaker 2: six hundred Delaware might be a little bit interesting. They're
- 36:50Speaker 2: bringing back a lot of starters, a lot of their offense. Minnicoucci,
- 36:54Speaker 2: their quarterback, Minnicucci, the Italian guy though that I call
- 37:00Speaker 2: them the type posts, that's what I call them. They're
- 37:03Speaker 2: bringing back a decent amount of their old line and
- 37:05Speaker 2: some of their other skilled players here. Yeah, I mean
- 37:09Speaker 2: Delaware is kind of interesting. I think they're new to
- 37:11Speaker 2: this conference last year, but now they have a year
- 37:15Speaker 2: under their belt, maybe we will see something from them.
- 37:18Speaker 2: Kennesaw is at plus seven to twenty. Kennisaw was kind
- 37:20Speaker 2: of in the mix to win this conference last year too,
- 37:23Speaker 2: only six returning starters there though, And they went from
- 37:26Speaker 2: being a team that was new to FBS and being like, literally,
- 37:30Speaker 2: I think the worst team in FBS a couple of
- 37:32Speaker 2: years ago to last year actually being in the running
- 37:34Speaker 2: to win this conference. So although I think I'm trying
- 37:37Speaker 2: to remember because some of these teams I think might
- 37:39Speaker 2: have been in the Sun Belt too, I don't remember though.
- 37:42Speaker 2: And then Florida International is at plus seven to eighty,
- 37:45Speaker 2: KENISAU is plus seven twenty FI usually bringing back five starters,
- 37:52Speaker 2: I don't know, but probably a lot of like transfers
- 37:55Speaker 2: going on and stuff. And then after that, I mean,
- 37:58Speaker 2: the rest of these teams, I don't know. New Mexico's
- 38:00Speaker 2: State nineteen to one, Missouri State twenty six to one,
- 38:03Speaker 2: Missouri State I believe lost their coach. Middle Tennessee at
- 38:07Speaker 2: fifty to one, and sometimes they're like a competitive team,
- 38:10Speaker 2: it looks like not really at this point. And Sam
- 38:13Speaker 2: Houston has fallen way down at eighty to one. Yeah,
- 38:17Speaker 2: I don't know if there's a whole lot else to
- 38:19Speaker 2: say about this. I kind of like Liberty though in
- 38:22Speaker 2: this conference. I've heard some professional guys not like Liberty,
- 38:25Speaker 2: but I think they had an unexpectedly bad season last
- 38:29Speaker 2: year and kind of underperformed, and they're bringing back a
- 38:31Speaker 2: lot of guys. So I don't know, man, That's the
- 38:34Speaker 2: way I kind of lean. And then I kind of
- 38:35Speaker 2: like Delaware at plus six hundred in that conference. Those
- 38:38Speaker 2: would be the two ways I would look there for
- 38:40Speaker 2: maybe some potential value. The MAC it says no Mass schools.
- 38:45Speaker 2: I thought U Mass left the MAC though, didn't they?
- 38:48Speaker 2: I don't know, man, the MAC. Of course, Sacramento State
- 38:52Speaker 2: is in the MAC now, which is completely ridiculous. Uh,
- 38:56Speaker 2: Sacramento State, Yeah, let's have a California team just play
- 38:59Speaker 2: in the fucking Yeah, totally makes sense. They're at thirty
- 39:02Speaker 2: to one. They're not gonna do any they meddle though.
- 39:05Speaker 2: Times are bad for Kent State and Ball State if
- 39:07Speaker 2: they have worse odds than Sacramento State to win this conference.
- 39:11Speaker 2: Sacramento State is moving up to FBS as well for
- 39:13Speaker 2: the first time, so there're gonna be some growing pains there.
- 39:18Speaker 2: As far as this conference, Miami Ohio has the best
- 39:20Speaker 2: odds to win it at plus three hundred. I don't
- 39:23Speaker 2: know how much value this is really gonna be there
- 39:25Speaker 2: with them, h me see it is Miami even a year.
- 39:28Speaker 2: Let me see. Yeah, Miami Ohio is bringing back nine
- 39:30Speaker 2: returning starters, not their quarterback, but like half of their
- 39:35Speaker 2: offense is coming back. Their offense has been good, but
- 39:38Speaker 2: I don't know. And then Western Michigan is at plus
- 39:40Speaker 2: four hundred. Western Michigan was interesting. I think I forget
- 39:43Speaker 2: which team won this conference last year, but Western Michigan
- 39:46Speaker 2: is returning eleven starters, including Brock Lowry their quarterback, a
- 39:50Speaker 2: lot of their offense, and pretty much their entire secondary.
- 39:54Speaker 2: But the rest of their defense has gone. And I
- 39:55Speaker 2: think they were one of the better defensive teams in
- 39:58Speaker 2: this conference last year, so having this turnover on deepfense
- 40:01Speaker 2: might not be great, but you gotta like the returning
- 40:04Speaker 2: production on offense. Though they're at four to one. Toledo
- 40:07Speaker 2: is at four and a half to one. Toledo's interesting,
- 40:11Speaker 2: although they're only returning one guy, so I don't know.
- 40:13Speaker 2: Toledo is bringing in a new coach, so he might
- 40:15Speaker 2: be bringing in some of their some of his guys,
- 40:17Speaker 2: Mike Jacobs coming up from Mercer, so I'm wondering if
- 40:22Speaker 2: he's bringing up some of his Mercer guys. But they're
- 40:24Speaker 2: gonna have some growing pains coming up from FCS. Toledo's
- 40:27Speaker 2: always kind of competitive in this conference though, and then
- 40:30Speaker 2: Ohio is at plus six fifth. The Ohio is usually
- 40:32Speaker 2: in the mix in this conference as well, only bringing
- 40:35Speaker 2: back six returning starters. Though for Ohio Central Michigan at
- 40:40Speaker 2: eight and a half to one, I mean, I'm not
- 40:42Speaker 2: really so sure what there is to love about them,
- 40:44Speaker 2: but they're bringing back eight starters they were I don't
- 40:47Speaker 2: think really that great. And then Eastern Michigan with our
- 40:49Speaker 2: guy Noah Caniga there at eleven to one, although actually
- 40:57Speaker 2: it looks like a Caniga looks like he's actually gone.
- 40:59Speaker 2: I don't know where is he? Man? Did he transfer?
- 41:01Speaker 2: I have no idea. My jersey is useless now. Eastern
- 41:06Speaker 2: Michigan is bringing back their quarterback cam so I don't know.
- 41:10Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to look and see where our guy
- 41:12Speaker 2: is now man. And then I don't know. Bowling Green
- 41:16Speaker 2: is usually seemingly decent in this conference. They're at seventeen
- 41:19Speaker 2: to one. I don't know. It's a terrible conference though.
- 41:23Speaker 2: They're only bringing back three starters, and then Buffalo after
- 41:28Speaker 2: the Buffalo and then Akron Buffalo twenty one plus twenty
- 41:32Speaker 2: one hundred, Akron plus twenty seven hundred. I don't know
- 41:35Speaker 2: what to think about either of those teams really, I mean,
- 41:38Speaker 2: just kind of whatever. I mean, the odds are what
- 41:39Speaker 2: they are for a reason. I don't know. Man, as
- 41:45Speaker 2: far as this conference goes, I still I kind of
- 41:49Speaker 2: like Western Michigan's returning production here to kind of get
- 41:53Speaker 2: them hitting the ground running, and they're losing a lot
- 41:57Speaker 2: of their defense. Though Toledo is interesting. We'll see what
- 42:01Speaker 2: they do under their new coach and then, uh yeah,
- 42:05Speaker 2: I think that's yeah. I mean maybe Western Michigan is
- 42:09Speaker 2: the team to look at it plus four hundred. But
- 42:11Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't like this conference at all.
- 42:15Speaker 2: Why you're rooting for Liberty, they have like a they
- 42:18Speaker 2: have a lot of weird shit going on. Man. They're
- 42:21Speaker 2: a they're Jerry Followell's school, so they're like they're a
- 42:25Speaker 2: massively Zionist school and they have some weird I don't know.
- 42:33Speaker 2: They have some weird program where they take pregnant young
- 42:37Speaker 2: women in and then like steal their babies away. Fuck Liberty.
- 42:43Speaker 2: One of my cousins went there, but still fuck Liberty.
- 42:47Speaker 2: Very very very sketchy school. Yes, ball Sack, I didn't
- 42:52Speaker 2: even think of that. Hopefully they play each other this
- 42:55Speaker 2: year out. I don't think every team plays every other
- 42:57Speaker 2: team in the conference, but because it's split up into
- 42:59Speaker 2: two visions to Big Conference, so I don't know if
- 43:02Speaker 2: they're playing each other or not. We'll see. I think
- 43:07Speaker 2: it's split up into East and West, so basically all
- 43:11Speaker 2: the Ohio schools are on one side. Ball State is
- 43:14Speaker 2: in Indiana. I honestly don't even know which half of
- 43:17Speaker 2: the conference ball State is even in, but Sacramento State
- 43:21Speaker 2: obviously being the west part of it, which is usually
- 43:25Speaker 2: it's like most of the Michigan schools pretty much. But then,
- 43:28Speaker 2: oh my god, the travel spots are going to be
- 43:31Speaker 2: so ridiculous. Mountain West, the newly formed Mountain West here,
- 43:36Speaker 2: very very weird conference this year in the Mountain West,
- 43:40Speaker 2: we got Boise State is gone and San Diego State
- 43:44Speaker 2: is gone, and those are two of the best teams
- 43:46Speaker 2: in the Conference. They're both in the Pac twelve now,
- 43:48Speaker 2: so with those two teams gone, UNLV has the best
- 43:51Speaker 2: odds to win this thing at plus two seventy. I
- 43:55Speaker 2: don't know. I think UNLV still has Dan Mullins there,
- 43:58Speaker 2: and you know me from last year, I'm not really
- 44:00Speaker 2: a huge fan of him. Although UNLV did fine last year,
- 44:03Speaker 2: but they only have seven returning starters. I don't know
- 44:07Speaker 2: exactly what their depth looks like this year. Let me
- 44:09Speaker 2: say it looks like their quarterback is Jackson Arnold. That's
- 44:17Speaker 2: kind of interesting. So they brought him in from Auburn
- 44:22Speaker 2: and he was on Oklahoma before. That's that is interesting.
- 44:24Speaker 2: Jackson Arnold will be the quarterback there. He's an experienced quarterback.
- 44:28Speaker 2: I mean, he's played in the SEC, so that's not bad.
- 44:31Speaker 2: That's part of the reason why UNLV has the odds
- 44:33Speaker 2: they do. And then North Dakota State the newcomers who
- 44:36Speaker 2: are coming up from FCS. They were basically a dominant
- 44:39Speaker 2: FCS team. They have the second best to Hodgs to
- 44:43Speaker 2: win the Mountain West at plus three hundred. I'm not
- 44:46Speaker 2: so sure. I think there are gonna be some growing
- 44:49Speaker 2: pains there. They might do all right, but and they've
- 44:51Speaker 2: been competitive. They got eight returning starters, they got a
- 44:54Speaker 2: decent amount of their deepfense returning. But I don't know, man,
- 44:57Speaker 2: I don't know what they're gonna look like this year.
- 44:59Speaker 2: I'm not sold on the I'm having odds like that
- 45:01Speaker 2: New Mexico at plus three ten is pretty interesting, though.
- 45:04Speaker 2: I believe New Mexico has a Bronco Mendon Hall still there.
- 45:08Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure as their quarterback and or their coach.
- 45:10Speaker 2: Excuse me, I always say quarterback coach. I believe New Mexico. Yeah,
- 45:17Speaker 2: like it's it'll be interesting to have him as as
- 45:19Speaker 2: the coach there. Oh and I've kind of glossed over
- 45:24Speaker 2: I guess like Missouri State. I think I've talked about
- 45:26Speaker 2: their commerce already. They have a new they have SMU's
- 45:29Speaker 2: offensive coordinator as their coach there, Casey Woods. I think
- 45:32Speaker 2: it's like whatever, who cares, let me see. And Toledo's
- 45:37Speaker 2: coach Jason Kandell went to Yukon, by the way, I
- 45:40Speaker 2: don't I don't even have I talked about you. What
- 45:42Speaker 2: conference is Yukon in? I don't even fucking know whatever.
- 45:47Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I yeah, I haven't really gotten
- 45:50Speaker 2: to these other conferences. Yet the SEC has a lot
- 45:53Speaker 2: of coaching changes, tons of coaching changes in the SEC
- 45:57Speaker 2: that I have to get to. As far as the
- 46:01Speaker 2: conference that I'm on right now, well, I guess we
- 46:02Speaker 2: can talk about Colorado State in a set because they're no.
- 46:05Speaker 2: They're in the PAC twelve now, right, don't. I don't
- 46:07Speaker 2: know where anybody is now, man, But I think what
- 46:10Speaker 2: I was gonna say is New Mexico. They have fourteen
- 46:14Speaker 2: returning starters man including Jack Lane, their quarterback, multiple wide receivers,
- 46:18Speaker 2: most of their offensive line, a decent amount of their deepense,
- 46:21Speaker 2: like more than half the deepfense. I kind of like
- 46:24Speaker 2: New Mexico in this conference at plus three ten. I
- 46:27Speaker 2: liked them in their Bowl last year. They have a
- 46:29Speaker 2: good coach. Next year might be the the year where
- 46:34Speaker 2: they do really well, because a lot of times the
- 46:36Speaker 2: third year for a coach is like the best. I
- 46:38Speaker 2: think New Mexico is an interesting look here, though air
- 46:42Speaker 2: force is plus five seventy. They of course run the
- 46:45Speaker 2: triple option. They're bringing back most of their defense air force.
- 46:49Speaker 2: They have eleven returning starters, not much of their offense though,
- 46:53Speaker 2: except their quarterback Zarka is coming back. Though air Force.
- 46:58Speaker 2: They run the triple options, always kind of annoying to
- 47:01Speaker 2: have to defend. Their offense might be interesting this year,
- 47:04Speaker 2: or their defense, I mean might might actually be better
- 47:08Speaker 2: this year because they're bringing back all those guys against
- 47:11Speaker 2: so they have another year under their belt. Boundery, their
- 47:13Speaker 2: offense is usually better than their defense. Though they're at
- 47:16Speaker 2: plus five seventy. I don't know what to think about
- 47:18Speaker 2: air Force. Really, Hawaii is plus six seventy. They're only
- 47:23Speaker 2: bringing back seven guys that they are bringing back. Alajado
- 47:26Speaker 2: who is their quarterback? Yeah, I don't know about them.
- 47:30Speaker 2: And then the rest of these teams, Wyoming, San Jose State, Nevada, Nevada,
- 47:35Speaker 2: Northern Illinois. I keep thinking of Northern Illinois as a
- 47:38Speaker 2: good team, but maybe not in Noryon. They're not in
- 47:41Speaker 2: the MAC anymore, by the way, So Northern Illinois, a
- 47:44Speaker 2: lot of these teams have to adjust to like a
- 47:46Speaker 2: new conference, you know what I mean. So Northern Illinois
- 47:48Speaker 2: has to adjust to being in the Mountain West. What
- 47:51Speaker 2: the fuck an Illinois team having to go play in
- 47:55Speaker 2: the Mountain States and on the Pacific Coast. Yeah great,
- 47:58Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna go well for them. And
- 48:00Speaker 2: they're eighty to one, and you consider them, they were
- 48:03Speaker 2: like a decent team in the MAC, right, like they
- 48:06Speaker 2: usually played good deffense that could run the football. But
- 48:09Speaker 2: the MAC is a bad conference. The Mountain West is
- 48:12Speaker 2: gonna be a step up. It's gonna be bad times
- 48:15Speaker 2: for Northern Illinois probably. And then UTEP is also moving
- 48:18Speaker 2: into this conference from where were they Conference USA? Maybe
- 48:22Speaker 2: I forget where they were. They have the worst odds
- 48:25Speaker 2: to win this thing at one hundred and ten to one.
- 48:27Speaker 2: I don't think things are gonna go well those two teams.
- 48:30Speaker 2: It's gonna be difficult for them to move up into
- 48:31Speaker 2: this conference. At least UTEP is in Texas Western Texas
- 48:35Speaker 2: and I'll passo, so that's an easier move for them
- 48:38Speaker 2: to make into this conference. In Northern Illinois, it's like,
- 48:40Speaker 2: what the fuck is even going on here? I don't know.
- 48:44Speaker 2: Then we have the new PAC twelve which is reformed
- 48:46Speaker 2: and it consists of Boise State, San Diego State, both
- 48:51Speaker 2: coming from the Mountain West, Utah State, and Fresno State
- 48:55Speaker 2: and Colorado State all also coming from the Mountain West,
- 48:58Speaker 2: Texas State coming from the sun Belts, I want to say.
- 49:02Speaker 2: And then of course the two orphans from the old
- 49:05Speaker 2: Pack twelve that were not in a conference. They were
- 49:07Speaker 2: the pack to the last couple of years. Washington State
- 49:10Speaker 2: and Oregon State. They're in this conference, so they're back
- 49:13Speaker 2: in a conference again. They have parents again. Boise State
- 49:17Speaker 2: is the team with the best odds to win at
- 49:18Speaker 2: plus one sixty. They're a legit team. I mean, they've
- 49:22Speaker 2: made the playoffs at least one of the last two
- 49:24Speaker 2: years since they expanded playoffs. They were like constantly I
- 49:28Speaker 2: think did they make it both? I think they made
- 49:29Speaker 2: it both years. Actually they were like constantly winning the
- 49:32Speaker 2: Mountain West. They were the best team in the Mountain West.
- 49:35Speaker 2: They're competitive against power conference teams. You know, they have
- 49:38Speaker 2: a good program. So it makes sense why Boise State
- 49:41Speaker 2: has the best odds to win this conference. They have
- 49:43Speaker 2: a ton of returning starters to thirteen of them, including
- 49:47Speaker 2: Maddox Madsen, their quarterback who got hurt during the year
- 49:50Speaker 2: last year. And they're bringing back a running back, one
- 49:52Speaker 2: wide receiver, a tight end, a bunch of their offensive linemen,
- 49:56Speaker 2: a lot of guys on their defense coming back as well.
- 49:58Speaker 2: So Boise State looking decent here. San Diego State has
- 50:02Speaker 2: the next best odds at four to one. They're bringing
- 50:06Speaker 2: back ten guys, including Dnegal their quarterback, not Senegal, bunch
- 50:11Speaker 2: of wide receivers, not much of their defense though in
- 50:14Speaker 2: San Diego State is known for having a pretty good defense,
- 50:17Speaker 2: so I don't know what we're gonna see out of
- 50:18Speaker 2: San Diego State this year, but a lot of their
- 50:21Speaker 2: offense is coming back. Texas State at four plus four
- 50:24Speaker 2: to twenty five. They're kind of interesting, man. I don't
- 50:28Speaker 2: know what it's gonna look like with them going up
- 50:29Speaker 2: to the Mountain West and or Souse to the Pac
- 50:32Speaker 2: twelve A Texas team having to play all these Mountain
- 50:35Speaker 2: time in Pacific Coast time teams. I don't know. But
- 50:38Speaker 2: Texas State's returning eleven starters, including most of their offense,
- 50:42Speaker 2: quarterback Brad Jackson coming back. Their offense is going to
- 50:45Speaker 2: be botent like they were a really good offense. I
- 50:48Speaker 2: don't know about their defense really though, and they're having
- 50:50Speaker 2: to step up into a conference that's going to be
- 50:52Speaker 2: a little bit more difficult for them. But they do
- 50:55Speaker 2: have pretty good odds here, so they're considered to be
- 50:57Speaker 2: kind of a contender in this conference. We'll say Fresno
- 51:02Speaker 2: is plus six fifty. They're bringing back thirteen starters. Not
- 51:07Speaker 2: their quarterback though, but most of the rest of their
- 51:09Speaker 2: guys are all coming back. I don't know who their
- 51:11Speaker 2: quarterback is gonna be. Let me say, usually in a
- 51:14Speaker 2: case like that, you're seeing transfers. Their quarterback is Christian Martin.
- 51:20Speaker 2: It looks like he's a Red Shirt. He was on
- 51:22Speaker 2: Maryland apparently, I don't know. I don't know much about him.
- 51:26Speaker 2: We'll see, but Fresno does have a lot of returning production.
- 51:30Speaker 2: Washington State is plus nine point fifty. I don't know
- 51:33Speaker 2: what to think about them. I believe they got a
- 51:35Speaker 2: new coach. Yeah, Kirby Moore is their coach now, who
- 51:38Speaker 2: was at Missouri as the OC before. Somewhat interesting, I
- 51:43Speaker 2: believe more. I'm trying to remember, like, I don't know.
- 51:48Speaker 2: I associate his name was something Pacific Coast, but I'm
- 51:51Speaker 2: not sure why. I don't really remember. I don't know.
- 51:55Speaker 2: I don't remember why I was thinking that, but maybe
- 51:57Speaker 2: something I don't know. Washington's state, let's see, they're only
- 52:01Speaker 2: bringing back five returning starters though, nobody on defense. Yeah,
- 52:07Speaker 2: we'll see. We'll see what they can get out of
- 52:09Speaker 2: their defense. Man Utah State at sixteen to one. Utah
- 52:16Speaker 2: State bringing back nine retorney starters. I'm not their quarterback.
- 52:20Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean they're kind of an
- 52:23Speaker 2: interesting team. I think they're kind of in like a
- 52:24Speaker 2: rebuild mode. They did pretty well last year though. For actually,
- 52:29Speaker 2: are they the team that has Bronco men at all?
- 52:31Speaker 1: Now?
- 52:31Speaker 2: Maybe they're the ones that have men in home? I forget,
- 52:33Speaker 2: I forget where these coaches are now. Man. But yeah,
- 52:38Speaker 2: oh right, as far as I forgot to talk about
- 52:40Speaker 2: the Yeah, the Mountain West, I forgot to say what
- 52:42Speaker 2: I thought. Yeah, I think New Mexico is the way
- 52:45Speaker 2: to look in the Mountain West of plus three ten.
- 52:47Speaker 2: If I didn't make that clear, Yeah, I like New
- 52:48Speaker 2: Mexico in the Mountain West at those odds. Anyway, Yeah,
- 52:54Speaker 2: PAC twelve. Yeah, Utah State, I don't know if they
- 52:56Speaker 2: interested me that much. Oregon State is at nineteen to one.
- 53:02Speaker 2: They have bringing back ten starters, including Malik Murphy, their
- 53:05Speaker 2: quarterback who used to be on Duke I believe somewhat interesting.
- 53:09Speaker 2: A decent amount of returning production from Oregon State here,
- 53:13Speaker 2: and they have a new quarterback I always say quarterback,
- 53:15Speaker 2: A new coach JaMarcus Shepherd, who was one of the
- 53:18Speaker 2: offensive coordinators at Alabama, So he's gonna be there. Interesting,
- 53:24Speaker 2: I guess, but they're not considered to be really in
- 53:27Speaker 2: contention here in Colorado State at thirty three to one,
- 53:31Speaker 2: Colorado State only four returning starters. That's probably part of
- 53:34Speaker 2: the reason why they're gonna be in rebuild. Oh look
- 53:37Speaker 2: who they're bringing in. Jim Mora is going to be
- 53:40Speaker 2: the coach for Colorado State here.
- 53:42Speaker 1: Now, playoffs. Don't talk about playoffs, you kidding me?
- 53:49Speaker 2: Playoffs? I just hope we can win a game another game.
- 53:53Speaker 2: Not that Jim More. That's Jim Moore as senior. But
- 53:55Speaker 2: I believe this is Jim Mora junior. So that guy's son,
- 54:00Speaker 2: I believe is who this is. He was in. If
- 54:03Speaker 2: it's the same Jim Moore, I'm thinking of it. It's
- 54:05Speaker 2: got to be him, right, Jim, this is Jim Mora junior.
- 54:08Speaker 2: Somebody correct me if I'm wrong. But he was in
- 54:10Speaker 2: the NFL for a while. He's moving from Yukon to
- 54:13Speaker 2: Colorado State here. I guess we'll see what he can
- 54:17Speaker 2: do out there. As far as this conference is concerned.
- 54:21Speaker 2: I kind of like Boise at plus one sixty I mean,
- 54:25Speaker 2: they're probably gonna be the team that everybody's gonna pick
- 54:27Speaker 2: those So that worries me that maybe there's not that
- 54:29Speaker 2: much value there. But I think they're gonna be able
- 54:32Speaker 2: to win it. I mean a lot of returning production.
- 54:35Speaker 2: They're almost like sort of a power conference team. Given
- 54:38Speaker 2: the schedule that they usually face. Although they've the out
- 54:41Speaker 2: of conference schedule they usually test themselves, they face like
- 54:44Speaker 2: a really difficult out of conference schedule, their conference schedule
- 54:47Speaker 2: won't be particularly difficult. I don't know, so yeah, I
- 54:51Speaker 2: mean that's still the way that I'm kind of looking.
- 54:54Speaker 2: Texas State is definitely interesting, but I worry about their
- 54:56Speaker 2: step up into this conference. In their defense, the SEC
- 55:02Speaker 2: the conference that everybody wants to talk about. I got, well,
- 55:04Speaker 2: the Big Ten is the best conference now, but the SEC.
- 55:07Speaker 2: I think the SEC is the most balanced conference. Like
- 55:10Speaker 2: the Big Ten is really top heavy. The SEC has
- 55:13Speaker 2: a lot of teams that could win this thing. Georgia
- 55:16Speaker 2: is at plus two sixty and they're considered to be
- 55:19Speaker 2: the favorite to win this thing. They're considered to be
- 55:22Speaker 2: the best team in this conference. I'm not so sure
- 55:24Speaker 2: that that's true. They're bringing back fourteen returning starters though,
- 55:28Speaker 2: so that's second only to USC and tied with New
- 55:31Speaker 2: Mexico and Notre Dame. Actually, I should talk about Notre
- 55:34Speaker 2: Dame in a second because they're not even in a conference,
- 55:36Speaker 2: so I should talk about them in a second as well.
- 55:39Speaker 2: After the SEC maybe I will. Georgia does have Gunner
- 55:43Speaker 2: Stockton coming back their quarterback, they have most of their
- 55:46Speaker 2: offense coming back, and almost their whole defense is coming back.
- 55:49Speaker 2: And we know Georgia known for their deffense whatever. Don't
- 55:52Speaker 2: know if there's gonna be that much value there. Although
- 55:54Speaker 2: Stoked in with another year under his belt, they definitely
- 55:57Speaker 2: should be good. There's no doubt about that. Texas is
- 56:00Speaker 2: at plus three ten. The problem with Texas is they
- 56:03Speaker 2: have a really difficult schedule this year. Texas has one
- 56:07Speaker 2: of the most difficult schedules, and not just because they're
- 56:09Speaker 2: in the SEC, but just the specific teams they have
- 56:11Speaker 2: to face and they're out of conference schedule, we're all difficult.
- 56:15Speaker 2: So Texas they could definitely lose some games just because
- 56:19Speaker 2: of how difficult they're schedule is. They're bringing back thirteen starters,
- 56:22Speaker 2: so Texas is bringing back a lot of guys. Most
- 56:25Speaker 2: of their offense that does include arch Manning their quarterback.
- 56:29Speaker 2: How good is arch Manning is one of the questions
- 56:31Speaker 2: that we need to answer here. He gets shit on
- 56:34Speaker 2: a lot. Man Of course he is the he's the
- 56:37Speaker 2: son of which Manning? Is he the son of Cooper Manning?
- 56:41Speaker 2: Maybe I think that's right. So I think he's the
- 56:45Speaker 2: nephew of Peyton Manning and Eli Manning. I believe you
- 56:47Speaker 2: can correct me if I'm wrong about that. I think
- 56:50Speaker 2: he's better than sort of all the what's the word
- 56:55Speaker 2: I'm looking for, Like he gets a lot of hate.
- 56:57Speaker 2: I guess let's say I think he's better than that.
- 57:00Speaker 2: But he wasn't great last year, so I don't know.
- 57:02Speaker 2: But they're bringing back more than half of their deepfense
- 57:04Speaker 2: here too. Texas will be good again, but very difficult
- 57:09Speaker 2: schedule for them. Alabama is at plus eight to fifty
- 57:12Speaker 2: and I believe this is going to be Alabama's third
- 57:14Speaker 2: year under de boor if I'm not mistaken, is that right?
- 57:18Speaker 2: So usually a team steps up a little bit in
- 57:21Speaker 2: the third year with a coach like that. However, they
- 57:23Speaker 2: only have seven returning starters. They always reload though through
- 57:27Speaker 2: the transfer portal and whatever, so I don't know how
- 57:30Speaker 2: concerning that really is Alabama their quarterback is gonna be
- 57:37Speaker 2: Keelon Russell. It looks like he's listed as their starting
- 57:40Speaker 2: quarterback right now, if these depth charts are right. So
- 57:43Speaker 2: he's a guy that's a young guy in Alabama's system
- 57:47Speaker 2: already and he's coming up. I guess that's what it's
- 57:49Speaker 2: gonna be. I would take this with a grain of salt, though,
- 57:52Speaker 2: because there are a lot of guys. This is just
- 57:54Speaker 2: their depth chart right now, but there are a lot
- 57:57Speaker 2: of guys in some of these quarterback depth charts right now,
- 57:59Speaker 2: so we don't know if for sure, necessarily the season
- 58:01Speaker 2: is about to start, so this is probably pretty close
- 58:04Speaker 2: to accurate. We'll see. I mean, Alabama, I think they've
- 58:08Speaker 2: actually been underrated the last couple of years, but I
- 58:11Speaker 2: don't know. With the lack of returning production, I'm not sure.
- 58:13Speaker 2: I really love that LSU at nine to one, but
- 58:18Speaker 2: I think Alabama will be in the mix here. LSU
- 58:20Speaker 2: is bringing back eight starters, and of course Lane Kiffin
- 58:23Speaker 2: is now coming over to LSU so that he can
- 58:26Speaker 2: I don't know, well, actually I was gonna say, well,
- 58:29Speaker 2: wit weeks, Yeah, it's him, right the weeks brothers. I
- 58:31Speaker 2: think they used to have three Weeks brothers on the deepfense.
- 58:35Speaker 2: Wit Weeks I think is the one that's dating Lane
- 58:39Speaker 2: Kiffin's daughter. But maybe I'm wrong, Maybe I have the
- 58:41Speaker 2: wrong Week's brother. But I was gonna say he's going
- 58:43Speaker 2: over to LSU just to like keep his daughter's boyfriend
- 58:47Speaker 2: in line or something, you know. I don't know, but
- 58:49Speaker 2: it'll be interesting with Lane Kiffin going to LSU. LSU
- 58:53Speaker 2: is definitely disappointed the last few years. But their quarterback,
- 58:56Speaker 2: of course, nuss Meyer, is not gonna be there anymore
- 58:58Speaker 2: because he got drafted. I forget where he is now
- 59:02Speaker 2: though in the NFL. We just saw him play, and
- 59:05Speaker 2: I already forget what team he's on. LSU is gonna have.
- 59:09Speaker 2: Like I said, Levitt is gonna be their quarterback they're
- 59:12Speaker 2: bringing in from Arizona State. He's good, but the question
- 59:16Speaker 2: is can he handle SEC defenses? You know? So I
- 59:19Speaker 2: don't know how much I love that, because the Big
- 59:20Speaker 2: twelve has bad defenses. He's gonna have to come up
- 59:23Speaker 2: and handle these SEC defenses, you know. And then Oklahoma
- 59:28Speaker 2: is interesting at plus nine point fifty because they're bringing
- 59:30Speaker 2: back a lot of starters, including their quarterback. What's his name,
- 59:36Speaker 2: John Mattier. They're bringing back fourteen starters, including Matier their quarterback,
- 59:40Speaker 2: most of their offense and more than half their defense
- 59:43Speaker 2: all coming back. And this is an Oklahoma team that
- 59:45Speaker 2: was a playoff team last year, playoffs. I think they're
- 59:49Speaker 2: gonna be good man, and I guess the word out
- 59:50Speaker 2: of their camps and whatever is that Matier like got
- 59:55Speaker 2: jacked over the offseason. I don't know if that's good
- 59:58Speaker 2: for a quarterback or not, but I yes, he's extremely
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: muscular at this point, so I have no idea that
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: that's probably better if you're I don't know, like a
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: lineman or linebacker or something like that, or maybe a
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: running back. I don't know. We'll say I kind of
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: like Oklahoma, though, giving the amount of returning production whatever.
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: Ole Miss is interesting as well. At plus eleven fifty
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: eleven and a half to one for ol Miss. Man,
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: I just skipped over All Miss. Where are they at?
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: They're bringing back ten starters, including Trinidad Shambliss, So I
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: think I had to petition the NCAA to play another year,
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: and he's back. He's doing that. He was their quarterback
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: in the playoffs last year. He looks good there. So
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: they're bringing back a little bit less than half of
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: their starters, which is pretty good in this day and
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: age ole Miss is definitely interesting. But they're losing Lane
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: Kiffin of course, and they're bringing in who's their coach now?
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: Pete Golding is going to be their coach now, who
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: is moving up. He was their defensive coordinator, he's moving on.
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: I think he might have coached them because remember Lane
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: kiffn left before the playoffs last year. I think Golding
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: was their coach during the playoffs. So that's not too bad.
- 1:01:11Speaker 2: Like that means there is continuity there because he's already
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: a coach in the system, so the system will kind
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: of remain the same. So that's not too bad. As
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: far as the other teams in this conference, Kentucky has
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: Will Stein, Oregon's OC is coming in as their coach now.
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: A lot of coaching changes here. John Sumral from Tulane
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: so he left Tulane. He's going to Florida now, and
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: Florida lost I already forget who the hell their coach
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: was last year. Auburn has a new coach coming up
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: from South Florida, Alex Golesh Memphiss coach is now going
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: to Arkansas Ryan Silverfield. So a lot of these lower
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: conference coaches are moving up into the SEC this year.
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: Interesting and I think that's about it. I forgot to
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: mention Kent State as a new coach this year, Mark Carney,
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: who was elevated from their offensive coordinator position over in
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: the MAC. Who cares Kent State has been awful, So
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: I don't I think they're still in the MAC, right
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: or do they move out of the MAC? I don't
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: fucking know what do I can't keep track of all
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: these conferences anyway. As far as the rest of these teams,
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: Texas A and M is twelve to one. They're kind
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: of interesting too. They're quarterbacks coming back, Marcel Reid. They're
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: bringing back nine returning starters here, and I believe they're
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: still rolling with already. Forget the coach's name, they've had
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: him for this might be his third year there now
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: I wish I could. I think it starts with Mike Elko.
- 1:02:38Speaker 2: Is that his name? Yeah? I think he's still there,
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens with A and M. I
- 1:02:43Speaker 2: think A and M will be an interesting team. I
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: think they'll be in the mix. Tennessee at seventeen to
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: one is usually interesting. They're bringing back a lot of starters,
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: thirteen starters. They lost their quarterback, but they're bringing back
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: a lot of other guys on the offense and almost
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: tap the defense. As far as Tennessee, I don't know
- 1:03:04Speaker 2: who they're bringing in his quarterback. Now they're bringing in,
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: it's gonna be Brandon Fazon. It looks like who. I
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: just saw some news on him. I forget. I think
- 1:03:15Speaker 2: he was. It's announced that he is going to be
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: their starter. I guess, which is why he's there in
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: the depth chart. He's a true freshman, it looks like,
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: so we have no idea what we're gonna get out
- 1:03:24Speaker 2: of this guy. He must be a highly recruited guy,
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: so we'll see what happens with him. Man, there's gonna
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: be some growing pains there with Tennessee, probably with but
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: they have a lot of returning starters with We'll see
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: what their quarterback can do. But they're at seventeen to one.
- 1:03:38Speaker 2: Their defense wasn't great last year though. Florida's at twenty
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: six to one. Nine returning starters from them, no returning
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: quarterback from them. New coach I don't know about Florida. Man,
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: they've been kind of disappointing in recent years, and I
- 1:03:55Speaker 2: don't know. I don't think it's gonna be a quick
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: turn around there. Missouri lost their coach. They are at
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: thirty three to one. I don't know what to think
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: about them. Either Auburn is at plus four forty or
- 1:04:05Speaker 2: they're at plus forty three hundred. Auburn is losing their
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: best wide receiver to the transfer portal Cam Coleman. He
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: transferred to Texas, by the way, so that will improve
- 1:04:16Speaker 2: Texas offense. Coleman is like, he's a beast dude, He's
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: considered to be the best wide receiver in college football
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: and he's transferring within the SEC from Auburn over to Texas.
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: Auburn Auburn like to me, they just considered like they
- 1:04:31Speaker 2: seem to consistently be undervalued. But at forty three to one,
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: ousmakers aren't liking their chances. South Carolina with I think
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: Beamer Ball is still there, right, Beamer's son, I think
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: is still there. Fifty two to one. Not a whole
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: lot to like there. Kentucky with a new coach, has
- 1:04:46Speaker 2: bad odds. Plus they're one hundred and fifty to one.
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: Vandy is ninety four to one. Even though Lee is
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: at his name, Lee their coach. He turned that program around. Man,
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: but Diego Pop gone and he was in the Ravens camp,
- 1:05:03Speaker 2: and the Ravens said, nope, we're done with your Shenanagan.
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: So I don't know what's gonna happen to Pavia, but
- 1:05:09Speaker 2: Vandy without him, they're gonna take a step back. I
- 1:05:12Speaker 2: don't know how severe it's gonna be. And then Mississippi
- 1:05:15Speaker 2: State and Arkansas or the bottom dwellers here. Mississippi State's
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: you think they should be kind of on an improvement
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: trajectory at this point, I don't know. They made a
- 1:05:25Speaker 2: Bowl last year. I'm pretty sure. I don't know. And
- 1:05:28Speaker 2: then Arkansas lost their quarterback Taylor Green, so we'll see
- 1:05:31Speaker 2: and they yeah, we'll see what happens there. And they
- 1:05:33Speaker 2: have a new coach there, of course, as I mentioned,
- 1:05:36Speaker 2: So I don't know, Man, As far as the value
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: going on in this conference, Georgia at plus two sixty,
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: even though they're I don't know, they seem to be overhyped.
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: But you know, Texas has a lot of returning production,
- 1:05:51Speaker 2: but their schedules really difficult. Georgia. I think there might
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: be some value there maybe, but I like Oklahoma to
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: it nine fifty. I think Oklahoma with all the returning starters,
- 1:06:03Speaker 2: they're pretty dangerous team there, man, And now that the
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: program is pretty used to playing in the SEC, you know.
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: And I don't know. I mean A and M is
- 1:06:12Speaker 2: interesting at twelve to one down there too, So I
- 1:06:15Speaker 2: don't know, but yeah, I would say Georgia or Oklahoma.
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: Maybe Oklahoma as more of a little bit of a
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: longer shot, just because Georgia. Everybody thinks George is gonna
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: win the conference. So that's the thing. Like, I don't
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: love it when a team is the sort of the
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: public team. And then we have the Sun Belt left.
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: JMU is still considered to be the top team in
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: the Sun Belt at plus two seventy. They won it
- 1:06:38Speaker 2: last year, of course, but they only have three returning
- 1:06:41Speaker 2: starters and they lost their coach now, so I don't
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: think there's that much value in looking at JMU. Here.
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: Old Dominion is second in the conference at plus four
- 1:06:49Speaker 2: to twenty. They only have five returning starters there though,
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: so I don't know, man, I mean, you might have
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: to look and see what the transfers look like there,
- 1:06:56Speaker 2: because there's obviously a reason why these teams are while
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: they have the odds that they do. Quinn Hennekle is
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: going to be the starter for Odu here. I think
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: he's been there backup the last couple of years, so
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: I guess they're elevating him within the same within the
- 1:07:14Speaker 2: same system. So I mean sometimes that's good because he
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: knows the system already. There's some continuity there. But we
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: will say, and as far as uh was the team? Oh,
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: James Madison, Yeah, what the hell did they do? They're
- 1:07:29Speaker 2: bringing Camden? Were bringing in Camden Coleman is their starting
- 1:07:34Speaker 2: quarterback here. He is a red shirt junior and it
- 1:07:39Speaker 2: looks like he just hasn't played before. I don't know, man,
- 1:07:43Speaker 2: We'll see. I think probably some growing paints here with
- 1:07:45Speaker 2: JMU this year. And then Louisiana, which is Louisiana laet
- 1:07:51Speaker 2: formerly known as plus seven point fifty. Let me see Louisiana.
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: Where are they at? There they go? They have nine
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: returning starters, including their quarterback, lunch win Field. A lot
- 1:08:07Speaker 2: of their offenses returning at the very least, maybe they're
- 1:08:11Speaker 2: gonna eat their lunch. I don't know or eat the
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: other team's lunches. Troy has been interesting in this conference
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: for a while. The plus eight hundred Troy has seven
- 1:08:22Speaker 2: returning starters, including Goose crowd Or, their quarterback, and their
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: other quarterback, Tucker Kilcrease. They both were starters last year
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: at various points, which is why it's listed that way,
- 1:08:32Speaker 2: but an entire turnover on their defense, though, we'll see
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: what they can do. Marshall is at plus eight hundred here.
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: They're bringing back nine starters, including their quarterback, Carlos del
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: Rio Wilson. Interesting, like the majority of their offense is
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: at least coming back, so Marshall is somewhat interesting where
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: I think Marshall they if I remember correctly, they were like,
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: weren't they Southern Miss or No, Marshall was the team
- 1:09:03Speaker 2: where everybody got cleared out and went to Southern Miss.
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure is what it was. So Marshall was
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: like totally rebuilding and they actually were kind of surprising.
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: They did all right last year. And then Arkansas State
- 1:09:13Speaker 2: is at eleven to one. I think they were an
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: ri team last year. They're bringing back ten starters. Arkansas
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: State is, but not their quarterback let's see and then
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: I don't know about the rest of these teams. You know,
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: I know Southern miss has a new coach. They're not
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: considered to be very good. I think Louisiana Monroe might
- 1:09:31Speaker 2: have a new coach as well. Actually maybe I'm right,
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: No Coastal Carolina does, but they're not considered to have
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: good odds here. I don't know. I don't know a
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: whole lot about the Sun Belt, but I don't know.
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: I think Louisiana or Marshall maybe, like those teams were
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: turning a decent amount of starters. I think one of
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: those teams, or maybe Arkansas State, they were returning a
- 1:09:51Speaker 2: lot of starters to one of those teams. There might
- 1:09:53Speaker 2: be some value there. But I don't know much about
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: the Sun Belt. So that's all the conferences, and then
- 1:10:01Speaker 2: we got let's look at the championship future odds here. Oh,
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: I forgot to talk about Notre Dame. Stupid, you know,
- 1:10:11Speaker 2: Notre Dame being a power team, but not in a conference.
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: Notre Dame's returning a lot of starters, fourteen starters, including
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: car their quarterback, almost their entire deepfense, and their defense
- 1:10:21Speaker 2: has been good. They're Basically their whole offensive line is
- 1:10:24Speaker 2: coming back to you. But they have a new running
- 1:10:27Speaker 2: back again. Because the running backs keep getting drafted, They're
- 1:10:31Speaker 2: gonna be good again. There's no doubt about that. Notre
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: Dame has a ridiculously easy schedule. Like I had mentioned
- 1:10:37Speaker 2: that you might want to take a shot, I'm playing
- 1:10:39Speaker 2: Notre Dame to go undefeated in the regular season. Their
- 1:10:43Speaker 2: schedule is ridiculously easy. Like if you look at their schedule,
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: it's insane. Like their most difficult opponent is probably gonna
- 1:10:49Speaker 2: be Miami, and that's of course the rival or the
- 1:10:52Speaker 2: Catholics versus Convicts. Man, I'm watching that documentary right now. Actually,
- 1:10:57Speaker 2: Notre Dame gets to play Miami at home this year, though.
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: That's a huge advantage to Notre Dame getting to play
- 1:11:02Speaker 2: probably their most difficult opponent at home. So that's what
- 1:11:06Speaker 2: they're doing there. Notre Dame does have to play Navy again,
- 1:11:08Speaker 2: but they've handled Navy every year. They're playing like Wisconsin,
- 1:11:12Speaker 2: I think early in the season. Who cares. I think
- 1:11:15Speaker 2: the game where Notre Dame is most likely to get
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: tripped up is they have a road game at BYU
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: this year. If you look at their schedules, so that
- 1:11:22Speaker 2: might be the most difficult game for them is having
- 1:11:24Speaker 2: to go into the mountain time zone, up in elevation
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: and play a pretty good physical BYU team on the road.
- 1:11:31Speaker 2: If Notre Dame's gonna lose any game, I think it's
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: gonna be that one at BYU. That would be what
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: I would think. But I mentioned that there might be
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: some value playing Notre Dame to go undefeated during the
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: regular season, and I think if they're a one lost
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: team at the end of the season, and I still
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: think they probably make the playoffs, even though they're not
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: in a great position not being in a conference, but
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: I think it might happen. I mean, well, I mean
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: they have the second best lots to win the championships,
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: so they're probably making the playoffs. Their odds to make
- 1:12:00Speaker 2: the playoffs, they have the best odds to make the
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: playoffs that minus eight hundreds. So yeah, I would imagine
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: a one loss Notre Dame team is still getting in whoops.
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: But yeah, as far as the national championship, Ohio State
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: and Notre Dame are both six to one. Texas is
- 1:12:15Speaker 2: six and a half to one. But I mention how
- 1:12:17Speaker 2: difficult Texas's schedule is, so I'm not sure I necessarily
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: love Texas. Oregon's plus seven to fifty, They're interesting. I
- 1:12:26Speaker 2: don't like Notre Dame as far as winning the championship, Like,
- 1:12:29Speaker 2: I think Notre Dame is gonna run through their easy schedule.
- 1:12:32Speaker 2: But the problem with that is you're not battle tested enough,
- 1:12:34Speaker 2: you know what I mean. Once you get to the playoffs,
- 1:12:37Speaker 2: you start having to play really legit teams, and Notre
- 1:12:40Speaker 2: Dame won't have played any during the regular season. So
- 1:12:42Speaker 2: I don't really think Notre Dame is gonna win the championship.
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: Texas is gonna they have a difficult schedule. Man, it's
- 1:12:48Speaker 2: gonna be difficult for them. Oregon plus seven to fifty,
- 1:12:51Speaker 2: Georgia plus eight to fifty. Indiana's only plus nine hundreds,
- 1:12:55Speaker 2: so I think a lot of people are probably gonna
- 1:12:57Speaker 2: be taking Indiana again, but I don't think that's gonna
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: happen again. I don't know about Josh Hoover, man, if
- 1:13:04Speaker 2: you can really get the job done there to that extent,
- 1:13:07Speaker 2: Miami's at ten to one without Carson Beck there, we'll
- 1:13:10Speaker 2: see what Mensa can do. I don't know. I don't
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: know if I love that either. LSU is seventeen to one.
- 1:13:16Speaker 2: Probably gonna be some growing pains there. Texas Tech twenty
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: two to one. A lot of returning starters from Texas Tech,
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: for sure, But I don't know if I love them
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: in a playoff setting, like I didn't love them last
- 1:13:28Speaker 2: year because they just might not be battle tested enough.
- 1:13:31Speaker 2: A and M at twenty five to one, Alabama twenty
- 1:13:33Speaker 2: five to one, Ole Miss at thirty to one, in
- 1:13:36Speaker 2: Oklahoma at thirty to one. Those are all more interesting
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: teams because those are all in good conferences. You know,
- 1:13:42Speaker 2: all of them in the SEC in fact, if you
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: want like a real, real long shot to win the championship.
- 1:13:48Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know about Old Miss because they're
- 1:13:51Speaker 2: losing their coach. I mean A and M. I don't
- 1:13:56Speaker 2: really hate any of these teams though, really A and M, Alabama, Oklahoma,
- 1:14:00Speaker 2: like they all have a lot of or especially Alabama.
- 1:14:02Speaker 2: Well Oklahoma I think especially has a lot of returney starters.
- 1:14:06Speaker 2: Oklahoma at thirty to one might be worth a shot
- 1:14:08Speaker 2: and then you can hedge it later. USC is thirty
- 1:14:12Speaker 2: five to one. I don't know if I love that.
- 1:14:14Speaker 2: Michigan at forty to one, maybe too much of a
- 1:14:17Speaker 2: long shot there. Penn State at sixty five to one.
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: I know there are a lot of professionals that like that,
- 1:14:23Speaker 2: but I don't know, man. I mean, they should improve
- 1:14:26Speaker 2: with Matt Campbell there, and Penn State is a really
- 1:14:28Speaker 2: really easy schedule. So Penn State is I think they're
- 1:14:32Speaker 2: a decent chance to at least make the playoffs. What
- 1:14:35Speaker 2: are their odds to make the playoffs? Let me say
- 1:14:37Speaker 2: plus three twenty. I think if you want to do
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: something with Penn State, maybe that's what you want to do.
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: Take Penn State to win to make the playoffs at
- 1:14:44Speaker 2: plus three twenty because they have such an easy schedule. Dude,
- 1:14:48Speaker 2: they avoid all the better teams in the Big Ten,
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: like Penn State should be like I would guess maybe
- 1:14:54Speaker 2: like a two loss team at the end of this thing,
- 1:14:57Speaker 2: they might get in to the playoffs. So that's something
- 1:15:00Speaker 2: you could do and then you could hedge also potentially later.
- 1:15:04Speaker 2: So something like that makes some sense here as well
- 1:15:07Speaker 2: as far as the team to actually win the championship.
- 1:15:10Speaker 2: I kind of like Ohio State, like a lot of
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: returning starters, people probably will avoid them. At six to one,
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: I think people are gonna be more inclined to want
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: to take like Indiana again, I think in Georgia and
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: stuffing like that, I think Ohio State might get overlooked
- 1:15:25Speaker 2: a little bit, even though they have the best odds
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: to win and they won the championship two years ago.
- 1:15:31Speaker 2: If I'm not mistaken. Oregon is interesting as well. At
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: plus seven to fifty, I don't know if they could
- 1:15:36Speaker 2: really do it, but I think they're gonna be a
- 1:15:39Speaker 2: really really strong team as well. Yeah, I don't know,
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: but you can tell you get what you get which
- 1:15:45Speaker 2: teams I'm high on, you know, I'm definitely high in Oklahoma.
- 1:15:49Speaker 2: I mean, I could see Alabama maybe being in the mix,
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: but I don't know what the amount of turnover they
- 1:15:53Speaker 2: have there. Georgia will definitely be a strong team. It
- 1:15:56Speaker 2: just seems like they always just kind of fade out
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: once they get into the these games that really become meaningful.
- 1:16:02Speaker 2: And Texas, you know, I mean, if they make the playoffs,
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: all bets are kind of off. You know. If Texas
- 1:16:08Speaker 2: makes the playoffs, they're gonna be an extremely battle tested
- 1:16:11Speaker 2: team and they're gonna be a difficult out for sure.
- 1:16:15Speaker 2: And their minus two hundred to make the playoffs, so
- 1:16:18Speaker 2: I know there are some professionals that are betting their
- 1:16:20Speaker 2: underseason win totals and stuff like that, and you know,
- 1:16:24Speaker 2: Texas they're gonna be in the SEC. But I think Texas,
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: if they lose three games, which is very very they
- 1:16:33Speaker 2: might lose four games, given out difficult their schedule is.
- 1:16:37Speaker 2: If they lose four games, they're definitely not making the playoffs.
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: If they lose three, Texas might be one of those
- 1:16:43Speaker 2: teams that gets in and then everybody freaks out about it,
- 1:16:46Speaker 2: you know what I mean. So that's the worry, like
- 1:16:49Speaker 2: Texas to win the championship right now. I don't love
- 1:16:52Speaker 2: those odds, you know what I mean, just because they're
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: schedules so difficult that you don't know if they're necessarily
- 1:16:56Speaker 2: gonna even get in. If they do, though, they definitely
- 1:17:00Speaker 2: have a chance to make a run of the playoffs,
- 1:17:02Speaker 2: even though it seems like they lose every year in
- 1:17:04Speaker 2: the playoffs. But they might be strong enough. We'll see.
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: But yeah, I think I prefer Ohio State, and maybe
- 1:17:10Speaker 2: as a real real long shot, I kind of like Oklahoma,
- 1:17:15Speaker 2: which sounds crazy. And I don't really hate Oregon either here,
- 1:17:21Speaker 2: you know, and I know in the SEC, I said,
- 1:17:23Speaker 2: I thought Georgia. I might win the conference. I don't
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: know about winning the whole thing though. All Right, and
- 1:17:28Speaker 2: that's it, I think. Man, that's the college football breakdown.
- 1:17:32Speaker 2: Hopefully that was some decent information. Thanks for hanging out,
- 1:17:36Speaker 2: Dirty Sock. That's gonna do it. Hopefully people will people
- 1:17:40Speaker 2: will see this before it starts. College football I think
- 1:17:42Speaker 2: doesn't start until Saturday, so I might wind up having
- 1:17:45Speaker 2: some plays we'll see. But yeah, if you missed my
- 1:17:48Speaker 2: show this morning, you can check it out. We have
- 1:17:50Speaker 2: a few plays a more than usual for Monday, so
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: go check that out. Yeah, enjoy the season.
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:17:56Speaker 2: I'll get this up on audio soon as well. It's
- 1:18:00Speaker 2: gonna do it hopefully, decent information there. Learn it to
- 1:18:04Speaker 2: on Twitter, learn it on on Instagram, leg subscribe to
- 1:18:06Speaker 2: the channel here. Of course, my NFL previews will be
- 1:18:09Speaker 2: coming as well, though I already did one, but they'll
- 1:18:11Speaker 2: probably be at least another one or two. Uh. We're
- 1:18:16Speaker 2: on audio. Check it out there, Apple Speaker, Spotify, uh,
- 1:18:20Speaker 2: covered in yuke on YouTube, Patreon dot com, slash learned
- 1:18:24Speaker 2: Tone if you want to support me that way. Loser
- 1:18:28Speaker 2: casts every Tuesday, and the New York Giants g spot
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: podcast and that is it, Yes, sir, peace out.
- 1:18:40Speaker 1: If the doc starts talking, hand me the phone, that's somebody,
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: and so let somebody know. You do not have to
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: lose this round lone. Hold on nothing nice, not now,
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: hold on, hold on, let me pull. You are that
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: bad luck by time, but it don't get the crown.
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on, stay with me, now, hold on,
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: hold on, You're still here now