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Episode 447 - 2/4/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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welcome to episode 447 of the all systems go sports betting
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podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
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What's going on, everyone? Happy Wednesday.
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It's hump day, guys. That means we are halfway
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through our work week and the countdown continues.
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We are now just four days away from the Super Bowl final NFL
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game of the year. So I cannot wait for this one.
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Of course, you know where I stand.
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But updating you guys here last week and really the way this
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this line has kind of stayed where it's at, I'm still
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thinking there's liability and a good opportunity to take the
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Patriots in the point setting. Plus 4 1/2, even though you're
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getting nearly 70% of spread bets on Seattle, we're looking
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at a line freeze. I'm holding out for A5.
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I've told you guys this before, but really I'm not seeing too
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many shops still juiced up towards Seattle -4 1/2 - 115 -,
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120. In fact, a lot of these books
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are evening out closer to -110 both sides.
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So actually stumbled upon something today as I was, you
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know, looking through all my different sports books that I
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have available to me, and something jumped out to me about
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one book offering one thing in particular.
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So for today's Super Bowl update, I want to talk about
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what this book is offering, why it's important and not just this
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book in particular, but how we can take advantage of betting on
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sports this time of year for this specific game.
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So a little bit of a sports betting slash Super Bowl update
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and and little piece of advice here, what we'll talk about.
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Then we're going to get right back to college basketball,
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who's loving college hoops right now.
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I am raising my hand. I got another 3 pack of plays
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for you guys tonight. We're going to get right back to
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three money line short favorites which have been treating us
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pretty, pretty, pretty good as Larry David likes to say here
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recently. More on that in a second, but
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again, put on a put on a port of coffee because we got some late
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night sweats here. But three games overall, we're
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going to try to go 2 and 1 eek out a winning night.
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Now looking back to our last night guys, OMG.
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Overall, another sweet baby, another bust, open the janitors
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closet, grab a broom, do a little Fred Astaire dance on the
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sports book. Floor three and oh plus 2.37
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units started the night off great with Indiana State
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absolutely rolling 84 to 63 blowout win over Evansville.
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So it's nice to see Indiana State as a very short money line
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favorite come through for the team.
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Then NC State, what an epic game that was.
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Now I fully admit that line started to come back down toward
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SMU. But dancing with the one who
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brung us, something that I always try to instill on on
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sports bettors. And again, you can do what you
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want In the end, this is just advice that I've learned over
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time through wins and losses and experience.
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But once you make a bet, you stick with your bet.
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A lot of people will say, oh, buy it out, cash out, bet the
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other side. But a perfect example of NC
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State was sticking with our money line play.
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Even though that line got down further toward SMU.
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The Wolfpack on the money line hung on.
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It was not easy. This is why you always money
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line short favorites. They won 84 to 83.
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They're looking really good. I mean, they were just nailing 3
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pointers in the second-half and they're up by like 10 points and
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they actually only 1 by 1 and got lucky because SMU had a
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chance. They're late to walk it off with
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a winner. There's a huge block on the NC
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State side and prior to that NC State was on the free throw
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line. Could have made it a three-point
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game. The I forgot the kids name, but
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he had a great game. He had like 20 assists or
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something, but he missed both free throws.
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And I'm like, oh, oh, this ain't good.
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But thank the Lord break went our way.
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NC State Wolfpack hung on for a money line win.
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But the play of the night. And I would argue guys, we've
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been a lot of college hoops this year.
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Fresno State might have been the play of the year because Fresno
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State won the game 98 to 96. But if you were like me on the
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East Coast, I mean this game didn't end till you know, one AM
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1:30 in the morning. You probably saw a lot of tweets
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about it today because it was just absolutely insanity.
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Fresno State was down five points with 7 seconds left, foul
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get a couple free throws and then with like 1.8 seconds left
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they hit a three pointer way deep to to tie the game up.
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And then this was absolutely insane.
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And I would really argue that the coach really screwed UNLV.
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And, hey, we'll take it because it was a benefit to us.
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But instead of calling a timeout and talking about the inbound,
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he didn't call a timeout. And the guy for UNLV under his
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own baseline, you know, throws a, you know, Hail Mary pass all
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the way down the court. It doesn't hit anyone.
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It bounces out of bounds. So why is that critical?
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Because it brought the ball way back to the other side of the
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hoop. It took no time off the clock.
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Fresno State inbounds the pass. And this kid, Jake Hide Bretter,
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who was just absolutely incredible.
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He had like 29 points inbound pass, catch and shoot nails, A2
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pointer in the corner and we walk off with a Fresno State 98
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to 96 wins. So just unbelievable.
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And again, how many times down by, you know, 5, what was it, 5
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points with 7 seconds left. Do you win that game?
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And regulation almost never happened.
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So we've had some really tough breaks in college hoops.
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I would argue last night we kind of got the gambling gods given
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US1 back there. So we'll take it with Fresno
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State. But man, if you stayed up to
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watch that game late or maybe you're a W coaster and it wasn't
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too late for you, but on freaking believable that Fresno
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State pulled that thing out. But either way, guys, two
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straight sweeps. Let's see if we can keep it
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rolling into today. And of course with a three pack,
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let's try to go 2 and 1 eek out a winning day.
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So with that being said, before we get to college hoops, I
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wanted to give you guys a little piece of advice and something
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that I noticed as I was looking through all the different sports
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books. So let me just tell you again,
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I'm on I'm on Patriots here. I haven't officially bet it
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because I'm going to wait and try to get a + 5.
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I may not get it. Kind of I don't want to get it
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because if it goes to five across the market, that would
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mean further money coming in on Seattle.
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In a way, I kind of want to see this thing getting down to four
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and then jump on a book still giving us the 4 1/2.
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But here's why something that I stumbled on is important and I
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wanted to mention to you as I am shopping around and there are
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different sports betting apps out there where, you know, it'll
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just give you all the different numbers across the market.
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Another great book or great piece of, you know, betting
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insight with Rhythm or Juice Reel.
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They'll give you all the different books across the
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market. So I always try to preach, you
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know, shop around. If you identify a sharp play
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that matches our system, you know, low bets, higher dollars,
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sharp line move, you know, sharp contrarian, all the all the
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stuff we talked about. You don't want to just go bet
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that game at the, you know, first book that you have access
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to or the book that's easiest to access.
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You want to shop around and get the best price.
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So odds logic, I always talk about odds logic.
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It's the great live odds page that I use everyday.
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That's an easy way to just quickly see which book is giving
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you the best price and the best number.
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But as I'm looking at odds logic and I'm actually logging into
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every single sports book that I have access to because I'm in
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New England, I am in Massachusetts.
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So I have 123-4567 online books that I use.
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I have accounts at Caesar's, FanDuel, Bet MGM, The Score,
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Bally, Bet, Fanatics, and DraftKings.
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And anytime I go bet a game, I go find which of those books are
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giving me the best price. So here's what was it
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interesting to me. I'm looking across the board and
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I see Caesar's Patriots plus 4 1/2 - 1 O 8.
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FanDuel Patriots plus 4 1/2 - 1 O 8.
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Bet MGM plus 4 1/2 - 1 O 5. The Score plus 4 1/2 -. 110
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Valley Bet in Fanatics, both 4 1/2 - 110 DraftKings plus 4 1/2
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- 1 O 5. But here's where it gets
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interesting. As I am literally logging into
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each app, I look at Bet MGM and the thing that jumped out to me
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with Bet MGM and I tell you what guys, I am not getting paid to
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tell you this. I am not an affiliate or a tout
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for Bet MGM, but I'm always looking for a book that gives me
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a little sweetener. So when I log into the Bet MGM
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app today, I go to the Super Bowl tab.
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I check out the book. I noticed that they have a
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little promo going on right now and what they call it is the big
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game boost or the spread odds flash.
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So the interesting thing, interesting thing here is that
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you'll get Seattle -4 1/2 -, 115.
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But if you bet it at Bet MGM, it's -4 1/2 -, 110.
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Then we go to the Patriots plus 4 1/2 - 1 O 5 with this big game
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boost or spread odds flash. And this is again, just on the
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homepage. If you log in to Bet MGM minus
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one O 5, it's now +100. So that's again, may not seem
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like a big deal, but you're getting $0.05 a juice advantage
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just by and again, you're getting even money.
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So you risk a unit with this boost plus 4 1/2 + 100.
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You get a full unit back hopefully if the Patriots cover
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this number. So it got me thinking 1, you
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know, I'm thinking, should I just play this right now plus 4
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1/2 of plus 100 because unless it gets to five and you can make
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an argument, would you rather have, you know, +5 at -115 or
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-120 or plus 4 1/2 at even money plus 100.
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So I'm even thinking, you know, maybe I should just play this
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right now. But the whole reason why I bring
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this up one is the importance of getting the best price and
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having the best number. But #2 I think as we wait till
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the Super Bowl and we're now again, just four days away from
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the big game, you might be saying to yourself, man,
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twiddling my thumbs, yeah, college hoops is great.
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Of course, we're playing that every day.
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But, you know, I'm dying for the game.
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What am I going to do over the next four days?
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You know, it's kind of a lull in the in the betting world right
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now aside from, again, college hoops.
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I think guys, based on seeing that little boost from Bet MGM,
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it got me thinking, this is a great time for you out there
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listening to open up another account at another sports book.
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So maybe you're listening and you're like me and you have
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access to seven books or more. Maybe you're out there listening
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and saying, wow, I only have one account.
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You know, I only bet through FanDuel.
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I only bet through DraftKings. I only have a Bet MGM account.
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What I always try to preach and I've talked about in the
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bankroll management section in both my books, the everything
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Guide to Sports betting in the NFL short betting playbook is
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that if you want to be the most successful sports, better you
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can be, you cannot bet through one book.
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You need to have multiple books, as many as possible available to
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you in your legalized betting state.
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So if you just have one book, now is a great time to add
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another book to add a second book.
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If you have three books, now is a good time to add a fourth
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book. You want to take advantage of
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this, you know, craziness around the Super Bowl because you got
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to remember this is most heavily bet sporting event of the year
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by far. And these books are really
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battling for your action. They want your business.
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You are a free agent. You can sign with any book and
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what are you going to do? You're going to probably sign up
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with a book that gives you the best sweetener, the most bonus
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bets, the best, you know, incentive or reason to sign up.
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So for example, there's a book out there where you get, you
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know, bet up, bet 5 bucks, get 200 bucks in free bets.
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I would mention that one thing that I noticed with one book,
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this happened to me years ago when masks first legalized.
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I had like $200 in bonus bets, but they expired in seven days
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and I kind of forgot about it. So as I'm going to, you know,
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take advantage of my bonus bets. I think it was like the 8th day.
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It was so annoying. And those bonus dollars are
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gone. So again, you want to go sign up
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for the book #1 the most important thing is just having
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access to better numbers, getting better prices, giving
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yourself that advantage to find a 3 1/2 when everyone else is at
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3 or a -, 120 money line when everyone else is -125 But
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really, you want to get the most you can with the sign up
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bonuses. You want to make sure you read
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the fine print, know when they expire.
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And then a lot of people. I wrote about this too in my
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latest book, The NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
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But you want to bet these, you know, bonus bets kind of in a
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smart way. Like if you bet, you know, a -,
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500 favorite, yeah, you'll most likely win, but you're not going
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to get a lot back. When I get bonus bets at a new
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sports book, I try to bet a futures because you're just
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going to get a way better possible payout.
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Like, for example, if you, you know, have 200 bucks worth of
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bonus bets at whatever book, book ABCBD.
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Maybe you want to play, I don't know, Dodgers to win the World
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Series at +200 or, you know, I don't know, Celtics to win it
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all at +2000. You want to think about a
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futures bet at a big plus money payout because you're just going
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to maximize the amount that you make pull back when hopefully
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you cash your bet. So that was just kind of my, my
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insight there when I saw bet MGM with this quote UN quote, big
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game boost odds flash saying literally just come bet with us
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and we're going to take the Pats +44 and 1/2 -, 1 O 5 to plus 100
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or Seahawks -4 1/2 -, 115 to -4 1/2 - 110.
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It just got me thinking that, hey, the books really want your
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business right now. They want you to bet the big
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game and all the props at their sports book.
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So again, go look, you know, maybe you see a commercial on
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TV, maybe you see something on Twitter, you know, investigate.
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First off, I would say #1 what state are you in?
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And you can do a quick Google search, figure out what books
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are available to you. You know, go look at each book
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in their website. You know, you can always look at
13:48
before you even sign up and deposit money.
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You know, go if they have a live chat, open their live chat and
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say, hey, I'm interested in signing up.
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What kind of, what kind of bonuses do you have?
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You know, figure out what they, what they have are willing to
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get you. But again, the whole point is
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right now you're going to get the best sign on bonuses because
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they want your business for the Super Bowl.
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Take advantage of the sign up bonuses, you know, a future out
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of plus money price that hopefully you can turn those
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futures bets or that those extra bonus bets into a bigger payout.
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But just just remember, even if you win or lose the Super Bowl,
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you're going you're now going to have another book you can access
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another book you can use to shop around for the best price.
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So just wanted to mention that because I think it's important.
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And again, I know it takes like, you know, 10 minutes, 15 minutes
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to sign up. You got to fill out everything
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you maybe have to, you know, screenshot or you know, post
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your driver's license, you got to put in your Social Security,
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yadda, yadda. You got to go through those
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steps, which are kind of annoying.
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But then once you do it, I guarantee you're going to be
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very, very glad and very happy you did because then you get
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another book that you can shop for the best price for all
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sports. So again, just something that
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caught my eye that I wanted to share with you guys.
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But anyway, after another three and O night 6 and O on our last
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six, let's see if we can eke out another winning night, keep this
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hot streak going by once again focusing on short money line
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favorites. That is the theme.
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So first one on the board for me in a huge college basketball
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slate here for tonight with roughly 65 games overall.
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I want to focus on New Mexico State first at Louisiana Tech La
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Tech. So 730 tip off.
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We got New Mexico State 10 and 11 on the year.
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However they have lost four in a row.
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Just got rolled by Kennesaw State 76 to 53, did not cover as
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a 3 1/2 point Rd. dog. On the other hand, La Tech 12:00
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and 9:00 on the year. They just saw their two game win
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streak come to an end. They lost to Sam Houston 83 to
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67. Did not cover as a 7 1/2 point
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Rd. dog. So to sit across the market in
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this one? Well this game opened at
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basically a pick em. Now, some books were a true
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pick. Other books I saw actually open
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New Mexico State -1 some books open La tech -1 but you split
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the difference. It was mostly a pick em opener.
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What do we always talk about in a pick em opener?
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Where does the line move first? Does it move in?
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Which direction does it line move toward?
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Because I always mention this. But if it's a pick em opener,
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you know, the wise guys who set their own numbers, maybe they
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have a pick em as well, which means there's no reason to bet
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it because there's no advantage or edge over the book.
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But maybe they disagree and say, hey, this team should be my, I
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have a -, 1.3 or -2. Therefore, you're going to see a
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line move. Well, looks like sharps have
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sided with Law Tech here because Law Tech opened again around a
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pick or even getting 1 or -1 and now we've seen Law Tech got up
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to -1 1/2 at home. And again, a few other shops are
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actually inching up to -2 So all movement and liability has been
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toward Louisiana Tech in this spot.
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Tells me Sharps have gone with Law Tech Look at the splits in
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particular at DraftKings. Latex only getting 59% of spread
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bets, which again is really not not very lopsided, but they are
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getting 78% of spread dollars. So that tells me that we have a
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a big amount of money, low bets, higher dollars in favor of law
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tech. Again, 59% bets, but 78%
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dollars. Tells me again, smart money
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going with the home team. Now Ken Palm does have law Tech
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winning the game, but only by one point.
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He's got him winning 68 to 67. So as a result, I want to
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protect myself. I want to follow this sharp
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move, pick to -1 1/2 toward La Tech.
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But I don't want La Tech to win by one, as Ken Palm predicts,
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and I lose my -1 1/2. So I jumped on La Tech at
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Caesar's at -120 that was the best price here.
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It looks like other books are as high as -125 -, 130.
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And this is what I'm talking about.
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By opening another book, maybe you don't have a Caesar's
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account. You add Caesar's, you get $0.05
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of a better price on La Tech. But also when you look at and
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there's a really interesting system, two teams in Conference
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USA play each other, take the home favorite, they are 16 and
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six straight up 73 percent, 3% ROI this year.
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So when two teams in the Conference USA face off that
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home favorite has done very well.
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I have another system money lining a short favorite 4 or
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less with half a point or more of movement in your favor.
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Those teams are 182 and 119 straight up this year, 60%,
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three percent ROI. Now we have some advantages with
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with Law Tech better defensive efficiency, 140th in the country
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versus 200 and 28th for New Mexico State.
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Better offensive rebound percentage, 62nd in the country
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versus 97th for New Mexico State.
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And LA Tech holds their opponents to a better effective
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field goal percentage, 67th in the country versus 99th for New
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Mexico State. Bulldogs are giving up 62 points
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per game. Aggies are giving up 70 points
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per game. So hopefully the better defense
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here to give New Mexico State some trouble.
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And then home Rd. La Tech is 11 and one at home
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this year. That is the second best home
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record in Conference USA. Mexico State one and five on the
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road. So I'll pick them opener.
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But the line is shot up toward Louisiana Tech.
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We can money line a short favorite here with La tech -120
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at Caesar's. And oh by the way, popped open
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juice reel. I notice a 10% sharp mush edge
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from the pros out there listening like you who have also
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gone with La Tech. So first bet on the board for me
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tonight. Let's go a lot.
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Tech Bulldogs money line -120 now a couple late night sweats.
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Let's go to a 9:00 game. Arizona State visiting Utah.
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Arizona State comes in 11 and 11 on the year, but they've dropped
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nine of their last 11. Just lost to Arizona, 87 to 74.
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They did cover though as a 14 1/2 point home dog.
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Meanwhile, Utah, 9:00 and 12:00 on the year.
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They've lost eight of their last nine.
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They've also struggled like Arizona State and they just lost
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to Oklahoma State 81 to 69 did not cover as a 1 1/2 point home
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dog so. What have you seen across the
19:48
market here? Well this game open with Utah
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listed around a one point home favorite and the public is
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saying give me Arizona State. Arizona State is 11 and 11.
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Utah is 9 and 12. Arizona State's getting a point.
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Public is saying quote UN quote the wrong team is favored.
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So nearly 2/3 of spread bets are going Sun Devils.
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But we're not down to a pick. We're hopping the fence and
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going dog to fave to Arizona State -1 -, 2 No, the signs
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actually crept up further toward Utah -1 up to -1 1/2.
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This tells me that we have a fade the trendy dog opportunity
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with the public on Arizona State.
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But this line moving toward Utah.
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Utah really good split at DraftKings.
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Only 38% of spread bets, but 50% of spread dollars.
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So this would make them a contrarian play and a heavily
20:37
bet late night game on CBS Sports Network.
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If you're like me and I have Verizon FiOS for my TV and I
20:44
hate them because it's so expensive, but I need all these
20:46
channels. But hey, at least I get CBS
20:49
Sports Network. But anyway, Utah, however, at
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circa 67% of spread bets 88% of spread dollars.
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So they're sharp contrarian Fay the trendy dog.
21:00
Overall, they're really contrarian to DraftKings, but it
21:03
tells me out in Vegas, a lot of big money from the wise guys in
21:06
the desert. Going with Utah now, Ken Palm is
21:08
Utah winning by 182 to 81. So you heard it or you guessed
21:13
it. I guess I should say this is a
21:15
money line play for me on the Utah Utes.
21:18
I got Utah at -118 at Ballybet. Again, importance of opening up
21:23
another book. If you have access to Ballybet,
21:25
they have some good prices over there.
21:27
So I got -118 money line Utah. Most shops around -120 -, 125
21:32
Another system for you when two teams in the Big 12 play each
21:35
other in conference play. The home favorite is 35 and
21:38
seven straight up this year, 7% ROI.
21:41
That is an 83% straight up win percentage.
21:45
Utah does have some advantages here.
21:47
They have the better effective field goal percentage, 93rd
21:49
versus 134th for Arizona State, better three-point shooting,
21:53
44th versus 123rd. And they commit fewer turnovers
21:58
on offense, 80th in terms of lowest turnover percentage
22:01
versus 147th for Arizona State. Lastly, home Rd.
22:06
Utah is 8 and four at home this year and Arizona State is just
22:10
one and five on the road. So I want to follow this sneaky
22:13
fade, the trendy dog reverse line move play.
22:15
And we got a cheap price on Utah money line again.
22:18
I ain't laying 1 1/2, winning by 1 and losing or laying one and
22:22
winning by 1 and pushing. This is a money line play.
22:24
Utah money line I got -118 at Bally Bet now for the biggest
22:29
game of the night. And I don't mean in terms of,
22:31
you know, this is a 20 unit bomb.
22:33
No, this is 1 unit like any other bet.
22:36
But it happens to be the most heavily bet late night game.
22:39
And boy does it look pretty sharp. 11:00 Eastern Time you
22:42
put on a pot of coffee. If you're an East coaster like
22:45
me, put on the dunks. We got Utah State and New
22:48
Mexico, two really good teams in the Mountain West facing off
22:51
Utah State comes in 18 and three.
22:54
They've won three in a row. They just took down San Diego
22:56
State 71 to 66 but did not cover as a 6 1/2 point home favorite.
23:01
Similarly, we got New Mexico 18 and four, they've won four in a
23:05
row. They just took down San Jose
23:07
State 90 to 80. Didn't cover though as a 15 1/2
23:11
point Rd. favorite. So we see across the market
23:13
here. Well, this game open with New
23:15
Mexico listed around a 1 1/2 point home favorite.
23:19
So it's interesting to me, two really good teams.
23:21
Does the public say, might as well take the dog getting 1 1/2,
23:24
or is that a really good, you know, price at home on a short,
23:28
short price for that home favorite?
23:30
Well, it looks like the latter is taking place here because
23:32
we've seen this line move further toward New Mexico.
23:36
New Mexico is being really juiced up -1 1/2 -, 115 -, 120
23:40
at a few books. But I noticed a couple other
23:42
books are up to -2 and now -2 1/2.
23:46
So all movement and liability has been in favor of New Mexico.
23:50
We look at the splits looks like a pretty good pro and Joe play.
23:54
We look at DraftKings 80% of spread bets, 95% of spread
23:59
dollars on New Mexico at circa 75% of spread bets, 97% of
24:04
spread dollars on New Mexico. So do I love that this is a
24:08
quote UN quote public play? No, but at least there's also
24:11
smart money because we got that bet split in that line move.
24:14
And remember the sharps, they don't care what the public's
24:17
doing. You know, as a data-driven
24:18
better, I want to know where the public is and where the splits
24:21
are at. But if you're a true pro, you're
24:23
betting based on your discrepancies.
24:25
You don't care about splits or anything like that.
24:27
You know, you're trusting your own numbers.
24:28
So when this game opened, you know -1 1/2 New Mexico, if the
24:32
sharps had it at 2 1/2, that's why they hit New Mexico, caused
24:35
that line to move. But again, pro and Joe just
24:38
tells me that, you know, the public might just say, hey,
24:40
short line, you know, take the good team at home.
24:43
But wise guys are saying, hey, we have this as a higher number,
24:46
which is why we want to hit New Mexico and 'cause that line move
24:50
in particular, again, money line play for me, I got New Mexico
24:53
-130 at Fanatics, looking at a bunch of other books now as high
24:58
as -135 -, 140 like the splits, though at DK, 74% of money line
25:03
bets, 81% of money line dollars. Another system play for you.
25:07
This is going to sound so crazy. It might, it's got to be wrong.
25:10
But no, I trust you it's right or trust me that it's right
25:13
because I looked at every single system match.
25:16
But when two teams in the Mountain West play each other in
25:18
conference play, the home favorite get a load of this is
25:22
28 and 293% straight up 16% ROI this this year.
25:27
So again, conference play in Mountain West home favorite is
25:30
on very well winning these games.
25:32
New Mexico has the better free throw.
25:34
Shooting could be critical in a close game. 88th in the country
25:37
versus 200 and 49th for Utah State.
25:40
Better defensive efficiency, 26th versus 39th.
25:44
And New Mexico does a better job of not turning it over on
25:47
offense. They're ranking 73rd and
25:49
turnover percentage versus 130th for Utah State.
25:53
Oh, by the way, New Mexico 12 and O at home this season.
25:56
The pit, which by the way, if you've anyone is looking for a
26:00
new show. I've been watching the pit with
26:02
my wife on HBO. It's it's a hospital show, a
26:06
doctors like they're in the ERI usually hate shows like this,
26:10
but Noah Wiley's awesome. So it just got me thinking like
26:12
the pit is the name of New Mexico's homecourt and it's a
26:15
good HBO show if you're looking for one.
26:17
But anyway, they're 12 and O at home at the pit New Mexico.
26:20
That is the best home record in the Mountain West.
26:23
So one of the most heavily bet biggest late night sweats, but
26:26
all movement liabilities on the home favorite I went New Mexico
26:29
money line -130 at Fanatics. So LA Tech, Utah, New Mexico.
26:35
Can we get 2 out of three of these plays to come through and
26:38
win the game outright? Knock on wood, That is the goal.
26:42
So that about does it for episode 447 of the All Systems
26:46
Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
26:49
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
26:51
And I always start first by saying thank you.
26:53
Thank you for listening, Thank you for tuning in.
26:55
Thank you for grinding in the arena with me every day through
26:58
the UPS and the downs, the good and the bad, the hot streaks,
27:01
the cold streaks. But when we can celebrate a
27:03
Fresno State insane when they're late together, it makes it all
27:08
worth it. So if you do enjoy this pod, you
27:10
want to help me grow this podcast, please would you think
27:12
about giving it a five star review on Spotify or our iTunes?
27:17
If you want to leave a nice comment under the rate and
27:19
review section, click the follow button so that you get alerted
27:22
as soon as it drops each day or recommend the pod to a friend or
27:25
retweet the pod when I tweet it out from Josh under score
27:28
insights on Twitter. I would very much appreciate
27:30
that. Next, if you enjoy the style of
27:33
sports betting, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting,
27:35
focusing on what the market is telling us, not what our bias is
27:38
telling us. If this style of betting has
27:40
appealed to you, it's provided you a blueprint to attack all
27:43
sports. You want to learn more about
27:45
data-driven betting? You have someone in your life
27:47
who could use some data-driven tips or you want to make my day.
27:50
You know what I'd love for you to do?
27:52
I'd love for you to buy one of my two books.
27:54
Just go to Amazon.com, type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook
27:58
or the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
28:00
You can pick one or both of them up.
28:02
Bezos will drop it on your front door with a drone and and you'll
28:06
get some data-driven insights. If you want to bring one or both
28:09
of those books to the sports book, I'll be very happy to sign
28:12
them for you and buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat
28:15
some games together next. Have you downloaded rhythm and
28:18
juice real yet? My two favorite sports betting
28:20
apps. They help me win.
28:21
They're going to help you win rhythm fantastic for their AI
28:24
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
28:27
Reminder tomorrow night, 6:00 PM Eastern Time, we have our
28:30
special Super Bowl rhythm live stream.
28:33
So looking forward to that. But you can find it on Twitter,
28:35
myself and my buddy Kate Harper and then also juice reel.
28:39
Juice reel is a great just all-encompassing app with a
28:42
bunch of different great features.
28:43
You get the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays
28:46
the shop for the best line features, but you can also
28:48
support the pod by signing up to get the all systems go best bet
28:52
picks. So if you've had a nice little
28:54
run here, a little 6 and O after the last two nights, you got a
28:56
couple extra bones in your pocket.
28:58
I'd love for you to support the pod by signing up to get the ASG
29:02
Pod Best bets from Juice Reel. As soon as I bet them, they go
29:04
right to the Juice Reel app. I got my books all synced up to
29:07
Juice Reel. It cost you $4.99 a week to get
29:11
those plays. So I'd love for you to support
29:13
the pod again, 5 bucks a week for seven days worth of plays.
29:17
So download rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them a five
29:19
star review in the App Store. Next you have a live odds page.
29:23
Well, if you don't have one, you need one because you got to be
29:25
able to track the market. What are all the games I can bet
29:28
today? What are the start times I need
29:30
live in game wagering, live scoring when the game gets
29:32
started. But more importantly, it's a lot
29:34
of it to me is about preflop spending all day staring at the
29:38
numbers figuring out OK here's the open column tells me the
29:41
opening number. It stays static.
29:43
That's your reference point to the right.
29:44
All the current prices, shop for the best price, identify Steam,
29:49
pull up the line history. Always get the best number, so I
29:52
would highly recommend that you give Odds Logic a shot.
29:56
Again, they're great. Live odds page and if you use
29:58
this link, you're going to get a 7 day free trial and 50% off
30:01
your first month. Use this link.
30:02
It is oddslogic.com/josh 123. Lastly, have you downloaded
30:09
Novig yet? Novig is a sports betting
30:12
exchange. It's not a sports book, so
30:14
you're going to get way better juice prices.
30:17
So with Novig, you're going to get -1 O 5 plus one O 2 -, 1 O 3
30:22
instead of -120 -, 115. So because you're in an exchange
30:26
going up against other betters, you're not subject to the house
30:30
forcing you to pay those higher juice prices.
30:32
You can win at the same rate you would at DK or FanDuel or
30:35
whatever book you use, but you're going to have way more
30:38
money in the back end because you're risking less juice, which
30:41
means when you bet Tris first bet to when you're going to get
30:43
more on the back end when you win.
30:46
So that about does it guys. As always, two final thoughts.
30:49
One, whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin
30:52
River in Rhode Island, the brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
30:55
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, the Encore in Boston, Plain
30:58
Ridge Park, casino, MGM Springfield and Nash and my neck
31:01
of the woods on the border of Massachusetts and New Hampshire
31:04
around the desert where the true grinders get down, where Billy
31:06
Walters sends his number runners with the lowest juice possible
31:09
is found at the South point. Wherever it May is you're going
31:12
to walk up to me or or again, jump in the stadium swimming
31:15
pool. When you cash a big ticket at
31:16
Circa, you're going to find me. We're going to bust open the
31:19
Jander's closet, find a broom, Fred Astaire dance.
31:22
You're going to show me NC State money line, Indiana State money
31:25
line. But most importantly, guys,
31:28
Fresno freaking state money line.
31:31
I mean, when you cash a ticket like that, that's like the the
31:34
best, you know, as good as it gets for betting on sports.
31:38
So show me one of those tickets. First one's on me, next one's on
31:40
you. We'll post about the book
31:42
Sweatshark and train plays all night long.
31:44
So coming off of three and O or an O and 3A2 and one or one and
31:48
two, a hot streak, a cold streak or just grinding.
31:51
We got to stick with it guys. Never get too hot or never get
31:54
too high when things are going well.
31:56
Never get low or down on yourself when things aren't
31:58
going your way. Again, we've had some really
32:00
bad, heartbreaking defeats. That's why, again, you got to
32:03
stick with it because you know at some point you're going to
32:05
get some breaks going your way like Fresno State.
32:08
But as always, guys, we're finding or looking or trying to
32:11
find, I should say, those games that fit our model against the
32:14
public with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays
32:18
and get that CLV. If we can do that, I'm confident
32:21
we're going to be successful sports bettors.
32:23
So have a great Wednesday night. Everybody cannot wait to get
32:25
right back on the college hoops hardcore, and we'll be right
32:28
back at it tomorrow for episode 448 of the All Systems Go Sports
32:33
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
32:35
Good luck everybody and have a great Wednesday night.