Latest / CattleUSA Daily / 154: Cattle Market Update What to Expect This Fall with John Campbell
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to another episode of the Cattle USA Daily podcast.
- 0:03Today we are welcoming back John Campbell onto the podcast to
- 0:06talk about the markets and what we're seeing on the auction
- 0:10blocks across the United States, not only in Lahana where John is
- 0:14located with their auction market, but also just the
- 0:17markets in general. What are we seeing with the
- 0:20cattle market across the Midwest, across the world?
- 0:23We talk all of those things. We talk going into fall, what
- 0:26are we kind of anticipating? What are we going to be seeing
- 0:30as we go into that? We talk about the volatility of
- 0:32the cattle market and some other things that we have been seeing
- 0:35over the past few weeks and what we can anticipate going forward.
- 0:38Without further ado, let's go ahead and hop into this episode
- 0:41with John. But before we do that, if you
- 0:42guys could take one second to like, subscribe, rate and review
- 0:45this podcast, we would really appreciate it here at the team.
- 0:48It only takes a few seconds to go and do those things and helps
- 0:51us continue to grow, reach more people, and make a broader
- 0:54impact within the cattle industry.
- 0:56Without further ado, let's hop into this episode with John.
- 1:02Welcome to the Cattle USA Daily podcast, your go to source for
- 1:05the latest livestock markets, industry insights and the
- 1:08updates shaping agriculture today.
- 1:11I'm your host, Lauren Moylan, a passionate advocate for
- 1:13agriculture, here to keep you informed and connected.
- 1:17Now let's dive into today's episode.
- 1:25John, welcome back to the podcast.
- 1:28We are so excited to have you back once again after a one week
- 1:32hiatus. How is life in La Junta?
- 1:35How did the auction go this week?
- 1:37Update us what's going on in the world.
- 1:39You know pretty good the lightweight cap are going to and
- 1:43again we're we're light on on receipts here.
- 1:47Our business is seasonal, we're cow cap guys and and we'll get a
- 1:52few yearlings here the end of the month.
- 1:53But All in all this week you saw still pretty good optimism.
- 1:59The lightweight calf guys are still in there because they know
- 2:03they've got to buy them as they come.
- 2:06You know, they're they're just not a lot with the genetics and
- 2:09the feed and and there's not a lot of lightweight calves
- 2:13available, so excellent demand for them because this weed is
- 2:17sprouting just as fast as they're planting it and
- 2:19everybody's starting to pile up feed and worried about next
- 2:23year's grass cattle. And so for the available supply
- 2:27on the light calves, the way they roughed the market up
- 2:30Tuesday really didn't affect the little light guys.
- 2:33You know, we still had three weight steer calves up to 515 to
- 2:37as much as 575 weighing 3 which Lauren would would would be no
- 2:42cheaper 4 weight steer cabs here in a lot of 465 to 517.
- 2:49It seemed like 450 was kind of the break on the weight.
- 2:54Then you get out for for this time of year, then those cabs
- 2:59start getting a little too big for the guys that want to
- 3:02ultimately run them on weed or winter them and then then summer
- 3:06them. So you got up into the five
- 3:08weight cabs. I hear 380 to 460 little heifer
- 3:13cabs kind of followed suit. They were still stout.
- 3:15The little 3 weights 430 to 485, few up to 515.
- 3:21Four weight heifers, I thought just weighing for four and a
- 3:25little we could still get north of of $4.00 by quite a little up
- 3:29to 415 weighing on top of four. But the five weight cabs then
- 3:34you kind of saw the effects of the limit down move and 3:50 to
- 3:38380 and and Warren that would have been substantially lower,
- 3:42you know, maybe 1520 bucks lower, but mostly packages and
- 3:47small lots of cabs. So that that makes it even more
- 3:53significant, I guess in in the price.
- 3:56If we had some load lots of cabs, I don't think it would
- 3:59have been quite that rough. Just packages of stalkers and
- 4:04feeders. But that's where they really
- 4:07took dead aim at them. 10 to 15 lower.
- 4:09I thought if I'm being honest, 340 to 362 on the heifers on
- 4:15like a 54050, what I consider a stalker handy way to heifer up
- 4:20to a 6 weight. And then not any 7 weights on
- 4:24the market to speak of, but kind of 320 to 327 on the big 850 to
- 4:30950 weight heifers, which maybe just four or five bucks cheaper
- 4:35thinking that they'll come fat sooner and and everybody a
- 4:40little more confidence on the short term on the Fed cattle
- 4:43deal. It was the cattle that you're
- 4:45taking on out and going to make feeders and fats at later that
- 4:49kind of took the blunt of it. We had some big £1000.10 and a
- 4:53quarter weight efforts at 292 that really wouldn't wouldn't
- 4:57have been any cheaper. On the steer side of things,
- 5:01same deal, 5 to 13 lower once they got weigh in on top of five
- 5:06like I, I called the 5 1/2 to 6 1/2 weight cattle kind of 390 up
- 5:12to 410. We're still selling some 6
- 5:14weight cattle north of $4.00 four O567410 best we did on the
- 5:21seven weights, but again just smaller lots of them 378 and
- 5:26kind of 3:35 to 351 on the eight way cattle here in La Hana,
- 5:32which like I said would be a big 10/12/15 lower.
- 5:37So anyway, we've we've been been through that before and so we
- 5:43just live with it and go on, you know?
- 5:45Absolutely. What about other sale barns in
- 5:48the region or just across the states or anything like that?
- 5:50What are what are kind of some things that have stuck out to
- 5:53you this week? Any highs, lows?
- 5:55What are your thoughts just on the market in general?
- 5:58Well, the cow and the and the pair deal is kind of the stick
- 6:01out. I think everybody even it'll be
- 6:03interesting to see what happens today, but it's got a lower tone
- 6:07to it everywhere. But the nice thing about waking
- 6:09up Wednesday, they had expanded the limits and so everybody was
- 6:14sitting on pins and needles watching the commodity market
- 6:17and they ended up closing them higher, you know, and really
- 6:22didn't take him down the hard at all.
- 6:24Some of the back runs of the feeders down 100 points, which
- 6:26is nothing this day and age. So everybody kind of breathed a
- 6:31sigh of relief and thought, well, I guess there is going to
- 6:33be a tomorrow. And and I thought yesterday and
- 6:36Dodge in the same old to true today and Pratt and and Salina.
- 6:41Everybody's gathered back up and thinking well, OK, all right,
- 6:44it's a little cheaper, but it's not the end of the world.
- 6:47But they, you know, selling some pears still that that's the
- 6:51highlight. 4050 up to we had some young bears here bring
- 6:554700. Dodge City yesterday had a
- 6:59dispersal, had some pairs bring 45 1/2.
- 7:03I thought they're young springers there.
- 7:05And Dodge yesterday sold extremely well.
- 7:07Some spring cabin cows and these would have been four and five
- 7:11year old cows, not necessarily 3 year old cows finally bring in
- 7:16$4000 which I think we will see more and more common as they get
- 7:21closer to cabin as we get through the fall harvest is
- 7:24done, Cabs are sold, the money's counted and people realize they
- 7:28got a tax problem. Why we'll see more of that $4000
- 7:33mark on for sure on these young cows.
- 7:36It, it's pretty encouraging, I guess at the end of the day to
- 7:39see that happening here in, in September, the solid mouth
- 7:44spring cabin cows, 28 1/2 up to they sold a lot of, and they
- 7:49were to set a dispersal cows, but just just cows.
- 7:52And I'm, I'm not putting them down, but solid mouth cows
- 7:54bringing north of 3000, which is a pretty good benchmark for a
- 7:59solid mouth cow. And what you'll see some of the
- 8:04bankers and some of the boys will say, well, I don't know if
- 8:07I want to get 4200 for a young cow, which she's the better
- 8:10value. But they start looking at their
- 8:14bank account and say, well, what about a solid mouth cow at
- 8:173234500? Well, she's next year's old cow,
- 8:22but you'll still run her for a few years and you can save it,
- 8:25you know, maybe 56700 bucks buying that solid mouth cow and
- 8:32they think, well, I'll get her out another 2-3 years, then
- 8:36maybe these younger cows will get cheaper and da, da, da, da,
- 8:39da. So you'll probably see the solid
- 8:42mouth cows in, in some places sell really, really well.
- 8:46The old cow deal kind of 25 to 28, 800, which again for
- 8:53September I I just think is great.
- 8:55Normally we see the top in the stock cow market in November and
- 9:00December for all of the reasons that I mentioned.
- 9:02You know, the farmers are caught up the feeds in the bin, the
- 9:06calves have been sold so we know how much money we got plus we
- 9:10pregnancy tested our cows. We know how many holes we need
- 9:13to fill. There's just a lot of questions
- 9:16that are answered in November and December that can't be
- 9:20answered quite. Yeah, you know, but luckily
- 9:23there's not a lot of cows move it moving yet and I don't think
- 9:26there will be a lot of them. But that stock cow market really
- 9:30develops in November and December.
- 9:33And, you know, we're we're at a shortage of cows and and over
- 9:38abundance of rough feed so that that's only suitable for cows.
- 9:43So again, it will pay to sell your older cows as pregnant cows
- 9:48this fall. So something to think about.
- 9:51Yeah, 100%. As we look out in the next few
- 9:54weeks, we're getting ready to start fall.
- 9:57Some people say we're already in fall.
- 9:59I subscribe to the fall doesn't start until September 22nd.
- 10:03That's personally me. So I say we're still a few weeks
- 10:07away from fall. Some people are saying fall is
- 10:09here. I'm saying no, you're crazy,
- 10:11but. You are right.
- 10:13That's right. Thank you.
- 10:14Thank you. I know that because you haven't
- 10:16broke your belt hat out yet. Or you're exactly your fur line
- 10:20gloves. You know your handy handy the
- 10:23the yellow ones, right? Yes, it's still hot outside.
- 10:26OK, so what'd you say? September 22nd.
- 10:29Yeah, I think that's when it is. That's right, yeah.
- 10:31That's right. That's what.
- 10:32That's when I subscribe to it. So we're a.
- 10:35Few weeks away from it John, what are your thoughts as we get
- 10:38ready and get prepped for fall? Well, you know what?
- 10:41I'm starting to field a lot of calls daily wanting to know if
- 10:46the cabs have started, have the cabs started?
- 10:48Have these guys are chomping at the bit on these cabs?
- 10:52They're coming off huge profits and we're just rehashing the
- 10:55same thing. Lots of feed.
- 10:57There's going to be wheat pasture I think, but that's
- 11:03always promises a lot and and sometimes doesn't deliver.
- 11:06But I am surprised at the calls that I'm fielding on a daily
- 11:10basis. Guys, guys wanting calves
- 11:12historically here in La Jolla and we're a big supplier of
- 11:15calves. It's the middle of October
- 11:18really before we we see any calves and, and you'll, we might
- 11:22see a few of these Western Slope calves, Lauren come early
- 11:26because they are just so dry West of here.
- 11:29And some of the even in the San Luis Valley where where they had
- 11:33a, a dry year didn't put up much feed.
- 11:36There's no place to go with those calves.
- 11:38Once they come off the mountain. The majority of those cattle
- 11:41will summer on some BLM country or high country that probably
- 11:47was better than the low country, but still they're kind of
- 11:51running out of feed there. And so those guys, I know some
- 11:54people that have already gathered their cattle off the
- 11:57mountains and have weaned them and stuck them in some
- 12:00commercial yards somewhere. There's, there's several yards
- 12:05over Montrose Delta, Olathe over and there those guys will
- 12:10background some calves sometime. But with the market as good as
- 12:13it is, excuse me, you will see some of those calves just come
- 12:16straight to town and the market is going to bring them in.
- 12:20But it it's still really, really seasonal.
- 12:24I mean, don't look for any big run in La Hana really for for
- 12:28another month. And I look for the light cabs
- 12:31just to they seem high now. I mean you're selling 55575
- 12:37little 3 weight cabs typically they just get higher there as we
- 12:42go along. The cabs are growing, the cabs
- 12:44get bigger. Granted, there's a bigger supply
- 12:46of them out there, but these little light cabs are hard to
- 12:50find and the guys that buy those buy them all the time and they
- 12:54will, I think they'll just get noticeably higher as we get into
- 12:58the runs and the quality and the numbers start start to increase.
- 13:02There's shorter numbers of them, but then normal and excellent
- 13:06prospects for wheat pasture. And when those two things come
- 13:09together, why look out 'cause those wheat guys will pin their
- 13:13ears back and you know, it's just they just stick it up and
- 13:16leave it up. When the dust settles, they want
- 13:18wonder if they got them or not, you know, So you'll have to
- 13:21fight those boys off. I think the big cabs lawn will.
- 13:25I think they'll work higher too, just as they become more
- 13:28available. You know, as I've mentioned
- 13:30before, profit is an excellent motivator and everybody made
- 13:34buckets full of money last year. Plus you got feed some much
- 13:38cheaper this year in a shorter supply, you know, once once
- 13:43harvest is over. I always think November
- 13:47traditionally is better than than October.
- 13:50A lot of people, your cow calf guys need to sell in October
- 13:55just because of timing that that's when they need to do
- 13:57something. So that's why we see such big
- 14:00seasonal pushes at the end of October.
- 14:03But for the Stockman out there, if you can wait till November, I
- 14:08think you're usually rewarded about eight years out of 10 if
- 14:13you can hold out into November. But we're, we're so close to
- 14:16higher elevation. Those guys all run the risk of a
- 14:19late storm, you know, or something like that.
- 14:22And boy, it'll jerk 3040 lbs off them calves in just a matter of
- 14:26no time, which is also one of the reasons the buyers like to
- 14:30buy them in November. You know, I mean, the conditions
- 14:33better, but usually, you know, we deal with a little cooler
- 14:37temps. But first and foremost,
- 14:40everybody's ready for one in November, whereas in October
- 14:44we've still got Milo out, we've still got the last cut in the
- 14:48hay to put up the silages in, but we haven't picked all the
- 14:52corn yet. And those farmers will take
- 14:55their farmers and they'll take care of all of that before they
- 14:58start worrying about cattle. And so it's usually November
- 15:03when that happens. A lot of the seasoned pros that
- 15:06buy them all the time, But like I said, they like the condition
- 15:09on the calves better. In November, you've usually had
- 15:13a frost that kills the flies, kills the bugs.
- 15:16We've usually had some moisture of some kind.
- 15:19So that gets the dust problem down that you deal with in
- 15:22October. If you're going to have wheat
- 15:24pasture, it'll be made by November if you're going to have
- 15:27it. Whereas October sometimes a
- 15:29little too early. Like I said, the Cavs have had a
- 15:31little snow on their back. So for the most part and your
- 15:35temperatures moderate out too. You know, in October, Lauren,
- 15:37you'll, hell, we could still have some 90° days.
- 15:40It's supposed to be 96 here today.
- 15:43But in October you'll see those huge temperature swings and the
- 15:48old Gray haired guys, they say, you know, I'm not going to buy
- 15:52one. It's 90 in the day and 30 at
- 15:54night. Especially for what these things
- 15:57cost. And just 'cause they cost more,
- 15:59that don't mean they they'll survive any better.
- 16:02So they want to stay away from those big temperature swings and
- 16:06all those things are good and great, but they're also battling
- 16:09with the battle. Oh God, Dang, that market's
- 16:12going to go up. And everybody knows we don't
- 16:14have any cattle. I don't know, maybe we better
- 16:17get started by it a few, you know, so, but excellent,
- 16:21excellent demand. I think we'll see and and I'm
- 16:24optimistic right on through the fall.
- 16:26I think we get higher as we go, barring any, you know, Black
- 16:30Swan event to happen. Your cowboy boots tell your
- 16:33story before you ever speak. Every scuff, every crease is a
- 16:38memory. At Cheezos, we make each pair
- 16:41like it's the only one that matters.
- 16:43Because to the man who wears them, it is cowboy boots made to
- 16:48be worn for years. And we're passing down.
- 16:52Find yours@cheezos.com. That's Ch isos.com Cheezos do
- 16:59right? Love Texas?
- 17:01Yeah, we, we do not want any Black Swan events.
- 17:03We've had enough for the year. I think that we can just call it
- 17:08good and say that we've we've hit our Max for the year.
- 17:12Let's just coast until Christmas and New Year's and say that 2025
- 17:17was the year to remember and leave it at that.
- 17:21Leave it at that. Like wouldn't.
- 17:23Wouldn't that be great? Yeah, we can dream.
- 17:26We can dream. Are there any other key
- 17:29takeaways from the market that we need to hit on this week,
- 17:32John? Any other things that we need to
- 17:34be leaving with the audience members?
- 17:35This week, just kind of a reflection of what we talked
- 17:38about last week. You know, we talked about, boy,
- 17:41when we get to such high levels, we are at the mercy of any
- 17:47little thing that comes along. And, and, and Tuesday was a
- 17:50prime example of that. And bless his heart.
- 17:52You know, Trump came out, somebody asked him about
- 17:55high-priced beef and he said, oh, well, we'll once my policies
- 18:00are all in place and he's talking about Canada, he's
- 18:02talking about Mexico, he's talking about Brazil, we'll
- 18:05bring the price of that beef down.
- 18:07Well, you got to remember it's just the farmers, the feedlots
- 18:12guys and the Cowboys that are short.
- 18:14You know, the millionaires are short, the billionaires are
- 18:18long. The billionaires are the ones
- 18:21the commercial paper guys, the feed lot, the excuse me, the
- 18:24Packers are the ones driving this deal up and and they're the
- 18:29long position. Will they are also the entity
- 18:33that is the most influenced by any kind of bad news because
- 18:37they're not in the business, they're not covering their ass.
- 18:40They're like the Cowboys are. So when you the commercial paper
- 18:44and the Packers, when they get a little shook up, they dump them.
- 18:48And when they do, why then we suffer the, you know, the blunt
- 18:53of the storm. So be on the lookout because
- 18:56those commercial paper guys, they don't have the cattle like
- 19:00the Cowboys do to back up their position.
- 19:03And I'm making a real general statement here.
- 19:05That doesn't mean some of the feed lot guys don't spec or some
- 19:08of the Cowboys don't don't spec. But be conscientious about, you
- 19:14know, if they drop the, you know, tariffs on Brazil, OK,
- 19:19that's going to be a market shaker.
- 19:22Incidentally, Brazil has just passed the US and beef
- 19:26production. And a lot of, a lot of people
- 19:28don't know they are the biggest producer of beef now.
- 19:31US is now #2 yeah, we've got a great big tariff on Brazil, but
- 19:37the Mexicans don't. So you can put two and two
- 19:42together. So now Mexico is a big player on
- 19:46the Brazilian beef and they'll the Brazilians will sell it to
- 19:50Mexico and then somehow it'll find its way to the US.
- 19:54Imagine that. But that's what's going to
- 19:57happen. Again, we have a screw worm
- 19:59either way. If the the US dumps enough money
- 20:02into Mexico to fight a Mexican problem, why they'll have the
- 20:06screw worm deal cleaned up and everybody that's screaming about
- 20:10the Mexicans, why then they'll let them in.
- 20:12So that in itself is not enough numbers to have an impact.
- 20:17But remember, we're not talking. Sending the message to the
- 20:20millionaires, we're sending it to the billionaires, and the
- 20:23billionaires panic when something like that happens.
- 20:27They've been along for the ride and making all the profit and
- 20:31they're going to say I've made all the money I need, boys, Get
- 20:34Me Out. And so if they open up the
- 20:36border because of the the screw worm deal, that's going to
- 20:39affect it. Or if we get the worst case
- 20:42scenario and you get a screw worm in the US that's going to
- 20:45tank the markets anyway, we have to be real conscientious.
- 20:49And I still think it's a time to buy some insurance or short the
- 20:53board, the insurance it, it is a good program.
- 20:56It if you're not banked quite enough to handle the Chicago
- 21:01boys, look at this. You know, all of those things
- 21:05can affect it. And we know we're at way
- 21:08historical levels. So spend 7080 bucks ahead and
- 21:13cover your ass on these calves and on these stockers.
- 21:17And I'm not a doom and gloom guy.
- 21:18I hope it keeps going up. But you have to remember the
- 21:21powers at be in why we're at the level.
- 21:25So the Cowboys are still in control, Lauren, in terms of
- 21:28fundamentals, you know, yes, it is fundamentally sound.
- 21:33Our our business is way sound and we're helped by these
- 21:37tariffs that are keeping all these outside cattle at Bay.
- 21:41But that deal, the billionaires will make sure that changes and
- 21:45when it does, you'll be happy you you've kind of got your rear
- 21:49and covered. I I don't know when it'll happen
- 21:51or how it'll happen, but I do think it it'll it'll probably
- 21:55happen. I was talking to the other guy
- 21:58we have on the podcast, Dan, about the commodities market
- 22:00earlier this. Morning.
- 22:03I like it. Yes, yes.
- 22:04And we were talking about the fact that like we are selling
- 22:09calves right now or yearlings for what we were selling fats
- 22:12for last year. And we couldn't have predicted
- 22:15that anytime like you, if you would put that in front of me, I
- 22:19would have said put, yeah, when pigs fly like I, that's what I
- 22:23would have said to that a year ago.
- 22:25And but we're here. We're here and the market has
- 22:27been so volatile over the past six months that we none of us
- 22:34could have predicted anything that's happening right now.
- 22:36And so it's one of those situations that's like, we also
- 22:39can't predict what's going to happen in the next 6 months.
- 22:42So protect yourself while it's high.
- 22:44Protect yourself while while you still can.
- 22:46So that way you're not the one licking your wounds in six
- 22:49months when the market corrects and we're not seeing.
- 22:53It and, and I think most people have or not the you know, and,
- 22:57and it's, it's good on one hand it because that will keep you in
- 23:01the game. You know, you, you'll still be
- 23:03able to play the next time. Yeah, I only made 100 and I give
- 23:07Chicago 700 or I give the insurance boys 80.
- 23:13But you can still play if you've protected your profit.
- 23:17And, you know, you hate missing out on this big play, but with
- 23:22the dollars involved, it will allow you to play again.
- 23:27And that, that that's important. But I and I think I, I don't
- 23:32know what the percentage is, but the, the biggest percentage of
- 23:37people have, have put on some kind of protection along here,
- 23:42you know, way back there, you know, to 7080 not and, and, and
- 23:48everybody at three. You know what?
- 23:50Well, how do I sign up for this LRP?
- 23:52Or you know what, what's the deal?
- 23:54If only the real dyed in the wool Tufts that never do
- 23:58anything. And I'm not saying they're
- 24:00wrong, they're right this year. That's probably the only part of
- 24:04the population and probably not a big one that that hasn't kind
- 24:07of put some protection on, I think a. 100% Well, any other
- 24:12thoughts as we close out the podcast today, John?
- 24:15Well, I have my here's my folder and, and if you're going on for
- 24:20the antitrust deal for JBS, this represents mine, which is not,
- 24:25not where we did. It's not.
- 24:27But it, it, you, you need to kind of buckle down and you'll
- 24:31have to have all your close outs.
- 24:33It it asks for a lot of information, but it it's not
- 24:37super hard. I I got almighty entered and
- 24:40then got ready to send it and because I was on Firefox or
- 24:45something it had a firewall set up and wouldn't let me send it
- 24:48and I lost the whole damn thing. So I had to start over and
- 24:51luckily my wife would key entry. She's a Sharpie as I was reading
- 24:56to her and we got into I think Google Chrome.
- 25:00And so you, you, you can go that way.
- 25:03But it, you know, and I'll do the math for it because it, it
- 25:07finally submitted it. But JBS is so smart, you know,
- 25:11they're, they're settling for 83 and a half million.
- 25:14And I'm not an attorney, nor did I have my attorney look at this.
- 25:18But it's saying by filing this claim, you're opting out of any
- 25:23further actions against JBS. The very best scenario that I
- 25:28think that I could make on 50, some 100 cattle would be maybe a
- 25:34buck a head by the time the suits and ties take their cut.
- 25:40And then you'd divide 83 and a half million dollars.
- 25:43Lauren, they made that last night while you and I were
- 25:46snoring. Well, you're buying us snoring,
- 25:49but I ain't. It's nothing that they are so
- 25:53smart. Well, yeah, we'll give you 83
- 25:55and a half million. They've done it countless times.
- 25:58Whoever negotiated that deal, I mean, that was a huge mistake,
- 26:02JBS, but that's maybe the only deal you got.
- 26:06But they have. They have done it and they have
- 26:08done it and they have done it. But what?
- 26:10By by filling out all this information?
- 26:12I did it just for principle and for spite.
- 26:16But what I'm saying is, Oh, yeah.
- 26:18Hell, I'm glad you made that ruling. 83 and a half,
- 26:21$1,000,000, because at the end of the day, boy, I really got
- 26:26screwed out of about $0.82 a head or a buck.
- 26:30Who the hell makes you know what I'm saying?
- 26:32That's what it's probably going to boil down to.
- 26:34You're going to get nothing. And you're telling me we went
- 26:39through all of this and all of this antitrust and it'll be
- 26:42years before they settle it because JBS, we've decided they
- 26:47got you for a dollar that that'll be the payback to the
- 26:51producers. So, you know, they need to
- 26:54forget all that and the settlement deal.
- 26:56And let's go back to the problem at hand.
- 26:59What really is the situation out there?
- 27:03You know what the Sherman antitrust laws are, the
- 27:05monopolistic behavior. When somebody going to identify
- 27:10the elephant in the room and say that's the real problem.
- 27:13Well, we don't know that that's a problem or not, but here's 83
- 27:17and a half million dollars. Oh, OK, boys, we got them for
- 27:2083,000,000. Yeah, you Cowboys line up and
- 27:24get your check for a buck ahead. Wow.
- 27:26I don't bring them to their knees so.
- 27:30John's going to be a rich man here in a couple years, I tell
- 27:33you what, when this settlement comes.
- 27:35Through yeah, that's. A Jack of paperwork.
- 27:38If I'm the only one that applied.
- 27:41Hey, they made it so difficult that maybe you will be the only
- 27:44one that applied. And you well, yeah, it's
- 27:46difficult for those that are challenged like like I am, but
- 27:50it's really not all that hard if if you've got some got some
- 27:53records and they they've even got a deal that says, hell, I
- 27:56don't know, they got to me somehow, but I don't have all
- 27:59the records. There's another option in there
- 28:01where you can, you know, let let one of the high paid lawyers
- 28:07kind of take you under his wing and and do the deal.
- 28:10But again, I thought they were pretty smart by OK, you, you can
- 28:13file that and get your share of the 83,000,000, but that's the
- 28:17only money you're going to get. I think the way I understand it,
- 28:20because you're opting out of, of, of a lot of it.
- 28:23And Lorna, not to type a lot of time, but you and I touched on
- 28:27it off the air. Man, oh man, we lost a great one
- 28:31in Charlie Kirk, son of a gun, young Christian conservative.
- 28:35And the thing I, I really appreciated about him is you've
- 28:40got rock throwers like me that sat here and tell you and tell
- 28:43you and tell you, you know, that guy had an open forum everywhere
- 28:47he went to and he would look people in the eye and say, I'll
- 28:52take all comers, all challenges and really did it right.
- 28:57But I was so shocked when you you'd hear some of these these
- 29:01talk show people and and they would say, I just, I can't
- 29:05believe how we got to where we're at.
- 29:07Well, cripes sakes and mighty, what you talking about?
- 29:11It's easy to find out, you know, just look back of the Cliff that
- 29:15we've jumped off over the last several years.
- 29:18You know, society is, is really, really lost its way and we have
- 29:24no value, no ethics, no morality.
- 29:27And you know, people are just growing up.
- 29:31Nobody's raising kids anymore there.
- 29:34There's not 2 parents anymore. And I know things happen, but
- 29:36you know, this radical decline in people's faith and, and, and
- 29:41you know, what results of that is, is we have no established
- 29:46code anymore of behavior to live by.
- 29:51There is none, you know, and it started in, in my generation,
- 29:55the decline. And no, no consequences for
- 30:00failure or to perform it at any level.
- 30:02And we're, we're all to blame because we didn't stand up and,
- 30:07and take the hard positions. And now it's snowballing that
- 30:11way and you lose a guy like that and the young guys coming on
- 30:15saying, boy, I don't know if I want to go out there and beat
- 30:18the drum too hard. I don't want to get shot.
- 30:21You know what, what we created this huge population that have
- 30:25been denied all of the things that we talked about and we
- 30:29we've let them be denied. So that's the contention that's
- 30:34out there now for any kind, in my opinion, any kind of rational
- 30:37thought. Yeah, no, it's we were talking
- 30:41about it off air. It's heartbreaking.
- 30:42It really is. It's one of those situations
- 30:45that you hear it and the world just feels like kind of pauses
- 30:49for a second and you're like, OK, OK, how, how are we supposed
- 30:55to move forward from this? What, what are we supposed to
- 30:57do? Like, what is the next step from
- 31:00this? And I think we're all kind of at
- 31:02the standstill right now just trying to figure out what's
- 31:04next. But like you said, we lost
- 31:06someone who wasn't afraid to talk to anyone and talk to them,
- 31:11like talk to them like a human and say, hey, here's your
- 31:15question. Here's my rebuttal.
- 31:17Let's debate it. Let's talk about it and like I
- 31:21will hear any question and all questions and let's talk about
- 31:24it. And he was such a outspoken
- 31:28Christian as well and stood up for the gospel and so many
- 31:32aspects and so many ways and tied it into politics in such a
- 31:34beautiful way that it's, I don't know how you look at that and
- 31:38say, let's move forward from this because it's, and it's so
- 31:42sad that we live in a world where if you don't like someone
- 31:46or if someone doesn't share the same views as you, that's the
- 31:49way that you go. That's, that's the path that you
- 31:51take. We go from 4 within 48 hours, we
- 31:54have a woman murdered on a train rail because she's white and a
- 31:59person assassinated because of his beliefs and his
- 32:04outspokenness. And it's just a really sad, sad
- 32:08place that we've come to. Yeah, yeah.
- 32:11No, no, no. And you know, US old guys, why
- 32:14we kind of think what we got our guy in there, You know what I
- 32:17mean? He, he's fighting the battle for
- 32:19us and, and made me not right on everything, but grounded in so
- 32:23many of the ethics and things that people of my generation
- 32:28believe in. He's our guy.
- 32:30But we found so much confidence here.
- 32:32You've got a young guy 31 years old and we got a vice president
- 32:36still that is of that same discipline.
- 32:39And we said, man, I, I can see the light now.
- 32:43We, we've got some strong advocates out there for rights,
- 32:46right wrongs, wrong, faith-based communication.
- 32:50And boy, you know, it was so comforting for people, I think
- 32:55my generation to think, you know, there's, there's still
- 32:58some good young guys out there and by golly, don't lose all
- 33:02hope. And you know, all the crap that
- 33:06we're exposed to, there's still some people out there, but boy,
- 33:10he was such an icon and and such a St.
- 33:13It just breaks your heart to know how in the world name me
- 33:17the number two guy that comes up behind him and has that big
- 33:21impact. So it's going to take a while to
- 33:24digest on it. Absolutely, will, Absolutely.
- 33:26Well, well, John, thank you for your time today for coming on,
- 33:29sharing your thoughts on the market and just a candid
- 33:32discussion that you and I are able to have as well.
- 33:34Well, I appreciate it. To all of our listeners out
- 33:37there, we appreciate you guys coming in and listening to U.S.
- 33:40chat every single week. Thank you for being here and we
- 33:44will see you all tomorrow on another episode.
- 33:46Have a good one y'all.