Latest / The Mike Blitz Show / Ohio State Has No QB. We’re Laying the Points Anyway | Week 9 Parlay Builder

Transcript

Ohio State Has No QB. We’re Laying the Points Anyway | Week 9 Parlay Builder · The Mike Blitz Show

0:00
SPEAKER_01: This is season six, episode 31 of the Mike Blitz Podcast.
0:06
SPEAKER_01: Last Saturday, USC went to Madison, scored seven points.
0:10
SPEAKER_01: Their reward?
0:11
SPEAKER_01: Number two, Ohio State.
0:14
SPEAKER_01: Saturday night in the Coliseum.
0:16
SPEAKER_01: Wisconsin's reward by beating them, a trip to Iowa City, where the Hawkeyes just lost to Minnesota 13 to 10 and fell out of the pool, but are still favored.
0:24
SPEAKER_01: Georgia and Florida take the cocktail party to Atlanta.
0:28
SPEAKER_01: LSU, Virginia Tech, Tennessee are all up this week.
0:31
SPEAKER_01: But we're building a parlor, and we're gonna win some money right here on the Mike Blitz Podcast.
0:37
SPEAKER_01: Over to you, Mike.
0:44
SPEAKER_02: Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Mike Blitz.
0:47
SPEAKER_02: I'm your host, Mike Wade.
0:48
SPEAKER_02: My co-host over there, Mark Franzen and Darren Steadman.
0:51
SPEAKER_02: Happy evening.
0:52
SPEAKER_02: Looking forward to chatting with you guys tonight.
0:54
SPEAKER_02: You know what's nice, Darren?
0:56
SPEAKER_02: You know what's really nice?
0:57
SPEAKER_02: Up to me.
0:58
SPEAKER_02: Not to worry about losing.
1:00
SPEAKER_02: We can't lose on one week.
1:02
SPEAKER_02: I don't have a thing to worry about.
1:03
SPEAKER_02: I'm feeling good.
1:04
SPEAKER_02: I'm just gonna enjoy college football as a casual fan.
1:07
SPEAKER_02: Of course, I've already got nerves about Alabama next week, but that's a next week problem, Darren.
1:12
SPEAKER_02: I got this week to look forward to.
1:13
SPEAKER_02: I'm gonna watch and do nothing.
1:15
SPEAKER_02: I'm gonna eat a ton of my kids' Halloween candy, dad taxes in full effect.
1:18
SPEAKER_02: Just nice leisurely weekend looking forward to for me.
1:21
SPEAKER_00: So I'll just like the boys in our locker rooms are just gonna like sit in the hot tub, watch a little TV, just sit in a sweatpants, take the weekend off.
1:31
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, exactly.
1:31
SPEAKER_02: I can't wait.
1:32
SPEAKER_02: Mark's gonna be over here sweating bullets of his life in the Wisconsin-Iowa games, playoff hopes on the line.
1:37
SPEAKER_02: So he's gonna be he's gonna be a ball of nerves this weekend, but you and I like if the national championship contender, Wisconsin.
1:45
SPEAKER_00: That's right.
1:46
SPEAKER_02: That's right.
1:46
SPEAKER_02: I might get like a deep tissue massage, some shiatsu or something, maybe a hot stone, just something to really just relax.
1:53
SPEAKER_02: Why not?
1:53
SPEAKER_01: I don't think I got nothing to worry about this weekend.
1:55
SPEAKER_00: So what'd you say about cheese curds?
1:57
SPEAKER_01: I think the only thing good that comes out of Wisconsin are cheese curds.
2:00
SPEAKER_01: Cheese curds.
2:01
SPEAKER_01: Squeaky cheese curds.
2:02
SPEAKER_01: Oh, they're they are really good though.
2:03
SPEAKER_01: They are really good.
2:04
SPEAKER_02: They are really good.
2:05
SPEAKER_02: They're not really good.
2:06
SPEAKER_02: So, yeah.
2:07
SPEAKER_02: So, anyway, the plan for tonight, you guys probably know we're going to profile this week's week nine.
2:11
SPEAKER_02: It's action.
2:12
SPEAKER_02: Mark's gonna take us through the slate.
2:14
SPEAKER_02: Uh, we're gonna add our opinions, our takes.
2:16
SPEAKER_02: Uh, on the things that we disagree on, we will stay away.
2:19
SPEAKER_02: On the things we agree on, we will add them as legs to a parlay, eight or nine legs.
2:23
SPEAKER_02: Last week we went five and three.
2:25
SPEAKER_02: We've had a couple six and two and seven and two appearances.
2:27
SPEAKER_02: Of course, week zero, we went five and oh, hit the jackpot.
2:30
SPEAKER_02: So you never know.
2:31
SPEAKER_02: Make sure you are playing along, you're included with that.
2:33
SPEAKER_02: You can hear the podcast right now.
2:35
SPEAKER_02: Of course, the link directly to it will be in the Discord, so you'll see it multiple places.
2:38
SPEAKER_02: So make sure you are in the Discord and you are getting involved in that.
2:43
SPEAKER_02: With that said, I'm ready to talk about some football.
2:46
SPEAKER_02: And I'm not talking about Delaware, Western Kentucky, which are playing right now.
2:49
SPEAKER_02: Go blue hands.
2:50
SPEAKER_02: I'm talking about big boy power four football and some G6 tunes as well.
2:55
SPEAKER_02: And so, Mark, I'll turn it over to you.
2:57
SPEAKER_01: All right, I think it's now considered the world's largest indoor cocktail party.
3:01
SPEAKER_01: Florida and Georgia are going to Atlanta 3:30 on Saturday on ABC.
3:09
SPEAKER_01: Georgia's offense is ranked number two, their defense is ranked four.
3:13
SPEAKER_01: Florida's defense is ranked 50th overall.
3:15
SPEAKER_01: Georgia comes into the game a 10.5 point favor, and over-under is 56 and a half.
3:21
SPEAKER_01: Last time I checked.
3:22
SPEAKER_01: Although, Mike, you've always got a you've got the latest and greatest over there for you.
3:26
SPEAKER_01: So, guys, what are you thinking about this game?
3:31
SPEAKER_02: It's 55, but the spreads I'm seeing 11, 11 and a half right here on FanDuel right now.
3:35
SPEAKER_02: I have one thought about this, and kind of the same thought I've had about Florida for a while.
3:38
SPEAKER_02: If they can't run, what can they do?
3:41
SPEAKER_02: As soon as they get shut down, Jaden Ball, Jaden Ball was a second coming of Christ a month ago.
3:46
SPEAKER_02: Now all of a sudden he's facing some serious fronts and he can't do anything.
3:49
SPEAKER_02: Who's got a tougher front than Georgia?
3:52
SPEAKER_02: Maybe nobody in in college football right now.
3:54
SPEAKER_02: So, my question.
3:55
SPEAKER_02: So I'm seeing I know it's neutral site game.
3:57
SPEAKER_02: I know records get thrown out.
3:58
SPEAKER_02: I know they got a bias, I know they're arrested, but I'm they I'm looking at this Georgia front.
4:03
SPEAKER_02: I think they're gonna shut down Jaden Ball, and they're gonna make either Tremel Jones or Aiden or Aaron Philo.
4:08
SPEAKER_02: I'm not even I'm not even sure who's playing it.
4:10
SPEAKER_02: I don't think though Florida's even told us one of those guys gets to beat them with his arm.
4:15
SPEAKER_02: I'm sorry, I don't see it.
4:17
SPEAKER_02: Tell me why we shouldn't easily lay Georgia or play the under.
4:21
SPEAKER_02: 55 points is a lot of points.
4:23
SPEAKER_01: Do you think the Georgia defense is better than the Texas defense?
4:27
SPEAKER_01: And then Florida just put up 27 against Texas two weeks ago.
4:31
SPEAKER_01: What are your thoughts on those?
4:33
SPEAKER_01: Like that's the only way.
4:34
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, yeah.
4:35
SPEAKER_02: I think I do think Georgia's defense is better.
4:37
SPEAKER_02: I think the front seven is better than Texas, especially without Colin Simmons right now.
4:41
SPEAKER_02: But just in generally speaking, I still think Chris Cole is all American.
4:44
SPEAKER_02: He's also going to be a first-round pick.
4:45
SPEAKER_02: It's not like George doesn't have its share of guys.
4:48
SPEAKER_02: Also, Kirby Smart, he's just what he does.
4:50
SPEAKER_02: He has front sevens for days.
4:51
SPEAKER_02: So yeah, I think they're super tough.
4:54
SPEAKER_02: And I just we've we've seen Florida now lose.
4:57
SPEAKER_02: Who they they got crushed by two teams because they couldn't move the ball.
5:00
SPEAKER_02: It was old, it was Missouri.
5:02
SPEAKER_02: South Carolina and Missouri.
5:04
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, Missouri and South Carolina absolutely whooped them up front and shut down Jaden Ball.
5:10
SPEAKER_02: I'm thinking it's gonna be more of that.
5:11
SPEAKER_02: I have no reason to think Georgia, Florida has another trick that they can't get past those two teams that they can even sniff Georgia.
5:18
SPEAKER_02: So I'm looking at an under here or a Georgia cover, but not both for my cardinal rule of betting.
5:26
SPEAKER_00: Well, they gave Ball the rock when they beat Texas at Texas 25 carries for 91 yards.
5:34
SPEAKER_00: He added another 13 through the air.
5:37
SPEAKER_00: So Jaden Ball has a little life, has a little rejuvenation.
5:41
SPEAKER_00: I got Georgia winning this game for sure.
5:43
SPEAKER_00: Right.
5:43
SPEAKER_00: And so laying 10 points, I think, I think I'm there, and I think it's pretty easy to lay those 10.
5:50
SPEAKER_00: We got both teams coming off a bye.
5:52
SPEAKER_00: Um sometimes.
5:55
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I'm gonna pause.
5:56
SPEAKER_00: I'm gonna pause on laying the 10 for a second.
5:59
SPEAKER_00: What I think it what I think about this game is it it's in Atlanta.
6:03
SPEAKER_00: We're gonna call it a neutral site.
6:05
SPEAKER_00: This is Georgia's home field.
6:07
SPEAKER_00: They've played here tremendous amount of times.
6:09
SPEAKER_00: They love this stadium and this turf and they win there all the time.
6:12
SPEAKER_00: They will be happy as a clam walking into their home locker room here in Falcon Stadium.
6:17
SPEAKER_00: And so Georgia will feel all kinds of awesome, but I also actually have some confidence in Florida's offense.
6:24
SPEAKER_00: If the if Georgia's not preparing for one quarterback or the other for Philo or Tremell, then that might be a little trouble.
6:32
SPEAKER_00: I think Florida's gonna score.
6:33
SPEAKER_00: Somehow they scored on Texas, and not many people have done that this year.
6:37
SPEAKER_00: They scored 27, which is a big number for the Texas defense.
6:41
SPEAKER_00: So I got Florida's score, and I actually like the over here.
6:44
SPEAKER_00: Jaden Ball ran Jaden Ball ran his 91 yards against Texas, like you said, on a turf field.
6:50
SPEAKER_00: Here's a turf field.
6:51
SPEAKER_00: Maybe he likes that sort of thing.
6:52
SPEAKER_00: Maybe Ball with his quick cuts is ready to rumble on a turf field more so than on a grass.
7:00
SPEAKER_00: And so I actually like the over.
7:02
SPEAKER_00: The the number here is 56 ish.
7:05
SPEAKER_00: What is it currently?
7:06
SPEAKER_00: Where has it moved?
7:08
SPEAKER_00: I'm seeing 55.
7:09
SPEAKER_00: No, sorry, it's no, it's lower.
7:11
SPEAKER_02: It's going down.
7:12
SPEAKER_02: So the juice is going the other way.
7:14
SPEAKER_02: They think they 52.
7:17
SPEAKER_02: I'm seeing 55 right this second on FanDuel.
7:19
SPEAKER_02: Okay.
7:20
SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
7:20
SPEAKER_02: So but the but the but either way, the market is telling us low.
7:24
SPEAKER_02: The people are saying the number is too high.
7:27
SPEAKER_02: Sorry.
7:28
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, sorry, I missed it.
7:29
SPEAKER_02: Um yeah, 55.
7:31
SPEAKER_02: I think this might be a stay away from us.
7:33
SPEAKER_02: I think you're I think you're I think you're you're you're believing in Florida and the over, and I'm on Georgia and the under.
7:37
SPEAKER_02: So this might be a classic.
7:39
SPEAKER_02: The mind melts.
7:40
SPEAKER_02: For the good people at home, Mark, do you have a view?
7:42
SPEAKER_02: What are you thinking?
7:43
unknown: Nope.
7:43
SPEAKER_01: Nope.
7:45
SPEAKER_01: Nowhere I want to put my money.
7:47
SPEAKER_02: I mean, I will say, like, betting on betting in a rival laying points in a rivalry spot off a bye week, like Florida could come out guns blazing.
7:55
SPEAKER_02: There is a world that happens in a rivalry game.
7:57
SPEAKER_02: They're gonna be all the way up for this one.
7:59
SPEAKER_02: Whatever magic Buster Faulkner has, and here I haven't talked myself into Florida now.
8:03
SPEAKER_02: Now I want to take the points and Buster Faulkner.
8:05
SPEAKER_02: Like any magic that he has, like now's the time because Florida's also playing for its life.
8:10
SPEAKER_02: This is effectively there's a log gym of two of SEC two lost teams: Florida, Missouri, Texas, uh, LSU, Ole Miss, a bunch of them.
8:19
SPEAKER_02: This is this is a playoff eliminator for Florida.
8:21
SPEAKER_02: So if they have any tricks up their sleeves, you're gonna see it.
8:25
SPEAKER_02: Let's stay away.
8:26
SPEAKER_02: This I don't know.
8:26
SPEAKER_02: I don't know what's gonna happen.
8:27
SPEAKER_01: I mean, Georgia's coming off a Georgia's coming off a loss.
8:30
SPEAKER_01: They got a bad taste in their mouth.
8:32
SPEAKER_01: They want to come out and like annihilate someone.
8:35
SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
8:36
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't be surprised if it was like a 27-34 type Georgia win.
8:39
SPEAKER_02: I'd also be surprised it was like a 44 to 11 type Georgia win.
8:43
SPEAKER_02: I really don't know.
8:43
SPEAKER_02: I really don't know.
8:45
SPEAKER_00: Marquee matchup, they're probably gonna hit both numbers.
8:47
SPEAKER_00: Georgia's gonna win by 10 at a total of 55.
8:51
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, right on the money.
8:52
SPEAKER_01: Very happy to do that.
8:53
SPEAKER_00: Right on the money.
8:54
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
8:55
SPEAKER_00: So let's stay away.
8:56
unknown: Yep.
8:56
SPEAKER_01: All right, let's go to a big 12 eliminator game.
8:59
SPEAKER_01: This is the Arizona Wildcats going to the Texas Tex.
9:04
SPEAKER_01: What are they?
9:04
SPEAKER_01: They're the Raiders?
9:05
SPEAKER_01: Red Raiders?
9:05
SPEAKER_01: Red Raiders.
9:06
SPEAKER_01: Red Raiders, Red Raiders.
9:07
SPEAKER_01: Raiders.
9:13
SPEAKER_01: Texas Tech, last time I checked, was a four and a half point favorite.
9:17
SPEAKER_01: The over-under at 55 and a half.
9:19
SPEAKER_01: Oh, 54 and a half right now.
9:22
SPEAKER_01: 54.5 on DraftKings and Texas Tex is a three and a half point favorite favorite going into this game.
9:30
SPEAKER_01: Thoughts.
9:31
SPEAKER_02: I'm gonna say I'm gonna say it right now.
9:34
SPEAKER_02: Line started seven?
9:35
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, the wrong team is favored.
9:37
SPEAKER_02: Arizona is better.
9:38
SPEAKER_02: They're gonna win this game.
9:39
SPEAKER_02: Fafita is going to throw all over them.
9:41
SPEAKER_02: The one thing that the the one thing that BYA was able to do was to get to him and sack him.
9:45
SPEAKER_02: Texas Tech is pass rush is not good.
9:47
SPEAKER_02: And Fafita is absolutely dealing right now.
9:50
SPEAKER_02: He has really elevated that Arizona Wildcat squad in a big way.
9:54
SPEAKER_02: If Will Hammond goes down early, like let's say like Arizona comes out and and just and bears pounces them, no pun intended.
10:01
SPEAKER_02: Wildcats.
10:02
SPEAKER_02: Get it?
10:02
SPEAKER_02: Catch up.
10:04
SPEAKER_02: So let's say they go up, let's say they go up like 10 or 13.
10:06
SPEAKER_02: Like nobody in Texas thinks Will Hammond is gonna be the guy through the air to bring these guys back.
10:13
SPEAKER_02: I don't think we should take Arizona to win outright, because that seems like crazy town, but I love me some Arizona plus three and a half.
10:20
SPEAKER_02: Like I'm all day all over that.
10:22
SPEAKER_00: Just imagine when Sunday morning when it opened up, you had Arizona plus seven and a half.
10:26
SPEAKER_00: Jeesh.
10:27
SPEAKER_00: I know we got to get in on that ball game.
10:29
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, Arizona, Arizona taking points is great with me.
10:34
SPEAKER_00: So I don't have any of these teams in a let down look ahead, any sort of weird spot or anything.
10:41
SPEAKER_00: Arizona's just simply rolling.
10:43
SPEAKER_00: Texas Tech is Texas Tech's just got embarrassed a little bit.
10:46
SPEAKER_00: And so Yeah.
10:48
SPEAKER_00: I don't see them bouncing back.
10:50
SPEAKER_00: I'd see them just crumbling a little bit.
10:51
SPEAKER_02: Let's play a little devil's advocate real quick.
10:53
SPEAKER_02: You could say, oh my god, we lost to Cincinnati.
10:55
SPEAKER_02: Or you could, which is they're gonna get the they're gonna get uh they're gonna give their best ever for Arizona because they see they're on the ropes, their word Cody Campbell's been all up on Twitter, kind of not making the best look of himself, and they are going to, you know, do their best performance.
11:10
SPEAKER_02: Or did they just put a bunch of their vulnerabilities on film for Arizona?
11:14
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, for Arizona to take advantage of.
11:16
SPEAKER_02: Look at all these things they couldn't do.
11:17
SPEAKER_02: JC French is a good quarterback.
11:19
SPEAKER_02: He's not great, he's not nearly as good as Noah Fafita.
11:22
SPEAKER_02: No Fafita saw that and said, Oh, they can't defend that, that, or that.
11:25
SPEAKER_02: Let me see what I can do.
11:26
SPEAKER_02: Like that could go both ways.
11:28
SPEAKER_02: So I'm with you on like the non, I don't see the emotional angle on this one.
11:32
SPEAKER_02: And I just objectively, I think Arizona, I think Texas Tech is nowhere near as good as their salary thinks they should be.
11:38
SPEAKER_02: I think they overpaid for a lot of guys, they've underperformed.
11:41
SPEAKER_02: And Brett Brennan and Arizona, those guys are dealing.
11:45
SPEAKER_02: So give me the Wildcats plus three and a half.
11:48
SPEAKER_02: Yes, lock it in.
11:50
SPEAKER_01: Okay, take it.
11:51
SPEAKER_01: All right, let's do it.
11:52
SPEAKER_01: All right, let's move along to the Big Ten where Ohio State and was it Faye and what's their true freshman quarterback is going to do it?
12:03
SPEAKER_01: Faye.
12:04
SPEAKER_01: Faye.
12:04
SPEAKER_01: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
12:05
SPEAKER_01: Feehee.
12:05
SPEAKER_01: I'll keep it.
12:07
SPEAKER_01: I'll look it up.
12:08
SPEAKER_01: He's going to LA to take on the USC Trojans Saturday night, 7.30 on NBC.
12:14
SPEAKER_01: Ohio State is a six and a half point favorite on the road, overunder at 51 and a half, just verified on DraftKings.
12:21
SPEAKER_01: Man, guys, I don't know what I think about this.
12:24
SPEAKER_01: I don't know what I think about a true freshman quarterback on the road, but against USC, who just choked in Wisconsin.
12:33
SPEAKER_01: This is this is a crazy one.
12:34
SPEAKER_01: Any thoughts on this game, guys?
12:37
SPEAKER_02: So let's take a let's look at you, let's look at Ohio State for what they are.
12:41
SPEAKER_02: They are a great team with a they are a very talented team with NFL guys all over it.
12:46
SPEAKER_02: They don't have a quarterback.
12:48
SPEAKER_02: That team with no quarterback is still twice as good as the Wisconsin team that has a quarterback who actually is terrible in Colton Joseph.
12:56
SPEAKER_02: I don't care.
12:57
SPEAKER_02: It is Luke Fehey, you're absolutely right.
12:58
SPEAKER_02: I don't care if it's Luke Fehey or Tavian Sinclair.
13:01
SPEAKER_02: I have there's nothing about USC going its way other than the fact that it's at home.
13:06
SPEAKER_02: I'm not sure everyone's gonna be there, but it is a home game.
13:09
SPEAKER_02: I got Ohio State laying these points easy.
13:11
SPEAKER_02: I don't think it's gonna be any problem for them.
13:13
SPEAKER_02: Even without Julian saying, Ohio State is a better version of Wisconsin, and Wisconsin just absolutely manhandled USC.
13:21
SPEAKER_02: Why would they why would Ohio State not do it again?
13:23
SPEAKER_02: Oh, and they're off the bye, right?
13:24
SPEAKER_02: This is this is USC.
13:25
SPEAKER_02: This is Ohio State off a week.
13:28
SPEAKER_02: Ohio State off a bye.
13:29
SPEAKER_02: So they've had so Fahy or St.
13:32
SPEAKER_02: Clair or both have had 10 days with the ones.
13:34
SPEAKER_02: I'm laying them easy.
13:35
SPEAKER_02: I got no problem laying them.
13:37
SPEAKER_00: Yep, me too.
13:38
SPEAKER_00: I think this line is reflective of an unknown quarterback.
13:42
SPEAKER_00: They don't need a quarterback.
13:43
SPEAKER_00: What I said last podcast is that Coach Ryan Day is talking to his team for two weeks and saying we're gonna run the ball between the tackles, and they're not doing a darn thing to stop us, and they're gonna do it probably for the tune of thirty 35 points.
13:56
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, and so yeah, lay these points, and we only have to lay seven.
14:00
SPEAKER_00: Wonderful.
14:00
SPEAKER_00: Six and a half.
14:01
SPEAKER_00: A whole lot of bojacks.
14:03
SPEAKER_00: Super yeah, six and a half.
14:05
SPEAKER_00: Every running back on the roster is gonna get 15 carries.
14:09
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, over under 52 and a half.
14:10
SPEAKER_02: I only have a read on.
14:11
SPEAKER_02: I don't really have a read on that, though.
14:12
SPEAKER_02: I'm gonna I'll figure I'll talk no double dip on this one.
14:16
SPEAKER_00: Under sounds great, but it's not.
14:18
SPEAKER_02: No, you can't.
14:19
SPEAKER_02: You can't you can't lay points.
14:20
SPEAKER_00: USC at home.
14:21
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, USC at home.
14:23
SPEAKER_00: That's crazy.
14:23
SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
14:24
SPEAKER_01: All right, so we're locking it in.
14:25
SPEAKER_01: Ohio State, minus six and a half.
14:28
SPEAKER_01: Yes.
14:29
SPEAKER_01: That's what we're going for.
14:30
SPEAKER_01: All right, cool.
14:30
SPEAKER_01: All right, now we're gonna move to one other Big Ten matchup.
14:33
SPEAKER_01: This is also on the West Coast.
14:35
SPEAKER_01: The Oregon Ducks are hosting the Upstart Northwestern Wildcats 3.30 Saturday on Peacock, Oregon, favored by three and a half.
14:46
SPEAKER_01: Last time I checked, looking up the numbers.
14:49
SPEAKER_01: Yep, three and a half over under at 47 and a half.
14:52
SPEAKER_01: What are your thoughts on this game, guys?
14:54
SPEAKER_02: This one I cannot get my head around.
14:57
SPEAKER_02: I really have struggled with this one.
14:58
SPEAKER_02: So the under the total came down a little bit, 46.
15:00
SPEAKER_02: It's in Outson, so it's in Oregon.
15:03
SPEAKER_02: Part of me is like Aiden Childs and Chip Kelly, kind of a reunion tour.
15:07
SPEAKER_02: Chip Kelly, of course, was a famous Oregon coach for many years.
15:10
SPEAKER_02: So if he's gonna have any tricks up his sleeve, it would be the time.
15:13
SPEAKER_02: Oregon just fired their offensive coordinator.
15:15
SPEAKER_02: Maybe the new guy gets in, dead cat bounce.
15:16
SPEAKER_02: You might see some really good performance out of their offense.
15:19
SPEAKER_02: Oregon's defense for all the jokes we made about Oregon, and their season is over.
15:22
SPEAKER_02: It's a lost season with on what should have been the culmination of Oregon building to a national championship run this year.
15:27
SPEAKER_02: Their season's over.
15:28
SPEAKER_02: Their defense is still pretty good, and it still has from by my count, four first rounders on it.
15:33
SPEAKER_02: So the defense is still pretty good.
15:35
SPEAKER_02: They they're missing Will Stein, obviously, tremendously, but you Tash Lupinath, they did in fact replace reasonably well.
15:42
SPEAKER_02: I can't get a read on this one to save my life.
15:44
SPEAKER_02: I I I don't know.
15:46
SPEAKER_02: I think Oregon wins, I think Oregon covers, and if I were gonna bet anything, it would be them, but I don't feel strongly about anything.
16:35
SPEAKER_00: Oregon at home is getting way too much credit.
16:38
SPEAKER_00: I love the under under 40 47, is it?
16:42
SPEAKER_00: Honestly, I don't care.
16:43
SPEAKER_02: 46 46 now, but we could we could we could jute up that up a little bit if you wanted drafting's out 47.
16:48
SPEAKER_00: Who are you?
16:49
SPEAKER_00: Who are you?
16:49
SPEAKER_00: Peek behind the curtain.
16:50
SPEAKER_00: Who are you, Oregon Ducks?
16:52
SPEAKER_00: Here's who they are.
16:52
SPEAKER_00: Their last three games.
16:54
SPEAKER_00: The scores were 17-15 loss at UCLA versus at home, actually, 17-14, 21-10.
17:02
SPEAKER_00: They haven't put up a total at 40 in three weeks.
17:05
SPEAKER_00: That's strength on strength.
17:07
SPEAKER_00: It's Oregon's defense, which is still quite good on Northwestern's rushing offense, which is gonna be good and gonna slow the clock down.
17:17
SPEAKER_00: And then weakness on weakness.
17:18
SPEAKER_00: Northwestern doesn't have much defense, but Oregon doesn't have much offense.
17:22
SPEAKER_00: I see a 20 to 17 game, they're not gonna get to 47 points.
17:27
SPEAKER_00: I love the under.
17:28
SPEAKER_00: You talk me into it.
17:29
SPEAKER_02: I that's a good that's a good pitch.
17:31
SPEAKER_02: Well done.
17:31
SPEAKER_02: I'll buy I'll you sold.
17:32
SPEAKER_02: I'll buy that car of yours.
17:34
SPEAKER_02: What um do you my only yeah, my only here's me pushing back on you, Mr.
17:39
SPEAKER_02: Mr.
17:39
SPEAKER_02: Used car salesman?
17:41
SPEAKER_02: Do you want to juice the total up a bit or do you want to stay at 46?
17:44
SPEAKER_02: 46 seems like a low number to me.
17:47
SPEAKER_00: Whatever, you know, if yeah, if we kick it up a number, we don't have a good number until we reach what 48 and a half or something.
17:54
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, 48 and a half is exactly what I was thinking.
17:57
SPEAKER_00: 48 and a half straight.
17:58
SPEAKER_00: What are we doing?
17:58
SPEAKER_00: Minus 140 on that?
18:00
SPEAKER_00: I don't care.
18:00
SPEAKER_02: Minus 150.
18:01
SPEAKER_02: Minus 150.
18:02
SPEAKER_01: Which is a little out of character.
18:04
SPEAKER_01: What uh what line are you using?
18:06
SPEAKER_01: Because DraftKings got it at they had their their line at minus 110 is 47 and a half.
18:13
SPEAKER_02: 47 and a half is minus one is 130.
18:15
SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
18:16
SPEAKER_02: 131.5 for them.
18:18
SPEAKER_01: I'll take that.
18:19
SPEAKER_02: 46 is like if you're talking about 24-21, okay.
18:22
SPEAKER_02: So that's right there.
18:23
SPEAKER_02: Like, what's a 47-point game?
18:25
SPEAKER_02: A 47 game is 24-23.
18:27
SPEAKER_02: Maybe we do just stay at 46.
18:29
SPEAKER_02: Are you give me one point?
18:32
SPEAKER_02: Let me get you to 47.
18:33
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, do what you want to.
18:34
SPEAKER_00: I don't think we need to juice it at all.
18:36
SPEAKER_00: I I think this is a teen teens game.
18:39
SPEAKER_00: This this looks more like an Iowa-Minnesota game to me than an Oregon game.
18:44
SPEAKER_02: I'm taking you we're doing 46.
18:46
SPEAKER_02: We're not juicing it at all.
18:47
SPEAKER_02: We're staying where we are.
18:48
SPEAKER_02: You have talked me into it, and we've done the thing is we've done well on over-unders this season.
18:53
SPEAKER_02: So I'm gonna keep I'm gonna keep pretending that we're gonna do over on that.
18:56
SPEAKER_02: So, yeah, let's lock in.
18:57
SPEAKER_00: 46 and a half.
18:59
SPEAKER_00: 46 and a half.
19:00
SPEAKER_02: I just I just had it second.
19:02
SPEAKER_02: 46 and 46 and a half minus 110.
19:05
SPEAKER_02: That's what we're doing.
19:05
SPEAKER_02: Under.
19:06
SPEAKER_01: Okay.
19:07
SPEAKER_01: Lock it in.
19:08
SPEAKER_01: Locked it in.
19:08
SPEAKER_01: All right, those are our marquee matchups, and now we have some contenders on the road and upset watch.
19:13
SPEAKER_01: The number one Miami Hurricanes are going to Chapel Hill to take on Bill Belichick and North Carolina 7.30 Saturday on ABC.
19:22
SPEAKER_01: Do you guys have any feelings in this game?
19:25
SPEAKER_02: Doesn't this reek of like the the once a year Mario Cristobal choke spot?
19:30
SPEAKER_02: Like a really damn good coaching or side playing at home.
19:34
SPEAKER_02: 14 and a half.
19:35
SPEAKER_02: Miami's got nothing.
19:36
SPEAKER_02: They are clearly, clearly in a look-ahead spot, obviously going to Notre Dame next week for the game that's going to define their season and Notre Dame.
19:45
SPEAKER_02: North Carolina just lost to somebody, I think.
19:48
SPEAKER_02: I can't remember.
19:50
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, maybe they might have lost to Syracuse.
19:52
SPEAKER_02: I'm not saying they're very good.
19:53
SPEAKER_02: I'm not saying they're very good.
19:54
SPEAKER_02: I'm just, this is just a classic spot of Mario Crystal Ball not being able to get up.
20:00
SPEAKER_02: I don't really like this game at all for that reason.
20:02
SPEAKER_02: I don't, I don't want to bet on I feel like I feel like it's 14 and a half.
20:06
SPEAKER_02: So you're laying, you're laying over two touchdowns on the road, but at the same time, you're like, do you want to bet on Bill Belichick's offense right now?
20:13
SPEAKER_02: Like it's also it's also terrible.
20:16
SPEAKER_02: Over under under his 52 and a half.
20:18
SPEAKER_02: That sounds about right to me.
20:20
SPEAKER_02: So where is that?
20:21
SPEAKER_02: Well, what does that put the game at?
20:22
SPEAKER_02: That puts the game at 35 to 17.
20:27
SPEAKER_02: Like, sure, okay, that sounds about right.
20:29
SPEAKER_02: I think I'm stay away, but you sold me on that.
20:31
SPEAKER_02: Northwestern under.
20:32
SPEAKER_02: What do you got, Darren?
20:33
SPEAKER_00: I actually like a UNC plus these points here.
20:36
SPEAKER_00: Oh, come on.
20:37
SPEAKER_00: Oh, come on.
20:38
SPEAKER_00: All right, tell me more.
20:39
SPEAKER_00: Tell me more.
20:40
SPEAKER_00: I know we're at North Carolina.
20:43
SPEAKER_00: UNC's coming off a loss.
20:44
SPEAKER_00: I think the number reflects like, oh, UNC.
20:47
SPEAKER_00: We we were impressed with them for a couple weeks.
20:50
SPEAKER_00: We were singing praise of Bill Belichick.
20:53
SPEAKER_00: He's he is still Bill Belichick.
20:56
SPEAKER_00: Um, and the they took a loss in overtime to Syracuse.
21:00
SPEAKER_00: It was stupid last week, but home.
21:02
SPEAKER_00: Uh that's not that's not who they are.
21:04
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, they're at home, they're on their home field.
21:06
SPEAKER_01: Oh, I'm sorry.
21:07
SPEAKER_01: I was saying they lost two Syracuse.
21:09
SPEAKER_01: They lost at home.
21:10
SPEAKER_01: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
21:12
SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
21:12
SPEAKER_00: But I still I still kind of like Belichick and what he can do, and I think his pair his players are playing for him.
21:19
SPEAKER_00: They have a special season here, even if it's only like a seven-win season.
21:22
SPEAKER_00: Like they have a lot to fight for, I think.
21:24
SPEAKER_00: I like getting 14 points at home.
21:27
SPEAKER_02: They only lost they only lost by Notre Dame by 11.
21:30
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, but that was a big wet game.
21:32
SPEAKER_01: That was that was a lot of weather in there.
21:34
SPEAKER_02: It was wet, it was wet.
21:35
SPEAKER_02: They should have lost, but if north if North Carolina has anything that's good, it's the defense.
21:39
SPEAKER_02: Like, I kind of think the defense is gonna do a decent job of slowing down Mensa and Tony and Barkate enough.
21:46
SPEAKER_02: They're not gonna win, they're not gonna like blank them, but like giving them enough problems, like, yeah, you could talk me to that.
21:53
SPEAKER_02: Not laying 14 a half.
21:54
SPEAKER_02: I can't do it.
21:55
SPEAKER_02: Go ahead.
21:55
SPEAKER_00: I like the unders.
21:56
SPEAKER_00: I like the unders as well for some reason.
21:58
SPEAKER_00: US UNC's defense is gonna be the surprisingly overperforming group of players.
22:04
SPEAKER_00: UNC's defense.
22:05
SPEAKER_00: They're gonna hold Miami down a little bit.
22:07
SPEAKER_00: And so under 52 sounds pretty reasonable to me, but I'm not I'm not totally excited.
22:12
SPEAKER_00: I'll let you I'll let you guys read me here.
22:15
SPEAKER_02: Now you got me all excited about 14 and a half.
22:17
SPEAKER_02: What do you think, Mark?
22:18
SPEAKER_03: 14 and a half.
22:19
SPEAKER_01: I'm not excited about this game at all.
22:20
SPEAKER_01: There's too many.
22:22
SPEAKER_01: I I don't like it.
22:23
SPEAKER_01: I don't like Belichick.
22:24
SPEAKER_01: I I don't trust Miami.
22:26
SPEAKER_01: They could, they are so they either be like on fire or complete dud, and I just don't know which team's gonna come out.
22:33
SPEAKER_01: Now, now in two weeks, when they play Duke, after whatever happens against Notre Dame, that's the game I want to bet on.
22:39
SPEAKER_01: On, but I don't want to bet on it this week.
22:41
SPEAKER_01: Right.
22:41
SPEAKER_01: I just don't trust Belichick.
22:42
SPEAKER_01: You can't I can't bet on a Belichick team after a loss to Syracuse at home to bring the number one team in the nation in and assume that they're gonna be able to at least hold their own.
22:52
SPEAKER_01: I just can't do it.
22:53
SPEAKER_01: I just can't do it.
22:54
SPEAKER_00: Um Miami was played at home, Miami survived Florida State two weeks ago at home.
23:02
SPEAKER_00: They beat rivalry game.
23:03
SPEAKER_00: They beat the bejesus out of hit at home, and now it's a road trip.
23:07
SPEAKER_00: What does that mean for them?
23:09
SPEAKER_00: And Mike, you said this is the ultimate look-ahead spot.
23:12
SPEAKER_00: Their number one and only game of the season is next week.
23:16
SPEAKER_03: Yeah.
23:17
unknown: Yeah.
23:18
SPEAKER_00: And so it's like, I think the boys are like, let's just survive this stupid, boring trip to North Carolina.
23:24
SPEAKER_00: Let's just get out of there uninjured.
23:26
SPEAKER_00: I like that.
23:26
SPEAKER_02: Bill Belichick's biggest loss is 11 points to North Carolina.
23:29
SPEAKER_02: I just don't think he's gonna get blown out.
23:31
SPEAKER_02: I think last year there was a TCU below at start the season.
23:34
SPEAKER_02: I'm thinking I'm I'm with you on the under.
23:36
SPEAKER_02: I think I think Bill Belichick has enough tricks in his sleeves to like get two possessions like he did with Brady back in the day at the end of the half and the second half.
23:45
SPEAKER_02: And just I think he'll keep it respectable.
23:47
SPEAKER_02: So I could do the under or 14 and a half if you guys both agree with either of those.
23:53
SPEAKER_00: Tell you what, here's another piece.
23:55
SPEAKER_00: The the total has moved the tom the total has moved up, which is not good for us right now.
24:01
SPEAKER_00: The total has moved up two points, so stay away from the under, actually.
24:04
SPEAKER_02: Okay, so we've can we have conflicting opinions about every single we're staying away from this game.
24:08
SPEAKER_02: We gotta get away from it.
24:09
SPEAKER_02: We're leaving Chapel Hill.
24:11
SPEAKER_02: See you later.
24:11
SPEAKER_02: See you later.
24:12
SPEAKER_02: Sorry guys.
24:12
SPEAKER_00: We're like the quarter, we're like a quarterback in the pocket and the play of the clock is ticking.
24:16
SPEAKER_00: It's like I've been holding this ball for four seconds, five seconds, five and a half seconds, six.
24:21
SPEAKER_00: Like, get rid of it, get it, get it over with, throw it out of bounds, throw it out of bounds.
24:25
SPEAKER_00: Live to see another day.
24:26
SPEAKER_02: All right, who knows what's gonna happen in that game?
24:28
SPEAKER_01: All right, let's move to the Big 12.
24:29
SPEAKER_01: The Utah Utes coming off their victory against Houston are traveling to Cincinnati, who's coming off of their biggest win of the season against Texas Tech.
24:38
SPEAKER_01: This game is 3.45 Saturday on ESPN.
24:40
SPEAKER_01: Utah comes in as a touchdown favorite.
24:43
SPEAKER_01: 55 and a half the last time I checked.
24:46
SPEAKER_01: And Cincinnati's defense is ranked 78th in the nation.
24:50
SPEAKER_01: Now, their other numbers are all the same.
24:52
SPEAKER_01: Their offense and defense for Utah is in the 10, 15, 20 range.
24:57
SPEAKER_01: Cincinnati's right there.
24:58
SPEAKER_01: Their offense is pretty solid in a 21, but it's that Cincinnati defense that's struggling.
25:03
SPEAKER_01: Guys, what is going to happen to the Utes as they travel to visit the Bearcats?
25:10
SPEAKER_02: Utah's not putting away anybody.
25:13
SPEAKER_02: I've as what I've noticed.
25:14
SPEAKER_02: Obviously, other than Kansas a couple weeks ago, but Colorado by three, that Houston game was really a one point, really a one score game, one point game until Houston Lemon score at the very end just to get the ball back to try and have a chance.
25:27
SPEAKER_02: I'm feeling I don't feel good about Utah at all.
25:30
SPEAKER_02: I like Cincy plus six and a half.
25:32
SPEAKER_02: I would actually love it at plus seven and a half if we wanted to juice it one more point.
25:37
SPEAKER_02: I think JC French is kind of dealing, and they're running the bejesus out of the ball.
25:41
SPEAKER_02: If Cincinnati could do that to Texas Tech, I'm feeling pretty good about Cincinnati doing it to Utah.
25:47
SPEAKER_02: Utah is tired.
25:48
SPEAKER_02: Utah did come out for that monster win versus Houston.
25:52
SPEAKER_02: They are tired.
25:52
SPEAKER_02: I think Cincy's kind of surging.
25:54
SPEAKER_02: I think they believe they can do it.
25:55
SPEAKER_02: The total seems right, 56 and a half.
25:57
SPEAKER_02: I don't really have an opinion about that.
25:58
SPEAKER_02: But if I do anything, I'm thinking Cincy plus six and a half at home or seven and a half.
26:04
SPEAKER_00: What do you got?
26:05
SPEAKER_00: Seven and a half.
26:06
SPEAKER_00: So here in my pad of paper, I have six games circled in yellow highlighter, and that indicates the emotional letdown spot, and Utah is circled.
26:19
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
26:19
SPEAKER_00: We've been singing praise of you, Utah.
26:22
SPEAKER_00: I think the country and all the all the yip-yaps and all the reporters have been singing Utah's praise, rightly so.
26:29
SPEAKER_00: This is the ZAG spot.
26:30
SPEAKER_00: This is their trouble spot.
26:32
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, they just came off the huge win at home, and now they're on the road.
26:37
SPEAKER_00: That's equals a yellow highlighter circle in my notepad, which means take Cincy and seven points.
26:43
SPEAKER_00: And and aren't they looking forward to BYU next week?
26:46
SPEAKER_00: Like, aren't they in a look ahead spot as well?
26:48
SPEAKER_00: Is that next week for them?
26:49
SPEAKER_00: I mean, it all yes, it is.
26:52
SPEAKER_00: It is.
26:52
SPEAKER_00: That's next week.
26:53
SPEAKER_00: I think so.
26:53
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
26:54
SPEAKER_02: Let's this.
26:54
SPEAKER_02: We got we got Cincinnati, we got we got Utah coming off a letdown, yeah, going to a tough spot on a team that's believing with the biggest win in Cincinnati's season, probably in a couple of years, and now they got Utah trying to get up for the Holy War, which is clearly the most important game to them all season.
27:12
SPEAKER_02: Like the I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if Utah goes in there and loses, right?
27:16
SPEAKER_00: But ever since ever since the schedule came out, these guys, Utah has been hoping, oh my gosh, can we please just get through Cincinnati?
27:23
SPEAKER_00: Because it's after Houston, and then it's BYU and Arizona.
27:28
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
27:28
SPEAKER_00: And so they were hoping this game was going to be a layup, and that's just that's gonna hurt them, I think.
27:33
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, this is a four-game stretch for them, and this is the tough, this is a tough one.
27:37
SPEAKER_02: Can I talk you into you?
27:39
SPEAKER_02: Can I talk into one more point to move from six and a half to seven and a half?
27:42
SPEAKER_00: No, for sure.
27:43
SPEAKER_00: For sure.
27:43
SPEAKER_03: Yeah.
27:44
SPEAKER_01: I'll buy that.
27:44
SPEAKER_02: Mark seven and a half.
27:45
SPEAKER_01: Mark, I love seven.
27:46
SPEAKER_01: Mark I feel like that's a good one.
27:46
SPEAKER_01: No, I love that.
27:47
SPEAKER_01: I'll take that.
27:47
SPEAKER_01: I'll take it.
27:48
SPEAKER_01: It's minus 141 on DraftKings at 7.5, but I'm just I'd rather win money.
27:53
unknown: Yeah.
27:54
SPEAKER_02: It's only one minus 125 on FanDuel.
27:56
SPEAKER_02: So gotta take that seven and a half.
27:57
SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I think so too.
27:59
SPEAKER_01: Yep.
27:59
SPEAKER_01: That's a big number.
28:00
SPEAKER_01: Okay.
28:01
SPEAKER_01: Moving all right along, we've got uh Mikey.
28:04
SPEAKER_01: I've got a game for you.
28:04
SPEAKER_01: The number 19 Southern Methodist University Mustangs are going to Syracuse, who's coming off a huge win over North Carolina in North Carolina.
28:14
SPEAKER_01: This game is noon on uh ESPN 2.
28:17
SPEAKER_01: And uh SMU is coming in at a nine and a half point favorite.
28:22
SPEAKER_01: At least they were.
28:23
SPEAKER_01: Oh, it's at 10 right now on DraftKings.
28:26
SPEAKER_01: And the over-under on this one is 58.5.
28:28
SPEAKER_01: Mike, you checked a box here.
28:30
SPEAKER_01: What you got?
28:31
SPEAKER_02: SMUs, I think it might be the second best team in the ACC, and no one's really talking about them.
28:35
SPEAKER_02: I think they're quietly, I think they're quietly just going about their business.
28:38
SPEAKER_02: They lost that kind of silly game to Louisville, I think it was.
28:41
SPEAKER_02: They looked sloppy in the Florida State game, but for the most part, like they've been pretty solid.
28:46
SPEAKER_02: And I I I quietly kind of like them and keeping them in the back of my mind.
28:50
SPEAKER_02: They're six and one on the season.
28:52
SPEAKER_02: They're coming off a bye.
28:53
SPEAKER_02: They're playing a Syracuse team that just had that crazy overtime when at UNC, so they're tired.
29:00
SPEAKER_02: They absolutely evaporated Cal by one by 40 last week, beat UVA by 10, Boston College by 11.
29:07
SPEAKER_02: If it weren't for those six Florida State turnovers, they would have won that game by 20.
29:10
SPEAKER_02: And I think we're giving Florida State more love.
29:12
SPEAKER_02: This is a great spot.
29:13
SPEAKER_02: This is a great betting spot.
29:15
SPEAKER_02: I'm not, I like SMU.
29:17
SPEAKER_02: I see nine and a half on FanDuel, and I think they're gonna go in there and take care of business without much problem.
29:24
SPEAKER_02: I think it's gonna be a quiet, pretty methodical noon sleepy beatdown for the SMU, who sees now a very much inside lane to get to that number two spot in the ACC if they can handle business.
29:35
SPEAKER_02: And they're not gonna be, they're not tired, they're not looking ahead, they're not, they're not looking sleeping on anything.
29:41
SPEAKER_02: So what's what's what's the reason?
29:43
SPEAKER_02: And if if he said already moved to 10, that means people in the desert agree with me or agree with us.
29:48
SPEAKER_02: Why would we not take SMU Mustangs to cover here?
29:50
SPEAKER_02: Take care of Syracuse.
29:54
SPEAKER_00: Line has moved down.
29:55
SPEAKER_00: That's opened at 12.
29:57
SPEAKER_00: Oh, so some a lot of folks took the home team with 12 points.
30:02
SPEAKER_00: But Michael, I agree with everything that you just said.
30:05
SPEAKER_00: In the words of Step Brothers, do we just become best friends?
30:08
SPEAKER_00: We might have.
30:09
SPEAKER_00: I 100%, 100% agree.
30:11
SPEAKER_00: SMU is gonna roll in here and blast these guys.
30:14
SPEAKER_00: SMU's a great team.
30:16
SPEAKER_00: Syracuse is getting way too much credit for their overtime win last week.
30:21
SPEAKER_00: They pulled off their who cares win of the season.
30:24
SPEAKER_00: Good job, guys.
30:25
SPEAKER_00: And now it's time to get blasted by SMU.
30:27
SPEAKER_00: So laying 10 points is great.
30:29
SPEAKER_00: How about how about nine and a half?
30:31
SPEAKER_00: Even better.
30:31
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, heck yeah.
30:34
SPEAKER_01: Here's my question.
30:35
SPEAKER_01: What is more important?
30:37
SPEAKER_01: Kevin Jennings on the road, four touchdowns, four interceptions.
30:41
SPEAKER_01: Kevin Jennings in the last three games, all of them have been at home, seven touchdowns, no interceptions.
30:48
SPEAKER_01: Do you go with his performance early in the season where he struggled on the road in a road game, or do you focus more on the last three games and what he's been doing and how hot he's been lately?
30:59
SPEAKER_01: What is more important?
31:01
SPEAKER_02: I mean, I think you I think it's what you said.
31:03
SPEAKER_02: It's the latter.
31:04
SPEAKER_02: The FSU game was bizarre.
31:05
SPEAKER_02: I watched that whole game.
31:06
SPEAKER_02: That was a game where they didn't have the power and the router, they didn't have the headsets.
31:11
SPEAKER_00: Turnovers.
31:11
SPEAKER_00: They turned the ball over.
31:12
SPEAKER_00: Stupid turnovers.
31:13
SPEAKER_02: And like, yeah, so like the interceptions obviously aren't good, but like for the most part, Kevin Jennings has been pretty good, done a pretty good job of hand the ball.
31:20
SPEAKER_02: They also have an NFL offensive line, the left side, and guys who can run out wide.
31:23
SPEAKER_02: They can make some real playmakers.
31:25
SPEAKER_02: I don't think Syracuse can keep up.
31:26
SPEAKER_02: And Louisville, for all its flaws, that was a good game, too.
31:29
SPEAKER_02: Louisville is we Louisville is still a talented team, despite their also inexplicable blunders, but I'm sure we'll bet on them again next year.
31:36
SPEAKER_02: I think we like I think we like Louisville as well.
31:38
SPEAKER_02: My point, losing, and I think the other game was at Louisville.
31:41
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, losing on the road to Louisville by losing on the road to Louisville by 10 points is nothing to be upset about.
31:48
SPEAKER_02: I yeah, I'm not I'm not worried about that.
31:50
SPEAKER_02: I actually think SMU is gonna go and go to Notre Dame on November 21st and give them a real run for their money.
31:56
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Mustang showed up in South Bend and did some damage.
32:00
SPEAKER_02: But that's the that's a problem for November.
32:01
SPEAKER_02: It's a Thanksgiving problem.
32:03
SPEAKER_01: So where are we at on this one?
32:04
SPEAKER_01: Do you want to lock in nine and a half?
32:06
SPEAKER_02: I want to lay, I want to lay nine and a half.
32:08
SPEAKER_01: That sounds great.
32:10
SPEAKER_00: Four SAS, which I'm going to say.
32:12
SPEAKER_00: Oh, I'm sorry.
32:13
SPEAKER_00: I'm sorry.
32:13
SPEAKER_00: I don't want to, I don't want to eat my words, but SMU lost SMU won at home versus Boston College by nine points.
32:22
SPEAKER_00: And then they won at home versus UVA by ten points.
32:26
SPEAKER_00: They're not exactly citing the world on fire, but I do believe they're a good team.
32:30
SPEAKER_00: I don't know what is it that tells me they're they're a really good team.
32:34
SPEAKER_00: They're gonna clean up some stuff because of what they did at versus Cal.
32:37
SPEAKER_00: They scored 59 points.
32:39
SPEAKER_00: That's the team, I believe, who they are.
32:40
SPEAKER_00: So lay the 10.
32:41
SPEAKER_00: Mark, real quick, what's Mark?
32:43
SPEAKER_02: What's the Bill Connolly offense and defense again for SMU and for Syracuse?
32:48
SPEAKER_01: I'm glad you asked.
32:49
SPEAKER_01: SMU is coming in with the number 19 overall offense and the 32nd rank defense.
32:55
SPEAKER_02: Like that.
32:56
SPEAKER_01: Syracuse's offense is number 77.
32:59
SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
32:59
SPEAKER_01: And their defense is 86.
33:01
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, it's I'm in.
33:03
SPEAKER_02: That's we have enough data points.
33:04
SPEAKER_02: No, I'm late.
33:05
SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
33:05
SPEAKER_02: Well, where are we at?
33:06
SPEAKER_02: We are eight games in.
33:07
SPEAKER_02: That data's pretty good by now.
33:08
SPEAKER_02: I recognize obviously it's four games in, three games, that that data can be a little skewy, a little some some things can be overrepresented, but at eight games, I got a good idea about who Syracuse is and who SMU is.
33:19
SPEAKER_02: Let's play them.
33:20
SPEAKER_01: Let's lay them and keep it moving.
33:21
SPEAKER_01: All right, sounds good.
33:23
SPEAKER_01: Let's stick to the Big 12 where uh Oklahoma State and Drew Mestermaker will be traveling to Ames, Iowa, to take on the Iowa State Hawkeye's.
33:32
SPEAKER_01: You are three and four.
33:33
SPEAKER_01: Hawkeyes, Cyclones, who are three and four.
33:36
SPEAKER_01: This game is Saturday at 7 p.m.
33:39
SPEAKER_01: on Fox Sports 1.
33:44
SPEAKER_02: Ames is a tough place to play.
33:46
SPEAKER_02: That is my major.
33:47
SPEAKER_02: I'm I'm you know I'm a Drew Messmaker truther.
33:49
SPEAKER_02: I love Caleb Hawkins, love Wyatt Young, love Eric Morris, love what they are doing.
33:54
SPEAKER_02: I am all the way in on Oklahoma State.
33:56
SPEAKER_02: I'm confident they'll win.
33:57
SPEAKER_02: I'm not confident they'll cover.
33:59
SPEAKER_02: Who's that?
33:59
SPEAKER_02: Who is that?
34:00
SPEAKER_02: I know that Iowa State had a real bad game out of Jalen Raynor, the quarterback last week.
34:04
SPEAKER_02: They benched him.
34:05
SPEAKER_02: They've got that running back who's real good though, who does a lot of damage.
34:08
SPEAKER_02: And Oklahoma State is defense, is kind of spotty.
34:12
SPEAKER_02: My point, my point, there's a there is a world where Iowa State gets gets some highly motivated crowd back stops, and they run the ball all over Oklahoma State.
34:21
SPEAKER_02: That's my concern here is Oklahoma State's inability to get off the field.
34:25
SPEAKER_02: But I generally think Oklahoma State will be fine, they'll win.
34:28
SPEAKER_02: But the covering part I've got major doubts about.
34:35
SPEAKER_00: Seven yards, seven yards per attempt.
34:38
SPEAKER_00: That's pretty much good.
34:40
SPEAKER_00: And guess who is circled in a yellow highlighter?
34:43
SPEAKER_00: Oklahoma State's coming off an emotional, an emotional spot last week.
34:47
SPEAKER_00: So this is their this is their telltale spot.
34:51
SPEAKER_00: Looking the crystal ball, they are going to let it down.
34:54
SPEAKER_00: So don't lay those points for the Cowboys.
34:58
SPEAKER_02: No, and I mean I and going the other way, they I think I think Iowa State just benched Jalen Rayner.
35:03
SPEAKER_02: So like I have no idea who's under center for them.
35:06
SPEAKER_02: So that's a massive S factor.
35:07
SPEAKER_02: So this game, while I'm obviously going to be watching them all, I've got my I've got my Big 12 champion Oklahoma State ticket still alive, by the way, still alive.
35:15
SPEAKER_02: So I'm watching this game, but I got no part of this for the parlay.
35:18
SPEAKER_01: Connor Moberly from Altoona, Iowa, 6'4, 214 pounds sophomore is Iowa 6.
35:25
SPEAKER_01: 6'4, 214.
35:27
SPEAKER_02: There you go.
35:27
SPEAKER_02: Mark, can you give me can you give me his stats on the year so far, please?
35:30
SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
35:30
SPEAKER_01: Um nine completions on 19 attempts.
35:34
SPEAKER_01: That's 47.4% completion rate, 83 yards.
35:38
SPEAKER_01: He's been sacked three times, 18 carries for 44 yards.
35:41
SPEAKER_01: So I think he looks like more like a scrambler if you just look at the stat line itself.
35:45
SPEAKER_01: One pass attempt last year, and then it was five for 10.
35:49
SPEAKER_01: So the guy hasn't had more than 30 pass attempts.
35:54
SPEAKER_02: 18 carries for 44 yards, even sack adjusted.
35:57
SPEAKER_02: So even if you're generous and you add 15 to that total, that's still not a good scamper rate.
36:01
SPEAKER_02: So yeah, I even despite that, I don't want to go to Ames and lose my money.
36:06
SPEAKER_02: So I'm I'm I'm I'm I'm flying over that state.
36:09
SPEAKER_02: Flying straight over it.
36:11
SPEAKER_02: Yep, can't do it.
36:12
SPEAKER_02: Can't do it.
36:14
SPEAKER_01: So we're not betting on that one at all.
36:15
SPEAKER_02: No, I don't think so.
36:16
SPEAKER_01: I don't believe it.
36:17
SPEAKER_01: All right.
36:17
SPEAKER_01: We were gonna punt or go for it.
36:19
SPEAKER_01: We're gonna punt.
36:20
SPEAKER_01: Yep.
36:20
SPEAKER_01: All right.
36:21
SPEAKER_01: The SEC and the Missouri Tigers are going to the Arkansas Razorback 745 Saturday night on the SEC network and Mizzou.
36:30
SPEAKER_01: I'm actually gonna look up the number right now.
36:32
SPEAKER_01: They are our 10-point favorites at 49 and a half, is the over-under.
36:37
SPEAKER_01: You know, last time Arkansas, they just were which made me angry.
36:42
SPEAKER_02: Arkansas is Arkansas coming off a bye.
36:46
SPEAKER_00: They're both coming off a bye.
36:48
SPEAKER_02: Both coming off a bye.
36:50
SPEAKER_02: This game is in Fayetteville.
36:53
SPEAKER_02: Missouri probably would.
36:54
SPEAKER_02: Hey, I'll say this.
36:55
SPEAKER_02: Hey, I'll say this.
36:56
SPEAKER_02: Ahmad Hardy's practicing.
36:57
SPEAKER_02: We're gonna see him this season.
36:58
SPEAKER_02: Good for that young man.
37:00
SPEAKER_02: Glad he's coming back.
37:01
SPEAKER_02: I don't think he's playing this way.
37:02
SPEAKER_02: They're not gonna need him.
37:02
SPEAKER_02: Jamal Roberts is an awesome running back.
37:04
SPEAKER_02: But keep your eye on that space.
37:06
SPEAKER_02: When when they get him, when Jamal Roberts and Ahmad Hardy are both back, and assuming Ahmad Hardy can get back to close to the 100% that he was physically last year, that's probably the best running back tandem in the country for my money.
37:17
SPEAKER_02: So that's exciting to wash down the stretch.
37:19
SPEAKER_02: For this spot for betting, I'm definitely not betting on Arkansas and Lang 10 points.
37:25
SPEAKER_02: Eh, I don't think so.
37:27
SPEAKER_00: Nope.
37:27
SPEAKER_00: No can do.
37:28
SPEAKER_00: No can't do.
37:29
SPEAKER_01: Easy.
37:29
SPEAKER_01: Easy.
37:30
SPEAKER_01: We'll stay in the SEC where Shane Beamer's gonna try to keep his job after a big win last week.
37:35
SPEAKER_01: The number 28 South Carolina Gamecocks are going to Oklahoma to take on the Sooners.
37:40
SPEAKER_01: This is 4.15 Saturday on the SEC network.
37:44
SPEAKER_01: I checked online.
37:44
SPEAKER_01: I saw Oklahoma as a favorite at 3.5.
37:48
SPEAKER_01: But I'll have to dig in to see if that line's changed since I was last in there.
37:52
SPEAKER_02: Oklahoma's five and a half.
37:53
SPEAKER_02: It's going up the other way.
37:55
SPEAKER_02: So South Carolina is off an amount is off that monster emotional win.
37:58
SPEAKER_02: This is this is their letdown.
38:00
SPEAKER_02: But like betting on John Mateer, that also sounds awful.
38:04
SPEAKER_02: That also sounds terrible.
38:05
SPEAKER_02: Oklahoma got pushed around pretty handily by was that Kentucky?
38:10
SPEAKER_02: Uh, and they lost that game with on a Kentucky's, yeah, they lost 21-13.
38:15
SPEAKER_02: They beat Mississippi State.
38:16
SPEAKER_02: They only beat Mississippi State with what's that?
38:18
SPEAKER_02: What's the Mississippi State's quarterback?
38:19
SPEAKER_02: They're the Camaro's gone.
38:20
SPEAKER_02: Bluckett.
38:21
SPEAKER_02: Bluckett.
38:22
SPEAKER_02: They won by Pluckett, they won by eight.
38:25
SPEAKER_02: Uh this is this is this is trappy for a lot of reasons.
38:28
SPEAKER_02: The line is moving against us.
38:30
SPEAKER_02: It's going in Oklahoma's favor, even though they have no offense.
38:33
SPEAKER_02: South Carolina's coming off a monster win.
38:34
SPEAKER_02: They're clearly the better team, I think.
38:37
SPEAKER_02: But going on the road to Norman, that's a tricky spot.
38:41
SPEAKER_02: I'm off this one too, Darren.
38:42
SPEAKER_02: What do you think?
38:45
SPEAKER_02: Over under 44 and a half.
38:46
SPEAKER_02: Very low total.
38:47
SPEAKER_02: Very low total.
38:50
SPEAKER_00: The Sooners have gone win, loss, win, loss, win, loss, win.
38:55
SPEAKER_00: And so this is clearly their loss.
38:58
SPEAKER_01: The math must work.
39:01
SPEAKER_02: Can't argue with learners.
39:02
SPEAKER_00: Can't argue with patterns sort of stuff in kindergarten.
39:06
SPEAKER_00: I actually like laying the points here.
39:09
SPEAKER_00: I actually like the Sooners.
39:12
SPEAKER_00: You can talk me out of it pretty easy, but it's the letdown spot for South Carolina.
39:17
SPEAKER_00: They're on the road.
39:19
SPEAKER_00: They got real lucky to beat Tennessee, and now they're gonna face this defense, which is very real.
39:25
SPEAKER_00: Oklahoma lay in five points.
39:28
SPEAKER_00: Anything under a touchdown, I think it's a good bet.
39:31
SPEAKER_00: But I'm not married to it.
39:33
SPEAKER_02: South Carolina has strung together two very good performances in a row at Florida, winning 38-19.
39:39
SPEAKER_02: They also lost to Kentucky by a hair.
39:41
SPEAKER_02: They barely lost to Kentucky.
39:43
SPEAKER_02: Like losing to Camario Taylor 41-30, 41-34, that's not a bad loss.
39:48
SPEAKER_02: They were winning with except with they were winning in the fourth quarter of that game.
39:51
SPEAKER_02: Alabama, they they got shellacked.
39:53
SPEAKER_02: But my point, South Carolina has played well all year.
39:57
SPEAKER_02: They are the emotional letdown spot, but Beamer is coaching his tail off this season.
40:02
SPEAKER_02: I don't want to get in the way.
40:03
SPEAKER_02: I kind of think they're surging, and I think Cheney Beamer's got something.
40:08
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't be surprised if Oklahoma won, but I think this is a stay away from me.
40:12
SPEAKER_02: I don't like, I don't, I don't like, I would take five and a half because also you said lay them, you said lay five and a half with an over-under of 40.
40:20
SPEAKER_02: Over-under is already low.
40:21
SPEAKER_02: It's already 44.
40:22
SPEAKER_02: So you're already talking about a small target you gotta hit.
40:26
SPEAKER_00: Holding South Carolina to 14 points.
40:28
SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
40:29
SPEAKER_00: That's asking a lot.
40:30
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
40:31
SPEAKER_00: Um, and it is this game will be played on October 31st, which means we are still well within October.
40:39
SPEAKER_00: Uh, where where the game cocks seem to own the day.
40:44
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
40:45
SPEAKER_01: So I've never heard of it.
40:48
SPEAKER_01: You ever heard of Cocktober?
40:49
SPEAKER_01: Will this game be played in Norman?
40:50
SPEAKER_01: I'm not not in relation to football.
40:52
SPEAKER_02: Will this game be played in Norman, Cocklahoma?
40:55
SPEAKER_02: Probably not.
40:58
SPEAKER_00: It's Cocktober.
40:59
SPEAKER_00: Don't don't bet against the game, Cup.
41:01
SPEAKER_02: Don't bet against Cocktober in Cocahoma.
41:04
SPEAKER_00: Starting Sunday, though.
41:06
SPEAKER_02: Bet against the bet against them.
41:08
SPEAKER_02: Then fade.
41:08
SPEAKER_02: There you go.
41:09
SPEAKER_01: All right.
41:09
SPEAKER_01: Let's move along to the Auburn Tigers going to Ole Miss to take on Trinidad, Jambliss, and the Rebels.
41:17
SPEAKER_01: 1245 SEC network on Saturday.
41:20
SPEAKER_01: Let's see here.
41:21
SPEAKER_01: The line is Ole Miss favored by 13 and a half over under at 57 and a half right now on DraftKings.
41:29
SPEAKER_02: Auburn's been Byron Browns carries the ball like 25 times a game.
41:32
SPEAKER_02: If you can stop it, they don't really have much.
41:34
SPEAKER_02: That's what LSU did last week.
41:35
SPEAKER_02: Ole Miss is so much better at home than they are away.
41:38
SPEAKER_02: 13 and a half points is a lot of points.
41:40
SPEAKER_02: That's my main hesitate hesitation.
41:43
SPEAKER_02: I'd feel a heck of a lot better if this was at like 11 or like nine.
41:47
SPEAKER_02: 13, two full touchdowns is a ton of points.
41:50
SPEAKER_02: But Ole Miss is so much better than Vaughn Hemingway.
41:54
SPEAKER_02: I don't think Auburn's gonna score.
41:55
SPEAKER_02: I think Ole Miss is gonna play some pretty good defense.
41:58
SPEAKER_02: If I was gonna play anything here, I'd play the under, but I'd rather not play anything.
42:01
SPEAKER_00: What do you think, Darren?
42:03
SPEAKER_00: I like the under.
42:04
SPEAKER_00: I like the under.
42:05
SPEAKER_00: I think it's strength on strength.
42:07
SPEAKER_00: Auburn's defense will step up and hold Old Miss to something respectable.
42:12
SPEAKER_00: And Auburn's offense will not score.
42:14
SPEAKER_00: Under 57.
42:15
SPEAKER_00: Sounds great.
42:16
SPEAKER_01: All right.
42:17
SPEAKER_01: Let's do it.
42:18
SPEAKER_01: I can take that one.
42:19
SPEAKER_01: Yep.
42:20
SPEAKER_01: I got 56 and a half.
42:21
SPEAKER_01: Well, it's good enough.
42:22
SPEAKER_01: Let's do it.
42:23
SPEAKER_01: All right.
42:24
SPEAKER_01: The bell of the G6 ball, Boise State, is hosting Texas State on Saturday.
42:30
SPEAKER_01: It's a late night.
42:31
SPEAKER_01: It's a late night West Coast game, 10 p.m.
42:33
SPEAKER_01: on the CW.
42:34
SPEAKER_01: Boise State.
42:35
SPEAKER_01: Last time I checked, was favored by.
42:38
SPEAKER_01: Ooh, it's up to 11 and a half now.
42:40
SPEAKER_01: And the over-under on this one, guys, 64 and a half.
42:44
SPEAKER_01: Texas State's got an offense.
42:46
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, I was just going to say, Texas State's Texas State is a scheme that's scoring oodles of points on a lot of people.
42:53
SPEAKER_02: Boise is going to win.
42:54
SPEAKER_02: I don't know if they're going to win by a lot.
42:56
SPEAKER_02: This game breaks of shootout and it probably doesn't become a two-score shootout.
43:00
SPEAKER_02: I'd actually probably take a Texas State plus 11.5 if I was going to take anything, but I don't feel the over-unders are already baked in.
43:06
SPEAKER_02: So like I don't think I don't think we could play that really well.
43:09
SPEAKER_02: I think this is a spread or nothing game because you're already six, seven points over the college football average.
43:14
SPEAKER_02: So they are so they already know that's going to score points.
43:17
SPEAKER_02: Texas State if I had to, but rather do nothing.
43:21
SPEAKER_00: This is going to be a barn burner.
43:24
SPEAKER_00: Texas State is going to throw bombs.
43:26
SPEAKER_00: Boise State is going to run right through their defense, right up the gut.
43:30
SPEAKER_00: They're going to score a ton of points over 65, is my play.
43:34
SPEAKER_00: They might get it by halftime.
43:36
SPEAKER_00: Texas State is awesome.
43:38
SPEAKER_00: Like there's a couple, there's just a couple teams that can just bomb points.
43:43
SPEAKER_00: Fau, Texas State, North Texas.
43:46
SPEAKER_00: These guys can score 60 by themselves.
43:49
SPEAKER_02: What did what this open up at?
43:50
SPEAKER_02: Do we know by a chance, Mark?
43:52
SPEAKER_00: It's only moved a it's only moved a point.
43:55
SPEAKER_02: Okay, so so it started at 63.
43:57
SPEAKER_02: All right, so they already knew.
44:02
SPEAKER_02: I mean, man, that is that is more than two touchdowns a quarter.
44:05
SPEAKER_02: That's a lot of points.
44:07
SPEAKER_00: For a Texas State score, 35 to 38 is very normal in their box score world.
44:14
SPEAKER_01: What's the S came off?
44:15
SPEAKER_01: Oh, sorry.
44:16
SPEAKER_01: I was gonna say they just came off.
44:17
SPEAKER_01: Oh, I'll give you that.
44:18
SPEAKER_01: I was looking at that one earlier, but they just came off a win of Utah State at home, but they only won 20 to 17.
44:23
SPEAKER_01: Yes, yeah, yeah.
44:26
SPEAKER_01: The game before that it was Colorado State, Texas State won 66-27.
44:30
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I heard they all had to play uh only left-handed last week.
44:33
SPEAKER_00: So that was weird.
44:35
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, why would they do that?
44:36
SPEAKER_00: That's so silly.
44:38
SPEAKER_01: Texas State's awesome.
44:43
SPEAKER_00: Look at that.
44:44
SPEAKER_00: Their defense is gonna get gashed.
44:46
SPEAKER_00: They're both gonna get gashed.
44:48
SPEAKER_01: Boise State's offense is 18th overall with a defense of 51.
44:53
SPEAKER_00: That's respectable defense.
44:54
SPEAKER_00: It's not gonna be a arn burner.
44:57
SPEAKER_00: We've seen some games go up to the in the 90s here recently.
45:00
SPEAKER_00: What's the weather?
45:01
SPEAKER_00: Where's this game in Boise, Idaho?
45:03
SPEAKER_00: Beautiful.
45:03
SPEAKER_00: It's on the blue turf.
45:05
SPEAKER_00: Zero, yeah, blue turf.
45:06
SPEAKER_00: Zero wind, that much wind, but a little bit of rain.
45:09
SPEAKER_00: Uh, but not any wind.
45:11
SPEAKER_00: So I think the the wind is more of the deterrent.
45:15
SPEAKER_02: 35% chance of precipitation.
45:17
SPEAKER_02: So it could be wet.
45:18
SPEAKER_02: If it's wet, our total is screwed.
45:20
SPEAKER_02: There's no way they're throwing, they're scoring.
45:22
SPEAKER_02: There's no way they're gonna have a track meet if it's if it's wet.
45:27
SPEAKER_02: I don't like it.
45:28
SPEAKER_02: I don't like it.
45:30
SPEAKER_02: I mean 3035 gets it done.
45:33
SPEAKER_02: I don't know, man.
45:34
SPEAKER_02: That's that's I I don't I don't I don't see it.
45:38
SPEAKER_02: I don't think it's gonna happen.
45:39
SPEAKER_02: I think it's gonna be, I think boy, I think Boise State's gonna play respectable defense.
45:43
SPEAKER_02: And Texas State can only throw.
45:44
SPEAKER_02: Texas State can't really run.
45:45
SPEAKER_02: So if like Texas State can slow on their pass, like I, you know.
45:50
SPEAKER_00: You listen here, Mike Wade.
45:51
SPEAKER_00: I respect the hell out of you and democracy.
45:54
SPEAKER_00: So we will not be taking a number on this game.
45:57
SPEAKER_00: I am with you.
45:58
SPEAKER_01: All right.
45:59
SPEAKER_00: Thank you.
46:00
SPEAKER_01: All right, we got another group of games.
46:02
SPEAKER_01: These are some big favorites here.
46:04
SPEAKER_01: So these numbers are a little bit lopsided.
46:06
SPEAKER_01: We've got Notre Dame going to Navy.
46:08
SPEAKER_01: Notre Dame ranked number five, going to number.
46:11
SPEAKER_01: If they had, if they ranked this high, they'd be number 80.
46:14
SPEAKER_01: Navy.
46:14
SPEAKER_01: Noon on ABC, and Notre Dame's favored by 30 and a half.
46:18
SPEAKER_01: This game is a neutral site.
46:20
SPEAKER_01: Gillette Stadium up there in the Boston era area, Foxboro.
46:25
SPEAKER_01: Darren, you've got uh you've got a take on this game.
46:28
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I think Notre Dame's gonna blast these guys.
46:31
SPEAKER_00: I think Notre Dame is ready to score.
46:33
SPEAKER_00: We haven't seen who they truly are.
46:35
SPEAKER_00: Navy doesn't have a defense.
46:37
SPEAKER_00: Notre Dame minus 31 is the is the number.
46:41
SPEAKER_00: I don't think the uh the good old odds makers like to take it that high.
46:45
SPEAKER_00: I think they would rather put it up there in the upper 30s, but I think they get hesitant when it gets bigger than this.
46:53
SPEAKER_00: This is like Notre Dame 53 to 10.
46:57
SPEAKER_00: Like, I just think it's gonna be a blasting.
47:00
SPEAKER_02: So Navy runs the triple option, obviously.
47:02
SPEAKER_02: So that's a little it's a little worky, it's a little quonky.
47:04
SPEAKER_02: So you gotta pay attention to what they're doing.
47:06
SPEAKER_02: Notre Dame is going to play Miami next week, so they're probably in a look-ahead spot.
47:12
SPEAKER_02: This is one of Navy's Super Bowl games.
47:14
SPEAKER_02: They don't, I know they don't really have a chance to win.
47:15
SPEAKER_02: I think if we're all pretty clear on that, you said it's in Gillette, so it's up in it's up in uh Baston.
47:20
SPEAKER_02: So it's gonna be gonna be cold.
47:23
SPEAKER_02: I'll blindly follow you.
47:25
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't bet on this one, but if you're I'll I'd blindly follow if you did or stay away.
47:29
SPEAKER_02: I don't these I the triple I like if if no if he gets like three first downs, it's gonna it's gonna spend, it's gonna, it's gonna cost six minutes.
47:38
SPEAKER_02: You know what I mean?
47:38
SPEAKER_02: Like if they move the ball at all, it is snail's baits type stuff.
47:42
SPEAKER_02: And that's why that's what I worry about.
47:44
SPEAKER_02: Do you think do you think Navy's gonna score at all?
47:47
SPEAKER_02: I'd rather do the over-under than the spread if we're gonna do one.
47:50
SPEAKER_02: Do you feel it's strongly about that?
47:52
SPEAKER_00: Not really.
47:53
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
47:54
SPEAKER_00: I'd rather lay the points, and I'd really rather lay this is gonna be weird, lay like 18 points in the first half.
48:02
SPEAKER_00: I think they're just gonna come come out.
48:05
SPEAKER_00: I love a first half.
48:06
SPEAKER_00: When a team, when it's a when it's a true blasting, like I like to say, when I think a team's gonna blow somebody out, I like to take the first half.
48:14
SPEAKER_00: I like to do it early and set their starters.
48:17
SPEAKER_02: I'm seeing 17 and a half in the first half.
48:20
SPEAKER_02: Like in that.
48:21
SPEAKER_02: Alright, I'll do that.
48:22
SPEAKER_00: We could even lay 16 and a half, really.
48:26
SPEAKER_02: I like that even more.
48:28
SPEAKER_02: I can't you can't tease the second.
48:30
SPEAKER_02: There's no alt spreads on some first half spreads.
48:33
SPEAKER_02: There's no alt spreads on first half.
48:35
SPEAKER_02: There are on DraftKings.
48:37
SPEAKER_00: Keep that in your back pocket.
48:38
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
48:39
SPEAKER_00: All right.
48:40
SPEAKER_00: If you can if you can make it happen, good good and faithful listener, lay 16 and a half if you can.
48:45
SPEAKER_00: I just did.
48:47
SPEAKER_02: There you go.
48:47
SPEAKER_02: I'm laying, I'm laying 17 and a half.
48:50
SPEAKER_02: Whatever.
48:50
SPEAKER_02: Yep, sure.
48:52
SPEAKER_00: Fine.
48:53
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I'd lay 20 if I had to.
48:56
unknown: All right.
48:56
SPEAKER_01: You ready for us to move on to a Big Ten game in Bloomington, Indiana, where the Golden Gophers bring, was it Floyd of Rosedale's trophy with them down to Indiana 3 30 Saturday on CBS, where Indiana is a favorite.
49:14
SPEAKER_01: Oh, it's 20 and a half now.
49:16
SPEAKER_01: And over under 41 and a half.
49:19
SPEAKER_01: Can Minnesota well, talk about an emotional letdown.
49:22
SPEAKER_01: A, can Indiana finally get their ship correct on offense?
49:27
SPEAKER_01: And can Minnesota do anything after their big win against Illinois or Iowa?
49:34
unknown: Okay.
49:34
SPEAKER_02: So the bigger picture, the biggest picture point about this game is whether or not Josh Hoover is going to be a national championship contending quarterback or not.
49:42
SPEAKER_02: He has been bad for a long time.
49:44
SPEAKER_02: You can argue he's hurt.
49:45
SPEAKER_02: That's why he's been bad.
49:46
SPEAKER_02: And I think a lot of people are making that case.
49:49
SPEAKER_02: Um, that's what I want to see.
49:50
SPEAKER_02: This that's the more bigger picture for me.
49:52
SPEAKER_02: The spread is kind of second secondary to watch this game is to see what Josh Hoover can do.
49:57
SPEAKER_02: Minnesota plays hard.
49:59
SPEAKER_02: They're not going to quit.
50:00
SPEAKER_02: I can't see them letting this one uh get that high.
50:04
SPEAKER_02: Um, if I was gonna do anything, it would be 20 and a half because frankly, I don't think Hoover's healthy.
50:10
SPEAKER_02: He might get healthy in December.
50:12
SPEAKER_02: He's not healthy now.
50:13
SPEAKER_02: And if he's wincing every time he throws, I'm not confident Indiana can cover 20 and a half points.
50:19
SPEAKER_02: Um, especially this is a game day game, too.
50:21
SPEAKER_02: So Minnesota's gonna be gonna be giving them their all.
50:23
SPEAKER_02: Minnesota has now won a couple games they weren't supposed to win.
50:26
SPEAKER_02: They are having themselves a nice season.
50:28
SPEAKER_02: What's Minnesota's record by chance?
50:30
SPEAKER_02: Do you know that off the top of your head?
50:32
SPEAKER_02: They're are they five and two?
50:33
SPEAKER_01: Are they five and two?
50:34
SPEAKER_01: Five and two.
50:36
SPEAKER_02: Five and two.
50:37
SPEAKER_02: Um, I'm if I'm taking anything.
50:39
SPEAKER_02: If I'm taking anything, I'm taking an injured Hoover and a thro and a surging Minnesota who's gonna play really hard till the very end.
50:46
SPEAKER_02: I would take a 20 and a half.
50:48
SPEAKER_02: I would not lay him.
50:49
SPEAKER_02: No way.
50:51
SPEAKER_00: The the total is 42.
50:54
SPEAKER_00: Uh, don't love that.
50:56
SPEAKER_00: I think we've got two good defenses here.
50:59
SPEAKER_00: So under 42 would be the play, but I would kind of hold my nose for that one.
51:03
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, that's too low.
51:04
SPEAKER_02: That makes me like 20 even more.
51:06
SPEAKER_02: The fact that it's so low, that means that means that means that Vegas thinks 30 to 10.
51:11
SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
51:12
SPEAKER_02: Minnesota can't score 10 points.
51:14
SPEAKER_02: I recognize Drake Lindsey is not he's not nothing to write home or not, nothing to write home about, but like I don't I think it is gonna get 30.
51:21
SPEAKER_02: No, let's just stay away from this game.
51:22
SPEAKER_02: I don't know.
51:23
SPEAKER_02: Because who because if Hoover, because if Hoover's healthy, they're gonna win by 50.
51:26
SPEAKER_02: So um, and we're all we're gonna be way off.
51:28
SPEAKER_02: That's really all it takes is him getting right.
51:30
SPEAKER_02: If his shoulder is right and he's feeling feeling the ball, he's gonna go to Nick Marsh first former soon-to-be first round pick, Nick Marsh here pretty soon.
51:39
SPEAKER_02: But that's what I want to just from like a few bounds.
51:41
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, just from a great I know just from a fan perspective, I just I want to see what Hoover can do.
51:46
SPEAKER_02: That's really the whole question for me for the whole game is can he go?
51:49
SPEAKER_00: And maybe he can, if he can't.
51:51
SPEAKER_00: So let's let's get away.
51:52
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, this is a well, this is a this is a if we follow our formula, we lay 20 points for the home team because Minnesota has coming off that that high spot.
52:02
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, let's let's just lay off of it.
52:04
SPEAKER_00: Um I will I will probably consider the under and the the under and the lay.
52:12
SPEAKER_00: Indiana's defense has really shown up and they know that pressure's on them to win this season, basically, at this point.
52:18
SPEAKER_00: So I think they're gonna blank Minnesota.
52:20
SPEAKER_00: And so I still like the under and I still like Indiana to win this thing 24 to 3.
52:26
SPEAKER_02: If Minnesota gets if Minnesota gets 12 points, you can't hit both bets.
52:31
SPEAKER_02: Like it's impossible.
52:32
SPEAKER_02: That's why it's such a bad bet.
52:34
SPEAKER_02: Don't do that.
52:34
SPEAKER_02: Don't never never, never, never let the um play at the under and late points.
52:40
SPEAKER_02: It's such a bad bad bad math.
52:41
SPEAKER_02: The math isn't there.
52:42
SPEAKER_02: Do one pick one.
52:44
SPEAKER_02: Two true.
52:44
SPEAKER_02: All right.
52:46
SPEAKER_02: I only have one play left.
52:47
SPEAKER_02: I don't know about you guys.
52:48
SPEAKER_01: I like it, but I don't love it.
52:49
SPEAKER_01: All right, now we've got one here.
52:50
SPEAKER_01: We've got Bear Bachmeyer hosting the Arizona State State Sun Devils.
52:54
SPEAKER_01: The Sun Devils have let me down so many times this year.
52:58
SPEAKER_01: Saturday, 3 30 on Fox.
53:00
SPEAKER_01: BYU is favored by 14 and a half, and they are 16 and a half.
53:08
SPEAKER_00: Is it 16?
53:09
SPEAKER_00: 16.
53:09
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, my numbers moved.
53:10
SPEAKER_01: I put these together a couple hours ago, and all of a sudden the lines move so much.
53:15
SPEAKER_01: Over under a 48.
53:17
SPEAKER_01: Yeah, Darren, what do you got on this one?
53:20
SPEAKER_00: What do I have on BYU?
53:22
SPEAKER_00: You love BYU.
53:23
SPEAKER_00: I love, I love them.
53:25
SPEAKER_00: Um, they're coming off a loss.
53:27
SPEAKER_00: This is at what time is it?
53:29
SPEAKER_00: 3 30.
53:30
SPEAKER_01: 3 30 on Fox.
53:31
SPEAKER_02: And they're looking ahead to Utah, potentially.
53:34
SPEAKER_00: Right.
53:34
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, this is this is a weird spot.
53:37
SPEAKER_00: They're a weird team right now.
53:39
SPEAKER_00: I don't think really, I don't really think I have a take on these guys.
53:43
SPEAKER_00: Lay in 16 and a half is like, like I said last week, this is a team that can just trudge and win a very low-scoring game and be happy with that on their way to their actual game next week.
53:58
SPEAKER_00: And so I'd like to I'd like to stay away with us from this one.
54:01
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I'm staying with it too.
54:02
SPEAKER_02: I recognize that Arizona State, I think they just I think Arizona State just benched Cutter Bowley.
54:06
SPEAKER_02: They're having real problems.
54:07
SPEAKER_02: Kenny Dillingham is kind of falling apart.
54:08
SPEAKER_02: So like Arizona State is bad.
54:10
SPEAKER_02: I think Mikey Keene's going in.
54:12
SPEAKER_02: The the Jake, Jake Fetty is, I think, the guy they were talking about giving in some snaps to.
54:17
SPEAKER_02: So I have no confidence in Arizona State, but I'm also with you.
54:20
SPEAKER_02: I think BYU is bummed about the UCF thing, looking ahead to Utah, and are totally happy to win this game by eight points and not think twice about it.
54:30
SPEAKER_02: And they might just do that.
54:31
SPEAKER_02: So I'm with you on the stay away.
54:34
SPEAKER_02: Bear Bachmeyer's not winning the Heisman.
54:35
SPEAKER_02: That Heisman candidates is that Heisman candidacy was over before it started.
54:39
SPEAKER_02: So he's not gonna be running up and score on anybody.
54:42
SPEAKER_02: So let's just get the hell out of you know you LeVar Edwards is a tough place to play.
54:47
SPEAKER_02: I'm glad my team's not going there.
54:48
SPEAKER_00: And uh later this week I'll probably consider under under 49.
54:54
SPEAKER_00: I'll probably look at under 49 pretty closely and maybe end up going with that one, but not tonight.
55:00
SPEAKER_01: All right, I will skip over Nevada Wolfpack and UCLA.
55:03
SPEAKER_01: You guys got nothing on that one.
55:05
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, no.
55:05
SPEAKER_01: Keep jumping on that.
55:07
SPEAKER_01: All right, so Camario Les Mississippi State Bulldogs are going to Texas to take on the Longhorns.
55:13
SPEAKER_01: This is 7.30 on ESPN.
55:18
SPEAKER_01: Now, Texas was a 21-point favorite last time I checked.
55:23
SPEAKER_01: But my numbers are always off.
55:24
SPEAKER_01: 20 and a half.
55:25
SPEAKER_01: The over-under on this one is 50 and a half, and I've got a daring take on this game.
55:30
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, we gotta go under.
55:32
SPEAKER_00: We gotta go under on this one.
55:33
SPEAKER_00: Texas is gonna blank these guys, and they're not gonna score 50.
55:37
SPEAKER_00: Mississippi State, one of my bets last week was Mississippi State team total under.
55:41
SPEAKER_00: Camario and Fluff played last week.
55:45
SPEAKER_00: And briefly, but yeah.
55:46
SPEAKER_00: They only yeah, they scored 17 or something like that.
55:50
SPEAKER_00: Like they kept it under 20 with the and now Camario's out.
55:54
SPEAKER_00: This is just straight to the basement for Mississippi State.
55:56
SPEAKER_00: They're not gonna score points at all.
55:58
SPEAKER_00: They're gonna stay under 14 points.
56:00
SPEAKER_00: I might bet that again.
56:02
SPEAKER_00: Team total under.
56:03
SPEAKER_00: But the the if the total is 50, if the total is 50, I got under.
56:10
SPEAKER_02: I can go with that.
56:11
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't lay the points, but I'd take the under.
56:13
SPEAKER_02: I'm good with that.
56:15
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, same logic.
56:16
SPEAKER_02: I I've watched Mississippi State in person.
56:18
SPEAKER_02: They are total, they are 100% capable of scoring zero points.
56:23
SPEAKER_02: They did against you.
56:24
SPEAKER_02: They scored exactly zero points against LSU.
56:26
SPEAKER_02: And they've had some they've had some low, low output games.
56:30
SPEAKER_02: Uh yeah, they scored 15 against Oklahoma.
56:33
SPEAKER_02: They scored zero against LSU.
56:35
SPEAKER_02: They scored 15 against Oklahoma.
56:37
SPEAKER_02: Those are by far and away the best two defenses they've played all year.
56:40
SPEAKER_02: Texas is on par with Oklahoma and LSU in terms of defense.
56:44
SPEAKER_02: So that probably means what you said, team total was 14.
56:47
SPEAKER_02: It's probably right.
56:48
SPEAKER_02: So that means Texas is gonna score 35.
56:51
SPEAKER_02: There might be a bounce by a bounce back spot here.
56:54
SPEAKER_02: Like maybe we got to get Arch Manning healthy.
56:57
SPEAKER_02: We got to get him scoring like crazy.
56:59
SPEAKER_02: And we got to pad those stats in case we get a third loss.
57:02
SPEAKER_02: Because they're already talking about a three-loss Texas backdooring into the playoff.
57:07
SPEAKER_02: And now I'm talking about the under.
57:09
SPEAKER_00: They got Relique Brown.
57:10
SPEAKER_00: They got Ralique Brown putting in good work.
57:13
SPEAKER_00: He is awesome last week.
57:15
SPEAKER_00: Feeling great, feeling awesome.
57:16
SPEAKER_00: He's saying, Coach, give me the ball.
57:18
SPEAKER_00: They're just gonna keep it on the ground.
57:20
SPEAKER_00: They're gonna score a nice, pretty 24, 27 points, and then just run the clock out.
57:25
SPEAKER_00: Under under 50 is my play.
57:28
SPEAKER_00: They might not cover 20, is what I'm saying.
57:30
SPEAKER_00: They might keep this thing under 24 to 7, something like that.
57:38
SPEAKER_02: Alright, I'll take the you talked me into the under.
57:40
SPEAKER_02: I can take the under.
57:41
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, are you afraid?
57:42
SPEAKER_00: Are you afraid of the 50 over?
57:43
SPEAKER_00: Like what's the scenario that that 50?
57:46
SPEAKER_00: Texas score.
57:47
SPEAKER_00: I think Texas, I think Texas might score scoring by themselves.
57:50
SPEAKER_02: Yep, I think Texas is gonna score 50.
57:52
SPEAKER_02: And I think I I don't see if if I here's something.
57:54
SPEAKER_02: If I was Arch, if I was Sark right now, the the calls are coming from inside the house for me right now.
57:59
SPEAKER_02: I'm a bad offensive coordinator.
58:01
SPEAKER_02: Arch is a bad quarterback.
58:03
SPEAKER_02: We've got a wounded SEC opponent coming into our home, and we can like we have a chance to like get right.
58:09
SPEAKER_02: Like I feel like if I was Sark and Arch, I would want to perform at a high level and score 49 points.
58:16
SPEAKER_02: And I think they might.
58:17
SPEAKER_02: I just watched the Mississippi State defense.
58:19
SPEAKER_02: It is bad, bad, bad.
58:20
SPEAKER_02: I like Zach Arnett.
58:21
SPEAKER_02: I'm bullish on him long term.
58:23
SPEAKER_02: That's my big fear in this spot, is if Sark just says, I need I need to look good.
58:31
SPEAKER_02: And Mississippi State, unfortunately, is gonna be the team that's gonna make me do that.
58:34
SPEAKER_00: I'll tell you what, the steam is with us.
58:36
SPEAKER_00: It's opened at 52 and now it's 50.
58:39
SPEAKER_00: So take the under at 50 while it's still there.
58:42
SPEAKER_02: I do like that.
58:43
SPEAKER_02: You know I like that.
58:45
SPEAKER_02: Okay.
58:45
SPEAKER_02: We're going under or under 50 and a half.
58:48
SPEAKER_01: All right, locking that in.
58:50
SPEAKER_01: And let me click on mine over here.
58:53
SPEAKER_01: All right, that is it.
58:54
SPEAKER_01: That's what we have for the big favorite legs of our parlay.
58:57
SPEAKER_01: Now we're going to the homer time.
58:58
SPEAKER_01: A lot of our teams are off this week.
59:00
SPEAKER_01: Virginia Tech is off.
59:01
SPEAKER_01: LSU is off.
59:03
SPEAKER_01: Tennessee is off.
59:04
SPEAKER_01: But my bandwagon Iowa Hawkeyes are hosting the Wisconsin Badgers on Saturday.
59:12
SPEAKER_01: Is this big noon Saturday on Fox?
59:14
SPEAKER_01: This is a whole bunch of defense and a little bit of offense.
59:18
SPEAKER_01: Wisconsin coming in ranked, are they actually ranked 25th overall after that big win last week?
59:23
SPEAKER_01: Offense overall is ranked 94.
59:26
SPEAKER_01: Iowa's overall offense is ranked 62.
59:29
SPEAKER_01: Wisconsin defense is ranked number nine.
59:32
SPEAKER_01: Iowa number 10.
59:33
SPEAKER_01: It's gonna be a whole lot of defense.
59:36
SPEAKER_01: Over under on this game, guys.
59:38
SPEAKER_01: Have you looked at it?
59:39
SPEAKER_01: You want to take a guess?
59:40
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, we talked about that last podcast.
59:42
SPEAKER_02: Yes.
59:42
SPEAKER_02: Oh, that's right.
59:43
SPEAKER_02: That's right.
59:44
SPEAKER_02: This is a service academy game.
59:46
SPEAKER_02: This is teams with both have quarterbacks.
59:49
SPEAKER_02: This is teams with quarterbacks who are designed to throw forward passes, and neither of them can somehow, some way.
59:54
SPEAKER_02: It's just disgusting over and under.
59:57
SPEAKER_02: My only play here is Iowa plus three and a half because I think it's a coin flip.
1:00:01
SPEAKER_02: Sorry, Wisconsin plus three and a half.
1:00:02
SPEAKER_02: I really think it's a coin flip.
1:00:04
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't be surprised at all.
1:00:06
SPEAKER_02: I think both teams are five and two.
1:00:08
SPEAKER_02: Both teams can't throw, can't throw the ball, both teams can play great defense, both teams can run the ball, though.
1:00:13
SPEAKER_02: I think Kamari Moulton might be out.
1:00:14
SPEAKER_02: I think I've read that.
1:00:15
SPEAKER_02: I think I saw that on Twitter.
1:00:17
SPEAKER_02: I'm not sure.
1:00:17
SPEAKER_02: Or he's dealing with something.
1:00:19
SPEAKER_02: So the Iowa might be without its best offensive weapon.
1:00:23
SPEAKER_02: Exactly.
1:00:23
SPEAKER_02: Don't quote me on the he's out.
1:00:25
SPEAKER_02: There you have it.
1:00:26
SPEAKER_02: Kamari Moulton is out the rest of the summer.
1:00:29
SPEAKER_02: Oh shoot, I didn't hear that.
1:00:30
SPEAKER_02: I thought it was week to week.
1:00:31
SPEAKER_01: Yeah, that's out for the rest of the season, maybe.
1:00:33
SPEAKER_02: Oh, that's such a dagger.
1:00:35
SPEAKER_02: So yeah.
1:00:35
SPEAKER_02: So if you're telling me I got two honorific Big Ten West showdown squads, why am I not?
1:00:41
SPEAKER_02: Why am I not taking three in a hook?
1:00:43
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't, the only reason I wouldn't do it is out of respect for Mark.
1:00:46
SPEAKER_02: Because we don't like to fade our homers on the Mike Blitz podcast.
1:00:49
SPEAKER_02: So that's why I wouldn't, that's why I would not do it.
1:00:52
SPEAKER_02: I'm totally cool to not do it.
1:00:54
SPEAKER_02: But I can't with an over under 36 and a half, I can't lay points.
1:00:58
SPEAKER_02: That's crazy.
1:01:00
SPEAKER_01: I went to Iowa.
1:01:01
SPEAKER_01: You can say this.
1:01:02
SPEAKER_01: If I grew up with Iowa, if I didn't choose to be an Iowa fan all of a sudden, wait, nine, ten weeks ago, I'd worry about this.
1:01:12
SPEAKER_01: But I somebody's gonna win this game on a last second field goal.
1:01:15
SPEAKER_02: Yep.
1:01:16
SPEAKER_02: Exactly.
1:01:16
SPEAKER_02: Three points.
1:01:17
SPEAKER_02: Exactly.
1:01:18
SPEAKER_02: They're gonna win by someone's gonna win or lose by three points.
1:01:21
SPEAKER_02: Mark's comments' camera over there.
1:01:23
SPEAKER_02: A camera's like zoomed out.
1:01:24
SPEAKER_01: I talk with my hands too much, and this AI camera all of a sudden zoom on my red eyeballs.
1:01:29
SPEAKER_00: Listen, Mike, when we were when we were in our better minds and we were talking about this over the weekend, we said the emotional letdown spot is the bet of the year, and we should we should focus in on these opportunities and not overlook them.
1:01:47
SPEAKER_00: And Wisconsin has a big yellow highlighter circle around its name because they're the away team coming off a huge crazy win.
1:01:56
SPEAKER_00: They're looking at their navels in the mirror and admiring how beautiful they are and reading their own names in the headlines, and they're gonna get blasted by Iowa.
1:02:05
SPEAKER_00: Naval navel gazing Wisconsin badgers, and Iowa is gonna win handily.
1:02:12
SPEAKER_00: They are ready.
1:02:16
SPEAKER_00: That put up, you know, beat Michigan.
1:02:19
SPEAKER_00: They beat Michigan.
1:02:20
SPEAKER_00: Now, Darren, you there's a hole in your logic.
1:02:23
SPEAKER_02: You forever forgotten, you have forgotten that they are playing for the Heartland Trophy, which is a golden bull on a piece of wood.
1:02:31
SPEAKER_02: So this really is important to the good people of Nebraska and Iowa.
1:02:35
SPEAKER_02: And and in a rivalry trophy game in the Midwest, and in Wisconsin, excuse me.
1:02:39
SPEAKER_02: I feel like there's a million of those.
1:02:41
SPEAKER_02: Every single pairing has one of them.
1:02:42
SPEAKER_02: That's true.
1:02:43
SPEAKER_02: You can't disregard that.
1:02:45
SPEAKER_02: You can't disregard that.
1:02:46
SPEAKER_02: I cannot lay points.
1:02:48
SPEAKER_02: I'm with you, Darren.
1:02:48
SPEAKER_02: So this is a stay away.
1:02:49
SPEAKER_02: I think this is a stay away.
1:02:50
SPEAKER_01: Walking away.
1:02:51
SPEAKER_02: 36 and a half points is insane.
1:02:53
SPEAKER_02: That's so low.
1:02:54
SPEAKER_02: That is so low.
1:02:56
SPEAKER_01: Well, you say it's low, but I really think this game's gonna end up like 13 to 10.
1:02:59
SPEAKER_01: I actually think 36 is a better one.
1:03:01
SPEAKER_02: The worst part about betting the over the worst part about betting the over-under in this game is gonna be like you're gonna be like, oh my god, I'm taking the over 36 and a half.
1:03:07
SPEAKER_02: They'll obviously score 36 and a half.
1:03:09
SPEAKER_02: It's gonna be 10 to 3 and a half, and you're gonna want to pull your hair out.
1:03:12
SPEAKER_02: You're gonna be hating yourself.
1:03:13
SPEAKER_02: You're gonna be hating yourself.
1:03:15
SPEAKER_02: But what at the same time, if you go under 36 and a half and you're like, what was I thinking?
1:03:19
SPEAKER_02: 36 and a half is so stupid low.
1:03:21
SPEAKER_02: How was I not how did I not bait this game?
1:03:24
SPEAKER_00: So yeah, what was Indies was Indianapolis's halftime score the other day?
1:03:28
SPEAKER_00: It was like six to three.
1:03:30
SPEAKER_00: Michigan was like six or three to I think it was three to three or three to zero.
1:03:34
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, something like that.
1:03:35
SPEAKER_00: Regulation ended 6'6, didn't it?
1:03:37
SPEAKER_02: Six six, yeah.
1:03:37
SPEAKER_02: File score was 13 to 6 overtime touchdowns.
1:03:40
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, it was like 3-0 at the half.
1:03:42
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that's that's a real possibility.
1:03:44
SPEAKER_00: I'm gonna I'm gonna be messing with the under and the Iowa minus.
1:03:48
SPEAKER_00: You are mad.
1:03:49
SPEAKER_00: You are a madman touching the over under on this game.
1:03:52
SPEAKER_02: Madman.
1:03:52
SPEAKER_02: I'm also just bummed for Colton Joseph, our ODU boy.
1:03:55
SPEAKER_02: I thought he was gonna be so much better, and he just has not worked out.
1:03:57
SPEAKER_02: Wisconsin has been led by its defense.
1:03:59
SPEAKER_02: Color me shocked that Luke Fickle has a good defense in Wisconsin of all places.
1:04:03
SPEAKER_02: So by his very Big Ten West for Wisconsin, I just thought Colton Joseph was gonna be a bigger deal this year than he is.
1:04:09
SPEAKER_02: That's that's just that's just me bummed after that.
1:04:11
SPEAKER_02: Just sad about him.
1:04:12
SPEAKER_01: So um we have one game.
1:04:15
SPEAKER_01: Oh, wait, oh, sorry, we're gonna go.
1:04:16
SPEAKER_01: Staying away.
1:04:17
SPEAKER_01: Walking away.
1:04:18
SPEAKER_01: Walking away.
1:04:19
SPEAKER_01: That's probably gonna be our final bet because our final game that we're gonna look at is a game in Virginia that we're not allowed to bet on, or with a Virginia team, where the most disappointing team in the state of Virginia, the UVA Cavaliers, are going to take on the Demon Deacons of Wake Forest this Saturday, 345 on ESPN2.
1:04:37
SPEAKER_01: Mike, you're their homer for that team.
1:04:39
SPEAKER_02: Wake's gonna roll big.
1:04:41
SPEAKER_02: Jake Dickert and Gio Lopez, those guys are those guys are surging.
1:04:45
SPEAKER_02: I think Wake also might be coming off a bye, if I'm not mistaken.
1:04:49
SPEAKER_02: There's a lot of bye weeks recently.
1:04:51
SPEAKER_02: They played, yeah.
1:04:53
SPEAKER_02: Okay.
1:04:53
SPEAKER_02: They're coming off a bye.
1:04:54
SPEAKER_02: They're getting Virginia at home.
1:04:55
SPEAKER_02: Virginia just lost their most ridiculous fashion Friday night game.
1:04:59
SPEAKER_02: So UVA's got an extra day of rest, but what are you bet what are you banking on?
1:05:03
SPEAKER_02: This Wake Forest team is thriving.
1:05:05
SPEAKER_02: Gio Lopez is straight dealing.
1:05:08
SPEAKER_02: They are he who is he Dickert is building his resume to go take the best job in the country, which I think is gonna be in Southern California or something.
1:05:19
SPEAKER_02: Like uh Wake Forest is a train and UVA is on the tracks.
1:05:25
SPEAKER_02: And I wish it wasn't so because I think UVA is gonna be fighting for a trying to fight for a bull.
1:05:30
SPEAKER_02: This is a really bad spot.
1:05:31
SPEAKER_02: There are two touchdown dogs for a reason.
1:05:33
SPEAKER_02: Wake Forest has been soundly beating everybody.
1:05:36
SPEAKER_02: Their margin of victory so far this year, 22.
1:05:39
SPEAKER_02: Well, they lost only by two to Purdue, but Purdue's not that bad.
1:05:42
SPEAKER_02: The last three games, they lost, they beat Stanford by 54, NC State by 24, Cal by 34.
1:05:50
SPEAKER_02: Virginia, you're next.
1:05:51
SPEAKER_02: I'm sorry.
1:05:52
SPEAKER_02: I hate it.
1:05:53
SPEAKER_02: I hate to say it.
1:05:54
SPEAKER_02: The offensive line isn't good enough.
1:05:56
SPEAKER_02: The run game isn't good enough.
1:05:57
SPEAKER_02: Bo Perbula is definitely not good enough.
1:05:59
SPEAKER_02: And I'm down on my wa down on my wahoos right now.
1:06:02
SPEAKER_02: So I got I got nothing but bad juju coming out of Charlottesville.
1:06:07
SPEAKER_01: Up on the demon deacons.
1:06:08
SPEAKER_01: How does that make you feel, Gil?
1:06:09
SPEAKER_01: How does it make you feel, Mr.
1:06:10
SPEAKER_01: Oak?
1:06:10
SPEAKER_00: Oh my gosh.
1:06:11
SPEAKER_00: Oh my goodness.
1:06:12
SPEAKER_00: It makes me feel like I'm gonna get a ticket to Blacksburg and Thanksgiving weekend.
1:06:18
SPEAKER_00: I want to be there for that.
1:06:19
SPEAKER_00: Oh yeah.
1:06:19
SPEAKER_00: My wife keeps on.
1:06:20
SPEAKER_01: She wants to go to the book.
1:06:21
SPEAKER_02: Mark, humor me.
1:06:22
SPEAKER_02: What's their what's their SP offensive U UVA's offense defensive ratings?
1:06:25
SPEAKER_02: Do you have that?
1:06:26
SPEAKER_01: Oh yeah, their offense is ranked 65th overall, and the defense is 36.
1:06:30
SPEAKER_02: Okay, defense is better than the numbers.
1:06:32
SPEAKER_02: I'm sorry.
1:06:32
SPEAKER_01: I slipped that around.
1:06:33
SPEAKER_01: Dyslexic.
1:06:34
SPEAKER_01: 65 offense, 36 defense.
1:06:37
SPEAKER_01: Okay.
1:06:37
SPEAKER_01: And was Wade better than that.
1:06:39
SPEAKER_01: 29 offense, 35 defense.
1:06:42
SPEAKER_01: The defenses are pretty terrible.
1:06:44
SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't that would have tricked me because I've watched enough UVA football to see them miss tackles in the open field so often that they don't feel like the 35th best defense in the conference, but numbers don't lie.
1:06:54
SPEAKER_02: Good for them.
1:06:55
SPEAKER_02: So yeah.
1:06:57
SPEAKER_02: I hope I'm wrong.
1:06:58
SPEAKER_02: I hope I'm wrong.
1:06:58
SPEAKER_02: I want UVA to win.
1:06:59
SPEAKER_02: I want UVA to shock to win.
1:07:01
SPEAKER_02: I want UVA to flip the script and turn its season around.
1:07:03
SPEAKER_02: I said this last week.
1:07:04
SPEAKER_02: I said UVA has a chance right now to kind of grab this game by the gills and do something.
1:07:10
SPEAKER_02: And the SME lost by 10, and the Duke loss was a ridiculous loss at home.
1:07:14
SPEAKER_02: They were leading the fourth quarter and I couldn't put it away.
1:07:16
SPEAKER_02: I don't, I'm, I'm not, I'm not seeing it.
1:07:19
SPEAKER_02: I'm not seeing it.
1:07:20
SPEAKER_02: You said it, Mike.
1:07:22
SPEAKER_01: That wraps up all of the games that we were going to go through.
1:07:25
SPEAKER_01: Mike, I believe we have eight picks.
1:07:27
SPEAKER_01: Do you want to go through those for us?
1:07:28
SPEAKER_01: Recap them and then put them into the grand old wager parlay and see what the payout is in a ten-dollar bet.
1:07:35
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, let's do it.
1:07:36
SPEAKER_02: So we got Arizona plus three and a half at Texas Tech.
1:07:39
SPEAKER_02: Ohio State laying the six and a half at SoCal under 46.5 at Northwest and Northwestern at Oregon.
1:07:45
SPEAKER_02: The inept offense meets a movable defense who can't score.
1:07:49
SPEAKER_02: Cincinnati, we teased to plus seven and a half.
1:07:51
SPEAKER_02: The Utah hosting Utah at Cincinnati.
1:07:54
SPEAKER_02: SMU laying nine and a half on the road at Syracuse in the dome.
1:07:58
SPEAKER_02: Auburn Ole Miss under 56.5.
1:08:01
SPEAKER_02: Notre Dame minus 17.5 half cover at Navy, which is really a Gillette Stadium, the neutral cider.
1:08:07
SPEAKER_02: And lastly, Mississippi State at Texas, we said under 50 and a half.
1:08:13
SPEAKER_02: $10 bet wins you$1,599.55.
1:08:21
SPEAKER_02: So about 160 to 1 is where we're is where is where the odds were shooting this way.
1:08:25
SPEAKER_02: I'm gonna do that round robin thing because if we go six and two or seven and one or eight and no, and I think we're gonna do one.
1:08:31
SPEAKER_02: We're gonna do one of those things today this week.
1:08:33
SPEAKER_02: It's gonna be six and two, seven and one, eight and no.
1:08:35
SPEAKER_02: It's my it's I'm feeling confident.
1:08:37
SPEAKER_02: Even if we go five and three, we're gonna make some money.
1:08:38
SPEAKER_01: I'm so I'm gonna do the what's your strategic plan for the round robin again?
1:08:43
SPEAKER_01: So like there's like a two-pick, three-pick, four pick, five pick round robin.
1:08:47
SPEAKER_01: What is the most strategic play there?
1:08:49
SPEAKER_02: I don't know.
1:08:49
SPEAKER_02: I was talking a big talk to Darren before the call.
1:08:51
SPEAKER_02: I'm probably just gonna do all of them again.
1:08:53
SPEAKER_00: We've got we've got eight legs.
1:08:55
SPEAKER_00: We've got eight legs.
1:08:56
SPEAKER_00: I'm gonna put this into groups of four.
1:08:59
SPEAKER_00: So I stick I stick around 50% of the number of legs.
1:09:02
SPEAKER_00: Okay.
1:09:02
SPEAKER_00: So it's gonna be a round robin of of eight picks, groups of four.
1:09:06
SPEAKER_00: So if you win four, four out of eight, which is a bad week for us, uh you win your money back, maybe.
1:09:12
SPEAKER_00: Money back.
1:09:13
SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
1:09:13
SPEAKER_00: If you win five, six, seven, you win a little bit money, seven or eight legs, you win a lot of money.
1:09:18
unknown: Yep.
1:09:19
SPEAKER_02: Okay, okay.
1:09:19
SPEAKER_02: Yep.
1:09:20
SPEAKER_02: Cool, cool, cool.
1:09:20
SPEAKER_02: We have we have a couple listeners to the podcast who've been preaching a good word about that in the Discord.
1:09:24
SPEAKER_02: If you want to learn more about Ron Robbins, hop the Discord.
1:09:27
SPEAKER_02: We have other Mike Blitzers talking about that.
1:09:30
SPEAKER_02: We'd love to have you.
1:09:30
SPEAKER_02: So jump in that if you can.
1:09:33
SPEAKER_01: Link in the bio.
1:09:34
SPEAKER_02: That's right.
1:09:35
SPEAKER_02: Link in bio.
1:09:36
SPEAKER_02: With that, I think anything else.
1:09:38
SPEAKER_02: This is this nice parlay.
1:09:40
SPEAKER_02: I love doing this because it gets me excited about the week.
1:09:42
SPEAKER_02: It's only Tuesday.
1:09:43
SPEAKER_02: So I'm very, I'm very much looking forward to that.
1:09:45
SPEAKER_02: Anything else for the good of the order before we get out of here?
1:09:47
SPEAKER_02: Guys got a Halloween costume or what?
1:09:50
SPEAKER_02: Oh, yeah, we oh yes, we sure do.
1:09:52
SPEAKER_01: Oh, yeah.
1:09:52
SPEAKER_01: I'm gonna be an offensive coordinator.
1:09:54
SPEAKER_02: I'm gonna be a defensive coordinator.
1:09:56
SPEAKER_01: I've got a big old Denny's looking menu thing.
1:09:58
SPEAKER_01: I'm gonna go print out at FedEx.
1:10:00
SPEAKER_01: I've got my headset with a little microphone on it.
1:10:02
SPEAKER_02: Like, yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna wear nice pants and cleats, and I don't have a I have a sweatshirt that I'm gonna cut the sleeves off of.
1:10:09
SPEAKER_02: So I'm gonna run around.
1:10:10
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, I'm gonna run around and wear my hand motions.
1:10:13
SPEAKER_02: Well, no, no, no, coaches always have like nice pants.
1:10:15
SPEAKER_02: They're not gonna have pleats on them, but like they always wear like yeah, I don't know, I feel like stuff like like tech pants or something.
1:10:21
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, so I got tech pants, those.
1:10:23
SPEAKER_02: I got some cleats I'm gonna wear.
1:10:24
SPEAKER_02: I might even put some eye black on for no reason, just for grins.
1:10:28
SPEAKER_02: Maybe throw a whistle.
1:10:30
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, maybe throw a whistle around my neck.
1:10:31
SPEAKER_02: So yeah, we're gonna be I'm gonna be the defensive coordinator.
1:10:33
SPEAKER_02: So I'm gonna be the one signaling coverage adjustments in the secondary from the sideline.
1:10:38
SPEAKER_02: Maybe making sure making sure cover two reads are going out.
1:10:41
SPEAKER_02: Mark's gonna be real stoic.
1:10:42
SPEAKER_01: I'll maybe throw in stuff from up in the booth.
1:10:45
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, calling plays.
1:10:46
SPEAKER_02: We can't see his mouth.
1:10:47
SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I think just you're an offensive coordinator, Mark, so you can do Halloween entirely from the second floor of your house.
1:10:54
SPEAKER_00: Uh-huh.
1:10:56
SPEAKER_01: Throwing candy at kids.
1:10:57
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, you're up in the booth.
1:10:59
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, I'll be the obnoxious guy in the sidelines.
1:11:01
SPEAKER_02: So very much excited for that.
1:11:02
SPEAKER_02: It's gonna be good fun.
1:11:04
SPEAKER_02: It's gonna be good fun.
1:11:05
SPEAKER_02: Anything else for the good, it's been long enough.
1:11:07
SPEAKER_02: Anything else for the good of the order?
1:11:09
SPEAKER_02: Happy Halloween.
1:11:10
SPEAKER_01: I need to hear Camario's good words.
1:11:12
SPEAKER_02: Yeah, and the words of Camario, who just got was just got announced out for the year, which is just such a bummer.
1:11:16
SPEAKER_02: Camario, buddy, if you ever ever hear this man, just know we are not Mississippi State fans, but we are absolutely pulling for you.
1:11:23
SPEAKER_02: So, in the words of Camario, be safe, be smooth, have a great night.
1:11:36
SPEAKER_00: Hit the weight room, buddy.
1:11:43
SPEAKER_00: Get some muscle on those legs for next year.