Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Gambling Recap | Week 13

Transcript

NFL Gambling Recap | Week 13 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: is our NFL Week thirteen Sunday Recap episode. I am
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Chad Millman. I am joined by my bff, my companion,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: mikeel Padre, my co host professional better Simon Hunter. Hello,
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: Simon Simon, look at us, brother. We are here, the
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Shepherd and the Knucklehead and Hoboken Live. Who to thunk it?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Who to thunk it? Man?
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: I cannot believe what's happening around Chad. We are one
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: in three and people are still happy to see us.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: This is This is as good as it gets, brother.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: It is. It is an amazing night. We are doing
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: a show for you know, tens of thousands of other listeners,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: but we are honestly touched and flattered, and I hope
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: they will indulge the fact that we are with so
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: many people who we have enjoyed talking to so much today.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: People who have come from California, from Boston, Wooster, Baltimore, Binghamton, Albany,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: even the guy from Tennessee. There's a guy from Tennessee
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: who I was talking to him when the Titans who
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: we have today, they tied the game. I turned around,
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: didn't even pay attention to the extra point. We got
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: shanked in every single way. Doesn't matter. Thanks to the
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: entire crowd for common Thanks to all of the Action
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: Network crew who have been pulling this off behind the scenes.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: Amazing work to give us all a great night. As
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: a reminder, special thanks. The Favorites podcast is presented by
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Bet three six five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: That's why we get more boosts with them than with
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: anyone else. Every day they power up the odds on
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: hundreds of bets to give you a chance to win more.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Bet three six five boost specific markets, your winnings and
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: even parlays, and they don't stop there. Keep an eye
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: out for their biggest and best odds with the incredible
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: super Boost. Check out the boosts and see why it's
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: never ordinary. A bet three six y five must be
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: twenty one and older in present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia,
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: Iowa terms. Conditioned restrictions apply, all right, don't forget we're
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: I put my glasses here. We got a boosted parlay
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: because we're live before the Sunday night football game. Our
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: friends at bet three six five are boosting a parlay.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: Simon and I came up with are you ready in
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: the room at the Shepherd and the knucklehead betting at
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: a bet three sixty five here in Jersey. The parlay
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: is case money line Travis Kelcey anytime touchdown Patrick Mahomes
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: over twenty five rush yards that is boosted to plus
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: four hundred if you have bet three six five wherever
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: you are. Just go to the KC Green Bay matchup
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: and then the bet boost section and the boosted parlay
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: is at the top, easy to find if you want
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: to tail along with us. All right, ooh, not a
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: fun afternoon on the markets. We had Washington plus nine
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: and a half. We'll get to that. We had Tennessee
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half. That was a kick in
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: the dick. We had a New Jersey plus two, I
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: mean the New York Jets plus two and a half.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: That was no fun. But look the game we loved
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the most all week and that I hope everybody gave big,
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: big love to the San Francisco forty nine ers. That game,
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: I believe now official minus two and a half. They
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: won four to nineteen. Tonight we have Green Bay plus
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: five and a half. We liked him the plus seven
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: last week on Sunday Night Football. All right, Simon man,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: let's run through these four games that have been played
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: so far. Let's start with Miami at Washington. Because this
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: was nine and a half. We immediately jumped on the
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. As the week went on, it
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: started to feel like this might be a public dog
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: and we were going to get burned like we did
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: with the Raiders last week. And sure enough, from the
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: start this felt like shit and everything. The commanders sort
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: of looked like they tried to do the worst it
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: got for us. There was that pick six Alex van Ginkel.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: At one point in the second half, We're sitting in
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: this ZAC spot right now for those who are listening,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: Simon and I are at the stage area, and we
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: were watching the games and why Washington. I said to
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Simon it was thirty eight fifteen. I said, we've still
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: got a shot here. Simon, with the sweetest face looking
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: at me like I'm so naive, said, I love you, Chad,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: And right after that the Commanders missed a field goal
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: and it just got worse from there.
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I would say, anyone, that's Father's show. When you
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: take a big dog, when they throw a pick six,
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: it's dead. And when they all now, that's the life
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: of beting these dogs though. So yeah, we got once
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: again the public. Man, they're just they're they're beating us
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: right now. But you know, nothing changes, Chad. Only when
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: we have right now is a favorite. I'm sick to
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: my stomach. I don't know what's going on these dogs,
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: but it's been a good time to take favorites.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: Man. The public is cashing out.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what, I've met a lot of people
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: today and we've been talking about the favorites consistently winning
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: the past few weeks, and more than one person said
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: to me, I thought the title of the podcast was
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: supposed to be ironic. Turns out it's just accurate. The
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: good news, the good news for or the Dolphins is
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: that Tyreek Hill is just short of fifteen hundred receiving yards.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: Very nice, right, very nice. So we do have Tyreek
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: Hill nine to one to lead the league in receptions
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: from the start of the season. It doesn't It doesn't
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: help at all. No, it doesn't like it was so frustrating.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: And look the Dolphins. And we're gonna talk about the
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: Dolphins later in the show because I did spotlight the
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: Dolphins as a game that we're going to want to
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: take a look at. We will talk about it because
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: there is something going on with favorites the Dolphins. This
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: is a game that they shouldn't have played well and
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: done what they did based on past history, because while
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: they do dominate as a favorite home, they don't do
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: very well as a favorite on the road. So this
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: was a spot where we thought we were gonna get
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: away with one.
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: It also felt like the Tyreek game. I mean Tyreek Hill.
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: You see why he's the top to top three receeriver
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: in the league. It's just they couldn't cover him. Yeah,
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: I think one hundred yards at halftime in a touchdown.
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: It's just what are you gonna do when they can't
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: cover the best player in the team, Like you said,
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: Ron River, the whole defense, It's just it's done. The
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: Washington is just a terrible team. And I can't believe
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: when I say this, We're gona add him to the list.
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: We can't bet them from here on out. They're just
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: that bad. They're untouchable. So we'll add them with New England.
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: Thank god, no New England this week.
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: People. I can't take it.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: Every week the pros bet them and they've just been disappointing.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: So Washington, thank you for that couple against Seattle a
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: couple of weeks ago.
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: But I'm awful I got nothing for him.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Brother. Pretty soon we won't have any more teams to bet.
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: We'll have favorites.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: We'll have so many teams that are on the list.
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: By the way, great stat from Evan Abrams as always
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: contributing right now, Sam Howell, what is that? Fifty eight
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: sacks through week thirteen thirteen games. That is the third most.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: The other two are David Carr in two thousand and
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: two in two thousand and five.
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: Give some loved our guy, Evan? Huh? How about our
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: guy Evan? Haven't he showed up tonight? Our guy haven't
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: came for a couple of drinks?
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: All right? Atlanta at the New York Jets. This was
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: this was our big balls bet of the week. Jets
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Jets plus two and a half. This one never never
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: in doubt look, I wrote down some notes before we
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: came into the space here. In the first quarter, the
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: Jets were up to nothing. They had gotten there, they
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: had gotten their third safety of the year. That is
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: more safeties than anybody in the NFL this year. They
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: had their second safety in the first quarter, and they
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: had doubled up the Falcons on yardage at the end
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: of the first quarter, like, this is exactly the way
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: we thought it was going to play out, right, Like
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: they were getting a bad team, bad quarterback. Then we
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: get here and we're watching it together and you kept
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: saying the same thing over and over, which was.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: What I've been drinking for five hours. Jet, I have
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: no idea what I said five hours ago, you know.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: What I feel like, you know how, like they always
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: teach lawyers, don't ever ask a question if you don't
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: know the answer. And I felt going into that question
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: like I shouldn't be asking this.
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: No, no open enders here, just give me the answer.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: The answer was you kept talking about the turnovers. Yeah,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: you know, put your mic up. Yeah, yeah, that was terrible.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: And then like for a minute, for a minute, it
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: felt like we were gonna get our shot. Garrett Wilson
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: kept catching insane balls. At one point he caught a ball,
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: his helmet was half turned around his head, but then
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: the Jets.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: Jests, Yeah, the worst part of his brain it the
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: whole time, Like we had the two and a half.
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: What was the score, thirteen eight, So me and you
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: are just begging for our field goal. Three turnovers by
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: the Jets. I mean, it's just it's a death sentence.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: So we say it all the time. You bet these
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: ugly dogs, you bet other ugly quarterbacks, and it just
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: has not been bouncing our way.
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: So that was brutal.
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: Cordel Patterson smacking that ball out of bounce kind of
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: flipped the game right. Like he fumbled that would have
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: gave the Jets momentum. He pushed it at a bounce.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: It's a dead bet. I mean, Trevor Simeon, we're betting on.
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: We bet on Trevor Simeon today, chet, So it was
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: not not fun watching that Jets game.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: We bet on Tim Boyle, We bet on Tim Boyle,
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: we bet on Trevor Simeon. It was, Uh, look, it's
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: uncomfortable to make these decisions sometimes, but that's what we do.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: You gotta bet on bad teams.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: Long term winner.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, it sucks right now, people, I know, but
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: betting these ugly dogs will be profitable long term. So yeah,
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: the again, the public is having a good time right now.
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: Favorites are covered.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: It's real. When the falcons are favorites and they're covering.
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: You know something's broken.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: You know you're in a bad spot. The Jets on
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: third down today two of fifteen thirty seven for one
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: sixty on third downs through twelve games. That is insane.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: That is the worst. That is the worst in the
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: wild card era. Robert Sala has coached seven games on
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: extended rest. The Jets are one and six straight up,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: oh six and one used that hour exactly against the spread,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: failing to cover the spread by thirteen points per game.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: So I don't blame Robert Sala for this, No, I don't.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: I don't. All right, Indianapolis at Tennessee.
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: Oh there's more. Jesus Christ, dude.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: I'm building up because we're gonna get to the one
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: that we really care about, thank God. All Right, I
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: will say normally on Sunday, like we'll do our shows
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: and then I'll go sit on my couch and I'm
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: taking notes in my notebook. And like, you know, it's easy.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: I'm watching the games, it's like I'm getting ready, right,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: But today we're here, and it felt like I was
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: having great conversations with people, and then every time I
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: turned around, something went bad for us, And it was
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: so excruciating. The fucking Titans man, Mike Frable's our guy.
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: Yeah, what are we gonna do? Back to back? Was
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: it block punts?
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: I don't have a model for that.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: Any of you guys got a model I can predict that. No,
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: So if people know here that's they mixed extra point,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: we were fucked right. As soon as they missed extra point,
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: We're up one, they miss it, it's a tide. Game
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: goes there, overtime, we get the field goal. So all
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: we needed to worry about this point was either sick
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: or three. Worst case scenario, they got the six. So yeah,
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: just a coin flip game. Rabel let us down. But
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: if you would have told me that Levis would have
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: played that kind of game, I wouldn't avoided that game. Like,
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: he played well, The Titans offense played well. Special teams
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: got us, brother. I mean, that's that's what burn us.
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: End of the day.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: So, yeah, had a couple of people come to you like,
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: I couldn't do it because I know how much you
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: hate Will Levs. I took the Colts I got. I'm
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: so jealous of you right now because it's just the worst.
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: Sweating out Will Levs and need him drive the field,
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: and again I can't complain. He drove the field, got
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: us the points. It's just the Verbel defense that not
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: shrow up today.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's the thing that you would never expect to happen,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: which is Vrabel not getting his team in a position
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: to win in a clutch situation, which is what he
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: always does. And Gardner Minshew making a throw down the
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: sidelines in overtime that was as perfect as any throw
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: he's made this entire season. And like the fact that
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: that guy got behind the defense. It was even more
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: heartbreaking was I was watching that game and they scored
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: the field goal with about four minutes left. I thought
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: it was the game winner. Because there was so little
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: time left in overtime, I assumed the Colts had the
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: first drive and instead we got screwed.
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: Yeah that's how it goes, brother.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: Titans had more first downs, better third down percentage. This
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: is how bad this was more yards, more rush yards,
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: more possessions, same number of turnovers and lost for anybody
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: else betting the Titans. I'm really doing this for all
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: of us, just so we can. Yeah, oh all right,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: we're saying we have an audience member who's saying they
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: lost their punter who's also the holder on the kicks.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: The Texans and the Colts became the first teams this
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: season to go over their preseason win to Congrats to
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: the Texans and the Colts. Any Texans and Colt betters
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: for preseason win totals are winners. Here's here's something ominous
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: that is going to have to make us rethink what
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: we're doing with the Titans so far the rest of
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: the year. In six seasons with the Titans, Mike Frable
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: has never finished a season below five hundred as an underdog.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: This season, the Titans are four and six.
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: It's not terrible. Those be way worse. Honestly, It's not a.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: Good trend for us. Yeah, but the Titans are playing
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: next week and they are underdogs, So we got an
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: opportunity here, all right, the only game that we really
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: cared about today. We love all our games equally, but
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: we love this one more than any other game San
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Francisco and Philly. And I know we got a lot
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: of Eagles fans like we're in Jersey, but but we
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: loved this game. We loved this game from the start,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: and you did.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: I definitely didn't. I was gonna you loved it Sunday,
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: I definitely did not.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: I was gonna let you get there. Yeah, you get
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: to like how you came around to the idea of
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: betting the Niners because this game. Don't forget at this
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: time last week, seven days ago, exactly this time, the
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: Niners are two and a half point underdogs. As Simon
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: and I were talking as we were sweating the end
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: of the Bills Eagles overtime game, where we had the
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: Bills plus three and a half, I think, uh, the
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: line moved to San Francisco plus one. I tried to
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: bet it at San Francisco plus one. It moved while
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: I was clicking send to minus one, and it all
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: of a sudden ended up at two and a half.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: On Monday morning. One of us never waivered. One of
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: us came around to it. What what made you come
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: around to it?
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: Talking to profession because I didn't. I modeled this at
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: one and a half. So I the value to me
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: was towards the Eagles. But I talked to every pro,
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: every single one I talked to was no doubt forty
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: nine ers. And then we had the guys coming about
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: the Luck rankings and it's like, okay, so now the
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: Luck Rankings favorite the forty nine ers. I think you're
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: taking the whole fact that whole overtime thing about the
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: Eagles defense playing ninety snaps defensively, it's a big deal.
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: Like it's September. I mean, it's December. You have a
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: team coming off ten days rest with this forty.
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: Nine ers team. But I'm not gonna lie to you. Chat.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: When they came out that it was raining today and
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: it was windy up in New Jersey, up in Philadelphia,
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: I started worrying a little bit out.
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: It's like, what are we doing here?
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: We're taking such a public favorite because everyone was piling
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: on the forty nine ers, and you know, Luckily, you
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: kept talking to me and you kept saying we got
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: to take it here.
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: And then I had.
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: Multiple conversations last night with a bunch of pros in
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: the city, all of them, even with all the booze flowing.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: We're talking about this is the easiest bet of the weekend.
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: Forty nine ers even more fuel to the fire, and
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: may be like Eagles are gonna win this shit, But
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: I held held my mouth shut, swallowed my pride back
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: to forty nine ers, put a ship ton of money
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: on it, and uh, you were right, Chad, you were right,
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: forty nine ers. This is a good spot, this is
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: a good bet.
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: It's our it's it's our only one of the weekend.
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: So thank you, Chad.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Well listen, someone a wise man once said on this podcast.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: I can't remember exactly who it was, but he did say,
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Chad is sharp, So we have that right. But we
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: needed the Niners for our lungs today because I think
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: it's the first week all season that we started h
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: to three for the one pms and for the one pms,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: so you know, we really need the packers as well
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: for the other lung But yeah, we all the packers.
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: But I gave you some flour, something I allowed to
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: shit on you.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Now. I don't know, I don't know, I don't know
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: if I liked the answer here, but go ahead, sure.
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: How did we not fade Joe Flacco? Chad tell the
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: people here, how did we not fade Joe Flacco?
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: Listen, well, we do have some people that loved Joe.
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: No one.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: No one loves Joe Flacco. Joe Flacco's wife doesn't love
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: Joe Flacco.
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: Well look, look, I thought Chad knew something. I gave
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: the benefit of the doubt. Chad did not.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: Chad didn't know anything. Chad was way wrong on that one.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: But look, to my credit, I never tried to say, hey,
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: let's get into the contest. The only games and we
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: didn't talk about this. The only game is we talked
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: about putting in the contest. And I don't think we're
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: done with the Niners and the Eagles yet. Were the Cardinals,
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: which I loved and you were against. I couldn't get why.
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: Didn't because it was five and a half when it
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: was six and a half at every other book, right,
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: So that was again the line we get screwed sometimes
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: in the contest with the lines. Yep, yeah, it didn't
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: even matter. They went out right.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: And you know Nick Giffen who was doing the bet
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: when What Happens Live show with Simon Today and nailed
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: his DeVante Smith Bett and the Kilder Calf and you
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: know it was one of the masters of the Luck Rankings.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: That was a Luck Rankings game today and the Niners
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: was a huge Luck Rankings games today. And I think
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: what's going to be really interesting is, and we'll talk
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: about this after we get through some other stuff, how
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: is this going to impact what happens for the rest
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: of the season. How we are thinking about this. We
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: did look the Niners at this point. I think with Deebo,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: who was one of our featured players in the Favorites
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Film Room YouTube exclusive this week where we analyze the
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: players we think are going to have a big impact
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: on the game. Everyone should go watch it on YouTube.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: And with Trent Williams. They're now nine to zero and
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: they have been winning games today. They won by twenty two,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: twenty three, so they're winning games by an average of
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: twenty one points per game with those two guys playing.
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're a juggernaut, no doubt. But it's ken
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: they stay healthy. That's the big if that you just said.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: So the Eagles a team that it's really good. You
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: see how they deteriorated Lane Johnson today, couldn't stop anything.
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: The guys playing on a bad leg that's a big deal.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: So same goes for the forty nine ers if they
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: sd that healthy. Yeah, I told you last week I
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: finally moved them above the Eagles, which was painful to do.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: But they're healthy, and they're the better team right now.
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: They've been playing better these last couple of weeks. So yeah,
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: I would say the biggest issue right now facing this
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: Eagles team is now next weekend's Dallas. That's a must win.
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: If they lose to that game, they might be a
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: fifth seed. That's a big deal. We've seen the NFC.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: Home field is so important. So yeah, if you're a
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: four nine Ers fan, you gotta be feeling really good
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: right now. I mean, you're you're in, You're dominating your division.
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: You just bet the team that was quot uncong vote
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: the best team of football, and Chad you said he
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: beat him by twenty two at home. Yeah, God, damn
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: you forty nine Ers fans, you guys are living good.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: So look, we talked about this. We talked about this
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: on Green Dot Daily with Maria Marino, who's here in
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: the audience today. This week, we talked about MVP odds,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: We talked about DAK, we talked about Christian McCaffrey. We
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: talked about brock Purty and Dak at the time was
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: eight to one. At Bet three sixty five, party was
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: fourteen to one. I think McCaffrey was fifteen to one. Maybe, No,
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: he was tw twenty five to one. You and I
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: bet McCaffrey, I think when he was about twenty five
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: to one earlier this year. If we're handicapping the race, now,
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: who do you think is the best candidate for MVP
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: of the NFL?
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: Still Dak?
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, Dak is really as much as like to
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: make fun of him, shit on him, he's been playing
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: incredible and it's a regular season award, so postseason Dak
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: not so much regular season Dak. He shows up and
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: he plays really well. And you know, as much as
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: we like to make fun of McCarthy, think about what
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: they've done these last six seven weeks. This Dallas team
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: so pretty incredible. I really did think, I mean most
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: people here, no. I gave out Seattle's money line Thursday night.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: That's just the definition of a trap game. Like Dallas,
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: especially the last couple years, they always lose that game
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: before they play the Eagles, like they're just looking ahead
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: they're gonna overlook that Seattle team, and Dak kept out.
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: I know the ref's help, right, Everyone's complained about the
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: refs on Thursday night, but Dak made the throw so
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: pretty incredible. Him and CD are doing right now. I'm
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: sure Dak after this Jalen hurts bad game. What do
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: you think Dak's at now? Five hundred? Yeah, plus four hundred,
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: so yeah, hopefully you got that plus seven to fifty
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: because that numbers definitely dropped.
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: I think it'll get tricky. I would still put a
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: taste on McCaffrey because if the Niners continue to dominate
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: the way they are and they end up winning the
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: number one seed, McCaffrey is going to have a record
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: setting year as an offensive weapon and doing things that
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: most running backs have never done, scoring at a clip
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: that most running backs have never scored at. So it's
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: not going to be one of those things where, oh,
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: he's just a running back who had a good season,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: Like he's having a running back who eclipses what a
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: lot of quarterbacks would need to do to win the award.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: So I'm still a little bit leaning towards the value
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: in McCaffrey.
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: I still think it's just a quarterback award. It's just
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: the year ap one. The story was there because he
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: had come off the torn acl We don't really have
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: that on in McCaffrey.
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: There is no story. We all know McCaffrey is the best.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: But anyone's going to make the argument what about party,
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: because party obviously is the combination of that. I mean,
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: I still can't believe this seventh round pick is what
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: a top twelve player right now in the league quarterback.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: So yeah again, forty nine ers fans, this is peak,
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: Like this is as good as it gets right now,
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: Like you guys are living the dream. It's just all
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: clicking right now for that team.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: As a reminder, you can catch every episode of The
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Favorites live on YouTube. So for those enjoying on YouTube,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: don't forget to give us a and subscribe to the
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: Action Network you Tube page. All right, a recap our
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: Foxhole bet Green Bay plus six our big Balls also
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: known as the Kick and the Dick Tonight New York
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: Jets plus two and a half. The exact decision I
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: don't know why I did this was Cleveland plus five
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: and a half. But Simon says is also regretful Washington
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: plus nine and a half. God love all you for
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: coming out to all the dogs. Get a follow up
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: on these fucking loser picks. All right, Simon, uh survivor.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: We were debating the Rams and the Steelers. You had
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: two pools. You were still going in.
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: They got win Rams because that Steelers brutal I mean,
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: Kenny Pikett went out in the very beginning. So yeah,
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: if you had that terrible and then I just can't
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: believe we were sweating that Rams game into the fourth quarter.
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: It was twenty nineteen, got really lucky Browns extra point
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: and then Joe Flacco Joe Flacco, and I think they
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: won by like twenty points.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: Well, look, I know they're a lot of a lot
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: of folks who have listened to the Favorites and its
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: previous iterations for a long time. Flacco was indeed battled Flacco.
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: Oh god, I think you're about to bring up Bob
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: Scucci for a second. I was like, holy shit.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: Scooch, all right, New York Jets, Tennessee Titans, Washington Commanders,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, Denver Broncos. That was our round robin, our
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: Sunday Night football picks and leans we're on Green Bay.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: We have him in the contest. We need him for
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: our lungs. Tonight, Simon, you got anything to say about
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Monday Night football? Cincinnati Jacksonville Jacksonville plus ten. The total
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: is thirty nine and a half. It's gone up. It
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: was at thirty eight was it thirty eight and a half?
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Went down, went back up, now at thirty nine and
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: a half.
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: No, these people know what to do under under.
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: That's it. That's what we're talking about.
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: It pays, baby.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: We're not talking about the side here. I agree with you.
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: We don't like the side. We like the under at
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half.
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: Yeah, if you have to take a side. I don't
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: hate Jacksonville.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: I just have not seen anything out of the Bengals
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: to give me any confidence. But yeah, now it's up
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: the minus ten at bet three six y five. It's
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: like you missed the best of the number. Just stay
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: away from that, Simon.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: Can you name the fastest running ticketing app in the
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: United States?
• 27:21
  Speaker 3: Game Time?
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: That's right, oh man, Matt Mitchell, wherever you are. We
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: got to clip this and send it to game time
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: because this audience knows their stuff. I love game time
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: for two reasons. One they sponsored the show. Number two
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: because I actually use game Time to buy tickets. Everyone
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: knows it. They've got amazing last minute deals on all
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: sorts of tickets, including pro and college games. Speaking of which,
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: I'm actually opening the game Time app right now from
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: the Shepherd and the Knuckle Ahead here in Hoboken, New Jersey,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: and I already did this. I already did this, so
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: I can tell you right now that no sense of
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: irony here. If anybody wants to go see the New
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: York Giants play Monday Night Football next week, you can
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: do that for less than forty five dollars. That's right, NFL,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: NFL Football. No matter where you live, download the game
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: Time app, get out and have some fun this week.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Go sweat your bets live and in person. You can
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase.
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: Terms apply again. Just download the app and it are
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: code favorites for twenty dollars off last minute tickets, lowes
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: price guaranteed all right simon Early Week fourteen spots. The
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: first one I want to talk about Miami minus twelve
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: at home. I feel like this is a spot to
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: play the favorite we've been. We haven't done it often,
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: but when we've done it, we've done it on Miami.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: It generally has gone well for us. Give me Miami
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: minus twelve. What do you think that?
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: This is why you're sharp? Chat, it's already thirteen.
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: There you go, Miami minus twelve and a half to
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: thirteen at Tennessee. I wish I had been able to
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: bet that instead of talking everybody in this crowd. But
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: you know, what can I do? But why are we
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: going to bet that?
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: Tennessee is the worst covering team in all football, so
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: they're incredible against the run. But I'm happy to bet
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: Miami at home under fourteen points.
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: It's been good to u, especially this season.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia plus two and a half at the Dallas Cowboys.
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: Already already up to three.
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia plus three at the Dallas Cowboys.
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Wait wait, wait, wait wait wait, it's gonna keep going up.
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: The only people that are gonna bet Eagles next week
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: are pros. It's just Cowboys have looked better. They're on
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: extended rest. I totally get the fate of the Eagles
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: in this position. But for me, yeah, if you like
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: the Cowboys, go find that two and a half because
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: I could see this number again up to three and
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: a half.
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: Four.
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: The Eagles are just banged up.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: I mean Hurts went out for multiple plays in that game,
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: So this is this classic situation up. I'm gonna take
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: Dallas at minus two and a half, take him at
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: the three, and then if Hurts does play this game,
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: I'll buy them a position. But this line could get
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: up to seven if Hurts actually misses this game, which is.
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: A possibility if he has a real injury.
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: So definitely an early bet I'll make is Cowboys on
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: the side for the Sunday night game.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: The Eagles really don't have the window to rest Hurts
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: like they might have had earlier in the year because
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: of what you just said. They lose to Dallas and
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden they might not have the edge
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: to win the division, which means they're going from having
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: been the number one seed this week to number five
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: getting in as a wild card. He's got to play.
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah, And it's also they've been, like we talk every week,
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: they've been really lucky. I mean, you get to the
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: super Bowl the following year and you're the one seed
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: the next year're gonna have a first play schedule, so
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: they already had a brutal schedule and they got really
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: lucky with the Bills win.
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: The Chiefs win.
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: Clearly, it ran out tonight. I mean the forty nine
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: ers dominated them. I think the Eagles at halftime the
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: leading rusher was eleven yards by Hurts.
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: Like it's it's just not going well for them right now.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: So yeah, like to me, that's where the value is
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: on Dallas right now, Like that number should be much
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: higher for the Eagles are just they're not worthy of
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: being plus three right now in Dallas.
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: Here's what I like. It's a tricky one buffalo plus
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: three at Kansas City.
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't do it. I wouldn't do it.
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: Would you wait?
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: I like that?
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, if you're gonna do anything, I tease it now,
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: but I wouldn't strip. I wouldn't straight butt that three.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: So now we're taking our advice from the fans in
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: the audience.
• 31:47
  Speaker 3: He's all right, people, But.
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: The thing is, say the Chiefs do blow out tonight,
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: because me and you've been dead off on these dogs today.
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: What do you think this number gets to minus four?
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: So that to me, if you do like the Bills,
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: I would wait and in said, the Chiefs do happen
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: to lose tonight. This isn't going lower than two and
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: a half, Like, this isn't going to drop that low.
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: So to me, if you like the Bills, you can
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: afford to wait. If you like the Chiefs, you might
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: as well throw a little on there now.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: And I want to give you one more game and
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: then I want to see if there's anything that is
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: piquing your interest that we haven't touched yet. I got
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: a couple, all right, Chicago plus five against Detroit?
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: You sick?
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: Fuck you know it's the right side. What is taking
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: the Bears a plus five? Dude? We're going to talk
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: about dude on Tuesday. I guarantee we're having this conversation
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: and I guarantee we're saying, oh yeah, the Bears in
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: the division at this number, this is the side you take.
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: Evan's going to give us all the stats, and we
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: know this Bears defense is getting better and better against
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: the rush. Jared Goff, even though they covered today, did
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: not have a good game. This team is not playing
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: that well right now. The Bears, they're feeling something like
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: just and Fields knows he needs to prove it right now.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: This is their spot. They beat the Vikings, they barely
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: lost to the right.
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: There's the fear.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: I'm not worried about it.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: You have them coming off a win in a bye week,
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: a young team.
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: When does that ever work out for US?
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: Chicago plus five, well, it's already down.
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: It's already down a four and a half. So Chad is,
• 33:19
  Speaker 3: by the.
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: Way, every line, every line I've mentioned tonight, has moved
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: in the direction I said it would move. Yeah, all right,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: give me, give me the number, give me the one
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: you're looking at.
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: I just want to talk about the games. I really
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: piqued my interest. People are going to fucking hate this.
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: But Jets are plus six at home against Houston.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: They're probably Matt Mitchell said he cut the bikes if
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: he makes anyone hear about the j So that was let's.
• 33:51
  Speaker 3: Give it their people.
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: Joe Flacco, Oh we just washed. Is plus three at
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: home against the Jaguars.
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: You know what I would take that. I'm with you.
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: I'm man.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: I'm telling people the public can't keep one of these
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: goddamn games, and I'm gonna go broke betting against it
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: next one.
• 34:11
  Speaker 3: Let's let's keep getting ugly, Chad. I'm not that I'm
• 34:16
  Speaker 3: not that ugly.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: Uh. Eight and o'connells plus two and a half at
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: home against Ops.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: You know what I haven't. I have it, I have
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: it written down.
• 34:26
  Speaker 3: This is my guy right here.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: I agree with that that's gonna be on the board, So.
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna grab it two and a half just in
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: case the pros hit it. But that's another line I
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: hope gets the three three and a half. That would
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: be such a nice contest play just the Raiders at
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: home against a team that can't stop the run like
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: the Vikings. That's a nice spot to back this team.
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: Uh, anyone else that we're missing?
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: Just a line I didn't understand. Obviously have no opinion
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: on it yet. I need to run it through a model.
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: They have the Rayvens minus seven and a half against
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: the Rams. I saw that that's an interesting backdoor team.
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: The Rams like yeah, Cooper cups healthy he scored tonight
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: in their final.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: And also Lamar Jackson as a favorite not very good,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: especially as a favorite, not very good. That's an interesting
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: one too. I'm writing it.
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: Downs like that's a number I know my model is
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: going to have slanted it towards the dog I'm just
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: gonna grab it now because it's seven and a half.
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: That's such a key number, way too big for the Rams.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: So definitely gonna text a runner to go grab me
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: that seven and a half right now.
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: All right, here's the games that we've talked about. Chicago
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: plus five, we love it. Las Vegas Raiders plus two
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: and a half, we love it. We love it. Buffalo
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: plus three. We're waiting to see what happens tonight. Miami
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: is up to minus twelve and a half thirteen, We
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: still like it. Matt Mitchell said he will not let
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: anyone hear about the New York Jets, so we need
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: to talk about it. I'm with Simon, I like the
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: Rams plus seven and a half. We can grab that.
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: That's a that's a tricky one. Here's something from Evan Abrams.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: You know, we've had a lot of conversation about favorites
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: winning a lot, and that's, you know, the antithesis of
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: what we like to bet on. So we're getting hammered
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks. Last two weeks Favorite twenty
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: two and five straight up, twenty and seven against the spread.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: The last three weeks thirty three and eight straight up
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: twenty five and sixteen against the spread. So if you're wondering,
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: if you're why you're losing. You know my friends from Burlington,
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: Now we know right regression? Whoever said it? Who said it?
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: Right here? There we go the football player from TCNJ
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: as a reminder. As a reminder, the Favorites Podcast is
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: presented by Bet three sixty five. Bet three six five
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: doesn't do ordinary. That's why you get more boosts with
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: them than with anyone else. Every day they power up
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: the odds one hundreds of bets to give you a
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: chance to win more. Bet three six five boost specific markets.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: You're winnings and even parlays, and they don't stop there.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: Keep an eye out for their biggest and best odds
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: with the incredible super Boost. Thank you very much. Check
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: out the boost and see why it's never ordinary. A
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: bet three six five must be twenty one or older
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: and present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, or
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem call one eight
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa.
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: Terms conditioning and restrictions apply. If you love listening or
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: watching us live, which you should because, as we've seen,
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: the lines are moving and every point matters. Catch our
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: next episode live on Tuesday one forty five pm Eastern
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: one Action Network YouTube channel covering the entire NFL Week
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: fourteen board.
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: Hi Brother.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Download us from Spotify, Apple, Podcast, wherever you get your pods,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you want.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift until one forty five pm Eastern
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday. Love You. Action Network reminds you please gamble
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: responsibly if you or someone you care about has a
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: gambling problem. It was available twenty four seven at one
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: eight hundred Gambler