Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 306 - 6/25/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 306 - 6/25/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 3 O six of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:36
Happy Wednesday. It's officially hump day.
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That means we are halfway through our work week as the
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month of June comes very close to a close here, guys.
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And you tell you what, we have been in the stretch of the
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biggest heat wave in Boston in the month of June on record.
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Just found this out. It's been about 100° for three
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days straight. Thank the Lord, though.
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Today's the last 100° day. I don't know how much longer my
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AC can take it. It's barely hanging on here, but
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luckily it's going to drop to about 75° starting tomorrow.
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So praise, praise Jesus. That's going to be a little bit
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cooler because it is way too hot if you're like me in New England
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right now. But anyway, guys, I do have a 5
1:16
pack of sweats for you tonight. We're going to get right back to
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Major League Baseball. I got a three pack overall,
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three kind of modest short favorites here, including an
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early game that kicks off pretty soon.
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So I want to get to that first. And then you might be wondering,
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OK, 5 plays, where are the other two coming from?
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Well, guess what, guys? One of my favorite things to do
1:35
is bet on drafts, whether it's NFL draft, NBA draft, and unless
1:39
you're living under a rock, you may not know.
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But tonight is the opening round of the NBA draft.
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There's only two rounds. So it's first round today,
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second round tomorrow. But I did screenshot the odds to
1:50
see how they've moved over the last 24 hours.
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And also, I've been paying attention to Jonathan Gavoni,
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who is, you know, maybe not as big as Mel Kiper, but he is
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really good when it comes to mock drafts for for ESPN.
2:02
And he actually just released his final mock draft for today.
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So I did find 2 bets that caught my eye with some good sharp line
2:10
movement that also aligns with Gavoni's mocks.
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I have a play on a guy to be a first round pick and then an
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over under draft position on another player.
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So let's see if we can maybe get a winner or two in the NBA
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draft. And by the way, if you think
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you're going to bet on Cooper Flag tonight at DraftKings, he
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is -20,000 to go first overall. That means if you risk $100 on
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Cooper Flag to your first overall pick, you know how much
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you're going to make, you're going to get $0.50 back.
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That's right, Risk 100, get $0.50 back.
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In other words, it really ain't worth it betting on flag to go
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first overall. We pretty much know that that's
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going to happen. I will say though, if you had
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listened, what was it late last week, early this week, VJ
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Edgecomb, he is -350 to be the third overall pick at
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DraftKings, but I'm seeing other books as high as like -750 So
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remember we highlighted Edgecomb I think was around -200 So if
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you did bet that one pretty good, pretty good CLV at this
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point. But anyway, guys, 5 pack
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overall. Let's see we can get three or
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more eek out a winning day. Now looking back toward
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yesterday. Guys 2 and 2 -. 0.51 units, so
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gave back 1/2. Unit had a good.
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Another good baseball day had the Astros coming up.
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Big league for the team. They won one.
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Nothing able to hang on score to run late.
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Jays also came through on the road.
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Their bats got going there which was nice.
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Only loser was the Orioles. That was a six to five loss.
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An extra inning, so could have gone either way.
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Disappointing. 1 though was the Seattle Storm.
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Tell you what sometimes WNBA you love it, sometimes you hate it,
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but super sharp line move great bet splits, great system matches
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everyone playing Caitlin Clark put the line move to the storm
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and then what happened storm never showed up.
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I ended up losing by was it eight points so some some some
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you win some you lose some you throw away.
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I'll be either way guys continue to stay hot in baseball.
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Let's see if we can keep that going here for today.
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So that being said, I want to dive into baseball the start
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because there is an early matchup that I found a good
4:05
sharp line move on. So let's talk about that.
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Give you the opportunity to tail fade or do whatever you like.
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We can break down this one right now as we speak.
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So first one, I caught my eye, 2:10 PM Eastern Time, first
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pitch we got the Arizona Diamondbacks finishing up their
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series against the Chicago White Sox.
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Now, setting the stage for this one, we have the Diamondbacks 41
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and 38 on the year. They've taken the first two
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games of this three-game interleague series.
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They dominated the opener 10 to nothing as a -145 Rd. favorite,
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and then they won again yesterday 4 to 1 as a -125 Rd.
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favorite. So pitching match up here for
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this afternoon series finale. We got the snakes going with the
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righty Zach Gallon. He's five and eight with a 5.6 O
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ERA. Meanwhile, the White Sox, who
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are 25 and 55, they're going to go with the fellow righty Sean
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Burke. He's three and seven with a 4.5
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O ERA. So what we seen across the
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market for this one, well, this game opened Arizona around a -,
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135 Rd. favorite Chicago around a + 115 home dog.
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And I was kind of monitoring this this game as I was writing
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my sharp report for visen.com. Again, you can always check it
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out. I tweeted out for my Twitter
5:13
account at Josh under score Insights.
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But Arizona was like -135 they were up to like -140 it was
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about a 5 cent move. I'm like OK Arizona getting a
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little bit of action, but then as I was staring at my odds
5:25
logic live odds page. Perfect example of identifying
5:28
steam. Remember give odds Logic a shot.
5:31
7 day free trial, 50% off your first month.
5:33
You can just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
5:37
But I know it's the whole row for the Arizona game.
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Got lit up on the Arizona side in red.
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Told me big money was coming in and Arizona got steamed up.
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At that point. It was like -140 up to now -150
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ish And again, some shops as high as -155 -, 160.
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So big movement hit Arizona late.
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Told me late money was pouring in on the snakes to kind of
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finish off the sweep here. And that's really what sold me
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that late movement in that steam.
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So the fact that the snakes went from -135 now up to -155 -, 160,
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I guess, again, especially that late movement, you always got to
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keep an eye out for that because that's when limits are raised
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and the biggest bets come in. But aside from the steam on
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Arizona, really like the bet splits, especially at Circa on
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the Diamondbacks here, they're getting 76% of money line bets,
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but 98% of money line dollars. So nice low bets, higher dollar
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split out there in Vegas again tells me the big money out in
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the desert is going back toward Arizona here.
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One system match that I really like aside from a interleague
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favorite, lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote.
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The better team is the fact that we have a sweet spot non
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division Rd. favorite between the price of -135 to -160 those
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teams are 45 and 2366% with a 12% ROI.
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Also noticed this total did drop at most shops 8 1/2 down to 8.
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So now that it's down to 8, that would be a correlative betting
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favorite low total. So the fair amount of expected
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run scored more likely to come from quote UN quote that better
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team. Also, I'm going to bank on
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Arizona's bats to show up today. Arizona's got a big edge at the
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plate on the year. They're hitting 255, 114 homers,
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410 runs scored. Chicago, meanwhile, only hitting
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219 as a team, 61 homers and 273 runs scored.
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Also, if we kind of look at home Rd. and lefty righty,
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Diamondbacks are hitting 252 on the road.
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That's 7th best in baseball. They're also hitting 254 against
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Radies. That ranks 10th in baseball.
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So their top ten hitting on the road, top ten hitting against
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Radies. Guess what the White Sox are?
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They're hitting 220 at home. Dead last 30th and they're
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hitting 214 against righties. Dead last 30th.
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Chicago, by the way, you know, anyway, slice it probably pretty
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bad, bad records because obviously they're 30 games below
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500, but they are 13 and 24. Only 35% win rate against teams
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with an above 500 record. And not that the Diamondbacks
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are amazing on the road, but they're one game above 521 and
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20. White Sox, meanwhile, just 16
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and 23 at home. So this is a game where again,
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we we had some good splits and a little bit of movement.
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But once I saw that overload, that big wave of smart money hit
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Arizona late, I said, you know what, I like a few games today,
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but this one I really jumped up into my top three.
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So I'm laying it with the snakes hopefully to continue to get
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another win here on the South side and finish off the sweep.
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I got Arizona -150 at Bet MGM again.
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Shop around. Some books as high as -160.
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Next one for you. Let's go to the Big Apple.
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New York Mets at home against the Atlanta Braves now, 7:10 PM
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Eastern Time. First pitch, one of the most
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heavily backed games of the night.
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We got the Braves, who are 37 and 41 on the year, taking the
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first two games of this four-game series.
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They won the opener for us three to two as a -150 Rd. favorite.
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Then they won again yesterday, 7 to 4 as a -135 Rd. favorite.
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Now the pitching match up here for tonight.
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We got the Braves going to ready.
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Didier Fuentes, he's Owen one with a 7.2 oera.
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More on him in a second. Mets, meanwhile, who are 46 and
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34, they're going to go with the righty Clay Holmes.
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He's seven and four with a three-point O 4 ERA.
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Now, what are we seeing across the market for this one?
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Well, this game open Mets around a -, 135 home favorite Braves
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around a + 115 row dog. And obviously the Mets are
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playing terrible as of late. I think they're like 1 and 9
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their last ten and Atlanta's playing pretty well.
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So you would assume, hey, you know, take the plus money with
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Atlanta. Maybe this this game drops
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closer toward a pick em? Nope, it's gone the other way.
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Looks like sharps like the Mets in the spot.
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And I'm thinking maybe it's a play on Holmes and against
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Fuentes. But we have seen the Mets now
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get steamed up -135 up to -145 some shops now as high as -150
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-, 155. I got the Mets at -145 at Bet
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MGM. Aside from the line move, I
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really like the splits on the Mets as well.
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Again, they're, they're really struggling here.
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So it's notable to me when a team's playing very poorly that
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they get support from respected betters.
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So hopefully they're going to kind of get back on track.
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But at DraftKings, Mets are getting 74% of money line bets,
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90% of money line dollars, and then at Circa, almost a
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identical split, 75% money line bets, 91% money line dollars.
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So both DraftKings and Circa are showing a pretty good, you know,
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slight public support but heavy smart money on the Mets.
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Now I do have 5 system matches lighting up on New York
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favorites who made the playoffs the previous year also receiving
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$0.05 of line movement in their direction.
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Those teams are 215 and one 1266% with a 4% ROI.
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Home favorites made the postseason the previous year
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playing an opponent who also made the postseason the previous
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year. Thought here is like 2 good
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teams rivalry. Usually the cream rises to the
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top. That home favorite in that spot
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is 82 and 40 this year, 67 percent, 13% ROI.
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Also the Mets, you know, they've lost the first two in the
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series, but they're both dogs now.
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They're a favorite. Well in the spot as a home
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favorite, the Mets are 25 and 974 percent, 14% ROI.
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That's the second best home favorite record in baseball.
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Holmes is 3 and one with a 3.29 year at home this year.
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So he's pitched pretty well at Citi Field.
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New York is 10 and 5:00 and it's 15 starts overall.
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And then if you look at Fuentes, I remember this guy cuz I, I
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played him, it was a podcast play at the Marlins and they
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were getting some movement and Fuentes got lit up, gave up four
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runs and five innings, lost six to two.
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So hopefully this kids who who's only 20 years old making a
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second start, hopefully a little bit more of the same and the
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Mets can get to Fuentes. New York is 27 and 12 at home,
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one of the better home records in baseball.
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Atlanta, even though they're playing better as late, they're
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still only 15 and 26 on the road.
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And then a little cherry on top, I popped open the Juice Reel
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app. I noticed a 29% sharp mush edge
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on the Mets tonight. So it tells me a lot of those
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big sharp wagers from people from sports betters who have
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downloaded Juice Reel synced up their books.
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They're leaning Mets with us as well.
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So I know it's kind of a tough one because the Mets really
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stink recently, but let's trust the market here with a good
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move. Hopefully Holmes pitches well in
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the bats. Get to Fuentes, I got New York
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-145 again. Shop around, some books as high
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as -155 Last bit of the night, Chicago Cubbies visiting the
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Saint Louis Cardinals, 7:45 PM Eastern Time.
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First pitch. We got the Cards 44 and 36 on
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the year. They've taken the first two
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games of this four-game set. They won the opener 8:00 to 2:00
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as a + 100 home dog. They won again yesterday 8 to 7
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as a -1 O 5 home dog. Pitching match up here for
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tonight, the Cubbies who are 46 and 33, they're going with the
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lefty Matthew Boyd, who's been pretty good this year, six and
12:59
three, 2.84 ERA. Meanwhile, the Cards are going
13:03
to go with the ready Eric Fetti. He is 3 and six with a 3.54 ERA.
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So what do you see across the market here?
13:10
Will this game open the Cubbies around a -, 125 Rd. favorite
13:13
Saint Louis A plus one O 5 home dog.
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And we've seen nothing but movement in favor of the
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Cubbies. Another team that's been
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struggling. Let's trust the market on this
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one. Cubs have been steamed up -125
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up to -145. I'm seeing some shops as high as
13:28
-150 -, 155. I got the Cubs at -144 at
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FanDuel. Like the splits on the Cubs at
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DraftKings. 74% bets, 81% dollars.
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Then it's circa out in the desert, really good sharp split,
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63% bets, 94% dollars. So both books have that low bets
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higher dollars, sharp discrepancy in favor of the
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Cubs. Now I do have 6 system matches
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on Chicago Rd. Favorites off a loss, playing an
13:55
opponent off a win. Kind of that buy low, sell high
13:58
spot 103 and 64 this year, 62 percent, 6% ROI.
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Cubs, meanwhile, if you isolate them in particular, Chicago is
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37 and 1867 percent, 9% ROI as a favorite this year.
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That's the third best chalk team in baseball.
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Chicago is also 22 and 873 percent, 30% ROI off a loss, the
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second best quote UN quote bounce back team in baseball.
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Kind of hope that the, you know, the Cubs bats can get to Fetty
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here on the year. They've been more explosive than
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Saint Louis. They're hitting or they have hit
14:33
115 homers, scored 426 runs. Cardinals have hit 81 homers and
14:38
scored 382 runs. Then if you look at in
14:41
particular righty lefty, we got a lefty going for the Cubs, a
14:45
ready going for Saint Louis. Well the Cubs are hitting 256
14:48
against righties. That's the 7th best in baseball.
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Cardinals are only hitting 242 against lefties that ranks 15th.
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Now, Boyd, knock on wood, hope this continues, but he's pitched
14:58
really well in the month of June, 2.22 ERA and in four June
15:03
starts, only giving up six runs and 24.1 innings pitched.
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Fetty kind of, you know, mediocre at home, two and two,
15:10
4.36 ERA. And oh, by the way, if we got to
15:13
sweat this one, I'd love it for the Cubs to roll start to
15:16
finish. But hey, bullpen, hopefully
15:18
that's an edge towards Chicago. They have a team ERA out of the
15:21
pen of 3.45 versus 3.92 for the Cardinals.
15:26
So we got the Cubs dropping two straight.
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Hope they get back on track today.
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Good sharp line move, good bet splits, bunch of system matches.
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Let's go Boyd. I got the cubbies -144 at
15:37
FanDuel again. Some shops as high as -150 -.
15:40
155 S Mets D backs, Cubs. Can we find a way to get two out
15:45
of three? That is the goal.
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Now over to the NBA draft because that's right, I'm a
15:52
crazy person. I love betting drafts, but I
15:54
don't think it's that crazy because the whole point of
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betting the draft is that you don't have to know all the
16:00
players and their stats and what school they went to.
16:03
But what you do have to know is how to read the market and how
16:06
these how the market is reacting to specific players.
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So mentioned earlier to me, there's there's two things you
16:12
can do even if you haven't done it yet, you still have time.
16:15
The draft tonight is I think what 7:00 or 8:00?
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So again, should be a lot of movement.
16:20
Things leak out throughout the day.
16:22
But as I mentioned yesterday, if you want to maybe look for some
16:25
late plays on your own screenshot, the odds go to
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DraftKings or FanDuel, go to their draft tab.
16:31
And just literally what I do is I hold my phone up to my
16:33
computer screen and take some screenshots.
16:36
I like to screenshot one or a few in particular.
16:40
One would be to be a first round pick because it's got all the
16:43
guys listed and then you can just see how it moves between
16:45
now and quote UN quote tip off tonight.
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Then I also look at draft player, draft position, you
16:51
know, screenshot that cuz that can move a bit.
16:53
And then I like to look at the matchups like who will be
16:56
drafted first, this guy or that guy.
16:58
To me, there's some good value there.
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So looking at late movement in terms of where the money's
17:04
falling and then looking at the respected people who are dialed
17:08
in, like my guy Jonathan Gavoni, who's a great follow on Twitter.
17:12
Let me give you his Twitter handle because he's been
17:15
tweeting like a madman today. His Twitter is, let me dial it
17:20
up at Draft Express. So he's again putting out some
17:24
good stuff. Just an hour ago, he had some
17:27
updated Intel on some of these plays.
17:29
But anyway, my goal is to look at basically players or, you
17:34
know, guys getting sharp line movement in their favor.
17:37
Like you woke up this morning, you know, the guy was +200 to be
17:41
drafted as a first round pick. Now he's down to plus 100 where
17:45
he flipped to -150 so late movement and then again, the
17:48
Intel from people who know what they're looking at, who they're
17:51
talking to and word leaking out. So that being said, I landed on
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2 plays and again, I might add more, but I do want to see how
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this late movement breaks down. The first one I landed on is
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Jeremiah Fears. Now Jeremiah Fears, if you're
18:08
not aware of this kid, I remember cuz I, you know, like
18:11
you and me, we love to sweat college basketball.
18:14
So this kid was at Oklahoma. He was one of the youngest
18:17
players in college basketball last year.
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I think he was like 17, might have turned 18 during the year
18:22
or maybe after the year, but he has got a great upside.
18:28
He is a 17 point per game score. And if you look at Jonathan
18:32
Gavoni, he has Jeremiah Fears expected to go 5th overall to
18:38
the Jazz. Now if you look in the betting
18:41
market, Jeremiah Fears over under draft position is 6 1/2.
18:45
Now here's where it gets good. Yesterday when we screenshot of
18:49
the odds, under 6 1/2 was plus 120.
18:53
Now today I woke up and it was under 6 1/2 - 130.
18:57
And then when I went to go bet it, it jumped up to under 6 1/2
19:01
- 150. So the draft position hasn't
19:04
changed. It's still over under 6 1/2.
19:06
But the juice over the last 24 hours went from under plus 1/20
19:10
to now under -150 so that tells me a lot of respected money has
19:14
come in on fears to go in the top 6 again.
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Gavoni's got him going 5th overall to the Jazz, so in that
19:22
regard, Gavoni has him under 6 1/2.
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And the betting market has moved under 6 1/2.
19:28
So shop around. Some books might have the better
19:30
odds, but this was the best that I found.
19:32
I put one unit on Jeremiah Fears, the young stud playmaker
19:37
from Oklahoma. To be a top six pick, we really
19:39
need him to go 5th or 6th, and that was under 6 1/2 -, 150 at
19:44
DraftKings. The other play that I made was
19:48
Ryan Calc Brenner. Now, if you bet some biggies
19:51
with me, remember this guy. He's a huge just, you know,
19:54
massive dude, center white guy from Creighton.
19:58
I believe he was a senior and played all four years.
20:01
But Calc Brenner has had some good sharp movement to be a
20:04
first round pick. If you look at Calc Brenner to
20:07
be a first round pick, yesterday he was -115 So basically, you
20:12
know, kind of a coin flip. Today he has moved up to -175 S
20:19
Over the last 24 hours, we've seen a $0.50 move adjustment,
20:23
whatever you want to call it, toward Calc Brenner to be a
20:26
first round pick -115 to -175 and oh, by the way, our guy
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Gavoni, he has Kalkbrenner going 29th to the Suns.
20:36
Kind of makes sense. The Suns made all those trades
20:37
and they have like all these wings, but like no other
20:39
position. So maybe they need a big man.
20:41
And then also my Boston Celtics also have like no big men
20:46
whatsoever, just traded Porzingis, who knows.
20:49
Al Horford, he's a free agent, you know, Luke Cornett, Cedric
20:52
Tillman and who was it? Kada?
20:55
So maybe the Celtics could be in in line for a big guy like Calc
20:59
Brenner. Remember he did have Brad
21:01
Stevens draft Baylor Shireman last year who also went to
21:04
Creighton. So 2 plays overall guys.
21:07
Jeremiah Fears under 6 1/2 draft position at -150 and Ryan Calc
21:12
Brenner to be a first round pick -175 let's at least get one of
21:16
those. If we could get both, hey,
21:18
that'll be even better. So that about does it for
21:20
Episode 3 O 6A big MLB and NBA draft edition of the All systems
21:25
Go sports betting pod powered by Rhythm.
21:28
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
21:30
start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
21:33
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
21:36
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
21:39
with me. If you do enjoy the pod, if you
21:41
want to let me know you appreciate the pod, do me a
21:43
solid. Just so you know, it'll take you
21:45
2 seconds, literally maybe one second.
21:48
Just give it a five star review. Go to rate and review on either
21:51
Spotify or iTunes five stars. It would mean a lot to me.
21:54
Help us to continue to grow the pod.
21:56
If you want to leave a nice comment under the review
21:58
section. Hey, I enjoy listening to the
22:01
breakdowns. Whatever the case may be.
22:03
If you want to click the follow button or if you want to
22:05
recommend the pod to a friend, I would also very much appreciate
22:09
that as well. Now, if you enjoy the style of
22:12
betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting, not
22:15
betting what we think or want or hope to happen.
22:18
Nope, we don't let our biases and emotions and favoritism get
22:22
injected into our our handicapping.
22:24
But we're looking at what is the market telling us.
22:26
Where's the smart money moving, where the bet splits, where the
22:29
system matches? Take a contrarian approach.
22:31
Hey, if this style of betting has appealed to you, you want to
22:34
let me know you appreciate the POD or you want to learn more
22:37
about data-driven betting. Or maybe you have someone in
22:39
your life who bets a lot, doesn't win a lot, and could use
22:42
some data-driven tips. Then you know what I would love
22:45
for you guys to do? I'd love for you go to go to
22:47
Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
22:51
Betting. That's the first book ever
22:53
wrote. I'm very proud of it.
22:54
It's got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are
22:57
set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
22:59
locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
23:03
how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
23:05
management plan. It's all included in the
23:07
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:09
Really great, in particular for brand new betters or
23:12
intermediate betters. We're looking for some some
23:14
systems and tips. But while you're at it, while
23:17
you're picking up the everything guide on Amazon, stay on
23:19
Amazon.com and then type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
23:24
That's my new book. It comes out August 12th or now.
23:27
What is it? You know, 5-6 weeks away, which
23:29
is crazy. Pretty soon we'll get the the
23:32
book tour going and very much would appreciate if you guys
23:35
wanted to support the pod and make me happy and my publisher
23:39
Triumph books very happy by pre ordering a copy of the new book.
23:43
Just search again the NFL sharp betting playbook purchase a
23:47
pre-ordered copy. It'll get dropped off by Bezos
23:50
and his drones on your front porch as as soon as August 12th.
23:54
So bring the everything guide and the NFL sharp betting
23:57
playbook to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
23:59
I'll buy you beer or ginger ale will sweat some games together
24:03
next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
24:05
Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
24:07
apps, Rhythm, fantastic for their AI backed models and
24:10
predictions for game bets and player props.
24:12
And of course Juice Reel. So many great features.
24:16
First off, if you do enjoy the pod and you want to support the
24:19
pod, it's free, it cost you nothing, but I'm going to pass
24:22
the hat. Anyone got a $5.00 bill they
24:23
want to drop in? Because for $4.99 a week, you
24:27
can support the pod by signing up to get the official best bet
24:30
picks of the ASG pod exclusively and only on the Juice Reel app.
24:35
As soon as I make a bet at my sports book, it's synced up to
24:38
Juice Reel. It goes right to Juice Reel.
24:40
And if you are following those plays for $4.99 a week, you get
24:44
that play immediately. So you can hopefully beat some
24:46
closing lines, tail fade, do whatever you like.
24:48
But hey, if you enjoy the pod, support the pod by getting the
24:51
ASG best bets from Juice Reel, $4.99 a week.
24:55
You're also going to get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the
24:58
sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays, the shop for
25:01
the best line futures, syncing up your sports books, getting a
25:04
running report card of your action.
25:05
It's all included when you sign up for juice reel.
25:08
So download rhythm, download juice reel, give them a five
25:11
star review in the App Store. Next, do you have a live odds
25:15
page? If you don't, you need one.
25:17
Live odds page is so critical. I would argue it's the single
25:20
most important thing to being a data-driven sports better
25:23
because you got to know one. All the games available to you
25:26
to bet that day, the start times, the live scoring, the
25:29
live in game wagering. Odds light up as soon as the
25:32
game gets going. Shop for the best line.
25:35
Look at the direction of the line movement cuz you got the
25:37
opening column and all the current prices.
25:39
Identify Steam. When teams get lit up in red,
25:42
you know their odds are changing.
25:44
And really the whole point of an odds page is to track the market
25:47
and have your finger on the pulse.
25:48
And it's not just identifying sharp moves, but it's playing
25:51
them early before the line gets worse.
25:54
So there are a lot of live odds pages out there, but you have to
25:56
give a shot to odds logic. Just go to oddslogic.com/josh
26:02
123. You'll get a 7 day free trial
26:04
and then 50% off your first month of service.
26:07
So how about does it for episode 3 O 6?
26:11
As always, guys leave you with two final thoughts, whether I
26:14
see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
26:17
Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
26:20
Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plainridge
26:23
Park Casino MGM Springfield or the Nash.
26:25
In my neck of the woods outside of Boston near the New Hampshire
26:28
border. Or of course, out in the desert
26:30
where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends
26:33
his number runners with lowest juice possible is found the
26:35
South Point or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
26:39
stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
26:41
Circa, you're going to walk up to me.
26:43
Show me a nice Astros ticket. Show me a nice Jays ticket.
26:47
But me in the storm. You let me down last night.
26:49
Orioles couldn't find a way. They actually had a lead 5 to 4
26:52
in that one and blew it late. But either way, guys will
26:55
continue to grind and post. Hopefully a winning day for
26:58
today. So two and two, four and OO and
27:02
four, three and one, one and three.
27:03
Hot, cold, coming off a great day, coming off a terrible day,
27:07
grinding. We can never let the previous
27:09
results talk us into or out of a a bet.
27:12
We're just going to continue to grind the system match in the
27:15
model, which at this point you might have an idea or we're
27:18
looking for. We're looking for games that fit
27:20
our model. We're avoiding the ones that
27:21
don't, looking at games that are against the public, with the
27:24
house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that
27:28
closing line value. If we can do that, we're going
27:30
to be successful sports betters. So have a great Wednesday night,
27:34
everybody. Let's get some winners in
27:35
baseball and enjoy the NBA draft.
27:38
Let's go fears under 6 1/2 and Calc Brenner.
27:41
I hope you can squeeze your way into the first round, but good
27:44
luck everyone. I will see you back tomorrow for
27:47
episode 307 on a big thirsty Thursday of the All Systems Go
27:51
sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
27:53
Good luck everybody and have a great Wednesday night.