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NFL Week 18 Gambling Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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  Speaker 1: Red Line at one eight eight eight nine, or visit
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  Speaker 1: one eight hundred Gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: to The Favorites, the podcast from the Value and Podcast Network.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Noman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: For the first time ever, we are saying welcome to
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Week eighteen of the regular season. It is Tuesday. We're
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: going to go through the entire slate, Saturday games, Sunday games.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: We will figure out what our Foxhole bet of the
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: Week is. We will figure out what our Simon Says
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: bet of the week is. We will review last week.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about some reviews all of it with my bff,
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter and Buddy.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: We made it eighteen weeks later. We're finally a year unbelievable.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: So we got a little bit of reviewing to do.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: This past week. We went three and two in our
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: five contest picks. The contest ended and again a couple
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: of reminders here one all these picks we put in
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: the Action Network app. It's free downloaded. Follow it. We're
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: under the name the handle the Faves five. If you
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: follow that you would see what the picks are. And
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: again in this contest, the lines closed on Tuesday or Wednesday,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: and we didn't have to put our picks in until Sunday.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: So we get the benefit of seeing a lot of
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: lines moving, we get a benefit of all the COVID news,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: We get a lot of closing line value, a lot
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: of CLV. So we use that to drive some of
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: our decision making. Of course, didn't really matter this week,
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: because it doesn't matter any week. We had the cold
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: minus six and a half. That was the last minute
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: entry that I'm disappointed in. I really wanted to the Titans,
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: and we did. You said, you said something to me.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: You said two things to me that totally were indicative
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: of the mistakes we made all season long, which were
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: closing line value has worked for worked for us last week,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: let's do it again. And we don't like the number
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: on Tennessee into three and a half when the number
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: has come into place so infrequently in this and Tennessee,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: of course, was my scooterro Let pick. So with the
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: cold minus six and a half lost, that RAN's minus
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: three and a half lost, that Charter's minus five and
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: a half one, that Steelers plus three and a half
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: that closed at Steelers minus three one. That pack minus
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: six and a half. We had that because um it
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: closed at six and a half on Tuesday or Wednesday,
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: but thelan and Cousins were out by the time we
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: had to make the pick three and two. For the year.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: Simon eighty games, we were forty eight and thirty two.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: Just people know, because Chad has had eighty games, so
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: pick five games a week. We had a bye week
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: in week four teen. Sorry, I just want to make
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: sure we had that mandatory bye week in week In
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: week fourteen, you just had to choose one week to
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: make a bye eighty games, we were forty eight and
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: thirty two. It's actually astonishing to me that we hit
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: at It felt like every week was so challenging for us.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: We just stayed the course. We had a lot of
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: four in one weeks, four and one weeks, and then
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: we had one and four one and four weeks. We
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: got lucky. We just never went oh and five and
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: we didn't continually have bad weeks, so we took a
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: good bye week. I think we went two and three
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: or one of four the bye week we took, so
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: a lot of luck. I mean, that's these contests that
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: we talked about at the time, and you need a
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: lot of luck, a couple of things that bounce our away.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: And that's what sucks is we look at the end
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: of the year and we go, oh my god, we
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: had just won three more games, we would have been
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: the money again. So it's painful, especially where it's like
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: we were in a huge hole. I think on week eight,
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: like we needed we needed a bunch of four and
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: one weeks just to get back above five hundred. But
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: luckily we did really good November, we did really good December,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: so we got closed, but not not having any five weeks.
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: I heard us we needed five and o weeks to
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: make the money and we just didn't do it. This year.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: We're last year, I think the final week of the
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: year we were five and o to make the money,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: so that was definitely difference this year. Yeah, it's just
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: amazing if you look over eighty games that we chose
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: just three or four games, three or four bad beats,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: and you certainly have them over the course of the
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: year changes the scope of everything. It's so interesting to
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: have that perspective when you look back on an entire season,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: even the wins you don't remember. You remember all the
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: bad loss So I can tell you all of our
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: bad losses if we needed to, but I can maybe
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: tell you five good wins we got just because the
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: human brain just always goes towards a negative. So it's
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: just funny looking back where it's like I knew we
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: were gonna get back above five dred, I just did
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: not think we would get anywhere close to the money.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: But like November, the books killed it. That's when we
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: killed it. In December, we were consistently winning. Like we
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: talk every year, if you go three and two every week,
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: you're gonna make the money. Like that's the goal is
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: go three and two every week. So sadly this year
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: I think we averaged out to be like two point seven.
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, we missed that mark of having three wins
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: every week, but I feel like we did pretty good
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: for how we started to what we turned around the
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: end of the year. Yeah, we started crap. So what
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: we'll keep doing? Uh? In the Phase five is on
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday Morning after convinced me after our Sunday Morning live show.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: It is a live show at Action Network h Q
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: on Twitter. You can also catch it on YouTube Action
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Network YouTube page live. It is not a podcast, a
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: live show. We will take the five that Simon and
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: I love the best, and this time it will be
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: based on the lines in the moment because there is
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: no line from a contest, and we'll put those into
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: uh into the phase five. That's what we're gonna do. Simon. Yeah,
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: and it's again people lose their minds on Twitter about
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: our picks. Um, if I make a number and that
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: number is on the other side of the number I make,
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: that's where I look at value. So people are going
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: crazy because I was talking about taking the Eagles at
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: three minus three and a half. I made the number four.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Did I get lucky the number landed on four? Of course,
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: but that's what I made the number. So again, if
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: I'm betting big on six and I'm betting big at
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: four and a half with Washington, I never have an
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: issue taking the other side, especially when it's in contest.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Contest lines are always weird, Like I get white people
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: lose their minds about these things. But people are like
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: going crazy, like you guys are all about Tennessee, you're
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: all about taking Pittsburgh, and those aren't your picks, and
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: it's like Pittsburgh was one of our picks. We took
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh at three and a half because that was still
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: a good number. I don't want to take Tennessee because
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: it was minus three and a half when it was
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: minus three for the last four days. So it is
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: tough where we psuck ourselves out. But nothing changes. If
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: I say I'm betting a number, I'm betting that number.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: It's like we still bet Washington when the end up,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: I think they're up to six and a half. Still
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: took him at six. I just felt that Eagles minus
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: three and a half was a good number. You're getting
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: a key number acrossing the four. So my biggest offs
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: is that Chiefs were but lucky that wasn't one of
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: our five. But man, the referees, dude, that was one
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: of the worst games. As much as I love to
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: blame the refs, it's like you ain't gonna win a
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: game against Joe Burrow and you're putting up three points
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: in the second half. So well, again, we'll look back
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: on the season, We'll talk about our prices of predictions.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: It's fun looking back, especially on the Bengals where we
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: get him out of plus a thousand. I saw some
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: guy bet them in May at plus two thousand, three hundred.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: He put I think it was like twenty k down
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: on it took back wherever it was foringer K. I
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: forget what the exact number was. I know our action
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: handle tweeted out, that's got to be an unreal feeling.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: Obviously that person is a fan of the Bengals and
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: everything like that, but wow, wow, what a call betting
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: a plus two thousand to take that home? All right,
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: So the scoocher let picks we had last week. I
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: had Tennessee minus three and a half. Check. You had
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: the Steelers plus three and a half check. Scooch. You
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: know my original co host and the inspiration for everything
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: we do, Bob Scucci, boy gaming bookmaker. He came out
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: as a guest he had the Packers minus six and
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: a half, and we both gave him so much ship
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: for it. And in the end, I think he knew something.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: I think he knew feeling was out. I think he
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: knew Cousins was out and it wasn't out yet, because
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: bookmakers know this sometimes, SCOOCHI used to come in the
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: podcast and like, hint that he knew some that was
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: going to be happening, and that's why he likes something.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: And I think he knew because that line moved almost
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: immediately after the podcast. I nailed it again. That's why
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: I hate betting. Early in the week, I had way
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: too much mind the vikings and I couldn't buy buy
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: out of my position. But luckily I just I didn't
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: do anything. I could have went the other way and
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: took the green Bay. But man, that was a good
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: call by him. All Right, we're gonna get to the games.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: One quick thing, great review from I hope this person
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: is listening from Rowdy Worm in Saudi Arabia, who says
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: he is thriving because of our podcast despite the fact
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: gambling his outlawed. There. If you're listening, Rowdy, please email
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: podcast that Action Network dot com. Matt Mitchell, our producer,
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: would love to chat with you. Also a lot of
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: requests for Simon to talk about how he breaks down
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: film and preps for the draft. That is all going
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: to be discussed once we get through the season. We
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: have so much good stuff planned in the podcast for
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: when the season ends, talking about draft, talking about futures,
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: talking about wind totals all those kinds of things. It
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: hapens early in the spring, folks, and we're getting plenty
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: of comments about being sick of like Tomlin drops, guess what,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: the Steelers might not be playing after this week, So
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: you want us to worry about it anymore? Please don't
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: talk to me about more victories. Are that be disrespectful
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: to those guys in the room. Simon. We got some games, buddy,
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: We got a full slate of games. Kansas City Chiefs
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: at Denver Broncos. The Chiefs as ten point favorites Saturday afternoon.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: It's such a weird week, Like, how do you know
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: what to bet on anything? Right now? Like half of
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: these games, I don't have to do it. There are
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: some games I do love, and we're obviously gonna gover
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: all the games. But there's some games like you just said,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: what that. We don't know what the hell is gonna happen.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: We don't know who's playing who's not. The key thing
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: here is people to be on the ready. You can
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: get huge advantages in the final week of the season.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: I personally loved betting the last week this season. The
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: biggest difference is I might only have ten k down
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: on for different games. Maybe a thousand on one game,
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: maybe two thousand other game. It's very low my volume
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: compared to other weeks where I could. At this point
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: I have up the sixties sev k bet so it's
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: to me people, when you hear the show, we're gonna
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: give out some lines were betting early. I would just
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: really try to save your save your money up for
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Saturday Sunday morning when we have more information on these games,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: or if you want to take the early lines, I
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: gotta know what she's doing it. A lot of these
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: games will give out. If you're gonna take the number,
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: you have to take the money line too, because again,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: these numbers could shift by ten points we don't know,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: depending on who's playing who's not playing. So well, we'll
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: touch every game, but this game right here, I got
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: no real phiel for it. If I'm if I'm just
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: going off. Who needs it more? It's the Chiefs. The
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: Chiefs need this game. They still can play for a
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: one seed, So I just hate that the number it's at.
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: If it's locked, yeah, I'll bet the Chiefs. I know
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: she's taking the Chiefs. It's Teddy covers. I'm probably gonna
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: be on Denver. So just wait and see when you
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: have more information on here. The quarterback is I think
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: we've said it a few times, Drew log is not
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: an NFL quarterback. He's just terrible. He's actually incapable of
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: playing in the NFL. But I agree, Simon, just wait,
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: just wait until we see what's happening with Teddy Covers,
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia, Eagles, Cowboys breaking Matt Mitchell's heart,
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: losing to the Cliff Kingsbury led Cardinals at home. I
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: bet the Cowboys live plus three, barely escaped with a
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: push seven point favorites against the Eagles, who feel like
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: they are greeking of COVID right now. If I'm not mistaken, yep,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: you got COVID as shoes all over. They're not really
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: playing for a changing position. They know they either way
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be on the road against the Rams or
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay. I feel like now much is gonna
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: change for the Eagles here, so they're gonna sit everyone.
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: That's what the sign opened at two two and a half.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: Shout all up to seven. Once all the COVID stuff
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: cary coming out and people started realizing the Eagles probably
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: we're gonna sit starters, So yeah, I'll be on Dallas.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: But again, that's another one I gotta know, is she waiting?
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: You've already missed the early line value. I can't see
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: this gain above ten um. They'll keep moving it up,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: but eventually like to say, this game did somehow reach
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: thirteen thirteen and a half. All depends again on who's
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: playing for the Eagles. But if it's Minshew starting, I
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: might have to come in and take the Eagles. But
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: now at the early position here we sit on Tuesday,
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: you take the Cowboys. That's where the value is right now.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Minus seven Cowboys seven point favorites on the road. That's gross.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: That's that's again, that's a week eight team line. Everyone
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: keeps talking about the Cowboys offense. They really are struggling.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: They cannot and and Dack you know that fumble cost
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: him the game, right and in the fourth quarter. They
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: do not seem to be an efficient, high caliber offense,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: which is what they seem to be earlier in the year.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: I think they've got some significant issues because we had
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: into the postseason. Yeah, and that was battery by me.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: I kept trying to fade the Cowboys. But luck out. Unluckily,
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: I was just fading them with bad team. They tried
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: fade them with Washington, didn't work out. Tried to fade
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: them the Giants, didn't work out, income the Cardinals, and
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals kind of showed us all our fears with
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: this Cowboys team. They just don't They don't play well
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: against teams above five hundred, and they haven't. They've done
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: that all year so ever since Dad came back from
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: that injury, he just has them been right. Like you said,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: he has never found that rhythm that they had to
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: start the year. Again, if you go back and watch
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: filming them to start the year, it was incredible. He
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: would go off. His reads were so quick. You'd go one, two, three,
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: right down a lot really quick reads and where you
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: need to put the ball, and you'd get the ball
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: out of his hands quick. Now he's taking his time
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: back there, he's staring down receivers, he's literally making his
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: mind up for the balls even snap the where he's
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: gonna go with the ball. Now they're down gallop as well.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Someone like me, that's a Super Bowl future. I feel
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: like it's dead money at this point that that was
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: a bad read on my part taking believe in the
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: hype and buying them the Cowboys midway through the season,
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: it totally feels like a dead ticket. Completely feels like
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: a dead ticket. But again, it's football, so you never know.
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: But just from what people have seen this season, I
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: don't think anyone can put any logic behind why this
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: team could make a Super Bowl run. They just they
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: just have them beat good teams. I gotta try to
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: stick my guns from the preseason where it's like I
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: have these reads on these teams. The Cowboys are, who
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: are they? We thought they were, just like the Browns were.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: I'm still holding uh Packers and Bill's super Bowl tickets.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: I'm going to enjoy getting a Packers Bill super Bowl
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: and being a winner either way. I don't think I've
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: ever seen a more disrespected one seed than Tennessee Titans.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: But again we'll get to that. Not even considerations Steelers
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: at Baltimore Ravens. This line has been jumping all over
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: the place. Was that six and a half went down
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: to six, went back up to six and a half,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: went down to five, went down to four and a half,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: came back up to five. Now it's a five and
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: a half. I mean what the hell someone someone That's
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: the thing that's been so tough is it's like someone
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: knows something. And also some of these guys don't know ship.
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: I knew two really big time professional groups that came
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: in heavy late on the Browns last night. They took
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: that number all away from three down to minus one.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: They were dumbasses. That was a terrible bet. Their whole
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: reason behind it was they had info that the Browns
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: were playing all their starters. They were all in that
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: that fault that movement earlier in the year, like early
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: in the day, I mean, was movement that someone had
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: info that Browns are gonna restarters. So then whne moved
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: all up to three. These guys got info no Baker's playing,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Chubb's playing, their defense is playing. The number came shooting
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: right down. So this was again like pros are betting
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: this number. I'll I don't know information they have that
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: maybe Lamar is gonna play, Maybe Pittsburgh is I don't know,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: more banged up than we realized. But I don't know
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: what to do with this. I want to take Pittsburgh.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: It's you're giving me plus five and a half, and
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: we believe that there's gonna be a backup playing for
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: the Ravens, right, Like, none of us really believe Lamar
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: is gonna be back for this game, So I don't
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: know what to deal with it. I'll take the number
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: and I'll take five and a half with this Pittsburgh team.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: But you know, if it, if it comes out that whatever,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the money of the bets are coming
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: in on Pittsburgh, you know, I hate public dogs already
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: talked off it, but just looking at this number doesn't
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: make sense to me. If this is a backup for
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: the Ravens. I'll take five and a half all day
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: with this Pittsburgh team. Well, right now, all the money
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: and all the bets are coming in on the rates,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: so someone knows something. But I'll take Pittsburgh. I guess
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: maybe they're thinking emotional let down by this Pittsburgh team
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: off what that game was last night for a big Ben,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: everything like that. But I don't I feel like we
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: don't make these bets on Pickedburgh because the Big Ben,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: and they make these bets because their defense, in their
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: running game and Mike Mike Tomlas to get the opponent.
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: They nameless great faces. It's a weird one. I'll have
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: to talk to other pros and hear what they're saying.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: But to me, I feel like this is a good
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: bet for Pittsburgh. Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns another one
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: kind of wacky. You know. It was hovering in that
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Browns minus two and a half and then it got
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: down to one, and now all of a sudden, it's
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: all flipp peru. We're talking about Cincinnati at minus three
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: and a half. Obviously, last night has so much to
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: do with it. The Browns are out of it. They
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: looked dreadful. Anyways. Right now, the Bengals are about two
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: and a half three point favorite, and the news right
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: before he came on broke Baker's out of this game.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: He's gonna go good surgery, So case Keenum will be
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: the starter for the Browns. I don't know what the
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: hell to do with. This could be the battle of
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: the backup quarterbacks. I guess I'll take the plus number
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: with the Browns at home, assume that since he's playing
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: all their backups too. But no idea. It's again, these
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: are a couple of games I have no ideal to
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: do with. I have no idea what to do with
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: this game on Tuesday. I would just if I had
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: to make a pick, I'd take the points with the Browns.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: This is a wait and see. Yeah, where do you
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: think Baker Mayfield plays next year? If it's not Canada,
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know. The worst advice he'd ever got in
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: his life was to keep playing through that injury. They were,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: what six and two when he got that injury. Take
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: the surgery right there, buddy. He could have gone with
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: his agent went to the brown said, look, we got
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: you guys at six and two. Give us a two
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: year deal, a one year deal, whatever they were gonna
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: give him. I'll play it out with you, guys. I
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: just want to be the starter. No team, no team
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: is gonna want to make Baker starter next year. Like
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: everything you saw from him, regression, regression and aggression. Would
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: not make sense to take an undersized quarterback who gets
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: hurt all the time. He's got accuracy issues. Yeah, and
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: he's a first he's still a first three quarterback after
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: five years in the league. Geez, that's amazing. Is amazing.
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans. Alright, the Titans number one seed. Titans,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: the most disrespected number one seed in the history of
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: the NFL playoffs. They are ten and a half point favorites.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you right now, this is a smash spot
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: for the Texas. I love that. So you can hop
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: on Vandel right now, and you can open up your
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: app and you can see they can give you season awards.
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: You can bet on Rabel, the one seed who lost
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Derrick Henry. He's been down to a j Brown for
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: more than half the season. He's down Julia from more
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: than half the season, had one of the most banged
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: up defenses almost all season. Rabel, they're the one seed
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: now and the FC. I feel like this is the
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: most undertalked about stories in all the football. It's bizarre
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: because I guess Tennessee is, like we talked about. It's
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: one of these teams that no one cares about. They're
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: the team that Tom Hanks like the castaway. No one
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: cares about Tennessee. I do. I love this whole variable story.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: He's still plus three fifty right now on Fandel. I
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: love that AFRIC Coach of the Year. I bet that
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: that's Zack Taylor. What the hell are we talking about?
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: Because he won that game against the Chiefs at home
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: and he's ten and six, He's gonna win Coach of
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: the Year over Varibral What what what is happening right now?
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: I feel like it's just such a live in the
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: moment kind of award. Um I, I just I cannot
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: see these writers not get into variable for Coach of
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: the Year. What when you just look on paper what
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: he's done with his team again, They've lost to the Jets,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: and they lost to Houston, but somehow they're still the
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: one seed. It's it's literally feels like we're living a
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: bizarro world. Um I, I can't get over how good
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: of a job he's done. That team just took on
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: his identity of just being a tough next man up
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: who gives a ship. All we gotta do is just win.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: Like it's it really is incredible. The fact that they're
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: the one seed. So looking at this, I'm with Chad,
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: I would take Houston just in the fact that they're
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: they're they're gonna be looking past this Houston team. They're
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: already thinking themselves, all we gotta do is steam roll
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: a bad team to get the one seed. The the
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: fact it's ten, that's why, Like, to me, this is
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: a good number. I made this nine nine doesn't surprise
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: me at all. It's ten because everyone's gonna be teasing
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: and everyone's gonna betting this Tennessee team because they just
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: gotta win. So this will be one of the big
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: money line plays all this week. And this isn't the
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: game I'm calling for the upset. But what touch on
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: that game coming up? We see it every year. People
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: don't fall into these traps of this team just needs
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: to win to make the playoffs. So this team just
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: needs to win to get that one seat. They're gonna
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: be motivated. Dolphins. Last year they went up to the Bills.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: The Bills played their backups. I think that Bills beat
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: them by like twenty points and Miami played all their
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: starters they needed to win. Again the playoffs, they lost
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: play twenty to the backup to the Bills. Be careful
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: and making these bets, Like I know you're thinking, Oh,
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: this team doesn't care. They're gonna be sitting guys playing
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: against the team that needs to make the playoffs. It
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: doesn't work that make These guys are all motivated, they
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: all want to win. So definitely be careful with just
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: going off what scenarios you need for teams to make
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: playoffs or what seeding they need. Here's why I'm taking
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: the Texans. They have played hard all year. You know,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: it is rare They've been in a spot even this
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: past week. I know, you love the Niners at minus
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half and they have went in by
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: sixteen I think or something like that. That was close.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: Davis Mills is better than people are giving him credit for.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: The Texans team has played harder than people have given
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: them credit for. We o Dave Culley an apology for
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: not giving him sort of the benefit of the doubt
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: as a longtime professional football coach who is going to
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: come in and do a good job with a really,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: really dreadful roster. So I'm looking to the the Texans and
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: I'm thinking they want to go out on a high.
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: They want to go out momentum. This game does mean
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: something to them. It's home home dog, a big home
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: dog at that Yeah, Washington football team at New York Giants.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: Washington football team soon to be renamed something else. Six
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: and a half point road favorites. It is so funny though,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: You look back on life and it is crazy. We
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: called them the Redskins for all those years even you say,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: now you feel a little icky. It's just weird. What
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: the hell are we gonna do with this? We talked
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: last week. I told you that the Giants from my
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: worst rated team in all football, had them lower than
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: the Jaguars. The Lions had him lower than everyone at
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: him thirty second in the league. Had a pro group
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: reach out to me, said that they were all over
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: the Giants last week. So I didn't bet as much
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: as I wanted to on it first snap. Everyone had
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: the same feeling. And why the fund do we not
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: put all of our money on this? I mean, they're
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: They're awful. The Giants are awful. Their coaches delusional. He
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: just spits talks out of his ass about nothing, he says.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: People call him up saying they miss being on the Giants.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: A bunch of bs X players miss playing for him.
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: You've never had a winning season, dude, Like Joe Judge,
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: he's anti like he is a psychopath. Um So, as
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: an Egos fan, I hope they never get rid of them.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: I hope they keep Gettelman, keep it going. Giants, I
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: mean they it. It feels like they're paying for their
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: sins of beating Tom Brady twice in the Super Bowl
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: with Eli Manning. And they've just been paying for the
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: last ten years. I mean ten years now. This Joe Judge,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: he's already talking about Rivera too. They're bet they're playing
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: Foreman as well. I'm all over Washington. I don't care
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Washington might have people are like, oh, they're gonna give
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: up on the season two. I did not see that
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: all last week. They played hard against the Eagles the
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: entire game. They just sucked. That's why they didn't win.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: So to me, two terrible teams under a touchdown. The
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: Shiants team is simply quit on their head coach. Chicago
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: Bears at Minnesota Vikings. The Bears are about three point dogs.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: You can get the Vikings at two and a half.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: It's some books. Mike Simmer had the best comment. If
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: people didn't see it. Uh. Someone asked him at his
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: press conference this week, will you be giving a look
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: to Kellyn Mond? I think you want to get a
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: look at mom next week? Not particularly. Next question was
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: why don't you feel like you need to see him
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: shame every day? If that's not an indictment on how
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: bad this guy has been in practice all season long,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know what it is. It is wild to
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: hear that because I loved him coming out Texas saying
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: now ran a pro style offense in college. Really really athletic,
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: has a great arm. He must be an idiot. That
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: that must be what's going on here. This kid must
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: not be able to read defenses because that kid, Sean
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: was bad. The fact that he's playing over him was
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: just that was bad. So yeah, I'll take Kirk with
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: the number like whatever do you think that numbers moved
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: like European? Do you think of snumbers moved? Because people
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: don't think Kirk's will get cleared because I don't really
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: understand the movement. It's neither of these teams are motivated
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: one one team is way better talent wise, And I
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: guess what what is the motivation for the Bears? That's
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: what I'm trying to figure out here. What why would
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: they Why is this line moving so much towards the Bears.
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: I can't really see it other than it's Matt Niggie's
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: last game and he knows it. I looked at the
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: Bears last week as I was watching this, and I
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: said to my kid, the Bears defensive players are putting
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: stuff on tape for the next coach in Minnesota. It
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: has come out yet whether or not my exammer is
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: going to stick around. Their season is over and they're
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: ending it in a very disappointing way, whereas the Bears,
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: like they kind of expected to be a disappointment. So
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: now they're just happy the season is over and they're
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: excited to play one more game. You know that they're
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: off and know that they're going to get a new coach.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: It's a weird thing, but there is sort of a
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: palpable difference to me emotionally between the two teams. Um
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: that said, even the vikings at less than three against
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: the Bears, I'm taking that. Yeah, So that's how I
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: feel about it too, even even though it looks like
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: a trap because the money and the bets are coming
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: in on Minnesota and it's moved three points against him.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: Like I just said, it's a tender of field goal
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: at home. There's a much better team Minnesota. So that's
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: one of those where I'm gonna wait. I'm not gonna
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: bet it yet, just I want to know who's playing,
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: and if it's not Kirk, I'm out. There's there's no
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: quarterback on that Like again, as about as Kirk is,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: this is one one o'clock in the afternoon game at home.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: This is when we bet Kirk Cousins. So to me,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: if this is Kirk Cousins, you're getting a fantastic number
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: right now. Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars Coats point favorites. Now, Chad,
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: are you aware that these two teams are in the
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: same division? I am? Are you aware that every year
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: the Colts have to go play in Jacksonville? I am?
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: When is the last time you think the Colts one
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: in Jacksonville? Oh? Goodness? Two thousand and twelve? Close? Wow? Yeah,
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: So last year the jack went one in fifteen, their
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: one win at home week one against the Colts. Even
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: when the even the Jaguars are awful, they somehow always
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: beat the Colts. Uh. I don't know what to do
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: with this number. I wanted to take the Jaguars so bad.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: That's such a huge number. Um, Carson Wentz, that's what,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: like you said, I hate that we took that number. Um.
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: I hate that we took the Colts last week. We
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: should have known he's coming off COVID with COVID like
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: he still had COVID. Everyone knows that he still COVID.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: We talked about the NFL sold there, so they they're
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: they just want to get the best players on the
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: field so no one can complain about anything. And we
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: saw Carson. The guy was fatigued. He was what one
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: of eight, one of nine of his first nine passes.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: He was just bad. So I don't know what to
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: do with this. I just want to take the Jaguars.
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: I get it. Like there, They're one of the worst
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: football teams bar none. This season, They've been awful from
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: start to finish. Um who would have thought they'd be
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: worse since Erman's left. Since Erman's left, they've honestly been worse.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence has been worse. I I can't remember last
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: time we've had a prospect like him. Like again, people
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: compared to him to Andrew Luck, to Peyton Manning, a
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: sure can't miss guy. And I watched his film and
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: I kind of saw what they were talking about. Again,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: he was a freshman. He beat Alabama with Clemson in
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: the national title game. Like that's I can't ever look
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: that kind of stuff. This kid clearly has moxie. He's
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: fucking broken. They're they're broken team. They every time he
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: dropped back against the Patriots, I feel like anyone that
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: was watching the game thought he was gonna throw a
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: pick every time, and he was. I don't know how
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: many finished the game with, but he had a bunch
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: of drops by that Patriots defense that he got lucky on.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what to really do with this game.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: It's at fifteen and a half. I mean, Chad always
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: saw we played the numbers here. Um. One of my
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: favorite games from last week was that Atlanta Bills game.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, you both bet Atlanta. I think it was
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: at fourteen, fourteen and a half, Atlanta right on fourteen. Again,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: none of this ship makes sense. The final scores fifteen,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: none of it makes sense. I'll play the number and
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: I'll play the value. I'll take the Jaguars a fifteen
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: and a half. But I just can't make this one
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: of my best bets this week because I just have
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: no real feel for And now a word from our
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: friends at Fandel. The NFL playoffs are almost here, and
• 29:50
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  Speaker 1: called one eight hundred next step or text next step
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  Speaker 1: to five three three four two in Arizona one eight
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  Speaker 1: in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey. In Virginia one eight eight
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  Speaker 1: the Tennessee Red Line one eight hundred eight eight nine
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: nine seven eight nine or visit one eight hundred gambler
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. The Packers minus two against
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: the Lions, Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions. Do we
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: know Aaron Rodgers isn't playing already? Has that been announced?
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: So with the word on the street, he'll he'll play.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: Or Davante Adams is gonna play early on just to
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: break some records and then they'll come out of the game.
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: So if we need more info on if you were
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: like me, you like the lines. I would just wait
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: you either you either can get them live at a discount.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: Once the game starts and Rogers plays a little bit,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: you'll get a better number once we know um that
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: he is gonna play. Maybe this movement back up, because
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: I believe it's eleven and a half on the look ahead.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Now it's down to two two and a half. Just wait,
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: you've already missed all the value. I love the lines
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: last week, and they broke my heart and I'll have
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: to do it again. I just can't quit the lines.
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: That was a public dog though. As soon as as
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: soon as Robel said on our show that it was
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: like eight of the money eighty five percent the bests
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: was on the lines, I was like, why did I
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: just give out the lines on the action app? New
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: York Jets at Buffalo Bills? The Jets are sixteen and
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: a half point underdogs at the Bills. Do you have
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: the numbers in front of you? What the betting public
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: is doing when this game eighty eight betting on the Jets,
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the money is on the Bills.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: So this is a weird, weird number. Like when I
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: first saw this one, I thought it was the same
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: exact thing I felt last week with Houston and the
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers. And whenever big dogs cover or went
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: out right, the public will back them again the following week.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: So the Jets that was a no sweat cover should
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: have went out right again. It was fourth and two.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: They went for it because if they got that first down,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: that game is over. Like Tom Brady ain't getting the
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: ball back then work out from his coin flip game.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: I think you're paying for what the Jets did last
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: week instead of looking at this week. We got a
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: young kid. Wilson played a fantastic game. We've seen that
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: time and time again with these rookie quarterbacks. They play well,
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: the next week, they lay in next it's it's what
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: it is. That's why everyone says you just throughout the
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: rookie year, because it's impossible really gage these rookie quarterbacks.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: You don't know how they're gonna be a week the week.
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: So I guess the value you could say is that
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: it's on the Jets because the key number at sevent.
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: But I'll be on the bills. I made this number twenty.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: Thank you're getting value right now on the bills. But
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the Bills are playing, I don't
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: know what their incentive is. Is there still a chance
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: they can get the one seed? I have no idea
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: what there what their incentive is. They need to they
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: need to win to win the a f C East,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: so so that might be it. So yeah, the Pages
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: still have a chance because I guess why they're both
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: ten and six. There you go, So yeah, I guess
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: that's that's the motivation that I was looking for on
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: the Bills. But just when I first saw this number,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: just it just stunk to me. Um, I just didn't
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: get why they make it way higher. And when I
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: looked at the action app, I saw all the betting
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: tickets coming in on the Jets. It makes sense the
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: public one money off them, they're just going to roll
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: it over until this week. So yeah, fishy line, but
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: I'll take Bills. That's minus seventeen. We haven't pinpointed the
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: upset you've been foreshadowing. Yeah, it's coming, don't you worry.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: It's gross, so don't worry. The next game up is
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons. This line opened
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: at the Falcons at one and a half. It's now
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: up to Saints minus four and a half. I'm still
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: tempted to take the Saints at minus four and a half.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: You've little bit foxhold. People, Come on, Atlanta, let's clide
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: down into the foxhole. You gotta do it, you gotta.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: I know this is painful. I feel bad we have
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: to end the season this way, but well, listen, we're
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: in Atlanta Falcon's podcast. We've said we've said it from
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: the beginning of the year. Yeah, that's true. I mean
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: they I told you they're the worst team ever um
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: Statistically this season, they somehow almost had a winning record
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: if they would have won last week then the year.
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: So I just loved again. We talked about these situation
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: where they're the Saints need to win to make the playoffs.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: Saints haven't been good all year, they're on the road,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: they're playing against an Atlantic team that yeah, they might
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: be shipped. But this line's moved too much. Signs moved
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: this much just because the Saints won last week in
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Atlanta lost and they look terrible doing so I'm taking
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: a lamp taking Atlanta be the spoiler. I'll take their
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: money line. I'll take the plus four and a half
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: steel gross doing it but both these teams suck. Um,
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: you're giving me points to the home team. I'll take
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: this every time. The problem is this Falcons team has
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: been really bad against good teams. I mean that has
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: been a demonstrable trend. Right they are like oh and
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: seven playing against um, really good teams and something like
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: seven and two playing against bad teams. We don't know
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: what the Saints are. I mean this decides if they're
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: good or not. Technically we have no idea. But now
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: that's fair. I just feel like the lines move too much.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: You're getting the value on this Atlanta team right now.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: If I'm looking at this, the only games that we
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: think we really really like the Bill's minds sixteen and
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: a half and the Falcons plus four and a half.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: We're a wait and see. Uh, the Browns, We're a
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: wait and see on the Steelers. Where leaning towards the Texans.
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: We're leaning towards Washington football team. We're a wait and
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: see on the Vikings. Yeah, I mean I told you
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: I only made four bets out of sixteen games. Well,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: who the funk were the bets on? I mean, you're
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: getting their sweetheart, you're getting well one of the better
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: be the Falcons and the fucking Bills. I bet Atlanta okay,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: San Francisco forty Niners at Los Angeles Rams. The Rams
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: are four point favorites. This is interesting of the bets
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: coming in on the forty Niners, about the money coming
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: in on the Rams, and I'm part of that. This
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: is one of the best games I bet. I love
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: the Rams uh tray lance on the road and what
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: we could honestly call a playoff game. The Rams need
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: this game technically, Um, they could still somehow move up
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: in the standings. This four in ice team, I got it.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: They need this game to make the playoff trailance just
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: is you just ain't ready. Like they were losing seven
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: to three against Houston at home, cal Shan made the
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: playbook way simpler. In the second half. They were able
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: to kind of ball control, running the ball, and then
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: they took the took the ball. You know what was it?
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Twenty three to seven? I believe the final was something
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: like that. Um, it was just a much closer game
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: than people realize. This Rams team, we talked last week
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: they were due to lose that kind of lose that
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: game against the Ravens. I I hate that. I went
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: against my instincts on that one where I was all
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: over the Ravens, UM. But once before the game started,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: I was just like, Okay, Lamar is out. They're playing
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: this back up. There's still there's value on the seven
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: for the Ravens. But I thought there was value on
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: the Rams, like the Rams will be able to keep
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: it closely, they were still gonna cover that number. What
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: was I wrong? They got really lucky to the end
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: of that game to win that game outright. So looking
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: at this game, so's just a nice get right spot
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: for this Rams team. UM. Historically the fourty niners have
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: owned the Rams, just going off the numbers. Usually this
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: games always going towards this four team, going against the
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: grain a little bit here taking this Rams team. But
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: I just have to go by the simplest fact that
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: it's Trey Lance on the road against you know, a
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: top ten defense. I gotta take the Rams in this position,
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: especially for giving me a number like four. That's just
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: a key number. So to me, if this was six,
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: six and a half, I'd start thinking about but it's
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: still at the low four. I'll take the four of
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: the Rams. Is this a Simon says game No, you're again.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: You're gonna hate. You're gonna hate the game that I
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: really liked this week. All right, all right, I like
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: the Rams. Bet. That is one I will bet right away.
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins. The Patriots seven point
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: favorites at the Dolphins. I mean, I'm not making this,
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: Simon says, because I'm even grosser pick. But give it
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: to me. Give me the Dolphins, give me the Dolphins moneyline.
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: I love this one so much. Who's gonna be bet
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: in the Dolphins, No one, just professionals. It's such a
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: pro number. They win fifty to three over the Jaguars
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: the Patriots last week. You're never gonna find that bigger
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: head team right now than the Patriots. They're feeling good man.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: The Dolphins nothing to play for. I think or think
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: they could still make the playoffs. We know that it's
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: not gonna happen. They need like four of their teams
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: to lose. They're playing spoiler. And what year was it
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: was seventeen um. The Patriots went down there and they
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: were like a fifteen point fourteen point favorite over this
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: nothing Miami team in Miami. One on that was like
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: a punter kickoff or something with trying to make Yeah,
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: Gron tried to make the tackle at the back of
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: the end zone and you looked like Frankenstein. All the
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: springs and sockets are shooting off of me. He's trying
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: to make a cut because this old bido is broken.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: I take Miami every time no one one goes down there.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: I take Miami. It's just for some reason, they just
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: don't play well down there. So you could be upset
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: because of maybe all burn us this year. I'm telling
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: you the rest of your lives, you always take the
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: Dolphins at home, them late in the season against the
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: Patriots team. They just always have left down games. So
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: it would be again I try to hide my hate
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: for the Patriots, it would be amazing if they lost
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: this game and didn't make the playoffs after their fans
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: touting so hard all season how great they were. Are
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: they fixed in a year? Have they don't? Then miss
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: time Brady. You're gonna miss Tom Brady, especially a game
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: like this. So giving the Dolphins, given the Dolphins money line,
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: Oh that's too good, too good. You're not wrong, by
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: the way, Yeah, no, it's it's such a pro game,
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: like no one's No one's gonna be taking the Dolphins.
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals. There are six and a
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs. Not as big as you think this is.
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: This is a pros Joe's game right now. As much
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: as uh Matt Mitchell would like it not to be,
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: the bets on the Seahawks the money on the Cardinals. Honestly,
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: I would just take the Seahawks here. It's a divisional game.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: I made this line four scaring the ship at me.
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: That's moved that much up to six and a half
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: because I believe it was five four and a half
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: and now it's shot awa up to six and a half.
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: It's never good. That's that's not moving because of the public.
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: It's moving because of our programs come in on that.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: So maybe I'll wait and see on that one. But
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: I did like the Seahawks coming in. I thought that
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: was a good number for them. Yeah, let's hold off
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: on that. We can see if that's a sharp call.
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: On Thursday, Oh my god, Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: There's only two games left and you're basically gonna say, hey,
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: take the Panthers plus eight against the Buccaneers. Simon says,
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: sign do it? Why would you do that? I love it.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: I love this game so much. I don't know, hanging
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: from a couple of little barties that the Bucks are
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: going be sitting guys and resting guys, so they're not
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be trying this game. And it's the rare opportunity
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: to take a Carolina Panther team that no one I
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: don't know, No, no one's gonna betting this number. I'm
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: just grabbing it early now, just in case the news
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: does come out that the rumors are true that Tom's
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: not playing. A bunch of their starters aren't playing. They're
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: they're just gonna throw this game away before they get
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: it ready to the playoff front. So I think we're
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: getting a good number. I already saw that Carolina is
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: playing their starters, they're trying to win. Their coach is
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: an idiot. Take take the plus eight now, that's why
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: I'm giving out as my Simon says, but uh, explain
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: the process, Tell tell me how this works. It's Tuesday afternoon.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: What does that mean? You're hearing from some birdie's like
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: guys talk yester like I talked to two different people
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: yesterday and both of them. First games that brought up
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: was Carolina. So that immediately sends off the alarms and
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: I go, all right, what are you hearing? They go,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: well hearing the Bucks are gonna be sitting starters. They're
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: not playing for anything. Tom's not gonna play, Mike Evans
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: isn't playing that. We had to take that information to
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: use it. I mean, Carolina they're bad. We talked all year.
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: Their defense isn't that terrible. So if it's gonna be
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: backups for the Bucks going against the starters of Carolina,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: I make this line four. It's eight. I'm getting four
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: free points. That's why I want to get out Carolina
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: give out their money line. It's just too many points
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: to be given up. Um. I I really like to
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: back these kind of teams in Carolina because I'm just
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: worried about like we talked about, they could have quit
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: on the season. I mean, they've shown nothing in these
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. But it's just a rapportunity. We're
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: getting a Bucaneers team now. They're looking towards the playoffs.
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: They don't really care about this week. They're just trying
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: to get healthy to get right before the playoff runs.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: So I do think you're getting good, good free points
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: in this matchup. I mean, this line wasn't ten. So
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: and in the window that you're talking about is when
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: the line moved from ten to eight. Yeah. Again, these
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: guys are hearing rumors. I wish I had those kind
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: of connects, but I just haven't been the business that long.
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: So my connects are these guys. So if they're getting
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: the info, usually info is really good, I'm gonna at
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: an infant right bet with it. So again, these are
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: I've only bet four games. This is one of them. Uh,
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: this is one of these I bet right away. I
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: thought it was higher than that. It might have been
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: eleven or twelve in some books. Now it's back down,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Like he said, it got down to ten. Now it's
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: down to eight. I can see it keep dropping. His
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: more rumors keep leaking out. If I'm doing the math,
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: hea right, you bet the Panthers, the Rams, the Falcons,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: and the Dolphins. Those are the four I know. I
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: try explain to people at the time what I do.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: It's fun, but it's not fun. My three biggest bets
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: last week we're on Zach Wilson pin a Key and
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: Trey Lance. Those are my three biggest bets. You want
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: to make a living betting on two rookie quarterbacks and
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: an undrafted second year player, This is how you make
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: your money. This is what I do. Chat Los Angeles
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders. Should we bet the tie
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: for the Chargers and the Raiders? Who if they do tie,
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: if the Colts lose, both make the playoffs. Chargers are
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites right now. If you're
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: trying to find who doesn't who never played sports growing up,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: just go online and look up people that were talking
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: about how both these teams should play for a tie
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: and how that's a good bet. That's the easiest way
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: to spot someone that never played a sport in their
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: entire life talking about the highest level competition. What are
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: we doing here? You think these teams are just gonna
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: kneel down so both of them can make the playoffs?
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: Bizarre world. I don't follow that many people on Twitter,
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: but more than five different people posted about this, and
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: I was just like, what is happening? Who? Who would
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: bet on a game like this? The end of the tie.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: I don't care what the value is it's just not
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: worth it. Smart line by the books. They hung it
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: three or they hung in two and a half maybe,
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: and it got bet up to three UM for this
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: Chargers team. That's when I make the line. I make
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: them a home dog with the Raiders. Again, if I
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: wasn't so in all in on Greble being coach of
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: the Year, I don't mind giving it to the Raiders.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, he took over what I don't even remember
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: a week he took over for Growden. But I I
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: wrote them off like they had Growden the racist get
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: kicked out and then they had a player kill someone
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: in a car accident. It just a disaster season for
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: this Raiders team. All they got to do is win
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: this game to make the playoffs. That's truly incredible. So
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: to me, feel good story taking the value I made
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: this line three. If I make a line a certain number,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: I'm usually gonna go with the dog. And if it's
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: unless it's the home team, they all kind of favorite.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: The go with the favorite. In this position, they're the
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: home team, they're the home dog. I gotta take Las
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: Vegas here at plus three. So again, a bunch of
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: people argue about different games that should have made for
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: this time slot. I do think this is the best
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: game these two teams. They've played well all season. Their
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: division was crazy y'all season. I like the NFL selected
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: these two to end the season with the Chargers. They
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: probably made that this number just because they know the
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: public will go towards the Chargers. Like Herbert that's the
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: fun story, right, him making the playoffs. So I'm like,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: in my head, I'm trying to think about why is
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: this number minus three? And you know it could because
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: Boss is coming back or that you know they've gotten
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: they're getting guys back off the COVID list, or they're
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: getting healthy. But you know they could be getting Whilder
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: back for Las Vegas here, Like that's a big yeah,
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: that's the big, big piece of that offense. So yeah,
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: I'll take the plus three. But again, this is one
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: of my best bets. But just looking at on paper,
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: I like that value of the plus three. It's interesting.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: The Raiders are one of those teams this year we've
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: talked about sort of the the underdog bounce and seeing
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: it this past week with the Jets. Right, you get
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: that inflated number and you become a public dog. The
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: next week. The Raiders are never a public dog every
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: single week. They It's almost like they're started from scratch
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: and they're always the underdog no matter what the spot.
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: They had another player arrested overnight for d w Y
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: Ricky cornerbacks dine package for them to a big deal.
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: We've narrowed it down somehow, Like with all these games
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: that we didn't know what the fun was going on,
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: we still narrowed it down to four or five games
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: that we think could be some of our favorites that
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: we feel pretty good about. Again, caution, wait, we know
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: we're gonna bet Pan. There's rams Falcons Dolphins today doing
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: it right now. But a lot of these games you
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: want to wait and see how the market is moving,
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: how COVID is impacting, who will be starting, who will
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: be sitting, based on playoffs, scenarios, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. Are
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: Simon says Panthers plus eight our foxhold the Falcons plus
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: four and a half. Save save your bankroll. It's we're
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: gonna get so much more information. You're gonna be to
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: make so much more money with the better information that
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: like right now, I do like those bets that I've made.
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: It's just we're kind of shooting the dark here. It's
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: we're we're just everyone else. We're waiting on the information
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: because so much can change from now just till Thursday.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: So just be careful with what bet you're making. All right,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: let's do some scooch through. Let when all hope is lost,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: all that left is relief. Let's plays roulette. You go first.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: We both won last week, but I think you were
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: carrying over from a couple of weeks of winning. So
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, just absolutely he year when left scot let Heater. Unfortunately,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Mondays are gone. That's what's been good to me last
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: two weeks. I've been taking these Monday Dogs. I'll go
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: with Uh. If you don't take the Panthers, you're a coward.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: I'm like thinking, I mean, there'd be them or Atlanta.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: That's where I'm stuck in between. I'll go. I'll go
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: Atlanta because at least I know for all I know
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday exactly who's playing. I'm gonna go Atlanta. All right,
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: you go Atlanta. I'm glad. You know why? Tell me
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: I wanted to take the Rams. That's fair, It's it's
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: gonna be scary for you having Stafford as your scutu
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: left though, I'm excited about it. Matthew Stafford wants to
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: play in games that means something. This is his opportunity.
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Prove it. Prove it. Matthew Stafford, at least like a
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: second time career, will be in the playoffs. Yeah, it's exciting,
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: all right. This has been the favorite from the Volume
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: podcast Network. You can download it from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: You can subscribe for both places. You can review in
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: both places. We don't care what the funk you say
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: in the reviews. We like them to be nice, they
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: can be critical. Feedback is a gift. We're heading into
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: review season at the Action Network. All this will be
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: fed back to Simon as part of his year end review.
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: All we ask is that you give us five stars.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: We will be back on Thursday. We will give out
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: the money line parlay. We will narrow it down until
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: next time for Simon Hunter. For our producer, Matt Mitchell,
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Noman. I love you