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Giants/Padres MLB + NFL Preseason Best Bets Monday 8/18/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four that
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my broins hat. Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with few as I always am until I die, at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Oh and five the worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this,
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: The slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. This is
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: better off dead. Monday, August eighteenth, Baby, Uh, yesterday it
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: went alright. Probably should have gone better. Maybe it could
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: have gone worse too. One oh and one on the
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: show yesterday we had the Cincinnati Reds. They got there. Man,
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: I told you, take the Reds. We're gonna break the
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee Brewers streak. Finally gonna cut the head off of
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: that zomb behead the zombie had happened the Reds. They
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: had a one nothing lead late in the game, and
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: then it looked like Milwaukee was gonna remain undead as
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: they I believe, they hit a two run home run
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: or something to take a two to one lead I
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: think in the ninth inning, and then the Reds tied
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: it in the bottom of the ninth, sent it to extras,
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up winning the game in extra innings, thankfully,
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: after Milwaukee walked the bases loaded intentionally and wound up
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: giving up a walk off single I believe. So that
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: was the end of that one. So we got that
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: one right, and then that one was a roller coaster
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: for sure. It was close. And then Detroit Minnesota. Really
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: that should have been an easy winner on the over
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: the over nine. I mean, if you had told me
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: that going into that that Chris Paddock alone was gonna
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: give up eight earned runs in the game, I would
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: have been like, I'm gonna bet everything I own on
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: the over in this game, Like, are you kidding me?
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I was like, all we need is one additional run
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: just to push the thing, and then one more and
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: it goes over. I mean, you have to be kidding me.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: The game, I think had I don't know. We were
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: probably at about seven runs scored in that game by
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know, the fourth inning or so. In that
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: game it looked like it was completely over over with
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: the over, and then what happens. The bullpens actually wind
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: up basically not giving up anything. Minnesota They're pitching somehow
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: was good, which makes absolutely no sense with basically a
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: bullpend game with that bullpen, and the game wound up
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: landing on nine and pushing. So if anybody went over
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: nine and a half, I apologize for that. All that
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: I did tell you nine was a key number there,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: But I think pretty much nine was out there for
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: like the whole day though, So I'm pretty sure if
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: you played that one, you did go over nine and
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: pushed it with the rest of us. So yeah, you
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: push it. We'll move on to today. We got baseball today,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: a bunch of baseball games today, more than what we
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: usually see on Monday. So I think we're gonna jump
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: right into it. Man, We're gonna jump right into the rundown.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two plays today in Major League Baseball,
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: and again they're probably not gonna be very popular plays,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: but that's just the nature of it. Man. You don't
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: really want to be on popular plays more often than not,
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: So try to find the edge somewhere. We're gonna be edging.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: That's what we're doing here. Let's jump into it. We
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: do have another Wrigley Field afternoon game, because what else
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: is new, But this is actually a double header. As
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: I mentioned yesterday, part of the Milwaukee handicap was that
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: I thought they might be looking ahead to the series
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: with the Cubs. Here. It's a big series, man, I mean,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: the Milwaukee does have a big lead in the division
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: right now. This is gonna be big. First game up
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: is at two to twenty pm Eastern, in Game one
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: of this double header, which kicks off a five game
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: series between these two teams. The pitching matchup in this
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: one is gonna be interesting, bullpen wise. I'm gonna give
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: the Cubs a bit of a bullpen edge here or
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: theough Milwaukee did not use many of their relievers yesterday.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: The Cubs didn't really use too many of theirs either. Mean,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: they use Ben Brown relief even though he's been in
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: and out of the starting rotation. So bullpen's sort of
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: a wash. But we're gonna give the Cubs the bullpen edge.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I think looking at the eras here, Yeah, the Cubs
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: eleventh and Bullpenny ra Milwaukee, Where the hell are they
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: even at now? They've really fallen off. It looks like
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: where are they? I don't even know Brewers? Where are you? Bowers? Yeah?
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: How about that? Brewers are actually right below them? I'm
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: blind twelve, But I'll still give the bullpen edge slightly
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: to the Cubs here. Hitting advantage goes to the Cubs
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: as well, even though Milwaukee is a pretty good offense
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: on the road. So we have two pretty good offenses here,
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: two good teams obviously. Freddy Peralta pitching form Milwauk, I mean,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: he's still pretty much their ace. He's doing well this
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: year two point ninety RA, one point one two whip,
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: but he does have a forty RA in the road,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: so Freddy Peralta not quite as good on the road.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: I'd say he's in pretty good form in his two
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: starts this month, with fourteen strikeouts and only four walks
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: and eleven inning, seven hits allowed, one and run combined
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: against some weak offenses though against Atlanta and Pittsburgh. And
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: by the way, the game prior to that, he faced
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: the Cubs and he didn't do well in that game.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: He gave it five earned runs four walks in that game.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: So Peralta maybe doesn't really have a match up betging
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: this one against a hard hitting Cubs team. But if
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: you look at his overall numbers against the Cubs, they
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: are good and a large one hundred and fifty eight
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: at bat sample size fifty five to twenty two strike
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: out walker ratio is not exactly that great for him,
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: but one sixty five batting average allowed five sixty five
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: ninety six oh piast excuse me, so Peralta does overall
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: have good numbers throughout his career against the Cubs, but
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: he also is int as good on the road. He's
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: very familiar to the opposing offense, and Cad Horton is
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be the much more unfamiliar pitcher. He's a young
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: guy in the Cubs rotation, and he's actually been pitching
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: pretty effectively at three point seventy RA one point one
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: to eight whip. He's got a one point six one
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: e RA at home, so the split's definitely line up
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: for the Cubs here in this one, as far as
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: the pitching matcher is concerned. The Cubs have actually won
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: four straight games of visit. He's allowed one earned run
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: combined over his last five starts, so he's in good
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: form right now. Man. He has a seventeen to five
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: strike a walker rasue this month, which is also pretty
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: good a point five to five ERA. He's gone at
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: least five innings in every one of those starts as well.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: Really the best offense that he faced that whole stretch
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: was I guess the Red Sox, and he did face
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: Toronto in there as well, so he faced a couple
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: of pretty potent offenses there. Milwaukee's also a potent offense,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: and Milwaukee's never seen him before. Vaughn, the only hitter
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: who has faced him before, is zero for two off him.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna give the edge to the Cubs in
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: this game. Man, I would lean to the Cubs in
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: this afternoon game. It looks like the money is agreeing
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: with me. The Cubs dropped on the money line from
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty to minus one twelve, fifty percent of
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: tickets evenly split, sixty two percent of that cash coming
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: in on the Cubs. And the other thing I like
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: about this is that when you have Milwaukee, a team
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: like that that had this huge win streak, they hadn't
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: lost in like over two weeks, and then they finally
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: lose a game, I think that really contend to hang
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: you over into the next game, especially when it was
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: a dramatic extra innings finished there Whereas the Cubs I
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: believe aren't even traveling. Milwaukee's having to travel in from Cincinnati,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: which isn't a huge amount of travel. But the Cubs
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: are just kind of sitting at home after a very
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: whole hum series where they barely beat Pittsburgh a couple
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: of times. So I think the Cubs do have an
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: advantage here. I'm actually tempted to give this out as
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: a play, to be honest, should we do it? It's close.
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: It's definitely close to being a play for me, man,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: I like the Cubs in this one. Yeah, it's it's
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: very close to being a play. I might wind up
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: with three plays today if I do this. Andrew, what's
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: up man, thanks for hanging out. I'm really tempted to
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: do it. Let me just let me check on an
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: action network here real quick. I might I might give
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: out an extra play on the fly here. If I
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: do this is gonna be my weakest of the three plays, though.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Let me see here, Cubs, what are we doing the
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: afternoon game here? To some extent, I mean, actually, network
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: never really got like, I don't really trust the numbers
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: that they have out here because they like look at
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: that initial move as being a sharp move, but it
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: could be kind of like a false move there. Yeah,
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: you know what, let's do it. Let's do the Cubs.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: We'll have three plays today, so that's gonna be Cubs
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: minus one eighteen. I think it's probably the best you
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: can get on that right now. We're going balls to
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: the wall here today. Man, Chicago Cubs minus one eighteen. Actually,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: let me specify game one, Game one, Chicago Cubs minus
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: one eighteen. So that's gonna be our after noon game
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: doubleheader right there. Chicago Cubs. Game two, by the way,
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: very difficult to handicap. Neither team has an announced starting
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: pitcher yet in Game two, so Game two I really
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: just can't even handicap it any extent, really, So Game
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: two will skip that one. Skip the Game two Ussie.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: The game Pussy Houston at Detroit starts the evening slate. Here.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: Detroit is returning home from a road trip. Or they
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: went to Chicago, Minnesota, not a huge road trip, but
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: anytime a team returns home from a road trip, I
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: do have to point out that they tend to be
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: potentially a little bit distracted because they have to return
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: to family life. But they are facing Houston. Houston and
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Detroit a couple of the top teams in the AL
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: right now, so it is a big series. So I
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: don't really think Detroit's gonna be totally distracted and just
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: overlook Houston. Houston starting a road trip after a really
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: ugly twelve nothing lost to Baltimore. They got shut out
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: in two of the three games against Baltimore, and that's
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: just hideous, terrible series from Houston. So I think Houston
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: is gonna show up in this game with some fire here.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna be pissed, like you can't lose
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: like that to a bad team like Baltimore. So I
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: think getting out of home, just going on the road,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: I think that's a good spot for Houston. So situationally,
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: I kind of have a lean towards Houston just looking
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: at what's going on with the Yeah, just with the
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: scheduling spot there for Houston. Houston used a lot of
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday. They've had a pretty heavy usage of
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: their bullpen recently. They're pretty taxed, so I don't love
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: that aspect of it. Whereas Detroit, the game was just
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: a blowout game after Paddock basically made sure they were
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: not gonna win that game. So Detroit just brought in
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Bailey Horn, who didn't help us with our over yesterday,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: I guess, but Detroit's bullpen is in way better shape
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: coming into this one, even though Houston actually has the
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: better of the two bullpens generally, although Houston's kind of
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: dropped off a little bit, but Detroit's really seen a
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: drop off in their bullpen. But I will give Detroit
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: the bullpen edge here slightly just because they have the
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: uh a much more rested bullpen here. As far as
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching, Spencer arrag Getty is pitching for Houston,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: he hasn't really gotten on track here. He's missed a
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: lot of the season though I do think he's a
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: young guy with a decent amount of talent. Though six
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: point three eighty RA at one point four to seven
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: whip not really very good obviously, twelve point two seventy
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: RA on the road, that's gonna have to get better,
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: but very small sample size. I mean, he said two
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: starts on the road, but they were against bad teams
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: in Minnesota and Miami, and he did bad in both
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: of those starts, so that's not exactly a good sign.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: And another bad sign is that he walked five guys
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: in his last outing against the Red Sox. So Aragetty
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: He's just not really a good form right now going
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: up against Detroit. Only six at bats for Detroit against
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: him across five different hitters, but they have actually completely
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: bombed him for the most part Riley Green as two
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: of them runs off him. They have three walks against him,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: one strikeout, six sixty seven batting average against him in
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: two thousand six hunder eleven ops. Obviously that's not sustainable.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: But Aragedtty small stample size has really struggled against Detroit.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: Jack Flaherty is pitching for Detroit. He's definitely he had
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: some issues this year. Four point seven sixy RA one
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: point three to one whip not very good, but he
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: does pitch better at home. Three point seven to ninety
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: ra at home? Is that what that was? I think? So? Ah,
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: yes and Flaherty. I mean, his recent form is a
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: little bit difficult to gauge because you look at this month,
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: he has a sixteen to five strike at walk ratio,
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: which is pretty good, but his last two starts he
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: gave up five and runs a piece, failed to go
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: five innings in either of them, and that was against
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and the White Sox, so two pretty bad teams there,
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: really bad offenses, especially Chicago the White Sox so Flowerty
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: is not really in good form either, but he does
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: have I believe he does have a little bit of
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: a match up bad year. His numbers are the better
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: numbers between the two starters, and he's I would say
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: he's still in slightly better for him than Erik Getty
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: is right now. Seventy nine at bats Flaherty has against Houston,
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: twenty three to three strike out walk ratio is pretty
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: good two forty one batting average allowed, six eighty six
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: o ps. So the situation kind of points towards Houston
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: in this game. But I think the starting pitching matchup
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: and the bullpen rest edges fairly decidedly in favor of
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: Detroit in my opinion, and the money is coming in
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: on Detroit. Detroit is definitely better at home. I think
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Detroit also has the better offense. Detroit's up from minus
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: one thirty eight to minus one, fifty seventy of the
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: cash on them fifty two tickets on Houston. So it
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: does look like Houston is public. So even though it
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: is a Detroit return home spot, I think I'm gonna
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: say I'll lean with the market in this one. It
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: leads to Detroit here offense. There isn't a huge disparity
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: here in the stats either, but I do think we
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: have to give the offensive edge to Detroit there all right.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Next up is Saint Louis and Miami, and I'm gonna
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: save the other best bets for the end, I guess.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: But I did give out one bet already on Chicago
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: because they owned the Cubs, because they gave it out
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: on the fly. Miami. They were returning over from a
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: road trip as well. They just had a long road trip. Actually,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: they went to Atlanta, Cleveland, and Boston, and they had
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: a pretty poor road trip. They only won three games
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: on the road trip. They won one game in each series, unfortunately,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: winning dramatically with a three run home run or whatever,
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: a three run ninth with a home run in it
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: to beat the Red Sox after Garat Crochet put the
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: Red Sox in position to win that game, and the
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: Red Sox bullpen completely blew it, which I'm pissed about obviously,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: because the Yankees wound up winning in the ninth inning
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: as well with a four run ninth, and the Red
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Sox blew their game in the ninth, so Miami is
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: coming in with a little bit of momentum after they stopped.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: They're a lost streak, but it's still a return home
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: spot for Miami. I don't know that Miami is really
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for a Saint Louis team where both
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: of these teams are out of it, so I don't
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: really know how important this game really is to either
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: team necessarily, so Miami, they might fall into that distracted
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: spot in the return home spot. It's not really a
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: great spot for Miami. As far as the bullpens are concerned,
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Miami I believe used less of theirs yesterday and think
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: there's two relief pitchers yesterday, so their bullpen is less
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: used up right now that Saint Louis is. And remember
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis did trade a couple of their best relief
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: pitchers away at the trade deadline. Although generally Saint Louis
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: does actually have the better bullpen the ra in the
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: year fairly significantly so, so Saint Louis does have a
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: little bit of a better bullpen, but again the rest
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: Sinnario kind of cancels that out a little bit. As
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: far as the hitting is concerned, I don't think either
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: team is a particularly good offense at this point. Miami
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: actually has the slightly better offensive numbers this year at
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: this point, but it's not really that significant as far
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: as the pitching matchup. Matthew lieber Torre is pitching for
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals four point eighty R and the season one
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: point two to nine WHIP. His numbers are very mediocre,
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: but he is actually better on the road three point
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: five to nine roady ra This month, he has not
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: been good though. He's actually gone five starts in a
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: row now going back into last month, where he hasn't
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: even gone five innings in any of them. That's not
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: a good sign. This month five to four strike a
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: walker show not a good sign. So Libratore, he's not
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: getting you deep into games, man, He's not really getting
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: the job done right now. He's not in good form
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: in my opinion up against Miami. Miami has barely seen him.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: Though Miami only has five at bats off him. Three
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: hitters have faced him. They're one for five with three
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: strike cuts against him. So Libratore does have the advantage
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: of the split being in favor of him being on
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: the road, and he has a little bit of an
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: unfamiliarity edge there, and like I say, when pitchers are
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar to the opposing lineup, sometimes the opposing lineup can
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: kind of struggle early on because they have to kind
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: of figure him out. You're a Perez is pitching for
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: the Marlins. He's a really good young pitcher man. I mean, obviously,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: if you watch my show, you know that I am
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: a Perez fan. Three point five EIGHTRA point nine to
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: eight whip is really good. He has the advantage of
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: his home road splits as well, with a two point
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: eight RA at home. He's been really good at home.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: He had one shaky start recently against Atlanta, but other
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: than that, he's been good recently as well. He's allowed well,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: I would he allowed two or fewer earned runs and
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: a whole bunch of starts in a row up until
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: the last two starts, So yeah, he's I guess you
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: could argue he's falling out of for him a little bit,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: but I would push back against that because even though
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: he allowed four earned runs against Cleveland last time out,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: and I know Cleveland is a bad offense, but two
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: he allowed to of them runs in that game, so
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: he got kind of unlucky like when the hits came
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: against him and he had eight strikeouts and no walks,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: so I think that indicates that his control was there.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: So I don't think that was as bad as a
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: start as it looked like it was. So I think
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: he's kind of returning back into form here and up
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: against the Saint Louis Cardinals. Here, they don't have a
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: huge history against him either because he is a young guy.
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: They only have thirteen at bats, two hits off him,
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: seven strikeouts, one walk, a one fifty four average four
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: to forty five oh ps. I think Perez does match
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: up fairly well there as well, So looking at the
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: unfamiliarity aspect of this, I actually think an under maybe
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: is worth look, especially in the first five innings of
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: this game. Just going with the starting pitching matchup, we
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: do see seventy six percent of tickets on the over,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: but eighty three percent of the cash coming in on
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: the under. I would probably agree with that, but the
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: total is down from eight to seven and a half
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: juice to the over. So the problem is you can't
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: really trust these bullpens that much. So if you do
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: want to go under, I mean a first five inning
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: kind of makes more sense even though you do get
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: the better of the key number seven on the full game.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, I wouldn't really beat you up over it
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: if you did go that way. If you go under
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings, you should probably try to
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: get under four or so in the first five innings.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: But I would worry a little bit about that, just
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: because I still don't know if you could really trust
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: libratory right now. That's kind of the issue there. And again,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: if he doesn't go deep into the game, the bullpen
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: has to come in for Saint Louis somewhere around the
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: middle of the game. That makes the full game under
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: a little bit diceier. Uh. Miami also has the money
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: coming in on them on the side up for minus
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: one twenty seven of minus one forty six, fifty four
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, fifty percent of the
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: tickets evenly split or excuse fifty per tickets on Saint Louis.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, So the money is coming in on Miami.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with that either. I think Miami
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: with a bullpen rest edge there with being at home
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: with your perez. I think being the better of the
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: two starters, I don't really disagree with the Miami side
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: either with the matchup, but I really really am rarely
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: gonna play on a team that's returning on from a
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: road trip, so I don't like that JC. What's up man?
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, Pete. What's up man, Pete mcgaha,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: that's right? Uh make uh? I don't even know. I
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: was gonna try to come up with some make America
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Great Again variation there, but I don't know. You're on Wait,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: you said you're on over in this one. You went
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: over in the Miami game. Perez. Yeah, Perez is awesome. Man.
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: I don't really like the over im and I still
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: lean to the under. But if you got wait a minute,
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: what are you talking about? You got eight point five
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: eight and a half? What game you talk? What game
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: you're talking about? I don't even know this game wasn't
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: at eight and a half, right? I think it was
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: eight and then it dropped to seven and a half,
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: but I could be wrong about that. But anyway, thanks
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: for hanging out, man. I was yeah mcgaham mcgaha. I'm
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: trying to figure out what the acronym would be there,
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Make Canada Great and Healthy again? How about that. Oh okay,
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: you took an alternate line. Yeah, that makes sense. You
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: have to pay more to get it, you actually, but
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: you took an alternate line over, so you're getting like
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: plus money on going over the eight and a half. Interesting?
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: Uh all right, yeah, I mean I don't really agree
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: with it generally as far as like I do think
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: the game is gonna be lower scoring. But yeah, okay,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: all right, is that really a last name? Mcgaha? Mcgaha
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: sounds gayer if I say it that way, But uh,
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Toronto at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is returning over from a road
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: trip as well, where they went to Milwaukee and the Cubs,
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: so Pittsburgh doesn't have a whole lot left to play for,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: and they are coming off two big divisional series against
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: the two best teams of the division. So Pittsburgh did
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: step it up in some of those games. They played
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: pretty competitively against the Cubs. So for this game, it
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: does look like to me they might not really be
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: in the greatest spot here. This could be a distracted
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: return home spot for Pittsburgh here, even though Toronto is
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: still leading to Al East. I'm pretty sure Toronto potentially
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: could overlook Pittsburgh though, and Toronto just lost a three
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: game win streak with a loss yesterday against Texas. But
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: the question is losing win streak like that, does that
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: mean it's gonna hang them over into this next game?
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: Or are they gonna be focused again because they lost
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: so badly yesterday ten to four and they're starting a
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: road trip here. Does that mean Toronto's gonna show up
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: focused here? I don't know. I could see it going
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: either way. Man, It's actually a pretty difficult game to
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: gauge here. As far as the usage for the bullpens, yesterday,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: we had three relief pitchers under the game for Pittsburgh. Yes,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: they're actually four, I think is what that was. Toronto
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: used more of their bullpen though they used five relievers
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: it looks like yesterday. As far as the bullpens generally,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: I think I'm still gonna give the edge to Toronto's bullpenal.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: They've slipped quite a bit recently, but Pittsburgh's has kind
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: of fallen off as well. So not great bullpens here,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: but Toronto does have the better of the two bullpens.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: Toronto obviously has the better offense, Pittsburgh is essentially the
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: worst in all of baseball. Gousman pitching for Toronto here
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: three point seven to ninety RA, one point zero five
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: WHIP on the season, pretty good. Numbers better on the
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: road as well, three point four to eighty R on
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: the road. He's been in decent form this month of
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: the set a sixteen to three strike a walk ratio
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: three point sixty R, and he's gone seven innings a
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: piece in his last two starts, allowing two or fewer runs,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: including a game at Course Field in another game against
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: the Cubs, so that's a decent sign. I guess He's
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: allowed three or fewer earn runs in all but one
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: start going all the way back, including his last start
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: in June. So Gousman, Yeah, he's in pretty good for
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: him right now. He's facing a really bad Pittsburgh lineup.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: But interestingly, his numbers are not good against Pittsburgh, with
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: the only four of their hitters have seen it before
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: there they have fifty five at bats against him, they
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: have a three sixty four batting average in a one
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: thy sixty one ohps and four homers against it, with
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: two from Kiner Filaifa and four walks and thirteen strikeouts.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: So Goussman actually doesn't have great matchup numbers here against Pittsburgh,
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: and he's going up against Paul Skeans, who, even though
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: he doesn't get a lot of runs support because Pittsburgh
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: blows and they probably like focus even less on their
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: offense when they know Skeens is pitching. Skeens, I mean,
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: I love Skeens. I feel bad for him that he's
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: in such a bad situation here on such a bad team.
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: But he's doing really well again this year two point
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: one to three ERA point nine to six whip. He's
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: been better at home too, with a one point seven
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: ERA at home. They're limiting his pitch count a bit, though,
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: and he's been a little bit worse recently, So I
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: don't really feel like throwing money or you know, just
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: giving out a play in Pittsburgh either here. But Skeens,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously he is Skeens. He's been good for
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: most of the season. They've been limiting his pitch count
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: a little bit recently, although he has thrown over ninety
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: pitches in his last three starts. But I think Pittsburgh
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: they really don't want to like totally burn him out though,
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: because he's still a young guy that throws one hundred
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: miles an hour. He does have a twenty to four
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: strike a walk race just still this month, which is good.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: But he allowed four and runs a piece against Colorado
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: and Milwaukee, although I guess you could kind of you
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: could argue that, you know, you can kind of give
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: him a pass for those because one was a course
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: field and the other was against Milwaukee. He was just
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: a super hot team Milwaukee with a good offense, So
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: maybe you give him a pass for those outings Against
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: the Blue Jays, they basically haven't seen him before. Only
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: France has ever faced him before and he's one for
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: two with a strikeout. So based on that starting pitching matchup,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: I could still see the argument that you could lean
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: towards Pittsburgh in the first five innings here, and that
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: might actually be if you want to play this game.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: That might actually still be the way I would recommend
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: playing this, But I really don't love playing teams like
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh on the return home spot there, like it would
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: be purely a starting pitching matchup edge that Skemes might
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: have there, But everybody knows how good Schemes is at
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: this point, so you never really get that much value
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: on him anymore. But Pittsburgh did drop from minus one
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: twenty seven to minus one oh seven on the money line,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash on them, sixty one
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on Toronto. So Toronto is the
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: public team, which obviously that makes sense they will be because
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has a terrible record. Uh so maybe in this case,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could take a flyer on Pittsburgh in
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: the first five. The money is also coming into the
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: under as the totals flip from a very low already
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: seven juice to the over to seven juice to the under,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of tickets on the over ninety percent
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the under. I would worry about
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: the under here just because Gussman, I mean, his matchup
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: numbers just don't look good. But of course it is
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: excuse me, it is certainly possibly comes out to just
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: pitch as well. I mean, Pittsburgh's offense sucks, so I
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: mean you have to kind of weigh everything together there.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: But it's a difficult game to figure out there. You
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: passed on that game, Yeah, I am also gonna give
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: out a pass on that game Seattle at Philadelphia this
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: is a game where Seattle. They played in the night
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: game last night in ESPN. And by the way, I
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: forgot to even mention on the show yesterday because I
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: completely forgot that that was the stupid Little League Classic game.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: So it was not at the Mets stadium. It was
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: actually in whatever, like Williams Support, Pennsylvania or whatever the
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: hell it is, So it wasn't at the Mets home
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: stadium even though it was a Mets home game, semi
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: home game. I guess whatever Mets wound up winning the game,
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: it was a big game for Seattle. Nonetheless, stone teams
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: that come off that night game, I tend to look
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: to fade those teams because it's a big primetime game.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: There's a lot of fanfare I guess around the it
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: being the Little League game and whatever. I think players
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: usually kind of hang around and sign stuff for the
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: Little League player like when being like a cool thing whatever.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Because it's during the Little League World Series that's going
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: on right now, so Seattle's coming off that and with
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: a short turnaround time, not huge travel, just going from
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: being in Pennsylvania already, or even if they were in
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: New York, it wouldn't really matter they're just going to Philadelphia,
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: so it's a short travel a short trip for Seattle here,
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: but again short turnaround time there with Philadelphia having a
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: little bit more time to rest here. But Philadelphia is
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: returning over from road trips, so it's not like Philadelphia
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: is in a good spot either. They went to Texas, Cincinnati,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: Washington on the road trip, so the last leg of
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: this trip isn't that long, but again, Phillias are turning
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip here, so it is a
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: little bit of a bad spot for both teams. So
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: I can't really take you know, like, sometimes I'll look
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: at the situation be like, holy shit, the situation's really
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: bad for one team. I want to play on the
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: other team. But in this case, it's pretty bad for
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: both teams. And again, the return home spot contend to
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a distraction spot. So when both
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: teams are kind of in bad spots like that, I
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: think it can kind of affect the hitting more than
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: anything else. So I kind of tend to think that
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: the hitting might actually be a little bit poorer in
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: this game. So I'm like, I don't know, maybe an
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: under kind of makes sense in this game, But you
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: got to take everything that's going on in this game,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: like maybe I look at every piece of the matchup
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: and maybe like I weigh one part of the matchup
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: too much over another. Because I'm not having a great
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: baseball season, I'll just put it out there. But I've
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: been decent recently, at least in baseball is usually good
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: for me. Philadelphia has the worst of the two bullpens.
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen's not great. These five relief pitchers. Yesterday, Seattle
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: only used two, so Seattle does have a bullpen advantage.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia has the better offense, and they're pretty good at
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: home too, so Philadelphia does have the offensive edge on
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: the surface. Between the two starters, I prefer Logan Gilbert
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: off for Seattle out of the two. He has good
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: numbers on the season three point three to one ERA,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: point nine to eight WHIP and even a whip below one.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's really really good man, basically elite. But
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: Gilbert is not as good away from Seattle. I mean,
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: every Seattle pitcher is pretty much better at home. He
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: is pretty significant home road splits four point eight six
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: ERA in the road would make me a little bit
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: hesitant to want to back Seattle. Here is because he
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: isn't as good on the road. He is in pretty
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: good for him recently though, three starts this month, he
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: has a nineteen to five strike a walk ratio three
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: point one two ERA. It's against bad offenses though, Texas, White,
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: Sox Baltimore, so he's stepping way up in class to
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: have to face this Philadelphia lineup here. But he is
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: still in good form right now, so Ken, you got
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: to kind of weigh those conflicting factors there. But his
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: numbers are actually good in his career against the Phillies
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: hitters seventy eight at bats, he has a ridiculous twenty
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: six to two strike a walk ratio against them two
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: point five average, a lot of five forty six ops.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: So Gilbert may actually do fairly well here in this
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: game against Philly, going up against ron Your Suarez, who
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: if you watch my show and you know that, I
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: don't totally buy Suarez. Like beginning of last year, he
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: was really hot. He had a really hot stretch this year.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: But I don't think he's quite as good as that.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: I think he's okay. I think he's still not quite
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: as good as his numbers are this year. Three point
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: two eighty RA. His whip is up to one point two,
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: so it is climbing a bit. He's actually worse at
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: home as well, four point four to seven e RA
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: at home. So again, as far as the total is
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: concerned on this game, I mean, I would be pretty
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: hesitant to want to try to go with an under
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: in this game. Suarez is not a good form right
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: now either. He's the pitchers in the worst form. As
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: I said, his numbers are starting to get worse. He
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: does have an eleven to two strike up walk race
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: here this month, so he's not walking guys, but he's
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: allowing a lot of hard contact. He's allowed a lot
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: of runs, five or more on runs and two straight
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: starts against Baltimore, which is not a good sign, and
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: then at Cincinnati, which I know is a hitter friendly park,
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: but he's still allowed ten hits in five and a
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: third innings in that game, in addition to those two
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: walks that he issues. He's really not an excellent form
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: right now at all. Up against Seattle, his numbers are
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: pretty mediocre and forty at bats two seventy five average allowed,
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: seven eighty five ops. Has a bit on the high
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: side thirteen to two strike a walk RACEO is pretty good,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: but matchup numbers I think kind of point towards Seattle
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: being the having the starting pitching edge here as well.
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: So I mean, all that being said, I guess I
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: would give on a slight lean on Seattle in this
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: game because I do think they have the pitching edge
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: kind of across the board in this game, Philly is
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: up for minus one ten to minus one twelve. But
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: you know, Philadelphia is going to be a public team.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Even though Seattle does have those offensive players like Raleigh
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: that tend to get a lot of public attention, Philadelphia
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: they're just kind of always a public team. They're always
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: kind of a name team with a like known for
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: having a good offense. Sixty six percent of tickets only
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the cash on Philly, so they
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: are the public team. The money seemed like it dropped
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: the total down from eight to seven and a half,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: but we see well eighty eight percent of tickets eight
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: to nine percent of the cash on the over, so
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: the over is definitely a public type of play there.
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to touch the total in this game, really,
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: I mean it's the books are putting out a low
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: total for a reason, because they think this may actually
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: be a starting pitching duel in some ways. But I
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: would not want to risk an under in that game
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: at all. I think if you want to play that game,
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: Seattle would be the way to go. Baltimore and my
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: bust In Red Sox. I'm gonna skip for a minute
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: because that is gonna be one of my plays for
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: the best Bets segment. Trying to get this done. Man, Monday,
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: I usually have shorter we can usually have a shorter
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: show on Monday. But still a lot of baseball games here.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: White Sox at Atlanta. I mean, this is a bad game, dude.
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: I mean you got two teams that are totally out
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: of it. Trying to gauge motivation in a game like
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: this is difficult. Although Atlanta is actually playing some pretty
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: good baseball right now, winning five games in a row
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: and coming off a sweep of Cleveland, but they're returning
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip that took them to the
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: Mets in Cleveland and they won all but the first
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: game of that entire road trip, and now they're returning
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: home to face a very bad White Sox team. So
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: it could be a distraction spot for Atlanta here man
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: returning home, nothing really to play for. You're playing one
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: of the worst teams in baseball. I mean, probably doesn't
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: look like that Atlanta's really gonna get up for the
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: White Sox. They're in the middle of a road trip.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: They just get swept by Kansas City. The White Sox
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: I believe, have lost eight games in a row at
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. Now, which I forgot to mention yesterday, but
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: they really really played poorly in Kansas City. But the
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: White Sox have been really bad last couple of years anyway,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: So they're continuing a road trip. Maybe it'll be good
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: for the White Sox to just get out of Kansas
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: City and just get a fresh start here. Basically, you know,
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: in some aspects, but Atlanta has got to have the
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: matchup edge in this game, though, I mean, they're obviously
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: still the better team. They have the better talent, Atlanta
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: has the better offense, they have a better bullpen as well,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: and they have the better starting pitcher as well. So
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: Atlanta basically has the edge across the board in this game,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: except for the fact that they're returning home from a
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: road trip. But the matchup edge is all one sided
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: on Atlanta. Yendriss Gomez is pitching for the White Sox.
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: If that's even how you pronounce it, Jendres Gomez. I
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: would not trust this guy at all for the White
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: so five point five six ERA, one point five to
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: four whip obviously not good numbers here. He's been bad
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: on the road this year, nine point eight two ERA
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: on the road. He's still a young guy. He was
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: on Uh, he's been on a bunch of different teams.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: He was on the Yankees for a few seasons and
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: just made very limited appearances. Started this season with the Yankees,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: and then I guess he got traded to the Dodgers,
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: and then he got traded to the White Sox. So
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: he's been all over the place here, really stepping down. Man,
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna be really excited to
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: be on the White Sox after he was on the
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Yankees and the Dodgers. Oh, I was on those two
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: contenders and now I'm on this team. Oh my god.
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: He's only had one really bad outing with the White
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: Sox so far, the which was against the Cobs, a
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: good hitting lineup, and other than that, he's actually been
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: fairly good, surprisingly at his last outing, he actually went
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: five innings. He actually had a full starter's workload in
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: that game, even though he's been a relief pitcher for
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: like his entire major league career. I think seven to
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: one strike a walk ration, only allowed one hit and
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: one and run against Detroit. I mean, that's that's a
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: pretty impressive outing. I mean, not gonna lie so he does.
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: He does apparently have some ability here. Man, that's not
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: too bad. He's facing Atlanta now, who doesn't have as
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: good of an offense as Detroit does. And Lanta's got
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: four hitters who have seen him before. They're only one
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: for six off and three strikeouts and two walks, no
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: extra base hits, so very limited sample size that Gomez
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: has actually pitched well against them. So is it possible
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: that Gomez actually pitches well in this game? It is possible.
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: On the surface, it looks like it's a complete mismatch
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: between him and Strider though, because Strider is the much
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: more proven pitcher. But Stryder's numbers are really starting to
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: fall apart. Like he seemed like he was back, and
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: for him, he was injured coming into the season, and
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: then it seemed like he had gotten himself totally back
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: on track, but recently he's been awful again. Is he
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: raised up to four point six' nine one point three
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: to six whip By no means DO i Think strider
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: is as bad as those numbers would. Suggest right? Now
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: he is better at home three point seven to forty.
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: ERA i still Think strider is, good but his starts
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: this month have been. Atrocious he hasn't gone five innings
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: in either. Start he's given up five home runs this,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: month still has eight strikeouts but three. Walks he's gonna
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: got thirteen eor in runs and eight and two thirds,
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: innings nineteen. HITS i, mean he's getting absolutely. Rocked but
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: it was Against milwaukee and The, mets and we know
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: obviously The White sox are a way worse offense than those,
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: two so he is stepping way down in class to
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: face This White sox. Lineup but The White sox limited
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: playing time for, sure only three inters have seen, him
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: but they're actually three for ten off, them with a
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: couple of, doubles but also six strikeouts and no. Walks so,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: again very small sample. Size take what you will away from,
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: that BUT i mean my instinct on this is kind
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: of that just the fact That gomez has pitched a
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: little bit. Better these teams kind Of strider could bounce
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: back a little bit against this bad. OFFENSE i, mean
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot of familiarity with these. Pitchers
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: doesn't under actually makes sense in this? GAME i, mean
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: the money seems like it came in on the over
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: a little, bit up to eight and a half juice
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: to the over eighty percent tickets eighty three percent of the.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: Cash But i'm thinking, OVER i, mean excuse, me under
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: might be a better way of looking at this. Game
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: but maybe you want to do it in the first
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: five innings BECAUSE i don't really love these. Bullpens atlanta
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: used four relief pitchers. Yesterday The White sox all used.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: Threes their usage wasn't that. High But White sox pullpen's
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: really bad, Too so maybe an under in the first
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: five actually kind of makes sense in this. Game atlanta
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: obviously is a huge, favorite and probably unjustifiably huge down
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: for minus one ninety five to minus one ninety seventy
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets only sixty three percent of the.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: Cash it's because it's stride or, against you, know basically
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: a converted. Reliever So atlanta basically has to be favored like.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: That BUT i don't know if it's. Justified, MAN i,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: Mean atlanta's been so bad this season record, wise it's
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: probably not. Justified even, though as we keep Saying atlanta
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: talent wise and the run differential, wise they are actually
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: better than the record makes them. Look texas is At Kansas.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: City Kansas city staying at, home playing pretty decent baseball right.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: Now they're still kind of in the hunt, actually So
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: Kansas city still has something to play, for so Does.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: TEXAS i think they're both kind of on the on
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: the verge, there maybe getting back into the playoff race.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: There Kansas city has won five of their last. Six
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: they did just sweep The White. SOX i don't think
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: they're going to be feeling high on themselves after sweeping
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: The White. Sox texas coming in after breaking a four
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: game loss street they Beat toronto. Yesterday they are having
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: to travel From toronto To Kansas city, though so it's
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: not exactly a great travel spot For. Texas but they
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: did end their losing momentum, there so that might Help
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: texas a little. Bit as far as The bullpens are,
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: Concerned texas used three relief pitchers. Yesterday Kansas city use,
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: four AND i would Say texas does have the better
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: of the two. Bullpens there fifth in bullpenny ra so
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: they are the better of the. Two Kansas city. Ninth
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: texas And Kansas city both have really weak offenses. Too
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: texas is fourth worst offense in all of. Baseball Kansas
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: city is, whatever that is seventh worst than all of.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: Baseball so we have a couple of pretty good bullpends
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: a couple of bad, offenses which makes you think maybe
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: you want to look towards an under in this. Game
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: but the totals at nine and a, half which is
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: kind of disrespecting the two starting, pitchers and maybe Maybe
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: lighter deserves some. DISRESPECT i don't know for other rangers,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Here Jack, Lighter, zach what's up, Man? Zach The royals
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: fan of, Course Jack. LIGHTER i mean his three point
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: nine to four is, good but his one point three
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: to four whip is not. Good he is a guy with.
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: TALENT i mean he could throw, hard but he walks
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: way too many. Guys, Man he's got a four point
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: SIX era on the, road which is not. Good this
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: is also a picture friendly, park by the, way which
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: makes the under seem even more tempting. Here But Jack
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: lighter has been in bad. Form. Man he's only made
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: it five innings once in any start this month as
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: a thirteen and nine strike a walk. Ratio even though
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: he hasn't allowed many, runs he's allowed two or fewer
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: in every. Outing he's just not getting deep into. Outings
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: he's walking way too many. Guys he's walked three or
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: more in every start but his most recent, one going
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: all the way back into basically Early. July so that's
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: a pretty bad. Sign lighter is not in good form right.
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: Now he is Facing Kansas, city, though which is a
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: really bad. Lineup where are we at? Here come, on
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: where's the K? C what there? Are? Uh, so going
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: up Against Kansas City lighter he actually hasn't done that
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: well against them. Either in twenty one at bats they
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: have three home runs off, him though of course two
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: of them Are perez three point thirty three average allowed
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: one two forty eight oh ps and only a two
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: to two strike a walk. Ratio So lighter has not
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: been very good Against Kansas. City he's going up Against Michael,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: walker WHO i think probably does have the starting pitching
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: edge here three point three FIVE era one point one five,
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: whips so he is the pitcher that has the way better.
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: Whip he has the better of the splits home and road.
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: Too he's better at home two point six seventy are
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: eight at. Home he's also in the better form and
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: than eleven to two strike a walk ratio this. Month
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: he doesn't really strike guys, out but not putting a
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: lot of guys on. Base he's allowed two or fewer
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: on runs in six straight starts. Now his team has
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: actually won four starts in a row behind, him even
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: though they usually don't give him any run, support so
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: that's a decent. Sye walka is in pretty good for
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: him right. Now he is pitching well Against. Texas he
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: has mediocre numbers in nine to nine at, bats twenty
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: five to seven strike a walk, ratio two point fifty
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: three batting average, allowed which is pretty, low and seven
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: to sixty seven oh ps is a little bit high
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: because he's allowed four home runs against, them two to
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: the Jockstrap Jock. PETERSON i hope that is his, nickname
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: Jocketch Jock. Peterson SO i Think waka does have the
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: starting pitching edge here, Though SO i MEAN i would
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: kind of be tempted to slightly lean To Kansas city
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings BECAUSE i think that's maybe
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: the biggest edge that exists in this, game is that's
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup For Kansas, city plus they have the travel.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: Edge but the money's coming in On. Texas Kidsas city
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: up for minus one twenty or down for minus one
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: twenty seven To minuts won twenty six on the money,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: line excuse, me sixty percent of tickets on, them but
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash On. Texas so the
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: money is coming in On. Texas pretty strong market read
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: actually On. Texas, Again i'm staying away from this. ONE
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: i don't want to recommend. It and the total went
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: up a little bit to nine and a, half which
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: seems crazy high to me for these two bad, offenses
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: two decent, Bullpens and really the only component THAT i
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: see really being against an under here is the fact
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: That lighter isn't very. Good but we have sixty six
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety three percent of the cash on
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: cash on the, over so the over is taking. Money
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: do with that information what you. Will that's not gonna
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: be a play for. Me Milwaukee Chicago, CUBS i told
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: you what that night game in the double head or
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: we don't even know who the starters. Are we don't
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: know what the bullpen scenario is going to be like
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: after they play the first, game so almost impossible to
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: handicap that. Game dodgers At, Colorado oh, Boy, COLORADO i,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: mean we know how bad they, are even though they're
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: a little bit better at. Home they actually just swept or,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: no they didn't Sweet, arizona excusing they won three to
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: four Against, arizona But colorado's actually won five of their
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: last six. Games colorado actually playing a little bit better baseball.
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: Recently but The dodgers obviously have something to play. For
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: The dodgers are trying to win this. Division colorado the
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: only thing they have to play for is to spoil
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: The dodgers', season but of course that is a motivating Factor.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: Colorado with The dodgers coming into their, Place colorado probably
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: will show up with motivation as. Well but The dodgers
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: may not Overlook colorado's because they do need to keep.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: Winning but they are maybe in a letdown spot, too
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: because The dodgers just Swept San diego to retake the
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: lead in THE Nl, west, big big series that they
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: just Swept, Man so The dodgers could definitely be in
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: a letdown, spot even though a lot of times the
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: team will carry momentum out on the. Road That padre
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: series is way bigger than This Rocky series, is so
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: it's not really the greatest spot for The dodgers. Here
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: both bullpens are not, great although The dodgers two of
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen out of the, two even though it's
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: not very. Good they used four relievers yesterday five. Relievers
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: maybe that was That colorado used about the same amount
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: of their, bullpen which is a terrible. Bullpen so you
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: got to give The dodgers obviously they have the offensive.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: Edge they have the start starting pitching edge as, well
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: and you have to give them the bullpen edge as.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: Well So dodgers do have the edge across the. Board
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: but obviously they're gonna be a huge. Favorite. Here yamamoto
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: is pitching for. Them he is one of their best.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Starters two point eight FOUR era one point zero nine.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Whip he's really. Good, obviously he's actually better on the
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: road two point two EIGHTY r in the, road but
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: this is Cors, field but he did pitch there not
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: too long, ago and he actually shut them out for
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: five innings and only allowed one, hit six, strikeouts one,
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: walk so he seemed unfazed by pitching an elevation the
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: recent time that he was. There his most recent star
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: was actually, bad inexplicably bad At. Anaheim he gave up
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: six earned runs on five walks in four and two,
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Thirds so he had a pretty bad start one Against.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Anaheim but to me it looks like a little bit
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: of a blip because he was pitching pretty well before.
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: That he'd allowed three or fewer earned runs in every
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: start going all the way back into Mid. June it
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: was the last time he actually had a bad start
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: besides that, one SO i think he will bounce back.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: Here but, again it does look like kind of a
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: spot where The dodgers might kind of lapse and focus
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit A yamamoto's numbers against The rockies are only.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: Okay in twenty two at bats seven to zero strike
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio is. Good to seventy three batting average
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: is you, know mediocre, really and seven to twenty seven
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: ops kind of mediocre as. Well if you want to
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: look for a player Prop tovar Or tovar is six
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: for seven when the home run off him that's in
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: a Double those are kind of. Ridiculous stats man that
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: he's Hit yamamoto that, well don't know how that's the,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: case but still A yamamoto is the better of these two.
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: PITCHERS i, mean there's no doubt about. That up Against Kyle,
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: friedland who as far as The rockies pitchers, go he's
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: actually one of the better. Ones five point one one
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: point four to nine whip not awful as far As
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: rocky standards, go but he does pitch worse in course
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: field with a six point five TWO era here at.
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: Home not. Good coming up a nice seven and a
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: third inning shutout Against Saint, louis although he doesn't really
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: strike a lot of guys. Out he has a six'
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: four strike a walk ratio over his last couple, of
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: starts which isn't. Very good failed to go five innings
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: in the two starts prior to that most, Recent ONE
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: so i don't know if we're ready To say freeland's
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: really in good form or anything. Like that and going
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: up Against the dodgers obviously is not gonna, be easy
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: as numbers are mediocre. Against Them the dodgers have seen
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: a lot. Of them one hundred and thirty seven, at
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: bats thirty five to ten strike a walk ratios, all
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: right two fifty five average allowed, us alright and eight
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: twenty four oh ps is. Pretty High the dodgers have
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: twelve doubles and eight home runs, off him So the
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: dodgers have hit him for some. Power there, SO again
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: i wouldn't really want to Fee the, dodgers here even
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: though it does look like a spot where they may
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: be in a little bit of a, letdown spot but
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: they're up for my two forty minus two seventy five on.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: THE road, i mean you have one of the best
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: teams in baseball against the absolute warst so it does,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: Make SENSE but i don't think there's any way that
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: you could Play the dodgers. Like that ninety percent, of
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety seven percent of the cash. On them total's
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: gone up a little bit from ten and a half
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: to eleven all the way juice to the over actually
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent, of tickets only sixty four percent of
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: the cash on. The over probably wouldn't want to do,
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: that either just because there is the Possibility that yamamoto
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: does come out to pitch, well HERE although i wouldn't
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: really want to do anything with an under here Because
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: the dodgers could potentially score. A, lot STILL but i
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: would worry About the dodgers hitting a, little bit just
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: because they might be distracted off that good series that they.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Just HAD so, i, mean still if you really have
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: to play, this game probably the only way that you
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: can really play it Is the dodgers to go over their.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: Team total, but again because, THEY'RE distracted i might worry.
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: About that Cincinnati. At anaheim anaheim is staying On the.
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: West coast they are technically returning home from a road
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: trip from northern californ You, from sacramento from Playing, the
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: a's but not really a huge travel spot, For THEM
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: so i don't think they're really gonna be in that
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: like terrible unfocused about returning from a Road. Trip cincinnati
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna. Letdown spot they Just busted milwaukee's. Streak
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: man that was a, huge win huge dramatic Win for.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati yesterday they do get to carry that momentum out on, the,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: road though and sometimes you are focused when you're going on.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: The road cincinnati is still trying to fight for a
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: wild card, spot here so they do have some motivation
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: in that respect For his anaheim basically has nothing left
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: to play. For here but is? THAT enough i, don't
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: know because it does seem like it's kind of a
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: letdown Spot for cincinnati here the travel spot a little bit, Worse,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: there nate what's? Up man, thank you sir Toad of
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: i'm a? House toad what toad of the house toad
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: of all, The Toads? Brady, singer, well actually, hold on
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: let me look at the bullpen. Usage, First here cincinnati
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: they have the better of the. Two bullpens they didn't
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: used too much of their. Bullpen yesterday anaheim didn't use
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of. Theirs either the use, five relievers
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: three of them only through seven pitches, a piece so
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: any of those relievers might show up again in. This
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: one But still cincinnati has the better of the. Two
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: bullpends anaheims. Is bad as far as, the offense these offenses,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: are Close although anaheim has a slight offensive edge based
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: on the. Stats Here brady singer is pitching For the
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: reds here four point three TO one era in the
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: season one point three TO. One whip his numbers aren't great.
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: This year he's actually been really bad on, the road
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: Even though cincinnati's home stadium is pretty hit, her friendly
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: but he's been awful on the road for. Some reason
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: six point two era in, the road. Pretty bad he's
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: coming off a really nice Start against philadelphia, six innings
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: shut out with. Six strikeouts two of his last three
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: starts have been shutouts for six Innings against Philly, and
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: atlanta but both of them. At home his last two
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: roads starts have been Awful against Pittsburgh, and washington allowing
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: eleven earned runs combined over like. Six innings. That's awful
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: so for, some reason he's, just way way worse on.
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: The road and he had six walks compared to three
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: strikeouts in those. Two starts so very strange because his
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: last three home starts have, been excellent as last four
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: home starts have actually been, quite good and he had
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: a lot of strike cuts. In those, but man he
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: is so much worse on the ROAD that i don't
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: think you can really say he's in like very good
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: form or anything. Like that anaheim does not have a
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: whole lot of history. Against him they only have three
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: hitters who have seen him before thirty two, at bats
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: but they have, thirteen strikeouts five walks for Of the
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: mancada though two nineteen and average six to fifty. Five
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: Ops so singer is pretty unfamiliar, to them and he
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: has done pretty well against their hitters that have, seen
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: him so maybe he will do okay for. That REASON
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: and i don't really Trust what anaheim's doing here With
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: The victor madeiro is listed as their starter five point SIX,
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: three era one point. Five whip he's been a little
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: bit better at home five POINT, four era but HE'S really,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: i mean he's only thrown eight innings so far. This,
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: season man He's been he came out of A bullpen
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: i think a couple, of times and then he did
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: make a start Against the dodgers last, time out and
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: it was not totally successfully give up three on runs
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: at Four inn he's walked, three guys, three hits. THREE
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: strikeouts a lot of three is going on in. That
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: game but it Is. The dodgers they were a. Good
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: lineup red's line up not as good As, the, dodgers
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: obviously BUT madeiros, I mean i don't really. TRUST him
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: i mean his strike at walk racially on the season seven,
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: to seven that's. Not good so there's not a whole
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: lot to trust, with him and he's probably gonna be
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: out of the game, pretty early so you're probably gonna
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: get the bullpen coming in For, the angels which is
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: not a. Good Side the reds have Never faced, mideiro's
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: BEFORE but i still don't know if that's gonna help him.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: That much so even though it looks at kind of
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: a letdown Spot, for cincinnati, to me it looks like
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: they do have A matchup betch pretty much almost across the,
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: board here though aim does have a slightly, Better OFFENSE
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: so i, don't. Know man the, Pitching WISE cincinnati i
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: do think has the edge, pitching wise but the money's
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: coming in. Against them they're up from just one of
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: five minus one ten eighty two percent of tickets only
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of, The cash so it Looks like
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: anaheim is getting some professional money as the home. Underdog there,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: so again do with that information what. YOU will i
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: gotta try to lower my, voice, again man because my
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: voice has been really really. Strained recently it's just. REALLY bad,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: i mean it's just kind of the WAY that. I
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: talk but let me know if you can still hear
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: me at my lower voice level HERE because i really
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: got to try it on take a step back and
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: do something. About that the total in this game is
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: high to at nine and, a half with ninety percent
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: of tickets ninety nine percent of the cash on. THE
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: over i wouldn't really disagree with, an. OVER i'man i
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: think pretty much the pitching across the board is kind
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: of untrustworthy in, that GAME so i wouldn't really disagree.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: With that Cleveland, At arizona arizona's returning Home from Texas,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: and colorado so they are returning on from a. Road
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: trip arizona does have nothing to, play for but maybe
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: they'll be a little bit angry because they had a
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: bad Series. Against COLORADO but i, don't, know man it's
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: possible they just are kind of packing it in and
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: not playing. Well anymore cleveland And again arizona's it's kind
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: of a distractions spot because they are turning on from
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: a Road. TRIP cleveland i mean maybe in a, little
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: yeah they may be in a little bit of a Bounce.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: Back spotiers they are starting a road trip after getting
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: Swept by atlanta. At home so sometimes when you, do
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: that one of the best things for his is to
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: get out On. The road forget. About, it cleveland and
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: they could still make the, playoffs here but they're not
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: a very. Good team they're a very. Bad offense arizona
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: has the way better. Offense here cleveland does have the.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: BETTER bullpen, I mean arizona's bullpen, is terrible so all
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: that has to be kept. In Mind gavin williams is Pitching.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: For cleveland he's got. Okay numbers three point THREE eighty
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: ra is, pretty good but one point three to one
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: whip is not. Very good he's a little bit worse
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: Than the road three point six era On. The road
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: had a really bad start. LAST time i would only
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: lasted three Innings, against miami give it four, And runs
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: but remember he's a no hitter into the eighth inning
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: and the prior game Against, the mets and he actually
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: was one out away from having a No hitter i'm
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: pretty sure Against, the mets and a lot of losing
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: it right at, the END so i think he was
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: in a bit of a hangover spot. After that prior
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: to that, last start he actually had a few good
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: starts in. A row he actually had six starts in
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: a row where he allowed three or, fewer runs and
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: he allowed two or fewer in all but one, of
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: those so he was actually Pitching Better. SO williams i
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: don't trust, his whip but he does get a lot
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: of ground. Ball, outs yeah and he was pitching well
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: before that, last GAME which i think was kind of
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: explainable because he was coming off that huge game where
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: he almost got a. No HITTER so i think he
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: wasn't a. Letdown spot he may very well bounce, back
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: Here and arizona's never seen, him before so he may
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of an extra edge Here against
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: arizona just because they've never seen, him before and that
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: could be an edge to a young pitcher. Like that
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: he's going Up Against, zach gallon who is not having
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: a good season For. The diamondbacks five point three one
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: one point three to five whip on, the season that's.
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: Not good five point five ninety are, at home so
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: he is worse. At home arizona's won three starts in
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: a row. For him he's not been great over, that
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: span with only ten strikeouts and five walks in. Seventeen
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: innings that's, not great even though the ra's three point
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: one eight over. That span so he hasn't allowed a
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: lot of runs over his last, three starts three or
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: fewer in all, of them but not striking out a lot,
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: of guys walking too. Many GUYS so i would say
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: he's not really still in the greatest, form Here but
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: cleveland is a. Bad, offense however his numbers are not
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: very Good against cleveland and fifty two at bats to
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: eighty eight batting average allowed seven to seventy, Oh ps
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: so not great Numbers for gallon There. Against williams own by,
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: the way it looks Like maybe gallen is hurt or
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: being pushed back or Something because arizona and now is
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: undecided on a starter, OR so I think i would
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: Lean to cleveland in. This, game man If it's gallon
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: Or if arizona's going with like a spot starter or a,
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: BULLPEN game i think you gotta Lean. TO cleveland I
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: think cleveland does have the pitching edge across, the board
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: even though their offense. IS terrible i think they might
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of a situational. Edge too arizona
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: down for minus one twenty to minus one oh seven
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: total sitting. At nine but if you were gonna play,
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: This game i'd Probably. Say cleveland. Money line uh probably
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: can still get them in an, underdog PRICE and i
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: will have a play on this last game as well
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: as you can see in. My Title, uh so let's get.
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: To it we'll do the best bets And then i'll
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: talk about THE one nfl preseason, game tonight which is
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: not a whole lot going on, with that but. Best
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: bets let's do. Him in we ALREADY know i gave
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: Out The chicago Cubs in. Game one you can go
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: back towards the beginning of. THE show i give up
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: the analysis on that spur of the moment play On.
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: The cobs, next up We're gonna Baltimore and boston under
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: eight and. A half i'm gonna. Go UNDER and i
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: saw that even money, out there so if you can
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: find it, under nine you could do that to Him
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: in nine is a key number on a total in
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: baseball because it breaks a four to. Four tie so
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: if you want to try to find a nine, out
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: there you might have to pay a little bit extra.
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: For it it might be worth it looks like maybe
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: you can't, find that because right now it looks like
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: it was nine juice to the under for, a bit
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: but it drops pretty quickly to eight juice to, the
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: over but it looks like the money is coming in
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: on the under in. This game fifty six percent of
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: tickets on, the over seventy five percent of the cash on.
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: The UNDER and, i know playing in a game like
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: this on the under infaway park with at least one
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: Picture that i've even should on. A lot, I mean
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: i've shot on both of these guys on the, show
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: before But Especially dustin may was not a very. Trustworthy
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: starter it does look kind of weird to take an,
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: under HERE but i think this is a spot where
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: it makes sense to. Do So red sox are staying,
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: at home by, the way they're down for minus one
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: twenty minus one seventeen on the, money line but they
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: do have seventy one percent of the cash on them
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the Tickets. ON baltimore i think
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: the public is just kind of Looking at rogers having
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: the way better Ra, over MAY and i think the
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: public's kind of coming In on, baltimore here which As
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: A red, Sox fan i'm not, You know i'm not unhappy,
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: about that because hopefully the market is correct On The
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: red sox in, this Game but i'm not gonna be
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: playing the side in. This one i'm going with the
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: under in. This One The red sox are staying, at
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: home might be a little bit angry the way they
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: lost that game Yesterday. In miami baltimore is pretty hot. Right.
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: Now man they've won four of the last five Games
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: against Seattle, and houston so it's a pretty pretty, good
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: wins Especially, crushing houston shutting them out in those two
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: wins that they Got, against houston and the only loss
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: they had they barely lost a game five. To four
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: but they are having to travel Up to Boston, from
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: houston so the travel spot's not as Good for. Baltimore
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: here might effect they're hitting a, little bit, but again
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: we're gonna look At the we're gonna look at the.
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: UNDER here I know baltimore doesn't have a very, good
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: bullpen but they are rested, right NOW so I think
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: i'm okay with going full game. On this if you
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: want to go under in the first, FIVE innings i
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: think that's fine. As well baltimore's bullpen is not. VERY
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: good i understand that if you want To fade. BALTIMORE'S
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: bullpen i do get that they're not the absolute. WORST.
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: Bullpen o they're like SIXTH worst i know it's, still
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: bad but they're not in that like up rationaln of
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: like completely, unplayable bullpens And The red sox bullpen is actually,
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: pretty good so we'll keep them in. The equation they
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: didn't use a whole lot of their pen either over
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: the last couple. Of Days red. Sox shocking they actually
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: have the third best bullpen in all of baseball, right
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: now so we'll keep them in, the equation EVEN though
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: i Know The red sox too have a pretty good offense,
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: as well which you wouldn't think that they would really
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: because they have a lot of, young guys but they've.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: Really coalesced they have the sixth BEST offense. Ohps wise
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: but Of course baltimore's is. Not, good baltimore where are?
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: They at they're mid tier, right now eighteenth. In offense,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: but anyway we're looking at. THE pitching i like better
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: pitching over better hitting here and, these, PICTURES man i
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: actually think that this is a matchup where we can
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: play on. THESE pitchers, I Mean trevor rodgers shocking. To
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: me he's actually just been good basically every Start since
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: baltimore's brought him up and put him in. Their rotation
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: he's been their. Best starter it's. Absolutely crazy he wasn't
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: that good back when he Was. On miami he wasn't
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: Good AT triple a, this year but look at. His
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: numbers one point four TO, three era point eight TO.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: ONE whip, I mean i expect that to regress at,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: some point, but man he's. Been good worse on, the
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: road but still one point nine TO. Ninety ra you
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: can't knock him. For that, this month he's thrown twenty.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: One innings he allowed one run in each of his
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: outings Against the Cubs in philadelphia on the Road and seattle,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: at home so not Even in seattle's pitcher. Friendly park
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: he allowed one run in each of. Those games he
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: had six innings or more in all, three games pitched
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: well against three pretty, potent offenses and had a twenty
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: to two strikeout walk ratio over. That span he hasn't
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: allowed with the three on runs in, any start and
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: that was one of his really early starts At A
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: tampa bay stadium that's pretty difficult to. Pitch in it's
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: a very hitter friendly park in their temporary spring training
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: stadium that they're playing In At. Steinberger field take that
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: start out of. The equation he's allowed two or fewer
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: runs in every start this, entire year, absolutely insane and
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: he has good numbers Against The. Red sox they're only
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: six for thirty, off him with one extra, base hit
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: which is a Double By, walker buehler who's not gonna
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: be hitting in. This game so the only extra base
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: hit That The red sox Have Against trevor rodgers is from.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: A pitcher maybe they should pinch, hit, HIM man i,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: don't know. It's ridiculous he does have seven strikeouts of four,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: walks against which isn't, that great but he tells him
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: to a really low two hundred average five twenty seven.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: OH ps i know it's not a huge, sample Size
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: but rodgers does have good numbers Against The. Red Sox
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: dustin may pitching For The, Red Sox oh, dusty boy
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: what are we gonna get out? Of? You man four
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: point six SEVEN, e ra one point three to five
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: whip not good numbers on. THE year i. Get it
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: he actually has been better at home, this season although
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: most of that was With the dodgers three point TWO
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: sixty ra. At home but he is worse on. THE
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: road i, get that although of course the road did
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: include a Start At fenway park where He wasn't he
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: wasn't really good. Or bad his last start With the
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: DODGERS that i was Actually At. Fenway park he went,
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: five inninges gave a fourg, and runs did have a
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: five zero strikeout, walk ratio which isn't. That terrible and
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: Of course baltimore's offense is not as good As The.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: Red sox then first game Of The, red sox he was.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: Pretty bad he gave up three. On runs this Was In,
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: fenway PARK which i know is not a great Sign To,
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: kansas city not a. Good offense it was a shaky start,
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: for him but he did a, four strikeouts no walks
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: and Then m what he did in his last outing
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: is given me Faith In dustin may. Right now and
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: it was on the road where he actually has been bad,
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: this YEAR like, I said but he Went to houston
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: and he shut them out for. Six Innings and houston's
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: a pretty decent lineup at least, eight strikeouts, one walk five.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: Hits allowed so he had a really good Outing. Against
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: houston so that gives me faith that he could do Well.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: Against baltimore he's stepping down a class Against a. Baltimore
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: team it's not as, good Offensively and baltimore's never faced
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: him before Except For, dylan CARLSON who's oz for. Two
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: Often so may is basically completely Unfamiliar. To BALTIMORE so
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: i think that's a little bit of an extra Edge.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: For may baltimore is gonna have to try to figure.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: Him out so we're gonna go under in, this, game
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: man and the market's agreeing. WITH it i think you
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: probably have to go under the eight and a half
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: in no man's, land THERE but i think. That's fine
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to go, UNDER nine i would probably
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: go upwards of about minus one twenty to pay for the.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: Under nine let me just see if there is any.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: OUT there i bet, there's, not though BECAUSE when i
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: looked earlier, this morning you couldn't. Do it so let
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: me see at any of the Books in massachusetts, At,
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: least no it looks like the money it's it's really, really.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: Shifting man so you can't even get the under eight
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: and a half at a great. Price anymore you gotta
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: go under eight and a half at minus one point
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: fifteen now is What the what the line is? Out?
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: There NOW but, I mean i think that's still the
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: way to go under the eight and, a half and
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: then to finish, this off we're Gonna Go San francisco
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: giants plus one. TWENTY five i understand how bad. THIS
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: looks i. Get It san francisco's, BAD offensively i. Understand
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: this they're Playing The San. Diego padres but here's. The Man,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: san francisco EVEN though i understand they're really really, atrocious
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: offensively they're like fifth worst. In Baseball san diego is
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: not that. Much Better san diego offensively is twentieth. Than
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: ops so there's not a huge offensive disparity between these.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: Two teams, AND yes I Know san diego is the
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: best bullpen the are in, all baseball But the giants.
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: Are Second the giants have still, been good EVEN though
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: i know they tailed off a, little bit But the
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: giants still have a very. Good bullpen so there's not
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: a huge Advantage To san. Diego THERE and i think
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: we start seeing an Edge For san francisco the fact
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: that they only used two relievers yesterday and their bullpen
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: usage has been light over the last, Two days so
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: that gives me some Faith In san, francisco's Bullpen Where
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: san diego they just seem to over use their bullpen. A,
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: lot man we see more work out of. Their, bullpen
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: recently four guys. CAME in i know their bullpen is.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: Really good basically all their bullpen relievers. Are good they
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: could basically all be, a closer but still they have
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit more. Bullpen usage that gives me a
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: little bit more Faith Than. San francisco we're getting them
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: as an, underdog HERE and i think this is a
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: bad Spot For. San. Diego man they had a huge
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: weekend series Against the dodgers and they. GOT swept i.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: Get it so you might, be, saying well they're gonna
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: bounce back here now they get to beat Up On. San,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: Francisco right i'm not so sure, about that, Because Again
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: san diego went into that series with a lead Over
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: the dodgers and then getting swept By the dodgers in
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: a pretty. Competitive series they lost two of the three
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: games by, one Run including, yesterday's game, really competitive lost
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: on a clutch home Run By mookie betts in the
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: bottom of the. Eighth Inning san diego actually did out
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: Hit the, dodgers yesterday but that was a. Close. GAME
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: man I Think san diego the fact that they almost
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: were able to win. THAT game i think they're gonna
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: be hungover. From, that man it's a return, home spot,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: so again you could be a little bit distracted when you.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: Return home they're coming up that big series Against the
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: dodgers again on their Face Against san, francisco team it's
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: pretty much out of. It now and they Just Beat
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: san francisco on, the road and not only did they
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: beat them on, the road but they. Swept, Them MAN
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: so I Think san diego Might Take san francisco. PRETTY
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: lightly i think it's a. Bad spot they have to
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: get stuff done. AT home i think they might be
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit distracted off having a huge. Weekend series
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: might Not Take san. Francisco seriously And Because san francisco
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: did just get Swept By san diego two, SERIES ago
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: i think that's gonna Piss Off. SAN francisco I Think
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: san francisco is gonna show, up here, if anything just
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: because they want to spoil the Party For san diego
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: and they want to get some road. Revenge, here man
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: road revenge is. The thing and when you just got
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: swept at your own stadium against the team and you
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: get to play them again in their stadium, RIGHT away
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: i think you're gonna show up and want to. Play,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: Well MAN so i think that's Good In. SAN francisco
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: i know they're playing. Awful baseball they lost seven games in,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: A row but what do they? Do yesterday? They won
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: They Beat tampa bay seven. To ONE so i think
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: the good thing about that is that ends their. Losing.
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: MOMENTUM man a lot of times when a team has
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: a long lost streak like that and then they end that,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: lost streak it carries over to the next game and
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: they actually. Play well starting a road trip also tends
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: to be a. Positive spot so that's a focused spot,
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: FOR them. I. THINK so i think it's a situational
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: that sets up pretty Nicely For san. Francisco here as
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: far as the, STARTING pitching I Think san francisco has
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: the edge of the starting pitching. As well, to me
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: it looks like this is a fade of A Public san.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: DIEGO team I Know san diego is really good. AT
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: home i understand that we Are Fanning san diego having
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: a good. HOME record i get that home record. Home
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: Record san diego's with minus one thirty nine, favorite here
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: so you can get a decent underdog Price On san
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: francisco here sixty eight percent, of tickets only fifty two
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: percent of the Cash On. San diego so they're a
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: public home, team here less of the money coming in,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: on them and we have a low total of seven
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: and a half and a pitcher. Friendly ballpark so you
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: know what. That means it means there's probably a little
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: bit more value in playing the underdog when there's a
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: low total, like this because that probably means it's more
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: likely to be a, closer game right where every run
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: means a little. Bit more so the underdog is a
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: better way. TO look, i mean you could maybe pay
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit more to get a plus one and
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: a Half On san, francisco two but you probably have
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: to pay a little bit too much for that with
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: a low total, Like THIS so i think money line
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: is just a way. To go you're getting the plus money, on,
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: It man so you're when you, do that you're not
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: even saying You Think san francisco is necessarily gonna win.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: The game you're saying you think they have better odds
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: to win the game than what the odds the odds
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: makers are. Giving you so if You Have, san francisco
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: if they win, this game forty eight percent of the
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: time or so you're probably you're gonna make money long
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: term on a bet. Like this so these small, baseball
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: underdogs if you think you have an edge on, that
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: team they're definitely a good way to go getting that.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: Underdog PRICE and i think. We. Do man We Have
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: robbie ray Pitching For. San francisco he's debatably their. BEST starter,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: I mean i've been Saying It's logan webb because web
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: is just. A Grinder But robbie ray is having a
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: good season two point nine to, eighty ra one point one.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: FOUR whip i know he's a little bit worse on,
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: the road but it's not that significant three point one
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: five yarra on. The road this is still a pitcher.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: FRIENDLY park i know he did Just Face, san Diego
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: So san diego is familiar. With him but as, we'll
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: see that's gonna be the case with both starting. Pitcher
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: here both starting pitchers just saw these. Opposing lineups so
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: the fact that the opposing lineup might have an edge
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: against the, starting pitcher it's a wash because both offenses have.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: THAT edge I Know robbie rays throwing a lot of, Pitches,
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: here man he's thrown over one hundred pitches and four.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: STRAIGHT starts i. Get it that's scary to go on
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: a pitcher that's, doing that but he's been doing. That,
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: Regularly man he's throwing one hundred pitches in a lot
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: of these starts and he's still. Pitching Well so i'm
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: not gonna be too concerned. WITH that i know he
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: didn't do that Well Against. San diego gave up four
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: and runs at, six innings but strike out walk wise was.
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: Pretty good he had four strikeouts, one walk so he
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: wasn't actually bad in. That start he just kind of
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: gave up some UNTIMELY hitting, i think or timely hitting
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: for the. Opponent there, this month he doesn't have an
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: eighteen to four strikeout walk ratio prior to. That start
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: he had in allot where the. Touring runs in any
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: of his prior. Three starts i'm going all the way Back,
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: into june he allowed two or fewer in all but,
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: two starts and he allowed three or fewer in any
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: start going all the way back way further, than that
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: going all the way Back into April. Mid april so he's,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: been really really good pretty much, all season And Against, sandy,
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: DIEGO yeah i understand his numbers are not Great Against.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: SAN diego i. Get it ninety six, at bats twenty
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: three to fifteen strike a walk ratio is. NOT great,
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: i know two sixty batting average is. Not horrible but
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: an eight to seventy, ONE ohps i understand. Is bad
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: the twenty three to fifteen strike a walk raceio is
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: the thing that's. Really bad but if you look at,
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: The numbers machado is really the guy that does like
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: almost all. The damage, he's, Uh well loriano does do
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: some of. The damage he's seven for twelve of the
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: home Run but machado five or nineteen with three of
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: them run six walks, Against him so a ton of
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: that damage is From. Uh MACHADO so I think ray
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: could pitch a little bit, better. Here MAN so i
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: Actually think ray is the better of these two. PITCHERS
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: here i Don't Trust nestra cortes, right. NOW man, i
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: mean there's a reason why teams have been getting rid.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: Of him Uh the yankees uh let him GO or
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: i don't know if his contract was just up, or
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: whatever but he moved on Went to milwaukee to start.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: This season he was really bad in his first Start,
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: for milwaukee or Against. The yankees did have one good Start,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: for Milwaukee but milwaukee traded him away and, since then
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: EVEN though I Know san diego's won both of, his
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: starts he hasn't really been Good With. San diego he
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: has a nine to four strike a walk race here
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: is only a nine to third innings and two starts
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: didn't go five innings and, either starts AND like, i
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: said his most recent one Was Against, SAN francisco i
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: know the other One. Was arizona arizona is a, good team.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: GOOD offense, i mean not a, good team but a.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: Good offense. Excuse me their pitching, is TERRIBLE and i
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: know that's a hitter. Friendly park maybe You give cortes
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: a pass for that because he's trying to get back
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: into the swing. Of things he hadn't pitched. FOR months i.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: Get IT HIS u i would Even Against san francisco
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: wasn't that bad with, six strikeouts, one walk, six hits
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: a lot one and run a lout of four and.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: Two thirds, but again he's not thrown a ton, of,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: Pitches man so he might be the first guy out
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: of the. Two starters he might be the guy that
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: lasts less in. This game and his Numbers Against. SAN francisco, i,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: MEAN yeah I understand ray's numbers are that Good Against,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: san Diego, but, cortes again It's the giants except for
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: the strikeo walk ratios numbers are worse and fifty FOUR bats,
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: i know twenty one to four strike a walk ratio,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: is good but He. DOMINATES devers, I mean devers twelve strikeouts,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: Against them. Ario whatever but overall three point fifteen batting
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: average a lot of nine to seventy three oh Ps,
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: against cortes and At least devers has seen a Lot
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: of Cortez because cortez is On the Yankees and devors
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: was On The. Red SOX so i think the starting pitching,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: matchup still you give the Edge To robbie ray in.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: This game sides what we're, Going, With man we're gonna
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: go With The Sar francisco giants in. That game and,
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: then yeah to finish, this, Off well i'll talk about
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: THE preseason nfl game real quick here before we get out.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: Of here bengals And The. WASHINGTON redskins i refuse to
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: call them. Anything else we have one of the highest
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: tolls that we've seen in preseason up to forty three
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: because both of these teams have bad defenses and they
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: both have, potent offenses except for the Fact that i'm
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: pretty sure that you're not Gonna See jayden daniels in.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: THIS one i doubt It the, bengals though because they've
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: been getting off to such slow starts over the last couple,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: of Years And joe burrow was coming back from injury
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: to start the season last year and they didn't play him.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: In Preseason joe burrow has already played in preseason a,
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: little BIT so I think burrow is gonna be in
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: this game early For the, bengals again which is why
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: you see them up from three to three and a
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: half despite being on the. Road here so the money
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: is jacked up the line On the bengals a. Little,
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: BIT again i think that line may be a little bit.
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: TOO crazy, i mean they're over adjusting maybe because You
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: know burrow will be, in there but he's not gonna
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: be in there later in. The game he'll be in
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: there for a couple of series early in the, Game
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: PROBABLY so i think the way that makes sense to
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: play This is bengals over their, team total which is
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: that's A thing i've recommended when you know that they're
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: gonna have a, starting quarterback and you could. Do that
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: or we could go over the team total in the
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: first first five in the first half of. The game
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: i'm still in baseball, mode here because you know That's
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: when borrow's gonna be in, the game so they might
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: be scoring more in the. First half or you could
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: Play the bengals spread in the first half and you
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: might be able to get the like minus one and
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: a half minus two in the, First half so play
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: them to be ahead at the end of the. First
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: half that might be a way. To go the first
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: RECOMMENDATION that i gave on in the PRESEASON that i
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: think failed to cash on the full game Was The
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: jacksonville Jaguars With trevor lawrence and there to go over
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: their full team. Total YESTERDAY but i did recommend that
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: you could go over in the first FIVE or i
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: keep saying first five in the first, half yesterday or
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: go over their team total in the. First half those
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: did Cash. For jacksonville they scored all THEIR points i
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: think except for maybe three of them in the. First
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: half could see something similar out Of the, bengals, Here
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: MAN so i think that's what we're Gonna get washington
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: again if you wanted to go over ending and over
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: actually does make sense in this. GAME too i think
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: you might see some points Here, BECAUSE washington I Believe,
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: marcus Mariota if i'm, not mistaken is, still there but
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: we could look. REAL quick i think he's, still there, backup,
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: quarterback RIGHT so i think he's probably gonna get playing
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: time in. This game let me see what do we
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: have here for their? Depth chart Here, for washington and
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: let me see it. Real quick and he does play
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: well in their offense here it looks like he is,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: questionable though and then They Have josh johnson who does have. Some,
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: experience nope it Looks like mariota is not, gonna play
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: so maybe. Scratch that then you're gonna get a Lot
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: Of josh, johnson then probably in, this game which is
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: probably part of the reason Why the bengals are favored
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: as much as. They are but you Will See joe
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: burrow in the, game early And then bengals are Gonna
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: Have jake Browning And desmond ridder are coming off, their
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: bench and those are guys that at least have experienced
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: starting IN. The, nfl though say what you will About.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: RID or i know he's not, that good but he's
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: made a bunch, of starts at least AT the, nfl
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: Level and browning has made some starts Too with borrow,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: being Injured so bengals they do have the better, quarterback
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: ROTATION so i still wouldn't Really mind bengals over their
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: team total in the full game. As well first half
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: makes sense. As well that's gonna do it, for, me MAN.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: J c thanks for hanging. OUT everybody i, already said
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: hi all. YOU guys i think that's gonna. Do, IT
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: man i play is one more time for. The Day
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: chicago Cubs in game one in the afternoon money line
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: Under In Orioles red sox And Uh San francisco giants.
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: Money line that's gonna. Do, it everybody have a good.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: One today learn a Tone, on twitter learn it Tone,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: on INSTAGRAM or i will post some more of these
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: short form of betting. Content videos follow, the show follow,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: the show man. Like subscribe let's get our, subscribers, up
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: man let's to monetize better. Off dead, of course here,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: on YouTube we're on the, audio platform so if you
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: give me a rating, or review that will help. As
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: Well on spotify And, or apple so checked out out,
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: as well and it's monetized, over there so any amount
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: of like play airplay that you give it over there helps.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: As well Covered in yuke is my, ukulele channel so
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: check that out on YouTube as Well and patreon dot
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: com slash learned to toad and you will Get a
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: spotify yuke feed at one of the levels and prioritize
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: you requests at the. Highest Level and i'm probably gonna
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: start doing yuke STREAMS and i gotta get my, voice.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: BACK man i apologize. FOR that i do a more.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: UKULELE stuff i have to get up On the, patreon
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: STREAM so i apologize for, That TOO so i have
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: to get. That done got to get it. All. DONE
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: man a lot of work here despite making no money,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: off it SO hopefully i. CAN start i want to
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: start making, money. SOMEHOW man i. HAVE content i don't
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: even Know what i'm, gonna do but we'll see. What,
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: Happens anyway, thanks everybody and have A. Good monday let's
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: kick off the week well here