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Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | End it All | MLB & World Cup | 7/1/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chips, the black coffee.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: On the felt man, you look like a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: Now you stare at the chips.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Like they made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet? Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name steal mean something on somebody for show?
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:47
  Speaker 4: No hold on, hold on nothing nice not no.
• 0:58
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: Me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:15
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on, stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 6: Now, what's up?
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: Everybody?
• 1:29
  Speaker 6: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports, Wednesday, July one,
• 1:35
  Speaker 6: two and three on the show yesterday, do not listen
• 1:38
  Speaker 6: to me, like I said, never listen to anything that
• 1:41
  Speaker 6: I have to say.
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: There's nothing we could do right now.
• 1:45
  Speaker 6: Like I told you, this is an unsustainable run, although
• 1:49
  Speaker 6: yesterday we should have gone four and one. Basically the
• 1:51
  Speaker 6: only legitimate loss was the Tiger's Yankees under which was
• 1:56
  Speaker 6: the one that seemed the most obvious Schlittler was Shitler
• 1:59
  Speaker 6: In that game, he was terrible. Uh it was it
• 2:03
  Speaker 6: was his one actual bad game, or maybe he said two.
• 2:06
  Speaker 6: I think he had a bad game against Cleveland earlier.
• 2:09
  Speaker 6: Those were his two bad games of the season. You
• 2:12
  Speaker 6: can't predict when that's gonna happen.
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: Scoobale was good.
• 2:17
  Speaker 6: I know there was professional sentiment backing the Yankees in
• 2:20
  Speaker 6: that game too, So basically their sentiment was of one
• 2:24
  Speaker 6: of those pitchers was not gonna be that good. It
• 2:26
  Speaker 6: was gonna be scooball and that was not the case.
• 2:30
  Speaker 6: We did get the undercorrect in Cleveland and Texas.
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: I didn't even pay attention to.
• 2:35
  Speaker 6: What happened in that game, but I know it finished
• 2:37
  Speaker 6: four too. Don't even remember which team won. I think
• 2:39
  Speaker 6: Cleveland won. Minnesota was complete bullshit. They were winning the
• 2:44
  Speaker 6: game three to nothing to the bottom of the fourth,
• 2:46
  Speaker 6: so it's like, yeah, we got this one. Oh, and
• 2:48
  Speaker 6: then Joe Ryan just implodes in the fourth inning gives
• 2:51
  Speaker 6: up six runs. Literally every run that was scored by
• 2:56
  Speaker 6: Houston in the game was scored in the fourth inning.
• 2:59
  Speaker 6: We go from up three nothing to down six to
• 3:01
  Speaker 6: three and that's it. Minnesota did actually score one run
• 3:06
  Speaker 6: in the fifth six' four and then no runs scored
• 3:09
  Speaker 6: the rest of the. Game so you're telling me That
• 3:11
  Speaker 6: minnesota And houston their bullpens allowed nothing in the Game,
• 3:16
  Speaker 6: minnesotas even though they're like a league worst. Bullpen you
• 3:21
  Speaker 6: have to be kidding. Me you have to be kidding
• 3:23
  Speaker 6: me with. That Joe ryan on the mount up three
• 3:25
  Speaker 6: zero in the fourth, inning that bet is, like already,
• 3:28
  Speaker 6: over that's gonna be a.
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: Win, no let's just, implode give up six.
• 3:33
  Speaker 6: Runs fuck. You we did get an easy undercorrect in
• 3:36
  Speaker 6: the late game With anaheim At. SEATTLE i think the
• 3:39
  Speaker 6: full game actually didn't stay.
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: Under luckily first five.
• 3:44
  Speaker 6: Innings it was zero zero after five and Then seattle
• 3:48
  Speaker 6: they put six runs on the board in the sixth,
• 3:50
  Speaker 6: inning BUT i don't, care or maybe it was five,
• 3:53
  Speaker 6: WHATEVER i don't care because we're done with that. One
• 3:56
  Speaker 6: that Was that was one of the ones that looks
• 3:58
  Speaker 6: really smart because you play the five under and it's zero,
• 4:02
  Speaker 6: zero and then and then the game goes. Over because
• 4:05
  Speaker 6: of the rest of the. Game there's a reason why
• 4:08
  Speaker 6: you don't want anything to do With anaheim's. Bullpen man
• 4:10
  Speaker 6: and both starters are pretty. Good Brian wu was really good.
• 4:14
  Speaker 6: Again THE wnba game was just unbelievable. Bullshit unbelievable bullshit
• 4:19
  Speaker 6: you had. AGAIN i, mean of, course With wilson out For.
• 4:22
  Speaker 6: Vegas you, know they're not gonna dominate on the, interior you,
• 4:27
  Speaker 6: know or. Whatever but, again there was a huge free
• 4:29
  Speaker 6: throw to sverity in favor of The.
• 4:31
  Speaker 3: Liberty more than you would.
• 4:33
  Speaker 6: Expect they went to the line like thirty, times so
• 4:35
  Speaker 6: they still went to the line like double the amount of.
• 4:38
  Speaker 6: Times and again they hit a bunch of three, pointers
• 4:41
  Speaker 6: so there was you couldn't do, anything, yeah And vegas couldn't.
• 4:45
  Speaker 6: Shoot and even with all, That vegas was still within
• 4:49
  Speaker 6: five points in the final minute And New york takes
• 4:51
  Speaker 6: a three pointer for no apparent. Reason Ayan escu hits
• 4:55
  Speaker 6: a three to make it an eight point lead instead of, Five,
• 4:59
  Speaker 6: like what do you even? Doing and if that shot
• 5:01
  Speaker 6: doesn't go, Win we're gonna get that, one Right if
• 5:04
  Speaker 6: she misses that, Three vegas is gonna.
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: Cover and you, KNOW i, mean this is THE.
• 5:10
  Speaker 6: Wnba you, know there's not a really high percentage chances
• 5:13
  Speaker 6: that three is going. In it's such fucking, bullshit, DUDE
• 5:18
  Speaker 6: i don't know what else to. Say, Statistically vegas was
• 5:21
  Speaker 6: in that game enough to cover that. Game i'm so fucking.
• 5:26
  Speaker 6: Pissed i'm so done with THE. Wnba it's fucking. RIDICULOUS
• 5:30
  Speaker 6: i can't get a single game, right even WHEN i
• 5:32
  Speaker 6: handicap everything.
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: Right you have all these.
• 5:34
  Speaker 6: Angles these angles work like you, know decades of doing,
• 5:38
  Speaker 6: this SOTHOUGH wnba haven't done it for that.
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: Long but these angles work in every. Sport.
• 5:43
  Speaker 6: Whatever don't talk to. ME i have to go through
• 5:46
  Speaker 6: this baseball. Slave this is a, horrible horrible baseball board.
• 5:50
  Speaker 6: TODAY i barely like anything on the baseball. Board their
• 5:54
  Speaker 6: afternoon games because a bunch of these teams are moving
• 5:58
  Speaker 6: to a new.
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: Location after this or switching.
• 6:00
  Speaker 6: Series chicago And Baltimore White sox are on the verge
• 6:04
  Speaker 6: of Sweeping, baltimore so that normally would have me looking
• 6:08
  Speaker 6: Towards baltimore because they're the team trying to avoid the.
• 6:10
  Speaker 6: Sweep The White sox actually start Playing cleveland, tomorrow so
• 6:15
  Speaker 6: that is kind of a look ahead spot because those
• 6:17
  Speaker 6: are the teams fighting for the Al. Centro so this
• 6:20
  Speaker 6: is not a good situational spot for The White. Sox
• 6:22
  Speaker 6: here problem is who the hell is pitching For. BALTIMORE
• 6:26
  Speaker 6: i have no. Idea nobody knows who Did baltimore use
• 6:30
  Speaker 6: five games. AGO i don't know a bullpen, GAME i
• 6:33
  Speaker 6: don't know what they actually they won that, game whatever it.
• 6:36
  Speaker 6: Was let me See.
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: Trey.
• 6:40
  Speaker 6: Gibson he pitched yesterday, though and he. Sucks SO i
• 6:43
  Speaker 6: have no idea who's pitching For baltimore. TODAY i can't
• 6:45
  Speaker 6: figure it. Out, YEAH i, mean they have a bunch
• 6:48
  Speaker 6: of guys on the injured. LIST i don't know If
• 6:51
  Speaker 6: rogers would be the next guy. Up when did he last, Pitch,
• 6:54
  Speaker 6: yeah it would BE i Think rogers would be the
• 6:56
  Speaker 6: next guy in. Line so unless there's something wrong with,
• 6:59
  Speaker 6: HIM i don't really GET i wouldn't be him today
• 7:01
  Speaker 6: because he last pitched on the twenty. Sixth that would
• 7:03
  Speaker 6: seem like he would be the next guy. Up let
• 7:07
  Speaker 6: me see What baltimore's schedules BECAUSE i try to figure,
• 7:09
  Speaker 6: out like who's. Pitching, no it looks Like rogers' schedule
• 7:12
  Speaker 6: to pitch. TOMORROW i don't understand what they're doing, here,
• 7:16
  Speaker 6: Man So baltimore might be calling somebody up or going
• 7:19
  Speaker 6: with a bullpen. Game that's kind of a. Problem if
• 7:22
  Speaker 6: you want to go With baltimore, here you have no
• 7:24
  Speaker 6: idea what you're, Backing SO i can't do. That baltimore
• 7:27
  Speaker 6: used four relief pitchers. YESTERDAY i don't want to back
• 7:29
  Speaker 6: their bullpen. Either White sox only use. One White sox
• 7:33
  Speaker 6: are the better bullpen here in my, opinion even though
• 7:36
  Speaker 6: the ranked. Twentieth THEIR era is better Than Baltimore's baltimore.
• 7:40
  Speaker 6: Fifteenth but, YEAH i prefer The White sox bullpen and
• 7:43
  Speaker 6: it's more. Rested still don't love. Either White sox offense is.
• 7:47
  Speaker 6: Better they're number five right, now pretty. Good The orioles,
• 7:52
  Speaker 6: seventeenth tied With anaheim or. WHATEVER i have that other
• 7:56
  Speaker 6: schedule up just Because i'm looking at who these teams
• 7:58
  Speaker 6: are playing.
• 7:59
  Speaker 3: Next socks have No schultz coming back from the injured.
• 8:02
  Speaker 6: List this is gonna be A this is a really
• 8:05
  Speaker 6: hard game to handicap. MAN i Like. SCHULTZ i think he's,
• 8:08
  Speaker 6: good really tall left. Hander he was struggling though this
• 8:13
  Speaker 6: is his rookie. Season he looked good in some. Stars
• 8:15
  Speaker 6: so he's got a five point eight TWO, era one
• 8:17
  Speaker 6: point three to four whip that's not very, good six
• 8:20
  Speaker 6: point three to eight roadyright and not very. Good wasn't
• 8:24
  Speaker 6: really particularly good in his last few outings before he got.
• 8:26
  Speaker 6: INJURED i don't know what to make of. This his
• 8:29
  Speaker 6: walk number is way too. High the rest of his
• 8:32
  Speaker 6: numbers are not, bad like his hit rate is low
• 8:35
  Speaker 6: strike out rate is not really that. HIGH i, MEAN
• 8:37
  Speaker 6: i guess maybe he's not really that much of a strikeout.
• 8:39
  Speaker 6: Pitcher his walks are obviously the main, issue, though like
• 8:43
  Speaker 6: he's got to figure that. Out he, can he's still really.
• 8:46
  Speaker 6: Young BUT i don't want to trust him. Here Although
• 8:49
  Speaker 6: baltimore has never seen him, before maybe that's an extra
• 8:52
  Speaker 6: advantage to him Because baltimore has to figure him out
• 8:55
  Speaker 6: on the. FLY i can't Back baltimore either, here, THOUGH i,
• 8:58
  Speaker 6: MEAN i think if you're gonna try to blindly play this,
• 9:01
  Speaker 6: GAME i, THINK i, mean maybe an over makes. SENSE
• 9:05
  Speaker 6: i was correct about this game going over yesterday IF
• 9:07
  Speaker 6: i remember. Correctly tickets ninety one percent of the cash
• 9:11
  Speaker 6: on the over totals.
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: Ten, again pretty high total in this. Series. Here money's
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: back In.
• 9:17
  Speaker 6: Chicago here they're an Underdog baltimore at minus one forty or.
• 9:20
  Speaker 6: So so the professional money is BASICALLY i think it's
• 9:24
  Speaker 6: the opinion is, like, well how can you Favor baltimore
• 9:27
  Speaker 6: like this and you don't even know who their starting
• 9:28
  Speaker 6: pitcher is gonna? Be and the money's Backing schultz fifty
• 9:32
  Speaker 6: to fifty on the tickets seventy eight percent of the
• 9:34
  Speaker 6: cash on The White. SOX i, AGAIN i don't know the,
• 9:38
  Speaker 6: situation Says baltimore. Here based on the fact they're trying
• 9:42
  Speaker 6: to avoid the. Sweep it could be a look at
• 9:44
  Speaker 6: for The White sox this pitching. Matchup we don't even
• 9:47
  Speaker 6: know what you're getting in this pitching. Matchup SO i
• 9:50
  Speaker 6: think you're insane if you put money on. This to be,
• 9:52
  Speaker 6: honest you, know, again maybe the game goes. OVER i
• 9:57
  Speaker 6: don't have a great opinion on that game at. All
• 10:00
  Speaker 6: texas And cleveland another team trying to avoid a sweep.
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: Here, cleveland actually my, MISTAKE i thought it Was.
• 10:05
  Speaker 6: Texas cleveland is the team that's trying to avoid getting
• 10:08
  Speaker 6: swept here at.
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: Home cleveland lost four to two.
• 10:11
  Speaker 6: Yesterday so, Again baltimore And cleveland both fall into that
• 10:15
  Speaker 6: situation where you have a home team trying to avoid
• 10:18
  Speaker 6: getting swept and that is a typically positive spot to
• 10:21
  Speaker 6: look at that. TEAM i hate this emergency broadcast shit
• 10:24
  Speaker 6: that's going on over. Here i'm just trying to Have
• 10:26
  Speaker 6: wimbledon onto the background. Here Man sinner is playing right
• 10:29
  Speaker 6: now and he was in a close first. SET i,
• 10:31
  Speaker 6: mean come, on, man this game doesn't look like a
• 10:36
  Speaker 6: good pitching. Matchup to me For cleveland, Though SO i
• 10:39
  Speaker 6: mean it's a game where, AGAIN i can't really back
• 10:40
  Speaker 6: the situation WHEN i don't like the, matchup but you
• 10:43
  Speaker 6: have to consider. BOTH i don't Love cleveland's. Bullpen they ranked,
• 10:47
  Speaker 6: Nineteenth texas is ranked. Ninth texas is the better. Bullpen
• 10:51
  Speaker 6: texas is the better offense as. Well even though they're not,
• 10:54
  Speaker 6: great they're, twentieth they're better on the. Road cleveland twenty,
• 10:58
  Speaker 6: eighth not good even dealing with some injuries as. Well
• 11:02
  Speaker 6: texas bullpen is a little bit more rested after you.
• 11:04
  Speaker 6: Today they've used lots a couple of days in a row,
• 11:07
  Speaker 6: though AND i believe they're using him as a, Closer
• 11:09
  Speaker 6: so maybe that's not the greatest thing that he's probably
• 11:13
  Speaker 6: not going to be available. Here, uh but still they
• 11:16
  Speaker 6: got a good Bullpen. Cleveland only these two guys as
• 11:19
  Speaker 6: well their better relievers are all available. Today. Uh as
• 11:24
  Speaker 6: far as this pitching matchup, Goes Mackenzie gore going For,
• 11:27
  Speaker 6: TEXAS i like. HIM i, mean he's actually having a decent.
• 11:30
  Speaker 6: Season four point zero FIVE vrra and one point two
• 11:34
  Speaker 6: to five whip is a little bit. High he always
• 11:36
  Speaker 6: walks too many guys like he's a good strikeout, pitcher
• 11:39
  Speaker 6: but he just walks too many. Guys he's not good
• 11:41
  Speaker 6: on the. Road five point four to eight ROAD, Rra
• 11:44
  Speaker 6: texas has a very pitcher friendly, park but this might
• 11:48
  Speaker 6: be a game where he will pitch well because this
• 11:50
  Speaker 6: is not like most other roads. Starts this is a
• 11:52
  Speaker 6: more pitcher friendly environment against a weak. Offense he did
• 11:56
  Speaker 6: pitch well on the road in any kind of similar
• 11:58
  Speaker 6: environment last time out Against Too they're not a very good,
• 12:01
  Speaker 6: offense but he had a good road outing in that.
• 12:03
  Speaker 6: One his previous roadounting actually wasn't that bad Against Kansas city.
• 12:07
  Speaker 6: Either he was kind of mediocre in that, one so
• 12:09
  Speaker 6: that's not too. Bad he is in pretty good form right.
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: Now at the very.
• 12:13
  Speaker 6: Least he's got a high strikeout, rate low hit. Rate,
• 12:16
  Speaker 6: again his walk rate is kind of too high, though
• 12:18
  Speaker 6: but overall he's not bad numbers Against cleveland they only
• 12:22
  Speaker 6: have three guys who have faced. Him fourteen at, bats
• 12:24
  Speaker 6: no extra base, hits two eighty six average is a
• 12:27
  Speaker 6: little bit, high but no power, hitting so six sixty
• 12:30
  Speaker 6: one ohps that's pretty. Low five to two strikeout walk.
• 12:34
  Speaker 6: Ratio gore may actually have a decent outing. HERE i
• 12:37
  Speaker 6: Mean i'm gonna lean more towards that being the, CASE
• 12:41
  Speaker 6: i prefer him Over Joey cantillo, usually who does not
• 12:45
  Speaker 6: have a very good, whip even Though zra is a
• 12:47
  Speaker 6: little bit, better three point eight, seven one point three
• 12:50
  Speaker 6: to five whip is not very.
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: Good he walks too many guys as.
• 12:53
  Speaker 6: Well he is better at home though three point four home,
• 12:57
  Speaker 6: era So cantio falls into the better home. Roads let's,
• 13:00
  Speaker 6: Here he's actually been good over his last three. Starts,
• 13:04
  Speaker 6: basically he's got nine strikeouts a piece in his last two.
• 13:07
  Speaker 6: Starts he's got a twenty two to three strikeout Walk
• 13:10
  Speaker 6: razio over his last three, starts one run all out
• 13:14
  Speaker 6: a piece in each of, them win at least five
• 13:15
  Speaker 6: innings in all.
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: Three that's pretty.
• 13:17
  Speaker 6: Good you, know he's Facing texas, here but the last
• 13:21
  Speaker 6: time he Faced texas he was actually not. Good he
• 13:24
  Speaker 6: got kind of bombed In. Texas that's not a good.
• 13:27
  Speaker 6: Sign he gave a bunch of home runs in that.
• 13:29
  Speaker 6: Game maybe he could argue it's a little bit. Fluky
• 13:32
  Speaker 6: he's still had a lot of strikeouts, there allowed way
• 13:35
  Speaker 6: too many hits though in that.
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: ONE i think it's a bad sign.
• 13:37
  Speaker 6: Really that he didn't pitch well In texas And texas you,
• 13:41
  Speaker 6: know based on that start and maybe some other, appearances
• 13:45
  Speaker 6: he does not have good numbers Against texas in twenty
• 13:48
  Speaker 6: nine at bats three ten average a lot nine to
• 13:50
  Speaker 6: seventy six o ps eight to two strikeout walk. Ratium
• 13:56
  Speaker 6: the pitching matchup does Favorite gore, here even though the
• 14:00
  Speaker 6: the situation Favors. Cleveland so what do we do with this? Game,
• 14:03
  Speaker 6: Well i'm staying away from. It the money is back In,
• 14:05
  Speaker 6: cleveland fifty eight percent of tickets On texas eighty two
• 14:08
  Speaker 6: percent of the cash on The cleveland. Side cleveland is
• 14:12
  Speaker 6: right around a pick On brice that minus won. Ten.
• 14:16
  Speaker 6: Again you, know the situation Says, cleveland but the matchup Says,
• 14:20
  Speaker 6: texas And texas does have a slight bullpen. ADVANTAGE i
• 14:24
  Speaker 6: think even even If lots isn't going to be able
• 14:26
  Speaker 6: to go and they, go, well you might argue that
• 14:29
  Speaker 6: they need him because it could be a close game.
• 14:31
  Speaker 6: Here the total is not that low though at. Eight
• 14:34
  Speaker 6: the money's backing the over a little bit. HERE i
• 14:37
  Speaker 6: don't know about the. OVER i, mean you can make
• 14:40
  Speaker 6: arguments for. It The gore is not as good on the.
• 14:42
  Speaker 6: Road can't tell o bad matchup numbers isn't as good
• 14:45
  Speaker 6: as His cira makes them, look so maybe there are
• 14:48
  Speaker 6: some over arguments. THERE i don't think i'd want to do, that,
• 14:51
  Speaker 6: THOUGH i, mean just in, general this has seemed like
• 14:53
  Speaker 6: more of an under.
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: SERIES i don't.
• 14:55
  Speaker 6: KNOW i kind of Lean texas in that game BECAUSE
• 14:58
  Speaker 6: i think the matchup just kind of weighs the situation
• 15:01
  Speaker 6: a little. BIT i don't have a good read on, it.
• 15:03
  Speaker 6: Though detroit at The yankees this will be the end
• 15:08
  Speaker 6: of this. Series The yankees are also in a spot
• 15:11
  Speaker 6: where they're trying to avoid getting swept at. Home schlittler
• 15:14
  Speaker 6: was not good. Yesterday that was a loss for. Us
• 15:17
  Speaker 6: because of. That i'm not. HAPPY i, Mean i'm happy
• 15:20
  Speaker 6: The yankees. Loss i'm not happy about taking a loss
• 15:22
  Speaker 6: on the. Under Will detroit be able to pull it?
• 15:26
  Speaker 6: OFF i, mean maybe this is not the best pitching
• 15:30
  Speaker 6: matchup for The yankees. Here you could at least say
• 15:32
  Speaker 6: that The yankees they're NOT i, mean excuse, me The
• 15:37
  Speaker 6: Detroit the question is that they have a look.
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: AHEAD i don't.
• 15:39
  Speaker 6: Know they're Playing texas next starting, tomorrow SO i don't.
• 15:43
  Speaker 6: Know detroit might still stay, focused, man because they are
• 15:46
  Speaker 6: playing The. Yankees they might just not overlook The yankees at,
• 15:49
  Speaker 6: all but The yankees are the better team at home
• 15:52
  Speaker 6: trying to avoid the sweep. Here The yankees used three
• 15:55
  Speaker 6: relief pitchers. Yesterday they also have the better. Bullpen detroit used,
• 15:58
  Speaker 6: two but they didn't really use any other better relievers
• 16:00
  Speaker 6: because it was a. Blowout, Basically yankees are fourth in
• 16:05
  Speaker 6: bullpen right now and they actually have the second best
• 16:07
  Speaker 6: bullpen E ra right.
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: Now not something that you would.
• 16:10
  Speaker 6: Expect maybe they're maybe they'll regress a little, bit but
• 16:13
  Speaker 6: they do look pretty good right. Now detroit's bullpen is,
• 16:16
  Speaker 6: okay they're at, sixteenth But yankees have been. Better yankees
• 16:20
  Speaker 6: are number three in, offense tied with The cubs right.
• 16:23
  Speaker 6: Now they're much better Than detroit in that. Area detroit's number.
• 16:26
  Speaker 6: Nineteen detroit Has Troy melton going, though another guy that
• 16:32
  Speaker 6: you know they advanced. Analytics guys don't like this guy
• 16:34
  Speaker 6: because he doesn't strike guys. Out BUT i look at
• 16:36
  Speaker 6: his numbers in his career so, far he's been an effective.
• 16:40
  Speaker 6: Pitcher like his whip is really low this, year point
• 16:43
  Speaker 6: eighty five. WHIP i, mean you're doing something right if
• 16:46
  Speaker 6: you're not putting guys on. Base he's got a two
• 16:48
  Speaker 6: point three to NINE. Era he's been better on the,
• 16:51
  Speaker 6: road one point seven to four road E. Ra that's.
• 16:54
  Speaker 6: Good he's allowed one run apiece in his last two
• 16:57
  Speaker 6: outings against The White sox In, houston so those are
• 16:59
  Speaker 6: not exactly weak. Offenses he's pitched pretty. Well he's allowed
• 17:04
  Speaker 6: two or fewer in runs and all but one of
• 17:05
  Speaker 6: his starts so far this. Season but he is facing The,
• 17:08
  Speaker 6: yankees so this will be a step. Up he has
• 17:12
  Speaker 6: to face the best offense that he's faced this season.
• 17:15
  Speaker 6: Here his numbers against them are not, good but they
• 17:18
  Speaker 6: only have six hitters who have faced. Him five at,
• 17:20
  Speaker 6: bats four hundred average fifteen hundred oh Ps wells has
• 17:24
  Speaker 6: a home run off, him two, strikeouts one walk overall.
• 17:27
  Speaker 6: HERE i don't think that means that, much Though. MELTON
• 17:31
  Speaker 6: i mean those matchup numbers just it's such a small sample.
• 17:34
  Speaker 6: SIZE i don't think there's much he can draw from.
• 17:36
  Speaker 6: That Will warren is pitching for The. Yankees three point
• 17:39
  Speaker 6: seventy FIVE era looks pretty. Good his whip is not that, good,
• 17:42
  Speaker 6: though one point three to six indicates that he's not
• 17:46
  Speaker 6: as good as HIS zra. Suggests he's slightly worse at
• 17:49
  Speaker 6: home three point eighty six home E.
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: Ra he was not good last time out At.
• 17:53
  Speaker 6: Boston he had three, walks no, strikeouts and gave up
• 17:56
  Speaker 6: five runs five to two thirds on seven. Hits that's not.
• 17:59
  Speaker 6: Good the lack of strikeouts is a red. Flag two
• 18:03
  Speaker 6: starts before that he had one. Strikeout, HOWEVER i will
• 18:06
  Speaker 6: give you the one home start that he had In
• 18:08
  Speaker 6: june was pretty good against The. Reds overall numbers aren't
• 18:12
  Speaker 6: really that. Bad his hit rate is a little bit high,
• 18:14
  Speaker 6: though his walk rates not that, bad and his strikeout
• 18:18
  Speaker 6: rate is okay as, Well so those numbers make him
• 18:21
  Speaker 6: look better than his whip does, really because he kind
• 18:24
  Speaker 6: of like he spreads out the the base runners a.
• 18:27
  Speaker 6: Bit it looks like they're although he can't really you
• 18:30
  Speaker 6: can't really know, that right because it's, like, well is
• 18:33
  Speaker 6: he issuing walks and hits in the same, inning like
• 18:36
  Speaker 6: we don't really? Know apparently not, really because THE zra is.
• 18:40
  Speaker 6: Low he does have good numbers Against, detroit but they
• 18:42
  Speaker 6: only have five guys who have seen him eleven at.
• 18:44
  Speaker 6: Bats they have no hits against, him three, strikeouts one,
• 18:48
  Speaker 6: walk so that's a zero batting. Average obviously in an
• 18:52
  Speaker 6: eighty three ops to what you want with that, info
• 18:55
  Speaker 6: it's just in the very small sample. Size Will warren
• 18:58
  Speaker 6: does have a match up edge. Here The yankees have
• 19:01
  Speaker 6: a situational. EDGE i hear a lot of emergency vehicles
• 19:06
  Speaker 6: out there right, Now, Dude i'm just so sick of
• 19:08
  Speaker 6: all the noise here just irritates me beyond. Belief The
• 19:12
  Speaker 6: yankees are getting the money sixty five percent of, ticket
• 19:15
  Speaker 6: seventy eight percent of cash minus one forty something on
• 19:18
  Speaker 6: the price. Here money is also backing the over pretty strongly,
• 19:22
  Speaker 6: here the totals at nine and a. HALF i don't
• 19:25
  Speaker 6: have a good read on this. Game LIKE i, said
• 19:26
  Speaker 6: situation favors The. Yankees matchup numbers might not mean a whole,
• 19:31
  Speaker 6: lot but do Favorite warren in that starting pitching. Matchup,
• 19:34
  Speaker 6: however if you look at what these pictures have done
• 19:36
  Speaker 6: as a, whole Like melton has been the better. Pitcher
• 19:39
  Speaker 6: so to what you want with all that, INFO i,
• 19:41
  Speaker 6: mean MAYBE i would slightly lean to The yankees to
• 19:44
  Speaker 6: avoid the, sweep but it's a very weak lean for
• 19:47
  Speaker 6: me on that. One washington At. Boston they're finishing this
• 19:51
  Speaker 6: series as. Well this will be the rubber. Match The
• 19:53
  Speaker 6: Red sox were terrible. Yesterday connolly early got, injured so
• 19:57
  Speaker 6: that's obviously not good for The Red so if too
• 20:00
  Speaker 6: many injured pitchers, HERE i don't know When crochet is coming,
• 20:04
  Speaker 6: Back Wilson contreras might get, suspended which is all bullshit
• 20:09
  Speaker 6: BECAUSE i don't. Know contreras after he struck out or,
• 20:13
  Speaker 6: Something cavali didn't like the way that he walked off the.
• 20:16
  Speaker 6: Field so Then cavali when he like struck him out
• 20:19
  Speaker 6: the next time or, whatever he yelled At, contreras, which
• 20:23
  Speaker 6: by the, way there's like an unwritten rule that you
• 20:25
  Speaker 6: don't do. That if you're like a young pitcher Like
• 20:27
  Speaker 6: cavali was in like your second, season you don't bark like.
• 20:30
  Speaker 6: That and a guy that's been in the league for
• 20:32
  Speaker 6: ten years Like, contreras you know WHAT i, Mean like
• 20:35
  Speaker 6: you have to earn your. Stripes so, Understandably contrera's got
• 20:39
  Speaker 6: mad at that When cavali yelled like sit, down boy or.
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: Whatever contrera's.
• 20:47
  Speaker 6: Got ejected from the second game in a, row, which
• 20:49
  Speaker 6: by his ejection in the previous game was.
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: Bullshit he got ejected for tapping his.
• 20:54
  Speaker 6: HELMET i, mean the umps just want to throw him
• 20:57
  Speaker 6: out of games because he was getting kind of fired
• 20:59
  Speaker 6: up in The yankees series. Yesterday, YEAH i, mean he
• 21:02
  Speaker 6: kind of started a sort of base clearing incident yesterday
• 21:07
  Speaker 6: if you want to CALL i wouldn't call it a.
• 21:09
  Speaker 6: Brawl we don't really have brawls. Anymore BUT i don't.
• 21:12
  Speaker 6: Know so he got thrown out. AGAIN i think both
• 21:15
  Speaker 6: of the both of the dudes should have been thrown
• 21:17
  Speaker 6: out of the game. PROBABLY i have no idea If
• 21:19
  Speaker 6: contrera is gonna be. Suspended if he, is that's gonna
• 21:22
  Speaker 6: hurt The Red sox already weak offense because he's like
• 21:25
  Speaker 6: their best hitter and he was the guy they picked
• 21:28
  Speaker 6: up over the. Offseason that's not. Good although if you
• 21:32
  Speaker 6: look at this, game The Red sox do have the
• 21:34
  Speaker 6: better starting pitcher on the mound. Here they do have
• 21:37
  Speaker 6: the better bullpen. Here you, know if The Red sox
• 21:40
  Speaker 6: lose this series To, washington it would kind of pissed
• 21:44
  Speaker 6: me off because The Red sox have been favored in every.
• 21:46
  Speaker 6: Game The Red sox have a big pitching advantage throughout this.
• 21:49
  Speaker 6: Series Red sox use four leape pitchers yesterday because they
• 21:52
  Speaker 6: had to come in early with early going out of
• 21:56
  Speaker 6: the game early with an Injury washington used To washington's
• 22:02
  Speaker 6: bullpen isn't good. Though Red sox bullpen fell a little.
• 22:05
  Speaker 6: Bit there's sixth right. Now they weren't that good. Yesterday
• 22:07
  Speaker 6: they're generally pretty good. Though washington twenty sixth in bullpen
• 22:11
  Speaker 6: not very. Good H washington is the better. Offense there's
• 22:15
  Speaker 6: sixth though they've dropped off a little bit. Recently Red
• 22:18
  Speaker 6: sox twenty seventh very. Bad haven't been good at home,
• 22:22
  Speaker 6: Either and of course it's my window keeps windows just
• 22:27
  Speaker 6: pisses me off the way At ottawa adjusts these. Windows
• 22:32
  Speaker 6: Andrew alvarez is pitching For. Washington, uh he's. Okay his
• 22:37
  Speaker 6: whip is not very good, though three point four to
• 22:39
  Speaker 6: FOUR era one point four to seven whip is not very,
• 22:42
  Speaker 6: good so he is putting too many guys on. Base
• 22:44
  Speaker 6: he is better on the road three point twenty nine
• 22:47
  Speaker 6: roady Ra he's not going deep into games, Though LIKE
• 22:50
  Speaker 6: i don't think he's gone five innings any In, yeah
• 22:53
  Speaker 6: in any of his starts the, season he's not gone five.
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: Innings so you're.
• 22:57
  Speaker 6: Probably gonna get a lot Of washington's bullpen, here so
• 22:59
  Speaker 6: that should help The Red sox a, bit maybe The
• 23:03
  Speaker 6: Red sox will finally be able to score something against this.
• 23:06
  Speaker 6: Bullpen alvarez himself has been. Okay he's got a good strikeout,
• 23:10
  Speaker 6: rate so he does have good strikeout, stuff induces a
• 23:13
  Speaker 6: lot of ground. Balls his hit rate is too, high
• 23:15
  Speaker 6: though his walk rate is also too, high so those
• 23:18
  Speaker 6: numbers aren't. Good but he does have strikeout, stuff so
• 23:22
  Speaker 6: kind of weird mix of numbers.
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: There Red sox haven't seen.
• 23:24
  Speaker 6: Him maybe that'll be an extra advantage to him because
• 23:27
  Speaker 6: he hasn't been seen. BEFORE i think he's an okay,
• 23:30
  Speaker 6: pitcher But Peyton toley is the better of these two.
• 23:33
  Speaker 6: Pitchers he's going for The Red sox two point seven
• 23:36
  Speaker 6: to EIGHTY ra one point oh two, whip of.
• 23:38
  Speaker 3: Course because The Red sox can't.
• 23:40
  Speaker 6: Hit totally has a you, know a blow five hundred,
• 23:43
  Speaker 6: record oh, god totally's been good at home two point
• 23:47
  Speaker 6: twenty seven homy.
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: Ra he's he.
• 23:49
  Speaker 6: Could be in a letdown spot, though because he's coming
• 23:51
  Speaker 6: off a great outing against The yankees over the weekend
• 23:54
  Speaker 6: where he one hit shutout. Them they're seven. Innings he
• 23:57
  Speaker 6: had a no hitter until like the fifth inning in
• 23:59
  Speaker 6: that one or, something or maybe even into the sixth.
• 24:03
  Speaker 6: Whatever it, was seven, strikeouts two. Walks he's a good,
• 24:07
  Speaker 6: pitcher though he's got a low hit. Rate his walk rate.
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: Is maybe slightly.
• 24:11
  Speaker 6: High strike out rate is, decent a little bit lower
• 24:15
  Speaker 6: than maybe you.
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: Think but, yeah, OVERALL i like.
• 24:17
  Speaker 6: HIM i think he's, good but he could be in
• 24:18
  Speaker 6: a little bit of a personal let.
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: Down after that huge outing against The.
• 24:22
  Speaker 6: Yankees washington hasn't seen him, though so both pitchers have
• 24:26
  Speaker 6: an unfamiliarity edge. Here that should help, TOTALLY i would,
• 24:29
  Speaker 6: say because he's a good pitcher and he's unfamiliar to
• 24:32
  Speaker 6: these opposing, bats so maybe that will, help you, know
• 24:37
  Speaker 6: counter their offense.
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: A little bit.
• 24:39
  Speaker 6: There the money is fading The Red sox, though seventy
• 24:41
  Speaker 6: one percent of tickets on, them fifty one percent of
• 24:44
  Speaker 6: the cash On Washington Red sox around minus one forty something.
• 24:48
  Speaker 6: HERE i don't, know, MAN i THINK i would have
• 24:50
  Speaker 6: to slightly lean to The Red. SOX i, MEAN i
• 24:52
  Speaker 6: think they have the better pitching throughout this entire, game
• 24:56
  Speaker 6: SO i can't really lean against, that but the money
• 24:58
  Speaker 6: is going against. It. Obviously this is not making my
• 25:01
  Speaker 6: card or. ANYTHING i don't even have a strong opinion on.
• 25:03
  Speaker 6: This the money's also backing the. Over the total is
• 25:06
  Speaker 6: surprisingly high at nine and a. HALF i don't really
• 25:10
  Speaker 6: understand that the high total and all the activity towards
• 25:12
  Speaker 6: the over There, fenway you, know does not have wind
• 25:17
  Speaker 6: issues and stuff like. That you, know the monster kind
• 25:20
  Speaker 6: of keeps balls in the park and, whatever although balls
• 25:23
  Speaker 6: go off the, monster so it's still a hitter friendly.
• 25:26
  Speaker 6: Ballpark BUT i don't, know given this pitching, MATCHUP i
• 25:29
  Speaker 6: think a first five under maybe makes some sense in this.
• 25:32
  Speaker 6: Game given what we have with the pitching here and
• 25:34
  Speaker 6: the unfamiliarity and The Red sox not hitting well at,
• 25:37
  Speaker 6: HOME i could see this being low scoring early in the.
• 25:40
  Speaker 6: Game don't really want to do that, either. Though San
• 25:43
  Speaker 6: diego at The. CUBS i was correct about that game
• 25:46
  Speaker 6: going over. Yesterday by the, way the game prior to
• 25:48
  Speaker 6: that then went. Under these teams combined for twenty one
• 25:51
  Speaker 6: hits in the first game of this, series and somehow
• 25:54
  Speaker 6: only came away with five combined. Runs so that was
• 25:56
  Speaker 6: a very misleading low score. There so a lot of
• 26:01
  Speaker 6: things made sense for the over in the game. YESTERDAY
• 26:03
  Speaker 6: i wasn't really that close to putting that on my
• 26:06
  Speaker 6: card or anything kind of mad about. It BECAUSE i was.
• 26:08
  Speaker 6: Right but you, Know i'm going to be right about
• 26:10
  Speaker 6: a lot of these leans that don't go on my
• 26:11
  Speaker 6: card just BECAUSE i analyze.
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: Everything, Here.
• 26:15
  Speaker 6: Cobs only use two relief pitchers and use them for very,
• 26:18
  Speaker 6: little so The cubs have a pretty rested bullpen coming
• 26:21
  Speaker 6: into this. One San diego has the better. Bullpen they
• 26:25
  Speaker 6: used two guys that they didn't really use any of
• 26:27
  Speaker 6: their better relievers for the most, part So.
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: San diego's bullpen still is.
• 26:33
  Speaker 6: Better they're number, eight but AGAIN i still think they're
• 26:35
  Speaker 6: like the second best bullpen behind The.
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: Braves cubs are number. Eleven they're a decent.
• 26:40
  Speaker 6: Bullpen hitting, wise The cubs have been. Good they're way
• 26:44
  Speaker 6: better offensively in this. Matchup cubs are tied with The
• 26:47
  Speaker 6: yankees here at. Third padres are still dead, last so
• 26:52
  Speaker 6: they are nobody's padre on, offense although they put up
• 26:56
  Speaker 6: offense yesterday and still lost the. Game so by the,
• 26:58
  Speaker 6: Way San diego is trying to avoid getting swept, here
• 27:01
  Speaker 6: so that.
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: Is another component to.
• 27:03
  Speaker 6: This San diego is gonna sweep avoiding spot, here so
• 27:06
  Speaker 6: that should give them some motivational advantage. Here cubs Play
• 27:10
  Speaker 6: Saint louis. NEXT i don't really know they're gonna look
• 27:12
  Speaker 6: ahead to that or. Not it is a divisional, matchup,
• 27:15
  Speaker 6: though and if you look at the standings, here The
• 27:18
  Speaker 6: cubs are only two games ahead Of Saint louis in the,
• 27:20
  Speaker 6: division so maybe they will look ahead to that and
• 27:23
  Speaker 6: consider that.
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: To be a big.
• 27:25
  Speaker 6: Series so, motivation the situation Favored San diego in this.
• 27:30
  Speaker 6: Game but they Got Walker bueller. GOING i, mean he's
• 27:35
  Speaker 6: pitched pretty well, recently but do you really want to
• 27:37
  Speaker 6: Back bueller on the road in another wind environment and
• 27:41
  Speaker 6: you know regularly, HERE i don't know about. That bueller
• 27:43
  Speaker 6: has a three point eight ONE. Era his whip is
• 27:45
  Speaker 6: still not really that, good one point three to. One
• 27:49
  Speaker 6: he still hasn't been very good since coming back from
• 27:51
  Speaker 6: His Tommy john surgery and. Whatever he is in a
• 27:54
  Speaker 6: more pitcher friendly environment now that he pitches In San,
• 27:56
  Speaker 6: diego and that's helped him out, obviously, uh because.
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: He's much better at home at.
• 28:00
  Speaker 6: Home his roadie raised four point seven to, eight and
• 28:03
  Speaker 6: his home run rate is higher on the road as,
• 28:06
  Speaker 6: well although he hasn't allowed that many home. Runs but,
• 28:09
  Speaker 6: yeah he's better at, Home so somebody keep in mind.
• 28:12
  Speaker 3: There his last few road starts.
• 28:14
  Speaker 6: Have been pretty good too, though At, philly At, baltimore
• 28:17
  Speaker 6: and At, texas so he is pitching. Well he's allowed
• 28:20
  Speaker 6: one run in every single outing over the past.
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: Month that was in the month Of.
• 28:25
  Speaker 6: June pitch mostly well In may, too so he's been
• 28:29
  Speaker 6: pitching well pretty consistently for a while. Now he does
• 28:32
  Speaker 6: have kind of a low hit rate on the. Season
• 28:34
  Speaker 6: his walk rate isn't too. Bad his strikeout rate is
• 28:37
  Speaker 6: somewhat okay as, well so he really doesn't have bad,
• 28:40
  Speaker 6: numbers but you, know he is still bad on the.
• 28:43
  Speaker 6: Road he wasn't good against The cubs last time he faced,
• 28:46
  Speaker 6: him which was In San diego in Late, april but
• 28:49
  Speaker 6: he wasn't really in good form back then.
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: Either, still he walked a bunch of guys in that.
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: ONE i don't.
• 28:54
  Speaker 6: Know his numbers against The cubs are not. Horrible they're pretty.
• 28:58
  Speaker 6: Mediocre two sixty two, average allowed seven to thirty one
• 29:01
  Speaker 6: ohps in eighty four at, bats twenty to eight strike
• 29:04
  Speaker 6: out walk.
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: Ratio that's not very. Good that ratio is not.
• 29:08
  Speaker 6: Good, overall his numbers are not horrible against The, cobs
• 29:11
  Speaker 6: though they're pretty. Mediocre he's going on Against Colin. Ray
• 29:15
  Speaker 6: you could definitely make the argument That bueller is actually
• 29:17
  Speaker 6: the better of these two. Pitchers ray has a four
• 29:20
  Speaker 6: point EIGHTY ra one point four to one whip that's not,
• 29:23
  Speaker 6: good but the home road splits are much better For
• 29:25
  Speaker 6: ray two point six to One Homie, ira so he's
• 29:28
  Speaker 6: way better at.
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: Home he's been good in his last two.
• 29:31
  Speaker 6: Outings pitched pretty well Against milwaukee last time out on the,
• 29:35
  Speaker 6: road so maybe a sign that he's sort of in
• 29:37
  Speaker 6: some sort of form right. Now but he walked three
• 29:40
  Speaker 6: guys in that, outing and his walk rate has been
• 29:42
  Speaker 6: pretty bad this. Month fourteen to eleven strike out walk
• 29:45
  Speaker 6: ratio in the month Of. JUNE i, MEAN i keep
• 29:47
  Speaker 6: forgetting when the month crosses, OVER i always. Forget that
• 29:51
  Speaker 6: was in twenty five. Innings he's still got a high
• 29:54
  Speaker 6: hit rate on the. Season that's not. Good his walk
• 29:56
  Speaker 6: rate is also too. High low strikeout rate allows too
• 30:00
  Speaker 6: many home runs to all those fly ball rates not
• 30:03
  Speaker 6: really that, crazy but you have to be worried about
• 30:05
  Speaker 6: the fly ball rate in a game like this because
• 30:08
  Speaker 6: it's another win game In wrigley here with the wind
• 30:11
  Speaker 6: blowing out A bueller by the, way not really extreme
• 30:14
  Speaker 6: towards the fly ball totals at eleven are actually it's at.
• 30:19
  Speaker 6: TWELVE i was gonna say eleven and a. Half it's
• 30:20
  Speaker 6: at twelve in this. One and we saw this game
• 30:23
  Speaker 6: go way over. Yesterday first game stayed, under but perhaps,
• 30:27
  Speaker 6: misleadingly so maybe this could be another. OVER i, mean
• 30:31
  Speaker 6: the money's back in the over eighty two percent of
• 30:34
  Speaker 6: tickets on the, under seventy nine percent of the cash
• 30:36
  Speaker 6: on the. Over the totals high for a, reason although
• 30:39
  Speaker 6: that reason again is wind blowing out In. Wrigley so
• 30:43
  Speaker 6: the wind has a huge effect In wrigley because of
• 30:45
  Speaker 6: The lake effect And wrigley kind of you, Know wriggly
• 30:51
  Speaker 6: does not have tall, walls so it is kind of
• 30:55
  Speaker 6: a band box almost type of, stadium especially when the
• 30:59
  Speaker 6: wind's blowing. Out although when the winds blowing in it
• 31:02
  Speaker 6: knocks down. Everything wrigley is kind of. Crazy the money's
• 31:06
  Speaker 6: also Backing San.
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: Diego to avoid the.
• 31:08
  Speaker 6: Sweep Here cubs are around minus won twenty, something sixty
• 31:11
  Speaker 6: three percent of the tickets on The, cubs sixty percent
• 31:14
  Speaker 6: of the cash on the. PODRES i THINK i do
• 31:18
  Speaker 6: probably agree With San diego to avoid the, sweep AND
• 31:21
  Speaker 6: i think you probably you might get the better pitcher
• 31:25
  Speaker 6: by Backing Walker. Bueller believe it or, NOT i know
• 31:28
  Speaker 6: you're going against the Home, roads BUT i forgot to
• 31:30
  Speaker 6: Mention ray is not good against The padres three to
• 31:33
  Speaker 6: twenty three, average eight seventy one ops against them in
• 31:36
  Speaker 6: thirty one at bats five zero strike out walk ratio.
• 31:39
  Speaker 6: Though but Still bueller has the better matchup numbers, here
• 31:42
  Speaker 6: and he's been the better pitcher generally for a while,
• 31:46
  Speaker 6: Now so some.
• 31:47
  Speaker 3: Of that makes.
• 31:48
  Speaker 6: Sense like you're getting the better pitching if you Back San,
• 31:50
  Speaker 6: diego in my, opinion and you're getting the better. Bullpens
• 31:53
  Speaker 6: SO i Think San diego might make more sense than
• 31:57
  Speaker 6: anything else in this. Game maybe just Backing San diego
• 32:00
  Speaker 6: go as an underdog. Here you know those smallish underdogs in,
• 32:04
  Speaker 6: baseball and you think they actually have some advantages in the.
• 32:06
  Speaker 6: GAME i do tend to like to look that way
• 32:09
  Speaker 6: in some of these, cases.
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: So maybe that's the way to. LOOK i don't really
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: have a great feel for the. Total so all, right.
• 32:19
  Speaker 6: Next game is Uh mets In. Toronto this will be
• 32:25
  Speaker 6: one of my. Plays these next two games are both my.
• 32:27
  Speaker 6: Plays whatever these are gonna be. Losers, like LIKE i,
• 32:35
  Speaker 6: said you should not listen to, me because right Now
• 32:38
  Speaker 6: i'm not getting anything at all, right even though the
• 32:42
  Speaker 6: things THAT i THAT i have, right LIKE i should
• 32:44
  Speaker 6: have been four and one. Yesterday, still LIKE i, said
• 32:47
  Speaker 6: the things THAT i have right just all go, wrong
• 32:49
  Speaker 6: and then the things THAT i like AND i don't
• 32:51
  Speaker 6: put on my, card Like, MEXICO i was completely right about.
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: That it was not a misleading final For.
• 32:57
  Speaker 6: Mexico they. DOMINATED i watched a lot of that. Game
• 33:01
  Speaker 6: they totally, dominated AND i told YOU i should have
• 33:04
  Speaker 6: put that on my. CARD i Liked mexico better than
• 33:07
  Speaker 6: anything on The world cup board. Today, anyway we're gonna
• 33:12
  Speaker 6: play The mets here Against.
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: Toronto this is full.
• 33:16
  Speaker 6: GAME i, MEAN i think you could take advantage of
• 33:18
  Speaker 6: The mets bullpen. HERE i Know toronto did get shut out,
• 33:21
  Speaker 6: yesterday so you know they could be in a bounce back.
• 33:25
  Speaker 6: SPAT a lot of, times you do want to back
• 33:26
  Speaker 6: a team that gets shut out at.
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: Home you want to back them in the next.
• 33:29
  Speaker 6: Game BUT i don't see how you could Back toronto
• 33:32
  Speaker 6: given what this pitching situation looks. Like toronto's been playing
• 33:35
  Speaker 6: some awful baseball. Too they've lost seven of their last eight.
• 33:38
  Speaker 6: GAMES i know The mets have also been, bad and
• 33:41
  Speaker 6: The mets are really bad on the. Road mets have
• 33:43
  Speaker 6: lost most of the recent games. TOO i get, It
• 33:48
  Speaker 6: they've lost nine to their last. Eleven so it's, like you,
• 33:51
  Speaker 6: know this is you, know, yeah it's like which one
• 33:55
  Speaker 6: of these teams.
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: Is gonna suck?
• 33:56
  Speaker 6: Less basically in this, Game i'm saying it's gonna be The. Mets.
• 33:59
  Speaker 6: Here we do get a bullpen advantage with The, mets
• 34:02
  Speaker 6: so you could kind of start with. That they did
• 34:04
  Speaker 6: use three relief pitchers, yesterday including both of their back
• 34:08
  Speaker 6: end relief guys to finish the game. OFF i still
• 34:11
  Speaker 6: like their, bullpen Though toronto's bullpen kind of. Questionable they
• 34:15
  Speaker 6: used three guys out of their bullpen. Yesterday The mets
• 34:18
  Speaker 6: are ranked third in. Bullpen they do have a good bullpenny.
• 34:21
  Speaker 6: Array toronto is ranked. Fourteenth they're an okay, bullpen BUT
• 34:25
  Speaker 6: i prefer The mets. There, Offensively toronto twenty sixth and
• 34:30
  Speaker 6: The mets twenty. Eighth we're looking at bad offenses on
• 34:32
  Speaker 6: both sides. Here SO i was also correct about the
• 34:35
  Speaker 6: under in the game, yesterday AND i BELIEVE i also
• 34:38
  Speaker 6: lead to The mets yesterday If i'm not. Mistaken SO
• 34:41
  Speaker 6: i THINK i got all that right, yesterday and of
• 34:44
  Speaker 6: course none of it was on my.
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: Card we were gonna Back.
• 34:47
  Speaker 6: Freddy peralta here, though because he's the only actual starter
• 34:51
  Speaker 6: going in this. GAME i. Know i've tried to back
• 34:53
  Speaker 6: him recently and it's been, bad But i'm gonna do it.
• 34:56
  Speaker 6: Again his numbers look like ASS i, know four point,
• 35:00
  Speaker 6: three one point three to seven. WHIP i know he's
• 35:03
  Speaker 6: in a new environment this, year but come, on, man
• 35:05
  Speaker 6: he's better than. That, like look at his career. Numbers
• 35:07
  Speaker 6: he's only thirty years. Old you, know maybe pitching for
• 35:11
  Speaker 6: The mets has kind of ruined his mental state a little,
• 35:13
  Speaker 6: bit but he's not anywhere near this. Bad his career
• 35:17
  Speaker 6: numbers are all way better than. This so, yeah he's
• 35:20
  Speaker 6: better than what his numbers would. SUGGEST i know he's
• 35:23
  Speaker 6: not good on the road five point four roady RA
• 35:26
  Speaker 6: i know that's, bad BUT i like his matchup. Here
• 35:30
  Speaker 6: he was awful last time out on the. ROAD i get.
• 35:32
  Speaker 6: It we tried to go with the under in that,
• 35:34
  Speaker 6: one or a first five. UNDER i think Against. Philly
• 35:37
  Speaker 6: he got absolutely annihilated in that, GAME i, know but
• 35:40
  Speaker 6: he bounced back nicely in the last game against The,
• 35:43
  Speaker 6: cubs AND i don't remember IF i DID i have
• 35:45
  Speaker 6: a play on that. GAME i don't remember IF i
• 35:47
  Speaker 6: did or IF i. Didn't we might have been an
• 35:50
  Speaker 6: under actually on the show in that. GAME i can't
• 35:51
  Speaker 6: remember WHAT i did in that. Game the under might
• 35:54
  Speaker 6: have actually hit in that. One peralta was actually pretty
• 35:57
  Speaker 6: good in that. One all three runs that he gave
• 35:59
  Speaker 6: up were, unearned so it wasn't his fault really that
• 36:02
  Speaker 6: they lost that. Game SO.
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: I don't really think he's out of form.
• 36:07
  Speaker 6: Here like his other bad start that he had In
• 36:09
  Speaker 6: june was really unlucky Against Saint. Louis like basically everybody
• 36:13
  Speaker 6: that he put on base scored in that, One SO
• 36:15
  Speaker 6: i give him a little.
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: Bit of a pass for.
• 36:17
  Speaker 6: That he's allowed one or fewer and runs in the
• 36:19
  Speaker 6: three other starts over that. Month, overall his hit rate
• 36:23
  Speaker 6: is still fine. Ish his walk rate. Is his walk
• 36:28
  Speaker 6: rate is a little bit too, HIGH i mean it usually.
• 36:30
  Speaker 6: Is his strike out rate is fine as. Well so you,
• 36:33
  Speaker 6: look you dig into his numbers a, bit they're really
• 36:35
  Speaker 6: not that. Bad and, again you, KNOW i think we
• 36:39
  Speaker 6: know what he is at this. Point but this is
• 36:41
  Speaker 6: really Why i'm doing, this is he Dominates. Toronto they
• 36:44
  Speaker 6: have thirty one at bats against, Him they have one
• 36:46
  Speaker 6: extra base, hit which is a double From. Kirk they
• 36:49
  Speaker 6: have an oh ninety seven average against, him three hits
• 36:52
  Speaker 6: to eighty one oh. Ps that, is those are really
• 36:55
  Speaker 6: low numbers and a decent sample here eight to two
• 36:58
  Speaker 6: strike out walk. Ratio So i'm gonna go With peralta
• 37:01
  Speaker 6: to pitch well in this one against a lineup that
• 37:03
  Speaker 6: he typically. Dominates And toronto's going with a bullpen. Game
• 37:06
  Speaker 6: AND i can't even figure out what they're doing here
• 37:08
  Speaker 6: BECAUSE i think this is the spot That Max schurzer
• 37:11
  Speaker 6: was occupying in their, Rotation and of COURSE i think
• 37:14
  Speaker 6: he's injured again or. Whatever he's his career might be.
• 37:18
  Speaker 6: Over So i'm pretty Sure toronto's going with a bullpen
• 37:21
  Speaker 6: game because they Got Fisher Brandon fisher listed as a.
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: Starter his numbers are, fine but he's only gonna be an.
• 37:27
  Speaker 6: Opener he's only gonna be in here for one to two,
• 37:29
  Speaker 6: innings and he's given up runs in his last two.
• 37:32
  Speaker 6: Appearances so, whatever you're gonna give me A toronto bullpen
• 37:36
  Speaker 6: game here Against Freddy, Peralta i'll take The. Mets and
• 37:40
  Speaker 6: there's a reason why The mets are. Favored you, know
• 37:43
  Speaker 6: the oddsmakers keep telling you The mets are not as
• 37:45
  Speaker 6: bad as their record. Indicates the money's not agreeing with
• 37:48
  Speaker 6: me on. This the money doesn't agree with either of
• 37:50
  Speaker 6: my plays. Today SO i don't like that at. All
• 37:53
  Speaker 6: fifty five percent tickets on The, mets sixty two percent
• 37:56
  Speaker 6: of the cash On. Toronto this is the WAY i,
• 37:59
  Speaker 6: handicap though the money's back in the. Over The mets,
• 38:02
  Speaker 6: are you, know minus one. Sixteen The mets have a
• 38:06
  Speaker 6: worse record Than. Toronto you gotta be like, wondering why
• 38:09
  Speaker 6: would The mets be favored? Here, Right, like there's no
• 38:12
  Speaker 6: way the public is playing The mets, here you, know
• 38:16
  Speaker 6: even though they Know Freddy, peralta there's no way they're
• 38:19
  Speaker 6: gonna play a favorite on the. Road that's the team
• 38:22
  Speaker 6: with the worst. Record so to, me the oddsmakers are
• 38:25
  Speaker 6: kind of telling you something with that. Line they're kind
• 38:28
  Speaker 6: of telling you they think The mets are gonna win
• 38:30
  Speaker 6: this game basically by lining them as a favorite.
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: Here AND i know it's because of the.
• 38:34
  Speaker 6: Pitching of, Course peralta is better than A toronto bullpen,
• 38:39
  Speaker 6: game but that's what we're gonna do. Here so The
• 38:41
  Speaker 6: mets are my first play. Here next game up will
• 38:45
  Speaker 6: be my other. Playing it's another one of those ones
• 38:47
  Speaker 6: that looks way too, obvious but, Whatever we're gonna do it.
• 38:49
  Speaker 6: Anyway Pittsburgh philly first five under. Four you have to
• 38:53
  Speaker 6: pay juice for it at minus one twenty. Five AND
• 38:56
  Speaker 6: i know That minnesota game was worse for us. Yesterday
• 39:00
  Speaker 6: the juice was involved in that. Game we should have
• 39:03
  Speaker 6: maybe just laid the half run there instead of playing
• 39:05
  Speaker 6: the juice on the money. LINE i thought it was
• 39:07
  Speaker 6: gonna be a, winner, though and it should have, been
• 39:10
  Speaker 6: So i'm pissed. OFF i still think it was a
• 39:11
  Speaker 6: reasonable price to lay on The Joe ryan first five.
• 39:15
  Speaker 6: There you gotta do it in baseball, sometimes. Man but,
• 39:18
  Speaker 6: yeah this is an elite pitching match up here Between
• 39:21
  Speaker 6: pittsburgh And. PHILADELPHIA i know it looks too. Easy the
• 39:24
  Speaker 6: money actually doesn't even agree with, me at least not
• 39:27
  Speaker 6: on the full. Game but we're cutting the bullpens out
• 39:29
  Speaker 6: BECAUSE i don't really love either bullpen, here, really especially Not.
• 39:34
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh pittsburgh used Two laite pitchers.
• 39:37
  Speaker 6: Yesterday philadelphia only used two as, well so the bullpen's.
• 39:40
  Speaker 6: Arrested philadelphia is. Okay at, thirteenth but the era is over.
• 39:44
  Speaker 6: Four pittsburgh has really struggled in the bullpen. Department the
• 39:48
  Speaker 6: ranked twenty second with a mid fours, era So i'm
• 39:51
  Speaker 6: not going to Back pittsburgh's bullpen. Here pittsburgh has been good,
• 39:55
  Speaker 6: OFFENSIVELY i, know but they're not as good on the
• 39:57
  Speaker 6: road number two in. Offense philly is moving up a
• 40:00
  Speaker 6: little bit at twenty, second but they really have struggled, offensively.
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: Although they're actually better at.
• 40:06
  Speaker 6: Home philly did put up eight runs yesterday and seven
• 40:09
  Speaker 6: the day before, that BUT i like this game to
• 40:12
  Speaker 6: be lower scoring for pretty obvious reasons, here And i'm
• 40:16
  Speaker 6: okay with the games being somewhat higher scoring the last two,
• 40:19
  Speaker 6: games although yesterday was eight, nothing but, Yeah i'm okay with,
• 40:23
  Speaker 6: that maybe giving us a little bit of value on
• 40:26
  Speaker 6: the under Like skeens Versus. Wheeler like this full game
• 40:30
  Speaker 6: total being eight kind of surprises. Me AND i KNOW
• 40:33
  Speaker 6: i said that yesterday with The yankees, game and that
• 40:35
  Speaker 6: game went way, over But schlitler was just unexpectedly awful
• 40:39
  Speaker 6: in that game, Yesterday SO i don't know what to
• 40:41
  Speaker 6: tell you about, that But i'm pretty surprised the total
• 40:44
  Speaker 6: in this game is eight given what the starting pitching matchup,
• 40:46
  Speaker 6: is SO i don't really get. It uh maybe that
• 40:50
  Speaker 6: is an indicator that this is a bad, play But
• 40:52
  Speaker 6: i'm doing it. Anyway Paul skeens is pitching for The
• 40:54
  Speaker 6: pirates three point ONE, era but HIS era should be
• 40:58
  Speaker 6: lower than.
• 40:58
  Speaker 3: That his whip his point nine seven.
• 41:00
  Speaker 6: Evan that's. Good he's only slightly worse on the road
• 41:04
  Speaker 6: at three point two to TWO, era so that's not
• 41:07
  Speaker 6: too bad.
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: Luckily for.
• 41:10
  Speaker 6: Him this is an evening game Because skeens has actually
• 41:12
  Speaker 6: been bad during the, day WHICH i don't usually look,
• 41:15
  Speaker 6: at but MAYBE i should. Somehow pittsburgh has lost eight
• 41:22
  Speaker 6: straight starts For, schemes but we're not trying to Back
• 41:24
  Speaker 6: pittsburgh to win the game, here, Right so the problems
• 41:27
  Speaker 6: have Been pittsburgh's, bullpen And pittsburgh has not given.
• 41:30
  Speaker 3: Him run support in some of these games.
• 41:32
  Speaker 6: Either Like skeens has not been the problem with most
• 41:36
  Speaker 6: of these. Losses he had a couple of kind of
• 41:37
  Speaker 6: bad outings in, there but most of his outings have been.
• 41:40
  Speaker 6: Good he's still Pitching skeens. Like he's got a low
• 41:43
  Speaker 6: hit rate on the, season low walk, rate high strikeout.
• 41:46
  Speaker 6: Rate everything that you would expect is Just pittsburgh is
• 41:50
  Speaker 6: just not playing well as a team behind. Him But
• 41:52
  Speaker 6: i'm fine with that because we're cutting the bullpen out
• 41:55
  Speaker 6: of this game and we're just going with the under
• 41:59
  Speaker 6: here in THE us, five so we actually Want pittsburgh's
• 42:02
  Speaker 6: offense to be bad. Here skeens has good numbers Against
• 42:05
  Speaker 6: philly and sixty at bats eighteen to, one strikeout walk
• 42:08
  Speaker 6: ratio really, good one sixty seven, average four to sixty
• 42:12
  Speaker 6: four ohps. Allowed those are some good numbers right there
• 42:15
  Speaker 6: in a pretty big, sample So skeens should have a
• 42:18
  Speaker 6: decent matchup. Here Zach wheeler is going for The. Phillies
• 42:21
  Speaker 6: he's been really good since coming back from. Injury two
• 42:24
  Speaker 6: point h three, array zero point eighty six. Whip his
• 42:28
  Speaker 6: ray is exactly the same home and. Away it doesn't even.
• 42:30
  Speaker 6: Matter he's good either. Way he's been really good over
• 42:34
  Speaker 6: the past month or. So he allowed two or fewer
• 42:36
  Speaker 6: runs in every start in the month Of. June his
• 42:39
  Speaker 6: team won all but one of. Them he picked up
• 42:41
  Speaker 6: a win in all of. Them his team's only lost
• 42:44
  Speaker 6: two starts as he came back in Late. April he's
• 42:47
  Speaker 6: got a really low hit rate on the. Season he
• 42:49
  Speaker 6: has better numbers Than, skeens except his strikeout rates not as.
• 42:53
  Speaker 6: High he's got a low walk. Rate his strike out
• 42:55
  Speaker 6: rate is mediocre Against. Pittsburgh you, know he's got good number.
• 43:00
  Speaker 6: Here it's a big sample one hundred and twenty eight
• 43:02
  Speaker 6: at bats forty seven to nine strikeout walk, ratio Though
• 43:05
  Speaker 6: ozuna is twenty five of those, strikeouts but he does
• 43:09
  Speaker 6: shred these guys pretty. Much Only Brandon lowe really does
• 43:13
  Speaker 6: much of anything against him one eighty eight batting, average
• 43:16
  Speaker 6: five to sixty one. Ops so both starting pitchers have
• 43:19
  Speaker 6: a pretty big sample size to look at, here and
• 43:21
  Speaker 6: they both have really good matchup.
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: Numbers So i'm doing it.
• 43:25
  Speaker 6: Again it does look too, obvious but Sometimes i'm gonna
• 43:28
  Speaker 6: go with the. OBVIOUS i don't like. That the money's
• 43:30
  Speaker 6: back in the over very strongly. Here eighty percent of
• 43:34
  Speaker 6: tickets on the, under eighty nine percent of the cash
• 43:36
  Speaker 6: on the over. Eight that's a full game, market though
• 43:40
  Speaker 6: we're looking at the first. FIVE i think it's gonna
• 43:42
  Speaker 6: be low scoring early in the. Game philadelphia is around
• 43:45
  Speaker 6: minus one thirty something the year they are, public seventy
• 43:48
  Speaker 6: two percent of, tickets seventy three percent of the cash On,
• 43:50
  Speaker 6: philly so the public is actually Fading Paul. Skins you
• 43:54
  Speaker 6: don't usually Get Paul skeens as an underdog. Man so
• 43:58
  Speaker 6: maybe At pittsburgh first, FIVE i play makes some sense,
• 44:01
  Speaker 6: here maybe to try to go With pittsburgh to keep
• 44:03
  Speaker 6: the game close in the first. FIVE i, MEAN i
• 44:05
  Speaker 6: think it is going to be a pitching, duel so
• 44:08
  Speaker 6: the underdog in the first five makes some sense. THERE
• 44:12
  Speaker 6: i would not be able to Back pittsburgh full. Game
• 44:15
  Speaker 6: you might be looking at him to looking at him
• 44:16
  Speaker 6: to bounce back after getting shut out. Yesterday AND i
• 44:20
  Speaker 6: think the series means more To pittsburgh because they're the
• 44:23
  Speaker 6: little brother In. Pennsylvania this is a four game, series
• 44:26
  Speaker 6: by the, way so the series does continue tomorrow as.
• 44:29
  Speaker 6: Well i'm pretty. Sure But, PITTSBURGH i just don't like their.
• 44:34
  Speaker 6: BULLPEN i, MEAN i think their side does make some
• 44:36
  Speaker 6: sense in this. Game, Obviously i'm going with the first
• 44:39
  Speaker 6: five under, There but, Yeah pittsburgh in the first FIVE
• 44:43
  Speaker 6: i think makes some sense in the. Game all, Right
• 44:47
  Speaker 6: Saint louis And. Atlanta And atlanta did lose in the
• 44:50
  Speaker 6: return home spot. YESTERDAY i wasn't really sure about the.
• 44:53
  Speaker 6: MATCHUP i didn't really want to Back leebrutore, there but
• 44:56
  Speaker 6: The braves did.
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: Lose they've been bad.
• 45:00
  Speaker 6: Recently The braves have lost seven of their last, eight
• 45:03
  Speaker 6: but they're in a bounce back spot. Here with typically
• 45:06
  Speaker 6: a bounce back spot when you return home and you
• 45:08
  Speaker 6: do bad in your first, game a lot of times
• 45:10
  Speaker 6: you bounce back and play better in the next. GAME
• 45:13
  Speaker 6: i don't really want to Back Ronaldo lopez, THOUGH i
• 45:15
  Speaker 6: think you have no idea what you're gonna get out of.
• 45:17
  Speaker 3: Him, here SO i can't do.
• 45:18
  Speaker 6: That atlanta did use four relief pitchers, yesterday al though
• 45:23
  Speaker 6: they're still pretty rested and they're still a good. Bullpen
• 45:26
  Speaker 6: Saint louis is not a great bullpen and they use
• 45:29
  Speaker 6: four guys as. Well atlanta's the number one bullpen across the,
• 45:33
  Speaker 6: board basically, so and by a decent. Margin Saint louis
• 45:37
  Speaker 6: is somewhere in the bottom. THIRD i, think, yeah they're twenty,
• 45:41
  Speaker 6: first not a very good, bullpen So atlanta has a better.
• 45:44
  Speaker 6: Bullpen atlanta's offense has fallen off. Recently that's been part
• 45:47
  Speaker 6: of the reason why they haven't played well. Recently fifteenth
• 45:50
  Speaker 6: now for, Them Saint louis is. Sixteenth braves have fallen off,
• 45:55
  Speaker 6: though and they haven't been very good at home, offensively
• 45:57
  Speaker 6: and they might struggle here Against michael, mcgreeve who's another
• 46:01
  Speaker 6: one of those guys that advanced analytics don't like him
• 46:04
  Speaker 6: because he doesn't strike guys, out but he does have
• 46:06
  Speaker 6: pretty good numbers three point one TWO, era one point
• 46:09
  Speaker 6: one four, whip so he's not putting guys on. Base
• 46:12
  Speaker 6: he is worse on the road, though four point three
• 46:14
  Speaker 6: to six roadra away From Saint louis's pitcher friendly. Ballpark
• 46:19
  Speaker 6: he pitched well last time Against miami at, home shut
• 46:22
  Speaker 6: them out for six. Innings wasn't good in his last
• 46:24
  Speaker 6: road out road outing At Kansas, city although that's become
• 46:29
  Speaker 6: more of a hitter friendly. Ballpark he pitched well well
• 46:32
  Speaker 6: well enough in the previous road outing Against, minnesota And
• 46:35
  Speaker 6: minnesota scores a lot at, home so he did pretty
• 46:39
  Speaker 6: well in that one. OVERALL i, mean he just has
• 46:43
  Speaker 6: a really low strikeout, ray but he does have a
• 46:45
  Speaker 6: low hit rate in a pretty low walk. Rate so
• 46:48
  Speaker 6: just the thing is he doesn't strike guys. Out he
• 46:50
  Speaker 6: pitches to, contact and the analytics guys don't like, that
• 46:53
  Speaker 6: BUT i, say, well if you're consistently not putting guys
• 46:55
  Speaker 6: on base, Though like the reason WHY i didn't like
• 46:58
  Speaker 6: guys Like.
• 46:58
  Speaker 3: David peterson was because their whip was like sky.
• 47:01
  Speaker 6: High they're putting guys on base and constantly skating on thin.
• 47:04
  Speaker 6: Ice McGreevy is not doing, That like he's not putting
• 47:07
  Speaker 6: guys on, base SO i think there is a difference.
• 47:09
  Speaker 6: There although pitching to, contact you, know maybe eventually what
• 47:13
  Speaker 6: you're doing will turn into hits against, you but that
• 47:16
  Speaker 6: hasn't really happened so. Far Ronaldo, lopez LIKE i, SAID
• 47:19
  Speaker 6: i don't know IF i trust. HIM i think he's
• 47:21
  Speaker 6: a head. Case he's kind of an older. Guy. Now
• 47:24
  Speaker 6: he was in the bullpen for a while for The,
• 47:25
  Speaker 6: braves and now they put him back in the starting,
• 47:27
  Speaker 6: ROTATION i think because they have. Injuries three point four
• 47:30
  Speaker 6: to SEVENTY ra for, him then that includes all of
• 47:32
  Speaker 6: his bullpen. Work one point three to seven whip is not.
• 47:36
  Speaker 6: Good though he's putting too many guys on. Base he's
• 47:39
  Speaker 6: basically the same home and, away so that doesn't really.
• 47:42
  Speaker 6: Matter he started last time Against San francisco and he was,
• 47:45
  Speaker 6: fine but they only let him go three, innings so
• 47:48
  Speaker 6: it looks like they might have him on a leash,
• 47:50
  Speaker 6: here like they're only letting him go about sixty pitches
• 47:53
  Speaker 6: three innings, here SO i don't know if he's gonna
• 47:55
  Speaker 6: make a full start, here if they're gonna try to
• 47:57
  Speaker 6: ramp him up to, THAT i actually have no. Clue
• 48:00
  Speaker 6: SO i think if we're gonna try to play The
• 48:01
  Speaker 6: braves to bounce back, here you just don't even know
• 48:03
  Speaker 6: what you're gonna.
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: Get out Of, Lopez so that worries.
• 48:06
  Speaker 6: Mean although he might match up okay here Because Saint
• 48:09
  Speaker 6: louis only has three hitters have ever faced, him and
• 48:12
  Speaker 6: they're zerver five with two strikeouts in one, walk so
• 48:15
  Speaker 6: he does have an unfamiliarity advantage, here and they're hitters
• 48:19
  Speaker 6: that have faced him haven't done anything against. Him BUT
• 48:22
  Speaker 6: i don't know if that's. Enough so situation Favors. Atlanta
• 48:26
  Speaker 6: the money is slightly leaning that. Way seventy percent of,
• 48:29
  Speaker 6: tickets seventy eight percent of the cash on. Them they're
• 48:31
  Speaker 6: a bit public, though minus one thirty something on the,
• 48:34
  Speaker 6: price With atlanta.
• 48:37
  Speaker 3: Money backing the over as. Well the totals at.
• 48:39
  Speaker 6: NINE i don't know about the, over but you, KNOW
• 48:42
  Speaker 6: i think probably the analytics guys just don't really like
• 48:45
  Speaker 6: either of these pitchers most, likely so that's probably why
• 48:48
  Speaker 6: the over is getting the traction. THERE i don't think
• 48:51
  Speaker 6: i'd really want to do, that, THOUGH i think maybe
• 48:53
  Speaker 6: A Saint louis first five makes some. Sense they're just
• 48:56
  Speaker 6: focusing on the starting pitching WHERE i think McGreevy might
• 48:59
  Speaker 6: last a little bit longer here and might be a
• 49:01
  Speaker 6: little bit. Better BUT i don't really love, it, MAN
• 49:04
  Speaker 6: i forgot to look at. McGreevy, DUDE i keep missing
• 49:06
  Speaker 6: everything McGreevy against The. Braves they only have three hitters
• 49:09
  Speaker 6: who have faced, him so he has unfamiliarity as. Well
• 49:12
  Speaker 6: only one hit against him is a double From Dominic.
• 49:15
  Speaker 6: Smith they have three strikeouts and no, walks so they
• 49:19
  Speaker 6: have a one to eleven average and three thirty three
• 49:21
  Speaker 6: ops against, him but they're pretty unfamiliar with mcgreevy's some,
• 49:25
  Speaker 6: YEAH i, MEAN i don't. Know i'd probably prefer the,
• 49:27
  Speaker 6: younger steadier pitcher, there which is, mcgreevy's so in my,
• 49:32
  Speaker 6: opinion SO i think first Five Saint louis makes some
• 49:35
  Speaker 6: sense in that. Game probably getting, them actually you might
• 49:38
  Speaker 6: be getting them as a little bit of an underdog still.
• 49:40
  Speaker 6: There tampa D Kansas City Kansas city was in a
• 49:44
  Speaker 6: return home spot, yesterday and even though they have maybe
• 49:47
  Speaker 6: a little bit of revenge going on Against Tampa bay
• 49:50
  Speaker 6: after losing the last two To Tampa bay in the previous,
• 49:53
  Speaker 6: series they got killed yesterday in the return home. Spot
• 49:56
  Speaker 6: this is a Bad Kansas city pitching, staff, Dude ALTHOUGH
• 49:59
  Speaker 6: i like to, yesterday SO i don't know if he
• 50:02
  Speaker 6: was bad or if it was just the bullpen that was.
• 50:03
  Speaker 6: Bad it looks Like cameron kind of got lit up
• 50:06
  Speaker 6: in that. GAME i don't like seeing that BECAUSE i like,
• 50:09
  Speaker 6: Him but, yeah he wasn't good, Yesterday SO i don't, know.
• 50:14
  Speaker 6: MAN i, Mean Kansas city could be in a bounce back,
• 50:16
  Speaker 6: now because, again when you return home and it's a
• 50:18
  Speaker 6: bad spot and you get blown out like, that and
• 50:21
  Speaker 6: they've lost three in a row now Of Tampa, bay
• 50:23
  Speaker 6: a lot of times that team will bounce. Back but
• 50:25
  Speaker 6: if you're gonna Back Kansas, city there's no way you
• 50:27
  Speaker 6: can back their. Bullpen their bullpen is, awful and they
• 50:31
  Speaker 6: had to use a lot of it yesterday. Too they
• 50:33
  Speaker 6: used five relief pitchers. Yesterday that's not. Good Tampa bay
• 50:37
  Speaker 6: only used. Three Tampa bay's bullpen is ranked pretty high at,
• 50:40
  Speaker 6: tenth but their eer ray is still in the mid,
• 50:43
  Speaker 6: fours so their eray is worse than all the teams
• 50:45
  Speaker 6: around them because their whip is. Decent BUT i don't
• 50:48
  Speaker 6: know about that, era, MAN i don't love that. Bullpen
• 50:51
  Speaker 6: Kansas city's is clearly worse. Though they're dead last in
• 50:55
  Speaker 6: whip and it's between them And minnesota for the worst
• 50:58
  Speaker 6: bullpen in. Baseball they're both like right, there really. Bad
• 51:02
  Speaker 6: Kansas city twenty first. Offensively Tampa bay tied in eighth With,
• 51:06
  Speaker 6: milwaukee So Tampa bay has an offensive edge. Here Tampa
• 51:10
  Speaker 6: bay is going With shane, McClanahan WHO i think is
• 51:13
  Speaker 6: a pretty decent. PITCHER i, mean he does have good
• 51:15
  Speaker 6: numbers throughout his, career although he's been a little bit
• 51:17
  Speaker 6: worse recently than he was earlier in the. Season three
• 51:21
  Speaker 6: point THREE, ra one point two two, whips still pretty.
• 51:24
  Speaker 6: Good not as good on the road four point three
• 51:27
  Speaker 6: to eight road Y, ra so he's not as good
• 51:29
  Speaker 6: on the. Road he you, know he got kind of
• 51:33
  Speaker 6: unlucky in his last. Outing the fielding really hurt. Him
• 51:36
  Speaker 6: it was a bad loss for his, team but he
• 51:38
  Speaker 6: only allowed to earned runs in that. Game four unearned
• 51:42
  Speaker 6: runs came home against him in that When he did
• 51:43
  Speaker 6: not pitch badly in that game Against Kansas, city although
• 51:46
  Speaker 6: he was struggling in the prior couple of, starts so
• 51:49
  Speaker 6: he is having some. Issues he's having some walk issues,
• 51:52
  Speaker 6: recently so, yeah he's not really in good form right.
• 51:55
  Speaker 6: Now but that last start Against Kansas city wasn't that. Bad,
• 52:00
  Speaker 6: overall numbers pretty, good low hit, rate his walk rate is,
• 52:03
  Speaker 6: decent strike out rate is pretty decent as.
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: Well maybe he bounces back.
• 52:07
  Speaker 6: Here even though that start didn't look good Against Kansas,
• 52:11
  Speaker 6: city it wasn't that. Bad his numbers Against Kansas city
• 52:13
  Speaker 6: are actually kind of.
• 52:14
  Speaker 3: All over the place.
• 52:15
  Speaker 6: Though he's got a two twenty nine average against, him
• 52:17
  Speaker 6: which is, low but a nine owaight ops is really.
• 52:21
  Speaker 6: High they have four.
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: Home runs against.
• 52:23
  Speaker 6: Him, caglianone whoever that, IS i almost. WAS i was,
• 52:27
  Speaker 6: Like Joe, castiglione what the Former Red sox radio, Announcer,
• 52:32
  Speaker 6: No Jack.
• 52:33
  Speaker 3: CAGLIANONI i don't know who he.
• 52:35
  Speaker 6: Is he's got two of the home runs though against.
• 52:39
  Speaker 6: McClanahan thirty five at bats total for McClanahan Against Kansas,
• 52:45
  Speaker 6: city ten, strikeouts four, Walks but, yeah they don't hit
• 52:47
  Speaker 6: him for, average but they hit him for, power so
• 52:50
  Speaker 6: do what you want with. That maybe that's a little bit,
• 52:52
  Speaker 6: flukey but this is a home run conducive stadium sort.
• 52:56
  Speaker 6: Of now that they move the walls In kansas city's
• 52:58
  Speaker 6: going with Seth. Lug advanced analytics guys don't like him.
• 53:02
  Speaker 3: EITHER i think he's.
• 53:04
  Speaker 6: Okay he's got a four point one to EIGHTY. Ra
• 53:06
  Speaker 6: one point three to seven whip isn't really that good.
• 53:08
  Speaker 6: Though he is a little bit better at home three
• 53:11
  Speaker 6: point seven to five. Home THE ra wasn't good last
• 53:14
  Speaker 6: time Against tampa. Though tampa got to him for seven
• 53:17
  Speaker 6: earned runs in five, innings but he hit seven hits
• 53:21
  Speaker 6: and two walks. THERE i mean that is still not.
• 53:24
  Speaker 6: Good but basically everybody that reached base scored against, him
• 53:27
  Speaker 6: so he did get slightly unlucky there as.
• 53:29
  Speaker 3: Well he hasn't really been in great form though over
• 53:32
  Speaker 3: the past.
• 53:33
  Speaker 6: Month he has a nine to seven strikeout walk ratio
• 53:36
  Speaker 6: in nineteen to thirty. Innings that's a really low strikeout
• 53:38
  Speaker 6: rate bad ratio, there plus twenty one, hits so he's
• 53:41
  Speaker 6: not really pitching well right. Now, overall he's allowed too
• 53:44
  Speaker 6: many hits on the. Season his walk rate is kind
• 53:47
  Speaker 6: of a little bit, high and his strikeout rate is not,
• 53:50
  Speaker 6: high but that's just the way that he. Is he
• 53:52
  Speaker 6: doesn't strike guys. Out he has a bit of a
• 53:55
  Speaker 6: fly ball, pitcher although it hasn't really translated into that
• 53:57
  Speaker 6: many home runs against him Gets tampa are not good,
• 54:01
  Speaker 6: though two eighty six batting average nine oh five. Ops
• 54:04
  Speaker 6: this includes that last start where he wasn't very good
• 54:08
  Speaker 6: in sixty three at bats ten to three strikeout walk.
• 54:10
  Speaker 6: RATIO i think there are more indicators towards an over
• 54:15
  Speaker 6: in this game than anything. Else by the, Way i'm
• 54:18
  Speaker 6: gonna go back To baltimore because they have announced the
• 54:21
  Speaker 6: starting pitcher. Finally some of these teams were undecided WHEN
• 54:25
  Speaker 6: i handicapped these. Games but, YEAH i think this particular
• 54:27
  Speaker 6: game has more indicators towards an. Over the money does
• 54:31
  Speaker 6: indicate that. Way fifty to fifty on the, tickets eighty
• 54:33
  Speaker 6: eight percent of the cash on the, over ten or
• 54:36
  Speaker 6: ten and a half. There you, know ten isn't a key,
• 54:40
  Speaker 6: number so it is what it. Is the odd numbers
• 54:43
  Speaker 6: are all key. There it's a high. TOTAL i, Mean
• 54:46
  Speaker 6: kids Of city, again their ballpark isn't really pitcher friendly.
• 54:50
  Speaker 6: Anymore both bullpens are not trustworthy in my, Opinion so,
• 54:55
  Speaker 6: YEAH i, MEAN i could see the argument for the,
• 54:57
  Speaker 6: over ALTHOUGH i think mcclanahan's not that, bad but he
• 55:00
  Speaker 6: does have a bad ops against Versus Kansas city eighty
• 55:05
  Speaker 6: three percent of tickets ninety five percent of the cash
• 55:07
  Speaker 6: On Tampa, bay though they're around minus one thirty. SOMETHING
• 55:11
  Speaker 6: i don't know about. THAT i, Mean Kansas city's in
• 55:13
  Speaker 6: a better situational spot to bounce back. HERE i don't
• 55:16
  Speaker 6: think i'd lay that. Price Tampa bay is also not
• 55:19
  Speaker 6: that good on the, ROAD i don't think.
• 55:21
  Speaker 3: SO i believe that's the.
• 55:23
  Speaker 6: CASE i think they're considerably better at, Home SO i
• 55:25
  Speaker 6: don't THINK i want to lay a price like that
• 55:27
  Speaker 6: With Tampa. Bay even though maybe mcclan ann is preferable To.
• 55:30
  Speaker 6: Lugo Tampa bay's bullpen is probably. Preferable BUT i think
• 55:34
  Speaker 6: an over might make more sense than any any other
• 55:37
  Speaker 6: way of looking at that. Game i'm gonna be right
• 55:39
  Speaker 6: back talk about the remaining five, games and then there's NO, wnba,
• 55:43
  Speaker 6: thankfully although it comes back tomorrow AND i don't know
• 55:47
  Speaker 6: How i'm Gonna i'm gonna get back on the winning, Side.
• 55:49
  Speaker 6: Dude it feels like it's impossible at this, point even
• 55:52
  Speaker 6: Though i'm only one game below five hundred after being
• 55:55
  Speaker 6: you know, whatever it was five and, oh you know
• 55:59
  Speaker 6: it's it's like almost impossible That i'm six and seven
• 56:03
  Speaker 6: now in THE. Wnba it's just so. Stupid and Then
• 56:06
  Speaker 6: i'm gonna talk about The World. Cup BUT i don't
• 56:08
  Speaker 6: really have a ton to say about The World. CUP i,
• 56:09
  Speaker 6: mean a couple of huge favorites today and.
• 56:12
  Speaker 3: Whatever i'll be right.
• 56:14
  Speaker 6: Back my voice is also still really, bad LIKE i
• 57:28
  Speaker 6: don't even, know gotta stop doing this. Show Probably cincinnati And,
• 57:33
  Speaker 6: milwaukee And milwaukee's won the first two games of this
• 57:35
  Speaker 6: four game. Series this is AN espn game. TONIGHT i
• 57:40
  Speaker 6: don't know if it's that compelling of a, matchup But
• 57:42
  Speaker 6: milwaukee's won both games so. Far the series does continue.
• 57:46
  Speaker 6: Tomorrow milwaukee used three relief pitchers. Yesterday they're the better,
• 57:52
  Speaker 6: bullpen Though cincinnati's bullpen is really. Bad they used two
• 57:56
  Speaker 6: guys out of their, bullpen But cincinnati's twenty eighth and
• 57:59
  Speaker 6: bullpen and not. Good milwaukee's, twelve BUT i think they
• 58:03
  Speaker 6: might be a little bit better than. That milwaukee is
• 58:05
  Speaker 6: up to eighth, offensively LIKE i said tied with The,
• 58:08
  Speaker 6: rays they're better offense in this matchup as. Well cincinnati's
• 58:12
  Speaker 6: twenty third they've, struggled even though they did get Dal
• 58:14
  Speaker 6: La cruz. Back Andrew abbott pitching For. Cincinnati he's kind
• 58:20
  Speaker 6: of hard to figure out because he's had a decent
• 58:22
  Speaker 6: career so. Far but his numbers this year three point
• 58:25
  Speaker 6: NINETY ra pretty, good but his whip is definitely bad
• 58:28
  Speaker 6: one point four to.
• 58:29
  Speaker 3: One he's putting too many guys on.
• 58:31
  Speaker 6: Base he's better on the road three point one seven ROAD,
• 58:34
  Speaker 6: era so if you take him away From Great American,
• 58:37
  Speaker 6: ballpark he does pitch better. Away he was decent ish
• 58:43
  Speaker 6: and his last two roads starts against The yankees In.
• 58:45
  Speaker 6: Pittsburgh those are not easy offenses to go up. Against
• 58:49
  Speaker 6: he gave it three home runs To, pittsburgh so he
• 58:51
  Speaker 6: kind of got a little bit unlucky. There but he's
• 58:52
  Speaker 6: been allowing too many home runs recently. Too he had
• 58:55
  Speaker 6: decent strikeout numbers, there but his walk rate has also
• 58:58
  Speaker 6: been too high recently and really throughout the whole. Season
• 59:02
  Speaker 6: he's got a pretty low hit, rate but his walks
• 59:04
  Speaker 6: are really. Concerning he's got a really high walk. Rate
• 59:07
  Speaker 6: his home run rate's not really that great, either and
• 59:09
  Speaker 6: his strike up rate is. Low he's not exactly a
• 59:12
  Speaker 6: strike up, pitcher but his walk rate definitely needs to get.
• 59:15
  Speaker 3: BETTER i mean that's.
• 59:16
  Speaker 6: Concerning numbers Against milwaukee are actually pretty, good though in
• 59:19
  Speaker 6: one hundred and one at bats they haven't really been
• 59:22
  Speaker 6: able to figure him. Out they have a two eighteen,
• 59:24
  Speaker 6: average six forty six, ohps twenty nine to three strike
• 59:27
  Speaker 6: out walk. Ratio So abbott actually does match up well Against.
• 59:31
  Speaker 6: MILWAUKEE i believe he did face them once this.
• 59:34
  Speaker 3: Year let me. See AM i wrong about?
• 59:36
  Speaker 6: THAT i thought he. DID i guess. Not i'm wrong about.
• 59:40
  Speaker 6: THAT i GUESS i don't. KNOW i thought he had
• 59:41
  Speaker 6: one game against them already this. YEAR i Guess i'm.
• 59:43
  Speaker 6: Wrong milwaukee's going With Shane, drohan who is still a complete,
• 59:48
  Speaker 6: mystery to the point WHERE espn still doesn't even does
• 59:51
  Speaker 6: not even have a picture of this, guy MISTER. X
• 59:55
  Speaker 6: he's got a three point one to TWO, era one
• 59:57
  Speaker 6: point two to three whip that's not too.
• 59:58
  Speaker 3: Bad three at, home so he's been pretty good at.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 6: Home they basically he's a converted, reliever but he's been
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 6: decent as a.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 3: Starter he's allowed four fewer runs in every.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 6: Outing he's got a fairly low hit rate, here his
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 6: walk rate is not too, bad strike out rate is
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 6: right at one per, inning so his numbers overall are
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 6: actually pretty. SOLID i DON'T i still don't really know
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 6: much about this. GUY i, mean who, does but he's been.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 6: Alright his numbers against The, reds, though are actually not.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 6: Good they only have thirteen at bats against, him but
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 6: like most of their lineup has faced, him three zero
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 6: eight batting, average seven to eighty FIVE, ops two to
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 6: two strike out walk. Ratio maybe this is a start
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 6: where maybe you could Fade drohan, here or a spot
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 6: where maybe you could fade. Him AND i Think cincinnati
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 6: will be motivated more because they've already lost two games
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 6: in the. Series milwaukee's at minus one sixty something. Here
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 6: maybe they shouldn't be that heavily favored given what the
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 6: starting pitching matchup. Is milwaukee's public eighty five percent of the,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 6: tickets ninety four percent of the cash on, them so
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 6: the money is back In milwaukee here a little, bit
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 6: but they're very public as. WELL i think maybe you
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 6: could take a shot With cincinnati in the first five.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 3: HERE i don't think you.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 6: Could you could do anything full game with them because
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 6: their bullpen is just way too.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 3: Bad but Maybe abbott does.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 6: Have the upper hand Over drohan. Here his numbers aren't
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 6: really as, good But abbott is the more he's the
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 6: more experienced. Pitcher let's, say like he's got multiple complete
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 6: seasons where he's actually been better than he's been this,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 6: season so you, know and he's got the good matchup numbers.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 6: Here so maybe Grabbing cincinnati is an underdog in the
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 6: first five maybe makes some sense. There you're probably getting
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 6: them at less of an underdog, price but they'll still
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 6: be an underdog totals at, nine and money's kind of
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 6: backing the over there. TOO i could see the argument for.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 6: IT i, mean maybe both pitchers are a little bit questionable,
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 6: there BUT i don't THINK i really want to do.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 6: That minnesota And, houston this game looks seriously unpredictable.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 3: To me with these two.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 6: STARTERS i have no idea what's gonna happen in this.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 6: Game minnesota has a very bad. Bullpen they use two
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 6: guys out of the.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 3: Bullpen.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 6: Yesterday their bullpen actually didn't allow any runs. Yesterday we
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 6: took the loss just Because Joe ryan had one bad
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 6: inning after it looked like we were gonna get the
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 6: easy Win. Minnesota With ryan on the mount up three
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 6: nothing in the fourth, inning you've pretty much clinched that.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 3: Play i'm fucking pissed.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 6: Off houston also hasn't been as good offensively recently.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 3: Either houston used four relief.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 6: PITCHERS i don't like either, bullpen But minnesota's is very.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 6: Bad they're ranked twenty, Ninth but LIKE i, said you
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 6: could easily make the argument they're the. Worst it's them
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 6: Or Kansas. City they're really really. Bad houston's been a
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 6: little bit better.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 3: Recently they're up to eighteenth.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 6: Than, bullpens So i'm willing to say they're like a mediocre.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 6: BULLPEN i still don't really trust, them. Though houston's, offense
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 6: LIKE i, said has not been as good. Recently they're
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 6: at Twelveth minnesota is. Eleventh minnesota's going WITH.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 3: Todj. Bradley.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 6: Here, BRADLEY i, mean his numbers aren't really that. Bad
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 6: three point nine to EIGHTY ra one point two eight,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 6: whip it's.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 3: A little bit. High he's he's worse on the road
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 3: four point Three ROADY.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 6: Ra he bitched well when his last couple of starts
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 6: really giving up two runs each Against arizona And.
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 3: Colorado had a lot of strikeouts Against.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 6: Colorado his walker rate is still way too, high, though
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 6: and that's been the issue with. Him he has a
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 6: low hit rate a high strikeout. Rate so he's got, talent.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 6: Dude he could strike out major league hitters at a high,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 6: rate and that's always something you want to look, for
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 6: and the advanced analytics guys like. That the problem is he's.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 6: Wild he walks too many. Guys he's got to figure that,
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 6: out BECAUSE i think he's a talented. Pitcher i've always thought,
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 6: that it's just that he can't get those walks wrapped.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 3: Up his numbers Against houston are actually pretty.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 6: Good in fifty six at bats one ninety six average,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 6: allowed six seventy nine oh, ps nineteen to four strikeout walk.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 6: Ratios those are pretty solid. Numbers he does well Against,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 6: houston by the, way in this series so, far the
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 6: teams have split the series so, far AND i think
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 6: this is the last game of this, series just to
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 6: keep that in. Mind Tatsuya imai is pitching For. Houston
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 6: he's mostly been really bad at this, season but it's
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 6: his first season in the, majors and he you, know
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 6: he's a guy that's been described as cocky AS i keep,
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 6: saying he's got a five point three SIX era one
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 6: point three to two. Whip he's kind of the opposite
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 6: Of sasaki Right Where sasaki is very, Timid imai is
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 6: like very animated and gets like too high on. Himself,
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 6: basically his numbers overall are not, good, obviously but he's
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 6: been pitching better. Recently he hasn't been good at home
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 6: six point four to SIX, homeira that's not, Good but
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 6: his last two, starts he's been completely dominant Against cleveland
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 6: at home And detroit on the road twenty one to
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 6: one strikeout walk ratio over those two, starts with eight
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 6: hits allowed in twelve, innings three runs all out over that.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 6: Span so he went from like just a horrific start
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 6: where he didn't even go one inning Against Kansas city
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 6: to absolutely Destroying cleveland And. Detroit SO i don't know
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 6: if like he flipped the switch OR i don't know
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 6: what happened, here but he's been insanely good over those
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 6: last two. Starts does that.
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 3: Mean he's really good?
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 6: Now it's really really hard to, say, MAN i don't,
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 6: KNOW i, mean those are not exactly good. Offenses minnesota's
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 6: offense is better than those. Two he Faced minnesota earlier
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 6: in the year At, minnesota and he wasn't particularly good
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 6: in that, outing didn't finish five, innings they were allowed
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 6: three or.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 3: In, runs a couple of home.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 6: Runs his command was actually good in that outing. Though five,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 6: strikeouts no. Walks he's got a high strikeout rate obviously
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 6: a lot because of his last two, starts low hit,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 6: rate and his walk rate is very, high so exactly
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 6: what you would. Think he's striking out a bunch of,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 6: guys but he's really really wild and he's really hard to.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 6: Hit SO i have no idea what we're gonna get
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 6: out of him here is numbers against The twins are
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 6: not good because it's mostly just that one start against,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 6: them fourteen at, bats two eighty six, average one thousand.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 6: Ops both home runs came From Josh, bell, though so
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 6: if he pitches Around, bell he kind of dominated the
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 6: rest of this.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 3: Lineup five, strikeouts no, Walks so.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 6: You, KNOW i, mean it might sound maybe, crazy BUT
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 6: i think this game looks like a first five under to.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 6: Me the totals at eight and a half for the full.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 6: Game the money's back in the full game, over AND
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 6: i understand that because obviously you do not want to
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 6: play On minnesota's, bullpen like you can only fade, them
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 6: uh seventy eight percent of, tickets ninety two percent of
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 6: the cash on the. Over BUT i think both pitchers are.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 6: Better they're under the. RAIDAR i think they're better than people.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 6: Think they both had a good start in their last.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 6: Start they both look like they match up actually fairly well.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 6: Here so, YEAH i think the under in the first
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 6: five makes some sense to. ME i think it's pretty,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 6: rich THOUGH i don't want to do. IT i think
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 6: there's a lot of unpredictability, here even Though i'd like
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 6: to be early to the party ON, emi like before
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 6: people realize what's going on. Here maybe we still can
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 6: in some future. Starts But he's gonna or Euse houston
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 6: is getting the money here fifty four percent of, tickets
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 6: sixty six percent of the cash on. Them even though
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 6: they did win yesterday in the bounce back spot after
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 6: the game before that they lost in the return home.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 6: Spot but of COURSE i still thought the starting pitching
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 6: matchup was really strong to Back ryan. Yesterday i'm. PISSED
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 6: i think we should have had the win, there all,
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 6: Right miami At. COLORADO i Think Uri perez did pitch
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 6: pretty well. Yesterday miami got a blowout win, yesterday fourteen to.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 6: Three miami's put up twenty four runs in the first
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 6: two games of the, series and this SERIES i believe
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 6: is continuing tomorrow as. Well. Ridiculous colorado has been outscored
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 6: twenty four to ten in the.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 3: Series we've had two.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 6: Overs needless to, say in the series so, far is
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 6: this gonna be another? Over i'm not so sure about
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 6: that Because miami's best pitcher is going in this. Game
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 6: miami used three relief pitchers. Yesterday I'm colorado used. Two
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 6: miami has a way better, bullpen Though miami's ranked number
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 6: two in. BULLPEN i think they're like a top several.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 6: Bullpen they're. Good colorado is not. Good they are twenty,
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 6: seventh AND i think they're actually twenty. EIGHTH i think
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 6: they're the third worst. Bullpen third era is well above.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 3: Five very.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 6: Bad they've been, hitting Though colorado's number seven, Offensively miami's
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 6: tied in thirteenth with The. GIANTS i kind of laugh
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 6: BECAUSE i don't think either of those. Offenses is that?
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 6: Good miami's going With Max meyer, here, though AS i
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 6: already alluded, To meyer is. Good he still doesn't have
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 6: a loss on the, season AND i don't want to jinx,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 6: that but he's got a two point SIX era one
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 6: point one to ONE whip really good numbers. There not
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 6: as good on the road three point one to ONE,
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 6: roadra but that's still pretty. Good you gotta, ask is
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 6: he a home run conducive? Pitch, well he doesn't allowed
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 6: many home runs at. All he does tilt slightly towards
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 6: the fly, ball but not really that. Heavily he's got
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 6: low hit rate on the, season his walk rate is reasonably.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 3: Low strike out rate is actually really.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 6: High so, yeah he's got good numbers on the. Season
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 6: he's pitched well over the past. Month miami won every
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 6: one of his starts In, june and they won all
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 6: but one of his starts In, may and he's been
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 6: really really good And june he allowed two or fewer
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 6: own runs in every, Start so, yeah he's definitely pitching
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 6: well right. Now numbers Against colorado surprisingly are. Bad in
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 6: twenty nine at bats three ten, average nine to sixty
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 6: one ops eight to, three strike out walk.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 3: Ratio he actually.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 6: Pitched against them first start of the season at, home
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 6: and he was. Okay he went five innings to give
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 6: up three, runs did not take a. Decision miami won the.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 6: Game later in the. Game he gave up five, hits five,
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 6: strikeouts two. Walks he wasn't exactly awful in that, start
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 6: even THOUGH i know it's odd that his numbers are
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 6: that bad Against colorado in twenty nine at, bats but
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 6: a lot of that was in the, past so his
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 6: start against them wasn't that bad this. Year meyer is
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 6: obviously better this year than he has been earlier in
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 6: his earlier in his, career SO i don't really want
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 6: to Fade meyer. Here Kyle friedland is going For. Colorado
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 6: he has not been good a seven point FIVE vr
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 6: one point six to one. Whip he is somehow a
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 6: little bit better at home six point seven to five
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 6: home he. RAY i don't know how he's better in course.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 6: Field doesn't make sense to. Me wasn't good here really
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 6: last time out against The Red, sox they really hit him,
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 6: around although that was one of those games The Red
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 6: sox blew later in the. Game freeland has a really
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 6: high hit rate and he does have a really high
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 6: fly ball rate, too and he's allowed a lot of home,
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 6: runs SO i don't really buy much into the fact
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 6: that he's better at. HOME i, mean it's still not.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 6: Good he's a home run conducid. Pitcher he's got kind
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 6: of a low strikeout rate, too his walk rates, low
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 6: so he doesn't walk, guys but he is very hit a.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 6: Ball his numbers gets To miami are awful and forty
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 6: at bats four hundred average, allowed nine to fifty four,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 6: ohps sixty two strikeout walk. RATIO i, mean maybe this
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 6: game is another. OVER i, MEAN i don't think i'd
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 6: want to be sitting on an under. Here fifty to
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 6: fifty on the, tickets ninety four percent of the cash
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 6: on the, over the totals eleven juice to the. UNDER
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 6: i still don't know IF i want to do, that.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 6: Though With meyer on the, Mound meyer is a very
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 6: Public miami is a very public. Side eighty nine percent
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 6: of the, tickets ninety percent of the cash they're, laying
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 6: like minus one. Sixty, BASICALLY i don't think you really
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 6: lay that much of a price With. Miami minus one
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 6: sixty is kind of crazy as a road, favorite although
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 6: it IS i, mean it Is miami's best starting pitcher, though,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 6: YEAH i, MEAN i don't even, know. MAN i, mean
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 6: maybe the best way to play this game is still
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 6: to actually just lean towards the over, again BUT i
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 6: STILL i wouldn't want to do, it.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 3: THOUGH i don't really want to fade Man.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 6: MEYER i Think miami is more likely to win this,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 6: game BUT i wouldn't be surprised if they, didn't you,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 6: know BUT i think it's just too much of a
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 6: price to lay On miami, though even THOUGH i probably
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 6: slightly leaned Towards miami in that, One colorado was trying
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 6: to avoid getting swept at some point though though, again
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 6: LIKE i, said they are playing tomorrow. Too Though dodgers And,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 6: a's this is the end of this. Series The dodgers
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 6: have won both. GAMES i, think, yeah uh, so The
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 6: a's are trying to avoid a. Sweep so we have
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 6: another team that's at home trying to avoid a, sweep
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 6: and The a's are a big. Underdog even though The
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 6: dodgers haven't even announced a, STARTER i don't know what
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 6: they're doing BECAUSE i think it would Be. Sasak speaking of,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 6: HIM i think it's his turn to pitch for The.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 6: Dodgers he's not listed as a. Starter i'm not exactly
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 6: sure what's going on. There Although sasaki has been struggling again,
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 6: recently as used two relief pitchers. Yesterday their bullpen is,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 6: unbackable Though dodgers used two as. Well dodgers are ranked
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 6: fifth and BULLPEN i think they're not quite that, good
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 6: but they're pretty.
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 3: Solid a's are twenty.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 6: Third they're one of the other bullpen's with above a
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 6: FIVE era not good hitting, Wise dodgers are.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 3: Number one still and by a pretty wide. Margin right.
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 3: Now The a's are where they.
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 6: At they're pretty high up to The a's are tenth
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 6: actually right, now so they've dropped a little.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 3: Bit dodgers.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 6: UNDECIDED i, mean if they are going With, sasaki you,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 6: KNOW i don't know if it's going to. Be so
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 6: this is a hard game to figure out without knowing
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 6: who the pitcher is gonna. Be, SASAKI i, mean, overall
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 6: he hasn't really been that. Great he's struggled in his
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 6: last three. Starts his walk number's gone way up. Again
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 6: so he seemed like he had figured some stuff out
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 6: Through may and Into. June but HE'S i told, you,
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 6: man HE'S i think he's not very mentally, tough and
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 6: when he had that bad, start he just went right
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 6: off the rails. Again SO i don't Like. Sasaki if
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 6: he's gonna pitch in this, GAME i don't like him
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 6: in this. Game he doesn't have any experience against the
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 6: A but he is also pitching in a very home
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 6: run conducing, ballpark And sasaki has not been great with
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 6: the home run. Ball he's allowed a decent amount of home.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 6: Runs this fly ball rate is not, horrible but he's
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 6: a little bit flyball. Heavy so, AGAIN i don't know
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 6: if it's gonna be him pitching or. Not though The
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 6: a's are going with J. T gin And gen has
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 6: actually been one of their best. Starters he's actually been
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 6: pretty good three point one FIVE, era one point two two.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 6: Whip he's been worse at, home understandably because The a's
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 6: playing the Stupid TRIPLE a stadium where everything flies out
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 6: of the. Yard he's got a four point oh seven
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 6: home ra which is not that bad all things, considered
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 6: and he's not really a home run conduce a. Pitcher
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 6: he's allowed fewer than ten home runs this year so.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 6: Far he's got a low hit, rate his strikeout rate
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 6: is not. Great his walk rate's a bit too, high but.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 3: Overall he's not that.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 6: Bad he's not really that fly ball, heavy so that
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 6: does help him out in this, stadium so he's a.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 3: Better pitching style to pitch in the stadium.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 6: HIM i don't love his walk, numbers, really but his
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 6: numbers overall are not that. Bad dodgers basically haven't seen.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 6: Him Only Chucky robinson has seen. HIM i don't even
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 6: know who that. Is he's one for two of them
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 6: with a single and no, walks no.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 3: STRIKEOUTS i might lean towards The a's, here.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 6: MAN i mean it would be kind of a blind lean,
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 6: though because we have no idea what The dodgers are
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 6: doing with their. Starter but it's you, KNOW i might
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 6: just wait and see what The dodgers are gonna do
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 6: as they're with their starter. HERE i think if it Is,
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 6: sasaki you could take the chance with The a's, here
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 6: or if it's some other pitcher that's not that good
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 6: for The dodgers. OBVIOUSLY i, mean anything you know who
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 6: to avoid, here LIKE i, WOULD i would not recommend
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 6: The a's if they're having to go up against you,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 6: Know yamamoto or somebody like, that BUT i don't think
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 6: it's gonna be any of those. Guys The dodgers have
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 6: already dropped on the money line quite a. Bit they're
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 6: down to minus one sixty something.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 3: Here part of it's because we don't know who's.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 6: Pitching the total has gone way up to ten and a,
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 6: half so money is actually backing the under slightly here
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 6: public all over the. OVER i don't think i'd want
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 6: to be on an under in this, game. Though if
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 6: you're gonna be on the, under you gotta do it
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 6: in the first. Five you can't back The a's. Bullpen
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 6: BUT i would not back the under at all in this.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 6: GAME i think fading The dodgers makes some sense, here
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 6: going with The a's to try to get one back
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 6: in the series with one of their better pitchers going
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 6: eighty seven percent of tickets ninety percent of the cash
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 6: on The, dodgers so they are they're basically a public.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 6: Side you can't back The a's, bullpen, though SO i
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 6: think if you're gonna back The, as do it in
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 6: the first. Five just isolate the starting pitching in the.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 6: Game take The a's like plus a half run or
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 6: something in the first, five and maybe you'll be able
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 6: to get a win. There San francisco And arizona is
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 6: the last game. Here these games have been somewhat high.
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 6: Scoring the first game landed right on the total of.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 6: Nine yesterday went slightly over with a. Ten arizona's won
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 6: both games in the series so. Far S francisco's looking
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 6: to avoid a sweet pier because this is the end
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 6: of the. Series So San francisco is in a motivational
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 6: spot here where they're trying to avoid the.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 3: Sweep Is arizona gonna look?
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 6: Ahead? MAYBE i Mean arizona has An APPLE tv game.
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 6: Tomorrow they're starting a series with Milwar sorry that's On.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 6: Friday they're starting a series With milwaukee On, friday so,
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 6: yeah that might be a look. Ahead milwaukee is one
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 6: of the best teams in The National, league So arizona
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 6: might look ahead to. That so, yeah, situationally it looks
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 6: like a decent spot to look Towards San. Francisco the
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 6: starting pitching matchup looks like maybe you could Back San francisco,
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 6: here but when you dive into the, numbers it's kind of.
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 6: Questionable San francisco wan to use one guy out of the.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 6: Bullpen it was our Pal Adrian, hauser WHO i guess
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 6: is not in their rotation right. Now So San francisco
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 6: saved their. Bullpen arizona used four guys out of the,
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 6: bullpen so that's not. Great arizona's ranked seventh in BULLPEN.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 6: Wi BUT i still don't trust their. Bullpen their era
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 6: isn't really that. GOOD i think they're more of a
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 6: mid tier. Bullpen giants are right twenty, fourth but they
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 6: have the same bullpen. ERA i think they're better than twenty,
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 6: four SO i think they're close To arizona and. Bullpen
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 6: you can make the Argument San francisco has a bullpen
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 6: edge in this game just because they have more rest. Here,
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 6: offensively The giants are, thirteenth LIKE i, said tied with The,
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 6: marlins BUT i don't think they're that.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 3: GOOD i Think San francisco has a very weak.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 6: Offense, actually in my, Opinion arizona is tied in twenty
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 6: fourth With. SEATTLE i don't know what's going on with.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 6: That by the, Way seattle not playing, today is that?
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: Right?
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 3: Oh you know?
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 6: What it's because of The World cup, again probably, right
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 6: Because seattle is just playing at. Home this is such
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 6: weird shit going, on, Man, Yeah seattle And anaheim are
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 6: not playing.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 3: TODAY i guess because of The World. Cup really really.
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 6: Crazy yeah, whatever, anyway in this, Game, yeah we Got trevor.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 3: McDonald going old old.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 6: McDonald although he's not, old he looks older than he
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 6: is because of his. Stash McDonald is going for The giants.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 6: Here he started out really good this. Season he had
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 6: good numbers last, year but his numbers have really fallen.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 6: Off he's got a four point nine to FOUR, era
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 6: one point three to five. Whip that's not. Good he's
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 6: better on the, road which still makes no sense to.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 6: Me three point nine to Six Roady. RAY i don't
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 6: know what's going on With San francisco and their ballpark
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 6: with their.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 3: Pitchers should be.
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 6: Better at home because it's pitcher friendly, there but they're.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: Not.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 3: McDonald i, mean he's not been very good. Recently he's.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 6: Struggled he's not going deep into any of these recent.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 3: Outings he's walking a lot of guys.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 6: Here eighteen to thirteen strike out walk ratio in the
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 6: month Of, june plus twenty five, hits a lot of
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 6: twenty two. Innings there's nothing to like about any of those.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 6: Numbers his hit rate is still. Okay on the.
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 3: Season his walk rate is still.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 6: WELL i don't. Know his walk rate is actually a bit.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 6: High nineteen doesn't look that, bad but give him it's
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 6: in fifty one. Innings that's not that. Great his strikerate is.
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 6: Mediocre numbers Against arizona not. Good twenty two at, bats
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 6: four h nine, average eight forty four. Ops he does
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 6: not do well Against. Arizona he actually did face them
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 6: once earlier this. Year he was actually not bad in
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 6: that start at. Home went six and a third, innings
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 6: gave up two earned, runs six, hits six, strikeouts two,
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 6: Walks so he actually pitched well in that. Outing and
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 6: yet his numbers are still bad Against. Arizona SO i
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 6: can't back McDonald. Here man can't do. It he's in
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 6: bad form right. Now he's got bad matchup. NUMBERS i
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 6: can't do. It Zach gallan is pitching For. ARIZONA i
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 6: don't know what is going on with some of These arizona.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 6: Pitchers Dude, GALLAN i, mean he used to be a decent.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 6: Pitcher he's not that, old and he's just completely falling
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 6: off last.
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 3: Year this year he's been.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 6: Awful six point one FIVE era one point five to
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 6: eight whip really. Bad better at home five point two
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 6: to seven homey, Ram, YEAH i Think gallen does tend
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 6: to be better at, home so do what you want
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 6: with that. Info it was awful on his start two
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 6: starts to go Against, minnesota and he wasn't really that
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 6: much better Against Tampa. Bay he had zero strikeouts in
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 6: that game Against Tampa, bay gave up five and runs
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 6: at sixty two thirds. Innings not on too many hits,
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 6: though only on four, hits but, still this is not.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 6: Good he's given up forty hits in his last twenty seven.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 3: Innings that was in the month Of. June that's really,
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 3: bad really.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 6: Hittable low strikeout rate of ten nine hits or nine
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 6: walks allowed was, okay but what is he doing?
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 3: Here? Man his walk grade isn't that, bad but.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 6: He's, way, way way hitable extreme flyball. Pitcher he's a
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 6: lot a lot of home, runs which seems like it
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 6: wouldn't be good In Arizona, stadium which is a bit
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 6: more hitter. Friendly his strikeout rate is really, low like
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 6: he's just not fooling. Anybody he's just getting hit like
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 6: it looks like he's just putting fastballs over the. Plate
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 6: and he's not getting him by, anybody SO i don't
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 6: like any of. That, however he does pitch well against
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 6: The giants and one hundred and twenty five at bats
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 6: one ninety two, average allowed five ninety ohps twenty seven
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 6: to nine strikeout walk. Ratio one of his better starts
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 6: of the season was here at home against The giants
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 6: in Mid, may who went six, innings allowed two urn
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 6: runs on four, hits five, strikeouts one. Walk so he
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 6: pitched well against The. Giants then it was one of
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 6: his only good starts on the. Season so the matchup
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 6: Favors Zach gallon, Here, MAN i can't do. It the
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 6: money is also Fading arizona And San francisco's in a
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 6: motivational spot trying to avoid the. Sweep arizona looks pretty
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 6: easy to play them here at about minus one, thirty
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 6: it looks pretty easy to play the team THAT i
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 6: think has the better, Record. ARIZONA u seventy one percent take,
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 6: it sixty seven percent of the cash on, them, though
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 6: so the money is fading.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 3: Them the money's backing the over nine and a. Half.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 3: Here the over makes some. SENSE i, mean you have
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 3: two pitchers that just really have been.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 6: Struggling, PLUS i don't really love the, bullpens so the
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 6: over makes some sense. Here BUT i don't, know. MAN
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 6: i MEAN i think In arizona first five makes some
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 6: sense in this. GAME i Think gallen just has the
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 6: way better matchup here against, McDonald SO i think Maybe
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 6: arizona first five makes some sense there and just avoid their. Bullpen,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 6: alright that's it for, baseball all, right, comments what's going?
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 6: On i'll just, say, hi, McAdoo what's? Up mister pinsy
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 6: new month means? Nothing AS i, said dirty. Sack, no
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 6: it's completely. Arbitrary it means. Nothing we're gonna go on
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 6: in two. Today, SASAKI i mean he.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 3: Was pitching well for a.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 6: While he's not that, good BUT i don't know. Emmittt
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 6: shehan has been pretty weak recently. Too, Yeah gallan hit
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 6: the wall even though he's not even that. Old, YEAH
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 6: i don't know what's happened to his. Stuff he used
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 6: to be a decent. PITCHER i don't know what's going.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 3: On World.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 6: Cup we got three games. Today the first game is
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 6: at Noon. England who is my champion? Pick unfortunately in
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 6: my brackep but that was because it was a game
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 6: theory picked. Dude england was tied with the third best
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 6: odds to. Win they do have one, championship by the,
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 6: way though it was in the nineteen, SIXTIES i. Think but,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 6: yeah nobody was picking, them SO i just had to do.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 6: IT i, OBVIOUSLY i don't think they're gonna lose to The.
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 3: Democratic republic of The. Congo this game is In.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 6: ATLANTA i Believe congo actually just played In, atlanta SO
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 6: i Think congo is actually staying in the same. STADIUM
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 6: i don't think that's gonna matter very. Much england is
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 6: staying in The eastern time. Zone england just, PLAYED i
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 6: believe In New york or you, Know East, Rutherford New,
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 6: jersey SO i think that's Where england is coming. From
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 6: england is a big favorite. Here.
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 3: Man england is coming up an easy win Over. Panama.
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 6: England you, know they've allowed no goals in their last
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 6: two so clean. Sheets that was pretty Good. England you,
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 6: know they had they gave up some goals Against. Croatia
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 6: croatia was obviously their toughest opponent, though Although ghana is
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 6: actually not that bad And england somehow played to a
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 6: draw with. Them england Beat panama who's not very. Good
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 6: but this is this is gonna be their easiest matchup
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 6: in my. OPINION i, MEAN i, think, Yeah Democratic republic
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 6: Of congo is worse than all three of those. TEAMS i,
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 6: Mean panama is, bad But england should have an easy
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 6: time of.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: It.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 6: Here england is minus three thirty on the three Way
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 6: it's a low ish. Total like usually when you see
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 6: these big, favorites the total goes up to three and a.
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 6: Half not the case. Here and REMEMBER i mentioned YESTERDAY
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 6: i had to clarify when you do these three way
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 6: lines and spreads and, whatever make sure that you know
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 6: what your book is is giving. You but usually these
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 6: are ninety minute. Lines so if the game is tied
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 6: after ninety minutes and it goes into extra, time none
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 6: of that counts towards towards the three way. Line so
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 6: the three way, line the draw happens if it's a
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 6: draw after ninety. Minutes and then of course you can
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 6: look at the other. Market the two advance market includes
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 6: extra time plus, penalties and you Know england is like
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 6: minus six hundred probably at least to advance. HERE i
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 6: don't see a good way to attack this Because england
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 6: plays a lot of low scoring. GAMES i, MEAN i
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 6: guess given That england win to nil might be the
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 6: way to do, this which means That england is gonna
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 6: win in a, shutout you know WHAT i. Mean of,
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 6: course if they do, that you're gonna have to get
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 6: them to do. IT i think it's gonna be a
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 6: first ninety minute play if you do it that, way
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 6: but you'll get the price down a bit On. England
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 6: if you do it that, way maybe until like the
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 6: minus one to Eighty. RANGERS i don't know what the
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 6: price is gonna be on, it but maybe that is
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 6: some way to attack this. Game england will win to
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 6: nil because they don't allow many. Goals they're really gonna,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 6: deepense WHICH i think makes them. UNDERRATED i don't Think
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 6: congo is very good at. All but, yeah OBVIOUSLY i
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 6: Think england wins this. Game but because they're not a
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 6: high scoring, TEAM i would not really go over their
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 6: team total or anything like that. Here england win to
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 6: nil probably makes the most. Sense, Yeah, GARRETT i, mean
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 6: most most of those bets should have.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 3: Won it was fucking. Bullshit don't tell, me do not
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 3: tail me When i'm ice. Cold you Took.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 6: Mexico i'm pretty fucking pissed that was not in my.
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 6: Card mexico. DOMINATED i mean they had way more shots
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 6: in the. Game they dominated that game. Statistically second game,
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 6: up the late afternoon, game which would be an earlier
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 6: afternoon game In. SEATTLE i told you this is Why,
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 6: seattle this is why The mariners are not playing because
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 6: of the traffic. Situation even though this is not The mariners,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 6: field this is at The Seahawks.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 3: Stadium belgium is Playing.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 6: Senegal this is the one matchup that does not involve
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 6: a big.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 3: Favorite.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 6: Here belgium is the favorite on the three away line
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 6: but plus one, fifteen so they're plus money but considered
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 6: to be the better. Team belgium does not looked good so.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 6: FAR i, mean they played into a draw With egypt And.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 6: Iran that is not a good. Sign those are not good.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 6: Teams but then they Slaughtered New, zealand So belgium did
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 6: finally wake up and did what they were supposed to.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 6: Do New zealand is, bad But belgium destroyed, them so
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 6: at least there was That belgium might worry.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 3: About belgium Is senegal is gonna be the best team they?
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 6: Face so, far so they have not faced any team
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 6: anywhere close to as good As senegal, yet so that
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 6: worries me a little bit For belgium here that they
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 6: just have not looked. Good senegal has played a more difficult.
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 6: Schedule senegal Played France norway lost both those matches played
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 6: pretty competitively, though and Then senegal DESTROYED I rock, OBVIOUSLY i,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 6: mean your rock. Sucks now they get this matchup. Now
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 6: the travel spot is not good. Though senegal is having
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 6: to travel From toronto all the way to The West.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 6: Coast lucky for, them it's not a night, game. Though
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 6: if it was a night, GAME i think it would
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 6: fuck with their biological clock. More but lucky for, them
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 6: they get to play in the, afternoons so that's less
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 6: worrisome for. Them but they're having to travel From toronto To.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 6: SEATTLE i Believe belgium played In, vancouver so they have
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 6: an easier go of it to just go down From
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 6: vancouver To.
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 3: Seattle.
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 6: Here it's INTER i, don't, DUDE i don't have a
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 6: good opinion on, this, MAN i kind. OF i, MEAN
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 6: i Picked belgium in my. Bracket they're obviously the favorite
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 6: to advance, here but they're not a heavy. Favorite they're
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 6: like minus one sixty probably to. Advance this game really
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 6: could go either. Way senegal's played the tougher opponents in
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 6: The World cup so. FAR i Think belgium is the better,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 6: team and if they've woken, up maybe.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 3: They can get this thing.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 6: DONE i don't have a good opinion on. It, Man,
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 6: YEAH i JUST i have to pass on today's. CARD
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 6: i don't have a good read on any of these,
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 6: games SO i don't feel strongly about anything. Here belgium
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 6: does have the travel edge because they're staying in The Pacific.
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 6: Northwest MAYBE i would slightly Lean belgium on the three way,
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 6: line taking them at plus money, there but then they'd
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 6: have to win in the first ninety.
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 3: Minutes it seems a little bit.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 6: Difficult, yeah, Haha, Yeah iraq getting blown.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 3: Up, yeah.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 6: Hilarious all the wars are really fucking, hilarious, Man United
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 6: states And Bosnia herzegovina is the last game at, night,
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 6: obviously because it's THE us and they're the. Host they
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 6: get the primetime, game and they get an easy matchup
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 6: against A bosnia team that wouldn't even be in The
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 6: World cup if they didn't pull off an upset Of
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 6: italy in the last shot to get in here in
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 6: the qualifying tournaments that they had to, play those second chance.
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 6: Tournaments this game is In Santa, Clara. California it's in
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 6: the forty Nine Ers stadium, HERE, US i, believe just
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 6: playing In. Seattle so THE us is only having to
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 6: come in From. Seattle BOSNIA i think was In LA
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 6: i want to, say In, inglewood so they're coming up from.
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 6: There so both teams are staying on The pacific. Coast
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 6: it's not a travel advantage for one team or the.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 6: OTHER us has a home advantage, obviously because they're playing
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 6: in THE. US us is minus two fifty five on
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 6: the three way. Line they're like probably minus four hundred
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 6: something to. ADVANCE i want to guess something like. That
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 6: THE us is probably gonna win this. Game it's just
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 6: a matter of how do you want to attack this.
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 6: Game THE us didn't look really good in their last.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 6: GAME i gave you guys a winner On turkey in that.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 6: Game but remember THE us had nothing to play. For
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 6: THE us already had won their. Groups they had absolutely
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 6: nothing to play. For turkey at least had you know
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 6: they had something to play, for just to avoid embarrassment
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 6: and to beat the HOST i think that. Mattered turkey
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 6: obviously showed up motivated in that, game even though THE
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 6: us did slightly outplay. THEM. US i, mean they're not
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 6: going to overlook a game in the knockout round, here you,
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 6: know no matter who their opponent, Is they're coming up
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 6: a game that was kind of a misleading result just
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 6: because the motivation wasn't there for.
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 3: Them but of course that was the reason WHY i
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 3: played that.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 6: GAME us has not faced a difficult competition. THOUGH i,
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 6: mean they Beat. PARAGUAY i Know paraguay Beat, germany but who.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 6: Cares they're not a good. Team that's not an impressive
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 6: win really for THE. Us Beating australia doesn't impress me.
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 6: Either so THE us hasn't played a difficult. Schedule But
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 6: bosni not a difficult opponent. Either bosnia their route to get.
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 6: Here they did play to a draw With. CANADA i
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 6: don't Think canada is very good, either though they got
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 6: killed By. SWITZERLAND i THINK i gave Out switzerland as
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 6: a play in that game IF i remember, correctly easy win,
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 6: there and Then bosnia Beat, cutter who is not good at.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 6: All So bosnia has had a week schedule as. Well
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 6: bosnia has not been impressive so. Far Man switzerland is
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 6: a good, team But bosnia couldn't match up against. Them
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 6: SO us is actually worse Than. Switzerland i'm pretty. Sure but, Yeah,
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 6: bosnia they're not.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 3: Gonna win this. GAME i would not.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 6: IMAGINE i would be pretty surprised if THE us lost this.
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 6: GAME i don't see THE us making it much further
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 6: than this in this tournament, Though BUT i do think
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 6: they win this. Match if you play this, GAME i
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 6: think maybe both teams to. SCORE i know that's a
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 6: popular way to play these. Games you, know THE us
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 6: has allowed some goals in This they played a lot
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 6: of high scoring games in this tournaments so. Far In
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 6: bosia could certainly give up goals as. Well both teams
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 6: to score makes some sense in this, one or maybe
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 6: an over the two and a. HALF i don't know
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 6: how much juice you're having to pay on. That something
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 6: like that makes some sense with the way these teams
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 6: have played so.
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 3: Far let me say.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 6: To, me this looks like maybe the higher scoring of
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 6: all the games.
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 3: Today let me look at what the total looks.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 6: Like the money is slightly back in the, under the
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 6: over is very public, here you actually your over two
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 6: and a half is basically right in a minus one
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 6: ten priceier minus one.
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 3: Fifteen it looks kind of too easy to play the over, though.
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 6: You, know both teams to score makes, sense or the
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 6: books offer these like parlays where you could, do LIKE
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 6: i don't know what the price is on both teams to.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 6: Score you can do these parlays like the books have
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 6: these pre made. Parlays but of, course you know WHAT
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 6: i think about. Parlays they don't give you great odds on.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 6: That but you could play LIKE us to win and
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 6: game goes over two and a, half you know WHAT i.
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 6: Mean if you did, that if you think THE us
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 6: is gonna win a high scoring, game you could do.
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 6: That the parlay will give you a better price on,
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 6: it you know WHAT i. Mean like you're probably looking
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 6: at that being that might even be plus money if
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 6: you do it that. Way so something like that might make.
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 6: SENSE i, Know minnesota first five was. Bullshit Texas, ranger
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 6: what are you talking?
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 3: About that was a?
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 6: Winner The Rangers Rangers indians under was a. Win The
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 6: aces was a complete bullshit play as. Well, YEAH i
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 6: don't know what you're talking about with The rangers play
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 6: that was a win on the. Show it was under
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 6: seven and a half full. Game the final score was
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 6: four to. Two all, RIGHT i think that's. IT i
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 6: don't THINK i have anything else. Here, YEAH i don't
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 6: have a good read on these games. Today they're all On,
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 6: Fox fox, One Fox sports, One. Telemundo if you want
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 6: to listen to The spanish broadcast of it and not
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 6: know what they're, saying but enjoying how much they they
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 6: shout and get excited about.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 3: Everything, yeah that's ALL i. Got this is a week
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 3: slate of games.
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 6: Today, Man, LIKE i just don't see, much you, KNOW
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 6: i just don't see really great angles to attack these
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 6: games here. Today so that's WHAT i. GOT i don't
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 6: like the baseball board either, today and there's no W,
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 6: nba SO i gave you the. Plays we're going against
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 6: the market read on. Both we're playing The mets on
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 6: the money. Line that's my only baseball side. TODAY i
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 6: think we have a pitching edge in the, game fading
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 6: a bullpen, game and there's a reason why the oddsmakers
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 6: have lined The mets as a favorite. There and we're
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 6: gonna go first five under, four paying a little bit
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 6: of juice for it In Pirates. PHILLIES i know it
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 6: looks too, obvious and when it's too, OBVIOUS i don't love.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 6: It but the matchup numbers support this, play so that's
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 6: what we're. Doing it's an elite elite pitching matchup in that.
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 6: Game learn a tone On, Twitter learn a tone On, Instagram,
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 6: like subscribe to the channel.
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 3: Here we're very close to.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 6: Five let's do. It get me back to twenty four
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 6: to two On twitter as, Well come, on, Man, twitter
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 6: and you, KNOW i think there were a lot of
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 6: bots getting cleared out And i'm just stagnant right now On.
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 6: TWITTER i do a lot of good work On, Twitter
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 6: so come, on, people what else SO i have to promote?
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 6: Here we're of, course, like subscribe to the channel. Here
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 6: LIKE i, said we're on audio as. Well the audio
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 6: has been doing all, Right, Apple, Spotify spreaker covered in
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 6: you because my yuke channel on, YouTube my voice is still,
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 6: really really in bad. SHAPE i did a song THAT
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 6: i posted On twitter last night because it was one
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 6: THAT i don't need a voice for, really so you
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 6: could check that. Out if you're familiar with what's the
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 6: name of that fake Documentary chickens in The. Shadows is
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 6: that the name of. It it's. Hilarious it's an extremely
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 6: low budget documentary about a couple of old people that
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 6: are in a music, Duo toasters And. Moose it's got
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 6: a cult. Following some of you might know What i'm talking.
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 6: ABOUT i covered the really famous song that they did,
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 6: Already taste the bisc that's on my YouTube on covered in.
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 6: YOU i did The moose song, yesterday the one where
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 6: she leaves sorry, spoiler she like quits the band, basically
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 6: and he's just stuck there on the sidewalk with no
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 6: audience at, all and he plays. That he just plays
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 6: that song for no reason because it's a song that he,
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 6: wrote like on his, own about like his ex or.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 3: WHATEVER i played that.
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 6: Song, anyway go watch that movie. Whatever i'm giving it
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 6: free promo stuff. Here that dude who created that movie
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 6: also created a new movie that's like a comedy superhero
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 6: movie or. SOMETHING i GOTTA i gotta watch. That it's on,
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 6: YouTube SO i still have to watch that On both
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 6: of the movies are on. YouTube what else IS i gonna?
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 6: Say That's Vincent. GARZULO i think It's Gyjulio. GARZULO i
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 6: think is what his name. Is he's An Italian vinnie,
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 6: anyway my Cousin. Vinnie, NO i actually do have a
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 6: cousin Named. Vinnie i'm A i have a Big italian, family.
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 6: Man there's gonna be A vinnie somewhere in.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 3: There and you got a lot.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 6: Of people Named anthony and when when you're An italian
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 6: family as? Well let me, see literally, everybody let me, see,
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 6: Dude i'm off The i'm off the rails.
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 3: Here what else AM i?
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 6: Promoting patreon dot, com slash and learn to Toad you support?
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: Me?
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 6: There loser cast Every tuesday night, still but we've been
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 6: On monday the last couple of nights Because lighton has
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 6: issues with everything about his.
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 3: Body so go check that. Out we discussed, it.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 6: And then The New York giants g spot podcast should
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 6: be back at some. POINT i will be On here's The,
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 6: thing which is a podcast that's done by the guys
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 6: from The pick Is in podcast that will be On friday,
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 6: night so you could check that. Out AND i was
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 6: On Neflum Desk squad neft To america Last. Friday So
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 6: i'm doing Some friday podcast rounds here right. Now that's
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 6: gonna do. It, thanks, everybody h gerald WHAT i don't.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 6: Understand that's gonna do. It.
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: Peace but don't you go. Quiet don't you fade from the.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: Floor your, name, steal mean something to somebody for. Show
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: put the glass, down, baby look at, me, now.
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 4: Hold, on hold on nothing, nice.
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 6: Now hold, on rode.
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: On let me for.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 5: That bites, hard but it don't get the. Crown hold,
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 5: on hold on and stay with me now