Latest / Simply Bitcoin / ALL MARKETS Are Breaking At Once. Here's Why Bitcoin Is Still Cheap! | Bitcoin Simply
Transcript
- 0:00How bad does it have to get before the market realizes that
- 0:02these aren't just temporary problems, it's a global reset?
- 0:06Things aren't just bad, they're really bad.
- 0:09Israel just hit Iran's two biggest steel factories.
- 0:12Trump is threatening to bomb or obliterate electric plants, oil
- 0:17wells, and desalina tion plants if Iran doesn't strike a deal.
- 0:20Oil is ripping, bonds are bleeding, and Japan is importing
- 0:23inflation right through its energy bills.
- 0:26This is not a drill. And it's also not the end of the
- 0:28story because historically, more fear has created more
- 0:31opportunity. And I want to show you today,
- 0:33while although this setup is terrifying for the rest of the
- 0:36world, it's exactly the setup that you want because Bitcoin is
- 0:39still cheap. And I'm going to show you why.
- 0:41This is Dante Cook of Bitcoin. Simply, let's go.
- 0:47Let's just start with the craziest clip that you may ever
- 0:50see. You have to remember this is the
- 0:52leader, Jerome Powell of Global Policy and Interest Rates.
- 0:56What's clear is that our debt is growing much faster.
- 1:00The federal government debt is growing substantially faster
- 1:03than our economy, and that ratio is going up.
- 1:06And, you know, in the long run, that's kind of the definition of
- 1:09unsustainable. The level of the debt is not
- 1:12unsustainable, but the path is not sustainable.
- 1:15And so it's, it's really important that we get back to,
- 1:19we don't have to pay the debt down.
- 1:21We just need to, to, to have, you know, primary balance and,
- 1:25and begin to have the economy actually growing better, growing
- 1:29more quickly than the economy. It will, it will not end well if
- 1:33we don't do something fairly soon.
- 1:35This is not the Fed's job, of course.
- 1:38And I pretty much limit myself to those high level points which
- 1:42which essentially everyone ignores.
- 1:44Did you hear that? We're on an unsustainable path
- 1:47that will not end well if we don't do something soon.
- 1:50And to make matters worse, we've got a war going on.
- 1:53Israel just hit Iran's two largest steel factories, one of
- 1:56Iran's biggest non oil revenue sources.
- 1:58Iran produces 32,000,000 tons of steel every year.
- 2:01And those steel factories account for over 50% of that
- 2:04output. And then Trump basically comes
- 2:06out and says this, if you don't reach a deal, we're going to
- 2:08bomb every other piece of infrastructure that you count
- 2:11near dear to your economy. So let's not act like mainstream
- 2:14media acts like saying that things are calming down because
- 2:17they're having discussions. And if the Strait of Hormuz
- 2:20continues to stay closed for longer, well, things are going
- 2:23to get worse. As Lynn Alden says, who's much
- 2:25smarter than me, Each day the Strait of Hormuz remains closed
- 2:28is a growing global catastrophe that people are sleepwalking
- 2:30into. So yeah, this is the headline,
- 2:32Brent, above $115.00. But that's not the story.
- 2:36Here's all of the ripple effects that have happened since the war
- 2:38in Iran started. Heating oil up 77%, European
- 2:42natural gas up 71%, diesel up 44%, sulfur 43%, fertilizer 29%.
- 2:49This isn't just inflation of one or two things.
- 2:51This is going to cause total supply chain inflation.
- 2:54And if you want to know what happens when things get scary,
- 2:56watch Japan. The yen just hit its lowest
- 2:59level against the dollar in 21 months.
- 3:01And Japan as an example of what happens when things get really
- 3:03bad, when you become dependent on too many other countries
- 3:06because 87% of their energy is imported from other places. 70%
- 3:11of it close to the Strait of Hormuz and that's why you're
- 3:13seeing global bonds sell off in a huge way $4.7 billion in
- 3:18outflows that's the second largest on record only second to
- 3:21the great pandemic in 2020. The bond market needs help and
- 3:25so if Japan begins selling U.S. Treasuries, well, Lookout and
- 3:28everybody's always got something to say about Bitcoin.
- 3:31As if Bitcoin's the only thing selling off right now.
- 3:33Matter of fact, Bitcoin actually looks pretty good bouncing
- 3:36between 60 and 70 right now. You know what's beginning to
- 3:39flip? Well, things that are selling
- 3:40off that were once stores of values like gold.
- 3:43The Mac 7 is getting cooked this year.
- 3:45From Apple to Microsoft, they're all underperforming the S&P 500.
- 3:49But everybody seems to just focus on Bitcoin for whatever
- 3:52reason. But you know what I think when I
- 3:54see sell offs, more fear equals more opportunities.
- 3:57Here's a great chart from Charlie Bilello.
- 3:59When the VIX is sitting within 10% of its highs, well, you
- 4:02typically see five year returns forward of 85% or more.
- 4:07So when the world sees volatility, I think Bitcoin is
- 4:09still cheap. And don't just take it from me,
- 4:12take it from one of the greatest investors of all time, probably
- 4:15the greatest investor of all time, Warren Buffett, who says
- 4:17that during wars you shouldn't be holding cash.
- 4:20During every single war, cash has lost its value.
- 4:23You need to own assets. When people start to think,
- 4:26well, this could be the beginning of something really
- 4:28bad. It could be even a World War
- 4:30Three situation. It could be a return to the Cold
- 4:32War. Does any of that ever go through
- 4:35your mind? Well, if you tell me all of
- 4:37that's going to happen, I will still be buying the stock.
- 4:41You're going to invest your money in something over time.
- 4:44The one thing you could be quite sure of is if we went into some
- 4:47very major war, the value of money would go down.
- 4:50I mean, that, that's happened in virtually every war that I, that
- 4:53I, that I'm aware of. So the, the last thing you'd
- 4:57want to do is hold money during a war.
- 4:59And you might want to own a farm, you might want to own an
- 5:01apartment house, you might want to own securities.
- 5:04But I mean, during, during World War 2, you know, the stock
- 5:07market advanced and, and the stock market's going to advance
- 5:12over time. American businesses are going to
- 5:15be worth more money. Now, dollars are going to be
- 5:17worth less. So that money won't buy you
- 5:20quite as much, but you're you're going to be a lot better off
- 5:24owning productive assets over the next 50 years then you will
- 5:28be owning pieces of paper or I'm throwing bitcoins.
- 5:32He makes fun of Bitcoin in this clip, but he's been absolutely
- 5:35demolished by Bitcoin's returns since he posted that out loud.
- 5:38You want to preserve your purchasing power.
- 5:40You want to think about your monetary survival, not just
- 5:43during the war, but across decades.
- 5:45Because if the world is going to more debt, more shocks, more
- 5:47war, more interventions, you're going to want something that
- 5:49doesn't lose its economic energy and power.
- 5:52And that's exactly why Sailor believes in Bitcoin long term.
- 5:55He's thinking like an engineer. What's going to lose less
- 5:58purchasing power and less economic energy over time?
- 6:01The answer is Bitcoin. The fully diluted Bitcoin count
- 6:04was 21 million, and the significance of that is that
- 6:07means the inflation rate 0. But the inflation rate on gold
- 6:11is 2% and the fully diluted gold account is infinite because if I
- 6:16keep increasing the amount of gold by 2% a year, that's
- 6:20infinite amount of gold. If you, if you want to figure
- 6:24out practically how you value it, well, when you increase the
- 6:29supply of something by 2% a year, that means that you're
- 6:32doubling the supply every 36 years.
- 6:35That means the economic half life of your money is 36 years.
- 6:39That means the half life is 36 years.
- 6:42That means you're going to live 70 years.
- 6:44OK, well what's the half life of the inflation rate?
- 6:460 Infinity. So what's your life expectancy?
- 6:51If you if the inflation rate is 0, your life expectancy is
- 6:55infinite. You're immortal.
- 6:56You're living for a billion trillion years.
- 6:57Like that idea 0 is a billion trillion years.
- 7:00You're a God. 2% is you're going to die.
- 7:05Half of you dies in 36 years, the other half dies in the next
- 7:0836 years. Maybe you make 100 years and
- 7:10you're pretty much done for, right?
- 7:12And so it's the difference between a mortal life of a human
- 7:16being versus economic immortality.
- 7:21We can dismiss it if we just think in the next 12 month time
- 7:24frame. But you know, if you're an
- 7:26engineer, it's like, well, what's the difference between
- 7:29you lose 2% of your energy every cycle versus you lose none of
- 7:32your energy every cycle? None of your energy, every cycle
- 7:36is perpetual motion. You last forever, 2% of your
- 7:38energy every cycle and you spend it 100 times.
- 7:40There's nothing left, right? You burn out the motor.
- 7:43OK, so I like the idea of gold, but digital gold is better and
- 7:47how much better? Infinitely better, right?
- 7:50Infinitely better. Quick pause, let's thank our
- 7:52sponsors. If you've been following this
- 7:54show for any amount of time, you know one of the things that we
- 7:56always sell is never sell your best asset for a worst asset.
- 7:59It's going to go up forever. Laura, never sell your Bitcoin.
- 8:02And you can do that by working with a vendor like Lenin, who
- 8:05for the first time today is lowering their rates from 12.49%
- 8:09down to 9.9% to 11.5%. They want to pass more savings
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- 8:34And if you've been following along for any amount of time, we
- 8:37talk about not just number go up technology, but freedom go up
- 8:40technology. You never get that freedom
- 8:42unless you truly break free from the system.
- 8:44And you can't break free if you can't have the keys to unshackle
- 8:48your chains from the existing banking system.
- 8:50And one of the ways you can do that is by working with a leader
- 8:52at The Bitcoin Way. Members of their team will help
- 8:55you unshackle from the banking system today and own your
- 8:58private keys, own your sovereignty, and own your
- 9:00future. Schedule a free 30 minute
- 9:02consultation with their team at the bitcoinway.com/partner/dante
- 9:06Dash Cook. The biggest thing that you need
- 9:08to optimize for during war isn't just number go up, it's
- 9:11survival. And that's why I love this clip
- 9:13from this conversation between Tucker Carlson and the CEO of
- 9:17Telegram, who's had hundreds of billions of Bitcoin in his
- 9:20account for years. But the number one thing he
- 9:22cares about is freedom. So for me, it was never about
- 9:25money, right. So I have a few $100 million in
- 9:30my bank account or in Bitcoin since 10 years ago and I don't
- 9:35do anything with it. I don't own any real estate jets
- 9:41or yachts. I don't think those this
- 9:45lifestyle is for me. I like to focus on what we're
- 9:48doing. With Telegram, you don't own
- 9:51anything like big assets, you don't.
- 9:54Own No. Big assets An island in Hawaii
- 9:57or no? No land, no real estate,
- 10:01nothing. Why?
- 10:03Because for me, my number one priority in life is my freedom.
- 10:07So when you see volatility, when you see the war going on,
- 10:10understand that Bitcoin is still cheap from a monetary
- 10:12perspective because as Jerome Powell says, we're on an
- 10:15unsustainable path. A path that leads to either
- 10:18recognizing that the system doesn't work and admitting it to
- 10:20everybody that they've been fooling people for years, or
- 10:23print more money, kick the can down the road.
- 10:25That's the more likely option. And when they do that, they're
- 10:28not just going to give away money for free.
- 10:30Something always has a cost attached to it, and that cost
- 10:34shouldn't just be evaluated on the monetary asset value that it
- 10:38has, but on the amount of freedom that it provides you
- 10:41when things hit the fan. And that's why we advocate for
- 10:44Bitcoin on the show. It's not just number go up
- 10:46technology, it's freedom go up technology.
- 10:48And so while the world is sleepwalking into a catastrophe,
- 10:51Bitcoin is still cheap for more than one reason.
- 10:53If you get value from this show, as always, subscribe.
- 10:56We're dropping new value, new fire every single day of the
- 10:59week. And if you haven't already
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- 11:19Use the QR code to get started. This is Dante Cook with Bitcoin.
- 11:22Simply happy stacking.