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Biggest Questions Facing the Buffalo Bills Offense | DC · Disguised Coverage

0:00
And thirty eight. All Bills can win it here, Mike puts it down,
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the kick is on the way out and he's got on the bill.
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Good one one one they won Party one thirty eighth incredible, what a combat
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by my Bill Jackson Bills perfect record on the line right here, keeping eide
0:31
touchdown, Kyle Williams touchdown. Amazing, unbelievable. They put in william who's
0:54
hats to full back and he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle.
1:08
What's good, folks, Family Friends, loved One's Enemies, Friend of
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Mees Wizards which is Muggles Mudblood's People of Middle Earth to another episode of disguise.
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Coverage is the only podcast in existence that gives you an equal amount of
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blueberries in each muffin and presented by the best pizza in Buffalo, New York,
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and that is One Pie Pizza. You can find the online menu in
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the episode show notes whether they're here on YouTube or any one of the podcasting
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apps or platforms. I'm your host, Anthony pro Haska. Find me on
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Twitter at Pro Underscore Underscore Ant that's Pro two Underscores, A and T.
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In tonight's episode, we Are continuing our offensive theme in tying in with last
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week's episode here on the show, last week we dove into what do you
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expect from the Buffalo Bills offense in twenty twenty three. This episode, we
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are going to dive into the biggest questions facing the Buffalo Bills offense in twenty
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twenty three. Some of that could be players specific, it could be position
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groups specific. It could be schematic, it could be excess and always based,
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it could be niche based. I think these episodes are fun to do,
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especially now when we're in the dead times here of the offseason, the
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dull drums a bit where things are just slow and you know, kind of
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waiting for OTAs to start, mini camps to start, and things to really
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start to get reven up towards the season for training camp of preseason and all
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that kind of stuff. So once we start to get into those episodes,
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you're diving into the specifics of those moments and all those pieces. So again,
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this episode, like we've talked about these past several weeks, continuing to
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set the table and set the foundation for what we're going to be talking about
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going forward, and as we analyze things fully and in depth. As practices
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and training camp rolls around, and then preseason and the season rolls around,
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it's good to have these episodes again that set the foundation and set the tone
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to kind of bring things back together and tie it all together. So that's
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the focus on tonight's episode, you know, presenting these questions for the Buffalo
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Bill's offense in twenty twenty three. That could change potentially as we go forward,
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but right now look be pretty set from a standard amount and again could
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be players specific, position groups specific. I had several that I've had in
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my head, and as I started to dive into the metrics and the tape,
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some more came to mind. U I tweeted about some of them today.
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I'm going to dive full speed ahead into them. Dis dive full speed
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ahead. That's not the proper usage of that phrase, but who cares,
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I guess. Let up some comments. John. I think you're pretty much
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here every week, and I appreciate the hell idea. John says, my
3:31
wife loves your Memorial Day tree and Snoopy ditto here. I appreciate you folks
3:38
in John and your household. When I say folks, I mean you and
3:40
your wife. We do we got the Memorial Day Snoopy rocking up there.
3:44
We got some Memorial Day garland on the little tree. Very excited, very
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excited, New thanks says, what's good? Pro ant, what's good?
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Welcome, Welcome, welcome r J in the building. Roy saying that tree
3:55
looks like fireworks are going off. That's we're trying to create here. Somebody
4:00
said last year, once we were in July, someone said something about putting
4:06
like phosphorus lights or something on the tree that would simulate fireworks in some kind
4:14
of peace. If that's a thing and people know that, send me a
4:18
link for those lights, because I'd like to make it look as fireworky as
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possible. Come for the July time. But Roy, like, I like
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where your head was at. Oh oh oh, this is a awesome question.
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If I'm reading this fast, new Oh, I'm guessing no thanks or
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new thanks, No thanks says If your life was on the line and you
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had to take four players to put on the bills to win the Super Bowl,
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what four are you taking? Is this four players in the NFL right
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now or four players all time? Because this is a big This is like
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a legitimately like tough question. If it's four players right now. I could
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probably answer that easier, but four players all time might be really interesting and
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fun. I need to know before I can answer that question. We'll see,
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we'll see. Oh, right now, four players, four players in
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the NFL right now to put on the bills to win the Super Bowl?
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What four are you taking? Oh man, I'm taking Aaron Donald. I'm
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taking. This is also fun too, because you play this kind of game
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and it's like, do you try to hurt your opponent? Like do you
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want to take Patrick Mahomes because you're trying to, you know, hinder what
5:28
the Chiefs can do. And so you just take Patrick Mahomes and sit him
5:30
on the bench. And then it's like, oh, and then do you
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get to the super Bowl? But if we're in it, I'm taking Aaron
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Donald. I'm taking oh, either t J. Watt or Nick Bosa.
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Oh boy, this is super hard, man. I was not expecting this.
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I know, I'm taking Donald and either what or Bosa maybe cross we
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know what? Or Bosa Davante Adams. No, no, no, I'm
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taking Aaron Donald. I'm taking TJ. Watt. I'm taking Jamar Chase or
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Justin Jefferson. Oh boy, boy, wait, wait, wait, hold
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on, hold on, Now, I gotta get the rules. Here we
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got a backtrack. I'm gonna dive in the episode because now I gotta get
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the rules. You're saying I don't trust TJ or Bosa for a season.
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Wait, so is it the season or I just need to win this one
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game? If this is season long, I have to have a bigger conversation
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this is this is a bigger piece because then I'm also probably taking a right
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tackle as well. Man, that's an interesting question. Pose it, pose
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it? Give me the rules, lay it out, lay it out in
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the chat? Am I am I doing it for the season? Is it
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just for one game? Is it just for the playoffs? Lay off the
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rules for me in the chat. I will answer this question probably next week.
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I will lead off the episode next week with it because I like it.
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I like it. I like it. Oh, Sarah says, I'm
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stacking offense all Oh. Pete comes in and says Aaron Donald, Lane Johnson,
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Jamar, Chase, t J. Watt, I might rock with that.
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Foresome, that's pretty good. Foresome it is very good. Yeah,
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And as John says, a good question is a very good question. I
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appreciate you r J shouting out the tree. All right, folks, let's
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man that a question through me for a loop. I really like it,
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but yeah, no, thanks quite break that down in the chat. What
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are the parameters for which I have to pick my four players? And I'm
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gonna base it off of that. I like it. I like it a
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lot. Oh, he says, My bad, My bad, I'm talking
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your Brandon Bean, your Brandon Bean's genie for this season. Don't be a
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weenie and take key reas from other teams. Fair, Okay, so I
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can pick from the season. I'm going to start this question. I'm gonna
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lead off. I'm either gonna no, I don't think. I'm gonna an
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excited. I really want to give this some thought. I'm gonna lead off
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next week's episode with it, or put it on Twitter or both. I
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really like that. That was a really good question. Oh I like that
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a lot. Speaking of liking things a lot, let's bring up the sponsor.
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apps or platforms. Get yourself some one pipe pizza. Now let's dive into
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the episode. What I want to do also for this episode, you folks
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know how we do here on the show, especially when I'm riding solo.
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Love the engagement, Love the back and forth in the chat with each other.
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With myself, I want to know what your biggest questions are for the
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Buffalo Bill's offense in twenty twenty three, and as I start to bring mine
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up, I've got several. If you agree with it, cool, If
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you disagree with it, cool, let me know in the chat why yes
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or no. If you have your own put into the chat, I will
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bring up everything as accordingly as I can bring some stuff up at the end.
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If it's not one of the things that I had have some engagement and
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some back and forth on this show. So again, whatever's on your mind,
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or it could be something related to anything else that's on your mind,
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throw it up into the chat and I will bring it up as physically possible
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as I can. Let's dive into it first. One first piece, This
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one should come as no surprise for those of you who watch the show regularly.
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This is I don't know how I really want to rank all of them.
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A lot of these tonight are like, collectively, these are my biggest
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questions, or what I think the biggest questions are. This first one,
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though, is my number one, without a doubt. Number one is Spencer
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Brown and the whole offensive line a little bit. As the banner says at
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the bottom, I don't want to continue to harp on this, even though
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I kind of am continuing to harp on it. Spencer Brown is a question
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mark for this Bill's offense in twenty twenty three, and he is a big
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question mark. Now. That's not to say because I want to pump the
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brakes here, because I know some people very strongly about this. This is
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not to say that Spencer Brown cannot or will not start to scratch that ceiling
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a little bit more in twenty twenty three, or that he won't take a
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jump towards being that player that people in vision that he could be with that
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perfect RAS score and the athleticism and the ceiling and the raw potential and all
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those pieces. Right, that's not to say that, you know, me
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having questions about him doesn't mean that he can't kind of be the prince that
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was promised at right tackle. And yes, as I've said before on the
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show, I understand all the injury pieces last year, the injuries and the
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off season, the injuries throughout training camp, His practice reps were affected,
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his preseason reps were affected. Just his ability to get in rhythm and get
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into lockstep with the rest of the offensive line was significantly impacted and hindered throughout
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the entire off season, into the preseason and then going into the regular season.
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Then he was banged up in the regular season as well. Yes,
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I know that impacted his play last year. Very understandable, very acceptable.
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But at the end of the day, right now, Spencer Brown is a
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question mark and even if you think, you know what I think, now
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that he's healthy, he's going to have a really good season. That's fair,
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that's fantastic. You're basing that on hope, and you're basing that on
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optimism, because there's the other side of the coin that I feel like he's
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getting talked about, where the thought is, yeah, you know, if
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he hadn't have been hurt, if he hadn't have been hurt, we have
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no idea what he would have looked like last year had he not been hurt.
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Because even if you say, oh, if he had been healthy,
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Okay, if he had been healthy, what would he have been Because in
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his rookie year he was a roller coaster as well. So it's not like
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you can say, yeah, but if he had been healthy, he would
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have been back to that great rookie year performance because his rookie year was a
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roller coaster. Last year was a roller coaster in part again because of those
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injuries. And I've continued to say it him being a roller coaster is acceptable
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given where he's coming, where he's come from eight man football in high school,
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went to the University of Northern Iowa, opted out in the COVID year
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all these pieces I've talked about. He wasn't going up against pro ready talent
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in college. He doesn't have a ton of experience. He's a very raw
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player. He's a toolsy guy, he's a traitsy guy. He's a physically
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impressive dude at right tackle, but he needed a lot of time on task
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to refine his game, refine his technique mentally as well as physically. This
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is a person who is learning to play right tackle on the fly, on
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the job in the NFL. That's a super, super super hard thing to
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do. So I think it's very understandable why he has struggled again the injuries,
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the combination of the injuries plus him being raw and being more of a
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project, it's all very understandable. But at the end of the day,
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no matter how you slice it, he has a question mark for twenty twenty
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three. And if you believe that he will reduce the ebbs and flows of
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his game and he will get off that roller coaster and he'll reduce the valleys
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that go with the peaks, that's awesome. But you're basing that on hope,
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because what we've seen is a player that has been like I continue to
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say, very mercurial in his performance, especially from a past protection standpoint.
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So per PF, they have a lot of good advanced metrics for offensive line
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stuff. So per PF, the percentage of pressures by the defense that were
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charged to offensive line positions on Josh Allen dropbacks. This was out of fifty
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qualifying quarterbacks the Bills at right tackle, Now, this is some Spencer Brown,
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some David Questenberry. The Bills were tied for eighth from their right tackle
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position at twenty seven point five percent of pressures coming from that right tackle spot.
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No other spot on the Bills offensive line had a higher percent of pressures
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by the defense charge of that spot than eighteen point three percent. So left
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tackle, left guard, center, right guard. None of those spots on
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the Bill's offensive line had that pressure rate higher than eighteen point three percent,
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But at right tackle it was twenty seven point five percent. For as much
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as Roger Saffold was awful, For as bad as Roger Saffold was at times,
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right wasn't worse than that right tackle spot. He kind of held it
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down more in pass protection from that metric standpoint than the right tackle spot did.
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Now, grant it again, that's not all Spencer Brown. Some of
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that is David Westonbury as well. So let's focus a little more on Spencer
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Brown. So that metric was per PF. His next one is per Sports
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Info Solutions. There were one hundred and fifty nine players with at least five
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hundred blocking snaps in twenty twenty two one hundred and fifty nine. Spencer Brown
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had the eleventh highest blown block percentage in pass protection at five point one percent,
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So out of one hundred and fifty nine players with at least five hundred
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blocking snaps, he had the eleventh highest blown block percentage in pass protection.
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But on the flip side, he was tied for the twenty fourth lowest blown
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block percentag on rum blocks at one point one percent. That also tracks with
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the tape a lot. You look at a guy in pass protection who his
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feet and his hands aren't necessarily working in sync his punch timing, his punch
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placement. The mental side in terms of him reading stunts and reading games and
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reading blitzes, all the technical side of things mentally and physically weren't always connecting
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for him in pass protection and you would see those struggles. But in the
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run game, I don't know if it's because he's thinking lesser because the assignments
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are simpler or maybe potentially easier for him. But in the run game,
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you see the strength, you see the athleticism, you see the speed,
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you see the quickness, you see the physicality he is. He's I don't
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know if I want to say a strong rum blocker. I don't mean that
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physically. I just mean like over on his game. But he's a good
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run blocker on that right side. You get him out in space, you
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pull him on those tackle rap in those dark plays. You want to use
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him to get some double teams and create some displacement and gold field, you
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want him to climb to the second level. He's really impressive. You really
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see that athleticism show up with what the Bills have asked him to do in
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the run game. And he's a solid run blocker, that's fine. But
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when it comes to pass protection, like I showed in those first two metrics,
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they're very shaky. Now let's go back to PFF. Let's use another
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metric. Out of eighty six qualifying offensive tackles in twenty twenty two, so
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eighty six offensive tackles Spencer Brown was sixty ninth in past blocking efficiency at a
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score of ninety two point five. Tristan Worfs was first in that category.
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He had a fantastic year last year. For reference, Deon Dawkins was thirty
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first in past blocking efficiency with a score of ninety seven. So Spencer Brown
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was sixty ninth at a score of ninety two point five. Dion Dawkins was
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thirty first at ninety seven point zero. Worst was first at ninety seven or
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ninety nine point one. So Dean Dawkins, who had somewhat of a down
16:57
year last year and a bit of an inconc assistant year, it was thirty
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first out of eighty six qualifying tackles, So down year, kind of middle
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of the pack, maybe even a little higher the middle of the pack above
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average cool, so his down year was above average. Spencer Brown's year sixty
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nine out of those eighty six qualifying offensive tackles not great. If you take
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that further and you look at true pass sets, something I've talked about on
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the show before. So true pass sets are plays that exclude plays with less
17:27
than four rushers, exclude play action, they exclude screens, they exclude short
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dropbacks, and time to throw under two seconds, So you're kind of eliminating
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those plays or those reps where you know not to use the verbiage, but
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like, you're not getting a true pass set. You're not getting a true
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opportunity for the rusher to beat you, or whether it's the design of the
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play or the timing isn't right, or there's something that's kind of muddying the
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waters for the defensive player. A true pass set is more of a measure
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of you're in a real rush situation with plenty of time. It's a true
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drop back. You're on this guy, let's see what happens. So in
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true pass sets again, out of those eighty six qualifying offensive tackles, Spencer
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Brown was once again sixty ninth in his pass blocking efficiency, Tristan Works was
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first again, Dion Dawkins was twenty fourth. So in a down year for
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Dion Dawkins overall and pass blocking efficiency, he was thirty first out of eighty
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six qualifying tackles, and then in true pass sets he was twenty fourth out
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of those eighty six qualifying tackles. Spencer Brown was sixty ninth in both,
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and then again if you look from a volume standpoint. I've said it on
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the show before. Spencer Brown was tied for the fifth most pressures given up
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last year for all offensive tackles. So if you're looking at it from a
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percentage standpoint, from an advanced metric standpoint, from a tape standpoint, from
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a volume standpoint, not great. Oh you go here, question here from
18:52
Jessica. Jessica, thank thank you, well, thank you very much for
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being here, and thank you for the super chat. Jessica says, aunt,
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how long was the old line asked to hold their blocks? Oh,
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this is a very good question, Jessica, And let me go look that
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up, because Josh j Allen did hold onto the ball last year more than
19:12
normal. Some of it was the play calls, some of it was Allen,
19:17
some of it sometimes was the protection. But let's see if I go
19:21
here and look up time to throw. So Josh Allen's average time to throw
19:27
last year was two point eight seven seconds and that was the one two,
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three, six, seven eight twelve. That was the fourteenth highest for quarterbacks
19:41
last year. But it is decently on the high side. If you're getting
19:44
around three seconds, that's pretty high. So fair credit to the offensive line.
19:49
They were asked to hold their blocks for a little longer at times,
19:52
but very good questions, very good questions. So, on average, Josh
19:55
Allen's time to throw last year was two point eight seven seconds. Usually,
20:00
if you're getting the ball out around two point five, that's fast, that's
20:03
quick. If you're getting the ball out around three or longer's that's a long
20:10
time. That's a lot to ask sometimes of offensive lineman. Very good question,
20:14
Very good question, Jessica. I liked that a lot. Oh.
20:17
I like this comment here from John saying Brown demolishes folks in space. It's
20:21
actually hilarious. He actually does, like he really really mauls dudes in the
20:26
run game, especially in space. And again it's not just like guys that
20:30
are smaller than him, like nickel corners or safeties or outside corners. Like
20:33
it can be linebackers, it can be edges, it can be into your
20:36
defensive lineman. Like when he gets on the move, he gets that speed
20:38
generating and you have that again, you have the speed plus the size,
20:41
plus the frame plus the strength. It's impressive. No, thank says well,
20:48
staff would really that bad? Or is he just our scapegoat? He
20:49
was like thirty five in a last minute signing. Bean has just been ignoring
20:52
the old line and have finally caught up. He was bad last year.
21:00
He was bad from a metric standpoint and from a film standpoint. To your
21:04
point, though, I do think it was I just I just think he
21:07
had a lot of miles on the tires. Like this was a dude you
21:11
put there, like, yeah, he was thirty five, Like he's into
21:12
his early to mid thirties. There. He's been playing in the NFL a
21:15
long time, but he just didn't have the foot speed and the lateral agility
21:21
to hold up in the pass game with regularity. You saw some good reps
21:23
from him in the run. You saw him kind of road grade some dudes
21:27
when he would pull or get to the second level. He even had a
21:30
couple of nice reps in space against against the Chicago Bears later in the year.
21:34
But you saw teams, I mean Cincinnati did in the playoffs. You
21:37
saw a team start to game him up and use front alignments that would put
21:44
speed rushers or quick guys lined up over him, and then use that to
21:48
take advantage of what he had going on or what he didn't have going on
21:55
from a quickness standpoint. From agility standpoint, like you'd watch him, he'd
22:00
be able to pick up a game or a stunt, but he just physically
22:03
didn't have the ability to get there. And that was one of my biggest
22:07
concerns last year when we signed him. I was excited for a more physical
22:11
presence in the run game. My biggest question when he signed was how would
22:15
he hold up in past protection from an athleticism and quickness standpoint, and we
22:19
saw that kind of rear its Ugly had a bit at times, So I
22:22
don't think he was a scapegoat. He did have a bad year despite the
22:26
fact that he made the Pro Bowl, and I will say the bad reps
22:30
that he had, because he had some really, really really bad reps,
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I think those overshadow everything and make it seem like he was worse than he
22:40
was, because he wasn't just completely atrocious, but he wasn't great. I
22:45
would put him at probably like at best, like a C plus or a
22:48
C last year overall, but he had moments. We had some moments where
22:52
he was a B minus and you were like, oh, okay, but
22:55
then he had a bunch and more on the negative end where it was like
22:59
a d or a f and just he was a vulnerability. Good question,
23:03
good question. Oh, this is a good one here from John says Ryan
23:07
Bates allowed only one sack in twenty twenty two Aaron Donald in his first game.
23:11
If I recall, don't go by sacks if you are using that as
23:18
like a metric to judge how good an offensive lineman is doing. So for
23:22
example, that right there, right And I love this comment from you,
23:25
John, because I think I put some things in a perspective. That game
23:29
against the Rams, Ryan Bates got beat a bunch by Aaron Donald, but
23:33
the Bills did a great job back game from Ken Dorsey, having a lot
23:37
of quick passes and a lot of quick game schemed up and gamed up because
23:41
they knew the Rams were going to be playing off and they wanted to neutralize
23:44
Aaron Donald. So Donald would beat Bates, but Alan would get the ball
23:48
out and it wouldn't matter, or Alan would maneuver and move around and nullify
23:52
that rush from Donald. So don't use sacks given up as a way to
23:57
judge how good of a season offensive lineman. I say the same thing for
24:02
Osiris Torrance coming out of Florida, who I like but I saw in draft
24:06
night everybody's thrown up that stat of you know, no sacks allowed in twenty
24:11
twenty two, he's going to be a stud what an amazing pass protector.
24:14
And I'm not saying he can't be that or he won't be that, but
24:18
he had reps where he got beat and there's reps where you know, speed
24:21
rushers give him problems. But if you're just looking at the statue like,
24:22
well, he didn't give him up a sack, that's amazing. Don't go
24:26
by sacks in terms of judging someone completely. Yes, it's nice that he
24:30
didn't give up one, but there's a multitude of pieces they're going and not
24:33
giving up a sack, especially for the Buffalo Bills having Josh Allen, who
24:37
is the equalizer and a racer for a lot of the protection problems up front
24:41
for their offensive line. But good comment there, John, Oh, I
24:44
see another super chat. I gotta stop seventy eight maximillion. I appreciate you
24:51
being here and thank you very much for the super chat. Oh. I
24:52
like this treaty shout out time and my eyes keep getting drawn to it.
24:57
I like it. I like it. Then the question on the back end
25:00
Oh, how long do you think Brown's leash is this year if play doesn't
25:04
improve. That's a really good question, and I think it's decently long,
25:11
because who's going to replace him? That was part of the reason why I
25:15
wanted an offensive tackle drafted preferably early in this past NFL draft, because even
25:22
if Spencer Brown works out, like, say, it's Brown and Dawkins.
25:25
After Brown and Dawkins, it's David Questenberry, and I guess Tommy Doyle.
25:30
There were some rumblings that Tommy Doyle was going to kick into guard, but
25:33
once they got David Edwards and then they drafted o Cyrus Torrance and then they
25:37
drafted Nick Broker. Or are they going to kick Doyle into guards? So
25:40
he's the tackle there? What do you have at tackle? Like? So,
25:42
if Spencer Brown doesn't work out, no disrespect for David Questenberry, but
25:48
or to David Questenberry, but I don't think he has the juice in the
25:52
tank to be at right tackle. And I just think about him. I'd
25:55
say it all the time. I picture him getting burned around the arc by
25:57
Bryce Huff in New York against the Jets, and then Huff hitting Allan's elbow,
26:02
and that's how we got that Allen elbow injury. I think if they
26:07
had a again, no disrespect to David question Burry, I think if they
26:08
had a more competent or qualified backup, Brown's lease would be a bit shorter,
26:15
leash would be a bit shorter. That being said, I do think
26:18
McDermot and being like him, I do think Chromer believes in him. So
26:23
I think he's gonna get some burn just off of that. And then because
26:27
there's really no one like sitting behind him, like there's not somebody who if
26:32
you're like, you know, if this guy's not cutting it, let's put
26:33
in this this good swing tack we have. Let's bring in this person off
26:40
the bench we had. There's no like what the Cowboys had where it was
26:42
like, oh, you know, cool, like let's bring in Jason Peters.
26:45
Like the Bills don't have that guy I tackle on the roster right now.
26:48
So I've been between the Bills staff believing in him and they're being really
26:52
nobody on the bench to replace him. I think he's got a pretty long
26:56
leash. I think them also not drafting anybody or making a move for that
27:02
spot, and free agency again, they address the offensive line on the interior.
27:04
In free agency, they didn't really do anything for the tackles except bring
27:10
David Questenbury back. So that to me indicates that they are locked and loaded
27:14
in terms of fully believing in Spencer Brown and they're going to ride or die
27:18
with him. And that's actually a really good question what ties into my point
27:21
here of why Spencer Brown is my biggest question and the offensive line a little
27:26
bit, which I'm going to get into in a minute here, But why
27:29
Spencer Brown is the biggest question for me because it ties into that question of
27:32
how long his leashes. I think he's their ride or die at right tackle,
27:36
Like if he swims cool, if he sinks, cool, like he's
27:40
going to be at right tackle, and if he sinks or that mercurial play
27:44
continues and we're still on that roller coaster. That's a big vulnerability, especially
27:49
for a team that wants to be a pass first offense that is led by
27:52
a very good quarterback in a good passing game. If you can't protect upfront,
27:57
your offense is kind of in neutral. If you will. If you
28:00
are that much of a vulnerability or deficiency, teams can pinpoint it, especially
28:06
in today's NFL, where teams have usually one and a half or two good
28:11
edge rushers, and even if they only have one and a half or they
28:14
just have one, that one guy is able to move around on both sides,
28:18
like what von Miller can do, or what what can do or Garrett
28:22
can do or Bosa can do, like all of these guys who they can
28:26
just be like, Oh, who's your weakest tackle. It's your left tackle.
28:29
Cool, that's where you're lining up this game. Oh your weakest tackles,
28:30
you're right tackle. Cool, that's where you're lining up this game.
28:34
And they can game you up and attack you and scheme you up. We
28:37
saw the Bengals do it in the playoffs with what Louan and Rumma was doing
28:40
with his simulated pressures and creeper pressures in blitz game like to confuse Brown mentally
28:45
and attack him. So I do think because he has a long leash and
28:49
because this coaching staff believes in him, if that faith goes unrewarded, it's
28:53
a problem because then what are you doing at right tackle. That's another reason
28:57
why it's a big question for me if Spencer Brown is not the answer at
29:02
right tackle for you in twenty twenty three, then who is the answer?
29:07
Is it David Questenberry? Is it Tommy Doyle? Is it? If Osires
29:11
Torrance beats out Ryan Bates at right tackle? Is it Ryan Bates who's played
29:15
some tackle at Penn State. I don't think that's ideal given his body composition,
29:19
in frame and skill set. But is that the lesser of all the
29:22
other evils If Spencer Brown doesn't work out, If Spencer Brown isn't the answer
29:27
at right tackle like the Bills believe he can be, which I think that's
29:32
where we are right now, it creates it opens up Pandora's box in terms
29:37
of questions, and it's all questions that you don't want to answer. That's
29:38
part of the reason why I think Brown is so important because you need him
29:44
to be good because he's going to be the starter and you can't have that
29:48
vulnerability and deficiency and past protection on the offensive line like he has been in
29:52
previous years. But also because if he doesn't work out, I don't know
29:55
who's answering that bell from bench, like they don't necessarily have a better option
30:00
where it's like, all right, cool, this other guy isn't sexy,
30:02
but he gives you a high floor. Questenburry, I think is just as
30:06
much of a roller coaster because where he is physically in his career, with
30:10
how much miles he has on the tires or how many miles he has on
30:12
the tires. Pete says, Aunt gave out all those awful stats from us
30:19
at right tackle, and the team decided they wanted to run the same guys
30:22
back again. Yep, yep, eighth eighth most percentage of pressures charged to
30:32
right tackle in the entire NFL last year. So again that's your Questenburry and
30:37
your Spencer Brown spot, and no other spot on the Bills old line had
30:40
higher than eighteen point three. So, for all intents and purposes, right
30:44
tackle was a bit of a weakness. It kind of understated a little bit,
30:48
or undersell it. Right tackle was a weakness on this Bills offensive line.
30:51
And the Buffalo Bills ran back their starter and their number one depth guy
30:56
in Spencer Brown and David Questionburry, so fingers crossed that that'll get better the
31:02
other piece that I have here, and then I put in privacies there talking
31:06
about the offensive line or the whole offensive line a little bit. I think
31:10
it's fair to have a question about what the guards are going to look like
31:14
this year. You know how much of an upgrade is Connor McGovern. They're
31:18
splashiest free agent signing, at least from a monetary perspective. You know how
31:22
much of an upgrade is Connor mcgovernment left guard over Roger Staffold. For me,
31:26
I don't think it has to be a ton. He doesn't have to
31:29
be an all pro, he doesn't have to be a stud. Like I
31:30
said, I think for the majority of the year Roger Staffold was that like
31:33
a D or a C plus or a C. I think Connor McGovern can
31:38
realistically and regularly be anywhere from a B minus to a B and I think
31:42
that's an upgrade. It may not be the sexiest upgrade, it may not
31:45
be you know, newsworthy or noteworthy, but if you're going from a D
31:48
to a B minus, or you're going from a C minus to a B
31:52
minus, that's a full letter grade, like you're raising the floor. I
31:56
also do think McGovern will do well given his athletic profile and the kind of
32:00
offense the Bills have run. But again it's still a question because we haven't
32:02
seen him function within this team and on this roster and in this system necessarily
32:07
this exact system anyway. And then you have the right guard piece as well.
32:10
We touched on it last week. I'm not gonna dive too much into
32:14
it again, but is Ryan Bates starting at right guard? If not,
32:17
is it Osirius Torrance? Okay? If it's Osyrius Torrence. Now you've got
32:21
a rookie, a rookie right guard next to a third year right tackle who's
32:25
been very up and down in his play, who's been very mercurial in his
32:29
play. Does that start to affect Torrance? How much does that help Spencer
32:32
Brown? Would you rather pair Spencer Brown with a vet? Like, all
32:37
these pieces start to kind of align in certain ways and create some questions for
32:42
you. That's where my number one question is for this Buffalo Bills offense.
32:45
It starts with the offensive line. It's seventy percent Spencer Brown, thirty percent
32:50
the rest of the offensive line. In terms of how it aligns and how
32:52
it fits together, I'm more confident in the rest of the group. Like
32:57
I'm pretty confident in McGovern. I like Ian Bates, and I like Torrance
33:00
as well. So I think from left tackle through right guard. This is
33:05
a group. That's fine. I'd love it to be you know, a
33:08
group that has one or two All pros on it, or guys towards the
33:12
top of their field. But it's fine. Then I think the Bills just
33:15
need to be a top half of the league offensive line. That's it.
33:19
Just give me a fifteen fourteen thirteen in terms of your offensive line ranking.
33:22
Reduce all the ebbs and flows, reduce that roller coaster with the with the
33:28
sudden valleys to go with the peaks, and a lot of that for me,
33:30
is going to be tied to, you know, the new guys,
33:34
if it's McGovern and Torrance or just McGovern, But I think that'll be okay.
33:37
But Spencer Brown is that question mark on that right tackle spot. And
33:43
you know, being vulnerable at one offensive line spot is better than being vulnerable
33:45
at two like the Bills were last year at right tackle and left guard.
33:49
But if being vulnerable at one to that level is a bad thing, and
33:54
it's my number one question and will continue to be until I see a significant
33:58
sample side showing that he can kind of make that happen, which is nervous,
34:04
which makes me nervous. I should say as Sarah says, Yeah,
34:07
our offensive tackle depth concerns me. I think Brown will bounce back, but
34:12
he does have availability issues. That's also a piece two. Right, he's
34:15
at injuries in back to back years. Is he an injury concerned guy?
34:17
Can he stay healthy? If he stays healthy, what does he look like
34:22
at this point? But then just getting there? Can he stay healthy?
34:25
So that's a fair point as well. I do like some of the come
34:30
and see and I see folks talking about we have lots of guards and draft
34:32
capital. I do think maybe one of those guys get flipped if somebody works
34:38
out, So we'll see what happens that at that spot. I do think
34:43
the interior offensive line is better from a pass protection standpoint, the interior of
34:46
the pocket, the depth of the pocket will hold a little bit better.
34:50
He got guys who can anchor, you have athleticism, You've got some functional
34:53
strength. Not necessarily people movers, unless you're talking about Cyrus Torrance. Will
34:58
see if he wins the job, but think if he if the interior of
35:02
the offensive line can be solid, that helps a bit cover, That helps
35:06
cover up a bit for the deficiencies with Spencer Browner right tackle, but again,
35:09
that's still a question because we don't necessarily know we'll see fingers crossed,
35:14
fingers crossed. I'm a little nervous about it, as I've talked about next
35:19
piece here but also tweets today about this. So the next question I have
35:23
for the Buffalo Bill's offense is Josh Allen, Ken Dorsey and the red zone
35:28
offense. So both of those pieces, the Ken Dorsey piece, the Josh
35:31
Allen piece, tied into the red zone offense. Bills had some struggles in
35:37
the red zone in twenty twenty two, and there's a multitude of reasons for
35:39
it. I don't want to necessarily boil it down to only two or three
35:43
and make it seem like these are the only ones. But I'm gonna I'm
35:45
gonna I'm gonna hone in or focus in on a couple here. But again,
35:50
like I said, there's a multitude of reasons for the red zone struggles
35:52
in twenty twenty two for the Bills, especially compared to twenty twenty one.
35:55
Some of it is Josh Allen's decision making. Some of it is played design
36:00
and play calls from Ken Dorsey, especially early on in the season, where
36:04
he had like Dawson Knock, staying in the block. Some of it is
36:07
a lack of separation from the pass catchers, some of it is inconsistent blocking,
36:12
some of it is drops. The Bills were sixth in Red Zone drops
36:15
last year with five, but again, I wanted to focus on a specific
36:19
piece that I found interesting also in going down the rabbit hole a little bit
36:22
in preparation for this episode and going into this Red Zone piece, I might
36:25
end up doing a full episode on the Red Zone struggles, maybe with some
36:30
film as well, to really dive into it fully because I think there's a
36:35
lot to unpack, but to kind of hit it off with a high level
36:38
piece here, free folks. In this episode, let's I want to compare
36:44
the twenty twenty one numbers the twenty twenty two number. So in twenty twenty
36:46
one Bills. Red Zone DVOA SO DVA again is an efficiency metric. It
36:52
corrects for quality of opponent you play and basically balances everything out and puts out
37:00
where you are from an efficiency standpoint in a multitude of areas on par with
37:06
your peers. It removes variables or tries to reduce them or mitigate them as
37:09
much as possible, so it's more of a well rounded metric in terms of
37:13
stacking you up against your other piers in the league. So in twenty twenty
37:15
one, the Bills were fourth in red zone v AWAY, twelfth in the
37:19
pass, fourth in the run. In twenty twenty two they dropped from fourth
37:24
overall to twenty fifth overall. The pass went from twelfth and twenty twenty one
37:29
to eighteenth in twenty twenty two, and the run game was the biggest drop.
37:34
The red zone dv AWAY in twenty twenty one was fourth again. Like
37:37
I mentioned, the red zone rush DVOWA in twenty twenty two was twenty seventh,
37:42
so a twenty three spot drop. And if you look at the quarterback
37:47
and running back runs, so again, runs and rushes by quarterbacks and running
37:52
backs in twenty twenty one, the Bills were eighth in EPA per attempt on
37:57
those runs. But if you focus just on the running backs, they were
38:00
twentieth in EPA in twenty twenty one. If you go in twenty twenty two
38:05
running backs and quarterbacks combined, they were twenty first in EPA, so a
38:08
thirteen spot dropped versus twenty twenty one. But just for running backs, they
38:15
were twenty second in EPA, so a two spot drop from the running back
38:20
stats in twenty twenty one. In the red zone from an advanced metric standpoint,
38:24
also if you want to go into a two in twenty twenty one,
38:27
they used more play action and more RPOs in the red zone. The Bills
38:30
were third in play action in the red zone in twenty twenty one with a
38:34
twenty one percent play action rate and they ran They ran play action fifty one
38:37
times. They also had a twenty one percent RPO rate, which was fourth,
38:42
and they had fifty RPOs in the red zone versus twenty twenty two where
38:45
they ran play action eighteen percent of the time, so a three percentage point
38:50
dropped, which was ninth but only thirty three plays, which was an eighteen
38:52
play difference. And then RPOs. They went from again to twenty one percent
38:57
RPO rate in twenty twenty one to an eleven percent RPO rate in twenty twenty
39:00
two, so a ten percentage point drop making them go from fourth in twenty
39:06
twenty one to fifteenth in twenty twenty two, and a big play discrepancy.
39:09
Fifty RPOs in the red zone in twenty twenty one nineteen RPOs only in twenty
39:15
twenty two. So putting all these numbers together, like I talked about,
39:20
we got the QB runs EPA per attempt QB plus running back runs EPA per
39:24
attempt in twenty twenty one in twenty twenty two thirteen spot difference, but a
39:30
big change in number, whereas the running back numbers just running backs alone non
39:34
including quarterback runs. The drop wasn't too much. So if you notice against
39:39
tough to notice as I'm reading it, I should have made a graphic for
39:42
it. I just thought of that now that was stupid. So if you
39:44
connect the dots, if you look at the quarterback running back EPA difference,
39:52
that was a big change, because if you just look at the running back
39:53
EPA per attempt, it didn't differ too much. Again, they went from
39:59
twentieth and twenty twenty one to twenty second in twenty twenty two, and they
40:01
went from an EPA per attempt score of zero in twenty twenty one to negative
40:07
zero point seven, so only a point zero seven change in score. Where
40:13
the difference was was in the quarterback run department, and how that factored in
40:16
and what we really saw was the intentional runs from the quarterback spot. So
40:22
your design runs, your sneaks, your draws, your QB powers, the
40:28
pin and pull with Josh Allen, all those pieces right again, like I
40:31
mentioned, just tying in with that red zone piece on QB and running back
40:36
runs combined, the Bills were eighth in EPA per attempt in twenty twenty one
40:39
when they were fourth in rushing DVOA in the red zone versus twenty twenty two,
40:45
they were twenty first in EPA per attempt where they were twenty seventh in
40:51
rushing DVOA in the red zone. And their score in twenty twenty two when
40:54
it dropped was negative zero point zero five versus twenty twenty one when it was
41:00
a score of a positive score of point one three. So you had a
41:04
point one eight drop, which is a big drop, and you went into
41:07
the negative. Then you take that further. Oh, you gotta stop a
41:12
question for Dom? What up? Dom? Dom's a good following on Twitter,
41:15
even though he's a Jets person. He's a good dude and he knows
41:16
ball. I appreciate you, Dom, and I appreciate you being here.
41:19
Dom says, also, thank you for the super chat dom says Aunt can
41:23
the deviation from twenty twenty one to twenty twenty two in the red zone be
41:27
attributed to switching from Dable to Dorsey partially especially early on. I didn't like
41:34
and myself an air turner, did an episode for our Cover one premium subscribers
41:40
midway through the year. I believe taking a look at the red zone pieces,
41:45
the design from a red zone standpoint early on was not great. Even
41:49
just take something as basic as you know Dawson Knox, who has some red
41:52
zone threat to him because of his size, his athleticism, his speed in
41:57
his frame, he was kept in more of a as a block early on
42:00
in the season last year, Or you had a significant amount of plays,
42:05
granted the sample size a smaller, but a significant amount of plays where you'd
42:07
only have like three players going out into the route distribution and then the defense
42:13
is sitting there only Russian four. So now they're dropping seven into coverage and
42:16
you're only Russian three and there's nowhere for Josh Allen to go. So I
42:20
think early on Dorsey's youth or an experience was showing up there a little bit
42:27
in terms of what he was designing. But they got better as the year
42:30
went along. From a design standpoint and from a play calling standpoint, I
42:34
think a big piece that factored into it, honestly was Josh Allen's decision making.
42:38
Now, it's a bit of it, and I said this on Twitter
42:40
earlier today. It's a bit of a chicken and egg scenario because you can
42:44
say that, well, maybe Josh Allen's decision making wasn't great because of the
42:49
play call in the play design, and maybe he was pressing a little too
42:52
much because he didn't have any easy buttons or any answers given to him from
42:55
Ken Dorsey. So it's a bit of a chicken and egg piece. But
43:00
I do think it's started with Dorsey and he's involved in it throughout the whole
43:05
piece. But I do think there is a decent chunk that is due to
43:08
Josh Allen's decision making throwing balls that he shouldn't that lead interceptions, making poor
43:14
decisions, whether it's him just not seeing guys or him trying to throw that
43:17
he doesn't need to be trying to throw and it leads to a turnover.
43:22
I also think I think he missed Cole Beasley down there in the red zone
43:25
a true separator other than Stefon Diggs. You know, teams would double Stefon
43:29
Diggs, and then it's like, okay, who else can I find?
43:32
Who else will get open? Who's the guy who can go out there and
43:37
get a bucket? And if you don't have somebody who's scheming those guys open,
43:42
it's tough. And so I think all of those things coalesced into one.
43:45
So I do think some of it is the Dorsey piece, but I
43:49
do think I do think Dorsey's being used as a scapegoat a bit too much
43:52
for anything that was involving any struggles with the Buffalo Bill's offense last year.
43:57
So some of it rests with Dorsey, but some of it rest with Josh
44:00
Allen's decision making. And then some of it is on the weapons. You
44:02
know, guys just not being able to separate just because their skill set or
44:07
their individual ability, inconsistencies with the offensive line play, and I do think
44:10
a lack of effectiveness on the ground, which I'm gonna get into in a
44:14
minute. So that way, teams sold out more for the past and they
44:16
were just like, cool, We're just gonna flood the red zone with seven
44:21
or eight dudes and zone coverage, we're gonna try to make you beat it.
44:22
And when you have that condensed part of the field down there, where
44:25
you've got the back of the end zone as a natural boundary and you've got
44:29
the sidelines, it's almost like you got three extra defenders. And if you're
44:32
already flooding the zone with seven or eight, and then also if you can
44:37
just rush through your four and get pressure with those through your four, all
44:39
these things kind of go together. So yes, I do think switching from
44:45
Dable to Dorsey definitely had an impact. But I don't think that's the sole
44:49
reason. I don't think it's just like watch it's all on Dorsey, as
44:52
some people are making it out to be a good question. Do I appreciate
44:55
the hell you also appreciate the kind words that are coming through and some saying
45:00
some nice things about me in the chat. I appreciate you, folks.
45:02
Seventy eight Max Million says it. He nails it. He says, don't
45:06
forget to smash that like button to help out aunt, folks. I appreciate
45:08
you for that. And yes, likes are the lifeblood of these streams.
45:13
They go a long wait or to help myself and the entire team to track
45:15
and trend in front of more eyes and ears. So please, please,
45:17
please and thank you. If you are enjoying this content, please please,
45:21
please and thank you. Drop a like on this video, whether you're watching
45:23
live now or post live later, please please please who Victor says, so
45:30
if it looks cheesy and not creative this year again, then can we blame
45:34
Dorsey? Sure if it's If it's bland and awful, I don't think it's
45:37
necessarily going to be though, because again he showed progression last year. Maybe
45:42
it wasn't up the snuff of what we wanted it to be, but he
45:45
got better in that red zone area as the season went on, so we'll
45:47
see what he has cooking up for this year. I also think the addition
45:51
of Dalton Kincaide and some other pieces will help as well, which I'm going
45:53
to talk about in a minute and appreciate the kind words again from everybody coming
45:58
into the chat so I get talked about. The big difference was in the
46:01
Josh Allen Intentional Run Department, So Josh Allen's rushing EPA in the red zone
46:09
from twenty twenty through twenty twenty two. Again on intentional QB runs. These
46:15
are designed QB runs, QB sneaks, QB draws, QB power pit and
46:21
pull all that kind of stuff. His EPA on these runs in twenty twenty
46:24
was negative two point two nine, not great. Twenty twenty one it was
46:29
eight point nine six, which is fantastic, but then it dipped back down
46:32
again in twenty twenty two to negative one point seven five. Now again that's
46:37
on intentional runs. On scrambles, the difference was a bit negligible. So
46:42
if you're looking just on Josh Allen's rushing EPA on scrambles alone twenty twenty eight
46:46
was zero point two one, jumped up to three point nine in twenty twenty
46:51
one, and then dropped the little last year, but only down to three
46:53
point one two. But the positive on him scrambling last year was out of
46:59
those three seasons, last year he had the highest positive play percentage in twenty
47:04
twenty two on his scrambles in the red zone at seventy seven point eight percent
47:07
versus a sixty six point seven percent positive play right on scrambles in twenty twenty
47:13
one and fifty percent in twenty twenty, so that that intentional run piece started
47:21
to suffer. Now, for those of you who may I think like a
47:23
mission initially you're going to go into and be like, oh, well,
47:25
the elbow piece, the numbers didn't change that much from an intention intentional run
47:30
standpoint. Once he had that elbow injury. I did the splits and I
47:37
don't remember the numbers off hand, and I don't remember the numbers off hand
47:39
because they weren't significant. The difference was negligible. That was the first thought
47:45
I had. I was like, oh, let's see what it was once
47:46
he had the elbow injury. But it didn't really matter too much. Now,
47:51
if you're looking at it from a passing standpoint, this is where it
47:53
starts to get a little murky. So if we're going from an EPA standpoint,
48:00
Josh Allen's actually been on a bit of a decline in his red zone
48:02
EPA going back from the last several years. So, just from a passing
48:07
standpoint, Josh Allen's red zone EPA in twenty twenty, he was eighth amongst
48:14
thirty thirty seven qualifying quarterbacks. This is for all these numbers I'm given now
48:17
from a passing standpoint in the red zone it's out of thirty seven. In
48:21
twenty twenty, he was eighth in EPA in the red zone. In twenty
48:25
twenty one, he was thirteenth in EPA in the red zone, so still
48:30
in the upper half. Still good. Twenty twenty two he dropped to thirty
48:34
sixth in EPA in the red zone, and that thirty six again is out
48:37
of thirty seven quarterbacks, So he was the second worst quarterback in terms of
48:42
EPA in the red zone last year. Now, a significant piece of that
48:45
is going to be the interceptions. When you are literally taking points away from
48:49
your team by turning the ball over, that's going to significantly impact your expected
48:54
points added in a negative way because you are literally removing the opportunity for point.
49:00
So that's a huge piece for wise. EPA dropped so significantly in twenty
49:06
twenty two. Positive play percentage was similar for all three years. Twenty twenty
49:09
he was fifteenth, twenty twenty one he was sixteenth. Last year he was
49:14
fifteenth. Interception percentage is where we saw the changes. So twenty twenty he
49:19
was tied for the lowest interception percentage in the red zone because he threw no
49:22
interceptions in the red zone. Twenty twenty one, he was twenty second out
49:27
of thirty seven. Again, the lower the better for this one because it's
49:30
interception percentage at a score of one point six percent. And then last year
49:34
he ballooned up to first an interception percentage in red zone in the red zone
49:38
at six point five percent. He also, from a volume standpoint, led
49:43
all quarterbacks and red zone interceptions with six. Now again some of that you
49:46
can attribute to what's the play design and what's the play call, and what's
49:52
Dorsey's scheming up for him, and who's he getting open and where are the
49:54
easy buttons and all those pieces. And I do think that is a fair
49:58
comment. I do think Ken Dorsey needs to get better. I'm not absolving
50:00
him of any fault or any criticism, but some of these interceptions are on
50:07
Josh Allen, you know. I think of the one in New York where
50:09
he didn't see the underneath the fender and I forget who he throws the two,
50:13
but he throws it right to him and it's an interception. I think
50:15
of the interception in the second half against the Green Bay Packers that he does
50:19
not need to throw. I also think of some of the plays again.
50:23
And I talked about this one last week end of the first half of the
50:28
game against the Patriots. No, not against the Patriots, against the Miami
50:30
Dolphins on Saturday night, the second game against Miami. End of the first
50:35
half. What is it, four seconds left on the clock. They snapped
50:38
the ball. He scrambles to his right, and he keeps scrambling to the
50:42
point that he bleeds all the time off the clock. But then he finds
50:45
James Cook and it's a touchdown, and it's amazing play and that helps his
50:49
EPA score and that helps the red zone numbers. And you're like, oh
50:52
my god, what an amazing play. That was a stupid play. You
50:54
bled all the clock. At worst, the high percentage opportunity would have been
51:00
snapped the ball. If your read isn't there, chuck the ball away,
51:01
so hopefully there's a second left on the clock. He keep the field goal.
51:05
Cool. Josh Allen went for a high risk, high reward play.
51:09
He got the reward. You got a touchdown. Bills went into the half
51:13
up twenty one to thirteen. Is that only being up seventeen to thirteen,
51:16
But they had pretty much an equal shot of getting nothing on that play.
51:22
And going in up one fourteen to thirteen instead of getting any points on the
51:25
board at that time, which potentially swings some momentum from Miami. Josh Allen
51:30
last year he pressed a lot, he played a lot more to that.
51:35
Yet in that yang, I don't want to say sugar hi Josh Allen because
51:37
I don't think it was the sugar high piece. I think it was more
51:40
just him trying to do too much. Now again, you can connect it
51:44
to Ken Dorsey and if you want to say, well, you know,
51:46
he was trying to do too much because Ken Dorsey was asking too much of
51:51
him. Ken Dorsey was putting too much on Josh Allen's plate. And I
51:53
do agree with that to a degree. I think I tweeted it back out
51:57
in October that it seemed like a lot of the offense was just, you
52:00
know, we have this unicorn in Josh Allen, so the offense is cool.
52:05
Let's just have him be a unicorn all the time, and that's just
52:07
too hard to do now. I also said some pieces in regards to that
52:12
about Brian Dable as well, So that's a fair that's a fair connection that
52:15
we've seen in the last couple of years. I do think Dorsey needs to
52:17
give him some more easy buttons. But we saw significant drops in Josh Allen's
52:23
EPA in the red zone over the last several years, but especially from twenty
52:27
twenty one two twenty twenty two. Completion percentage got worse each year these last
52:32
three years as well. In twenty twenty he was eleventh in completion percentage at
52:37
sixty two point five, twenty twenty one he was twenty fourth in completion percentage
52:42
in the red zone at fifty six point three, and then last year he
52:45
was twenty ninth in completion percentage. Again, all of these are out of
52:47
thirty seven qbs. He was twenty ninth in completion percentage in twenty twenty two
52:52
at forty nine point five percent, and then if you look at passer rating
52:57
again, this one was almost like a continuous drop. Six in red zone
53:00
passer rating in twenty twenty two, nineteen in red zone passer rating in twenty
53:06
twenty one, and then thirty fifth in red zone passer rating in twenty twenty
53:09
two. Again, that one's going to be heavily impacted by the interception.
53:15
So again this isn't too absolve anyone or put blame solely on anyone. But
53:22
I had a lot of the tweets today that you know as I put these
53:24
out, and it was like, oh, well, this is Ken Dorsey's
53:27
fallt like this is a Ken Dorsey versus Brian Dable stat and it is to
53:30
a degree, but some of the onus has to be put onto Josh Allen
53:34
and his decision making. Again though, there's a lot of chicken and egg
53:36
scenario terms of which came first and how they all all connect and tie together,
53:39
which is always one of my themes on this show. Very rarely is
53:43
one player or one side of the ball, or one coach or one moment
53:47
the reason why a game was Warner lost. There are is a multitude of
53:52
variables that happened throughout an entire game that decide the fate of any NFL game,
53:55
So always to keep that in mind. Like I mentioned earlier, though
54:00
I forget when, but I do think Dalton Kinkaid will help in this regard.
54:02
You have somebody who has the size and the frame to be a ball
54:07
winner and go up and take the ball away. You have his skill set
54:12
of him literally going up and snatching the ball out of the air, again,
54:15
like we've talked about, he's talked about his basketball background and how it
54:20
taught him to go up and grab rebounds and take it and snatch it and
54:22
tuck it away. Like he's really good at going up, getting the ball,
54:25
bringing it down, protecting it, shielding his body from defenders. He
54:29
learned that in basketball. I think his size and his frame as a ball
54:31
winner, and his hands and his large catch radius is a potentially easy button
54:37
in the red zone. Add in his ability to separate, his ability to
54:39
win technically, his ability to leverage space, his ability to recoverage, his
54:43
ability to process pre to post snap changes. I think Dalton Kinkaid will help.
54:51
I do think Ken Dorsey again though, like I mentioned, does need
54:53
to give Josh Allen some more easy buttons. Whether it's especially if the offensive
54:58
line can hold up, whether it's leaning into some more RPOs or leaning into
55:02
more of the run game and creating more of a threat in that regard.
55:06
So, all of a sudden, the play action game is more viable down
55:08
there. All of a sudden, the bootleg game or the sprint out game
55:14
is more viable down there. Now you get to work or incorporate Josh Allen's
55:16
legs and mobility into some pieces. In addition to potentially faking out defenses and
55:22
making them have to play the run because it's a threat. I also think
55:25
the Bills have an opportunity to be a better run team this year. And
55:29
if you can run the ball in the red zone, that's the best easy
55:31
button forget about scheming guys open and pass protection and route concepts and reading coverage
55:39
and beating this guy. Run the ball right right out of the defense,
55:45
right down their friggin throat. That's the best friend for a quarterback in the
55:47
red zone. I do think the Bills after the opportunity to be a better
55:52
run team in the red zone there, and I do think the new running
55:55
back editions will potentially help that. We'll see what we can from Damien Harris
56:00
and or Latavius Murray. But either way, one of those guys I think
56:05
is going to be dressing regularly, and both are guys who run down hill
56:08
and run behind their pads. The Bills running backs in twenty twenty two or
56:14
thirtieth in yards after contact per attempt in the red zone at one point three,
56:20
that's really minuscule. One point three yards after contact per attempt in the
56:23
red zone again thirtieth out of thirty two teams. I think the presence of
56:30
Murray or Hill or Hill Murray or Damien Harris, whoever is the number two
56:36
or potentially three, depending on what you get when the heim Hines and Cook
56:38
as well. I think having an actual hammer in that backfield, someone who
56:44
gets north and south in a hurry, who knows how to run behind their
56:46
pads, who knows how to find the goal line. The Tavius Murray is
56:50
a good goal line back and a good red zone dude, as is Damien
56:52
Harris. I think that threat of the hammer in the backfield helps as well.
57:00
Not knocking James Cook at all, but you've got two guys who could
57:05
move the pile, who can get the tough yards, who can scrap and
57:07
claw and be that physical yard eater in the low red zone or in the
57:14
red zone in general. I think that's another potential easy button as well.
57:17
And I think I think that's a very exciting piece what they could potentially began.
57:23
I don't think they're gonna be the starter, but we'll see. Oh
57:28
RJ Very harsh Man. RJ says if Ken Dorsey is the OC for a
57:31
Super Bowl team. Also, pigs are flying. I just think it's impossible.
57:36
He had one year and his offense was second in DVOA in his first
57:42
year as an OC, and even when it was bad, they dropped the
57:45
like seventh in DVOA. That doesn't mean he can't get better. That doesn't
57:49
mean he hasn't had, you know, some struggles. But man, that
57:54
is that is that. It's very very very very very harsh, very harsh,
58:00
but understandable. I do get it. As Roy says, there's plenty
58:02
of blame to go around. Yeah, it's a tough piece in the red
58:07
zone especially, and again the red zone just by its nature is a harder
58:13
place to score. Like I mentioned, the field is condensed. Everything is
58:16
smaller. You can't beat guys over the top necessarily because you have the back
58:21
line there. You can't necessarily go east and west because you got the sideline
58:23
there like you doing the rest of the field. Everything gets tighter, everything
58:27
gets more condensed, and then if teams are just playing zone coverage and they're
58:30
just flooding that space with bodies, then it's like okay, like how do
58:36
how do you get there? Right? What do you do? And I
58:39
think having a run game piece will happen, what will help a lot.
58:45
So there's there's some things that they can do. Oh and Walter said,
58:49
Alan's offense is second. Man. You guys are just ruthless on Ken Dorsey.
58:52
And I think that's a piece for me as well, because I've been
58:55
critical at Dorsey since like again October. But I think we're at a point
59:00
where if Josh Allen succeeds, it's Josh Allen succeeding. If Josh Allen fails,
59:07
it's on Ken Dorsey, and it's not on Josh Allen. And I
59:09
think that's incorrect, especially with some of the things later in the year.
59:13
I talked about it in the last week's episode. You've got a thing like
59:16
you know, the Bills are up seventeen to nothing against Miami in the playoffs.
59:21
They're at midfield, it's first and ten and Allen takes a deep shot
59:23
and throws an interception, and everybody's raking Dorsey over the coals, going what
59:28
a horrible call. I can't believe Dorsey called a deep shot. E didn't
59:30
call the deep shot. There was a deep option. Alan just didn't take
59:36
the check down. That's his decision, like he chose to go and take
59:39
that spot. And now I'm not excusing Dorsey in other areas, but it
59:43
just seems like everybody's just piling on for this one piece. And I don't
59:50
necessarily think that is the case. Walter says, we can't blame Allan for
59:54
all the mistakes, then use his performance to mention we had the second offense
1:00:00
in my opinion, but I'm not blaming Allen for all the mistakes. I
1:00:01
think everything works together, like there is no one single person, even if
1:00:07
you take the Chiefs for an example, right, Like Andy Reid's a great
1:00:09
offensive mind. Patrick Holmes is an alien and the best quarterback in football.
1:00:14
They both work together. Like Andy Reid is very good at scheming things open,
1:00:19
but he's able to do certain things because of how Patrick Mahomes is able
1:00:22
to operate. And then in the same token, Patrick Mahomes is able to
1:00:25
operate in different spells and pieces because he has Andy Reid. Like who knows
1:00:31
what Patrick Mahomes would be without Andy Reid. We know what Andy Reid is
1:00:35
without Patrick Mahomes, and that's sometimes really good and also sometimes inefficient and not
1:00:40
great. Like we also forget that Andy Reid was run out of Philly because
1:00:45
he couldn't get over the hump, and Andy Reid was, you know,
1:00:50
kind of getting raked over the coals a bit for the failures with Kansas City
1:00:52
with Alex Smith. But you know it's again, it just seems like we're
1:00:58
at a point where when Alan succeeds, it's just because of Josh Allen,
1:01:01
and when Alan fails, it's Ken Dorsey's fault. And I just think you
1:01:06
can't that doesn't exist. It's not that black and white like when the offense
1:01:09
succeeds, it's dual, multitude of pieces. It's not just Ken Dorsey.
1:01:14
It's not just Josh Allen. It's if a pass play works, it's not
1:01:16
just Josh Allen. It's not just Ken Dorsey. It's the pass protection.
1:01:21
It's the receiver getting open and seeing the right piece. Like it's all of
1:01:24
those things again combining into one piece, into one gumbo that makes it work.
1:01:31
Oh, this is a fay r J says Dabele, makes Allen take
1:01:34
that check down. I do feel like the OC role is more than just
1:01:37
play calling. Dorsey isn't a good fit for Alan because, unlike Dabel,
1:01:40
he can't rain them in. But I also feel like we're forgetting about the
1:01:45
parts when Brian Dable's offense only put up six points against the horrible Jacksonville Jaguars
1:01:50
defense and people wanted to run Brian Dable out of town, Or when the
1:01:53
Bills lost to the Steelers because Brian Dable wouldn't adjust and run the football in
1:01:59
the second half against Pittsburgh Steelers and the Bills just were stuck in the mud,
1:02:01
or even the kind of sluggishness the Bills had under Brian Dable. It
1:02:06
just it seems like things aren't aren't aren't being treated equally, and there's a
1:02:12
bit of a riginous history going on. Again, I do think Ken Dorsey
1:02:15
needs to get better. I don't want to make it seem like I don't.
1:02:16
I think he's all world. But I think we've gotten to the point
1:02:20
where again, either the Miami one, that interception in the Miami game,
1:02:24
the first one, I think it's the first one for Alan really sums it
1:02:30
up for me. Like Alan takes a deep shot when he has a check
1:02:32
down underneath and you're up seventeen nothing, there's no reason to press the ball
1:02:37
and push it downfield when you're when you're at midfield and you're up seventeen nothing,
1:02:42
there's no reason to take that deep shot. All you have to do
1:02:45
is see now it's not there. Let me throw it away at all.
1:02:46
Let me look to the checkdown and everybody coming in and look look at these
1:02:50
deep shots that Ken Dorsey's calling. That wasn't on Ken Dorsey, Alan chose
1:02:54
that route in the play. And also it's it's tough to tell a quarterback
1:03:00
before the play. Hey, this is exactly what's going to happen in the
1:03:04
coverage, take this check down. What if it doesn't happen like that and
1:03:07
you've set him up for failure because the play doesn't develop that way, or
1:03:09
what happens if the deep shot is available and you want him to take that
1:03:13
deep shot, but he doesn't because you told him to take the check down
1:03:16
and you made him predetermine his decision before the play even happened. You need
1:03:22
him to be able to read it out, and Josh Allen needs Ken Dorsey
1:03:25
to provide him some of those easy buttons and they all come together. So
1:03:32
we'll see what happens in that regard. Very interesting conversation, though, to
1:03:36
have another piece in this conversation. This one's more of a general one.
1:03:42
It's less analysis, more of a just a general question, I think a
1:03:44
bit of a fun question. Who or what is going to be the secondary
1:03:49
pitch for this Buffalo Bill's offense. So if we're looking at it from the
1:03:52
primary piece, we know what the Bill's fastball is, we know it's that
1:03:57
passing game. We know it's the Josh Allen piece. Oh, actually I
1:04:01
want to go from this from Joe. Joe says, I also feel like
1:04:05
Josh Allen had a lack of trust for whoever his slot target was. Not
1:04:09
having the safety valve and bees really affected Josh's decision making. That's absolutely true.
1:04:15
Mentioned it last week. I think the Bills had four the top fifty
1:04:19
players in drops with Gabe Davis, Devin Singletary, Isaiah McKenzie, and Dawson
1:04:26
Knox. In terms of drop percentage, they had four in the top eighteen.
1:04:29
I think Davis was one, Singletary was five, McKenzie was six,
1:04:32
and Dawson Knox was eighteen in terms of drop percentage. And a lot of
1:04:35
those guys work on the interior from the slot standpoint, or if you're Knox,
1:04:41
you're in line, you're working over the middle. We saw I think
1:04:44
that lack of trust. I mean we saw it even from week one,
1:04:45
like when the Bills smoked the Rams, Isa McKenzie drops that ball that pops
1:04:49
into the air interception. I think that that piece influenced things as well.
1:04:56
And then also from a schematic standpoint, Colby, you know when he was
1:05:00
here in twenty twenty one and twenty twenty was I mean twenty twenty was an
1:05:03
All Pro receiver. Twenty twenty one when he was healthy, he still had
1:05:05
a ton of juice. He was a guy. He was a walking separator
1:05:11
in the slot. Cole Beasley verse zone versus man. You needed him to
1:05:15
get open on a crucial down bang he got open. And when you're pairing
1:05:18
that with Stefon Diggs, that's a really dangerous piece anywhere, but especially in
1:05:21
the red zone. I think that's a great comment from Joe like and again
1:05:26
that's another piece that's not getting taken into account right like, oh, scheme
1:05:29
these guys open, or schematics and play design, what happens if the guys
1:05:33
are dropping the ball or the guys aren't getting open. Also another piece with
1:05:38
the Ken Dorsey piece as well. And I've seen people talk about this.
1:05:42
There'd be two guys in the same spot and everybody'd be like, oh,
1:05:45
well, another example of Dorsey's offense falling apart. Some of those aren't on
1:05:49
Ken Dorsey. Some of those are the receivers making the wrong read and then
1:05:54
going into the same spot. Now, if you want to say Dorsey needs
1:05:57
to simplify things and not have such a read based offense, that's fine.
1:06:00
But it was working in a similar fashion with other players. Now it's not.
1:06:04
We have to kind of he gotta take a look at both sides.
1:06:08
I like this comment there from Joe. This I think is a good comment
1:06:12
from Jessica. Jessica says, Aunt, my worry is Dorsey and Josh are
1:06:15
two p's in the pod. You made an already QB centric offense even more
1:06:19
QB centric. Two qbs to two QB's answer to offenses issues more QB.
1:06:27
I think that's a fair point, and I also think the fair point of
1:06:30
and I mentioned it last week Josh Allen. My bigger worry. I think
1:06:32
Dorsey can get there schematically and from an x as an no standpoint, I
1:06:36
do think it's fair to question it, but A big worry for me is,
1:06:40
you know, Josh Allen, like I've said, he goes for the
1:06:43
throw. He wants to get as much blood from every stone as he can.
1:06:46
My worry is I think Ken Dorsey is like that as well. And
1:06:49
so when Josh makes a mistake and is like, I got to come back
1:06:54
and get it all back in one play, I'm worried that Ken Dorsey might
1:06:57
be like, yeah, I agree, let's try and get it all back
1:06:59
in one play, and it's like, oh, Like that kind of worries
1:07:02
me. If you've got the OC and the quarterback both out for blood in
1:07:08
the same way, then I think that's when those things start to snowball and
1:07:12
things start to build up. I want to see if Dorsey can rain himself
1:07:15
in and Josh Allen in a bit more in this next piece, so we'll
1:07:20
see. See. I don't want to keep picking. I gotta get off
1:07:25
this topic. But as Arte says at Joe, I think not using Knox
1:07:29
is that safety valum until late in the season didn't help Dawson. Knox also
1:07:32
had a horrible drop rate for tight ends, though also there were times again
1:07:38
to go to the Josh Allen piece where Dawson Knox is open underneath or on
1:07:43
drag routes, and Josh Allen's not going to him, He's going to other
1:07:47
guys. Or Dawson Knox is open, but guess what, he's running a
1:07:51
drag and he's going from right to left. But guess what, Roger Staffold
1:07:56
got beat on the left side, so Allen gets flushed and rushed to the
1:07:59
right. There's all these things again that add up. And I'm not saying
1:08:01
it to give ken Dorsey a pass, but all these examples that keep being
1:08:04
laid at the feet of Ken Dorsey can't just be completely laid at the feet
1:08:09
of Ken Dorsey. There's a multitude of variables and factors that all connect.
1:08:13
It's a huge, huge, huge piece. But again I understand the frustration
1:08:15
and the cause for that concern and again the questions for him, because I
1:08:19
do think Ken Dorsey has to get better. I just think so many things
1:08:23
are getting laid at his feet for blame, and I don't think it's as
1:08:27
easy as that. I think he's kind of the low hanging fruit for up.
1:08:30
Something went wrong. It's Ken Dorsey. Up. Taxes went up Ken
1:08:33
Dorsey, Like oh, it's raining Ken Dorsey like it. I just I
1:08:38
don't buy that, but I do think he needs to get better schematically,
1:08:41
especially in the red zone, as he progressed about the year and giving Josh
1:08:44
Allen more easy buttons. That also ties in to this next piece though,
1:08:49
with who or what is that secondary pitch the Bill's primary motive attack, it's
1:08:54
going to be the pass and then if we you know, tried to niche
1:08:58
it down even more so, that passing attack is their fastball, and we
1:09:00
know the fastball within the fastball is Josh Allen to Stefon Diggs if we want
1:09:04
to get granular. But as we've discussed on the show last year this offseason,
1:09:10
having a fastball isn't enough. Even if your fastball is really, really
1:09:15
really good, even if your fastball is an amazing pitch, it's not enough.
1:09:17
You need a secondary pitch and ideally a third and a fourth pitch as
1:09:21
well. So I'm interested to see you know who or what that secondary pitch
1:09:27
is. And I think that's a question facing this offense, like it could
1:09:30
be a multitude of things. It could be a player, it could be
1:09:33
formational, it could be personnel based. Is maybe the fastball is tied to
1:09:39
their twelve personnel package, and so maybe the secondary pitch is twenty one personnel,
1:09:44
or maybe the secondary pitch is the play action you built off of those
1:09:48
looks and those heavy personnel looks. Maybe the secondary pitch is an individual player.
1:09:54
Maybe it's Gay Davis, Maybe it's Dawson Knox, maybe it's Dalton Kincaid.
1:09:58
Maybe it's someone or something to the pass, or maybe it's the other
1:10:03
pivot in the offense. Maybe it's the run game. And then if you're
1:10:06
looking at the run game, is it the Josh Allen run game? Is
1:10:09
it the non Josh Allen run game? Is it James Cook? Is it?
1:10:13
You know power offense and you know duo and downhill runs and inside zone
1:10:17
and all these pieces like who were what is that secondary pitch? Who?
1:10:21
This is funny for mar Jay broken doors caused the rain man? I like
1:10:25
where you had his head? Who? Or what is that secondary pitch for
1:10:30
the offense? What is the pivot? What is the the nice kind of
1:10:35
release valve for the offense? That isn't just all right, Allen's dropping back
1:10:41
to pass and he's going to make a play with his arm or he's gonna
1:10:45
make a play with his legs, like who or what is that secondary pitch?
1:10:47
And again, it could be an individual player the secondary pitch or the
1:10:51
secondary option. It could be Gabe Davis, could be Dawson Knox, It
1:10:56
could be doln Kinkaid. It could be formational, it could be all so.
1:11:00
I mean, it could be tempo. It could be no huddle,
1:11:02
it could be mixing that up. It could be full spread offense. This
1:11:08
is a fantastic comment. Joe says, I just got killed in Zelda.
1:11:10
I blame Ken Dorsey. Also that ties into blaming Ken Dorsey for the rain.
1:11:15
If we're going with the new Zelda game and we're you know, Tears
1:11:17
of the Kingdom Tears rain Water. I like how we just connected all that.
1:11:20
I appreciate everybody in the chat. Well done. I'm excited to play
1:11:24
Tears of the Kingdom. I can't get sidetracked with that right now, but
1:11:27
I like where your head's at, Joe. Very well done. Yes it's
1:11:30
still a thing, Sarah and say Zelda is still a thing. Dorsey's fault.
1:11:33
Absolutely you you die, you die in Zelda, link falls off a
1:11:39
cliff, dies and Dorsey's fault. Very fair. So who who or what
1:11:43
is that secondary pitch I think is a question for this offense. And again,
1:11:47
it could be personnel based, It could be formational, it could be
1:11:50
alignment based. It could be an individual player, it could be a personnel
1:11:54
package. It could be the run game in a variety of ways, I
1:11:59
think, Or it could be again, maybe the fastball is more underneath and
1:12:04
short intermediate passes, more quick game. Maybe the secondary pitch is deep shots
1:12:09
and pushing the ball vertically, or maybe the primary mode of attack and the
1:12:12
fastball is more vertical shots. Maybe that the secondary pitch is quick game.
1:12:15
Maybe the screen game finally develops, which Josh Allen has never been good at
1:12:19
his entire career, which we talked about on last week's episode. So maybe
1:12:24
it's that piece. I think it'll be interesting to see because you need that
1:12:28
secondary pitch, you need that third pitch, but at the very least you
1:12:30
need to have the one too. If you've got a really good fastball,
1:12:33
you need a curveball. You need something off speed fastball, change up fastball,
1:12:38
curve fastball, slide or something. You need that ability to change locations
1:12:43
or change speeds or even with your fastball, you can't just pound it low
1:12:46
and away. You have to work in a variety of ways. You got
1:12:48
to go high and inside. You might have to go low and inside.
1:12:51
You might have to go low, middle, maybe a little chin music.
1:12:54
There's a variety of ways that throw those pitches. The Tree, I appreciate
1:12:59
you being here. I appreciate the super chat. The Tree says, second
1:13:01
year Ken Dorsey and a healthy Josh and an improved offensive line slash weapons.
1:13:08
I believe going from number two to one in DV away offensively is something I'm
1:13:12
expecting. Am I crazy Weld? I want to go to this comment because
1:13:15
Walter says, damn you and I jumped out this pod to try to forget
1:13:18
about Zola for a few hours, and here you are bringing it up.
1:13:20
Don't blame me, that's Joe, but I will. I will take some
1:13:24
blame. But see, but just like the offensive struggles, it's not just
1:13:29
me, it's not just Joe. It's a little Ken Dorsey, it's a
1:13:31
little Josh Allen, it's a little offensive line, it's a little weapons.
1:13:34
It's all of it. But that's funny. I do apologetic back to the
1:13:39
Tree. I don't think it's it's crazy to think that the Bills could be
1:13:44
the number one offensive football This offense was cooking last year. I think you're
1:13:47
just banking on the idea of Okay, Ken Dorsey learned from his mistakes in
1:13:53
year one and is going to improve in the areas he needs to improve in.
1:13:57
What's also what you can also have, right, is because you can
1:14:00
win with two ways. You can win in two ways. You can win
1:14:02
with scheme or you can win with talent. Right. And maybe maybe Ken
1:14:10
Dorsey doesn't improve at all in terms of play call and design. Maybe he
1:14:14
doesn't improve at all, but maybe the offensive line improves so much that Josh
1:14:18
Allen just has all this time and guys and guys eventually separate, or maybe
1:14:24
the addition of Dalton Kincaid and Deante Hardy, maybe they're just these separators and
1:14:30
these guys who win and fit with what Josh Allen needs. And so maybe
1:14:33
the play calls and design don't get better, but the players got better and
1:14:38
there's more consistency out of the slot, and the weapons are better. And
1:14:42
maybe Gabe Davis, because he doesn't have a bum ankle for the first half
1:14:44
of the year, maybe his performance is better and all of a sudden you're
1:14:46
winning with talent, or maybe the offensive line is still mad and the weapons
1:14:51
are still mad. But Ken Dorsey improved so much as a play caller and
1:14:55
designer that he's better schematically this year and better from an x is Ano's perspective.
1:15:00
So I don't think it's crazy to think that. Again, you usually
1:15:05
are for the entire offseason how you finished the year, and the Bill's offense
1:15:10
finished the year in a horrible fashion with the way they fizzled out against Cincinnati
1:15:14
offensively and defensively, and when you add it up with some of the struggles
1:15:17
from the end of the year, I think the thought is, man,
1:15:21
this Bill's offense was so bad last year, and that's not the case.
1:15:24
Similar too, I talked about I think on last week's episode. The year
1:15:28
before the Bills just had two crazy track meet performances against the Patriots in the
1:15:32
wildcard round and then the Chiefs in the thirteen Seconds game. But their offense
1:15:36
was super sluggish going into those games, and then all of a sudden they
1:15:40
hit fire or hit their stride and caught fire, and people forget about the
1:15:45
struggles because the year ended. But they were amazing. So they were an
1:15:47
amazing offense. I think it was the flip side, the opposite side of
1:15:50
the coin in twenty twenty two. So no, I don't think you're crazy
1:15:54
for expecting that. I do think it's gonna be tough to dethrone Patrick Mahomes
1:15:58
and Andy Reid as the number one offense in anything, whether it's dB away,
1:16:03
whether it's explosive plays, whether it's scoring. I think it's gonna be
1:16:08
tough to dethrow in them, or maybe even the Eagles, just with their
1:16:11
the talent they have and the system that they have and Hurts plus the offensive
1:16:15
line, plus their running backs, plus their receivers, plus Dallas Godder like,
1:16:19
Oh, that's a tough piece. But no, I don't think it's
1:16:23
crazy to expect that. It's just you're you're banking on either one or both
1:16:29
in terms of the scheme or talent getting better, and I think I think
1:16:31
they will get better in both. I think the talent is better from a
1:16:34
dynamic standpoint, from a skill set standpoint, and I think Ken Dorsey will
1:16:38
be better. So I do have faith, and then I do again Ken
1:16:41
Dorsey. I've been critical of them all year last year, starting again,
1:16:45
I think in early October but he did have some positive things, and he
1:16:49
was a first year rosie, so you know, see what he does in
1:16:51
year two with some improved weapons and an improve offensive line, and we'll see
1:16:55
what we get. Oh Ak cash as the secondary pitch could be bootleg play
1:17:00
action, because I think Allen is going to be chilling in the pocket most
1:17:03
of the time with our new guard, with our new guards, I would
1:17:06
like that very much. I would like that very very very much. This
1:17:12
is a good comment from Sarah. Sarah says, I think Dorsey will come
1:17:14
out with a chip on his shoulder. I'm not worried about the start,
1:17:15
just hope he's got more answers. When the d catches on into justus.
1:17:19
That's a concern for me as well. Even if he tied to last year
1:17:24
week one in week two, I'm just using those as low hanging fruit.
1:17:27
The game plan was great against the Rams. The game plan was great against
1:17:30
the Titans. Ken Dorsey gave Josh Allen all the answers. Like credit to
1:17:35
Josh Allen for pulling the trigger, but Dorsey was given him easy buttons and
1:17:39
all the answers to the test left and right. In Week one and Week
1:17:41
two, Defense started to catch on a little bit, and I think Dorsey
1:17:45
had less answers as the season progressed. Now he's got an entire offseason to
1:17:48
look back and see what answers he should have created, what questions defenses were
1:17:54
asking of him, and how he kind of got put into specific situations.
1:17:58
Yeah, and so we'll see that adjustment piece. I'm hoping he learned from
1:18:01
the back half of last year, and then we'll use that to kind of
1:18:08
propel them forward. It's going to be it's going to be an interesting piece.
1:18:12
Oh oh yeah, And I see the comments going on in the chat
1:18:19
there as well. Yeah, Josh Allen is he's not good at screens.
1:18:24
We talked about it a bit last week. I think when you have a
1:18:27
running quarterback, defensive lines aren't really just selling out to rush the passer to
1:18:30
the point where they rush forward and then you just drop it in behind him
1:18:33
and it's a screen piece. I think there's so that's working against the offense
1:18:38
because all eyes are on Josh Allen and you're not getting guys selling out to
1:18:41
come attack him and make a b line for him in the pocket at the
1:18:43
end of his drop. Also, just his rhythm and his timing with it.
1:18:47
I don't think he has that touch or the timing or the eye discipline
1:18:51
to mislead defenders when it's going to be a screen, Like if it's a
1:18:56
screen to the running back, like he snaps it, you can tell like,
1:18:58
oh, it's going to be a screen. He's better at some wide
1:19:00
receiver screens like smoke screens and things like that, but your running back screens
1:19:03
out of the backfield. Yeah, it's it didn't work under Dable, It
1:19:08
didn't work in Dorsey's rookie or An Allen's rookie year. It didn't work last
1:19:12
year with Dorsey, Like who it's just yeah, some of it is I
1:19:15
think a lot of it is on just some of it is on the way
1:19:17
again defenses play out in the Bill's offense, But I think a good chunk
1:19:21
of it is on Alan, Like he just he's just screens. Screens take
1:19:26
practice and talent and timing, Like I don't think that screens are like the
1:19:30
easiest thing the offensive line timing. The deception that you create with the formation
1:19:34
and like your alignment starts from a play calling perspective, but then the execution
1:19:38
piece within the play, how you sell it as an offensive lineman, how
1:19:42
the running back sells it, how the quarterback sells it, and then the
1:19:45
quarterback needs the timing and touch. There's a lot of moving parts that go
1:19:47
into it, and yeah, Allen just it just has not worked. In
1:19:49
Allen's tenure, I've given up hope on screen on the screen game, especially
1:19:54
from a running backscreen perspective, like, I just can't do it. I
1:19:58
just can't do it anymore. So the secondary pitch is an interesting one and
1:20:02
one of those pieces that I would like to see be a secondary pitch ties
1:20:05
into one of my other big questions, which is the effectiveness of the run
1:20:10
game and the style of the run game. So overall last year, the
1:20:15
Bills finished eleventh and rushing DV away in twenty twenty two, which is good.
1:20:19
They almost had a top ten rushing attack to go with a number two
1:20:24
passing attack and a number two offensive dv away overall, but they got better
1:20:29
as the year went on. So weeks one through ten the Bills were sixteenth
1:20:33
in rushing dbuway, so not bad. And this also includes Josh Allen runs,
1:20:38
So take that kind of with a grain of salt and put that in
1:20:40
your mind as well. So weeks one through ten, the bills rushing attack
1:20:43
was sixteenth in dv AWAY. Weeks eleven through eighteen, they were six in
1:20:48
rushing dv away. If you want to break it up to the first half
1:20:51
of the season from eight games to the back half eight games, you look
1:20:57
at weeks one through nine, they were fifteenth in rushing dv away. They
1:21:01
were also seventh in EPA per attempt in these weeks from a rushing standpoint,
1:21:06
but if you're just counting running backs, they were twenty seventh in EPA per
1:21:13
attempt in the first half of the season weeks one through nine. The back
1:21:15
half of the season weeks ten through eighteen, the Bills were eleventh in EPA
1:21:23
per attempt in those weeks, but they were eighth in EPA per attempt for
1:21:28
just running backs. So weeks one through nine twenty seventh in EPA per attempt
1:21:33
out of thirty two NFL teams. Weeks one through nine, they were twenty
1:21:36
seventh in EPA per attempt for running backs. Weeks ten through eighteen, they
1:21:42
jumped up to eighth in EPA per attempt for running backs and Devin Singletary had
1:21:45
a good year down the stretch. But James Cook became more of a focal
1:21:49
point in the run game down the stretch for the Buffalo Bills weeks ten through
1:21:53
eighteen, and that's a piece I want to talk about here. So James
1:21:56
Cook amongst the fifty seven players to this includes non running backs. Amongst the
1:22:02
fifty seven players that had at least forty carries weeks ten through eighteen, James
1:22:08
Cook was ninth in EPA per attempt in weeks ten through eighteen. Also a
1:22:13
fun fact, Josh Allen was twelfth in EPA per attempt in weeks ten through
1:22:17
eighteen, and Devin Singletary was twenty fifth. So pretty good. But if
1:22:21
you're looking at just running backs, okay, so knock it down, eliminate
1:22:26
your non running back. So I think it was six quarterbacks. So you
1:22:30
got fifty one running backs who had at least forty carries weeks ten through eighteen.
1:22:35
Of those fifty one running backs who had at least forty carries weeks tenth
1:22:40
through eighteen, James Cook was sixth in EPA total. He was third in
1:22:46
yards per attempt, He was ninth in first down percentage. I'm sorry,
1:22:50
he was sixth in EPA per attempt so six in DPA per attempt, third
1:22:54
in yards per attempt, ninth and first down percentage. Devin Singletary was also
1:22:59
good down the stretch. He was twentieth and EPA per attempt, twelfth in
1:23:01
yards per attempt, third and first down percentage. The Bill's non Josh Allen
1:23:05
run game started to gain more traction as the season went on as a whole,
1:23:10
and James Cook in particular, and we talked talked about this bit last
1:23:14
week touchdown a bit last week. James Cook looks to be the RB one.
1:23:17
So who is the RB two and how much of a timeshare is there
1:23:20
between Cook and whoever the RB two is. Do we see an RB three
1:23:25
guy utilize it all? Is it Cook and Harrison Murray? Is it Cook
1:23:30
and either Harris or Murray? And Hines? Is Hines? The number two?
1:23:33
Is it a one two combo? Is it a one two three?
1:23:35
What does the snaps get? How did the snaps get divvied up? We
1:23:39
talked about this last week, but I continue to talk about this, and
1:23:44
this ties into a bit into the secondary pitch piece that we had in our
1:23:46
previous segment. I think you need a run game in today's NFL. I've
1:23:50
been saying that you need a run game for the past two seasons. I
1:23:54
think it's more evident now more than ever, with how the offenses are starting
1:23:59
to swing the pen gelim back in their favor. Even though NFL offenses are
1:24:02
fueled by the pass and driven by the pass, and it's a passing league,
1:24:08
teams need to be able to run the ball. It keeps defenses honest
1:24:11
in general, but more importantly in today's NFL, where defenses started to employ
1:24:16
those two high coverage structures and shells. If you can run the ball successfully,
1:24:21
you can pull teams from those two high coverage shells and structures and also
1:24:27
take advantage of light boxes and nickel defenses, especially when you mix it with
1:24:31
certain personnel packages like I don't know twelve personnel like the Bills might do with
1:24:38
Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox in twenty twenty three. Who knows. The running
1:24:42
game is also a nice breather opportunity for Josh Allen. Literally just let him
1:24:45
staff the ball and hand it off more of a relaxing rep. You're not
1:24:48
taxing him mentally, you're not taxing him physically. You are lighting the load
1:24:54
on him from a physicality and a mentality standpoint, even if it's just for
1:24:58
one rep or two reps, but it's it's such a nice pivot. It's
1:25:02
such a nice secondary option if you can run the football. It also helps
1:25:06
when there's bad weather. It also helps when you have a good passing attack
1:25:12
like the Bills do, and teams are built to stop your passing attack.
1:25:15
Teams are going to be concerned about Stefan Das. Teams are going to be
1:25:18
concerned about Dalton Kincaid and Gabe Davis and Josh Allen and what he can do
1:25:24
with his arm. So if you've got that pivot in the run game,
1:25:28
that's very exciting. James Cook had a very strong end of the year down
1:25:31
the stretch, especially in those mid zone runs. But he's almost fifty fifty
1:25:35
in terms of gap versus zone runs, so he's got some scheme versatility to
1:25:40
him. I think the scheme will largely be determined by whoever starts at right
1:25:44
guard. I do think if Torrence wins, like I said last week,
1:25:46
I think you start to see more downhill runs mixed in, more duo,
1:25:49
more inside zone, more of those at you type of runs, and I
1:25:54
think the goal line runs and red zone runs become easier if you have o
1:25:58
Cyrus Torrance a right guard and you're run in Damian Harris or Latavius Murray behind
1:26:01
him. Just pound the rock, move the pile, grind out those tough
1:26:05
yards, fall forward, and just punish teams physically run right at them.
1:26:13
I think how effective the run game is could really go a long way towards
1:26:17
helping this offense. The run game in and of itself is kind of a
1:26:21
schematic easy button because things just start to develop more again. Especially, teams
1:26:28
aren't gonna want to play you with two high coverage structures if you are gouging
1:26:31
them in the run. Teams aren't gonna want to give you a light box
1:26:35
if you are gouging them in the run. And think too, you know,
1:26:39
because I know Bills fans are always going to think of the Chiefs.
1:26:43
Think about when Mahomes got hurt against Jacksonville and Chad Henney went in. What
1:26:47
did the Chiefs do? They ran the ball down the jack's throat. What
1:26:51
happened in the Super Bowl when Mahomes dinged up his ankle again and they came
1:26:56
out in the second half the Chiefs ran the ball down. The Eagles throat.
1:27:00
The Bengals developed a running game as the season went on last year,
1:27:03
the Buccaneers a couple of years ago when they won the Super Bowl had a
1:27:06
very strong running game. In the San Francisco forty nine ers have a very
1:27:10
strong running game. I forget the numbers off the top of my head,
1:27:12
but I know that the best offenses are led by the pass and are strong
1:27:16
from the passing dv away standpoint. But a lot of the best offenses usually
1:27:20
have a rushing dv away in the top twelve or the top ten. So
1:27:25
you need that piece, especially for a team like the Buffalo Bills, where
1:27:29
you don't want everything on Josh Allen shoulders mentally and physically. Give him some
1:27:32
easy buttons. It's so nice to just snap the ball and hand it off,
1:27:38
you know, and we could get to the readoption piece, we could
1:27:40
get to the RPO piece. So many things start to open up. QB
1:27:45
power or those QB bash those you know, those back away runs. There's
1:27:49
so much you can do with misdirection and moving your offensive line and changing gaps,
1:27:54
and then you have the twelve personnel piece. You can get into some
1:28:00
nub formations. Put some wide receivers out to the field side. Put the
1:28:05
nub formation into the boundary. You can get to a ton of different runs
1:28:10
off of that, you can get to a ton of different passes. Is
1:28:12
the defense going to leave? They're two high safeties out there, cool?
1:28:15
Run it down their throat. Are they gonna bring a safety down in the
1:28:17
box or they are cool? Beat them over the top, beat them with
1:28:20
the pass. You're gonna at least Devon Diggs one on one on the outside.
1:28:25
Like, there's all these formational advantages and tempo advantages and rhythmic advantages if
1:28:30
you can run the ball. And I think how effective the run game is
1:28:35
and the style of the run game, what kind of run game we see.
1:28:39
I think it's a big question facing the Bills offense. I think Ken
1:28:44
Dorsey and Josh Allen and this Bill's offense and any offense in general, but
1:28:49
especially one that is so dynamic in the past and so dangerous with the pass.
1:28:55
If you have the threat of a running game and an effective one,
1:28:58
and an efficient one and one that works, what do you do? It
1:29:01
was such an unfair piece for the Chiefs last year when Isaiah Pacheco, and
1:29:05
that run game got going on because it was like, great, how do
1:29:09
you stop the Chiefs? Now they've got Mahomes and Kelsey and Juju's working out
1:29:13
fine, sky Moore is okay, Valdes Scantling's okay. But now they're running
1:29:16
the ball down people's throats, Like, what are we supposed to do?
1:29:18
Now? We have to honor the run and we have to try to put
1:29:21
numbers into coverage to stop at Mahomes. Similar piece with the Eagles, different
1:29:27
type of running game because the quarterback you have in Jalen Hurts, But what
1:29:30
do you do? Do you put numbers in coverage to stop Devanta Smith and
1:29:34
A J. Brown and Dallas Goddard or do you put numbers in the box
1:29:40
because they're just gonna run some QB pin and pull, or they're gonna run
1:29:43
a readoption, or they're gonna run the RPO piece, or they're gonna run
1:29:45
a QB draw. Oh you only got six men in the box or five?
1:29:48
Cool, we're gonna run it right at you with our quarterback. Or
1:29:51
give it to Miles Sanders or this year they'll give it to a Rashad Penny
1:29:55
or DeAndre Swift when you've got those those offenses that can play rock paper scissors
1:30:01
and throw rock paper and scissors, it's a beautiful thing. I'm going to
1:30:05
continue to emphasize that point every single offseason until I see it come to fruition
1:30:12
it. It'll be very exciting. One then, as ak Cash says,
1:30:15
imagine the shifts and the motions with kincaid that leverages strength against the d.
1:30:18
Yeah, then you can start playing games with the defense. Different shifts right,
1:30:24
different motion, whether it's you know, kind of orbit motion, maybe
1:30:28
going with jet motion, or just a formational shift. You come out any
1:30:30
lineup into two by two and then all of a sudden, you know,
1:30:32
shift into a nub formation, or you shift into a numb with some trips,
1:30:36
or you're in a two by two and then you shift out and it's
1:30:41
full spread and Cook is in the slaughter. Cook is out wide. Like
1:30:44
you can do all these pieces, or again, go from a more exploded
1:30:48
view from a spread look and then condense and shift into a run look and
1:30:53
run it down a defense's throat. Like defense is going to see, oh,
1:30:56
there looks like they're about to be in spread. Let's get our nickel
1:30:58
package out there now, come to the line, check, shift into a
1:31:01
single back formation, run down their throat, runner right at them, whether
1:31:04
it's with Josh Allen or with James Cook, who, like I mentioned,
1:31:09
had a really strong end to the year last year. R J says here,
1:31:15
I think a better offensive line also makes the overall offense more consistent.
1:31:18
Agreed, Casey had one of the best offensive lines in the league last year.
1:31:23
Absolutely, I think that's a huge piece that gets left out in the
1:31:29
Andy Reid Mahomes. Why can't can Dorsey be like that with Josh Allen discussion
1:31:34
the Chief's offensive line on Whiley and Brown had their concerns, but on the
1:31:41
interior, Joe Tuoney all pro, fantastic, Creed Humphrey all pro, Trey
1:31:47
Smith. I don't think it was an all pro, but it's really,
1:31:49
really, really good. You don't have any of that interior pressure. If
1:31:53
your guys on the outside are a bit vulnerable, you can chip them,
1:31:56
you can do some different things formationally or an alignment perspective, or you know,
1:32:00
Mahomes can make those outside guys, those outside edge rushers miss if they're
1:32:02
trying to get around the arc because he has that space on the interior that's
1:32:05
a huge piece. I think what the Chief's offensive line was and what it
1:32:10
does in the grand scheme of things, and hopefully the Bills might be able
1:32:14
to recreate some of that with Connor McGovern and Mitch Morris and Ryan Bates or
1:32:19
Osiris Torrents. I would like Osyrius Tornans to win the job, mainly because
1:32:25
I want Ryan Bates as the super sub because I think you're gonna need it.
1:32:29
No offensive line stays healthy for an entire season. It's just impossible to
1:32:33
do so. So I would like to have Ryan Bates be that guy that,
1:32:36
oh plugging it left guard, Oh, plug in it center, Oh
1:32:40
plugging it right guard, which could still work even if Bates wins the job.
1:32:44
If bateses are starting right guard and McGovern goes down or is banged up,
1:32:48
or Morse is banged up or goes down, slide Bates over plug Torrents
1:32:53
in. That'll be an interesting piece as well. Oh it's going to be
1:33:00
oh, as Andrews says, yeah, Hardy in orbit. You can do
1:33:01
a lot of things with Deanta Hardy. There's the Bills have a more dynamic
1:33:06
skill position group this year than they did last year. McKenzie was not the
1:33:13
prince that people thought he would be, was not the prince that was promised.
1:33:15
I tried to tell people, I'm not trying to dunk on anything or
1:33:17
be like look at me, but I said, it's gonna be a lot
1:33:20
harder to replace Colebsley and replicate Colebesley's production and role than people thought. It
1:33:27
wasn't. It was like, no, McKenzie can do that easy. Jamison
1:33:29
Crowder can do that easy. Crowder got banged up because he's had an injury.
1:33:32
He's ad an injury history, which was a big concern of mine for
1:33:35
James and Crowder going into the year last year, and even when he was
1:33:39
healthy, it was kind of yeah, but we didn't really get a full
1:33:44
sample size, so we'll see McKenzie didn't do the job. The tight end
1:33:46
twos were not what Dalton Kincaid was. Gabe Davis was banged up, like,
1:33:50
there was just no consistency in the skill position grew aside from Stefan Diggs.
1:33:57
So we'll see. We'll see what they can be this year. But
1:34:00
Hardy's a fun piece. They do have fun pieces. I like the addition
1:34:01
to Hardy. I like the addition to SuField, I liked Lunkin Kade.
1:34:04
I'm excited to see what Kalusha Cure can be in year two. I'm excited
1:34:08
to see what James Cook can be. They have a better they have a
1:34:12
better skill group. From a dynamic perspective, you have different skill sets,
1:34:15
different sizes, different frames, different athletic profiles. I think how you put
1:34:20
everything together, you have a better group this year than you did last year,
1:34:26
which is good in and of itself in a vacuum. But I think
1:34:29
it's also good for Ken Dorsey from a schematic perspective, being able to allow
1:34:31
him to turn different dials up and down and play in different games so or
1:34:38
play different games with things and press different buttons. Oh, this is awesome.
1:34:41
Thank you, Sarah, Sarah being here. I appreciate you and for
1:34:45
the super chat. Sarah says a great show. Thanks, and then she
1:34:47
says everyone gets the thumbs up. Sarah, you were crushing it in the
1:34:49
chat. You're always very active in the chat, and I appreciate the hell
1:34:55
audio. I recognize your name every week and your cool bills icon that I
1:34:59
like that. It's kind of like Tai Daie a little bit. And then
1:35:00
it's the dark blue on the light blue. Well done, Sarah. I
1:35:04
appreciate you shouting out everyone in the chat and being here and the super Chat.
1:35:10
Thank you very much for that, and I agree with you, Sarah.
1:35:12
Sarah says, anyone else hoping that Quinn and Williams sits out absolutely or
1:35:15
I hope he demands a trade to the Buffalo Bills. That would be absolutely
1:35:17
fantastic. Oh Aiden says, do you think things would have turned out different
1:35:21
last season if we had retained Beasley? I felt like when we finally used
1:35:25
him as chemistry was off. When he came back, he was a street
1:35:30
free agent, he was kind of out of the game, and then he
1:35:32
came back to the Bills, and despite that, he was still the best
1:35:36
slot option on this Bills team last year down the stretch. If he had
1:35:42
been retained, I do think things would have been different because I think he
1:35:45
would have been in football shape the entire season, and he would have been
1:35:47
more impactful down the stretch, and I think he would have had more consistency
1:35:51
throughout the year. So yes, I do think things would have been different.
1:35:55
Josh Allen trust him, Not that Josh doesn't trust Gabe Davis because he
1:36:00
does. He said it explicitly and you've seen it in moments or that he
1:36:01
doesn't trust Diggs or Knox or those guys. But it was different with Cole
1:36:05
Beasley in it, especially at the vital spot like the slot. How important
1:36:09
the slot is to this offense, and how good Cole Beasley was in it,
1:36:14
and more importantly, how good he was with his rapport with Josh Allen.
1:36:17
Yeah, I just think when he came at the end of the year,
1:36:21
Yeah, the chemistry wasn't there because the chemistry wasn't there because he hadn't
1:36:26
been practicing all year. Also, the offense was probably a little different than
1:36:30
what he had with Dabele. And then on top of all that, I
1:36:32
just think it took him a little bit to get into game shape because even
1:36:34
if you're working your ass off and grinding hard, it's different than playing actual
1:36:40
NFL football and practice it on a regular basis and being in real football shape.
1:36:44
Even if you're in tremendous like regular shape and you're really fit, it's
1:36:47
a different beast and a different animal. So that's a piece ak Cash has
1:36:53
aunt has hardy ever lined up in the backfield, and his career to take
1:36:56
it like to take handoffs. I think so. I know he's taking the
1:37:01
ball on like jet motion and he's gotten the ball in like screens and little
1:37:06
swing passes from orbit. I feel like I've seen him line up in the
1:37:10
back and take like a handoff from Taysom Hill or being in a read option
1:37:15
piece. I think so. And if he hasn't, I think he has
1:37:16
the skill set too. But I'm pretty sure he has. That's a good
1:37:21
question. Aiden says, was it a contract issue with him? I forget
1:37:27
why we didn't keep him. I think he didn't want to. I believe
1:37:30
he didn't want to take a pay cut, and so Brandon being said cool,
1:37:34
feel free to test the free agent waters and see what you get.
1:37:38
And then he signed with Tampa. Things didn't work out there. He left
1:37:40
Tampa and was kind of just chilling and then wanted to come back. They
1:37:43
wanted him back. But I think that's what happened. But I could be
1:37:47
wrong, but yeah, I think he didn't want to take a pay cut.
1:37:49
So I think being in them were like, cool, go test the
1:37:53
waters which which the Bills are known for. That the Bills are known for,
1:37:57
this is our price we're not going above this. If you think you
1:38:00
can do better, cool go. And that's for retaining their own guys and
1:38:04
for bringing in free agent. They're very much like, hey, this is
1:38:08
what it is. If you can beat it somewhere else, cool, do
1:38:10
your thing. God bless and I think that's what happened with Beasley. I
1:38:15
would have liked him to stay, but alas he left. That's the way
1:38:19
it is. Speaking of the way it is, we're gonna wind down in
1:38:23
this episode, I'm throwing up the banner, which says tootles, folks.
1:38:26
I want to thank everybody for riding with me live on this episode. Before
1:38:29
before before anybody, Oh, let's stop here, let me go have this
1:38:33
comment or Thomas says, oh, let me go back. Thomas says aunt
1:38:36
on a scale of one to ten, my optimism, my optimism for the
1:38:40
season, like for the Buffalo Bills or for something in particular. I'll let
1:38:45
you type your answer into the chat as I continue to do. Oh,
1:38:47
I gotta stop because morning Mine, Morning Mine, you're here pretty much every
1:38:51
week. I appreciate you for being here consistently ever being here tonight and for
1:38:56
the super chat. Thank you very much, morning Mine, says, thanks
1:38:58
for the show. Do you think we can win the Super Bowl this year?
1:39:01
Absolutely? What. I picked the Bills to win the Super Bowl.
1:39:06
I would never pick one individual team to win the Super Bowl. I would
1:39:10
just always take the field, like if the odds. If the option is
1:39:13
for me to pick one team to win or one of the other thirty one
1:39:15
teams, I'm just always going to pick one of the other thirty one teams.
1:39:17
But yes, the Bills are absolutely a Super Bowl contender. The Bills,
1:39:19
the Chiefs, the Bengals, the Eagles, the forty nine Ers.
1:39:25
I like the Ravens. I think if the Ravens can stay healthy, they're
1:39:28
a problem. But more on the lower end at this point, the Chargers
1:39:31
can be in that conversation. I think the Browns might surprise some people.
1:39:36
I think the Cowboys potentially could surprise some people. But if I had to
1:39:41
go with like the real top tier contenders, the Bills are most definitely in
1:39:44
that conversation. You've got the Chiefs, got the Bengals, You've got the
1:39:46
Bills, the Niners, and the Eagles. So kind of similar to what
1:39:49
we saw last year, But the Bills are most definitely in that role.
1:39:53
The decks the Bills are most definitely in that mix. Yeah, as Sarah
1:39:56
says, you have the Lions, We'll see what they can be. I
1:39:58
don't know how high their ceiling is with Jared Goff. We'll see how much
1:40:01
not having Jamison Williams for the first six games impacts them and how much they
1:40:05
truly upgraded their defense. But absolutely, the Bills can most definitely win the
1:40:10
Super Bowl this year. The Bill is gonna win the Super Bowl. Last
1:40:11
year, things just didn't click for them. I do think I want to
1:40:15
see how this season progresses because I don't think they've matched up great with certain
1:40:21
teams come playoff time, like the Bengals last year. I didn't think.
1:40:26
I didn't think the Bills would beat the Bengals last year in the playoffs,
1:40:29
and they did not. But I think they do have a better matchup this
1:40:30
year. We'll see what Sean McDermott brings to the defense. I do think
1:40:34
there are several questions, And as Thomas says in the Yeah yeah, I
1:40:38
mean the Jets are gonna be a problem. The Miami's gonna be a problem.
1:40:40
I think the Jets are gonna be way better than everybody's thinking. I
1:40:43
know everybody wants to dunk on Aaron Rodgers because he's kind of a jerk and
1:40:45
is out doing Ayahuascar or whatever, psychedelics and hanging out in holes and caves
1:40:49
and all that stuff. But this is a team that missed the playoffs by
1:40:54
like one game last year with horrible quarterback play. Even if Aaron Rodgers is
1:40:58
just halfway decent and Serve visible and the defense can stay around at the top
1:41:01
ten, they're an easy playoff team. I think they're gonna be a problem
1:41:06
as well. But yeah, to answer your question, as I answered other
1:41:09
questions as well, Yeah, the Bills can absolutely win the Super Bowl this
1:41:12
year. Absolutely absolutely. Oh and theos Thomas's question on scale one to ten.
1:41:16
My optimism for the season, It's tough because I'm always paranoid and I
1:41:27
try to remain objective. I'm gonna say about like a seven, which is
1:41:32
for me, is really good. I'm gonna say like seven seven and a
1:41:34
half. Like I think the Chiefs are probably at an eight and a half
1:41:38
or a nine. I think the Bengals are probably between a seven and a
1:41:43
eight and probably seven and eight. I'm concerned about their safeties being gone I'm
1:41:47
gonna put the Bills, you know, cautiously, at about a seven and
1:41:49
a half or an eight, but I think they could be at a nine.
1:41:51
I think they're gonna be again. I think they're in that conversation for
1:41:55
one of the best teams in the league. I think they're in the conversation
1:41:58
for you know, being in that top tier, super Bowl caliber team.
1:42:04
You got them, you got the Chiefs, you got the Bengals, you
1:42:06
got the Niners, you got the Eagles. If the Chargers can stay healthy,
1:42:10
who knows that the Ravens can stay healthy. Who knows? The AFCs
1:42:13
is a dog fight. But I am optimistic for this season. We'll see.
1:42:18
There's just a lot of pieces to connect. We'll see what happens with
1:42:20
it. That's a good question. So now got some good questions, and
1:42:26
I got a super chat and that took me away from the two those folks,
1:42:28
So now we're back to it. If you have not already, please
1:42:30
please please and think you drop a likeke on this video again. It goes
1:42:31
a long way to or tell them, myself and the entire team to track
1:42:34
and trend in front of more eyes and ears. Please please, please,
1:42:38
and thank you. If you are still here with me live, drop alike
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on this video before you go. If you're not watching live and you are
1:42:44
watching later post live, please drop a light now if you'd be so kind.
1:42:47
If you have not already. If you're listening on one of the podcasting
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apps or platforms, that's cool too, That's very much appreciated. Please rate
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and review and subscribe to this guy's coverage. Give a rating and review on
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please subscribe to disguise coverage here and drop a leg on this video. Go
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get yourself some one pipe pizza. It is the best pizza in Buffalo,
1:43:19
New York. You can find the online menu in the episode show notes.
1:43:21
Whether you're here on YouTube or anyone on the podcasting apps or platforms. So
1:43:25
go get yourself some one pipe pizza. Drop a leke on this video,
1:43:28
subscribe here on YouTube, subscribe to the podcasting apps or platforms. Oh Walter,
1:43:34
I appreciate your comment. I'm gonna I normally don't like to bring up
1:43:38
positive comments for myself, I think it's corny, but Walter put a lot
1:43:41
of creativity in this one, so I like it. Walter says, great
1:43:43
show. The Ant and Tree duo is like a real life rocketing group from
1:43:46
guardings the galaxy one the brains of the operation, and the other being comic
1:43:51
relief. You're a great group at well done, Well done, well do
1:43:58
Walter. I appreciate that. College. I thank you very much. That
1:44:00
was very good. Oh and then a question here from Steve before we leave.
1:44:03
Steve says, what is the biggest improvement the bills have made so far
1:44:08
in your opinion? Oooh boy, Guard, I think mcgoverned is a significant
1:44:16
upgrade from Saffold. I think at worst Torrance and Edwards give you really good
1:44:21
depth. But Torrance can be a starter for you. I'm gonna say Guard
1:44:27
tight end could be a secondary one, just because I think Kincaide is a
1:44:31
bigger upgrade than any of the tight ends they had last year. No disrespect
1:44:35
to Quinn Morris and Tommy Sweeney, but just because of all the moves they
1:44:40
made on the interior, I think the interior offensive line has been heavily fortified,
1:44:44
and I think that's the biggest improvement because they've ring enforced it from a
1:44:46
starter perspective, but also from a depth perspective. I wish they would have
1:44:51
also done that to the tackle position because I am a bit concerned. Not
1:44:57
great, but fair enough. I hope you and your family and friends and
1:45:00
loved ones are all doing well and staying safe. Be kind to one another,
1:45:03
take care of one another. Thank you to everyone who joined with me
1:45:08
or join me live here on this episode. It's always awesome. Again when
1:45:11
I say it every week when I'm solo on these shows, I appreciate having
1:45:14
all the engagement in the chat, the back and forth with each other,
1:45:16
and the back and forth of myself. It makes me feel like I'm not
1:45:18
alone. So thank you very much for everybody who rode with me live.
1:45:20
Thank you very much everybody who dropped a super chat Sarah morning, my in
1:45:27
the tree Jessica. I think that was everyone. If I'm forgetting him one
1:45:32
forgetting anyone, I apologize. If you had a question that I did not
1:45:35
answer, or something else that you want me to answer, please go ahead
1:45:39
and drop that comment into YouTube. Once this episode is loading up. It
1:45:44
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1:45:45
couple here put your comment on the episode page right there, or if you
1:45:49
have Twitter, find me at Pro two underscores a NT, that's Pro two
1:45:55
underscores. Aunt, get mad at me, get at me on Twitter,
1:45:58
dm me, tweet at me whatever you I'll answer your stuff on Twitter.
1:46:01
Thank you very much everybody. Thanks for all the conversation in the back and
1:46:03
forth. Appreciate you RJ for the kind words. Appreciate all the other kind
1:46:08
words from everyone as well. I'll see you next week live Tuesday, nine
1:46:12
pm Eastern for another episode of Disguised Coverage. And until then, I hope
1:46:17
you all do well. Godspeed and go Bills.