Latest / Financial Survival Network / Exclusive Forecasts to 2032 - Martin Armstrong #6419
Transcript
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- 0:27Speaker 2: Welcome. This is Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Cary Lutz.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Martin Armstrong is with us today, and we're going to
- 0:35Speaker 2: get some predictions and a lot of other upcoming info
- 0:39Speaker 2: that you're probably not aware of. Martin, good to see you.
- 0:44Speaker 3: Well, thank you for inviting me, Cary.
- 0:46Speaker 2: What's coming up for 2027 and what's coming up after that,
- 0:52Speaker 2: we're going to be doing an update on for the
- 0:55Speaker 2: World Economic Conference that will occur in November. This book
- 1:00Speaker 2: will be updated to the 2027 edition, so keep your
- 1:05Speaker 2: eyes open for it. So, Martin, what's coming up here?
- 1:09Speaker 2: What do we expect for the coming year, and what
- 1:12Speaker 2: do we expect up to 2032? Well, our....
- 1:19Speaker 3: At least for the last year, our computer's been projecting
- 1:23Speaker 3: August of 26. And what's really been happening here is
- 1:29Speaker 3: that it's very interesting how events tend to materialize around
- 1:36Speaker 3: these targets that the computer puts out a year in advance.
- 1:42Speaker 3: And I think what it comes down to is that
- 1:45Speaker 3: these are pressure points, right? And that forces essentially the governments, whatever,
- 1:54Speaker 3: is in focus to respond. So here we have really,
- 2:02Speaker 3: you've got three very critical elections. September, October, and November.
- 2:08Speaker 2: All right.
- 2:10Speaker 3: September is going to be the election in Russia. And Well,
- 2:17Speaker 3: everybody's paying attention to Iran and the Strait of Hormuz.
- 2:23Speaker 3: They're not paying attention to what Zelensky is doing in Russia.
- 2:30Speaker 3: He has come out publicly and even said that he's
- 2:36Speaker 3: attacking everything inside Russia he can to try and influence
- 2:41Speaker 3: the September elections. And you've got to be an idiot.
- 2:45Speaker 3: Or he's doing this deliberately because attacking refineries in Moscow, etc.
- 2:56Speaker 3: You know, these elections, he's going to swing in the
- 3:00Speaker 3: direction of their hardliners. All right. And Putin's been primarily
- 3:07Speaker 3: the only reasonable guy in the ballpark here. And He
- 3:14Speaker 3: even said before that nuclear weapons were off the table.
- 3:18Speaker 3: Whereas you get Medev and these other people behind it
- 3:22Speaker 3: keep talking about pushing the button. So something did happen here.
- 3:30Speaker 3: Zelensky basically, deliberately, it appears, creating this shift towards more
- 3:41Speaker 3: of a hardline attitude in Russia. You're seeing that they
- 3:47Speaker 3: did get the Kremlin to change the definition of what
- 3:52Speaker 3: they're doing. So it's no longer a special operation to
- 3:58Speaker 3: protect the Donbass from Ukraine. Now it actually says we
- 4:04Speaker 3: are essentially in war with Ukraine. So... It looks as
- 4:13Speaker 3: though the September elections, all I can say is that
- 4:20Speaker 3: I think that Zelensky is doing this deliberately because all
- 4:26Speaker 3: you see now is all the, in Europe and even
- 4:32Speaker 3: now the intelligence agency in the U.S., they've shifted their forecast.
- 4:41Speaker 3: first they were saying we would be at war with Russia,
- 4:47Speaker 3: that Russia would go into Europe by 2029. All of
- 4:52Speaker 3: a sudden now they're saying in weeks. So all I
- 5:02Speaker 3: can say is it looks like this is deliberate because
- 5:06Speaker 3: economically you're looking at, I don't really, you know, the
- 5:14Speaker 3: computer does not really give a long-term forecast that looks
- 5:19Speaker 3: very positive for Europe. Whether the EU will even survive
- 5:24Speaker 3: past 2029 is debatable.
- 5:28Speaker 2: So that's prediction number two.
- 5:30Speaker 3: Because you're getting all this tension between them. You have,
- 5:37Speaker 3: you know, Italy saying, you know, Maloney coming out and
- 5:41Speaker 3: saying that they shouldn't be giving all this money to Ukraine.
- 5:49Speaker 3: The economic collapse of Europe is quite astonishing. The economic
- 6:00Speaker 3: growth of Italy is down to 0.5%. Germany is down
- 6:02Speaker 3: to 0.8%. I mean, we never even got to those
- 6:12Speaker 3: levels in a Great Depression. And you're looking at this
- 6:18Speaker 3: as a real serious problem in that a lot of
- 6:24Speaker 3: people don't understand that as you go into war, interest
- 6:30Speaker 3: rates rise. So then they saw the Treasury effectively stepping
- 6:42Speaker 3: up to try and bail out Japan. And, of course,
- 6:49Speaker 3: the dollar haters say, oh, this is the U.S. trying
- 6:52Speaker 3: to protect the 30-year bond because the U.S. is going,
- 6:56Speaker 3: you know, is in terrible trouble. The U.S. is the,
- 7:01Speaker 3: you know, look at our growth rate compared to everybody else.
- 7:04Speaker 3: All right. And the U.S. will be the last one standing.
- 7:10Speaker 3: The real problem here is, yes, fine, you know, Besson's
- 7:16Speaker 3: trying to prevent the interest rates from rising. He won't
- 7:20Speaker 3: be successful. But, you know, I've been a trader for decades.
- 7:30Speaker 3: And what happens is, is that Japan is in the
- 7:33Speaker 3: worst position of all of them. They get the highest
- 7:37Speaker 3: debt-to-GDP ratio. And most of the holdings of treasuries in
- 7:47Speaker 3: Japan are by corporates, not the government. And they use
- 7:51Speaker 3: it as a hedge against their own government. All right.
- 7:57Speaker 3: So what's happening here is that if Japan got into
- 8:04Speaker 3: a crisis mode of default, Fine, they would have to
- 8:09Speaker 3: sell some treasuries, granted, but that's not the issue. Once
- 8:15Speaker 3: one country defaults, gets in that position, it'd be like
- 8:21Speaker 3: Greece in 2010. The traders immediately say, who's next?
- 8:28Speaker 2: Cascading defaults.
- 8:30Speaker 3: Just read Herbert Hoover's memoirs for 1931. the same thing happened.
- 8:39Speaker 3: When one country defaults, it spreads like a contagion. And
- 8:44Speaker 3: he said in his memoirs, he says, Capitol acted like
- 8:49Speaker 3: a loose cannon on the deck of a ship in
- 8:51Speaker 3: the middle of like a hurricane. He said it was
- 8:54Speaker 3: shooting off in every which direction so fast they couldn't
- 8:58Speaker 3: form a committee quick enough to figure out where it
- 9:01Speaker 3: was going next. That's what we're facing. Okay, this has
- 9:06Speaker 3: been You know, everybody's all U.S. debt, but we have
- 9:12Speaker 3: the largest economy, okay? We are still capable of servicing it.
- 9:18Speaker 3: That's not the case in Europe. I mean, as you know,
- 9:23Speaker 3: I was called in to when they were forming Muro. And,
- 9:30Speaker 3: you know, I just get called in when it comes
- 9:33Speaker 3: to currency. I've been doing this since the 70s. It
- 9:36Speaker 3: was the first one really forecasting anything to do with currency.
- 9:41Speaker 3: And I told them that they wanted to create a
- 9:46Speaker 3: currency to compete with the dollar, which actually was the
- 9:51Speaker 3: proposal of the United States at the Plaza Accord in 1985.
- 9:56Speaker 3: It was the U.S. that was saying, telling them to
- 10:01Speaker 3: create the euro to compete with the dollar because that's
- 10:05Speaker 3: when the dollar went up so high it was affecting trade.
- 10:11Speaker 3: That's when the British pound went down to virtually par
- 10:15Speaker 3: in the summer of, you know, in 1985. So, In
- 10:21Speaker 3: creating the Euro, the big problem was Hermann Kohl. And
- 10:30Speaker 3: before he died, he admitted that if he allowed the
- 10:35Speaker 3: German people to vote on joining the Euro, he would
- 10:40Speaker 3: have lost seven to three. So the Germans were never
- 10:44Speaker 3: allowed to vote so much for democracy. He took Germany
- 10:49Speaker 3: in the EU. into the Euro unilaterally. So he assumed
- 10:56Speaker 3: that the German people would be against a consolidation of
- 11:03Speaker 3: the debt. They would see it as a bailout for
- 11:08Speaker 3: Greece and Italy, etc. So he said no consolidation. And
- 11:14Speaker 3: I was told that At that time. And I said, look,
- 11:17Speaker 3: this is not going to work. This is ultimately will fail.
- 11:23Speaker 3: And so they told me back then, we just have
- 11:30Speaker 3: to get the euro through. We'll worry about the debt later. OK,
- 11:36Speaker 3: here we are. Same thing. All right.
- 11:38Speaker 2: Now it's later. Now it's later.
- 11:41Speaker 3: And they won't do anything until it crashes. I mean,
- 11:44Speaker 3: because everybody that I dealt with, you know, 20 years ago,
- 11:48Speaker 3: they're all gone and retired by now. So you got
- 11:52Speaker 3: to constantly re-educate people in government. That's what I find frustrating.
- 12:02Speaker 3: Because you can say, I mean, I've been dealing with
- 12:05Speaker 3: them for such a long time. They always go in,
- 12:09Speaker 3: they try to manipulate the currency. Defect trade. That's what
- 12:13Speaker 3: the Plaza Accord was. We moved, you know, I warned you,
- 12:16Speaker 3: you've moved the dollar down 40%, which is what they
- 12:19Speaker 3: were saying. Yes, you can sell more widgets, but you're
- 12:23Speaker 3: devaluing everything else in the country by 40%. So they're
- 12:27Speaker 3: going to sell the stock market, the bonds, that became
- 12:29Speaker 3: the 87 crash. These people never know what the hell
- 12:33Speaker 3: they're doing.
- 12:34Speaker 2: Okay. So is another crash coming here in the next year?
- 12:41Speaker 3: Well, you're going to get a correction initially with the
- 12:46Speaker 3: stock market, but that's largely on the interest rate side.
- 12:52Speaker 3: You've had people talking about a crash. And they've been
- 12:59Speaker 3: saying that for, what, a year and a half? Biggest
- 13:03Speaker 3: crash in history, whatever. They've been dead wrong. Why? Because
- 13:08Speaker 3: they're just looking at charts domestically. Oh, it went up
- 13:12Speaker 3: like 1929. In 1929, the U.S. had a balanced budget.
- 13:20Speaker 3: You sold the stock. You bought the dollar. The dollar
- 13:27Speaker 3: at that point in time was essentially gold. It was
- 13:32Speaker 3: Roosevelt in 1934, which, you know, pegged the dollar to
- 13:37Speaker 3: gold at 35. But in 33, he confiscated the gold.
- 13:42Speaker 3: So this is a completely different set of facts. OK,
- 13:46Speaker 3: you're not going to sell your stock and run and
- 13:49Speaker 3: buy government bonds and the dollar when everybody's saying that's
- 13:55Speaker 3: where the problem is. I mean, let's get your facts
- 14:00Speaker 3: straight here. As you know, we have offices in Dubai.
- 14:08Speaker 3: And I can tell you that Iran sent more missiles
- 14:12Speaker 3: and drones at Dubai than they did Israel. Why? Because
- 14:19Speaker 3: Dubai is essentially kind of replaced Switzerland. When the Swiss
- 14:27Speaker 3: were confiscating money, saying, you know, all this nonsense that, um, Oh,
- 14:34Speaker 3: you know, they have 300 billion of Russian assets. That's
- 14:38Speaker 3: not government. If you pick up the rug and look,
- 14:42Speaker 3: it's houses, yachts. It's like, Oh, you knew Putin. That's
- 14:45Speaker 3: good enough. We're stealing all your money. Um, so the
- 14:50Speaker 3: smart money has left Switzerland, you know, um, French get
- 14:57Speaker 3: in there, oh, you don't like Americans? We're just going
- 15:00Speaker 3: to confiscate all assets belonging to Americans. I mean, this
- 15:03Speaker 3: is basically what you're doing. So the money left and
- 15:08Speaker 3: went to Dubai and Singapore. So I can tell you
- 15:16Speaker 3: in Dubai, everybody is there. And they built an AI facility,
- 15:24Speaker 3: spent about $ 30 billion there. everybody's there, OpenAI, Amazon, you
- 15:30Speaker 3: name it, all right? So they attacked that. They didn't
- 15:34Speaker 3: destroy it, but they did take it offline for about
- 15:39Speaker 3: a week. We couldn't even send money to our staff
- 15:43Speaker 3: there because the banking system went down, all right? So
- 15:50Speaker 3: you have to understand Iran is playing 3D chess. And
- 15:57Speaker 3: the press doesn't get it. And I'm not even sure
- 16:01Speaker 3: the governments do. Iran is one of the higher educated countries.
- 16:10Speaker 3: They're Persian.
- 16:13Speaker 2: They're not Arab.
- 16:21Speaker 3: What's with the Strait of Hormuz? It's not shutting it down. Oh,
- 16:27Speaker 3: that's just going to put up or that's not going
- 16:29Speaker 3: to create a crisis in the United States as the 1970s. Okay.
- 16:36Speaker 3: We are now self-sufficient. It's driving. Yeah. Oil price is up, yes.
- 16:44Speaker 3: So you're paying more for gasoline, but we don't have shortages.
- 16:50Speaker 3: You don't have people lying. I mean, I remember the 70s.
- 16:53Speaker 3: Me too. You could only get gasoline every other day,
- 16:58Speaker 3: odd and even plate numbers, and you got two bucks.
- 17:02Speaker 3: I had to go out and buy a Ford Pinto
- 17:05Speaker 3: station wagon just to be able to get to work.
- 17:09Speaker 3: Something that would last for a couple days on two bucks.
- 17:12Speaker 3: That was about it.
- 17:13Speaker 2: The car's got 10 miles to a gallon back.
- 17:17Speaker 3: Yeah. So what this is really about is attacking Dubai
- 17:25Speaker 3: rather than Israel. You're affecting the financial markets. This is
- 17:34Speaker 3: their objective. You know, people think that the Middle East
- 17:38Speaker 3: is flush in cash. They've got all this oil. Sounds nice.
- 17:42Speaker 2: All right.
- 17:42Speaker 3: Not true. Oil went down during COVID to $ 6.
- 17:48Speaker 2: 50 a barrel.
- 17:50Speaker 3: The Gulf states couldn't survive. They barred extensively. They now
- 17:56Speaker 3: have national debts like everybody else. So, shutting down the
- 18:02Speaker 3: Straits of Hormuz. And they were attacking some of the refineries.
- 18:07Speaker 3: What does that mean? It means if they can't sell oil,
- 18:13Speaker 3: they default on their loans. All right. That leads right
- 18:19Speaker 3: to London, et cetera. All right. So that's why I
- 18:24Speaker 3: say they're playing 3D chess here. People are like, oh,
- 18:28Speaker 3: oil prices. Well, they've come down, so we're okay. That's
- 18:32Speaker 3: not the issue. All right? They understand what they're doing here.
- 18:38Speaker 3: And second of all, as I said, you get three elections.
- 18:46Speaker 3: Russia in September, Netanyahu in October, and U.S. in November.
- 18:54Speaker 3: If you remember your history, or those are too young
- 18:56Speaker 3: to remember back then, but in 1979, okay, They took
- 19:01Speaker 3: the hostages, American hostages at the embassy. What did they do?
- 19:07Speaker 3: They kept them there until the election. As soon as
- 19:14Speaker 3: Ronald Reagan won, they released them.
- 19:18Speaker 2: All right.
- 19:19Speaker 3: They know how to play the game. Anybody that thinks, oh,
- 19:24Speaker 3: you got a peace deal. Oh, it's off. It's back. Look, they're,
- 19:29Speaker 3: They know they're in the driver's seat playing with these elections.
- 19:35Speaker 3: They're just dragging it out. It's the same thing as 79.
- 19:39Speaker 2: Okay.
- 19:41Speaker 3: They know that they have a shot at affecting Netanyahu
- 19:48Speaker 3: in Israel. And you can see what's happening with Trump.
- 19:54Speaker 2: All right.
- 19:55Speaker 3: The polls have gone dramatically against him. The likelihood is
- 20:01Speaker 3: that the Democrats will take the House. Not the Senate,
- 20:07Speaker 3: but we'll end up with a divided government. Then what happens?
- 20:13Speaker 3: Trump's agenda is going to be blocked every which way
- 20:17Speaker 3: from Sunday. They're going to start a whole bunch of investigations.
- 20:21Speaker 3: You're looking at the next two years of just chaos, really.
- 20:27Speaker 3: They'll probably move for impeachment. Of course, the trial for
- 20:30Speaker 3: impeachment's in the Senate, so it's not going to go anywhere.
- 20:34Speaker 3: But and make headlines and all this. And meanwhile, while
- 20:39Speaker 3: you're doing all this, nobody's going to be paying attention.
- 20:42Speaker 3: The economy is going down on a global recessionary and
- 20:47Speaker 3: it's not going to bottom until about 28. Right.
- 20:50Speaker 2: All right.
- 20:51Speaker 3: So number four, you'd have to understand what the hell
- 20:56Speaker 3: is going on here. It's much more complicated.
- 21:01Speaker 2: What about the stock market to, For the coming year,
- 21:05Speaker 2: what are you seeing here?
- 21:06Speaker 3: You'll get a retest of support, but the stock market's
- 21:10Speaker 3: going up into 2032. Why has it been making new highs?
- 21:15Speaker 3: When everybody said, oh, the crash of this century is coming,
- 21:19Speaker 3: all this nonsense.
- 21:21Speaker 2: All right.
- 21:22Speaker 3: I can tell you, you know, look, we've got offices
- 21:25Speaker 3: everywhere from Beijing to Dubai. And we deal with probably
- 21:32Speaker 3: more institutions than anybody. And when you start creating this
- 21:38Speaker 3: sort of stuff and they understand the risks in Russia,
- 21:42Speaker 3: you know, with Russia and the EU and, you know,
- 21:47Speaker 3: and NATO, et cetera, the Middle East, I've warned before,
- 21:52Speaker 3: and they don't listen to me, but I've warned them
- 21:54Speaker 3: that they're going to face four fronts. All right. You
- 21:59Speaker 3: got the Middle East, Zelensky is definitely trying to create
- 22:04Speaker 3: World War III in Europe. North Korea is now flexing
- 22:08Speaker 3: its muscles. So the South is saying they need to
- 22:11Speaker 3: take charge of their military, etc. And then when Trump
- 22:19Speaker 3: went to meet with Jing in Beijing, you had Macron
- 22:25Speaker 3: go in advance. He told Jing at that stage, that
- 22:32Speaker 3: europe will not participate in any war outside their own
- 22:36Speaker 3: territory so that cut off the middle east but he
- 22:41Speaker 3: also said they will not interfere with taiwan he basically
- 22:48Speaker 3: gave him the green green light to take it so
- 22:51Speaker 3: when trump got there that's what jing put on the
- 22:55Speaker 3: table where do you stand all right um They're not
- 23:00Speaker 3: going to come out and say publicly. But when Trump left,
- 23:04Speaker 3: what did he say? I recommend the chip companies move
- 23:09Speaker 3: to America.
- 23:11Speaker 2: All right.
- 23:11Speaker 3: So you're going to have Southeast Asia. You've got North
- 23:17Speaker 3: Korea is flexing its muscles against the South. Japan is
- 23:23Speaker 3: worried more about China now. And.
- 23:29Speaker 3: You got the Middle East and you got Europe. And
- 23:33Speaker 3: I've said numerous times, how can you defend on four fronts?
- 23:40Speaker 3: You can't.
- 23:42Speaker 2: All right.
- 23:44Speaker 3: So, look, I've been to China, seen the Great Wall
- 23:52Speaker 3: or whatever. And I remember in the hotel, I asked
- 23:58Speaker 3: the guy, the concierge, I said, is there a good
- 24:00Speaker 3: Japanese restaurant nearby? Man, it was like, I just called
- 24:05Speaker 3: his mother a name.
- 24:06Speaker 2: Um, yeah, I know.
- 24:11Speaker 3: He said, you'll be lucky if you can find anything
- 24:14Speaker 3: around here. We don't, yeah. You can see the resentment
- 24:18Speaker 3: was still there from world war two. Um, I was like, sorry,
- 24:24Speaker 3: didn't mean to ask about a Japanese restaurant in.
- 24:29Speaker 2: Beijing.
- 24:30Speaker 3: But I mean, this is what you get. Europe is
- 24:37Speaker 3: the same way. I don't know if it's the language
- 24:42Speaker 3: that keeps people divided. Because if you look at the
- 24:46Speaker 3: United States, I mean, I've said this when they were...
- 24:53Speaker 3: creating the URL. I said, you people don't understand what
- 24:56Speaker 3: made America great. I said, it was discrimination. They said, Oh,
- 25:00Speaker 3: how could you say that? I said, cause it was fair.
- 25:03Speaker 3: Whoever was last off the boat didn't get the job
- 25:07Speaker 3: until they spoke English.
- 25:08Speaker 2: All right.
- 25:10Speaker 3: Um, and so you ask an American, what are you today? Oh,
- 25:13Speaker 3: I'm half Irish, half German, whatever, which you don't see
- 25:16Speaker 3: over there. I mean, yeah, there's always some exception, but, um,
- 25:22Speaker 3: Everybody's intermarried here. To me, it was once the language
- 25:27Speaker 3: was the same, then you got the intermarriage. But, you know,
- 25:34Speaker 3: I can tell you, you still get these resentments. You
- 25:38Speaker 3: think a French girl is going to bring a German
- 25:40Speaker 3: guy home to her father and he's going to say,
- 25:43Speaker 3: you do know what they did to us. So it's...
- 25:50Speaker 3: I don't see... war as subsiding. It looks as though
- 25:56Speaker 3: we'll probably start to escalate from 27. And maybe even
- 26:02Speaker 3: extend in some different areas into 29 to 30. But again,
- 26:09Speaker 3: this is not the same thing as World War I
- 26:12Speaker 3: or II, where you're facing like, you know, just Hitler,
- 26:16Speaker 3: one enemy. This is more like brush fires. So you've
- 26:21Speaker 3: got China resolving an old grudge with Taiwan. You got
- 26:29Speaker 3: North Korea resolving a grudge with South. Israel and Iran.
- 26:33Speaker 3: These are not things that you can solve. It's not
- 26:35Speaker 3: like we're playing Monopoly. I'll give you a boardwalk for
- 26:50Speaker 3: a park place. You know, this is, these are grudges.
- 26:55Speaker 3: Some are cultural, some are religious, but it's, you know,
- 26:59Speaker 3: you take Israel and Iran, that's my God against your God.
- 27:04Speaker 3: How do you resolve that? I don't see that as,
- 27:11Speaker 3: you know, a peace is basically just a, a, you know,
- 27:20Speaker 3: basically just a pause. It's not like a permanent, it's
- 27:25Speaker 3: not a permanent thing.
- 27:27Speaker 2: It's between wars.
- 27:30Speaker 3: Yeah, it's, we've had people, staff in Kiev and in
- 27:37Speaker 3: Donetsk and Ukraine. The two would never even talk to
- 27:41Speaker 3: each other. The hatred is just, it's just there. We
- 27:48Speaker 3: had a conference in Athens. The one from Kiev refused
- 27:52Speaker 3: to fly back the quickest way simply because the plane
- 27:57Speaker 3: stopped in Moscow. And like, you don't have to talk
- 28:03Speaker 3: to anybody.
- 28:05Speaker 2: No.
- 28:06Speaker 3: I mean, so these are just, we don't understand that
- 28:15Speaker 3: so much here.
- 28:15Speaker 2: Just, Just the Hatfields and the McCoys, and nobody remembers
- 28:21Speaker 2: them anyway. So what about the dollar for the next
- 28:26Speaker 2: year and, you know, foreseeable future?
- 28:30Speaker 3: Look, the dollar is going to be the last one standing.
- 28:36Speaker 3: I know all these people, they hate the dollar. But look,
- 28:42Speaker 3: when you got tanks running down the streets, you don't
- 28:46Speaker 3: leave your money there. The U.S. was virtually bankrupt in 1896.
- 28:51Speaker 3: It was World War I that made the United States
- 28:57Speaker 3: the financial capital. That wiped out London. By the end
- 29:02Speaker 3: of World War II, the U.S. had 76% of the
- 29:05Speaker 3: entire world official gold reserves. When you've got wars going
- 29:13Speaker 3: on in Asia, Japan, We've got major institutions in Japan.
- 29:19Speaker 3: They're moving their money. This is why the stock market's
- 29:22Speaker 3: been making new highs. Why you got all these people
- 29:25Speaker 3: saying the crash of the century. They don't understand international capital.
- 29:31Speaker 3: Same thing from Dubai and Europe. They see wars coming.
- 29:35Speaker 3: You know, I was just talking... to, you know, to
- 29:42Speaker 3: people in Germany that I know. A year and a
- 29:46Speaker 3: half ago, they would say, yeah, okay, fine. I understand
- 29:49Speaker 3: what you're saying. Whether they really believe me was questionable.
- 29:54Speaker 2: All right.
- 29:55Speaker 3: Now it's like, shit, you're right. It's in the air.
- 30:01Speaker 3: They can't deny the feeling of war.
- 30:04Speaker 2: So is this a full-scale panic taking place now globally
- 30:09Speaker 2: or pre-panic?
- 30:11Speaker 3: It's still pre. I think when that first... My concern
- 30:17Speaker 3: is this, is that... And this is what I've warned
- 30:21Speaker 3: them in Europe. If we look objectively at... How governments respond.
- 30:35Speaker 3: Europe has a passion for capital controls. World War II,
- 30:40Speaker 3: they weren't even allowed to buy gold. Okay. This is
- 30:44Speaker 3: what happens. They're pushing for their CBDCs. Yeah. Why? That's
- 30:51Speaker 3: the easiest way to clamp down on capital controls. You
- 30:58Speaker 3: shut down paper money, which is on their agenda. And
- 31:06Speaker 3: as soon as that happens, if they're really smart, they're
- 31:11Speaker 3: going to do that, push the CBDC extremely fast before
- 31:19Speaker 3: the first bullet goes. But you've got these neocons and
- 31:25Speaker 3: intelligence agencies, even the U.S., the neocons there, Like I said,
- 31:30Speaker 3: all of a sudden they shifted their forecast from Russia
- 31:38Speaker 3: will take Europe by 29 to now just weeks. So
- 31:45Speaker 3: it seems as though what they're doing is they're... I
- 31:50Speaker 3: think that shift has come because of the September elections
- 31:54Speaker 3: in Russia. So.
- 32:00Speaker 3: Look, Zelensky is a puppet, but also a rogue puppet.
- 32:11Speaker 3: Trump lifts some of the sanctions on Russia so they
- 32:16Speaker 3: could export oil to help the world and lower prices.
- 32:21Speaker 3: What does Zelensky do? No way. And starts attacking all
- 32:24Speaker 3: the refineries. He's created a shortage of of refined products
- 32:32Speaker 3: in Russia. There's gas lines like we had in the 70s. Okay?
- 32:37Speaker 3: He knows what he's doing. You know, this is not,
- 32:42Speaker 3: you know, what do you think? I'm going to wipe out,
- 32:44Speaker 3: going to attack Moscow, and then you'll fall to your
- 32:47Speaker 3: knees and say, forgive us, okay, and raise the white flag?
- 32:51Speaker 3: I mean, you've had a.
- 32:55Speaker 3: One of their top military. It's in the press. It
- 32:59Speaker 3: came out and actually said Moscow will fall. You really
- 33:05Speaker 3: think that is possible? I mean, I've spoken to military
- 33:09Speaker 3: and you, if Washington was about to fall, they're pushing
- 33:13Speaker 3: the button. I hate to tell you they're going to
- 33:15Speaker 3: push that button.
- 33:16Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 33:18Speaker 3: Um, so what are we playing with here? Just a
- 33:21Speaker 3: bunch of complete idiots. Um, I don't know. I mean,
- 33:25Speaker 3: what I've heard in discussions, I don't even want to
- 33:29Speaker 3: talk to them anymore, honestly. But, you know, the excuse is, oh,
- 33:33Speaker 3: Russia would never push the button because they know it
- 33:38Speaker 3: would blow back on them.
- 33:41Speaker 2: Yeah, mutually assured destruction. Mad.
- 33:44Speaker 3: Look, if you're about to destroy Moscow, they're pushing the button.
- 33:48Speaker 3: What do you got left, anyhow? You know, it's... I
- 33:52Speaker 3: don't know. I don't know how these people can come
- 33:54Speaker 3: up with such crazy ideas. And the neocons are, it's
- 34:02Speaker 3: just a broken record. You know, they said about Saddam Hussein, oh,
- 34:06Speaker 3: remove him, we'll win. And you can look it up.
- 34:10Speaker 3: Dick Cheney said a matter of weeks, eight years.
- 34:13Speaker 1: Afghanistan.
- 34:15Speaker 3: Afghanistan. They didn't win, okay? Same thing with Iran. Oh,
- 34:20Speaker 3: we take out the Ayatollah, we win in a day.
- 34:23Speaker 3: Not happening. I've heard the same nonsense. Look, Vietnam, you
- 34:31Speaker 3: got Robert McNamara's apologies on YouTube.
- 34:35Speaker 2: I know it well.
- 34:37Speaker 3: And he said... You know, very sorry, 58,000 Americans died.
- 34:43Speaker 3: It was just a civil war. They thought Russia was involved.
- 34:46Speaker 3: They weren't. And so this is where we're at. I mean,
- 34:52Speaker 3: I don't see anything but war on the horizon. Economically,
- 34:59Speaker 3: these governments are, look, they've been borrowing without any intention
- 35:07Speaker 3: of paying anything back. aggressively since World War II. Now,
- 35:15Speaker 3: a three-year-old with a pocket calculator can figure that out.
- 35:20Speaker 2: All right.
- 35:22Speaker 3: Eventually what happens, you're constantly rolling the debt. So the
- 35:27Speaker 3: percentage of the national debt that just goes to interest
- 35:33Speaker 3: is rising. We had our interest expenditures exceed military for
- 35:38Speaker 3: the first time.
- 35:41Speaker 2: Interest on interest, right?
- 35:42Speaker 3: Yes, because you never pay anything off. So what happens
- 35:47Speaker 3: is that the interest consumes all expenditure. So suddenly you
- 35:54Speaker 3: can't sell the new debt to pay off the old
- 35:59Speaker 3: when confidence declines.
- 36:01Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 36:03Speaker 3: And this is really what I said. Besson at least
- 36:07Speaker 3: understands that. If Japan falls, it's going to be a
- 36:13Speaker 3: contagion and they're going to say who's next. And there
- 36:17Speaker 3: goes Europe. So it's, look, this is, I don't see
- 36:24Speaker 3: any major political shifts until probably 2032. But you're looking
- 36:33Speaker 3: at most likely Europe will break up. The EU will fail.
- 36:39Speaker 3: by 29, you're seeing the stress already between these countries.
- 36:46Speaker 3: And because they didn't consolidate the debt, it's just an agreement.
- 36:50Speaker 3: So they're not really tied to each other that way.
- 36:56Speaker 3: And to put it in plain terms, what I warned
- 37:01Speaker 3: them that it would fail is that a single currency
- 37:06Speaker 3: is not your answer. We have a single currency, but
- 37:14Speaker 3: every state pays a separate interest rate depending upon their
- 37:19Speaker 3: credit rating. So if California went bust, what would happen?
- 37:24Speaker 3: The traders are going to go, who's next? Oh, Illinois.
- 37:29Speaker 3: It's got nothing to do with the feds, but this
- 37:32Speaker 3: is Europe. There is no federal debt.
- 37:36Speaker 2: So it As far as states go here, do we
- 37:39Speaker 2: see any states going bust or do we just have
- 37:43Speaker 2: bailouts from the federal government?
- 37:46Speaker 3: No, you're looking at serious problems. New York, Mandami is
- 37:52Speaker 3: just completely out of his mind. But, I mean, California,
- 37:58Speaker 3: I think Newsom's at least realizing that taxing billionaires sounds great.
- 38:08Speaker 3: But what they don't get is that they're a billionaire
- 38:12Speaker 3: on paper. It's not cash in a bank. All right,
- 38:16Speaker 3: so you float a company like Amazon or whatever. You
- 38:19Speaker 3: keep a percentage so you have control. If you now say, oh,
- 38:25Speaker 3: we're just going to tax them 5%, they have to
- 38:28Speaker 3: sell stock to pay that tax. When you're cutting it
- 38:31Speaker 3: thin to begin with, that means they lose control of
- 38:34Speaker 3: their company. All right. This is why they've had, you know,
- 38:39Speaker 3: leaving California. California is the number one state everybody's fleeing from.
- 38:45Speaker 3: And they get ruthless. I mean, they were trying here
- 38:49Speaker 3: in Florida that if you fled California, you earned your
- 38:55Speaker 3: pension there. But now you move to Florida and there's
- 38:58Speaker 3: no income tax. They're like, well, you earned it while
- 39:01Speaker 3: you were here. So you got to pay taxes in California.
- 39:04Speaker 2: That's what they do in New York. Yeah.
- 39:08Speaker 3: Look, my accountant told me he had somebody else who
- 39:12Speaker 3: sold his business, went to retire, moved to Florida. But
- 39:18Speaker 3: his wife kept going back to New York to see
- 39:21Speaker 3: her friends. They tracked her telephone and said she spent
- 39:26Speaker 3: enough days in New York and then taxed him in Florida.
- 39:30Speaker 2: They've been doing that game for a long time.
- 39:32Speaker 3: Look, this is, they're desperate for money. And Oregon said
- 39:38Speaker 3: this is why so many people and institutions and, I mean,
- 39:42Speaker 3: Goldman Sachs is, you know, they're leaving New York. They're
- 39:47Speaker 3: setting up exchanges and taxes to basically gut New York City.
- 39:56Speaker 3: And look, you get these people like Mandame and it's like,
- 39:59Speaker 3: oh yes, this idea will work wonderful. Did you ever
- 40:02Speaker 3: open up a book to say, hasn't it been tried before?
- 40:06Speaker 3: Did it work?
- 40:07Speaker 2: They tried it on the Mayflower. Anyway, we're going to
- 40:11Speaker 2: wrap now, but get the book. The next installment is
- 40:16Speaker 2: coming out shortly. And armstrongeconomics.com, go there, sign up for Socrates,
- 40:24Speaker 2: highly recommended.
- 40:26Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to Cary Lutz's Financial Survival Network, your
- 40:30Speaker 1: solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to financialsurvivalnetwork.com.
- 40:36Speaker 1: Financial Survival Network, now more than ever.