Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - Nvidia Rug Pull: Tech Stocks Collapse! Is the Market Crashing? + Stock Market News 16 April 2025

Transcript

Felix Prehn - Nvidia Rug Pull: Tech Stocks Collapse! Is the Market Crashing? + Stock Market News 16 April 2025 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Good morning to you and welcome to this pre-market live stream on a day where you probably don't want to look at your portfolio right now, and it is because NVIDIA and the whole semiconductor tech sector is well jumping off a cliff, apparently.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: And what I want to make happen for you here in the next 15 minutes or so is answer the big questions, give you clarity, make you better informed than anybody else out there, so you are in a position to make better decisions for yourself and your financial freedom and future, and so on.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: My goal for these is always to run a little bit like a morning meeting would work if you're an investment bank, or like a meeting with a brokerage team.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: So I'm going to run you through the following.
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: Of course, I'm joined by the brains behind it all, winston, even over there, who is schlosing quite happily down there.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: So Winston's going to explain to you what just happened to Nvidia and tech.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: That's number one.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: Two will this actually get worse?
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: And three, what about gold?
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: And how is this tied to tech stocks?
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Most people are not really aware of that connection.
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: That's an important one.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: And how do we know what stocks we actually want to buy in situations like this?
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: I want to give you that too.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: And then there must be some good news, right?
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: So Winston's dug pretty deep here and he's found some good news.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: There is some silver lining at the end of this tunnel.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: And then the big question is the US actually in a recession, and where do we take it from there?
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: And then we do a chart review of Nvidia and Tesla and SoFi and Palantir and all the popular stocks out there.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: And, of course, you're super welcome to ask me questions.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: That's kind of the way we roll.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: So let's there we go.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: There you are.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Those are our seven golds here for today.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: What has happened to Nvidia?
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: Will it get worse?
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Why?
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Why is gold tied to tech?
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: How do we know what to buy?
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: Is there any good news?
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: Hint, there is.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: Uh, is the recent recession here yet?
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: And then chart review.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: So if those seven things would be useful to you, then write um, write seven in the chat, and that way I know that you're actually alive and well, and that sort of thing.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: So this is what just happened to tech um, nvidia down about six, 6.5% pre-market AMD similarly down 6.66%, which must be a Catholic omen for that.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: So what the heck happened there?
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: Well, the United States has come out and slapped export restrictions on NVIDIA as a thank you for moving all the manufacturing to the US and building half a trillion dollars worth of chips in the US, allegedly Thanks for all the sevens there Sevens, heaven, I like that market mark.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: So what have they done?
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: Well, they've basically banned the export of the chip.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: I think it's called the H10 or the H20.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: I can never remember.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: I thought it was the H20, which is a chip that NVIDIA made specifically to sell to China, and it was something that was compliant with Biden's chip restrictions, export restrictions.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: Trump has just said no, sorry, not happening.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: So is that bad news?
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: Well, stock savvy Shay here puts it quite nicely it is the H20.
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: And he says NVIDIA is taking.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: Quite nicely, it is the H20.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: And he says NVIDIA is taking a 5.5 billion hit this quarter.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: That's quite a bit of money, isn't it?
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: 5.5 billion?
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: Think about this.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: Your portfolio is down a few 10,000s, hundreds of thousands.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: These guys are taking a 5.5 billion hit, and this is where it gets worse a 15% blow to gross margins.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: That really matters, and I like the way he's phrasing this.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: He's saying this is not because of demand or pricing pressure.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: It's just politics.
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: It's like a rule the US has put in place and what it kind of means is that chips are sort of the I'm going to use a blue pen a bit less menacing.
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: Chips are basically the new oil, the new energy, and the US is basically putting an embargo on countries it doesn't like and it's deciding who's going to get those chips.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: Now, in reality, it's going to be somewhat hard to police that, but it does take direct orders off the agenda.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, uh, jose thinks it's childish.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: Look the way I look at politics doesn't have to make sense, don't have to like it.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: I just take it for what it is.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: It's the facts of the day.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: That's all it matters.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: So people get very irate in my comments the last few days, about trump mostly, and then it.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: If you're getting very irate, you're probably not in a position to make great financial decisions in that moment, so you want to step back and just go.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: I don't really care what they do, I only care about the financial well-being of my family.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: I think if you make that the number one, stop looking outside and just look at what are the facts.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: What am I dealing with here?
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: How do I make better decisions?
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: That's how you become a much, much better investor.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: You no longer think, oh, this is unfair, or this is going to get changed or repealed or whatever.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: It doesn't matter.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: We just deal with the facts as we know them.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Is it going to get worse?
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: Well, asml, who are sort of the uh mother b of all the chip manufacturers they had a slight revenue miss and the guidance they gave is also lower than expected.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: That's another.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: So not brilliant, right?
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: Not brilliant earnings.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: There we're kind of expecting all these ai earnings, these chip earnings, to come out swinging.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: They didn't.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: Politics and wealth don't mix.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's true.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: I used to be quite political.
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: I gave it up.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: That's when I when I got a lot more wealthy.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: I think I think there literally is a rule to it.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: So when people get very irate about stuff, I just think like, just if you can rise above it, like you feel better, you sleep better, none of that stuff really matters that much.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: It just really doesn't.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: I know people get really excited by it.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: I always think that politics and the media, they want you to get wound up and excited because that way you're kind of like stuck in that little world and you're going to go out and you're going to buy a starbucks or whatever to make feel a little bit better, and I think that's kind of how that whole economy works.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: So you want to step out of that.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: You want to just live in your own economy and nothing else really matters.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: And once you realize you can actually take control of your money and your financial goals, then you feel much better.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Who here feels like they have control?
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: You feel like you have control over your portfolio.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: Put a one in there.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: If you feel like you have not great control, put a two in there and try to be honest about that, because I think it would be good for everybody to see.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: So gold here is absolutely flying, and not just because we have a golden retriever here.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: What has he done?
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: That's a great angle, isn't it, winston?
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: That's a great angle.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: Thank you very much.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: He knows where the camera is now as he tries to face the other direction.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: Sneaky, but okay.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Some ones there, but also some twos 1.8s, 1.5s Okay, those are honest.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: I like that, guys.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: And look, there is no shame.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: I like the three there as well.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: That's really, really honest.
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: And three there as well.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: That's really really honest.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: And okay, I'm getting a lot more two's here now, brilliant.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: And and look, that's the first realization.
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: It's like do I really feel in control?
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: I just think it's like it's the whims of the market that I'm dealing with, right, and once you realize that you can then go okay.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: Well, maybe I am, I'm here and I want to be up there, right, that's the goal.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: Now you have a goal.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: What's the gap?
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: What's in between Skills, right, skills, maybe a little bit of experience thrown in, but that's what bridges the gap between where you are right now, whether that's a, you know, 1.5, 1.8, whatever and the goal up there, which is the goal, is to have control.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: But getting back to tech, we'll get back to that in a gold.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Gold has gone absolutely bananas, and I wrote to you guys about that in the community on Monday as well, gapping up once again here this morning.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: And what does that mean?
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Well, gold is another sort of fear indicator.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: When people expect, maybe, higher inflation, when people expect dodgy times, a lot of gold buying happens.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: I think we're also seeing China buying a lot of gold, which is another way of like.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Well, they don't want to buy US treasuries, which is understandable.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: So the higher gold goes, the more challenging it actually is for the stock market.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: So it's nice if you have gold, but not so nice if you don't, and that's why we got into some gold stocks earlier in the week.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: Now, how do you know what stocks to buy?
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: So I'm going to run for you on Saturday a 90 minute training session and what I'm going to teach you.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: I'm going to teach you how we pick great long-term stocks.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I'm going to teach you a little bit of how we time it, definitely where we sell it, and I'll run you through what I'm buying this week and what I'm planning to buy next week and the why.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: So I want to make this not just theory.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: I want to make this a little bit more interactive and a little bit more like now and real.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: So you walk away with like a heck of a lot of information, but mostly skills, because that's always the most important thing.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: I'm a huge believer in teach a man to fish rather than, you know, giving you the charity fish.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: And if you want to join me for that, on saturday 11 am new york time, there's a thousand spots available at felix friends at org slash webinar.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: It's completely free and we'll do a q a as well, so you can ask me a ton of questions on that and it'll be fun.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: It'll be really good fun and I love doing these because we help people, we I I'll realize, yeah, the more often I run these and the more I've taught like I don't know 15, 16 000 people now.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: So I sort of realized, like what are the?
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: What are the easy things we can really really get to what we know?
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: What's the?
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: The major shifts, the major impact we can have in just like an hour and a bit of teaching and and help you walk away with with those things.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: So that's the, that's the goal, that's the mission here.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: If you want to join us for that, please do.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: There is a link down below our, but also in the in the chat.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: Others.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: Pop it in there so you can.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: You're super welcome to join me for that and um winston will will teach you all the good stuff, because this is a huge opportunity and I'm going to show you some good news now.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: Money is made in bad times.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: Money is not made at the top of the market.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: So the fact that the market's down 20 and a lot of the stocks are down 30%, 40% is a wonderful, wonderful opportunity to build wealth, but only if you know how, only if you know what to look for, only if you know what's coming next.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: And how do you know what's coming next?
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: It's a pattern that repeats.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: It's a pattern that's repeated for at least 50 years, and that's where I learned it from guys who've done this for 20, 30, 40 years longer than me.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: So Donald El Presidente is saying Japan is coming today to negotiate tariffs, military support, trade fairness, and he's going to meet with them and something can be worked out which is good great for Japan and the US.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: So there might be deals coming If we get the big deal with Japan as a very large economy, that would be very good for the stock market because everyone's going oh well, if there's one deal, we're going to get more than one deal.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Right, dave, you're going to see that Brilliant.
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: Okay, I look forward to you.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Here's another one Vietnam.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: You know, who got hit with very, very hefty tariffs.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: They are apparently boosting their defense budget by 30%, which could mean buying US F-16s to narrow the trade deficit.
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: So where are we putting our money?
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Defense when did we start buying defense stocks?
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: Last Monday, right?
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: So predictable.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: We had no idea this was coming, but it's somewhat predictable.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Argentina agrees to sign a trade deal with the USs.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: Deals are being made, that's another one.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: And japan it's a bloomberg screenshot says china open to talks if trump shows respect.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Names a point person, which is a step in the right direction, because before there were no talks whatsoever.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: So this is a little little bit slower lighting, maybe a little early.