Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3801 Polling NIGHTMARE as More Democrats SWITCH to GOP!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_00]: The numbers are in and they are absolutely devastating for the Democrat party, a brand new national poll just dropped showing President Trump's approval surpassing even his election victory margin.
- 0:35[SPEAKER_00]: And if you know your history, you know exactly what that means for the upcoming 2026 midterms.
- 0:42[SPEAKER_00]: The Democrats certainly do, and they're panicking, but that's not even the worst of it for them because not only is Trump surging, Democrats are hemorrhaging their own elected officials more and more Democrat politicians across the country are abandoning their sinking ship and switching to the Republican Party.
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- 1:26[SPEAKER_00]: One of the most accurate pollsters in American politics just released a national
- 1:32[SPEAKER_00]: of 800 likely voters conducted between February 17th and 18th showing President Trump at 50% approval and just 46% disapproval.
- 1:46[SPEAKER_00]: That's a net positive 4 point approval rating and it means Trump's approval now exceeds his actual election victory margin from November 2024.
- 1:56[SPEAKER_00]: Now this poll,
- 1:58[SPEAKER_00]: is nearly identical to the latest from Ras Musa and their polling, also likely voters has Trump at 49% approval, again, a very, very high approval rating after a year in his presidency.
- 2:11[SPEAKER_00]: Now, here's why this number is so historically significant.
- 2:16[SPEAKER_00]: If you look at the data going back to
- 2:26[SPEAKER_00]: When a president's approval rating is at or above 50% heading into the midterms, his party either gained seats or at the very least holds losses to the bare minimum.
- 2:39[SPEAKER_00]: So let me give you the highlights there.
- 2:41[SPEAKER_00]: In 1962, JFK was at 61% approval.
- 2:46[SPEAKER_00]: The Democrats lost only four house seats and actually gained three Senate seats.
- 2:53[SPEAKER_00]: in 1998.
- 2:54[SPEAKER_00]: Bill Clinton was at 65% approval.
- 2:57[SPEAKER_00]: The Democrats gained five house seats and in 2002 George W. Bush was at 67% approval after 9-11.
- 3:06[SPEAKER_00]: Republicans gained eight house seats and two Senate seats.
- 3:10[SPEAKER_00]: So those are the only two times.
- 3:13[SPEAKER_00]: in 80 years that a president's party actually gain seats at the midterm and in both cases approval was well above 50% now given the radical polarization that's beset our nation over the last decade.
- 3:29[SPEAKER_00]: It's nearly impossible for a president of any party to reach 60% approval rating today, but the pattern is pretty clear.
- 3:36[SPEAKER_00]: Hit that magic 50% and your parties get a crush at the midterms.
- 3:40[SPEAKER_00]: At the very least, it's going to hold
- 3:43[SPEAKER_00]: it's losses to their bare minimum.
- 3:46[SPEAKER_00]: The president's job approval rating really is one of the strongest, most accurately predictive indicators for how the midterms play out.
- 3:54[SPEAKER_00]: So the bottom line is clear.
- 3:56[SPEAKER_00]: If Trump can sustain that 50% number, and I believe he was especially with the economy beginning to take off, the historical data says Republicans are in for a very strong showing.
- 4:09[SPEAKER_00]: and may even possibly expand their majority in 2026.
- 4:12[SPEAKER_00]: That's the Democrats worse nightmare.
- 4:17[SPEAKER_00]: And it's not just the top line of approval that's killing the Democrats.
- 4:22[SPEAKER_00]: It's the issue by issue breakdown.
- 4:24[SPEAKER_00]: And we talked yesterday about the latest morning consult poll that just dropped.
- 4:28[SPEAKER_00]: Remember morning consult polls are notoriously left-wing.
- 4:34[SPEAKER_00]: But take a look at these numbers when voters are asked, which party they trust more to handle the biggest and most important issues facing this country, Republicans dominate across the board on the things that matter most to everyday Americans.
- 4:48[SPEAKER_00]: So national security to Republicans up by 10.
- 4:52[SPEAKER_00]: Immigration, Republicans by eight, the national debt, trade in taxes, or Republican by five, foreign policy, Republican by four, and the economy, again, the single most important issue in virtually every midterm elections, Republicans leading by one.
- 5:09[SPEAKER_00]: And again, I think that leads going to continue to grow as the economy continues to take off.
- 5:15[SPEAKER_00]: National Security
- 5:16[SPEAKER_00]: Immigration, economy, debt, trade, taxes, those are the issues that decide elections, especially midterms when that party, when the party that owns the top of mine issues ends up doing the best and make no mistake for Democrats who've been hoping beyond hope for a blue wave coming in to 26, I mean, this latest morning console poll is a nightmare.
- 5:40[SPEAKER_00]: This is absolutely devastating for the left.
- 5:43[SPEAKER_00]: It makes crystal clear that voters want secure borders.
- 5:46[SPEAKER_00]: They want a strong economy.
- 5:47[SPEAKER_00]: They want safe streets.
- 5:49[SPEAKER_00]: They want law and order on every one of those key kitchen table bread and butter issues.
- 5:55[SPEAKER_00]: They trust Republicans overwhelmingly more so than Democrats.
- 6:00[SPEAKER_00]: And so is it any wonder?
- 6:02[SPEAKER_00]: that there are generic ballot polls showing that the Republicans are actually ahead of the Democrats going into the midterms.
- 6:11[SPEAKER_00]: Case in point is the latest from RMG.
- 6:14[SPEAKER_00]: RMG was one of the better pollsters of 2024.
- 6:16[SPEAKER_00]: I've been looking at this, the Republicans are actually leading Democrats by two points.
- 6:22[SPEAKER_00]: 47 to 45 and that's a literal nightmare scenario for the Democrats and the tip pole to IPP they have the Democrats up by only three That's nowhere near good enough for them to make substantial national gains.
- 6:37[SPEAKER_00]: They need to be up at least six or seven Nationally for them to have a chance at anything substantial in the midterms
- 6:44[SPEAKER_00]: But here's the thing.
- 6:46[SPEAKER_00]: These numbers are not just theoretical.
- 6:49[SPEAKER_00]: They're actually playing out in real time right now on the ground across the country because elected Democrats are now abandoning their own party at a rate we haven't seen in years, wait until you see this.
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- 9:35[SPEAKER_00]: Now those poll numbers that we just walk through are translating in real world political realignment on the ground.
- 9:42[SPEAKER_00]: Because
- 9:43[SPEAKER_00]: elected democrats are now abandoning their own party at an accelerating rate and the reasons they're giving sound I mean they're virtually identical every single time the democrat parties been hijacked by the radical for a left fringe
- 9:58[SPEAKER_00]: It no longer represents working class Americans, and they simply can't be a part of it anymore.
- 10:04[SPEAKER_00]: So let's start in South Dakota, where state representative Perry Porea, a member of the Oglala Lakota tribe, who had served as a Democrat since 2019, she officially switched to voter registration.
- 10:19[SPEAKER_00]: to Republican back in September.
- 10:22[SPEAKER_00]: Now, her switch, get this, left the South Dakota House with just five Democrats.
- 10:30[SPEAKER_00]: Compared to 65 Republicans.
- 10:34[SPEAKER_00]: Five.
- 10:35[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, that Democrat party in South Dakota is functionally extinct.
- 10:39[SPEAKER_00]: And then there's the absolute tidal wave happening along the Texas border.
- 10:44[SPEAKER_00]: Web County judge Tanna Teherina, the top elected official in the county that includes Laredo, when on Fox and friends recently, and announced he was switching from the Democrat party to the Republican party, and he specifically called out
- 10:59[SPEAKER_00]: the Democrats on border security, oil and gas industry, and they're a warrant obsession with wokeness.
- 11:06[SPEAKER_00]: And Teherina isn't just some small town nobody.
- 11:09[SPEAKER_00]: He's the executive of Web County.
- 11:13[SPEAKER_00]: I counted that voted nearly 70% for Hillary Clinton 2016, but swung over 50 points in vote for Trump in 2024.
- 11:21[SPEAKER_00]: The political realignment along the southern borders absolutely historic 14 out of 18 border counties in Texas voted for Trump in November.
- 11:32[SPEAKER_00]: Counties that were once considered unshakable Democrats strongholds for generations.
- 11:38[SPEAKER_00]: And this is bigger than just Texas because the same patterns repeating everywhere North Carolina, Katie Barr, a Democrat.
- 11:45[SPEAKER_00]: Iran for State Senate in 2024.
- 11:47[SPEAKER_00]: She's now switched her registration to Republican.
- 11:50[SPEAKER_00]: And then we've seen this cascade of defactions throughout 2025 into 2026, the mayor of Garfield, New Jersey.
- 11:57[SPEAKER_00]: He switched the Republican party, the Alpine New Jersey Councilman, Davy Coup for Schmeat.
- 12:04[SPEAKER_00]: He switched to the GOP and endorsed Jack should rally for governor becoming the first Republican on the Alpine Council more than 20 years.
- 12:12[SPEAKER_00]: In Kentucky, one of their last states Senate Democrats switched the Republicans, and when you connect the dots, the pictures simply could not possibly be more devastating for the Democrats.
- 12:24[SPEAKER_00]: Trump at 50% approval in the insider advantage polls, Wells Ross Muson, historical data showing that presidents are round or above 50% hold or gain seats at the midterms.
- 12:36[SPEAKER_00]: Republicans dominating on every major issue voters care about Democrats on all time low congressional approval and elected Democrats from South Dakota to South Texas to New Jersey to North Carolina abandoning their own party because it's become in their words unrecognized.
- 12:58[SPEAKER_00]: The 2026 midterms are shaping up to be an extraordinary disappointment for the Democrats if this trajectory continues.
- 13:06[SPEAKER_00]: And based on these numbers, based on this accelerating realignment, there's no sign they're changing course anytime soon.
- 13:16[SPEAKER_00]: So what do you guys think?
- 13:17[SPEAKER_00]: I want to hear from you.
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