Latest / Financial Survival Network / Environmental Missteps: Carbon Policies, EV's, and Net Zero with Steve Goreham #5951
Transcript
- 0:00In the US, EV inventories are up three hundred percent from a year ago.
- 0:04There's very poor demand for EV pickup trucks. The guys who have pickup
- 0:07trucks don't seem to be too interested. Ford Motor has announced that they're losing
- 0:11between forty and sixty thousand on each EV sold. They're projecting a four and
- 0:15a half billion dollar loss this year from their EV business. Both Ford and
- 0:19GM have moved out their new models and we sort of I think we have
- 0:24an early adopter phase that is over. You're listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival
- 0:30Network where you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else to thrive in
- 0:35today's trying times. You need the Financial Survival Network now more than ever.
- 0:41Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial
- 0:47Survival Network now more than ever, and welcome. You are listening to and
- 0:56watching the Financial Survival Network. Come your host. Carrie Let's say so.
- 1:00The green economy, it's wonderful. Will just to all be living in this
- 1:06pristine environment. The earth will be restored to its former grandeur and everyone will
- 1:12be happy. Right, well, not so fast, Yes, Environment very
- 1:18important. We're all we all believe in the same things clean water, clean
- 1:23air, and the good environment to raise your children and your family. And
- 1:27it's just a question of how bad are things what do you need to do
- 1:32to get there? Steve Gorham, author of Green Breakdown The Coming Renewable Energy
- 1:38Failure. You title might be a little bit late on the score at Steve,
- 1:44We're thrilled to have you on the show. Hey, so how bad
- 1:49are things? Are things really getting worse? Are they getting better? In
- 1:52the environment ary great to join you. Yeah, they're actually getting better.
- 1:55And my prediction of a green breakdown or first and net zero and actually jecting
- 2:00out about a decade, but it appears that that is closer. We have
- 2:02a lot of things going on around the world that show that people are stepping
- 2:06back from that zero. But you're right, pollution is we've made great strides.
- 2:12One of the great untold stories in the United States is how much better
- 2:15the air is than it was thirty forty years ago. I remember in the
- 2:19nineteen sixties driving near Chicago, south of Gary and having our windshield coated with
- 2:24something coming from the steel mills. We had to pull over and wash the
- 2:28windshield off. My grandfather had a coal for us in his basement in the
- 2:31nineteen fifties, and after it snowed in Chicago for about four or five days,
- 2:38there would be black dust on all of the snow you could see from
- 2:40the coal. And young folks that listen don't know what spring cleaning was for.
- 2:46Literally, in the nineteen fifties, people would every spring washed down all
- 2:51the walls on the inside of their house to remove the coal dust that was
- 2:55uncleaning. But we don't have to do that anymore. Our air is very,
- 2:58very much clearer. Yeah, that is a fact. And I remember
- 3:01driving into New York City from New Jersey where I grew up and seeing this
- 3:07huge yellow cloud hovering over Manhattan and that was all the coal fired power plants.
- 3:14But look like without the government pushing businesses industry, do you think things
- 3:19would have improved anyway? I think as a commodation the government helped. And
- 3:24we had many states. In nineteen fifty there there were no statewide laws for
- 3:29pollution, but by nineteen sixty they just about all had them. And then
- 3:34the clean erect came in I think sixty nine or so. But the problem
- 3:38is the world has gotten off track. Where we used to reduce a real
- 3:40pollution, and we've done a great job. APA numbers show our air pollutants,
- 3:45the six major pollutants are down about eighty percent since nineteen eighty, probably
- 3:50much much more since the fifties. What comes out of the tailpuppy or car.
- 3:53The volatile organic compounds are down ninety eight percent since nineteen seventy. But
- 4:00now we're chasing this idea that carbon dioxide is a pollutant. We've really gotten
- 4:03off track. Carbon dioxide is an odorless, harmless, invisible gas. It
- 4:09doesn't cause smoke or smog. We burn sugars in our body and every day
- 4:14we exhale about two pounds of carbon dioxide each person, and it makes the
- 4:19plants grow. It's you know, I like to ask when I'm speaking to
- 4:24audiences, what do cannabis growers know that the EPA apparently doesn't know? And
- 4:30the answer is that CO two is green. Every marijuana grower with his or
- 4:33her salt is literally pumping carbon dioxide into the greenhouse to make the crops grow
- 4:38bigger and fast. Oh, we've got to stop them. They got to
- 4:41be stopped here. We've got a lot on track. We need to continue
- 4:46to reduce real pollution. But this war on carbon dioxide and this plant for
- 4:50zero by twenty fifty really is not the proper way to go, all right,
- 4:55So what is happening in the marketplace? Besides Tesla? There is isn't
- 5:00an auto company on the planet that can make money on evs. Maybe a
- 5:04couple of Chinese ones, but they're using slave labor and fourth League all that
- 5:11a byd Yeah, the electric vehicle market has hit a speed momp, if
- 5:15you will. In the US, EV inventories are up three hundred percent from
- 5:18a year ago. There's very poor demand for EV pickup trucks. The guys
- 5:23who have pickup trucks don't seem to be too interested. Ford Motor has announced
- 5:26that they're losing between forty and sixty thousand on each EV sold. They're projecting
- 5:30a four and a half billion dollar loss this year from their EV business.
- 5:34Both Ford and GM have moved out their new models, and we sort of
- 5:39I think we have an early adopter phase that is over. Many of the
- 5:43folks that wanted to cool Tesla's and wanted EV's for a second car have purchased
- 5:46them. Now we have people that are driving long distances, or they're in
- 5:49cold climates and the batteries don't charge well, or they're in apartments and there's
- 5:55no way to charge r EV except across the public walkway. So you know,
- 5:59it's slowing down a little bit. All right, I'm going to propose
- 6:02a reason for this to you, okay, and you're free to agree or
- 6:05disagree. In the case to the Tesla, all right, their demand really
- 6:11isn't slowing down. They're going to sell one point eight million cars this year.
- 6:15Yeah, o case, the driving experience and the product that they produce
- 6:19is superior to all of the ice vehicles out there, with certain exceptions like
- 6:26if you live in a condo or an apartment, charging can wind up costing
- 6:31you more than gasoline. But if you live at a home and you can
- 6:34charge it yourself, it's great. Yeah. And I would avert that GM
- 6:41and Ford's products, and even Horsia and Audi their products are inferior to the
- 6:48ice cars that are being produced by themselves, and that is why the market's
- 6:55not catching on to their products. Yeah. I mean, I think what
- 6:59you say is true to really is a great job. There's there's just kind
- 7:01of a mounting series of things that make it difficult for some owners. Another
- 7:06one is insurance. I think in the US the price of insurance for an
- 7:10EV is about up seventy two percent versus a gasoline car. Yeah. In
- 7:15Accent Island, in an accident in my Tesla, it was gone a month
- 7:19and a half and a simple accident that really on a regular car would be
- 7:26maybe six seven thousand dollars was twenty thousand. Oh my gosh, totally Yeah.
- 7:30In England now there are a lot of it's hard to get insurance in
- 7:34England for an EV. There's a lot of articles. People are calling around
- 7:38all over and the price is about five thousand pounds for a year for an
- 7:43EV insurance. So there are just noes. And again I'm not against evs.
- 7:47I think, you know, we have people that have a choice.
- 7:50But this idea that the federal government has going to force everybody to buy under
- 7:55the state of California and we're going to stop the oceans from rising if we
- 7:59do that, that's where we've really gotten off base. Hey, you know,
- 8:03I've said this so many times. There's never been an energy transition that
- 8:07was mandated and facilitated by the government. You know, the market always did
- 8:13it before we had any vehicles. Some guy came along and invented the wheel
- 8:18well, or he discovered that you could put a saddle on a horse.
- 8:22You know, the government wasn't there saying, you know, you need to
- 8:26get stop walking and start riding. And then you know, we had brown
- 8:31energy from horses for a few hundred years, maybe a thousand years, and
- 8:37then we had the internal combustion engine come about, and the government was not
- 8:41there saying, hey, give us your horses and we'll give you a free
- 8:46car. You know, the market figured this stuff out, and that's what
- 8:52that's why this is such a fool's Errand Steve in my opinion is the market
- 8:56wants a new power transition and the market will dictate it. The market will
- 9:03mandate it, it'll demand it, and anyone who doesn't comply will go out
- 9:07of business, right they will. And we have some serious issues coming about
- 9:11if we could switch to a winds and wind in solar form. Most of
- 9:15any states, not most of the Midwest or the South, but the east
- 9:18and west coast are are trying to switch to wind in solar and use as
- 9:24much wind and solar and get rid of coal, natural gas and even nuclear
- 9:28and we have some serious problems developed. I listen to this quote from Mark
- 9:33Christi. He's a federal Energy regulatory commissioner. He testified in June in front
- 9:39something he might know something. He said, I think we're headed for very
- 9:43dire consequences, potentially catastrophic consequences in the United States in terms of the reliability
- 9:50of our grid. And he went on to say that we're closing the things
- 9:54that are keeping the lights on too fast. And indeed, if you look
- 9:58at if you look at data from the u US Energy Departments, they track
- 10:03outages for electricity users, and back twenty thirteen twenty fourteen, the average outage
- 10:09hours of outage was about three and a half per year. Now it's up
- 10:13to about seven or eight per year in the United States, and it's going
- 10:16to go much much higher. And we've had big problems in Texas and Oklahoma
- 10:20and California. We had the blackout in February twenty twenty one. Power was
- 10:28off for seventy two hours to four and a half million people, and we
- 10:31had somewhere between two hundred and fifty and seven hundred people die. That's bigger
- 10:35than a big hurricane and this. Texas is doing better. They didn't have
- 10:41blackouts this summer, but they actually issued ten electricity shortage warnings Seth, don't
- 10:48plug in your electric car, don't run your air conditioner, that was it,
- 10:50don't put the coffee maker on. So we have some real problems coming
- 10:56and I'm afraid people are going to have to learn the hard way on this.
- 11:00And so we're going to have this as part of the coming break green
- 11:03breakdown. We're going to have people going back to sensible, reliable, low
- 11:07cost energy. Steve, this is an absolute unmitigated disaster that's coming down the
- 11:13pike. Look, I do believe that microgrids really have an application because it
- 11:20will stabilize grids and enable that the alternative energy to be stored and used when
- 11:30needed. I mean, there's definitely a major, major advance. I think
- 11:35a lot of it's being pushed now by tax credits, but there's no question
- 11:39the microgrid stabilizes unstable grids when you have enough of them well, and might
- 11:46even eliminate the need for peaker plants. You know, plants that come on
- 11:52during peak period, peak periods of demand. But you can't, you absolutely
- 11:58can't not based the future of your grid on this. Yeah, I think
- 12:05we're talking about I think you're talking about grid scale batteries which are being put
- 12:09in a number of places. Yeah, and those two back up wind and
- 12:11solar. The problem, there's a couple of problems. One is it so
- 12:15far is very very small. Again, I talked to audiences about this and
- 12:18ask them a question, how much more electricity is stored by batteries in the
- 12:22US. It's nothing, And the answer turns out it's it's two watt hours
- 12:26in every million watt hours. I mean, it's it's basically insignificant at this
- 12:31point, and even if you double, triple, quadruple it, it's going
- 12:35to be almost almost not not useful. It would have to be a very
- 12:41very big amount. The other things is batteries tend to be expensive. A
- 12:46good rule of thumb is if you want to back up a wind system for
- 12:50a day with batteries, you need to spend about five times as much on
- 12:54batteries as the wind system itself. And then the batteries die in. They
- 13:00have half the lifetime of the wind. They die in ten or twelve years.
- 13:03So right now you're talking about ten times the cost of the wind system.
- 13:07Itself to back up for a day. Now, batteries are going to
- 13:11come down in price and they may get better, but we're still a long
- 13:15long way away from that solution. That's a given, and there's enough incentives
- 13:18in the market. The government doesn't need to be giving away truckloads of money
- 13:24here. What about the way they're subsidizing the purchase seventy five hundred dollars towards
- 13:28an EV And these are wealthier people, more well off people who could afward
- 13:33the vehicle without the subsidy. It's just giving money away getting absolutely nothing in
- 13:39return for it. It's a wealth transfer to the rich, really, and
- 13:43the amount of money is huge. Back in the Biden administration about two I'm
- 13:46sorry, in the Obama administration about twenty fifteen, we were subsidizing wind and
- 13:52solar and other renewables about fifteen billion a year. That went down to about
- 13:58eight billion a year on Trump. But now with the Inflation Reduction Act and
- 14:03President Biden is going up to forty fifty billion dollars a year. It's just
- 14:07huge. And we had crazy things going on. There's a war going on
- 14:11in Iowa, South Dakota, and North Dakota right now. Over carbon dioxide
- 14:15pipelines. They want to capture these from ethanol plants, put them through pipelines
- 14:20to North Dakota, store the carbon dioxide underground, and so the farmers are
- 14:24battling these pipeline companies. But nobody would be doing this without the subsidy.
- 14:30If the subsidy wasn't there, it just nobody would do it. It doesn't
- 14:31make any sense. We have plenty of carbon dioxide for soft drinks and beer.
- 14:35We don't need to be capturing it. It's all based on the theorem
- 14:39and the share of man made warming and these huge subsidies. Hey wait,
- 14:43we have a I heard we have a shortage of carbon dioxide. Is that
- 14:50true? Well, it depends on the way you look at it. Yeah.
- 14:52Actually, we have about four hundred parts per billion in the atmosphere right
- 14:56now, about four of every ten thousand molecules in the appmos here is pretty
- 15:00small, but many scientists point out that it was much much higher in Earth's
- 15:05distant pass the three thousand or four thousand parts per billion eight or ten times
- 15:11as much. And by the way, those happened during ice ages, which
- 15:16is evidence that having high levels of carbon dioxide doesn't cause a lot of warming,
- 15:22so it is low compared to past situations, but it has risen about
- 15:28thirty percent since the nineteen fifties. Right, Okay, So what's it going
- 15:33to take for these policy makers to come to their senses or do we just
- 15:37forget it? Well, we're going to have four things happen with a green
- 15:39breakdown. First, we're going to higher energy prices, especially electricity. California
- 15:45in the last three years has passed up all the New England states and is
- 15:48now second highest in the nation behind Hawaii, yce, as high as any
- 15:52of the Western state for electricity. We're going to have electricity blackouts, which
- 15:56we've talked about. We're going to have less freedom because they're try kind to
- 16:00ban gasoline vehicles and gas stoves. And we're going to have transnational energy shocks
- 16:04like they've had in Europe over the last two years, where the price of
- 16:07electricity more than triple than the price of natural gas was up two and a
- 16:11half times. And they are really hurting over there in England. They don't
- 16:15want to turn on their robbins and they don't want to turn on their furnaces.
- 16:18The price are just way too high. So this is what is going
- 16:21to come from green energy these four things, and people are going to push
- 16:25back. It's going to break down, and we're going to demand a return
- 16:27to low cost, reliable energy. Hey, you know they keep talking about
- 16:33sustainability. To my way of thinking, Steve, the most sustainable form of
- 16:37energy ever ever found was petroleum. Well it is. There is a real
- 16:42pollution we still need to reduce, don't get me wrong. For example,
- 16:48eighty percent of the world's wastewater is discharged in the rivers, lakes, and
- 16:51streams untreated. Not in the US, not in Europe. But if you
- 16:53remember about seven years ago, the swimmers in the Olympics down in Brazil didn't
- 16:57want to swim the water. Another issue in Brazil is just building their first
- 17:02water treatment plants. Another one is plastic in the oceans, which is an
- 17:06overstated thing somewhat. We have about one hundred million tons of plastic in the
- 17:10oceans. We're adding about ten million a year. We need biodegradable plastics.
- 17:15So problems to solve, Well, it tends to be more expensive. They've
- 17:19got some of it, but it's more expensive. By the way, banning
- 17:22straws in Los Angeles isn't really going to do anything. So so there these
- 17:30are real problems we need to say, we need to solve, but let's
- 17:33quit this attack and carbon dioxide. By the way, another thing is there's
- 17:36still seven hundred million people across the world that don't have electricity. There are
- 17:41hundreds of hospitals that are trying to run without electricity, hookup two billion people.
- 17:45An additional two billion get blackouts every day. So these people need low
- 17:51cost electricity. Though. That's another big problem to solve. Let's quit trying
- 17:55and give rid of CO two. Yeah, and you know, like I
- 17:59like soa man, if we get rid of CO two, I'm gonna have
- 18:02to drink a flat soda. That doesn't seem right to me. Yeah,
- 18:04it's totally wrong. Steve, Hey, where do we find you? How
- 18:07do we connect with you? How do we get your book? Yeah,
- 18:11Green Breakdown. So it's available on Amazon. They're also ebooks on Apple and
- 18:15Google and Bares and Noble, or they can go to my website Steve gorm
- 18:18g O R E H A M dot com and I'll send them a signed
- 18:22copy. Excellent, all right, appreciate that. If you've got a question
- 18:26for us, Steve myself email address kl at Carrie LUTs dot com and the
- 18:30link to steve site is in the show notes of this interview on Financial Survival
- 18:34Network dot com. Click it take you right to it. You can get
- 18:37his books all of that good stuff. While you're at the site, Please
- 18:41sign up for your free newsletter, Steve, We'll talk to you again.
- 18:45Thank you so much for stopping by. Thank you, Kerry, thanks for
- 18:48listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your solution to today's trying times.
- 18:55For the latest, go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now
- 19:02more than ever,