Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR DFS - South Point 400, 2024 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: All system's gone clear. We left.
- 0:36Speaker 2: Hello, Welcome to this week's NASCAR Quick Hit. Here at
- 0:39Speaker 2: ship at Nation, I am Eric also known as the
- 0:44Speaker 2: Game on Discord, and tonight we're going to be discussing
- 0:48Speaker 2: the South Point four hundred, which is taking place at
- 0:52Speaker 2: the Las Vegas Motor Speedway. As always, please go ahead
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- 1:12Speaker 2: please go ahead and hit that like button end subscribe
- 1:16Speaker 2: if you haven't already. All right, before we break down
- 1:22Speaker 2: the south point four hundred taking place at the Las
- 1:26Speaker 2: Vegas Motor Speedway, let me of course mention us ship
- 1:30Speaker 2: a Nation dot com. Let me go ahead and bring
- 1:33Speaker 2: up my screen share Where am I at?
- 1:38Speaker 1: What am I doing?
- 1:39Speaker 2: What am I doing here? I am bam ship it
- 1:42Speaker 2: Nation dot com. Everything you need to have success with DFS.
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- 2:28Speaker 2: ship it nation dot com. All right, this week the
- 2:34Speaker 2: flag meeting. The green flag drops two point thirty on
- 2:39Speaker 2: the Eastern Seaboard, and TV coverage is on the NBC
- 2:43Speaker 2: networks in the US and once again on TSN five
- 2:48Speaker 2: in Canada. All right, let's go ahead and finally discuss
- 2:54Speaker 2: this slate. And the very first thing we are going
- 2:58Speaker 2: to discuss is the chalk of the slate. And the
- 3:03Speaker 2: chalk of the slate is this driver right here, one
- 3:06Speaker 2: young Ryan Blaney. Ryan Blaney got into an accident. He
- 3:11Speaker 2: blew a right rear tire during practice and he slammed
- 3:17Speaker 2: into the outside retaining wall and his team will unload
- 3:22Speaker 2: a backup car for tomorrow's race. What that means is
- 3:27Speaker 2: Ryan Blaney is starting tomorrow's south point four hundred dead last.
- 3:35Speaker 2: So we have a stud of a driver starting dead last.
- 3:39Speaker 2: If you play cash games, he should be a lock.
- 3:43Speaker 2: All right, so Ryan Blaney starting dead last in a
- 3:47Speaker 2: backup car, We'll get tons of ownership. Should be a
- 3:51Speaker 2: cash game lock the rest of practice. The rest of practice, though,
- 3:59Speaker 2: was fairly on a eventful Truthfully, the good drivers were
- 4:05Speaker 2: fast in practice and then those good fast drivers in
- 4:09Speaker 2: practice followed it up with good performances in qualifying. So
- 4:14Speaker 2: really the cream rose to the top so to speak,
- 4:16Speaker 2: this week in practice and in qualifying. Also in practice
- 4:22Speaker 2: this week, just like normal, back to two practice groups
- 4:27Speaker 2: which I have labeled on the right side of the stone,
- 4:31Speaker 2: there were no Neither group had an advantage this week
- 4:37Speaker 2: as far as practice goes, So please feel free to
- 4:39Speaker 2: use this practice data to help shape your player pool.
- 4:45Speaker 2: Next up here, lap leaders at Vegas as of the
- 4:49Speaker 2: last three Las Vegas races, which they were all next
- 4:54Speaker 2: Gen races. The drivers who have led the most or
- 4:58Speaker 2: the second most. Let me repeat that, drivers who have
- 5:03Speaker 2: led the most laps and or the second most laps
- 5:07Speaker 2: here at Vegas have started in the top six positions,
- 5:13Speaker 2: and then those drivers after they led the most and
- 5:17Speaker 2: or second most laps, finished either first or second. It's
- 5:23Speaker 2: pretty damn good. You should probably have the top six
- 5:28Speaker 2: drivers in your player pool. This weekend. As far as
- 5:34Speaker 2: lineup construction goes, one hundred and eighty six point nine
- 5:38Speaker 2: dominator points are up for grabs this weekend, and of
- 5:41Speaker 2: course we are going to be targeting those. I will
- 5:45Speaker 2: have between two and three dominators per lineup, uh and
- 5:50Speaker 2: my two dominator lineups will have Ryan Blaney locked in,
- 5:55Speaker 2: So it's gonna be Blunt two Doms plus Blaney or
- 5:59Speaker 2: three reed Doms and no Blaney. So my opinion, if
- 6:04Speaker 2: you're playing Ryan Blaney, you're going with a two dominator build.
- 6:08Speaker 2: If you are not playing Ryan Blaney, you're going with
- 6:11Speaker 2: a three dominator build. And last, but certainly not least,
- 6:18Speaker 2: before we dive into the starting lineup, the eight remaining
- 6:23Speaker 2: playoff drivers should absolutely be in your player pool this weekend,
- 6:29Speaker 2: and those drivers before we go on to why is
- 6:32Speaker 2: as follows Denny Hamlin who starts fourth, Joey Logano who
- 6:37Speaker 2: starts tenth, Chase Elliott, who I believe is the worst
- 6:41Speaker 2: qualifying playoff driver, starts eighteenth. Christopher Bell is our polesitter,
- 6:47Speaker 2: Ryan Blaney. I lie, Ryan Blaney is our worst qualifying
- 6:50Speaker 2: polesitter as dead last, Tyler Reddick who starts second, William Byron,
- 6:57Speaker 2: who starts ninth in Kyle Arson, who starts fifth. These
- 7:02Speaker 2: eight drivers should absolutely be in your player pool on Sunday.
- 7:08Speaker 2: Why because if they win the race on Sunday, if
- 7:14Speaker 2: any of those eight drivers Hamlin, Legano, Elliott Bell, any
- 7:19Speaker 2: Reddick Byron Larson, if any of those eight win the race,
- 7:24Speaker 2: they have locked themselves in to the championship race at
- 7:28Speaker 2: Phoenix in just a few weeks, which means they can
- 7:32Speaker 2: theoretically not plan for next week at Homestead or next
- 7:38Speaker 2: week in Martinsville. They can throw all of their eggs
- 7:42Speaker 2: in the Phoenix basket. So it is a huge, huge
- 7:47Speaker 2: head start for the person who gets locked in after
- 7:53Speaker 2: this round. Assuming a playoff driver does win this race.
- 7:56Speaker 2: We have had a few outliers this season as far
- 8:00Speaker 2: as that goes. But yeah, this is to those eight
- 8:05Speaker 2: drivers who I just listed. This race is maybe the
- 8:09Speaker 2: most important race of the season. It's a big one
- 8:13Speaker 2: on Sunday. Do I have anything else before we start
- 8:19Speaker 2: talking about the starting lineup.
- 8:22Speaker 3: I don't think so.
- 8:23Speaker 2: No, that's everything, all right, Let's just go ahead and
- 8:27Speaker 2: break down my thoughts on this starting grid. Polesitter Christopher Bell,
- 8:32Speaker 2: he is one of our playoff drivers. As I mentioned,
- 8:36Speaker 2: he also fits in our top six starting drivers led
- 8:41Speaker 2: the most and nor second most laps and this kind
- 8:44Speaker 2: of track suits his driving style, so his practice speeds
- 8:49Speaker 2: weren't the greatest. That does not scare me off of
- 8:52Speaker 2: Bell at all. I will have lots of Christopher Bell
- 8:55Speaker 2: on Sunday. Along with having lots of Bell, I will
- 8:59Speaker 2: have lots of Tyler Reddick awesome in practice, first in
- 9:04Speaker 2: the one lap and then second in the five and
- 9:07Speaker 2: the ten. Any track where you can rip the high
- 9:10Speaker 2: lane like this is right up, Reddick, Sally. I love
- 9:15Speaker 2: Reddick on Sunday. Alex Bowman the disqualified driver of the playoffs. Look,
- 9:26Speaker 2: he's an amazing car. He's had a great season, he
- 9:29Speaker 2: had great practice, he has the besides Hostavar starting in six.
- 9:36Speaker 2: He has the worst odds of the top six, and
- 9:40Speaker 2: he's no longer in the playoffs. So I I don't
- 9:48Speaker 2: know what the upside is for Bowman. Do I think
- 9:51Speaker 2: he's gonna dominate the first stage?
- 9:54Speaker 3: No?
- 9:55Speaker 2: Do I think he could. If there's age strategy games
- 10:02Speaker 2: at the end of each stage, he could possibly be
- 10:05Speaker 2: in a position to lead some laps. I just don't
- 10:09Speaker 2: see him competing with the Bells. The Reddicks, the Larsens,
- 10:12Speaker 2: the Byrons on Sunday. So I'm probably fading Bowman, but
- 10:19Speaker 2: I can understand playing him as well, especially at his
- 10:23Speaker 2: price tag eighty one hundred. Pretty damn good. Denny Hamlin
- 10:26Speaker 2: ten to six, not the best in the short runs,
- 10:31Speaker 2: but pretty great in the long runs, seventh and the
- 10:35Speaker 2: ten three in the fifteen and then he was first
- 10:39Speaker 2: in the twenty lap and twenty five lap averages. Love
- 10:43Speaker 2: Denny Hamlin on Sunday, and there's nothing more than that
- 10:47Speaker 2: he would like then to lock himself into the championship
- 10:51Speaker 2: race while there is an ongoing litigation suit between his
- 10:56Speaker 2: race team and NASCAR. Kyle lars and the winner of
- 11:01Speaker 2: the past two races here at Vegas, your current odds
- 11:06Speaker 2: on favorite and your most expensive driver on DraftKings. What's
- 11:11Speaker 2: to say about young money. He's either going to dominate
- 11:15Speaker 2: this race and just put a whoop on it on everybody,
- 11:20Speaker 2: or he'll lead a pile of apps in stage one
- 11:23Speaker 2: in stage two and something's gonna happen to him in
- 11:24Speaker 2: stage three. That seems to be the Kyle Larson story.
- 11:29Speaker 2: I will also be overexposed to Larsen on Sunday. Uh
- 11:36Speaker 2: the surprise of qualifying is next at six. Carson hos
- 11:39Speaker 2: of Ar. I have been beating the Carson host of
- 11:43Speaker 2: Ar drum all season, and I damn sure ain't gonna
- 11:45Speaker 2: stop now. Excellent in practice, cheapest hell on DraftKings, plus
- 11:52Speaker 2: five thousand to win, probably pretty great, plus money odds
- 11:56Speaker 2: for top five and top tens as well, wouldn't be
- 12:00Speaker 2: horrible to look at. There's a lot of big dogs
- 12:05Speaker 2: around him, a lot. I'm still gonna have exposure to him.
- 12:10Speaker 2: They've been good, Spier's been good this season. Host of
- 12:13Speaker 2: Art does not scare me. Am I gonna be, you know,
- 12:16Speaker 2: crazy over exposed, not at all, but I will have exposure.
- 12:22Speaker 2: Ross Chastain love Ross. Look at his speeds fourth fourth, third, fifth, fourth.
- 12:29Speaker 2: We know he's aggressive, so love Ross eighty eight hundred.
- 12:33Speaker 2: Ty Gibbs new Infinity car owner, Ty Gibbs eighty three
- 12:39Speaker 2: hundred on DraftKings. Look at his speeds three three six
- 12:42Speaker 2: six three six four again crazy good for Gibbs. William
- 12:50Speaker 2: Byron not so good. Eleventh in the one lap average,
- 12:56Speaker 2: but then thirty first, twenty seventh and twenty second. That's
- 13:01Speaker 2: very Unbuyron like. But perhaps they were testing out some things,
- 13:06Speaker 2: while the other Hendrick teams were focused on gathering the
- 13:11Speaker 2: other more important data. I don't know. The practice speeds
- 13:17Speaker 2: aren't good, especially for that price tag. But still got
- 13:24Speaker 2: to have him because he's in the playoffs, so I
- 13:28Speaker 2: will have some Willy Be, probably not too much. Joey
- 13:31Speaker 2: Logano not good at practice at all thirtieth, twenty seventh,
- 13:37Speaker 2: twenty first. However, then all of a sudden boom, thirteenth
- 13:41Speaker 2: in the fifteenth, average six in the twenty and Logano
- 13:47Speaker 2: is great at these was great at everything. But his team,
- 13:53Speaker 2: and I've mentioned this before, his team is amazing, amazing
- 13:57Speaker 2: at strategy, amazing at strategy. And I can see them
- 14:03Speaker 2: short pitting. I can see them taking two tires when
- 14:06Speaker 2: everyone's taking four. I can see them doing something to
- 14:09Speaker 2: put them in position to win. On Sunday, Austin Sindrick
- 14:14Speaker 2: he's been, you know, I don't want to say great,
- 14:18Speaker 2: but for what we normally consider of Austin Sindric, he's been.
- 14:21Speaker 2: He's that a great year. I don't really have much
- 14:26Speaker 2: left for him on Sunday though, plus eight thousand on
- 14:29Speaker 2: the books, almost like Legano, where he was slow in
- 14:37Speaker 2: the opening stages of practice, but then picked it up
- 14:40Speaker 2: towards the end, but still I don't I don't know
- 14:45Speaker 2: what I'm gonna do yet. With Austin Sindric Martin Truex Junior,
- 14:49Speaker 2: on the other hand, I will have exposure to stellar practice.
- 14:54Speaker 2: Look second first, first, third, second, second, fantastic. The clock
- 15:01Speaker 2: is ticking. If he wants to win in his final season,
- 15:06Speaker 2: I think this in Homestead would be his best chances.
- 15:09Speaker 2: I don't see him winning Martinsville. I don't see him
- 15:12Speaker 2: winning Phoenix. So if he's gonna close out this season
- 15:17Speaker 2: with a victory and or an amazing finish, it's gonna
- 15:20Speaker 2: be here at Vegas or next week at Homestead plus
- 15:26Speaker 2: eight hundred of the books, fast practice speeds. Nothing to
- 15:31Speaker 2: go for but the win. You have to play some Truex, right,
- 15:36Speaker 2: Austin Dillon fade. Zane Smith, Hey, I'm gonna play Zane normally.
- 15:42Speaker 2: I am a Zane Smith fader. However, much like host
- 15:47Speaker 2: of AR Fantastic in practice same equipment as hosts of
- 15:50Speaker 2: R and has been trending upwards. So we'll be absolutely
- 15:54Speaker 2: playing some Zane Smith on Sunday. Michael McDowell probably not
- 15:59Speaker 2: gonna get too much much into him his practice speeds
- 16:01Speaker 2: was terrible and he's plus twenty five thousand on the books.
- 16:04Speaker 2: Not good. Justin Haley, However, I will have exposure to
- 16:11Speaker 2: again not so good in the opening stages of a
- 16:14Speaker 2: run according to practice, but then picks up speed as
- 16:17Speaker 2: the run progresses, which is great. Brad Kezlowski. He was
- 16:21Speaker 2: kind of mid mid priced mid in practice, mid odds.
- 16:29Speaker 1: Mid.
- 16:31Speaker 2: Chase Elliott. He is one of our playoff drivers, so
- 16:34Speaker 2: I will of course have exposure to Chase not the
- 16:37Speaker 2: best overall first lap, but then he was. He picked
- 16:41Speaker 2: up more speed as the runs went on as well,
- 16:45Speaker 2: so he went from twentieth and the one lap average
- 16:47Speaker 2: to first in the fifteen lap average. That's a pretty
- 16:51Speaker 2: big jump.
- 16:52Speaker 3: In just fifteen laps.
- 16:53Speaker 2: Bubba Wallace for twenty three eleven Racing also no issues
- 16:59Speaker 2: with Bubba. It seems like since Bubba has had the child,
- 17:07Speaker 2: Bubba didn't have the child, Bubba's wife or fiance had
- 17:10Speaker 2: the child. But since Bubba has become a new dad,
- 17:13Speaker 2: and since he's really put a focus on being positive
- 17:18Speaker 2: and not letting any of the negativity get to him,
- 17:23Speaker 2: it's needs to be trending upwards. So I have no
- 17:27Speaker 2: issue rolling out Bubba Wallace on Sunday. Kyle Busch Love
- 17:32Speaker 2: me Some Kyle Busch on Sunday. This is a home
- 17:35Speaker 2: track for Kyle. So if you're into narratives, the hometown
- 17:40Speaker 2: boy breaks his winless streak at his hometown track sounds
- 17:43Speaker 2: pretty good to me. Noah Gregson plus plus twenty five
- 17:49Speaker 2: hundred other books not that great in practice, probably won't
- 17:55Speaker 2: get too much exposure from me. Chris Busher, Love Chris Busher,
- 17:59Speaker 2: A mile and a Daniel Suarez not as good as Ross,
- 18:06Speaker 2: but look at the practice speeds as they progressed overall
- 18:11Speaker 2: on fourteenth and the five, eleventh, and the ten, ten
- 18:15Speaker 2: in the fifteen, fifth, in the twenty, et cetera. So
- 18:20Speaker 2: he definitely should have his long run speed figured out.
- 18:25Speaker 2: Let's see here, who's up next? I feel like I
- 18:27Speaker 2: lost my place. We had Chase Prisco. Yeah, I don't
- 18:34Speaker 2: know what to say about Chase. It's not so much
- 18:38Speaker 2: Chase the driver, it's the equipment. And I guess if
- 18:42Speaker 2: i'd be okay rolling out Noah, I should be okay
- 18:45Speaker 2: with rolling out Chase as well. But I don't know
- 18:47Speaker 2: if I'm gonna be rolling out Noah yet. So I
- 18:49Speaker 2: don't know if I'm gonna be rolling out Chase, nothing
- 18:52Speaker 2: the right home for with Chase as far as his
- 18:55Speaker 2: practice goes. Ricky Stenhouse Junior, same thing. He fired off
- 19:00Speaker 2: a good one lap, but then it was trash the
- 19:02Speaker 2: rest of practice in the thirties. I don't have much
- 19:05Speaker 2: time for him. John Hunter, Nima check. He's so dirt
- 19:10Speaker 2: cheap and at mid practice not even a little bit
- 19:17Speaker 2: better than mid fifteenth in the one, seventeenth in the five.
- 19:20Speaker 2: But then it dips down for John Hunter there into
- 19:24Speaker 2: twenty eighth for the ten. So probably fading him before
- 19:28Speaker 2: that because of that. For me, Eric Jones probably has
- 19:33Speaker 2: some exposure to that Jones boy, But Legacy Motor Club
- 19:37Speaker 2: has been trash all season. John Hunter, you know, drives
- 19:41Speaker 2: for them trash all season. So I like Eric Jones
- 19:45Speaker 2: as the driver. I just wish he was in better equipment.
- 19:48Speaker 2: Josh Berry, I probably won't get to any Josh Berry,
- 19:52Speaker 2: Jimmy Johnson fade. Todd Gilliland is going to be a
- 19:57Speaker 2: fade for me as well. That's disgusting. Uh Ryan Priest.
- 20:06Speaker 2: Normally I'm a Ryan Priest, uh Fader, Normally I'm faid
- 20:10Speaker 2: Ryan Priest. But he ran good here. In the springtime
- 20:14Speaker 2: and you need some punts to jam all these high
- 20:17Speaker 2: expensive drivers in. So I'll take a shot on on
- 20:23Speaker 2: Ryan priest to uh to put on a good performance
- 20:26Speaker 2: on Sunday. Daniel Hemric nothing there for me, Shane van
- 20:32Speaker 2: Gisbergen if this was a road course, Yes, do I
- 20:39Speaker 2: think he will have a good day tomorrow?
- 20:42Speaker 4: Yes?
- 20:44Speaker 2: Do I think you should have him in your lineups? No,
- 20:50Speaker 2: he's just not there yet, uh, Corey la joy Fade,
- 20:55Speaker 2: Cody ware Fade, and of course Ryan Blaney Hammer and
- 21:01Speaker 2: Ryan Blaney. And that's it as far as me talking
- 21:07Speaker 2: about the drivers and the starting lineup. As stone Cold
- 21:11Speaker 2: would say, let me get a swig of beer here
- 21:13Speaker 2: for the working man. And I think we're gonna go
- 21:19Speaker 2: ahead and wrap this up because the Trinity Race is
- 21:22Speaker 2: probably over by now and I don't want to see
- 21:24Speaker 2: if I want any money in my single entry. So
- 21:28Speaker 2: that is everything I have for this slate. Again, play
- 21:33Speaker 2: the playoff drivers, play the top six, and yeah, try
- 21:40Speaker 2: to find that value play that. I'll get you there
- 21:42Speaker 2: at the end on Sunday. Any questions on the slate,
- 21:46Speaker 2: as always, please feel free to tag me on Discord
- 21:49Speaker 2: and as always, let's ship it.
- 21:55Speaker 3: Oh.
- 21:56Speaker 2: Dramatic pause.
- 21:56Speaker 3: Now songs had bands, Mother had pass and still mother
- 22:21Speaker 3: hanst mast and still mother hans.
- 22:31Speaker 4: And then still Mother has most hands, Mother and psst
- 22:44Speaker 4: and mons. Still mothers must have been still mother anst
- 22:57Speaker 4: and still another do the spiky