Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 364 - 10/1/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 364 - 10/1/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 364 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I am your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:36
Happy Wednesday. We are officially halfway
0:39
through our work week. More importantly, happy October.
0:42
Or should I say, happy Sox Tober?
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That's right, my Boston Red Sox. I rooted for them as a fan.
0:48
I didn't play him because I saw that that big steam move in
0:50
favor of the Yankees. If you remember, I was talking
0:52
about who, how the Red Sox. Yeah, you know, the I don't want
0:55
to force it as a fan. They do have that divisional dog
0:58
crochet on extra rest. But we did see that line creep
1:01
up like -130 to -140 to New York and they had a sharp bet split.
1:04
So I'm happy as a fan to catch the Red Sox.
1:07
And now the Red Sox up 1. Nothing.
1:10
We have Game 2 today or tonight in the Bronx, I should say, and
1:13
I've won Major League Baseball post season.
1:15
Best bet, best bet for you today guys.
1:17
So just one play. We're going to talk a lot of
1:18
NFL, but it's on the Red Sox Yankees game.
1:21
So stay tuned for that one play for today.
1:24
And then as I mentioned, we're going to continue to kind of
1:27
have this routine, which I'm I'm a routine based person.
1:30
I don't know if you guys are too, but sometimes when you get
1:32
in the groove of things, it just kind of keeps everything moving
1:35
and you know each day you're supposed to do this or that.
1:38
So because it's a Wednesday, we're going to have an early NFL
1:41
sharp report here for Week 5. So I found three games with some
1:45
good sharp line moves coming up this this Sunday.
1:48
Also with some good rhythm edges and good system matches.
1:51
So we'll talk about some of those those early bets here for
1:54
today. I remember yesterday we talked
1:56
some college football with Cincy Vandy and Florida State, all as
2:00
early bets that I'm officially on.
2:02
Now with that being said, before we dive into our baseball and
2:05
NFL Week 5 breakdowns. We went one and O last night, 1
2:09
and O + 0.5 units again. We talked about how it was a big
2:13
number for the Dodgers around -200 beat the closing line at
2:16
some shops they're closer to like -2 O 5 - 210.
2:20
But your wrist betting to wrist, not betting to win.
2:22
So risking 1 unit, got 1/2 unit back.
2:24
We'll take it for a one and O night.
2:27
And we had to sweat a little bit because the Dodgers were up 1:50
2:29
at one point and their bullpen, they brought in two guys who
2:31
could not find the plate at all. But it actually wasn't as close
2:35
as maybe the final score showed 4:50 winner there with the
2:38
Dodgers. So that being said, guys, let's
2:41
transition over to today's sweats.
2:43
So I want to talk actually first NFL, I'll leave the Red Sox,
2:46
Yankees best bet for you here to finish up the pod because I am a
2:50
I'm not only a routine guy, but I'm I'm definitely
2:53
superstitious. I'm a little stitious.
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But yesterday we started with college then finished with MLB
2:58
and it won. So we got to start football
3:00
today and end with MLB hoping that it wins again here.
3:03
But talking about this upcoming week in the NFL, there are three
3:06
games again that fit my my caught my eye, kind of fit our
3:09
model. So let's run through each of
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them. First one, I want to talk about
3:13
9:30 AM Eastern Time. This is over across the pond in
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London, we got the Vikings playing neutral site, the
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Cleveland Browns. So setting the stage for this
3:22
one. Vikings two and two just came
3:24
short against the Steelers annoyed me last week.
3:26
That was dog to fave international favorite, but
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Carson Wentz through pick after pick lost 24 to 21 outright as a
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2 1/2 point neutral site favorite in Ireland.
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Meanwhile the Browns one and three got crushed by the Lions,
3:38
had a good 10 1/2 there and up closing at 10.
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They lost 34 to 10. Did not cover that number.
3:44
So what have we seen across the market for this game overseas?
3:47
Well, this game opened some shops very early, like the Super
3:51
early look head was as high as Minnesota -7 but most of these
3:54
books opened at Minnesota -4 1/2.
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Again, neutral site in London. And what we've seen is steady
4:00
movement toward Cleveland, taking the points of the
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Cleveland. So we've seen the Browns go from
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plus 4 1/2 down 2 + 3 1/2. Obviously that's important
4:08
because if you look in addition to the bet splits, not only is
4:11
the line moving toward Cleveland, but the splits look
4:14
pretty good on the Browns as well.
4:15
Now, they're a little pro and Joe.
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So the Browns are getting 60% of spread bets but 89% of spread
4:22
dollars at DraftKings, but Circa only 29% of spread bets, 75% of
4:28
spread dollars. So both DraftKings and Circa
4:30
with some really good low bets, higher dollar splits here in
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favor of the Browns, which coincides with the line move
4:35
toward the Browns. Now some system matches here,
4:38
dogs off a blowout loss of 20 points or more.
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This is kind of one of my favorite systems.
4:43
It didn't cash with the Browns ironically last week, but you
4:47
get blown out. You come back the next week to
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public, if they bet against you, they're like, man, you stink,
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I'm going to auto fade you again.
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If they bet on you, they're annoyed.
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They cost them money. So you're going to want to
4:56
either layoff or bet against them again.
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So it's the ultimate buy low spot.
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You get blown out. We talked about on the pod too,
5:02
like when you're hot, you're never as good as you think.
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When you're cold getting blown out, you're probably never as
5:06
bad as you think. So that buy low opportunity
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playing a dog off a blowout loss of 20 points or more, which
5:11
matches with Cleveland. That's four and two ATS this
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year, 67% it's 125 and 97 ATS 56% with an 8% ROI since 2018.
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Cleveland will also have some correlative betting value in
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terms of a dog. Low total is a very low total of
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36 1/2. Some books even down to 36.
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So fair amount of expected point scored makes it harder for the
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favorite to cover a little cherry on top here.
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Rhythm popped open the rhythm map.
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Rhythm has Browns plus 1.2. Again, 1.2 game, you're getting
5:43
3 1/2. And I'll tell you this guy, shop
5:45
around. You can still find a four and a
5:47
half. There's an outlier book out
5:49
there. I jumped on DraftKings every
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books plus 3 1/2. But DraftKings is +4 and 1/2 at
5:54
-115 so good opportunity to shop around and get a better price at
5:58
DK. So that's what I jumped on.
6:00
DraftKings plus 4 1/2 at -115 And also you might be saying,
6:04
hey, like, what's the love for Cleveland here?
6:07
Obviously, I'm going to hope that Carson Wentz, you know,
6:09
turns it over more again this week.
6:11
But they did have a quarterback switch.
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The Browns, if you haven't heard, are benching Joe Flacco,
6:16
Flacco, whatever. And rookie Dylan Gabriel, the
6:19
lefty, the short lefty from Oregon.
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He's going to get his first career start.
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So maybe there's some some love for Gabriel.
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Maybe he'll at least put up more points hopefully than Flacco,
6:28
who really struggled offensively.
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But first early bet for me in pocket.
6:32
I found DraftKings still offering at the time of the pot
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I'm looking at right now. Plus 4 1/2 -. 115 or much of the
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markets at 3 1/2. So give me Cleveland 4 1/2.
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That's my first bet. Next bet, Denver Broncos,
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Philadelphia Eagles. Good match up between a couple
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good teams here. Broncos are two and two.
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Just took down the Bengals easily 38 to 3 covering as a 7
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1/2 point home favorite. Meanwhile, the Eagles four and O
6:56
just held off the Bucks 31 to 25 covered as a 3 1/2 point Rd.
7:00
favorite. So what have you seen across the
7:02
market here? Well, this game opened Philly.
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Some shops as high as -5 1/2. Most most shops open though
7:07
Philly -4 1/2 and the public says don't even think about it.
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Play Philadelphia right now. We are currently getting across
7:14
the market 71% of spread bets at DraftKings laying the points
7:18
with Philly at home. However, Philly isn't up to -5 -
7:22
6. This line is down to 3 1/2.
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So if big majority of tickets nearly three out of four on
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Philly, why are the odds makers dropping the line to make it
7:30
easier for the public to cover when they're already on the
7:32
Eagles to begin with? Tells me smart money here went
7:35
Denver and took the points here Denver Aside from this reverse
7:39
line movement, it's also the most heavily bet early 1:00
7:43
start. But they have that sharp RLM and
7:46
they're only getting 29% of spread bets.
7:49
That again, is offering just straight contrarian value.
7:51
Like even if you don't have the sharp RLM to Denver, they're
7:53
just a good bet against the public play.
7:55
But if you dig a little deeper at Circa, only 19% of spread
7:59
bets, but 44% of spread dollars are back in Denver.
8:03
So some good low bets, higher dollars out in Vegas.
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Short Rd. Dogs getting 6 or less has been
8:07
a grinder system since 2015. It's got a 5% ROI, 321 and 271
8:12
ATS 54%. And oh, by the way, Jalen Hurts,
8:16
he's only 17 and 21 against the spread 45% when he's a favorite
8:21
of 3 1/2 points or more. So Publix, Philly Lions going to
8:24
Denver, hopefully, you know, if Denver can kick a winning field
8:28
goal or lose by, you know, one or two, they don't get it
8:31
blocked like last time I bet against Philly.
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But what I also like is our friends at Rhythm have Broncos
8:36
plus 1.7. So again, Rhythm's got around a
8:39
1 1/2 two point game. We're we're you're getting a 3
8:43
1/2 here. But again, got to shop around.
8:45
Guess what, there's still a book offering 4 1/2.
8:49
Every book is at 3 1/2 Denver, but FanDuel is plus 4 1/2 - 118.
8:53
So I jumped on that 4 1/2 FanDuel.
8:56
Again, you got to have multiple outs because if you can get a
8:58
good number, that's like a little bit of an outlier.
9:00
You, you pounce on it. But if you are at a book that is
9:03
pretty much everyone painted across the board, painted just
9:05
means every book is the exact same.
9:07
Probably would want to wait it out.
9:09
So if you only had Denver 3 1/2, I'd wait it out, see if it maybe
9:12
creeps back up. But if you do have that, that
9:14
FanDuel access I jumped on plus 4 1/2 with the Broncos.
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So let's go Denver. Last early bet for me.
9:21
Sunday Night Football, New England Patriots, Buffalo Bills.
9:25
I'm excited for this one. This game open.
9:27
Or should I set the table first by saying Patriots 2 and two
9:31
dominated the Panthers 42 to 13 last week, easily covered as a 5
9:35
1/2 point home favorite. Meanwhile, the Bills four and O
9:38
undefeated beat the Saints 3119, but they actually did not cover.
9:41
They were favored by 14 1/2 and only won by 12.
9:46
Now what have we seen across the market?
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This game opened with most books as high as Buffalo -10 1/2 at
9:52
home. So 10 1/2 point home favorite in
9:54
Buffalo. Yeah.
9:55
Did you see they're going to wear their ice white uniforms?
9:58
Yeah. Yeah.
9:59
Anyway, that's. I saw that on Twitter.
10:00
Everyone's like, oh, they look great and they're OK Anyway,
10:03
line open Buffalo -10 1/2 at home.
10:06
Sharps have clearly gone down on New England.
10:08
New England's gone from plus 10 1/2 all the way down to plus 7
10:12
1/2. Now, we have seen some buyback
10:14
here. Most books are now 8 or even 8
10:16
1/2. So we have some books as low as
10:18
7 1/2, some books as high as 8 1/2.
10:20
So it tells you maybe a little bit of disagreement in the
10:22
market right now, but it's clearly situation we're off the
10:26
opener. It's only move toward the
10:27
Patriots now. DraftKings has Pats 54% of
10:31
spread bets, but 89% of spread dollars.
10:33
Circa has Patriots only 17% of spread bets but 98% of spread
10:38
dollars. So both DraftKings and Circa a
10:41
really good low bets, higher dollar split in favor of the
10:43
Pats big dogs getting 6 1/2 or more.
10:47
They're eight and seven against the spread this year, 53%.
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They're 141 and 114 ATS, 55% with a 6% ROI since 2022.
10:56
And I mentioned this is a Sunday Night Football game.
10:58
So Sunday Night Football, obviously primetime game.
11:01
That would make the Pats A primetime dog.
11:03
Primetime dogs have been good this year.
11:04
Eight and five ATS 62%, they're 149 and 131 ATS 53% with a 2%
11:12
ROI since 2020. But get a load of this.
11:14
When I had my primetime dog system match lit up on the
11:17
paths, I just was curious. I was like, hey, this is a big
11:19
number. What if I do primetime dogs that
11:22
are only the big dogs getting 6 1/2 or more?
11:25
Well, guess what? Primetime dogs getting 6 1/2 or
11:27
more, 56 and 39 against the spread, 59%, 13% ROI since 2020.
11:33
So that's been a pretty good angle.
11:35
Paths would also be a divisional dog.
11:37
So built in familiarity levels, the playing field.
11:39
Divisional dogs 224 and 185 ATS 55 percent, 5% ROI since 2020.
11:46
Mike Vrabel has a dog 30 and 23 ATS 57 percent, 8% ROI in his
11:51
career. And lastly, Josh Allen, he's
11:54
only 14 and 16 against the spread 47% when a big favorite
11:58
of 7 1/2 or more. So we got good splits to the
12:02
Pats lines. Moving to the Pats, I popped
12:04
open my rhythm app and noticed Patriots plus 5.7.
12:08
So good edge off that that current price.
12:10
So this again, a play where I'm going to England primetime dog
12:13
sharp line move. Tons of system matches here, but
12:17
also it's a shop around play because the best number right
12:20
here plus 8 1/2. Now you can get 8 1/2 Patriots
12:24
plus 8 1/2 - 112 at FanDuel and DK -114 at Bally bet.
12:30
But I'm seeing Caesars, Fanatics and bet MGM all at 8 and ESPN
12:34
bet is 7 1/2. So shop around.
12:37
Make sure you get the 8 1/2. That's your best price.
12:39
Plus 8 1/2 - 112. I took the Patriots here 8 1/2.
12:43
So we got the Pats, the Browns and the Broncos.
12:46
Some early sweats if you are so inclined.
12:49
Now let's see if we can rob a bank and get away with it.
12:52
One baseball play for you today guys.
12:54
Obviously post season action. It's been a been a good start
12:57
here as a as a Sox fan, I must say you look back toward
13:00
yesterday. Just some some quick, you know,
13:02
thoughts we have seen so far in the postseason favorites three
13:06
and one straight up unders 3 and 1.
13:09
So fat favorites and unders have both looked pretty good here to
13:12
start. Obviously small sample, but
13:14
think about it this way. Game one got your best starter
13:17
out there. You're expected to win, You
13:19
know, bullpens fresh, You know, chalks obviously has done well
13:23
so far, but also unders. That's what I'm going to focus
13:25
on today, guys. So let's talk about the Red Sox.
13:28
Yankees game. You have Red Sox, Yankees, Red
13:30
Sox obviously huge win yesterday, 3 to 1.
13:32
They're down 1. Nothing looked like they could
13:34
not touch Max Freed. He was dealing.
13:37
But then they got to the bullpen and hung on three to 1.
13:40
So for Game 2 here of the wild card rounds, we have as a
13:43
pitching matchup Brian Baio, the righty going for the Red Sox 11
13:46
and 93.35 ERA. Carlos Rodon going for the
13:51
Yankees, the lefty, he's 18 and nine with a three-point O 9 ERA.
13:55
So we have two good starters here on the bump.
13:58
Now the line is really moved toward the Yankees.
13:59
Yankees open as low as like -160 they're up to like -180 So
14:04
pretty clear Yankees are taking a move here down O1, trying to
14:08
get back on track. But I'm going to focus on
14:10
instead of laying a big price with New York, I'm going to take
14:13
the under here. Guys.
14:14
Give me under 7 1/2. Let's see if we can build a case
14:17
for this under. So the first thing I notice is
14:19
the market this game is it opened at 7, it got bet up open
14:24
at 7:00 and some shops got bet up pretty much 7 1/2.
14:27
But now that it's gotten to 7 1/2, all juices and liabilities
14:30
under. So every book is basically 7 1/2
14:33
under -115 seven and a half under -120.
14:37
So it tells me that again, the more expensive price to play
14:40
would be the under. And there are some books and
14:42
this the importance of if you have the odds logic live odds
14:44
page again, oddlogic.com/josh 123.
14:49
But some books even got down to seven and then back up to seven.
14:51
So anytime you see that ping pong where it kind of goes up
14:54
and down, up and down, but it's always juiced toward the down
14:57
tells me there's liability here on this under.
14:59
Now, aside from the juiced up under, we have DraftKings only
15:03
42% of bets on the under, but 59% of dollars.
15:07
And at Circa out in Vegas, only 42% of bets, but 49% of dollars
15:12
on the under. So you can look at it one way,
15:15
low bets, higher dollars, sharp split toward the under.
15:17
But also it's a contrarian play. You basically have 5860% of bets
15:21
going over, yet you can go contrarian under aside from
15:26
again, the juiced up the bet splits, both pitchers are on 6
15:29
days of rest. So hopefully extra rest, you
15:31
perform even better. But the other angle that I'm
15:34
going to lean on here is a little bit of a weather play.
15:36
Now we haven't bet a windy under in quite a while, but what do we
15:40
always talk about when the wind's blowing in?
15:42
Again, it's a benefit to the under because theoretically a
15:45
warning track or a, you know, first row home run, which
15:49
typically would be a Homer, would be pushed in by the wind
15:51
and be a warning track flyball. That's an out.
15:54
So in this case, we got a windy under system match.
15:57
Now it's going to be a little bit cooler in in New York, 60°
16:00
or so, clear skies, but the wind is blowing in eight to 10 mph
16:05
from left center. So basically we have a windy
16:08
under system match. If you look historically, when
16:10
the wind blows in 10 mph or more, you see the the under
16:14
creep up from like 52% to like 55%.
16:17
So it'll be a benefit here to playing a lower scoring game.
16:21
So we Add all up. Unders are three and one.
16:24
We got these close tight games in every pitch is meaningful.
16:27
Also with the managers, one thing you notice is they're kind
16:29
of quicker to hook a guy like obviously Garrett Crochet, you
16:32
know, he's pitching so well, you had core just leave him in.
16:36
But if you are, but if you're a starter who gets into any kind
16:38
of trouble early, typically you're going to get pulled and
16:41
it's going to be a bullpen game. So it's not like you know you're
16:43
leaving them out there. So maybe the quick hook, the
16:45
rested relievers and starters advantage hopefully to the the
16:49
pitchers and not the offense. But unders are doing well.
16:53
We have a great juiced up under. We got good bats.
16:55
What's to the under? We have a windy under system
16:57
match, so I'm playing in the Bronx Bayo V Rodon Red Sox,
17:02
Yankees under 7 1/2 at -115 So that about does it for episode
17:08
364 of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by
17:12
rhythm. Again, a little bit of a short
17:13
and sweet pod, but on a Wednesday we'll have our again,
17:17
our NFL sharp report. And if we can, you know, drop in
17:20
a baseball player too and then partaken participate in the
17:23
postseason, that's that's fine as well.
17:25
This is part of the pod. We wrap it up and I start first
17:27
as always by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
17:30
out of your day. I know you got busy lives a lot
17:32
going on, but you devote 20 minutes or so, 2025 minutes to
17:36
this these sharp betting breakdowns and insights.
17:38
It means a lot to me. So thank you for listening.
17:41
If you'd like to help me grow the pod, let me know.
17:43
You appreciate the pod. Please give it a five star
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review on Spotify or iTunes If you want to click the review
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button and leave a nice comment. If you want to recommend the pod
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to a friend or hit the follow button that also be very much
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appreciated. Next, if you enjoy this style of
17:57
betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
18:00
focusing on what the market is saying, not what our our biases
18:03
are telling us. We're not betting based on
18:05
opinion betting based on where the money's flowing going
18:08
against the public with the sharps.
18:09
Again, if this style of betting has shown you a blueprint of how
18:12
to approach the market, you now have a north star.
18:15
You know you're focusing on splits and system matches and
18:18
and line moves and all that. Well, if you want to learn more
18:21
about data-driven betting, if you want to let me know you
18:22
appreciate the pod. And also if you have someone in
18:25
your life who maybe wants to get into betting, doesn't know how
18:27
to start, doesn't know what a spread verse of money line is.
18:30
Or maybe you have someone who bets a lot but loses a lot and
18:33
just throws darts and really doesn't have any kind of
18:35
overarching approach. Well, in that case, please go to
18:39
Amazon.com, make me happy and buy my new book Type in the NFL
18:43
Sharp Betting Playbook. Pick up a copy for you or a
18:46
buddy. Again, you can really follow
18:48
along as we go through the NFL season because I wrote it from a
18:50
chronological, you know, offseason win totals, preseason,
18:54
right all, all in a row in an order, which makes it kind of
18:57
cool to read as as you go through the season.
19:00
But grab one for you or for a friend if you'd also like to buy
19:03
my first book, my first baby. It's called the everything guide
19:06
to sports betting. So if you want to pick up one or
19:08
both, it'll mean the world to me.
19:10
Bring them the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
19:12
I'll buy you a beer if you want to tweet me your your photos of
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you holding up the NFL sharp betting playbook or I'll give
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you a retweet of course, or if you want to give it a five star
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review on Amazon, I would love that as well.
19:23
Next, have you downloaded rhythm and juice real yet?
19:25
My two favorite sports betting apps.
19:26
They're all about that data, which is what we're all about,
19:29
and they help me when they're going to help you win.
19:31
They're just another awesome tool in your tool kit or box to
19:34
consider and check off before you bet a game.
19:36
So obviously Rhythm great for their AI backed models and
19:39
predictions for game bets and player props.
19:41
Reminder tomorrow, Thursday night, 6:00 PM Eastern Time,
19:44
myself, my buddy Kate Harper will be hosting the The Rhythm
19:47
Rundown. So we'll talk and talk about
19:49
Thursday Night Football. There's a big move there by the
19:52
way, with a lot of injuries to San Fran.
19:54
Big move in favor of the Rams. They're at one point like -3
19:57
they're all the way up to seven. Maybe teasing down the Rams.
20:00
That can make a lot of sense. Rams could also be a survivor
20:02
play, I must say. But anyway, as I change into a
20:05
betting breakdown. If you want to download Rhythm.
20:09
And join us for the Thursday stream tomorrow night at six on
20:11
Twitter at Josh under score insights.
20:12
We would love to have you. And then also Juice reel,
20:15
another great sports betting app got a lot of great features.
20:18
This part of the pod is where I tell you to go buy my picks and
20:21
not buy my picks, but just follow me tip your podcast host.
20:25
If you go out to dinner, you get good service.
20:27
You tip your waiter, go to the BA, someone treats you right,
20:30
fills up your water glass, gives you another beer when you need
20:32
it. You tip your your bartender will
20:35
tip your podcast host. This pod is free.
20:36
It cost you nothing to listen. I would like to believe I give
20:39
you at least a dollars worth of insights each podcast.
20:42
So if you want to support the team, you can do so by signing
20:45
up to get the all systems go best bet picks officially,
20:47
exclusively and only on the Juice Rail app.
20:50
It costs $4.99 a week. You'll also get the Robo Jackson
20:54
best bet picks the sharp motion indicators, the arbitrage plays
20:57
the shop for the best line features all available when you
21:00
download Juice Rail. So download rhythm, download
21:02
Juice rail, give them a five star review in the App Store.
21:05
Next you have a live odds page. If you don't, you need one.
21:08
It's so important. I don't know how people bet on
21:10
sports without a live odds page. You got to be able to track the
21:12
market in real time. Know what the current number is,
21:15
what the line opened at comparing open to open to
21:19
current. You immediately see which
21:20
direction the line is moving. Pull up the line history.
21:22
You can identify steam when a when a line or odds for any team
21:26
in particular gets lit up in red and then shifts to I believe
21:29
green and then orange. You can also shop for the best
21:32
price which is critical as I'm talking Patriots.
21:34
I'm looking at my Odds Logic live odds page trying to find
21:37
that 8 1/2 and it tells me very quickly which book it's at.
21:40
So give Odds Logic a shot. It's the best live odds page
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around. All you got to do is go to
21:44
oddslogic.com/josh 123. Make sure you do slash Josh 123
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at the end. That'll give you 7 day free
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trial. 50% off your first month, next to last or third to last.
21:56
Do you know what a betting exchange is?
21:59
It's kind of like a sports book, but also it's kind of not like a
22:01
sports book. It's like a sports book because
22:03
it's legal. In a legal state, you deposit
22:06
money. You can bet on games, but it's
22:08
unlike a sports book because instead of betting against the
22:10
house, you're betting against other or fellow betters.
22:13
So when I lose, I'd rather another better hard work and
22:15
better like myself get my money versus the house.
22:18
Also, when you win, you do well. You don't get limited.
22:20
So there's a couple betting exchanges out there.
22:23
You should give novig a shot. NOVIG, Novig download Novig, use
22:28
promo code Josh 123. You're going to get 100% deposit
22:31
match up to 25 bucks. So you put in 25 bucks they give
22:34
you, they give you another 25. It'll be 50, but you could
22:37
deposit 100 and just get your free 25.
22:40
So you'll get better numbers and the juice is always like -110
22:43
minus one O 8 - 1 O 5. Because again, you're not going
22:46
up against a greedy sports book. You're going up against a
22:49
betting exchange. Other betters who have played
22:51
the other side, the opposite side of what you're playing.
22:53
So again, use promo code Josh 123 give no Vega shot.
22:58
So that about does it guys. Episode 364 in the books, as
23:01
always, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
23:04
River in Rhode Island, the Brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
23:06
Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut, the Encore in Boston, Plain
23:09
Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield, the Nash, where I'm
23:12
at in New England. And then also out in the desert
23:14
where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends
23:17
his number runners with the lowest juice possible is found
23:19
at the South Point. Or Sweat and sharp contrarian
23:21
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
23:23
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
23:26
you're going to walk up to me and just flash me a Dodgers
23:29
ticket and then maybe they'll play Randy Newman.
23:34
I love LA, we love it. Flash me a Dodgers ticket.
23:40
I love Randy Newman. First one's on me, next one's on
23:43
you. We'll post about at the book and
23:45
root for a low scoring under 7 1/2 Red Sox Yankees game.
23:49
As always, guys coming off A1 and O&O.
23:51
And one a great night, a terrible night, mediocre night
23:53
weather, hot, cold grinding. Again, we just got to stick to
23:56
the model, stick to the blueprint, never get too high or
23:59
too low. And again, just keep finding
24:01
those games that fit our model. If there's no games that fit the
24:03
model, you got to lay off, you got to have that discipline, you
24:05
got to stick to the bankroll management.
24:06
Betris first bet to win. But here's the key.
24:09
If we find games that fit that model, we fire on a bet and we
24:12
sweat it. So of course, guys, it goes a
24:14
little something like this against the public, with the
24:16
house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
24:20
If we can do that and I'm pretty confident that we can, then
24:23
guess what we're going to be successful sports bettors.
24:26
So have a great Wednesday night, everybody, enjoy Red Sox,
24:29
Yankees, and we'll be back at it tomorrow.
24:32
That'll be episode 365 of the All Systems Go sports betting
24:35
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody, and let's
24:39
get a low scoring Red Sox game. Good luck.