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NBA Tipoff + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Tuesday 10/21/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. The slump,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump, discontinuing news, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you. This is better off dead Tuesday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: October twenty first, two and zero on the show yesterday,
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: and we needed to get them both right to have
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: a winning day, which is usually not a situation I
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: want to be in. It just so happened that I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: liked both those favorites. We had an easy win on
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Flyers, so that obviously worked out well. Toronto
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays probably had to get a little bit lucky
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: on that one. We had to situation where Seattle was
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: winning most of the game. Toronto never had the lead
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: until the final score. It was three to one Seattle
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: fairly late in the game, looked like it was probably
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be over, and they had Bizardo and it was
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: kind of bizarre Dough that they brought him in when
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: they did, because I thought they were gonna be using
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: him as there a closer basically he was in earlier
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: in the game. But I think George Springer hit a
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: three run homer in the bottom of the seventh. I
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: believe I had it on what happened, I don't know.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: I was like, Okay, I guess we're gonna get this one, right,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: even though that ended my bracket with the Mariners going down.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: Never should have picked I should not have picked the
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: Mariners in my bracket, man, but I didn't know who
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: was gonna be injured. The WU actually pitched him relief yesterday,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: but uh, whatever, man, he might have been the pitcher
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: on the mound to when that happened. No, it was BIZARREO.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: I just said that. I think it was BIZARREO that
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: gave up that three run home run. I don't know
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: who put the guys on base though I had it
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: all but I was kind of like paying attention to
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: multiple things. But it was a two and oh day,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: So another winning day on the show. I'm gonna have
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: two hockey plays today and that's gonna be it. I
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: know it is the NBA tip off today, which I
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: thought was three games, but it's two games. I'm gonna
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: talk about them. I am, you know, wearing the appropriate
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: chet holmbern Jersey for that, uh, because because I like
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: the white dudes. Man, it's pretty much it. He's too thin, though,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's up with that. He's got to
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: bulk up, baby, he looks too I don't know how
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: he could like even play physically at all with how
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: thin he is. But we're gonna talk about those basketball games, Jeffrey,
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: what's up man? You like Seattle? There are a couple
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: of professional handicappers, handicappers that I follow were on Seattle yesterday.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: I think I got a little bit lucky on that one.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know who is not Robert Redford. Yeah he's
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: whoa woo awesome, But yeah, he's he's not the natural
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: if that. If that's what you're referring to, it's been
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: a long time since I've seen that movie. All right,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: let's let's get into this. We're gonna start with NHL.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: We do college football tonight as well. Two fairly ugly games.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: To be honest, I think one of them is a
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: lot more ugly than the other one though, all right,
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: although the uglier one is actually the one that I
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: kind of like more. But I'm only gonna have two plays.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: They're both gonna be in hockey here. Hockey. We have
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: a decent slate of hockey here. Today. I'm gonna have
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: a play in the Devil's Devils and Maple Leafs games,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna hold off on that for a minute.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna zoom in here as well. Edmonton and Ottawa
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I will talk about because that is an interesting game,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: one of these cross Canadian matchups here. Edmonton two three
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: and one to start the season. I mean, I think
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: they're better than that record would indicate right now, but
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: they have lost three games in a row to the Islanders,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: the Devils, the Red Wings. They're still on the road here,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: they're finishing the road trip. And sometimes when you haven't
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: had a great road trip they won the first game
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: on the road trip, lost three in a row, sometimes
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: you do get up to try to finish the road
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: trip on the right foot. So I do think they'll
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: actually show up for this, But it is a difficult
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: spot as far as the fact that they're playing three
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: games of four days, all in different cities, and they're
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: playing four games in six days, all in different cities,
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: and actually five games in eight days in different cities too.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: So it's kind of a tough scheduling spot still for Edmondson,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: just because it's so packed with games, so the fatigue
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: factor could be real in this one. Unclear who their
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: goalie is gonna be yet in this one. They use
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: Skinner in the previous game. It looks like he's tentatively
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: the goalie here, but I'm not so sure about that. Well, yeah,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: it might be him again because they used Pickard in
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: the game before that, so I don't know. That remains
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: to be seen. With Ottawa. I'm pretty sure Ottawa has
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: had a lighter schedule and they're staying at home, so
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: it does kind of set up a little bit better
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: scheduling wise for Ottawa. And I do think Otto is
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: better than this two and four record would look. They've
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: actually had two days off, just staying at home to
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: sulk in this loss that they took to the Islanders,
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: which was a game where Otto actually outplayed the Islanders
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: in my opinion, at least, they have way more shots,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: they did out hit them, they did out face off them,
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: and those stats were close. But the game wasn't a
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: game that was like way out of reach or anything
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: like that where Otto would have been like throwing up
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: a lot of desperation shots. That wasn't the case. It
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: was close the whole time. Auto actually blew a two
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: nothing lead in the game. So I do think this
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: sets up better for Ottawa in this one. That would
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: be the way I would lean in this game. Edmonton
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: looks like they're getting some of the money up for
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty seven and minus one thirty eighty eight
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety nine percent or ninety eight percent
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Edmonton. I don't know if that's
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: an accurate representation of where the cash is. I do
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: think Edmonton is a public side though, the public is
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: going to buy more into Edmonton continuing to be good
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: like they have been over the last few years, than
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: buying too Ottawa, and maybe think that maybe Ottawa was
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a fluke last year, although I
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: do think Ottawa is on the rise a little bit.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think Ottawa getting a home underdog price there,
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: maybe there's a little bit of value in that. Let's
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: see what other of these games I want to talk about.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: Vancouver and Pittsburgh is kind of interesting. Vancouver did just
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: beat Washington, which is a pretty big win. They're coming off.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: They were coming off a shootout win over the Blackhawks,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: which we don't want to remember because that was a
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: loss for us on the show with the Blackhawks Vancouver.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: In this game, they actually had a four to nothing
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: lead against Washington and then they give up three goals
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: and it got pretty close towards the end. But Washington
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: did out shoot them all though part of that was
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: because they were losing four to nothing, but Washington did
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: also have more hits and more faceoffs in the in
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: the game there, so Vancouver didn't exactly totally outplay Washington
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: in that once, so maybe a little bit of a
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: misleading result. It's a big win. Now they're playing a
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days, I believe, is what this is.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: All on the road, all in different cities, and they
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: had actually beaten Dallas prior to those other two wins.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: This is it's a step down in class to be
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: facing Pittsburgh. But it also could be a game where
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Vancouver might not take Pittsburgh totally seriously, So I could
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: see them potentially not be totally focused in this game.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: Could be a little bit of a letdown. The problem
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: that I would have with Pittsburgh is they're returning home
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: for a road trip. They've been away for a week.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: They went out to the Pacific coast. And this is
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: also something I talk about. We're when a team returns
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip, them an off for a while.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: They come back home, they have to get their stuff
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: in order, their fares in order, especially here because Pittsburgh
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: actually has to go back out on the road again
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: to face Florida next, which could be a look ahead too,
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: but it does mean they're gonna be like hurried a
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: little bit maybe to get stuff done at home. So
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot for Pittsburgh either here because
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: at first I was thinking maybe Pittsburgh will be a
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: play here, but I don't think I can do it.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: Vancouver as of now has Demco slated as their starting goalie.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: He is their better goalie. Pittsburgh has Jari Jarry is
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: their listed potential goalie here, and I think he is
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: their better goalie better because I don't think either of
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: their goalies are that good. But the money looks like
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: it's indicating on the Pittsburgh side. Vancouver's public sixty percent
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only fifty one percent of the cash Pittsburgh
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: flipped from a plus one oh one dog to a
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: minus one oh nine favorite, So it does kind of
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: look like Pittsburgh is the side of the market is
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: indicating on, but bad situation for both teams. I don't
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: think I want to do it. I will point out
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: that Seattle, I believe, is the only team today that's
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: actually in a back to back. I think they're the
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: only one. They played yesterday. We faded them yesterday with Philadelphia,
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: So Seattle just something to keep in mind. They're going
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: to Washington and they have no time off. Washington very
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: heavy favorite, though Washington also coming off a loss, so
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna look at this game, I'd probably
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: be looking towards taking Washington in regulation or something like that.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Washington took that somewhat misleading loss against Vancouver. The problem
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: I would have with that is that they had a
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: four game win streak prior to that that was snap.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: So sometimes when a team has a win streak snapped,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: that loss can kind of hang them over into the
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: next game. But I don't love the Seattle back to
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: backspot either, even though I know they lost last night
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: to not a very good team. May have been looking
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: ahead to this game Washington eighty nine percent of tickets,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the cash can't be accurate minus
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: two forty five on the money line. I would probably
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: still slightly lean to Washington in regulation in that one though,
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: but that's not a strong opinion obviously. Florida at my
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Boston Bruins. Of course, the Bruins get this big matchup
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: against Florida, which you know, the are gonna be focused
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: on Florida because it's where Brad Marshaan went. Bruins. Basically,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: they kind of have this recent rival rivalry rivalry with Florida,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: plus Florida eliminated them the last two times the Bruins
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: are in the playoffs, plus Florida won the championship the
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: last two years. It's a big game for the Bruins.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: The problem is the Bruins are returning home from a
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: road trip. Very difficult spot. Actually, the returning out of elevation.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: They went all the way to the Pacific time zone first,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: lost all three games on the road trip. Some people
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: would think this might that might mean this is a
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: bounced back spot. I don't believe in that. I think
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: that the return home for a road trip typically a
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: bad spot. I think The only thing that kind of
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: takes away from it being a really bad spot is
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: the fact that it is an opponent that they're going
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: to be focused for. But yeah, the Bruins not a
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: good road trip. They're not a good team. They will
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: have Swayman back in net here because Corpora Salo played
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: in their last game and they had a close game
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: against Utah. At least Utah off to a good start
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: this year. The other two losses were Togas and Colorado,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: and those are really good teams. Bruins in really a
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: tight schedule here though. They're playing a third game in
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: four days, fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: and now returning back home, so they have to do
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: stuff back at home when they get back home. This
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: game is more important than their next game up, which
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: is Anaheim. Though that Anaheim game, it's looking like that
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: game is going to be a fade of the Bruins
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: because the Bruins are gonna be coming off of Florida
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: game and they have a revenge game against Colorado quick
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: revenge up after that, so possibly gonna be looking towards
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Anaheim in the next game for the Bruins. This game,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna stay off of but I would lean
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: to Florida on this one. Florida is already out in
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: the Eastern time zone here. They just played at Buffalo
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: and they had an embarrassing loss. They got shut out
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: three and nothing. Currently, right now, it looks like Bobrovski
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: is slated to be in net for Colorado, for for Colorado,
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: for Florida here he is their better goalie. We will
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: see if that is the case here. Uh. I think
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: that Buffalo game, as we talked about, sorry, Jeffrey, as
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: we talked about on the show, or I talked about it,
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: I thought that was kind of a sandwich spot potentially
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: for Florida because it was a big game against New
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: Jersey that they played, and then the Bruins, I mean,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: just because of the name the Bruins, I think that
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: captures your attention more than a Buffalo game would. But
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: now I do think Florida is kind of in a
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: bounce back here off of that one. That was just
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing game. And I think because this is the
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: last game of the road trip and they've had an
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: zero for four road trip so far, I do think
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: that's a motivation, a motivational aspect of this game two
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: for Florida. They're up for minus one, minus one fifty
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: five on the money line, eighty five percent of tickets,
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the cash on Florida. Yeah, if
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: I was gonna do it, it would be money line
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: on Florida, where maybe like find a way to split
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: bet that on the puck line and the money line.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: LA at Saint Louis. Saint Louis is coming up a
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: big win man over the Dallas Stars. That was a
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: win that we had on the show. I gave out
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis as a play in that one. They've had
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: a couple of days off. But when you have a
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: couple of days off after a huge win like that,
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: I actually don't think that's helpful. So I think that
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis they could be in a bit of a
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: letdown spot here man, and they could just be kind
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: of using that time to kind of just sit in
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: that win and think about it and be overconfident about it.
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: Although LA is a decent team, but right now they
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: have not started off the season decent. They're one three
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: and two might be a bit of the more hungry
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: team here. The problem is they're coming off a difficult
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: game too. Man, that was a loss for us on Saturday.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: My late ad on the La Kings there on No
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Kings Day and they tied the game and then lost
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: in overtime against a very good Carolina team who Carolina
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: might be the best team in the NHL. That was
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: a tough game for the Kings. The one good thing
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: for the Kings is they get to start a road
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: trip here. They also have two days off, so they
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: get to kind of put that in the past a
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: little bit at least and get out of there go
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: out on the road. So the fact this is a
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: tough overtime game, a couple of days off might help
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: them a little bit. And again, travel isn't that bad
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: in this case. When you start a road trip, you
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: usually focused to get the road trip off on the
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: right foot. Sometimes that's the best thing for you when
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: things aren't going well at home. So I think the
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: Kings are the better side in this game. The money
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: is completely disagreeing with that, though, and I don't really
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: understand it. Saint Louis up for minus one thirteen to
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty one on the money line, sixty eight
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the Kings seventy one percent of
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: the cash on Saint Louis, So it is a big
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: cash versus ticket disparity in that game. And I don't
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: really I don't really agree with it. I don't see it.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: So that's just my thought on that Florida is not
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: good anymore. Uh, They're not as good as they were
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: the last two years. I mean, as you know, they
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: do have a ton of injuries, but I'm not gonna
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: say they're bad. I still think they're probably a playoff
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: team unless we see otherwise. I mean, New Jersey's good.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: That was one of their losses. Detroit has started off well,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: but yeah, Buffalo and Philly are pretty ugly losses. I
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: don't know, and they don't have any impressive wins yet.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Their best win is the one over Ottawa. But yeah,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: I don't think. I don't. I don't think Florida is
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: quite as bad as people think they are right now, though.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think they're like a bad team
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden, all right, and then Anaheim Nashville
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the game that I have the other
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: play in. Uh, yeah, that's about it. I mean Colorado
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: Utah is just interesting. This high elevation matchup here. Colorado
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: still is not lost in regulation yet. Their only loss
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: is a shootout loss to Dallas, who's one of the
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: other best teams in hockey. It's probably right now between Dallas, Carolina,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: and maybe Colorado as far as which one of those
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: teams is the best team. Colorado going out on the
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: road here with a couple of days off those a
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: couple of days off actually could hurt their momentum because
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: when you're winning like Colorado's, then you don't really want
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: to have a lot of days off. So it's actually
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: kind of a problem. I think they've had a few
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: days off here. It might stall their momentum a little bit.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Uh don't know who's gonna be a net for them
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: today is Wedgewood has been their goalie in every single
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: game so far, so he's a grinder man. But it
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: is possible that Colorado is a little bit more focused
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: on this game back home against Carolina. They take this
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: one weird trip to Utah and then they go back
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: home to Carolina. Seems like a little bit of a
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: weird spot to be honest. Both these teams just beat Boston,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: so nobody's really gonna put much weight into any of that.
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think Utah they have a good record so far,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: but I also think they're overrated because their best win
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: is I guess probably the one against Boston, because Nashville, Calgary,
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: San Jose, those are all terrible. Utah had a loss
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: to Chicago as well, and their only good opponents so
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: far was Colorado. But this is Colorado again here. It
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a bit of a revenge spot for Utah.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Quick revenge matters a little bit like because they remember
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: they lost to Colorado and their home opener, So I
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: think Utah is gonna be a little bit more focused
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: for this other momentum. I continue because they did have
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: only one day off and they're coming off kind of
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: an easy win and Vana check was a net for
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: that one, so they will have Vamelka back in net
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: this time. Who is they're better goalie? So I would
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: have a slight lean to Utah and this one and
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: the money. He seems to be disagreeing with that too.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: It is Colorado's from my one tho minus one thirty eight,
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: cash on Colorado. I'm disagreeing with the market a lot.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: The early market read in hockey is like it's it's
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: tough man, because like you'll see these numbers completely shift
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: around during the day, So I have to kind of
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: rely on my situational handicapping more so than the market read,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: although some of the market reads will kind of stay
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: the way that they are. But still, like, if I
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: see a market well, if I see a market read
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: in addition to the situation, I'm like, yeah, that looks good.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: But if I see a situation that I like, I'm
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: gonna go with that over the early market read during
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: the day, maybe I'll wind up fading the late market
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: read too. But yeah, these early hockey market reads, I
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: think it's weird because it's a daily sport. Not a
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: lot of action comes in on the hockey, especially when
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: other sports are going on. So the percentages that you
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: see here, not a lot of it is like truly
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: like recreational bets, Like a lot of it is professional bets.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: Like a higher percentage of these bets are professional than
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: in other sports, just because that's the way it is
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: with hockey. So you can see these percentages kind of
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: shift dramatically, if you know, like the professionals are trying
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: to do something early on to fuck with the market
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: or something like that. So those are my thoughts on
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: all that, and then let's go to the best. We'll
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: go best bets right now, and then we're going to
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: talk about the NBA and the college football. First bet
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: is probably the strongest one, and that is the Toronto
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: Maple Leafs minus one eighteen the Devils, the Devils or
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: public here sixty nine percent to take it, sixty eight
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash. It looks like the Devils are
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: one of those dreaded public road underdogs here, which is
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: not what you want. I think Toronto solid team, flying
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: under the radar right now. Looking at the starting goalies
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: for this one, right now, it looks like probably you're
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: gonna get both starters Jake Allen. It's interesting with the
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: Devils because they started out using Mark Stroum, and now
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Allen has kind of turned into their first string goalies.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but it will be Allen again. I
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: think they're both solid goalies, but I'm still gonna fade
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: them in this situation. May believes as of now, look
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: like they're probably gonna go with Stolar, so it is
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: their better goalie. Hopefully that does wind up being the
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: case here. But I like the situation for Toronto too.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: The Devils. They started off four and one, really good
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: start for the Devils. They played a pretty difficult schedule too,
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: so it's not like that misleading. They're one losses to Carolina.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: They beat Tampa, Florida, Edmonton, solid wins. But they're coming
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: off those wins against Florida and Edmonton. Now they have
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: this one game on the road up to Toronto. Kind
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: of a weird spot, man, Like, it's not a road trip,
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: so it's not like, oh, we want to get the
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: road trip off on the right foot starting road trip.
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: It's more like, I think they're gonna have their momentum
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: stopped a little bit, and they're coming off wins. It
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: gets both Stanley Cup finalists from the last two years,
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Florida and Edmonton. We're both in the Stanley Cup finals
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: last two years. Those are both big wins for New Jersey. Man.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Now they have a couple of days off, so they
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: kind of basking, and I think it kind of hurts
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: their momentum a little bit. Now they can take this
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: one trip just up to Toronto. It's kind of a
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: strange spot. Yes, they have played three road games earlier
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: in the season. Their one loss was one on the road,
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: so at least there is that. Yeah, I just think
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: it's not the greatest spot. Even though Toronto generally is
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: a team that will draw your focus, Toronto might be
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: a little bit more of the hungry team here, especially
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: because they've also had multiple days off, but they're not
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: traveling and they get to use those days off to
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: rest after back to back overtime games. So it probably
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: will be stilars here because they've had two days off
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: and it's a big game, bigger than this Buffalo game
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: is gonna be in a few days. This is actually
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: a game that Toronto should have maximum focus on because
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: they have two days off before and two days off
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: after it, so this is the only game that they
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: have to focus on pretty much for the entire week.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: So I think that's actually good. It means you're gonna
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: get more focused from Toronto as well. And the fact
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: that they lost their last game against Seattle, and I
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: think it was in misleading fashion too, it was, you know, overtime.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: I still don't think Seattle's that could have a team
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: as we know. I faded them yesterday and they took
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: their first regulation loss yesterday. I think Toronto is the
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: better team. Toronto wound up losing this game, but if
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: you look at the stats, Toronto did slightly outplay Seattle.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: They had more hits, more shots only by one, but
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: they also dominated the face off battle. So a game
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: that statistically it was close, but it looks like Toronto
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: maybe should have won that game. I do think Toronto
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: will be focused here and try to get this one,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: get this one done. I think again, the public is
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: on New Jersey right now because of their hot start,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: but New Jersey I think is only slightly better than
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: Toronto is. I think it sets up a lot better
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: for Toronto. So that is what we will go with
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: in that game. As far as New Jersey against Edmonton,
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: by the way, I think I looked at this box scoring,
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: I kind of thought that this was a little bit
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: misleading too. Yeah, New Jersey, even though they were at home,
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: the Oilers one fifty eight percent of the face offs,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: and the Oilers outshot them thirty to twenty three. Even
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: though yeah, you could argue that maybe that was because
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: the Oilers were behind four to one, so they started
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: throwing up a bunch of shots. Yeah, that's true, but
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: I still think it was a bit misleading. Just statistically,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: it looks like the game should have at least been
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: closer than it was. Devils did also put up an
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: empty net goal in that game, so just other things
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind. But yeah, I think this is
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: a good spot to play Toronto. So that's the first game,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: and the other game is gonna be going against the
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: market read and we're going back to the well with
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: the Anaheim Sucks here the Anaheim Ducks. But we're playing
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: against a pretty bad team again, although I know we
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: did last time too, we played Anaheim against Chicago. We're
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: gonna fade Nashville in this one. And the money is
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with me on this one strongly. Don't really get it.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: Anaheim has seventy seven percent of tickets, Nashville eighty two
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash. This almost just looks like last
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: year again. It seemed like the professional money was constantly
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: on Nashville last year in Nashville just sucked. Like the
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: professionals I think lost a lot of money on Nashville
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: last year, and I lost some money on Nashville last year.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: I think I took them more times than I should have,
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: although I kind of avoided them more than just like
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: the general professional money did I remember I did have
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: one win on Nashville against the Bruins last year, but
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: National is up for minus one twenty eight to minus
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: one twenty nine. I think Nashville is in a bad
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: spot here, and we're actually getting a decent underdog price
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: on Anaheim here. So that's what I'm gonna go with
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: here in Nashville. Two to two and two to start,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's not a horrible record here. Yes, they're
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: gonna have sorrows and so fucking ad block man hate
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: when that comes up, just you know, throws me off.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: Don't expect it. Fucking bullshit. I wonder if there's a
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: setting I could change that. I get pissed every time
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: it happens, especially during the show Nashville. They're returning home
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. Man. So even though yeah, I
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: mean they're two two and two right now, so the
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: public is kind of off of them just because they
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: do a four losses. I think the public generally, I
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: thought the public would think that, oh, when a team
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: returns back home, they're gonna bounce back because Nashville just
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: had a pretty bad road trip where they won against
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: Ottawa and then they lost to Toronto, Montreal and Winnipeg.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: I mean those are all pretty solid teams though, So yes,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: it is true National it's pretty battle tester right now.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: So that's one thing I do worry about a little bit.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: They've had a difficult schedule so far, but they've been
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: on the road for more than a week man, and
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: they went up to eastern Canada and then they had
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: to go all the way to the Canadian Prairie basically
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: to Winnipeg, and now they're coming back home. Yes, they
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: have two days off and that could help like disrupt
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum, but it's still a return home spot
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: where they've been away for a week man and they
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: did a lot of travel. So I think it's a
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: bad spot, your return home again, you have life to
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: get back to. It can distract you a little bit.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: This Anaheim team is not a very good team, and
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: they do have a bigger game up next against Vancouver.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: They actually have Vancouver, La, Dallas, Tampa all up next
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: to Those are all bigger games than this Anaheim game is.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: So it's a return home spot, and it kind of
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: looks like a sandwich spot to me, So I think
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is actually in the better spot here. Anaheim is
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: sitting at two to two and one right now, similar records.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: I don't really know why Anaheim is the massively public
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: team right now. I'm not sure I buy that Anaheim. Yeah,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: I know there are schedules in weeks so far. The
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: only good opponent they faced so far as Carolina, but
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: their schedule has been a little bit less tightly packed.
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: They only have one day off right now, but they're
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: only traveling from Chicago to Nashville. It's not a huge
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: travel leg. And they lost that game against Chicago. Maybe
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: should have won it. We lost that on the show
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: in overtime. It's an ugly loss. So I think Anaheim
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: is gonna try to be in bounced back mode from that.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: As of right now, I'm expecting Dostal to be in
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: net again for Anaheim, hopefully because Marazak was really bad
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: in his one start. But I think it's gonna be
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Dostile Dostal, however you pronounce his name. I think it
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: will be him again, but maybe it won't be. Nashville
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: is almost certainly gonna go with Sorrows. So yes, National
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: does have the better goalie in this game, but last
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: year that didn't matter at all. Sorrows was in there.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: Nashville is still losing all over the place. So yeah,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: I think it's a good spot to get to Anaheim
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: as an underdog man, And that's what I'm gonna do,
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: despite what the market is doing here. Anaheim underdog money
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: line leafs Yeah, hell yeah. Yeah. George Soros, Yeah, Juice Soros,
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: Juice simolet. Yeah, it's a juicey Sorrows I think is
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: his name. He's actually he to I think he's like
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: one of the better goalies in all of hockey. Man,
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: just he's on such a bad team. And I don't know.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Last year he did not have a good year, so
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Man. All right, let's go to NBA
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: and then I'll talk about college football. I always talking
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: about football. Last week two NBA games here, of course.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: The first one up seven forty pm Eastern, which is
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: gonna be I assume I thought it was gonna be
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: on ESPN. It's not. It's on NBC in Peacock. Both
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: these games are so NBC Peacock doubleheader of course, if
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: one game runs into the other, like with the NFL
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: last night, the first game, I think we'll continue to
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: be aired on I assume NBC will just continue to
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: air the end of it, and then the other game
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: you'll have to start watching on Peacock. The first game
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: maybe is a little bit more of the interesting one,
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: although we're looking at four teams that all made the
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: playoffs last year. The first game is Houston at Oklahoma City,
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: because of course Oklahoma City gets the first game, kind
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: of like the NFL does. The previous year's champion gets
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: to have the first game at home. They get to
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: raise the banner, and I can see that going both ways.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: To be honest, I could see the banner raising being
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a distraction. You kind of get
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: over confident a little bit, and your opponent kind of
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: comes in and gets a little bit more fired up
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: to try to beat you, because you already want to
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: beat the returning champs, But like if they raise their
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: banner in front of you, it kind of motivates you
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: a little bit more. So. The money is coming in
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: on the rockets here. I'm not going to necessarily disagree
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: with that, but I have some issues with the Rockets
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: as well. Will one major issue really and you might
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: know what that is if you follow me. The Thunder
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: up from six and a half to seven. So the
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Thunder getting a lot of respect. Yes, they were the
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: best team in basketball last year. They won the title
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: as well. They're really good at home, very very good
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: for sure. The Rockets are still kind of this up
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: and coming team that's snuck into the playoffs last year,
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: and I believe they actually made it to the second
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: round if I'm not mistaken in the PLA last year.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Nice little run for the Rockets last year. I don't
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: believe they met up with Okay Seed during the playoffs though,
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: so it's not gonna be like a playoff revenge scenario here,
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: I don't believe. Am I wrong about that? I don't
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: think I am. Houston beat Golden State last year? I think,
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: and then they lost to uh who do they lose to?
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember. I'm gonna look right now. I
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: should have looked beforehand. No, they lost at Golden State.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? Hey, gold that's right, Golden State
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: eliminated them, of course. Yeah, I don't know why I
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: forgot that. Yeah, that's correct. Yeah, so that was a
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: seven game series. Yeah, so Houston did not win their
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: first series in the playoffs. My mistake because I was thinking,
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: who else did they play but Oklahoma City. I mean,
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: basically their entire team is coming back, so they're gonna
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: be obviously one of the best teams again. You know,
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: Sga is here. Jalen Williams is out right now, though,
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: so somebody keep in mind. Williams was a key component
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: for their team last year, that big run of theirs,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: so he's like the one main issue here. He's the
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: one guy that's out from their starting lineup. So so I'm
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: gonna keep in mind not Jalen at Williams, by the way,
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Jalen Williams. They're pronounced the same. What do you want
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: me to do? J A L E? And the starting
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: at Jalen Williams is out, so I think Caruso is
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up starting instead. I mean, it'll downgrade Oklahoma
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: City a little bit. Like Williams is one of those
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: like role players that I think doesn't like get totally
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: enough respect Houston though. I think Houston's got some issues
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: here too. The main thing is, we know what they
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: did over the offseason, they added Kevin Durant. They traded
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: uh I forget who they traded for him. They traded
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: one of their young dudes. I think from last year.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: They trade them. They still have smith Sengoon, however you
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: pronounce their names. They're good. Durant. I'm not a fan, man.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: I think Durant is well past his prime. I think
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: this was a stupid move by Houston. I mean, yeah,
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: you're getting a lot of experience with Durant, but when's
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: the last time he did it anything. I mean, I
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: guess it wasn't that long ago, but it was when
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: he was with Golden State. Durant was kind of a
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: train wreck when he was on Phoenix, man, So I
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: think he's passed his prime. I don't think he's a
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: very good team player, to be honest, And I think
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: that this is a It's a problem in like the
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: first game too, because when you add like a huge
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: star player like this and he's gonna be in the
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: starting lineup like this, I think it takes a little
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: while for that team to gel. Like basketball is a
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: sport where like chemistry matters the most. Because you only
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: got five guys out there on the court, you really
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: need chemistry in basketball, and when you add a new
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: component like that, that's gonna be a guy who wants
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: to be like the guy that could completely shift the
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: dynamics of the team, and these other guys won't be
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: used to it. Durant won't be used to playing in
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: this lineup. So I can't do anything with the Rockets
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: in their first game in the of the radio season
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: with this new lineup. I know, yeah, they played in
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: preseason a little bit whatever, but I can't do it, man,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: So I just got to stay away. I mean, I'm
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: not even sure if I actually necessarily agree with the
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: Rocket side in general. To be honest, I think the
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: Durant issue, I think is actually the biggest issue. I
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: think that's that's worse than the fact that the Thunder
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit distracted or whatever. So I
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: might actually slightly lean into the Thunder in that game,
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: to be honest, but it's not definitely not something I
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: want to do. Five is a key number. There are
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of key numbers in basketball, but it's mostly
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, a lot of the numbers are key, but
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: they're not as significantly key as in football. But like
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: two and three, one two and three are kind of
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: the most key, maybe four a little bit, five I
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: think is less. So the real key number in the
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: NBA is seven. Though in basketball in general, like the
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: most key number is seven because that's the three score threshold.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: Teams stop intentionally fouling at the end when they fall
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: down seven, So seven is like by far the most
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: key number in basketball. The rest of the numbers don't
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: matter as much. Fernando, what's up man? You like the
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: the under in the game or Rockets team total under? Yeah,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: it looks like the money's coming in on the over here,
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: But I don't really disagree with you. Seventy four tickets
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on the over. I mean,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: it's the first game of the season, first game of
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: the season. Your offense isn't like completely clicking yet, and
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: especially with the Rockets, because again they have that huge
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: new component with Durant. So I kind of like that
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: Rocket team total under because I think their offense is
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: gonna take a little while to get going. It's easier
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: to just get going on defense, and it's easier for
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: the first game of the season to just be out
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: there playing defense. Like offenses start a little bit slower,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't disagree with that. I don't really know
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: why the money's coming in on the over in this one.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: Total is up to yeah, two twenty eight, which is
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: a somewhat high total. Yeah, so I agree with that.
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: I think the Rockets team total under is maybe the
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: better of those ideas defense for a few games. Yeah,
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: and then we do have a Warriors Lakers is the
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: late game here at LA of course, Golden State at
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: LA also nbcpacock ten pm Eastern. The market read on
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: this one is actually somewhat strong. I would say the
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: Warriors flip from a three and a half three and
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: a half dog to a three point favorite. That's because
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: Lebron is out. So I think with Lebron in the game,
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: the Lakers are gonna be a three and a half
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: point favorite. And Lebron just because he's Lebron, I don't
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: think he's worth that many points, to be honest, man,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: So just because he's Lebron, the line moved six and
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: a half points to a point where the Warriors are
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road at the LA home opener. That
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: seems insane to me. Fifty nine percent of tickets on
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: the Warriors fifty four percent of the casual on the Lakers.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: It's basically an injured player spot for the Lakers because
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: you know the team's gonna have to step it up
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: without Lebron. But is Lebron really worth six and a
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: half points at this point? Man? He's like, what is
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: he forty years old? I mean, yeah, he's a superstar.
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah he's still pretty good, but he's not like this
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: dominant player that he once was. Man, So I think
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: he's being overvalued in the market just because he is Lebron.
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: So I am going to agree with the market in
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: this one. I do lean to the Lakers in this one,
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: almost tempting to actually play it like just because I
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: think the market overreacted, but I want to have a
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: little bit more than that to bank on, more so
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: than just a market overreaction on its own. Golden State,
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: they do have one new starter basically this year, which
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: is my guy, Al Horford, no longer on the Celtics.
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: Thought he might retire. He's actually gonna be starting for
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: the Warriors tonight, it looks like so he's in there.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: So that's the one kind of main change for Golden State.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: Other than that, I think their lineup is pretty much
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: the same, though it's still Steph Curry. Moody is out though,
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: so it looks like Healed is probably gonna slip into
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: that shooting guard role. Butler's day to day but I
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: think is going to play. Butler was one of their
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: late additions last year. But at least with Butler, he
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: got like a bunch of games under his belt with
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: Golden State, so I think he does have some chemistry
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: with them at this point. And Draymond is still there too,
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: But I mean this is an aging team though, Like
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: when when your youngest guy, well, Buddy Heald is gonna
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: be the youngest guy I guess in their starting lineup,
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: But when Butler is really like the youngest guy and
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: you're like like in your primary four guys, I don't
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: think that's a great sign either. So yeah, man, I
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: mean this is an old Golden State team. I'm gonna
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: call them Olden State from now on. In LA, of course,
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: with their depth, we know they have Luca who at
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: least got some games you know, under his belt with
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: LA last year. It'll be him Reeves hachimor eighton who
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: they added late last year too, and Vanderbilt, I guess
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: is gonna slip into that role where Lebron is out.
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. The Lakers have a pretty thin
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: roster in my opinion, so I don't know, man. I
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: think that's what kind of was that was their downfall
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: last year. I think that they don't have a whole
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: lot of depth, and I still don't think they do.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: But this is game one where everybody's coming out there fresh.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: I agree with the market again. I would take the
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: points with the Lakers in this one. It's their home opener.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Lebron's being overvalued in the market. Like they can win
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: without Lebron. They were able to do it with Lebron.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, he got a lot of rest at different
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: points last year, and like they're used to playing without Lebron,
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: so they could definitely do that. It's just a matter like,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: are the Lakers gonna like completely gel I don't know,
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: But at least eighton and Butler or what am I saying?
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: Eighting a Butler on the on the wars? But at
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: least the Lakers with fucking Luca, No, Luca and Aytan
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: are on the war on the Lakers? What am I saying? Yeah,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: Luca and eight and Yeah, at least they got some games.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: I'm all messed up this morning. They at least got
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: some games under their belt, you know, playing together with
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, so the chemistry will have built up a
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: little bit there. So that's what I meant to say.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: The Older State Wars. Yeah, you have Calves to win
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: at plus seven sixty. Uh, interesting, They're gonna be good.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know. I would have to
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: think about that. I don't know. The price almost seems
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit too low, but maybe maybe not. Because
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: of the way the way Cleveland just exited the playoffs
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: last year, maybe there is some value on that. I
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: do think they're gonna be one of the contenders, especially
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: because the Celtics are not going to be a threat
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: in the Eastern Conference this year. So you know, I
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: don't mind that actually, And you're gonna probably have some
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: hedging opportunities later, all right, college football, and then I
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: will get out of here. Yeah, the Calves, I mean,
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: they were better than they looked last year, but that
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: Indiana team had more playoff experience than the Calves did.
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: I think that definitely played a role in what happened
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs there and the Calves. I had to
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: deal with some The Calves were pretty injured in the
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: playoffs last year too. I'm still not totally sure how
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: good the Calves are though, Like, are the Calves one
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: of those teams is just really good during the regular
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: season and then not really great in the playoffs. I
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: don't really know, man, I'm not sure. Yeah, they're really
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: good in the regular season. Yeah, Celtics are weaker. I
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, Because even last year, I thought the
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: Knicks were better than the Calves. Like I kept saying,
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: the Knicks had a better chance to win the conference
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: in the Calves did last year, and I'm not sure
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: that I would disagree with that sentiment again this year.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: But I don't have to look and see, like what
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: the situation is college football? We have what is this
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: two Conference USA games here with Kansas State and Florida
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: International up first at seven pm Eastern on ESPN two.
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: Kanansas State actually kind of sneaky right now, man. They're
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: a four and two right now. After they're really new
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: to the FBS, and they had a really bad season
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: last year, but they've definitely improved this year. They actually
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: played Wake Forest really close earlier in the season, they
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: got blown up by Indiana, but whatever. Since then, they've
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: reeled off four straight wins. They're coming out of a
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: bye though, and I think that buy might actually be
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: unhelpful to Kennesaw because they went into the buy on
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: a four game win streak, including blowing out Louisiana Tech
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: in their last game, and that was as a home underdog.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech not a bad team, and they were a
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite on the road at
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: Kennessa and Kennesaw annihilated them thirty five to seven. And
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: if you look at the stats here, Kennisaw did out
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: gain them, but Louisiana Tech did have two turnovers as well,
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: which kind of led to why the game was such
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: a blowout. Kennisaw did outgain them by almost one hundred
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: yards still, though, so they did outplay Louisiana Tack, although
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: not as much as it looked like on the scoreboard.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: And when a team goes into a buy on a
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: really good note like that, a four game wins streak,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: a big upset like that, I think the buye is
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a momentum stopper. So I don't
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: really love how the sets up for Knansaw Kennessas I
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: you also have to kind of look into what they're
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: doing with their quarterback here, because Williams the Second I
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: guess was their starting quarterback early in the season. Maybe
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: he got hurt and then they had owed him in
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: there for a while. Williams the Second came back, I
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: guess in their most recent game, so maybe that is
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: going to help their offense. I don't really know. I
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: don't know much about Kansas State's personnel. I know they
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: didn't really have much of anything last year. But just
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: something to keep in mind. Although Odam is more of
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: a dual threat quarterback, it looks like them Williams is,
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: so just something that to keep in mind. Although I
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: think Kenasaw is the better team over FIU. Although Kennesaw,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, there are other wins besides Louisiana Tech one
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: are not that impressive. They beat FCS Merrimack. They beat
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State and that was a game I gave out
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: on the show on Kennesaw there. Arkansas State was in
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: a really bad spot. We got that one right. Kennisaw
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: is an underdog there and then Kennessa only beat Middle
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: Tennessee by eight. Middle Tennessee is awful this year, so
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it's hard to gauge what Kanasas State
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: really is right now. In a way, I don't think
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: they're as good as their record looks. Florida International FIU
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: they faced the more difficult schedule than KANASA. They've played
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Penn State, they played Delaware. I mean, we know what
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: Penn State has been doing, but Penn State is still
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: a really difficult opponent for a team like FU to face.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: FIU beat FAU, who's been a decently competitive team, Delaware
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: who's actually been pretty good in their transition to FBS,
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: Yukon who actually looks like they're headed to another bowl here,
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: so that Yukon is not an easy team to face either.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: And then in their most recent game, FIU did beat
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. FIU does not have a bye, but they're
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: also coming off an upset win that was kind of
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: a big win. They went to Western Kentucky. I think
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky maybe a little bit overrated this year, though
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: they are five and two right now. Western Kentucky was
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: a nine and a half point favorite in that game,
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: and Florida International was able to beat them. Western Kentucky
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: was minus three in turnovers. That kind of made the
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: game a little bit worse. But FIU did also outgain
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: them by over one hundred yards, so it wasn't totally misleading.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: But they aren't coming off a big upset, and their
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: upset was a little bit bigger than Kennisaw's was. But Kennesaw,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: I think that buy came at a bad time. I
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: do think both teams will get up for this because
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: this is a midweek primetime game, and I think the
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: home team actually gets up a little bit more for
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: a midweek primetime game like this. But I know the
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Kanisaw because I looked at
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: the market earlier. So I think it's basically the professionals
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: are actually saying that Kennisaw is actually the better of
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: these two teams, which may be the case because I
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: don't think either of these teams are really that good.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Jenkins is back for FIU, which I thought FIU was
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: kind of a passing first offense with Jenkins in there,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: like because that's what they were doing last year, I think,
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: but it was like they're actually more of a run
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: based attack now with Owens as their lead rush sure
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: in every single game though, so I don't know. But
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in a Kennesaw. It looks like FIU
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: is a public home underdog, which is crazy the public.
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: Even though Kennisaw is the better record, the public is
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: still not not wanting to do it Kennesaw from one
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: to three here seventy three percent of tickets, fifty six
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on FIU. That type of market
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: read is a red flag to me. When you have
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: a home underdog like that getting a lot of the
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: ticket percentage, I tend to want to go against that. So,
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: because I think both teams are kind of in a
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: bad spot let down spoty, man, I guess I'll agree
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: with kennasas state, but it's not a strong opinion. Man.
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: I really don't like the fact that they're coming out of
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: a buy that might hurt their their win streak there,
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: so I don't love it at all. The money's also
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: coming in on the over sixty eight percent of tickets,
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on the over total up
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: from forty eight to forty nine. It's a low total.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's two offenses that are not great. I mean,
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: the teams just aren't great in general. So I don't know.
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess there is the potential of this
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: game could go over if the if the defenses are
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: also not great. But I don't really have a good
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: read on the on the total in that one at all.
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: What are we tiring? We're talking about NBA futures here
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: still sixers over forty two and a half wins. I
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with it. The Sixers, I mean, their problem
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: is they just they have head cases on the I
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: don't even know, like do they get rid of embad
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: or like what's going on, because like the Sixers, they
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: just seem to have these massive head cases. They have
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: like tons and tons of injuries and that's the reason
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: why they do so bad. But generally, yeah, I think
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: based on what the talent level is that they have. Yeah,
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're being undervalued as far as what their
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: talent is. They should have more wins than they actually
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: they should have had more wins than they did last
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: year to win the NBA Cup. I don't know. I'm
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: not gonna do any of The NBA Cup is total bullshit, man.
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: It's a you know, it's uh and it's a meaningless
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: uh you season tournament. I hate that whole thing. It's
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: not gonna be the best team in the NBA that
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: wins that, I'll tell you that, but I don't know.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: It's it's whoever gets motivated enough to make the run
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: through the whole thing. It's almost impossible to determine that,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: right exactly, SOB you are correct, Yes, Warriors or Lakers
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: for the Cup again, it's yeah, I mean there's no
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: way that I would put money on that because teams
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: just aren't motivated to win that thing. Like teams get
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: motivated to win it once they make it through a
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: certain point of it and then they go all right,
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: let's win this thing. And it's usually a team that's
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: not gonna be one of the actual championship contenders. Although
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: we've only had this thing for a couple of years.
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: But the whole thing is fucking stupid. EMBIID Paul George, Yeah,
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, if they could stay healthy and stop being assholes,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: then then Philadelphia should win more than they did. Yeah,
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: there's I will never bet on the Cup, like, I
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: completely ignore it, to the point where when I handicapped
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: the Cup games, when I handicapped them, I handicapped them
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: like regular season games. So like, I completely ignore the
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: fact that it's a cup game except for maybe the final,
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: in which I think both teams kind of tend to
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: be motivated, all right, and then the final college football game. Here,
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky at Louisianattack. I mean, these two teams are
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: better than Kennisa and Florida International at least. It's interesting
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: because we have Kennesaw who just upset Louisiana, tack FIU
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: just upset Western Kentucky, and all these teams are playing today.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: So the two underdogs that pulled off upsets are playing
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: each other in the first game, and the two favorites
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: that got upset are playing in the second game. Western
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: Kentucky at La Tech. Here. La Tech is the favorite here,
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: but they're up from three to three and a half.
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: But they're public eighty one percent to ticket's only seventy
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash. So for some reason, it's
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: weird that La Tech is public because you think the
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky you would actually get more name recognition of
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: the public, would want to take Western Kentucky as an
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: underdog because they're five and two. Everybody kind of sees
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky around, you know, it seems like they're always
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: in a bowl game, which they will be again unless
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: something really crazy happens. They're in a bounce back spot.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: They played last week again and they lost that game
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: to FIU. Maybe a little bit misleading as well, because
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky was minus three in turnover, so they could
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: use this week to kind of fix that shit. They
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: still got Maverick mcguyver a quarterback, and he had his
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: worst game of the year last time out, so I
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna be that bad again. He's got
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: an awesome name, so he should bounce back from that
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: really ugly performance last time. So it does look like
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: a bounced back spot for Western Kentucky here. For LA Tech,
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: they had that loss, like I said, last time out
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: to Kennesaw and they went into a bye, so they
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: went into a buy on a bad note. And when
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: a team goes into a buy on a bad note,
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: they usually turn things around, like they can use that
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: buy to fix things. LA Tech also lost the turnover
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: battle in that game, was a little bit misleading. They're
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: coming out of that, they're hosting a primetime game. It's
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: a positive spot for Louisiana tack here as well. Louisiana.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: Tack's more of a rushing attack, and Western Kentucky is
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: actually not very good at defending the run. So that
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: is a concern for Western Kentucky that the La Tech
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: offensive strength matches up against their defensive weakness. La Tech,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: as you can see, they can't really throw the ball
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: too well. They've had three different quarterbacks between Ku Kuk
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: who either got hurt or didn't do anything, and we
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: still got the cover, right. Do you remember me talking
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: about Kukock? Because I gave out La Tech in that
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: game against LSU and LSU did not cover. We got
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: the cover right with La Tech in that one. He
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: was gone after that, maybe just because he sucked coupsuck.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: And then they went to the Ku Kuk Klan and
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: then we went to a Baker I guess they did,
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: and then Bullock was their leading passer. I don't know
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: what's going on with La TeX's quarterback situation. It's not
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: a good one though. But yes, they can run the
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: football and that's what they're gonna try to do here.
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: But teams are gonna know they're gonna try to run
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: the football, so that's kind of a problem. Like I
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: think LOA Tech is even though that's their offensive strength,
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: there are also one dimensional so I don't know, man
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: like the buye to me, the buys actually hurt Kansas
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: State a little bit more and help Louisiana Tech a
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: little bit more. But the money is coming in on
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: the Kansas State side and a little bit towards Western Kentucky,
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: and I don't really disagree with it. Uh So I
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: guess I'll slightly lean with the market in those two games.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: But obviously no play on those two games, and there's
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: they're better college football games this week than to try
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: to get your money tied up in those games. The
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: total in that game Western Kentucky Louisiana Tech is up
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: a little bit to fifty with juice fifty four percent
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: of tickets seventy four percent of cash on the under
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: those so the money coming into the under, I mean,
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: I can kind of see that because I do think
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: you're you're looking at one dimensional offense is at the
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: very least like I think Western Kentucky basically just they
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: just throw the ball and Louisiana Tech pretty much just
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: runs the ball. So I think you do have a
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: setup with one dimensional offenses where I think the defenses
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: will know what the opposing offenses are gonna do. So
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: that's that's it. Man, No strong opinions on those games, though.
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna add another game, it would probably
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: be I'm tempted with the Lakers. I'll stay off of it.
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: But I think the Lakers are the best read in
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: the in uh what am I even talking? The Lakers
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: are the best of the two NBA games in my opinion,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: the Lakers plus the points. Lonzo Ball is now in
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: the Cavs. Which ball is that? Again? Was he? Which
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: team was he on? Man? Let me, I'm gonna look
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: real quick. I forget which ball is which Lonzo Ball? Yeah?
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: Let me see he was? Which one was he? He
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: was the one who? Yeah? Oh yeah, that's right. He
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: was on Lakers. That's right. I remember being on the Lakers.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Then he was on New Orleans and then Chicago. So
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: I have a ball jersey, but I think it's LaMelo Ball, right,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: I have a I have a Charlotte ball jersey, which
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: I have? These These are all right jerseys. I got
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: a few, like more modern NBA jerseys. All they're screen printed,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: but it feels like it's like decent screen printing. Like
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: it's not actually like paint that's gonna wear off. But
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: I like the number, like the letters might like peel.
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't love it, but I don't know.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: We'll see. Uh. I got some better quality of NBA
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: jerseys from from the past, though, but I figured I
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: had to get some new NBA jerseys and they were
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: cheap at least I'll try not to wash them as much.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I have a ball jersey just because I
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: think he I think he used a slur or something
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: with a reporter or something. I was like, hell, yeah,
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: I like this ball guy. I think it's a that
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: was a LaMelo ball. I'm pretty sure on the Hornets. Plus,
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: I like the Hornets colored, so I think I went
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: with that. The Hornets, by the way, that was like
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: a huge thing. And then the nineties, man, the Charlotte
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: Hornets that were like they were the team that everybody
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: like rapped just because of their colors. I don't know
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: if you guys were if you guys remember that, if
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: you guys are as old as I am, that was
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: like the thing. Although of course I'm from Boston, so
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: everybody rooted for the Celtics. But like if you had
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: like another team that you wanted to like rep with,
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: like one of those starter Jackets or whatever. It was
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: the Charlotte Hornets because their colors were, like, we're so nineties, dude.
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: It was like the same colors as Taco Bell back then,
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: the teal and the purple. And then the Hornets had
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: to go move to New Orleans. They had to become
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: the New Orleans Pelicans, and then the Charlotte Bobcats came in,
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: and now the Bobcats became the Hornets. But the original
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Hornets that were the nineties team, they're the Pelicans now. Man,
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: at least the new Hornets at least kind of brought
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: back those same colors. But still nothing beats that nineties man.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Calves are deep. Yeah they are. They were
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: deep last year too, but they lost. I mean they
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: had a lot of injuries in the playoffs, so definitely
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: hurt them. Calves at seven to one, yeah, I mean
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: that's so who was it? Sob you made the play
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: on the Calves. You got it a little bit of
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: better number than that, I think. Yeah. LaMelo from Charlotte,
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah he's their only good player. Teal, Yeah, I have
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: one of those alternate. My hornets jersey is like the alternate.
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: It's a teal color. It's like sea green almost, which
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: I like. I like green. Baby. That's gonna do it
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: once again. The play is both hockey plays today Maple Leafs,
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: money Line, Ducks money Line, a couple of games that
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: are right in that range of like pick the winner,
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: let's get let's get two wins man, although if the
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: favorite wins then we'll at least we're guaranteed a little
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: bit of a winning day if Toronto wins, So there
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: is that. Let's do it. Let's get it done. Unlike
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: last night were last night, we needed both favorites to win.
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: Otherwise it was gonna be a losing night in one
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: way or another. If we went one on one, it
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: would have been a slight loss. Let's get it done.
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: Learn it tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram,
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: like subscribe to the channel here, man. It all helps
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: me out. Audio platforms Spotify, Apple, Go, give me a
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: good review over there, give it a listen over there,
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: and that helps me out. Covered in you because my
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on YouTube, so check out. I gotta get
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: some more Halloween stuff in Over the last week or so,
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: got to get a couple more covers out there, probably Charles,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know where he is right now. I still
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: gotta get the Monster mash one up there that he wants.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: So sorry, I gave it out. Nobody watches this show though,
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: but that's what he requested. I'm gonna try to do it.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: I think it just won't turn out that well, just
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: because the I can't really do the I forget the
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: guy's name, but the deep vocals, like, I don't know,
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: it's just not not the way that my voice is.
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: But I'll try. And then Patreon dot com slash learn
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: to Toe and you can get some bonus yuke content there.
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: There's a Spotify feed and like Charles, you can actually
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: request stuff. If you're a Patren there, you can message
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: me and request stuff. That's gonna do it. Thanks for
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: hanging out this morning, guys. I'll be back tomorrow morning.
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: We have more. We have a big NBA board tomorrow.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: We might have my first NBA play tomorrow, but we
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: will see the first NBA games that I tend to
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: like be pretty light on the first Like sometimes I
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: won't even have any plays just because I wait for
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: like situations to kind of show themselves, so it's possible.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: I still avoid the board tomorrow, we'll see. We're gonna
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: have more college football tomorrow as well, and a more
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: NHL as well. It's gonna do it for now, Peace,