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What are the BEST Week 6 College Football Bets for Friday? · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

• 0:02
  Welcome everybody. We are getting ready for Week 6
• 0:05
  in college football, which means conference games are in full
• 0:09
  swing. Welcome to targeting winners of
• 0:11
  College football Betting podcast.
• 0:13
  I am there and I am joined as always by Tim down in Fla.
• 0:17
  How's it going today, man? Bright and sunny down here.
• 0:20
  How you guys doing up there? Sun's out, but it's like in the
• 0:24
  60s, actually kind of nice out. And then as always representing
• 0:27
  Michigan and Big Blue. Pete.
• 0:29
  Pete, how you doing man? Go blue.
• 0:30
  Doing good. Looking forward to conference
• 0:32
  play and it is bright and sunny and like 80° here so all is
• 0:35
  good. Awesome.
• 0:37
  Well, let's hope our picks are just as sunny this weekend then.
• 0:39
  So today we got we got a little little different week set up for
• 0:44
  this week. So today we're going to preview
• 0:47
  the Thursday and Friday slate. There are a half a dozen games
• 0:50
  to look at. We do have 3 bets that we're
• 0:52
  actually going to give out towards the end of the show.
• 0:54
  But the main topic for today is, as you know if you've been
• 0:57
  following us, we made about three dozen or more futures
• 1:01
  bets, win totals, Heisman conference winners, national
• 1:04
  championship, things like that. So we're going to kind of give
• 1:06
  an update of those here as as we've hit the five week mark of
• 1:09
  the season, there are some adjusted odds here based on what
• 1:12
  we played. We'll go over those if that is
• 1:15
  indeed applicable to that particular bet.
• 1:18
  And then Saturday, we are going to do something we have yet to
• 1:23
  do on a Saturday and that's a one hour live stream.
• 1:26
  So this Saturday from 9:00 to 10:00 Eastern, feel free to drop
• 1:30
  in, share your bets for the day. We will go over all our Saturday
• 1:33
  bets. That'll be like the regular
• 1:35
  Thursday show. We'll have our bets breakdown on
• 1:37
  those games. We'll do the rapid fire segment
• 1:39
  at the end. So yeah, it'll just be like a
• 1:42
  regular show. It's just going to be like 30-6
• 1:44
  hours later than you're used to it.
• 1:45
  So bring your bets, bring your thoughts, bring your questions,
• 1:47
  bring your comments, and join us this Saturday morning from 9:00
• 1:51
  to 10:00 Eastern. So all right, with all that
• 1:53
  being said, guys, let's take a look at some of our futures.
• 1:57
  We've got a couple that have cast.
• 1:58
  We got one that's dead in the water.
• 2:01
  Some look good, some not so much, but let's get into it with
• 2:04
  the ACC Pete, we'll start with you since you had the privilege
• 2:09
  of cashing the first futures bet on the year.
• 2:12
  We were all yes, exactly. Well, Clemson hating the start,
• 2:17
  the start the preseason with your hatred was, was well
• 2:22
  funded. So start reviewing your your ACC
• 2:25
  futures bet and how we're looking.
• 2:28
  All pretty good. I mean, Clemson we did beat up
• 2:30
  pretty good and they started off beautifully for me.
• 2:32
  As you can see a 2 unit play at Clemson, which is great.
• 2:35
  They've they've done a fantastic job by sucking this year, which
• 2:39
  has been absolutely fantastic, which was expected all the way
• 2:41
  along. So I kind of felt this bet was
• 2:44
  going to be in the bag pretty early and, and it, it, it was so
• 2:48
  that was a really good a good bet.
• 2:50
  My other one that I have is Syracuse under 5 1/2.
• 2:55
  Yeah, I mean that one gets me a little, a little nervous, right.
• 2:58
  I need, I guess I need less than three more wins to to get there
• 3:02
  'cause they are they currently have three wins.
• 3:04
  I'm semi confident. You know, I think they could
• 3:07
  beat SMU and or Pitt and maybe BC at home.
• 3:10
  So there's three games I think they could win.
• 3:12
  So if they win two of them, I'm good.
• 3:13
  If they win all three, I'm dead in the water.
• 3:15
  So that's my thought of that. I'm still relatively confident.
• 3:18
  Let's say 5050 on that one, but we'll see how it plays out with
• 3:21
  this schedule. But as I said that last game BC
• 3:23
  at home, I would expect them to win that.
• 3:26
  So I got one of two others that I need them to lose either
• 3:30
  either Pitt or what's my SMU. So we'll see how that plays out,
• 3:34
  but those are my 2. And Tim, you and I have
• 3:39
  different bets on the same team and we are looking not as joyous
• 3:44
  to start out here, but go. Ahead so well thought Belichick
• 3:53
  would be better actually. So I have a little pull up the
• 3:58
  remaining schedule. I mean they are.
• 4:01
  I see what is their conference schedule right now?
• 4:03
  They are O and 1 I believe. No, no conference games yet.
• 4:08
  So. No conference games yet.
• 4:09
  OK, so technically they could might be able to get to the
• 4:13
  game. I guess who they got, I mean,
• 4:14
  they got Clemson. They're not that good this year,
• 4:16
  obviously, thanks to Pete. Or as at least he pointed out,
• 4:20
  they have a game against Syracuse.
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  I believe Pete's hoping North Carolina takes that one there as
• 4:25
  well. Yeah, Stanford.
• 4:28
  I mean, they're winnable games. I mean, it's not like they're
• 4:31
  playing in Miami. I don't see Miami on there
• 4:33
  anywhere. I don't see Florida State on
• 4:35
  there anywhere, anywhere. I mean, who knows?
• 4:39
  It's not totally dead in the water, but they're taking out a
• 4:42
  lot of water. They're they're gonna sink
• 4:44
  eventually, I think. But these next few games,
• 4:48
  obviously conference play is starting right now.
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  I don't know if you had any other thoughts.
• 4:51
  Maybe you shot in the dark. Maybe they get better as the
• 4:53
  year goes on. Well, if you go back to one of
• 4:56
  my 2 ACC bets, my bet is retained so much water.
• 5:00
  I don't even know if if there's any hope here.
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  I bet over 7 1/2 hoping that they would at least go three and
• 5:08
  one in their non conference schedule.
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  They came out of it two and two. Norm you would think all right,
• 5:13
  one game off they can make that up.
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  But things and those two losses they have look like they have no
• 5:17
  idea what they're doing out there.
• 5:19
  Tim, I, I know you bow down to the home of Gio Lopez at least
• 5:23
  twice a morning. He's not it man.
• 5:26
  If Max Johnson doesn't come out of this by week at least
• 5:28
  starting against Clemson, this bet is is pretty much not going
• 5:33
  to happen here if you are still a believer or if you're even
• 5:38
  anti North Carolina. The adjusted win total currently
• 5:40
  sits at 4 1/2. So you know, do with that info,
• 5:45
  which you will, but my win total bet not looking good.
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  The other bet I made for the ACCI did bet Louisville to win
• 5:56
  the conference. So their first conference game
• 5:59
  last week, they gave up seventeen quick points to
• 6:01
  Pittsburgh, tied it up, gave up ten more quick points to
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  Pittsburgh and then scored 17 to pull out a nice Rd. win.
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  So they're kind of up there near the top one and O win conference
• 6:11
  play. Taylor Moss not doing as great
• 6:15
  as I would hope, but he's not at least a train wreck either.
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  So with Clemson already having two conference losses, that
• 6:24
  certainly helps because initially I think I was looking
• 6:27
  to see who could Clemson play in the in the title game for the
• 6:31
  ACC and then maybe do a hedge. But only 8 conference games, you
• 6:35
  lose 2, it's going to be tough for Clemson to work their way
• 6:38
  back in there. So Tim, I'm going to be a huge
• 6:42
  Florida State fan this week because I would love for Miami
• 6:44
  to pick up a nice conference loss to start with.
• 6:48
  But yeah, I mean, impressed with the comeback win on the road.
• 6:53
  They've got Virginia this week and then they go to Miami.
• 6:56
  They have a buy between those two games.
• 6:58
  And then their last two conference games are Clemson and
• 7:00
  SMU. So the schedule's still a little
• 7:02
  tough, but at least starting out one and O with a road win gives
• 7:07
  me some hope that that I won't be hating that one, at least
• 7:09
  until we look at these again in another month or so.
• 7:11
  So that's where that sits. Oh boy.
• 7:17
  Here we go. Let's go to the next conference
• 7:18
  here. Big 10.
• 7:19
  All right. And you got a couple with the
• 7:21
  same team. Go ahead and start us out here
• 7:23
  with. All right, well, you know, I
• 7:26
  like to swing for defenses. So my big swing for defenses, I
• 7:29
  have Washington to win the conference because it was plus
• 7:33
  6000. Hopefully they can get there and
• 7:35
  get to the game and look at a nice little hedge they held Ohio
• 7:40
  State. I mean, I I expected both teams
• 7:42
  last week to score, you know, 48 to 41 final, something like
• 7:46
  that. They did hold them to 24 points.
• 7:50
  You know, I expected them to score a lot more.
• 7:52
  The defense did look better. The offense did not look good.
• 7:54
  They seem to be got to get back to somebody's offensive
• 7:58
  coordinators in college football that is not really good at play
• 8:00
  calling. You take away the one thing that
• 8:02
  they do well and they have nothing to go back on.
• 8:05
  They they don't really set things up.
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  They kind of just go and give the ball to the, you know, great
• 8:10
  athlete, you know, the quarterback there.
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  So and just hope he makes a play, which seems to be a lot
• 8:16
  what a lot of these coordinators seem to do.
• 8:18
  So I did have them and I also have them for over 7 1/2 wins.
• 8:22
  We can hopefully pull up their schedule here.
• 8:27
  Rips. They do have some winnable games
• 8:30
  on their schedule. I mean, you know, they've got,
• 8:32
  you know, Michigan on the road, they've got Illinois at home,
• 8:35
  they can beat Wisconsin, Purdue, UCLA, Maryland.
• 8:40
  So to get to 7 1/2, and I believe they are currently, I
• 8:46
  think there are four or four in one right now.
• 8:49
  I like the way that's looking right now.
• 8:51
  Three in one. Yeah, I like the way that bet
• 8:53
  looks. Yeah, I do too.
• 8:55
  There, there's, there's five winnable games on there.
• 8:57
  Elite. I like that way that one's
• 8:58
  going. So, Dan, do you have one?
• 9:02
  Yeah, you got Indiana, so I can pull.
• 9:04
  Up this I'm I'm I'm happy with this one here.
• 9:07
  You know, I got 8 1/2 at a little bit of plus money.
• 9:10
  Their last two games they they they did quite well against
• 9:14
  Illinois and then avoided and that down went to Iowa and
• 9:18
  actually came away with a win there.
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  So they're five and O their win total is adjusted up to 9 1/2
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  and it is juice like -250 to the over at DraftKings.
• 9:30
  So Vegas is thinking that this is A10 win team here.
• 9:34
  Of course, I say that going to Oregon, not ideal, but those
• 9:39
  next three after that certainly looks like this could be an 8 in
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  one team. And then, you know, you want to
• 9:46
  lose to Penn State, that's fine. But you should be able to handle
• 9:49
  Wisconsin at home and Purdue on the road.
• 9:51
  So barring A Mendoza injury, their quarterback, this one
• 9:56
  looks, this one looks good. Yeah, go Kurt Cignetti.
• 10:00
  Google him. Google him.
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  Absolutely all. Right, Pete, you got one as well
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  in the Big 10. Well, what one are you looking
• 10:08
  at? I do.
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  I got Nebraska this one, you know, you know, I don't feel so
• 10:13
  great about it. I got three wins.
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  I need five more. You look at the schedule, it's
• 10:17
  possible and I needing five more.
• 10:19
  I gave myself maybe a 25% probability today of, of, of
• 10:23
  hitting that. I mean, Michigan State, they can
• 10:25
  win that game because Michigan State's not great.
• 10:27
  Maryland, I don't know. Minnesota at Minnesota, probably
• 10:30
  not. Northwestern, they can win that.
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  USC, I don't know about the Iowa thing.
• 10:36
  And UCLA they can win. So I think, I mean, I could see
• 10:39
  three to four wins here remaining.
• 10:43
  That fifth one could be elusive. It really depends.
• 10:46
  I mean, they have to be in Michigan State if that, if they
• 10:48
  don't beat Michigan State that then this is dead as far as I'm
• 10:50
  concerned. We'll see how that goes.
• 10:52
  But they win that game, you know, and maybe they pull off a
• 10:54
  little upset somewhere here. It would be, it'd be good to
• 10:56
  see, but we'll see. We'll see how it transpires.
• 11:00
  But you know, I think it's really going to turn pretty
• 11:02
  quickly in the next couple weeks which direction this goes.
• 11:05
  I think they got a chance against the UFC at home.
• 11:08
  Yeah. You want one of the upsets that
• 11:10
  they pulled. Off their defense is is way
• 11:12
  better. I mean that that certainly could
• 11:15
  be one that that they they can win.
• 11:19
  I think we did good with this conference, yeah.
• 11:23
  It's not terrible. I mean, the technically those,
• 11:25
  those all, they don't even look bad five weeks in the season.
• 11:29
  They all look like they have a decent shot.
• 11:30
  So yeah, good job. Apparently we should just do a
• 11:33
  Big 10 show and screw the. Rest up, targeting Big 10
• 11:37
  winners. Here we go.
• 11:37
  Targeting Big 10. All right, Big 12 is next.
• 11:41
  All right, Tim, I'm just going to let you go last because you
• 11:43
  have 41 bets in this conference. So, Pete, why don't you keep
• 11:47
  going with yours and let us know where you're sitting currently
• 11:50
  with your Big 12 futures? Yeah, So Big 12, I'm not so
• 11:54
  confident in so Kansas over 7 1/2, they've got 3, so I need
• 11:58
  five more looking across their schedule and I see maybe three
• 12:02
  or four wins. To me, I think this one is
• 12:05
  pretty much dead in the water. I just don't see how that
• 12:08
  schedule is going to play itself out in their favor to get that
• 12:10
  many wins. I just, I don't see that
• 12:12
  happening. I'd like to see it, but I don't
• 12:13
  see it happening. West Virginia.
• 12:15
  Interesting, right. So over 5 1/2 I've got 2.
• 12:18
  So I need four more. Hopefully when we are in Florida
• 12:21
  and what, 2 weeks we're going to see a win there and hopefully
• 12:25
  I'd like I need to get two more after that.
• 12:28
  So I I don't know. I mean, I really don't like the
• 12:32
  way the schedule plays out for them going forward here.
• 12:35
  I mean, Texas Tech, no Arizona State, no, you know, Colorado at
• 12:39
  home, sure, maybe Houston, probably not.
• 12:42
  So so that UCF game and play BYU is not going to happen.
• 12:48
  I will talk about that in a little bit with our best for
• 12:50
  this week, but I don't see that happening.
• 12:51
  They're probably gonna get crushed there.
• 12:53
  So yeah. So I'm not feeling all that
• 12:57
  confident here that this is going to turn the right
• 12:58
  direction unless they get hot. But still, it's a schedule is
• 13:02
  just not not favoring where I want to go.
• 13:04
  So I think I'm not totally dead in the water, but I am taking on
• 13:08
  water and listening to the starboard.
• 13:13
  What you got, Aaron? I just have one.
• 13:17
  I bet Oklahoma State under 4 1/2 wins.
• 13:21
  The five and a half of Super Juice DraftKings dropped it to 4
• 13:24
  1/2 at some plus money. I jumped on this initially.
• 13:28
  I figured they would go 2 and one in their non conference
• 13:31
  slate. As we all know, the big twelves
• 13:32
  got 9 conference games. I mean they did go O and nine in
• 13:35
  the conference last year. I didn't think they would be
• 13:37
  that bad, but I figured two and seven added together four and
• 13:40
  eight team. All right, fine.
• 13:41
  I'm betting the under the help that I got was they lost at home
• 13:47
  to Tulsa. So they're currently sitting at
• 13:50
  1:00 and 3:00. I believe they are, yeah, 'cause
• 13:53
  they lost to Baylor last week. So they're one and three.
• 13:56
  It's nothing but conference play from here on out.
• 13:59
  They would need to win four of these games to lose here.
• 14:06
  They're probably not winning. God, any of them.
• 14:12
  I'm trying to be generous here looking.
• 14:14
  Right. Yeah, I mean this one, I feel
• 14:19
  good about that. I'm just going to say I feel
• 14:22
  good about this one. Yeah, I don't know where there's
• 14:25
  two. What was I thinking, thinking
• 14:27
  they were going to get 2 conference wins.
• 14:29
  I I don't know where they are guys.
• 14:32
  But anyway, if you were still very anti Cowboy, their two
• 14:36
  their win total is 2 1/2 juiced to the under.
• 14:40
  So again, Vegas is not seeing two wins from here on out and
• 14:46
  they yeah, I think they're right.
• 14:49
  I I just don't know. I mean, Arizona's playing good.
• 14:52
  Houston's playing good since he's playing good.
• 14:57
  Maybe UCF, but that's on the screw it, this one better cash
• 15:02
  or I'm just gonna quit. Yeah, it's all right.
• 15:06
  This one looks good. Where there's no water here.
• 15:08
  We're we're sitting at the top of the yacht.
• 15:11
  It hasn't sunk yet. Yeah, I already threw my North
• 15:15
  Carolina life raft out to get Tim and I out of the out of the
• 15:18
  drowning. But yeah, this one looks OK.
• 15:20
  I, I, I I'm happy with where this one currently sits.
• 15:24
  If it doesn't hit, Pete and I will be joining you next year
• 15:27
  for IF. It doesn't hit.
• 15:28
  How ironic would it be that Oklahoma State that already took
• 15:31
  four years off my life thanks to the 2023 season or somehow their
• 15:35
  home game against Iowa State, they're sitting at like 4:00 and
• 15:38
  7:00 and I have to sweat this out.
• 15:39
  I will probably go into some kind of sepsis attack or
• 15:43
  something and just. It'd be very poetic, very
• 15:44
  poetic. That would just be ironic.
• 15:47
  I just thought I was like, wow, just terrible.
• 15:50
  But anyway, Tim, you got a half a dozen futures bets here, so.
• 15:54
  I do. What are we looking at?
• 15:55
  OK, You know, if you could see my computer screen, I've got
• 15:58
  like all these windows on here like NASA would be like, dude,
• 16:02
  you need to tone it down a little bit.
• 16:03
  None of them have my bets. So I'm reading them off of this
• 16:06
  beautifully done graphic off the top here.
• 16:10
  So I have Colorado BYU at 8. I got to blow it up here.
• 16:19
  All right, Utah 50, BYU at 7:50 and to win the conference and
• 16:27
  Colorado plus 1600, that was my swing for defenses I had them at
• 16:33
  last year. Was it +4000 or +3000?
• 16:36
  Yeah, plus 4000 last. Year and it was a log jam ever
• 16:40
  since. When we started doing this show
• 16:43
  two years ago, I said the Big 12's a dumpster fire.
• 16:46
  I'm expecting a log jam at the top as there was last year when
• 16:51
  I had 4000. Two weeks out.
• 16:53
  I was off getting offered buyouts and I waited too long.
• 16:56
  I waited one week too long. I could have got, I believe, 20
• 17:00
  units if I cashed out and then. Like 2020, like almost 23 I
• 17:06
  believe. And then I made that bet.
• 17:08
  For you because of the Dragons had 4000.
• 17:11
  And then when I when they lost, they lost to Kansas.
• 17:14
  They were heavily favored against Kansas.
• 17:15
  I believe it was they lost to Kansas and it went down to like
• 17:18
  9 units. So but but they do offer these
• 17:22
  things I like, I still like BYU, I still like Utah to win a
• 17:27
  conference. And So what we can do now, let's
• 17:32
  see go back here and let's pull up.
• 17:38
  So I I think the Colorado bets dead.
• 17:41
  They are not playing well and if they pull up some upsets, that
• 17:46
  kind of that's going to hurt my other conference bets.
• 17:50
  So I'm kind of hoping that if this is the one that dies, if it
• 17:52
  dies, it dies. So Utah, I like the rest of
• 17:57
  their schedule. They have the one game against
• 17:59
  BYU, which could be counterproductive, but they have
• 18:03
  a tough game against Baylor. I think they're going to be
• 18:05
  there towards the end. They have a really good shot at
• 18:09
  doing it. I'm just down.
• 18:11
  I mean, I know. I think I originally predicted
• 18:14
  Kansas State to win but didn't bet on them.
• 18:16
  Bet on everybody but the team I picked to win.
• 18:18
  So did Iowa That that we're not. Looking at that, it's funny how
• 18:21
  the the thing works and BYUI really like they got a game
• 18:24
  tonight. We'll get to that later.
• 18:27
  So oops, now we're going back into our next category.
• 18:32
  I don't think any of these are if they're going to win, I think
• 18:36
  let me see if we pull out the standings.
• 18:40
  So BYU, they got over 7 1/2 wins.
• 18:45
  Well, they're at four and oh, I like the way that looks right
• 18:46
  now. I mean, I I'm looking at look at
• 18:48
  their schedule. I just had it up here a little
• 18:50
  bit ago. Can I do that?
• 18:53
  No, I can't. So, but anyway, the Utah over 7
• 18:58
  1/2 wins, they got another four wins left on that schedule as
• 19:03
  well. I think the win totals are
• 19:05
  there. It's going to be interesting as
• 19:07
  we get down to the title, title game.
• 19:11
  I'm hoping at least one of these teams makes that title game.
• 19:14
  Yeah, Iowa State being a pain and you got Arizona State also
• 19:18
  being a pain. So that's where I stand.
• 19:23
  I I like the futures bets or the win total bets, The conference
• 19:27
  championship. I'll probably only be able to
• 19:29
  buy out on one of those. I was planning on hopefully
• 19:32
  buying out on at least two of them to get down to the last
• 19:35
  week before the championship game.
• 19:37
  I was hoping Colorado would have been one of them so I would have
• 19:39
  got a nice buy out there, but I don't know one a little crazy
• 19:45
  with the Big 12 guys. What can you say?
• 19:46
  I'm a I'm a sucker for a dumpster fire.
• 19:48
  Indeed. Feel your pain man, I I I
• 19:53
  totally get where you're coming from.
• 19:55
  I like the BYU 1 though because Utah losing to Texas Tech would
• 19:58
  have to jump them into standing so yeah.
• 20:01
  BYU still sitting there undefeated in the conference.
• 20:04
  So yeah, I I like where you're at with BYU there.
• 20:08
  Well, why don't we go to the next conference where it just
• 20:11
  means more guys. It just means more.
• 20:14
  It means everything. Just means more All right guys,
• 20:17
  SEC Pete, this is your second cash already so go ahead and
• 20:22
  start us off. And again, Tim leads the team
• 20:24
  with 15 futures bets, so. Well, I mean, there's not a
• 20:31
  whole lot to say. And with the Mississippi State
• 20:33
  over 3 1/2, they've already got 4.
• 20:35
  They've been playing well and looking good, which I expected.
• 20:39
  Not quite to this level, but I'm happy to see they got those wins
• 20:41
  in. So that was, I believe, my only
• 20:45
  bet in this conference, correct. So I think you got a Missouri.
• 20:48
  I'm sorry, I've got Missouri. I'm sorry.
• 20:50
  I look at my sheet. So let's talk about Missouri.
• 20:52
  Mississippi State's in the bag. That's a winner, winner chicken
• 20:54
  dinner. So I'm moving on to Missouri
• 20:56
  over 6 1/2. They already have 5.
• 20:59
  I need two more wins and I think it is a tough schedule in front
• 21:03
  of them, but Mississippi State at home and Arkansas, Arkansas
• 21:07
  on the road I think are potential wins.
• 21:10
  So I, I think that this is maybe 5050 chance of hitting here with
• 21:13
  those two. So we'll see how it plays.
• 21:16
  Not the prettiest of schedule. If you look look at the schedule
• 21:18
  and it's not, it is not an easy path in front of them, but I, I
• 21:21
  do see two more wins for them in front.
• 21:24
  So I'm still pretty optimistic this could, could come home.
• 21:27
  I said 5050 on this one. We'll see how it plays out but
• 21:31
  but so far so good with five wins.
• 21:32
  So those are my 2. Oklahoma.
• 21:39
  Yeah, if you want to talk about an ugly ass schedule.
• 21:41
  So I I bet Oklahoma a little bit of plus money to get at least
• 21:45
  eight regular season wins. So start of the season went
• 21:51
  well, they won their first key game against Michigan and then
• 21:55
  they took care of Auburn. So things were looking good.
• 22:00
  This win total is currently off the board because the used to be
• 22:04
  Heisman front runner John Metier decided you know what screwed
• 22:08
  Aaron in his futures bet at plus money.
• 22:10
  I'm going to break my throwing hand.
• 22:14
  So now I need to find what three wins out of this.
• 22:20
  Wait, what are they four and O 5 and OI don't even know what the
• 22:23
  hell they are, but oh wait, oh, they got 123.
• 22:26
  They got eight games left, so they're four and O Kent State,
• 22:30
  OK, you should probably win that even with the backup QB.
• 22:35
  So that would get you to five. There is some talk that he might
• 22:41
  be back the following week to play Texas in the Red River
• 22:43
  Shootout. I'm not sure I feel super
• 22:45
  confident about that. But Texas's offense hasn't
• 22:49
  really been all that so far. So maybe you can get that one.
• 22:53
  If not, South Carolina's kind of not very good this year.
• 22:58
  But the rest of that schedule, man, there's a lot of numbers
• 23:02
  less than 15 on there. So not sure how I feel about
• 23:09
  that. I mean, Lane Kiffin usually
• 23:10
  throws a dud in there. Maybe it's when they go to
• 23:12
  Oklahoma at the end of October. But yeah, nothing on that
• 23:18
  outside of Kent State really inspires I Kent State, South
• 23:22
  Carolina gets into 6. So somewhere in that other
• 23:25
  cluster of. They.
• 23:28
  Need to find few more wins. LSU could be I mean maybe
• 23:34
  Missouri, I mean Tennessee struggled against Mississippi
• 23:38
  State. Maybe I mean it's all going to
• 23:39
  depend on it. Their defense is going to keep
• 23:41
  them in in every game and give them a chance.
• 23:44
  The problem is just if, if we're still using Michael Hawkins, you
• 23:48
  know, at the end of the month, that guys Ole Miss, I, I'm not
• 23:50
  going to be happy about this at all.
• 23:52
  But you know, beating Auburn and Michigan certainly got this bet
• 23:57
  off on the right foot. And now unfortunately, it fell
• 24:02
  on the wrong hand. So now I, I, I don't really
• 24:05
  know. I don't know, I, I felt good
• 24:09
  until the report came out about the broken hand.
• 24:11
  I'll just say that, but we'll see.
• 24:15
  Not as confident as I was two weeks ago on that one.
• 24:18
  Right. Let me ask you guys a question.
• 24:21
  What's the most wrong you've ever been?
• 24:25
  Oh. God ends what time, you ask my
• 24:29
  wife? It could be like.
• 24:31
  Like daily you want you want them listed alphabetically or
• 24:35
  order of importance? Because we we could get lists of
• 24:38
  those if you want that. I don't think any of them will
• 24:41
  match to my one future bet, Vanderbilt under 4 1/2 wins.
• 24:46
  And if you're looking at the standings, they're right up
• 24:48
  there at the top at 50 after five weeks.
• 24:52
  So yeah, that one sucked. That one's dead in the water, if
• 24:57
  you played that, sorry. And why?
• 25:03
  Dude, I was in agreement and they lost a lot.
• 25:05
  I didn't think they would be not and I think it's they're they're
• 25:09
  actually really good like. Now.
• 25:12
  Everybody's talking about like they're going to beat Alabama
• 25:14
  again. Hey, they're all paying players
• 25:17
  now. Everybody can do it.
• 25:18
  Let's that's. True you.
• 25:20
  Know I'm sure their academic standards will start to drop a
• 25:24
  little bit and all of a sudden it starts so I don't even know
• 25:31
  do they even go to class now or do they show up and play or
• 25:34
  because they're getting paid I mean that's.
• 25:38
  Where it got them. So yeah, I'm sure.
• 25:40
  They did. So all right now I do have a lot
• 25:43
  of futures bets, but they're mostly with, well, other than
• 25:46
  the wonderful Vanderbilt bet, they're with Texas A&M.
• 25:51
  I'm expecting it. I just think this could, it's
• 25:53
  still looks good. They all look good For right
• 25:56
  now. We will get, I have Marcel Reed
• 25:59
  Heisman plus 4000. We'll talk about that a little
• 26:03
  bit later in the show cause Pete also has a Heisman bet, Texas A
• 26:08
  and M / 7 1/2 wins. And I have Texas A&M to win the
• 26:11
  conference and the natty plus 3000 for the natty plus 1400 for
• 26:16
  the conference. They are, I believe four and O
• 26:20
  right now could be, but they got to get 7 1/2 wins.
• 26:26
  I think they got Florida coming up at home.
• 26:29
  They have South Carolina at home.
• 26:30
  They have a powerhouse Sanford coming in.
• 26:34
  So the over bet right there with the win total looks good.
• 26:38
  They have Texas on the road that hopefully that will have a good
• 26:42
  effect on the Heisman. Bet you know, Arkansas, LSU on
• 26:47
  the road. That's going to be a difficult
• 26:49
  game. I'm not.
• 26:50
  Doing it, whatever it is. No, it won't.
• 26:52
  I'm surprised you didn't count that already as a win.
• 26:56
  Did you watch Arkansas last week?
• 26:58
  Against the worst. Defense of the nation in Notre
• 27:00
  Dame, they put up 13 points. Come on.
• 27:05
  You know, I just, I think they they can get there with one loss
• 27:10
  that might get them into the into the game.
• 27:13
  You know, for that, I think they're barring obviously an
• 27:18
  injury, don't want an injury to anybody.
• 27:20
  You know, we take that out of it.
• 27:21
  That's not what we do here, but it's looking good.
• 27:25
  They're going to be there in the playoff come playoff time.
• 27:29
  So I like that bet. I don't know if you guys have
• 27:31
  any thoughts on it. I'm expecting, I think this is
• 27:32
  going to be like that special year 20 years from now, Like
• 27:34
  remember that team from 25 that that A&M team, how great they
• 27:38
  were, blah, blah, blah. So I don't know if you guys have
• 27:41
  any thoughts. I just, I love the offensive
• 27:42
  line, the running backs, the front 7 on defense.
• 27:46
  I'm actually considering betting them this Saturday morning, wait
• 27:51
  and see what the line is, but I dude, where you're sitting at
• 27:53
  with all those bets, I love all man.
• 27:55
  I mean they, they. All look really good.
• 27:57
  It's. A big year from A&M, Loving A&M.
• 27:59
  Let me do this. I want to move along and see
• 28:07
  where are we now. Let's get into the group.
• 28:12
  Here we go. A fun one.
• 28:14
  The fun conference here, Yes. Alright, I'm going to go first.
• 28:20
  Hawaii over 5 1/2 wins. This was, to me, obviously a
• 28:24
  home play, right? Going to Hawaii and playing
• 28:27
  there is difficult, and so I was leaning into home games and
• 28:30
  leaning into the ability for them to beat teams they
• 28:33
  shouldn't at home because they do that and they do that all the
• 28:35
  time. So over 5 1/2 they've already
• 28:38
  got 4, including a nice little Rd. win last week when they shot
• 28:42
  the Air Force out of the sky, which is fantastic.
• 28:45
  This bet's licking golden. I like this bet a lot.
• 28:47
  They've got three more home games.
• 28:51
  I need two of those to win the bet.
• 28:53
  So I'm pretty confident they can win two of those.
• 28:55
  So I like I like what I see here and I think this thing is
• 28:58
  trending in the right direction. Go rainbow warriors.
• 29:02
  They they they look they look pretty good last week.
• 29:04
  So it was kind of fun to watch. This is why UNLV.
• 29:11
  Oh yeah, sorry, I forgot about that.
• 29:12
  So, well, not much to say yet. I mean, you know, they're they
• 29:16
  haven't played a conference game yet.
• 29:17
  They're foreign over overall. So they they look good.
• 29:19
  I think they will continue to look good.
• 29:21
  So they're in play, you know, so until we see a few conference
• 29:24
  games here and see how that kind of works out a little bit, they
• 29:27
  they look good. I think they they have a good,
• 29:29
  good chance. Still in my my opinion hasn't
• 29:31
  changed in this one. We'll see how it plays out.
• 29:36
  Darren, what you got? We have pretty much the same.
• 29:40
  San Jose State San Jose State man, you waited till now to get
• 29:44
  a kicker after you literally lost two games on last second
• 29:47
  field goals. You should be 3 and one if you
• 29:49
  could kick. But no, your 380 LB kicker cost
• 29:52
  you 2 games and now you're sitting at 1:00 and 3:00.
• 29:55
  So yeah, this this bet is right on there with my North Carolina
• 29:58
  win total bet. Apparently 7 1/2 is a horrible
• 30:01
  number for me to bet, regardless of the team.
• 30:06
  Yeah, just once. They lost to Central Michigan in
• 30:08
  the first week. I was like, wow, that that
• 30:10
  should never happen. And that wasn't even.
• 30:12
  That's 'cause they had three turnovers in like, the first
• 30:14
  four drives. Yeah, not, not what I was
• 30:17
  expecting from San Jose State here.
• 30:21
  But I mean, looking at that schedule, I mean, you need to go
• 30:24
  six and two out of that. So you're probably losing to
• 30:29
  Utah State the way they the way they're playing.
• 30:31
  You're probably losing to San Diego State the way they're
• 30:34
  playing. And the fact that you just out
• 30:36
  and out suck. Yeah, you're probably going to
• 30:38
  lose one more game before that. So not a fan of where this bet
• 30:42
  is sitting. Thanks, San Jose Bastards.
• 30:51
  Well, my bad. San Jose State to win the
• 30:53
  conference. Well, so far they they look
• 30:58
  really far down. Doesn't look that good, but
• 31:00
  their conference record I believe is.
• 31:02
  Oh and I. They're in an 8 way tie for
• 31:04
  third. You're still alive.
• 31:05
  That's right as. Long as they don't have to kick
• 31:08
  you'll be fine. OK.
• 31:10
  Perfect. Well, they they're addressing
• 31:11
  the kicker problem before conference play, so that's
• 31:13
  always good. They did.
• 31:14
  They do have a new one, so we'll see what could possibly go
• 31:17
  wrong. Right.
• 31:20
  All right, Well, what should we do right here?
• 31:22
  A little. Yeah, we got a best of the rest.
• 31:25
  We got a few more. We didn't have as many in the
• 31:26
  other conferences, but yeah, let's get those out of the way
• 31:29
  and see where. We're at USA all right, I'll
• 31:36
  have our bets up. I was going to say I don't
• 31:38
  remember everything that we did, but yeah, put that slide up
• 31:41
  there so we can see what we got. Let.
• 31:44
  Me. See, I don't think I have that
• 31:45
  slide. Let's go one belt.
• 31:49
  There it is, best of the rest, you got that slide.
• 31:54
  But it's not on the one. It's not on the the conferences
• 31:56
  start with. Start with the two conferences
• 31:59
  you got there, man. All right, the Sunbelt.
• 32:03
  That's Pete's conference, Pete. But I'm starting at the bottom
• 32:08
  here I find. Now we're going with the order
• 32:10
  of the slides. Ah, fantastic.
• 32:13
  So, yeah, so Troy, I have here to win the Sunbelts.
• 32:17
  So they haven't played any conference games yet.
• 32:18
  Obviously they're about to start this.
• 32:20
  I don't love the way they look. I don't love the way they're
• 32:22
  playing. So my confidence in this bet has
• 32:25
  gone from, I don't know, 25% to 2.5% at this point.
• 32:31
  Once again, haven't played a conference game.
• 32:32
  We'll see what happens. But I, I just, I do not like the
• 32:35
  way they look. I, I, I, I, I don't think, I
• 32:37
  think this thing is dead, but you know, I could be slightly
• 32:39
  optimistic going forward. But yeah, has that not not
• 32:43
  feeling so good about it. So that's that's my bet here.
• 32:46
  What are you going to do? Heisman last right?
• 32:49
  Yeah, that'll be on a on A later towards the end of the show, so
• 32:52
  we'll get to that one later. All right, Darren, Bowling.
• 32:56
  Oh, you got bowling. Let's do some.
• 32:58
  Yeah, I have what I have. Southern Miss one and O so far,
• 33:04
  I believe. Yep, they have that one winning
• 33:05
  conference play. So, so far, so good.
• 33:07
  Nothing else to report on that one.
• 33:09
  That one seems healthy. And I have what you want to go
• 33:14
  do over to the Mac. Yeah.
• 33:17
  We got a couple. Toledo believe, what, 8 1/2
• 33:20
  wins? And I believe they have 3
• 33:23
  already. So looking at that schedule,
• 33:31
  that's Bowling Green, that's me, that's your Mac Bat.
• 33:34
  There we go. I was gonna say I don't see
• 33:36
  Toledo on here anywhere, so no, on the road to Washington State,
• 33:42
  they've got Northern Illinois looks tough.
• 33:47
  I think it's manageable. I'm not going to declare this
• 33:49
  one dead or on life support by any means.
• 33:52
  You know, they got Kent State there.
• 33:55
  You know they got you got your bowling.
• 33:57
  I. Seem to like where that one is.
• 33:58
  Man, Miami of Ohio is not playing good ball right now that
• 34:02
  that all of a sudden became a much more winnable game.
• 34:05
  Right. And what did you have You had
• 34:07
  Bowling Green? I had Bowling Green under 6 1/2.
• 34:12
  They did upset. Well, I don't know if you want
• 34:14
  to call beating Liberty and upset anymore.
• 34:16
  Liberty is kind of just they're done.
• 34:18
  But I mean, Bowling Green still sits at 2:00 and 3:00.
• 34:22
  They they really are starting over.
• 34:24
  I mean, you look at the those two home games they got coming
• 34:27
  up. I mean, they should lose to
• 34:29
  Toledo, Central Michigan. I don't really know what you're
• 34:31
  going to get from Central Michigan from week to week, but
• 34:33
  I can't wait till November when I bet on them and they drive me
• 34:36
  friggin crazy. You know, Kent State almost beat
• 34:40
  Buffalo a couple weeks ago. I'm not even going to go out on
• 34:43
  a limb and give Bowling Green a win on the road at Kent State
• 34:46
  quite yet. But yeah, I mean, there's what,
• 34:49
  seven games there? They have to win five of those
• 34:54
  to get to 7 and five and beat me.
• 34:58
  So I need 3 losses. Let's just say Toledo, Buffalo,
• 35:03
  I don't know, maybe I'm going to need another up to, I mean, I
• 35:06
  need Central Michigan to get him 'cause, you know, having UMass,
• 35:09
  Akron, you know, and Kent State, I guess on your schedule
• 35:13
  certainly leads me to believe that they'll get to 5 at least.
• 35:15
  But yeah, I, I mean, losing to Liberty would have, I would have
• 35:20
  felt really, really good about that.
• 35:22
  So sweating it a little, but they'll, they'll blow a key one
• 35:25
  somewhere to make up for that. So I'm not freaking out about
• 35:27
  that one yet. OK.
• 35:30
  And I've got East Carolina, the one the American well before we
• 35:35
  go to that slide and which other one didn't we not cover Middle
• 35:38
  Tennessee State at Conference USA?
• 35:42
  Oh yeah, let's go to Conference USA so I can get my vent out for
• 35:45
  the week. I know I've been kind of
• 35:47
  thoroughly already, but. All right, Sir, the floor is
• 35:50
  yours. Should be.
• 35:51
  I spent enough time on it bitching about these games.
• 35:55
  Yeah, so I bet UTEP over 5 1/2 when I thought that Malachi
• 35:59
  Nelson was going to actually be good when he won the starting
• 36:02
  job over Skyler Locklear. But congratulations Malachi, you
• 36:06
  have won my ass award for the week because you are literally
• 36:09
  the biggest pair of cheeks I've ever seen take a snap from
• 36:12
  center. How many pick sixes are you
• 36:14
  going to throw before Scotty Walden benches your ass and
• 36:17
  gives the job back to Locklear? Hopefully it'll be over the bye
• 36:20
  week because that schedule is definitely doable where they can
• 36:24
  still get the six wins, but not with Nelson under center.
• 36:28
  This team is absolute garbage right now.
• 36:31
  Dodd fire them all. Congrats Malachi.
• 36:33
  The weekly ASS award which I just started right now goes to.
• 36:40
  You I. Mean look at that schedule.
• 36:41
  I mean, we all know Liberty is ass.
• 36:43
  Sam Houston's O and four Kenneth thought sucks.
• 36:45
  Jacksonville sucks, Missouri State sucks, New Mexico State
• 36:48
  sucks. I mean that there's six wins
• 36:50
  there. But you know, if Locklear
• 36:52
  doesn't come out of the buy as as the QB, come on man, this.
• 36:58
  That's still a six win team right there.
• 37:01
  But I guess we'll find out. October 8th is what, Wednesday?
• 37:06
  What's today? Yeah, Wednesday.
• 37:08
  Beautiful. Conference USA takes over
• 37:10
  weekdays in October. Get ready 'cause there's going
• 37:12
  to be much more griping coming out of the show.
• 37:17
  Sorry Tim, I'm done now. Go ahead.
• 37:19
  It's all right. Well, my Conference USA pick
• 37:23
  technically still in 3rd place, but the O and one not a good way
• 37:26
  to start the conference play and in the American East Carolina
• 37:31
  want to know in a conference. So both still alive not going to
• 37:35
  pull up their schedules. I'm liking them both.
• 37:39
  I still I think Milton TN can come back.
• 37:41
  You hate to have the early season loss in conference, but
• 37:44
  you know things happen for a reason.
• 37:50
  Anything to add there, Peter? No, I'm good for now.
• 37:53
  Keep rolling. He's got his high a bit.
• 37:56
  Getting closer to our bets yes, here we go.
• 38:00
  So there we are. We have our Heisman bet.
• 38:02
  So I got them both on here. I got Jeremiah Love there at the
• 38:06
  bottom. I've got what the hell
• 38:10
  autocorrect, but I read at the top it says reach what is read.
• 38:15
  So we got 9 touchdowns. The only two I think that are
• 38:20
  more I've got the the more up in Oregon.
• 38:22
  I got Mendoza in Indiana highlighted.
• 38:25
  The other three were kind of they were talking at the
• 38:27
  preseason. You know, my tears hurts.
• 38:30
  I kind of took him off. I had to do it to the kid, but I
• 38:34
  know I like to bet. Plus 4000.
• 38:36
  I don't know what you're thinking there.
• 38:37
  Peter for yours. Yeah, I'm not liking mine very
• 38:39
  much. I mean, he's been Jeremiah's
• 38:41
  been good, but he hasn't been great.
• 38:44
  And I think it would require him to be great the rest of this
• 38:47
  year to have a chance to win this this award, you know, so
• 38:51
  he's been he's been good. He's been serviceable.
• 38:53
  I mean, look at his numbers. They're they're fine.
• 38:55
  They're not eye popping. There's there's nothing, you
• 38:57
  know, he hasn't thrown the team on his back and carried them to
• 38:59
  victories. None of the things that you
• 39:01
  would need to see from a running back to win the Heisman, Simply
• 39:05
  put. So, you know, unless, you know,
• 39:07
  unless this thing turns around, unless he becomes the the stud
• 39:10
  that he is the rest of the rest of this year, then yeah, this
• 39:14
  this bet is not going anywhere. So unfortunately, I hate to say
• 39:18
  it, and he has kind of gone the way of Notre Dame not looking
• 39:20
  all that great either, which has been a problem.
• 39:22
  So the team doesn't look that great.
• 39:24
  And it's just it's just hurting him as well.
• 39:27
  So I think it's just not just him.
• 39:28
  It's a whole team thing. So yeah, what else is actually
• 39:31
  hurting him is not so much the Chris trash run defense, it's
• 39:34
  the fact that Genarium Price has actually had a pretty decent
• 39:37
  year as well. He's not he's not the backup
• 39:40
  that we all thought he was probably going to be.
• 39:43
  We thought it was going to be pretty much a Jeremiah Love run
• 39:45
  heavy offense, but price has played well.
• 39:48
  So you know some love stats that were that we were looking for to
• 39:51
  to help with this bet. Unfortunately, price has has
• 39:55
  taken some of them, but as long as his defense sucks nuts, he'll
• 39:59
  still have a chance to put up some numbers.
• 40:01
  So. Don't, you know, don't hate you.
• 40:04
  I mean, he's he's, he's the better of the two, but yeah.
• 40:07
  He is. Yeah.
• 40:09
  Just I'm Yeah, I'm not, I'm not, I'm not sinking this one yet,
• 40:11
  but. No, I wouldn't either.
• 40:13
  We're going to need something see something better from the
• 40:15
  second. You've probably got to get
• 40:16
  closer to 30 touchdowns. I think for for a running back
• 40:19
  that's I mean you you. Prorate that out.
• 40:22
  He's got 5 rushing 3. I mean, that's a 24 touchdown
• 40:25
  season. I mean that's pretty impressive.
• 40:27
  But, you know, I'd like to see, you know, 500 yards at this
• 40:33
  point instead of like, what's that 342?
• 40:35
  But, you know, when your defense is this bad and your offense is
• 40:40
  back out there so quickly because they're giving up points
• 40:42
  and bunches, I mean, who's going to get tired?
• 40:43
  You've got to have somebody else run the ball.
• 40:46
  He can't do it all the time. So.
• 40:49
  And their offense is actually playing real.
• 40:52
  I'm sorry, CJ Carr, I'm sorry I ever doubted you.
• 40:54
  You are not the problem. But yeah, the problem is, you
• 41:00
  know, if you play Jeremiah all the time with as many times as
• 41:03
  the offense has to come back on the field so quickly, yeah, it
• 41:06
  it hurts a little, but the defense can't possibly suck this
• 41:10
  bad forever, I hope. And then we'll get a little more
• 41:13
  to see and love that's. The whole care, right?
• 41:15
  That's what I'm expecting to say.
• 41:16
  So we'll see how it plays out. I'm still waiting for people to
• 41:20
  a lot of it's exposure They got to start talking about Marceau
• 41:23
  Reed a little bit. They're not even mentioning them
• 41:25
  at all. Which.
• 41:27
  Well, you know what? He got A prime time game this
• 41:29
  week against an impressive Mississippi State team so.
• 41:32
  Well, there you go, the. Problem that Notre Dame game
• 41:35
  that they won, he his stats weren't like he was like what,
• 41:38
  19 of 39 or so? I mean, he wasn't.
• 41:41
  Just under 300 yards passing, he was close to 300 yards passing.
• 41:47
  Dude, you and I could throw for over 300 yards on Notre Dame's
• 41:50
  defense right now. They they don't pressure
• 41:53
  anybody. They're secondary, all right.
• 41:55
  I was done after Malachi. L stop it.
• 41:57
  It sounded like me last year, so I am I'm.
• 42:00
  Going to start texting you all my Notre Dame gripes.
• 42:04
  Well, that's it. Let's move into this week there.
• 42:06
  Anyone do your pick first for tomorrow night?
• 42:09
  Well, you know what the the the bets that we have are actually
• 42:12
  the last two games on Friday night.
• 42:14
  So I'm just going to run through the four games leading up to our
• 42:17
  bets. Let's see if you guys have any
• 42:19
  thoughts on these and then we'll wrap it up with our bets.
• 42:21
  So tonight, if you are really a full blown degenerate, and God
• 42:26
  bless you if you are, you can watch.
• 42:29
  Speaking of Conference USA, Owen for Sam Houston laying 2 1/2 on
• 42:33
  the road at two and two New Mexico State.
• 42:37
  I went back and forth on this game.
• 42:38
  I actually was going to bet New Mexico State.
• 42:41
  Apparently they're top defensive player Tyler Martinez,
• 42:44
  linebackers out for this game. And then I just kind of looked
• 42:48
  at it. Why is an O and four team
• 42:50
  favored on the road? It just seems like Vegas is like
• 42:54
  please take New Mexico State so when Sam Houston wins by 7, they
• 42:59
  make a lot of money. But these offenses both stink.
• 43:03
  These defenses both stink. I'll watch just because I have
• 43:07
  issues. No thoughts on this game at all.
• 43:10
  What about you guys? I'd.
• 43:13
  Rather have dental surgery. I, I tried to look at it, I was
• 43:16
  like, you know what? I'm I'm out.
• 43:18
  This is bad. Football, I'm out.
• 43:20
  Match the remote out the window and it's not exactly.
• 43:24
  The good thing is it starts at 9:00 eastern which is only like
• 43:27
  15 minutes before my bedtime so you know I I won't watch more
• 43:30
  than maybe like the first 7 minutes but I'm hoping.
• 43:33
  I almost feel like. Alright, that's my goal.
• 43:35
  I hope so. Yeah, I hope so.
• 43:37
  And hockey starts on Tuesday, so you got something else.
• 43:40
  All right, So then Friday we got A5 game slate.
• 43:42
  So the first game Friday, Charlotte on the road, getting
• 43:45
  28 1/2 points at South Florida. Any thoughts on this game, guys?
• 43:49
  Tim, we'll start with you. You like South Florida?
• 43:52
  I like that bet the way they're playing.
• 43:54
  So yeah, I'd I'd go South Florida if I had to, but I'm not
• 43:57
  going to. Yeah, I kicked around.
• 43:59
  I kicked around the under here, 55 1/2.
• 44:01
  I thought, yeah, it's pretty, pretty big number.
• 44:03
  I can see this thing staying under there.
• 44:04
  I can see a score like, I don't know, 38 to 10 or something like
• 44:08
  that would not be surprising. So agree with what you just said
• 44:11
  to him. And yeah, I think the under was
• 44:13
  enticing. I actually had this rated at a
• 44:14
  four out of five confidence. So pretty well.
• 44:17
  I decided not to play it just because I really not interested
• 44:19
  in this game. But but that said, I think the
• 44:22
  under probably isn't play here. All right, the next game Friday
• 44:26
  night, Western Kentucky getting three points on the road at
• 44:30
  Delaware. The surprising Blue Hens
• 44:33
  ineligible for the conference title because the NCAA obviously
• 44:36
  is so smart with their rules and regulations.
• 44:39
  But Delaware 3 point home favorite over Western Kentucky.
• 44:42
  Pete, we'll start with you. What do you think?
• 44:44
  I think. There's going to be a lot of
• 44:46
  scoring. So over under 61 1/2, I'm not
• 44:48
  playing anything here, but this is another one where I, you
• 44:51
  know, I think it's just that number's a little big, you know,
• 44:54
  So I do expect a, you know, pass heavy game.
• 44:56
  I expect scoring, you know, so I expect this number to be high.
• 44:59
  So, you know, I was leaning over here just to me that number was
• 45:03
  high. And this year I've just not.
• 45:04
  It's been a really weird year with overs.
• 45:06
  So I've been struggling with them and it's just watching
• 45:09
  teams try to chase the number. So I was like, you know, I'm
• 45:12
  going to stay away. But I still think the overs is
• 45:14
  potentially in play here. We'll see.
• 45:18
  Friday night, take the home team.
• 45:22
  I know that all too well. Not going to revisit it.
• 45:24
  You don't want to get me going. So all.
• 45:27
  Right. Well, last week I gave out a
• 45:29
  couple of money line sprinkles on Auburn and Alabama.
• 45:31
  Alabama hit. Auburn did not.
• 45:33
  I I would recommend another one here on Western Kentucky.
• 45:36
  Give me fuel, give me fire. Give me Maverick, MacGyver,
• 45:39
  Western Kentucky's QB. Yeah, almost 1500 yards in four
• 45:43
  games this year. 11 TDs, 2 picks.
• 45:46
  We're going to see if the stage is too big for Delaware or not.
• 45:49
  But don't even give me the field goal.
• 45:51
  Just give me MacGyver. Oh, MacGyver.
• 45:54
  It's actually McIver. But yeah, I, I I would take West
• 45:59
  Kentucky. You want to take him with the
• 46:00
  three? That's cool.
• 46:01
  You want to take a little sprinkle on the money line?
• 46:04
  I'm I'm cool with that as well. Keep it going, keep going 'cause
• 46:08
  this is. Mine.
• 46:09
  Yeah. So this one, oh wait, no, we got
• 46:12
  one more for Friday night before we get into ours.
• 46:14
  New Mexico getting 2 1/2 at San Jose State.
• 46:19
  I'm Jose. San Jose State screw em take a
• 46:22
  New Mexico outright money line. Give me the points till San Jose
• 46:27
  State can kick a field goal of under 32 yards.
• 46:29
  I guys thoughts on that? Over under, 5858, 1/2.
• 46:37
  I think it's a big number. I like the under here.
• 46:39
  I'm not playing it, but I'm definitely leading under in this
• 46:41
  game. San San Jose State is garbage,
• 46:43
  so yeah. There's touchdowns or nothing.
• 46:47
  That's it. So I I kind of like the under
• 46:49
  here, but I didn't play it. All right, so the Friday slate
• 46:52
  still has two games remaining. This is where all our bets come
• 46:55
  in. So I will go first because this
• 46:56
  is mine. I am taking San Diego State
• 47:00
  here, 2 units, laying the six points at home against Colorado
• 47:03
  State. This is kind of a bet on San
• 47:08
  Diego State defensively, but this is more a fate of whatever
• 47:12
  it is Colorado State is trying to do offensively.
• 47:15
  They benched Braden Fowler, Nicolosi, the guy they put into
• 47:18
  play last week, they were at home, I believe, against
• 47:21
  Washington State. In 60 minutes of play and time,
• 47:24
  he led the team to three points. I'm not really sure what's going
• 47:28
  on with Colorado State, but offensively, they just do not
• 47:30
  have it together and this is the wrong defense to try and get
• 47:33
  anything fixed. Jaden Denigal has actually
• 47:36
  played well for San Diego State. Nobody's going to confuse these
• 47:40
  guys with Oregon anytime soon. But I mean, this is a team that
• 47:44
  shut out Cal 34 to nothing. And yes, I know it's Cal, but
• 47:48
  it's still an ACC team. They should have way better
• 47:50
  athletes than what San Diego State's got going on San Diego
• 47:52
  State. Slack them.
• 47:54
  This defense only giving up 225 yards a game.
• 47:57
  The next closest Mountain West team is Hawaii at 300.
• 48:01
  I mean, they're the only Mountain West team allowing
• 48:03
  under 100 rush yards a game. They're the only Mountain West
• 48:05
  team allowing under 140 passing yards a game.
• 48:08
  I mean, this team right now defensively is, is one of the
• 48:12
  best in the country that nobody is talking about.
• 48:14
  So the total is low. So that does worry me when I lay
• 48:18
  a touchdown with with a team like this.
• 48:20
  Defense is so, so good. And right now, Colorado State's
• 48:24
  offense is just like in turmoil. So lay the 6th someplace.
• 48:28
  It may be 6 1/2. I wouldn't go to seven if it
• 48:31
  goes there. But yeah, give me San Diego
• 48:34
  State baby minus the six. Beautiful.
• 48:39
  Yeah, over, under 40 1/2. Everything you said.
• 48:42
  I agree 100%, which is exactly why I mean, I'm leaning under
• 48:45
  exactly why I didn't bet it. So I figured it would come back
• 48:47
  and bite me in the backside, right.
• 48:49
  Somehow Colorado State will score 30 points or something
• 48:52
  ridiculous, which I don't think is even possible against.
• 48:54
  I don't know. I just I got worried about this
• 48:56
  thing like, you know what, I agree that what I, what I would
• 48:59
  expect to see is exactly what you said.
• 49:01
  I would expect the city of state defense to control this game.
• 49:04
  I'd expect him to win, probably something like, I don't know, 30
• 49:08
  to 10 or something, but still too close to that over under
• 49:12
  total of 40 1/2. So I just tried to stay away
• 49:14
  from it. But I I agree with you all.
• 49:20
  Right, Pete, the floor is ours now.
• 49:23
  So do you want your got your boy?
• 49:26
  What in West Virginia going to play BYU?
• 49:29
  Yeah, excited. We're going to see my boy in a
• 49:31
  couple weeks too. I'm excited for this.
• 49:32
  This is great. So yeah.
• 49:34
  So going to BYU over under 47 1/2.
• 49:38
  So BYU is obviously favored by a bunch.
• 49:42
  I think they're going to win by a bunch.
• 49:44
  I'm not would not be surprised by that at all.
• 49:47
  However, so I do like this under at 47 1/2, you know where
• 49:52
  they're playing. Obviously the altitude is going
• 49:54
  to create some issues which is going to which which is going to
• 49:59
  slow the offenses down, especially in the second-half
• 50:01
  with West Virginia. So I think that's going to be an
• 50:04
  issue for them. So I expect defenses to be
• 50:07
  playing, playing well here, particularly BYU.
• 50:11
  So I think West Virginia is going to have a real difficult
• 50:13
  time moving the ball consistently.
• 50:15
  It's going to be a problem for them.
• 50:16
  So so I think BYU is going to score a lot probably.
• 50:19
  I mean, I wouldn't be surprised of another like once again, 30
• 50:23
  to 10 or something like that, or maybe even a little more on BYU
• 50:26
  side. So not surprising, but still
• 50:28
  under and I think pretty handily under that 47 1/2.
• 50:31
  So I feel pretty confident. I gave it a 4 1/2 out of five in
• 50:34
  terms of my confidence rating for this one.
• 50:36
  So one unit BYU under West Virginia, BYU under 47 1/2.
• 50:43
  OK, well, I went with BYU gave 18 1/2 Your boys, his teams are
• 50:48
  sloppy. So they commit a lot of
• 50:50
  penalties. They turn the ball over a lot
• 50:52
  and it's been they're doing that this year.
• 50:55
  I'm expecting a couple turnovers from West Virginia and on 3rd
• 51:01
  down, they don't stay on the field that often.
• 51:03
  So I'm looking at it this way. Plus you got to travel going
• 51:07
  across going into the altitude, you know, the the turnover rate
• 51:11
  differentials 8 in favor of BYU time of possession penalties, a
• 51:17
  lot of penalties with West Virginia and a lot of them seem
• 51:20
  to be procedural false starts, not getting set right, illegal
• 51:24
  formation and all that crap. Yeah, I like this one.
• 51:28
  I yeah, to under. I don't think what we need to
• 51:32
  score is that much. Maybe final score would be, I
• 51:35
  don't know, like 35 to 3:35 to 7:00, something like that.
• 51:42
  But I like BYU big against West Virginia.
• 51:47
  Any thoughts boys? I agree with everything you both
• 51:51
  said. They just lost their
• 51:55
  quarterback. They already lost their running
• 51:57
  back and one of their wide receivers a few weeks ago.
• 51:59
  I think BYU actually looks better without Retz laugh as
• 52:02
  their QB. I I was close to what Pete had
• 52:05
  said. He said 30 to 10.
• 52:06
  I was thinking like 31 to 10 and that 10 coming like late in the
• 52:10
  fourth quarter when BYU was playing, you know, the hot dog
• 52:13
  Bender, the beer guy and the band leader and eight other
• 52:15
  schmucks from the audience. I just, yeah, this is.
• 52:19
  But the good thing is I don't work this Saturday, so I'll be
• 52:21
  up watching. Well, the quarterback's name is
• 52:24
  Bear and he wears #47 which is awesome.
• 52:29
  Just putting that out there. That's after that's is that.
• 52:33
  Bockmeyer. Is that like Hank Bockmeyer?
• 52:34
  I don't know what the hell I know.
• 52:35
  It's bear. I don't bear.
• 52:36
  Well, that's his real name or not, I don't care.
• 52:38
  He's wears #47 I'm like, he had a quarterback with 47 on his
• 52:43
  jersey. That's awesome.
• 52:44
  I guess he right in the fields right here.
• 52:46
  Perfect. Ideally Malachi Nelson should
• 52:48
  transfer to West Virginia and then we just have the biggest 2
• 52:51
  cheeks combined to make. Can we get like a picture of
• 52:56
  like some bronze ass cheeks so I can give it out every week on
• 52:59
  the show because I feel like Malachi Nelson deserves A bronze
• 53:02
  pair of ass cheeks because. I will look into that for next
• 53:05
  week or for Saturday morning. We'll unveil it on the live
• 53:08
  stream. TuneIn thank you Gravis guy 9:00
• 53:10
  AM. Saturday to see Darren and his
• 53:13
  bronze ass cheeks. It's going to.
• 53:16
  Be an old. Malachi must be like French for
• 53:19
  ass. Okay, wrap it up there and let's
• 53:30
  go. Yeah, so all right, so again,
• 53:32
  we'll just do a quick recap. The bets Jimmy'z got BYU lay in
• 53:35
  18 1/2 over West Virginia. Pete has the BYU West Virginia
• 53:38
  total under 47 1/2. I have a tune to play on San
• 53:41
  Diego State -6 join us Saturday 9 to 10 live show previewing our
• 53:48
  bets, going through the rapid fire segment.
• 53:51
  Bring your plays, bring your comments, bring your questions,
• 53:53
  bring your bronze ass cheeks. Bring it all.
• 53:55
  We'll see you Saturday. Morning.
• 53:56
  We'll have bronze ass cheeks Saturday morning.
• 53:59
  Thank you all for listening everybody.