Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Instant Reaction: Hamas Leader Assassinated in Iran
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: This is breaking new US from Bloomberg. Hamas says Israel
- 0:07Speaker 1: killed its political leader Ismael Hania in an airstrike on Tehran.
- 0:12Speaker 1: Hania is a chief negotiator for Hamas. He was in
- 0:16Speaker 1: Iran's capital for the inauguration of the country's new president.
- 0:19Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Dan Williams in Jerusalem says the killing follows the
- 0:23Speaker 1: recent death of another top level Hamas official.
- 0:26Speaker 2: It's very, very impressive in terms of operations. We're talking
- 0:30Speaker 2: about two Middle East capitals, two very senior targets with
- 0:34Speaker 2: apparently very limited damage around them. Kind of surgical strikes
- 0:38Speaker 2: that could also be considered of strategic value. So in
- 0:41Speaker 2: a sense, Netaniel will have burnished his credentials here having
- 0:46Speaker 2: been batted by the October seventh attacks that really blindsided
- 0:49Speaker 2: Israel and cause casualties on an unprecedented scale.
- 0:54Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Dan william says Hennia's death follows an Israeli strike
- 0:57Speaker 1: on Beirut last night, targeting a senior Hesbola commander. That
- 1:01Speaker 1: attack was a response to a rocket assault that killed
- 1:03Speaker 1: twelve young people in the Israeli controlled goal On Heights
- 1:06Speaker 1: over the weekend. Joining US from Dubai is Bloomberg Middle
- 1:10Speaker 1: East anchor Jumana Bursechi, Jumana, good morning. It has been
- 1:14Speaker 1: a rapidly developing series of situations in just the last
- 1:19Speaker 1: seven hour span, between the killing of the Hesbola commander
- 1:23Speaker 1: and now the death of Ismail Hania. What is the
- 1:26Speaker 1: risk of further escalation at this point?
- 1:30Speaker 3: Well, at this point, the risk of further escalation is
- 1:32Speaker 3: certainly a lot higher than it was twenty four hours ago.
- 1:35Speaker 3: Two senior commanders taken out in the space of twelve hours.
- 1:39Speaker 3: As you rightly point out, the strike in Beirut took
- 1:42Speaker 3: out a senior Hesbola commander very close to Hesbala leader,
- 1:47Speaker 3: said Hassan Asrela. But then the strike in Iran was
- 1:50Speaker 3: also a very surprising development. Ismail Hani, the leader of Hamas,
- 1:56Speaker 3: was killed in that assassination. And the interesting thing is
- 2:00Speaker 3: that it happened on Iranian soil. And because of that,
- 2:04Speaker 3: the comments that have come out of Iran just in
- 2:06Speaker 3: the last couple of hours or so have been very inflammatory.
- 2:09Speaker 3: The president, the new president, who was receiving his inauguration
- 2:14Speaker 3: sermon me yesterday, put out a statement saying we will
- 2:17Speaker 3: defend our territorial integrity, and that is not, of course,
- 2:20Speaker 3: the fact that the incident happens on Iranian soil and
- 2:23Speaker 3: Iran will make terrorists. This is a quote regret their action.
- 2:26Speaker 3: That was followed up by quotes from the Ayatollah, the
- 2:29Speaker 3: Supreme Leader, saying that the severe punishment awaits Israel. So
- 2:35Speaker 3: very strong wording coming out of Iran, and interesting with
- 2:39Speaker 3: the backdrop, of course being that the new president had
- 2:42Speaker 3: campaigned on being a reformist and reopening up some of
- 2:46Speaker 3: the diplomatic channels with the West.
- 2:47Speaker 4: It seems as though that window is closing now.
- 2:50Speaker 1: Yeah, we all remember the last time Israel struck Iran's
- 2:54Speaker 1: territory with that drone attack. There was that massive response
- 2:58Speaker 1: of hundreds of drones and missiles fired at Israel. With
- 3:03Speaker 1: the changed political situation in Iran now with a new president,
- 3:08Speaker 1: what could the calculus be at this point.
- 3:11Speaker 3: The calculus is that anytime an attack happens on Iranian
- 3:15Speaker 3: territory or Iranian soil, the leadership are going to see
- 3:19Speaker 3: an impetus to want to respond back. In April, what
- 3:23Speaker 3: you saw was a very targeted strike capital on both sides.
- 3:27Speaker 3: So when Iran responded to the Israeli attack on the
- 3:31Speaker 3: consulate in Syria. Again, they had very much telegraphed beforehands
- 3:37Speaker 3: what they were going to do. The Israeli response in
- 3:40Speaker 3: retaliation to that, again was quite surgical in nature as well,
- 3:43Speaker 3: and since then there's been this period of the terrence.
- 3:45Speaker 3: But on the back of this latest event that is
- 3:48Speaker 3: unfolded on Iranian territory, there will be an imperative from
- 3:52Speaker 3: the IRGC for them to come out with some sort
- 3:55Speaker 3: of response, and not just from Iran itself, but including
- 3:59Speaker 3: from the rest of the region and the other allies
- 4:01Speaker 3: that IT funds and backs in the region, including hezbalan
- 4:04Speaker 3: Hamas themselves, And if you listen to some of the
- 4:06Speaker 3: commentary that's come out of other regional leaders, Katari PM
- 4:11Speaker 3: putting out a statement saying, how can mediation succeed when
- 4:15Speaker 3: one party kills negotiator?
- 4:16Speaker 4: Here giving a nod of course.
- 4:18Speaker 3: To the fact that Isma Hanini Hani was the chief
- 4:21Speaker 3: negotiator with these ceasefire discussions.
- 4:24Speaker 4: Those also seemingly being put on hold as well.
- 4:27Speaker 1: Now I wanted to get a little bit more into
- 4:28Speaker 1: that as well. As you mentioned he was one of
- 4:31Speaker 1: the key negotiators in ceasefire talks in Gaza. Where do
- 4:35Speaker 1: those negotiations stand now where could they go?
- 4:38Speaker 3: These comments from the Katari Prime minister are really key.
- 4:42Speaker 3: They came out just about half an hour ago, saying
- 4:45Speaker 3: that it is impossible to continue the diplomatic avenue and
- 4:50Speaker 3: to continue with these negotiations given that the chief negotiator
- 4:53Speaker 3: on the part of Hamas has actually been killed. So
- 4:56Speaker 3: it does raise a lot of questions as to the
- 4:58Speaker 3: avenue forward from here. From the Israeli perspective, there has
- 5:03Speaker 3: been a lot of domestic turmoil, a lot of division
- 5:06Speaker 3: within the Israeli government, and I think this also reframes
- 5:10Speaker 3: the narrative around the regional developments now is a win
- 5:14Speaker 3: for the Prime Minister in Natanya who and his coalition
- 5:17Speaker 3: which have vowed to eliminate TAMAS leaders since the October
- 5:21Speaker 3: seventh attacks, So it probably buys them a little bit
- 5:23Speaker 3: more time. And what it does mean is the likelihood
- 5:25Speaker 3: of a ceasefire deal or truth being got to has
- 5:29Speaker 3: gone down.
- 5:31Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Jumana Barsacchi with us from Dubai this morning. I
- 5:34Speaker 1: know it's been a very busy time for you, Jamana,
- 5:36Speaker 1: so thank you for giving us some of your time
- 5:39Speaker 1: this morning. Jumana Barsecchi from Dubai